Wiki source code of ICT - Sniper Course - 04 - Basic Infantry module - Stalking.srt
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1 | 1 | ||
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3 | ICT: Okay folks, welcome to the inner | ||
4 | |||
5 | 2 | ||
6 | 00:00:57,600 ~-~-> 00:00:59,670 | ||
7 | circle trader scout sniper Field Guide | ||
8 | |||
9 | 3 | ||
10 | 00:00:59,670 ~-~-> 00:01:01,860 | ||
11 | episode For now we're gonna be | ||
12 | |||
13 | 4 | ||
14 | 00:01:01,860 ~-~-> 00:01:04,530 | ||
15 | discussing basic infantry In this | ||
16 | |||
17 | 5 | ||
18 | 00:01:04,530 ~-~-> 00:01:07,560 | ||
19 | module, and what specifically we'll be | ||
20 | |||
21 | 6 | ||
22 | 00:01:07,560 ~-~-> 00:01:09,690 | ||
23 | covering in this presentation, we're | ||
24 | |||
25 | 7 | ||
26 | 00:01:09,690 ~-~-> 00:01:11,490 | ||
27 | gonna be looking at a review of the | ||
28 | |||
29 | 8 | ||
30 | 00:01:11,490 ~-~-> 00:01:14,100 | ||
31 | previous episode assignment, stalking in | ||
32 | |||
33 | 9 | ||
34 | 00:01:14,100 ~-~-> 00:01:17,580 | ||
35 | the kill zone. We're gonna be looking at | ||
36 | |||
37 | 10 | ||
38 | 00:01:17,580 ~-~-> 00:01:20,190 | ||
39 | specific ICT skills are an examples | ||
40 | |||
41 | 11 | ||
42 | 00:01:20,250 ~-~-> 00:01:23,400 | ||
43 | since the time of our last presentation. | ||
44 | |||
45 | 12 | ||
46 | 00:01:23,580 ~-~-> 00:01:25,860 | ||
47 | It was released on the ninth of | ||
48 | |||
49 | 13 | ||
50 | 00:01:25,860 ~-~-> 00:01:28,800 | ||
51 | September 2013. When we looking at some | ||
52 | |||
53 | 14 | ||
54 | 00:01:28,800 ~-~-> 00:01:30,840 | ||
55 | examples from that point on to most | ||
56 | |||
57 | 15 | ||
58 | 00:01:30,840 ~-~-> 00:01:34,980 | ||
59 | recently and we're gonna be looking at | ||
60 | |||
61 | 16 | ||
62 | 00:01:34,980 ~-~-> 00:01:37,290 | ||
63 | directional bias and high probability | ||
64 | |||
65 | 17 | ||
66 | 00:01:37,290 ~-~-> 00:01:41,130 | ||
67 | trade framework. We're going to be | ||
68 | |||
69 | 18 | ||
70 | 00:01:41,130 ~-~-> 00:01:43,590 | ||
71 | revisiting the concept of why do markets | ||
72 | |||
73 | 19 | ||
74 | 00:01:43,590 ~-~-> 00:01:47,520 | ||
75 | move specifically dealing with the | ||
76 | |||
77 | 20 | ||
78 | 00:01:47,520 ~-~-> 00:01:50,550 | ||
79 | players and the game and we're gonna be | ||
80 | |||
81 | 21 | ||
82 | 00:01:50,550 ~-~-> 00:01:52,350 | ||
83 | looking at what makes trade setups | ||
84 | |||
85 | 22 | ||
86 | 00:01:52,350 ~-~-> 00:01:54,150 | ||
87 | strategically quote unquote high | ||
88 | |||
89 | 23 | ||
90 | 00:01:54,150 ~-~-> 00:01:59,010 | ||
91 | probability. recommend looking at ICT, | ||
92 | |||
93 | 24 | ||
94 | 00:01:59,040 ~-~-> 00:02:01,410 | ||
95 | no brainer direction bias concepts. | ||
96 | |||
97 | 25 | ||
98 | 00:02:02,550 ~-~-> 00:02:04,440 | ||
99 | We're gonna be returning to higher | ||
100 | |||
101 | 26 | ||
102 | 00:02:04,440 ~-~-> 00:02:07,740 | ||
103 | timeframe analysis. We're gonna be | ||
104 | |||
105 | 27 | ||
106 | 00:02:07,740 ~-~-> 00:02:11,220 | ||
107 | looking at high odds by framework. And | ||
108 | |||
109 | 28 | ||
110 | 00:02:11,220 ~-~-> 00:02:13,410 | ||
111 | we're gonna be looking at high odds sell | ||
112 | |||
113 | 29 | ||
114 | 00:02:13,410 ~-~-> 00:02:16,530 | ||
115 | framework. We're going to be looking at | ||
116 | |||
117 | 30 | ||
118 | 00:02:16,560 ~-~-> 00:02:18,870 | ||
119 | market structure and order flow | ||
120 | |||
121 | 31 | ||
122 | 00:02:18,870 ~-~-> 00:02:22,350 | ||
123 | conceptualized. We're gonna be | ||
124 | |||
125 | 32 | ||
126 | 00:02:22,350 ~-~-> 00:02:25,200 | ||
127 | discussing and unveiling institutional | ||
128 | |||
129 | 33 | ||
130 | 00:02:25,200 ~-~-> 00:02:27,780 | ||
131 | orders and smart money, fingerprints. | ||
132 | |||
133 | 34 | ||
134 | 00:02:28,800 ~-~-> 00:02:29,880 | ||
135 | And we're gonna be looking at how | ||
136 | |||
137 | 35 | ||
138 | 00:02:29,880 ~-~-> 00:02:33,900 | ||
139 | consolidations breed opportunity, and | ||
140 | |||
141 | 36 | ||
142 | 00:02:33,900 ~-~-> 00:02:36,210 | ||
143 | what we look for and why it matters. | ||
144 | |||
145 | 37 | ||
146 | 00:02:36,300 ~-~-> 00:02:40,170 | ||
147 | Inside these consolidations. We're gonna | ||
148 | |||
149 | 38 | ||
150 | 00:02:40,170 ~-~-> 00:02:41,490 | ||
151 | be looking at institutional order | ||
152 | |||
153 | 39 | ||
154 | 00:02:41,490 ~-~-> 00:02:44,760 | ||
155 | blocks. We're going to be looking at the | ||
156 | |||
157 | 40 | ||
158 | 00:02:44,760 ~-~-> 00:02:47,160 | ||
159 | concept of institutional sponsorship and | ||
160 | |||
161 | 41 | ||
162 | 00:02:47,160 ~-~-> 00:02:51,300 | ||
163 | what effects it has on your trading. And | ||
164 | |||
165 | 42 | ||
166 | 00:02:51,300 ~-~-> 00:02:54,360 | ||
167 | we're gonna be looking at a premise, I | ||
168 | |||
169 | 43 | ||
170 | 00:02:54,360 ~-~-> 00:02:56,040 | ||
171 | refer to as returning to the point of | ||
172 | |||
173 | 44 | ||
174 | 00:02:56,040 ~-~-> 00:02:59,880 | ||
175 | origin, which is basically inside the | ||
176 | |||
177 | 45 | ||
178 | 00:02:59,880 ~-~-> 00:03:02,760 | ||
179 | eye. optimal trade entry concept a like | ||
180 | |||
181 | 46 | ||
182 | 00:03:02,760 ~-~-> 00:03:05,130 | ||
183 | a nuts and bolts presentation of why | ||
184 | |||
185 | 47 | ||
186 | 00:03:05,130 ~-~-> 00:03:08,490 | ||
187 | it's so effective. And we're giving you | ||
188 | |||
189 | 48 | ||
190 | 00:03:08,490 ~-~-> 00:03:10,830 | ||
191 | more homework. Yes. This time we'll be | ||
192 | |||
193 | 49 | ||
194 | 00:03:10,830 ~-~-> 00:03:12,720 | ||
195 | tracking institutional price action. | ||
196 | |||
197 | 50 | ||
198 | 00:03:13,590 ~-~-> 00:03:14,490 | ||
199 | Okay, so let's get going. | ||
200 | |||
201 | 51 | ||
202 | 00:03:20,130 ~-~-> 00:03:22,050 | ||
203 | Okay, folks, we're looking at a daily | ||
204 | |||
205 | 52 | ||
206 | 00:03:22,050 ~-~-> 00:03:24,930 | ||
207 | chart of the Euro USD. The last episode | ||
208 | |||
209 | 53 | ||
210 | 00:03:24,960 ~-~-> 00:03:29,010 | ||
211 | we released was September 9 2013. In | ||
212 | |||
213 | 54 | ||
214 | 00:03:29,010 ~-~-> 00:03:32,370 | ||
215 | this continuing series and we discussed | ||
216 | |||
217 | 55 | ||
218 | 00:03:32,370 ~-~-> 00:03:35,160 | ||
219 | the likely impact that the rising yields | ||
220 | |||
221 | 56 | ||
222 | 00:03:35,160 ~-~-> 00:03:36,990 | ||
223 | would have on the foreign currency | ||
224 | |||
225 | 57 | ||
226 | 00:03:36,990 ~-~-> 00:03:38,850 | ||
227 | markets and we discussed that it would | ||
228 | |||
229 | 58 | ||
230 | 00:03:38,850 ~-~-> 00:03:41,910 | ||
231 | have continued upward pressure within | ||
232 | |||
233 | 59 | ||
234 | 00:03:42,270 ~-~-> 00:03:44,310 | ||
235 | the fiber which is the Euro USD again, | ||
236 | |||
237 | 60 | ||
238 | 00:03:45,720 ~-~-> 00:03:48,000 | ||
239 | real quick, let's just reflect back upon | ||
240 | |||
241 | 61 | ||
242 | 00:03:48,030 ~-~-> 00:03:51,150 | ||
243 | the yields and what it was doing in | ||
244 | |||
245 | 62 | ||
246 | 00:03:51,240 ~-~-> 00:03:53,730 | ||
247 | graphic form. And you can see that here. | ||
248 | |||
249 | 63 | ||
250 | 00:03:56,910 ~-~-> 00:04:00,210 | ||
251 | Can you see the rising yields okay. And | ||
252 | |||
253 | 64 | ||
254 | 00:04:00,210 ~-~-> 00:04:02,820 | ||
255 | when that happens, price one variably | ||
256 | |||
257 | 65 | ||
258 | 00:04:02,850 ~-~-> 00:04:06,090 | ||
259 | tried to chase or quote unquote seek | ||
260 | |||
261 | 66 | ||
262 | 00:04:06,120 ~-~-> 00:04:09,510 | ||
263 | yield and it'll be moving up in China | ||
264 | |||
265 | 67 | ||
266 | 00:04:09,510 ~-~-> 00:04:12,060 | ||
267 | close the gap between the the yield and | ||
268 | |||
269 | 68 | ||
270 | 00:04:12,060 ~-~-> 00:04:14,520 | ||
271 | the actual underlying price of the | ||
272 | |||
273 | 69 | ||
274 | 00:04:14,520 ~-~-> 00:04:18,480 | ||
275 | currency. Now, because this candle here | ||
276 | |||
277 | 70 | ||
278 | 00:04:18,480 ~-~-> 00:04:20,190 | ||
279 | delineates the actual time that | ||
280 | |||
281 | 71 | ||
282 | 00:04:20,190 ~-~-> 00:04:22,860 | ||
283 | recording was made, there's been a | ||
284 | |||
285 | 72 | ||
286 | 00:04:22,920 ~-~-> 00:04:25,410 | ||
287 | significant amount of pips moved from | ||
288 | |||
289 | 73 | ||
290 | 00:04:25,410 ~-~-> 00:04:27,360 | ||
291 | that date until now and we're just going | ||
292 | |||
293 | 74 | ||
294 | 00:04:27,360 ~-~-> 00:04:30,240 | ||
295 | to use the highest point. Okay, we're | ||
296 | |||
297 | 75 | ||
298 | 00:04:30,240 ~-~-> 00:04:31,740 | ||
299 | not going to use the best scenario the | ||
300 | |||
301 | 76 | ||
302 | 00:04:31,740 ~-~-> 00:04:33,180 | ||
303 | low we're just going to use the highest | ||
304 | |||
305 | 77 | ||
306 | 00:04:33,180 ~-~-> 00:04:35,880 | ||
307 | point that that candle on the ninth, | ||
308 | |||
309 | 78 | ||
310 | 00:04:35,970 ~-~-> 00:04:38,730 | ||
311 | okay, and we're going to discuss briefly | ||
312 | |||
313 | 79 | ||
314 | 00:04:38,760 ~-~-> 00:04:40,380 | ||
315 | the amount of pips that were available | ||
316 | |||
317 | 80 | ||
318 | 00:04:40,380 ~-~-> 00:04:44,310 | ||
319 | at 291 pips. So basically almost 300 | ||
320 | |||
321 | 81 | ||
322 | 00:04:44,310 ~-~-> 00:04:47,400 | ||
323 | pips were made available in advance in | ||
324 | |||
325 | 82 | ||
326 | 00:04:47,400 ~-~-> 00:04:51,120 | ||
327 | advance in the form of discussion as | ||
328 | |||
329 | 83 | ||
330 | 00:04:51,150 ~-~-> 00:04:55,170 | ||
331 | upward, likely price movement. Now we | ||
332 | |||
333 | 84 | ||
334 | 00:04:55,170 ~-~-> 00:04:57,480 | ||
335 | had a homework assignment from Episode | ||
336 | |||
337 | 85 | ||
338 | 00:04:57,480 ~-~-> 00:05:02,400 | ||
339 | Three and it was trading In the zone, | ||
340 | |||
341 | 86 | ||
342 | 00:05:02,460 ~-~-> 00:05:05,490 | ||
343 | okay, or stalking in the kill zone, and | ||
344 | |||
345 | 87 | ||
346 | 00:05:05,490 ~-~-> 00:05:07,920 | ||
347 | we're going to discuss that here. Okay, | ||
348 | |||
349 | 88 | ||
350 | 00:05:07,920 ~-~-> 00:05:09,030 | ||
351 | and what we're going to do is we're | ||
352 | |||
353 | 89 | ||
354 | 00:05:09,030 ~-~-> 00:05:12,630 | ||
355 | going to move down into an hourly chart, | ||
356 | |||
357 | 90 | ||
358 | 00:05:13,200 ~-~-> 00:05:16,260 | ||
359 | and I'm going to delineate the ninth of | ||
360 | |||
361 | 91 | ||
362 | 00:05:16,290 ~-~-> 00:05:18,840 | ||
363 | September. Okay, so everything right of | ||
364 | |||
365 | 92 | ||
366 | 00:05:18,840 ~-~-> 00:05:21,510 | ||
367 | this vertical line, basically is | ||
368 | |||
369 | 93 | ||
370 | 00:05:21,510 ~-~-> 00:05:24,090 | ||
371 | referencing where we are in terms of the | ||
372 | |||
373 | 94 | ||
374 | 00:05:24,090 ~-~-> 00:05:27,030 | ||
375 | last recording and posting in this video | ||
376 | |||
377 | 95 | ||
378 | 00:05:27,030 ~-~-> 00:05:29,880 | ||
379 | series and what we're going to discuss, | ||
380 | |||
381 | 96 | ||
382 | 00:05:30,240 ~-~-> 00:05:33,540 | ||
383 | okay, as an example of the ICT kill | ||
384 | |||
385 | 97 | ||
386 | 00:05:33,540 ~-~-> 00:05:36,180 | ||
387 | zones, we we already had a premise in | ||
388 | |||
389 | 98 | ||
390 | 00:05:36,180 ~-~-> 00:05:38,700 | ||
391 | mind based on the analysis of the the | ||
392 | |||
393 | 99 | ||
394 | 00:05:38,730 ~-~-> 00:05:40,920 | ||
395 | interest rate market and how it would | ||
396 | |||
397 | 100 | ||
398 | 00:05:40,920 ~-~-> 00:05:44,700 | ||
399 | have a magnetic pole on price upward. | ||
400 | |||
401 | 101 | ||
402 | 00:05:45,030 ~-~-> 00:05:48,060 | ||
403 | Okay, and what that understanding we're | ||
404 | |||
405 | 102 | ||
406 | 00:05:48,060 ~-~-> 00:05:50,190 | ||
407 | going to add Okay, we're going to add | ||
408 | |||
409 | 103 | ||
410 | 00:05:50,220 ~-~-> 00:05:53,370 | ||
411 | the ICT kill zones, and we're going to | ||
412 | |||
413 | 104 | ||
414 | 00:05:53,370 ~-~-> 00:05:57,120 | ||
415 | add the vertical de delineation. Okay, | ||
416 | |||
417 | 105 | ||
418 | 00:05:57,120 ~-~-> 00:05:59,640 | ||
419 | again, the double bar here on Mt four. | ||
420 | |||
421 | 106 | ||
422 | 00:06:00,240 ~-~-> 00:06:02,160 | ||
423 | delineates weekend's we're going to be | ||
424 | |||
425 | 107 | ||
426 | 00:06:02,160 ~-~-> 00:06:04,740 | ||
427 | basically focusing on is the fact that | ||
428 | |||
429 | 108 | ||
430 | 00:06:04,920 ~-~-> 00:06:07,320 | ||
431 | we were expecting. Now I'm going to say | ||
432 | |||
433 | 109 | ||
434 | 00:06:07,320 ~-~-> 00:06:08,670 | ||
435 | this word, please don't take it out of | ||
436 | |||
437 | 110 | ||
438 | 00:06:08,670 ~-~-> 00:06:11,520 | ||
439 | context because I am not a fundamental | ||
440 | |||
441 | 111 | ||
442 | 00:06:11,550 ~-~-> 00:06:14,310 | ||
443 | trader, okay? as fundamental as it gets | ||
444 | |||
445 | 112 | ||
446 | 00:06:14,310 ~-~-> 00:06:16,830 | ||
447 | for me is interest rates, okay? But | ||
448 | |||
449 | 113 | ||
450 | 00:06:16,830 ~-~-> 00:06:19,110 | ||
451 | fundamentally, the driver for the Euro | ||
452 | |||
453 | 114 | ||
454 | 00:06:19,110 ~-~-> 00:06:21,390 | ||
455 | to be going up like it was, was that the | ||
456 | |||
457 | 115 | ||
458 | 00:06:21,390 ~-~-> 00:06:23,880 | ||
459 | yields were moving higher. Okay. And | ||
460 | |||
461 | 116 | ||
462 | 00:06:24,300 ~-~-> 00:06:26,580 | ||
463 | contrast that with the fact that we know | ||
464 | |||
465 | 117 | ||
466 | 00:06:26,580 ~-~-> 00:06:28,800 | ||
467 | that is the case when we see technically | ||
468 | |||
469 | 118 | ||
470 | 00:06:29,100 ~-~-> 00:06:32,220 | ||
471 | the 10 year yields declining, okay. So | ||
472 | |||
473 | 119 | ||
474 | 00:06:32,220 ~-~-> 00:06:34,410 | ||
475 | if we go to the commodity market, and we | ||
476 | |||
477 | 120 | ||
478 | 00:06:34,410 ~-~-> 00:06:38,280 | ||
479 | refer to the 10 year, futures market, | ||
480 | |||
481 | 121 | ||
482 | 00:06:38,700 ~-~-> 00:06:41,370 | ||
483 | okay, when that market is moving lower, | ||
484 | |||
485 | 122 | ||
486 | 00:06:41,790 ~-~-> 00:06:44,190 | ||
487 | that's actually an increase in yields. | ||
488 | |||
489 | 123 | ||
490 | 00:06:44,280 ~-~-> 00:06:46,680 | ||
491 | Okay. And an income increasing yield is | ||
492 | |||
493 | 124 | ||
494 | 00:06:46,680 ~-~-> 00:06:49,410 | ||
495 | going to be diametrically opposed. And | ||
496 | |||
497 | 125 | ||
498 | 00:06:49,410 ~-~-> 00:06:50,790 | ||
499 | there's going to be basically an inverse | ||
500 | |||
501 | 126 | ||
502 | 00:06:50,790 ~-~-> 00:06:53,490 | ||
503 | relationship between the futures price | ||
504 | |||
505 | 127 | ||
506 | 00:06:53,520 ~-~-> 00:06:57,840 | ||
507 | of 10 year notes and its yield, okay. So | ||
508 | |||
509 | 128 | ||
510 | 00:06:57,840 ~-~-> 00:07:00,360 | ||
511 | if the futures chart on bonds or Tea | ||
512 | |||
513 | 129 | ||
514 | 00:07:00,360 ~-~-> 00:07:03,180 | ||
515 | notes are dropping, that is an increase | ||
516 | |||
517 | 130 | ||
518 | 00:07:03,180 ~-~-> 00:07:04,770 | ||
519 | in yields. Okay. And that's going to be | ||
520 | |||
521 | 131 | ||
522 | 00:07:04,770 ~-~-> 00:07:06,810 | ||
523 | bullish for foreign currencies and | ||
524 | |||
525 | 132 | ||
526 | 00:07:06,810 ~-~-> 00:07:09,720 | ||
527 | bearish for the US dollar. Okay? And | ||
528 | |||
529 | 133 | ||
530 | 00:07:09,720 ~-~-> 00:07:13,320 | ||
531 | then conversely, if you reverse that | ||
532 | |||
533 | 134 | ||
534 | 00:07:13,350 ~-~-> 00:07:16,680 | ||
535 | phenomenon, and you look at when the 10 | ||
536 | |||
537 | 135 | ||
538 | 00:07:16,680 ~-~-> 00:07:18,960 | ||
539 | year notes on a futures basis or bond | ||
540 | |||
541 | 136 | ||
542 | 00:07:18,960 ~-~-> 00:07:21,660 | ||
543 | market is rallying on the futures | ||
544 | |||
545 | 137 | ||
546 | 00:07:21,660 ~-~-> 00:07:24,390 | ||
547 | market, that's going to be a decline on | ||
548 | |||
549 | 138 | ||
550 | 00:07:24,390 ~-~-> 00:07:26,580 | ||
551 | yields, which will be bullish for the US | ||
552 | |||
553 | 139 | ||
554 | 00:07:26,580 ~-~-> 00:07:28,530 | ||
555 | dollar and bearish for foreign | ||
556 | |||
557 | 140 | ||
558 | 00:07:28,530 ~-~-> 00:07:31,050 | ||
559 | currencies. Okay. So that's a very quick | ||
560 | |||
561 | 141 | ||
562 | 00:07:31,110 ~-~-> 00:07:32,760 | ||
563 | and dirty way of understanding what risk | ||
564 | |||
565 | 142 | ||
566 | 00:07:32,760 ~-~-> 00:07:36,120 | ||
567 | on risk off is how I define it. Okay. So | ||
568 | |||
569 | 143 | ||
570 | 00:07:36,120 ~-~-> 00:07:38,670 | ||
571 | if you're looking for any fundamental | ||
572 | |||
573 | 144 | ||
574 | 00:07:38,670 ~-~-> 00:07:40,230 | ||
575 | drivers, okay, that's about as | ||
576 | |||
577 | 145 | ||
578 | 00:07:40,230 ~-~-> 00:07:42,090 | ||
579 | fundamental as it gets from me, okay. | ||
580 | |||
581 | 146 | ||
582 | 00:07:42,690 ~-~-> 00:07:45,360 | ||
583 | Outside of, you know, CT data and such | ||
584 | |||
585 | 147 | ||
586 | 00:07:45,750 ~-~-> 00:07:49,230 | ||
587 | in premiums on the front nearby mom | ||
588 | |||
589 | 148 | ||
590 | 00:07:49,260 ~-~-> 00:07:50,940 | ||
591 | months in the futures markets, which | ||
592 | |||
593 | 149 | ||
594 | 00:07:50,940 ~-~-> 00:07:52,980 | ||
595 | we'll discuss at another time. It's too | ||
596 | |||
597 | 150 | ||
598 | 00:07:52,980 ~-~-> 00:07:55,830 | ||
599 | vast of a subject for me to cover in | ||
600 | |||
601 | 151 | ||
602 | 00:07:55,830 ~-~-> 00:07:58,410 | ||
603 | this module. But there's other resources | ||
604 | |||
605 | 152 | ||
606 | 00:07:58,410 ~-~-> 00:07:59,790 | ||
607 | made available on the internet that I've | ||
608 | |||
609 | 153 | ||
610 | 00:07:59,790 ~-~-> 00:08:02,970 | ||
611 | discussed. Just either by homework or by | ||
612 | |||
613 | 154 | ||
614 | 00:08:03,000 ~-~-> 00:08:06,420 | ||
615 | Larry Williams in that regard. So with | ||
616 | |||
617 | 155 | ||
618 | 00:08:06,420 ~-~-> 00:08:09,270 | ||
619 | all that, again, we were looking for | ||
620 | |||
621 | 156 | ||
622 | 00:08:09,300 ~-~-> 00:08:12,870 | ||
623 | bullish movement on the Euro USD and | ||
624 | |||
625 | 157 | ||
626 | 00:08:12,870 ~-~-> 00:08:14,250 | ||
627 | other foreign currencies | ||
628 | |||
629 | 158 | ||
630 | 00:08:14,519 ~-~-> 00:08:17,189 | ||
631 | with a bearish tone in the US dollar. | ||
632 | |||
633 | 159 | ||
634 | 00:08:17,699 ~-~-> 00:08:22,469 | ||
635 | Now, when we have that, that backdrop on | ||
636 | |||
637 | 160 | ||
638 | 00:08:22,499 ~-~-> 00:08:25,619 | ||
639 | price, okay, as a technical trader, we | ||
640 | |||
641 | 161 | ||
642 | 00:08:25,619 ~-~-> 00:08:28,859 | ||
643 | would be focusing on one side of the | ||
644 | |||
645 | 162 | ||
646 | 00:08:28,859 ~-~-> 00:08:30,839 | ||
647 | market more than the other, okay? Now, | ||
648 | |||
649 | 163 | ||
650 | 00:08:30,839 ~-~-> 00:08:32,789 | ||
651 | that does not mean that we completely | ||
652 | |||
653 | 164 | ||
654 | 00:08:32,789 ~-~-> 00:08:35,009 | ||
655 | throw out every bear sell signal, it | ||
656 | |||
657 | 165 | ||
658 | 00:08:35,009 ~-~-> 00:08:37,709 | ||
659 | just means that we should be focusing | ||
660 | |||
661 | 166 | ||
662 | 00:08:37,709 ~-~-> 00:08:40,469 | ||
663 | more in our equity allocation rather | ||
664 | |||
665 | 167 | ||
666 | 00:08:40,889 ~-~-> 00:08:43,289 | ||
667 | when the long side of trading, okay, in | ||
668 | |||
669 | 168 | ||
670 | 00:08:43,289 ~-~-> 00:08:45,089 | ||
671 | other words, you'll get more bang for | ||
672 | |||
673 | 169 | ||
674 | 00:08:45,089 ~-~-> 00:08:47,099 | ||
675 | your buck, being a bull than you would | ||
676 | |||
677 | 170 | ||
678 | 00:08:47,099 ~-~-> 00:08:48,569 | ||
679 | be being embarrassed. So if you are | ||
680 | |||
681 | 171 | ||
682 | 00:08:48,569 ~-~-> 00:08:50,999 | ||
683 | going to be doing a trade it's counter | ||
684 | |||
685 | 172 | ||
686 | 00:08:52,229 ~-~-> 00:08:55,229 | ||
687 | this fundamental again, quote unquote, | ||
688 | |||
689 | 173 | ||
690 | 00:08:55,889 ~-~-> 00:08:58,769 | ||
691 | driver in the marketplace. Understand | ||
692 | |||
693 | 174 | ||
694 | 00:08:58,769 ~-~-> 00:09:01,259 | ||
695 | that number one, you're resisting the | ||
696 | |||
697 | 175 | ||
698 | 00:09:01,259 ~-~-> 00:09:04,589 | ||
699 | overall market pinnings Okay, now it's | ||
700 | |||
701 | 176 | ||
702 | 00:09:04,589 ~-~-> 00:09:06,089 | ||
703 | there's there's going to be a tug of war | ||
704 | |||
705 | 177 | ||
706 | 00:09:06,269 ~-~-> 00:09:09,809 | ||
707 | between you being a bear. Okay, and the | ||
708 | |||
709 | 178 | ||
710 | 00:09:10,259 ~-~-> 00:09:14,429 | ||
711 | smart money that is really perpetuating | ||
712 | |||
713 | 179 | ||
714 | 00:09:14,609 ~-~-> 00:09:17,489 | ||
715 | this market higher. So, understand that | ||
716 | |||
717 | 180 | ||
718 | 00:09:17,519 ~-~-> 00:09:19,499 | ||
719 | I mean, there are times where you can be | ||
720 | |||
721 | 181 | ||
722 | 00:09:19,499 ~-~-> 00:09:22,379 | ||
723 | right and profitable, okay in doing that | ||
724 | |||
725 | 182 | ||
726 | 00:09:22,379 ~-~-> 00:09:24,419 | ||
727 | being contrary, but just don't wear out | ||
728 | |||
729 | 183 | ||
730 | 00:09:24,419 ~-~-> 00:09:26,069 | ||
731 | You're welcome. Okay and Mary the van | ||
732 | |||
733 | 184 | ||
734 | 00:09:26,069 ~-~-> 00:09:29,069 | ||
735 | just get blown on the water even in the | ||
736 | |||
737 | 185 | ||
738 | 00:09:29,069 ~-~-> 00:09:31,169 | ||
739 | best traders in the world. Understand | ||
740 | |||
741 | 186 | ||
742 | 00:09:31,169 ~-~-> 00:09:32,699 | ||
743 | there's a simple premise, you just don't | ||
744 | |||
745 | 187 | ||
746 | 00:09:32,699 ~-~-> 00:09:35,189 | ||
747 | fight. You know, you just don't fight | ||
748 | |||
749 | 188 | ||
750 | 00:09:35,189 ~-~-> 00:09:36,749 | ||
751 | the tide, okay? Because if you're | ||
752 | |||
753 | 189 | ||
754 | 00:09:36,749 ~-~-> 00:09:37,829 | ||
755 | swimming against the tide, you're going | ||
756 | |||
757 | 190 | ||
758 | 00:09:37,829 ~-~-> 00:09:39,299 | ||
759 | to tie yourself out and ultimately kill | ||
760 | |||
761 | 191 | ||
762 | 00:09:39,299 ~-~-> 00:09:43,259 | ||
763 | yourself. But if we understand that | ||
764 | |||
765 | 192 | ||
766 | 00:09:43,379 ~-~-> 00:09:47,159 | ||
767 | being a bull in this environment, okay, | ||
768 | |||
769 | 193 | ||
770 | 00:09:47,189 ~-~-> 00:09:50,729 | ||
771 | we could have much more relaxation, much | ||
772 | |||
773 | 194 | ||
774 | 00:09:50,729 ~-~-> 00:09:52,949 | ||
775 | more calm as we engage the market | ||
776 | |||
777 | 195 | ||
778 | 00:09:52,949 ~-~-> 00:09:55,709 | ||
779 | because we know what it is specifically | ||
780 | |||
781 | 196 | ||
782 | 00:09:55,709 ~-~-> 00:09:58,019 | ||
783 | that we're looking for. Again, that gets | ||
784 | |||
785 | 197 | ||
786 | 00:09:58,019 ~-~-> 00:09:59,999 | ||
787 | back to differentiating yourself from | ||
788 | |||
789 | 198 | ||
790 | 00:09:59,999 ~-~-> 00:10:03,599 | ||
791 | The neophyte or the st money? Okay? We | ||
792 | |||
793 | 199 | ||
794 | 00:10:03,599 ~-~-> 00:10:05,009 | ||
795 | are not simply sitting down at the | ||
796 | |||
797 | 200 | ||
798 | 00:10:05,009 ~-~-> 00:10:06,809 | ||
799 | computer and saying, well, I feel like | ||
800 | |||
801 | 201 | ||
802 | 00:10:06,809 ~-~-> 00:10:09,419 | ||
803 | it's going to go up today. Okay, but the | ||
804 | |||
805 | 202 | ||
806 | 00:10:09,419 ~-~-> 00:10:11,039 | ||
807 | last five minutes has been going down. | ||
808 | |||
809 | 203 | ||
810 | 00:10:11,039 ~-~-> 00:10:14,069 | ||
811 | So let me sell, okay, that's not sound | ||
812 | |||
813 | 204 | ||
814 | 00:10:14,069 ~-~-> 00:10:16,349 | ||
815 | trading. Okay, that's not a plan that's | ||
816 | |||
817 | 205 | ||
818 | 00:10:16,349 ~-~-> 00:10:18,839 | ||
819 | reactionary trading. This whole series | ||
820 | |||
821 | 206 | ||
822 | 00:10:18,839 ~-~-> 00:10:22,289 | ||
823 | is delving into the importance of having | ||
824 | |||
825 | 207 | ||
826 | 00:10:22,289 ~-~-> 00:10:24,689 | ||
827 | number one, a pre determined plan of | ||
828 | |||
829 | 208 | ||
830 | 00:10:24,689 ~-~-> 00:10:28,499 | ||
831 | attack, and a pre determined method of | ||
832 | |||
833 | 209 | ||
834 | 00:10:28,499 ~-~-> 00:10:31,589 | ||
835 | attack, and then a procedure in place | ||
836 | |||
837 | 210 | ||
838 | 00:10:31,829 ~-~-> 00:10:34,319 | ||
839 | that's clearly defined, comprehensive | ||
840 | |||
841 | 211 | ||
842 | 00:10:34,319 ~-~-> 00:10:35,909 | ||
843 | and you know, specifically what you're | ||
844 | |||
845 | 212 | ||
846 | 00:10:35,909 ~-~-> 00:10:38,159 | ||
847 | doing, when you're doing it, why you're | ||
848 | |||
849 | 213 | ||
850 | 00:10:38,159 ~-~-> 00:10:40,349 | ||
851 | doing it and when you won't do it and | ||
852 | |||
853 | 214 | ||
854 | 00:10:40,379 ~-~-> 00:10:42,029 | ||
855 | the reasons why you won't be doing as | ||
856 | |||
857 | 215 | ||
858 | 00:10:42,029 ~-~-> 00:10:47,249 | ||
859 | well. So with that rant, okay, let's | ||
860 | |||
861 | 216 | ||
862 | 00:10:47,279 ~-~-> 00:10:50,669 | ||
863 | delve deeper into what specifically took | ||
864 | |||
865 | 217 | ||
866 | 00:10:50,669 ~-~-> 00:10:53,249 | ||
867 | place from this point on and how we can | ||
868 | |||
869 | 218 | ||
870 | 00:10:53,249 ~-~-> 00:10:56,129 | ||
871 | use the ICT kill zones to ferret out the | ||
872 | |||
873 | 219 | ||
874 | 00:10:56,129 ~-~-> 00:10:58,619 | ||
875 | lows in this up move that we were | ||
876 | |||
877 | 220 | ||
878 | 00:10:58,619 ~-~-> 00:11:00,689 | ||
879 | looking forward to unfold. How we could | ||
880 | |||
881 | 221 | ||
882 | 00:11:00,689 ~-~-> 00:11:03,449 | ||
883 | time scenarios where we could be a | ||
884 | |||
885 | 222 | ||
886 | 00:11:03,659 ~-~-> 00:11:06,269 | ||
887 | bullish buyer in this and possibly have | ||
888 | |||
889 | 223 | ||
890 | 00:11:06,269 ~-~-> 00:11:07,619 | ||
891 | made money, we're going to be moving | ||
892 | |||
893 | 224 | ||
894 | 00:11:07,619 ~-~-> 00:11:11,879 | ||
895 | into a 15 minute chart. Okay? And, | ||
896 | |||
897 | 225 | ||
898 | 00:11:12,509 ~-~-> 00:11:15,689 | ||
899 | again, we're going to be introducing the | ||
900 | |||
901 | 226 | ||
902 | 00:11:15,689 ~-~-> 00:11:18,299 | ||
903 | ICT kill zones, and we're going to be | ||
904 | |||
905 | 227 | ||
906 | 00:11:19,229 ~-~-> 00:11:22,349 | ||
907 | losing our vertical line here. That's | ||
908 | |||
909 | 228 | ||
910 | 00:11:22,349 ~-~-> 00:11:27,299 | ||
911 | okay. And here is the September 9 | ||
912 | |||
913 | 229 | ||
914 | 00:11:27,299 ~-~-> 00:11:29,369 | ||
915 | timeframe. Okay, and we're just gonna be | ||
916 | |||
917 | 230 | ||
918 | 00:11:29,489 ~-~-> 00:11:32,609 | ||
919 | tracing this whole period on the upside. | ||
920 | |||
921 | 231 | ||
922 | 00:11:33,269 ~-~-> 00:11:37,499 | ||
923 | And we're gonna zoom in. Okay, and what | ||
924 | |||
925 | 232 | ||
926 | 00:11:37,499 ~-~-> 00:11:42,419 | ||
927 | we're looking at, again, are the red | ||
928 | |||
929 | 233 | ||
930 | 00:11:42,809 ~-~-> 00:11:45,119 | ||
931 | dashed lines here, okay? This basically | ||
932 | |||
933 | 234 | ||
934 | 00:11:45,119 ~-~-> 00:11:47,459 | ||
935 | is encapsulated. The whole London | ||
936 | |||
937 | 235 | ||
938 | 00:11:47,459 ~-~-> 00:11:51,659 | ||
939 | session, okay? And the green in here is | ||
940 | |||
941 | 236 | ||
942 | 00:11:51,659 ~-~-> 00:11:54,779 | ||
943 | basically encapsulating the New York | ||
944 | |||
945 | 237 | ||
946 | 00:11:54,809 ~-~-> 00:11:58,379 | ||
947 | open, or New York session, okay? And | ||
948 | |||
949 | 238 | ||
950 | 00:11:58,379 ~-~-> 00:12:01,139 | ||
951 | what we're looking at is how By focusing | ||
952 | |||
953 | 239 | ||
954 | 00:12:01,139 ~-~-> 00:12:05,609 | ||
955 | on catching a decline or pullback within | ||
956 | |||
957 | 240 | ||
958 | 00:12:06,179 ~-~-> 00:12:10,319 | ||
959 | that specific time window each day with | ||
960 | |||
961 | 241 | ||
962 | 00:12:10,319 ~-~-> 00:12:14,009 | ||
963 | a premise in mind where we most recently | ||
964 | |||
965 | 242 | ||
966 | 00:12:14,129 ~-~-> 00:12:16,379 | ||
967 | moved away from and where we're going to | ||
968 | |||
969 | 243 | ||
970 | 00:12:16,379 ~-~-> 00:12:17,939 | ||
971 | retrace back into in other words we had | ||
972 | |||
973 | 244 | ||
974 | 00:12:17,939 ~-~-> 00:12:21,329 | ||
975 | a range initially during the London | ||
976 | |||
977 | 245 | ||
978 | 00:12:21,779 ~-~-> 00:12:23,579 | ||
979 | session here we saw it rally up in here. | ||
980 | |||
981 | 246 | ||
982 | 00:12:23,789 ~-~-> 00:12:25,379 | ||
983 | Then it retraced within that range the | ||
984 | |||
985 | 247 | ||
986 | 00:12:25,379 ~-~-> 00:12:27,749 | ||
987 | range between this high and this low. | ||
988 | |||
989 | 248 | ||
990 | 00:12:28,259 ~-~-> 00:12:29,879 | ||
991 | Okay that retracement in here was an | ||
992 | |||
993 | 249 | ||
994 | 00:12:29,879 ~-~-> 00:12:32,789 | ||
995 | opportunity to be long as the market | ||
996 | |||
997 | 250 | ||
998 | 00:12:32,789 ~-~-> 00:12:34,889 | ||
999 | moved higher and expanded its London | ||
1000 | |||
1001 | 251 | ||
1002 | 00:12:34,889 ~-~-> 00:12:37,169 | ||
1003 | session range. Okay we had another minor | ||
1004 | |||
1005 | 252 | ||
1006 | 00:12:37,169 ~-~-> 00:12:38,759 | ||
1007 | pullback it pulled back to a dealing | ||
1008 | |||
1009 | 253 | ||
1010 | 00:12:38,759 ~-~-> 00:12:41,489 | ||
1011 | range high in here and then moves on out | ||
1012 | |||
1013 | 254 | ||
1014 | 00:12:41,699 ~-~-> 00:12:43,889 | ||
1015 | and then we entered into the New York | ||
1016 | |||
1017 | 255 | ||
1018 | 00:12:43,889 ~-~-> 00:12:46,559 | ||
1019 | kill zone, rallied up the retracement in | ||
1020 | |||
1021 | 256 | ||
1022 | 00:12:46,559 ~-~-> 00:12:48,629 | ||
1023 | here. While there was nothing sufficient | ||
1024 | |||
1025 | 257 | ||
1026 | 00:12:48,629 ~-~-> 00:12:49,829 | ||
1027 | over here in terms of support | ||
1028 | |||
1029 | 258 | ||
1030 | 00:12:49,829 ~-~-> 00:12:52,019 | ||
1031 | resistance. We will talk about these | ||
1032 | |||
1033 | 259 | ||
1034 | 00:12:52,019 ~-~-> 00:12:54,209 | ||
1035 | pauses in this video module and how it's | ||
1036 | |||
1037 | 260 | ||
1038 | 00:12:54,209 ~-~-> 00:12:57,209 | ||
1039 | useful to you. But nice moved up and | ||
1040 | |||
1041 | 261 | ||
1042 | 00:12:57,209 ~-~-> 00:12:58,949 | ||
1043 | then say moved and made a high outside | ||
1044 | |||
1045 | 262 | ||
1046 | 00:12:58,949 ~-~-> 00:13:03,209 | ||
1047 | of the New York session. And, or at | ||
1048 | |||
1049 | 263 | ||
1050 | 00:13:03,209 ~-~-> 00:13:04,589 | ||
1051 | least in New York kill zone, it's not | ||
1052 | |||
1053 | 264 | ||
1054 | 00:13:04,589 ~-~-> 00:13:06,119 | ||
1055 | the session itself that was outside of | ||
1056 | |||
1057 | 265 | ||
1058 | 00:13:06,239 ~-~-> 00:13:09,569 | ||
1059 | time when I clearly defined. Now, when | ||
1060 | |||
1061 | 266 | ||
1062 | 00:13:09,569 ~-~-> 00:13:11,429 | ||
1063 | you see me moving the cursor across the | ||
1064 | |||
1065 | 267 | ||
1066 | 00:13:11,489 ~-~-> 00:13:14,069 | ||
1067 | chart, don't be discouraged, okay? or | ||
1068 | |||
1069 | 268 | ||
1070 | 00:13:14,069 ~-~-> 00:13:16,949 | ||
1071 | confused because this says ICT Asian | ||
1072 | |||
1073 | 269 | ||
1074 | 00:13:16,949 ~-~-> 00:13:19,949 | ||
1075 | range, what I'm using is the MT four | ||
1076 | |||
1077 | 270 | ||
1078 | 00:13:20,579 ~-~-> 00:13:24,179 | ||
1079 | indicator. Okay, that's usually used for | ||
1080 | |||
1081 | 271 | ||
1082 | 00:13:24,179 ~-~-> 00:13:27,449 | ||
1083 | my Asian range barriers like we're | ||
1084 | |||
1085 | 272 | ||
1086 | 00:13:27,449 ~-~-> 00:13:29,129 | ||
1087 | seeing here, the upper and lower for New | ||
1088 | |||
1089 | 273 | ||
1090 | 00:13:29,129 ~-~-> 00:13:30,689 | ||
1091 | York, all I did was change the time | ||
1092 | |||
1093 | 274 | ||
1094 | 00:13:30,689 ~-~-> 00:13:33,689 | ||
1095 | parameters to encapsulate the specific | ||
1096 | |||
1097 | 275 | ||
1098 | 00:13:33,719 ~-~-> 00:13:35,399 | ||
1099 | New York and London sessions. Okay, so | ||
1100 | |||
1101 | 276 | ||
1102 | 00:13:35,609 ~-~-> 00:13:37,199 | ||
1103 | if I do Passover, and you see these | ||
1104 | |||
1105 | 277 | ||
1106 | 00:13:37,199 ~-~-> 00:13:38,459 | ||
1107 | little boxes popping up and you're | ||
1108 | |||
1109 | 278 | ||
1110 | 00:13:38,459 ~-~-> 00:13:39,809 | ||
1111 | wondering what it's saying, or if you | ||
1112 | |||
1113 | 279 | ||
1114 | 00:13:39,809 ~-~-> 00:13:41,939 | ||
1115 | catch it, it says that don't be confused | ||
1116 | |||
1117 | 280 | ||
1118 | 00:13:41,969 ~-~-> 00:13:43,499 | ||
1119 | simply because I'm using the indicator | ||
1120 | |||
1121 | 281 | ||
1122 | 00:13:43,499 ~-~-> 00:13:46,949 | ||
1123 | itself that I named ICT Asian range is | ||
1124 | |||
1125 | 282 | ||
1126 | 00:13:46,949 ~-~-> 00:13:48,839 | ||
1127 | this it's multi, it's a multi useful, | ||
1128 | |||
1129 | 283 | ||
1130 | 00:13:48,929 ~-~-> 00:13:51,149 | ||
1131 | okay, you can use use it for different | ||
1132 | |||
1133 | 284 | ||
1134 | 00:13:51,149 ~-~-> 00:13:52,529 | ||
1135 | things as we're seeing showing here. | ||
1136 | |||
1137 | 285 | ||
1138 | 00:13:54,269 ~-~-> 00:13:56,969 | ||
1139 | Now, this day, here's Monday on the | ||
1140 | |||
1141 | 286 | ||
1142 | 00:13:56,969 ~-~-> 00:13:59,789 | ||
1143 | ninth, okay. Now, that was the date that | ||
1144 | |||
1145 | 287 | ||
1146 | 00:13:59,789 ~-~-> 00:14:03,059 | ||
1147 | we were least the previous installment | ||
1148 | |||
1149 | 288 | ||
1150 | 00:14:03,569 ~-~-> 00:14:06,989 | ||
1151 | in this series. This is the Tuesday. | ||
1152 | |||
1153 | 289 | ||
1154 | 00:14:07,379 ~-~-> 00:14:09,479 | ||
1155 | Okay? And now what we're going to talk | ||
1156 | |||
1157 | 290 | ||
1158 | 00:14:09,479 ~-~-> 00:14:13,199 | ||
1159 | about is how we use these sessions, | ||
1160 | |||
1161 | 291 | ||
1162 | 00:14:13,349 ~-~-> 00:14:15,419 | ||
1163 | okay? with the understanding of | ||
1164 | |||
1165 | 292 | ||
1166 | 00:14:15,419 ~-~-> 00:14:18,869 | ||
1167 | expectancy moving higher in price. Okay? | ||
1168 | |||
1169 | 293 | ||
1170 | 00:14:18,899 ~-~-> 00:14:22,079 | ||
1171 | There's highs and lows within these time | ||
1172 | |||
1173 | 294 | ||
1174 | 00:14:22,079 ~-~-> 00:14:25,169 | ||
1175 | windows. Okay? We have the low, we have | ||
1176 | |||
1177 | 295 | ||
1178 | 00:14:25,169 ~-~-> 00:14:28,139 | ||
1179 | a high and in between there, okay? Any | ||
1180 | |||
1181 | 296 | ||
1182 | 00:14:28,139 ~-~-> 00:14:30,539 | ||
1183 | swing high or low is useful? This one | ||
1184 | |||
1185 | 297 | ||
1186 | 00:14:30,539 ~-~-> 00:14:34,919 | ||
1187 | here, this one here, okay. Inside the | ||
1188 | |||
1189 | 298 | ||
1190 | 00:14:34,919 ~-~-> 00:14:37,829 | ||
1191 | New York session. Okay, we have a low | ||
1192 | |||
1193 | 299 | ||
1194 | 00:14:37,829 ~-~-> 00:14:41,189 | ||
1195 | here and we have a high here. Okay. And | ||
1196 | |||
1197 | 300 | ||
1198 | 00:14:41,189 ~-~-> 00:14:42,989 | ||
1199 | on the following day on this Tuesday, | ||
1200 | |||
1201 | 301 | ||
1202 | 00:14:43,109 ~-~-> 00:14:46,109 | ||
1203 | this was September 10. We had the range | ||
1204 | |||
1205 | 302 | ||
1206 | 00:14:46,139 ~-~-> 00:14:49,259 | ||
1207 | from here to here for the London | ||
1208 | |||
1209 | 303 | ||
1210 | 00:14:49,259 ~-~-> 00:14:51,629 | ||
1211 | session. And the New York session is | ||
1212 | |||
1213 | 304 | ||
1214 | 00:14:51,629 ~-~-> 00:14:56,129 | ||
1215 | here. Okay, so inside of that, you can | ||
1216 | |||
1217 | 305 | ||
1218 | 00:14:56,129 ~-~-> 00:14:57,479 | ||
1219 | see that there are swing highs and swing | ||
1220 | |||
1221 | 306 | ||
1222 | 00:14:57,479 ~-~-> 00:15:01,019 | ||
1223 | lows that are useful as well. By | ||
1224 | |||
1225 | 307 | ||
1226 | 00:15:01,019 ~-~-> 00:15:03,149 | ||
1227 | understanding that, okay, and | ||
1228 | |||
1229 | 308 | ||
1230 | 00:15:03,149 ~-~-> 00:15:05,819 | ||
1231 | understanding the concept of the range | ||
1232 | |||
1233 | 309 | ||
1234 | 00:15:05,849 ~-~-> 00:15:07,979 | ||
1235 | or previous day's range or session | ||
1236 | |||
1237 | 310 | ||
1238 | 00:15:08,009 ~-~-> 00:15:11,009 | ||
1239 | ranges, okay, that being here's the | ||
1240 | |||
1241 | 311 | ||
1242 | 00:15:11,039 ~-~-> 00:15:15,479 | ||
1243 | previous New York session range. This is | ||
1244 | |||
1245 | 312 | ||
1246 | 00:15:15,479 ~-~-> 00:15:18,089 | ||
1247 | a low in here, okay? And what we'll do | ||
1248 | |||
1249 | 313 | ||
1250 | 00:15:18,089 ~-~-> 00:15:19,889 | ||
1251 | is we're going to highlight an | ||
1252 | |||
1253 | 314 | ||
1254 | 00:15:19,889 ~-~-> 00:15:21,809 | ||
1255 | opportunity that could have presented | ||
1256 | |||
1257 | 315 | ||
1258 | 00:15:21,809 ~-~-> 00:15:25,499 | ||
1259 | itself to you as a trader. From that low | ||
1260 | |||
1261 | 316 | ||
1262 | 00:15:25,499 ~-~-> 00:15:27,929 | ||
1263 | to the high. Okay, I'm going to move | ||
1264 | |||
1265 | 317 | ||
1266 | 00:15:27,929 ~-~-> 00:15:29,189 | ||
1267 | over here, you can see | ||
1268 | |||
1269 | 318 | ||
1270 | 00:15:30,540 ~-~-> 00:15:31,530 | ||
1271 | how price | ||
1272 | |||
1273 | 319 | ||
1274 | 00:15:31,830 ~-~-> 00:15:34,650 | ||
1275 | moves down into to the optimal trade | ||
1276 | |||
1277 | 320 | ||
1278 | 00:15:34,650 ~-~-> 00:15:36,840 | ||
1279 | entry area here, which is between the 62 | ||
1280 | |||
1281 | 321 | ||
1282 | 00:15:36,840 ~-~-> 00:15:38,340 | ||
1283 | and 79 cent retracement levels | ||
1284 | |||
1285 | 322 | ||
1286 | 00:15:38,340 ~-~-> 00:15:40,350 | ||
1287 | respectively. It went right down to the | ||
1288 | |||
1289 | 323 | ||
1290 | 00:15:40,350 ~-~-> 00:15:41,670 | ||
1291 | sweet spot, which is essentially the | ||
1292 | |||
1293 | 324 | ||
1294 | 00:15:41,670 ~-~-> 00:15:46,350 | ||
1295 | 70.5 Fibonacci level. Okay, seven 0.5. | ||
1296 | |||
1297 | 325 | ||
1298 | 00:15:47,070 ~-~-> 00:15:52,890 | ||
1299 | You will have to set your platform up if | ||
1300 | |||
1301 | 326 | ||
1302 | 00:15:52,890 ~-~-> 00:15:55,290 | ||
1303 | it's not empty for your own way. I don't | ||
1304 | |||
1305 | 327 | ||
1306 | 00:15:55,290 ~-~-> 00:15:57,720 | ||
1307 | know how to do what platform you're | ||
1308 | |||
1309 | 328 | ||
1310 | 00:15:57,720 ~-~-> 00:15:59,790 | ||
1311 | using. And I really would rather avoid | ||
1312 | |||
1313 | 329 | ||
1314 | 00:16:00,540 ~-~-> 00:16:03,420 | ||
1315 | Going through a long list of possible | ||
1316 | |||
1317 | 330 | ||
1318 | 00:16:03,480 ~-~-> 00:16:05,460 | ||
1319 | emails saying, Well, can you help me do | ||
1320 | |||
1321 | 331 | ||
1322 | 00:16:05,460 ~-~-> 00:16:08,220 | ||
1323 | it with this platform? I'm pretty much | ||
1324 | |||
1325 | 332 | ||
1326 | 00:16:08,310 ~-~-> 00:16:12,720 | ||
1327 | limited to just using, you know, what we | ||
1328 | |||
1329 | 333 | ||
1330 | 00:16:12,720 ~-~-> 00:16:14,910 | ||
1331 | have here, okay mp4 because I don't want | ||
1332 | |||
1333 | 334 | ||
1334 | 00:16:14,910 ~-~-> 00:16:18,540 | ||
1335 | to get into, you know, I'm long winded | ||
1336 | |||
1337 | 335 | ||
1338 | 00:16:19,140 ~-~-> 00:16:22,230 | ||
1339 | explanation of what possible platforms | ||
1340 | |||
1341 | 336 | ||
1342 | 00:16:22,230 ~-~-> 00:16:24,180 | ||
1343 | you could be using. And then we get into | ||
1344 | |||
1345 | 337 | ||
1346 | 00:16:24,180 ~-~-> 00:16:26,250 | ||
1347 | conversation of which one I advise over | ||
1348 | |||
1349 | 338 | ||
1350 | 00:16:26,250 ~-~-> 00:16:28,230 | ||
1351 | that. So I use a very generic one empty | ||
1352 | |||
1353 | 339 | ||
1354 | 00:16:28,230 ~-~-> 00:16:30,600 | ||
1355 | for, okay, that way everybody's readily | ||
1356 | |||
1357 | 340 | ||
1358 | 00:16:30,600 ~-~-> 00:16:33,090 | ||
1359 | accessible. It's free, it doesn't cost | ||
1360 | |||
1361 | 341 | ||
1362 | 00:16:33,090 ~-~-> 00:16:35,310 | ||
1363 | you anything. And it's pretty much | ||
1364 | |||
1365 | 342 | ||
1366 | 00:16:35,310 ~-~-> 00:16:37,080 | ||
1367 | universal. And then you can delve into | ||
1368 | |||
1369 | 343 | ||
1370 | 00:16:37,080 ~-~-> 00:16:39,180 | ||
1371 | other platforms where you see its | ||
1372 | |||
1373 | 344 | ||
1374 | 00:16:39,330 ~-~-> 00:16:43,740 | ||
1375 | usefulness. So we have we did deviate | ||
1376 | |||
1377 | 345 | ||
1378 | 00:16:43,770 ~-~-> 00:16:46,020 | ||
1379 | outside of that, that range here, okay, | ||
1380 | |||
1381 | 346 | ||
1382 | 00:16:46,020 ~-~-> 00:16:49,320 | ||
1383 | by the define terms of the st Killzone | ||
1384 | |||
1385 | 347 | ||
1386 | 00:16:49,350 ~-~-> 00:16:50,850 | ||
1387 | for this series. Now, they're saying | ||
1388 | |||
1389 | 348 | ||
1390 | 00:16:50,850 ~-~-> 00:16:53,370 | ||
1391 | there's small variances in the times | ||
1392 | |||
1393 | 349 | ||
1394 | 00:16:53,370 ~-~-> 00:16:54,960 | ||
1395 | that I'm using for this one, and the | ||
1396 | |||
1397 | 350 | ||
1398 | 00:16:54,960 ~-~-> 00:16:56,490 | ||
1399 | ones that I use for my own trading. So | ||
1400 | |||
1401 | 351 | ||
1402 | 00:16:56,490 ~-~-> 00:16:58,800 | ||
1403 | please, don't take that comment. Say, | ||
1404 | |||
1405 | 352 | ||
1406 | 00:16:58,800 ~-~-> 00:17:00,210 | ||
1407 | well look at this. He's not even Teach | ||
1408 | |||
1409 | 353 | ||
1410 | 00:17:00,210 ~-~-> 00:17:03,960 | ||
1411 | him what he uses. I took a lot of time | ||
1412 | |||
1413 | 354 | ||
1414 | 00:17:04,680 ~-~-> 00:17:07,410 | ||
1415 | to eliminate a lot of the stumbling | ||
1416 | |||
1417 | 355 | ||
1418 | 00:17:07,410 ~-~-> 00:17:10,920 | ||
1419 | blocks that I see in email form. Okay, | ||
1420 | |||
1421 | 356 | ||
1422 | 00:17:10,920 ~-~-> 00:17:12,450 | ||
1423 | because over the last three and a half | ||
1424 | |||
1425 | 357 | ||
1426 | 00:17:12,450 ~-~-> 00:17:15,060 | ||
1427 | years, I have been inundated with | ||
1428 | |||
1429 | 358 | ||
1430 | 00:17:15,090 ~-~-> 00:17:19,170 | ||
1431 | reoccurring questions about what time | ||
1432 | |||
1433 | 359 | ||
1434 | 00:17:19,170 ~-~-> 00:17:20,910 | ||
1435 | window is this and what would that be in | ||
1436 | |||
1437 | 360 | ||
1438 | 00:17:20,910 ~-~-> 00:17:23,610 | ||
1439 | my timeframe over my global position | ||
1440 | |||
1441 | 361 | ||
1442 | 00:17:23,610 ~-~-> 00:17:27,090 | ||
1443 | around the planet? And I readily admit, | ||
1444 | |||
1445 | 362 | ||
1446 | 00:17:27,090 ~-~-> 00:17:28,650 | ||
1447 | it's a very confusing topic for me. | ||
1448 | |||
1449 | 363 | ||
1450 | 00:17:28,860 ~-~-> 00:17:31,560 | ||
1451 | Okay, so I understand it's, it's | ||
1452 | |||
1453 | 364 | ||
1454 | 00:17:31,560 ~-~-> 00:17:33,450 | ||
1455 | confusing for other people and as a | ||
1456 | |||
1457 | 365 | ||
1458 | 00:17:33,450 ~-~-> 00:17:35,790 | ||
1459 | mentor, that's one of my weak points, | ||
1460 | |||
1461 | 366 | ||
1462 | 00:17:35,790 ~-~-> 00:17:37,770 | ||
1463 | communicating that effectively. Okay, | ||
1464 | |||
1465 | 367 | ||
1466 | 00:17:37,800 ~-~-> 00:17:40,770 | ||
1467 | and to eliminate that I just simply gave | ||
1468 | |||
1469 | 368 | ||
1470 | 00:17:40,770 ~-~-> 00:17:43,350 | ||
1471 | you a very generic time window for | ||
1472 | |||
1473 | 369 | ||
1474 | 00:17:43,380 ~-~-> 00:17:46,230 | ||
1475 | London and New York sessions. And if you | ||
1476 | |||
1477 | 370 | ||
1478 | 00:17:46,230 ~-~-> 00:17:48,870 | ||
1479 | hunt during those time windows, you'll | ||
1480 | |||
1481 | 371 | ||
1482 | 00:17:48,870 ~-~-> 00:17:50,850 | ||
1483 | find more than enough opportunities, | ||
1484 | |||
1485 | 372 | ||
1486 | 00:17:50,940 ~-~-> 00:17:52,980 | ||
1487 | okay. And none of my tools are going to | ||
1488 | |||
1489 | 373 | ||
1490 | 00:17:52,980 ~-~-> 00:17:56,790 | ||
1491 | give you every single trade. Okay? You | ||
1492 | |||
1493 | 374 | ||
1494 | 00:17:56,790 ~-~-> 00:17:58,200 | ||
1495 | could probably go back in hindsight and | ||
1496 | |||
1497 | 375 | ||
1498 | 00:17:58,200 ~-~-> 00:18:00,600 | ||
1499 | find where it was useful to you. Okay, | ||
1500 | |||
1501 | 376 | ||
1502 | 00:18:00,870 ~-~-> 00:18:03,210 | ||
1503 | but don't have such high demand on these | ||
1504 | |||
1505 | 377 | ||
1506 | 00:18:03,210 ~-~-> 00:18:05,040 | ||
1507 | tools expecting you to get every single | ||
1508 | |||
1509 | 378 | ||
1510 | 00:18:05,040 ~-~-> 00:18:07,260 | ||
1511 | high end low, every single movement in | ||
1512 | |||
1513 | 379 | ||
1514 | 00:18:07,260 ~-~-> 00:18:09,090 | ||
1515 | the marketplace, okay? That's not what | ||
1516 | |||
1517 | 380 | ||
1518 | 00:18:09,090 ~-~-> 00:18:10,620 | ||
1519 | I'm teaching. That's not what I'm | ||
1520 | |||
1521 | 381 | ||
1522 | 00:18:10,620 ~-~-> 00:18:12,840 | ||
1523 | promising you, I'm promising you an | ||
1524 | |||
1525 | 382 | ||
1526 | 00:18:12,840 ~-~-> 00:18:15,990 | ||
1527 | edge. That's it. Okay. So how you tweak | ||
1528 | |||
1529 | 383 | ||
1530 | 00:18:15,990 ~-~-> 00:18:17,910 | ||
1531 | that edge and how you use that edge is | ||
1532 | |||
1533 | 384 | ||
1534 | 00:18:17,910 ~-~-> 00:18:20,070 | ||
1535 | completely and utterly up to how you | ||
1536 | |||
1537 | 385 | ||
1538 | 00:18:20,070 ~-~-> 00:18:24,720 | ||
1539 | employ and work at. Okay. So on Tuesday, | ||
1540 | |||
1541 | 386 | ||
1542 | 00:18:24,750 ~-~-> 00:18:26,970 | ||
1543 | we saw the market, make a significant | ||
1544 | |||
1545 | 387 | ||
1546 | 00:18:27,210 ~-~-> 00:18:30,030 | ||
1547 | low here, and then rally up. Okay, and | ||
1548 | |||
1549 | 388 | ||
1550 | 00:18:30,030 ~-~-> 00:18:31,950 | ||
1551 | going into that Wednesday of that week, | ||
1552 | |||
1553 | 389 | ||
1554 | 00:18:31,980 ~-~-> 00:18:34,350 | ||
1555 | we saw price move down, making a low in | ||
1556 | |||
1557 | 390 | ||
1558 | 00:18:34,350 ~-~-> 00:18:36,510 | ||
1559 | London, okay, and then London kills them | ||
1560 | |||
1561 | 391 | ||
1562 | 00:18:36,510 ~-~-> 00:18:37,890 | ||
1563 | when it would be reasonably expected to | ||
1564 | |||
1565 | 392 | ||
1566 | 00:18:37,890 ~-~-> 00:18:40,860 | ||
1567 | form Okay, and you could take the low | ||
1568 | |||
1569 | 393 | ||
1570 | 00:18:40,890 ~-~-> 00:18:43,470 | ||
1571 | from the previous day, up to the highest | ||
1572 | |||
1573 | 394 | ||
1574 | 00:18:43,470 ~-~-> 00:18:45,720 | ||
1575 | high prior to moving into the London | ||
1576 | |||
1577 | 395 | ||
1578 | 00:18:45,720 ~-~-> 00:18:47,100 | ||
1579 | session, okay, because what you're doing | ||
1580 | |||
1581 | 396 | ||
1582 | 00:18:47,100 ~-~-> 00:18:47,880 | ||
1583 | is is you're looking for that | ||
1584 | |||
1585 | 397 | ||
1586 | 00:18:47,880 ~-~-> 00:18:51,270 | ||
1587 | retracement back inside of the range. | ||
1588 | |||
1589 | 398 | ||
1590 | 00:18:51,780 ~-~-> 00:18:54,960 | ||
1591 | Okay, and, again, we see the low to the | ||
1592 | |||
1593 | 399 | ||
1594 | 00:18:54,960 ~-~-> 00:18:57,540 | ||
1595 | highest high here prior to it moving | ||
1596 | |||
1597 | 400 | ||
1598 | 00:18:57,540 ~-~-> 00:18:59,520 | ||
1599 | into the London session. Okay, price | ||
1600 | |||
1601 | 401 | ||
1602 | 00:18:59,520 ~-~-> 00:19:01,170 | ||
1603 | comes right down. into again, the | ||
1604 | |||
1605 | 402 | ||
1606 | 00:19:01,170 ~-~-> 00:19:04,920 | ||
1607 | optimal trade entry region and price | ||
1608 | |||
1609 | 403 | ||
1610 | 00:19:04,920 ~-~-> 00:19:07,290 | ||
1611 | rallies up. Okay, if you initially | ||
1612 | |||
1613 | 404 | ||
1614 | 00:19:07,470 ~-~-> 00:19:09,630 | ||
1615 | missed that opportunity, it gives you | ||
1616 | |||
1617 | 405 | ||
1618 | 00:19:09,630 ~-~-> 00:19:12,060 | ||
1619 | another opportunity to catch a ride on | ||
1620 | |||
1621 | 406 | ||
1622 | 00:19:12,060 ~-~-> 00:19:14,190 | ||
1623 | this move up in the form of this | ||
1624 | |||
1625 | 407 | ||
1626 | 00:19:14,220 ~-~-> 00:19:16,320 | ||
1627 | pullback here. So you could use this | ||
1628 | |||
1629 | 408 | ||
1630 | 00:19:16,320 ~-~-> 00:19:18,000 | ||
1631 | swing low and again, let me take this | ||
1632 | |||
1633 | 409 | ||
1634 | 00:19:18,000 ~-~-> 00:19:20,220 | ||
1635 | off because we're already getting busy. | ||
1636 | |||
1637 | 410 | ||
1638 | 00:19:20,880 ~-~-> 00:19:22,920 | ||
1639 | You could use this swing low to this | ||
1640 | |||
1641 | 411 | ||
1642 | 00:19:22,920 ~-~-> 00:19:24,750 | ||
1643 | swing high in London, and you'll get | ||
1644 | |||
1645 | 412 | ||
1646 | 00:19:24,750 ~-~-> 00:19:27,150 | ||
1647 | this right in here as a retracement. | ||
1648 | |||
1649 | 413 | ||
1650 | 00:19:28,680 ~-~-> 00:19:29,580 | ||
1651 | Okay, and | ||
1652 | |||
1653 | 414 | ||
1654 | 00:19:30,450 ~-~-> 00:19:33,990 | ||
1655 | don't be thrown off also with the breaks | ||
1656 | |||
1657 | 415 | ||
1658 | 00:19:33,990 ~-~-> 00:19:36,300 | ||
1659 | between again i'm sure you hear the time | ||
1660 | |||
1661 | 416 | ||
1662 | 00:19:36,300 ~-~-> 00:19:38,700 | ||
1663 | between the London kill zone here. And | ||
1664 | |||
1665 | 417 | ||
1666 | 00:19:38,700 ~-~-> 00:19:41,700 | ||
1667 | here. There's an overlapping between | ||
1668 | |||
1669 | 418 | ||
1670 | 00:19:41,700 ~-~-> 00:19:44,640 | ||
1671 | these two sessions that is very busy. | ||
1672 | |||
1673 | 419 | ||
1674 | 00:19:44,790 ~-~-> 00:19:46,620 | ||
1675 | Okay, there's a small little period | ||
1676 | |||
1677 | 420 | ||
1678 | 00:19:46,620 ~-~-> 00:19:50,340 | ||
1679 | around 5am New York time, or 10 GMT | ||
1680 | |||
1681 | 421 | ||
1682 | 00:19:50,820 ~-~-> 00:19:52,380 | ||
1683 | where you may get a little bit of a | ||
1684 | |||
1685 | 422 | ||
1686 | 00:19:52,500 ~-~-> 00:19:56,280 | ||
1687 | pause or a breather. That's, you know, | ||
1688 | |||
1689 | 423 | ||
1690 | 00:19:56,790 ~-~-> 00:19:58,860 | ||
1691 | not guaranteed to happen always. Many | ||
1692 | |||
1693 | 424 | ||
1694 | 00:19:58,860 ~-~-> 00:20:01,110 | ||
1695 | times, you'll see prices yawn blow | ||
1696 | |||
1697 | 425 | ||
1698 | 00:20:01,440 ~-~-> 00:20:04,200 | ||
1699 | through that time pocket of, you know | ||
1700 | |||
1701 | 426 | ||
1702 | 00:20:05,460 ~-~-> 00:20:10,320 | ||
1703 | 10am till 11 GMT it would be foolish of | ||
1704 | |||
1705 | 427 | ||
1706 | 00:20:10,320 ~-~-> 00:20:11,970 | ||
1707 | me to advise you to always expect it to | ||
1708 | |||
1709 | 428 | ||
1710 | 00:20:11,970 ~-~-> 00:20:13,830 | ||
1711 | be a little pause in here, but you can | ||
1712 | |||
1713 | 429 | ||
1714 | 00:20:13,860 ~-~-> 00:20:16,500 | ||
1715 | reasonably expect it, treat it like a | ||
1716 | |||
1717 | 430 | ||
1718 | 00:20:16,530 ~-~-> 00:20:18,720 | ||
1719 | you know a launch, okay where there's a | ||
1720 | |||
1721 | 431 | ||
1722 | 00:20:18,720 ~-~-> 00:20:20,430 | ||
1723 | small little consolidation and all of a | ||
1724 | |||
1725 | 432 | ||
1726 | 00:20:20,430 ~-~-> 00:20:23,280 | ||
1727 | sudden it'll it'll take off in the trend | ||
1728 | |||
1729 | 433 | ||
1730 | 00:20:23,310 ~-~-> 00:20:25,110 | ||
1731 | direction that's established by the | ||
1732 | |||
1733 | 434 | ||
1734 | 00:20:25,110 ~-~-> 00:20:27,660 | ||
1735 | London session. Okay, so we have a low | ||
1736 | |||
1737 | 435 | ||
1738 | 00:20:27,660 ~-~-> 00:20:30,150 | ||
1739 | forming here on this day again looking | ||
1740 | |||
1741 | 436 | ||
1742 | 00:20:30,150 ~-~-> 00:20:32,760 | ||
1743 | for retracements to buy off of this was | ||
1744 | |||
1745 | 437 | ||
1746 | 00:20:32,760 ~-~-> 00:20:35,070 | ||
1747 | one, this one in here, and then you have | ||
1748 | |||
1749 | 438 | ||
1750 | 00:20:35,070 ~-~-> 00:20:37,110 | ||
1751 | one in the New York session here as | ||
1752 | |||
1753 | 439 | ||
1754 | 00:20:37,110 ~-~-> 00:20:38,850 | ||
1755 | well. You can take this swing low | ||
1756 | |||
1757 | 440 | ||
1758 | 00:20:41,579 ~-~-> 00:20:42,209 | ||
1759 | and | ||
1760 | |||
1761 | 441 | ||
1762 | 00:20:43,710 ~-~-> 00:20:46,890 | ||
1763 | to this high here, okay, and the 62% | ||
1764 | |||
1765 | 442 | ||
1766 | 00:20:46,890 ~-~-> 00:20:47,940 | ||
1767 | trace low and it may be a little | ||
1768 | |||
1769 | 443 | ||
1770 | 00:20:47,940 ~-~-> 00:20:50,610 | ||
1771 | difficult to see so I'll do my best to | ||
1772 | |||
1773 | 444 | ||
1774 | 00:20:52,560 ~-~-> 00:20:54,090 | ||
1775 | draw a little bit tighter to see that | ||
1776 | |||
1777 | 445 | ||
1778 | 00:20:54,570 ~-~-> 00:20:56,670 | ||
1779 | the 62% retracement lays right on top of | ||
1780 | |||
1781 | 446 | ||
1782 | 00:20:56,670 ~-~-> 00:20:59,100 | ||
1783 | that line that would delineates the New | ||
1784 | |||
1785 | 447 | ||
1786 | 00:20:59,100 ~-~-> 00:21:01,860 | ||
1787 | York session beginning The least the | ||
1788 | |||
1789 | 448 | ||
1790 | 00:21:01,860 ~-~-> 00:21:04,590 | ||
1791 | boundary time, and then price rally or | ||
1792 | |||
1793 | 449 | ||
1794 | 00:21:04,590 ~-~-> 00:21:04,830 | ||
