ICT - Sniper Course - 04 - Basic Infantry module - Stalking.srt
1
00:00:56,400 --> 00:00:57,600
ICT: Okay folks, welcome to the inner
2
00:00:57,600 --> 00:00:59,670
circle trader scout sniper Field Guide
3
00:00:59,670 --> 00:01:01,860
episode For now we're gonna be
4
00:01:01,860 --> 00:01:04,530
discussing basic infantry In this
5
00:01:04,530 --> 00:01:07,560
module, and what specifically we'll be
6
00:01:07,560 --> 00:01:09,690
covering in this presentation, we're
7
00:01:09,690 --> 00:01:11,490
gonna be looking at a review of the
8
00:01:11,490 --> 00:01:14,100
previous episode assignment, stalking in
9
00:01:14,100 --> 00:01:17,580
the kill zone. We're gonna be looking at
10
00:01:17,580 --> 00:01:20,190
specific ICT skills are an examples
11
00:01:20,250 --> 00:01:23,400
since the time of our last presentation.
12
00:01:23,580 --> 00:01:25,860
It was released on the ninth of
13
00:01:25,860 --> 00:01:28,800
September 2013. When we looking at some
14
00:01:28,800 --> 00:01:30,840
examples from that point on to most
15
00:01:30,840 --> 00:01:34,980
recently and we're gonna be looking at
16
00:01:34,980 --> 00:01:37,290
directional bias and high probability
17
00:01:37,290 --> 00:01:41,130
trade framework. We're going to be
18
00:01:41,130 --> 00:01:43,590
revisiting the concept of why do markets
19
00:01:43,590 --> 00:01:47,520
move specifically dealing with the
20
00:01:47,520 --> 00:01:50,550
players and the game and we're gonna be
21
00:01:50,550 --> 00:01:52,350
looking at what makes trade setups
22
00:01:52,350 --> 00:01:54,150
strategically quote unquote high
23
00:01:54,150 --> 00:01:59,010
probability. recommend looking at ICT,
24
00:01:59,040 --> 00:02:01,410
no brainer direction bias concepts.
25
00:02:02,550 --> 00:02:04,440
We're gonna be returning to higher
26
00:02:04,440 --> 00:02:07,740
timeframe analysis. We're gonna be
27
00:02:07,740 --> 00:02:11,220
looking at high odds by framework. And
28
00:02:11,220 --> 00:02:13,410
we're gonna be looking at high odds sell
29
00:02:13,410 --> 00:02:16,530
framework. We're going to be looking at
30
00:02:16,560 --> 00:02:18,870
market structure and order flow
31
00:02:18,870 --> 00:02:22,350
conceptualized. We're gonna be
32
00:02:22,350 --> 00:02:25,200
discussing and unveiling institutional
33
00:02:25,200 --> 00:02:27,780
orders and smart money, fingerprints.
34
00:02:28,800 --> 00:02:29,880
And we're gonna be looking at how
35
00:02:29,880 --> 00:02:33,900
consolidations breed opportunity, and
36
00:02:33,900 --> 00:02:36,210
what we look for and why it matters.
37
00:02:36,300 --> 00:02:40,170
Inside these consolidations. We're gonna
38
00:02:40,170 --> 00:02:41,490
be looking at institutional order
39
00:02:41,490 --> 00:02:44,760
blocks. We're going to be looking at the
40
00:02:44,760 --> 00:02:47,160
concept of institutional sponsorship and
41
00:02:47,160 --> 00:02:51,300
what effects it has on your trading. And
42
00:02:51,300 --> 00:02:54,360
we're gonna be looking at a premise, I
43
00:02:54,360 --> 00:02:56,040
refer to as returning to the point of
44
00:02:56,040 --> 00:02:59,880
origin, which is basically inside the
45
00:02:59,880 --> 00:03:02,760
eye. optimal trade entry concept a like
46
00:03:02,760 --> 00:03:05,130
a nuts and bolts presentation of why
47
00:03:05,130 --> 00:03:08,490
it's so effective. And we're giving you
48
00:03:08,490 --> 00:03:10,830
more homework. Yes. This time we'll be
49
00:03:10,830 --> 00:03:12,720
tracking institutional price action.
50
00:03:13,590 --> 00:03:14,490
Okay, so let's get going.
51
00:03:20,130 --> 00:03:22,050
Okay, folks, we're looking at a daily
52
00:03:22,050 --> 00:03:24,930
chart of the Euro USD. The last episode
53
00:03:24,960 --> 00:03:29,010
we released was September 9 2013. In
54
00:03:29,010 --> 00:03:32,370
this continuing series and we discussed
55
00:03:32,370 --> 00:03:35,160
the likely impact that the rising yields
56
00:03:35,160 --> 00:03:36,990
would have on the foreign currency
57
00:03:36,990 --> 00:03:38,850
markets and we discussed that it would
58
00:03:38,850 --> 00:03:41,910
have continued upward pressure within
59
00:03:42,270 --> 00:03:44,310
the fiber which is the Euro USD again,
60
00:03:45,720 --> 00:03:48,000
real quick, let's just reflect back upon
61
00:03:48,030 --> 00:03:51,150
the yields and what it was doing in
62
00:03:51,240 --> 00:03:53,730
graphic form. And you can see that here.
63
00:03:56,910 --> 00:04:00,210
Can you see the rising yields okay. And
64
00:04:00,210 --> 00:04:02,820
when that happens, price one variably
65
00:04:02,850 --> 00:04:06,090
tried to chase or quote unquote seek
66
00:04:06,120 --> 00:04:09,510
yield and it'll be moving up in China
67
00:04:09,510 --> 00:04:12,060
close the gap between the the yield and
68
00:04:12,060 --> 00:04:14,520
the actual underlying price of the
69
00:04:14,520 --> 00:04:18,480
currency. Now, because this candle here
70
00:04:18,480 --> 00:04:20,190
delineates the actual time that
71
00:04:20,190 --> 00:04:22,860
recording was made, there's been a
72
00:04:22,920 --> 00:04:25,410
significant amount of pips moved from
73
00:04:25,410 --> 00:04:27,360
that date until now and we're just going
74
00:04:27,360 --> 00:04:30,240
to use the highest point. Okay, we're
75
00:04:30,240 --> 00:04:31,740
not going to use the best scenario the
76
00:04:31,740 --> 00:04:33,180
low we're just going to use the highest
77
00:04:33,180 --> 00:04:35,880
point that that candle on the ninth,
78
00:04:35,970 --> 00:04:38,730
okay, and we're going to discuss briefly
79
00:04:38,760 --> 00:04:40,380
the amount of pips that were available
80
00:04:40,380 --> 00:04:44,310
at 291 pips. So basically almost 300
81
00:04:44,310 --> 00:04:47,400
pips were made available in advance in
82
00:04:47,400 --> 00:04:51,120
advance in the form of discussion as
83
00:04:51,150 --> 00:04:55,170
upward, likely price movement. Now we
84
00:04:55,170 --> 00:04:57,480
had a homework assignment from Episode
85
00:04:57,480 --> 00:05:02,400
Three and it was trading In the zone,
86
00:05:02,460 --> 00:05:05,490
okay, or stalking in the kill zone, and
87
00:05:05,490 --> 00:05:07,920
we're going to discuss that here. Okay,
88
00:05:07,920 --> 00:05:09,030
and what we're going to do is we're
89
00:05:09,030 --> 00:05:12,630
going to move down into an hourly chart,
90
00:05:13,200 --> 00:05:16,260
and I'm going to delineate the ninth of
91
00:05:16,290 --> 00:05:18,840
September. Okay, so everything right of
92
00:05:18,840 --> 00:05:21,510
this vertical line, basically is
93
00:05:21,510 --> 00:05:24,090
referencing where we are in terms of the
94
00:05:24,090 --> 00:05:27,030
last recording and posting in this video
95
00:05:27,030 --> 00:05:29,880
series and what we're going to discuss,
96
00:05:30,240 --> 00:05:33,540
okay, as an example of the ICT kill
97
00:05:33,540 --> 00:05:36,180
zones, we we already had a premise in
98
00:05:36,180 --> 00:05:38,700
mind based on the analysis of the the
99
00:05:38,730 --> 00:05:40,920
interest rate market and how it would
100
00:05:40,920 --> 00:05:44,700
have a magnetic pole on price upward.
101
00:05:45,030 --> 00:05:48,060
Okay, and what that understanding we're
102
00:05:48,060 --> 00:05:50,190
going to add Okay, we're going to add
103
00:05:50,220 --> 00:05:53,370
the ICT kill zones, and we're going to
104
00:05:53,370 --> 00:05:57,120
add the vertical de delineation. Okay,
105
00:05:57,120 --> 00:05:59,640
again, the double bar here on Mt four.
106
00:06:00,240 --> 00:06:02,160
delineates weekend's we're going to be
107
00:06:02,160 --> 00:06:04,740
basically focusing on is the fact that
108
00:06:04,920 --> 00:06:07,320
we were expecting. Now I'm going to say
109
00:06:07,320 --> 00:06:08,670
this word, please don't take it out of
110
00:06:08,670 --> 00:06:11,520
context because I am not a fundamental
111
00:06:11,550 --> 00:06:14,310
trader, okay? as fundamental as it gets
112
00:06:14,310 --> 00:06:16,830
for me is interest rates, okay? But
113
00:06:16,830 --> 00:06:19,110
fundamentally, the driver for the Euro
114
00:06:19,110 --> 00:06:21,390
to be going up like it was, was that the
115
00:06:21,390 --> 00:06:23,880
yields were moving higher. Okay. And
116
00:06:24,300 --> 00:06:26,580
contrast that with the fact that we know
117
00:06:26,580 --> 00:06:28,800
that is the case when we see technically
118
00:06:29,100 --> 00:06:32,220
the 10 year yields declining, okay. So
119
00:06:32,220 --> 00:06:34,410
if we go to the commodity market, and we
120
00:06:34,410 --> 00:06:38,280
refer to the 10 year, futures market,
121
00:06:38,700 --> 00:06:41,370
okay, when that market is moving lower,
122
00:06:41,790 --> 00:06:44,190
that's actually an increase in yields.