1795 | not. | ||
1796 | |||
1797 | 450 | ||
1798 | 00:21:06,990 ~-~-> 00:21:07,650 | ||
1799 | I actually | ||
1800 | |||
1801 | 451 | ||
1802 | 00:21:08,520 ~-~-> 00:21:10,590 | ||
1803 | took this trade, okay, so it's not like | ||
1804 | |||
1805 | 452 | ||
1806 | 00:21:10,590 ~-~-> 00:21:12,480 | ||
1807 | it's something that's purely hindsight. | ||
1808 | |||
1809 | 453 | ||
1810 | 00:21:12,840 ~-~-> 00:21:14,760 | ||
1811 | And if I'm questioned or whatever I can | ||
1812 | |||
1813 | 454 | ||
1814 | 00:21:14,760 ~-~-> 00:21:17,010 | ||
1815 | show you documentation about the trade | ||
1816 | |||
1817 | 455 | ||
1818 | 00:21:17,010 ~-~-> 00:21:19,140 | ||
1819 | and the actual real results, not a demo | ||
1820 | |||
1821 | 456 | ||
1822 | 00:21:19,140 ~-~-> 00:21:24,330 | ||
1823 | trade. And the end, the opportunity to | ||
1824 | |||
1825 | 457 | ||
1826 | 00:21:24,330 ~-~-> 00:21:27,690 | ||
1827 | continue moving higher in intraday in | ||
1828 | |||
1829 | 458 | ||
1830 | 00:21:27,690 ~-~-> 00:21:29,730 | ||
1831 | here also was available and you could | ||
1832 | |||
1833 | 459 | ||
1834 | 00:21:29,730 ~-~-> 00:21:31,860 | ||
1835 | have caught some further upside as well. | ||
1836 | |||
1837 | 460 | ||
1838 | 00:21:32,130 ~-~-> 00:21:34,380 | ||
1839 | But that's outside the scope of this | ||
1840 | |||
1841 | 461 | ||
1842 | 00:21:34,380 ~-~-> 00:21:36,990 | ||
1843 | teaching. And this, this presentation. | ||
1844 | |||
1845 | 462 | ||
1846 | 00:21:37,470 ~-~-> 00:21:40,710 | ||
1847 | Again, moving into, let's go out one | ||
1848 | |||
1849 | 463 | ||
1850 | 00:21:40,710 ~-~-> 00:21:41,100 | ||
1851 | more. | ||
1852 | |||
1853 | 464 | ||
1854 | 00:21:46,440 ~-~-> 00:21:48,690 | ||
1855 | Okay. This was that maybe we're | ||
1856 | |||
1857 | 465 | ||
1858 | 00:21:48,750 ~-~-> 00:21:52,650 | ||
1859 | discussing. And here we have the range | ||
1860 | |||
1861 | 466 | ||
1862 | 00:21:52,680 ~-~-> 00:21:55,800 | ||
1863 | from the previous day's low, up to the | ||
1864 | |||
1865 | 467 | ||
1866 | 00:21:55,800 ~-~-> 00:21:59,970 | ||
1867 | highest high. Okay, we're here prior | ||
1868 | |||
1869 | 468 | ||
1870 | 00:22:00,000 ~-~-> 00:22:04,290 | ||
1871 | Moving into London and New York. Okay, | ||
1872 | |||
1873 | 469 | ||
1874 | 00:22:04,290 ~-~-> 00:22:06,060 | ||
1875 | here's New York down here you can see | ||
1876 | |||
1877 | 470 | ||
1878 | 00:22:06,060 ~-~-> 00:22:07,260 | ||
1879 | our price moved to set an asset | ||
1880 | |||
1881 | 471 | ||
1882 | 00:22:07,260 ~-~-> 00:22:09,780 | ||
1883 | treatment level. Okay, and we're going | ||
1884 | |||
1885 | 472 | ||
1886 | 00:22:09,780 ~-~-> 00:22:12,990 | ||
1887 | to talk about why this may not have been | ||
1888 | |||
1889 | 473 | ||
1890 | 00:22:12,990 ~-~-> 00:22:16,200 | ||
1891 | a good idea to trade okay. Looking for a | ||
1892 | |||
1893 | 474 | ||
1894 | 00:22:16,200 ~-~-> 00:22:20,100 | ||
1895 | long because of something going on over | ||
1896 | |||
1897 | 475 | ||
1898 | 00:22:20,100 ~-~-> 00:22:21,990 | ||
1899 | here. Okay, but that's later on in the | ||
1900 | |||
1901 | 476 | ||
1902 | 00:22:21,990 ~-~-> 00:22:26,970 | ||
1903 | video guys I know teaser teaser price | ||
1904 | |||
1905 | 477 | ||
1906 | 00:22:26,970 ~-~-> 00:22:28,800 | ||
1907 | rallies up in here okay nice opportunity | ||
1908 | |||
1909 | 478 | ||
1910 | 00:22:28,800 ~-~-> 00:22:31,710 | ||
1911 | okay just to be a buyer specifically | ||
1912 | |||
1913 | 479 | ||
1914 | 00:22:31,710 ~-~-> 00:22:34,170 | ||
1915 | looking to catch Long's okay the range | ||
1916 | |||
1917 | 480 | ||
1918 | 00:22:34,170 ~-~-> 00:22:36,420 | ||
1919 | available was 68 pips, you could | ||
1920 | |||
1921 | 481 | ||
1922 | 00:22:36,420 ~-~-> 00:22:37,860 | ||
1923 | reasonably expect to get 30 pips out of | ||
1924 | |||
1925 | 482 | ||
1926 | 00:22:37,860 ~-~-> 00:22:39,900 | ||
1927 | that and so there's absolutely no reason | ||
1928 | |||
1929 | 483 | ||
1930 | 00:22:39,900 ~-~-> 00:22:42,780 | ||
1931 | why. One couldn't have you taken 20 to | ||
1932 | |||
1933 | 484 | ||
1934 | 00:22:42,780 ~-~-> 00:22:44,340 | ||
1935 | 30 pips comfortably out of that move. | ||
1936 | |||
1937 | 485 | ||
1938 | 00:22:44,730 ~-~-> 00:22:46,770 | ||
1939 | Even with it retracing and returning | ||
1940 | |||
1941 | 486 | ||
1942 | 00:22:46,770 ~-~-> 00:22:50,730 | ||
1943 | back into this, this range here. We have | ||
1944 | |||
1945 | 487 | ||
1946 | 00:22:50,730 ~-~-> 00:22:54,060 | ||
1947 | a low here. Okay, we have a low in here, | ||
1948 | |||
1949 | 488 | ||
1950 | 00:22:54,510 ~-~-> 00:23:01,890 | ||
1951 | formed and using that To the high formed | ||
1952 | |||
1953 | 489 | ||
1954 | 00:23:02,070 ~-~-> 00:23:05,220 | ||
1955 | rate here, okay price comes down | ||
1956 | |||
1957 | 490 | ||
1958 | 00:23:05,220 ~-~-> 00:23:08,250 | ||
1959 | deviates to 797 tration briefly, just | ||
1960 | |||
1961 | 491 | ||
1962 | 00:23:08,280 ~-~-> 00:23:10,170 | ||
1963 | briefly, okay and then give you a little | ||
1964 | |||
1965 | 492 | ||
1966 | 00:23:10,200 ~-~-> 00:23:14,580 | ||
1967 | tradable rally in here to the tune of | ||
1968 | |||
1969 | 493 | ||
1970 | 00:23:17,280 ~-~-> 00:23:19,140 | ||
1971 | about 25 pips, there's nothing wrong | ||
1972 | |||
1973 | 494 | ||
1974 | 00:23:19,140 ~-~-> 00:23:22,290 | ||
1975 | with that. And if you consider the | ||
1976 | |||
1977 | 495 | ||
1978 | 00:23:22,290 ~-~-> 00:23:26,010 | ||
1979 | overall range of this price swing from | ||
1980 | |||
1981 | 496 | ||
1982 | 00:23:26,010 ~-~-> 00:23:28,980 | ||
1983 | here, up to the high and as it retraces | ||
1984 | |||
1985 | 497 | ||
1986 | 00:23:29,220 ~-~-> 00:23:33,210 | ||
1987 | we had the center line here and the 75 | ||
1988 | |||
1989 | 498 | ||
1990 | 00:23:33,360 ~-~-> 00:23:36,060 | ||
1991 | level here, respectively and then look | ||
1992 | |||
1993 | 499 | ||
1994 | 00:23:36,060 ~-~-> 00:23:38,460 | ||
1995 | have come down one more time, found the | ||
1996 | |||
1997 | 500 | ||
1998 | 00:23:38,730 ~-~-> 00:23:40,770 | ||
1999 | sudden acceleration level as well. One | ||
2000 | |||
2001 | 501 | ||
2002 | 00:23:40,770 ~-~-> 00:23:42,360 | ||
2003 | more time bouncing off it like we did | ||
2004 | |||
2005 | 502 | ||
2006 | 00:23:42,360 ~-~-> 00:23:45,330 | ||
2007 | here. Just violated this low just by a | ||
2008 | |||
2009 | 503 | ||
2010 | 00:23:45,330 ~-~-> 00:23:47,880 | ||
2011 | little bit. You see that? If price does | ||
2012 | |||
2013 | 504 | ||
2014 | 00:23:47,880 ~-~-> 00:23:49,620 | ||
2015 | that it's usually a precursor to | ||
2016 | |||
2017 | 505 | ||
2018 | 00:23:49,620 ~-~-> 00:23:51,480 | ||
2019 | something pretty significant. And you | ||
2020 | |||
2021 | 506 | ||
2022 | 00:23:51,480 ~-~-> 00:23:53,160 | ||
2023 | can see how clean these highs up here | ||
2024 | |||
2025 | 507 | ||
2026 | 00:23:53,160 ~-~-> 00:23:54,930 | ||
2027 | were. So you can imagine what was | ||
2028 | |||
2029 | 508 | ||
2030 | 00:23:54,930 ~-~-> 00:23:58,830 | ||
2031 | resting above that. You can see that was | ||
2032 | |||
2033 | 509 | ||
2034 | 00:23:58,830 ~-~-> 00:24:00,780 | ||
2035 | the case here. They took out all starts | ||
2036 | |||
2037 | 510 | ||
2038 | 00:24:00,780 ~-~-> 00:24:03,420 | ||
2039 | with that huge weekend gap blowing out | ||
2040 | |||
2041 | 511 | ||
2042 | 00:24:03,420 ~-~-> 00:24:06,000 | ||
2043 | all these highs that were way too clean | ||
2044 | |||
2045 | 512 | ||
2046 | 00:24:06,570 ~-~-> 00:24:11,100 | ||
2047 | and that's classic ICT work there. You | ||
2048 | |||
2049 | 513 | ||
2050 | 00:24:11,100 ~-~-> 00:24:14,460 | ||
2051 | can see the the results of why I say | ||
2052 | |||
2053 | 514 | ||
2054 | 00:24:14,460 ~-~-> 00:24:16,410 | ||
2055 | when levels are too clean that you can | ||
2056 | |||
2057 | 515 | ||
2058 | 00:24:16,410 ~-~-> 00:24:18,270 | ||
2059 | expect a pocket of stops sitting up | ||
2060 | |||
2061 | 516 | ||
2062 | 00:24:18,270 ~-~-> 00:24:20,340 | ||
2063 | there and they will gun those bad boys | ||
2064 | |||
2065 | 517 | ||
2066 | 00:24:20,340 ~-~-> 00:24:22,500 | ||
2067 | out. And they did a handsome job of it | ||
2068 | |||
2069 | 518 | ||
2070 | 00:24:22,500 ~-~-> 00:24:26,550 | ||
2071 | that week. Okay. And price moved again | ||
2072 | |||
2073 | 519 | ||
2074 | 00:24:27,900 ~-~-> 00:24:32,100 | ||
2075 | on Monday, small little rally here in | ||
2076 | |||
2077 | 520 | ||
2078 | 00:24:32,370 ~-~-> 00:24:35,460 | ||
2079 | the London session going into New York, | ||
2080 | |||
2081 | 521 | ||
2082 | 00:24:35,550 ~-~-> 00:24:38,100 | ||
2083 | okay before retracement deeper. Okay, | ||
2084 | |||
2085 | 522 | ||
2086 | 00:24:38,130 ~-~-> 00:24:40,530 | ||
2087 | now let's look at something | ||
2088 | |||
2089 | 523 | ||
2090 | 00:24:41,579 ~-~-> 00:24:42,089 | ||
2091 | okay. | ||
2092 | |||
2093 | 524 | ||
2094 | 00:24:42,240 ~-~-> 00:24:48,900 | ||
2095 | And it's a very cool technique. And I i | ||
2096 | |||
2097 | 525 | ||
2098 | 00:24:48,900 ~-~-> 00:24:51,360 | ||
2099 | dubbed it and hidden optimal trade | ||
2100 | |||
2101 | 526 | ||
2102 | 00:24:51,360 ~-~-> 00:24:54,270 | ||
2103 | entry. And for those that aren't real | ||
2104 | |||
2105 | 527 | ||
2106 | 00:24:54,780 ~-~-> 00:24:57,870 | ||
2107 | fans of my work, they find it rather | ||
2108 | |||
2109 | 528 | ||
2110 | 00:24:57,870 ~-~-> 00:25:00,330 | ||
2111 | silly to suggest it something Might be | ||
2112 | |||
2113 | 529 | ||
2114 | 00:25:00,330 ~-~-> 00:25:02,700 | ||
2115 | hidden and therefore be useful. But it's | ||
2116 | |||
2117 | 530 | ||
2118 | 00:25:02,700 ~-~-> 00:25:04,530 | ||
2119 | really nothing more than simply looking | ||
2120 | |||
2121 | 531 | ||
2122 | 00:25:04,530 ~-~-> 00:25:07,530 | ||
2123 | at an idea of support resistance. Okay, | ||
2124 | |||
2125 | 532 | ||
2126 | 00:25:07,800 ~-~-> 00:25:09,480 | ||
2127 | which is what we have here. I think it | ||
2128 | |||
2129 | 533 | ||
2130 | 00:25:09,480 ~-~-> 00:25:11,130 | ||
2131 | would be hard pressed to find anyone | ||
2132 | |||
2133 | 534 | ||
2134 | 00:25:11,130 ~-~-> 00:25:13,320 | ||
2135 | that would really fight this as being a | ||
2136 | |||
2137 | 535 | ||
2138 | 00:25:13,320 ~-~-> 00:25:16,080 | ||
2139 | discernible level of resistance. Okay, | ||
2140 | |||
2141 | 536 | ||
2142 | 00:25:16,410 ~-~-> 00:25:19,770 | ||
2143 | we saw a bounce up here, here, here, | ||
2144 | |||
2145 | 537 | ||
2146 | 00:25:20,130 ~-~-> 00:25:22,470 | ||
2147 | okay. And if price was to get back above | ||
2148 | |||
2149 | 538 | ||
2150 | 00:25:22,470 ~-~-> 00:25:24,810 | ||
2151 | it as we see here, we would expect it to | ||
2152 | |||
2153 | 539 | ||
2154 | 00:25:24,810 ~-~-> 00:25:28,170 | ||
2155 | be what? support right? So we would have | ||
2156 | |||
2157 | 540 | ||
2158 | 00:25:28,200 ~-~-> 00:25:34,080 | ||
2159 | a role reversal if you will, okay. But | ||
2160 | |||
2161 | 541 | ||
2162 | 00:25:34,170 ~-~-> 00:25:36,600 | ||
2163 | simply because it's expected level of | ||
2164 | |||
2165 | 542 | ||
2166 | 00:25:36,600 ~-~-> 00:25:39,210 | ||
2167 | resistance here, it may not come back | ||
2168 | |||
2169 | 543 | ||
2170 | 00:25:39,210 ~-~-> 00:25:41,130 | ||
2171 | down to that level anytime soon. But it | ||
2172 | |||
2173 | 544 | ||
2174 | 00:25:41,130 ~-~-> 00:25:43,260 | ||
2175 | still is useful to us as a point of | ||
2176 | |||
2177 | 545 | ||
2178 | 00:25:43,260 ~-~-> 00:25:46,650 | ||
2179 | reference. Because between that level, | ||
2180 | |||
2181 | 546 | ||
2182 | 00:25:46,890 ~-~-> 00:25:48,600 | ||
2183 | and we're price opened up and rallied up | ||
2184 | |||
2185 | 547 | ||
2186 | 00:25:48,600 ~-~-> 00:25:52,140 | ||
2187 | to here, okay. That is a range. This | ||
2188 | |||
2189 | 548 | ||
2190 | 00:25:52,140 ~-~-> 00:25:54,120 | ||
2191 | this right here this point here from | ||
2192 | |||
2193 | 549 | ||
2194 | 00:25:54,120 ~-~-> 00:25:57,660 | ||
2195 | this candles low to this candles close | ||
2196 | |||
2197 | 550 | ||
2198 | 00:25:57,660 ~-~-> 00:26:00,720 | ||
2199 | here. This is a gap now While there was | ||
2200 | |||
2201 | 551 | ||
2202 | 00:26:00,720 ~-~-> 00:26:04,140 | ||
2203 | no trading there, okay, you have to | ||
2204 | |||
2205 | 552 | ||
2206 | 00:26:04,620 ~-~-> 00:26:06,510 | ||
2207 | understand that this is still | ||
2208 | |||
2209 | 553 | ||
2210 | 00:26:08,400 ~-~-> 00:26:09,210 | ||
2211 | a range. | ||
2212 | |||
2213 | 554 | ||
2214 | 00:26:10,769 ~-~-> 00:26:13,499 | ||
2215 | Okay, that's a range. This is simply no | ||
2216 | |||
2217 | 555 | ||
2218 | 00:26:13,499 ~-~-> 00:26:15,569 | ||
2219 | trading between this price point of the | ||
2220 | |||
2221 | 556 | ||
2222 | 00:26:15,569 ~-~-> 00:26:17,669 | ||
2223 | close of the previous Friday and the | ||
2224 | |||
2225 | 557 | ||
2226 | 00:26:17,669 ~-~-> 00:26:20,249 | ||
2227 | opening on Sunday. There's no trading in | ||
2228 | |||
2229 | 558 | ||
2230 | 00:26:20,249 ~-~-> 00:26:24,269 | ||
2231 | there. It's all you know, the liquidity | ||
2232 | |||
2233 | 559 | ||
2234 | 00:26:24,329 ~-~-> 00:26:28,079 | ||
2235 | is none zero, okay? But because price is | ||
2236 | |||
2237 | 560 | ||
2238 | 00:26:28,079 ~-~-> 00:26:29,669 | ||
2239 | trading here, you still have to consider | ||
2240 | |||
2241 | 561 | ||
2242 | 00:26:29,669 ~-~-> 00:26:32,819 | ||
2243 | that as range. Okay? It just means that | ||
2244 | |||
2245 | 562 | ||
2246 | 00:26:32,819 ~-~-> 00:26:35,279 | ||
2247 | there's gaps in between these two price | ||
2248 | |||
2249 | 563 | ||
2250 | 00:26:35,279 ~-~-> 00:26:37,379 | ||
2251 | points. And usually the market finds a | ||
2252 | |||
2253 | 564 | ||
2254 | 00:26:37,379 ~-~-> 00:26:40,049 | ||
2255 | way to fill those gaps, but not right | ||
2256 | |||
2257 | 565 | ||
2258 | 00:26:40,049 ~-~-> 00:26:41,879 | ||
2259 | away sometimes. Okay, so with that | ||
2260 | |||
2261 | 566 | ||
2262 | 00:26:41,879 ~-~-> 00:26:45,779 | ||
2263 | understanding is with this gap, or | ||
2264 | |||
2265 | 567 | ||
2266 | 00:26:45,779 ~-~-> 00:26:47,519 | ||
2267 | without this gap, if you ever see a | ||
2268 | |||
2269 | 568 | ||
2270 | 00:26:47,519 ~-~-> 00:26:50,009 | ||
2271 | discernible level like this, okay, where | ||
2272 | |||
2273 | 569 | ||
2274 | 00:26:50,009 ~-~-> 00:26:52,439 | ||
2275 | it clear resistance and support resides. | ||
2276 | |||
2277 | 570 | ||
2278 | 00:26:52,649 ~-~-> 00:26:54,749 | ||
2279 | If you take your fib and anchor it right | ||
2280 | |||
2281 | 571 | ||
2282 | 00:26:54,749 ~-~-> 00:26:58,199 | ||
2283 | from that price point. And you rallied | ||
2284 | |||
2285 | 572 | ||
2286 | 00:26:58,199 ~-~-> 00:27:00,539 | ||
2287 | off that, take it up, up to To highest | ||
2288 | |||
2289 | 573 | ||
2290 | 00:27:00,569 ~-~-> 00:27:05,459 | ||
2291 | high Okay, when price retraces basically | ||
2292 | |||
2293 | 574 | ||
2294 | 00:27:05,459 ~-~-> 00:27:06,659 | ||
2295 | what you're saying is it's retracing | ||
2296 | |||
2297 | 575 | ||
2298 | 00:27:06,659 ~-~-> 00:27:09,359 | ||
2299 | into this range gaps don't have to fill | ||
2300 | |||
2301 | 576 | ||
2302 | 00:27:09,359 ~-~-> 00:27:12,179 | ||
2303 | also. Okay, I've seen many times where | ||
2304 | |||
2305 | 577 | ||
2306 | 00:27:12,179 ~-~-> 00:27:15,179 | ||
2307 | gaps stayed unfulfilled you know, for | ||
2308 | |||
2309 | 578 | ||
2310 | 00:27:15,449 ~-~-> 00:27:17,549 | ||
2311 | years, that was in commodity markets | ||
2312 | |||
2313 | 579 | ||
2314 | 00:27:17,549 ~-~-> 00:27:20,339 | ||
2315 | that was in stock indices, okay? Just | ||
2316 | |||
2317 | 580 | ||
2318 | 00:27:20,339 ~-~-> 00:27:22,019 | ||
2319 | simply because the gap doesn't mean | ||
2320 | |||
2321 | 581 | ||
2322 | 00:27:22,019 ~-~-> 00:27:24,359 | ||
2323 | necessarily that it's gonna fill. That's | ||
2324 | |||
2325 | 582 | ||
2326 | 00:27:24,359 ~-~-> 00:27:26,399 | ||
2327 | not it doesn't mean this is a common | ||
2328 | |||
2329 | 583 | ||
2330 | 00:27:26,399 ~-~-> 00:27:28,499 | ||
2331 | gap, if you will. Okay, common gaps | ||
2332 | |||
2333 | 584 | ||
2334 | 00:27:28,499 ~-~-> 00:27:30,209 | ||
2335 | usually get filled relatively quick. | ||
2336 | |||
2337 | 585 | ||
2338 | 00:27:30,779 ~-~-> 00:27:34,079 | ||
2339 | This could be a breakaway gap where it | ||
2340 | |||
2341 | 586 | ||
2342 | 00:27:34,079 ~-~-> 00:27:35,879 | ||
2343 | necessarily isn't always going to be | ||
2344 | |||
2345 | 587 | ||
2346 | 00:27:35,879 ~-~-> 00:27:39,179 | ||
2347 | filled in especially IVF have a long | ||
2348 | |||
2349 | 588 | ||
2350 | 00:27:39,179 ~-~-> 00:27:42,689 | ||
2351 | term, monthly yearly trend underway, who | ||
2352 | |||
2353 | 589 | ||
2354 | 00:27:42,689 ~-~-> 00:27:43,919 | ||
2355 | says it's going to have to go away back | ||
2356 | |||
2357 | 590 | ||
2358 | 00:27:43,919 ~-~-> 00:27:46,349 | ||
2359 | down to that gap. Okay, this just shows | ||
2360 | |||
2361 | 591 | ||
2362 | 00:27:46,349 ~-~-> 00:27:49,949 | ||
2363 | that there's a huge influx of buying | ||
2364 | |||
2365 | 592 | ||
2366 | 00:27:50,339 ~-~-> 00:27:52,619 | ||
2367 | Okay, on an institutional level. So | ||
2368 | |||
2369 | 593 | ||
2370 | 00:27:52,619 ~-~-> 00:27:54,539 | ||
2371 | therefore, we still have to consider | ||
2372 | |||
2373 | 594 | ||
2374 | 00:27:54,539 ~-~-> 00:27:56,519 | ||
2375 | this as a range in price comes right | ||
2376 | |||
2377 | 595 | ||
2378 | 00:27:56,519 ~-~-> 00:27:59,009 | ||
2379 | down to the 70.5 and then rallies off of | ||
2380 | |||
2381 | 596 | ||
2382 | 00:27:59,009 ~-~-> 00:28:00,779 | ||
2383 | it gives you what an ounce to trade to | ||
2384 | |||
2385 | 597 | ||
2386 | 00:28:00,779 ~-~-> 00:28:04,139 | ||
2387 | where and why. Okay, so just simply | ||
2388 | |||
2389 | 598 | ||
2390 | 00:28:04,139 ~-~-> 00:28:06,869 | ||
2391 | looking at support resistance and using | ||
2392 | |||
2393 | 599 | ||
2394 | 00:28:06,959 ~-~-> 00:28:11,099 | ||
2395 | Fibonacci alone is useful. Okay? And | ||
2396 | |||
2397 | 600 | ||
2398 | 00:28:11,519 ~-~-> 00:28:12,989 | ||
2399 | there's 40 pips made available to | ||
2400 | |||
2401 | 601 | ||
2402 | 00:28:12,989 ~-~-> 00:28:14,579 | ||
2403 | someone that would simply understand | ||
2404 | |||
2405 | 602 | ||
2406 | 00:28:14,579 ~-~-> 00:28:17,819 | ||
2407 | that concept and work with it. Okay? It | ||
2408 | |||
2409 | 603 | ||
2410 | 00:28:17,819 ~-~-> 00:28:19,199 | ||
2411 | doesn't mean you need to hold on to it | ||
2412 | |||
2413 | 604 | ||
2414 | 00:28:19,199 ~-~-> 00:28:21,449 | ||
2415 | and expect the moon. It just gives you | ||
2416 | |||
2417 | 605 | ||
2418 | 00:28:21,449 ~-~-> 00:28:23,369 | ||
2419 | an opportunity to trade. Okay? And | ||
2420 | |||
2421 | 606 | ||
2422 | 00:28:23,369 ~-~-> 00:28:24,929 | ||
2423 | there's a trading pattern in this that | ||
2424 | |||
2425 | 607 | ||
2426 | 00:28:24,929 ~-~-> 00:28:26,609 | ||
2427 | we're not having discussed. It's been | ||
2428 | |||
2429 | 608 | ||
2430 | 00:28:26,609 ~-~-> 00:28:28,769 | ||
2431 | previously released by me on internet | ||
2432 | |||
2433 | 609 | ||
2434 | 00:28:28,769 ~-~-> 00:28:30,779 | ||
2435 | but that's for another time another | ||
2436 | |||
2437 | 610 | ||
2438 | 00:28:30,779 ~-~-> 00:28:34,439 | ||
2439 | topic. But again, you know, we have this | ||
2440 | |||
2441 | 611 | ||
2442 | 00:28:34,439 ~-~-> 00:28:37,049 | ||
2443 | low in here. Okay, that was an | ||
2444 | |||
2445 | 612 | ||
2446 | 00:28:37,049 ~-~-> 00:28:39,629 | ||
2447 | opportunity to catch a short term little | ||
2448 | |||
2449 | 613 | ||
2450 | 00:28:39,779 ~-~-> 00:28:41,549 | ||
2451 | pop in the market again, focusing only | ||
2452 | |||
2453 | 614 | ||
2454 | 00:28:41,549 ~-~-> 00:28:42,269 | ||
2455 | being a bull. | ||
2456 | |||
2457 | 615 | ||
2458 | 00:28:46,109 ~-~-> 00:28:51,119 | ||
2459 | We have price moving into | ||
2460 | |||
2461 | 616 | ||
2462 | 00:28:51,119 ~-~-> 00:28:54,539 | ||
2463 | a larger consolidation. Okay. We do have | ||
2464 | |||
2465 | 617 | ||
2466 | 00:28:54,539 ~-~-> 00:28:56,609 | ||
2467 | an opportunity to see like this low | ||
2468 | |||
2469 | 618 | ||
2470 | 00:28:56,609 ~-~-> 00:28:58,949 | ||
2471 | here, to this high. This is an | ||
2472 | |||
2473 | 619 | ||
2474 | 00:28:58,949 ~-~-> 00:29:00,689 | ||
2475 | opportunity here, where you Potentially | ||
2476 | |||
2477 | 620 | ||
2478 | 00:29:00,689 ~-~-> 00:29:02,969 | ||
2479 | looked to be a buyer in here, okay, but | ||
2480 | |||
2481 | 621 | ||
2482 | 00:29:02,969 ~-~-> 00:29:05,879 | ||
2483 | with this gap like it is here, it just, | ||
2484 | |||
2485 | 622 | ||
2486 | 00:29:05,939 ~-~-> 00:29:08,639 | ||
2487 | it's a lot of uncertainty where it may | ||
2488 | |||
2489 | 623 | ||
2490 | 00:29:08,639 ~-~-> 00:29:10,949 | ||
2491 | try to reach that you could be a buyer | ||
2492 | |||
2493 | 624 | ||
2494 | 00:29:10,949 ~-~-> 00:29:13,409 | ||
2495 | here. And assuming that was the case, | ||
2496 | |||
2497 | 625 | ||
2498 | 00:29:13,439 ~-~-> 00:29:16,799 | ||
2499 | you know, price was able to move up | ||
2500 | |||
2501 | 626 | ||
2502 | 00:29:16,889 ~-~-> 00:29:20,699 | ||
2503 | strongly, in this case here with FM | ||
2504 | |||
2505 | 627 | ||
2506 | 00:29:20,789 ~-~-> 00:29:26,879 | ||
2507 | FOMC. Release in here. But this this day | ||
2508 | |||
2509 | 628 | ||
2510 | 00:29:26,879 ~-~-> 00:29:29,909 | ||
2511 | here, okay, if we use the same premise | ||
2512 | |||
2513 | 629 | ||
2514 | 00:29:29,909 ~-~-> 00:29:32,009 | ||
2515 | that we had that same support line. | ||
2516 | |||
2517 | 630 | ||
2518 | 00:29:32,609 ~-~-> 00:29:34,139 | ||
2519 | Okay, let's go back just a little bit as | ||
2520 | |||
2521 | 631 | ||
2522 | 00:29:34,139 ~-~-> 00:29:37,019 | ||
2523 | you can see it clear. We're going to use | ||
2524 | |||
2525 | 632 | ||
2526 | 00:29:37,019 ~-~-> 00:29:39,899 | ||
2527 | the same premise this set support line. | ||
2528 | |||
2529 | 633 | ||
2530 | 00:29:40,829 ~-~-> 00:29:42,929 | ||
2531 | And we're using the kill zones again as | ||
2532 | |||
2533 | 634 | ||
2534 | 00:29:42,929 ~-~-> 00:29:45,359 | ||
2535 | guides. And this is the range the | ||
2536 | |||
2537 | 635 | ||
2538 | 00:29:45,359 ~-~-> 00:29:47,849 | ||
2539 | highest high prior to going into the | ||
2540 | |||
2541 | 636 | ||
2542 | 00:29:47,849 ~-~-> 00:29:50,669 | ||
2543 | London and New York sessions. Now, | ||
2544 | |||
2545 | 637 | ||
2546 | 00:29:50,669 ~-~-> 00:29:52,739 | ||
2547 | again, we had FOMC coming out this day, | ||
2548 | |||
2549 | 638 | ||
2550 | 00:29:52,739 ~-~-> 00:29:55,619 | ||
2551 | so you'd have to expect price to just | ||
2552 | |||
2553 | 639 | ||
2554 | 00:29:55,619 ~-~-> 00:29:56,969 | ||
2555 | more or less consolidate prior to going | ||
2556 | |||
2557 | 640 | ||
2558 | 00:29:56,969 ~-~-> 00:29:59,999 | ||
2559 | into that specific release process. | ||
2560 | |||
2561 | 641 | ||
2562 | 00:29:59,999 ~-~-> 00:30:02,159 | ||
2563 | makes the low in New York session right | ||
2564 | |||
2565 | 642 | ||
2566 | 00:30:02,189 ~-~-> 00:30:04,739 | ||
2567 | on the move past before you go to see it | ||
2568 | |||
2569 | 643 | ||
2570 | 00:30:04,739 ~-~-> 00:30:07,979 | ||
2571 | I apologize. Back price comes right down | ||
2572 | |||
2573 | 644 | ||
2574 | 00:30:07,979 ~-~-> 00:30:10,349 | ||
2575 | to 62% retracement level and then takes | ||
2576 | |||
2577 | 645 | ||
2578 | 00:30:10,349 ~-~-> 00:30:12,809 | ||
2579 | off and Quake in case you're you're | ||
2580 | |||
2581 | 646 | ||
2582 | 00:30:12,839 ~-~-> 00:30:15,959 | ||
2583 | you're wondering. I was long in here and | ||
2584 | |||
2585 | 647 | ||
2586 | 00:30:15,959 ~-~-> 00:30:19,379 | ||
2587 | I am going to tweet the actual entry | ||
2588 | |||
2589 | 648 | ||
2590 | 00:30:19,379 ~-~-> 00:30:21,659 | ||
2591 | point and you can see that I was not | ||
2592 | |||
2593 | 649 | ||
2594 | 00:30:22,679 ~-~-> 00:30:26,129 | ||
2595 | outside of this move. It was rather | ||
2596 | |||
2597 | 650 | ||
2598 | 00:30:26,129 ~-~-> 00:30:28,169 | ||
2599 | exciting because it was one of those | ||
2600 | |||
2601 | 651 | ||
2602 | 00:30:28,169 ~-~-> 00:30:30,119 | ||
2603 | times where we had everything in | ||
2604 | |||
2605 | 652 | ||
2606 | 00:30:30,599 ~-~-> 00:30:33,179 | ||
2607 | alignment we had yields suggesting the | ||
2608 | |||
2609 | 653 | ||
2610 | 00:30:33,179 ~-~-> 00:30:34,979 | ||
2611 | price is going to move higher. We had a | ||
2612 | |||
2613 | 654 | ||
2614 | 00:30:34,979 ~-~-> 00:30:38,489 | ||
2615 | huge weekend gap that was unfilled. It | ||
2616 | |||
2617 | 655 | ||
2618 | 00:30:38,489 ~-~-> 00:30:40,349 | ||
2619 | just was unable to breach that | ||
2620 | |||
2621 | 656 | ||
2622 | 00:30:40,379 ~-~-> 00:30:46,439 | ||
2623 | 133 25 123 I'm sorry 133 23 level in | ||
2624 | |||
2625 | 657 | ||
2626 | 00:30:46,439 ~-~-> 00:30:49,469 | ||
2627 | this area here as support narrowing came | ||
2628 | |||
2629 | 658 | ||
2630 | 00:30:49,469 ~-~-> 00:30:51,959 | ||
2631 | down to it never needed to and then just | ||
2632 | |||
2633 | 659 | ||
2634 | 00:30:51,959 ~-~-> 00:30:53,669 | ||
2635 | launched vertically on the upside. | ||
2636 | |||
2637 | 660 | ||
2638 | 00:30:53,849 ~-~-> 00:30:56,669 | ||
2639 | Again, keying off of the London open and | ||
2640 | |||
2641 | 661 | ||
2642 | 00:30:56,699 ~-~-> 00:31:00,479 | ||
2643 | New York open kill zones. What was | ||
2644 | |||
2645 | 662 | ||
2646 | 00:31:00,989 ~-~-> 00:31:02,549 | ||
2647 | useful here because the law actually | ||
2648 | |||
2649 | 663 | ||
2650 | 00:31:02,549 ~-~-> 00:31:04,289 | ||
2651 | formed on Monday during the New York | ||
2652 | |||
2653 | 664 | ||
2654 | 00:31:04,289 ~-~-> 00:31:08,009 | ||
2655 | session, and price moved on higher, then | ||
2656 | |||
2657 | 665 | ||
2658 | 00:31:08,009 ~-~-> 00:31:10,409 | ||
2659 | went to another consolidation going into | ||
2660 | |||
2661 | 666 | ||
2662 | 00:31:10,409 ~-~-> 00:31:12,479 | ||
2663 | the close of the week. Again, our | ||
2664 | |||
2665 | 667 | ||
2666 | 00:31:12,509 ~-~-> 00:31:16,679 | ||
2667 | previous understandings in the previous | ||
2668 | |||
2669 | 668 | ||
2670 | 00:31:16,679 ~-~-> 00:31:18,689 | ||
2671 | videos that we see price, when it | ||
2672 | |||
2673 | 669 | ||
2674 | 00:31:18,689 ~-~-> 00:31:20,459 | ||
2675 | rallies large like this, this is a big | ||
2676 | |||
2677 | 670 | ||
2678 | 00:31:20,459 ~-~-> 00:31:22,469 | ||
2679 | daily range. So anything's gonna happen | ||
2680 | |||
2681 | 671 | ||
2682 | 00:31:22,469 ~-~-> 00:31:24,329 | ||
2683 | when the average Joe, he's gonna get in | ||
2684 | |||
2685 | 672 | ||
2686 | 00:31:24,329 ~-~-> 00:31:25,259 | ||
2687 | the market. Well, I'm going to be a | ||
2688 | |||
2689 | 673 | ||
2690 | 00:31:25,259 ~-~-> 00:31:26,939 | ||
2691 | buyer now and I'm going to be expecting | ||
2692 | |||
2693 | 674 | ||
2694 | 00:31:26,939 ~-~-> 00:31:29,219 | ||
2695 | this thing to repeat the same similar | ||
2696 | |||
2697 | 675 | ||
2698 | 00:31:29,219 ~-~-> 00:31:32,159 | ||
2699 | move. Not always, and certainly not off | ||
2700 | |||
2701 | 676 | ||
2702 | 00:31:32,159 ~-~-> 00:31:34,139 | ||
2703 | of an economic report because what'll | ||
2704 | |||
2705 | 677 | ||
2706 | 00:31:34,139 ~-~-> 00:31:35,159 | ||
2707 | happen is there's going to be some | ||
2708 | |||
2709 | 678 | ||
2710 | 00:31:35,159 ~-~-> 00:31:37,199 | ||
2711 | rebalancing. Okay, and what they'll do | ||
2712 | |||
2713 | 679 | ||
2714 | 00:31:37,199 ~-~-> 00:31:39,899 | ||
2715 | is they'll consolidate and more or less | ||
2716 | |||
2717 | 680 | ||
2718 | 00:31:40,049 ~-~-> 00:31:42,059 | ||
2719 | pause for a moment and reflect on | ||
2720 | |||
2721 | 681 | ||
2722 | 00:31:42,059 ~-~-> 00:31:44,369 | ||
2723 | whether or not this was really needed. | ||
2724 | |||
2725 | 682 | ||
2726 | 00:31:44,519 ~-~-> 00:31:48,389 | ||
2727 | Okay. And this is very illiquid a lot of | ||
2728 | |||
2729 | 683 | ||
2730 | 00:31:48,389 ~-~-> 00:31:51,359 | ||
2731 | gaps in here. Okay, so it was in a rush | ||
2732 | |||
2733 | 684 | ||
2734 | 00:31:51,359 ~-~-> 00:31:53,069 | ||
2735 | to get somewhere and it held this | ||
2736 | |||
2737 | 685 | ||
2738 | 00:31:53,369 ~-~-> 00:31:57,329 | ||
2739 | 135 3135 50 range. | ||
2740 | |||
2741 | 686 | ||
2742 | 00:31:58,500 ~-~-> 00:31:59,400 | ||
2743 | Okay, and | ||
2744 | |||
2745 | 687 | ||
2746 | 00:31:59,640 ~-~-> 00:32:03,420 | ||
2747 | price Again, moving into consolidation, | ||
2748 | |||
2749 | 688 | ||
2750 | 00:32:04,230 ~-~-> 00:32:07,290 | ||
2751 | looking at how price moves like this, we | ||
2752 | |||
2753 | 689 | ||
2754 | 00:32:07,290 ~-~-> 00:32:11,760 | ||
2755 | are in a wait and see mode when this | ||
2756 | |||
2757 | 690 | ||
2758 | 00:32:11,760 ~-~-> 00:32:13,500 | ||
2759 | happens, even though we are bullish | ||
2760 | |||
2761 | 691 | ||
2762 | 00:32:13,530 ~-~-> 00:32:17,460 | ||
2763 | traders when price moves so aggressively | ||
2764 | |||
2765 | 692 | ||
2766 | 00:32:17,460 ~-~-> 00:32:19,410 | ||
2767 | like this short term, okay and we're | ||
2768 | |||
2769 | 693 | ||
2770 | 00:32:19,410 ~-~-> 00:32:21,150 | ||
2771 | talking about a move intraday | ||
2772 | |||
2773 | 694 | ||
2774 | 00:32:22,109 ~-~-> 00:32:22,949 | ||
2775 | one day | ||
2776 | |||
2777 | 695 | ||
2778 | 00:32:25,200 ~-~-> 00:32:28,830 | ||
2779 | moving 212 pips in one day, when that's | ||
2780 | |||
2781 | 696 | ||
2782 | 00:32:28,830 ~-~-> 00:32:31,200 | ||
2783 | a big that's a huge range for one day | ||
2784 | |||
2785 | 697 | ||
2786 | 00:32:31,680 ~-~-> 00:32:34,560 | ||
2787 | when you see that, okay, expect small | ||
2788 | |||
2789 | 698 | ||
2790 | 00:32:34,560 ~-~-> 00:32:37,140 | ||
2791 | ranges. This is what you see here, small | ||
2792 | |||
2793 | 699 | ||
2794 | 00:32:37,140 ~-~-> 00:32:39,030 | ||
2795 | ranges, small range small ranges, and | ||
2796 | |||
2797 | 700 | ||
2798 | 00:32:39,030 ~-~-> 00:32:40,380 | ||
2799 | then what you're going to wait for is | ||
2800 | |||
2801 | 701 | ||
2802 | 00:32:40,380 ~-~-> 00:32:41,970 | ||
2803 | discernible signs that we have an | ||
2804 | |||
2805 | 702 | ||
2806 | 00:32:41,970 ~-~-> 00:32:43,980 | ||
2807 | opportunity to trade. Okay, and let's | ||
2808 | |||
2809 | 703 | ||
2810 | 00:32:43,980 ~-~-> 00:32:45,630 | ||
2811 | drop out because I'm about to close. | ||
2812 | |||
2813 | 704 | ||
2814 | 00:32:47,910 ~-~-> 00:32:51,630 | ||
2815 | Here is that FOMC release, consolidation | ||
2816 | |||
2817 | 705 | ||
2818 | 00:32:51,630 ~-~-> 00:32:53,340 | ||
2819 | small little retracement smaller retrace | ||
2820 | |||
2821 | 706 | ||
2822 | 00:32:53,340 ~-~-> 00:32:56,520 | ||
2823 | a small retracement and finally we get | ||
2824 | |||
2825 | 707 | ||
2826 | 00:32:56,520 ~-~-> 00:32:58,350 | ||
2827 | some market structure shifting to the | ||
2828 | |||
2829 | 708 | ||
2830 | 00:32:58,350 ~-~-> 00:33:02,700 | ||
2831 | bullish side and then You can see that | ||
2832 | |||
2833 | 709 | ||
2834 | 00:33:02,700 ~-~-> 00:33:04,470 | ||
2835 | net, what I'm referring to is this break | ||
2836 | |||
2837 | 710 | ||
2838 | 00:33:04,470 ~-~-> 00:33:06,090 | ||
2839 | here this high, it made it very | ||
2840 | |||
2841 | 711 | ||
2842 | 00:33:06,090 ~-~-> 00:33:07,320 | ||
2843 | convincing rally, which we're going to | ||
2844 | |||
2845 | 712 | ||
2846 | 00:33:07,320 ~-~-> 00:33:09,060 | ||
2847 | talk about this type of price action and | ||
2848 | |||
2849 | 713 | ||
2850 | 00:33:09,060 ~-~-> 00:33:11,010 | ||
2851 | what is so useful about it, | ||
2852 | |||
2853 | 714 | ||
2854 | 00:33:12,299 ~-~-> 00:33:13,019 | ||
2855 | you have | ||
2856 | |||
2857 | 715 | ||
2858 | 00:33:14,039 ~-~-> 00:33:19,889 | ||
2859 | an opportunity to see this range, price | ||
2860 | |||
2861 | 716 | ||
2862 | 00:33:19,889 ~-~-> 00:33:21,149 | ||
2863 | comes down that ascending is it chasing | ||
2864 | |||
2865 | 717 | ||
2866 | 00:33:21,149 ~-~-> 00:33:23,819 | ||
2867 | a smaller violation, not much. But this | ||
2868 | |||
2869 | 718 | ||
2870 | 00:33:23,819 ~-~-> 00:33:26,099 | ||
2871 | is an opportunity to be a buyer. Again, | ||
2872 | |||
2873 | 719 | ||
2874 | 00:33:26,129 ~-~-> 00:33:29,999 | ||
2875 | focusing on the time window and the kill | ||
2876 | |||
2877 | 720 | ||
2878 | 00:33:29,999 ~-~-> 00:33:30,629 | ||
2879 | zones. | ||
2880 | |||
2881 | 721 | ||
2882 | 00:33:32,130 ~-~-> 00:33:32,760 | ||
2883 | We have | ||
2884 | |||
2885 | 722 | ||
2886 | 00:33:35,130 ~-~-> 00:33:37,890 | ||
2887 | price rally up on out of here. So again, | ||
2888 | |||
2889 | 723 | ||
2890 | 00:33:37,890 ~-~-> 00:33:40,440 | ||
2891 | we have this small little range in here | ||
2892 | |||
2893 | 724 | ||
2894 | 00:33:40,620 ~-~-> 00:33:43,620 | ||
2895 | that is outside of our kill zone. So | ||
2896 | |||
2897 | 725 | ||
2898 | 00:33:43,620 ~-~-> 00:33:45,540 | ||
2899 | even though this could be a trade taken | ||
2900 | |||
2901 | 726 | ||
2902 | 00:33:45,540 ~-~-> 00:33:48,120 | ||
2903 | during the asian session, again, outside | ||
2904 | |||
2905 | 727 | ||
2906 | 00:33:48,120 ~-~-> 00:33:50,970 | ||
2907 | of the scope of this teaching, if we see | ||
2908 | |||
2909 | 728 | ||
2910 | 00:33:50,970 ~-~-> 00:33:53,820 | ||
2911 | this rally up here like this, this is | ||
2912 | |||
2913 | 729 | ||
2914 | 00:33:54,540 ~-~-> 00:33:56,670 | ||
2915 | the area of where you would be expected | ||
2916 | |||
2917 | 730 | ||
2918 | 00:33:56,670 ~-~-> 00:34:00,000 | ||
2919 | to be along based on what we're teaching | ||
2920 | |||
2921 | 731 | ||
2922 | 00:34:01,650 ~-~-> 00:34:03,630 | ||
2923 | And that looks like this. This is the | ||
2924 | |||
2925 | 732 | ||
2926 | 00:34:03,630 ~-~-> 00:34:07,500 | ||
2927 | low during the one kill zone and the | ||
2928 | |||
2929 | 733 | ||
2930 | 00:34:07,500 ~-~-> 00:34:09,570 | ||
2931 | high made during the London kill zone. | ||
2932 | |||
2933 | 734 | ||
2934 | 00:34:09,600 ~-~-> 00:34:11,460 | ||
2935 | So we have a price swing within that | ||
2936 | |||
2937 | 735 | ||
2938 | 00:34:11,460 ~-~-> 00:34:13,620 | ||
2939 | timeframe, right in here, this is | ||
2940 | |||
2941 | 736 | ||
2942 | 00:34:13,620 ~-~-> 00:34:16,620 | ||
2943 | adjacent level, okay? And then zoom in. | ||
2944 | |||
2945 | 737 | ||
2946 | 00:34:21,570 ~-~-> 00:34:23,430 | ||
2947 | Okay, you can see price comes down, | ||
2948 | |||
2949 | 738 | ||
2950 | 00:34:23,940 ~-~-> 00:34:26,700 | ||
2951 | gives you more or less like railroad | ||
2952 | |||
2953 | 739 | ||
2954 | 00:34:26,700 ~-~-> 00:34:29,040 | ||
2955 | tracks if you're a candlestick student. | ||
2956 | |||
2957 | 740 | ||
2958 | 00:34:30,210 ~-~-> 00:34:32,520 | ||
2959 | What that is, is you have a big range | ||
2960 | |||
2961 | 741 | ||
2962 | 00:34:32,520 ~-~-> 00:34:35,250 | ||
2963 | down now they range up immediately. And | ||
2964 | |||
2965 | 742 | ||
2966 | 00:34:35,370 ~-~-> 00:34:38,340 | ||
2967 | that was a precursor to upward pressure. | ||
2968 | |||
2969 | 743 | ||
2970 | 00:34:38,910 ~-~-> 00:34:40,590 | ||
2971 | Again, that's just using the low here. | ||
2972 | |||
2973 | 744 | ||
2974 | 00:34:40,860 ~-~-> 00:34:43,380 | ||
2975 | If you use the low form during the asian | ||
2976 | |||
2977 | 745 | ||
2978 | 00:34:43,380 ~-~-> 00:34:45,960 | ||
2979 | session over here, you can see we didn't | ||
2980 | |||
2981 | 746 | ||
2982 | 00:34:45,960 ~-~-> 00:34:51,390 | ||
2983 | have anything in terms of OTV support | ||
2984 | |||
2985 | 747 | ||
2986 | 00:34:51,420 ~-~-> 00:34:54,270 | ||
2987 | except for some 50% fib which is not | ||
2988 | |||
2989 | 748 | ||
2990 | 00:34:54,270 ~-~-> 00:35:00,000 | ||
2991 | significant in my repertoire. So again, | ||
2992 | |||
2993 | 749 | ||
2994 | 00:35:00,000 ~-~-> 00:35:02,010 | ||
2995 | Without understanding you have it here. | ||
2996 | |||
2997 | 750 | ||
2998 | 00:35:02,430 ~-~-> 00:35:03,600 | ||
2999 | And we have | ||
3000 | |||
3001 | 751 | ||
3002 | 00:35:05,520 ~-~-> 00:35:06,270 | ||
3003 | this | ||
3004 | |||
3005 | 752 | ||
3006 | 00:35:07,319 ~-~-> 00:35:09,629 | ||
3007 | market making the high during the actual | ||
3008 | |||
3009 | 753 | ||
3010 | 00:35:09,659 ~-~-> 00:35:11,699 | ||
3011 | New York session. Okay, and the high | ||
3012 | |||
3013 | 754 | ||
3014 | 00:35:11,699 ~-~-> 00:35:22,919 | ||
3015 | closing on the candle 1400 GMT. So it's | ||
3016 | |||
3017 | 755 | ||
3018 | 00:35:22,919 ~-~-> 00:35:24,599 | ||
3019 | one hour earlier than we would expect to | ||
3020 | |||
3021 | 756 | ||
3022 | 00:35:24,599 ~-~-> 00:35:27,719 | ||
3023 | see profit taking, which is the 1500 GMT | ||
3024 | |||
3025 | 757 | ||
3026 | 00:35:27,719 ~-~-> 00:35:28,229 | ||
3027 | candle. | ||
3028 | |||
3029 | 758 | ||
3030 | 00:35:28,890 ~-~-> 00:35:29,970 | ||
3031 | And that happens | ||
3032 | |||
3033 | 759 | ||
3034 | 00:35:30,660 ~-~-> 00:35:33,180 | ||
3035 | right there. So right in here is when | ||
3036 | |||
3037 | 760 | ||
3038 | 00:35:33,180 ~-~-> 00:35:34,890 | ||
3039 | you would be reasonably expected to see | ||
3040 | |||
3041 | 761 | ||
3042 | 00:35:34,890 ~-~-> 00:35:37,350 | ||
3043 | the high head formed and it was a little | ||
3044 | |||
3045 | 762 | ||
3046 | 00:35:37,350 ~-~-> 00:35:40,560 | ||
3047 | early on that day here. So basically | ||
3048 | |||
3049 | 763 | ||
3050 | 00:35:40,560 ~-~-> 00:35:42,810 | ||
3051 | what we just discussed was an overview | ||
3052 | |||
3053 | 764 | ||
3054 | 00:35:43,020 ~-~-> 00:35:46,530 | ||
3055 | of how important understanding the kill | ||
3056 | |||
3057 | 765 | ||
3058 | 00:35:46,530 ~-~-> 00:35:50,400 | ||
3059 | zones role in trading. Okay, and again, | ||
3060 | |||
3061 | 766 | ||
3062 | 00:35:50,760 ~-~-> 00:35:52,020 | ||
3063 | just focusing on one side of the | ||
3064 | |||
3065 | 767 | ||
3066 | 00:35:52,020 ~-~-> 00:35:56,280 | ||
3067 | marketplace, and that's not necessarily | ||
3068 | |||
3069 | 768 | ||
3070 | 00:35:56,310 ~-~-> 00:35:59,430 | ||
3071 | a weakness, okay. I get a lot of email | ||
3072 | |||
3073 | 769 | ||
3074 | 00:35:59,430 ~-~-> 00:36:00,960 | ||
3075 | flack about You know, well, you're | ||
3076 | |||
3077 | 770 | ||
3078 | 00:36:00,960 ~-~-> 00:36:02,250 | ||
3079 | missing all these opportunities just | ||
3080 | |||
3081 | 771 | ||
3082 | 00:36:02,250 ~-~-> 00:36:05,370 | ||
3083 | doing this. Well, look, man, show me a | ||
3084 | |||
3085 | 772 | ||
3086 | 00:36:05,370 ~-~-> 00:36:07,290 | ||
3087 | trader that's catching every move with | ||
3088 | |||
3089 | 773 | ||
3090 | 00:36:07,290 ~-~-> 00:36:09,930 | ||
3091 | documentation and results that show an | ||
3092 | |||
3093 | 774 | ||
3094 | 00:36:09,930 ~-~-> 00:36:11,790 | ||
3095 | upward equity climb. Because I'm gonna | ||
3096 | |||
3097 | 775 | ||
3098 | 00:36:11,790 ~-~-> 00:36:14,340 | ||
3099 | tell you right now, if they exist, | ||
3100 | |||
3101 | 776 | ||
3102 | 00:36:14,700 ~-~-> 00:36:16,680 | ||
3103 | they're not talking to you. They're work | ||
3104 | |||
3105 | 777 | ||
3106 | 00:36:16,680 ~-~-> 00:36:18,540 | ||
3107 | for some bigwig operation somewhere, | ||
3108 | |||
3109 | 778 | ||
3110 | 00:36:18,570 ~-~-> 00:36:21,300 | ||
3111 | okay? And they could care less who on | ||
3112 | |||
3113 | 779 | ||
3114 | 00:36:21,300 ~-~-> 00:36:24,570 | ||
3115 | the internet believes what? Okay? What | ||
3116 | |||
3117 | 780 | ||
3118 | 00:36:24,570 ~-~-> 00:36:26,040 | ||
3119 | we're discussing here is an opportunity | ||
3120 | |||
3121 | 781 | ||
3122 | 00:36:26,040 ~-~-> 00:36:28,830 | ||
3123 | to learn how to approach and engage the | ||
3124 | |||
3125 | 782 | ||
3126 | 00:36:28,830 ~-~-> 00:36:33,360 | ||
3127 | marketplace with a plan of attack, a | ||
3128 | |||
3129 | 783 | ||
3130 | 00:36:33,360 ~-~-> 00:36:36,750 | ||
3131 | trading plan, if you will, one that is | ||
3132 | |||
3133 | 784 | ||
3134 | 00:36:36,750 ~-~-> 00:36:41,370 | ||
3135 | repeatable one that is usable in all | ||
3136 | |||
3137 | 785 | ||
3138 | 00:36:41,370 ~-~-> 00:36:44,370 | ||
3139 | market conditions, okay. But simply | ||
3140 | |||
3141 | 786 | ||
3142 | 00:36:44,370 ~-~-> 00:36:45,720 | ||
3143 | because it's usable in every market | ||
3144 | |||
3145 | 787 | ||
3146 | 00:36:45,720 ~-~-> 00:36:48,000 | ||
3147 | condition does not mean it's going to be | ||
3148 | |||
3149 | 788 | ||
3150 | 00:36:48,030 ~-~-> 00:36:50,880 | ||
3151 | a trade in every market condition. Okay. | ||
3152 | |||
3153 | 789 | ||
3154 | 00:36:51,330 ~-~-> 00:36:53,250 | ||
3155 | A lot of folks are struggling with | ||
3156 | |||
3157 | 790 | ||
3158 | 00:36:53,250 ~-~-> 00:36:55,020 | ||
3159 | directional bias. We're going to talk | ||
3160 | |||
3161 | 791 | ||
3162 | 00:36:55,020 ~-~-> 00:36:57,270 | ||
3163 | about that in this video module. We're | ||
3164 | |||
3165 | 792 | ||
3166 | 00:36:57,270 ~-~-> 00:36:58,590 | ||
3167 | going to talk about the importance of | ||
3168 | |||
3169 | 793 | ||
3170 | 00:36:58,590 ~-~-> 00:37:01,380 | ||
3171 | not doing anything Okay, because a lot | ||
3172 | |||
3173 | 794 | ||
3174 | 00:37:01,380 ~-~-> 00:37:04,710 | ||
3175 | of times, folks will just assume that | ||
3176 | |||
3177 | 795 | ||
3178 | 00:37:04,860 ~-~-> 00:37:06,390 | ||
3179 | just simply because the market moved | ||
3180 | |||
3181 | 796 | ||
3182 | 00:37:06,690 ~-~-> 00:37:08,700 | ||
3183 | better ICT was involved in that trade, | ||
3184 | |||
3185 | 797 | ||
3186 | 00:37:08,760 ~-~-> 00:37:11,790 | ||
3187 | not necessarily. My trade frequency is | ||
3188 | |||
3189 | 798 | ||
3190 | 00:37:11,790 ~-~-> 00:37:14,760 | ||
3191 | very small. I used to trade a lot. You | ||
3192 | |||
3193 | 799 | ||
3194 | 00:37:14,760 ~-~-> 00:37:16,890 | ||
3195 | don't have to trade a lot. Okay. The | ||
3196 | |||
3197 | 800 | ||
3198 | 00:37:16,890 ~-~-> 00:37:18,630 | ||
3199 | tools I'm sharing in this video series | ||
3200 | |||
3201 | 801 | ||
3202 | 00:37:18,660 ~-~-> 00:37:21,630 | ||
3203 | will allow you to cherry pick these | ||
3204 | |||
3205 | 802 | ||
3206 | 00:37:21,930 ~-~-> 00:37:24,420 | ||
3207 | concepts. It's being divulged in this. | ||
3208 | |||
3209 | 803 | ||
3210 | 00:37:24,720 ~-~-> 00:37:27,690 | ||
3211 | This specific trading plan series is | ||
3212 | |||
3213 | 804 | ||
3214 | 00:37:27,750 ~-~-> 00:37:30,930 | ||
3215 | designed for you to catch those one shot | ||
3216 | |||
3217 | 805 | ||
3218 | 00:37:30,930 ~-~-> 00:37:33,570 | ||
3219 | one kill weekly hauls, where you just | ||
3220 | |||
3221 | 806 | ||
3222 | 00:37:33,570 ~-~-> 00:37:35,580 | ||
3223 | waiting for that really good setup for | ||
3224 | |||
3225 | 807 | ||
3226 | 00:37:35,580 ~-~-> 00:37:38,190 | ||
3227 | the week. Make your weekly objective. | ||
3228 | |||
3229 | 808 | ||
3230 | 00:37:38,520 ~-~-> 00:37:40,380 | ||
3231 | Don't care if it goes anything beyond | ||
3232 | |||
3233 | 809 | ||
3234 | 00:37:40,410 ~-~-> 00:37:43,890 | ||
3235 | your normal expected in terms of, you | ||
3236 | |||
3237 | 810 | ||
3238 | 00:37:43,890 ~-~-> 00:37:45,720 | ||
3239 | know, if it's 50 to 100 pips for the | ||
3240 | |||
3241 | 811 | ||
3242 | 00:37:45,720 ~-~-> 00:37:47,790 | ||
3243 | week, whatever this approach will help | ||
3244 | |||
3245 | 812 | ||
3246 | 00:37:47,790 ~-~-> 00:37:50,520 | ||
3247 | you do that. It'll help you get in that | ||
3248 | |||
3249 | 813 | ||
3250 | 00:37:50,520 ~-~-> 00:37:53,850 | ||
3251 | direction of being consistently hauling | ||
3252 | |||
3253 | 814 | ||
3254 | 00:37:53,850 ~-~-> 00:37:56,820 | ||
3255 | that type of that game. If you are | ||
3256 | |||
3257 | 815 | ||
3258 | 00:37:56,820 ~-~-> 00:37:58,860 | ||
3259 | expecting this to give you every single | ||
3260 | |||
3261 | 816 | ||
3262 | 00:37:58,860 ~-~-> 00:38:01,830 | ||
3263 | day trades You're looking outside the | ||
3264 | |||
3265 | 817 | ||
3266 | 00:38:01,830 ~-~-> 00:38:04,500 | ||
3267 | scope of what its intended purposes. Now | ||
3268 | |||
3269 | 818 | ||
3270 | 00:38:04,500 ~-~-> 00:38:06,540 | ||
3271 | I have approaches and techniques and | ||
3272 | |||
3273 | 819 | ||
3274 | 00:38:06,540 ~-~-> 00:38:08,310 | ||
3275 | concepts that are applicable for those | ||
3276 | |||
3277 | 820 | ||
3278 | 00:38:08,310 ~-~-> 00:38:10,470 | ||
3279 | types of environments and those styles | ||
3280 | |||
3281 | 821 | ||
3282 | 00:38:10,470 ~-~-> 00:38:12,300 | ||
3283 | of trading. But I don't think it's a | ||
3284 | |||
3285 | 822 | ||
3286 | 00:38:12,300 ~-~-> 00:38:15,570 | ||
3287 | good fit for new traders. I think it | ||
3288 | |||
3289 | 823 | ||
3290 | 00:38:15,600 ~-~-> 00:38:17,820 | ||
3291 | builds confidence if one can, number | ||
3292 | |||
3293 | 824 | ||
3294 | 00:38:17,820 ~-~-> 00:38:20,400 | ||
3295 | one, learn to anticipate, learn to | ||
3296 | |||
3297 | 825 | ||
3298 | 00:38:20,430 ~-~-> 00:38:22,440 | ||
3299 | engage with an understanding why you're | ||
3300 | |||
3301 | 826 | ||
3302 | 00:38:22,440 ~-~-> 00:38:24,210 | ||
3303 | doing it when you're doing it, when not | ||
3304 | |||
3305 | 827 | ||
3306 | 00:38:24,210 ~-~-> 00:38:26,190 | ||
3307 | to do it, which is more important to you | ||
3308 | |||
3309 | 828 | ||
3310 | 00:38:26,340 ~-~-> 00:38:28,650 | ||
3311 | taking a trade because there's more time | ||
3312 | |||
3313 | 829 | ||
3314 | 00:38:28,650 ~-~-> 00:38:30,840 | ||
3315 | in the market for you to lose money than | ||
3316 | |||
3317 | 830 | ||
3318 | 00:38:30,840 ~-~-> 00:38:32,910 | ||
3319 | there are for you to actually be in line | ||
3320 | |||
3321 | 831 | ||
3322 | 00:38:32,910 ~-~-> 00:38:34,380 | ||
3323 | with the market and then make money. | ||
3324 | |||
3325 | 832 | ||
3326 | 00:38:34,680 ~-~-> 00:38:35,790 | ||
3327 | Okay, and we're going to discuss that | ||
3328 | |||
3329 | 833 | ||
3330 | 00:38:35,790 ~-~-> 00:38:37,920 | ||
3331 | later on in this video. But understand | ||
3332 | |||
3333 | 834 | ||
3334 | 00:38:37,920 ~-~-> 00:38:42,120 | ||
3335 | that the the likelihood and the odds and | ||
3336 | |||
3337 | 835 | ||
3338 | 00:38:42,150 ~-~-> 00:38:46,380 | ||
3339 | time window for you to lose money is far | ||
3340 | |||
3341 | 836 | ||
3342 | 00:38:46,380 ~-~-> 00:38:49,140 | ||
3343 | greater than the short small little | ||
3344 | |||
3345 | 837 | ||
3346 | 00:38:49,140 ~-~-> 00:38:50,700 | ||
3347 | pockets of opportunity that present | ||
3348 | |||
3349 | 838 | ||
3350 | 00:38:50,700 ~-~-> 00:38:53,790 | ||
3351 | themselves as trade setups that are | ||
3352 | |||
3353 | 839 | ||
3354 | 00:38:53,820 ~-~-> 00:38:56,910 | ||
3355 | profitable. Look, if you take 1000 | ||
3356 | |||
3357 | 840 | ||
3358 | 00:38:56,910 ~-~-> 00:38:59,580 | ||
3359 | traders home from all corners of the | ||
3360 | |||
3361 | 841 | ||
3362 | 00:38:59,580 ~-~-> 00:39:02,130 | ||
3363 | earth Put them in a room and you tell | ||
3364 | |||
3365 | 842 | ||
3366 | 00:39:02,130 ~-~-> 00:39:04,020 | ||
3367 | them look at the same chart, every | ||
3368 | |||
3369 | 843 | ||
3370 | 00:39:04,020 ~-~-> 00:39:05,580 | ||
3371 | single one of those guys are going to | ||
3372 | |||
3373 | 844 | ||
3374 | 00:39:05,580 ~-~-> 00:39:06,930 | ||
3375 | have something different and what they | ||
3376 | |||
3377 | 845 | ||
3378 | 00:39:06,930 ~-~-> 00:39:10,260 | ||
3379 | see and what they expect. This is a | ||
3380 | |||
3381 | 846 | ||
3382 | 00:39:10,290 ~-~-> 00:39:13,170 | ||
3383 | framework for you to build upon. It's | ||
3384 | |||
3385 | 847 | ||
3386 | 00:39:13,170 ~-~-> 00:39:17,250 | ||
3387 | not a complete, be all end all. Okay? | ||
3388 | |||
3389 | 848 | ||
3390 | 00:39:17,250 ~-~-> 00:39:19,830 | ||
3391 | It's not a panacea. But what you're | ||
3392 | |||
3393 | 849 | ||
3394 | 00:39:19,830 ~-~-> 00:39:21,240 | ||
3395 | going to get from this is gonna | ||
3396 | |||
3397 | 850 | ||
3398 | 00:39:21,570 ~-~-> 00:39:22,380 | ||
3399 | give you a | ||
3400 | |||
3401 | 851 | ||
3402 | 00:39:23,280 ~-~-> 00:39:26,610 | ||
3403 | procedure to apply. And if it's applied | ||
3404 | |||
3405 | 852 | ||
3406 | 00:39:26,610 ~-~-> 00:39:29,430 | ||
3407 | correctly, within the defined terms, | ||
3408 | |||
3409 | 853 | ||
3410 | 00:39:29,430 ~-~-> 00:39:32,790 | ||
3411 | from video, one to video eight, you're | ||
3412 | |||
3413 | 854 | ||
3414 | 00:39:32,790 ~-~-> 00:39:35,880 | ||
3415 | going to see a big picture panoramic | ||
3416 | |||
3417 | 855 | ||
3418 | 00:39:35,880 ~-~-> 00:39:38,280 | ||
3419 | view of when you should be engaging, | ||
3420 | |||
3421 | 856 | ||
3422 | 00:39:38,310 ~-~-> 00:39:40,200 | ||
3423 | when you should not be engaging. And | ||
3424 | |||
3425 | 857 | ||
3426 | 00:39:40,200 ~-~-> 00:39:42,960 | ||
3427 | when you are engaging, what specifically | ||
3428 | |||
3429 | 858 | ||
3430 | 00:39:42,960 ~-~-> 00:39:47,220 | ||
3431 | you're doing, when, why, how, okay, | ||
3432 | |||
3433 | 859 | ||
3434 | 00:39:47,370 ~-~-> 00:39:49,470 | ||
3435 | there's going to be no ambiguity when it | ||
3436 | |||
3437 | 860 | ||
3438 | 00:39:49,470 ~-~-> 00:39:52,020 | ||
3439 | comes to that. But it's important for | ||
3440 | |||
3441 | 861 | ||
3442 | 00:39:52,020 ~-~-> 00:39:53,460 | ||
3443 | you to get through all this boring dry | ||
3444 | |||
3445 | 862 | ||
3446 | 00:39:53,460 ~-~-> 00:39:55,770 | ||
3447 | stuff because that's what gives you the | ||
3448 | |||
3449 | 863 | ||
3450 | 00:39:55,770 ~-~-> 00:39:58,770 | ||
3451 | understanding to make you effective once | ||
3452 | |||
3453 | 864 | ||
3454 | 00:39:58,770 ~-~-> 00:40:00,510 | ||
3455 | you start applying these tools. Because | ||
3456 | |||
3457 | 865 | ||
3458 | 00:40:01,380 ~-~-> 00:40:02,730 | ||
3459 | every time you watch these videos, it | ||
3460 | |||
3461 | 866 | ||
3462 | 00:40:02,730 ~-~-> 00:40:04,080 | ||
3463 | doesn't mean simply go out the next day | ||
3464 | |||
3465 | 867 | ||
3466 | 00:40:04,080 ~-~-> 00:40:06,120 | ||
3467 | and expect those things unfold exactly | ||
3468 | |||
3469 | 868 | ||
3470 | 00:40:06,120 ~-~-> 00:40:09,000 | ||
3471 | as you saw in that previous video, you | ||
3472 | |||
3473 | 869 | ||
3474 | 00:40:09,000 ~-~-> 00:40:13,080 | ||
3475 | learn by expecting to see similarities | ||
3476 | |||
3477 | 870 | ||
3478 | 00:40:13,080 ~-~-> 00:40:15,300 | ||
3479 | to what you see in these videos, and you | ||
3480 | |||
3481 | 871 | ||
3482 | 00:40:15,510 ~-~-> 00:40:18,420 | ||
3483 | gain a understanding, okay, and you | ||
3484 | |||
3485 | 872 | ||
3486 | 00:40:18,420 ~-~-> 00:40:19,650 | ||
3487 | activate your reticular activating | ||
3488 | |||
3489 | 873 | ||
3490 | 00:40:19,650 ~-~-> 00:40:21,540 | ||
3491 | system where you start seeing the same | ||
3492 | |||
3493 | 874 | ||
3494 | 00:40:21,540 ~-~-> 00:40:24,660 | ||
3495 | pattern unfolding all the time, always, | ||
3496 | |||
3497 | 875 | ||
3498 | 00:40:24,660 ~-~-> 00:40:26,730 | ||
3499 | they're always there. And there's gonna | ||
3500 | |||
3501 | 876 | ||
3502 | 00:40:26,730 ~-~-> 00:40:29,040 | ||
3503 | be slight deviations from what you | ||
3504 | |||
3505 | 877 | ||
3506 | 00:40:29,190 ~-~-> 00:40:31,050 | ||
3507 | expect to see and what actually is | ||
3508 | |||
3509 | 878 | ||
3510 | 00:40:31,050 ~-~-> 00:40:33,210 | ||
3511 | there. And that's the fine art and | ||
3512 | |||
3513 | 879 | ||
3514 | 00:40:33,210 ~-~-> 00:40:35,220 | ||
3515 | trading that you aren't going to learn | ||
3516 | |||
3517 | 880 | ||
3518 | 00:40:35,220 ~-~-> 00:40:36,780 | ||
3519 | from a textbook. You're not going to | ||
3520 | |||
3521 | 881 | ||
3522 | 00:40:36,780 ~-~-> 00:40:39,360 | ||
3523 | learn from a $2,000 webinar seminar | ||
3524 | |||
3525 | 882 | ||
3526 | 00:40:39,630 ~-~-> 00:40:42,570 | ||
3527 | going across the planet. Go see somebody | ||
3528 | |||
3529 | 883 | ||
3530 | 00:40:42,570 ~-~-> 00:40:44,040 | ||
3531 | that promises he's been doing it for, | ||
3532 | |||
3533 | 884 | ||
3534 | 00:40:44,310 ~-~-> 00:40:46,530 | ||
3535 | you know, 25 years and he said, He's so | ||
3536 | |||
3537 | 885 | ||
3538 | 00:40:46,530 ~-~-> 00:40:47,730 | ||
3539 | much better than everybody else. | ||
3540 | |||
3541 | 886 | ||
3542 | 00:40:48,030 ~-~-> 00:40:48,420 | ||
3543 | Look, | ||
3544 | |||
3545 | 887 | ||
3546 | 00:40:49,500 ~-~-> 00:40:52,440 | ||
3547 | there is going to be a growing period | ||
3548 | |||
3549 | 888 | ||
3550 | 00:40:52,470 ~-~-> 00:40:54,420 | ||
3551 | for you. And it's going to come with | ||
3552 | |||
3553 | 889 | ||
3554 | 00:40:54,420 ~-~-> 00:40:56,520 | ||
3555 | being in front of the charts. I learned | ||
3556 | |||
3557 | 890 | ||
3558 | 00:40:56,520 ~-~-> 00:40:59,490 | ||
3559 | something new every single month. I'll | ||
3560 | |||
3561 | 891 | ||
3562 | 00:40:59,490 ~-~-> 00:41:01,920 | ||
3563 | go back over My journal, and I will | ||
3564 | |||
3565 | 892 | ||
3566 | 00:41:01,920 ~-~-> 00:41:03,510 | ||
3567 | discuss about how to keep a journal and | ||
3568 | |||
3569 | 893 | ||
3570 | 00:41:03,540 ~-~-> 00:41:05,790 | ||
3571 | in the last portions of these videos, | ||
3572 | |||
3573 | 894 | ||
3574 | 00:41:06,090 ~-~-> 00:41:07,830 | ||
3575 | and what's a real good way of referring | ||
3576 | |||
3577 | 895 | ||
3578 | 00:41:07,830 ~-~-> 00:41:09,240 | ||
3579 | to it, reflecting on it and what you | ||
3580 | |||
3581 | 896 | ||
3582 | 00:41:09,240 ~-~-> 00:41:10,530 | ||
3583 | should be gleaning from every time you | ||
3584 | |||
3585 | 897 | ||
3586 | 00:41:10,530 ~-~-> 00:41:13,680 | ||
3587 | do it. I learned something new. And a | ||
3588 | |||
3589 | 898 | ||
3590 | 00:41:13,680 ~-~-> 00:41:15,360 | ||
3591 | lot of it's about myself not necessarily | ||
3592 | |||
3593 | 899 | ||
3594 | 00:41:15,360 ~-~-> 00:41:17,400 | ||
3595 | about the marketplace, but I learned a | ||
3596 | |||
3597 | 900 | ||
3598 | 00:41:17,400 ~-~-> 00:41:19,680 | ||
3599 | lot and I journal those types of things. | ||
3600 | |||
3601 | 901 | ||
3602 | 00:41:19,680 ~-~-> 00:41:24,810 | ||
3603 | So when you see these kill zones, learn | ||
3604 | |||
3605 | 902 | ||
3606 | 00:41:24,840 ~-~-> 00:41:27,870 | ||
3607 | to anticipate specific types of price | ||
3608 | |||
3609 | 903 | ||
3610 | 00:41:27,870 ~-~-> 00:41:30,720 | ||
3611 | action and behavior. You are not at the | ||
3612 | |||
3613 | 904 | ||
3614 | 00:41:30,720 ~-~-> 00:41:32,910 | ||
3615 | point at which you are expecting to do | ||
3616 | |||
3617 | 905 | ||
3618 | 00:41:33,030 ~-~-> 00:41:35,580 | ||
3619 | trades yet. Okay? You're still in an | ||
3620 | |||
3621 | 906 | ||
3622 | 00:41:35,580 ~-~-> 00:41:38,190 | ||
3623 | observatory state. Okay, what you're | ||
3624 | |||
3625 | 907 | ||
3626 | 00:41:38,190 ~-~-> 00:41:40,980 | ||
3627 | doing is you're spectating or paper | ||
3628 | |||
3629 | 908 | ||
3630 | 00:41:40,980 ~-~-> 00:41:42,750 | ||
3631 | trading. Okay. You're just looking to | ||
3632 | |||
3633 | 909 | ||
3634 | 00:41:42,750 ~-~-> 00:41:46,230 | ||
3635 | see how these markets, gyrate and move | ||
3636 | |||
3637 | 910 | ||
3638 | 00:41:46,230 ~-~-> 00:41:49,080 | ||
3639 | within these specific time windows with | ||
3640 | |||
3641 | 911 | ||
3642 | 00:41:49,530 ~-~-> 00:41:52,560 | ||
3643 | a higher timeframe. panoramic, quote, | ||
3644 | |||
3645 | 912 | ||
3646 | 00:41:52,560 ~-~-> 00:41:56,100 | ||
3647 | unquote, fundamental perspective. And | ||
3648 | |||
3649 | 913 | ||
3650 | 00:41:56,100 ~-~-> 00:41:58,140 | ||
3651 | I'm hoping that you're gleaning that | ||
3652 | |||
3653 | 914 | ||
3654 | 00:41:58,530 ~-~-> 00:42:03,090 | ||
3655 | there is A few cherries hanging on the | ||
3656 | |||
3657 | 915 | ||
3658 | 00:42:03,090 ~-~-> 00:42:05,790 | ||
3659 | monthly tree of forex. Okay, that you | ||
3660 | |||
3661 | 916 | ||
3662 | 00:42:05,790 ~-~-> 00:42:07,950 | ||
3663 | can calmly and gingerly walk up to it. | ||
3664 | |||
3665 | 917 | ||
3666 | 00:42:08,340 ~-~-> 00:42:11,160 | ||
3667 | Reach Out and pluck those cherries, when | ||
3668 | |||
3669 | 918 | ||
3670 | 00:42:11,160 ~-~-> 00:42:14,640 | ||
3671 | you know, it's applicable for you to do | ||
3672 | |||
3673 | 919 | ||
3674 | 00:42:14,640 ~-~-> 00:42:16,440 | ||
3675 | so. Not simply because it's an | ||
3676 | |||
3677 | 920 | ||
3678 | 00:42:16,470 ~-~-> 00:42:18,060 | ||
3679 | opportunity to trade because therefore, | ||
3680 | |||
3681 | 921 | ||
3682 | 00:42:18,240 ~-~-> 00:42:21,270 | ||
3683 | it's Monday, the markets trading, I got | ||
3684 | |||
3685 | 922 | ||
3686 | 00:42:21,270 ~-~-> 00:42:23,100 | ||
3687 | home from work early, or I'm going to | ||
3688 | |||
3689 | 923 | ||
3690 | 00:42:23,100 ~-~-> 00:42:25,110 | ||
3691 | bed early, I'm going to get up and be up | ||
3692 | |||
3693 | 924 | ||
3694 | 00:42:25,110 ~-~-> 00:42:27,300 | ||
3695 | in London, therefore, I'm making time to | ||
3696 | |||
3697 | 925 | ||
3698 | 00:42:27,300 ~-~-> 00:42:28,650 | ||
3699 | be in the market. So I'm going to take | ||
3700 | |||
3701 | 926 | ||
3702 | 00:42:28,650 ~-~-> 00:42:30,360 | ||
3703 | that trade, there's no necessary, | ||
3704 | |||
3705 | 927 | ||
3706 | 00:42:30,390 ~-~-> 00:42:32,130 | ||
3707 | there's not necessarily a guarantee, | ||
3708 | |||
3709 | 928 | ||
3710 | 00:42:32,550 ~-~-> 00:42:34,530 | ||
3711 | anywhere that your trading opportunity | ||
3712 | |||
3713 | 929 | ||
3714 | 00:42:34,530 ~-~-> 00:42:36,930 | ||
3715 | in terms of time and freedom isn't going | ||
3716 | |||
3717 | 930 | ||
3718 | 00:42:36,930 ~-~-> 00:42:40,050 | ||
3719 | to line up with the market dynamics, you | ||
3720 | |||
3721 | 931 | ||
3722 | 00:42:40,050 ~-~-> 00:42:42,360 | ||
3723 | know, propel the market up or down in | ||
3724 | |||
3725 | 932 | ||
3726 | 00:42:42,360 ~-~-> 00:42:46,020 | ||
3727 | your favor. So it's, it's important to | ||
3728 | |||
3729 | 933 | ||
3730 | 00:42:46,020 ~-~-> 00:42:48,840 | ||
3731 | understand that, okay, and these kill | ||
3732 | |||
3733 | 934 | ||
3734 | 00:42:48,840 ~-~-> 00:42:50,880 | ||
3735 | zones while they are absolutely dynamite | ||
3736 | |||
3737 | 935 | ||
3738 | 00:42:50,880 ~-~-> 00:42:52,710 | ||
3739 | in the right hands with someone that | ||
3740 | |||
3741 | 936 | ||
3742 | 00:42:52,710 ~-~-> 00:42:54,930 | ||
3743 | understands what should be transpiring | ||
3744 | |||
3745 | 937 | ||
3746 | 00:42:55,500 ~-~-> 00:42:57,420 | ||
3747 | and a combination of all these | ||
3748 | |||
3749 | 938 | ||
3750 | 00:42:57,420 ~-~-> 00:42:59,970 | ||
3751 | components together by themselves. | ||
3752 | |||
3753 | 939 | ||
3754 | 00:43:00,000 ~-~-> 00:43:01,260 | ||
3755 | They're absolutely going to be useless | ||
3756 | |||
3757 | 940 | ||
3758 | 00:43:01,260 ~-~-> 00:43:03,210 | ||
3759 | to you. Okay, this highlighting a window | ||
3760 | |||
3761 | 941 | ||
3762 | 00:43:03,210 ~-~-> 00:43:05,220 | ||
3763 | of time where things generally happen, | ||
3764 | |||
3765 | 942 | ||
3766 | 00:43:05,430 ~-~-> 00:43:07,440 | ||
3767 | okay? So don't expect them to do | ||
3768 | |||
3769 | 943 | ||
3770 | 00:43:07,440 ~-~-> 00:43:10,800 | ||
3771 | anything more than that. But go back at | ||
3772 | |||
3773 | 944 | ||
3774 | 00:43:10,830 ~-~-> 00:43:12,870 | ||
3775 | when looking when the the when the | ||
3776 | |||
3777 | 945 | ||
3778 | 00:43:12,870 ~-~-> 00:43:16,350 | ||
3779 | windows of the kill zone on London and | ||
3780 | |||
3781 | 946 | ||
3782 | 00:43:16,380 ~-~-> 00:43:19,800 | ||
3783 | New York present these tremendous | ||
3784 | |||
3785 | 947 | ||
3786 | 00:43:19,830 ~-~-> 00:43:21,960 | ||
3787 | opportunities for you to be involved | ||
3788 | |||
3789 | 948 | ||
3790 | 00:43:22,260 ~-~-> 00:43:25,050 | ||
3791 | with being in that marketplace with that | ||
3792 | |||
3793 | 949 | ||
3794 | 00:43:25,080 ~-~-> 00:43:27,300 | ||
3795 | dynamic in mind like we had from | ||
3796 | |||
3797 | 950 | ||
3798 | 00:43:27,300 ~-~-> 00:43:28,920 | ||
3799 | September 9, we expected the market to | ||
3800 | |||
3801 | 951 | ||
3802 | 00:43:28,920 ~-~-> 00:43:30,420 | ||
3803 | move higher, we expected the dollar to | ||
3804 | |||
3805 | 952 | ||
3806 | 00:43:30,420 ~-~-> 00:43:31,980 | ||
3807 | move lower. We understood that | ||
3808 | |||
3809 | 953 | ||
3810 | 00:43:31,980 ~-~-> 00:43:33,750 | ||
3811 | fundamentally quote unquote based on | ||
3812 | |||
3813 | 954 | ||
3814 | 00:43:33,750 ~-~-> 00:43:36,120 | ||
3815 | interest rates, okay. And that mad | ||
3816 | |||
3817 | 955 | ||
3818 | 00:43:36,120 ~-~-> 00:43:38,940 | ||
3819 | magnetic pole it will have on prices in | ||
3820 | |||
3821 | 956 | ||
3822 | 00:43:38,940 ~-~-> 00:43:41,040 | ||
3823 | the currency market. And you saw that | ||
3824 | |||
3825 | 957 | ||
3826 | 00:43:41,040 ~-~-> 00:43:43,020 | ||
3827 | unfold here, not necessarily just simply | ||
3828 | |||
3829 | 958 | ||
3830 | 00:43:43,020 ~-~-> 00:43:45,180 | ||
3831 | in the euro. It happened in the cable. | ||
3832 | |||
3833 | 959 | ||
3834 | 00:43:45,510 ~-~-> 00:43:47,820 | ||
3835 | Okay, it happened in the Australian | ||
3836 | |||
3837 | 960 | ||
3838 | 00:43:47,820 ~-~-> 00:43:52,140 | ||
3839 | dollar. Okay, it happened in all of the | ||
3840 | |||
3841 | 961 | ||
3842 | 00:43:52,140 ~-~-> 00:43:54,450 | ||
3843 | foreign currency markets in contrast to | ||
3844 | |||
3845 | 962 | ||
3846 | 00:43:54,450 ~-~-> 00:43:57,930 | ||
3847 | the US dollar. Okay, folks, we're gonna | ||
3848 | |||
3849 | 963 | ||
3850 | 00:43:57,930 ~-~-> 00:43:59,250 | ||
3851 | be looking at directional bias | ||
3852 | |||
3853 | 964 | ||
3854 | 00:43:59,250 ~-~-> 00:44:01,980 | ||
3855 | framework. And before we get into the | ||
3856 | |||
3857 | 965 | ||
3858 | 00:44:01,980 ~-~-> 00:44:05,370 | ||
3859 | specifics, I want to ask you a question. | ||
3860 | |||
3861 | 966 | ||
3862 | 00:44:05,580 ~-~-> 00:44:07,260 | ||
3863 | Okay. And we kind of visited this | ||
3864 | |||
3865 | 967 | ||
3866 | 00:44:07,290 ~-~-> 00:44:10,470 | ||
3867 | earlier on in the video series, but why | ||
3868 | |||
3869 | 968 | ||
3870 | 00:44:10,470 ~-~-> 00:44:13,050 | ||
3871 | do markets move? You know what, what | ||
3872 | |||
3873 | 969 | ||
3874 | 00:44:13,050 ~-~-> 00:44:16,410 | ||
3875 | propels markets higher and lower? Is the | ||
3876 | |||
3877 | 970 | ||
3878 | 00:44:16,410 ~-~-> 00:44:18,870 | ||
3879 | average retail traders like you and I, | ||
3880 | |||
3881 | 971 | ||
3882 | 00:44:19,260 ~-~-> 00:44:21,840 | ||
3883 | or is it going to be the large | ||
3884 | |||
3885 | 972 | ||
3886 | 00:44:22,260 ~-~-> 00:44:25,590 | ||
3887 | institutional banks and investment | ||
3888 | |||
3889 | 973 | ||
3890 | 00:44:25,590 ~-~-> 00:44:30,120 | ||
3891 | firms? those entities on the larger | ||
3892 | |||
3893 | 974 | ||
3894 | 00:44:30,120 ~-~-> 00:44:32,130 | ||
3895 | scale obviously, beyond the shadow of a | ||
3896 | |||
3897 | 975 | ||
3898 | 00:44:32,130 ~-~-> 00:44:35,370 | ||
3899 | doubt, are the catalysts for markets | ||
3900 | |||
3901 | 976 | ||
3902 | 00:44:35,370 ~-~-> 00:44:37,440 | ||
3903 | moving higher and lower, because their | ||
3904 | |||
3905 | 977 | ||
3906 | 00:44:37,440 ~-~-> 00:44:41,700 | ||
3907 | sheer volume you three requires price to | ||
3908 | |||
3909 | 978 | ||
3910 | 00:44:41,700 ~-~-> 00:44:45,390 | ||
3911 | move based on some supply and demand | ||
3912 | |||
3913 | 979 | ||
3914 | 00:44:45,570 ~-~-> 00:44:48,750 | ||
3915 | factors that they create by their mere | ||
3916 | |||
3917 | 980 | ||
3918 | 00:44:48,750 ~-~-> 00:44:52,590 | ||
3919 | presence in a specific asset class. And | ||
3920 | |||
3921 | 981 | ||
3922 | 00:44:52,590 ~-~-> 00:44:54,600 | ||
3923 | it goes without saying that if a | ||
3924 | |||
3925 | 982 | ||
3926 | 00:44:54,600 ~-~-> 00:44:58,800 | ||
3927 | currency is undervalued, and for | ||
3928 | |||
3929 | 983 | ||
3930 | 00:44:58,800 ~-~-> 00:45:00,630 | ||
3931 | whatever reason, that large As an | ||
3932 | |||
3933 | 984 | ||
3934 | 00:45:00,630 ~-~-> 00:45:03,060 | ||
3935 | institution seems to believe that it's | ||
3936 | |||
3937 | 985 | ||
3938 | 00:45:03,060 ~-~-> 00:45:04,770 | ||
3939 | undervalued and it's going to appreciate | ||
3940 | |||
3941 | 986 | ||
3942 | 00:45:04,770 ~-~-> 00:45:08,310 | ||
3943 | in value with you, without that, they | ||
3944 | |||
3945 | 987 | ||
3946 | 00:45:08,310 ~-~-> 00:45:11,010 | ||
3947 | will try to accumulate that currency. | ||
3948 | |||
3949 | 988 | ||
3950 | 00:45:11,400 ~-~-> 00:45:14,220 | ||
3951 | But because their, their volume level is | ||
3952 | |||
3953 | 989 | ||
3954 | 00:45:14,220 ~-~-> 00:45:19,410 | ||
3955 | such such a great contrast to what we | ||
3956 | |||
3957 | 990 | ||
3958 | 00:45:19,410 ~-~-> 00:45:22,770 | ||
3959 | see in a retail side, they leave a very | ||
3960 | |||
3961 | 991 | ||
3962 | 00:45:22,770 ~-~-> 00:45:25,650 | ||
3963 | big footprint. Okay? And I use the | ||
3964 | |||
3965 | 992 | ||
3966 | 00:45:25,650 ~-~-> 00:45:27,720 | ||
3967 | analogy in this video series. It's like | ||
3968 | |||
3969 | 993 | ||
3970 | 00:45:27,720 ~-~-> 00:45:30,420 | ||
3971 | the elephant getting in this children's | ||
3972 | |||
3973 | 994 | ||
3974 | 00:45:30,420 ~-~-> 00:45:34,200 | ||
3975 | pool. Okay? This the displacement of | ||
3976 | |||
3977 | 995 | ||
3978 | 00:45:34,200 ~-~-> 00:45:34,770 | ||
3979 | water. | ||
3980 | |||
3981 | 996 | ||
3982 | 00:45:36,330 ~-~-> 00:45:38,490 | ||
3983 | It can't be missed. It's obvious. It's | ||
3984 | |||
3985 | 997 | ||
3986 | 00:45:38,520 ~-~-> 00:45:41,040 | ||
3987 | when they enter. You can see there's a | ||
3988 | |||
3989 | 998 | ||
3990 | 00:45:41,250 ~-~-> 00:45:44,460 | ||
3991 | there's a major shift in price. Okay, | ||
3992 | |||
3993 | 999 | ||
3994 | 00:45:44,460 ~-~-> 00:45:46,260 | ||
3995 | they don't sneak in. They don't, you | ||
3996 | |||
3997 | 1000 | ||
3998 | 00:45:46,260 ~-~-> 00:45:48,300 | ||
3999 | know, all of a sudden I look at that, | ||
4000 | |||
4001 | 1001 | ||
4002 | 00:45:48,300 ~-~-> 00:45:50,970 | ||
4003 | you know, this 500 PIP rally just took | ||
4004 | |||
4005 | 1002 | ||
4006 | 00:45:50,970 ~-~-> 00:45:52,200 | ||
4007 | off out of nowhere. Where'd this come | ||
4008 | |||
4009 | 1003 | ||
4010 | 00:45:52,200 ~-~-> 00:45:55,020 | ||
4011 | from? If you understand what an elephant | ||
4012 | |||
4013 | 1004 | ||
4014 | 00:45:55,020 ~-~-> 00:45:57,180 | ||
4015 | track looks like, you'll know what | ||
4016 | |||
4017 | 1005 | ||
4018 | 00:45:57,210 ~-~-> 00:46:00,180 | ||
4019 | happens in the future. When you see See | ||
4020 | |||
4021 | 1006 | ||
4022 | 00:46:00,180 ~-~-> 00:46:02,730 | ||
4023 | them start to materialize in price | ||
4024 | |||
4025 | 1007 | ||
4026 | 00:46:02,730 ~-~-> 00:46:05,670 | ||
4027 | action. Okay. It's a rather simplistic | ||
4028 | |||
4029 | 1008 | ||
4030 | 00:46:05,670 ~-~-> 00:46:08,340 | ||
4031 | way of looking at it. But the main thing | ||
4032 | |||
4033 | 1009 | ||
4034 | 00:46:08,370 ~-~-> 00:46:10,530 | ||
4035 | you need to understand as a trader is | ||
4036 | |||
4037 | 1010 | ||
4038 | 00:46:10,530 ~-~-> 00:46:13,500 | ||
4039 | that you are not going to muscle this | ||
4040 | |||
4041 | 1011 | ||
4042 | 00:46:13,500 ~-~-> 00:46:16,740 | ||
4043 | market. Okay, you're not going to be the | ||
4044 | |||
4045 | 1012 | ||
4046 | 00:46:16,740 ~-~-> 00:46:18,300 | ||
4047 | catalyst for it to move up and down. | ||
4048 | |||
4049 | 1013 | ||
4050 | 00:46:18,600 ~-~-> 00:46:21,300 | ||
4051 | Okay? It's a collection of us the retail | ||
4052 | |||
4053 | 1014 | ||
4054 | 00:46:21,300 ~-~-> 00:46:24,030 | ||
4055 | universe in trading will not move this | ||
4056 | |||
4057 | 1015 | ||
4058 | 00:46:24,030 ~-~-> 00:46:25,710 | ||
4059 | market. Now, we may cause little minor | ||
4060 | |||
4061 | 1016 | ||
4062 | 00:46:25,710 ~-~-> 00:46:28,590 | ||
4063 | blips, okay, in a very, very short term, | ||
4064 | |||
4065 | 1017 | ||
4066 | 00:46:29,040 ~-~-> 00:46:34,710 | ||
4067 | okay. But by far and large, the currents | ||
4068 | |||
4069 | 1018 | ||
4070 | 00:46:34,740 ~-~-> 00:46:36,750 | ||
4071 | in the marketplace are always going to | ||
4072 | |||
4073 | 1019 | ||
4074 | 00:46:36,750 ~-~-> 00:46:39,600 | ||
4075 | be dictated by the larger predators, | ||
4076 | |||
4077 | 1020 | ||
4078 | 00:46:39,660 ~-~-> 00:46:42,240 | ||
4079 | okay? And those entities are what we | ||
4080 | |||
4081 | 1021 | ||
4082 | 00:46:42,240 ~-~-> 00:46:44,820 | ||
4083 | considered quote unquote, smart money. | ||
4084 | |||
4085 | 1022 | ||
4086 | 00:46:46,020 ~-~-> 00:46:47,970 | ||
4087 | And because they have the sheer volume | ||
4088 | |||
4089 | 1023 | ||
4090 | 00:46:47,970 ~-~-> 00:46:49,950 | ||
4091 | behind their, their trades, you know, | ||
4092 | |||
4093 | 1024 | ||
4094 | 00:46:50,040 ~-~-> 00:46:53,760 | ||
4095 | they can manipulate the marketplace on a | ||
4096 | |||
4097 | 1025 | ||
4098 | 00:46:53,760 ~-~-> 00:46:57,780 | ||
4099 | certain certain timeframe. Now, the long | ||
4100 | |||
4101 | 1026 | ||
4102 | 00:46:57,780 ~-~-> 00:47:02,010 | ||
4103 | term trends obviously result of these | ||
4104 | |||
4105 | 1027 | ||
4106 | 00:47:02,220 ~-~-> 00:47:03,960 | ||
4107 | larger institutional Smart Money | ||
4108 | |||
4109 | 1028 | ||
4110 | 00:47:03,990 ~-~-> 00:47:08,250 | ||
4111 | investors and trading banks. They keep | ||
4112 | |||
4113 | 1029 | ||
4114 | 00:47:08,280 ~-~-> 00:47:10,350 | ||
4115 | momentum moving in one particular | ||
4116 | |||
4117 | 1030 | ||
4118 | 00:47:10,350 ~-~-> 00:47:12,390 | ||
4119 | direction or the other until something | ||
4120 | |||
4121 | 1031 | ||
4122 | 00:47:12,390 ~-~-> 00:47:14,520 | ||
4123 | changes it either fundamentally, or | ||
4124 | |||
4125 | 1032 | ||
4126 | 00:47:14,520 ~-~-> 00:47:17,550 | ||
4127 | technically, that prevents them from one | ||
4128 | |||
4129 | 1033 | ||
4130 | 00:47:17,550 ~-~-> 00:47:21,840 | ||
4131 | to participate in that existing trend. | ||
4132 | |||
4133 | 1034 | ||
4134 | 00:47:22,050 ~-~-> 00:47:23,430 | ||
4135 | And then that's what will happen is | ||
4136 | |||
4137 | 1035 | ||
4138 | 00:47:23,430 ~-~-> 00:47:25,560 | ||
4139 | you'll see a market shift, there'll be a | ||
4140 | |||
4141 | 1036 | ||
4142 | 00:47:25,560 ~-~-> 00:47:27,990 | ||
4143 | pause maybe, or an abrupt reversal all | ||
4144 | |||
4145 | 1037 | ||
4146 | 00:47:27,990 ~-~-> 00:47:30,150 | ||
4147 | together, and a change in market tide. | ||
4148 | |||
4149 | 1038 | ||
4150 | 00:47:31,350 ~-~-> 00:47:33,600 | ||
4151 | Your job as a trader is simply just get | ||
4152 | |||
4153 | 1039 | ||
4154 | 00:47:33,600 ~-~-> 00:47:36,330 | ||
4155 | involved with what those Smart Money | ||
4156 | |||
4157 | 1040 | ||
4158 | 00:47:36,330 ~-~-> 00:47:38,160 | ||
4159 | traders are doing. Okay, and we're gonna | ||
4160 | |||
4161 | 1041 | ||
4162 | 00:47:38,160 ~-~-> 00:47:40,260 | ||
4163 | be dealing specifically with that type | ||
4164 | |||
4165 | 1042 | ||
4166 | 00:47:40,260 ~-~-> 00:47:45,450 | ||
4167 | of mindset in this section. And the next | ||
4168 | |||
4169 | 1043 | ||
4170 | 00:47:45,450 ~-~-> 00:47:46,530 | ||
4171 | section after this, we're going to be | ||
4172 | |||
4173 | 1044 | ||
4174 | 00:47:46,530 ~-~-> 00:47:49,590 | ||
4175 | dealing with a lot more specifics in | ||
4176 | |||
4177 | 1045 | ||
4178 | 00:47:49,590 ~-~-> 00:47:52,890 | ||
4179 | terms of how to trade with the insights | ||
4180 | |||
4181 | 1046 | ||
4182 | 00:47:53,340 ~-~-> 00:47:55,350 | ||
4183 | that's gleaned with Smart Money action, | ||
4184 | |||
4185 | 1047 | ||
4186 | 00:47:55,710 ~-~-> 00:47:57,750 | ||
4187 | and in the candlesticks and the new | ||
4188 | |||
4189 | 1048 | ||
4190 | 00:47:57,750 ~-~-> 00:47:59,340 | ||
4191 | overall price action of whatever asset | ||
4192 | |||
4193 | 1049 | ||
4194 | 00:47:59,340 ~-~-> 00:48:02,670 | ||
4195 | class to trade, and because this is an | ||
4196 | |||
4197 | 1050 | ||
4198 | 00:48:02,670 ~-~-> 00:48:04,920 | ||
4199 | ICT concept, it's universal. it's | ||
4200 | |||
4201 | 1051 | ||
4202 | 00:48:04,920 ~-~-> 00:48:06,840 | ||
4203 | applicable to commodities applicable to | ||
4204 | |||
4205 | 1052 | ||
4206 | 00:48:06,840 ~-~-> 00:48:11,310 | ||
4207 | stocks, energies, crude oil, metals, | ||
4208 | |||
4209 | 1053 | ||
4210 | 00:48:11,340 ~-~-> 00:48:12,780 | ||
4211 | gold, silver, palladium, platinum, | ||
4212 | |||
4213 | 1054 | ||
4214 | 00:48:13,380 ~-~-> 00:48:17,790 | ||
4215 | copper, in in, as well as debt | ||
4216 | |||
4217 | 1055 | ||
4218 | 00:48:17,790 ~-~-> 00:48:19,710 | ||
4219 | instruments like the bond and Tino | ||
4220 | |||
4221 | 1056 | ||
4222 | 00:48:19,710 ~-~-> 00:48:22,290 | ||
4223 | markets. So don't think this is only | ||
4224 | |||
4225 | 1057 | ||
4226 | 00:48:22,290 ~-~-> 00:48:25,050 | ||
4227 | going to work in forex. It's a measure | ||
4228 | |||
4229 | 1058 | ||
4230 | 00:48:25,080 ~-~-> 00:48:28,650 | ||
4231 | of understanding how to read | ||
4232 | |||
4233 | 1059 | ||
4234 | 00:48:29,280 ~-~-> 00:48:31,890 | ||
4235 | institutional ordering, and the order | ||
4236 | |||
4237 | 1060 | ||
4238 | 00:48:31,890 ~-~-> 00:48:34,800 | ||
4239 | flow that's apparent in price action. | ||
4240 | |||
4241 | 1061 | ||
4242 | 00:48:35,190 ~-~-> 00:48:39,870 | ||
4243 | And it does not require a dependency on | ||
4244 | |||
4245 | 1062 | ||
4246 | 00:48:39,870 ~-~-> 00:48:44,670 | ||
4247 | indicators, okay, so it's a leading | ||
4248 | |||
4249 | 1063 | ||
4250 | 00:48:44,670 ~-~-> 00:48:46,650 | ||
4251 | indicator, if you will, it does not lag. | ||
4252 | |||
4253 | 1064 | ||
4254 | 00:48:46,680 ~-~-> 00:48:47,760 | ||
4255 | Okay. So in other words, you're going to | ||
4256 | |||
4257 | 1065 | ||
4258 | 00:48:47,760 ~-~-> 00:48:50,580 | ||
4259 | see the future and what I'm sharing with | ||
4260 | |||
4261 | 1066 | ||
4262 | 00:48:50,580 ~-~-> 00:48:54,090 | ||
4263 | this concept versus what you would glean | ||
4264 | |||
4265 | 1067 | ||
4266 | 00:48:54,090 ~-~-> 00:48:55,920 | ||
4267 | if you were just using a stochastic or a | ||
4268 | |||
4269 | 1068 | ||
4270 | 00:48:55,920 ~-~-> 00:48:58,470 | ||
4271 | MACD or whatever indicator you like to | ||
4272 | |||
4273 | 1069 | ||
4274 | 00:48:58,470 ~-~-> 00:49:00,450 | ||
4275 | use, okay, so it's a forward Looking | ||
4276 | |||
4277 | 1070 | ||
4278 | 00:49:00,690 ~-~-> 00:49:03,810 | ||
4279 | approach versus looking at old data and | ||
4280 | |||
4281 | 1071 | ||
4282 | 00:49:03,810 ~-~-> 00:49:05,610 | ||
4283 | crunching it mathematically to arrive at | ||
4284 | |||
4285 | 1072 | ||
4286 | 00:49:05,610 ~-~-> 00:49:08,370 | ||
4287 | whenever you come to believe is | ||
4288 | |||
4289 | 1073 | ||
4290 | 00:49:08,640 ~-~-> 00:49:13,680 | ||
4291 | beneficial with indicators. Alright, so | ||
4292 | |||
4293 | 1074 | ||
4294 | 00:49:13,710 ~-~-> 00:49:17,010 | ||
4295 | what makes a trade? high probability? | ||
4296 | |||
4297 | 1075 | ||
4298 | 00:49:17,250 ~-~-> 00:49:18,900 | ||
4299 | Okay, in other words, strategically | ||
4300 | |||
4301 | 1076 | ||
4302 | 00:49:18,900 ~-~-> 00:49:21,180 | ||
4303 | speaking, when you hear mentors or | ||
4304 | |||
4305 | 1077 | ||
4306 | 00:49:21,180 ~-~-> 00:49:23,310 | ||
4307 | traders or authors or whatever it is | ||
4308 | |||
4309 | 1078 | ||
4310 | 00:49:23,310 ~-~-> 00:49:26,310 | ||
4311 | that you, you pay attention to, or even | ||
4312 | |||
4313 | 1079 | ||
4314 | 00:49:26,310 ~-~-> 00:49:30,060 | ||
4315 | me when I say this is high probability, | ||
4316 | |||
4317 | 1080 | ||
4318 | 00:49:30,420 ~-~-> 00:49:34,380 | ||
4319 | what deems that setup high probability? | ||
4320 | |||
4321 | 1081 | ||
4322 | 00:49:35,040 ~-~-> 00:49:36,990 | ||
4323 | Well, the simple fact is, is it's | ||
4324 | |||
4325 | 1082 | ||
4326 | 00:49:37,500 ~-~-> 00:49:40,350 | ||
4327 | generally in sync with what the higher | ||
4328 | |||
4329 | 1083 | ||
4330 | 00:49:40,350 ~-~-> 00:49:43,140 | ||
4331 | timeframe market charts are telling us. | ||
4332 | |||
4333 | 1084 | ||
4334 | 00:49:43,500 ~-~-> 00:49:46,650 | ||
4335 | And also with the current market | ||
4336 | |||
4337 | 1085 | ||
4338 | 00:49:46,650 ~-~-> 00:49:47,850 | ||
4339 | environment, in other words, there's a | ||
4340 | |||
4341 | 1086 | ||
4342 | 00:49:47,850 ~-~-> 00:49:50,220 | ||
4343 | risk on risk off is it moving in in the | ||
4344 | |||
4345 | 1087 | ||
4346 | 00:49:50,220 ~-~-> 00:49:51,420 | ||
4347 | general tide of what the higher | ||
4348 | |||
4349 | 1088 | ||
4350 | 00:49:51,420 ~-~-> 00:49:52,920 | ||
4351 | timeframe markets are doing because | ||
4352 | |||
4353 | 1089 | ||
4354 | 00:49:52,920 ~-~-> 00:49:54,720 | ||
4355 | again, we understand that these large | ||
4356 | |||
4357 | 1090 | ||
4358 | 00:49:54,750 ~-~-> 00:49:58,260 | ||
4359 | animal, predator and these elephants, if | ||
4360 | |||
4361 | 1091 | ||
4362 | 00:49:58,260 ~-~-> 00:49:59,520 | ||
4363 | you will, when they enter the | ||
4364 | |||
4365 | 1092 | ||
4366 | 00:49:59,520 ~-~-> 00:50:02,610 | ||
4367 | marketplace They're going to push price | ||
4368 | |||
4369 | 1093 | ||
4370 | 00:50:02,610 ~-~-> 00:50:03,930 | ||
4371 | around. And again, think of that | ||
4372 | |||
4373 | 1094 | ||
4374 | 00:50:03,930 ~-~-> 00:50:07,560 | ||
4375 | analogy, the, the price of the asset | ||
4376 | |||
4377 | 1095 | ||
4378 | 00:50:07,560 ~-~-> 00:50:08,550 | ||
4379 | class and we're going to stick with | ||
4380 | |||
4381 | 1096 | ||
4382 | 00:50:08,550 ~-~-> 00:50:11,970 | ||
4383 | forex. In this example. Assuming For | ||
4384 | |||
4385 | 1097 | ||
4386 | 00:50:12,120 ~-~-> 00:50:14,640 | ||
4387 | this example, we're looking at the fiber | ||
4388 | |||
4389 | 1098 | ||
4390 | 00:50:15,120 ~-~-> 00:50:19,140 | ||
4391 | or your USD pair for the market rally, | ||
4392 | |||
4393 | 1099 | ||
4394 | 00:50:19,410 ~-~-> 00:50:21,810 | ||
4395 | as we see here in the early part of | ||
4396 | |||
4397 | 1100 | ||
4398 | 00:50:21,810 ~-~-> 00:50:23,580 | ||
4399 | July, up | ||
4400 | |||
4401 | 1101 | ||
4402 | 00:50:24,840 ~-~-> 00:50:27,360 | ||
4403 | to this point here, okay, that's not | ||
4404 | |||
4405 | 1102 | ||
4406 | 00:50:27,360 ~-~-> 00:50:29,940 | ||
4407 | coming by way of retail traders. Okay. | ||
4408 | |||
4409 | 1103 | ||
4410 | 00:50:29,940 ~-~-> 00:50:31,530 | ||
4411 | Now, that does not mean that retail | ||
4412 | |||
4413 | 1104 | ||
4414 | 00:50:31,530 ~-~-> 00:50:33,270 | ||
4415 | traders cannot be a part of this move. | ||
4416 | |||
4417 | 1105 | ||
4418 | 00:50:33,570 ~-~-> 00:50:35,010 | ||
4419 | Okay, but the catalyst was certainly | ||
4420 | |||
4421 | 1106 | ||
4422 | 00:50:35,010 ~-~-> 00:50:38,820 | ||
4423 | not, you know, originated by the retail | ||
4424 | |||
4425 | 1107 | ||
4426 | 00:50:38,820 ~-~-> 00:50:42,420 | ||
4427 | universe. Okay, that was clearly the | ||
4428 | |||
4429 | 1108 | ||
4430 | 00:50:42,420 ~-~-> 00:50:44,730 | ||
4431 | large dominant players in the | ||
4432 | |||
4433 | 1109 | ||
4434 | 00:50:44,730 ~-~-> 00:50:49,350 | ||
4435 | marketplace. But there are certain clues | ||
4436 | |||
4437 | 1110 | ||
4438 | 00:50:49,350 ~-~-> 00:50:52,950 | ||
4439 | that are left in the chart. That's very | ||
4440 | |||
4441 | 1111 | ||
4442 | 00:50:52,950 ~-~-> 00:50:53,970 | ||
4443 | clear if you understand what you're | ||
4444 | |||
4445 | 1112 | ||
4446 | 00:50:53,970 ~-~-> 00:50:56,880 | ||
4447 | looking for, and how you can use those | ||
4448 | |||
4449 | 1113 | ||
4450 | 00:50:56,880 ~-~-> 00:51:00,750 | ||
4451 | moving forward. If we under Standard our | ||
4452 | |||
4453 | 1114 | ||
4454 | 00:51:00,750 ~-~-> 00:51:03,270 | ||
4455 | trading is in sync with that mindset. | ||
4456 | |||
4457 | 1115 | ||
4458 | 00:51:03,600 ~-~-> 00:51:07,080 | ||
4459 | That's what causes us to qualify or | ||
4460 | |||
4461 | 1116 | ||
4462 | 00:51:07,080 ~-~-> 00:51:10,320 | ||
4463 | quantify the trade as high probability. | ||
4464 | |||
4465 | 1117 | ||
4466 | 00:51:10,500 ~-~-> 00:51:12,600 | ||
4467 | Why is it high probability is because | ||
4468 | |||
4469 | 1118 | ||
4470 | 00:51:12,630 ~-~-> 00:51:14,910 | ||
4471 | it's moving in the journal tied, that's | ||
4472 | |||
4473 | 1119 | ||
4474 | 00:51:14,910 ~-~-> 00:51:17,310 | ||
4475 | been established by the larger dominant | ||
4476 | |||
4477 | 1120 | ||
4478 | 00:51:17,370 ~-~-> 00:51:20,640 | ||
4479 | institutional trading. So if we are in | ||
4480 | |||
4481 | 1121 | ||
4482 | 00:51:20,640 ~-~-> 00:51:22,380 | ||
4483 | sync with that tide, or if we're in sync | ||
4484 | |||
4485 | 1122 | ||
4486 | 00:51:22,380 ~-~-> 00:51:24,780 | ||
4487 | with that market momentum, okay, we are | ||
4488 | |||
4489 | 1123 | ||
4490 | 00:51:24,780 ~-~-> 00:51:27,330 | ||
4491 | not trying to be contrarian in regards | ||
4492 | |||
4493 | 1124 | ||
4494 | 00:51:27,330 ~-~-> 00:51:30,300 | ||
4495 | to fighting the strong arm Smart Money | ||
4496 | |||
4497 | 1125 | ||
4498 | 00:51:30,300 ~-~-> 00:51:32,160 | ||
4499 | traders, okay? They're going to take the | ||
4500 | |||
4501 | 1126 | ||
4502 | 00:51:32,160 ~-~-> 00:51:33,780 | ||
4503 | market where they wanted to go | ||
4504 | |||
4505 | 1127 | ||
4506 | 00:51:33,780 ~-~-> 00:51:35,460 | ||
4507 | regardless of how many indicators you | ||
4508 | |||
4509 | 1128 | ||
4510 | 00:51:35,460 ~-~-> 00:51:37,590 | ||
4511 | have on your chart, whether it be your, | ||
4512 | |||
4513 | 1129 | ||
4514 | 00:51:37,950 ~-~-> 00:51:41,070 | ||
4515 | you know, your electronic little trading | ||
4516 | |||
4517 | 1130 | ||
4518 | 00:51:41,070 ~-~-> 00:51:42,780 | ||
4519 | programs that you created and typed up | ||
4520 | |||
4521 | 1131 | ||
4522 | 00:51:42,780 ~-~-> 00:51:44,190 | ||
4523 | and maybe you bought it on the internet | ||
4524 | |||
4525 | 1132 | ||
4526 | 00:51:44,190 ~-~-> 00:51:45,210 | ||
4527 | and it's made a lot of money in the | ||
4528 | |||
4529 | 1133 | ||
4530 | 00:51:45,210 ~-~-> 00:51:47,910 | ||
4531 | past. Those absolutely are worthless | ||
4532 | |||
4533 | 1134 | ||
4534 | 00:51:48,000 ~-~-> 00:51:49,710 | ||
4535 | unless they're in sync with what the | ||
4536 | |||
4537 | 1135 | ||
4538 | 00:51:50,010 ~-~-> 00:51:51,660 | ||
4539 | large institutional traders are doing. | ||
4540 | |||
4541 | 1136 | ||
4542 | 00:51:51,750 ~-~-> 00:51:54,600 | ||
4543 | Okay. And the only way you understand | ||
4544 | |||
4545 | 1137 | ||
4546 | 00:51:54,600 ~-~-> 00:51:56,250 | ||
4547 | what they're doing is by price action, | ||
4548 | |||
4549 | 1138 | ||
4550 | 00:51:57,060 ~-~-> 00:51:59,850 | ||
4551 | and leading indicators such as working | ||
4552 | |||
4553 | 1139 | ||
4554 | 00:51:59,850 ~-~-> 00:52:02,010 | ||
4555 | with Discuss in these next two sections. | ||
4556 | |||
4557 | 1140 | ||
4558 | 00:52:02,430 ~-~-> 00:52:05,070 | ||
4559 | And I promise you, you're going to jump | ||
4560 | |||
4561 | 1141 | ||
4562 | 00:52:05,100 ~-~-> 00:52:08,400 | ||
4563 | about 20 light years ahead in terms of | ||
4564 | |||
4565 | 1142 | ||
4566 | 00:52:08,400 ~-~-> 00:52:10,110 | ||
4567 | what your understanding in price action | ||
4568 | |||
4569 | 1143 | ||
4570 | 00:52:10,410 ~-~-> 00:52:12,030 | ||
4571 | and prognostication in terms of | ||
4572 | |||
4573 | 1144 | ||
4574 | 00:52:12,030 ~-~-> 00:52:13,560 | ||
4575 | technical analysis, okay, that's a | ||
4576 | |||
4577 | 1145 | ||
4578 | 00:52:13,560 ~-~-> 00:52:17,940 | ||
4579 | promise a guaranteed okay? So now, let's | ||
4580 | |||
4581 | 1146 | ||
4582 | 00:52:17,940 ~-~-> 00:52:20,910 | ||
4583 | take a look at the ICT no brainer, | ||
4584 | |||
4585 | 1147 | ||
4586 | 00:52:21,000 ~-~-> 00:52:23,730 | ||
4587 | directional bias concepts. Okay? And I | ||
4588 | |||
4589 | 1148 | ||
4590 | 00:52:23,730 ~-~-> 00:52:25,590 | ||
4591 | say that with tongue in cheek because | ||
4592 | |||
4593 | 1149 | ||
4594 | 00:52:26,040 ~-~-> 00:52:28,590 | ||
4595 | I've been asked so many times about | ||
4596 | |||
4597 | 1150 | ||
4598 | 00:52:28,950 ~-~-> 00:52:32,460 | ||
4599 | directional bias and, you know, how, how | ||
4600 | |||
4601 | 1151 | ||
4602 | 00:52:32,460 ~-~-> 00:52:34,920 | ||
4603 | do I get it right more times than wrong | ||
4604 | |||
4605 | 1152 | ||
4606 | 00:52:34,980 ~-~-> 00:52:36,300 | ||
4607 | in terms of where the direction of the | ||
4608 | |||
4609 | 1153 | ||
4610 | 00:52:36,300 ~-~-> 00:52:38,130 | ||
4611 | market is going to go, either be short | ||
4612 | |||
4613 | 1154 | ||
4614 | 00:52:38,130 ~-~-> 00:52:39,780 | ||
4615 | term, intermediate term or even long | ||
4616 | |||
4617 | 1155 | ||
4618 | 00:52:39,780 ~-~-> 00:52:42,000 | ||
4619 | term. And it's simply a matter of | ||
4620 | |||
4621 | 1156 | ||
4622 | 00:52:42,000 ~-~-> 00:52:44,670 | ||
4623 | understanding higher level charts | ||
4624 | |||
4625 | 1157 | ||
4626 | 00:52:44,700 ~-~-> 00:52:47,820 | ||
4627 | support resistance, price action, and | ||
4628 | |||
4629 | 1158 | ||
4630 | 00:52:47,850 ~-~-> 00:52:50,040 | ||
4631 | the overall tendency that the market | ||
4632 | |||
4633 | 1159 | ||
4634 | 00:52:50,040 ~-~-> 00:52:52,170 | ||
4635 | will continue to move in one direction | ||
4636 | |||
4637 | 1160 | ||
4638 | 00:52:52,170 ~-~-> 00:52:54,660 | ||
4639 | or another, until something of equal or | ||
4640 | |||
4641 | 1161 | ||
4642 | 00:52:54,660 ~-~-> 00:53:01,470 | ||
4643 | greater that may cause a break Shift the | ||
4644 | |||
4645 | 1162 | ||
4646 | 00:53:01,470 ~-~-> 00:53:04,860 | ||
4647 | title in the higher level charts. So if | ||
4648 | |||
4649 | 1163 | ||
4650 | 00:53:04,860 ~-~-> 00:53:07,020 | ||
4651 | you have that understanding, every | ||
4652 | |||
4653 | 1164 | ||
4654 | 00:53:07,020 ~-~-> 00:53:09,360 | ||
4655 | little minor move on an intraday charts, | ||
4656 | |||
4657 | 1165 | ||
4658 | 00:53:09,390 ~-~-> 00:53:12,480 | ||
4659 | okay, are meaningless in regards to the | ||
4660 | |||
4661 | 1166 | ||
4662 | 00:53:12,480 ~-~-> 00:53:14,820 | ||
4663 | higher time frame unless you understand | ||
4664 | |||
4665 | 1167 | ||
4666 | 00:53:14,820 ~-~-> 00:53:16,260 | ||
4667 | how to apply them and what do I mean by | ||
4668 | |||
4669 | 1168 | ||
4670 | 00:53:16,260 ~-~-> 00:53:20,040 | ||
4671 | that? We'll use this rally from here in | ||
4672 | |||
4673 | 1169 | ||
4674 | 00:53:20,040 ~-~-> 00:53:22,710 | ||
4675 | July. Okay, from the lows made here in | ||
4676 | |||
4677 | 1170 | ||
4678 | 00:53:22,710 ~-~-> 00:53:24,960 | ||
4679 | the fiber. Again, Euro USD is the daily | ||
4680 | |||
4681 | 1171 | ||
4682 | 00:53:24,960 ~-~-> 00:53:27,540 | ||
4683 | chart as the market moves from this | ||
4684 | |||
4685 | 1172 | ||
4686 | 00:53:27,540 ~-~-> 00:53:29,760 | ||
4687 | point here, okay, and we're just gonna | ||
4688 | |||
4689 | 1173 | ||
4690 | 00:53:30,480 ~-~-> 00:53:33,030 | ||
4691 | quickly identify the, the ranges here. | ||
4692 | |||
4693 | 1174 | ||
4694 | 00:53:33,510 ~-~-> 00:53:36,120 | ||
4695 | Okay, this point here, and I'm just | ||
4696 | |||
4697 | 1175 | ||
4698 | 00:53:36,120 ~-~-> 00:53:37,740 | ||
4699 | roughly just dropping in doesn't have to | ||
4700 | |||
4701 | 1176 | ||
4702 | 00:53:37,740 ~-~-> 00:53:39,600 | ||
4703 | be the exact we're just talking about a | ||
4704 | |||
4705 | 1177 | ||
4706 | 00:53:39,600 ~-~-> 00:53:42,180 | ||
4707 | specific move in price. Okay, from | ||
4708 | |||
4709 | 1178 | ||
4710 | 00:53:42,180 ~-~-> 00:53:45,570 | ||
4711 | around the 127 57, low to 134 50 level. | ||
4712 | |||
4713 | 1179 | ||
4714 | 00:53:45,810 ~-~-> 00:53:48,270 | ||
4715 | Okay, that's a pretty significant means | ||
4716 | |||
4717 | 1180 | ||
4718 | 00:53:48,270 ~-~-> 00:53:50,640 | ||
4719 | of movement between one point to | ||
4720 | |||
4721 | 1181 | ||
4722 | 00:53:50,640 ~-~-> 00:53:53,190 | ||
4723 | another. Now in terms of pips, we're | ||
4724 | |||
4725 | 1182 | ||
4726 | 00:53:53,190 ~-~-> 00:53:57,480 | ||
4727 | talking approximately almost 700 pips | ||
4728 | |||
4729 | 1183 | ||
4730 | 00:53:57,510 ~-~-> 00:54:00,600 | ||
4731 | rally from there. Okay. And We were | ||
4732 | |||
4733 | 1184 | ||
4734 | 00:54:00,600 ~-~-> 00:54:02,940 | ||
4735 | talking about the cable on fiber making | ||
4736 | |||
4737 | 1185 | ||
4738 | 00:54:02,940 ~-~-> 00:54:05,790 | ||
4739 | a low back in here, both this point and | ||
4740 | |||
4741 | 1186 | ||
4742 | 00:54:05,790 ~-~-> 00:54:08,910 | ||
4743 | this point here. So this is no surprise | ||
4744 | |||
4745 | 1187 | ||
4746 | 00:54:08,910 ~-~-> 00:54:12,000 | ||
4747 | to us in terms of ICT concepts. If you | ||
4748 | |||
4749 | 1188 | ||
4750 | 00:54:12,000 ~-~-> 00:54:14,190 | ||
4751 | go back on on YouTube, I actually talked | ||
4752 | |||
4753 | 1189 | ||
4754 | 00:54:14,190 ~-~-> 00:54:15,780 | ||
4755 | about the cable acts and making the very | ||
4756 | |||
4757 | 1190 | ||
4758 | 00:54:15,780 ~-~-> 00:54:20,340 | ||
4759 | low well in advance based around some of | ||
4760 | |||
4761 | 1191 | ||
4762 | 00:54:20,340 ~-~-> 00:54:21,390 | ||
4763 | the principles we're going to talk about | ||
4764 | |||
4765 | 1192 | ||
4766 | 00:54:21,390 ~-~-> 00:54:23,160 | ||
4767 | here. And also I'm going to build upon | ||
4768 | |||
4769 | 1193 | ||
4770 | 00:54:23,190 ~-~-> 00:54:25,290 | ||
4771 | what's already been released in my | ||
4772 | |||
4773 | 1194 | ||
4774 | 00:54:25,320 ~-~-> 00:54:30,000 | ||
4775 | previous works. So now, if we understand | ||
4776 | |||
4777 | 1195 | ||
4778 | 00:54:30,000 ~-~-> 00:54:34,230 | ||
4779 | this has been established, okay, this | ||
4780 | |||
4781 | 1196 | ||
4782 | 00:54:34,230 ~-~-> 00:54:35,550 | ||
4783 | price moves been established by the | ||
4784 | |||
4785 | 1197 | ||
4786 | 00:54:35,550 ~-~-> 00:54:37,650 | ||
4787 | large institutional Smart Money traders, | ||
4788 | |||
4789 | 1198 | ||
4790 | 00:54:37,650 ~-~-> 00:54:39,900 | ||
4791 | okay, those that have huge blocks of | ||
4792 | |||
4793 | 1199 | ||
4794 | 00:54:39,900 ~-~-> 00:54:41,730 | ||
4795 | trading, that will push the market all | ||
4796 | |||
4797 | 1200 | ||
4798 | 00:54:41,730 ~-~-> 00:54:44,550 | ||
4799 | over the place. It does not mean that | ||
4800 | |||
4801 | 1201 | ||
4802 | 00:54:44,550 ~-~-> 00:54:46,080 | ||
4803 | there's not short term selling | ||
4804 | |||
4805 | 1202 | ||
4806 | 00:54:46,080 ~-~-> 00:54:47,790 | ||
4807 | opportunities in here. Okay, I'm not, | ||
4808 | |||
4809 | 1203 | ||
4810 | 00:54:47,880 ~-~-> 00:54:50,160 | ||
4811 | I'm not negating the effectiveness of | ||
4812 | |||
4813 | 1204 | ||
4814 | 00:54:50,160 ~-~-> 00:54:52,740 | ||
4815 | short term or day trading contrarian to | ||
4816 | |||
4817 | 1205 | ||
4818 | 00:54:52,740 ~-~-> 00:54:54,270 | ||
4819 | the larger time frame. I'm not saying | ||
4820 | |||
4821 | 1206 | ||
4822 | 00:54:54,270 ~-~-> 00:54:56,700 | ||
4823 | that, but this series is really designed | ||
4824 | |||
4825 | 1207 | ||
4826 | 00:54:56,700 ~-~-> 00:55:00,000 | ||
4827 | to get you focused in on only two | ||
4828 | |||
4829 | 1208 | ||
4830 | 00:55:00,000 ~-~-> 00:55:03,150 | ||
4831 | Reading with this tide. Okay? And when | ||
4832 | |||
4833 | 1209 | ||
4834 | 00:55:03,150 ~-~-> 00:55:05,940 | ||
4835 | you start trading with that it's same | ||
4836 | |||
4837 | 1210 | ||
4838 | 00:55:05,940 ~-~-> 00:55:08,250 | ||
4839 | thing here from this high to this low. | ||
4840 | |||
4841 | 1211 | ||
4842 | 00:55:08,460 ~-~-> 00:55:09,960 | ||
4843 | If you were looking for just shorts in | ||
4844 | |||
4845 | 1212 | ||
4846 | 00:55:09,960 ~-~-> 00:55:12,450 | ||
4847 | that environment, your trades number one | ||
4848 | |||
4849 | 1213 | ||
4850 | 00:55:12,480 ~-~-> 00:55:15,690 | ||
4851 | are going to be, quote unquote high | ||
4852 | |||
4853 | 1214 | ||
4854 | 00:55:15,690 ~-~-> 00:55:17,370 | ||
4855 | probability because you're trading in | ||
4856 | |||
4857 | 1215 | ||
4858 | 00:55:17,370 ~-~-> 00:55:19,650 | ||
4859 | sync with the higher timeframe. macro | ||
4860 | |||
4861 | 1216 | ||
4862 | 00:55:19,650 ~-~-> 00:55:21,360 | ||
4863 | perspective, okay, because we're looking | ||
4864 | |||
4865 | 1217 | ||
4866 | 00:55:21,360 ~-~-> 00:55:24,360 | ||
4867 | at a daily chart and this flow, | ||
4868 | |||
4869 | 1218 | ||
4870 | 00:55:25,050 ~-~-> 00:55:27,870 | ||
4871 | okay of orders moving lower. Okay, it's | ||
4872 | |||
4873 | 1219 | ||
4874 | 00:55:27,870 ~-~-> 00:55:30,660 | ||
4875 | going to drive pricing lower, even | ||
4876 | |||
4877 | 1220 | ||
4878 | 00:55:30,660 ~-~-> 00:55:31,740 | ||
4879 | though you'll see these minor little | ||
4880 | |||
4881 | 1221 | ||
4882 | 00:55:31,740 ~-~-> 00:55:34,500 | ||
4883 | blips going higher intraday, okay, those | ||
4884 | |||
4885 | 1222 | ||
4886 | 00:55:34,500 ~-~-> 00:55:36,840 | ||
4887 | are rallies that you sell into much in | ||
4888 | |||
4889 | 1223 | ||
4890 | 00:55:36,840 ~-~-> 00:55:39,450 | ||
4891 | the same capacity on the flip side of | ||
4892 | |||
4893 | 1224 | ||
4894 | 00:55:39,450 ~-~-> 00:55:42,060 | ||
4895 | that, all during this point here, any | ||
4896 | |||
4897 | 1225 | ||
4898 | 00:55:42,060 ~-~-> 00:55:45,270 | ||
4899 | decline just sets up a retracement in a | ||
4900 | |||
4901 | 1226 | ||
4902 | 00:55:45,330 ~-~-> 00:55:46,560 | ||
4903 | up move. Okay, so you're going to be | ||
4904 | |||
4905 | 1227 | ||
4906 | 00:55:46,560 ~-~-> 00:55:51,390 | ||
4907 | trading retracements lower into a | ||
4908 | |||
4909 | 1228 | ||
4910 | 00:55:52,020 ~-~-> 00:55:53,580 | ||
4911 | upswing in price because you're | ||
4912 | |||
4913 | 1229 | ||
4914 | 00:55:53,580 ~-~-> 00:55:56,460 | ||
4915 | basically buying dips and rally and | ||
4916 | |||
4917 | 1230 | ||
4918 | 00:55:56,460 ~-~-> 00:55:59,040 | ||
4919 | you're selling rallies in a decline. | ||
4920 | |||
4921 | 1231 | ||
4922 | 00:55:59,220 ~-~-> 00:56:01,680 | ||
4923 | Okay, so As the markets moving lower, | ||
4924 | |||
4925 | 1232 | ||
4926 | 00:56:01,980 ~-~-> 00:56:03,990 | ||
4927 | you're going to be looking for rallies | ||
4928 | |||
4929 | 1233 | ||
4930 | 00:56:03,990 ~-~-> 00:56:07,080 | ||
4931 | to sell into that flies in the face of | ||
4932 | |||
4933 | 1234 | ||
4934 | 00:56:07,080 ~-~-> 00:56:09,420 | ||
4935 | what generally neophyte traders | ||
4936 | |||
4937 | 1235 | ||
4938 | 00:56:09,570 ~-~-> 00:56:12,390 | ||
4939 | anticipate or expect to do rather, okay | ||
4940 | |||
4941 | 1236 | ||
4942 | 00:56:12,390 ~-~-> 00:56:14,280 | ||
4943 | or react to okay, because generally, | ||
4944 | |||
4945 | 1237 | ||
4946 | 00:56:15,090 ~-~-> 00:56:18,690 | ||
4947 | retail neophytes don't have skills to | ||
4948 | |||
4949 | 1238 | ||
4950 | 00:56:18,690 ~-~-> 00:56:21,090 | ||
4951 | anticipate they simply react, you know, | ||
4952 | |||
4953 | 1239 | ||
4954 | 00:56:21,120 ~-~-> 00:56:23,490 | ||
4955 | an economic report come out, you know, | ||
4956 | |||
4957 | 1240 | ||
4958 | 00:56:23,490 ~-~-> 00:56:25,260 | ||
4959 | five minutes ago that they had no idea | ||
4960 | |||
4961 | 1241 | ||
4962 | 00:56:25,260 ~-~-> 00:56:26,160 | ||
4963 | was coming because they never pay | ||
4964 | |||
4965 | 1242 | ||
4966 | 00:56:26,160 ~-~-> 00:56:27,480 | ||
4967 | attention to the economic calendar, | ||
4968 | |||
4969 | 1243 | ||
4970 | 00:56:27,570 ~-~-> 00:56:29,910 | ||
4971 | something that a seasoned professional | ||
4972 | |||
4973 | 1244 | ||
4974 | 00:56:29,940 ~-~-> 00:56:32,190 | ||
4975 | will always consult prior to the week | ||
4976 | |||
4977 | 1245 | ||
4978 | 00:56:32,190 ~-~-> 00:56:35,160 | ||
4979 | beginning. In fact, I know what's coming | ||
4980 | |||
4981 | 1246 | ||
4982 | 00:56:35,460 ~-~-> 00:56:37,200 | ||
4983 | up for the entire month and I have | ||
4984 | |||
4985 | 1247 | ||
4986 | 00:56:37,230 ~-~-> 00:56:39,180 | ||
4987 | certain dates that I circle where | ||
4988 | |||
4989 | 1248 | ||
4990 | 00:56:39,180 ~-~-> 00:56:40,620 | ||
4991 | there's going to be high probability | ||
4992 | |||
4993 | 1249 | ||
4994 | 00:56:40,620 ~-~-> 00:56:43,770 | ||
4995 | volatility, okay because I view market | ||
4996 | |||
4997 | 1250 | ||
4998 | 00:56:43,980 ~-~-> 00:56:46,680 | ||
4999 | economic indicators and reports that | ||
5000 | |||
5001 | 1251 | ||
5002 | 00:56:46,680 ~-~-> 00:56:49,770 | ||
5003 | come out you you methodically out | ||
5004 | |||
5005 | 1252 | ||
5006 | 00:56:49,800 ~-~-> 00:56:52,440 | ||
5007 | throughout the entire month. These | ||
5008 | |||
5009 | 1253 | ||
5010 | 00:56:52,470 ~-~-> 00:56:54,810 | ||
5011 | reports, okay, are injections of | ||
5012 | |||
5013 | 1254 | ||
5014 | 00:56:54,810 ~-~-> 00:56:57,240 | ||
5015 | volatility and I look for them to set up | ||
5016 | |||
5017 | 1255 | ||
5018 | 00:56:57,240 ~-~-> 00:56:59,700 | ||
5019 | or can confirm a continuation of an | ||
5020 | |||
5021 | 1256 | ||
5022 | 00:56:59,700 ~-~-> 00:57:01,680 | ||
5023 | exist Move on may either be a part of or | ||
5024 | |||
5025 | 1257 | ||
5026 | 00:57:01,680 ~-~-> 00:57:03,180 | ||
5027 | looking to be a part of. So I'm | ||
5028 | |||
5029 | 1258 | ||
5030 | 00:57:03,180 ~-~-> 00:57:05,850 | ||
5031 | anticipating versus with the neophyte | ||
5032 | |||
5033 | 1259 | ||
5034 | 00:57:05,850 ~-~-> 00:57:09,120 | ||
5035 | traders Do you know and majority of the | ||
5036 | |||
5037 | 1260 | ||
5038 | 00:57:09,120 ~-~-> 00:57:11,460 | ||
5039 | folks that populate these online forums | ||
5040 | |||
5041 | 1261 | ||
5042 | 00:57:11,460 ~-~-> 00:57:14,640 | ||
5043 | that, you know, where they appear as if | ||
5044 | |||
5045 | 1262 | ||
5046 | 00:57:14,640 ~-~-> 00:57:16,530 | ||
5047 | they may be convincing other people that | ||
5048 | |||
5049 | 1263 | ||
5050 | 00:57:16,530 ~-~-> 00:57:17,880 | ||
5051 | they're smart or, or they're | ||
5052 | |||
5053 | 1264 | ||
5054 | 00:57:17,880 ~-~-> 00:57:19,980 | ||
5055 | intelligent, or they have a service | ||
5056 | |||
5057 | 1265 | ||
5058 | 00:57:19,980 ~-~-> 00:57:21,870 | ||
5059 | that's, you know, useful. So therefore, | ||
5060 | |||
5061 | 1266 | ||
5062 | 00:57:21,870 ~-~-> 00:57:23,640 | ||
5063 | I'm going to sell for $25 a month or | ||
5064 | |||
5065 | 1267 | ||
5066 | 00:57:23,790 ~-~-> 00:57:26,310 | ||
5067 | $120 a month or whatever, okay, those | ||
5068 | |||
5069 | 1268 | ||
5070 | 00:57:26,310 ~-~-> 00:57:30,360 | ||
5071 | individuals, okay, they are nowhere near | ||
5072 | |||
5073 | 1269 | ||
5074 | 00:57:30,360 ~-~-> 00:57:33,180 | ||
5075 | the degree of trader that you are | ||
5076 | |||
5077 | 1270 | ||
5078 | 00:57:33,180 ~-~-> 00:57:35,220 | ||
5079 | looking for, you want to go beyond that, | ||
5080 | |||
5081 | 1271 | ||
5082 | 00:57:35,280 ~-~-> 00:57:37,740 | ||
5083 | okay. And to get into the realm of what | ||
5084 | |||
5085 | 1272 | ||
5086 | 00:57:37,740 ~-~-> 00:57:39,540 | ||
5087 | we considered an underground traders | ||
5088 | |||
5089 | 1273 | ||
5090 | 00:57:39,540 ~-~-> 00:57:41,880 | ||
5091 | like myself, or folks that are just | ||
5092 | |||
5093 | 1274 | ||
5094 | 00:57:41,880 ~-~-> 00:57:44,160 | ||
5095 | really out there killing it. And they | ||
5096 | |||
5097 | 1275 | ||
5098 | 00:57:44,160 ~-~-> 00:57:46,050 | ||
5099 | don't, we don't really care, who | ||
5100 | |||
5101 | 1276 | ||
5102 | 00:57:46,050 ~-~-> 00:57:47,580 | ||
5103 | believes what we're making. We don't we | ||
5104 | |||
5105 | 1277 | ||
5106 | 00:57:47,580 ~-~-> 00:57:49,920 | ||
5107 | don't care about that. You want to get | ||
5108 | |||
5109 | 1278 | ||
5110 | 00:57:49,920 ~-~-> 00:57:52,080 | ||
5111 | to that same mindset as well. Okay, and | ||
5112 | |||
5113 | 1279 | ||
5114 | 00:57:52,080 ~-~-> 00:57:53,070 | ||
5115 | the concepts that we're going to be | ||
5116 | |||
5117 | 1280 | ||
5118 | 00:57:53,070 ~-~-> 00:57:55,590 | ||
5119 | learning in this, this particular video | ||
5120 | |||
5121 | 1281 | ||
5122 | 00:57:55,590 ~-~-> 00:57:59,880 | ||
5123 | itself is going to be hugely impactful | ||
5124 | |||
5125 | 1282 | ||
5126 | 00:58:00,000 ~-~-> 00:58:02,580 | ||
5127 | Your trading if you apply it correctly, | ||
5128 | |||
5129 | 1283 | ||
5130 | 00:58:02,880 ~-~-> 00:58:05,160 | ||
5131 | and it's very, very simple procedures, | ||
5132 | |||
5133 | 1284 | ||
5134 | 00:58:05,280 ~-~-> 00:58:08,460 | ||
5135 | so I'm pretty confident that it won't be | ||
5136 | |||
5137 | 1285 | ||
5138 | 00:58:08,460 ~-~-> 00:58:12,600 | ||
5139 | taken out of the intended context of how | ||
5140 | |||
5141 | 1286 | ||
5142 | 00:58:12,600 ~-~-> 00:58:14,550 | ||
5143 | to apply it, because it's rather simple. | ||
5144 | |||
5145 | 1287 | ||
5146 | 00:58:15,180 ~-~-> 00:58:19,410 | ||
5147 | But my advice to you is trying not to | ||
5148 | |||
5149 | 1288 | ||
5150 | 00:58:19,410 ~-~-> 00:58:22,860 | ||
5151 | build on this and add more things to it | ||
5152 | |||
5153 | 1289 | ||
5154 | 00:58:22,860 ~-~-> 00:58:24,210 | ||
5155 | because we're going to be talking about | ||
5156 | |||
5157 | 1290 | ||
5158 | 00:58:24,210 ~-~-> 00:58:26,550 | ||
5159 | candlestick patterns. Okay, but there's | ||
5160 | |||
5161 | 1291 | ||
5162 | 00:58:26,550 ~-~-> 00:58:28,530 | ||
5163 | not a whole slew of them like you see, | ||
5164 | |||
5165 | 1292 | ||
5166 | 00:58:28,740 ~-~-> 00:58:30,720 | ||
5167 | if you pick up, you know, a candlestick | ||
5168 | |||
5169 | 1293 | ||
5170 | 00:58:30,720 ~-~-> 00:58:33,540 | ||
5171 | charting book, you know, man, I have so | ||
5172 | |||
5173 | 1294 | ||
5174 | 00:58:33,540 ~-~-> 00:58:35,640 | ||
5175 | many candlestick patterns, how do you? | ||
5176 | |||
5177 | 1295 | ||
5178 | 00:58:36,300 ~-~-> 00:58:38,490 | ||
5179 | How do you arrive at what what to use? | ||
5180 | |||
5181 | 1296 | ||
5182 | 00:58:38,550 ~-~-> 00:58:40,830 | ||
5183 | Okay, and it's just, it's just too much. | ||
5184 | |||
5185 | 1297 | ||
5186 | 00:58:40,890 ~-~-> 00:58:44,670 | ||
5187 | Okay, it's information overload. Prior | ||
5188 | |||
5189 | 1298 | ||
5190 | 00:58:44,670 ~-~-> 00:58:47,040 | ||
5191 | to this video series, I presented a | ||
5192 | |||
5193 | 1299 | ||
5194 | 00:58:47,040 ~-~-> 00:58:51,240 | ||
5195 | whole plethora of general market insight | ||
5196 | |||
5197 | 1300 | ||
5198 | 00:58:51,690 ~-~-> 00:58:55,020 | ||
5199 | because it was meant to get you focused | ||
5200 | |||
5201 | 1301 | ||
5202 | 00:58:55,020 ~-~-> 00:58:58,290 | ||
5203 | in on what specifically is useful when | ||
5204 | |||
5205 | 1302 | ||
5206 | 00:58:58,290 ~-~-> 00:59:00,540 | ||
5207 | you're digesting price as Moving | ||
5208 | |||
5209 | 1303 | ||
5210 | 00:59:00,540 ~-~-> 00:59:03,000 | ||
5211 | intraday daily weekly, you want to be | ||
5212 | |||
5213 | 1304 | ||
5214 | 00:59:03,000 ~-~-> 00:59:05,550 | ||
5215 | seeing certain things and till you | ||
5216 | |||
5217 | 1305 | ||
5218 | 00:59:05,550 ~-~-> 00:59:09,690 | ||
5219 | identify the the, the repeating | ||
5220 | |||
5221 | 1306 | ||
5222 | 00:59:09,690 ~-~-> 00:59:11,880 | ||
5223 | reoccurrence of certain phenomenon that | ||
5224 | |||
5225 | 1307 | ||
5226 | 00:59:11,880 ~-~-> 00:59:14,910 | ||
5227 | takes place in price. You can't get | ||
5228 | |||
5229 | 1308 | ||
5230 | 00:59:14,910 ~-~-> 00:59:17,370 | ||
5231 | deeper into price action study, okay? | ||
5232 | |||
5233 | 1309 | ||
5234 | 00:59:17,460 ~-~-> 00:59:20,250 | ||
5235 | Imagine how many of you can speak | ||
5236 | |||
5237 | 1310 | ||
5238 | 00:59:20,250 ~-~-> 00:59:23,850 | ||
5239 | Russian? I can't. So for me to learn it, | ||
5240 | |||
5241 | 1311 | ||
5242 | 00:59:23,850 ~-~-> 00:59:25,770 | ||
5243 | I got to go through this long daunting | ||
5244 | |||
5245 | 1312 | ||
5246 | 00:59:25,770 ~-~-> 00:59:28,470 | ||
5247 | task of understanding how to use simple | ||
5248 | |||
5249 | 1313 | ||
5250 | 00:59:28,470 ~-~-> 00:59:31,170 | ||
5251 | terms. And, you know, maybe you're in | ||
5252 | |||
5253 | 1314 | ||
5254 | 00:59:31,170 ~-~-> 00:59:33,240 | ||
5255 | some mannerisms, to commute to | ||
5256 | |||
5257 | 1315 | ||
5258 | 00:59:33,420 ~-~-> 00:59:35,940 | ||
5259 | communicate that, that language in the | ||
5260 | |||
5261 | 1316 | ||
5262 | 00:59:35,940 ~-~-> 00:59:38,490 | ||
5263 | initial stages, it's almost like, you | ||
5264 | |||
5265 | 1317 | ||
5266 | 00:59:38,490 ~-~-> 00:59:40,290 | ||
5267 | know, when we were in kindergarten as an | ||
5268 | |||
5269 | 1318 | ||
5270 | 00:59:40,290 ~-~-> 00:59:41,610 | ||
5271 | American, you know, when we learn | ||
5272 | |||
5273 | 1319 | ||
5274 | 00:59:41,610 ~-~-> 00:59:43,290 | ||
5275 | English, we start with these picture | ||
5276 | |||
5277 | 1320 | ||
5278 | 00:59:43,290 ~-~-> 00:59:45,660 | ||
5279 | forms. This is an apple, you start with | ||
5280 | |||
5281 | 1321 | ||
5282 | 00:59:45,660 ~-~-> 00:59:46,830 | ||
5283 | a very, very, | ||
5284 | |||
5285 | 1322 | ||
5286 | 00:59:47,670 ~-~-> 00:59:48,420 | ||
5287 | you know, | ||
5288 | |||
5289 | 1323 | ||
5290 | 00:59:49,679 ~-~-> 00:59:52,769 | ||
5291 | limited scope in terms of understanding | ||
5292 | |||
5293 | 1324 | ||
5294 | 00:59:52,769 ~-~-> 00:59:56,729 | ||
5295 | and you build upon that. Well, the the | ||
5296 | |||
5297 | 1325 | ||
5298 | 00:59:56,729 ~-~-> 00:59:59,279 | ||
5299 | original onset of my information being | ||
5300 | |||
5301 | 1326 | ||
5302 | 00:59:59,279 ~-~-> 01:00:01,889 | ||
5303 | released It went over a lot of people's | ||
5304 | |||
5305 | 1327 | ||
5306 | 01:00:01,889 ~-~-> 01:00:03,629 | ||
5307 | heads because they were looking for the | ||
5308 | |||
5309 | 1328 | ||
5310 | 01:00:03,659 ~-~-> 01:00:05,699 | ||
5311 | get me and get me out. And I need to do | ||
5312 | |||
5313 | 1329 | ||
5314 | 01:00:05,699 ~-~-> 01:00:07,859 | ||