123
00:06:44,280 --> 00:06:46,680
Okay. And an income increasing yield is
124
00:06:46,680 --> 00:06:49,410
going to be diametrically opposed. And
125
00:06:49,410 --> 00:06:50,790
there's going to be basically an inverse
126
00:06:50,790 --> 00:06:53,490
relationship between the futures price
127
00:06:53,520 --> 00:06:57,840
of 10 year notes and its yield, okay. So
128
00:06:57,840 --> 00:07:00,360
if the futures chart on bonds or Tea
129
00:07:00,360 --> 00:07:03,180
notes are dropping, that is an increase
130
00:07:03,180 --> 00:07:04,770
in yields. Okay. And that's going to be
131
00:07:04,770 --> 00:07:06,810
bullish for foreign currencies and
132
00:07:06,810 --> 00:07:09,720
bearish for the US dollar. Okay? And
133
00:07:09,720 --> 00:07:13,320
then conversely, if you reverse that
134
00:07:13,350 --> 00:07:16,680
phenomenon, and you look at when the 10
135
00:07:16,680 --> 00:07:18,960
year notes on a futures basis or bond
136
00:07:18,960 --> 00:07:21,660
market is rallying on the futures
137
00:07:21,660 --> 00:07:24,390
market, that's going to be a decline on
138
00:07:24,390 --> 00:07:26,580
yields, which will be bullish for the US
139
00:07:26,580 --> 00:07:28,530
dollar and bearish for foreign
140
00:07:28,530 --> 00:07:31,050
currencies. Okay. So that's a very quick
141
00:07:31,110 --> 00:07:32,760
and dirty way of understanding what risk
142
00:07:32,760 --> 00:07:36,120
on risk off is how I define it. Okay. So
143
00:07:36,120 --> 00:07:38,670
if you're looking for any fundamental
144
00:07:38,670 --> 00:07:40,230
drivers, okay, that's about as
145
00:07:40,230 --> 00:07:42,090
fundamental as it gets from me, okay.
146
00:07:42,690 --> 00:07:45,360
Outside of, you know, CT data and such
147
00:07:45,750 --> 00:07:49,230
in premiums on the front nearby mom
148
00:07:49,260 --> 00:07:50,940
months in the futures markets, which
149
00:07:50,940 --> 00:07:52,980
we'll discuss at another time. It's too
150
00:07:52,980 --> 00:07:55,830
vast of a subject for me to cover in
151
00:07:55,830 --> 00:07:58,410
this module. But there's other resources
152
00:07:58,410 --> 00:07:59,790
made available on the internet that I've
153
00:07:59,790 --> 00:08:02,970
discussed. Just either by homework or by
154
00:08:03,000 --> 00:08:06,420
Larry Williams in that regard. So with
155
00:08:06,420 --> 00:08:09,270
all that, again, we were looking for
156
00:08:09,300 --> 00:08:12,870
bullish movement on the Euro USD and
157
00:08:12,870 --> 00:08:14,250
other foreign currencies
158
00:08:14,519 --> 00:08:17,189
with a bearish tone in the US dollar.
159
00:08:17,699 --> 00:08:22,469
Now, when we have that, that backdrop on
160
00:08:22,499 --> 00:08:25,619
price, okay, as a technical trader, we
161
00:08:25,619 --> 00:08:28,859
would be focusing on one side of the
162
00:08:28,859 --> 00:08:30,839
market more than the other, okay? Now,
163
00:08:30,839 --> 00:08:32,789
that does not mean that we completely
164
00:08:32,789 --> 00:08:35,009
throw out every bear sell signal, it
165
00:08:35,009 --> 00:08:37,709
just means that we should be focusing
166
00:08:37,709 --> 00:08:40,469
more in our equity allocation rather
167
00:08:40,889 --> 00:08:43,289
when the long side of trading, okay, in
168
00:08:43,289 --> 00:08:45,089
other words, you'll get more bang for
169
00:08:45,089 --> 00:08:47,099
your buck, being a bull than you would
170
00:08:47,099 --> 00:08:48,569
be being embarrassed. So if you are
171
00:08:48,569 --> 00:08:50,999
going to be doing a trade it's counter
172
00:08:52,229 --> 00:08:55,229
this fundamental again, quote unquote,
173
00:08:55,889 --> 00:08:58,769
driver in the marketplace. Understand
174
00:08:58,769 --> 00:09:01,259
that number one, you're resisting the
175
00:09:01,259 --> 00:09:04,589
overall market pinnings Okay, now it's
176
00:09:04,589 --> 00:09:06,089
there's there's going to be a tug of war
177
00:09:06,269 --> 00:09:09,809
between you being a bear. Okay, and the
178
00:09:10,259 --> 00:09:14,429
smart money that is really perpetuating
179
00:09:14,609 --> 00:09:17,489
this market higher. So, understand that
180
00:09:17,519 --> 00:09:19,499
I mean, there are times where you can be
181
00:09:19,499 --> 00:09:22,379
right and profitable, okay in doing that
182
00:09:22,379 --> 00:09:24,419
being contrary, but just don't wear out
183
00:09:24,419 --> 00:09:26,069
You're welcome. Okay and Mary the van
184
00:09:26,069 --> 00:09:29,069
just get blown on the water even in the
185
00:09:29,069 --> 00:09:31,169
best traders in the world. Understand
186
00:09:31,169 --> 00:09:32,699
there's a simple premise, you just don't
187
00:09:32,699 --> 00:09:35,189
fight. You know, you just don't fight
188
00:09:35,189 --> 00:09:36,749
the tide, okay? Because if you're
189
00:09:36,749 --> 00:09:37,829
swimming against the tide, you're going
190
00:09:37,829 --> 00:09:39,299
to tie yourself out and ultimately kill
191
00:09:39,299 --> 00:09:43,259
yourself. But if we understand that
192
00:09:43,379 --> 00:09:47,159
being a bull in this environment, okay,
193
00:09:47,189 --> 00:09:50,729
we could have much more relaxation, much
194
00:09:50,729 --> 00:09:52,949
more calm as we engage the market
195
00:09:52,949 --> 00:09:55,709
because we know what it is specifically
196
00:09:55,709 --> 00:09:58,019
that we're looking for. Again, that gets
197
00:09:58,019 --> 00:09:59,999
back to differentiating yourself from
198
00:09:59,999 --> 00:10:03,599
The neophyte or the st money? Okay? We
199
00:10:03,599 --> 00:10:05,009
are not simply sitting down at the
200
00:10:05,009 --> 00:10:06,809
computer and saying, well, I feel like
201
00:10:06,809 --> 00:10:09,419
it's going to go up today. Okay, but the
202
00:10:09,419 --> 00:10:11,039
last five minutes has been going down.
203
00:10:11,039 --> 00:10:14,069
So let me sell, okay, that's not sound
204
00:10:14,069 --> 00:10:16,349
trading. Okay, that's not a plan that's
205
00:10:16,349 --> 00:10:18,839
reactionary trading. This whole series
206
00:10:18,839 --> 00:10:22,289
is delving into the importance of having
207
00:10:22,289 --> 00:10:24,689
number one, a pre determined plan of
208
00:10:24,689 --> 00:10:28,499
attack, and a pre determined method of
209
00:10:28,499 --> 00:10:31,589
attack, and then a procedure in place
210
00:10:31,829 --> 00:10:34,319
that's clearly defined, comprehensive
211
00:10:34,319 --> 00:10:35,909
and you know, specifically what you're
212
00:10:35,909 --> 00:10:38,159
doing, when you're doing it, why you're
213
00:10:38,159 --> 00:10:40,349
doing it and when you won't do it and
214
00:10:40,379 --> 00:10:42,029
the reasons why you won't be doing as
215
00:10:42,029 --> 00:10:47,249
well. So with that rant, okay, let's
216
00:10:47,279 --> 00:10:50,669
delve deeper into what specifically took
217
00:10:50,669 --> 00:10:53,249
place from this point on and how we can
218
00:10:53,249 --> 00:10:56,129
use the ICT kill zones to ferret out the
219
00:10:56,129 --> 00:10:58,619
lows in this up move that we were
220
00:10:58,619 --> 00:11:00,689
looking forward to unfold. How we could
221
00:11:00,689 --> 00:11:03,449
time scenarios where we could be a
222
00:11:03,659 --> 00:11:06,269
bullish buyer in this and possibly have
223
00:11:06,269 --> 00:11:07,619
made money, we're going to be moving
224
00:11:07,619 --> 00:11:11,879
into a 15 minute chart. Okay? And,
225
00:11:12,509 --> 00:11:15,689
again, we're going to be introducing the
226
00:11:15,689 --> 00:11:18,299
ICT kill zones, and we're going to be
227
00:11:19,229 --> 00:11:22,349
losing our vertical line here. That's
228
00:11:22,349 --> 00:11:27,299
okay. And here is the September 9
229
00:11:27,299 --> 00:11:29,369
timeframe. Okay, and we're just gonna be
230
00:11:29,489 --> 00:11:32,609
tracing this whole period on the upside.
231
00:11:33,269 --> 00:11:37,499
And we're gonna zoom in. Okay, and what
232
00:11:37,499 --> 00:11:42,419
we're looking at, again, are the red
233
00:11:42,809 --> 00:11:45,119
dashed lines here, okay? This basically
234
00:11:45,119 --> 00:11:47,459
is encapsulated. The whole London
235
00:11:47,459 --> 00:11:51,659
session, okay? And the green in here is
236
00:11:51,659 --> 00:11:54,779
basically encapsulating the New York
237
00:11:54,809 --> 00:11:58,379
open, or New York session, okay? And
238
00:11:58,379 --> 00:12:01,139
what we're looking at is how By focusing
239
00:12:01,139 --> 00:12:05,609
on catching a decline or pullback within
240
00:12:06,179 --> 00:12:10,319
that specific time window each day with
241
00:12:10,319 --> 00:12:14,009
a premise in mind where we most recently
242
00:12:14,129 --> 00:12:16,379
moved away from and where we're going to
243
00:12:16,379 --> 00:12:17,939
retrace back into in other words we had
244
00:12:17,939 --> 00:12:21,329
a range initially during the London
245
00:12:21,779 --> 00:12:23,579
session here we saw it rally up in here.
246
00:12:23,789 --> 00:12:25,379
Then it retraced within that range the
247
00:12:25,379 --> 00:12:27,749
range between this high and this low.
248
00:12:28,259 --> 00:12:29,879
Okay that retracement in here was an
249
00:12:29,879 --> 00:12:32,789
opportunity to be long as the market
250
00:12:32,789 --> 00:12:34,889
moved higher and expanded its London
251
00:12:34,889 --> 00:12:37,169
session range. Okay we had another minor
252
00:12:37,169 --> 00:12:38,759
pullback it pulled back to a dealing
253
00:12:38,759 --> 00:12:41,489
range high in here and then moves on out
254
00:12:41,699 --> 00:12:43,889
and then we entered into the New York
255
00:12:43,889 --> 00:12:46,559
kill zone, rallied up the retracement in
256
00:12:46,559 --> 00:12:48,629
here. While there was nothing sufficient
257
00:12:48,629 --> 00:12:49,829
over here in terms of support
258
00:12:49,829 --> 00:12:52,019
resistance. We will talk about these
259
00:12:52,019 --> 00:12:54,209
pauses in this video module and how it's
260
00:12:54,209 --> 00:12:57,209
useful to you. But nice moved up and
261
00:12:57,209 --> 00:12:58,949
then say moved and made a high outside
262
00:12:58,949 --> 00:13:03,209
of the New York session. And, or at
263
00:13:03,209 --> 00:13:04,589
least in New York kill zone, it's not
264
00:13:04,589 --> 00:13:06,119
the session itself that was outside of
265
00:13:06,239 --> 00:13:09,569
time when I clearly defined. Now, when
266
00:13:09,569 --> 00:13:11,429
you see me moving the cursor across the
267
00:13:11,489 --> 00:13:14,069
chart, don't be discouraged, okay? or
268
00:13:14,069 --> 00:13:16,949
confused because this says ICT Asian
269
00:13:16,949 --> 00:13:19,949
range, what I'm using is the MT four
270
00:13:20,579 --> 00:13:24,179
indicator. Okay, that's usually used for
271
00:13:24,179 --> 00:13:27,449
my Asian range barriers like we're
272
00:13:27,449 --> 00:13:29,129
seeing here, the upper and lower for New
273
00:13:29,129 --> 00:13:30,689
York, all I did was change the time
274
00:13:30,689 --> 00:13:33,689
parameters to encapsulate the specific
275
00:13:33,719 --> 00:13:35,399
New York and London sessions. Okay, so
276
00:13:35,609 --> 00:13:37,199
if I do Passover, and you see these
277
00:13:37,199 --> 00:13:38,459
little boxes popping up and you're
278
00:13:38,459 --> 00:13:39,809
wondering what it's saying, or if you
279
00:13:39,809 --> 00:13:41,939
catch it, it says that don't be confused
280
00:13:41,969 --> 00:13:43,499
simply because I'm using the indicator
281
00:13:43,499 --> 00:13:46,949
itself that I named ICT Asian range is
282
00:13:46,949 --> 00:13:48,839
this it's multi, it's a multi useful,
283
00:13:48,929 --> 00:13:51,149
okay, you can use use it for different
284
00:13:51,149 --> 00:13:52,529
things as we're seeing showing here.
285
00:13:54,269 --> 00:13:56,969
Now, this day, here's Monday on the
286
00:13:56,969 --> 00:13:59,789
ninth, okay. Now, that was the date that
287
00:13:59,789 --> 00:14:03,059
we were least the previous installment
288
00:14:03,569 --> 00:14:06,989
in this series. This is the Tuesday.
289
00:14:07,379 --> 00:14:09,479
Okay? And now what we're going to talk
290
00:14:09,479 --> 00:14:13,199
about is how we use these sessions,
291
00:14:13,349 --> 00:14:15,419
okay? with the understanding of
292
00:14:15,419 --> 00:14:18,869
expectancy moving higher in price. Okay?
293
00:14:18,899 --> 00:14:22,079
There's highs and lows within these time
294
00:14:22,079 --> 00:14:25,169
windows. Okay? We have the low, we have
295
00:14:25,169 --> 00:14:28,139
a high and in between there, okay? Any
296
00:14:28,139 --> 00:14:30,539
swing high or low is useful? This one
297
00:14:30,539 --> 00:14:34,919
here, this one here, okay. Inside the
298
00:14:34,919 --> 00:14:37,829
New York session. Okay, we have a low
299
00:14:37,829 --> 00:14:41,189
here and we have a high here. Okay. And
300
00:14:41,189 --> 00:14:42,989
on the following day on this Tuesday,
301
00:14:43,109 --> 00:14:46,109
this was September 10. We had the range
302
00:14:46,139 --> 00:14:49,259
from here to here for the London
303
00:14:49,259 --> 00:14:51,629
session. And the New York session is
304
00:14:51,629 --> 00:14:56,129
here. Okay, so inside of that, you can
305
00:14:56,129 --> 00:14:57,479
see that there are swing highs and swing
306
00:14:57,479 --> 00:15:01,019
lows that are useful as well. By
307
00:15:01,019 --> 00:15:03,149
understanding that, okay, and
308
00:15:03,149 --> 00:15:05,819
understanding the concept of the range
309
00:15:05,849 --> 00:15:07,979
or previous day's range or session
310
00:15:08,009 --> 00:15:11,009
ranges, okay, that being here's the
311
00:15:11,039 --> 00:15:15,479
previous New York session range. This is
312
00:15:15,479 --> 00:15:18,089
a low in here, okay? And what we'll do
313
00:15:18,089 --> 00:15:19,889
is we're going to highlight an
314
00:15:19,889 --> 00:15:21,809
opportunity that could have presented
315
00:15:21,809 --> 00:15:25,499
itself to you as a trader. From that low
316
00:15:25,499 --> 00:15:27,929
to the high. Okay, I'm going to move
317
00:15:27,929 --> 00:15:29,189
over here, you can see
318
00:15:30,540 --> 00:15:31,530
how price
319
00:15:31,830 --> 00:15:34,650
moves down into to the optimal trade
320
00:15:34,650 --> 00:15:36,840
entry area here, which is between the 62
321
00:15:36,840 --> 00:15:38,340
and 79 cent retracement levels
322
00:15:38,340 --> 00:15:40,350
respectively. It went right down to the
323
00:15:40,350 --> 00:15:41,670
sweet spot, which is essentially the
324
00:15:41,670 --> 00:15:46,350
70.5 Fibonacci level. Okay, seven 0.5.
325
00:15:47,070 --> 00:15:52,890
You will have to set your platform up if
326
00:15:52,890 --> 00:15:55,290
it's not empty for your own way. I don't
327
00:15:55,290 --> 00:15:57,720
know how to do what platform you're
328
00:15:57,720 --> 00:15:59,790
using. And I really would rather avoid
329
00:16:00,540 --> 00:16:03,420
Going through a long list of possible
330
00:16:03,480 --> 00:16:05,460
emails saying, Well, can you help me do
331
00:16:05,460 --> 00:16:08,220
it with this platform? I'm pretty much
332
00:16:08,310 --> 00:16:12,720
limited to just using, you know, what we
333
00:16:12,720 --> 00:16:14,910
have here, okay mp4 because I don't want
334
00:16:14,910 --> 00:16:18,540
to get into, you know, I'm long winded
335
00:16:19,140 --> 00:16:22,230
explanation of what possible platforms
336
00:16:22,230 --> 00:16:24,180
you could be using. And then we get into
337
00:16:24,180 --> 00:16:26,250
conversation of which one I advise over
338
00:16:26,250 --> 00:16:28,230
that. So I use a very generic one empty
339
00:16:28,230 --> 00:16:30,600
for, okay, that way everybody's readily
340
00:16:30,600 --> 00:16:33,090
accessible. It's free, it doesn't cost
341
00:16:33,090 --> 00:16:35,310
you anything. And it's pretty much
342
00:16:35,310 --> 00:16:37,080
universal. And then you can delve into
343
00:16:37,080 --> 00:16:39,180
other platforms where you see its
344
00:16:39,330 --> 00:16:43,740
usefulness. So we have we did deviate
345
00:16:43,770 --> 00:16:46,020
outside of that, that range here, okay,
346
00:16:46,020 --> 00:16:49,320
by the define terms of the st Killzone
347
00:16:49,350 --> 00:16:50,850
for this series. Now, they're saying
348
00:16:50,850 --> 00:16:53,370
there's small variances in the times
349
00:16:53,370 --> 00:16:54,960
that I'm using for this one, and the
350
00:16:54,960 --> 00:16:56,490
ones that I use for my own trading. So
351
00:16:56,490 --> 00:16:58,800
please, don't take that comment. Say,
352
00:16:58,800 --> 00:17:00,210
well look at this. He's not even Teach
353
00:17:00,210 --> 00:17:03,960
him what he uses. I took a lot of time
354
00:17:04,680 --> 00:17:07,410
to eliminate a lot of the stumbling
355
00:17:07,410 --> 00:17:10,920
blocks that I see in email form. Okay,
356
00:17:10,920 --> 00:17:12,450
because over the last three and a half
357
00:17:12,450 --> 00:17:15,060
years, I have been inundated with
358
00:17:15,090 --> 00:17:19,170
reoccurring questions about what time
359
00:17:19,170 --> 00:17:20,910
window is this and what would that be in
360
00:17:20,910 --> 00:17:23,610
my timeframe over my global position
361
00:17:23,610 --> 00:17:27,090
around the planet? And I readily admit,
362
00:17:27,090 --> 00:17:28,650
it's a very confusing topic for me.