5315 | this every single day. And they didn't | ||
5316 | |||
5317 | 1330 | ||
5318 | 01:00:07,859 ~-~-> 01:00:10,499 | ||
5319 | want to take the learning approach to | ||
5320 | |||
5321 | 1331 | ||
5322 | 01:00:10,499 ~-~-> 01:00:13,409 | ||
5323 | understanding the market completely. | ||
5324 | |||
5325 | 1332 | ||
5326 | 01:00:13,709 ~-~-> 01:00:15,449 | ||
5327 | Okay? There's got to be a macro | ||
5328 | |||
5329 | 1333 | ||
5330 | 01:00:15,449 ~-~-> 01:00:17,339 | ||
5331 | perspective in your understanding. | ||
5332 | |||
5333 | 1334 | ||
5334 | 01:00:17,759 ~-~-> 01:00:19,289 | ||
5335 | Otherwise, the things that we're going | ||
5336 | |||
5337 | 1335 | ||
5338 | 01:00:19,289 ~-~-> 01:00:21,419 | ||
5339 | to be discussing here, okay, you're | ||
5340 | |||
5341 | 1336 | ||
5342 | 01:00:21,419 ~-~-> 01:00:24,809 | ||
5343 | going to know if you got a full grasp on | ||
5344 | |||
5345 | 1337 | ||
5346 | 01:00:24,809 ~-~-> 01:00:26,159 | ||
5347 | the general principles that I've | ||
5348 | |||
5349 | 1338 | ||
5350 | 01:00:26,159 ~-~-> 01:00:28,229 | ||
5351 | released. Because if this goes over your | ||
5352 | |||
5353 | 1339 | ||
5354 | 01:00:28,229 ~-~-> 01:00:31,139 | ||
5355 | head, you had no idea what you missed, | ||
5356 | |||
5357 | 1340 | ||
5358 | 01:00:31,349 ~-~-> 01:00:32,789 | ||
5359 | go back over all the previous | ||
5360 | |||
5361 | 1341 | ||
5362 | 01:00:32,789 ~-~-> 01:00:34,289 | ||
5363 | information I released on the internet, | ||
5364 | |||
5365 | 1342 | ||
5366 | 01:00:34,589 ~-~-> 01:00:35,579 | ||
5367 | okay, and then you'll be able to | ||
5368 | |||
5369 | 1343 | ||
5370 | 01:00:35,579 ~-~-> 01:00:36,899 | ||
5371 | understand what I'm about to share here, | ||
5372 | |||
5373 | 1344 | ||
5374 | 01:00:37,109 ~-~-> 01:00:38,729 | ||
5375 | because it's simply not looking for a | ||
5376 | |||
5377 | 1345 | ||
5378 | 01:00:38,729 ~-~-> 01:00:41,009 | ||
5379 | particular white or black candle, and | ||
5380 | |||
5381 | 1346 | ||
5382 | 01:00:41,009 ~-~-> 01:00:42,119 | ||
5383 | therefore, it's going to do this every | ||
5384 | |||
5385 | 1347 | ||
5386 | 01:00:42,119 ~-~-> 01:00:44,069 | ||
5387 | time it does. Don't Don't think that | ||
5388 | |||
5389 | 1348 | ||
5390 | 01:00:44,099 ~-~-> 01:00:45,839 | ||
5391 | okay, but if you understand the | ||
5392 | |||
5393 | 1349 | ||
5394 | 01:00:45,839 ~-~-> 01:00:47,519 | ||
5395 | parameters that we're going to cover, | ||
5396 | |||
5397 | 1350 | ||
5398 | 01:00:47,939 ~-~-> 01:00:50,849 | ||
5399 | and why it's designed to do what we're | ||
5400 | |||
5401 | 1351 | ||
5402 | 01:00:50,849 ~-~-> 01:00:53,759 | ||
5403 | anticipating, you'll, you'll see that | ||
5404 | |||
5405 | 1352 | ||
5406 | 01:00:53,759 ~-~-> 01:00:55,679 | ||
5407 | it's not surprised you you'll know going | ||
5408 | |||
5409 | 1353 | ||
5410 | 01:00:55,679 ~-~-> 01:00:58,079 | ||
5411 | into every week of the month that you | ||
5412 | |||
5413 | 1354 | ||
5414 | 01:00:58,109 ~-~-> 01:00:59,819 | ||
5415 | know exactly specifically what you're | ||
5416 | |||
5417 | 1355 | ||
5418 | 01:00:59,819 ~-~-> 01:01:01,589 | ||
5419 | looking For, you know what days of the | ||
5420 | |||
5421 | 1356 | ||
5422 | 01:01:01,589 ~-~-> 01:01:02,729 | ||
5423 | week you're going to be looking for, you | ||
5424 | |||
5425 | 1357 | ||
5426 | 01:01:02,729 ~-~-> 01:01:04,229 | ||
5427 | know what time of that day you're | ||
5428 | |||
5429 | 1358 | ||
5430 | 01:01:04,229 ~-~-> 01:01:06,209 | ||
5431 | looking for it to occur. Now, does that | ||
5432 | |||
5433 | 1359 | ||
5434 | 01:01:06,209 ~-~-> 01:01:07,649 | ||
5435 | sound like someone that's rolling the | ||
5436 | |||
5437 | 1360 | ||
5438 | 01:01:07,649 ~-~-> 01:01:09,779 | ||
5439 | dice? Does that sound like somebody that | ||
5440 | |||
5441 | 1361 | ||
5442 | 01:01:09,779 ~-~-> 01:01:11,009 | ||
5443 | really doesn't know what they're doing? | ||
5444 | |||
5445 | 1362 | ||
5446 | 01:01:11,369 ~-~-> 01:01:14,759 | ||
5447 | Okay? The skills that you're going to | ||
5448 | |||
5449 | 1363 | ||
5450 | 01:01:14,759 ~-~-> 01:01:18,719 | ||
5451 | learn, okay? are going to give you the | ||
5452 | |||
5453 | 1364 | ||
5454 | 01:01:18,719 ~-~-> 01:01:21,539 | ||
5455 | ability to remove all of the emotions | ||
5456 | |||
5457 | 1365 | ||
5458 | 01:01:21,539 ~-~-> 01:01:24,239 | ||
5459 | that's always plagued you. Okay? And I | ||
5460 | |||
5461 | 1366 | ||
5462 | 01:01:24,239 ~-~-> 01:01:25,319 | ||
5463 | know some of you you're beating your, | ||
5464 | |||
5465 | 1367 | ||
5466 | 01:01:25,409 ~-~-> 01:01:28,109 | ||
5467 | your fist on the on the couch probably | ||
5468 | |||
5469 | 1368 | ||
5470 | 01:01:28,109 ~-~-> 01:01:29,519 | ||
5471 | or your computer desk at work, whatever, | ||
5472 | |||
5473 | 1369 | ||
5474 | 01:01:29,729 ~-~-> 01:01:31,709 | ||
5475 | come on, ICT get to it's a whole lot of | ||
5476 | |||
5477 | 1370 | ||
5478 | 01:01:31,709 ~-~-> 01:01:33,869 | ||
5479 | ramble here. Okay. But I really want you | ||
5480 | |||
5481 | 1371 | ||
5482 | 01:01:33,869 ~-~-> 01:01:37,949 | ||
5483 | to understand that it's, it's important, | ||
5484 | |||
5485 | 1372 | ||
5486 | 01:01:37,949 ~-~-> 01:01:40,199 | ||
5487 | it's crucial that you understand that | ||
5488 | |||
5489 | 1373 | ||
5490 | 01:01:40,229 ~-~-> 01:01:47,759 | ||
5491 | this is not needed to be rocket science. | ||
5492 | |||
5493 | 1374 | ||
5494 | 01:01:47,849 ~-~-> 01:01:50,669 | ||
5495 | Okay? If there's a lot of tools that | ||
5496 | |||
5497 | 1375 | ||
5498 | 01:01:50,669 ~-~-> 01:01:53,309 | ||
5499 | I've shared, I've tweaked it, other | ||
5500 | |||
5501 | 1376 | ||
5502 | 01:01:53,309 ~-~-> 01:01:55,559 | ||
5503 | people have created, I had my own little | ||
5504 | |||
5505 | 1377 | ||
5506 | 01:01:55,559 ~-~-> 01:01:58,799 | ||
5507 | spin on it. But some of these things | ||
5508 | |||
5509 | 1378 | ||
5510 | 01:01:58,799 ~-~-> 01:02:00,779 | ||
5511 | that are just simply They're that are | ||
5512 | |||
5513 | 1379 | ||
5514 | 01:02:00,779 ~-~-> 01:02:03,959 | ||
5515 | very, very generic. Okay? They elude all | ||
5516 | |||
5517 | 1380 | ||
5518 | 01:02:03,959 ~-~-> 01:02:05,909 | ||
5519 | this. And when I first started looking | ||
5520 | |||
5521 | 1381 | ||
5522 | 01:02:05,909 ~-~-> 01:02:08,459 | ||
5523 | at charts, it eluded me as well, okay? | ||
5524 | |||
5525 | 1382 | ||
5526 | 01:02:08,819 ~-~-> 01:02:10,919 | ||
5527 | But I'm going to strip all this stuff | ||
5528 | |||
5529 | 1383 | ||
5530 | 01:02:10,919 ~-~-> 01:02:12,659 | ||
5531 | back and open the curtain if you will, | ||
5532 | |||
5533 | 1384 | ||
5534 | 01:02:12,719 ~-~-> 01:02:14,189 | ||
5535 | okay? And you're going to look through | ||
5536 | |||
5537 | 1385 | ||
5538 | 01:02:14,189 ~-~-> 01:02:17,339 | ||
5539 | the, the eyes of ICT and you're going to | ||
5540 | |||
5541 | 1386 | ||
5542 | 01:02:17,339 ~-~-> 01:02:21,509 | ||
5543 | have ICT vision. Okay, starting now, I'm | ||
5544 | |||
5545 | 1387 | ||
5546 | 01:02:21,509 ~-~-> 01:02:22,769 | ||
5547 | going to give you the perspective that | ||
5548 | |||
5549 | 1388 | ||
5550 | 01:02:22,769 ~-~-> 01:02:24,149 | ||
5551 | you need as a professional trader, | ||
5552 | |||
5553 | 1389 | ||
5554 | 01:02:24,299 ~-~-> 01:02:25,439 | ||
5555 | you're going to give you the perspective | ||
5556 | |||
5557 | 1390 | ||
5558 | 01:02:25,469 ~-~-> 01:02:27,959 | ||
5559 | that you need to see price through the | ||
5560 | |||
5561 | 1391 | ||
5562 | 01:02:27,959 ~-~-> 01:02:30,569 | ||
5563 | lens of a price action trader. This is | ||
5564 | |||
5565 | 1392 | ||
5566 | 01:02:30,569 ~-~-> 01:02:32,669 | ||
5567 | what you want to be looking at and what | ||
5568 | |||
5569 | 1393 | ||
5570 | 01:02:32,669 ~-~-> 01:02:34,109 | ||
5571 | you're hunting and what you're stalking | ||
5572 | |||
5573 | 1394 | ||
5574 | 01:02:34,109 ~-~-> 01:02:36,659 | ||
5575 | and why you're doing it. Okay. So let's | ||
5576 | |||
5577 | 1395 | ||
5578 | 01:02:36,659 ~-~-> 01:02:40,949 | ||
5579 | go and start working on the directional | ||
5580 | |||
5581 | 1396 | ||
5582 | 01:02:40,979 ~-~-> 01:02:47,099 | ||
5583 | bias concepts. And hopefully, you guys | ||
5584 | |||
5585 | 1397 | ||
5586 | 01:02:47,099 ~-~-> 01:02:48,779 | ||
5587 | are all frothing at the mouth ready to | ||
5588 | |||
5589 | 1398 | ||
5590 | 01:02:49,589 ~-~-> 01:02:52,019 | ||
5591 | devour what is going to be shared here. | ||
5592 | |||
5593 | 1399 | ||
5594 | 01:02:52,469 ~-~-> 01:02:54,689 | ||
5595 | Now there's going to be a very similar | ||
5596 | |||
5597 | 1400 | ||
5598 | 01:02:55,169 ~-~-> 01:02:58,829 | ||
5599 | apparents to a few of these concepts | ||
5600 | |||
5601 | 1401 | ||
5602 | 01:02:58,829 ~-~-> 01:03:02,279 | ||
5603 | because I've released Some videos in the | ||
5604 | |||
5605 | 1402 | ||
5606 | 01:03:02,279 ~-~-> 01:03:05,279 | ||
5607 | past where they discovered, you know, by | ||
5608 | |||
5609 | 1403 | ||
5610 | 01:03:05,279 ~-~-> 01:03:07,889 | ||
5611 | simply applying a moving average or to | ||
5612 | |||
5613 | 1404 | ||
5614 | 01:03:08,189 ~-~-> 01:03:09,869 | ||
5615 | it gives me a perspective to stay with a | ||
5616 | |||
5617 | 1405 | ||
5618 | 01:03:09,869 ~-~-> 01:03:12,989 | ||
5619 | momentum idea. Okay. And that's | ||
5620 | |||
5621 | 1406 | ||
5622 | 01:03:12,989 ~-~-> 01:03:14,309 | ||
5623 | generally how the funds and | ||
5624 | |||
5625 | 1407 | ||
5626 | 01:03:14,309 ~-~-> 01:03:16,649 | ||
5627 | institutional traders, you know, keep | ||
5628 | |||
5629 | 1408 | ||
5630 | 01:03:16,649 ~-~-> 01:03:19,139 | ||
5631 | the momentum going. And it keeps you | ||
5632 | |||
5633 | 1409 | ||
5634 | 01:03:19,139 ~-~-> 01:03:21,479 | ||
5635 | from trying to pick a top and pick a | ||
5636 | |||
5637 | 1410 | ||
5638 | 01:03:21,479 ~-~-> 01:03:23,039 | ||
5639 | bottom when there's really no need for | ||
5640 | |||
5641 | 1411 | ||
5642 | 01:03:23,039 ~-~-> 01:03:26,609 | ||
5643 | you to be doing that yet. Okay? What you | ||
5644 | |||
5645 | 1412 | ||
5646 | 01:03:26,609 ~-~-> 01:03:28,199 | ||
5647 | want to do is you want to start with | ||
5648 | |||
5649 | 1413 | ||
5650 | 01:03:28,199 ~-~-> 01:03:30,659 | ||
5651 | your daily chart, okay? Again, this is | ||
5652 | |||
5653 | 1414 | ||
5654 | 01:03:30,659 ~-~-> 01:03:34,169 | ||
5655 | an intermediate term trading strategy, | ||
5656 | |||
5657 | 1415 | ||
5658 | 01:03:34,199 ~-~-> 01:03:36,119 | ||
5659 | where it really is focusing on one | ||
5660 | |||
5661 | 1416 | ||
5662 | 01:03:36,149 ~-~-> 01:03:39,149 | ||
5663 | really strong setup per week. And again, | ||
5664 | |||
5665 | 1417 | ||
5666 | 01:03:39,149 ~-~-> 01:03:41,099 | ||
5667 | if you're a new trader, that's my advice | ||
5668 | |||
5669 | 1418 | ||
5670 | 01:03:41,099 ~-~-> 01:03:42,689 | ||
5671 | is to start there with your demo account | ||
5672 | |||
5673 | 1419 | ||
5674 | 01:03:42,689 ~-~-> 01:03:44,249 | ||
5675 | trading. Don't try to be in there every | ||
5676 | |||
5677 | 1420 | ||
5678 | 01:03:44,249 ~-~-> 01:03:46,589 | ||
5679 | single day trading, but still study on | ||
5680 | |||
5681 | 1421 | ||
5682 | 01:03:46,589 ~-~-> 01:03:48,989 | ||
5683 | an intraday basis daily after the fact. | ||
5684 | |||
5685 | 1422 | ||
5686 | 01:03:49,169 ~-~-> 01:03:51,299 | ||
5687 | So you can get an idea what price action | ||
5688 | |||
5689 | 1423 | ||
5690 | 01:03:51,299 ~-~-> 01:03:55,499 | ||
5691 | is doing generally, but your your daily | ||
5692 | |||
5693 | 1424 | ||
5694 | 01:03:55,499 ~-~-> 01:03:57,599 | ||
5695 | chart is your higher timeframe. Okay, | ||
5696 | |||
5697 | 1425 | ||
5698 | 01:03:57,599 ~-~-> 01:03:58,859 | ||
5699 | and again, we're not negating the | ||
5700 | |||
5701 | 1426 | ||
5702 | 01:03:58,859 ~-~-> 01:04:00,629 | ||
5703 | importance of MONTH Weekly support | ||
5704 | |||
5705 | 1427 | ||
5706 | 01:04:00,629 ~-~-> 01:04:02,159 | ||
5707 | resistance, but we're just going to be | ||
5708 | |||
5709 | 1428 | ||
5710 | 01:04:02,159 ~-~-> 01:04:04,379 | ||
5711 | going to the daily chart as our go to | ||
5712 | |||
5713 | 1429 | ||
5714 | 01:04:04,379 ~-~-> 01:04:06,809 | ||
5715 | high end, higher timeframe chart, okay, | ||
5716 | |||
5717 | 1430 | ||
5718 | 01:04:06,809 ~-~-> 01:04:09,329 | ||
5719 | and go over the videos previous to this | ||
5720 | |||
5721 | 1431 | ||
5722 | 01:04:09,329 ~-~-> 01:04:11,789 | ||
5723 | one, where it discloses what timeframe | ||
5724 | |||
5725 | 1432 | ||
5726 | 01:04:11,789 ~-~-> 01:04:13,679 | ||
5727 | charts you would use for a particular | ||
5728 | |||
5729 | 1433 | ||
5730 | 01:04:13,679 ~-~-> 01:04:15,719 | ||
5731 | type of trading that you may be | ||
5732 | |||
5733 | 1434 | ||
5734 | 01:04:15,719 ~-~-> 01:04:19,049 | ||
5735 | comfortable with. Alright, so again, | ||
5736 | |||
5737 | 1435 | ||
5738 | 01:04:19,049 ~-~-> 01:04:20,039 | ||
5739 | with the daily chart, what you're going | ||
5740 | |||
5741 | 1436 | ||
5742 | 01:04:20,039 ~-~-> 01:04:22,049 | ||
5743 | to do is again, using mt four platform, | ||
5744 | |||
5745 | 1437 | ||
5746 | 01:04:22,049 ~-~-> 01:04:25,019 | ||
5747 | you go up to insert, go to indicators, | ||
5748 | |||
5749 | 1438 | ||
5750 | 01:04:25,379 ~-~-> 01:04:26,639 | ||
5751 | you're going to go down the trend, | ||
5752 | |||
5753 | 1439 | ||
5754 | 01:04:27,389 ~-~-> 01:04:31,259 | ||
5755 | you're gonna go to moving average. And | ||
5756 | |||
5757 | 1440 | ||
5758 | 01:04:31,259 ~-~-> 01:04:34,589 | ||
5759 | you're gonna be using the 18, period, | ||
5760 | |||
5761 | 1441 | ||
5762 | 01:04:34,769 ~-~-> 01:04:36,659 | ||
5763 | moving average, and it doesn't matter | ||
5764 | |||
5765 | 1442 | ||
5766 | 01:04:36,659 ~-~-> 01:04:37,829 | ||
5767 | really what colors you use, we're just | ||
5768 | |||
5769 | 1443 | ||
5770 | 01:04:37,829 ~-~-> 01:04:39,839 | ||
5771 | gonna go with this. And then you're | ||
5772 | |||
5773 | 1444 | ||
5774 | 01:04:39,839 ~-~-> 01:04:42,299 | ||
5775 | going to go and add another moving | ||
5776 | |||
5777 | 1445 | ||
5778 | 01:04:42,299 ~-~-> 01:04:48,269 | ||
5779 | average. Okay, and make sure it's | ||
5780 | |||
5781 | 1446 | ||
5782 | 01:04:48,299 ~-~-> 01:04:50,909 | ||
5783 | exponential. It's just to me, it just | ||
5784 | |||
5785 | 1447 | ||
5786 | 01:04:50,909 ~-~-> 01:04:51,239 | ||
5787 | gives you a | ||
5788 | |||
5789 | 1448 | ||
5790 | 01:04:51,240 ~-~-> 01:04:55,230 | ||
5791 | better smoothing factor in terms of | ||
5792 | |||
5793 | 1449 | ||
5794 | 01:04:56,460 ~-~-> 01:04:57,990 | ||
5795 | moving average and the next period, | ||
5796 | |||
5797 | 1450 | ||
5798 | 01:04:57,990 ~-~-> 01:05:00,930 | ||
5799 | you're going to be using a nine You want | ||
5800 | |||
5801 | 1451 | ||
5802 | 01:05:00,930 ~-~-> 01:05:02,160 | ||
5803 | to have this color a little bit | ||
5804 | |||
5805 | 1452 | ||
5806 | 01:05:02,160 ~-~-> 01:05:03,210 | ||
5807 | different, so we're just going to go | ||
5808 | |||
5809 | 1453 | ||
5810 | 01:05:03,210 ~-~-> 01:05:07,920 | ||
5811 | with red. Okay, and again, the colors | ||
5812 | |||
5813 | 1454 | ||
5814 | 01:05:07,950 ~-~-> 01:05:09,810 | ||
5815 | are not important, it's just you want to | ||
5816 | |||
5817 | 1455 | ||
5818 | 01:05:09,810 ~-~-> 01:05:12,570 | ||
5819 | know for instance, the red one here, the | ||
5820 | |||
5821 | 1456 | ||
5822 | 01:05:12,570 ~-~-> 01:05:14,550 | ||
5823 | nine, you want to know what that that | ||
5824 | |||
5825 | 1457 | ||
5826 | 01:05:14,550 ~-~-> 01:05:17,850 | ||
5827 | color is in contrast to the slower 18 | ||
5828 | |||
5829 | 1458 | ||
5830 | 01:05:17,850 ~-~-> 01:05:20,310 | ||
5831 | period exponential moving average, okay? | ||
5832 | |||
5833 | 1459 | ||
5834 | 01:05:21,600 ~-~-> 01:05:23,370 | ||
5835 | Now, the importance of having a moving | ||
5836 | |||
5837 | 1460 | ||
5838 | 01:05:23,370 ~-~-> 01:05:26,790 | ||
5839 | average set like this, it would it gives | ||
5840 | |||
5841 | 1461 | ||
5842 | 01:05:26,790 ~-~-> 01:05:28,740 | ||
5843 | you is it gives you insight in terms of | ||
5844 | |||
5845 | 1462 | ||
5846 | 01:05:28,980 ~-~-> 01:05:31,500 | ||
5847 | where the institutional flow is. Okay? | ||
5848 | |||
5849 | 1463 | ||
5850 | 01:05:31,770 ~-~-> 01:05:34,230 | ||
5851 | If you can't see the price swings for | ||
5852 | |||
5853 | 1464 | ||
5854 | 01:05:34,230 ~-~-> 01:05:37,320 | ||
5855 | what they are naked, this will give you | ||
5856 | |||
5857 | 1465 | ||
5858 | 01:05:38,130 ~-~-> 01:05:40,890 | ||
5859 | the again quote unquote no brainer. Now | ||
5860 | |||
5861 | 1466 | ||
5862 | 01:05:40,890 ~-~-> 01:05:42,840 | ||
5863 | again, it's not to promise that you're | ||
5864 | |||
5865 | 1467 | ||
5866 | 01:05:42,840 ~-~-> 01:05:44,280 | ||
5867 | never going to have a losing trade. | ||
5868 | |||
5869 | 1468 | ||
5870 | 01:05:44,730 ~-~-> 01:05:46,650 | ||
5871 | That's not I am promised that no one | ||
5872 | |||
5873 | 1469 | ||
5874 | 01:05:46,650 ~-~-> 01:05:49,140 | ||
5875 | ever can. But what I'm giving you here, | ||
5876 | |||
5877 | 1470 | ||
5878 | 01:05:49,230 ~-~-> 01:05:54,300 | ||
5879 | you will not miss the two to four really | ||
5880 | |||
5881 | 1471 | ||
5882 | 01:05:54,300 ~-~-> 01:05:57,990 | ||
5883 | handsome setups per month. Okay, and if | ||
5884 | |||
5885 | 1472 | ||
5886 | 01:05:57,990 ~-~-> 01:05:59,760 | ||
5887 | you just do the simple math on it, it | ||
5888 | |||
5889 | 1473 | ||
5890 | 01:05:59,760 ~-~-> 01:06:01,320 | ||
5891 | works out To be about a one shot, one | ||
5892 | |||
5893 | 1474 | ||
5894 | 01:06:01,320 ~-~-> 01:06:06,030 | ||
5895 | kill per week. That's all you need to | ||
5896 | |||
5897 | 1475 | ||
5898 | 01:06:06,030 ~-~-> 01:06:08,550 | ||
5899 | make a career, and I'm talking a wildly | ||
5900 | |||
5901 | 1476 | ||
5902 | 01:06:08,550 ~-~-> 01:06:11,610 | ||
5903 | successful trading career. And I know | ||
5904 | |||
5905 | 1477 | ||
5906 | 01:06:11,610 ~-~-> 01:06:12,990 | ||
5907 | that flies in the face of what you're | ||
5908 | |||
5909 | 1478 | ||
5910 | 01:06:12,990 ~-~-> 01:06:15,240 | ||
5911 | expecting or what you currently | ||
5912 | |||
5913 | 1479 | ||
5914 | 01:06:15,240 ~-~-> 01:06:17,790 | ||
5915 | understand, but I'm promising you, if | ||
5916 | |||
5917 | 1480 | ||
5918 | 01:06:17,790 ~-~-> 01:06:20,400 | ||
5919 | someone consistently draws 50 pips every | ||
5920 | |||
5921 | 1481 | ||
5922 | 01:06:20,400 ~-~-> 01:06:22,020 | ||
5923 | single week out of the marketplace, if | ||
5924 | |||
5925 | 1482 | ||
5926 | 01:06:22,020 ~-~-> 01:06:24,090 | ||
5927 | you know how to do that, and you can | ||
5928 | |||
5929 | 1483 | ||
5930 | 01:06:24,090 ~-~-> 01:06:25,830 | ||
5931 | control your equity and know how to | ||
5932 | |||
5933 | 1484 | ||
5934 | 01:06:25,830 ~-~-> 01:06:29,190 | ||
5935 | apply it, you know, systematically, you | ||
5936 | |||
5937 | 1485 | ||
5938 | 01:06:29,190 ~-~-> 01:06:31,680 | ||
5939 | have absolutely no idea where that can | ||
5940 | |||
5941 | 1486 | ||
5942 | 01:06:31,680 ~-~-> 01:06:33,840 | ||
5943 | take you. And it's crazy amount of | ||
5944 | |||
5945 | 1487 | ||
5946 | 01:06:33,840 ~-~-> 01:06:36,270 | ||
5947 | money, crazy, crazy, insane amount of | ||
5948 | |||
5949 | 1488 | ||
5950 | 01:06:36,270 ~-~-> 01:06:39,240 | ||
5951 | money, if you understand how to do that. | ||
5952 | |||
5953 | 1489 | ||
5954 | 01:06:39,750 ~-~-> 01:06:42,510 | ||
5955 | But the problem is, you made him You | ||
5956 | |||
5957 | 1490 | ||
5958 | 01:06:42,510 ~-~-> 01:06:44,910 | ||
5959 | made a simple trade last week or | ||
5960 | |||
5961 | 1491 | ||
5962 | 01:06:44,940 ~-~-> 01:06:47,310 | ||
5963 | yesterday and you love that feeling, | ||
5964 | |||
5965 | 1492 | ||
5966 | 01:06:47,340 ~-~-> 01:06:49,440 | ||
5967 | okay? You get addicted that to that | ||
5968 | |||
5969 | 1493 | ||
5970 | 01:06:49,440 ~-~-> 01:06:51,450 | ||
5971 | moment of astonishment. Okay, so you | ||
5972 | |||
5973 | 1494 | ||
5974 | 01:06:51,450 ~-~-> 01:06:52,590 | ||
5975 | want to go back in there and do it | ||
5976 | |||
5977 | 1495 | ||
5978 | 01:06:52,590 ~-~-> 01:06:53,880 | ||
5979 | again. Because you'd like that feeling | ||
5980 | |||
5981 | 1496 | ||
5982 | 01:06:53,880 ~-~-> 01:06:56,490 | ||
5983 | you need your fix. That was the hardest | ||
5984 | |||
5985 | 1497 | ||
5986 | 01:06:56,490 ~-~-> 01:06:58,530 | ||
5987 | thing for me to overcome. And I'm | ||
5988 | |||
5989 | 1498 | ||
5990 | 01:06:58,530 ~-~-> 01:06:59,700 | ||
5991 | promising you that's going to be the | ||
5992 | |||
5993 | 1499 | ||
5994 | 01:06:59,700 ~-~-> 01:07:00,660 | ||
5995 | hardest thing that you're gonna have to | ||
5996 | |||
5997 | 1500 | ||
5998 | 01:07:00,660 ~-~-> 01:07:03,870 | ||
5999 | deal with. Because, you know, when we | ||
6000 | |||
6001 | 1501 | ||
6002 | 01:07:03,870 ~-~-> 01:07:06,000 | ||
6003 | first get involved we can, we can expect | ||
6004 | |||
6005 | 1502 | ||
6006 | 01:07:06,000 ~-~-> 01:07:07,710 | ||
6007 | to lose money, okay? And for whatever | ||
6008 | |||
6009 | 1503 | ||
6010 | 01:07:07,710 ~-~-> 01:07:09,480 | ||
6011 | reason we like to block the losers out | ||
6012 | |||
6013 | 1504 | ||
6014 | 01:07:09,510 ~-~-> 01:07:11,700 | ||
6015 | and only focus on winners, but you need | ||
6016 | |||
6017 | 1505 | ||
6018 | 01:07:11,700 ~-~-> 01:07:13,740 | ||
6019 | to be able to look at them, you know the | ||
6020 | |||
6021 | 1506 | ||
6022 | 01:07:13,740 ~-~-> 01:07:15,840 | ||
6023 | same way their trades and you need to | ||
6024 | |||
6025 | 1507 | ||
6026 | 01:07:15,840 ~-~-> 01:07:17,640 | ||
6027 | learn from them. But more importantly | ||
6028 | |||
6029 | 1508 | ||
6030 | 01:07:17,640 ~-~-> 01:07:19,890 | ||
6031 | when you make money, okay, you need to | ||
6032 | |||
6033 | 1509 | ||
6034 | 01:07:19,890 ~-~-> 01:07:21,930 | ||
6035 | act slow when you're trying to make | ||
6036 | |||
6037 | 1510 | ||
6038 | 01:07:21,930 ~-~-> 01:07:24,360 | ||
6039 | money, and then act fast. | ||
6040 | |||
6041 | 1511 | ||
6042 | 01:07:24,659 ~-~-> 01:07:26,789 | ||
6043 | Okay, or react fast is the only time you | ||
6044 | |||
6045 | 1512 | ||
6046 | 01:07:26,789 ~-~-> 01:07:28,079 | ||
6047 | get permission from ICT to be a | ||
6048 | |||
6049 | 1513 | ||
6050 | 01:07:28,079 ~-~-> 01:07:31,019 | ||
6051 | reactionary trader. you react quickly to | ||
6052 | |||
6053 | 1514 | ||
6054 | 01:07:31,019 ~-~-> 01:07:33,389 | ||
6055 | preserve or protect your equity or | ||
6056 | |||
6057 | 1515 | ||
6058 | 01:07:33,389 ~-~-> 01:07:37,439 | ||
6059 | capital. You move slowly to attempt to | ||
6060 | |||
6061 | 1516 | ||
6062 | 01:07:37,439 ~-~-> 01:07:40,709 | ||
6063 | make money, okay? fools rush in. Where | ||
6064 | |||
6065 | 1517 | ||
6066 | 01:07:40,709 ~-~-> 01:07:44,189 | ||
6067 | wise man tread softly and slowly Okay, | ||
6068 | |||
6069 | 1518 | ||
6070 | 01:07:44,489 ~-~-> 01:07:46,259 | ||
6071 | we don't plunge in there trying to just | ||
6072 | |||
6073 | 1519 | ||
6074 | 01:07:46,259 ~-~-> 01:07:48,209 | ||
6075 | go in and try to make the next dollar. I | ||
6076 | |||
6077 | 1520 | ||
6078 | 01:07:48,209 ~-~-> 01:07:50,279 | ||
6079 | want to know what I have is lined up | ||
6080 | |||
6081 | 1521 | ||
6082 | 01:07:50,309 ~-~-> 01:07:52,139 | ||
6083 | with the higher timeframes. There's this | ||
6084 | |||
6085 | 1522 | ||
6086 | 01:07:52,139 ~-~-> 01:07:54,179 | ||
6087 | nice support resistance level, momentum | ||
6088 | |||
6089 | 1523 | ||
6090 | 01:07:54,179 ~-~-> 01:07:55,649 | ||
6091 | is moving higher order flows moving | ||
6092 | |||
6093 | 1524 | ||
6094 | 01:07:55,649 ~-~-> 01:07:57,689 | ||
6095 | higher, then I'll be looking for a long | ||
6096 | |||
6097 | 1525 | ||
6098 | 01:07:57,779 ~-~-> 01:08:00,299 | ||
6099 | okay in a kill zone based on the into | ||
6100 | |||
6101 | 1526 | ||
6102 | 01:08:00,299 ~-~-> 01:08:02,339 | ||
6103 | retracements back in an existing price | ||
6104 | |||
6105 | 1527 | ||
6106 | 01:08:02,339 ~-~-> 01:08:03,599 | ||
6107 | swing, and we're going to talk about | ||
6108 | |||
6109 | 1528 | ||
6110 | 01:08:03,599 ~-~-> 01:08:05,669 | ||
6111 | that as we go along. But for now, the | ||
6112 | |||
6113 | 1529 | ||
6114 | 01:08:05,669 ~-~-> 01:08:07,559 | ||
6115 | building block starts with having the | ||
6116 | |||
6117 | 1530 | ||
6118 | 01:08:07,559 ~-~-> 01:08:09,359 | ||
6119 | two moving averages right here. Okay? | ||
6120 | |||
6121 | 1531 | ||
6122 | 01:08:10,349 ~-~-> 01:08:13,709 | ||
6123 | When the nine period moving average is | ||
6124 | |||
6125 | 1532 | ||
6126 | 01:08:13,709 ~-~-> 01:08:17,339 | ||
6127 | below the 18, what that establishes, | ||
6128 | |||
6129 | 1533 | ||
6130 | 01:08:17,579 ~-~-> 01:08:20,279 | ||
6131 | that's your framework for | ||
6132 | |||
6133 | 1534 | ||
6134 | 01:08:25,890 ~-~-> 01:08:29,640 | ||
6135 | when the nine period or in this case red | ||
6136 | |||
6137 | 1535 | ||
6138 | 01:08:30,120 ~-~-> 01:08:32,550 | ||
6139 | moving average is below the blue 18. | ||
6140 | |||
6141 | 1536 | ||
6142 | 01:08:32,550 ~-~-> 01:08:36,330 | ||
6143 | Period, okay, that establishes a bearish | ||
6144 | |||
6145 | 1537 | ||
6146 | 01:08:37,290 ~-~-> 01:08:39,390 | ||
6147 | framework, okay, in other words, or I | ||
6148 | |||
6149 | 1538 | ||
6150 | 01:08:39,390 ~-~-> 01:08:42,300 | ||
6151 | like to call a cell model, okay, our | ||
6152 | |||
6153 | 1539 | ||
6154 | 01:08:42,300 ~-~-> 01:08:45,360 | ||
6155 | cell program rather. What that does is | ||
6156 | |||
6157 | 1540 | ||
6158 | 01:08:45,360 ~-~-> 01:08:47,520 | ||
6159 | it gives you the green light go to look | ||
6160 | |||
6161 | 1541 | ||
6162 | 01:08:47,520 ~-~-> 01:08:50,610 | ||
6163 | for selling opportunities to be a bear. | ||
6164 | |||
6165 | 1542 | ||
6166 | 01:08:50,970 ~-~-> 01:08:52,350 | ||
6167 | Okay, are you going to be selling into | ||
6168 | |||
6169 | 1543 | ||
6170 | 01:08:52,350 ~-~-> 01:08:56,100 | ||
6171 | rallies? Okay. And when the nine period | ||
6172 | |||
6173 | 1544 | ||
6174 | 01:08:56,130 ~-~-> 01:08:58,410 | ||
6175 | is above the 18 period, what you're | ||
6176 | |||
6177 | 1545 | ||
6178 | 01:08:58,410 ~-~-> 01:09:00,510 | ||
6179 | looking for is buying out opportunities | ||
6180 | |||
6181 | 1546 | ||
6182 | 01:09:00,540 ~-~-> 01:09:03,030 | ||
6183 | where you want to be buying a dip. Okay | ||
6184 | |||
6185 | 1547 | ||
6186 | 01:09:03,030 ~-~-> 01:09:06,060 | ||
6187 | intraday or over the course of a few | ||
6188 | |||
6189 | 1548 | ||
6190 | 01:09:06,060 ~-~-> 01:09:09,090 | ||
6191 | days. If you're a short term trader, as | ||
6192 | |||
6193 | 1549 | ||
6194 | 01:09:09,090 ~-~-> 01:09:11,790 | ||
6195 | we make a retracement lower, okay, all | ||
6196 | |||
6197 | 1550 | ||
6198 | 01:09:11,790 ~-~-> 01:09:14,070 | ||
6199 | that's doing is it's creating a new buy | ||
6200 | |||
6201 | 1551 | ||
6202 | 01:09:14,070 ~-~-> 01:09:17,880 | ||
6203 | opportunity. Okay? And that's what keeps | ||
6204 | |||
6205 | 1552 | ||
6206 | 01:09:17,880 ~-~-> 01:09:19,620 | ||
6207 | you on the right side of the marketplace | ||
6208 | |||
6209 | 1553 | ||
6210 | 01:09:19,620 ~-~-> 01:09:24,630 | ||
6211 | and you arrive at what was discussed a | ||
6212 | |||
6213 | 1554 | ||
6214 | 01:09:24,630 ~-~-> 01:09:26,640 | ||
6215 | few moments ago what classifies a trade | ||
6216 | |||
6217 | 1555 | ||
6218 | 01:09:26,640 ~-~-> 01:09:28,950 | ||
6219 | as high probability, this is high | ||
6220 | |||
6221 | 1556 | ||
6222 | 01:09:28,950 ~-~-> 01:09:30,900 | ||
6223 | probability. Okay? And what I want to | ||
6224 | |||
6225 | 1557 | ||
6226 | 01:09:30,900 ~-~-> 01:09:32,370 | ||
6227 | draw your attention to and here is, | ||
6228 | |||
6229 | 1558 | ||
6230 | 01:09:32,370 ~-~-> 01:09:34,680 | ||
6231 | again, avoid the notion of having to | ||
6232 | |||
6233 | 1559 | ||
6234 | 01:09:34,680 ~-~-> 01:09:36,390 | ||
6235 | feel like you have to pick the tops in | ||
6236 | |||
6237 | 1560 | ||
6238 | 01:09:36,390 ~-~-> 01:09:37,740 | ||
6239 | the bottoms in the marketplace, okay? | ||
6240 | |||
6241 | 1561 | ||
6242 | 01:09:37,980 ~-~-> 01:09:39,930 | ||
6243 | There's tools that I have that helps you | ||
6244 | |||
6245 | 1562 | ||
6246 | 01:09:39,930 ~-~-> 01:09:41,790 | ||
6247 | do that on a higher timeframe macro | ||
6248 | |||
6249 | 1563 | ||
6250 | 01:09:41,790 ~-~-> 01:09:43,620 | ||
6251 | perspective, but we're looking at more | ||
6252 | |||
6253 | 1564 | ||
6254 | 01:09:43,620 ~-~-> 01:09:45,510 | ||
6255 | dynamic trading. This will allow you to | ||
6256 | |||
6257 | 1565 | ||
6258 | 01:09:45,510 ~-~-> 01:09:47,730 | ||
6259 | get into the trenches, immediately start | ||
6260 | |||
6261 | 1566 | ||
6262 | 01:09:47,730 ~-~-> 01:09:49,830 | ||
6263 | applying the tools, okay, on a weekly | ||
6264 | |||
6265 | 1567 | ||
6266 | 01:09:49,830 ~-~-> 01:09:51,330 | ||
6267 | basis, and then hopefully in your demo | ||
6268 | |||
6269 | 1568 | ||
6270 | 01:09:51,330 ~-~-> 01:09:52,590 | ||
6271 | account, you'll see the fruits of your | ||
6272 | |||
6273 | 1569 | ||
6274 | 01:09:52,590 ~-~-> 01:09:55,800 | ||
6275 | labors. But it also is this I | ||
6276 | |||
6277 | 1570 | ||
6278 | 01:09:55,800 ~-~-> 01:09:57,570 | ||
6279 | specifically chose this timeframe | ||
6280 | |||
6281 | 1571 | ||
6282 | 01:09:57,690 ~-~-> 01:10:00,840 | ||
6283 | because it will it will force you To not | ||
6284 | |||
6285 | 1572 | ||
6286 | 01:10:00,840 ~-~-> 01:10:03,300 | ||
6287 | over trade, which is one of the biggest, | ||
6288 | |||
6289 | 1573 | ||
6290 | 01:10:03,480 ~-~-> 01:10:07,080 | ||
6291 | huge barrier for new traders. Day | ||
6292 | |||
6293 | 1574 | ||
6294 | 01:10:07,080 ~-~-> 01:10:09,210 | ||
6295 | Trading is not everyday trading, okay? | ||
6296 | |||
6297 | 1575 | ||
6298 | 01:10:09,390 ~-~-> 01:10:11,010 | ||
6299 | And I'm not teaching you day trading | ||
6300 | |||
6301 | 1576 | ||
6302 | 01:10:11,010 ~-~-> 01:10:14,160 | ||
6303 | here, I'm teaching you high probability | ||
6304 | |||
6305 | 1577 | ||
6306 | 01:10:14,280 ~-~-> 01:10:17,670 | ||
6307 | one shot one kill, kill them hard, I | ||
6308 | |||
6309 | 1578 | ||
6310 | 01:10:17,670 ~-~-> 01:10:20,550 | ||
6311 | mean, just knock them dead type setups | ||
6312 | |||
6313 | 1579 | ||
6314 | 01:10:20,550 ~-~-> 01:10:22,320 | ||
6315 | where if you just sit back and you wait | ||
6316 | |||
6317 | 1580 | ||
6318 | 01:10:22,320 ~-~-> 01:10:23,520 | ||
6319 | for these types of setups and you're | ||
6320 | |||
6321 | 1581 | ||
6322 | 01:10:23,520 ~-~-> 01:10:25,920 | ||
6323 | demonstrating, you'll see a huge | ||
6324 | |||
6325 | 1582 | ||
6326 | 01:10:25,920 ~-~-> 01:10:28,410 | ||
6327 | increase of your, your confidence, your | ||
6328 | |||
6329 | 1583 | ||
6330 | 01:10:28,410 ~-~-> 01:10:30,450 | ||
6331 | understanding the marketplace, you will | ||
6332 | |||
6333 | 1584 | ||
6334 | 01:10:30,450 ~-~-> 01:10:32,910 | ||
6335 | hone your patience, you may not have | ||
6336 | |||
6337 | 1585 | ||
6338 | 01:10:32,910 ~-~-> 01:10:35,640 | ||
6339 | patience now, but using the concepts in | ||
6340 | |||
6341 | 1586 | ||
6342 | 01:10:35,640 ~-~-> 01:10:39,000 | ||
6343 | this series, you are forced to hone your | ||
6344 | |||
6345 | 1587 | ||
6346 | 01:10:39,000 ~-~-> 01:10:41,790 | ||
6347 | patience. Okay. A lot of folks that I've | ||
6348 | |||
6349 | 1588 | ||
6350 | 01:10:41,790 ~-~-> 01:10:43,770 | ||
6351 | been in contact with over the last few | ||
6352 | |||
6353 | 1589 | ||
6354 | 01:10:43,770 ~-~-> 01:10:46,140 | ||
6355 | years because of my presence on a | ||
6356 | |||
6357 | 1590 | ||
6358 | 01:10:46,140 ~-~-> 01:10:49,830 | ||
6359 | particular market forum. They have | ||
6360 | |||
6361 | 1591 | ||
6362 | 01:10:49,830 ~-~-> 01:10:51,600 | ||
6363 | struggled with patience, they struggle | ||
6364 | |||
6365 | 1592 | ||
6366 | 01:10:51,600 ~-~-> 01:10:53,850 | ||
6367 | with these, these demons if you will, | ||
6368 | |||
6369 | 1593 | ||
6370 | 01:10:54,030 ~-~-> 01:10:57,090 | ||
6371 | internally. So I'm forcing you go back | ||
6372 | |||
6373 | 1594 | ||
6374 | 01:10:57,090 ~-~-> 01:10:59,340 | ||
6375 | to this type of perspective. Okay, and | ||
6376 | |||
6377 | 1595 | ||
6378 | 01:10:59,340 ~-~-> 01:11:00,900 | ||
6379 | number one is going to live Your excess | ||
6380 | |||
6381 | 1596 | ||
6382 | 01:11:01,470 ~-~-> 01:11:03,750 | ||
6383 | trading, it'll take it down a huge | ||
6384 | |||
6385 | 1597 | ||
6386 | 01:11:03,780 ~-~-> 01:11:05,130 | ||
6387 | notch. Okay, because you're only gonna | ||
6388 | |||
6389 | 1598 | ||
6390 | 01:11:05,130 ~-~-> 01:11:08,280 | ||
6391 | be trading at maximum, you know, a few | ||
6392 | |||
6393 | 1599 | ||
6394 | 01:11:08,280 ~-~-> 01:11:10,350 | ||
6395 | times a week, okay, depending upon the | ||
6396 | |||
6397 | 1600 | ||
6398 | 01:11:10,350 ~-~-> 01:11:13,140 | ||
6399 | Killzone and the setup. And you're | ||
6400 | |||
6401 | 1601 | ||
6402 | 01:11:13,140 ~-~-> 01:11:15,570 | ||
6403 | forced to have a much larger perspective | ||
6404 | |||
6405 | 1602 | ||
6406 | 01:11:15,570 ~-~-> 01:11:18,660 | ||
6407 | in terms of your analysis. So really the | ||
6408 | |||
6409 | 1603 | ||
6410 | 01:11:18,660 ~-~-> 01:11:21,660 | ||
6411 | worst case scenario, I think that a | ||
6412 | |||
6413 | 1604 | ||
6414 | 01:11:21,660 ~-~-> 01:11:23,790 | ||
6415 | trader would have would be maybe, you | ||
6416 | |||
6417 | 1605 | ||
6418 | 01:11:23,790 ~-~-> 01:11:26,760 | ||
6419 | know, 12 to 14 trades the entire month. | ||
6420 | |||
6421 | 1606 | ||
6422 | 01:11:27,120 ~-~-> 01:11:29,070 | ||
6423 | And that's still might, in my opinion, | ||
6424 | |||
6425 | 1607 | ||
6426 | 01:11:29,070 ~-~-> 01:11:31,560 | ||
6427 | that's a busy trader. And some of you | ||
6428 | |||
6429 | 1608 | ||
6430 | 01:11:31,560 ~-~-> 01:11:33,090 | ||
6431 | guys get in here and you find 10 minutes | ||
6432 | |||
6433 | 1609 | ||
6434 | 01:11:33,090 ~-~-> 01:11:36,120 | ||
6435 | and you catch them five or six pips and | ||
6436 | |||
6437 | 1610 | ||
6438 | 01:11:36,120 ~-~-> 01:11:37,710 | ||
6439 | that's wonderful. If that's what you do. | ||
6440 | |||
6441 | 1611 | ||
6442 | 01:11:37,980 ~-~-> 01:11:39,720 | ||
6443 | That's wonderful. I just think that's | ||
6444 | |||
6445 | 1612 | ||
6446 | 01:11:39,810 ~-~-> 01:11:42,660 | ||
6447 | crazy, but I used to do it and it | ||
6448 | |||
6449 | 1613 | ||
6450 | 01:11:42,660 ~-~-> 01:11:43,890 | ||
6451 | doesn't pay off the amount of time you | ||
6452 | |||
6453 | 1614 | ||
6454 | 01:11:43,890 ~-~-> 01:11:46,170 | ||
6455 | put in. If you have this perspective, | ||
6456 | |||
6457 | 1615 | ||
6458 | 01:11:46,170 ~-~-> 01:11:47,130 | ||
6459 | you're going to see it blows it out of | ||
6460 | |||
6461 | 1616 | ||
6462 | 01:11:47,130 ~-~-> 01:11:49,170 | ||
6463 | the water. And I'm not spending a whole | ||
6464 | |||
6465 | 1617 | ||
6466 | 01:11:49,170 ~-~-> 01:11:50,490 | ||
6467 | lot of time in front of my computers. | ||
6468 | |||
6469 | 1618 | ||
6470 | 01:11:50,550 ~-~-> 01:11:52,170 | ||
6471 | Okay. And which is what you want to be | ||
6472 | |||
6473 | 1619 | ||
6474 | 01:11:52,170 ~-~-> 01:11:53,730 | ||
6475 | doing to professional traders don't | ||
6476 | |||
6477 | 1620 | ||
6478 | 01:11:54,120 ~-~-> 01:11:56,100 | ||
6479 | don't live in front of monitors. Okay, | ||
6480 | |||
6481 | 1621 | ||
6482 | 01:11:56,130 ~-~-> 01:11:58,980 | ||
6483 | they don't do it. junkies do. Okay, | ||
6484 | |||
6485 | 1622 | ||
6486 | 01:11:58,980 ~-~-> 01:12:02,580 | ||
6487 | action hounds, do And they may do a | ||
6488 | |||
6489 | 1623 | ||
6490 | 01:12:02,580 ~-~-> 01:12:05,190 | ||
6491 | trading for a living, okay, but I'm not | ||
6492 | |||
6493 | 1624 | ||
6494 | 01:12:05,190 ~-~-> 01:12:07,380 | ||
6495 | promising you their own age all the | ||
6496 | |||
6497 | 1625 | ||
6498 | 01:12:07,380 ~-~-> 01:12:08,340 | ||
6499 | time, they're probably | ||
6500 | |||
6501 | 1626 | ||
6502 | 01:12:09,630 ~-~-> 01:12:10,260 | ||
6503 | dumping | ||
6504 | |||
6505 | 1627 | ||
6506 | 01:12:10,710 ~-~-> 01:12:12,960 | ||
6507 | gallons of caffeinated drinks in their | ||
6508 | |||
6509 | 1628 | ||
6510 | 01:12:12,960 ~-~-> 01:12:15,540 | ||
6511 | body, okay? And high sugars and, and | ||
6512 | |||
6513 | 1629 | ||
6514 | 01:12:15,570 ~-~-> 01:12:17,130 | ||
6515 | just their health probably really, | ||
6516 | |||
6517 | 1630 | ||
6518 | 01:12:17,130 ~-~-> 01:12:19,440 | ||
6519 | really stinks in terms of, you're not | ||
6520 | |||
6521 | 1631 | ||
6522 | 01:12:19,440 ~-~-> 01:12:21,300 | ||
6523 | being a part of the real world out away | ||
6524 | |||
6525 | 1632 | ||
6526 | 01:12:21,300 ~-~-> 01:12:22,890 | ||
6527 | from these charts. So this is going to | ||
6528 | |||
6529 | 1633 | ||
6530 | 01:12:22,890 ~-~-> 01:12:25,710 | ||
6531 | give you that ability to do that. So we | ||
6532 | |||
6533 | 1634 | ||
6534 | 01:12:25,710 ~-~-> 01:12:27,960 | ||
6535 | already identified when the parameters | ||
6536 | |||
6537 | 1635 | ||
6538 | 01:12:27,960 ~-~-> 01:12:31,350 | ||
6539 | are in place for a selling framework, | ||
6540 | |||
6541 | 1636 | ||
6542 | 01:12:31,380 ~-~-> 01:12:33,900 | ||
6543 | okay, when the nine is below the 18, and | ||
6544 | |||
6545 | 1637 | ||
6546 | 01:12:33,900 ~-~-> 01:12:35,490 | ||
6547 | then when the nine is above the 18, | ||
6548 | |||
6549 | 1638 | ||
6550 | 01:12:35,730 ~-~-> 01:12:37,140 | ||
6551 | that's the framework to be a buyer. | ||
6552 | |||
6553 | 1639 | ||
6554 | 01:12:37,410 ~-~-> 01:12:42,780 | ||
6555 | Okay? Again, do not, do not worry about | ||
6556 | |||
6557 | 1640 | ||
6558 | 01:12:42,780 ~-~-> 01:12:46,350 | ||
6559 | catching these turning points. Okay. | ||
6560 | |||
6561 | 1641 | ||
6562 | 01:12:46,800 ~-~-> 01:12:49,080 | ||
6563 | Don't worry about that. Because what I'm | ||
6564 | |||
6565 | 1642 | ||
6566 | 01:12:49,080 ~-~-> 01:12:51,000 | ||
6567 | allowing you to do is you're going to | ||
6568 | |||
6569 | 1643 | ||
6570 | 01:12:51,000 ~-~-> 01:12:55,650 | ||
6571 | run into where your trading stops being | ||
6572 | |||
6573 | 1644 | ||
6574 | 01:12:55,650 ~-~-> 01:12:58,230 | ||
6575 | profitable, and you'll have to, number | ||
6576 | |||
6577 | 1645 | ||
6578 | 01:12:58,230 ~-~-> 01:13:00,720 | ||
6579 | one, adjust your equity. You'll To | ||
6580 | |||
6581 | 1646 | ||
6582 | 01:13:00,870 ~-~-> 01:13:03,630 | ||
6583 | calibrate your risk to reward, you'll | ||
6584 | |||
6585 | 1647 | ||
6586 | 01:13:03,630 ~-~-> 01:13:06,990 | ||
6587 | have to calibrate your leverage based on | ||
6588 | |||
6589 | 1648 | ||
6590 | 01:13:06,990 ~-~-> 01:13:09,990 | ||
6591 | your equity decline, okay? Too many | ||
6592 | |||
6593 | 1649 | ||
6594 | 01:13:09,990 ~-~-> 01:13:12,420 | ||
6595 | folks overlook that. Okay, and this is | ||
6596 | |||
6597 | 1650 | ||
6598 | 01:13:12,420 ~-~-> 01:13:13,830 | ||
6599 | going to force you to do those very | ||
6600 | |||
6601 | 1651 | ||
6602 | 01:13:13,830 ~-~-> 01:13:16,710 | ||
6603 | things. Okay? professional traders and | ||
6604 | |||
6605 | 1652 | ||
6606 | 01:13:16,710 ~-~-> 01:13:19,710 | ||
6607 | money managers, we do that always, on a | ||
6608 | |||
6609 | 1653 | ||
6610 | 01:13:19,710 ~-~-> 01:13:21,480 | ||
6611 | daily basis, we're always looking at | ||
6612 | |||
6613 | 1654 | ||
6614 | 01:13:21,510 ~-~-> 01:13:23,400 | ||
6615 | what we're risking what we stand to | ||
6616 | |||
6617 | 1655 | ||
6618 | 01:13:23,400 ~-~-> 01:13:25,200 | ||
6619 | make, and how are we going to remove | ||
6620 | |||
6621 | 1656 | ||
6622 | 01:13:25,200 ~-~-> 01:13:28,050 | ||
6623 | that risk to do zero and then lock in a | ||
6624 | |||
6625 | 1657 | ||
6626 | 01:13:28,050 ~-~-> 01:13:30,030 | ||
6627 | profit. That's where the majority of my | ||
6628 | |||
6629 | 1658 | ||
6630 | 01:13:30,030 ~-~-> 01:13:31,710 | ||
6631 | analysis is, it's not looking at charts | ||
6632 | |||
6633 | 1659 | ||
6634 | 01:13:31,710 ~-~-> 01:13:33,330 | ||
6635 | and waiting for the biases. If I signals | ||
6636 | |||
6637 | 1660 | ||
6638 | 01:13:33,330 ~-~-> 01:13:34,530 | ||
6639 | in the sell signals, that's that's the | ||
6640 | |||
6641 | 1661 | ||
6642 | 01:13:34,530 ~-~-> 01:13:38,130 | ||
6643 | easy stuff. The hard part is knowing | ||
6644 | |||
6645 | 1662 | ||
6646 | 01:13:38,160 ~-~-> 01:13:40,470 | ||
6647 | that the markets predisposed to go | ||
6648 | |||
6649 | 1663 | ||
6650 | 01:13:40,470 ~-~-> 01:13:42,900 | ||
6651 | higher and in fighting that urge to risk | ||
6652 | |||
6653 | 1664 | ||
6654 | 01:13:42,930 ~-~-> 01:13:45,450 | ||
6655 | 8% of my account, you know, 20% of my | ||
6656 | |||
6657 | 1665 | ||
6658 | 01:13:45,450 ~-~-> 01:13:47,100 | ||
6659 | account because I see this stuff happen | ||
6660 | |||
6661 | 1666 | ||
6662 | 01:13:47,130 ~-~-> 01:13:50,910 | ||
6663 | all the time. You a reasonably expect it | ||
6664 | |||
6665 | 1667 | ||
6666 | 01:13:50,910 ~-~-> 01:13:53,010 | ||
6667 | and anticipate it to unfold, but there's | ||
6668 | |||
6669 | 1668 | ||
6670 | 01:13:53,010 ~-~-> 01:13:55,590 | ||
6671 | no guarantee it's going to Okay, so I'm | ||
6672 | |||
6673 | 1669 | ||
6674 | 01:13:55,590 ~-~-> 01:13:58,410 | ||
6675 | giving you these these skills, okay to | ||
6676 | |||
6677 | 1670 | ||
6678 | 01:13:58,680 ~-~-> 01:14:02,130 | ||
6679 | work with you Give you a mindset that | ||
6680 | |||
6681 | 1671 | ||
6682 | 01:14:02,280 ~-~-> 01:14:05,310 | ||
6683 | hopefully will guide you to consistency. | ||
6684 | |||
6685 | 1672 | ||
6686 | 01:14:06,480 ~-~-> 01:14:09,300 | ||
6687 | So let's look at a, just a brief sample | ||
6688 | |||
6689 | 1673 | ||
6690 | 01:14:09,300 ~-~-> 01:14:11,250 | ||
6691 | set of how this is applicable, we're | ||
6692 | |||
6693 | 1674 | ||
6694 | 01:14:11,250 ~-~-> 01:14:12,930 | ||
6695 | just going to go and scroll through just | ||
6696 | |||
6697 | 1675 | ||
6698 | 01:14:12,930 ~-~-> 01:14:15,600 | ||
6699 | briefly. Okay, and we'll start here | ||
6700 | |||
6701 | 1676 | ||
6702 | 01:14:15,600 ~-~-> 01:14:16,710 | ||
6703 | again, I'll just, I don't want to go | ||
6704 | |||
6705 | 1677 | ||
6706 | 01:14:16,710 ~-~-> 01:14:17,940 | ||
6707 | back too far, because we could make a | ||
6708 | |||
6709 | 1678 | ||
6710 | 01:14:17,940 ~-~-> 01:14:20,730 | ||
6711 | huge, you know, treatise over this whole | ||
6712 | |||
6713 | 1679 | ||
6714 | 01:14:20,730 ~-~-> 01:14:22,380 | ||
6715 | thing and really not get to the other | ||
6716 | |||
6717 | 1680 | ||
6718 | 01:14:22,380 ~-~-> 01:14:25,590 | ||
6719 | things that I want to cover. But we have | ||
6720 | |||
6721 | 1681 | ||
6722 | 01:14:25,590 ~-~-> 01:14:28,050 | ||
6723 | the nine period break below here. Now, | ||
6724 | |||
6725 | 1682 | ||
6726 | 01:14:28,620 ~-~-> 01:14:30,480 | ||
6727 | price can step through both of these | ||
6728 | |||
6729 | 1683 | ||
6730 | 01:14:30,480 ~-~-> 01:14:32,340 | ||
6731 | moving averages. Okay, that's not | ||
6732 | |||
6733 | 1684 | ||
6734 | 01:14:32,370 ~-~-> 01:14:34,290 | ||
6735 | important in here. The important fact | ||
6736 | |||
6737 | 1685 | ||
6738 | 01:14:34,290 ~-~-> 01:14:36,690 | ||
6739 | is, is that if the nines below the 18th, | ||
6740 | |||
6741 | 1686 | ||
6742 | 01:14:36,720 ~-~-> 01:14:39,870 | ||
6743 | your mindset is I'm looking for sell | ||
6744 | |||
6745 | 1687 | ||
6746 | 01:14:39,870 ~-~-> 01:14:41,400 | ||
6747 | scenarios and looking for rallies to | ||
6748 | |||
6749 | 1688 | ||
6750 | 01:14:41,400 ~-~-> 01:14:46,230 | ||
6751 | sell into, okay. And you can expect the | ||
6752 | |||
6753 | 1689 | ||
6754 | 01:14:46,230 ~-~-> 01:14:49,110 | ||
6755 | blue line or the 18 period, okay to act | ||
6756 | |||
6757 | 1690 | ||
6758 | 01:14:49,110 ~-~-> 01:14:50,910 | ||
6759 | as like a dynamic support resistance | ||
6760 | |||
6761 | 1691 | ||
6762 | 01:14:50,910 ~-~-> 01:14:53,310 | ||
6763 | level, okay? I don't like trend lines. I | ||
6764 | |||
6765 | 1692 | ||
6766 | 01:14:53,310 ~-~-> 01:14:55,680 | ||
6767 | don't have faith in them. Okay. But when | ||
6768 | |||
6769 | 1693 | ||
6770 | 01:14:55,680 ~-~-> 01:14:58,350 | ||
6771 | you have a moving average like this, it | ||
6772 | |||
6773 | 1694 | ||
6774 | 01:14:58,350 ~-~-> 01:15:01,200 | ||
6775 | just, it allows me to anticipate price | ||
6776 | |||
6777 | 1695 | ||
6778 | 01:15:01,410 ~-~-> 01:15:02,940 | ||
6779 | reacting, it's very nice example of it | ||
6780 | |||
6781 | 1696 | ||
6782 | 01:15:02,940 ~-~-> 01:15:05,460 | ||
6783 | here. Okay, a nice example of it here as | ||
6784 | |||
6785 | 1697 | ||
6786 | 01:15:05,460 ~-~-> 01:15:07,620 | ||
6787 | well. And the bodies of the candles | ||
6788 | |||
6789 | 1698 | ||
6790 | 01:15:07,620 ~-~-> 01:15:10,680 | ||
6791 | remained below the 18 Here, here. So | ||
6792 | |||
6793 | 1699 | ||
6794 | 01:15:10,860 ~-~-> 01:15:12,240 | ||
6795 | even though we did have some wick step | ||
6796 | |||
6797 | 1700 | ||
6798 | 01:15:12,240 ~-~-> 01:15:14,340 | ||
6799 | through it to body itself was unable to | ||
6800 | |||
6801 | 1701 | ||
6802 | 01:15:14,340 ~-~-> 01:15:16,650 | ||
6803 | close above and remain lower, and you | ||
6804 | |||
6805 | 1702 | ||
6806 | 01:15:16,650 ~-~-> 01:15:18,210 | ||
6807 | can see that the result of the market | ||
6808 | |||
6809 | 1703 | ||
6810 | 01:15:18,240 ~-~-> 01:15:20,940 | ||
6811 | action was going to the downside. So | ||
6812 | |||
6813 | 1704 | ||
6814 | 01:15:22,110 ~-~-> 01:15:24,720 | ||
6815 | when you have that in place, okay, you | ||
6816 | |||
6817 | 1705 | ||
6818 | 01:15:24,720 ~-~-> 01:15:28,200 | ||
6819 | have that in place. It allows you to, | ||
6820 | |||
6821 | 1706 | ||
6822 | 01:15:28,200 ~-~-> 01:15:30,510 | ||
6823 | number one, view the market with a | ||
6824 | |||
6825 | 1707 | ||
6826 | 01:15:30,510 ~-~-> 01:15:33,390 | ||
6827 | higher level institutional momentum | ||
6828 | |||
6829 | 1708 | ||
6830 | 01:15:33,420 ~-~-> 01:15:35,970 | ||
6831 | perspective. Okay? That's a whole lot of | ||
6832 | |||
6833 | 1709 | ||
6834 | 01:15:35,970 ~-~-> 01:15:37,710 | ||
6835 | words there. And I try to I'm not trying | ||
6836 | |||
6837 | 1710 | ||
6838 | 01:15:37,710 ~-~-> 01:15:40,560 | ||
6839 | to be wordy or sound intellectual. I'm | ||
6840 | |||
6841 | 1711 | ||
6842 | 01:15:40,560 ~-~-> 01:15:43,080 | ||
6843 | trying to communicate the understanding | ||
6844 | |||
6845 | 1712 | ||
6846 | 01:15:43,080 ~-~-> 01:15:44,520 | ||
6847 | that I have in the marketplace because I | ||
6848 | |||
6849 | 1713 | ||
6850 | 01:15:44,520 ~-~-> 01:15:46,170 | ||
6851 | can't if there was a resource for me to | ||
6852 | |||
6853 | 1714 | ||
6854 | 01:15:46,170 ~-~-> 01:15:47,700 | ||
6855 | say, hey, go to this book. And this is | ||
6856 | |||
6857 | 1715 | ||
6858 | 01:15:47,700 ~-~-> 01:15:49,260 | ||
6859 | what it teaches you I would have saved | ||
6860 | |||
6861 | 1716 | ||
6862 | 01:15:49,260 ~-~-> 01:15:50,910 | ||
6863 | myself a lot of trouble. But there's no | ||
6864 | |||
6865 | 1717 | ||
6866 | 01:15:50,910 ~-~-> 01:15:52,260 | ||
6867 | books out that I'm aware of, and I have | ||
6868 | |||
6869 | 1718 | ||
6870 | 01:15:52,260 ~-~-> 01:15:54,990 | ||
6871 | a huge library of it. So I this is the | ||
6872 | |||
6873 | 1719 | ||
6874 | 01:15:54,990 ~-~-> 01:15:56,970 | ||
6875 | way for me to create it like a language | ||
6876 | |||
6877 | 1720 | ||
6878 | 01:15:56,970 ~-~-> 01:15:58,890 | ||
6879 | or vocabulary for us to interact so you | ||
6880 | |||
6881 | 1721 | ||
6882 | 01:15:58,890 ~-~-> 01:16:02,790 | ||
6883 | can understand the concept Okay, so when | ||
6884 | |||
6885 | 1722 | ||
6886 | 01:16:02,790 ~-~-> 01:16:05,700 | ||
6887 | we have the nine period above it above | ||
6888 | |||
6889 | 1723 | ||
6890 | 01:16:05,700 ~-~-> 01:16:07,920 | ||
6891 | the 18, we're buying and when the nine | ||
6892 | |||
6893 | 1724 | ||
6894 | 01:16:07,920 ~-~-> 01:16:09,480 | ||
6895 | periods below the 18 we're selling, | ||
6896 | |||
6897 | 1725 | ||
6898 | 01:16:09,690 ~-~-> 01:16:12,780 | ||
6899 | okay? That by itself will get you into a | ||
6900 | |||
6901 | 1726 | ||
6902 | 01:16:12,780 ~-~-> 01:16:15,420 | ||
6903 | whole lot of wonderful, sweet little | ||
6904 | |||
6905 | 1727 | ||
6906 | 01:16:15,570 ~-~-> 01:16:17,790 | ||
6907 | sweet spots in the market, we can just | ||
6908 | |||
6909 | 1728 | ||
6910 | 01:16:17,790 ~-~-> 01:16:19,710 | ||
6911 | take these opportunities and be happy | ||
6912 | |||
6913 | 1729 | ||
6914 | 01:16:19,710 ~-~-> 01:16:22,530 | ||
6915 | with that. But because I'm ICT that's | ||
6916 | |||
6917 | 1730 | ||
6918 | 01:16:22,530 ~-~-> 01:16:24,210 | ||
6919 | not enough, okay, I got to take it to | ||
6920 | |||
6921 | 1731 | ||
6922 | 01:16:24,210 ~-~-> 01:16:26,070 | ||
6923 | the nth degree. And we're going to be | ||
6924 | |||
6925 | 1732 | ||
6926 | 01:16:26,070 ~-~-> 01:16:28,890 | ||
6927 | looking at how we can further amplify | ||
6928 | |||
6929 | 1733 | ||
6930 | 01:16:28,920 ~-~-> 01:16:31,740 | ||
6931 | the effectiveness of directional bias | ||
6932 | |||
6933 | 1734 | ||
6934 | 01:16:31,800 ~-~-> 01:16:35,220 | ||
6935 | understanding with now we're going to | ||
6936 | |||
6937 | 1735 | ||
6938 | 01:16:36,000 ~-~-> 01:16:37,770 | ||
6939 | look at a series | ||
6940 | |||
6941 | 1736 | ||
6942 | 01:16:40,890 ~-~-> 01:16:41,940 | ||
6943 | Okay, of | ||
6944 | |||
6945 | 1737 | ||
6946 | 01:16:45,210 ~-~-> 01:16:50,610 | ||
6947 | we'll just use a slow area to okay in | ||
6948 | |||
6949 | 1738 | ||
6950 | 01:16:50,610 ~-~-> 01:16:59,820 | ||
6951 | here, that was a by area from this point | ||
6952 | |||
6953 | 1739 | ||
6954 | 01:16:59,820 ~-~-> 01:17:07,860 | ||
6955 | in Here, here was a buying area. And | ||
6956 | |||
6957 | 1740 | ||
6958 | 01:17:10,590 ~-~-> 01:17:22,320 | ||
6959 | right in here became a selling framework | ||
6960 | |||
6961 | 1741 | ||
6962 | 01:17:22,320 ~-~-> 01:17:24,360 | ||
6963 | where you're really just focusing on | ||
6964 | |||
6965 | 1742 | ||
6966 | 01:17:25,110 ~-~-> 01:17:30,600 | ||
6967 | being a bear. And we'll just use that | ||
6968 | |||
6969 | 1743 | ||
6970 | 01:17:30,810 ~-~-> 01:17:34,710 | ||
6971 | because that's a nice little price swing | ||
6972 | |||
6973 | 1744 | ||
6974 | 01:17:34,710 ~-~-> 01:17:37,230 | ||
6975 | in here we can work with it. And what | ||
6976 | |||
6977 | 1745 | ||
6978 | 01:17:37,230 ~-~-> 01:17:38,670 | ||
6979 | I'm going to do now is I'm going to take | ||
6980 | |||
6981 | 1746 | ||
6982 | 01:17:38,670 ~-~-> 01:17:39,990 | ||
6983 | the moving averages off because while | ||
6984 | |||
6985 | 1747 | ||
6986 | 01:17:39,990 ~-~-> 01:17:44,010 | ||
6987 | we've already established where the | ||
6988 | |||
6989 | 1748 | ||
6990 | 01:17:44,010 ~-~-> 01:17:46,020 | ||
6991 | averages have communicated the | ||
6992 | |||
6993 | 1749 | ||
6994 | 01:17:46,830 ~-~-> 01:17:48,120 | ||
6995 | bullishness or bearishness that we | ||
6996 | |||
6997 | 1750 | ||
6998 | 01:17:48,120 ~-~-> 01:17:50,160 | ||
6999 | should be focusing on Okay, so now with | ||
7000 | |||
7001 | 1751 | ||
7002 | 01:17:50,160 ~-~-> 01:17:52,290 | ||
7003 | those moving averages way, we're going | ||
7004 | |||
7005 | 1752 | ||
7006 | 01:17:52,290 ~-~-> 01:17:56,100 | ||
7007 | to apply now market structure and order | ||
7008 | |||
7009 | 1753 | ||
7010 | 01:17:56,100 ~-~-> 01:17:59,190 | ||
7011 | flow. Okay and or market flow, whatever | ||
7012 | |||
7013 | 1754 | ||
7014 | 01:17:59,190 ~-~-> 01:18:01,800 | ||
7015 | you want to call it, but The premise of | ||
7016 | |||
7017 | 1755 | ||
7018 | 01:18:01,800 ~-~-> 01:18:03,660 | ||
7019 | where swing highs are taken out to the | ||
7020 | |||
7021 | 1756 | ||
7022 | 01:18:03,660 ~-~-> 01:18:05,850 | ||
7023 | upside. Okay, that is momentum on the | ||
7024 | |||
7025 | 1757 | ||
7026 | 01:18:05,850 ~-~-> 01:18:09,540 | ||
7027 | upside, in addition to when you have | ||
7028 | |||
7029 | 1758 | ||
7030 | 01:18:09,660 ~-~-> 01:18:11,970 | ||
7031 | these little areas where market is | ||
7032 | |||
7033 | 1759 | ||
7034 | 01:18:11,970 ~-~-> 01:18:13,470 | ||
7035 | generally looking to move higher or | ||
7036 | |||
7037 | 1760 | ||
7038 | 01:18:13,470 ~-~-> 01:18:15,690 | ||
7039 | lower based on just two components | ||
7040 | |||
7041 | 1761 | ||
7042 | 01:18:15,690 ~-~-> 01:18:18,450 | ||
7043 | blended together. And what I mean by | ||
7044 | |||
7045 | 1762 | ||
7046 | 01:18:18,450 ~-~-> 01:18:20,640 | ||
7047 | that, well, we're going to go up to the | ||
7048 | |||
7049 | 1763 | ||
7050 | 01:18:20,640 ~-~-> 01:18:24,360 | ||
7051 | indicator thing here on Mt four. And, | ||
7052 | |||
7053 | 1764 | ||
7054 | 01:18:24,750 ~-~-> 01:18:28,620 | ||
7055 | again, I do not require a five day or | ||
7056 | |||
7057 | 1765 | ||
7058 | 01:18:28,620 ~-~-> 01:18:30,330 | ||
7059 | five candle pattern to create | ||
7060 | |||
7061 | 1766 | ||
7062 | 01:18:31,140 ~-~-> 01:18:31,920 | ||
7063 | a fractal. | ||
7064 | |||
7065 | 1767 | ||
7066 | 01:18:32,220 ~-~-> 01:18:35,310 | ||
7067 | Okay, and when I say fractal, it's this | ||
7068 | |||
7069 | 1768 | ||
7070 | 01:18:35,310 ~-~-> 01:18:39,660 | ||
7071 | little thingamabob, that's on Mt four. | ||
7072 | |||
7073 | 1769 | ||
7074 | 01:18:42,150 ~-~-> 01:18:43,590 | ||
7075 | And I probably should use a different | ||
7076 | |||
7077 | 1770 | ||
7078 | 01:18:43,590 ~-~-> 01:18:47,460 | ||
7079 | color, which I'm going to do now. And | ||
7080 | |||
7081 | 1771 | ||
7082 | 01:18:47,460 ~-~-> 01:18:50,250 | ||
7083 | we're just going to use we'll use red | ||
7084 | |||
7085 | 1772 | ||
7086 | 01:18:50,250 ~-~-> 01:18:55,020 | ||
7087 | that'll pop off pretty good. All right. | ||
7088 | |||
7089 | 1773 | ||
7090 | 01:18:57,000 ~-~-> 01:19:00,810 | ||
7091 | In here, we have a fractal. Hi Basically | ||
7092 | |||
7093 | 1774 | ||
7094 | 01:19:00,810 ~-~-> 01:19:01,950 | ||
7095 | a swing high. In other words, it's a | ||
7096 | |||
7097 | 1775 | ||
7098 | 01:19:01,950 ~-~-> 01:19:05,400 | ||
7099 | candle with two lower high candles on | ||
7100 | |||
7101 | 1776 | ||
7102 | 01:19:05,400 ~-~-> 01:19:07,770 | ||
7103 | both sides of it. For me and my trading, | ||
7104 | |||
7105 | 1777 | ||
7106 | 01:19:07,800 ~-~-> 01:19:10,200 | ||
7107 | I simply use this candle with the higher | ||
7108 | |||
7109 | 1778 | ||
7110 | 01:19:10,200 ~-~-> 01:19:11,970 | ||
7111 | low here, I'm sorry with a lower high | ||
7112 | |||
7113 | 1779 | ||
7114 | 01:19:11,970 ~-~-> 01:19:13,680 | ||
7115 | here and a lower high here, okay, | ||
7116 | |||
7117 | 1780 | ||
7118 | 01:19:14,010 ~-~-> 01:19:16,320 | ||
7119 | between this pattern inside this candle, | ||
7120 | |||
7121 | 1781 | ||
7122 | 01:19:16,320 ~-~-> 01:19:18,360 | ||
7123 | this angle and this candle, that alone | ||
7124 | |||
7125 | 1782 | ||
7126 | 01:19:18,390 ~-~-> 01:19:20,070 | ||
7127 | would have presented a swing high to me | ||
7128 | |||
7129 | 1783 | ||
7130 | 01:19:20,070 ~-~-> 01:19:21,630 | ||
7131 | and if that was violated on the upside, | ||
7132 | |||
7133 | 1784 | ||
7134 | 01:19:21,900 ~-~-> 01:19:23,160 | ||
7135 | you know, that would have been enough | ||
7136 | |||
7137 | 1785 | ||
7138 | 01:19:23,160 ~-~-> 01:19:27,810 | ||
7139 | for me. Okay. We have a swing high here, | ||
7140 | |||
7141 | 1786 | ||
7142 | 01:19:28,410 ~-~-> 01:19:30,600 | ||
7143 | we have a swing low here, we have a | ||
7144 | |||
7145 | 1787 | ||
7146 | 01:19:30,600 ~-~-> 01:19:33,750 | ||
7147 | swing swing low here as well. Now, as | ||
7148 | |||
7149 | 1788 | ||
7150 | 01:19:33,750 ~-~-> 01:19:35,250 | ||
7151 | price moved | ||
7152 | |||
7153 | 1789 | ||
7154 | 01:19:35,760 ~-~-> 01:19:36,480 | ||
7155 | above, | ||
7156 | |||
7157 | 1790 | ||
7158 | 01:19:37,200 ~-~-> 01:19:40,170 | ||
7159 | this swing high here right there. Now we | ||
7160 | |||
7161 | 1791 | ||
7162 | 01:19:40,170 ~-~-> 01:19:43,110 | ||
7163 | have both swing high broken out or Mark | ||
7164 | |||
7165 | 1792 | ||
7166 | 01:19:43,110 ~-~-> 01:19:46,950 | ||
7167 | structure has shifted upwards, while | ||
7168 | |||
7169 | 1793 | ||
7170 | 01:19:46,950 ~-~-> 01:19:49,080 | ||
7171 | we're in an area where those two moving | ||
7172 | |||
7173 | 1794 | ||
7174 | 01:19:49,080 ~-~-> 01:19:52,410 | ||
7175 | averages are implied. Momentum is | ||
7176 | |||
7177 | 1795 | ||
7178 | 01:19:52,410 ~-~-> 01:19:54,810 | ||
7179 | bullish, okay. So from this point, one | ||
7180 | |||
7181 | 1796 | ||
7182 | 01:19:56,850 ~-~-> 01:20:01,860 | ||
7183 | here We are looking to be a buyer. We're | ||
7184 | |||
7185 | 1797 | ||
7186 | 01:20:01,860 ~-~-> 01:20:03,180 | ||
7187 | gonna be looking for a retracement of | ||
7188 | |||
7189 | 1798 | ||
7190 | 01:20:03,180 ~-~-> 01:20:06,360 | ||
7191 | some sorts okay to be a buyer in okay | ||
7192 | |||
7193 | 1799 | ||
7194 | 01:20:07,740 ~-~-> 01:20:11,100 | ||
7195 | now you see a minor little retracement | ||
7196 | |||
7197 | 1800 | ||
7198 | 01:20:11,100 ~-~-> 01:20:14,190 | ||
7199 | in here and then it rallies off. Now | ||
7200 | |||
7201 | 1801 | ||
7202 | 01:20:14,190 ~-~-> 01:20:15,570 | ||
7203 | even though we have a bearish candle | ||
7204 | |||
7205 | 1802 | ||
7206 | 01:20:15,570 ~-~-> 01:20:18,660 | ||
7207 | here, okay we did move higher just in | ||
7208 | |||
7209 | 1803 | ||
7210 | 01:20:18,660 ~-~-> 01:20:21,990 | ||
7211 | terms of pips from the time it broke | ||
7212 | |||
7213 | 1804 | ||
7214 | 01:20:21,990 ~-~-> 01:20:24,090 | ||
7215 | this, this swing high here. We're going | ||
7216 | |||
7217 | 1805 | ||
7218 | 01:20:24,090 ~-~-> 01:20:25,770 | ||
7219 | to use that range to the high up here. | ||
7220 | |||
7221 | 1806 | ||
7222 | 01:20:26,460 ~-~-> 01:20:31,680 | ||
7223 | That's 179 pips. Okay 179 pips? That's | ||
7224 | |||
7225 | 1807 | ||
7226 | 01:20:31,680 ~-~-> 01:20:34,950 | ||
7227 | inside of one week. Do you think you can | ||
7228 | |||
7229 | 1808 | ||
7230 | 01:20:34,950 ~-~-> 01:20:37,530 | ||
7231 | get 50 pips out of that? Is it | ||
7232 | |||
7233 | 1809 | ||
7234 | 01:20:37,530 ~-~-> 01:20:39,570 | ||
7235 | reasonable to think that one would be | ||
7236 | |||
7237 | 1810 | ||
7238 | 01:20:39,570 ~-~-> 01:20:42,030 | ||
7239 | able to? I hope, I hope do you think | ||
7240 | |||
7241 | 1811 | ||
7242 | 01:20:42,030 ~-~-> 01:20:45,960 | ||
7243 | that at least, okay. Again, we have | ||
7244 | |||
7245 | 1812 | ||
7246 | 01:20:46,380 ~-~-> 01:20:50,340 | ||
7247 | price still above the swing high and the | ||
7248 | |||
7249 | 1813 | ||
7250 | 01:20:50,340 ~-~-> 01:20:52,140 | ||
7251 | only recent swing low prior to that | ||
7252 | |||
7253 | 1814 | ||
7254 | 01:20:52,140 ~-~-> 01:20:54,210 | ||
7255 | point is here. So as long as prices and | ||
7256 | |||
7257 | 1815 | ||
7258 | 01:20:54,210 ~-~-> 01:20:56,550 | ||
7259 | break that swing low, we are still | ||
7260 | |||
7261 | 1816 | ||
7262 | 01:20:56,580 ~-~-> 01:20:59,220 | ||
7263 | bullish. We have a swing low form here. | ||
7264 | |||
7265 | 1817 | ||
7266 | 01:20:59,850 ~-~-> 01:21:01,470 | ||
7267 | But Notice that that's the only one | ||
7268 | |||
7269 | 1818 | ||
7270 | 01:21:01,470 ~-~-> 01:21:03,600 | ||
7271 | since this one was formed. So Mark | ||
7272 | |||
7273 | 1819 | ||
7274 | 01:21:03,600 ~-~-> 01:21:05,640 | ||
7275 | structure and order flow suggests that | ||
7276 | |||
7277 | 1820 | ||
7278 | 01:21:06,510 ~-~-> 01:21:08,400 | ||
7279 | we are still go for buying | ||
7280 | |||
7281 | 1821 | ||
7282 | 01:21:08,400 ~-~-> 01:21:12,030 | ||
7283 | opportunities. Okay? Now price retraces | ||
7284 | |||
7285 | 1822 | ||
7286 | 01:21:12,030 ~-~-> 01:21:15,330 | ||
7287 | again, okay inside of this range, and we | ||
7288 | |||
7289 | 1823 | ||
7290 | 01:21:15,330 ~-~-> 01:21:18,090 | ||
7291 | broke this swing high here. So when that | ||
7292 | |||
7293 | 1824 | ||
7294 | 01:21:18,090 ~-~-> 01:21:21,120 | ||
7295 | breaks, this is the range. Right here, | ||
7296 | |||
7297 | 1825 | ||
7298 | 01:21:21,120 ~-~-> 01:21:24,690 | ||
7299 | this is that little price move here. If | ||
7300 | |||
7301 | 1826 | ||
7302 | 01:21:24,690 ~-~-> 01:21:26,850 | ||
7303 | we looked at just that range alone, | ||
7304 | |||
7305 | 1827 | ||
7306 | 01:21:26,880 ~-~-> 01:21:28,290 | ||
7307 | again, we're working on a daily chart | ||
7308 | |||
7309 | 1828 | ||
7310 | 01:21:28,290 ~-~-> 01:21:30,780 | ||
7311 | guys, this is not an intraday chart. If | ||
7312 | |||
7313 | 1829 | ||
7314 | 01:21:30,780 ~-~-> 01:21:36,750 | ||
7315 | I look at using the fib, john draw so | ||
7316 | |||
7317 | 1830 | ||
7318 | 01:21:36,750 ~-~-> 01:21:39,720 | ||
7319 | you guys can see. Here's the 79 cent | ||
7320 | |||
7321 | 1831 | ||
7322 | 01:21:39,720 ~-~-> 01:21:42,210 | ||
7323 | tracer level right in here. Okay, now | ||
7324 | |||
7325 | 1832 | ||
7326 | 01:21:42,210 ~-~-> 01:21:44,820 | ||
7327 | true, it violated just a little bit, but | ||
7328 | |||
7329 | 1833 | ||
7330 | 01:21:44,820 ~-~-> 01:21:49,140 | ||
7331 | ultimately it spent very little time | ||
7332 | |||
7333 | 1834 | ||
7334 | 01:21:49,200 ~-~-> 01:21:51,030 | ||
7335 | Okay, blowing through it going on | ||
7336 | |||
7337 | 1835 | ||
7338 | 01:21:51,030 ~-~-> 01:21:54,630 | ||
7339 | downside and we moved higher again. That | ||
7340 | |||
7341 | 1836 | ||
7342 | 01:21:54,630 ~-~-> 01:22:00,150 | ||
7343 | by itself is insightful because Number | ||
7344 | |||
7345 | 1837 | ||
7346 | 01:22:00,150 ~-~-> 01:22:03,300 | ||
7347 | one, it allows you to understand where | ||
7348 | |||
7349 | 1838 | ||
7350 | 01:22:03,300 ~-~-> 01:22:06,120 | ||
7351 | these fractals are forming. Okay? And | ||
7352 | |||
7353 | 1839 | ||
7354 | 01:22:06,120 ~-~-> 01:22:07,530 | ||
7355 | I'm saying fractal and sense of the | ||
7356 | |||
7357 | 1840 | ||
7358 | 01:22:07,530 ~-~-> 01:22:09,780 | ||
7359 | price pattern, not these little errors, | ||
7360 | |||
7361 | 1841 | ||
7362 | 01:22:09,810 ~-~-> 01:22:11,550 | ||
7363 | okay, and that's probably confusing. I | ||
7364 | |||
7365 | 1842 | ||
7366 | 01:22:11,550 ~-~-> 01:22:12,780 | ||
7367 | wish they would have named this | ||
7368 | |||
7369 | 1843 | ||
7370 | 01:22:12,810 ~-~-> 01:22:16,020 | ||
7371 | indicator for these swing high swing | ||
7372 | |||
7373 | 1844 | ||
7374 | 01:22:16,020 ~-~-> 01:22:18,570 | ||
7375 | lows is something different. But Bill | ||
7376 | |||
7377 | 1845 | ||
7378 | 01:22:18,570 ~-~-> 01:22:19,950 | ||
7379 | Williams, for whatever reason, felt he | ||
7380 | |||
7381 | 1846 | ||
7382 | 01:22:19,950 ~-~-> 01:22:22,200 | ||
7383 | needed to call it that. It's not a | ||
7384 | |||
7385 | 1847 | ||
7386 | 01:22:22,200 ~-~-> 01:22:24,450 | ||
7387 | fractal, by my definition, or many | ||
7388 | |||
7389 | 1848 | ||
7390 | 01:22:24,450 ~-~-> 01:22:26,430 | ||
7391 | others if he if he really looked around. | ||
7392 | |||
7393 | 1849 | ||
7394 | 01:22:27,840 ~-~-> 01:22:30,270 | ||
7395 | But we have a price rally from in here, | ||
7396 | |||
7397 | 1850 | ||
7398 | 01:22:30,510 ~-~-> 01:22:32,370 | ||
7399 | up here. Now we're going to talk about | ||
7400 | |||
7401 | 1851 | ||
7402 | 01:22:32,370 ~-~-> 01:22:33,990 | ||
7403 | how this could have been viewed in | ||
7404 | |||
7405 | 1852 | ||
7406 | 01:22:33,990 ~-~-> 01:22:37,770 | ||
7407 | advance before this happening, where | ||
7408 | |||
7409 | 1853 | ||
7410 | 01:22:38,610 ~-~-> 01:22:41,700 | ||
7411 | overhear something goes on, that's | ||
7412 | |||
7413 | 1854 | ||
7414 | 01:22:41,700 ~-~-> 01:22:45,330 | ||
7415 | useful to tell when there would be an | ||
7416 | |||
7417 | 1855 | ||
7418 | 01:22:45,330 ~-~-> 01:22:48,150 | ||
7419 | opportunity to be a buyer. But before we | ||
7420 | |||
7421 | 1856 | ||
7422 | 01:22:48,150 ~-~-> 01:22:49,380 | ||
7423 | get to that, here's another opportunity | ||
7424 | |||
7425 | 1857 | ||
7426 | 01:22:49,380 ~-~-> 01:22:51,870 | ||
7427 | just by using the the range that's 130 | ||
7428 | |||
7429 | 1858 | ||
7430 | 01:22:51,870 ~-~-> 01:22:54,900 | ||
7431 | pips from that point to hear again, | ||
7432 | |||
7433 | 1859 | ||
7434 | 01:22:55,110 ~-~-> 01:22:58,080 | ||
7435 | within a week's time, so there's plenty | ||
7436 | |||
7437 | 1860 | ||
7438 | 01:22:58,080 ~-~-> 01:23:01,440 | ||
7439 | of opportunity to be profitable, okay | ||
7440 | |||
7441 | 1861 | ||
7442 | 01:23:01,440 ~-~-> 01:23:04,890 | ||
7443 | and catch your 50 pips or so a week and | ||
7444 | |||
7445 | 1862 | ||
7446 | 01:23:04,890 ~-~-> 01:23:06,150 | ||
7447 | again, I'm trying to give you a | ||
7448 | |||
7449 | 1863 | ||
7450 | 01:23:06,150 ~-~-> 01:23:09,120 | ||
7451 | realistic low end objective that flies | ||
7452 | |||
7453 | 1864 | ||
7454 | 01:23:09,120 ~-~-> 01:23:10,530 | ||
7455 | against everybody else teaching that you | ||
7456 | |||
7457 | 1865 | ||
7458 | 01:23:10,530 ~-~-> 01:23:12,450 | ||
7459 | got to make 2000 pips a month, okay | ||
7460 | |||
7461 | 1866 | ||
7462 | 01:23:12,450 ~-~-> 01:23:13,740 | ||
7463 | because you don't need to do it my | ||
7464 | |||
7465 | 1867 | ||
7466 | 01:23:13,740 ~-~-> 01:23:15,330 | ||
7467 | question is this if these guys are | ||
7468 | |||
7469 | 1868 | ||
7470 | 01:23:15,330 ~-~-> 01:23:17,820 | ||
7471 | making 2000 pips a month, okay? Or | ||
7472 | |||
7473 | 1869 | ||
7474 | 01:23:17,820 ~-~-> 01:23:20,790 | ||
7475 | 20,000 pips a year Why aren't they | ||
7476 | |||
7477 | 1870 | ||
7478 | 01:23:20,790 ~-~-> 01:23:24,300 | ||
7479 | billionaires? Think about that driver | ||
7480 | |||
7481 | 1871 | ||
7482 | 01:23:24,300 ~-~-> 01:23:27,300 | ||
7483 | everybody's selling courses. Why is | ||
7484 | |||
7485 | 1872 | ||
7486 | 01:23:27,330 ~-~-> 01:23:30,150 | ||
7487 | there a billionaire out there? Okay, cuz | ||
7488 | |||
7489 | 1873 | ||
7490 | 01:23:30,150 ~-~-> 01:23:32,490 | ||
7491 | it's crap. Okay look, | ||
7492 | |||
7493 | 1874 | ||
7494 | 01:23:32,670 ~-~-> 01:23:34,770 | ||
7495 | you can have a million pips all you want | ||
7496 | |||
7497 | 1875 | ||
7498 | 01:23:34,920 ~-~-> 01:23:36,330 | ||
7499 | it's how much you manage your money | ||
7500 | |||
7501 | 1876 | ||
7502 | 01:23:36,330 ~-~-> 01:23:38,310 | ||
7503 | behind those pips. Okay? And I guarantee | ||
7504 | |||
7505 | 1877 | ||
7506 | 01:23:38,310 ~-~-> 01:23:41,940 | ||
7507 | you 99% of them don't do right things | ||
7508 | |||
7509 | 1878 | ||
7510 | 01:23:41,940 ~-~-> 01:23:43,620 | ||
7511 | with their equity in their money. So | ||
7512 | |||
7513 | 1879 | ||
7514 | 01:23:43,620 ~-~-> 01:23:44,940 | ||
7515 | just simply because you're showing me a | ||
7516 | |||
7517 | 1880 | ||
7518 | 01:23:44,940 ~-~-> 01:23:46,950 | ||
7519 | spreadsheet or you have a video on | ||
7520 | |||
7521 | 1881 | ||
7522 | 01:23:46,950 ~-~-> 01:23:48,480 | ||
7523 | YouTube saying you made you know X | ||
7524 | |||
7525 | 1882 | ||
7526 | 01:23:48,480 ~-~-> 01:23:50,490 | ||
7527 | amount of pips means absolutely nothing | ||
7528 | |||
7529 | 1883 | ||
7530 | 01:23:50,490 ~-~-> 01:23:51,870 | ||
7531 | to me and it shouldn't mean nothing to | ||
7532 | |||
7533 | 1884 | ||
7534 | 01:23:51,870 ~-~-> 01:23:55,860 | ||
7535 | you. Okay? So, again, think you don't | ||
7536 | |||
7537 | 1885 | ||
7538 | 01:23:55,860 ~-~-> 01:23:56,970 | ||
7539 | need a whole lot. So if we're going to | ||
7540 | |||
7541 | 1886 | ||
7542 | 01:23:56,970 ~-~-> 01:23:59,610 | ||
7543 | focus in just on 50 pips a week, that's | ||
7544 | |||
7545 | 1887 | ||
7546 | 01:23:59,610 ~-~-> 01:24:02,220 | ||
7547 | a really realistic obtainable goal, and | ||
7548 | |||
7549 | 1888 | ||
7550 | 01:24:02,220 ~-~-> 01:24:03,570 | ||
7551 | it's something that could be duplicated | ||
7552 | |||
7553 | 1889 | ||
7554 | 01:24:03,600 ~-~-> 01:24:05,040 | ||
7555 | over and over and over again, it's like | ||
7556 | |||
7557 | 1890 | ||
7558 | 01:24:05,040 ~-~-> 01:24:07,170 | ||
7559 | a, like a cookie cutter approach. You | ||
7560 | |||
7561 | 1891 | ||
7562 | 01:24:07,170 ~-~-> 01:24:08,910 | ||
7563 | keep doing the same thing over and over | ||
7564 | |||
7565 | 1892 | ||
7566 | 01:24:08,910 ~-~-> 01:24:11,580 | ||
7567 | and over again. Sometimes you run out of | ||
7568 | |||
7569 | 1893 | ||
7570 | 01:24:11,580 ~-~-> 01:24:13,260 | ||
7571 | dough. Okay? And what you got to do, you | ||
7572 | |||
7573 | 1894 | ||
7574 | 01:24:13,260 ~-~-> 01:24:15,180 | ||
7575 | got to follow it up and work it out. | ||
7576 | |||
7577 | 1895 | ||
7578 | 01:24:15,180 ~-~-> 01:24:17,250 | ||
7579 | Again, spread thin, spread a thinner, it | ||
7580 | |||
7581 | 1896 | ||
7582 | 01:24:17,250 ~-~-> 01:24:19,320 | ||
7583 | means risk less, okay, cut back your | ||
7584 | |||
7585 | 1897 | ||
7586 | 01:24:19,320 ~-~-> 01:24:21,450 | ||
7587 | equity. Okay? And then you keep doing | ||
7588 | |||
7589 | 1898 | ||
7590 | 01:24:21,450 ~-~-> 01:24:23,040 | ||
7591 | that same thing, milk it for all it's | ||
7592 | |||
7593 | 1899 | ||
7594 | 01:24:23,040 ~-~-> 01:24:24,330 | ||
7595 | worth doing the same thing, don't | ||
7596 | |||
7597 | 1900 | ||
7598 | 01:24:24,330 ~-~-> 01:24:25,830 | ||
7599 | deviate, don't change the parameters. | ||
7600 | |||
7601 | 1901 | ||
7602 | 01:24:26,070 ~-~-> 01:24:28,140 | ||
7603 | And then by approaching the market like | ||
7604 | |||
7605 | 1902 | ||
7606 | 01:24:28,140 ~-~-> 01:24:29,370 | ||
7607 | that, number one, you're not gonna be | ||
7608 | |||
7609 | 1903 | ||
7610 | 01:24:29,370 ~-~-> 01:24:30,630 | ||
7611 | surprised when you lose money because | ||
7612 | |||
7613 | 1904 | ||
7614 | 01:24:30,630 ~-~-> 01:24:31,860 | ||
7615 | you're going to know that okay, that | ||
7616 | |||
7617 | 1905 | ||
7618 | 01:24:31,860 ~-~-> 01:24:33,300 | ||
7619 | didn't work and I'm not going to be | ||
7620 | |||
7621 | 1906 | ||
7622 | 01:24:33,330 ~-~-> 01:24:35,220 | ||
7623 | jumping back in again because my system | ||
7624 | |||
7625 | 1907 | ||
7626 | 01:24:35,490 ~-~-> 01:24:37,740 | ||
7627 | or method or parameter says that I | ||
7628 | |||
7629 | 1908 | ||
7630 | 01:24:37,740 ~-~-> 01:24:41,010 | ||
7631 | can't. So I'm limiting my exposure in my | ||
7632 | |||
7633 | 1909 | ||
7634 | 01:24:41,010 ~-~-> 01:24:42,570 | ||
7635 | engagement to the marketplace to just | ||
7636 | |||
7637 | 1910 | ||
7638 | 01:24:42,570 ~-~-> 01:24:46,200 | ||
7639 | this okay. Which is hugely important | ||
7640 | |||
7641 | 1911 | ||
7642 | 01:24:46,200 ~-~-> 01:24:48,990 | ||
7643 | because 90% of traders don't do that. | ||
7644 | |||
7645 | 1912 | ||
7646 | 01:24:49,140 ~-~-> 01:24:53,070 | ||
7647 | Okay. Now, even in here, now, this is | ||
7648 | |||
7649 | 1913 | ||
7650 | 01:24:53,070 ~-~-> 01:24:55,530 | ||
7651 | why I don't like candlesticks because | ||
7652 | |||
7653 | 1914 | ||
7654 | 01:24:55,530 ~-~-> 01:24:58,650 | ||
7655 | it's very deceiving. If you are looking | ||
7656 | |||
7657 | 1915 | ||
7658 | 01:24:58,650 ~-~-> 01:25:02,070 | ||
7659 | at price action one specific manner and | ||
7660 | |||
7661 | 1916 | ||
7662 | 01:25:02,070 ~-~-> 01:25:04,650 | ||
7663 | then what I mean by that is this. We | ||
7664 | |||
7665 | 1917 | ||
7666 | 01:25:04,650 ~-~-> 01:25:07,410 | ||
7667 | have a low here, okay? And if you look | ||
7668 | |||
7669 | 1918 | ||
7670 | 01:25:07,410 ~-~-> 01:25:09,450 | ||
7671 | at the range between this low of this | ||
7672 | |||
7673 | 1919 | ||
7674 | 01:25:09,450 ~-~-> 01:25:11,880 | ||
7675 | candle to this candle here, we have a | ||
7676 | |||
7677 | 1920 | ||
7678 | 01:25:11,880 ~-~-> 01:25:13,770 | ||
7679 | price swing. Okay, if you looked on a | ||
7680 | |||
7681 | 1921 | ||
7682 | 01:25:13,770 ~-~-> 01:25:16,740 | ||
7683 | lower intraday price model, you'll see | ||
7684 | |||
7685 | 1922 | ||
7686 | 01:25:16,740 ~-~-> 01:25:18,210 | ||
7687 | that this is a very nice price swing, | ||
7688 | |||
7689 | 1923 | ||
7690 | 01:25:18,540 ~-~-> 01:25:21,120 | ||
7691 | okay, it's disguised many times because | ||
7692 | |||
7693 | 1924 | ||
7694 | 01:25:21,450 ~-~-> 01:25:23,610 | ||
7695 | many, many folks don't even look at a | ||
7696 | |||
7697 | 1925 | ||
7698 | 01:25:23,610 ~-~-> 01:25:25,830 | ||
7699 | daily chart, but this here is a range | ||
7700 | |||
7701 | 1926 | ||
7702 | 01:25:25,890 ~-~-> 01:25:28,830 | ||
7703 | Okay, this is a tradable range. If you | ||
7704 | |||
7705 | 1927 | ||
7706 | 01:25:28,830 ~-~-> 01:25:31,230 | ||
7707 | look at what was available from that | ||
7708 | |||
7709 | 1928 | ||
7710 | 01:25:31,230 ~-~-> 01:25:34,710 | ||
7711 | retracement, okay again, cancel the idea | ||
7712 | |||
7713 | 1929 | ||
7714 | 01:25:34,710 ~-~-> 01:25:36,570 | ||
7715 | of this being a bearish candle this | ||
7716 | |||
7717 | 1930 | ||
7718 | 01:25:36,870 ~-~-> 01:25:39,420 | ||
7719 | bearish candle this bearish candle price | ||
7720 | |||
7721 | 1931 | ||
7722 | 01:25:39,420 ~-~-> 01:25:43,620 | ||
7723 | moves from this low to this candles high | ||
7724 | |||
7725 | 1932 | ||
7726 | 01:25:43,620 ~-~-> 01:25:48,930 | ||
7727 | here it's 123 pips again that was made | ||
7728 | |||
7729 | 1933 | ||
7730 | 01:25:49,050 ~-~-> 01:25:52,500 | ||
7731 | during bearish candles, okay, even | ||
7732 | |||
7733 | 1934 | ||
7734 | 01:25:52,500 ~-~-> 01:25:54,030 | ||
7735 | though the market did come down here i'm | ||
7736 | |||
7737 | 1935 | ||
7738 | 01:25:54,030 ~-~-> 01:25:57,000 | ||
7739 | not i'm not you know ignoring the | ||
7740 | |||
7741 | 1936 | ||
7742 | 01:25:57,000 ~-~-> 01:25:58,440 | ||
7743 | elephant in the room here if you will, | ||
7744 | |||
7745 | 1937 | ||
7746 | 01:25:58,710 ~-~-> 01:26:01,110 | ||
7747 | on this two or three Day down move. I'm | ||
7748 | |||
7749 | 1938 | ||
7750 | 01:26:01,110 ~-~-> 01:26:03,060 | ||
7751 | not suggesting that didn't occur or | ||
7752 | |||
7753 | 1939 | ||
7754 | 01:26:03,060 ~-~-> 01:26:04,800 | ||
7755 | wasn't significant. What I'm stating to | ||
7756 | |||
7757 | 1940 | ||
7758 | 01:26:04,800 ~-~-> 01:26:07,350 | ||
7759 | you is if you stick to the model of | ||
7760 | |||
7761 | 1941 | ||
7762 | 01:26:07,440 ~-~-> 01:26:09,570 | ||
7763 | looking at the low to high and then | ||
7764 | |||
7765 | 1942 | ||
7766 | 01:26:09,570 ~-~-> 01:26:12,330 | ||
7767 | retracement during an ideal timeframe, | ||
7768 | |||
7769 | 1943 | ||
7770 | 01:26:12,480 ~-~-> 01:26:14,550 | ||
7771 | okay? Notice we didn't break this swing | ||
7772 | |||
7773 | 1944 | ||
7774 | 01:26:14,550 ~-~-> 01:26:16,440 | ||
7775 | low that formed here we came down into | ||
7776 | |||
7777 | 1945 | ||
7778 | 01:26:16,440 ~-~-> 01:26:18,420 | ||
7779 | the range between that candles low and | ||
7780 | |||
7781 | 1946 | ||
7782 | 01:26:18,420 ~-~-> 01:26:21,240 | ||
7783 | this candles high if we use our fib | ||
7784 | |||
7785 | 1947 | ||
7786 | 01:26:22,950 ~-~-> 01:26:27,330 | ||
7787 | Okay, pull that up. Okay, we have a | ||
7788 | |||
7789 | 1948 | ||
7790 | 01:26:27,330 ~-~-> 01:26:29,400 | ||
7791 | reasonable idea where to anticipate | ||
7792 | |||
7793 | 1949 | ||
7794 | 01:26:29,400 ~-~-> 01:26:32,280 | ||
7795 | again, where the the low should form, | ||
7796 | |||
7797 | 1950 | ||
7798 | 01:26:32,730 ~-~-> 01:26:37,500 | ||
7799 | okay? And if you looked at probably | ||
7800 | |||
7801 | 1951 | ||
7802 | 01:26:37,500 ~-~-> 01:26:39,000 | ||
7803 | splitting hairs, but I really want to | ||
7804 | |||
7805 | 1952 | ||
7806 | 01:26:39,330 ~-~-> 01:26:41,550 | ||
7807 | communicate this well. We're only | ||
7808 | |||
7809 | 1953 | ||
7810 | 01:26:41,550 ~-~-> 01:26:44,700 | ||
7811 | talking about 11 pips from where the | ||
7812 | |||
7813 | 1954 | ||
7814 | 01:26:44,700 ~-~-> 01:26:45,930 | ||
7815 | center lines that chase one level is and | ||
7816 | |||
7817 | 1955 | ||
7818 | 01:26:45,930 ~-~-> 01:26:47,520 | ||
7819 | where the actual low that candle formed. | ||
7820 | |||
7821 | 1956 | ||
7822 | 01:26:47,940 ~-~-> 01:26:50,610 | ||
7823 | Okay. So, again, when we get to stop | ||
7824 | |||
7825 | 1957 | ||
7826 | 01:26:50,610 ~-~-> 01:26:53,700 | ||
7827 | loss placement and, you know, overall | ||
7828 | |||
7829 | 1958 | ||
7830 | 01:26:54,360 ~-~-> 01:26:56,670 | ||
7831 | risk controls, you're going to see that | ||
7832 | |||
7833 | 1959 | ||
7834 | 01:26:56,670 ~-~-> 01:26:59,460 | ||
7835 | there's simply no reason to fear where | ||
7836 | |||
7837 | 1960 | ||
7838 | 01:26:59,460 ~-~-> 01:27:01,350 | ||
7839 | you should be placed. Stop at, okay, | ||
7840 | |||
7841 | 1961 | ||
7842 | 01:27:01,380 ~-~-> 01:27:03,480 | ||
7843 | there's no there's no reason to, to | ||
7844 | |||
7845 | 1962 | ||
7846 | 01:27:03,480 ~-~-> 01:27:05,940 | ||
7847 | guess as to, you know, am I going to get | ||
7848 | |||
7849 | 1963 | ||
7850 | 01:27:05,940 ~-~-> 01:27:07,860 | ||
7851 | stopped out and fearing it also, because | ||
7852 | |||
7853 | 1964 | ||
7854 | 01:27:07,860 ~-~-> 01:27:09,090 | ||
7855 | if you get stopped out where we're going | ||
7856 | |||
7857 | 1965 | ||
7858 | 01:27:09,090 ~-~-> 01:27:10,770 | ||
7859 | to teach you, you need to be getting out | ||
7860 | |||
7861 | 1966 | ||
7862 | 01:27:10,770 ~-~-> 01:27:12,240 | ||
7863 | of the market there, okay? Because it's | ||
7864 | |||
7865 | 1967 | ||
7866 | 01:27:12,240 ~-~-> 01:27:13,920 | ||
7867 | probably gonna be much more of a move in | ||
7868 | |||
7869 | 1968 | ||
7870 | 01:27:13,920 ~-~-> 01:27:16,590 | ||
7871 | against you then if you were to stay in, | ||
7872 | |||
7873 | 1969 | ||
7874 | 01:27:16,620 ~-~-> 01:27:19,800 | ||
7875 | okay. So we have an opportunity to be a | ||
7876 | |||
7877 | 1970 | ||
7878 | 01:27:19,800 ~-~-> 01:27:23,190 | ||
7879 | buyer here as well the market comes | ||
7880 | |||
7881 | 1971 | ||
7882 | 01:27:23,190 ~-~-> 01:27:25,860 | ||
7883 | down, creates another consolidation and | ||
7884 | |||
7885 | 1972 | ||
7886 | 01:27:25,860 ~-~-> 01:27:27,360 | ||
7887 | then moves out of the consolidation. | ||
7888 | |||
7889 | 1973 | ||
7890 | 01:27:27,630 ~-~-> 01:27:30,330 | ||
7891 | Okay, and the market structure and order | ||
7892 | |||
7893 | 1974 | ||
7894 | 01:27:30,330 ~-~-> 01:27:33,900 | ||
7895 | flow shifts bearish here, when we trade | ||
7896 | |||
7897 | 1975 | ||
7898 | 01:27:33,930 ~-~-> 01:27:36,270 | ||
7899 | low, lower right there, because we broke | ||
7900 | |||
7901 | 1976 | ||
7902 | 01:27:36,270 ~-~-> 01:27:38,340 | ||
7903 | that swing low. Now when this broke | ||
7904 | |||
7905 | 1977 | ||
7906 | 01:27:38,340 ~-~-> 01:27:41,430 | ||
7907 | down, okay, we have to wait for another | ||
7908 | |||
7909 | 1978 | ||
7910 | 01:27:41,430 ~-~-> 01:27:44,100 | ||
7911 | shift in market momentum. Okay. And this | ||
7912 | |||
7913 | 1979 | ||
7914 | 01:27:44,100 ~-~-> 01:27:46,470 | ||
7915 | is the reason why I do not like this | ||
7916 | |||
7917 | 1980 | ||
7918 | 01:27:46,470 ~-~-> 01:27:49,380 | ||
7919 | little fractal indicator, okay? Because | ||
7920 | |||
7921 | 1981 | ||
7922 | 01:27:49,380 ~-~-> 01:27:51,450 | ||
7923 | remember, I told you earlier, that all I | ||
7924 | |||
7925 | 1982 | ||
7926 | 01:27:51,450 ~-~-> 01:27:54,030 | ||
7927 | require is three bars, or three candles | ||
7928 | |||
7929 | 1983 | ||
7930 | 01:27:54,030 ~-~-> 01:27:56,520 | ||
7931 | to create a swing high. that's occurring | ||
7932 | |||
7933 | 1984 | ||
7934 | 01:27:56,520 ~-~-> 01:27:59,250 | ||
7935 | right here. Notice there's an absence of | ||
7936 | |||
7937 | 1985 | ||
7938 | 01:27:59,250 ~-~-> 01:28:02,250 | ||
7939 | fractal error. Like it says here, that's | ||
7940 | |||
7941 | 1986 | ||
7942 | 01:28:02,250 ~-~-> 01:28:06,720 | ||
7943 | because this big old candle here, okay? | ||
7944 | |||
7945 | 1987 | ||
7946 | 01:28:07,530 ~-~-> 01:28:09,840 | ||
7947 | It's high was above this candle is high, | ||
7948 | |||
7949 | 1988 | ||
7950 | 01:28:10,080 ~-~-> 01:28:12,420 | ||
7951 | which would negate the formation of this | ||
7952 | |||
7953 | 1989 | ||
7954 | 01:28:12,450 ~-~-> 01:28:16,290 | ||
7955 | arrow or an arrow like this a fractal up | ||
7956 | |||
7957 | 1990 | ||
7958 | 01:28:16,470 ~-~-> 01:28:19,530 | ||
7959 | arrow, because the parameters require | ||
7960 | |||
7961 | 1991 | ||
7962 | 01:28:19,530 ~-~-> 01:28:21,510 | ||
7963 | this candle to be a lower high than this | ||
7964 | |||
7965 | 1992 | ||
7966 | 01:28:21,510 ~-~-> 01:28:26,250 | ||
7967 | one. But is this not a swing high? Yes. | ||
7968 | |||
7969 | 1993 | ||
7970 | 01:28:27,180 ~-~-> 01:28:29,970 | ||
7971 | Because it has a lower high on both | ||
7972 | |||
7973 | 1994 | ||
7974 | 01:28:29,970 ~-~-> 01:28:31,650 | ||
7975 | sides of it. Okay, so this is a swing | ||
7976 | |||
7977 | 1995 | ||
7978 | 01:28:31,650 ~-~-> 01:28:33,510 | ||
7979 | high. As soon as this candle broke here, | ||
7980 | |||
7981 | 1996 | ||
7982 | 01:28:33,540 ~-~-> 01:28:34,890 | ||
7983 | we're back on the bullish momentum. | ||
7984 | |||
7985 | 1997 | ||
7986 | 01:28:35,400 ~-~-> 01:28:37,590 | ||
7987 | Okay, and then we entered this range | ||
7988 | |||
7989 | 1998 | ||
7990 | 01:28:37,590 ~-~-> 01:28:41,190 | ||
7991 | here. Okay, we started another series of | ||
7992 | |||
7993 | 1999 | ||
7994 | 01:28:41,640 ~-~-> 01:28:44,070 | ||
7995 | days where those two moving averages | ||
7996 | |||
7997 | 2000 | ||
7998 | 01:28:44,070 ~-~-> 01:28:46,710 | ||
7999 | have the nine above the moving average, | ||
8000 | |||
8001 | 2001 | ||
8002 | 01:28:46,800 ~-~-> 01:28:49,260 | ||
8003 | so that we're in a bullish framework | ||
8004 | |||
8005 | 2002 | ||
8006 | 01:28:49,740 ~-~-> 01:28:52,530 | ||
8007 | when market structure is bullish, okay, | ||
8008 | |||
8009 | 2003 | ||
8010 | 01:28:52,530 ~-~-> 01:28:54,900 | ||
8011 | because, again, we see this swing high | ||
8012 | |||
8013 | 2004 | ||
8014 | 01:28:54,900 ~-~-> 01:28:57,240 | ||
8015 | here, when it broke to the upside. Now | ||
8016 | |||
8017 | 2005 | ||
8018 | 01:28:57,240 ~-~-> 01:29:01,260 | ||
8019 | we have to wait okay. and expect to see | ||
8020 | |||
8021 | 2006 | ||
8022 | 01:29:01,260 ~-~-> 01:29:03,930 | ||
8023 | the nine be above the 18. Again, we're | ||
8024 | |||
8025 | 2007 | ||
8026 | 01:29:03,930 ~-~-> 01:29:07,950 | ||
8027 | looking at a daily chart. During this | ||
8028 | |||
8029 | 2008 | ||
8030 | 01:29:07,950 ~-~-> 01:29:09,060 | ||
8031 | time period, what you're gonna be | ||
8032 | |||
8033 | 2009 | ||
8034 | 01:29:09,060 ~-~-> 01:29:11,280 | ||
8035 | looking for is opportunities where price | ||
8036 | |||
8037 | 2010 | ||
8038 | 01:29:11,280 ~-~-> 01:29:13,890 | ||
8039 | again, find support, pulls back within a | ||
8040 | |||
8041 | 2011 | ||
8042 | 01:29:13,890 ~-~-> 01:29:16,770 | ||
8043 | range, okay either on a four hour chart | ||
8044 | |||
8045 | 2012 | ||
8046 | 01:29:16,770 ~-~-> 01:29:19,560 | ||
8047 | or an a one hour chart, and when you see | ||
8048 | |||
8049 | 2013 | ||
8050 | 01:29:19,560 ~-~-> 01:29:20,580 | ||
8051 | what we're going to be talking about | ||
8052 | |||
8053 | 2014 | ||
8054 | 01:29:20,670 ~-~-> 01:29:22,530 | ||
8055 | later on in this video, what you're | ||
8056 | |||
8057 | 2015 | ||
8058 | 01:29:22,530 ~-~-> 01:29:25,860 | ||
8059 | specifically looking for and hunting 90% | ||
8060 | |||
8061 | 2016 | ||
8062 | 01:29:25,860 ~-~-> 01:29:27,270 | ||
8063 | of time, it's there and there's no | ||
8064 | |||
8065 | 2017 | ||
8066 | 01:29:27,270 ~-~-> 01:29:29,250 | ||
8067 | reason for you to rush the chase price. | ||
8068 | |||
8069 | 2018 | ||
8070 | 01:29:29,400 ~-~-> 01:29:31,200 | ||
8071 | If he doesn't do these types of things. | ||
8072 | |||
8073 | 2019 | ||
8074 | 01:29:31,920 ~-~-> 01:29:34,470 | ||
8075 | You don't take a trade. Okay? So again, | ||
8076 | |||
8077 | 2020 | ||
8078 | 01:29:34,470 ~-~-> 01:29:37,440 | ||
8079 | we're looking to be a buyer here and all | ||
8080 | |||
8081 | 2021 | ||
8082 | 01:29:37,440 ~-~-> 01:29:40,380 | ||
8083 | the ranges in here again, with all these | ||
8084 | |||
8085 | 2022 | ||
8086 | 01:29:40,380 ~-~-> 01:29:42,450 | ||
8087 | candlestick patterns, you could have all | ||
8088 | |||
8089 | 2023 | ||
8090 | 01:29:42,450 ~-~-> 01:29:44,550 | ||
8091 | kinds of articles and such Oh, these are | ||
8092 | |||
8093 | 2024 | ||
8094 | 01:29:44,550 ~-~-> 01:29:48,810 | ||
8095 | the spinning tops. These are the dogies | ||
8096 | |||
8097 | 2025 | ||
8098 | 01:29:48,810 ~-~-> 01:29:50,700 | ||
8099 | and, and you know, whatever you want to | ||
8100 | |||
8101 | 2026 | ||
8102 | 01:29:50,700 ~-~-> 01:29:54,600 | ||
8103 | call it, the boxcar Willie's I don't I | ||
8104 | |||
8105 | 2027 | ||
8106 | 01:29:54,600 ~-~-> 01:29:57,030 | ||
8107 | am not a subscriber of you know a | ||
8108 | |||
8109 | 2028 | ||
8110 | 01:29:57,030 ~-~-> 01:29:59,280 | ||
8111 | plethora of candlestick patterns. | ||
8112 | |||
8113 | 2029 | ||
8114 | 01:29:59,430 ~-~-> 01:30:01,860 | ||
8115 | Really. I like The doji is long legged | ||
8116 | |||
8117 | 2030 | ||
8118 | 01:30:01,860 ~-~-> 01:30:06,210 | ||
8119 | dojis the hammers, and I like railroad | ||
8120 | |||
8121 | 2031 | ||
8122 | 01:30:06,210 ~-~-> 01:30:09,510 | ||
8123 | tracks. And that's about it. I don't | ||
8124 | |||
8125 | 2032 | ||
8126 | 01:30:09,510 ~-~-> 01:30:10,980 | ||
8127 | have any other faith in any other | ||
8128 | |||
8129 | 2033 | ||
8130 | 01:30:10,980 ~-~-> 01:30:13,830 | ||
8131 | patterns. So you can kind of like leave | ||
8132 | |||
8133 | 2034 | ||
8134 | 01:30:13,830 ~-~-> 01:30:15,270 | ||
8135 | that in your notebook. Don't ever ask me | ||
8136 | |||
8137 | 2035 | ||
8138 | 01:30:15,270 ~-~-> 01:30:16,590 | ||
8139 | about candlestick patterns outside of | ||
8140 | |||
8141 | 2036 | ||
8142 | 01:30:16,590 ~-~-> 01:30:18,330 | ||
8143 | those, because I don't subscribe to the | ||
8144 | |||
8145 | 2037 | ||
8146 | 01:30:18,330 ~-~-> 01:30:22,110 | ||
8147 | views that are useful. Okay. Now, on a | ||
8148 | |||
8149 | 2038 | ||
8150 | 01:30:22,110 ~-~-> 01:30:24,630 | ||
8151 | daily chart, we have the highs in here, | ||
8152 | |||
8153 | 2039 | ||
8154 | 01:30:24,780 ~-~-> 01:30:26,640 | ||
8155 | okay, and look at the bodies of these | ||
8156 | |||
8157 | 2040 | ||
8158 | 01:30:26,640 ~-~-> 01:30:29,070 | ||
8159 | candles, you see that? This is where I | ||
8160 | |||
8161 | 2041 | ||
8162 | 01:30:29,070 ~-~-> 01:30:31,560 | ||
8163 | like candles. Okay, these are these | ||
8164 | |||
8165 | 2042 | ||
8166 | 01:30:31,560 ~-~-> 01:30:33,540 | ||
8167 | ideas that I think are beneficial to | ||
8168 | |||
8169 | 2043 | ||
8170 | 01:30:33,540 ~-~-> 01:30:37,740 | ||
8171 | using candlesticks. Do you see how this | ||
8172 | |||
8173 | 2044 | ||
8174 | 01:30:37,740 ~-~-> 01:30:41,220 | ||
8175 | dealing range level? Okay, if we take | ||
8176 | |||
8177 | 2045 | ||
8178 | 01:30:41,220 ~-~-> 01:30:44,670 | ||
8179 | that out. See on the buys account here, | ||
8180 | |||
8181 | 2046 | ||
8182 | 01:30:45,180 ~-~-> 01:30:47,730 | ||
8183 | the opening was at that level to close | ||
8184 | |||
8185 | 2047 | ||
8186 | 01:30:47,760 ~-~-> 01:30:49,980 | ||
8187 | that candle was at that same level. The | ||
8188 | |||
8189 | 2048 | ||
8190 | 01:30:49,980 ~-~-> 01:30:52,680 | ||
8191 | opening was just a pip below that level | ||
8192 | |||
8193 | 2049 | ||
8194 | 01:30:52,680 ~-~-> 01:30:54,990 | ||
8195 | here. And the close of that candle was | ||
8196 | |||
8197 | 2050 | ||
8198 | 01:30:55,080 ~-~-> 01:30:57,810 | ||
8199 | I'm sorry, um, I've been saying that | ||
8200 | |||
8201 | 2051 | ||
8202 | 01:30:57,810 ~-~-> 01:31:00,000 | ||
8203 | wrong. Sorry. the close of this case. | ||
8204 | |||
8205 | 2052 | ||
8206 | 01:31:00,000 ~-~-> 01:31:02,520 | ||
8207 | handle is on that and the open on this | ||
8208 | |||
8209 | 2053 | ||
8210 | 01:31:02,520 ~-~-> 01:31:04,860 | ||
8211 | candle is at that same level and the | ||
8212 | |||
8213 | 2054 | ||
8214 | 01:31:04,860 ~-~-> 01:31:07,140 | ||
8215 | close of that candle is a pit below it. | ||
8216 | |||
8217 | 2055 | ||
8218 | 01:31:07,530 ~-~-> 01:31:09,900 | ||
8219 | And the open on this candle is right at | ||
8220 | |||
8221 | 2056 | ||
8222 | 01:31:09,900 ~-~-> 01:31:14,190 | ||
8223 | that same level. Do you see this candle | ||
8224 | |||
8225 | 2057 | ||
8226 | 01:31:14,190 ~-~-> 01:31:17,220 | ||
8227 | here? Okay, after we had a little minor | ||
8228 | |||
8229 | 2058 | ||
8230 | 01:31:17,220 ~-~-> 01:31:19,770 | ||
8231 | retracement here, okay, we got a | ||
8232 | |||
8233 | 2059 | ||
8234 | 01:31:19,770 ~-~-> 01:31:22,620 | ||
8235 | retracement. This is the range because | ||
8236 | |||
8237 | 2060 | ||
8238 | 01:31:22,620 ~-~-> 01:31:24,660 | ||
8239 | we have this dealing range here when | ||
8240 | |||
8241 | 2061 | ||
8242 | 01:31:24,660 ~-~-> 01:31:27,540 | ||
8243 | price broke through it, okay, see how | ||
8244 | |||
8245 | 2062 | ||
8246 | 01:31:27,540 ~-~-> 01:31:30,300 | ||
8247 | this is a swing high and see how this is | ||
8248 | |||
8249 | 2063 | ||
8250 | 01:31:30,300 ~-~-> 01:31:30,960 | ||
8251 | a swing high | ||
8252 | |||
8253 | 2064 | ||
8254 | 01:31:32,670 ~-~-> 01:31:34,320 | ||
8255 | when price broke through it. | ||
8256 | |||
8257 | 2065 | ||
8258 | 01:31:35,580 ~-~-> 01:31:37,740 | ||
8259 | market structure confirms once again | ||
8260 | |||
8261 | 2066 | ||
8262 | 01:31:37,740 ~-~-> 01:31:40,770 | ||
8263 | that it's on the upside, okay. But we | ||
8264 | |||
8265 | 2067 | ||
8266 | 01:31:40,770 ~-~-> 01:31:43,410 | ||
8267 | also have this dealing range support. So | ||
8268 | |||
8269 | 2068 | ||
8270 | 01:31:43,410 ~-~-> 01:31:47,400 | ||
8271 | we broke through this. Now, just because | ||
8272 | |||
8273 | 2069 | ||
8274 | 01:31:47,430 ~-~-> 01:31:49,020 | ||
8275 | this would be classified as support | ||
8276 | |||
8277 | 2070 | ||
8278 | 01:31:49,020 ~-~-> 01:31:51,870 | ||
8279 | level or resistance turn support does | ||
8280 | |||
8281 | 2071 | ||
8282 | 01:31:51,870 ~-~-> 01:31:54,090 | ||
8283 | not mean that price needs to get back | ||
8284 | |||
8285 | 2072 | ||
8286 | 01:31:54,090 ~-~-> 01:31:56,910 | ||
8287 | down there. Okay, so what do you how do | ||
8288 | |||
8289 | 2073 | ||
8290 | 01:31:56,910 ~-~-> 01:31:58,950 | ||
8291 | we use that information? Well, if you | ||
8292 | |||
8293 | 2074 | ||
8294 | 01:31:58,950 ~-~-> 01:32:02,370 | ||
8295 | pulled your fib From that level up to | ||
8296 | |||
8297 | 2075 | ||
8298 | 01:32:02,370 ~-~-> 01:32:05,610 | ||
8299 | the range high, which is here, okay, | ||
8300 | |||
8301 | 2076 | ||
8302 | 01:32:05,610 ~-~-> 01:32:07,830 | ||
8303 | that can look as we pulled down into | ||
8304 | |||
8305 | 2077 | ||
8306 | 01:32:07,860 ~-~-> 01:32:10,950 | ||
8307 | intraday okay. inside of that range you | ||
8308 | |||
8309 | 2078 | ||
8310 | 01:32:10,950 ~-~-> 01:32:13,980 | ||
8311 | come right down to that 70.5 level, | ||
8312 | |||
8313 | 2079 | ||
8314 | 01:32:14,040 ~-~-> 01:32:15,450 | ||
8315 | okay, you see how that's useful to you? | ||
8316 | |||
8317 | 2080 | ||
8318 | 01:32:15,900 ~-~-> 01:32:19,410 | ||
8319 | We retraced within that. So having that | ||
8320 | |||
8321 | 2081 | ||
8322 | 01:32:20,640 ~-~-> 01:32:22,830 | ||
8323 | that gives you a an idea again where to | ||
8324 | |||
8325 | 2082 | ||
8326 | 01:32:22,830 ~-~-> 01:32:25,680 | ||
8327 | anticipate price action to retrace into | ||
8328 | |||
8329 | 2083 | ||
8330 | 01:32:27,210 ~-~-> 01:32:32,250 | ||
8331 | that's not that's not all of the | ||
8332 | |||
8333 | 2084 | ||
8334 | 01:32:33,450 ~-~-> 01:32:36,210 | ||
8335 | characteristics we look for. But we will | ||
8336 | |||
8337 | 2085 | ||
8338 | 01:32:36,210 ~-~-> 01:32:38,010 | ||
8339 | be looking at other things that you | ||
8340 | |||
8341 | 2086 | ||
8342 | 01:32:38,010 ~-~-> 01:32:41,340 | ||
8343 | know, allow us to break down on a four | ||
8344 | |||
8345 | 2087 | ||
8346 | 01:32:41,340 ~-~-> 01:32:43,740 | ||
8347 | hour chart where we can also look for | ||
8348 | |||
8349 | 2088 | ||
8350 | 01:32:44,100 ~-~-> 01:32:45,960 | ||
8351 | you know, institutional order flow to | ||
8352 | |||
8353 | 2089 | ||
8354 | 01:32:45,960 ~-~-> 01:32:47,430 | ||
8355 | support the idea and the notion that we | ||
8356 | |||
8357 | 2090 | ||
8358 | 01:32:47,430 ~-~-> 01:32:49,560 | ||
8359 | should be expecting higher prices. And | ||
8360 | |||
8361 | 2091 | ||
8362 | 01:32:49,560 ~-~-> 01:32:51,150 | ||
8363 | again, we move higher higher higher | ||
8364 | |||
8365 | 2092 | ||
8366 | 01:32:51,180 ~-~-> 01:32:54,030 | ||
8367 | higher swing lows here, okay, again are | ||
8368 | |||
8369 | 2093 | ||
8370 | 01:32:54,030 ~-~-> 01:32:56,160 | ||
8371 | higher in each successive move higher. | ||
8372 | |||
8373 | 2094 | ||
8374 | 01:32:56,640 ~-~-> 01:32:58,710 | ||
8375 | Okay, and then we see market structure | ||
8376 | |||
8377 | 2095 | ||
8378 | 01:32:59,610 ~-~-> 01:33:03,150 | ||
8379 | break down in here, okay. And we did | ||
8380 | |||
8381 | 2096 | ||
8382 | 01:33:03,150 ~-~-> 01:33:04,590 | ||
8383 | rally off again in here a little bit. | ||
8384 | |||
8385 | 2097 | ||
8386 | 01:33:04,710 ~-~-> 01:33:08,430 | ||
8387 | Okay? While we're in this screen by | ||
8388 | |||
8389 | 2098 | ||
8390 | 01:33:08,520 ~-~-> 01:33:10,140 | ||
8391 | framework where we overall would still | ||
8392 | |||
8393 | 2099 | ||
8394 | 01:33:10,140 ~-~-> 01:33:12,570 | ||
8395 | be looking for opportunities to be a | ||
8396 | |||
8397 | 2100 | ||
8398 | 01:33:12,570 ~-~-> 01:33:18,000 | ||
8399 | long trader I want you to see the, the | ||
8400 | |||
8401 | 2101 | ||
8402 | 01:33:18,000 ~-~-> 01:33:21,570 | ||
8403 | low here, or this low here, either one | ||
8404 | |||
8405 | 2102 | ||
8406 | 01:33:21,600 ~-~-> 01:33:23,910 | ||
8407 | very close in proximity, but we're going | ||
8408 | |||
8409 | 2103 | ||
8410 | 01:33:23,910 ~-~-> 01:33:25,200 | ||
8411 | to use this one here. If you look at | ||
8412 | |||
8413 | 2104 | ||
8414 | 01:33:25,200 ~-~-> 01:33:29,760 | ||
8415 | that low up to this high, you see that I | ||
8416 | |||
8417 | 2105 | ||
8418 | 01:33:29,760 ~-~-> 01:33:32,460 | ||
8419 | move the fit over here so you can see | ||
8420 | |||
8421 | 2106 | ||
8422 | 01:33:32,460 ~-~-> 01:33:38,850 | ||
8423 | the lines. Here we are. I did was I use | ||
8424 | |||
8425 | 2107 | ||
8426 | 01:33:38,850 ~-~-> 01:33:40,950 | ||
8427 | the range of this low to this high | ||
8428 | |||
8429 | 2108 | ||
8430 | 01:33:40,950 ~-~-> 01:33:43,020 | ||
8431 | again, it's the daily chart, price comes | ||
8432 | |||
8433 | 2109 | ||
8434 | 01:33:43,020 ~-~-> 01:33:45,120 | ||
8435 | right down into what level the 79 | ||
8436 | |||
8437 | 2110 | ||
8438 | 01:33:45,180 ~-~-> 01:33:46,800 | ||
8439 | penetration level. Look how many | ||
8440 | |||
8441 | 2111 | ||
8442 | 01:33:46,830 ~-~-> 01:33:49,230 | ||
8443 | opportunities where price stayed within | ||
8444 | |||
8445 | 2112 | ||
8446 | 01:33:49,230 ~-~-> 01:33:52,170 | ||
8447 | that optimal range, okay? And rallied up | ||
8448 | |||
8449 | 2113 | ||
8450 | 01:33:53,670 ~-~-> 01:33:55,890 | ||
8451 | if you look at where we were in regards | ||
8452 | |||
8453 | 2114 | ||
8454 | 01:33:55,890 ~-~-> 01:33:59,970 | ||
8455 | to that price movement. Again, using the | ||
8456 | |||
8457 | 2115 | ||
8458 | 01:34:01,140 ~-~-> 01:34:04,020 | ||
8459 | bodies of the candles up to the high of | ||
8460 | |||
8461 | 2116 | ||
8462 | 01:34:04,020 ~-~-> 01:34:06,810 | ||
8463 | this candle right here. That's 156 pips. | ||
8464 | |||
8465 | 2117 | ||
8466 | 01:34:06,930 ~-~-> 01:34:10,860 | ||
8467 | Again 156 pips within a few days that's | ||
8468 | |||
8469 | 2118 | ||
8470 | 01:34:10,860 ~-~-> 01:34:14,520 | ||
8471 | inside of one week's range. There should | ||
8472 | |||
8473 | 2119 | ||
8474 | 01:34:14,520 ~-~-> 01:34:15,900 | ||
8475 | be no reason why you can't capture at | ||
8476 | |||
8477 | 2120 | ||
8478 | 01:34:15,900 ~-~-> 01:34:19,650 | ||
8479 | least 50 pips out of that. Okay, the | ||
8480 | |||
8481 | 2121 | ||
8482 | 01:34:19,650 ~-~-> 01:34:22,890 | ||
8483 | opportunity here, okay. The bottom line | ||
8484 | |||
8485 | 2122 | ||
8486 | 01:34:22,890 ~-~-> 01:34:24,450 | ||
8487 | is, is there's opportunity for you to | ||
8488 | |||
8489 | 2123 | ||
8490 | 01:34:24,450 ~-~-> 01:34:28,170 | ||
8491 | make money and still quote unquote be | ||
8492 | |||
8493 | 2124 | ||
8494 | 01:34:28,170 ~-~-> 01:34:31,110 | ||
8495 | wrong because ultimately the market did | ||
8496 | |||
8497 | 2125 | ||
8498 | 01:34:31,140 ~-~-> 01:34:33,210 | ||
8499 | move lower outside of this area here, | ||
8500 | |||
8501 | 2126 | ||
8502 | 01:34:33,270 ~-~-> 01:34:37,410 | ||
8503 | okay. And then we moved into a selling | ||
8504 | |||
8505 | 2127 | ||
8506 | 01:34:37,410 ~-~-> 01:34:40,650 | ||
8507 | framework. Okay, you have the market | ||
8508 | |||
8509 | 2128 | ||
8510 | 01:34:40,650 ~-~-> 01:34:42,240 | ||
8511 | breaking down making lower lows | ||
8512 | |||
8513 | 2129 | ||
8514 | 01:34:43,500 ~-~-> 01:34:44,940 | ||
8515 | and lower highs. | ||
8516 | |||
8517 | 2130 | ||
8518 | 01:34:45,660 ~-~-> 01:34:48,480 | ||
8519 | So we have this swing high here, with a | ||
8520 | |||
8521 | 2131 | ||
8522 | 01:34:48,480 ~-~-> 01:34:50,640 | ||
8523 | fractal. Now I got to change this | ||
8524 | |||
8525 | 2132 | ||
8526 | 01:34:50,670 ~-~-> 01:34:52,230 | ||
8527 | fractal to a different color because it | ||
8528 | |||
8529 | 2133 | ||
8530 | 01:34:52,230 ~-~-> 01:34:56,190 | ||
8531 | will not be seen against the red. So we | ||
8532 | |||
8533 | 2134 | ||
8534 | 01:34:56,190 ~-~-> 01:34:58,560 | ||
8535 | had this fractal low here. price breaks | ||
8536 | |||
8537 | 2135 | ||
8538 | 01:34:58,560 ~-~-> 01:35:01,590 | ||
8539 | down through it. Again confirming that | ||
8540 | |||
8541 | 2136 | ||
8542 | 01:35:01,590 ~-~-> 01:35:05,640 | ||
8543 | we are in both concepts agreeing with | ||
8544 | |||
8545 | 2137 | ||
8546 | 01:35:05,640 ~-~-> 01:35:07,590 | ||
8547 | lower prices we have the two moving | ||
8548 | |||
8549 | 2138 | ||
8550 | 01:35:07,590 ~-~-> 01:35:09,150 | ||
8551 | averages the nine is going to be below | ||
8552 | |||
8553 | 2139 | ||
8554 | 01:35:09,150 ~-~-> 01:35:11,370 | ||
8555 | the 18. Remember we marked out this box | ||
8556 | |||
8557 | 2140 | ||
8558 | 01:35:11,670 ~-~-> 01:35:13,170 | ||
8559 | that was giving you the bearish | ||
8560 | |||
8561 | 2141 | ||
8562 | 01:35:13,170 ~-~-> 01:35:15,090 | ||
8563 | framework to expect lower prices | ||
8564 | |||
8565 | 2142 | ||
8566 | 01:35:15,210 ~-~-> 01:35:16,980 | ||
8567 | momentum wise institutionally they're | ||
8568 | |||
8569 | 2143 | ||
8570 | 01:35:16,980 ~-~-> 01:35:18,720 | ||
8571 | going to be looking for order flows | ||
8572 | |||
8573 | 2144 | ||
8574 | 01:35:18,720 ~-~-> 01:35:22,350 | ||
8575 | lower. Okay. And you see technically | ||
8576 | |||
8577 | 2145 | ||
8578 | 01:35:22,650 ~-~-> 01:35:24,390 | ||
8579 | they are moving lower because we see | ||
8580 | |||
8581 | 2146 | ||
8582 | 01:35:24,390 ~-~-> 01:35:27,240 | ||
8583 | those swing low here right down. Okay. | ||
8584 | |||
8585 | 2147 | ||
8586 | 01:35:27,540 ~-~-> 01:35:29,520 | ||
8587 | So when you see that happen, you're | ||
8588 | |||
8589 | 2148 | ||
8590 | 01:35:29,520 ~-~-> 01:35:30,360 | ||
8591 | gonna be doing is you're gonna be | ||
8592 | |||
8593 | 2149 | ||
8594 | 01:35:30,360 ~-~-> 01:35:33,570 | ||
8595 | looking for the ranges. Okay, to form | ||
8596 | |||
8597 | 2150 | ||
8598 | 01:35:33,840 ~-~-> 01:35:35,370 | ||
8599 | you're gonna be looking for rallies, | ||
8600 | |||
8601 | 2151 | ||
8602 | 01:35:35,850 ~-~-> 01:35:37,380 | ||
8603 | you're going to sell into those rallies. | ||
8604 | |||
8605 | 2152 | ||
8606 | 01:35:38,550 ~-~-> 01:35:40,950 | ||
8607 | See this low here and we see the price | ||
8608 | |||
8609 | 2153 | ||
8610 | 01:35:40,950 ~-~-> 01:35:45,720 | ||
8611 | actually move up here this high down to | ||
8612 | |||
8613 | 2154 | ||
8614 | 01:35:45,720 ~-~-> 01:35:51,150 | ||
8615 | that low to the 62% retracement level. | ||
8616 | |||
8617 | 2155 | ||
8618 | 01:35:51,390 ~-~-> 01:35:56,160 | ||
8619 | Okay. And, again, we're going to discuss | ||
8620 | |||
8621 | 2156 | ||
8622 | 01:35:56,340 ~-~-> 01:36:00,000 | ||
8623 | a concept that is useful in terms of you | ||
8624 | |||
8625 | 2157 | ||
8626 | 01:36:00,000 ~-~-> 01:36:02,040 | ||
8627 | institutional order flow, where we can | ||
8628 | |||
8629 | 2158 | ||
8630 | 01:36:02,070 ~-~-> 01:36:03,930 | ||
8631 | again identify areas on the lower | ||
8632 | |||
8633 | 2159 | ||
8634 | 01:36:03,930 ~-~-> 01:36:05,940 | ||
8635 | timeframe where this is again one more | ||
8636 | |||
8637 | 2160 | ||
8638 | 01:36:05,940 ~-~-> 01:36:10,770 | ||
8639 | area where order flow and short term | ||
8640 | |||
8641 | 2161 | ||
8642 | 01:36:10,800 ~-~-> 01:36:13,290 | ||
8643 | market structure shifting and where | ||
8644 | |||
8645 | 2162 | ||
8646 | 01:36:13,380 ~-~-> 01:36:15,270 | ||
8647 | institutional order blocks are retreated | ||
8648 | |||
8649 | 2163 | ||
8650 | 01:36:15,270 ~-~-> 01:36:18,420 | ||
8651 | into to get a another piece of the pie | ||
8652 | |||
8653 | 2164 | ||
8654 | 01:36:18,420 ~-~-> 01:36:19,650 | ||
8655 | if you will, before they start to move | ||
8656 | |||
8657 | 2165 | ||
8658 | 01:36:19,650 ~-~-> 01:36:21,750 | ||
8659 | lower. You can see when when the market | ||
8660 | |||
8661 | 2166 | ||
8662 | 01:36:21,750 ~-~-> 01:36:22,980 | ||
8663 | moved up into that range, it did not | ||
8664 | |||
8665 | 2167 | ||
8666 | 01:36:22,980 ~-~-> 01:36:24,240 | ||
8667 | spend a whole lot of time there and | ||
8668 | |||
8669 | 2168 | ||
8670 | 01:36:24,240 ~-~-> 01:36:25,920 | ||
8671 | that's why you had this very thin wick. | ||
8672 | |||
8673 | 2169 | ||
8674 | 01:36:26,400 ~-~-> 01:36:28,200 | ||
8675 | Okay, the market opened here, | ||
8676 | |||
8677 | 2170 | ||
8678 | 01:36:29,460 ~-~-> 01:36:30,480 | ||
8679 | rallied up | ||
8680 | |||
8681 | 2171 | ||
8682 | 01:36:31,410 ~-~-> 01:36:33,210 | ||
8683 | and then traded lower and close lower | ||
8684 | |||
8685 | 2172 | ||
8686 | 01:36:33,210 ~-~-> 01:36:35,640 | ||
8687 | that's creates that black bar. Okay, the | ||
8688 | |||
8689 | 2173 | ||
8690 | 01:36:35,640 ~-~-> 01:36:42,540 | ||
8691 | close is near the low of the day. You | ||
8692 | |||
8693 | 2174 | ||
8694 | 01:36:42,540 ~-~-> 01:36:43,860 | ||
8695 | can see the clothes on this candle is | ||
8696 | |||
8697 | 2175 | ||
8698 | 01:36:43,890 ~-~-> 01:36:55,980 | ||
8699 | 130 64 with the low at 130 47 | ||
8700 | |||
8701 | 2176 | ||
8702 | 01:37:21,480 ~-~-> 01:37:23,910 | ||
8703 | Okay, as price moves lower, it's breaks | ||
8704 | |||
8705 | 2177 | ||
8706 | 01:37:24,360 ~-~-> 01:37:29,100 | ||
8707 | each new successive lower swing lows and | ||
8708 | |||
8709 | 2178 | ||
8710 | 01:37:29,130 ~-~-> 01:37:31,950 | ||
8711 | each swing high is lower as well. Now we | ||
8712 | |||
8713 | 2179 | ||
8714 | 01:37:31,950 ~-~-> 01:37:36,000 | ||
8715 | have, again an opportunity where the | ||
8716 | |||
8717 | 2180 | ||
8718 | 01:37:36,000 ~-~-> 01:37:38,850 | ||
8719 | market creates a swing low here, trades | ||
8720 | |||
8721 | 2181 | ||
8722 | 01:37:38,850 ~-~-> 01:37:43,500 | ||
8723 | lower, okay and comes back here and | ||
8724 | |||
8725 | 2182 | ||
8726 | 01:37:43,500 ~-~-> 01:37:46,050 | ||
8727 | takes out this, this swing high. Okay? | ||
8728 | |||
8729 | 2183 | ||
8730 | 01:37:47,820 ~-~-> 01:37:50,970 | ||
8731 | That's going to happen a few different | ||
8732 | |||
8733 | 2184 | ||
8734 | 01:37:50,970 ~-~-> 01:37:53,040 | ||
8735 | times while we are in training | ||
8736 | |||
8737 | 2185 | ||
8738 | 01:37:53,040 ~-~-> 01:37:54,390 | ||
8739 | environments because again, you're going | ||
8740 | |||
8741 | 2186 | ||
8742 | 01:37:54,390 ~-~-> 01:37:56,610 | ||
8743 | to come back and take the stops and | ||
8744 | |||
8745 | 2187 | ||
8746 | 01:37:56,610 ~-~-> 01:37:58,860 | ||
8747 | search for liquidity. Whenever you see | ||
8748 | |||
8749 | 2188 | ||
8750 | 01:37:58,860 ~-~-> 01:38:00,300 | ||
8751 | swing highs like this on a daily chart | ||
8752 | |||
8753 | 2189 | ||
8754 | 01:38:00,300 ~-~-> 01:38:01,710 | ||
8755 | naturally, that's where support | ||
8756 | |||
8757 | 2190 | ||
8758 | 01:38:01,710 ~-~-> 01:38:03,900 | ||
8759 | resistance is going to be implied by | ||
8760 | |||
8761 | 2191 | ||
8762 | 01:38:03,900 ~-~-> 01:38:05,100 | ||
8763 | traders. And they're going to think that | ||
8764 | |||
8765 | 2192 | ||
8766 | 01:38:05,100 ~-~-> 01:38:06,750 | ||
8767 | their stop loss orders are protecting | ||
8768 | |||
8769 | 2193 | ||
8770 | 01:38:06,750 ~-~-> 01:38:08,610 | ||
8771 | above that. And you'll see the market | ||
8772 | |||
8773 | 2194 | ||
8774 | 01:38:08,610 ~-~-> 01:38:10,770 | ||
8775 | rally up just above it, take it out, and | ||
8776 | |||
8777 | 2195 | ||
8778 | 01:38:10,770 ~-~-> 01:38:13,560 | ||
8779 | then break lower, it still does not | ||
8780 | |||
8781 | 2196 | ||
8782 | 01:38:13,560 ~-~-> 01:38:15,090 | ||
8783 | change the fact that we still are | ||
8784 | |||
8785 | 2197 | ||
8786 | 01:38:15,090 ~-~-> 01:38:17,130 | ||
8787 | working within a range, okay, and that | ||
8788 | |||
8789 | 2198 | ||
8790 | 01:38:17,130 ~-~-> 01:38:19,980 | ||
8791 | being this high to the low, and if you | ||
8792 | |||
8793 | 2199 | ||
8794 | 01:38:19,980 ~-~-> 01:38:21,450 | ||
8795 | look it up in here, you'll see | ||
8796 | |||
8797 | 2200 | ||
8798 | 01:38:21,450 ~-~-> 01:38:23,430 | ||
8799 | opportunities to be a seller on the | ||
8800 | |||
8801 | 2201 | ||
8802 | 01:38:23,430 ~-~-> 01:38:28,440 | ||