363
00:17:28,860 --> 00:17:31,560
Okay, so I understand it's, it's
364
00:17:31,560 --> 00:17:33,450
confusing for other people and as a
365
00:17:33,450 --> 00:17:35,790
mentor, that's one of my weak points,
366
00:17:35,790 --> 00:17:37,770
communicating that effectively. Okay,
367
00:17:37,800 --> 00:17:40,770
and to eliminate that I just simply gave
368
00:17:40,770 --> 00:17:43,350
you a very generic time window for
369
00:17:43,380 --> 00:17:46,230
London and New York sessions. And if you
370
00:17:46,230 --> 00:17:48,870
hunt during those time windows, you'll
371
00:17:48,870 --> 00:17:50,850
find more than enough opportunities,
372
00:17:50,940 --> 00:17:52,980
okay. And none of my tools are going to
373
00:17:52,980 --> 00:17:56,790
give you every single trade. Okay? You
374
00:17:56,790 --> 00:17:58,200
could probably go back in hindsight and
375
00:17:58,200 --> 00:18:00,600
find where it was useful to you. Okay,
376
00:18:00,870 --> 00:18:03,210
but don't have such high demand on these
377
00:18:03,210 --> 00:18:05,040
tools expecting you to get every single
378
00:18:05,040 --> 00:18:07,260
high end low, every single movement in
379
00:18:07,260 --> 00:18:09,090
the marketplace, okay? That's not what
380
00:18:09,090 --> 00:18:10,620
I'm teaching. That's not what I'm
381
00:18:10,620 --> 00:18:12,840
promising you, I'm promising you an
382
00:18:12,840 --> 00:18:15,990
edge. That's it. Okay. So how you tweak
383
00:18:15,990 --> 00:18:17,910
that edge and how you use that edge is
384
00:18:17,910 --> 00:18:20,070
completely and utterly up to how you
385
00:18:20,070 --> 00:18:24,720
employ and work at. Okay. So on Tuesday,
386
00:18:24,750 --> 00:18:26,970
we saw the market, make a significant
387
00:18:27,210 --> 00:18:30,030
low here, and then rally up. Okay, and
388
00:18:30,030 --> 00:18:31,950
going into that Wednesday of that week,
389
00:18:31,980 --> 00:18:34,350
we saw price move down, making a low in
390
00:18:34,350 --> 00:18:36,510
London, okay, and then London kills them
391
00:18:36,510 --> 00:18:37,890
when it would be reasonably expected to
392
00:18:37,890 --> 00:18:40,860
form Okay, and you could take the low
393
00:18:40,890 --> 00:18:43,470
from the previous day, up to the highest
394
00:18:43,470 --> 00:18:45,720
high prior to moving into the London
395
00:18:45,720 --> 00:18:47,100
session, okay, because what you're doing
396
00:18:47,100 --> 00:18:47,880
is is you're looking for that
397
00:18:47,880 --> 00:18:51,270
retracement back inside of the range.
398
00:18:51,780 --> 00:18:54,960
Okay, and, again, we see the low to the
399
00:18:54,960 --> 00:18:57,540
highest high here prior to it moving
400
00:18:57,540 --> 00:18:59,520
into the London session. Okay, price
401
00:18:59,520 --> 00:19:01,170
comes right down. into again, the
402
00:19:01,170 --> 00:19:04,920
optimal trade entry region and price
403
00:19:04,920 --> 00:19:07,290
rallies up. Okay, if you initially
404
00:19:07,470 --> 00:19:09,630
missed that opportunity, it gives you
405
00:19:09,630 --> 00:19:12,060
another opportunity to catch a ride on
406
00:19:12,060 --> 00:19:14,190
this move up in the form of this
407
00:19:14,220 --> 00:19:16,320
pullback here. So you could use this
408
00:19:16,320 --> 00:19:18,000
swing low and again, let me take this
409
00:19:18,000 --> 00:19:20,220
off because we're already getting busy.
410
00:19:20,880 --> 00:19:22,920
You could use this swing low to this
411
00:19:22,920 --> 00:19:24,750
swing high in London, and you'll get
412
00:19:24,750 --> 00:19:27,150
this right in here as a retracement.
413
00:19:28,680 --> 00:19:29,580
Okay, and
414
00:19:30,450 --> 00:19:33,990
don't be thrown off also with the breaks
415
00:19:33,990 --> 00:19:36,300
between again i'm sure you hear the time
416
00:19:36,300 --> 00:19:38,700
between the London kill zone here. And
417
00:19:38,700 --> 00:19:41,700
here. There's an overlapping between
418
00:19:41,700 --> 00:19:44,640
these two sessions that is very busy.
419
00:19:44,790 --> 00:19:46,620
Okay, there's a small little period
420
00:19:46,620 --> 00:19:50,340
around 5am New York time, or 10 GMT
421
00:19:50,820 --> 00:19:52,380
where you may get a little bit of a
422
00:19:52,500 --> 00:19:56,280
pause or a breather. That's, you know,
423
00:19:56,790 --> 00:19:58,860
not guaranteed to happen always. Many
424
00:19:58,860 --> 00:20:01,110
times, you'll see prices yawn blow
425
00:20:01,440 --> 00:20:04,200
through that time pocket of, you know
426
00:20:05,460 --> 00:20:10,320
10am till 11 GMT it would be foolish of
427
00:20:10,320 --> 00:20:11,970
me to advise you to always expect it to
428
00:20:11,970 --> 00:20:13,830
be a little pause in here, but you can
429
00:20:13,860 --> 00:20:16,500
reasonably expect it, treat it like a
430
00:20:16,530 --> 00:20:18,720
you know a launch, okay where there's a
431
00:20:18,720 --> 00:20:20,430
small little consolidation and all of a
432
00:20:20,430 --> 00:20:23,280
sudden it'll it'll take off in the trend
433
00:20:23,310 --> 00:20:25,110
direction that's established by the
434
00:20:25,110 --> 00:20:27,660
London session. Okay, so we have a low
435
00:20:27,660 --> 00:20:30,150
forming here on this day again looking
436
00:20:30,150 --> 00:20:32,760
for retracements to buy off of this was
437
00:20:32,760 --> 00:20:35,070
one, this one in here, and then you have
438
00:20:35,070 --> 00:20:37,110
one in the New York session here as
439
00:20:37,110 --> 00:20:38,850
well. You can take this swing low
440
00:20:41,579 --> 00:20:42,209
and
441
00:20:43,710 --> 00:20:46,890
to this high here, okay, and the 62%
442
00:20:46,890 --> 00:20:47,940
trace low and it may be a little
443
00:20:47,940 --> 00:20:50,610
difficult to see so I'll do my best to
444
00:20:52,560 --> 00:20:54,090
draw a little bit tighter to see that
445
00:20:54,570 --> 00:20:56,670
the 62% retracement lays right on top of
446
00:20:56,670 --> 00:20:59,100
that line that would delineates the New
447
00:20:59,100 --> 00:21:01,860
York session beginning The least the
448
00:21:01,860 --> 00:21:04,590
boundary time, and then price rally or
449
00:21:04,590 --> 00:21:04,830
not.
450
00:21:06,990 --> 00:21:07,650
I actually
451
00:21:08,520 --> 00:21:10,590
took this trade, okay, so it's not like
452
00:21:10,590 --> 00:21:12,480
it's something that's purely hindsight.
453
00:21:12,840 --> 00:21:14,760
And if I'm questioned or whatever I can
454
00:21:14,760 --> 00:21:17,010
show you documentation about the trade
455
00:21:17,010 --> 00:21:19,140
and the actual real results, not a demo
456
00:21:19,140 --> 00:21:24,330
trade. And the end, the opportunity to
457
00:21:24,330 --> 00:21:27,690
continue moving higher in intraday in
458
00:21:27,690 --> 00:21:29,730
here also was available and you could
459
00:21:29,730 --> 00:21:31,860
have caught some further upside as well.
460
00:21:32,130 --> 00:21:34,380
But that's outside the scope of this
461
00:21:34,380 --> 00:21:36,990
teaching. And this, this presentation.
462
00:21:37,470 --> 00:21:40,710
Again, moving into, let's go out one
463
00:21:40,710 --> 00:21:41,100
more.
464
00:21:46,440 --> 00:21:48,690
Okay. This was that maybe we're
465
00:21:48,750 --> 00:21:52,650
discussing. And here we have the range
466
00:21:52,680 --> 00:21:55,800
from the previous day's low, up to the
467
00:21:55,800 --> 00:21:59,970
highest high. Okay, we're here prior
468
00:22:00,000 --> 00:22:04,290
Moving into London and New York. Okay,
469
00:22:04,290 --> 00:22:06,060
here's New York down here you can see
470
00:22:06,060 --> 00:22:07,260
our price moved to set an asset
471
00:22:07,260 --> 00:22:09,780
treatment level. Okay, and we're going
472
00:22:09,780 --> 00:22:12,990
to talk about why this may not have been
473
00:22:12,990 --> 00:22:16,200
a good idea to trade okay. Looking for a
474
00:22:16,200 --> 00:22:20,100
long because of something going on over
475
00:22:20,100 --> 00:22:21,990
here. Okay, but that's later on in the
476
00:22:21,990 --> 00:22:26,970
video guys I know teaser teaser price
477
00:22:26,970 --> 00:22:28,800
rallies up in here okay nice opportunity
478
00:22:28,800 --> 00:22:31,710
okay just to be a buyer specifically
479
00:22:31,710 --> 00:22:34,170
looking to catch Long's okay the range
480
00:22:34,170 --> 00:22:36,420
available was 68 pips, you could
481
00:22:36,420 --> 00:22:37,860
reasonably expect to get 30 pips out of
482
00:22:37,860 --> 00:22:39,900
that and so there's absolutely no reason
483
00:22:39,900 --> 00:22:42,780
why. One couldn't have you taken 20 to
484
00:22:42,780 --> 00:22:44,340
30 pips comfortably out of that move.