8803 | lower timeframe. Again, once we break | ||
8804 | |||
8805 | 2202 | ||
8806 | 01:38:28,440 ~-~-> 01:38:29,790 | ||
8807 | lower here, we have everything in an | ||
8808 | |||
8809 | 2203 | ||
8810 | 01:38:29,790 ~-~-> 01:38:31,650 | ||
8811 | agreement as well. Okay, and I'm going | ||
8812 | |||
8813 | 2204 | ||
8814 | 01:38:31,650 ~-~-> 01:38:33,750 | ||
8815 | to subscribe to the notion that you | ||
8816 | |||
8817 | 2205 | ||
8818 | 01:38:33,750 ~-~-> 01:38:35,880 | ||
8819 | probably may have lost money here or | ||
8820 | |||
8821 | 2206 | ||
8822 | 01:38:35,880 ~-~-> 01:38:37,380 | ||
8823 | missed opportunities. We're just gonna | ||
8824 | |||
8825 | 2207 | ||
8826 | 01:38:37,380 ~-~-> 01:38:40,110 | ||
8827 | call this a dead opportunity area where | ||
8828 | |||
8829 | 2208 | ||
8830 | 01:38:40,110 ~-~-> 01:38:42,390 | ||
8831 | we didn't get any kind of reasonable | ||
8832 | |||
8833 | 2209 | ||
8834 | 01:38:45,450 ~-~-> 01:38:47,220 | ||
8835 | positive equity increase, there was | ||
8836 | |||
8837 | 2210 | ||
8838 | 01:38:47,220 ~-~-> 01:38:48,930 | ||
8839 | nothing that we profited from in here. | ||
8840 | |||
8841 | 2211 | ||
8842 | 01:38:49,920 ~-~-> 01:38:51,750 | ||
8843 | Everything gets back in sync here when | ||
8844 | |||
8845 | 2212 | ||
8846 | 01:38:51,750 ~-~-> 01:38:55,290 | ||
8847 | this candle breaks below. This swing low | ||
8848 | |||
8849 | 2213 | ||
8850 | 01:38:55,290 ~-~-> 01:38:59,550 | ||
8851 | here, okay. And then we have the high | ||
8852 | |||
8853 | 2214 | ||
8854 | 01:38:59,550 ~-~-> 01:39:02,400 | ||
8855 | here Is penetrating here. So now on this | ||
8856 | |||
8857 | 2215 | ||
8858 | 01:39:02,400 ~-~-> 01:39:05,160 | ||
8859 | candle, everything's bullish, okay | ||
8860 | |||
8861 | 2216 | ||
8862 | 01:39:05,190 ~-~-> 01:39:07,560 | ||
8863 | inside of this overall sell framework. | ||
8864 | |||
8865 | 2217 | ||
8866 | 01:39:07,830 ~-~-> 01:39:09,870 | ||
8867 | So what we doing is what we've sit on | ||
8868 | |||
8869 | 2218 | ||
8870 | 01:39:09,870 ~-~-> 01:39:14,250 | ||
8871 | our hands until when here okay we expect | ||
8872 | |||
8873 | 2219 | ||
8874 | 01:39:14,310 ~-~-> 01:39:19,830 | ||
8875 | what see this low here? What is that? | ||
8876 | |||
8877 | 2220 | ||
8878 | 01:39:20,460 ~-~-> 01:39:23,430 | ||
8879 | That is a swing low. Again the fractal | ||
8880 | |||
8881 | 2221 | ||
8882 | 01:39:23,430 ~-~-> 01:39:26,250 | ||
8883 | indicator arrow is useful to communicate | ||
8884 | |||
8885 | 2222 | ||
8886 | 01:39:26,970 ~-~-> 01:39:29,910 | ||
8887 | general support, sorry, swing highs and | ||
8888 | |||
8889 | 2223 | ||
8890 | 01:39:29,910 ~-~-> 01:39:31,800 | ||
8891 | lows. But again this is the reason why I | ||
8892 | |||
8893 | 2224 | ||
8894 | 01:39:31,800 ~-~-> 01:39:34,320 | ||
8895 | don't like it by itself because it will | ||
8896 | |||
8897 | 2225 | ||
8898 | 01:39:34,350 ~-~-> 01:39:36,780 | ||
8899 | avoid printing an arrow where I would | ||
8900 | |||
8901 | 2226 | ||
8902 | 01:39:36,780 ~-~-> 01:39:38,790 | ||
8903 | classify that as a swing low. So when | ||
8904 | |||
8905 | 2227 | ||
8906 | 01:39:38,790 ~-~-> 01:39:40,950 | ||
8907 | the market opened up down here, market | ||
8908 | |||
8909 | 2228 | ||
8910 | 01:39:40,950 ~-~-> 01:39:43,200 | ||
8911 | structure and order flow has shifted to | ||
8912 | |||
8913 | 2229 | ||
8914 | 01:39:43,200 ~-~-> 01:39:45,570 | ||
8915 | bearishness again, okay. And this being | ||
8916 | |||
8917 | 2230 | ||
8918 | 01:39:45,570 ~-~-> 01:39:48,390 | ||
8919 | the most recent swing high, soon as this | ||
8920 | |||
8921 | 2231 | ||
8922 | 01:39:48,390 ~-~-> 01:39:50,370 | ||
8923 | candle closes and this one opens up, | ||
8924 | |||
8925 | 2232 | ||
8926 | 01:39:50,700 ~-~-> 01:39:52,680 | ||
8927 | this one would be a swing high To me, | ||
8928 | |||
8929 | 2233 | ||
8930 | 01:39:52,950 ~-~-> 01:39:54,750 | ||
8931 | this is a swing low and everything will | ||
8932 | |||
8933 | 2234 | ||
8934 | 01:39:54,750 ~-~-> 01:39:57,210 | ||
8935 | be bearish here. Okay and until that | ||
8936 | |||
8937 | 2235 | ||
8938 | 01:39:57,210 ~-~-> 01:39:59,970 | ||
8939 | high is taken out on the upside, okay or | ||
8940 | |||
8941 | 2236 | ||
8942 | 01:40:00,000 ~-~-> 01:40:03,870 | ||
8943 | Any newer swing high forming is taking | ||
8944 | |||
8945 | 2237 | ||
8946 | 01:40:03,870 ~-~-> 01:40:06,840 | ||
8947 | out I would be looking for lower prices. | ||
8948 | |||
8949 | 2238 | ||
8950 | 01:40:07,350 ~-~-> 01:40:08,970 | ||
8951 | Okay, and the same thing happens here, | ||
8952 | |||
8953 | 2239 | ||
8954 | 01:40:09,240 ~-~-> 01:40:12,270 | ||
8955 | we have the swing high because we have a | ||
8956 | |||
8957 | 2240 | ||
8958 | 01:40:12,720 ~-~-> 01:40:14,850 | ||
8959 | candle with a lower high here and lower | ||
8960 | |||
8961 | 2241 | ||
8962 | 01:40:14,850 ~-~-> 01:40:16,890 | ||
8963 | high here. So this is a swing high to | ||
8964 | |||
8965 | 2242 | ||
8966 | 01:40:16,890 ~-~-> 01:40:20,580 | ||
8967 | me. Okay. price breaks through it here. | ||
8968 | |||
8969 | 2243 | ||
8970 | 01:40:21,450 ~-~-> 01:40:23,400 | ||
8971 | So now we have on a very short term | ||
8972 | |||
8973 | 2244 | ||
8974 | 01:40:23,670 ~-~-> 01:40:26,070 | ||
8975 | market structure being bearish. Okay. | ||
8976 | |||
8977 | 2245 | ||
8978 | 01:40:26,730 ~-~-> 01:40:30,060 | ||
8979 | I'm sorry bullish, again inside of a | ||
8980 | |||
8981 | 2246 | ||
8982 | 01:40:30,060 ~-~-> 01:40:31,890 | ||
8983 | bearish framework. So we're looking to | ||
8984 | |||
8985 | 2247 | ||
8986 | 01:40:31,890 ~-~-> 01:40:33,720 | ||
8987 | do what we're selling into rallies, | ||
8988 | |||
8989 | 2248 | ||
8990 | 01:40:33,930 ~-~-> 01:40:36,690 | ||
8991 | we're selling into it, okay. So this is | ||
8992 | |||
8993 | 2249 | ||
8994 | 01:40:36,690 ~-~-> 01:40:38,820 | ||
8995 | where you're going to be applying the | ||
8996 | |||
8997 | 2250 | ||
8998 | 01:40:38,850 ~-~-> 01:40:42,390 | ||
8999 | what we commonly refer to as market flow | ||
9000 | |||
9001 | 2251 | ||
9002 | 01:40:42,390 ~-~-> 01:40:46,080 | ||
9003 | order flow, you you will see on a daily | ||
9004 | |||
9005 | 2252 | ||
9006 | 01:40:46,080 ~-~-> 01:40:49,650 | ||
9007 | chart, many times rallies going against | ||
9008 | |||
9009 | 2253 | ||
9010 | 01:40:49,680 ~-~-> 01:40:52,020 | ||
9011 | what would be considered market flow | ||
9012 | |||
9013 | 2254 | ||
9014 | 01:40:52,530 ~-~-> 01:40:57,360 | ||
9015 | being bullish In other words, this we | ||
9016 | |||
9017 | 2255 | ||
9018 | 01:40:57,360 ~-~-> 01:40:59,580 | ||
9019 | have this swing high here it's a candle | ||
9020 | |||
9021 | 2256 | ||
9022 | 01:40:59,580 ~-~-> 01:41:01,020 | ||
9023 | with too low Highs on the either side of | ||
9024 | |||
9025 | 2257 | ||
9026 | 01:41:01,020 ~-~-> 01:41:03,450 | ||
9027 | it when this candle blew up through it | ||
9028 | |||
9029 | 2258 | ||
9030 | 01:41:04,110 ~-~-> 01:41:06,420 | ||
9031 | will be considered bullish daily market | ||
9032 | |||
9033 | 2259 | ||
9034 | 01:41:06,420 ~-~-> 01:41:09,900 | ||
9035 | flow or order flow. But you have that | ||
9036 | |||
9037 | 2260 | ||
9038 | 01:41:09,900 ~-~-> 01:41:11,400 | ||
9039 | range here that you got to work within | ||
9040 | |||
9041 | 2261 | ||
9042 | 01:41:12,270 ~-~-> 01:41:14,850 | ||
9043 | okay and that looks like this. | ||
9044 | |||
9045 | 2262 | ||
9046 | 01:41:19,980 ~-~-> 01:41:21,390 | ||
9047 | See I went right up into that area here. | ||
9048 | |||
9049 | 2263 | ||
9050 | 01:41:21,990 ~-~-> 01:41:24,120 | ||
9051 | Both candles stop dead on the 79 cent | ||
9052 | |||
9053 | 2264 | ||
9054 | 01:41:24,120 ~-~-> 01:41:26,490 | ||
9055 | tracing level and then boom, it move | ||
9056 | |||
9057 | 2265 | ||
9058 | 01:41:26,490 ~-~-> 01:41:28,500 | ||
9059 | lower. Okay, now we have everything back | ||
9060 | |||
9061 | 2266 | ||
9062 | 01:41:28,500 ~-~-> 01:41:30,480 | ||
9063 | in sync again. We had this low taken | ||
9064 | |||
9065 | 2267 | ||
9066 | 01:41:30,480 ~-~-> 01:41:33,930 | ||
9067 | out, we have both the framework on the | ||
9068 | |||
9069 | 2268 | ||
9070 | 01:41:33,930 ~-~-> 01:41:36,090 | ||
9071 | moving averages suggesting lower prices | ||
9072 | |||
9073 | 2269 | ||
9074 | 01:41:36,510 ~-~-> 01:41:40,140 | ||
9075 | and the order flow and Mark flow is | ||
9076 | |||
9077 | 2270 | ||
9078 | 01:41:40,170 ~-~-> 01:41:41,790 | ||
9079 | bearish because we took out the swing | ||
9080 | |||
9081 | 2271 | ||
9082 | 01:41:41,790 ~-~-> 01:41:43,560 | ||
9083 | low so everything's moving lower again. | ||
9084 | |||
9085 | 2272 | ||
9086 | 01:41:45,300 ~-~-> 01:41:47,640 | ||
9087 | We we continuingly looking for selling | ||
9088 | |||
9089 | 2273 | ||
9090 | 01:41:47,640 ~-~-> 01:41:51,000 | ||
9091 | opportunities okay. And inside this is | ||
9092 | |||
9093 | 2274 | ||
9094 | 01:41:51,090 ~-~-> 01:41:55,200 | ||
9095 | area here. Now again we have the market | ||
9096 | |||
9097 | 2275 | ||
9098 | 01:41:55,230 ~-~-> 01:41:58,170 | ||
9099 | creating a nice rally and reversal. | ||
9100 | |||
9101 | 2276 | ||
9102 | 01:41:58,200 ~-~-> 01:42:00,900 | ||
9103 | Again, we are not Trying to call the | ||
9104 | |||
9105 | 2277 | ||
9106 | 01:42:00,900 ~-~-> 01:42:03,840 | ||
9107 | lows, we are not looking for the, you | ||
9108 | |||
9109 | 2278 | ||
9110 | 01:42:03,840 ~-~-> 01:42:05,070 | ||
9111 | know, the tops and the bottoms in the | ||
9112 | |||
9113 | 2279 | ||
9114 | 01:42:05,070 ~-~-> 01:42:06,900 | ||
9115 | marketplace. So even if we were to take | ||
9116 | |||
9117 | 2280 | ||
9118 | 01:42:06,900 ~-~-> 01:42:08,520 | ||
9119 | a trade in here somewhere, okay, | ||
9120 | |||
9121 | 2281 | ||
9122 | 01:42:08,520 ~-~-> 01:42:11,070 | ||
9123 | something lent to our analysis that we | ||
9124 | |||
9125 | 2282 | ||
9126 | 01:42:11,070 ~-~-> 01:42:13,530 | ||
9127 | should suggest taking a short trade and | ||
9128 | |||
9129 | 2283 | ||
9130 | 01:42:13,530 ~-~-> 01:42:15,780 | ||
9131 | we got stopped out, what do we do? We | ||
9132 | |||
9133 | 2284 | ||
9134 | 01:42:15,780 ~-~-> 01:42:18,120 | ||
9135 | accept the loss and we move on. Okay? | ||
9136 | |||
9137 | 2285 | ||
9138 | 01:42:18,540 ~-~-> 01:42:20,550 | ||
9139 | Right in our journal, keep it you know, | ||
9140 | |||
9141 | 2286 | ||
9142 | 01:42:21,300 ~-~-> 01:42:23,490 | ||
9143 | as a learning process, and continuously | ||
9144 | |||
9145 | 2287 | ||
9146 | 01:42:23,490 ~-~-> 01:42:26,970 | ||
9147 | looking for the next opportunity. All | ||
9148 | |||
9149 | 2288 | ||
9150 | 01:42:26,970 ~-~-> 01:42:30,390 | ||
9151 | this right here, okay, would be the same | ||
9152 | |||
9153 | 2289 | ||
9154 | 01:42:30,390 ~-~-> 01:42:32,550 | ||
9155 | information this applied going forward. | ||
9156 | |||
9157 | 2290 | ||
9158 | 01:42:32,580 ~-~-> 01:42:34,770 | ||
9159 | Now this, we only had these two examples | ||
9160 | |||
9161 | 2291 | ||
9162 | 01:42:34,770 ~-~-> 01:42:38,580 | ||
9163 | in our analysis and study. Again, we had | ||
9164 | |||
9165 | 2292 | ||
9166 | 01:42:39,240 ~-~-> 01:42:41,400 | ||
9167 | that red arrow area in the two green | ||
9168 | |||
9169 | 2293 | ||
9170 | 01:42:41,400 ~-~-> 01:42:45,780 | ||
9171 | areas. Inside of these pockets of price | ||
9172 | |||
9173 | 2294 | ||
9174 | 01:42:45,780 ~-~-> 01:42:48,060 | ||
9175 | action, there's more than enough | ||
9176 | |||
9177 | 2295 | ||
9178 | 01:42:48,060 ~-~-> 01:42:50,190 | ||
9179 | opportunities for you to take trades | ||
9180 | |||
9181 | 2296 | ||
9182 | 01:42:50,370 ~-~-> 01:42:53,580 | ||
9183 | just using the daily chart. Okay, but if | ||
9184 | |||
9185 | 2297 | ||
9186 | 01:42:53,580 ~-~-> 01:42:56,910 | ||
9187 | you use the four hour chart, you'll be | ||
9188 | |||
9189 | 2298 | ||
9190 | 01:42:56,910 ~-~-> 01:42:59,430 | ||
9191 | able to glean a better understanding of | ||
9192 | |||
9193 | 2299 | ||
9194 | 01:42:59,430 ~-~-> 01:43:01,230 | ||
9195 | what it is That you're going to be | ||
9196 | |||
9197 | 2300 | ||
9198 | 01:43:01,230 ~-~-> 01:43:03,510 | ||
9199 | hunting. But before we do that, let's | ||
9200 | |||
9201 | 2301 | ||
9202 | 01:43:03,510 ~-~-> 01:43:06,630 | ||
9203 | strip the chart again. And we're going | ||
9204 | |||
9205 | 2302 | ||
9206 | 01:43:06,630 ~-~-> 01:43:10,710 | ||
9207 | to take these fractal things off here. | ||
9208 | |||
9209 | 2303 | ||
9210 | 01:43:11,640 ~-~-> 01:43:13,500 | ||
9211 | Okay? And what I'm going to discuss now | ||
9212 | |||
9213 | 2304 | ||
9214 | 01:43:14,910 ~-~-> 01:43:15,570 | ||
9215 | is | ||
9216 | |||
9217 | 2305 | ||
9218 | 01:43:16,410 ~-~-> 01:43:18,810 | ||
9219 | what specifically is inside the candles | ||
9220 | |||
9221 | 2306 | ||
9222 | 01:43:18,810 ~-~-> 01:43:20,640 | ||
9223 | that's useful to us, okay? And why | ||
9224 | |||
9225 | 2307 | ||
9226 | 01:43:20,640 ~-~-> 01:43:25,020 | ||
9227 | consolidations breed opportunity. We | ||
9228 | |||
9229 | 2308 | ||
9230 | 01:43:25,020 ~-~-> 01:43:28,440 | ||
9231 | have an area of consolidation right | ||
9232 | |||
9233 | 2309 | ||
9234 | 01:43:28,440 ~-~-> 01:43:31,140 | ||
9235 | here. And I probably should take these | ||
9236 | |||
9237 | 2310 | ||
9238 | 01:43:31,140 ~-~-> 01:43:40,920 | ||
9239 | rectangles off because there we go. And | ||
9240 | |||
9241 | 2311 | ||
9242 | 01:43:40,920 ~-~-> 01:43:41,580 | ||
9243 | we have | ||
9244 | |||
9245 | 2312 | ||
9246 | 01:43:48,210 ~-~-> 01:43:55,950 | ||
9247 | this consolidation right here. Okay, | ||
9248 | |||
9249 | 2313 | ||
9250 | 01:43:55,950 ~-~-> 01:44:00,840 | ||
9251 | inside this, I'm gonna make it blue. In | ||
9252 | |||
9253 | 2314 | ||
9254 | 01:44:00,840 ~-~-> 01:44:04,290 | ||
9255 | this little area here, okay, smart money | ||
9256 | |||
9257 | 2315 | ||
9258 | 01:44:04,290 ~-~-> 01:44:08,790 | ||
9259 | is accumulating. Now, how do I know it's | ||
9260 | |||
9261 | 2316 | ||
9262 | 01:44:09,660 ~-~-> 01:44:11,760 | ||
9263 | accumulating? Well, because number one | ||
9264 | |||
9265 | 2317 | ||
9266 | 01:44:11,760 ~-~-> 01:44:15,120 | ||
9267 | prices already moved off of an area | ||
9268 | |||
9269 | 2318 | ||
9270 | 01:44:15,150 ~-~-> 01:44:19,860 | ||
9271 | where it caused a reaction. Okay, inside | ||
9272 | |||
9273 | 2319 | ||
9274 | 01:44:19,860 ~-~-> 01:44:23,220 | ||
9275 | this reaction, this price move higher. | ||
9276 | |||
9277 | 2320 | ||
9278 | 01:44:23,250 ~-~-> 01:44:25,080 | ||
9279 | Okay, we're talking about a daily chart | ||
9280 | |||
9281 | 2321 | ||
9282 | 01:44:25,080 ~-~-> 01:44:31,050 | ||
9283 | moving for days to the tune of about 465 | ||
9284 | |||
9285 | 2322 | ||
9286 | 01:44:31,050 ~-~-> 01:44:33,930 | ||
9287 | pips. Okay? retail traders can't do | ||
9288 | |||
9289 | 2323 | ||
9290 | 01:44:33,930 ~-~-> 01:44:36,090 | ||
9291 | that. So institutional funds | ||
9292 | |||
9293 | 2324 | ||
9294 | 01:44:36,120 ~-~-> 01:44:38,340 | ||
9295 | institutional traders will smart money | ||
9296 | |||
9297 | 2325 | ||
9298 | 01:44:38,340 ~-~-> 01:44:39,870 | ||
9299 | will this is the elephant putting its | ||
9300 | |||
9301 | 2326 | ||
9302 | 01:44:39,870 ~-~-> 01:44:41,970 | ||
9303 | foot in the water, okay? Then we go into | ||
9304 | |||
9305 | 2327 | ||
9306 | 01:44:41,970 ~-~-> 01:44:45,240 | ||
9307 | a consolidation, it's pausing in here, | ||
9308 | |||
9309 | 2328 | ||
9310 | 01:44:45,300 ~-~-> 01:44:47,220 | ||
9311 | traders chase it thinking, Okay, what's | ||
9312 | |||
9313 | 2329 | ||
9314 | 01:44:47,220 ~-~-> 01:44:48,450 | ||
9315 | been going up, I'm gonna keep buying it | ||
9316 | |||
9317 | 2330 | ||
9318 | 01:44:48,450 ~-~-> 01:44:49,920 | ||
9319 | and they get pounded here to get pounded | ||
9320 | |||
9321 | 2331 | ||
9322 | 01:44:49,920 ~-~-> 01:44:51,930 | ||
9323 | here, get pounded here. And at this | ||
9324 | |||
9325 | 2332 | ||
9326 | 01:44:51,930 ~-~-> 01:44:52,950 | ||
9327 | point, they say well, it's probably not | ||
9328 | |||
9329 | 2333 | ||
9330 | 01:44:52,950 ~-~-> 01:44:54,420 | ||
9331 | going to keep going up. So I'm going to | ||
9332 | |||
9333 | 2334 | ||
9334 | 01:44:54,420 ~-~-> 01:44:56,220 | ||
9335 | be a seller and what they do they sell a | ||
9336 | |||
9337 | 2335 | ||
9338 | 01:44:56,220 ~-~-> 01:44:58,470 | ||
9339 | breakout. Okay? Are they so you know, | ||
9340 | |||
9341 | 2336 | ||
9342 | 01:44:58,500 ~-~-> 01:45:00,600 | ||
9343 | whatever pattern they think is is | ||
9344 | |||
9345 | 2337 | ||
9346 | 01:45:00,630 ~-~-> 01:45:03,180 | ||
9347 | beneficial to them and ended up getting | ||
9348 | |||
9349 | 2338 | ||
9350 | 01:45:03,180 ~-~-> 01:45:04,350 | ||
9351 | caught on the other side of the market | ||
9352 | |||
9353 | 2339 | ||
9354 | 01:45:04,350 ~-~-> 01:45:07,890 | ||
9355 | again. We as traders, okay, here's what | ||
9356 | |||
9357 | 2340 | ||
9358 | 01:45:07,890 ~-~-> 01:45:09,330 | ||
9359 | we're going to take a huge step right | ||
9360 | |||
9361 | 2341 | ||
9362 | 01:45:09,330 ~-~-> 01:45:12,780 | ||
9363 | now. Okay? You need institutional | ||
9364 | |||
9365 | 2342 | ||
9366 | 01:45:12,780 ~-~-> 01:45:15,180 | ||
9367 | sponsorship in your trades. | ||
9368 | |||
9369 | 2343 | ||
9370 | 01:45:16,110 ~-~-> 01:45:17,970 | ||
9371 | Institutional sponsorship is when you | ||
9372 | |||
9373 | 2344 | ||
9374 | 01:45:17,970 ~-~-> 01:45:19,560 | ||
9375 | start seeing things like this as the | ||
9376 | |||
9377 | 2345 | ||
9378 | 01:45:19,590 ~-~-> 01:45:21,480 | ||
9379 | market moves up, moves into | ||
9380 | |||
9381 | 2346 | ||
9382 | 01:45:21,480 ~-~-> 01:45:24,240 | ||
9383 | consolidation. This is where pairing of | ||
9384 | |||
9385 | 2347 | ||
9386 | 01:45:24,240 ~-~-> 01:45:26,100 | ||
9387 | orders is taking place. Okay? | ||
9388 | |||
9389 | 2348 | ||
9390 | 01:45:26,940 ~-~-> 01:45:29,910 | ||
9391 | institutional trading is building up | ||
9392 | |||
9393 | 2349 | ||
9394 | 01:45:29,910 ~-~-> 01:45:32,460 | ||
9395 | positions, all in these areas here. | ||
9396 | |||
9397 | 2350 | ||
9398 | 01:45:32,670 ~-~-> 01:45:34,650 | ||
9399 | Okay. And what you're looking for is | ||
9400 | |||
9401 | 2351 | ||
9402 | 01:45:34,650 ~-~-> 01:45:37,020 | ||
9403 | where areas of where the market has | ||
9404 | |||
9405 | 2352 | ||
9406 | 01:45:37,020 ~-~-> 01:45:42,120 | ||
9407 | moved with a great level of conviction. | ||
9408 | |||
9409 | 2353 | ||
9410 | 01:45:42,510 ~-~-> 01:45:45,360 | ||
9411 | Okay. If they can move the market almost | ||
9412 | |||
9413 | 2354 | ||
9414 | 01:45:45,360 ~-~-> 01:45:47,670 | ||
9415 | 500 pips here and it starts pausing. | ||
9416 | |||
9417 | 2355 | ||
9418 | 01:45:48,240 ~-~-> 01:45:49,380 | ||
9419 | Chances are, it's probably gonna be | ||
9420 | |||
9421 | 2356 | ||
9422 | 01:45:49,380 ~-~-> 01:45:52,170 | ||
9423 | another leg up. And what I mean by that, | ||
9424 | |||
9425 | 2357 | ||
9426 | 01:45:52,170 ~-~-> 01:45:54,510 | ||
9427 | well, if you take this low to the high | ||
9428 | |||
9429 | 2358 | ||
9430 | 01:45:54,720 ~-~-> 01:46:01,620 | ||
9431 | in here if you see that range here It's | ||
9432 | |||
9433 | 2359 | ||
9434 | 01:46:01,620 ~-~-> 01:46:03,420 | ||
9435 | probably gonna look to make a move equal | ||
9436 | |||
9437 | 2360 | ||
9438 | 01:46:03,420 ~-~-> 01:46:07,050 | ||
9439 | to that same thing. Okay, and here's a | ||
9440 | |||
9441 | 2361 | ||
9442 | 01:46:07,050 ~-~-> 01:46:08,370 | ||
9443 | low we're going to use basically use | ||
9444 | |||
9445 | 2362 | ||
9446 | 01:46:08,370 ~-~-> 01:46:11,160 | ||
9447 | this because usually the same this here | ||
9448 | |||
9449 | 2363 | ||
9450 | 01:46:11,160 ~-~-> 01:46:13,500 | ||
9451 | and here's basically the same price. As | ||
9452 | |||
9453 | 2364 | ||
9454 | 01:46:13,500 ~-~-> 01:46:14,880 | ||
9455 | you take this out in time, you can see | ||
9456 | |||
9457 | 2365 | ||
9458 | 01:46:15,060 ~-~-> 01:46:16,740 | ||
9459 | the market did move in fact to that same | ||
9460 | |||
9461 | 2366 | ||
9462 | 01:46:16,740 ~-~-> 01:46:19,050 | ||
9463 | price level. Again, it's just like a | ||
9464 | |||
9465 | 2367 | ||
9466 | 01:46:19,050 ~-~-> 01:46:21,360 | ||
9467 | measured move taking the first swing and | ||
9468 | |||
9469 | 2368 | ||
9470 | 01:46:21,360 ~-~-> 01:46:23,310 | ||
9471 | then consolidation and expect another | ||
9472 | |||
9473 | 2369 | ||
9474 | 01:46:23,610 ~-~-> 01:46:26,130 | ||
9475 | move higher. What I want to draw your | ||
9476 | |||
9477 | 2370 | ||
9478 | 01:46:26,130 ~-~-> 01:46:28,980 | ||
9479 | attention to is again on a daily chart | ||
9480 | |||
9481 | 2371 | ||
9482 | 01:46:30,870 ~-~-> 01:46:35,220 | ||
9483 | how I like to view the market is it see | ||
9484 | |||
9485 | 2372 | ||
9486 | 01:46:35,220 ~-~-> 01:46:38,790 | ||
9487 | this candle here? Okay, if we look at | ||
9488 | |||
9489 | 2373 | ||
9490 | 01:46:38,790 ~-~-> 01:46:42,690 | ||
9491 | that, this candle right here, | ||
9492 | |||
9493 | 2374 | ||
9494 | 01:46:44,820 ~-~-> 01:46:45,420 | ||
9495 | here | ||
9496 | |||
9497 | 2375 | ||
9498 | 01:46:53,310 ~-~-> 01:46:54,630 | ||
9499 | the body of that candle | ||
9500 | |||
9501 | 2376 | ||
9502 | 01:46:56,640 ~-~-> 01:46:57,150 | ||
9503 | okay. | ||
9504 | |||
9505 | 2377 | ||
9506 | 01:47:00,000 ~-~-> 01:47:02,100 | ||
9507 | To me the most useful portion of it, | ||
9508 | |||
9509 | 2378 | ||
9510 | 01:47:02,490 ~-~-> 01:47:06,810 | ||
9511 | okay? When price rallied up, okay and | ||
9512 | |||
9513 | 2379 | ||
9514 | 01:47:06,810 ~-~-> 01:47:08,670 | ||
9515 | consolidated and moved out of it and | ||
9516 | |||
9517 | 2380 | ||
9518 | 01:47:08,670 ~-~-> 01:47:10,110 | ||
9519 | came right back down into it but was | ||
9520 | |||
9521 | 2381 | ||
9522 | 01:47:10,140 ~-~-> 01:47:12,000 | ||
9523 | unable to break this low, we are in a | ||
9524 | |||
9525 | 2382 | ||
9526 | 01:47:12,000 ~-~-> 01:47:17,610 | ||
9527 | consolidation. Okay. In this area in | ||
9528 | |||
9529 | 2383 | ||
9530 | 01:47:17,610 ~-~-> 01:47:20,190 | ||
9531 | here, okay, something's going on | ||
9532 | |||
9533 | 2384 | ||
9534 | 01:47:20,400 ~-~-> 01:47:22,650 | ||
9535 | institutionally speaking. I don't know | ||
9536 | |||
9537 | 2385 | ||
9538 | 01:47:22,650 ~-~-> 01:47:25,200 | ||
9539 | exactly what it is. But I know that | ||
9540 | |||
9541 | 2386 | ||
9542 | 01:47:25,200 ~-~-> 01:47:28,350 | ||
9543 | there's something that traders on a | ||
9544 | |||
9545 | 2387 | ||
9546 | 01:47:28,350 ~-~-> 01:47:31,830 | ||
9547 | large institutional basis want this | ||
9548 | |||
9549 | 2388 | ||
9550 | 01:47:31,860 ~-~-> 01:47:34,080 | ||
9551 | price for whatever reason they think | ||
9552 | |||
9553 | 2389 | ||
9554 | 01:47:34,080 ~-~-> 01:47:36,630 | ||
9555 | there's value to it, okay? And what | ||
9556 | |||
9557 | 2390 | ||
9558 | 01:47:36,630 ~-~-> 01:47:37,710 | ||
9559 | we're going to do is we're going to be | ||
9560 | |||
9561 | 2391 | ||
9562 | 01:47:37,710 ~-~-> 01:47:42,000 | ||
9563 | looking at this whole area here and I | ||
9564 | |||
9565 | 2392 | ||
9566 | 01:47:42,000 ~-~-> 01:47:43,170 | ||
9567 | really should be using the high the | ||
9568 | |||
9569 | 2393 | ||
9570 | 01:47:43,170 ~-~-> 01:47:47,130 | ||
9571 | candle, not just the body, but this | ||
9572 | |||
9573 | 2394 | ||
9574 | 01:47:47,130 ~-~-> 01:47:53,460 | ||
9575 | whole area here is important. Because | ||
9576 | |||
9577 | 2395 | ||
9578 | 01:47:53,460 ~-~-> 01:47:55,260 | ||
9579 | this is going to be an institutional | ||
9580 | |||
9581 | 2396 | ||
9582 | 01:47:55,260 ~-~-> 01:47:58,260 | ||
9583 | order block. Okay, when price rallied | ||
9584 | |||
9585 | 2397 | ||
9586 | 01:47:58,260 ~-~-> 01:47:59,970 | ||
9587 | out of that and came back one more time | ||
9588 | |||
9589 | 2398 | ||
9590 | 01:48:00,540 ~-~-> 01:48:02,460 | ||
9591 | Okay, they did, they dipped below this | ||
9592 | |||
9593 | 2399 | ||
9594 | 01:48:02,460 ~-~-> 01:48:04,950 | ||
9595 | area here to clear out any kind of stops | ||
9596 | |||
9597 | 2400 | ||
9598 | 01:48:04,950 ~-~-> 01:48:06,510 | ||
9599 | that would be resting there. Okay and | ||
9600 | |||
9601 | 2401 | ||
9602 | 01:48:06,510 ~-~-> 01:48:08,580 | ||
9603 | it's a stop run. One of the most | ||
9604 | |||
9605 | 2402 | ||
9606 | 01:48:08,580 ~-~-> 01:48:09,750 | ||
9607 | important things you can have your notes | ||
9608 | |||
9609 | 2403 | ||
9610 | 01:48:09,750 ~-~-> 01:48:11,700 | ||
9611 | are is if the price can come back to a | ||
9612 | |||
9613 | 2404 | ||
9614 | 01:48:11,700 ~-~-> 01:48:14,070 | ||
9615 | key level support resistance, sweep | ||
9616 | |||
9617 | 2405 | ||
9618 | 01:48:14,070 ~-~-> 01:48:16,230 | ||
9619 | through it one more time. Okay and then | ||
9620 | |||
9621 | 2406 | ||
9622 | 01:48:16,530 ~-~-> 01:48:18,720 | ||
9623 | fail to keep going. That's generally a | ||
9624 | |||
9625 | 2407 | ||
9626 | 01:48:18,720 ~-~-> 01:48:20,190 | ||
9627 | sign that was a stop rate and they're | ||
9628 | |||
9629 | 2408 | ||
9630 | 01:48:20,190 ~-~-> 01:48:22,110 | ||
9631 | getting ready to do a major repricing | ||
9632 | |||
9633 | 2409 | ||
9634 | 01:48:22,320 ~-~-> 01:48:23,610 | ||
9635 | going the opposite direction in other | ||
9636 | |||
9637 | 2410 | ||
9638 | 01:48:23,610 ~-~-> 01:48:25,830 | ||
9639 | words contrary to direction the stop was | ||
9640 | |||
9641 | 2411 | ||
9642 | 01:48:25,890 ~-~-> 01:48:28,260 | ||
9643 | rattling somewhere they drove it lower | ||
9644 | |||
9645 | 2412 | ||
9646 | 01:48:28,260 ~-~-> 01:48:30,900 | ||
9647 | here, engineered it lower to send it | ||
9648 | |||
9649 | 2413 | ||
9650 | 01:48:30,900 ~-~-> 01:48:33,000 | ||
9651 | higher. Okay, why did they do that? | ||
9652 | |||
9653 | 2414 | ||
9654 | 01:48:33,030 ~-~-> 01:48:34,800 | ||
9655 | Because they want the orders that are in | ||
9656 | |||
9657 | 2415 | ||
9658 | 01:48:34,800 ~-~-> 01:48:39,330 | ||
9659 | existence down here. Okay. So what do I | ||
9660 | |||
9661 | 2416 | ||
9662 | 01:48:39,330 ~-~-> 01:48:42,150 | ||
9663 | mean by that? Well, we had one little or | ||
9664 | |||
9665 | 2417 | ||
9666 | 01:48:42,150 ~-~-> 01:48:43,590 | ||
9667 | block in here between this candles high | ||
9668 | |||
9669 | 2418 | ||
9670 | 01:48:43,590 ~-~-> 01:48:45,690 | ||
9671 | in this candles low Okay, when price | ||
9672 | |||
9673 | 2419 | ||
9674 | 01:48:45,690 ~-~-> 01:48:47,040 | ||
9675 | rallied out they couldn't get all their | ||
9676 | |||
9677 | 2420 | ||
9678 | 01:48:47,040 ~-~-> 01:48:49,860 | ||
9679 | trade on. So what do they do they stop | ||
9680 | |||
9681 | 2421 | ||
9682 | 01:48:49,860 ~-~-> 01:48:52,800 | ||
9683 | their buying okay. And with they're not | ||
9684 | |||
9685 | 2422 | ||
9686 | 01:48:52,800 ~-~-> 01:48:55,530 | ||
9687 | buying price will be permitted to trade | ||
9688 | |||
9689 | 2423 | ||
9690 | 01:48:55,530 ~-~-> 01:48:57,360 | ||
9691 | lower, and then they'll support the | ||
9692 | |||
9693 | 2424 | ||
9694 | 01:48:57,360 ~-~-> 01:48:59,280 | ||
9695 | market again because why they're buying | ||
9696 | |||
9697 | 2425 | ||
9698 | 01:48:59,280 ~-~-> 01:49:00,540 | ||
9699 | comes back in tomorrow. marketplace in | ||
9700 | |||
9701 | 2426 | ||
9702 | 01:49:00,540 ~-~-> 01:49:02,160 | ||
9703 | here, okay, and they're buying it up | ||
9704 | |||
9705 | 2427 | ||
9706 | 01:49:02,160 ~-~-> 01:49:04,830 | ||
9707 | again, that's going to control this | ||
9708 | |||
9709 | 2428 | ||
9710 | 01:49:04,860 ~-~-> 01:49:06,930 | ||
9711 | decline and keep from going back into | ||
9712 | |||
9713 | 2429 | ||
9714 | 01:49:06,930 ~-~-> 01:49:08,370 | ||
9715 | this area here because they already have | ||
9716 | |||
9717 | 2430 | ||
9718 | 01:49:08,370 ~-~-> 01:49:10,710 | ||
9719 | established positions back here. They | ||
9720 | |||
9721 | 2431 | ||
9722 | 01:49:10,710 ~-~-> 01:49:12,240 | ||
9723 | don't want those violated, they don't | ||
9724 | |||
9725 | 2432 | ||
9726 | 01:49:12,240 ~-~-> 01:49:13,770 | ||
9727 | want to see a net loss in there. So | ||
9728 | |||
9729 | 2433 | ||
9730 | 01:49:13,770 ~-~-> 01:49:15,390 | ||
9731 | they're going to add more positions in | ||
9732 | |||
9733 | 2434 | ||
9734 | 01:49:15,390 ~-~-> 01:49:18,450 | ||
9735 | here supporting the market. Again, don't | ||
9736 | |||
9737 | 2435 | ||
9738 | 01:49:18,450 ~-~-> 01:49:19,980 | ||
9739 | think like a retail trader, think like | ||
9740 | |||
9741 | 2436 | ||
9742 | 01:49:19,980 ~-~-> 01:49:21,990 | ||
9743 | the banks, the institutional guys, they | ||
9744 | |||
9745 | 2437 | ||
9746 | 01:49:21,990 ~-~-> 01:49:23,580 | ||
9747 | want to keep this thing they have a | ||
9748 | |||
9749 | 2438 | ||
9750 | 01:49:23,580 ~-~-> 01:49:25,110 | ||
9751 | vested interest in keeping this market | ||
9752 | |||
9753 | 2439 | ||
9754 | 01:49:25,110 ~-~-> 01:49:27,090 | ||
9755 | up. So if they wanted to move higher, | ||
9756 | |||
9757 | 2440 | ||
9758 | 01:49:27,210 ~-~-> 01:49:28,500 | ||
9759 | they're gonna be buying it at a level | ||
9760 | |||
9761 | 2441 | ||
9762 | 01:49:28,500 ~-~-> 01:49:30,750 | ||
9763 | where they consider it valuable, okay, | ||
9764 | |||
9765 | 2442 | ||
9766 | 01:49:30,780 ~-~-> 01:49:34,440 | ||
9767 | or a viewing perspective on the | ||
9768 | |||
9769 | 2443 | ||
9770 | 01:49:34,440 ~-~-> 01:49:38,460 | ||
9771 | marketplace as it has a worth of some | ||
9772 | |||
9773 | 2444 | ||
9774 | 01:49:38,460 ~-~-> 01:49:42,330 | ||
9775 | sort, or undervalued if you will. Now, | ||
9776 | |||
9777 | 2445 | ||
9778 | 01:49:42,390 ~-~-> 01:49:44,940 | ||
9779 | as price moved out of this area here, | ||
9780 | |||
9781 | 2446 | ||
9782 | 01:49:44,970 ~-~-> 01:49:46,740 | ||
9783 | again, this is that consolidation area | ||
9784 | |||
9785 | 2447 | ||
9786 | 01:49:46,740 ~-~-> 01:49:49,050 | ||
9787 | we just had blocked off. Its price move | ||
9788 | |||
9789 | 2448 | ||
9790 | 01:49:49,080 ~-~-> 01:49:50,940 | ||
9791 | out of that area here we have market | ||
9792 | |||
9793 | 2449 | ||
9794 | 01:49:50,940 ~-~-> 01:49:52,890 | ||
9795 | structure shift here again to the | ||
9796 | |||
9797 | 2450 | ||
9798 | 01:49:52,890 ~-~-> 01:49:54,600 | ||
9799 | bullishness to this high was taken out | ||
9800 | |||
9801 | 2451 | ||
9802 | 01:49:54,900 ~-~-> 01:50:01,470 | ||
9803 | here so let's draw that out. Okay, we | ||
9804 | |||
9805 | 2452 | ||
9806 | 01:50:01,470 ~-~-> 01:50:03,330 | ||
9807 | are bullish market structure here, price | ||
9808 | |||
9809 | 2453 | ||
9810 | 01:50:03,330 ~-~-> 01:50:05,160 | ||
9811 | rallies up again and then we have this | ||
9812 | |||
9813 | 2454 | ||
9814 | 01:50:05,190 ~-~-> 01:50:07,890 | ||
9815 | decline. Okay. Now remember earlier I | ||
9816 | |||
9817 | 2455 | ||
9818 | 01:50:07,890 ~-~-> 01:50:10,800 | ||
9819 | was discussing this Yes, it was three | ||
9820 | |||
9821 | 2456 | ||
9822 | 01:50:10,800 ~-~-> 01:50:12,060 | ||
9823 | days where it was bearish. I'm not | ||
9824 | |||
9825 | 2457 | ||
9826 | 01:50:12,120 ~-~-> 01:50:14,820 | ||
9827 | ignoring that. Okay. The reason why I | ||
9828 | |||
9829 | 2458 | ||
9830 | 01:50:14,820 ~-~-> 01:50:17,010 | ||
9831 | was going to come back to this example | ||
9832 | |||
9833 | 2459 | ||
9834 | 01:50:17,010 ~-~-> 01:50:19,440 | ||
9835 | here because this is exactly what I used | ||
9836 | |||
9837 | 2460 | ||
9838 | 01:50:19,440 ~-~-> 01:50:21,990 | ||
9839 | to get in these types of trades. If you | ||
9840 | |||
9841 | 2461 | ||
9842 | 01:50:21,990 ~-~-> 01:50:24,570 | ||
9843 | look at this area of where the | ||
9844 | |||
9845 | 2462 | ||
9846 | 01:50:24,570 ~-~-> 01:50:27,000 | ||
9847 | institutional order block was, okay, and | ||
9848 | |||
9849 | 2463 | ||
9850 | 01:50:27,000 ~-~-> 01:50:29,430 | ||
9851 | again, what how am I defining that | ||
9852 | |||
9853 | 2464 | ||
9854 | 01:50:29,550 ~-~-> 01:50:31,860 | ||
9855 | because we went into a consolidation, we | ||
9856 | |||
9857 | 2465 | ||
9858 | 01:50:31,860 ~-~-> 01:50:35,010 | ||
9859 | rallied up, okay. And you want to see a | ||
9860 | |||
9861 | 2466 | ||
9862 | 01:50:35,010 ~-~-> 01:50:37,650 | ||
9863 | conviction, a very strong conviction in | ||
9864 | |||
9865 | 2467 | ||
9866 | 01:50:37,650 ~-~-> 01:50:39,090 | ||
9867 | the marketplace. And when you see | ||
9868 | |||
9869 | 2468 | ||
9870 | 01:50:39,090 ~-~-> 01:50:39,930 | ||
9871 | something like this where it moves, | ||
9872 | |||
9873 | 2469 | ||
9874 | 01:50:39,930 ~-~-> 01:50:42,060 | ||
9875 | several hundred pips, retail traders | ||
9876 | |||
9877 | 2470 | ||
9878 | 01:50:42,060 ~-~-> 01:50:44,160 | ||
9879 | can't do that. So that's the elephant | ||
9880 | |||
9881 | 2471 | ||
9882 | 01:50:44,160 ~-~-> 01:50:45,810 | ||
9883 | putting his foot in the water. And when | ||
9884 | |||
9885 | 2472 | ||
9886 | 01:50:45,810 ~-~-> 01:50:47,880 | ||
9887 | price comes back down, okay, it gets | ||
9888 | |||
9889 | 2473 | ||
9890 | 01:50:47,880 ~-~-> 01:50:49,200 | ||
9891 | back in the same area, we can reasonably | ||
9892 | |||
9893 | 2474 | ||
9894 | 01:50:49,200 ~-~-> 01:50:50,880 | ||
9895 | expect to see it to do what we expect it | ||
9896 | |||
9897 | 2475 | ||
9898 | 01:50:50,880 ~-~-> 01:50:52,920 | ||
9899 | to rally. And when it rallies up and | ||
9900 | |||
9901 | 2476 | ||
9902 | 01:50:52,920 ~-~-> 01:50:54,480 | ||
9903 | breaks these highs, we know that they | ||
9904 | |||
9905 | 2477 | ||
9906 | 01:50:54,480 ~-~-> 01:50:56,640 | ||
9907 | are really putting an effort to keep | ||
9908 | |||
9909 | 2478 | ||
9910 | 01:50:56,640 ~-~-> 01:50:59,100 | ||
9911 | this thing going moving higher. Now | ||
9912 | |||
9913 | 2479 | ||
9914 | 01:50:59,100 ~-~-> 01:51:00,630 | ||
9915 | watch, we're getting anything out. huge | ||
9916 | |||
9917 | 2480 | ||
9918 | 01:51:00,630 ~-~-> 01:51:03,960 | ||
9919 | leap forward. Okay, this area here | ||
9920 | |||
9921 | 2481 | ||
9922 | 01:51:04,050 ~-~-> 01:51:05,820 | ||
9923 | because we use this first candle, it's | ||
9924 | |||
9925 | 2482 | ||
9926 | 01:51:05,820 ~-~-> 01:51:08,430 | ||
9927 | the bearish candle. Okay prior to the | ||
9928 | |||
9929 | 2483 | ||
9930 | 01:51:08,430 ~-~-> 01:51:12,240 | ||
9931 | first rally if we took this down to a | ||
9932 | |||
9933 | 2484 | ||
9934 | 01:51:12,240 ~-~-> 01:51:14,250 | ||
9935 | lower timeframe, what do you think this | ||
9936 | |||
9937 | 2485 | ||
9938 | 01:51:14,250 ~-~-> 01:51:16,770 | ||
9939 | is going to be? It's going to be a | ||
9940 | |||
9941 | 2486 | ||
9942 | 01:51:16,890 ~-~-> 01:51:20,430 | ||
9943 | market structure or a market flow or | ||
9944 | |||
9945 | 2487 | ||
9946 | 01:51:20,430 ~-~-> 01:51:22,830 | ||
9947 | order flow reference point where if it | ||
9948 | |||
9949 | 2488 | ||
9950 | 01:51:22,830 ~-~-> 01:51:24,360 | ||
9951 | breaks to the higher side we would | ||
9952 | |||
9953 | 2489 | ||
9954 | 01:51:24,360 ~-~-> 01:51:26,910 | ||
9955 | expect to see what bullish prices okay? | ||
9956 | |||
9957 | 2490 | ||
9958 | 01:51:27,540 ~-~-> 01:51:31,770 | ||
9959 | But also it's during down candles okay | ||
9960 | |||
9961 | 2491 | ||
9962 | 01:51:31,770 ~-~-> 01:51:34,620 | ||
9963 | or down moves is when the Smart Money | ||
9964 | |||
9965 | 2492 | ||
9966 | 01:51:34,620 ~-~-> 01:51:37,950 | ||
9967 | accumulates positions. Let me say that | ||
9968 | |||
9969 | 2493 | ||
9970 | 01:51:37,950 ~-~-> 01:51:39,000 | ||
9971 | one more time because it went right over | ||
9972 | |||
9973 | 2494 | ||
9974 | 01:51:39,000 ~-~-> 01:51:42,780 | ||
9975 | your head I'm sure. Smart Money or | ||
9976 | |||
9977 | 2495 | ||
9978 | 01:51:42,810 ~-~-> 01:51:46,050 | ||
9979 | professional traders do their buying on | ||
9980 | |||
9981 | 2496 | ||
9982 | 01:51:46,050 ~-~-> 01:51:50,610 | ||
9983 | down moves. They do not chase price. | ||
9984 | |||
9985 | 2497 | ||
9986 | 01:51:50,940 ~-~-> 01:51:53,790 | ||
9987 | They buy it when it's going down. Okay. | ||
9988 | |||
9989 | 2498 | ||
9990 | 01:51:54,690 ~-~-> 01:51:59,130 | ||
9991 | When the market strong harms were struck | ||
9992 | |||
9993 | 2499 | ||
9994 | 01:52:00,660 ~-~-> 01:52:01,350 | ||
9995 | Smart Money | ||
9996 | |||
9997 | 2500 | ||
9998 | 01:52:01,410 ~-~-> 01:52:04,200 | ||
9999 | traders want to sell, they sell when the | ||
10000 | |||
10001 | 2501 | ||
10002 | 01:52:04,200 ~-~-> 01:52:06,660 | ||
10003 | markets rallying up, they don't sell it | ||
10004 | |||
10005 | 2502 | ||
10006 | 01:52:06,930 ~-~-> 01:52:09,420 | ||
10007 | when it's dropping down. Okay, so have | ||
10008 | |||
10009 | 2503 | ||
10010 | 01:52:09,420 ~-~-> 01:52:11,370 | ||
10011 | that in your little notebook, you want | ||
10012 | |||
10013 | 2504 | ||
10014 | 01:52:11,370 ~-~-> 01:52:13,260 | ||
10015 | to be doing the same thing, which is one | ||
10016 | |||
10017 | 2505 | ||
10018 | 01:52:13,260 ~-~-> 01:52:15,690 | ||
10019 | of the strongest components that makes | ||
10020 | |||
10021 | 2506 | ||
10022 | 01:52:15,690 ~-~-> 01:52:17,520 | ||
10023 | up my trading because I'm a buyer when | ||
10024 | |||
10025 | 2507 | ||
10026 | 01:52:17,520 ~-~-> 01:52:20,070 | ||
10027 | the markets moving lower. If you were | ||
10028 | |||
10029 | 2508 | ||
10030 | 01:52:20,070 ~-~-> 01:52:23,100 | ||
10031 | watching this series of two days here on | ||
10032 | |||
10033 | 2509 | ||
10034 | 01:52:23,100 ~-~-> 01:52:25,140 | ||
10035 | an intraday basis, this probably looked | ||
10036 | |||
10037 | 2510 | ||
10038 | 01:52:25,140 ~-~-> 01:52:26,610 | ||
10039 | like this was like a bat out of hell. | ||
10040 | |||
10041 | 2511 | ||
10042 | 01:52:26,700 ~-~-> 01:52:28,380 | ||
10043 | Okay, screaming lower and it's probably | ||
10044 | |||
10045 | 2512 | ||
10046 | 01:52:28,380 ~-~-> 01:52:29,640 | ||
10047 | gonna keep on trading Lower, lower | ||
10048 | |||
10049 | 2513 | ||
10050 | 01:52:29,640 ~-~-> 01:52:32,940 | ||
10051 | lower. You have to understand on this | ||
10052 | |||
10053 | 2514 | ||
10054 | 01:52:32,940 ~-~-> 01:52:34,530 | ||
10055 | higher timeframe daily chart what was | ||
10056 | |||
10057 | 2515 | ||
10058 | 01:52:34,530 ~-~-> 01:52:38,610 | ||
10059 | taking place. See this whole area here | ||
10060 | |||
10061 | 2516 | ||
10062 | 01:52:38,610 ~-~-> 01:52:41,610 | ||
10063 | we just blocked out. We have two areas | ||
10064 | |||
10065 | 2517 | ||
10066 | 01:52:41,610 ~-~-> 01:52:44,640 | ||
10067 | of where they have created two large | ||
10068 | |||
10069 | 2518 | ||
10070 | 01:52:44,640 ~-~-> 01:52:46,980 | ||
10071 | institutional order blocks. I'm going to | ||
10072 | |||
10073 | 2519 | ||
10074 | 01:52:46,980 ~-~-> 01:52:49,350 | ||
10075 | show you the second one that took place. | ||
10076 | |||
10077 | 2520 | ||
10078 | 01:52:50,190 ~-~-> 01:52:53,760 | ||
10079 | See the rally took off here. The bearish | ||
10080 | |||
10081 | 2521 | ||
10082 | 01:52:53,760 ~-~-> 01:52:56,070 | ||
10083 | candle right before it taken off, is | ||
10084 | |||
10085 | 2522 | ||
10086 | 01:52:56,070 ~-~-> 01:52:59,220 | ||
10087 | where you would have your expectancy of | ||
10088 | |||
10089 | 2523 | ||
10090 | 01:52:59,610 ~-~-> 01:53:01,080 | ||
10091 | market Structure shifting on the bullish | ||
10092 | |||
10093 | 2524 | ||
10094 | 01:53:01,080 ~-~-> 01:53:04,260 | ||
10095 | side right in here okay. Now as price | ||
10096 | |||
10097 | 2525 | ||
10098 | 01:53:04,260 ~-~-> 01:53:08,970 | ||
10099 | rallies off this low here okay and again | ||
10100 | |||
10101 | 2526 | ||
10102 | 01:53:09,420 ~-~-> 01:53:11,580 | ||
10103 | think this is a consolidation in here so | ||
10104 | |||
10105 | 2527 | ||
10106 | 01:53:11,580 ~-~-> 01:53:12,750 | ||
10107 | with this consolidation there's | ||
10108 | |||
10109 | 2528 | ||
10110 | 01:53:12,750 ~-~-> 01:53:16,050 | ||
10111 | opportunity being bred okay and as the | ||
10112 | |||
10113 | 2529 | ||
10114 | 01:53:16,050 ~-~-> 01:53:19,410 | ||
10115 | market moves higher okay it moves up in | ||
10116 | |||
10117 | 2530 | ||
10118 | 01:53:19,410 ~-~-> 01:53:22,650 | ||
10119 | a rally and again you can day trade in | ||
10120 | |||
10121 | 2531 | ||
10122 | 01:53:22,650 ~-~-> 01:53:25,020 | ||
10123 | these moves following that consider a | ||
10124 | |||
10125 | 2532 | ||
10126 | 01:53:25,020 ~-~-> 01:53:28,080 | ||
10127 | daily chart. So, moving within this | ||
10128 | |||
10129 | 2533 | ||
10130 | 01:53:28,110 ~-~-> 01:53:31,200 | ||
10131 | price swing we can reasonably expect you | ||
10132 | |||
10133 | 2534 | ||
10134 | 01:53:31,950 ~-~-> 01:53:35,100 | ||
10135 | intraday trading opportunities which is | ||
10136 | |||
10137 | 2535 | ||
10138 | 01:53:35,100 ~-~-> 01:53:37,890 | ||
10139 | beyond the scope of this teaching again | ||
10140 | |||
10141 | 2536 | ||
10142 | 01:53:37,890 ~-~-> 01:53:42,720 | ||
10143 | but as price moves up and makes us price | ||
10144 | |||
10145 | 2537 | ||
10146 | 01:53:42,720 ~-~-> 01:53:47,070 | ||
10147 | swing here starts to retrace back in we | ||
10148 | |||
10149 | 2538 | ||
10150 | 01:53:47,070 ~-~-> 01:53:51,300 | ||
10151 | have to order block areas that may be | ||
10152 | |||
10153 | 2539 | ||
10154 | 01:53:51,750 ~-~-> 01:53:54,480 | ||
10155 | utilized as retracement opportunities. | ||
10156 | |||
10157 | 2540 | ||
10158 | 01:53:55,020 ~-~-> 01:53:57,630 | ||
10159 | Okay, you have this one here with this | ||
10160 | |||
10161 | 2541 | ||
10162 | 01:53:58,590 ~-~-> 01:54:02,730 | ||
10163 | candle here which is free Down candle | ||
10164 | |||
10165 | 2542 | ||
10166 | 01:54:02,730 ~-~-> 01:54:04,920 | ||
10167 | prior to the rally up in here, okay, so | ||
10168 | |||
10169 | 2543 | ||
10170 | 01:54:04,920 ~-~-> 01:54:06,420 | ||
10171 | above this high here would be the | ||
10172 | |||
10173 | 2544 | ||
10174 | 01:54:06,420 ~-~-> 01:54:08,340 | ||
10175 | indication of a market structure shift | ||
10176 | |||
10177 | 2545 | ||
10178 | 01:54:08,670 ~-~-> 01:54:11,100 | ||
10179 | on a lower timeframe. So when it breaks | ||
10180 | |||
10181 | 2546 | ||
10182 | 01:54:11,100 ~-~-> 01:54:12,720 | ||
10183 | above that if it comes back down to that | ||
10184 | |||
10185 | 2547 | ||
10186 | 01:54:12,720 ~-~-> 01:54:15,600 | ||
10187 | same point of origin, this will be a | ||
10188 | |||
10189 | 2548 | ||
10190 | 01:54:15,630 ~-~-> 01:54:18,180 | ||
10191 | likely candidate for a buy. Now I want | ||
10192 | |||
10193 | 2549 | ||
10194 | 01:54:18,180 ~-~-> 01:54:20,910 | ||
10195 | to draw your attention to here is the | ||
10196 | |||
10197 | 2550 | ||
10198 | 01:54:20,910 ~-~-> 01:54:24,180 | ||
10199 | fact that we didn't get lower than these | ||
10200 | |||
10201 | 2551 | ||
10202 | 01:54:24,180 ~-~-> 01:54:27,030 | ||
10203 | lows here really doesn't negate the | ||
10204 | |||
10205 | 2552 | ||
10206 | 01:54:27,090 ~-~-> 01:54:29,880 | ||
10207 | validity of this potential area. It just | ||
10208 | |||
10209 | 2553 | ||
10210 | 01:54:29,880 ~-~-> 01:54:32,040 | ||
10211 | means that they have enough of their | ||
10212 | |||
10213 | 2554 | ||
10214 | 01:54:32,040 ~-~-> 01:54:34,920 | ||
10215 | orders established in this area here on | ||
10216 | |||
10217 | 2555 | ||
10218 | 01:54:34,920 ~-~-> 01:54:38,010 | ||
10219 | this front prior to this candle making | ||
10220 | |||
10221 | 2556 | ||
10222 | 01:54:38,010 ~-~-> 01:54:39,900 | ||
10223 | this here. Now what's this down move | ||
10224 | |||
10225 | 2557 | ||
10226 | 01:54:39,900 ~-~-> 01:54:42,630 | ||
10227 | here? All these candles moving up, | ||
10228 | |||
10229 | 2558 | ||
10230 | 01:54:42,930 ~-~-> 01:54:45,120 | ||
10231 | breaking the swing high here. Okay, this | ||
10232 | |||
10233 | 2559 | ||
10234 | 01:54:45,120 ~-~-> 01:54:47,880 | ||
10235 | is the first down candle high above this | ||
10236 | |||
10237 | 2560 | ||
10238 | 01:54:47,880 ~-~-> 01:54:50,160 | ||
10239 | candle here. When it broke here, market | ||
10240 | |||
10241 | 2561 | ||
10242 | 01:54:50,160 ~-~-> 01:54:52,260 | ||
10243 | structure in the lower timeframes was | ||
10244 | |||
10245 | 2562 | ||
10246 | 01:54:52,260 ~-~-> 01:54:55,500 | ||
10247 | bullish. Okay. So when we see that price | ||
10248 | |||
10249 | 2563 | ||
10250 | 01:54:55,500 ~-~-> 01:54:57,330 | ||
10251 | comes right back down, gets into the | ||
10252 | |||
10253 | 2564 | ||
10254 | 01:54:57,330 ~-~-> 01:54:58,890 | ||
10255 | same order block here now one a little | ||
10256 | |||
10257 | 2565 | ||
10258 | 01:54:58,890 ~-~-> 01:55:01,950 | ||
10259 | bit lower again. But if we extend this | ||
10260 | |||
10261 | 2566 | ||
10262 | 01:55:01,950 ~-~-> 01:55:06,300 | ||
10263 | in time, I'm going to illustrate what it | ||
10264 | |||
10265 | 2567 | ||
10266 | 01:55:06,300 ~-~-> 01:55:08,280 | ||
10267 | is specifically that's going on on an | ||
10268 | |||
10269 | 2568 | ||
10270 | 01:55:08,280 ~-~-> 01:55:10,590 | ||
10271 | institutional level that you need to be | ||
10272 | |||
10273 | 2569 | ||
10274 | 01:55:10,590 ~-~-> 01:55:13,200 | ||
10275 | aware of to help you with your trading. | ||
10276 | |||
10277 | 2570 | ||
10278 | 01:55:15,090 ~-~-> 01:55:16,530 | ||
10279 | And I'm going to take these lines off | ||
10280 | |||
10281 | 2571 | ||
10282 | 01:55:16,530 ~-~-> 01:55:19,710 | ||
10283 | because they no longer are serving a | ||
10284 | |||
10285 | 2572 | ||
10286 | 01:55:19,710 ~-~-> 01:55:24,060 | ||
10287 | purpose. Okay, so price comes down. And | ||
10288 | |||
10289 | 2573 | ||
10290 | 01:55:24,060 ~-~-> 01:55:25,620 | ||
10291 | again, remember these these days here | ||
10292 | |||
10293 | 2574 | ||
10294 | 01:55:25,620 ~-~-> 01:55:29,190 | ||
10295 | we're talking about earlier if you as | ||
10296 | |||
10297 | 2575 | ||
10298 | 01:55:29,190 ~-~-> 01:55:31,620 | ||
10299 | price ran up, here, we were in that | ||
10300 | |||
10301 | 2576 | ||
10302 | 01:55:31,620 ~-~-> 01:55:35,580 | ||
10303 | bullish environment where the averages | ||
10304 | |||
10305 | 2577 | ||
10306 | 01:55:35,580 ~-~-> 01:55:37,650 | ||
10307 | were indicating that we're likely to see | ||
10308 | |||
10309 | 2578 | ||
10310 | 01:55:37,650 ~-~-> 01:55:40,170 | ||
10311 | upward pressure. When price came down | ||
10312 | |||
10313 | 2579 | ||
10314 | 01:55:40,170 ~-~-> 01:55:43,380 | ||
10315 | like this, we can sit back and wait for | ||
10316 | |||
10317 | 2580 | ||
10318 | 01:55:43,380 ~-~-> 01:55:45,300 | ||
10319 | price to enter back into an area of | ||
10320 | |||
10321 | 2581 | ||
10322 | 01:55:45,330 ~-~-> 01:55:50,220 | ||
10323 | potential institutional order. So when | ||
10324 | |||
10325 | 2582 | ||
10326 | 01:55:50,220 ~-~-> 01:55:51,930 | ||
10327 | we have price moving back into that, | ||
10328 | |||
10329 | 2583 | ||
10330 | 01:55:52,410 ~-~-> 01:55:55,500 | ||
10331 | this is where we start understanding the | ||
10332 | |||
10333 | 2584 | ||
10334 | 01:55:55,500 ~-~-> 01:55:58,170 | ||
10335 | mechanics behind the ICT optimal trade | ||
10336 | |||
10337 | 2585 | ||
10338 | 01:55:58,170 ~-~-> 01:56:00,300 | ||
10339 | entry pattern. And let's Let's take a | ||
10340 | |||
10341 | 2586 | ||
10342 | 01:56:00,300 ~-~-> 01:56:07,380 | ||
10343 | look at that now. We have the swing here | ||
10344 | |||
10345 | 2587 | ||
10346 | 01:56:07,380 ~-~-> 01:56:10,470 | ||
10347 | from this low up to this range high | ||
10348 | |||
10349 | 2588 | ||
10350 | 01:56:10,470 ~-~-> 01:56:13,860 | ||
10351 | here. Okay, so we have the low here and | ||
10352 | |||
10353 | 2589 | ||
10354 | 01:56:13,860 ~-~-> 01:56:15,810 | ||
10355 | the high here, price comes down and | ||
10356 | |||
10357 | 2590 | ||
10358 | 01:56:15,810 ~-~-> 01:56:19,170 | ||
10359 | slams right into that 70.5 level or | ||
10360 | |||
10361 | 2591 | ||
10362 | 01:56:19,170 ~-~-> 01:56:22,080 | ||
10363 | sweetspot like I like to call it that | ||
10364 | |||
10365 | 2592 | ||
10366 | 01:56:22,080 ~-~-> 01:56:23,340 | ||
10367 | means you could be buying anywhere | ||
10368 | |||
10369 | 2593 | ||
10370 | 01:56:23,340 ~-~-> 01:56:25,950 | ||
10371 | around that 130 big figure not factoring | ||
10372 | |||
10373 | 2594 | ||
10374 | 01:56:25,950 ~-~-> 01:56:27,660 | ||
10375 | in the spread obviously about three pips | ||
10376 | |||
10377 | 2595 | ||
10378 | 01:56:27,660 ~-~-> 01:56:30,870 | ||
10379 | as this is a safe bet, in this case 130 | ||
10380 | |||
10381 | 2596 | ||
10382 | 01:56:30,870 ~-~-> 01:56:34,740 | ||
10383 | oh six or 135 is a good number that you | ||
10384 | |||
10385 | 2597 | ||
10386 | 01:56:34,740 ~-~-> 01:56:41,100 | ||
10387 | can try to get long in the the low prior | ||
10388 | |||
10389 | 2598 | ||
10390 | 01:56:41,100 ~-~-> 01:56:43,680 | ||
10391 | to that this swing low here would be a | ||
10392 | |||
10393 | 2599 | ||
10394 | 01:56:44,250 ~-~-> 01:56:47,610 | ||
10395 | possible scenario to had you are | ||
10396 | |||
10397 | 2600 | ||
10398 | 01:56:47,700 ~-~-> 01:56:50,490 | ||
10399 | expecting this candle here. If it dipped | ||
10400 | |||
10401 | 2601 | ||
10402 | 01:56:50,490 ~-~-> 01:56:52,500 | ||
10403 | down lower, we could have caught 260 2% | ||
10404 | |||
10405 | 2602 | ||
10406 | 01:56:52,500 ~-~-> 01:56:54,660 | ||
10407 | there. Okay, so I get a lot of questions | ||
10408 | |||
10409 | 2603 | ||
10410 | 01:56:54,660 ~-~-> 01:56:57,360 | ||
10411 | on why I move my fib to certain swings | ||
10412 | |||
10413 | 2604 | ||
10414 | 01:56:57,360 ~-~-> 01:56:59,160 | ||
10415 | and such. And now you're understanding | ||
10416 | |||
10417 | 2605 | ||
10418 | 01:56:59,190 ~-~-> 01:57:00,630 | ||
10419 | really the mechanics Find it all. | ||
10420 | |||
10421 | 2606 | ||
10422 | 01:57:01,170 ~-~-> 01:57:04,890 | ||
10423 | So let's look at the optimal trade entry | ||
10424 | |||
10425 | 2607 | ||
10426 | 01:57:04,890 ~-~-> 01:57:07,980 | ||
10427 | a little bit closer and understand some, | ||
10428 | |||
10429 | 2608 | ||
10430 | 01:57:08,250 ~-~-> 01:57:11,100 | ||
10431 | some central tenants to it and what's | ||
10432 | |||
10433 | 2609 | ||
10434 | 01:57:11,190 ~-~-> 01:57:13,470 | ||
10435 | specifically that pattern really | ||
10436 | |||
10437 | 2610 | ||
10438 | 01:57:13,470 ~-~-> 01:57:17,820 | ||
10439 | capitalizes on when we have a market | ||
10440 | |||
10441 | 2611 | ||
10442 | 01:57:18,150 ~-~-> 01:57:21,330 | ||
10443 | take out a swing high like this, okay? | ||
10444 | |||
10445 | 2612 | ||
10446 | 01:57:22,080 ~-~-> 01:57:25,380 | ||
10447 | We have institutional sponsorship that | ||
10448 | |||
10449 | 2613 | ||
10450 | 01:57:25,380 ~-~-> 01:57:27,780 | ||
10451 | takes the market above Okay, and when it | ||
10452 | |||
10453 | 2614 | ||
10454 | 01:57:27,780 ~-~-> 01:57:30,330 | ||
10455 | returns back into an area of previous | ||
10456 | |||
10457 | 2615 | ||
10458 | 01:57:30,330 ~-~-> 01:57:33,480 | ||
10459 | consolidation, we expect that to | ||
10460 | |||
10461 | 2616 | ||
10462 | 01:57:34,890 ~-~-> 01:57:37,800 | ||
10463 | reposition or assume more Long's. Okay. | ||
10464 | |||
10465 | 2617 | ||
10466 | 01:57:38,220 ~-~-> 01:57:39,870 | ||
10467 | So I was preparing orders in here. | ||
10468 | |||
10469 | 2618 | ||
10470 | 01:57:40,050 ~-~-> 01:57:41,670 | ||
10471 | They're allowing the market participants | ||
10472 | |||
10473 | 2619 | ||
10474 | 01:57:41,730 ~-~-> 01:57:44,790 | ||
10475 | okay to see this quick drop down. Okay. | ||
10476 | |||
10477 | 2620 | ||
10478 | 01:57:44,790 ~-~-> 01:57:46,530 | ||
10479 | And that's one of the things I find kind | ||
10480 | |||
10481 | 2621 | ||
10482 | 01:57:46,530 ~-~-> 01:57:49,470 | ||
10483 | of interesting when when the markets are | ||
10484 | |||
10485 | 2622 | ||
10486 | 01:57:49,740 ~-~-> 01:57:52,440 | ||
10487 | predisposed to go higher. They had these | ||
10488 | |||
10489 | 2623 | ||
10490 | 01:57:52,440 ~-~-> 01:57:55,470 | ||
10491 | really one or two quick down dynamic | ||
10492 | |||
10493 | 2624 | ||
10494 | 01:57:55,470 ~-~-> 01:57:57,870 | ||
10495 | days, okay, it kind of gets you all | ||
10496 | |||
10497 | 2625 | ||
10498 | 01:57:58,320 ~-~-> 01:57:59,820 | ||
10499 | flustered and thinking, you know, hey, | ||
10500 | |||
10501 | 2626 | ||
10502 | 01:57:59,820 ~-~-> 01:58:01,140 | ||
10503 | look This mark is probably going to go | ||
10504 | |||
10505 | 2627 | ||
10506 | 01:58:01,140 ~-~-> 01:58:03,900 | ||
10507 | lower. And if you're really sensitive to | ||
10508 | |||
10509 | 2628 | ||
10510 | 01:58:03,900 ~-~-> 01:58:06,030 | ||
10511 | the lower timeframes, like you know, one | ||
10512 | |||
10513 | 2629 | ||
10514 | 01:58:06,030 ~-~-> 01:58:09,000 | ||
10515 | 515 minutes, or even less than hourly in | ||
10516 | |||
10517 | 2630 | ||
10518 | 01:58:09,000 ~-~-> 01:58:11,970 | ||
10519 | any capacity, it's very easy to swing | ||
10520 | |||
10521 | 2631 | ||
10522 | 01:58:12,000 ~-~-> 01:58:16,110 | ||
10523 | your daily bias based on that. And if | ||
10524 | |||
10525 | 2632 | ||
10526 | 01:58:16,110 ~-~-> 01:58:17,640 | ||
10527 | you learn to start looking at these | ||