485
00:22:44,730 --> 00:22:46,770
Even with it retracing and returning
486
00:22:46,770 --> 00:22:50,730
back into this, this range here. We have
487
00:22:50,730 --> 00:22:54,060
a low here. Okay, we have a low in here,
488
00:22:54,510 --> 00:23:01,890
formed and using that To the high formed
489
00:23:02,070 --> 00:23:05,220
rate here, okay price comes down
490
00:23:05,220 --> 00:23:08,250
deviates to 797 tration briefly, just
491
00:23:08,280 --> 00:23:10,170
briefly, okay and then give you a little
492
00:23:10,200 --> 00:23:14,580
tradable rally in here to the tune of
493
00:23:17,280 --> 00:23:19,140
about 25 pips, there's nothing wrong
494
00:23:19,140 --> 00:23:22,290
with that. And if you consider the
495
00:23:22,290 --> 00:23:26,010
overall range of this price swing from
496
00:23:26,010 --> 00:23:28,980
here, up to the high and as it retraces
497
00:23:29,220 --> 00:23:33,210
we had the center line here and the 75
498
00:23:33,360 --> 00:23:36,060
level here, respectively and then look
499
00:23:36,060 --> 00:23:38,460
have come down one more time, found the
500
00:23:38,730 --> 00:23:40,770
sudden acceleration level as well. One
501
00:23:40,770 --> 00:23:42,360
more time bouncing off it like we did
502
00:23:42,360 --> 00:23:45,330
here. Just violated this low just by a
503
00:23:45,330 --> 00:23:47,880
little bit. You see that? If price does
504
00:23:47,880 --> 00:23:49,620
that it's usually a precursor to
505
00:23:49,620 --> 00:23:51,480
something pretty significant. And you
506
00:23:51,480 --> 00:23:53,160
can see how clean these highs up here
507
00:23:53,160 --> 00:23:54,930
were. So you can imagine what was
508
00:23:54,930 --> 00:23:58,830
resting above that. You can see that was
509
00:23:58,830 --> 00:24:00,780
the case here. They took out all starts
510
00:24:00,780 --> 00:24:03,420
with that huge weekend gap blowing out
511
00:24:03,420 --> 00:24:06,000
all these highs that were way too clean
512
00:24:06,570 --> 00:24:11,100
and that's classic ICT work there. You
513
00:24:11,100 --> 00:24:14,460
can see the the results of why I say
514
00:24:14,460 --> 00:24:16,410
when levels are too clean that you can
515
00:24:16,410 --> 00:24:18,270
expect a pocket of stops sitting up
516
00:24:18,270 --> 00:24:20,340
there and they will gun those bad boys
517
00:24:20,340 --> 00:24:22,500
out. And they did a handsome job of it
518
00:24:22,500 --> 00:24:26,550
that week. Okay. And price moved again
519
00:24:27,900 --> 00:24:32,100
on Monday, small little rally here in
520
00:24:32,370 --> 00:24:35,460
the London session going into New York,
521
00:24:35,550 --> 00:24:38,100
okay before retracement deeper. Okay,
522
00:24:38,130 --> 00:24:40,530
now let's look at something
523
00:24:41,579 --> 00:24:42,089
okay.
524
00:24:42,240 --> 00:24:48,900
And it's a very cool technique. And I i
525
00:24:48,900 --> 00:24:51,360
dubbed it and hidden optimal trade
526
00:24:51,360 --> 00:24:54,270
entry. And for those that aren't real
527
00:24:54,780 --> 00:24:57,870
fans of my work, they find it rather
528
00:24:57,870 --> 00:25:00,330
silly to suggest it something Might be
529
00:25:00,330 --> 00:25:02,700
hidden and therefore be useful. But it's
530
00:25:02,700 --> 00:25:04,530
really nothing more than simply looking
531
00:25:04,530 --> 00:25:07,530
at an idea of support resistance. Okay,
532
00:25:07,800 --> 00:25:09,480
which is what we have here. I think it
533
00:25:09,480 --> 00:25:11,130
would be hard pressed to find anyone
534
00:25:11,130 --> 00:25:13,320
that would really fight this as being a
535
00:25:13,320 --> 00:25:16,080
discernible level of resistance. Okay,
536
00:25:16,410 --> 00:25:19,770
we saw a bounce up here, here, here,
537
00:25:20,130 --> 00:25:22,470
okay. And if price was to get back above
538
00:25:22,470 --> 00:25:24,810
it as we see here, we would expect it to
539
00:25:24,810 --> 00:25:28,170
be what? support right? So we would have
540
00:25:28,200 --> 00:25:34,080
a role reversal if you will, okay. But
541
00:25:34,170 --> 00:25:36,600
simply because it's expected level of
542
00:25:36,600 --> 00:25:39,210
resistance here, it may not come back
543
00:25:39,210 --> 00:25:41,130
down to that level anytime soon. But it
544
00:25:41,130 --> 00:25:43,260
still is useful to us as a point of
545
00:25:43,260 --> 00:25:46,650
reference. Because between that level,
546
00:25:46,890 --> 00:25:48,600
and we're price opened up and rallied up
547
00:25:48,600 --> 00:25:52,140
to here, okay. That is a range. This
548
00:25:52,140 --> 00:25:54,120
this right here this point here from
549
00:25:54,120 --> 00:25:57,660
this candles low to this candles close
550
00:25:57,660 --> 00:26:00,720
here. This is a gap now While there was
551
00:26:00,720 --> 00:26:04,140
no trading there, okay, you have to
552
00:26:04,620 --> 00:26:06,510
understand that this is still
553
00:26:08,400 --> 00:26:09,210
a range.
554
00:26:10,769 --> 00:26:13,499
Okay, that's a range. This is simply no
555
00:26:13,499 --> 00:26:15,569
trading between this price point of the
556
00:26:15,569 --> 00:26:17,669
close of the previous Friday and the
557
00:26:17,669 --> 00:26:20,249
opening on Sunday. There's no trading in
558
00:26:20,249 --> 00:26:24,269
there. It's all you know, the liquidity
559
00:26:24,329 --> 00:26:28,079
is none zero, okay? But because price is
560
00:26:28,079 --> 00:26:29,669
trading here, you still have to consider
561
00:26:29,669 --> 00:26:32,819
that as range. Okay? It just means that
562
00:26:32,819 --> 00:26:35,279
there's gaps in between these two price
563
00:26:35,279 --> 00:26:37,379
points. And usually the market finds a
564
00:26:37,379 --> 00:26:40,049
way to fill those gaps, but not right
565
00:26:40,049 --> 00:26:41,879
away sometimes. Okay, so with that
566
00:26:41,879 --> 00:26:45,779
understanding is with this gap, or
567
00:26:45,779 --> 00:26:47,519
without this gap, if you ever see a
568
00:26:47,519 --> 00:26:50,009
discernible level like this, okay, where
569
00:26:50,009 --> 00:26:52,439
it clear resistance and support resides.
570
00:26:52,649 --> 00:26:54,749
If you take your fib and anchor it right
571
00:26:54,749 --> 00:26:58,199
from that price point. And you rallied
572
00:26:58,199 --> 00:27:00,539
off that, take it up, up to To highest
573
00:27:00,569 --> 00:27:05,459
high Okay, when price retraces basically
574
00:27:05,459 --> 00:27:06,659
what you're saying is it's retracing
575
00:27:06,659 --> 00:27:09,359
into this range gaps don't have to fill
576
00:27:09,359 --> 00:27:12,179
also. Okay, I've seen many times where
577
00:27:12,179 --> 00:27:15,179
gaps stayed unfulfilled you know, for
578
00:27:15,449 --> 00:27:17,549
years, that was in commodity markets
579
00:27:17,549 --> 00:27:20,339
that was in stock indices, okay? Just
580
00:27:20,339 --> 00:27:22,019
simply because the gap doesn't mean
581
00:27:22,019 --> 00:27:24,359
necessarily that it's gonna fill. That's
582
00:27:24,359 --> 00:27:26,399
not it doesn't mean this is a common
583
00:27:26,399 --> 00:27:28,499
gap, if you will. Okay, common gaps
584
00:27:28,499 --> 00:27:30,209
usually get filled relatively quick.
585
00:27:30,779 --> 00:27:34,079
This could be a breakaway gap where it
586
00:27:34,079 --> 00:27:35,879
necessarily isn't always going to be
587
00:27:35,879 --> 00:27:39,179
filled in especially IVF have a long
588
00:27:39,179 --> 00:27:42,689
term, monthly yearly trend underway, who
589
00:27:42,689 --> 00:27:43,919
says it's going to have to go away back
590
00:27:43,919 --> 00:27:46,349
down to that gap. Okay, this just shows
591
00:27:46,349 --> 00:27:49,949
that there's a huge influx of buying
592
00:27:50,339 --> 00:27:52,619
Okay, on an institutional level. So
593
00:27:52,619 --> 00:27:54,539
therefore, we still have to consider
594
00:27:54,539 --> 00:27:56,519
this as a range in price comes right
595
00:27:56,519 --> 00:27:59,009
down to the 70.5 and then rallies off of
596
00:27:59,009 --> 00:28:00,779
it gives you what an ounce to trade to
597
00:28:00,779 --> 00:28:04,139
where and why. Okay, so just simply
598
00:28:04,139 --> 00:28:06,869
looking at support resistance and using
599
00:28:06,959 --> 00:28:11,099
Fibonacci alone is useful. Okay? And
600
00:28:11,519 --> 00:28:12,989
there's 40 pips made available to
601
00:28:12,989 --> 00:28:14,579
someone that would simply understand
602
00:28:14,579 --> 00:28:17,819
that concept and work with it. Okay? It
603
00:28:17,819 --> 00:28:19,199
doesn't mean you need to hold on to it
604
00:28:19,199 --> 00:28:21,449
and expect the moon. It just gives you
605
00:28:21,449 --> 00:28:23,369
an opportunity to trade. Okay? And
606
00:28:23,369 --> 00:28:24,929
there's a trading pattern in this that
607
00:28:24,929 --> 00:28:26,609
we're not having discussed. It's been
608
00:28:26,609 --> 00:28:28,769
previously released by me on internet
609
00:28:28,769 --> 00:28:30,779
but that's for another time another
610
00:28:30,779 --> 00:28:34,439
topic. But again, you know, we have this
611
00:28:34,439 --> 00:28:37,049
low in here. Okay, that was an
612
00:28:37,049 --> 00:28:39,629
opportunity to catch a short term little
613
00:28:39,779 --> 00:28:41,549
pop in the market again, focusing only
614
00:28:41,549 --> 00:28:42,269
being a bull.