10528 | |||
10529 | 2633 | ||
10530 | 01:58:17,640 ~-~-> 01:58:20,550 | ||
10531 | daily and four hour charts, it helps you | ||
10532 | |||
10533 | 2634 | ||
10534 | 01:58:20,550 ~-~-> 01:58:25,320 | ||
10535 | hold on to a longer term perspective and | ||
10536 | |||
10537 | 2635 | ||
10538 | 01:58:25,320 ~-~-> 01:58:27,330 | ||
10539 | you are less likely to be lulled into | ||
10540 | |||
10541 | 2636 | ||
10542 | 01:58:27,570 ~-~-> 01:58:29,520 | ||
10543 | swinging back and forth on a daily basis | ||
10544 | |||
10545 | 2637 | ||
10546 | 01:58:29,550 ~-~-> 01:58:31,230 | ||
10547 | you know, your daily basis being bullish | ||
10548 | |||
10549 | 2638 | ||
10550 | 01:58:31,230 ~-~-> 01:58:33,930 | ||
10551 | one day embarrassed the next you can see | ||
10552 | |||
10553 | 2639 | ||
10554 | 01:58:33,930 ~-~-> 01:58:36,570 | ||
10555 | really when when these moves really take | ||
10556 | |||
10557 | 2640 | ||
10558 | 01:58:36,570 ~-~-> 01:58:38,640 | ||
10559 | off, there are several days that they | ||
10560 | |||
10561 | 2641 | ||
10562 | 01:58:38,640 ~-~-> 01:58:40,590 | ||
10563 | move, okay, then you have a retrace and | ||
10564 | |||
10565 | 2642 | ||
10566 | 01:58:40,590 ~-~-> 01:58:42,840 | ||
10567 | there are several days where it moves, | ||
10568 | |||
10569 | 2643 | ||
10570 | 01:58:43,020 ~-~-> 01:58:44,820 | ||
10571 | then you retrace, then there's really | ||
10572 | |||
10573 | 2644 | ||
10574 | 01:58:44,820 ~-~-> 01:58:48,630 | ||
10575 | dynamic several days on the upside once | ||
10576 | |||
10577 | 2645 | ||
10578 | 01:58:48,630 ~-~-> 01:58:50,850 | ||
10579 | it really starts to move out. When you | ||
10580 | |||
10581 | 2646 | ||
10582 | 01:58:50,850 ~-~-> 01:58:54,120 | ||
10583 | find that it's fulfilled its order | ||
10584 | |||
10585 | 2647 | ||
10586 | 01:58:54,120 ~-~-> 01:58:56,790 | ||
10587 | block, okay. You'll see that there's | ||
10588 | |||
10589 | 2648 | ||
10590 | 01:58:56,790 ~-~-> 01:58:59,370 | ||
10591 | many times very little time for you to | ||
10592 | |||
10593 | 2649 | ||
10594 | 01:58:59,370 ~-~-> 01:59:01,530 | ||
10595 | catch up. entry point. So you got to | ||
10596 | |||
10597 | 2650 | ||
10598 | 01:59:01,530 ~-~-> 01:59:03,150 | ||
10599 | know these things in advance. And that's | ||
10600 | |||
10601 | 2651 | ||
10602 | 01:59:03,150 ~-~-> 01:59:04,800 | ||
10603 | why reacting to a price is not really | ||
10604 | |||
10605 | 2652 | ||
10606 | 01:59:04,800 ~-~-> 01:59:08,160 | ||
10607 | the best case scenario. But as price | ||
10608 | |||
10609 | 2653 | ||
10610 | 01:59:08,160 ~-~-> 01:59:11,010 | ||
10611 | moves down into this range here, okay? | ||
10612 | |||
10613 | 2654 | ||
10614 | 01:59:11,280 ~-~-> 01:59:13,050 | ||
10615 | You can actually see in this smaller | ||
10616 | |||
10617 | 2655 | ||
10618 | 01:59:13,050 ~-~-> 01:59:15,060 | ||
10619 | consolidation, okay, see this right | ||
10620 | |||
10621 | 2656 | ||
10622 | 01:59:15,060 ~-~-> 01:59:17,520 | ||
10623 | here. So don't worry, we're here. Let's | ||
10624 | |||
10625 | 2657 | ||
10626 | 01:59:17,520 ~-~-> 01:59:20,970 | ||
10627 | use this rectangle to highlight that. | ||
10628 | |||
10629 | 2658 | ||
10630 | 01:59:23,220 ~-~-> 01:59:24,570 | ||
10631 | And what we'll do is we'll actually go | ||
10632 | |||
10633 | 2659 | ||
10634 | 01:59:24,570 ~-~-> 01:59:28,320 | ||
10635 | down into a smaller timeframe for our | ||
10636 | |||
10637 | 2660 | ||
10638 | 01:59:28,320 ~-~-> 01:59:32,640 | ||
10639 | chart, and we'll study that little | ||
10640 | |||
10641 | 2661 | ||
10642 | 01:59:32,640 ~-~-> 01:59:36,120 | ||
10643 | consolidation as well. So we're going to | ||
10644 | |||
10645 | 2662 | ||
10646 | 01:59:36,120 ~-~-> 01:59:38,280 | ||
10647 | assume for a moment that you were not | ||
10648 | |||
10649 | 2663 | ||
10650 | 01:59:38,280 ~-~-> 01:59:42,480 | ||
10651 | privy to know in this order block or | ||
10652 | |||
10653 | 2664 | ||
10654 | 01:59:42,480 ~-~-> 01:59:46,920 | ||
10655 | institutional order area here, okay, and | ||
10656 | |||
10657 | 2665 | ||
10658 | 01:59:46,950 ~-~-> 01:59:48,510 | ||
10659 | as we moved into a consolidation in | ||
10660 | |||
10661 | 2666 | ||
10662 | 01:59:48,510 ~-~-> 01:59:50,610 | ||
10663 | here, okay, what we'll do is we're going | ||
10664 | |||
10665 | 2667 | ||
10666 | 01:59:50,610 ~-~-> 01:59:55,260 | ||
10667 | to drop down into it for our Okay, and | ||
10668 | |||
10669 | 2668 | ||
10670 | 01:59:55,260 ~-~-> 01:59:58,950 | ||
10671 | you're going to see that same underlying | ||
10672 | |||
10673 | 2669 | ||
10674 | 01:59:59,100 ~-~-> 02:00:02,280 | ||
10675 | pattern. We have a swing high in here, | ||
10676 | |||
10677 | 2670 | ||
10678 | 02:00:03,060 ~-~-> 02:00:06,000 | ||
10679 | which is broken. Okay. I'm going to | ||
10680 | |||
10681 | 2671 | ||
10682 | 02:00:06,000 ~-~-> 02:00:07,290 | ||
10683 | recap the pattern what you're looking | ||
10684 | |||
10685 | 2672 | ||
10686 | 02:00:07,290 ~-~-> 02:00:10,890 | ||
10687 | for this is how Institute's | ||
10688 | |||
10689 | 2673 | ||
10690 | 02:00:10,920 ~-~-> 02:00:13,410 | ||
10691 | institutional trading can be mimicked. | ||
10692 | |||
10693 | 2674 | ||
10694 | 02:00:15,750 ~-~-> 02:00:18,450 | ||
10695 | Okay, you have an area of potential | ||
10696 | |||
10697 | 2675 | ||
10698 | 02:00:18,450 ~-~-> 02:00:20,070 | ||
10699 | support which we've already identified | ||
10700 | |||
10701 | 2676 | ||
10702 | 02:00:20,130 ~-~-> 02:00:23,700 | ||
10703 | on a daily chart. Market ran up into | ||
10704 | |||
10705 | 2677 | ||
10706 | 02:00:23,700 ~-~-> 02:00:25,620 | ||
10707 | swing high came back retrace. Now you | ||
10708 | |||
10709 | 2678 | ||
10710 | 02:00:25,620 ~-~-> 02:00:29,040 | ||
10711 | can trade this with a pure understanding | ||
10712 | |||
10713 | 2679 | ||
10714 | 02:00:29,040 ~-~-> 02:00:30,870 | ||
10715 | that's a support level. And this could | ||
10716 | |||
10717 | 2680 | ||
10718 | 02:00:30,870 ~-~-> 02:00:33,390 | ||
10719 | be your retracement here. Okay. Now | ||
10720 | |||
10721 | 2681 | ||
10722 | 02:00:33,390 ~-~-> 02:00:34,860 | ||
10723 | again, that's a four hour basis, you | ||
10724 | |||
10725 | 2682 | ||
10726 | 02:00:34,860 ~-~-> 02:00:36,690 | ||
10727 | could you could do that. And the reason | ||
10728 | |||
10729 | 2683 | ||
10730 | 02:00:36,690 ~-~-> 02:00:39,510 | ||
10731 | why is because you're using the same | ||
10732 | |||
10733 | 2684 | ||
10734 | 02:00:42,450 ~-~-> 02:00:44,790 | ||
10735 | underlying premise prior to this move up | ||
10736 | |||
10737 | 2685 | ||
10738 | 02:00:44,910 ~-~-> 02:00:48,780 | ||
10739 | the first down candle prior to it, which | ||
10740 | |||
10741 | 2686 | ||
10742 | 02:00:48,780 ~-~-> 02:00:52,110 | ||
10743 | is here, if price returns back to that | ||
10744 | |||
10745 | 2687 | ||
10746 | 02:00:52,110 ~-~-> 02:00:57,360 | ||
10747 | range, as it does here. Okay, and I'll | ||
10748 | |||
10749 | 2688 | ||
10750 | 02:00:57,360 ~-~-> 02:01:00,450 | ||
10751 | drop a fib on as you can see mechanics | ||
10752 | |||
10753 | 2689 | ||
10754 | 02:01:00,450 ~-~-> 02:01:06,240 | ||
10755 | behind it. Okay, you can see the 79 cent | ||
10756 | |||
10757 | 2690 | ||
10758 | 02:01:06,240 ~-~-> 02:01:07,710 | ||
10759 | chasing level stops it dead to rights | ||
10760 | |||
10761 | 2691 | ||
10762 | 02:01:07,710 ~-~-> 02:01:09,960 | ||
10763 | boom, right there. Okay, and then price | ||
10764 | |||
10765 | 2692 | ||
10766 | 02:01:09,960 ~-~-> 02:01:13,020 | ||
10767 | rallies up. In here when we have this | ||
10768 | |||
10769 | 2693 | ||
10770 | 02:01:13,020 ~-~-> 02:01:15,300 | ||
10771 | break here on a four hour This is much | ||
10772 | |||
10773 | 2694 | ||
10774 | 02:01:15,300 ~-~-> 02:01:17,550 | ||
10775 | more dynamic when you see this take | ||
10776 | |||
10777 | 2695 | ||
10778 | 02:01:17,550 ~-~-> 02:01:20,550 | ||
10779 | place. Okay, put this in your notepad. | ||
10780 | |||
10781 | 2696 | ||
10782 | 02:01:21,030 ~-~-> 02:01:23,070 | ||
10783 | If you see the overall pattern on a four | ||
10784 | |||
10785 | 2697 | ||
10786 | 02:01:23,070 ~-~-> 02:01:25,380 | ||
10787 | hour chart break like this and your | ||
10788 | |||
10789 | 2698 | ||
10790 | 02:01:25,380 ~-~-> 02:01:27,690 | ||
10791 | overall bullish still on the higher | ||
10792 | |||
10793 | 2699 | ||
10794 | 02:01:27,690 ~-~-> 02:01:30,630 | ||
10795 | timeframe daily man get ready because | ||
10796 | |||
10797 | 2700 | ||
10798 | 02:01:30,630 ~-~-> 02:01:33,060 | ||
10799 | it's going to have a dynamic price surge | ||
10800 | |||
10801 | 2701 | ||
10802 | 02:01:33,060 ~-~-> 02:01:36,630 | ||
10803 | higher. Once we have a return back to | ||
10804 | |||
10805 | 2702 | ||
10806 | 02:01:36,810 ~-~-> 02:01:38,340 | ||
10807 | the point of origin the port of origin | ||
10808 | |||
10809 | 2703 | ||
10810 | 02:01:38,340 ~-~-> 02:01:39,990 | ||
10811 | is what we discussed right here. And | ||
10812 | |||
10813 | 2704 | ||
10814 | 02:01:39,990 ~-~-> 02:01:42,360 | ||
10815 | then when price moved up here again, the | ||
10816 | |||
10817 | 2705 | ||
10818 | 02:01:42,360 ~-~-> 02:01:46,470 | ||
10819 | first candle it's down prior to the | ||
10820 | |||
10821 | 2706 | ||
10822 | 02:01:46,470 ~-~-> 02:01:54,360 | ||
10823 | rally up. Once price, rallies up, away | ||
10824 | |||
10825 | 2707 | ||
10826 | 02:01:54,360 ~-~-> 02:01:56,310 | ||
10827 | and breaks the swing high like we just | ||
10828 | |||
10829 | 2708 | ||
10830 | 02:01:56,310 ~-~-> 02:01:58,800 | ||
10831 | discussed right here. | ||
10832 | |||
10833 | 2709 | ||
10834 | 02:02:00,450 ~-~-> 02:02:03,180 | ||
10835 | We had this rally up, we wait. And when | ||
10836 | |||
10837 | 2710 | ||
10838 | 02:02:03,180 ~-~-> 02:02:04,650 | ||
10839 | price returns back to this point of | ||
10840 | |||
10841 | 2711 | ||
10842 | 02:02:04,650 ~-~-> 02:02:07,170 | ||
10843 | origin right in here, okay? This is | ||
10844 | |||
10845 | 2712 | ||
10846 | 02:02:07,170 ~-~-> 02:02:08,910 | ||
10847 | where they dip back into that order | ||
10848 | |||
10849 | 2713 | ||
10850 | 02:02:08,910 ~-~-> 02:02:11,490 | ||
10851 | block. Okay? So they had their orders | ||
10852 | |||
10853 | 2714 | ||
10854 | 02:02:11,490 ~-~-> 02:02:13,350 | ||
10855 | here that came back, they want to get an | ||
10856 | |||
10857 | 2715 | ||
10858 | 02:02:13,350 ~-~-> 02:02:16,260 | ||
10859 | average fill around here that 130 20, | ||
10860 | |||
10861 | 2716 | ||
10862 | 02:02:16,260 ~-~-> 02:02:18,750 | ||
10863 | maybe 130 30 level, if you look over | ||
10864 | |||
10865 | 2717 | ||
10866 | 02:02:18,750 ~-~-> 02:02:20,850 | ||
10867 | here, you can see that's the case, price | ||
10868 | |||
10869 | 2718 | ||
10870 | 02:02:20,850 ~-~-> 02:02:22,680 | ||
10871 | comes down, dips back into that order | ||
10872 | |||
10873 | 2719 | ||
10874 | 02:02:22,680 ~-~-> 02:02:26,130 | ||
10875 | block again, okay, they spend about a | ||
10876 | |||
10877 | 2720 | ||
10878 | 02:02:26,130 ~-~-> 02:02:29,520 | ||
10879 | day or so in there, acquiring more long | ||
10880 | |||
10881 | 2721 | ||
10882 | 02:02:29,520 ~-~-> 02:02:31,860 | ||
10883 | positions. Okay, now what we'll do is | ||
10884 | |||
10885 | 2722 | ||
10886 | 02:02:31,860 ~-~-> 02:02:34,740 | ||
10887 | we're going to use this swing low here, | ||
10888 | |||
10889 | 2723 | ||
10890 | 02:02:34,830 ~-~-> 02:02:37,590 | ||
10891 | up to the high here, okay, using that | ||
10892 | |||
10893 | 2724 | ||
10894 | 02:02:37,590 ~-~-> 02:02:39,990 | ||
10895 | same range. And you can see the 7970 | ||
10896 | |||
10897 | 2725 | ||
10898 | 02:02:39,990 ~-~-> 02:02:43,170 | ||
10899 | cent level right in here is containing | ||
10900 | |||
10901 | 2726 | ||
10902 | 02:02:43,170 ~-~-> 02:02:44,550 | ||
10903 | the body to the candle and there's only | ||
10904 | |||
10905 | 2727 | ||
10906 | 02:02:44,550 ~-~-> 02:02:46,590 | ||
10907 | been two little wicks. Okay, we're | ||
10908 | |||
10909 | 2728 | ||
10910 | 02:02:46,590 ~-~-> 02:02:49,710 | ||
10911 | talking about maybe three pips that it | ||
10912 | |||
10913 | 2729 | ||
10914 | 02:02:49,710 ~-~-> 02:02:52,560 | ||
10915 | violated the size and tracing level. So | ||
10916 | |||
10917 | 2730 | ||
10918 | 02:02:53,550 ~-~-> 02:02:55,230 | ||
10919 | if you were using just a 10 PIP stop | ||
10920 | |||
10921 | 2731 | ||
10922 | 02:02:55,230 ~-~-> 02:02:58,110 | ||
10923 | below this low here and I don't want to | ||
10924 | |||
10925 | 2732 | ||
10926 | 02:02:58,110 ~-~-> 02:03:01,590 | ||
10927 | get into Last plate placement yet but I | ||
10928 | |||
10929 | 2733 | ||
10930 | 02:03:01,590 ~-~-> 02:03:03,750 | ||
10931 | just want to give you a little hint as | ||
10932 | |||
10933 | 2734 | ||
10934 | 02:03:03,750 ~-~-> 02:03:05,280 | ||
10935 | to what's going on if you were you're | ||
10936 | |||
10937 | 2735 | ||
10938 | 02:03:05,280 ~-~-> 02:03:07,140 | ||
10939 | buying in here 279 cent tracing level | ||
10940 | |||
10941 | 2736 | ||
10942 | 02:03:07,170 ~-~-> 02:03:08,730 | ||
10943 | and let's be fair and say you're buying | ||
10944 | |||
10945 | 2737 | ||
10946 | 02:03:08,730 ~-~-> 02:03:13,860 | ||
10947 | at 270 and 70.5 at the low here's 37 | ||
10948 | |||
10949 | 2738 | ||
10950 | 02:03:13,860 ~-~-> 02:03:18,090 | ||
10951 | pips and your stop to be 10 pips below | ||
10952 | |||
10953 | 2739 | ||
10954 | 02:03:18,090 ~-~-> 02:03:21,930 | ||
10955 | that would be at 130 oh four, okay, and | ||
10956 | |||
10957 | 2740 | ||
10958 | 02:03:21,930 ~-~-> 02:03:23,940 | ||
10959 | that means you'd be risking. If you're | ||
10960 | |||
10961 | 2741 | ||
10962 | 02:03:23,940 ~-~-> 02:03:25,620 | ||
10963 | trading just on the four hour basis, | ||
10964 | |||
10965 | 2742 | ||
10966 | 02:03:26,040 ~-~-> 02:03:28,170 | ||
10967 | you'd have to have a stop of 47 pips. | ||
10968 | |||
10969 | 2743 | ||
10970 | 02:03:28,410 ~-~-> 02:03:29,970 | ||
10971 | And that's still very close to what my | ||
10972 | |||
10973 | 2744 | ||
10974 | 02:03:29,970 ~-~-> 02:03:33,510 | ||
10975 | average standard 30 PIP stop loss is. So | ||
10976 | |||
10977 | 2745 | ||
10978 | 02:03:33,510 ~-~-> 02:03:35,280 | ||
10979 | you can see how by understanding this | ||
10980 | |||
10981 | 2746 | ||
10982 | 02:03:35,280 ~-~-> 02:03:37,110 | ||
10983 | we've already trimmed down a huge amount | ||
10984 | |||
10985 | 2747 | ||
10986 | 02:03:37,110 ~-~-> 02:03:39,690 | ||
10987 | of the risk on a four hour timeframe. | ||
10988 | |||
10989 | 2748 | ||
10990 | 02:03:39,780 ~-~-> 02:03:41,970 | ||
10991 | Not to mention what we could do we drop | ||
10992 | |||
10993 | 2749 | ||
10994 | 02:03:41,970 ~-~-> 02:03:44,100 | ||
10995 | down to an hourly basis and or 15 minute | ||
10996 | |||
10997 | 2750 | ||
10998 | 02:03:44,100 ~-~-> 02:03:46,920 | ||
10999 | basis, which we'll do in a few moments | ||
11000 | |||
11001 | 2751 | ||
11002 | 02:03:46,920 ~-~-> 02:03:48,600 | ||
11003 | but just stuff for the moment. Let's | ||
11004 | |||
11005 | 2752 | ||
11006 | 02:03:48,600 ~-~-> 02:03:50,580 | ||
11007 | just look at this again in greater | ||
11008 | |||
11009 | 2753 | ||
11010 | 02:03:50,580 ~-~-> 02:03:54,600 | ||
11011 | detail. price moves down into this order | ||
11012 | |||
11013 | 2754 | ||
11014 | 02:03:54,600 ~-~-> 02:03:57,180 | ||
11015 | block price, based on this candle here. | ||
11016 | |||
11017 | 2755 | ||
11018 | 02:03:57,540 ~-~-> 02:04:00,000 | ||
11019 | You can see it does not really matter. | ||
11020 | |||
11021 | 2756 | ||
11022 | 02:04:00,300 ~-~-> 02:04:01,740 | ||
11023 | Jad down here and stabbed very | ||
11024 | |||
11025 | 2757 | ||
11026 | 02:04:01,740 ~-~-> 02:04:03,960 | ||
11027 | aggressively to hold the sunlight | ||
11028 | |||
11029 | 2758 | ||
11030 | 02:04:03,960 ~-~-> 02:04:05,250 | ||
11031 | saturation level as we just noted | ||
11032 | |||
11033 | 2759 | ||
11034 | 02:04:05,250 ~-~-> 02:04:08,220 | ||
11035 | earlier. So once price does this and it | ||
11036 | |||
11037 | 2760 | ||
11038 | 02:04:08,550 ~-~-> 02:04:10,320 | ||
11039 | accumulates whatever it is that | ||
11040 | |||
11041 | 2761 | ||
11042 | 02:04:11,010 ~-~-> 02:04:12,720 | ||
11043 | institutionally traders are trying to | ||
11044 | |||
11045 | 2762 | ||
11046 | 02:04:12,720 ~-~-> 02:04:15,090 | ||
11047 | acquire, I don't have the insight as to | ||
11048 | |||
11049 | 2763 | ||
11050 | 02:04:15,090 ~-~-> 02:04:17,340 | ||
11051 | what it is specifically they're trying | ||
11052 | |||
11053 | 2764 | ||
11054 | 02:04:17,340 ~-~-> 02:04:19,140 | ||
11055 | to acquire how much of the position | ||
11056 | |||
11057 | 2765 | ||
11058 | 02:04:19,140 ~-~-> 02:04:20,820 | ||
11059 | they're assuming I just understand the | ||
11060 | |||
11061 | 2766 | ||
11062 | 02:04:20,820 ~-~-> 02:04:22,260 | ||
11063 | footprint that they leave in the | ||
11064 | |||
11065 | 2767 | ||
11066 | 02:04:22,260 ~-~-> 02:04:24,150 | ||
11067 | marketplace that when that takes place, | ||
11068 | |||
11069 | 2768 | ||
11070 | 02:04:24,480 ~-~-> 02:04:27,240 | ||
11071 | okay, we know that it's most likely | ||
11072 | |||
11073 | 2769 | ||
11074 | 02:04:27,240 ~-~-> 02:04:28,800 | ||
11075 | going to have an aggressive move up, | ||
11076 | |||
11077 | 2770 | ||
11078 | 02:04:28,950 ~-~-> 02:04:30,990 | ||
11079 | okay, because we had the first run up | ||
11080 | |||
11081 | 2771 | ||
11082 | 02:04:30,990 ~-~-> 02:04:32,430 | ||
11083 | here and then a four hour market | ||
11084 | |||
11085 | 2772 | ||
11086 | 02:04:32,430 ~-~-> 02:04:34,620 | ||
11087 | structure break here. And then you wait | ||
11088 | |||
11089 | 2773 | ||
11090 | 02:04:34,620 ~-~-> 02:04:35,730 | ||
11091 | for it to come back. Where's it gonna | ||
11092 | |||
11093 | 2774 | ||
11094 | 02:04:35,760 ~-~-> 02:04:38,460 | ||
11095 | come back to? This is your point of | ||
11096 | |||
11097 | 2775 | ||
11098 | 02:04:38,460 ~-~-> 02:04:41,760 | ||
11099 | origin right here. Okay. And it could | ||
11100 | |||
11101 | 2776 | ||
11102 | 02:04:41,760 ~-~-> 02:04:43,410 | ||
11103 | very well easily come back into this one | ||
11104 | |||
11105 | 2777 | ||
11106 | 02:04:43,410 ~-~-> 02:04:44,910 | ||
11107 | as well and create almost like a double | ||
11108 | |||
11109 | 2778 | ||
11110 | 02:04:44,910 ~-~-> 02:04:47,760 | ||
11111 | bottom. It rarely does that. And the | ||
11112 | |||
11113 | 2779 | ||
11114 | 02:04:47,760 ~-~-> 02:04:49,770 | ||
11115 | reason why is because once it goes down, | ||
11116 | |||
11117 | 2780 | ||
11118 | 02:04:49,920 ~-~-> 02:04:52,290 | ||
11119 | it doesn't want to usually come down | ||
11120 | |||
11121 | 2781 | ||
11122 | 02:04:52,290 ~-~-> 02:04:53,790 | ||
11123 | much lower than that because other | ||
11124 | |||
11125 | 2782 | ||
11126 | 02:04:53,790 ~-~-> 02:04:56,220 | ||
11127 | institutional traders may get on board | ||
11128 | |||
11129 | 2783 | ||
11130 | 02:04:56,220 ~-~-> 02:04:58,230 | ||
11131 | and drive much lower than that and throw | ||
11132 | |||
11133 | 2784 | ||
11134 | 02:04:58,230 ~-~-> 02:05:02,430 | ||
11135 | off their their targeted average entry | ||
11136 | |||
11137 | 2785 | ||
11138 | 02:05:02,430 ~-~-> 02:05:04,920 | ||
11139 | price. So as they move up here you can | ||
11140 | |||
11141 | 2786 | ||
11142 | 02:05:04,920 ~-~-> 02:05:07,290 | ||
11143 | see you literally can see it as a as a | ||
11144 | |||
11145 | 2787 | ||
11146 | 02:05:07,290 ~-~-> 02:05:09,300 | ||
11147 | buying opportunity here, they acquire | ||
11148 | |||
11149 | 2788 | ||
11150 | 02:05:09,330 ~-~-> 02:05:11,220 | ||
11151 | Okay, it starts to move too much. So to | ||
11152 | |||
11153 | 2789 | ||
11154 | 02:05:11,220 ~-~-> 02:05:13,290 | ||
11155 | settle down, relax, let price come back | ||
11156 | |||
11157 | 2790 | ||
11158 | 02:05:13,290 ~-~-> 02:05:15,150 | ||
11159 | down again, dips back into this little | ||
11160 | |||
11161 | 2791 | ||
11162 | 02:05:15,150 ~-~-> 02:05:17,670 | ||
11163 | area here. Okay, they buy more of it and | ||
11164 | |||
11165 | 2792 | ||
11166 | 02:05:17,670 ~-~-> 02:05:19,530 | ||
11167 | it rallies up. You can see there's much | ||
11168 | |||
11169 | 2793 | ||
11170 | 02:05:19,530 ~-~-> 02:05:21,990 | ||
11171 | more aggressive buying pressure on this | ||
11172 | |||
11173 | 2794 | ||
11174 | 02:05:21,990 ~-~-> 02:05:24,120 | ||
11175 | candle here because it took three four | ||
11176 | |||
11177 | 2795 | ||
11178 | 02:05:24,210 ~-~-> 02:05:26,610 | ||
11179 | hour candles to make this range here and | ||
11180 | |||
11181 | 2796 | ||
11182 | 02:05:26,610 ~-~-> 02:05:28,950 | ||
11183 | then one four hour basis boom they took | ||
11184 | |||
11185 | 2797 | ||
11186 | 02:05:28,950 ~-~-> 02:05:31,710 | ||
11187 | off here, then come back, retrace, | ||
11188 | |||
11189 | 2798 | ||
11190 | 02:05:31,710 ~-~-> 02:05:33,150 | ||
11191 | retrace, retrace, where's it retracing | ||
11192 | |||
11193 | 2799 | ||
11194 | 02:05:33,150 ~-~-> 02:05:35,550 | ||
11195 | to the point of origin right here. And | ||
11196 | |||
11197 | 2800 | ||
11198 | 02:05:35,550 ~-~-> 02:05:36,900 | ||
11199 | then all of a sudden their remaining | ||
11200 | |||
11201 | 2801 | ||
11202 | 02:05:38,280 ~-~-> 02:05:40,260 | ||
11203 | block of trades that they want to assume | ||
11204 | |||
11205 | 2802 | ||
11206 | 02:05:40,770 ~-~-> 02:05:42,660 | ||
11207 | for a long position was acquired here | ||
11208 | |||
11209 | 2803 | ||
11210 | 02:05:42,660 ~-~-> 02:05:45,660 | ||
11211 | and then they're off to the races. Now | ||
11212 | |||
11213 | 2804 | ||
11214 | 02:05:45,690 ~-~-> 02:05:48,270 | ||
11215 | just trading back to an old high like | ||
11216 | |||
11217 | 2805 | ||
11218 | 02:05:48,270 ~-~-> 02:05:51,120 | ||
11219 | this. Let's note that and you can see. | ||
11220 | |||
11221 | 2806 | ||
11222 | 02:05:52,470 ~-~-> 02:05:57,480 | ||
11223 | Okay, looking for upward targets as I | ||
11224 | |||
11225 | 2807 | ||
11226 | 02:05:57,510 ~-~-> 02:05:59,970 | ||
11227 | like that. We're going to use this one | ||
11228 | |||
11229 | 2808 | ||
11230 | 02:06:00,000 ~-~-> 02:06:02,760 | ||
11231 | As a as an objective as an example | ||
11232 | |||
11233 | 2809 | ||
11234 | 02:06:02,760 ~-~-> 02:06:07,350 | ||
11235 | there's 270 pips late your feet and this | ||
11236 | |||
11237 | 2810 | ||
11238 | 02:06:07,350 ~-~-> 02:06:10,320 | ||
11239 | one here again we're going to assume you | ||
11240 | |||
11241 | 2811 | ||
11242 | 02:06:10,320 ~-~-> 02:06:14,730 | ||
11243 | traded at around the around the sweet | ||
11244 | |||
11245 | 2812 | ||
11246 | 02:06:14,730 ~-~-> 02:06:17,220 | ||
11247 | spot again there's 240 pips. So you're | ||
11248 | |||
11249 | 2813 | ||
11250 | 02:06:17,220 ~-~-> 02:06:20,400 | ||
11251 | really would you be willing to risk | ||
11252 | |||
11253 | 2814 | ||
11254 | 02:06:20,460 ~-~-> 02:06:22,800 | ||
11255 | roughly 50 pips just trading on a four | ||
11256 | |||
11257 | 2815 | ||
11258 | 02:06:22,800 ~-~-> 02:06:26,040 | ||
11259 | hour basis, risk 50 pips to make 240 | ||
11260 | |||
11261 | 2816 | ||
11262 | 02:06:26,040 ~-~-> 02:06:28,350 | ||
11263 | pips just sounds like a good reward the | ||
11264 | |||
11265 | 2817 | ||
11266 | 02:06:28,350 ~-~-> 02:06:32,220 | ||
11267 | risk. I'll leave that up for you to | ||
11268 | |||
11269 | 2818 | ||
11270 | 02:06:32,220 ~-~-> 02:06:34,830 | ||
11271 | decide. As price moved up, you can see | ||
11272 | |||
11273 | 2819 | ||
11274 | 02:06:34,830 ~-~-> 02:06:37,410 | ||
11275 | it easily, quite easily hit this | ||
11276 | |||
11277 | 2820 | ||
11278 | 02:06:37,410 ~-~-> 02:06:39,060 | ||
11279 | objective and moved on beyond that as | ||
11280 | |||
11281 | 2821 | ||
11282 | 02:06:39,060 ~-~-> 02:06:44,100 | ||
11283 | well. So with this example here, you can | ||
11284 | |||
11285 | 2822 | ||
11286 | 02:06:44,100 ~-~-> 02:06:48,330 | ||
11287 | see how just simply waiting for these | ||
11288 | |||
11289 | 2823 | ||
11290 | 02:06:48,330 ~-~-> 02:06:51,570 | ||
11291 | scenarios to set up. You can trade | ||
11292 | |||
11293 | 2824 | ||
11294 | 02:06:51,570 ~-~-> 02:06:54,480 | ||
11295 | really a good number of pairs if you're | ||
11296 | |||
11297 | 2825 | ||
11298 | 02:06:54,480 ~-~-> 02:06:56,010 | ||
11299 | trading on a higher timeframe basis like | ||
11300 | |||
11301 | 2826 | ||
11302 | 02:06:56,010 ~-~-> 02:06:57,450 | ||
11303 | us because, number one, think about how | ||
11304 | |||
11305 | 2827 | ||
11306 | 02:06:57,450 ~-~-> 02:06:59,370 | ||
11307 | much time it takes to set these trades. | ||
11308 | |||
11309 | 2828 | ||
11310 | 02:07:00,000 ~-~-> 02:07:00,870 | ||
11311 | Takes a good bit of time. | ||
11312 | |||
11313 | 2829 | ||
11314 | 02:07:01,590 ~-~-> 02:07:04,920 | ||
11315 | Also, it gives you a an area where to | ||
11316 | |||
11317 | 2830 | ||
11318 | 02:07:04,920 ~-~-> 02:07:07,500 | ||
11319 | anticipate and hunt these specific | ||
11320 | |||
11321 | 2831 | ||
11322 | 02:07:07,500 ~-~-> 02:07:10,650 | ||
11323 | patterns. Okay, so it allows you to the | ||
11324 | |||
11325 | 2832 | ||
11326 | 02:07:10,650 ~-~-> 02:07:12,690 | ||
11327 | freedom to sit on your hands and wait | ||
11328 | |||
11329 | 2833 | ||
11330 | 02:07:12,690 ~-~-> 02:07:14,430 | ||
11331 | and not feel rushed to get in here and | ||
11332 | |||
11333 | 2834 | ||
11334 | 02:07:14,430 ~-~-> 02:07:16,290 | ||
11335 | just take a trade simply because it's | ||
11336 | |||
11337 | 2835 | ||
11338 | 02:07:16,290 ~-~-> 02:07:18,990 | ||
11339 | something to do. Now what we're going to | ||
11340 | |||
11341 | 2836 | ||
11342 | 02:07:18,990 ~-~-> 02:07:21,300 | ||
11343 | do is we're going to actually drill in | ||
11344 | |||
11345 | 2837 | ||
11346 | 02:07:21,300 ~-~-> 02:07:25,500 | ||
11347 | tighter. Okay? And what I'm doing is I'm | ||
11348 | |||
11349 | 2838 | ||
11350 | 02:07:25,530 ~-~-> 02:07:30,390 | ||
11351 | actually moving into this little pocket | ||
11352 | |||
11353 | 2839 | ||
11354 | 02:07:30,390 ~-~-> 02:07:32,670 | ||
11355 | of price action. Okay, so this fractal | ||
11356 | |||
11357 | 2840 | ||
11358 | 02:07:32,670 ~-~-> 02:07:35,790 | ||
11359 | here, we're going to look at in regards | ||
11360 | |||
11361 | 2841 | ||
11362 | 02:07:35,940 ~-~-> 02:07:38,700 | ||
11363 | to a 15 minute x go down to one hour | ||
11364 | |||
11365 | 2842 | ||
11366 | 02:07:38,700 ~-~-> 02:07:40,170 | ||
11367 | basis and see what that does first. | ||
11368 | |||
11369 | 2843 | ||
11370 | 02:07:43,710 ~-~-> 02:07:49,170 | ||
11371 | Okay, now you can see price rallies up | ||
11372 | |||
11373 | 2844 | ||
11374 | 02:07:49,170 ~-~-> 02:07:53,280 | ||
11375 | out of here. And right in here, you can | ||
11376 | |||
11377 | 2845 | ||
11378 | 02:07:53,280 ~-~-> 02:07:54,540 | ||
11379 | actually see how we're actually starting | ||
11380 | |||
11381 | 2846 | ||
11382 | 02:07:54,540 ~-~-> 02:08:01,020 | ||
11383 | to fine tune here's the bears. candle, | ||
11384 | |||
11385 | 2847 | ||
11386 | 02:08:01,290 ~-~-> 02:08:03,060 | ||
11387 | the first one right before you go to | ||
11388 | |||
11389 | 2848 | ||
11390 | 02:08:03,450 ~-~-> 02:08:06,540 | ||
11391 | move up. So if you bracket that out | ||
11392 | |||
11393 | 2849 | ||
11394 | 02:08:08,850 ~-~-> 02:08:10,530 | ||
11395 | okay, you can see that's the the order | ||
11396 | |||
11397 | 2850 | ||
11398 | 02:08:10,530 ~-~-> 02:08:13,170 | ||
11399 | block in here. Now again, it's anywhere | ||
11400 | |||
11401 | 2851 | ||
11402 | 02:08:13,170 ~-~-> 02:08:16,710 | ||
11403 | in here specifically, okay? But what I | ||
11404 | |||
11405 | 2852 | ||
11406 | 02:08:16,710 ~-~-> 02:08:20,910 | ||
11407 | like to see is like a Fibonacci level | ||
11408 | |||
11409 | 2853 | ||
11410 | 02:08:20,940 ~-~-> 02:08:24,600 | ||
11411 | and or pivot level in this area to | ||
11412 | |||
11413 | 2854 | ||
11414 | 02:08:24,600 ~-~-> 02:08:27,030 | ||
11415 | suggest where price may be going also | ||
11416 | |||
11417 | 2855 | ||
11418 | 02:08:27,030 ~-~-> 02:08:29,460 | ||
11419 | like round numbers, and in this case, | ||
11420 | |||
11421 | 2856 | ||
11422 | 02:08:29,460 ~-~-> 02:08:33,000 | ||
11423 | the 130 40 level is really ideal. And | ||
11424 | |||
11425 | 2857 | ||
11426 | 02:08:33,060 ~-~-> 02:08:35,520 | ||
11427 | you can see that's also roughly the same | ||
11428 | |||
11429 | 2858 | ||
11430 | 02:08:35,550 ~-~-> 02:08:38,280 | ||
11431 | price point this swing high is now also | ||
11432 | |||
11433 | 2859 | ||
11434 | 02:08:38,280 ~-~-> 02:08:39,750 | ||
11435 | around or what we talked about when we | ||
11436 | |||
11437 | 2860 | ||
11438 | 02:08:39,750 ~-~-> 02:08:41,640 | ||
11439 | look at swing highs, we'd like to look | ||
11440 | |||
11441 | 2861 | ||
11442 | 02:08:41,640 ~-~-> 02:08:43,620 | ||
11443 | at the three bar pattern. Okay, here's | ||
11444 | |||
11445 | 2862 | ||
11446 | 02:08:43,650 ~-~-> 02:08:48,000 | ||
11447 | the here's the highest candle in this | ||
11448 | |||
11449 | 2863 | ||
11450 | 02:08:48,000 ~-~-> 02:08:50,790 | ||
11451 | pattern, the right candle to the right | ||
11452 | |||
11453 | 2864 | ||
11454 | 02:08:50,790 ~-~-> 02:08:53,550 | ||
11455 | of it with a lower high. It's open and | ||
11456 | |||
11457 | 2865 | ||
11458 | 02:08:53,550 ~-~-> 02:08:56,160 | ||
11459 | closed and higher lows important. The | ||
11460 | |||
11461 | 2866 | ||
11462 | 02:08:56,160 ~-~-> 02:08:58,530 | ||
11463 | open high, low and close on the high | ||
11464 | |||
11465 | 2867 | ||
11466 | 02:08:58,530 ~-~-> 02:09:00,630 | ||
11467 | candle are the highest most That three | ||
11468 | |||
11469 | 2868 | ||
11470 | 02:09:00,900 ~-~-> 02:09:02,520 | ||
11471 | bar pattern on the swing high pattern. | ||
11472 | |||
11473 | 2869 | ||
11474 | 02:09:02,940 ~-~-> 02:09:04,740 | ||
11475 | And then this high here, the open high, | ||
11476 | |||
11477 | 2870 | ||
11478 | 02:09:04,740 ~-~-> 02:09:07,230 | ||
11479 | low and close as well. So when we, when | ||
11480 | |||
11481 | 2871 | ||
11482 | 02:09:07,230 ~-~-> 02:09:09,420 | ||
11483 | we factor those individual price levels, | ||
11484 | |||
11485 | 2872 | ||
11486 | 02:09:09,660 ~-~-> 02:09:11,010 | ||
11487 | you can actually take that out and | ||
11488 | |||
11489 | 2873 | ||
11490 | 02:09:11,010 ~-~-> 02:09:12,630 | ||
11491 | extend that across in terms of like the | ||
11492 | |||
11493 | 2874 | ||
11494 | 02:09:12,630 ~-~-> 02:09:15,420 | ||
11495 | horizontal lines and really specifically | ||
11496 | |||
11497 | 2875 | ||
11498 | 02:09:15,420 ~-~-> 02:09:16,740 | ||
11499 | wait for price to move down to those | ||
11500 | |||
11501 | 2876 | ||
11502 | 02:09:16,740 ~-~-> 02:09:19,170 | ||
11503 | levels on a one, I'm sorry, I want to | ||
11504 | |||
11505 | 2877 | ||
11506 | 02:09:19,170 ~-~-> 02:09:21,330 | ||
11507 | five minute or 15 minute basis and | ||
11508 | |||
11509 | 2878 | ||
11510 | 02:09:21,330 ~-~-> 02:09:23,160 | ||
11511 | really fine tune your entry in regards | ||
11512 | |||
11513 | 2879 | ||
11514 | 02:09:23,160 ~-~-> 02:09:26,940 | ||
11515 | to what may be possible for trimming | ||
11516 | |||
11517 | 2880 | ||
11518 | 02:09:26,940 ~-~-> 02:09:31,020 | ||
11519 | down to stop loss orders. So now what | ||
11520 | |||
11521 | 2881 | ||
11522 | 02:09:31,020 ~-~-> 02:09:32,010 | ||
11523 | we're going to do is is going to take | ||
11524 | |||
11525 | 2882 | ||
11526 | 02:09:32,010 ~-~-> 02:09:34,680 | ||
11527 | the same price level here, okay, and I'm | ||
11528 | |||
11529 | 2883 | ||
11530 | 02:09:34,680 ~-~-> 02:09:36,000 | ||
11531 | going to look at | ||
11532 | |||
11533 | 2884 | ||
11534 | 02:09:41,520 ~-~-> 02:09:46,830 | ||
11535 | this small little section and price are | ||
11536 | |||
11537 | 2885 | ||
11538 | 02:09:46,830 ~-~-> 02:09:52,860 | ||
11539 | here. And I make sure I'm not getting | ||
11540 | |||
11541 | 2886 | ||
11542 | 02:09:52,860 ~-~-> 02:09:59,940 | ||
11543 | more than I want okay, right in here's | ||
11544 | |||
11545 | 2887 | ||
11546 | 02:10:00,390 ~-~-> 02:10:01,410 | ||
11547 | What I'm looking for | ||
11548 | |||
11549 | 2888 | ||
11550 | 02:10:05,370 ~-~-> 02:10:06,150 | ||
11551 | right there. | ||
11552 | |||
11553 | 2889 | ||
11554 | 02:10:14,070 ~-~-> 02:10:16,950 | ||
11555 | And again, that's January 9, and we're | ||
11556 | |||
11557 | 2890 | ||
11558 | 02:10:16,950 ~-~-> 02:10:18,240 | ||
11559 | going to drop down to a 15 minute | ||
11560 | |||
11561 | 2891 | ||
11562 | 02:10:18,240 ~-~-> 02:10:23,760 | ||
11563 | timeframe. Okay, and now watch. We have | ||
11564 | |||
11565 | 2892 | ||
11566 | 02:10:24,630 ~-~-> 02:10:27,840 | ||
11567 | price action, okay in here moving up on | ||
11568 | |||
11569 | 2893 | ||
11570 | 02:10:27,840 ~-~-> 02:10:30,420 | ||
11571 | a very short term basis, okay and comes | ||
11572 | |||
11573 | 2894 | ||
11574 | 02:10:30,420 ~-~-> 02:10:37,140 | ||
11575 | back down. See this candle here? That's | ||
11576 | |||
11577 | 2895 | ||
11578 | 02:10:37,140 ~-~-> 02:10:39,060 | ||
11579 | your point of origin, where the rally | ||
11580 | |||
11581 | 2896 | ||
11582 | 02:10:39,060 ~-~-> 02:10:43,530 | ||
11583 | ensues. Right in here. move that out in | ||
11584 | |||
11585 | 2897 | ||
11586 | 02:10:43,530 ~-~-> 02:10:47,910 | ||
11587 | time. Right in here. Price comes back | ||
11588 | |||
11589 | 2898 | ||
11590 | 02:10:47,910 ~-~-> 02:10:51,510 | ||
11591 | down into it, and then runs up. Okay? | ||
11592 | |||
11593 | 2899 | ||
11594 | 02:10:52,770 ~-~-> 02:10:58,830 | ||
11595 | Same thing here. Okay, we have this | ||
11596 | |||
11597 | 2900 | ||
11598 | 02:10:58,830 ~-~-> 02:11:02,700 | ||
11599 | rally here. Here's the candle prior to | ||
11600 | |||
11601 | 2901 | ||
11602 | 02:11:02,700 ~-~-> 02:11:06,120 | ||
11603 | the rally up, it's bearish. And if you | ||
11604 | |||
11605 | 2902 | ||
11606 | 02:11:06,120 ~-~-> 02:11:14,880 | ||
11607 | take that area here you can see it | ||
11608 | |||
11609 | 2903 | ||
11610 | 02:11:14,880 ~-~-> 02:11:18,900 | ||
11611 | enters that water block again, right | ||
11612 | |||
11613 | 2904 | ||
11614 | 02:11:18,900 ~-~-> 02:11:21,510 | ||
11615 | here. And again, if you run your fibs on | ||
11616 | |||
11617 | 2905 | ||
11618 | 02:11:21,510 ~-~-> 02:11:23,400 | ||
11619 | that, okay, you can get opportunities | ||
11620 | |||
11621 | 2906 | ||
11622 | 02:11:23,400 ~-~-> 02:11:26,280 | ||
11623 | where you can take intraday trades and | ||
11624 | |||
11625 | 2907 | ||
11626 | 02:11:26,310 ~-~-> 02:11:28,230 | ||
11627 | get in sync with the higher time frame | ||
11628 | |||
11629 | 2908 | ||
11630 | 02:11:28,230 ~-~-> 02:11:32,130 | ||
11631 | trades as well. But assuming that you | ||
11632 | |||
11633 | 2909 | ||
11634 | 02:11:32,130 ~-~-> 02:11:33,930 | ||
11635 | took that as your entry point based on | ||
11636 | |||
11637 | 2910 | ||
11638 | 02:11:33,930 ~-~-> 02:11:36,000 | ||
11639 | the higher time frame trade, okay, you | ||
11640 | |||
11641 | 2911 | ||
11642 | 02:11:36,000 ~-~-> 02:11:39,690 | ||
11643 | could trade this here. Okay, we get in | ||
11644 | |||
11645 | 2912 | ||
11646 | 02:11:39,690 ~-~-> 02:11:45,870 | ||
11647 | at 130. Let's see what is prices 130 45. | ||
11648 | |||
11649 | 2913 | ||
11650 | 02:11:46,290 ~-~-> 02:11:50,100 | ||
11651 | Let's say 130 47 fair. And you're using | ||
11652 | |||
11653 | 2914 | ||
11654 | 02:11:50,100 ~-~-> 02:11:54,900 | ||
11655 | a 10 PIP stop below here. Mexico, | ||
11656 | |||
11657 | 2915 | ||
11658 | 02:11:56,010 ~-~-> 02:11:57,750 | ||
11659 | crunches up just a little bit. So you | ||
11660 | |||
11661 | 2916 | ||
11662 | 02:11:57,750 ~-~-> 02:11:59,640 | ||
11663 | can see where the stop loss would be. | ||
11664 | |||
11665 | 2917 | ||
11666 | 02:12:00,000 ~-~-> 02:12:04,350 | ||
11667 | You can trim back the risk. Again, | ||
11668 | |||
11669 | 2918 | ||
11670 | 02:12:04,410 ~-~-> 02:12:06,240 | ||
11671 | assuming you're getting long on a limit | ||
11672 | |||
11673 | 2919 | ||
11674 | 02:12:06,300 ~-~-> 02:12:09,840 | ||
11675 | at 130 47. And we're going to use this | ||
11676 | |||
11677 | 2920 | ||
11678 | 02:12:09,840 ~-~-> 02:12:11,820 | ||
11679 | low here as your primary reference point | ||
11680 | |||
11681 | 2921 | ||
11682 | 02:12:11,820 ~-~-> 02:12:14,670 | ||
11683 | for stock location. If you go down 10 | ||
11684 | |||
11685 | 2922 | ||
11686 | 02:12:14,670 ~-~-> 02:12:17,490 | ||
11687 | pips below that, your order, your stop | ||
11688 | |||
11689 | 2923 | ||
11690 | 02:12:17,490 ~-~-> 02:12:21,480 | ||
11691 | loss order will be at 130 27. Okay, and | ||
11692 | |||
11693 | 2924 | ||
11694 | 02:12:21,480 ~-~-> 02:12:23,160 | ||
11695 | what we'll do is we're gonna put that in | ||
11696 | |||
11697 | 2925 | ||
11698 | 02:12:23,160 ~-~-> 02:12:29,880 | ||
11699 | here 130 27 and price comes down but | ||
11700 | |||
11701 | 2926 | ||
11702 | 02:12:29,880 ~-~-> 02:12:32,790 | ||
11703 | never comes close to it. Okay, I'm going | ||
11704 | |||
11705 | 2927 | ||
11706 | 02:12:32,820 ~-~-> 02:12:34,920 | ||
11707 | to scrunch it but you can see it so you | ||
11708 | |||
11709 | 2928 | ||
11710 | 02:12:34,920 ~-~-> 02:12:38,250 | ||
11711 | can get yourself positioned here. Okay, | ||
11712 | |||
11713 | 2929 | ||
11714 | 02:12:38,250 ~-~-> 02:12:39,600 | ||
11715 | and again, this is a 15 minute charts | ||
11716 | |||
11717 | 2930 | ||
11718 | 02:12:39,600 ~-~-> 02:12:41,700 | ||
11719 | here, waiting for these positions to | ||
11720 | |||
11721 | 2931 | ||
11722 | 02:12:41,700 ~-~-> 02:12:44,640 | ||
11723 | unwind. These remember we're looking at | ||
11724 | |||
11725 | 2932 | ||
11726 | 02:12:44,640 ~-~-> 02:12:48,060 | ||
11727 | a four hour and daily timeframe setup so | ||
11728 | |||
11729 | 2933 | ||
11730 | 02:12:48,420 ~-~-> 02:12:50,580 | ||
11731 | you're not trading it on a 15 minute | ||
11732 | |||
11733 | 2934 | ||
11734 | 02:12:50,580 ~-~-> 02:12:51,780 | ||
11735 | basis. So when you start seeing these | ||
11736 | |||
11737 | 2935 | ||
11738 | 02:12:51,780 ~-~-> 02:12:54,000 | ||
11739 | wiggles lower, where's your stop loss | ||
11740 | |||
11741 | 2936 | ||
11742 | 02:12:54,030 ~-~-> 02:12:56,220 | ||
11743 | down here? So you just simply let it do | ||
11744 | |||
11745 | 2937 | ||
11746 | 02:12:56,220 ~-~-> 02:12:59,490 | ||
11747 | its thing and price rallies on up and | ||
11748 | |||
11749 | 2938 | ||
11750 | 02:13:00,450 ~-~-> 02:13:02,910 | ||
11751 | You get excited and everything's, you | ||
11752 | |||
11753 | 2939 | ||
11754 | 02:13:02,910 ~-~-> 02:13:06,540 | ||
11755 | know, as you'd hoped it would be. Okay, | ||
11756 | |||
11757 | 2940 | ||
11758 | 02:13:06,540 ~-~-> 02:13:09,330 | ||
11759 | you can see the point of entry back | ||
11760 | |||
11761 | 2941 | ||
11762 | 02:13:09,330 ~-~-> 02:13:12,210 | ||
11763 | here, and then the ultimate unwinding of | ||
11764 | |||
11765 | 2942 | ||
11766 | 02:13:12,210 ~-~-> 02:13:17,430 | ||
11767 | that position here. Let's take a look at | ||
11768 | |||
11769 | 2943 | ||
11770 | 02:13:17,430 ~-~-> 02:13:20,880 | ||
11771 | another example. And we see this price | ||
11772 | |||
11773 | 2944 | ||
11774 | 02:13:20,880 ~-~-> 02:13:24,690 | ||
11775 | rally up off of a daily chart, key | ||
11776 | |||
11777 | 2945 | ||
11778 | 02:13:24,690 ~-~-> 02:13:29,520 | ||
11779 | support level around here. And want to | ||
11780 | |||
11781 | 2946 | ||
11782 | 02:13:29,520 ~-~-> 02:13:31,080 | ||
11783 | draw your attention to in here is | ||
11784 | |||
11785 | 2947 | ||
11786 | 02:13:31,410 ~-~-> 02:13:33,630 | ||
11787 | obviously this quick rally up and then a | ||
11788 | |||
11789 | 2948 | ||
11790 | 02:13:33,630 ~-~-> 02:13:38,070 | ||
11791 | bull flag formation here. We have this | ||
11792 | |||
11793 | 2949 | ||
11794 | 02:13:38,070 ~-~-> 02:13:43,530 | ||
11795 | level in here if you were following any | ||
11796 | |||
11797 | 2950 | ||
11798 | 02:13:43,530 ~-~-> 02:13:45,600 | ||
11799 | of my market reviews, we talked about | ||
11800 | |||
11801 | 2951 | ||
11802 | 02:13:45,600 ~-~-> 02:13:49,530 | ||
11803 | this level being a possible area of | ||
11804 | |||
11805 | 2952 | ||
11806 | 02:13:49,980 ~-~-> 02:13:54,450 | ||
11807 | support. And prior to the move out, | ||
11808 | |||
11809 | 2953 | ||
11810 | 02:13:54,630 ~-~-> 02:13:57,870 | ||
11811 | okay, we had a couple different areas | ||
11812 | |||
11813 | 2954 | ||
11814 | 02:13:57,870 ~-~-> 02:14:02,220 | ||
11815 | that could have meant To probable areas | ||
11816 | |||
11817 | 2955 | ||
11818 | 02:14:02,220 ~-~-> 02:14:05,190 | ||
11819 | of support and institutional dealing | ||
11820 | |||
11821 | 2956 | ||
11822 | 02:14:05,190 ~-~-> 02:14:10,980 | ||
11823 | ranges where order blocks may reside for | ||
11824 | |||
11825 | 2957 | ||
11826 | 02:14:10,980 ~-~-> 02:14:15,930 | ||
11827 | the institutional level trading and that | ||
11828 | |||
11829 | 2958 | ||
11830 | 02:14:15,930 ~-~-> 02:14:19,350 | ||
11831 | comes in the form here we have this | ||
11832 | |||
11833 | 2959 | ||
11834 | 02:14:19,350 ~-~-> 02:14:21,210 | ||
11835 | candle here prior to to move up | ||
11836 | |||
11837 | 2960 | ||
11838 | 02:14:30,210 ~-~-> 02:14:32,700 | ||
11839 | okay is no worse this move higher and | ||
11840 | |||
11841 | 2961 | ||
11842 | 02:14:32,700 ~-~-> 02:14:43,830 | ||
11843 | this candle here okay and you can see | ||
11844 | |||
11845 | 2962 | ||
11846 | 02:14:43,830 ~-~-> 02:14:47,160 | ||
11847 | that's the first bearish candle prior to | ||
11848 | |||
11849 | 2963 | ||
11850 | 02:14:47,160 ~-~-> 02:14:49,530 | ||
11851 | the move higher first bearish candle | ||
11852 | |||
11853 | 2964 | ||
11854 | 02:14:49,590 ~-~-> 02:14:53,250 | ||
11855 | prior to the move higher and we see also | ||
11856 | |||
11857 | 2965 | ||
11858 | 02:14:54,240 ~-~-> 02:14:57,600 | ||
11859 | you know just likely support and | ||
11860 | |||
11861 | 2966 | ||
11862 | 02:14:57,600 ~-~-> 02:14:59,670 | ||
11863 | resistance level based on this. It may | ||
11864 | |||
11865 | 2967 | ||
11866 | 02:14:59,670 ~-~-> 02:15:02,010 | ||
11867 | turn out On the daily chart, we did get | ||
11868 | |||
11869 | 2968 | ||
11870 | 02:15:02,010 ~-~-> 02:15:04,140 | ||
11871 | an opportunity to see a bounce here. | ||
11872 | |||
11873 | 2969 | ||
11874 | 02:15:04,470 ~-~-> 02:15:07,140 | ||
11875 | Okay, and that's seen with this move | ||
11876 | |||
11877 | 2970 | ||
11878 | 02:15:07,140 ~-~-> 02:15:10,290 | ||
11879 | here. This was the bearish candle prior | ||
11880 | |||
11881 | 2971 | ||
11882 | 02:15:10,290 ~-~-> 02:15:14,250 | ||
11883 | to its rally up. So if you take the | ||
11884 | |||
11885 | 2972 | ||
11886 | 02:15:14,250 ~-~-> 02:15:19,560 | ||
11887 | range in here, you can see how this | ||
11888 | |||
11889 | 2973 | ||
11890 | 02:15:19,590 ~-~-> 02:15:21,090 | ||
11891 | retracement would have been a very | ||
11892 | |||
11893 | 2974 | ||
11894 | 02:15:21,090 ~-~-> 02:15:24,510 | ||
11895 | decent, handsome opportunity to get | ||
11896 | |||
11897 | 2975 | ||
11898 | 02:15:24,510 ~-~-> 02:15:28,530 | ||
11899 | along on. Price came back down to that | ||
11900 | |||
11901 | 2976 | ||
11902 | 02:15:28,530 ~-~-> 02:15:32,310 | ||
11903 | same institutional order block in here | ||
11904 | |||
11905 | 2977 | ||
11906 | 02:15:33,330 ~-~-> 02:15:35,250 | ||
11907 | and rally up higher and eventually | ||
11908 | |||
11909 | 2978 | ||
11910 | 02:15:35,250 ~-~-> 02:15:39,120 | ||
11911 | started to break down. Okay, and let's | ||
11912 | |||
11913 | 2979 | ||
11914 | 02:15:39,120 ~-~-> 02:15:40,470 | ||
11915 | take a look at what's transpired here. | ||
11916 | |||
11917 | 2980 | ||
11918 | 02:15:40,470 ~-~-> 02:15:43,020 | ||
11919 | We lost this level here we try to start | ||
11920 | |||
11921 | 2981 | ||
11922 | 02:15:43,020 ~-~-> 02:15:45,090 | ||
11923 | trading lower. Okay and this would be | ||
11924 | |||
11925 | 2982 | ||
11926 | 02:15:45,090 ~-~-> 02:15:48,630 | ||
11927 | the next area to expect some support. | ||
11928 | |||
11929 | 2983 | ||
11930 | 02:15:49,920 ~-~-> 02:15:51,690 | ||
11931 | Okay, and you can see price trades right | ||
11932 | |||
11933 | 2984 | ||
11934 | 02:15:51,690 ~-~-> 02:15:54,210 | ||
11935 | down into that right there. Okay, and | ||
11936 | |||
11937 | 2985 | ||
11938 | 02:15:54,210 ~-~-> 02:15:55,170 | ||
11939 | then what I'm gonna do is I'm just going | ||
11940 | |||
11941 | 2986 | ||
11942 | 02:15:55,170 ~-~-> 02:15:58,560 | ||
11943 | to take a horizontal level, draw across | ||
11944 | |||
11945 | 2987 | ||
11946 | 02:15:58,560 ~-~-> 02:16:01,590 | ||
11947 | the chart like that. Okay, and when you | ||
11948 | |||
11949 | 2988 | ||
11950 | 02:16:01,590 ~-~-> 02:16:04,200 | ||
11951 | see this, this is the area where to | ||
11952 | |||
11953 | 2989 | ||
11954 | 02:16:04,200 ~-~-> 02:16:09,060 | ||
11955 | reasonably expect prices to bounce. If | ||
11956 | |||
11957 | 2990 | ||
11958 | 02:16:09,060 ~-~-> 02:16:13,380 | ||
11959 | you notice also the low here to this | ||
11960 | |||
11961 | 2991 | ||
11962 | 02:16:13,380 ~-~-> 02:16:15,720 | ||
11963 | high, this is your your price when you | ||
11964 | |||
11965 | 2992 | ||
11966 | 02:16:15,720 ~-~-> 02:16:19,050 | ||
11967 | see that. Okay, we're retracing inside | ||
11968 | |||
11969 | 2993 | ||
11970 | 02:16:19,050 ~-~-> 02:16:21,960 | ||
11971 | that price swing. So if you take the | ||
11972 | |||
11973 | 2994 | ||
11974 | 02:16:21,960 ~-~-> 02:16:24,540 | ||
11975 | range and highlight that with your | ||
11976 | |||
11977 | 2995 | ||
11978 | 02:16:25,020 ~-~-> 02:16:27,150 | ||
11979 | Fibonacci tool, you can see the sweet | ||
11980 | |||
11981 | 2996 | ||
11982 | 02:16:27,150 ~-~-> 02:16:28,980 | ||
11983 | spot lays directly right on top of that | ||
11984 | |||
11985 | 2997 | ||
11986 | 02:16:29,340 ~-~-> 02:16:32,490 | ||
11987 | same point of origin right in here. | ||
11988 | |||
11989 | 2998 | ||
11990 | 02:16:35,100 ~-~-> 02:16:38,010 | ||
11991 | Price does not move much lower than | ||
11992 | |||
11993 | 2999 | ||
11994 | 02:16:38,010 ~-~-> 02:16:40,380 | ||
11995 | that. Again, this is a daily chart and | ||
11996 | |||
11997 | 3000 | ||
11998 | 02:16:40,380 ~-~-> 02:16:46,950 | ||
11999 | price rallies on price rallies on so you | ||
12000 | |||
12001 | 3001 | ||
12002 | 02:16:46,950 ~-~-> 02:16:49,200 | ||
12003 | can see that there's a definite | ||
12004 | |||
12005 | 3002 | ||
12006 | 02:16:49,200 ~-~-> 02:16:51,630 | ||
12007 | advantage of knowing where the | ||
12008 | |||
12009 | 3003 | ||
12010 | 02:16:51,630 ~-~-> 02:16:53,340 | ||
12011 | institutional level trading is going to | ||
12012 | |||
12013 | 3004 | ||
12014 | 02:16:53,340 ~-~-> 02:16:56,790 | ||
12015 | come in to the marketplace. And I having | ||
12016 | |||
12017 | 3005 | ||
12018 | 02:16:56,790 ~-~-> 02:16:58,110 | ||
12019 | an understanding of where that's gonna | ||
12020 | |||
12021 | 3006 | ||
12022 | 02:16:58,110 ~-~-> 02:17:00,300 | ||
12023 | take place. You can also expect it On a | ||
12024 | |||
12025 | 3007 | ||
12026 | 02:17:00,330 ~-~-> 02:17:03,150 | ||
12027 | time basis with the kill zones, okay, so | ||
12028 | |||
12029 | 3008 | ||
12030 | 02:17:03,150 ~-~-> 02:17:04,380 | ||
12031 | we have an understanding of support | ||
12032 | |||
12033 | 3009 | ||
12034 | 02:17:04,380 ~-~-> 02:17:06,600 | ||
12035 | resistance, we have an understanding of | ||
12036 | |||
12037 | 3010 | ||
12038 | 02:17:06,600 ~-~-> 02:17:09,480 | ||
12039 | the time of day, we understand where the | ||
12040 | |||
12041 | 3011 | ||
12042 | 02:17:09,480 ~-~-> 02:17:13,830 | ||
12043 | big moves should ensue and where to more | ||
12044 | |||
12045 | 3012 | ||
12046 | 02:17:13,830 ~-~-> 02:17:17,640 | ||
12047 | or less wait for them to take place in | ||
12048 | |||
12049 | 3013 | ||
12050 | 02:17:17,910 ~-~-> 02:17:20,850 | ||
12051 | form based on a higher timeframe charts | ||
12052 | |||
12053 | 3014 | ||
12054 | 02:17:21,990 ~-~-> 02:17:27,630 | ||
12055 | if we if we look at the market on a | ||
12056 | |||
12057 | 3015 | ||
12058 | 02:17:27,660 ~-~-> 02:17:32,880 | ||
12059 | shorter timeframe Okay, and we're going | ||
12060 | |||
12061 | 3016 | ||
12062 | 02:17:32,880 ~-~-> 02:17:39,300 | ||
12063 | to apply our tools we learned for the | ||
12064 | |||
12065 | 3017 | ||
12066 | 02:17:48,869 ~-~-> 02:17:53,459 | ||
12067 | directional bias Okay, and | ||
12068 | |||
12069 | 3018 | ||
12070 | 02:18:01,020 ~-~-> 02:18:06,900 | ||
12071 | 18 period Okay, and what we're going to | ||
12072 | |||
12073 | 3019 | ||
12074 | 02:18:06,900 ~-~-> 02:18:08,310 | ||
12075 | do is we're going to look at a time | ||
12076 | |||
12077 | 3020 | ||
12078 | 02:18:08,310 ~-~-> 02:18:13,470 | ||
12079 | frame when price was moving up in here, | ||
12080 | |||
12081 | 3021 | ||
12082 | 02:18:14,220 ~-~-> 02:18:16,410 | ||
12083 | okay, and I'm going to highlight that | ||
12084 | |||
12085 | 3022 | ||
12086 | 02:18:16,410 ~-~-> 02:18:21,330 | ||
12087 | with a rectangle in here. And what | ||
12088 | |||
12089 | 3023 | ||
12090 | 02:18:21,330 ~-~-> 02:18:24,540 | ||
12091 | that's going to help me do is show you | ||
12092 | |||
12093 | 3024 | ||
12094 | 02:18:25,020 ~-~-> 02:18:29,850 | ||
12095 | how to use this for trade entry and | ||
12096 | |||
12097 | 3025 | ||
12098 | 02:18:29,880 ~-~-> 02:18:30,690 | ||
12099 | we're going to do is we're going to | ||
12100 | |||
12101 | 3026 | ||
12102 | 02:18:30,690 ~-~-> 02:18:32,910 | ||
12103 | break down to a 15 minute timeframe to | ||
12104 | |||
12105 | 3027 | ||
12106 | 02:18:32,910 ~-~-> 02:18:36,480 | ||
12107 | do that. Okay, what I did was zoom down | ||
12108 | |||
12109 | 3028 | ||
12110 | 02:18:36,480 ~-~-> 02:18:39,480 | ||
12111 | into a 15 minute timeframe, and I added | ||
12112 | |||
12113 | 3029 | ||
12114 | 02:18:39,480 ~-~-> 02:18:43,710 | ||
12115 | the Asian range for each daily intraday | ||
12116 | |||
12117 | 3030 | ||
12118 | 02:18:43,710 ~-~-> 02:18:46,980 | ||
12119 | action. Now I'm going to draw your | ||
12120 | |||
12121 | 3031 | ||
12122 | 02:18:46,980 ~-~-> 02:18:49,680 | ||
12123 | attention to here is as market moves | ||
12124 | |||
12125 | 3032 | ||
12126 | 02:18:49,710 ~-~-> 02:18:52,110 | ||
12127 | into this is a Monday guys, it's very | ||
12128 | |||
12129 | 3033 | ||
12130 | 02:18:52,110 ~-~-> 02:18:53,700 | ||
12131 | hard to see here but just a double line, | ||
12132 | |||
12133 | 3034 | ||
12134 | 02:18:54,000 ~-~-> 02:18:56,430 | ||
12135 | delineating a Sunday. Okay, I'm just | ||
12136 | |||
12137 | 3035 | ||
12138 | 02:18:56,430 ~-~-> 02:18:59,550 | ||
12139 | gonna scroll through and here is a | ||
12140 | |||
12141 | 3036 | ||
12142 | 02:19:00,000 ~-~-> 02:19:02,610 | ||
12143 | Monday and going into Tuesday. Here's | ||
12144 | |||
12145 | 3037 | ||
12146 | 02:19:02,610 ~-~-> 02:19:07,200 | ||
12147 | Tuesday's trading here. Okay? Now, | ||
12148 | |||
12149 | 3038 | ||
12150 | 02:19:07,770 ~-~-> 02:19:09,360 | ||
12151 | looking at this, you can see how price | ||
12152 | |||
12153 | 3039 | ||
12154 | 02:19:09,360 ~-~-> 02:19:13,740 | ||
12155 | moved up here and created a range here. | ||
12156 | |||
12157 | 3040 | ||
12158 | 02:19:14,760 ~-~-> 02:19:18,330 | ||
12159 | See this down candle prior to the move | ||
12160 | |||
12161 | 3041 | ||
12162 | 02:19:18,330 ~-~-> 02:19:22,740 | ||
12163 | up. Okay, we had this rally up here. If | ||
12164 | |||
12165 | 3042 | ||
12166 | 02:19:22,740 ~-~-> 02:19:25,860 | ||
12167 | you take your fib and you pull it from a | ||
12168 | |||
12169 | 3043 | ||
12170 | 02:19:26,100 ~-~-> 02:19:28,740 | ||
12171 | swing low here, up to this range high | ||
12172 | |||
12173 | 3044 | ||
12174 | 02:19:33,750 ~-~-> 02:19:35,640 | ||
12175 | price comes down to the 62% retracement | ||
12176 | |||
12177 | 3045 | ||
12178 | 02:19:35,640 ~-~-> 02:19:38,310 | ||
12179 | level. And this is nine GMT. This is the | ||
12180 | |||
12181 | 3046 | ||
12182 | 02:19:38,310 ~-~-> 02:19:40,980 | ||
12183 | London open. Okay. So there's an | ||
12184 | |||
12185 | 3047 | ||
12186 | 02:19:40,980 ~-~-> 02:19:43,470 | ||
12187 | opportunity were being long again and | ||
12188 | |||
12189 | 3048 | ||
12190 | 02:19:43,470 ~-~-> 02:19:45,120 | ||
12191 | now with the background being blue like | ||
12192 | |||
12193 | 3049 | ||
12194 | 02:19:45,120 ~-~-> 02:19:47,070 | ||
12195 | desk again, what that's highlighting is | ||
12196 | |||
12197 | 3050 | ||
12198 | 02:19:47,580 ~-~-> 02:19:50,670 | ||
12199 | a time period when on a daily basis. We | ||
12200 | |||
12201 | 3051 | ||
12202 | 02:19:50,670 ~-~-> 02:19:52,590 | ||
12203 | have a nine period exponential moving | ||
12204 | |||
12205 | 3052 | ||
12206 | 02:19:52,590 ~-~-> 02:19:54,450 | ||
12207 | average above the 18 period. So we have | ||
12208 | |||
12209 | 3053 | ||
12210 | 02:19:54,450 ~-~-> 02:19:57,540 | ||
12211 | institutional momentum on the upward | ||
12212 | |||
12213 | 3054 | ||
12214 | 02:19:57,930 ~-~-> 02:19:59,490 | ||