615
00:28:46,109 --> 00:28:51,119
We have price moving into
616
00:28:51,119 --> 00:28:54,539
a larger consolidation. Okay. We do have
617
00:28:54,539 --> 00:28:56,609
an opportunity to see like this low
618
00:28:56,609 --> 00:28:58,949
here, to this high. This is an
619
00:28:58,949 --> 00:29:00,689
opportunity here, where you Potentially
620
00:29:00,689 --> 00:29:02,969
looked to be a buyer in here, okay, but
621
00:29:02,969 --> 00:29:05,879
with this gap like it is here, it just,
622
00:29:05,939 --> 00:29:08,639
it's a lot of uncertainty where it may
623
00:29:08,639 --> 00:29:10,949
try to reach that you could be a buyer
624
00:29:10,949 --> 00:29:13,409
here. And assuming that was the case,
625
00:29:13,439 --> 00:29:16,799
you know, price was able to move up
626
00:29:16,889 --> 00:29:20,699
strongly, in this case here with FM
627
00:29:20,789 --> 00:29:26,879
FOMC. Release in here. But this this day
628
00:29:26,879 --> 00:29:29,909
here, okay, if we use the same premise
629
00:29:29,909 --> 00:29:32,009
that we had that same support line.
630
00:29:32,609 --> 00:29:34,139
Okay, let's go back just a little bit as
631
00:29:34,139 --> 00:29:37,019
you can see it clear. We're going to use
632
00:29:37,019 --> 00:29:39,899
the same premise this set support line.
633
00:29:40,829 --> 00:29:42,929
And we're using the kill zones again as
634
00:29:42,929 --> 00:29:45,359
guides. And this is the range the
635
00:29:45,359 --> 00:29:47,849
highest high prior to going into the
636
00:29:47,849 --> 00:29:50,669
London and New York sessions. Now,
637
00:29:50,669 --> 00:29:52,739
again, we had FOMC coming out this day,
638
00:29:52,739 --> 00:29:55,619
so you'd have to expect price to just
639
00:29:55,619 --> 00:29:56,969
more or less consolidate prior to going
640
00:29:56,969 --> 00:29:59,999
into that specific release process.
641
00:29:59,999 --> 00:30:02,159
makes the low in New York session right
642
00:30:02,189 --> 00:30:04,739
on the move past before you go to see it
643
00:30:04,739 --> 00:30:07,979
I apologize. Back price comes right down
644
00:30:07,979 --> 00:30:10,349
to 62% retracement level and then takes
645
00:30:10,349 --> 00:30:12,809
off and Quake in case you're you're
646
00:30:12,839 --> 00:30:15,959
you're wondering. I was long in here and
647
00:30:15,959 --> 00:30:19,379
I am going to tweet the actual entry
648
00:30:19,379 --> 00:30:21,659
point and you can see that I was not
649
00:30:22,679 --> 00:30:26,129
outside of this move. It was rather
650
00:30:26,129 --> 00:30:28,169
exciting because it was one of those
651
00:30:28,169 --> 00:30:30,119
times where we had everything in
652
00:30:30,599 --> 00:30:33,179
alignment we had yields suggesting the
653
00:30:33,179 --> 00:30:34,979
price is going to move higher. We had a
654
00:30:34,979 --> 00:30:38,489
huge weekend gap that was unfilled. It
655
00:30:38,489 --> 00:30:40,349
just was unable to breach that
656
00:30:40,379 --> 00:30:46,439
133 25 123 I'm sorry 133 23 level in
657
00:30:46,439 --> 00:30:49,469
this area here as support narrowing came
658
00:30:49,469 --> 00:30:51,959
down to it never needed to and then just
659
00:30:51,959 --> 00:30:53,669
launched vertically on the upside.
660
00:30:53,849 --> 00:30:56,669
Again, keying off of the London open and
661
00:30:56,699 --> 00:31:00,479
New York open kill zones. What was
662
00:31:00,989 --> 00:31:02,549
useful here because the law actually
663
00:31:02,549 --> 00:31:04,289
formed on Monday during the New York
664
00:31:04,289 --> 00:31:08,009
session, and price moved on higher, then
665
00:31:08,009 --> 00:31:10,409
went to another consolidation going into
666
00:31:10,409 --> 00:31:12,479
the close of the week. Again, our
667
00:31:12,509 --> 00:31:16,679
previous understandings in the previous
668
00:31:16,679 --> 00:31:18,689
videos that we see price, when it
669
00:31:18,689 --> 00:31:20,459
rallies large like this, this is a big
670
00:31:20,459 --> 00:31:22,469
daily range. So anything's gonna happen
671
00:31:22,469 --> 00:31:24,329
when the average Joe, he's gonna get in
672
00:31:24,329 --> 00:31:25,259
the market. Well, I'm going to be a
673
00:31:25,259 --> 00:31:26,939
buyer now and I'm going to be expecting
674
00:31:26,939 --> 00:31:29,219
this thing to repeat the same similar
675
00:31:29,219 --> 00:31:32,159
move. Not always, and certainly not off
676
00:31:32,159 --> 00:31:34,139
of an economic report because what'll
677
00:31:34,139 --> 00:31:35,159
happen is there's going to be some
678
00:31:35,159 --> 00:31:37,199
rebalancing. Okay, and what they'll do
679
00:31:37,199 --> 00:31:39,899
is they'll consolidate and more or less
680
00:31:40,049 --> 00:31:42,059
pause for a moment and reflect on
681
00:31:42,059 --> 00:31:44,369
whether or not this was really needed.
682
00:31:44,519 --> 00:31:48,389
Okay. And this is very illiquid a lot of
683
00:31:48,389 --> 00:31:51,359
gaps in here. Okay, so it was in a rush
684
00:31:51,359 --> 00:31:53,069
to get somewhere and it held this
685
00:31:53,369 --> 00:31:57,329
135 3135 50 range.
686
00:31:58,500 --> 00:31:59,400
Okay, and
687
00:31:59,640 --> 00:32:03,420
price Again, moving into consolidation,
688
00:32:04,230 --> 00:32:07,290
looking at how price moves like this, we
689
00:32:07,290 --> 00:32:11,760
are in a wait and see mode when this
690
00:32:11,760 --> 00:32:13,500
happens, even though we are bullish
691
00:32:13,530 --> 00:32:17,460
traders when price moves so aggressively
692
00:32:17,460 --> 00:32:19,410
like this short term, okay and we're
693
00:32:19,410 --> 00:32:21,150
talking about a move intraday
694
00:32:22,109 --> 00:32:22,949
one day
695
00:32:25,200 --> 00:32:28,830
moving 212 pips in one day, when that's
696
00:32:28,830 --> 00:32:31,200
a big that's a huge range for one day
697
00:32:31,680 --> 00:32:34,560
when you see that, okay, expect small
698
00:32:34,560 --> 00:32:37,140
ranges. This is what you see here, small
699
00:32:37,140 --> 00:32:39,030
ranges, small range small ranges, and
700
00:32:39,030 --> 00:32:40,380
then what you're going to wait for is
701
00:32:40,380 --> 00:32:41,970
discernible signs that we have an
702
00:32:41,970 --> 00:32:43,980
opportunity to trade. Okay, and let's
703
00:32:43,980 --> 00:32:45,630
drop out because I'm about to close.
704
00:32:47,910 --> 00:32:51,630
Here is that FOMC release, consolidation
705
00:32:51,630 --> 00:32:53,340
small little retracement smaller retrace
706
00:32:53,340 --> 00:32:56,520
a small retracement and finally we get
707
00:32:56,520 --> 00:32:58,350
some market structure shifting to the
708
00:32:58,350 --> 00:33:02,700
bullish side and then You can see that
709
00:33:02,700 --> 00:33:04,470
net, what I'm referring to is this break
710
00:33:04,470 --> 00:33:06,090
here this high, it made it very
711
00:33:06,090 --> 00:33:07,320
convincing rally, which we're going to
712
00:33:07,320 --> 00:33:09,060
talk about this type of price action and
713
00:33:09,060 --> 00:33:11,010
what is so useful about it,
714
00:33:12,299 --> 00:33:13,019
you have
715
00:33:14,039 --> 00:33:19,889
an opportunity to see this range, price
716
00:33:19,889 --> 00:33:21,149
comes down that ascending is it chasing
717
00:33:21,149 --> 00:33:23,819
a smaller violation, not much. But this
718
00:33:23,819 --> 00:33:26,099
is an opportunity to be a buyer. Again,
719
00:33:26,129 --> 00:33:29,999
focusing on the time window and the kill
720
00:33:29,999 --> 00:33:30,629
zones.
721
00:33:32,130 --> 00:33:32,760
We have
722
00:33:35,130 --> 00:33:37,890
price rally up on out of here. So again,
723
00:33:37,890 --> 00:33:40,440
we have this small little range in here
724
00:33:40,620 --> 00:33:43,620
that is outside of our kill zone. So
725
00:33:43,620 --> 00:33:45,540
even though this could be a trade taken
726
00:33:45,540 --> 00:33:48,120
during the asian session, again, outside
727
00:33:48,120 --> 00:33:50,970
of the scope of this teaching, if we see
728
00:33:50,970 --> 00:33:53,820
this rally up here like this, this is
729
00:33:54,540 --> 00:33:56,670
the area of where you would be expected
730
00:33:56,670 --> 00:34:00,000
to be along based on what we're teaching
731
00:34:01,650 --> 00:34:03,630
And that looks like this. This is the
732
00:34:03,630 --> 00:34:07,500
low during the one kill zone and the
733
00:34:07,500 --> 00:34:09,570
high made during the London kill zone.
734
00:34:09,600 --> 00:34:11,460
So we have a price swing within that
735
00:34:11,460 --> 00:34:13,620
timeframe, right in here, this is
736
00:34:13,620 --> 00:34:16,620
adjacent level, okay? And then zoom in.
737
00:34:21,570 --> 00:34:23,430
Okay, you can see price comes down,
738
00:34:23,940 --> 00:34:26,700
gives you more or less like railroad
739
00:34:26,700 --> 00:34:29,040
tracks if you're a candlestick student.
740
00:34:30,210 --> 00:34:32,520
What that is, is you have a big range
741
00:34:32,520 --> 00:34:35,250
down now they range up immediately. And
742
00:34:35,370 --> 00:34:38,340
that was a precursor to upward pressure.
743
00:34:38,910 --> 00:34:40,590
Again, that's just using the low here.
744
00:34:40,860 --> 00:34:43,380
If you use the low form during the asian
745
00:34:43,380 --> 00:34:45,960
session over here, you can see we didn't
746
00:34:45,960 --> 00:34:51,390
have anything in terms of OTV support
747
00:34:51,420 --> 00:34:54,270
except for some 50% fib which is not
748
00:34:54,270 --> 00:35:00,000
significant in my repertoire. So again,
749
00:35:00,000 --> 00:35:02,010
Without understanding you have it here.
750
00:35:02,430 --> 00:35:03,600
And we have
751
00:35:05,520 --> 00:35:06,270
this
752
00:35:07,319 --> 00:35:09,629
market making the high during the actual
753
00:35:09,659 --> 00:35:11,699
New York session. Okay, and the high
754
00:35:11,699 --> 00:35:22,919
closing on the candle 1400 GMT. So it's
755
00:35:22,919 --> 00:35:24,599
one hour earlier than we would expect to
756
00:35:24,599 --> 00:35:27,719
see profit taking, which is the 1500 GMT
757
00:35:27,719 --> 00:35:28,229
candle.
758
00:35:28,890 --> 00:35:29,970
And that happens
759
00:35:30,660 --> 00:35:33,180
right there. So right in here is when
760
00:35:33,180 --> 00:35:34,890
you would be reasonably expected to see
761
00:35:34,890 --> 00:35:37,350
the high head formed and it was a little
762
00:35:37,350 --> 00:35:40,560
early on that day here. So basically
763
00:35:40,560 --> 00:35:42,810
what we just discussed was an overview
764
00:35:43,020 --> 00:35:46,530
of how important understanding the kill
765
00:35:46,530 --> 00:35:50,400
zones role in trading. Okay, and again,
766
00:35:50,760 --> 00:35:52,020
just focusing on one side of the
767
00:35:52,020 --> 00:35:56,280
marketplace, and that's not necessarily
768
00:35:56,310 --> 00:35:59,430
a weakness, okay. I get a lot of email
769
00:35:59,430 --> 00:36:00,960
flack about You know, well, you're
770
00:36:00,960 --> 00:36:02,250
missing all these opportunities just
771
00:36:02,250 --> 00:36:05,370
doing this. Well, look, man, show me a
772
00:36:05,370 --> 00:36:07,290
trader that's catching every move with
773
00:36:07,290 --> 00:36:09,930
documentation and results that show an
774
00:36:09,930 --> 00:36:11,790
upward equity climb. Because I'm gonna
775
00:36:11,790 --> 00:36:14,340
tell you right now, if they exist,
776
00:36:14,700 --> 00:36:16,680
they're not talking to you. They're work
777
00:36:16,680 --> 00:36:18,540
for some bigwig operation somewhere,
778
00:36:18,570 --> 00:36:21,300
okay? And they could care less who on
779
00:36:21,300 --> 00:36:24,570
the internet believes what? Okay? What
780
00:36:24,570 --> 00:36:26,040
we're discussing here is an opportunity
781
00:36:26,040 --> 00:36:28,830
to learn how to approach and engage the
782
00:36:28,830 --> 00:36:33,360
marketplace with a plan of attack, a
783
00:36:33,360 --> 00:36:36,750
trading plan, if you will, one that is
784
00:36:36,750 --> 00:36:41,370
repeatable one that is usable in all
785
00:36:41,370 --> 00:36:44,370
market conditions, okay. But simply
786
00:36:44,370 --> 00:36:45,720
because it's usable in every market
787
00:36:45,720 --> 00:36:48,000
condition does not mean it's going to be
788
00:36:48,030 --> 00:36:50,880
a trade in every market condition. Okay.
789
00:36:51,330 --> 00:36:53,250
A lot of folks are struggling with
790
00:36:53,250 --> 00:36:55,020
directional bias. We're going to talk
791
00:36:55,020 --> 00:36:57,270
about that in this video module. We're
792
00:36:57,270 --> 00:36:58,590
going to talk about the importance of
793
00:36:58,590 --> 00:37:01,380
not doing anything Okay, because a lot
794
00:37:01,380 --> 00:37:04,710
of times, folks will just assume that
795
00:37:04,860 --> 00:37:06,390
just simply because the market moved
796
00:37:06,690 --> 00:37:08,700
better ICT was involved in that trade,
797
00:37:08,760 --> 00:37:11,790
not necessarily. My trade frequency is
798
00:37:11,790 --> 00:37:14,760
very small. I used to trade a lot. You
799
00:37:14,760 --> 00:37:16,890
don't have to trade a lot. Okay. The
800
00:37:16,890 --> 00:37:18,630
tools I'm sharing in this video series
801
00:37:18,660 --> 00:37:21,630
will allow you to cherry pick these
802
00:37:21,930 --> 00:37:24,420
concepts. It's being divulged in this.
803
00:37:24,720 --> 00:37:27,690
This specific trading plan series is
804
00:37:27,750 --> 00:37:30,930
designed for you to catch those one shot
805
00:37:30,930 --> 00:37:33,570
one kill weekly hauls, where you just
806
00:37:33,570 --> 00:37:35,580
waiting for that really good setup for
807
00:37:35,580 --> 00:37:38,190
the week. Make your weekly objective.
808
00:37:38,520 --> 00:37:40,380
Don't care if it goes anything beyond
809
00:37:40,410 --> 00:37:43,890
your normal expected in terms of, you
810
00:37:43,890 --> 00:37:45,720
know, if it's 50 to 100 pips for the
811
00:37:45,720 --> 00:37:47,790
week, whatever this approach will help
812
00:37:47,790 --> 00:37:50,520
you do that. It'll help you get in that
813
00:37:50,520 --> 00:37:53,850
direction of being consistently hauling
814
00:37:53,850 --> 00:37:56,820
that type of that game. If you are
815
00:37:56,820 --> 00:37:58,860
expecting this to give you every single
816
00:37:58,860 --> 00:38:01,830
day trades You're looking outside the
817
00:38:01,830 --> 00:38:04,500
scope of what its intended purposes. Now
818
00:38:04,500 --> 00:38:06,540
I have approaches and techniques and
819
00:38:06,540 --> 00:38:08,310
concepts that are applicable for those
820
00:38:08,310 --> 00:38:10,470
types of environments and those styles
821
00:38:10,470 --> 00:38:12,300
of trading. But I don't think it's a
822
00:38:12,300 --> 00:38:15,570
good fit for new traders. I think it
823
00:38:15,600 --> 00:38:17,820
builds confidence if one can, number
824
00:38:17,820 --> 00:38:20,400
one, learn to anticipate, learn to
825
00:38:20,430 --> 00:38:22,440
engage with an understanding why you're
826
00:38:22,440 --> 00:38:24,210
doing it when you're doing it, when not
827
00:38:24,210 --> 00:38:26,190
to do it, which is more important to you
828
00:38:26,340 --> 00:38:28,650
taking a trade because there's more time
829
00:38:28,650 --> 00:38:30,840
in the market for you to lose money than
830
00:38:30,840 --> 00:38:32,910
there are for you to actually be in line
831
00:38:32,910 --> 00:38:34,380
with the market and then make money.
832
00:38:34,680 --> 00:38:35,790
Okay, and we're going to discuss that
833
00:38:35,790 --> 00:38:37,920
later on in this video. But understand
834
00:38:37,920 --> 00:38:42,120
that the the likelihood and the odds and
835
00:38:42,150 --> 00:38:46,380
time window for you to lose money is far
836
00:38:46,380 --> 00:38:49,140
greater than the short small little
837
00:38:49,140 --> 00:38:50,700
pockets of opportunity that present
838
00:38:50,700 --> 00:38:53,790
themselves as trade setups that are
839
00:38:53,820 --> 00:38:56,910
profitable. Look, if you take 1000
840
00:38:56,910 --> 00:38:59,580
traders home from all corners of the
841
00:38:59,580 --> 00:39:02,130
earth Put them in a room and you tell
842
00:39:02,130 --> 00:39:04,020
them look at the same chart, every
843
00:39:04,020 --> 00:39:05,580
single one of those guys are going to
844
00:39:05,580 --> 00:39:06,930
have something different and what they
845
00:39:06,930 --> 00:39:10,260
see and what they expect. This is a
846
00:39:10,290 --> 00:39:13,170
framework for you to build upon. It's
847
00:39:13,170 --> 00:39:17,250
not a complete, be all end all. Okay?