12215 | side of the market always. We're looking | ||
12216 | |||
12217 | 3055 | ||
12218 | 02:19:59,490 ~-~-> 02:20:01,170 | ||
12219 | for just buy The framework is | ||
12220 | |||
12221 | 3056 | ||
12222 | 02:20:01,170 ~-~-> 02:20:04,440 | ||
12223 | established as a bullish scenario. So we | ||
12224 | |||
12225 | 3057 | ||
12226 | 02:20:04,440 ~-~-> 02:20:05,700 | ||
12227 | would be looking for opportunities to be | ||
12228 | |||
12229 | 3058 | ||
12230 | 02:20:05,700 ~-~-> 02:20:08,010 | ||
12231 | a buyer here. And that's one example | ||
12232 | |||
12233 | 3059 | ||
12234 | 02:20:08,010 ~-~-> 02:20:09,780 | ||
12235 | here using what we just discussed with | ||
12236 | |||
12237 | 3060 | ||
12238 | 02:20:10,050 ~-~-> 02:20:12,330 | ||
12239 | point of origin here. And when price | ||
12240 | |||
12241 | 3061 | ||
12242 | 02:20:12,330 ~-~-> 02:20:14,100 | ||
12243 | rallies up and trades back down into it. | ||
12244 | |||
12245 | 3062 | ||
12246 | 02:20:18,300 ~-~-> 02:20:23,550 | ||
12247 | We see price move up into its high for | ||
12248 | |||
12249 | 3063 | ||
12250 | 02:20:23,550 ~-~-> 02:20:28,320 | ||
12251 | the day and then we have another right | ||
12252 | |||
12253 | 3064 | ||
12254 | 02:20:28,320 ~-~-> 02:20:37,140 | ||
12255 | here. Okay, we have this range here and | ||
12256 | |||
12257 | 3065 | ||
12258 | 02:20:37,140 ~-~-> 02:20:43,860 | ||
12259 | trades down. We're going to use this is | ||
12260 | |||
12261 | 3066 | ||
12262 | 02:20:43,860 ~-~-> 02:20:48,420 | ||
12263 | the first down, bearish candle prior to | ||
12264 | |||
12265 | 3067 | ||
12266 | 02:20:48,420 ~-~-> 02:20:50,610 | ||
12267 | move higher. So we're going to use that | ||
12268 | |||
12269 | 3068 | ||
12270 | 02:20:50,760 ~-~-> 02:20:59,790 | ||
12271 | as its basis. Okay, great in here. And | ||
12272 | |||
12273 | 3069 | ||
12274 | 02:20:59,790 ~-~-> 02:21:03,030 | ||
12275 | we had This candle here prior to this | ||
12276 | |||
12277 | 3070 | ||
12278 | 02:21:03,030 ~-~-> 02:21:06,360 | ||
12279 | move up so we could use that one as | ||
12280 | |||
12281 | 3071 | ||
12282 | 02:21:06,360 ~-~-> 02:21:10,710 | ||
12283 | well. What you're looking for is clear | ||
12284 | |||
12285 | 3072 | ||
12286 | 02:21:10,740 ~-~-> 02:21:14,370 | ||
12287 | points of where price moves with | ||
12288 | |||
12289 | 3073 | ||
12290 | 02:21:14,370 ~-~-> 02:21:16,800 | ||
12291 | conviction. Okay where it's really | ||
12292 | |||
12293 | 3074 | ||
12294 | 02:21:16,800 ~-~-> 02:21:18,840 | ||
12295 | clearly trying to move away you have it | ||
12296 | |||
12297 | 3075 | ||
12298 | 02:21:18,840 ~-~-> 02:21:22,200 | ||
12299 | here okay and then you have a here is | ||
12300 | |||
12301 | 3076 | ||
12302 | 02:21:22,200 ~-~-> 02:21:25,410 | ||
12303 | again it's the 15 minute time frame and | ||
12304 | |||
12305 | 3077 | ||
12306 | 02:21:25,410 ~-~-> 02:21:27,270 | ||
12307 | then price makes its price swing and | ||
12308 | |||
12309 | 3078 | ||
12310 | 02:21:27,270 ~-~-> 02:21:31,260 | ||
12311 | trades lower. This candle on very low | ||
12312 | |||
12313 | 3079 | ||
12314 | 02:21:31,260 ~-~-> 02:21:35,820 | ||
12315 | here is 1515 GMT so that's like like 15 | ||
12316 | |||
12317 | 3080 | ||
12318 | 02:21:35,820 ~-~-> 02:21:42,030 | ||
12319 | minutes past the the kill zone that this | ||
12320 | |||
12321 | 3081 | ||
12322 | 02:21:42,090 ~-~-> 02:21:45,360 | ||
12323 | was established for this trading trading | ||
12324 | |||
12325 | 3082 | ||
12326 | 02:21:45,360 ~-~-> 02:21:48,690 | ||
12327 | series. This here is 15 GMT and this is | ||
12328 | |||
12329 | 3083 | ||
12330 | 02:21:48,690 ~-~-> 02:21:55,530 | ||
12331 | 1445 GMT so this is still capable trade | ||
12332 | |||
12333 | 3084 | ||
12334 | 02:21:55,530 ~-~-> 02:21:58,350 | ||
12335 | setup for the New York open session | ||
12336 | |||
12337 | 3085 | ||
12338 | 02:21:58,830 ~-~-> 02:22:00,690 | ||
12339 | light late for New York but still | ||
12340 | |||
12341 | 3086 | ||
12342 | 02:22:00,690 ~-~-> 02:22:02,220 | ||
12343 | nonetheless, it's something you could | ||
12344 | |||
12345 | 3087 | ||
12346 | 02:22:02,220 ~-~-> 02:22:03,030 | ||
12347 | take a trade on. | ||
12348 | |||
12349 | 3088 | ||
12350 | 02:22:09,630 ~-~-> 02:22:12,600 | ||
12351 | Let's go out one here. | ||
12352 | |||
12353 | 3089 | ||
12354 | 02:22:14,280 ~-~-> 02:22:14,940 | ||
12355 | We have | ||
12356 | |||
12357 | 3090 | ||
12358 | 02:22:19,140 ~-~-> 02:22:20,940 | ||
12359 | just in market structure alone here, | ||
12360 | |||
12361 | 3091 | ||
12362 | 02:22:20,940 ~-~-> 02:22:24,300 | ||
12363 | this is nice where you have a low, a | ||
12364 | |||
12365 | 3092 | ||
12366 | 02:22:24,300 ~-~-> 02:22:27,570 | ||
12367 | lower low to have them in here and a | ||
12368 | |||
12369 | 3093 | ||
12370 | 02:22:27,570 ~-~-> 02:22:29,190 | ||
12371 | higher low here. So we have an | ||
12372 | |||
12373 | 3094 | ||
12374 | 02:22:29,190 ~-~-> 02:22:31,230 | ||
12375 | intermediate term low just in market | ||
12376 | |||
12377 | 3095 | ||
12378 | 02:22:31,230 ~-~-> 02:22:34,230 | ||
12379 | structure alone. So that's that's | ||
12380 | |||
12381 | 3096 | ||
12382 | 02:22:34,260 ~-~-> 02:22:36,810 | ||
12383 | bullish by itself without anything else | ||
12384 | |||
12385 | 3097 | ||
12386 | 02:22:36,810 ~-~-> 02:22:38,430 | ||
12387 | added to it. That's That's very good. | ||
12388 | |||
12389 | 3098 | ||
12390 | 02:22:39,990 ~-~-> 02:22:42,480 | ||
12391 | And then we have price rally up away | ||
12392 | |||
12393 | 3099 | ||
12394 | 02:22:42,480 ~-~-> 02:22:46,080 | ||
12395 | here. This is our first bullish candle | ||
12396 | |||
12397 | 3100 | ||
12398 | 02:22:46,080 ~-~-> 02:22:47,220 | ||
12399 | prior to the move up. | ||
12400 | |||
12401 | 3101 | ||
12402 | 02:22:57,810 ~-~-> 02:23:00,540 | ||
12403 | Okay, you can see how arise up Your | ||
12404 | |||
12405 | 3102 | ||
12406 | 02:23:00,540 ~-~-> 02:23:06,390 | ||
12407 | range. What's your fib on that range | ||
12408 | |||
12409 | 3103 | ||
12410 | 02:23:08,400 ~-~-> 02:23:10,980 | ||
12411 | right in here. This candle Here comes in | ||
12412 | |||
12413 | 3104 | ||
12414 | 02:23:11,010 ~-~-> 02:23:14,670 | ||
12415 | at nine GMT. This candle here is 930 | ||
12416 | |||
12417 | 3105 | ||
12418 | 02:23:14,670 ~-~-> 02:23:18,810 | ||
12419 | GMT. That's London open. Okay, we also | ||
12420 | |||
12421 | 3106 | ||
12422 | 02:23:18,810 ~-~-> 02:23:19,320 | ||
12423 | have | ||
12424 | |||
12425 | 3107 | ||
12426 | 02:23:26,040 ~-~-> 02:23:28,890 | ||
12427 | this rally here and it comes right back | ||
12428 | |||
12429 | 3108 | ||
12430 | 02:23:28,890 ~-~-> 02:23:32,820 | ||
12431 | into here's the first bearish candle | ||
12432 | |||
12433 | 3109 | ||
12434 | 02:23:32,820 ~-~-> 02:23:34,710 | ||
12435 | prior to the move up. So this is where | ||
12436 | |||
12437 | 3110 | ||
12438 | 02:23:34,710 ~-~-> 02:23:37,320 | ||
12439 | the market structure would shift. Okay, | ||
12440 | |||
12441 | 3111 | ||
12442 | 02:23:37,410 ~-~-> 02:23:41,250 | ||
12443 | and without having to draw a line you | ||
12444 | |||
12445 | 3112 | ||
12446 | 02:23:41,250 ~-~-> 02:23:42,690 | ||
12447 | can see we've moved back into that range | ||
12448 | |||
12449 | 3113 | ||
12450 | 02:23:42,690 ~-~-> 02:23:44,940 | ||
12451 | right here. Here is the smaller | ||
12452 | |||
12453 | 3114 | ||
12454 | 02:23:47,100 ~-~-> 02:23:48,630 | ||
12455 | reference point, here's where you would | ||
12456 | |||
12457 | 3115 | ||
12458 | 02:23:48,630 ~-~-> 02:23:52,230 | ||
12459 | be buying. And again 10 PIP risk below | ||
12460 | |||
12461 | 3116 | ||
12462 | 02:23:52,230 ~-~-> 02:23:54,630 | ||
12463 | here. Let's give you an idea what that | ||
12464 | |||
12465 | 3117 | ||
12466 | 02:23:54,630 ~-~-> 02:23:57,660 | ||
12467 | will look like in terms of and we're | ||
12468 | |||
12469 | 3118 | ||
12470 | 02:23:57,660 ~-~-> 02:24:03,690 | ||
12471 | going to say we bought at the 70.5 level | ||
12472 | |||
12473 | 3119 | ||
12474 | 02:24:04,020 ~-~-> 02:24:09,450 | ||
12475 | 130 107 here's the low and if we go down | ||
12476 | |||
12477 | 3120 | ||
12478 | 02:24:10,110 ~-~-> 02:24:13,260 | ||
12479 | 10 pips below that, your stop would be | ||
12480 | |||
12481 | 3121 | ||
12482 | 02:24:13,260 ~-~-> 02:24:18,240 | ||
12483 | at 130 at six. Okay, so approximately a | ||
12484 | |||
12485 | 3122 | ||
12486 | 02:24:18,240 ~-~-> 02:24:22,440 | ||
12487 | 30 PIP stop well within the range of | ||
12488 | |||
12489 | 3123 | ||
12490 | 02:24:23,130 ~-~-> 02:24:26,550 | ||
12491 | profitable trading back to an old high, | ||
12492 | |||
12493 | 3124 | ||
12494 | 02:24:26,940 ~-~-> 02:24:28,620 | ||
12495 | you could take profits here take profits | ||
12496 | |||
12497 | 3125 | ||
12498 | 02:24:28,620 ~-~-> 02:24:30,780 | ||
12499 | here or just look forward to continue | ||
12500 | |||
12501 | 3126 | ||
12502 | 02:24:30,780 ~-~-> 02:24:37,140 | ||
12503 | moving on on a higher basis. Okay, see | ||
12504 | |||
12505 | 3127 | ||
12506 | 02:24:37,140 ~-~-> 02:24:40,920 | ||
12507 | price moving up here. Now just let's | ||
12508 | |||
12509 | 3128 | ||
12510 | 02:24:40,950 ~-~-> 02:24:46,020 | ||
12511 | zoom in here and I want you to see using | ||
12512 | |||
12513 | 3129 | ||
12514 | 02:24:46,020 ~-~-> 02:24:49,470 | ||
12515 | the ideas that we just covered. Okay | ||
12516 | |||
12517 | 3130 | ||
12518 | 02:24:49,470 ~-~-> 02:24:51,210 | ||
12519 | look at every time when the market moves | ||
12520 | |||
12521 | 3131 | ||
12522 | 02:24:51,300 ~-~-> 02:24:55,680 | ||
12523 | up, breaks a swing high. Okay, then | ||
12524 | |||
12525 | 3132 | ||
12526 | 02:24:55,680 ~-~-> 02:24:57,120 | ||
12527 | comes back down and comes right back | ||
12528 | |||
12529 | 3133 | ||
12530 | 02:24:57,120 ~-~-> 02:24:59,820 | ||
12531 | into that previous point of origin | ||
12532 | |||
12533 | 3134 | ||
12534 | 02:24:59,820 ~-~-> 02:25:01,560 | ||
12535 | already. This is where the move starts | ||
12536 | |||
12537 | 3135 | ||
12538 | 02:25:01,920 ~-~-> 02:25:03,780 | ||
12539 | and trades right back into it. This is | ||
12540 | |||
12541 | 3136 | ||
12542 | 02:25:03,780 ~-~-> 02:25:06,510 | ||
12543 | what you pull your fib on. Okay. I get a | ||
12544 | |||
12545 | 3137 | ||
12546 | 02:25:06,510 ~-~-> 02:25:08,730 | ||
12547 | lot of questions, you know, where, what | ||
12548 | |||
12549 | 3138 | ||
12550 | 02:25:08,730 ~-~-> 02:25:10,560 | ||
12551 | am I looking for? Why do I put my fib? | ||
12552 | |||
12553 | 3139 | ||
12554 | 02:25:10,560 ~-~-> 02:25:12,780 | ||
12555 | Where, why would I use those those | ||
12556 | |||
12557 | 3140 | ||
12558 | 02:25:12,780 ~-~-> 02:25:14,130 | ||
12559 | reference points like you do in your | ||
12560 | |||
12561 | 3141 | ||
12562 | 02:25:14,130 ~-~-> 02:25:15,810 | ||
12563 | videos, or if you go back over all of | ||
12564 | |||
12565 | 3142 | ||
12566 | 02:25:15,810 ~-~-> 02:25:17,100 | ||
12567 | the videos, you'll see me doing it. | ||
12568 | |||
12569 | 3143 | ||
12570 | 02:25:17,100 ~-~-> 02:25:18,450 | ||
12571 | You'll see me doing this very thing. | ||
12572 | |||
12573 | 3144 | ||
12574 | 02:25:19,920 ~-~-> 02:25:23,670 | ||
12575 | Okay, and here we go. We have price | ||
12576 | |||
12577 | 3145 | ||
12578 | 02:25:23,700 ~-~-> 02:25:27,270 | ||
12579 | moving up here. Okay, this is a Monday's | ||
12580 | |||
12581 | 3146 | ||
12582 | 02:25:27,270 ~-~-> 02:25:30,630 | ||
12583 | trading. We have the first bearish | ||
12584 | |||
12585 | 3147 | ||
12586 | 02:25:30,630 ~-~-> 02:25:35,190 | ||
12587 | candle prior to the move going up. Okay, | ||
12588 | |||
12589 | 3148 | ||
12590 | 02:25:35,460 ~-~-> 02:25:41,850 | ||
12591 | take your range. Jolyon over here. Can | ||
12592 | |||
12593 | 3149 | ||
12594 | 02:25:41,850 ~-~-> 02:25:44,670 | ||
12595 | you see that here this this candle forms | ||
12596 | |||
12597 | 3150 | ||
12598 | 02:25:44,700 ~-~-> 02:25:49,890 | ||
12599 | at 630 GMT, at 630 GMT. That's about a | ||
12600 | |||
12601 | 3151 | ||
12602 | 02:25:49,890 ~-~-> 02:25:55,680 | ||
12603 | half hour before the very, very | ||
12604 | |||
12605 | 3152 | ||
12606 | 02:25:55,680 ~-~-> 02:25:58,890 | ||
12607 | beginning of what I like to see in terms | ||
12608 | |||
12609 | 3153 | ||
12610 | 02:25:58,890 ~-~-> 02:26:06,960 | ||
12611 | of the The meat of London starting, you | ||
12612 | |||
12613 | 3154 | ||
12614 | 02:26:06,960 ~-~-> 02:26:08,100 | ||
12615 | can see how it comes right down to that | ||
12616 | |||
12617 | 3155 | ||
12618 | 02:26:08,100 ~-~-> 02:26:12,960 | ||
12619 | sweet spot in here. Okay, and also note, | ||
12620 | |||
12621 | 3156 | ||
12622 | 02:26:13,590 ~-~-> 02:26:15,270 | ||
12623 | sharp, I probably should have said this, | ||
12624 | |||
12625 | 3157 | ||
12626 | 02:26:15,270 ~-~-> 02:26:17,910 | ||
12627 | I'm jumping ahead of myself. When you're | ||
12628 | |||
12629 | 3158 | ||
12630 | 02:26:17,910 ~-~-> 02:26:19,800 | ||
12631 | looking to be a buyer, you want to be | ||
12632 | |||
12633 | 3159 | ||
12634 | 02:26:19,800 ~-~-> 02:26:21,240 | ||
12635 | doing what we mentioned earlier in a | ||
12636 | |||
12637 | 3160 | ||
12638 | 02:26:21,240 ~-~-> 02:26:23,670 | ||
12639 | previous video using the Asian range | ||
12640 | |||
12641 | 3161 | ||
12642 | 02:26:23,670 ~-~-> 02:26:25,050 | ||
12643 | high as your filter. So now what you | ||
12644 | |||
12645 | 3162 | ||
12646 | 02:26:25,050 ~-~-> 02:26:27,750 | ||
12647 | want to be buying, definitely anything | ||
12648 | |||
12649 | 3163 | ||
12650 | 02:26:27,750 ~-~-> 02:26:32,100 | ||
12651 | below this level, okay? It's an ideal | ||
12652 | |||
12653 | 3164 | ||
12654 | 02:26:32,160 ~-~-> 02:26:35,250 | ||
12655 | position, entry point. Again, here we | ||
12656 | |||
12657 | 3165 | ||
12658 | 02:26:35,250 ~-~-> 02:26:37,170 | ||
12659 | have the Asian range high, this is below | ||
12660 | |||
12661 | 3166 | ||
12662 | 02:26:37,170 ~-~-> 02:26:38,610 | ||
12663 | the Asian range low so that's even | ||
12664 | |||
12665 | 3167 | ||
12666 | 02:26:38,670 ~-~-> 02:26:46,710 | ||
12667 | better. Okay. And here is the New York | ||
12668 | |||
12669 | 3168 | ||
12670 | 02:26:46,710 ~-~-> 02:26:52,020 | ||
12671 | session by and again, here's the bearish | ||
12672 | |||
12673 | 3169 | ||
12674 | 02:26:52,020 ~-~-> 02:26:56,010 | ||
12675 | candle prior to the move up, okay, and | ||
12676 | |||
12677 | 3170 | ||
12678 | 02:26:56,010 ~-~-> 02:26:57,120 | ||
12679 | if you look over here, you can see we | ||
12680 | |||
12681 | 3171 | ||
12682 | 02:26:57,120 ~-~-> 02:26:58,680 | ||
12683 | move right back into that point of | ||
12684 | |||
12685 | 3172 | ||
12686 | 02:26:58,680 ~-~-> 02:27:00,540 | ||
12687 | origin Okay, so they move right back | ||
12688 | |||
12689 | 3173 | ||
12690 | 02:27:00,540 ~-~-> 02:27:04,470 | ||
12691 | into that, that dealing range and order | ||
12692 | |||
12693 | 3174 | ||
12694 | 02:27:04,470 ~-~-> 02:27:10,530 | ||
12695 | block. If you use too low in here, up to | ||
12696 | |||
12697 | 3175 | ||
12698 | 02:27:10,530 ~-~-> 02:27:11,850 | ||
12699 | here you can see how we went right down | ||
12700 | |||
12701 | 3176 | ||
12702 | 02:27:11,850 ~-~-> 02:27:14,910 | ||
12703 | to say nice I'm tracing level and rather | ||
12704 | |||
12705 | 3177 | ||
12706 | 02:27:14,910 ~-~-> 02:27:17,940 | ||
12707 | handsomely even if you used the low | ||
12708 | |||
12709 | 3178 | ||
12710 | 02:27:17,940 ~-~-> 02:27:20,520 | ||
12711 | formed in London, you're still getting | ||
12712 | |||
12713 | 3179 | ||
12714 | 02:27:20,580 ~-~-> 02:27:22,260 | ||
12715 | almost a sweet spot here but certainly | ||
12716 | |||
12717 | 3180 | ||
12718 | 02:27:22,260 ~-~-> 02:27:25,050 | ||
12719 | this 62% retracement level and getting | ||
12720 | |||
12721 | 3181 | ||
12722 | 02:27:25,050 ~-~-> 02:27:26,730 | ||
12723 | in sync with the daily trend you can see | ||
12724 | |||
12725 | 3182 | ||
12726 | 02:27:26,730 ~-~-> 02:27:29,550 | ||
12727 | how that's rather handsome in terms of a | ||
12728 | |||
12729 | 3183 | ||
12730 | 02:27:29,550 ~-~-> 02:27:34,710 | ||
12731 | trade opportunity. Okay, and again, we | ||
12732 | |||
12733 | 3184 | ||
12734 | 02:27:34,710 ~-~-> 02:27:37,980 | ||
12735 | have this point here at where we have a | ||
12736 | |||
12737 | 3185 | ||
12738 | 02:27:38,730 ~-~-> 02:27:42,450 | ||
12739 | new york session low. Remember we're | ||
12740 | |||
12741 | 3186 | ||
12742 | 02:27:42,450 ~-~-> 02:27:45,000 | ||
12743 | looking at session highs and lows, not | ||
12744 | |||
12745 | 3187 | ||
12746 | 02:27:45,000 ~-~-> 02:27:47,430 | ||
12747 | just previous day's highs and lows. And | ||
12748 | |||
12749 | 3188 | ||
12750 | 02:27:48,150 ~-~-> 02:27:50,700 | ||
12751 | here is your bearish candle prior to the | ||
12752 | |||
12753 | 3189 | ||
12754 | 02:27:50,700 ~-~-> 02:27:51,990 | ||
12755 | rally up so you're gonna see market | ||
12756 | |||
12757 | 3190 | ||
12758 | 02:27:51,990 ~-~-> 02:27:55,770 | ||
12759 | structure, shift on this candle draw | ||
12760 | |||
12761 | 3191 | ||
12762 | 02:27:55,770 ~-~-> 02:27:56,760 | ||
12763 | that out in time | ||
12764 | |||
12765 | 3192 | ||
12766 | 02:28:00,179 ~-~-> 02:28:02,249 | ||
12767 | Okay, cuz this is the point of origin | ||
12768 | |||
12769 | 3193 | ||
12770 | 02:28:02,609 ~-~-> 02:28:04,289 | ||
12771 | where this rally took place. So the | ||
12772 | |||
12773 | 3194 | ||
12774 | 02:28:04,289 ~-~-> 02:28:07,889 | ||
12775 | range that was created here, originally | ||
12776 | |||
12777 | 3195 | ||
12778 | 02:28:07,889 ~-~-> 02:28:09,479 | ||
12779 | right here on this bearish candle. So | ||
12780 | |||
12781 | 3196 | ||
12782 | 02:28:09,479 ~-~-> 02:28:10,889 | ||
12783 | when the market structure broke here, | ||
12784 | |||
12785 | 3197 | ||
12786 | 02:28:11,519 ~-~-> 02:28:13,409 | ||
12787 | this is where the order block resides, | ||
12788 | |||
12789 | 3198 | ||
12790 | 02:28:13,679 ~-~-> 02:28:15,599 | ||
12791 | okay within this candle. This is where | ||
12792 | |||
12793 | 3199 | ||
12794 | 02:28:15,599 ~-~-> 02:28:18,209 | ||
12795 | the, the institutional order block | ||
12796 | |||
12797 | 3200 | ||
12798 | 02:28:18,209 ~-~-> 02:28:21,419 | ||
12799 | resides. Okay, someone market meanders | ||
12800 | |||
12801 | 3201 | ||
12802 | 02:28:21,419 ~-~-> 02:28:23,249 | ||
12803 | and trades lower it was a good back into | ||
12804 | |||
12805 | 3202 | ||
12806 | 02:28:23,249 ~-~-> 02:28:26,099 | ||
12807 | that same order block. And then you do | ||
12808 | |||
12809 | 3203 | ||
12810 | 02:28:26,309 ~-~-> 02:28:28,019 | ||
12811 | acquire more the original position they | ||
12812 | |||
12813 | 3204 | ||
12814 | 02:28:28,019 ~-~-> 02:28:29,579 | ||
12815 | were trying to acquire here that they | ||
12816 | |||
12817 | 3205 | ||
12818 | 02:28:29,579 ~-~-> 02:28:30,779 | ||
12819 | couldn't get on because the market | ||
12820 | |||
12821 | 3206 | ||
12822 | 02:28:30,779 ~-~-> 02:28:33,119 | ||
12823 | started to take off. And if you take | ||
12824 | |||
12825 | 3207 | ||
12826 | 02:28:33,119 ~-~-> 02:28:36,239 | ||
12827 | that and you add that to your fibs. | ||
12828 | |||
12829 | 3208 | ||
12830 | 02:28:37,979 ~-~-> 02:28:39,329 | ||
12831 | Okay, you can see how here's the | ||
12832 | |||
12833 | 3209 | ||
12834 | 02:28:39,329 ~-~-> 02:28:41,489 | ||
12835 | sunlight saturation level deviated just | ||
12836 | |||
12837 | 3210 | ||
12838 | 02:28:41,489 ~-~-> 02:28:42,809 | ||
12839 | a little bit and we're going to give you | ||
12840 | |||
12841 | 3211 | ||
12842 | 02:28:42,809 ~-~-> 02:28:46,439 | ||
12843 | actually how much it moved below it. To | ||
12844 | |||
12845 | 3212 | ||
12846 | 02:28:46,439 ~-~-> 02:28:48,119 | ||
12847 | give you an idea how much we're talking | ||
12848 | |||
12849 | 3213 | ||
12850 | 02:28:48,119 ~-~-> 02:28:49,799 | ||
12851 | about six pips I think that's livable | ||
12852 | |||
12853 | 3214 | ||
12854 | 02:28:49,799 ~-~-> 02:28:51,839 | ||
12855 | guys. You guys can certainly tolerate | ||
12856 | |||
12857 | 3215 | ||
12858 | 02:28:51,839 ~-~-> 02:28:57,029 | ||
12859 | that. If you were to use the lower low | ||
12860 | |||
12861 | 3216 | ||
12862 | 02:28:57,089 ~-~-> 02:28:59,759 | ||
12863 | here, you still end up with the sweet | ||
12864 | |||
12865 | 3217 | ||
12866 | 02:28:59,759 ~-~-> 02:29:01,829 | ||
12867 | spot Okay, so you can see how using | ||
12868 | |||
12869 | 3218 | ||
12870 | 02:29:01,829 ~-~-> 02:29:04,529 | ||
12871 | session lows and highs, you know, with a | ||
12872 | |||
12873 | 3219 | ||
12874 | 02:29:04,559 ~-~-> 02:29:07,379 | ||
12875 | directional bias defined as we just | ||
12876 | |||
12877 | 3220 | ||
12878 | 02:29:07,829 ~-~-> 02:29:10,439 | ||
12879 | covered in this video, it really helps | ||
12880 | |||
12881 | 3221 | ||
12882 | 02:29:10,439 ~-~-> 02:29:11,909 | ||
12883 | you figure it out opportunities and | ||
12884 | |||
12885 | 3222 | ||
12886 | 02:29:11,909 ~-~-> 02:29:13,769 | ||
12887 | certainly being a buyer down here below | ||
12888 | |||
12889 | 3223 | ||
12890 | 02:29:13,769 ~-~-> 02:29:15,959 | ||
12891 | the Asian range high. Okay, think of the | ||
12892 | |||
12893 | 3224 | ||
12894 | 02:29:15,959 ~-~-> 02:29:17,279 | ||
12895 | daily range. Remember we were talking | ||
12896 | |||
12897 | 3225 | ||
12898 | 02:29:17,279 ~-~-> 02:29:21,089 | ||
12899 | about the likelihood of big range days | ||
12900 | |||
12901 | 3226 | ||
12902 | 02:29:21,359 ~-~-> 02:29:23,219 | ||
12903 | if we have the opening price in here, | ||
12904 | |||
12905 | 3227 | ||
12906 | 02:29:23,339 ~-~-> 02:29:25,499 | ||
12907 | okay, it doesn't really work both sides | ||
12908 | |||
12909 | 3228 | ||
12910 | 02:29:25,499 ~-~-> 02:29:27,029 | ||
12911 | of the opening price very much and | ||
12912 | |||
12913 | 3229 | ||
12914 | 02:29:27,029 ~-~-> 02:29:28,859 | ||
12915 | certainly doesn't work the lower end | ||
12916 | |||
12917 | 3230 | ||
12918 | 02:29:29,159 ~-~-> 02:29:31,229 | ||
12919 | making the low very much and onwards. | ||
12920 | |||
12921 | 3231 | ||
12922 | 02:29:31,529 ~-~-> 02:29:33,569 | ||
12923 | What am I mean by that? There's not much | ||
12924 | |||
12925 | 3232 | ||
12926 | 02:29:33,569 ~-~-> 02:29:36,899 | ||
12927 | range on daily bar from the opening to | ||
12928 | |||
12929 | 3233 | ||
12930 | 02:29:36,899 ~-~-> 02:29:39,509 | ||
12931 | the low. Okay, and let's see what that | ||
12932 | |||
12933 | 3234 | ||
12934 | 02:29:39,509 ~-~-> 02:29:42,389 | ||
12935 | does here. Okay, we're just gonna | ||
12936 | |||
12937 | 3235 | ||
12938 | 02:29:42,749 ~-~-> 02:29:46,559 | ||
12939 | eyeball it. And we're talking about 27 | ||
12940 | |||
12941 | 3236 | ||
12942 | 02:29:46,559 ~-~-> 02:29:50,969 | ||
12943 | pips. Okay. 27 pips. So it worked lower | ||
12944 | |||
12945 | 3237 | ||
12946 | 02:29:50,969 ~-~-> 02:29:56,819 | ||
12947 | 27 but moved off the lows for the day to | ||
12948 | |||
12949 | 3238 | ||
12950 | 02:29:56,819 ~-~-> 02:30:01,169 | ||
12951 | the tune of 76 pips So it's basically | ||
12952 | |||
12953 | 3239 | ||
12954 | 02:30:01,169 ~-~-> 02:30:02,819 | ||
12955 | three to one almost. Okay? | ||
12956 | |||
12957 | 3240 | ||
12958 | 02:30:09,809 ~-~-> 02:30:14,129 | ||
12959 | The the reoccurring principle is simply | ||
12960 | |||
12961 | 3241 | ||
12962 | 02:30:14,129 ~-~-> 02:30:17,249 | ||
12963 | looking for retracements in an uptrend | ||
12964 | |||
12965 | 3242 | ||
12966 | 02:30:17,279 ~-~-> 02:30:18,569 | ||
12967 | Okay, so you're buying dips in an | ||
12968 | |||
12969 | 3243 | ||
12970 | 02:30:18,569 ~-~-> 02:30:23,249 | ||
12971 | uptrend. And if you look at here we go | ||
12972 | |||
12973 | 3244 | ||
12974 | 02:30:23,249 ~-~-> 02:30:23,669 | ||
12975 | here. | ||
12976 | |||
12977 | 3245 | ||
12978 | 02:30:26,400 ~-~-> 02:30:27,480 | ||
12979 | Here's one where | ||
12980 | |||
12981 | 3246 | ||
12982 | 02:30:28,830 ~-~-> 02:30:31,410 | ||
12983 | it was not able to get down into that | ||
12984 | |||
12985 | 3247 | ||
12986 | 02:30:31,680 ~-~-> 02:30:40,290 | ||
12987 | price point in here. But using just the | ||
12988 | |||
12989 | 3248 | ||
12990 | 02:30:40,320 ~-~-> 02:30:42,060 | ||
12991 | optimal trade entry, you can see how | ||
12992 | |||
12993 | 3249 | ||
12994 | 02:30:42,060 ~-~-> 02:30:46,140 | ||
12995 | we've got a sweet spot here. And I'm | ||
12996 | |||
12997 | 3250 | ||
12998 | 02:30:46,140 ~-~-> 02:30:48,930 | ||
12999 | sure if you pulled the pivots up, which | ||
13000 | |||
13001 | 3251 | ||
13002 | 02:30:48,930 ~-~-> 02:30:50,940 | ||
13003 | we're not going to do here, because I'm | ||
13004 | |||
13005 | 3252 | ||
13006 | 02:30:50,940 ~-~-> 02:30:54,480 | ||
13007 | trying to keep this video around three | ||
13008 | |||
13009 | 3253 | ||
13010 | 02:30:54,480 ~-~-> 02:30:56,790 | ||
13011 | hours at maximum, which is a lot by | ||
13012 | |||
13013 | 3254 | ||
13014 | 02:30:56,790 ~-~-> 02:30:59,970 | ||
13015 | itself, but nonetheless, it's certainly | ||
13016 | |||
13017 | 3255 | ||
13018 | 02:31:00,000 ~-~-> 02:31:05,850 | ||
13019 | Yeah certainly a long video and here's | ||
13020 | |||
13021 | 3256 | ||
13022 | 02:31:05,910 ~-~-> 02:31:07,650 | ||
13023 | you know, you see opportunity in here | ||
13024 | |||
13025 | 3257 | ||
13026 | 02:31:07,650 ~-~-> 02:31:10,740 | ||
13027 | where you could have even intraday you | ||
13028 | |||
13029 | 3258 | ||
13030 | 02:31:10,740 ~-~-> 02:31:12,990 | ||
13031 | know price when this rally up like this | ||
13032 | |||
13033 | 3259 | ||
13034 | 02:31:13,020 ~-~-> 02:31:16,890 | ||
13035 | your first bearish candle went right | ||
13036 | |||
13037 | 3260 | ||
13038 | 02:31:16,890 ~-~-> 02:31:18,750 | ||
13039 | down if it were a block right here and | ||
13040 | |||
13041 | 3261 | ||
13042 | 02:31:18,750 ~-~-> 02:31:22,560 | ||
13043 | then gave you a tradable rally okay and | ||
13044 | |||
13045 | 3262 | ||
13046 | 02:31:22,590 ~-~-> 02:31:25,920 | ||
13047 | let's look at that range. It's 44 pips | ||
13048 | |||
13049 | 3263 | ||
13050 | 02:31:25,950 ~-~-> 02:31:27,030 | ||
13051 | so that's certainly something you can | ||
13052 | |||
13053 | 3264 | ||
13054 | 02:31:27,030 ~-~-> 02:31:32,760 | ||
13055 | get 20 pips 2530 pips out of. Okay, and | ||
13056 | |||
13057 | 3265 | ||
13058 | 02:31:32,760 ~-~-> 02:31:34,590 | ||
13059 | let's drop out one more. | ||
13060 | |||
13061 | 3266 | ||
13062 | 02:31:40,890 ~-~-> 02:31:43,980 | ||
13063 | Here's a nice double bottom where it | ||
13064 | |||
13065 | 3267 | ||
13066 | 02:31:43,980 ~-~-> 02:31:45,450 | ||
13067 | comes right back down to this original | ||
13068 | |||
13069 | 3268 | ||
13070 | 02:31:45,450 ~-~-> 02:31:47,790 | ||
13071 | order block prior to it rallying up. | ||
13072 | |||
13073 | 3269 | ||
13074 | 02:32:03,179 ~-~-> 02:32:08,159 | ||
13075 | market moves into consolidation here and | ||
13076 | |||
13077 | 3270 | ||
13078 | 02:32:10,229 ~-~-> 02:32:11,939 | ||
13079 | really don't have anything that's really | ||
13080 | |||
13081 | 3271 | ||
13082 | 02:32:11,939 ~-~-> 02:32:18,389 | ||
13083 | discernible. So you may be sitting on | ||
13084 | |||
13085 | 3272 | ||
13086 | 02:32:18,389 ~-~-> 02:32:25,109 | ||
13087 | your hands in here. Here's one that was | ||
13088 | |||
13089 | 3273 | ||
13090 | 02:32:27,269 ~-~-> 02:32:29,339 | ||
13091 | this was all right, you got this candle | ||
13092 | |||
13093 | 3274 | ||
13094 | 02:32:29,339 ~-~-> 02:32:31,619 | ||
13095 | here, draw it out in time it moves right | ||
13096 | |||
13097 | 3275 | ||
13098 | 02:32:31,619 ~-~-> 02:32:34,259 | ||
13099 | back into that same order block day | ||
13100 | |||
13101 | 3276 | ||
13102 | 02:32:34,259 ~-~-> 02:32:39,059 | ||
13103 | moves higher. Again, all we're doing is | ||
13104 | |||
13105 | 3277 | ||
13106 | 02:32:39,059 ~-~-> 02:32:41,999 | ||
13107 | focusing on the buying not anything else | ||
13108 | |||
13109 | 3278 | ||
13110 | 02:32:42,029 ~-~-> 02:32:43,049 | ||
13111 | just simply looking for buying | ||
13112 | |||
13113 | 3279 | ||
13114 | 02:32:43,049 ~-~-> 02:32:47,939 | ||
13115 | opportunities. Okay, we have prior to | ||
13116 | |||
13117 | 3280 | ||
13118 | 02:32:47,939 ~-~-> 02:32:50,219 | ||
13119 | the move up, we have this bearish candle | ||
13120 | |||
13121 | 3281 | ||
13122 | 02:32:50,219 ~-~-> 02:32:52,169 | ||
13123 | here. draw that out in time. | ||
13124 | |||
13125 | 3282 | ||
13126 | 02:32:57,210 ~-~-> 02:32:58,170 | ||
13127 | Okay, and | ||
13128 | |||
13129 | 3283 | ||
13130 | 02:33:00,000 ~-~-> 02:33:04,290 | ||
13131 | Pour fib on the range. Here's a sentence | ||
13132 | |||
13133 | 3284 | ||
13134 | 02:33:04,290 ~-~-> 02:33:06,360 | ||
13135 | at chase on level one here dva just a | ||
13136 | |||
13137 | 3285 | ||
13138 | 02:33:06,360 ~-~-> 02:33:13,050 | ||
13139 | little bit below it. And this is where | ||
13140 | |||
13141 | 3286 | ||
13142 | 02:33:13,050 ~-~-> 02:33:16,200 | ||
13143 | you would have encountered a trade that | ||
13144 | |||
13145 | 3287 | ||
13146 | 02:33:16,200 ~-~-> 02:33:18,690 | ||
13147 | would have been a losing trade. Okay, | ||
13148 | |||
13149 | 3288 | ||
13150 | 02:33:18,690 ~-~-> 02:33:20,250 | ||
13151 | and it's fair for me to show you this | ||
13152 | |||
13153 | 3289 | ||
13154 | 02:33:20,250 ~-~-> 02:33:21,630 | ||
13155 | because I don't want to just go through | ||
13156 | |||
13157 | 3290 | ||
13158 | 02:33:21,930 ~-~-> 02:33:24,030 | ||
13159 | and appear to be just cherry picking, | ||
13160 | |||
13161 | 3291 | ||
13162 | 02:33:24,270 ~-~-> 02:33:26,100 | ||
13163 | looking at opportunities where it worked | ||
13164 | |||
13165 | 3292 | ||
13166 | 02:33:26,100 ~-~-> 02:33:27,750 | ||
13167 | out favorably every single time. But I | ||
13168 | |||
13169 | 3293 | ||
13170 | 02:33:27,750 ~-~-> 02:33:29,220 | ||
13171 | don't want to log into thinking this is | ||
13172 | |||
13173 | 3294 | ||
13174 | 02:33:29,220 ~-~-> 02:33:30,510 | ||
13175 | going to be perfect and it's not going | ||
13176 | |||
13177 | 3295 | ||
13178 | 02:33:30,510 ~-~-> 02:33:32,730 | ||
13179 | to give you any losses certainly would | ||
13180 | |||
13181 | 3296 | ||
13182 | 02:33:32,730 ~-~-> 02:33:33,570 | ||
13183 | have happened here. | ||
13184 | |||
13185 | 3297 | ||
13186 | 02:33:42,330 ~-~-> 02:33:45,420 | ||
13187 | Here's one where it moves deeper below | ||
13188 | |||
13189 | 3298 | ||
13190 | 02:33:45,420 ~-~-> 02:33:47,430 | ||
13191 | and runs the stops on the Asian range | ||
13192 | |||
13193 | 3299 | ||
13194 | 02:33:47,430 ~-~-> 02:33:49,260 | ||
13195 | low before running higher. | ||
13196 | |||
13197 | 3300 | ||
13198 | 02:33:55,260 ~-~-> 02:33:57,420 | ||
13199 | We have the same scenario here where the | ||
13200 | |||
13201 | 3301 | ||
13202 | 02:33:57,420 ~-~-> 02:34:02,490 | ||
13203 | previous day's low Which on this in this | ||
13204 | |||
13205 | 3302 | ||
13206 | 02:34:02,490 ~-~-> 02:34:05,820 | ||
13207 | case is 14 GMT which is a session low | ||
13208 | |||
13209 | 3303 | ||
13210 | 02:34:06,540 ~-~-> 02:34:12,210 | ||
13211 | New York session. Here's your low to | ||
13212 | |||
13213 | 3304 | ||
13214 | 02:34:12,210 ~-~-> 02:34:14,970 | ||
13215 | high the range price drops down into the | ||
13216 | |||
13217 | 3305 | ||
13218 | 02:34:14,970 ~-~-> 02:34:17,940 | ||
13219 | 60 to almost the sweet spot returning | ||
13220 | |||
13221 | 3306 | ||
13222 | 02:34:17,940 ~-~-> 02:34:21,690 | ||
13223 | back to this dealing range and | ||
13224 | |||
13225 | 3307 | ||
13226 | 02:34:21,720 ~-~-> 02:34:23,580 | ||
13227 | institutional level point of origin | ||
13228 | |||
13229 | 3308 | ||
13230 | 02:34:23,580 ~-~-> 02:34:28,080 | ||
13231 | where everything when price dropped | ||
13232 | |||
13233 | 3309 | ||
13234 | 02:34:28,080 ~-~-> 02:34:29,550 | ||
13235 | lower, it allowed them to accumulate | ||
13236 | |||
13237 | 3310 | ||
13238 | 02:34:29,550 ~-~-> 02:34:31,260 | ||
13239 | more of their long positions. And then | ||
13240 | |||
13241 | 3311 | ||
13242 | 02:34:31,260 ~-~-> 02:34:34,320 | ||
13243 | you saw the price move on up and profit | ||
13244 | |||
13245 | 3312 | ||
13246 | 02:34:34,320 ~-~-> 02:34:37,590 | ||
13247 | release portion of the trade unfolded. | ||
13248 | |||
13249 | 3313 | ||
13250 | 02:34:40,710 ~-~-> 02:34:43,080 | ||
13251 | Little opportunity here where price | ||
13252 | |||
13253 | 3314 | ||
13254 | 02:34:43,080 ~-~-> 02:34:45,630 | ||
13255 | moves up, first bearish candle in here | ||
13256 | |||
13257 | 3315 | ||
13258 | 02:34:45,630 ~-~-> 02:34:48,900 | ||
13259 | draw it out in time. This is a return to | ||
13260 | |||
13261 | 3316 | ||
13262 | 02:34:48,900 ~-~-> 02:34:51,000 | ||
13263 | the point of origin back into the order | ||
13264 | |||
13265 | 3317 | ||
13266 | 02:34:51,000 ~-~-> 02:34:54,420 | ||
13267 | block here and price rallies up. And | ||
13268 | |||
13269 | 3318 | ||
13270 | 02:34:54,420 ~-~-> 02:34:57,450 | ||
13271 | this candle Here comes in at 1600 GMT. | ||
13272 | |||
13273 | 3319 | ||
13274 | 02:35:00,000 ~-~-> 02:35:03,030 | ||
13275 | Nice little opportunity to be able to | ||
13276 | |||
13277 | 3320 | ||
13278 | 02:35:03,030 ~-~-> 02:35:06,630 | ||
13279 | catch a scalp intraday. And I'm only | ||
13280 | |||
13281 | 3321 | ||
13282 | 02:35:06,900 ~-~-> 02:35:11,310 | ||
13283 | tossing this in about 40 pips or so in | ||
13284 | |||
13285 | 3322 | ||
13286 | 02:35:11,310 ~-~-> 02:35:18,750 | ||
13287 | terms of range. I'm adding these these | ||
13288 | |||
13289 | 3323 | ||
13290 | 02:35:19,950 ~-~-> 02:35:23,400 | ||
13291 | intraday setups to show you how you can | ||
13292 | |||
13293 | 3324 | ||
13294 | 02:35:23,400 ~-~-> 02:35:25,920 | ||
13295 | use it to be a trader on an intraday | ||
13296 | |||
13297 | 3325 | ||
13298 | 02:35:25,920 ~-~-> 02:35:28,950 | ||
13299 | basis or a scalper. But really, what you | ||
13300 | |||
13301 | 3326 | ||
13302 | 02:35:28,950 ~-~-> 02:35:32,340 | ||
13303 | want to be focusing on is the ideal days | ||
13304 | |||
13305 | 3327 | ||
13306 | 02:35:32,340 ~-~-> 02:35:35,670 | ||
13307 | of the week which are Monday. I'm sorry, | ||
13308 | |||
13309 | 3328 | ||
13310 | 02:35:35,670 ~-~-> 02:35:37,260 | ||
13311 | yeah, Monday, Tuesday and Wednesday, | ||
13312 | |||
13313 | 3329 | ||
13314 | 02:35:37,650 ~-~-> 02:35:39,870 | ||
13315 | being the higher low of the week. And | ||
13316 | |||
13317 | 3330 | ||
13318 | 02:35:39,870 ~-~-> 02:35:42,090 | ||
13319 | again, because we're looking at this | ||
13320 | |||
13321 | 3331 | ||
13322 | 02:35:43,890 ~-~-> 02:35:46,860 | ||
13323 | area price action. We're going to look | ||
13324 | |||
13325 | 3332 | ||
13326 | 02:35:46,860 ~-~-> 02:35:50,070 | ||
13327 | for again, just the significant lows, | ||
13328 | |||
13329 | 3333 | ||
13330 | 02:35:50,490 ~-~-> 02:35:52,650 | ||
13331 | the farm for the week one, let's go back | ||
13332 | |||
13333 | 3334 | ||
13334 | 02:35:52,650 ~-~-> 02:35:54,540 | ||
13335 | and look at the beginning portion of | ||
13336 | |||
13337 | 3335 | ||
13338 | 02:35:54,540 ~-~-> 02:35:58,200 | ||
13339 | that. And just for clarity, because I | ||
13340 | |||
13341 | 3336 | ||
13342 | 02:35:58,200 ~-~-> 02:36:03,420 | ||
13343 | want to be make sure that is easy to | ||
13344 | |||
13345 | 3337 | ||
13346 | 02:36:03,420 ~-~-> 02:36:11,160 | ||
13347 | see. I'm just going to change the color | ||
13348 | |||
13349 | 3338 | ||
13350 | 02:36:11,880 ~-~-> 02:36:15,990 | ||
13351 | to a little lightly. There you go. It's | ||
13352 | |||
13353 | 3339 | ||
13354 | 02:36:15,990 ~-~-> 02:36:18,480 | ||
13355 | a little bit easier to see. Here's | ||
13356 | |||
13357 | 3340 | ||
13358 | 02:36:18,480 ~-~-> 02:36:20,730 | ||
13359 | Monday's trading. And that's the low the | ||
13360 | |||
13361 | 3341 | ||
13362 | 02:36:20,730 ~-~-> 02:36:23,370 | ||
13363 | week during the time when we're looking | ||
13364 | |||
13365 | 3342 | ||
13366 | 02:36:23,370 ~-~-> 02:36:25,860 | ||
13367 | for buying opportunities only. Okay, so | ||
13368 | |||
13369 | 3343 | ||
13370 | 02:36:25,890 ~-~-> 02:36:28,410 | ||
13371 | on Monday this week, we have the Monday | ||
13372 | |||
13373 | 3344 | ||
13374 | 02:36:28,410 ~-~-> 02:36:33,060 | ||
13375 | making the low. On this week here, the | ||
13376 | |||
13377 | 3345 | ||
13378 | 02:36:33,060 ~-~-> 02:36:35,580 | ||
13379 | low the week is on Monday as well. Nice | ||
13380 | |||
13381 | 3346 | ||
13382 | 02:36:35,580 ~-~-> 02:36:37,320 | ||
13383 | opportunity to be buying on Tuesday, | ||
13384 | |||
13385 | 3347 | ||
13386 | 02:36:37,650 ~-~-> 02:36:38,850 | ||
13387 | even gives you an opportunity on | ||
13388 | |||
13389 | 3348 | ||
13390 | 02:36:38,850 ~-~-> 02:36:40,860 | ||
13391 | Thursday, which doesn't fit the model | ||
13392 | |||
13393 | 3349 | ||
13394 | 02:36:40,860 ~-~-> 02:36:43,650 | ||
13395 | but still, everything working towards | ||
13396 | |||
13397 | 3350 | ||
13398 | 02:36:43,710 ~-~-> 02:36:45,990 | ||
13399 | making a higher close on Friday is the | ||
13400 | |||
13401 | 3351 | ||
13402 | 02:36:45,990 ~-~-> 02:36:52,830 | ||
13403 | general idea. We have a shift in market | ||
13404 | |||
13405 | 3352 | ||
13406 | 02:36:54,840 ~-~-> 02:36:57,300 | ||
13407 | tone in here where we went lower and | ||
13408 | |||
13409 | 3353 | ||
13410 | 02:36:57,300 ~-~-> 02:36:59,850 | ||
13411 | retrace much deeper. But there was | ||
13412 | |||
13413 | 3354 | ||
13414 | 02:36:59,850 ~-~-> 02:37:02,250 | ||
13415 | certain Buying opportunities on Monday, | ||
13416 | |||
13417 | 3355 | ||
13418 | 02:37:02,640 ~-~-> 02:37:04,980 | ||
13419 | Tuesday in even on Wednesday still | ||
13420 | |||
13421 | 3356 | ||
13422 | 02:37:05,100 ~-~-> 02:37:07,440 | ||
13423 | catching some opportunities to be a | ||
13424 | |||
13425 | 3357 | ||
13426 | 02:37:07,440 ~-~-> 02:37:10,680 | ||
13427 | buyer that the loan this week comes in | ||
13428 | |||
13429 | 3358 | ||
13430 | 02:37:10,770 ~-~-> 02:37:14,070 | ||
13431 | on Monday. Very nice opportunity a buyer | ||
13432 | |||
13433 | 3359 | ||
13434 | 02:37:14,070 ~-~-> 02:37:16,230 | ||
13435 | here as well. And you can actually see | ||
13436 | |||
13437 | 3360 | ||
13438 | 02:37:16,230 ~-~-> 02:37:18,990 | ||
13439 | the same result of years of down candle | ||
13440 | |||
13441 | 3361 | ||
13442 | 02:37:18,990 ~-~-> 02:37:20,850 | ||
13443 | prior to move up and it retraces back | ||
13444 | |||
13445 | 3362 | ||
13446 | 02:37:20,850 ~-~-> 02:37:22,710 | ||
13447 | into that order block and as your | ||
13448 | |||
13449 | 3363 | ||
13450 | 02:37:22,710 ~-~-> 02:37:26,430 | ||
13451 | optimal trade entry moving higher and | ||
13452 | |||
13453 | 3364 | ||
13454 | 02:37:29,490 ~-~-> 02:37:31,320 | ||
13455 | Tuesday opportunity a buyer Wednesday | ||
13456 | |||
13457 | 3365 | ||
13458 | 02:37:31,320 ~-~-> 02:37:33,960 | ||
13459 | nice opportunity a buyer Okay, those are | ||
13460 | |||
13461 | 3366 | ||
13462 | 02:37:33,960 ~-~-> 02:37:38,190 | ||
13463 | those one one shot one kill type | ||
13464 | |||
13465 | 3367 | ||
13466 | 02:37:38,190 ~-~-> 02:37:40,290 | ||
13467 | scenarios that you would be looking for, | ||
13468 | |||
13469 | 3368 | ||
13470 | 02:37:40,590 ~-~-> 02:37:42,570 | ||
13471 | to not trade a whole lot but catch very | ||
13472 | |||
13473 | 3369 | ||
13474 | 02:37:42,570 ~-~-> 02:37:44,910 | ||
13475 | handsome pips and not not have to do a | ||
13476 | |||
13477 | 3370 | ||
13478 | 02:37:44,910 ~-~-> 02:37:47,640 | ||
13479 | whole lot of work really. That low | ||
13480 | |||
13481 | 3371 | ||
13482 | 02:37:47,670 ~-~-> 02:37:49,800 | ||
13483 | actually forms here on Thursday for this | ||
13484 | |||
13485 | 3372 | ||
13486 | 02:37:50,100 ~-~-> 02:37:51,570 | ||
13487 | particular week. And again, I'm using a | ||
13488 | |||
13489 | 3373 | ||
13490 | 02:37:51,570 ~-~-> 02:37:54,090 | ||
13491 | double lines here delineating the marker | ||
13492 | |||
13493 | 3374 | ||
13494 | 02:37:54,090 ~-~-> 02:37:56,340 | ||
13495 | of Sunday to Sunday so the action | ||
13496 | |||
13497 | 3375 | ||
13498 | 02:37:56,340 ~-~-> 02:37:58,950 | ||
13499 | between those two is the intra week | ||
13500 | |||
13501 | 3376 | ||
13502 | 02:37:58,980 ~-~-> 02:38:03,120 | ||
13503 | price action Nice buying opportunity | ||
13504 | |||
13505 | 3377 | ||
13506 | 02:38:03,120 ~-~-> 02:38:05,010 | ||
13507 | here on the Monday of this week, nice | ||
13508 | |||
13509 | 3378 | ||
13510 | 02:38:05,010 ~-~-> 02:38:08,340 | ||
13511 | one on Tuesday. Okay, does retrace, | ||
13512 | |||
13513 | 3379 | ||
13514 | 02:38:08,370 ~-~-> 02:38:11,070 | ||
13515 | trades lower than Monday's low, but | ||
13516 | |||
13517 | 3380 | ||
13518 | 02:38:11,070 ~-~-> 02:38:13,680 | ||
13519 | again, still opportunities to be a buyer | ||
13520 | |||
13521 | 3381 | ||
13522 | 02:38:14,700 ~-~-> 02:38:21,330 | ||
13523 | moving up rather handsomely. And then | ||
13524 | |||
13525 | 3382 | ||
13526 | 02:38:21,330 ~-~-> 02:38:23,130 | ||
13527 | move into an area where we no longer | ||
13528 | |||
13529 | 3383 | ||
13530 | 02:38:23,130 ~-~-> 02:38:27,300 | ||
13531 | have the daily bias enforce where now we | ||
13532 | |||
13533 | 3384 | ||
13534 | 02:38:27,300 ~-~-> 02:38:29,970 | ||
13535 | would be expecting to see lower prices | ||
13536 | |||
13537 | 3385 | ||
13538 | 02:38:30,030 ~-~-> 02:38:31,440 | ||
13539 | come into effect. And that's what you | ||
13540 | |||
13541 | 3386 | ||
13542 | 02:38:31,440 ~-~-> 02:38:34,500 | ||
13543 | see here. And really, if you just | ||
13544 | |||
13545 | 3387 | ||
13546 | 02:38:34,530 ~-~-> 02:38:36,180 | ||
13547 | reverse the scenario and look at | ||
13548 | |||
13549 | 3388 | ||
13550 | 02:38:36,180 ~-~-> 02:38:37,860 | ||
13551 | everything, like we just did on the buy | ||
13552 | |||
13553 | 3389 | ||
13554 | 02:38:37,860 ~-~-> 02:38:39,960 | ||
13555 | side, reversing it for the downside, | ||
13556 | |||
13557 | 3390 | ||
13558 | 02:38:40,380 ~-~-> 02:38:42,180 | ||
13559 | it's much in the same capacity, the same | ||
13560 | |||
13561 | 3391 | ||
13562 | 02:38:42,180 ~-~-> 02:38:46,020 | ||
13563 | thing just reversed. Okay? And let's | ||
13564 | |||
13565 | 3392 | ||
13566 | 02:38:46,020 ~-~-> 02:38:47,310 | ||
13567 | take a look at | ||
13568 | |||
13569 | 3393 | ||
13570 | 02:38:50,280 ~-~-> 02:38:51,870 | ||
13571 | the breakdown of what you're looking | ||
13572 | |||
13573 | 3394 | ||
13574 | 02:38:51,870 ~-~-> 02:38:54,690 | ||
13575 | for, with the support and resistance | ||
13576 | |||
13577 | 3395 | ||
13578 | 02:38:54,720 ~-~-> 02:38:58,530 | ||
13579 | notion and time of day and the optimal | ||
13580 | |||
13581 | 3396 | ||
13582 | 02:38:58,530 ~-~-> 02:39:00,720 | ||
13583 | trade entry and what Specifically that | ||
13584 | |||
13585 | 3397 | ||
13586 | 02:39:00,780 ~-~-> 02:39:04,290 | ||
13587 | sets up your trade data as high | ||
13588 | |||
13589 | 3398 | ||
13590 | 02:39:04,290 ~-~-> 02:39:05,130 | ||
13591 | probability. | ||
13592 | |||
13593 | 3399 | ||
13594 | 02:39:10,380 ~-~-> 02:39:12,810 | ||
13595 | Okay, the ICT optimal trade entry | ||
13596 | |||
13597 | 3400 | ||
13598 | 02:39:12,810 ~-~-> 02:39:16,440 | ||
13599 | pattern. The premise really builds upon | ||
13600 | |||
13601 | 3401 | ||
13602 | 02:39:16,560 ~-~-> 02:39:18,990 | ||
13603 | the understanding of support resistance | ||
13604 | |||
13605 | 3402 | ||
13606 | 02:39:18,990 ~-~-> 02:39:20,850 | ||
13607 | and we're going to use this example here | ||
13608 | |||
13609 | 3403 | ||
13610 | 02:39:20,850 ~-~-> 02:39:25,170 | ||
13611 | to illustrate the example of an optimal | ||
13612 | |||
13613 | 3404 | ||
13614 | 02:39:25,170 ~-~-> 02:39:27,510 | ||
13615 | trade entry that's used for a buy entry. | ||
13616 | |||
13617 | 3405 | ||
13618 | 02:39:28,200 ~-~-> 02:39:30,930 | ||
13619 | And assuming the support level has been | ||
13620 | |||
13621 | 3406 | ||
13622 | 02:39:30,990 ~-~-> 02:39:35,610 | ||
13623 | arrived at, we have the support level, | ||
13624 | |||
13625 | 3407 | ||
13626 | 02:39:36,030 ~-~-> 02:39:39,030 | ||
13627 | which is ideally a higher level daily | ||
13628 | |||
13629 | 3408 | ||
13630 | 02:39:39,060 ~-~-> 02:39:41,190 | ||
13631 | four hour or one hour timeframe support | ||
13632 | |||
13633 | 3409 | ||
13634 | 02:39:41,190 ~-~-> 02:39:47,580 | ||
13635 | line. This high here, okay, this swing | ||
13636 | |||
13637 | 3410 | ||
13638 | 02:39:47,580 ~-~-> 02:39:50,670 | ||
13639 | high, breaking this previous high is | ||
13640 | |||
13641 | 3411 | ||
13642 | 02:39:50,670 ~-~-> 02:39:52,710 | ||
13643 | good. That's what you want to see. Okay. | ||
13644 | |||
13645 | 3412 | ||
13646 | 02:39:52,770 ~-~-> 02:39:55,200 | ||
13647 | And then when you have price, break it | ||
13648 | |||
13649 | 3413 | ||
13650 | 02:39:55,200 ~-~-> 02:39:58,830 | ||
13651 | again here you have another cotton | ||
13652 | |||
13653 | 3414 | ||
13654 | 02:39:58,860 ~-~-> 02:40:01,650 | ||
13655 | Manasa conviction. By the traders that | ||
13656 | |||
13657 | 3415 | ||
13658 | 02:40:01,650 ~-~-> 02:40:03,420 | ||
13659 | are in control of price, what's your | ||
13660 | |||
13661 | 3416 | ||
13662 | 02:40:03,420 ~-~-> 02:40:07,530 | ||
13663 | smart money? They are indicating to us | ||
13664 | |||
13665 | 3417 | ||
13666 | 02:40:07,530 ~-~-> 02:40:10,260 | ||
13667 | that they are wanting to see this | ||
13668 | |||
13669 | 3418 | ||
13670 | 02:40:10,440 ~-~-> 02:40:14,430 | ||
13671 | market, not trade lower. Okay. So if | ||
13672 | |||
13673 | 3419 | ||
13674 | 02:40:14,430 ~-~-> 02:40:16,500 | ||
13675 | it's not going to go lower, chances are | ||
13676 | |||
13677 | 3420 | ||
13678 | 02:40:16,500 ~-~-> 02:40:18,870 | ||
13679 | it's probably going to go up and go up | ||
13680 | |||
13681 | 3421 | ||
13682 | 02:40:18,900 ~-~-> 02:40:22,410 | ||
13683 | sharply. Now, if we see the star here, | ||
13684 | |||
13685 | 3422 | ||
13686 | 02:40:22,410 ~-~-> 02:40:24,900 | ||
13687 | that's delineating a break in market | ||
13688 | |||
13689 | 3423 | ||
13690 | 02:40:24,900 ~-~-> 02:40:28,590 | ||
13691 | structure, okay, on both points, the | ||
13692 | |||
13693 | 3424 | ||
13694 | 02:40:28,620 ~-~-> 02:40:30,390 | ||
13695 | previous little short term high that we | ||
13696 | |||
13697 | 3425 | ||
13698 | 02:40:30,390 ~-~-> 02:40:32,760 | ||
13699 | just showed, and now when the price ran | ||
13700 | |||
13701 | 3426 | ||
13702 | 02:40:32,760 ~-~-> 02:40:35,520 | ||
13703 | up aggressively through that, what we'd | ||
13704 | |||
13705 | 3427 | ||
13706 | 02:40:35,520 ~-~-> 02:40:37,680 | ||
13707 | be waiting for a price to return back to | ||
13708 | |||
13709 | 3428 | ||
13710 | 02:40:37,680 ~-~-> 02:40:42,180 | ||
13711 | the point of origin. That scene here | ||
13712 | |||
13713 | 3429 | ||
13714 | 02:40:43,050 ~-~-> 02:40:45,420 | ||
13715 | where price comes right back down into | ||
13716 | |||
13717 | 3430 | ||
13718 | 02:40:45,960 ~-~-> 02:40:48,450 | ||
13719 | the first bearish candle prior to the | ||
13720 | |||
13721 | 3431 | ||
13722 | 02:40:48,450 ~-~-> 02:40:50,640 | ||
13723 | rally gamebreaking market structure | ||
13724 | |||
13725 | 3432 | ||
13726 | 02:40:50,640 ~-~-> 02:40:53,520 | ||
13727 | here. So now we have a range from here | ||
13728 | |||
13729 | 3433 | ||
13730 | 02:40:53,910 ~-~-> 02:40:57,030 | ||
13731 | to here. Okay. So we're looking for | ||
13732 | |||
13733 | 3434 | ||
13734 | 02:40:57,030 ~-~-> 02:40:59,760 | ||
13735 | price really to stay above support not | ||
13736 | |||
13737 | 3435 | ||
13738 | 02:40:59,760 ~-~-> 02:41:01,410 | ||
13739 | necessary. Trading back down to that | ||
13740 | |||
13741 | 3436 | ||
13742 | 02:41:01,410 ~-~-> 02:41:05,700 | ||
13743 | same price level. This is the swing that | ||
13744 | |||
13745 | 3437 | ||
13746 | 02:41:05,700 ~-~-> 02:41:07,680 | ||
13747 | you should be identifying with your eye. | ||
13748 | |||
13749 | 3438 | ||
13750 | 02:41:08,010 ~-~-> 02:41:09,900 | ||
13751 | This is what you train your eye to see, | ||
13752 | |||
13753 | 3439 | ||
13754 | 02:41:10,290 ~-~-> 02:41:12,870 | ||
13755 | this particular price swing is what's | ||
13756 | |||
13757 | 3440 | ||
13758 | 02:41:12,900 ~-~-> 02:41:15,240 | ||
13759 | necessary for you to pull your fib on. | ||
13760 | |||
13761 | 3441 | ||
13762 | 02:41:18,000 ~-~-> 02:41:19,890 | ||
13763 | By doing that, and again noting where | ||
13764 | |||
13765 | 3442 | ||
13766 | 02:41:19,890 ~-~-> 02:41:23,070 | ||
13767 | the market structure has shifted. When | ||
13768 | |||
13769 | 3443 | ||
13770 | 02:41:23,070 ~-~-> 02:41:25,860 | ||
13771 | price moves back down into this area | ||
13772 | |||
13773 | 3444 | ||
13774 | 02:41:25,860 ~-~-> 02:41:28,770 | ||
13775 | here, it's between the 62 and 79 cent | ||
13776 | |||
13777 | 3445 | ||
13778 | 02:41:28,770 ~-~-> 02:41:32,670 | ||
13779 | treatment level. The 70.5 level is what | ||
13780 | |||
13781 | 3446 | ||
13782 | 02:41:32,670 ~-~-> 02:41:34,410 | ||
13783 | I deemed the sweet spot. That's | ||
13784 | |||
13785 | 3447 | ||
13786 | 02:41:34,410 ~-~-> 02:41:36,420 | ||
13787 | generally what I try to aim at for my | ||
13788 | |||
13789 | 3448 | ||
13790 | 02:41:36,420 ~-~-> 02:41:39,270 | ||
13791 | entry point. I may add the PIP spread | ||
13792 | |||
13793 | 3449 | ||
13794 | 02:41:39,270 ~-~-> 02:41:42,030 | ||
13795 | from that point or I'll use the 62% | ||
13796 | |||
13797 | 3450 | ||
13798 | 02:41:42,030 ~-~-> 02:41:43,440 | ||
13799 | retracement level and depending upon the | ||
13800 | |||
13801 | 3451 | ||
13802 | 02:41:43,440 ~-~-> 02:41:45,900 | ||
13803 | type of PIP range between the two, if | ||
13804 | |||
13805 | 3452 | ||
13806 | 02:41:45,900 ~-~-> 02:41:48,030 | ||
13807 | it's not a whole lot, you know, I'll | ||
13808 | |||
13809 | 3453 | ||
13810 | 02:41:48,150 ~-~-> 02:41:50,460 | ||
13811 | just simply use 62 just to make sure I | ||
13812 | |||
13813 | 3454 | ||
13814 | 02:41:50,460 ~-~-> 02:41:52,050 | ||
13815 | get the trade as long as it doesn't | ||
13816 | |||
13817 | 3455 | ||
13818 | 02:41:52,050 ~-~-> 02:41:55,950 | ||
13819 | deviate my overall price parameters in | ||
13820 | |||
13821 | 3456 | ||
13822 | 02:41:55,950 ~-~-> 02:41:58,860 | ||
13823 | terms of allowing my stop loss order to | ||
13824 | |||
13825 | 3457 | ||
13826 | 02:41:58,860 ~-~-> 02:42:04,650 | ||
13827 | be within my Maximum risk portrayed. And | ||
13828 | |||
13829 | 3458 | ||
13830 | 02:42:04,650 ~-~-> 02:42:06,570 | ||
13831 | obviously, you can see the results of | ||
13832 | |||
13833 | 3459 | ||
13834 | 02:42:06,810 ~-~-> 02:42:09,270 | ||
13835 | taking this type of pattern with the | ||
13836 | |||
13837 | 3460 | ||
13838 | 02:42:09,270 ~-~-> 02:42:10,770 | ||
13839 | understanding of everything that we've | ||
13840 | |||
13841 | 3461 | ||
13842 | 02:42:10,770 ~-~-> 02:42:12,900 | ||
13843 | talked about in this video series up to | ||
13844 | |||
13845 | 3462 | ||
13846 | 02:42:12,900 ~-~-> 02:42:15,360 | ||
13847 | this point in that little gray. I mean, | ||
13848 | |||
13849 | 3463 | ||
13850 | 02:42:15,360 ~-~-> 02:42:16,800 | ||
13851 | sorry, in that little green box, | ||
13852 | |||
13853 | 3464 | ||
13854 | 02:42:16,830 ~-~-> 02:42:19,830 | ||
13855 | ideally, that should be a kill zone, be | ||
13856 | |||
13857 | 3465 | ||
13858 | 02:42:20,100 ~-~-> 02:42:23,370 | ||
13859 | the London open for the New York session | ||
13860 | |||
13861 | 3466 | ||
13862 | 02:42:23,400 ~-~-> 02:42:26,310 | ||
13863 | open. Okay? Those are the ideal trading | ||
13864 | |||
13865 | 3467 | ||
13866 | 02:42:26,310 ~-~-> 02:42:29,340 | ||
13867 | scenarios for you to be finding trading | ||
13868 | |||
13869 | 3468 | ||
13870 | 02:42:29,340 ~-~-> 02:42:31,350 | ||
13871 | opportunities to get long in. And again | ||
13872 | |||
13873 | 3469 | ||
13874 | 02:42:31,350 ~-~-> 02:42:32,760 | ||
13875 | with the assumption that the nine day | ||
13876 | |||
13877 | 3470 | ||
13878 | 02:42:32,760 ~-~-> 02:42:34,200 | ||
13879 | exponential moving average is above the | ||
13880 | |||
13881 | 3471 | ||
13882 | 02:42:34,200 ~-~-> 02:42:37,440 | ||
13883 | 18 day and when you have that and also | ||
13884 | |||
13885 | 3472 | ||
13886 | 02:42:38,280 ~-~-> 02:42:40,440 | ||
13887 | order flow and market flow and market | ||
13888 | |||
13889 | 3473 | ||
13890 | 02:42:40,440 ~-~-> 02:42:42,270 | ||
13891 | structure on that timeframe dealing for | ||
13892 | |||
13893 | 3474 | ||
13894 | 02:42:42,270 ~-~-> 02:42:45,240 | ||
13895 | our or suggesting higher prices. It's | ||
13896 | |||
13897 | 3475 | ||
13898 | 02:42:45,240 ~-~-> 02:42:46,680 | ||
13899 | all but a green light just to get in | ||
13900 | |||
13901 | 3476 | ||
13902 | 02:42:46,680 ~-~-> 02:42:48,810 | ||
13903 | here and start hunting by opportunities | ||
13904 | |||
13905 | 3477 | ||
13906 | 02:42:48,900 ~-~-> 02:42:49,920 | ||
13907 | using this format. |