848
00:39:17,250 --> 00:39:19,830
It's not a panacea. But what you're
849
00:39:19,830 --> 00:39:21,240
going to get from this is gonna
850
00:39:21,570 --> 00:39:22,380
give you a
851
00:39:23,280 --> 00:39:26,610
procedure to apply. And if it's applied
852
00:39:26,610 --> 00:39:29,430
correctly, within the defined terms,
853
00:39:29,430 --> 00:39:32,790
from video, one to video eight, you're
854
00:39:32,790 --> 00:39:35,880
going to see a big picture panoramic
855
00:39:35,880 --> 00:39:38,280
view of when you should be engaging,
856
00:39:38,310 --> 00:39:40,200
when you should not be engaging. And
857
00:39:40,200 --> 00:39:42,960
when you are engaging, what specifically
858
00:39:42,960 --> 00:39:47,220
you're doing, when, why, how, okay,
859
00:39:47,370 --> 00:39:49,470
there's going to be no ambiguity when it
860
00:39:49,470 --> 00:39:52,020
comes to that. But it's important for
861
00:39:52,020 --> 00:39:53,460
you to get through all this boring dry
862
00:39:53,460 --> 00:39:55,770
stuff because that's what gives you the
863
00:39:55,770 --> 00:39:58,770
understanding to make you effective once
864
00:39:58,770 --> 00:40:00,510
you start applying these tools. Because
865
00:40:01,380 --> 00:40:02,730
every time you watch these videos, it
866
00:40:02,730 --> 00:40:04,080
doesn't mean simply go out the next day
867
00:40:04,080 --> 00:40:06,120
and expect those things unfold exactly
868
00:40:06,120 --> 00:40:09,000
as you saw in that previous video, you
869
00:40:09,000 --> 00:40:13,080
learn by expecting to see similarities
870
00:40:13,080 --> 00:40:15,300
to what you see in these videos, and you
871
00:40:15,510 --> 00:40:18,420
gain a understanding, okay, and you
872
00:40:18,420 --> 00:40:19,650
activate your reticular activating
873
00:40:19,650 --> 00:40:21,540
system where you start seeing the same
874
00:40:21,540 --> 00:40:24,660
pattern unfolding all the time, always,
875
00:40:24,660 --> 00:40:26,730
they're always there. And there's gonna
876
00:40:26,730 --> 00:40:29,040
be slight deviations from what you
877
00:40:29,190 --> 00:40:31,050
expect to see and what actually is
878
00:40:31,050 --> 00:40:33,210
there. And that's the fine art and
879
00:40:33,210 --> 00:40:35,220
trading that you aren't going to learn
880
00:40:35,220 --> 00:40:36,780
from a textbook. You're not going to
881
00:40:36,780 --> 00:40:39,360
learn from a $2,000 webinar seminar
882
00:40:39,630 --> 00:40:42,570
going across the planet. Go see somebody
883
00:40:42,570 --> 00:40:44,040
that promises he's been doing it for,
884
00:40:44,310 --> 00:40:46,530
you know, 25 years and he said, He's so
885
00:40:46,530 --> 00:40:47,730
much better than everybody else.
886
00:40:48,030 --> 00:40:48,420
Look,
887
00:40:49,500 --> 00:40:52,440
there is going to be a growing period
888
00:40:52,470 --> 00:40:54,420
for you. And it's going to come with
889
00:40:54,420 --> 00:40:56,520
being in front of the charts. I learned
890
00:40:56,520 --> 00:40:59,490
something new every single month. I'll
891
00:40:59,490 --> 00:41:01,920
go back over My journal, and I will
892
00:41:01,920 --> 00:41:03,510
discuss about how to keep a journal and
893
00:41:03,540 --> 00:41:05,790
in the last portions of these videos,
894
00:41:06,090 --> 00:41:07,830
and what's a real good way of referring
895
00:41:07,830 --> 00:41:09,240
to it, reflecting on it and what you
896
00:41:09,240 --> 00:41:10,530
should be gleaning from every time you
897
00:41:10,530 --> 00:41:13,680
do it. I learned something new. And a
898
00:41:13,680 --> 00:41:15,360
lot of it's about myself not necessarily
899
00:41:15,360 --> 00:41:17,400
about the marketplace, but I learned a
900
00:41:17,400 --> 00:41:19,680
lot and I journal those types of things.
901
00:41:19,680 --> 00:41:24,810
So when you see these kill zones, learn
902
00:41:24,840 --> 00:41:27,870
to anticipate specific types of price
903
00:41:27,870 --> 00:41:30,720
action and behavior. You are not at the
904
00:41:30,720 --> 00:41:32,910
point at which you are expecting to do
905
00:41:33,030 --> 00:41:35,580
trades yet. Okay? You're still in an
906
00:41:35,580 --> 00:41:38,190
observatory state. Okay, what you're
907
00:41:38,190 --> 00:41:40,980
doing is you're spectating or paper
908
00:41:40,980 --> 00:41:42,750
trading. Okay. You're just looking to
909
00:41:42,750 --> 00:41:46,230
see how these markets, gyrate and move
910
00:41:46,230 --> 00:41:49,080
within these specific time windows with
911
00:41:49,530 --> 00:41:52,560
a higher timeframe. panoramic, quote,
912
00:41:52,560 --> 00:41:56,100
unquote, fundamental perspective. And
913
00:41:56,100 --> 00:41:58,140
I'm hoping that you're gleaning that
914
00:41:58,530 --> 00:42:03,090
there is A few cherries hanging on the
915
00:42:03,090 --> 00:42:05,790
monthly tree of forex. Okay, that you
916
00:42:05,790 --> 00:42:07,950
can calmly and gingerly walk up to it.
917
00:42:08,340 --> 00:42:11,160
Reach Out and pluck those cherries, when
918
00:42:11,160 --> 00:42:14,640
you know, it's applicable for you to do
919
00:42:14,640 --> 00:42:16,440
so. Not simply because it's an
920
00:42:16,470 --> 00:42:18,060
opportunity to trade because therefore,
921
00:42:18,240 --> 00:42:21,270
it's Monday, the markets trading, I got
922
00:42:21,270 --> 00:42:23,100
home from work early, or I'm going to
923
00:42:23,100 --> 00:42:25,110
bed early, I'm going to get up and be up
924
00:42:25,110 --> 00:42:27,300
in London, therefore, I'm making time to
925
00:42:27,300 --> 00:42:28,650
be in the market. So I'm going to take
926
00:42:28,650 --> 00:42:30,360
that trade, there's no necessary,
927
00:42:30,390 --> 00:42:32,130
there's not necessarily a guarantee,
928
00:42:32,550 --> 00:42:34,530
anywhere that your trading opportunity
929
00:42:34,530 --> 00:42:36,930
in terms of time and freedom isn't going
930
00:42:36,930 --> 00:42:40,050
to line up with the market dynamics, you
931
00:42:40,050 --> 00:42:42,360
know, propel the market up or down in
932
00:42:42,360 --> 00:42:46,020
your favor. So it's, it's important to
933
00:42:46,020 --> 00:42:48,840
understand that, okay, and these kill
934
00:42:48,840 --> 00:42:50,880
zones while they are absolutely dynamite
935
00:42:50,880 --> 00:42:52,710
in the right hands with someone that
936
00:42:52,710 --> 00:42:54,930
understands what should be transpiring
937
00:42:55,500 --> 00:42:57,420
and a combination of all these
938
00:42:57,420 --> 00:42:59,970
components together by themselves.
939
00:43:00,000 --> 00:43:01,260
They're absolutely going to be useless
940
00:43:01,260 --> 00:43:03,210
to you. Okay, this highlighting a window
941
00:43:03,210 --> 00:43:05,220
of time where things generally happen,
942
00:43:05,430 --> 00:43:07,440
okay? So don't expect them to do
943
00:43:07,440 --> 00:43:10,800
anything more than that. But go back at
944
00:43:10,830 --> 00:43:12,870
when looking when the the when the
945
00:43:12,870 --> 00:43:16,350
windows of the kill zone on London and
946
00:43:16,380 --> 00:43:19,800
New York present these tremendous
947
00:43:19,830 --> 00:43:21,960
opportunities for you to be involved
948
00:43:22,260 --> 00:43:25,050
with being in that marketplace with that
949
00:43:25,080 --> 00:43:27,300
dynamic in mind like we had from
950
00:43:27,300 --> 00:43:28,920
September 9, we expected the market to
951
00:43:28,920 --> 00:43:30,420
move higher, we expected the dollar to
952
00:43:30,420 --> 00:43:31,980
move lower. We understood that
953
00:43:31,980 --> 00:43:33,750
fundamentally quote unquote based on
954
00:43:33,750 --> 00:43:36,120
interest rates, okay. And that mad
955
00:43:36,120 --> 00:43:38,940
magnetic pole it will have on prices in
956
00:43:38,940 --> 00:43:41,040
the currency market. And you saw that
957
00:43:41,040 --> 00:43:43,020
unfold here, not necessarily just simply
958
00:43:43,020 --> 00:43:45,180
in the euro. It happened in the cable.
959
00:43:45,510 --> 00:43:47,820
Okay, it happened in the Australian
960
00:43:47,820 --> 00:43:52,140
dollar. Okay, it happened in all of the
961
00:43:52,140 --> 00:43:54,450
foreign currency markets in contrast to
962
00:43:54,450 --> 00:43:57,930
the US dollar. Okay, folks, we're gonna
963
00:43:57,930 --> 00:43:59,250
be looking at directional bias
964
00:43:59,250 --> 00:44:01,980
framework. And before we get into the
965
00:44:01,980 --> 00:44:05,370
specifics, I want to ask you a question.
966
00:44:05,580 --> 00:44:07,260
Okay. And we kind of visited this
967
00:44:07,290 --> 00:44:10,470
earlier on in the video series, but why
968
00:44:10,470 --> 00:44:13,050
do markets move? You know what, what
969
00:44:13,050 --> 00:44:16,410
propels markets higher and lower? Is the
970
00:44:16,410 --> 00:44:18,870
average retail traders like you and I,
971
00:44:19,260 --> 00:44:21,840
or is it going to be the large
972
00:44:22,260 --> 00:44:25,590
institutional banks and investment
973
00:44:25,590 --> 00:44:30,120
firms? those entities on the larger
974
00:44:30,120 --> 00:44:32,130
scale obviously, beyond the shadow of a
975
00:44:32,130 --> 00:44:35,370
doubt, are the catalysts for markets
976
00:44:35,370 --> 00:44:37,440
moving higher and lower, because their
977
00:44:37,440 --> 00:44:41,700
sheer volume you three requires price to
978
00:44:41,700 --> 00:44:45,390
move based on some supply and demand
979
00:44:45,570 --> 00:44:48,750
factors that they create by their mere
980
00:44:48,750 --> 00:44:52,590
presence in a specific asset class. And
981
00:44:52,590 --> 00:44:54,600
it goes without saying that if a
982
00:44:54,600 --> 00:44:58,800
currency is undervalued, and for
983
00:44:58,800 --> 00:45:00,630
whatever reason, that large As an
984
00:45:00,630 --> 00:45:03,060
institution seems to believe that it's
985
00:45:03,060 --> 00:45:04,770
undervalued and it's going to appreciate
986
00:45:04,770 --> 00:45:08,310
in value with you, without that, they
987
00:45:08,310 --> 00:45:11,010
will try to accumulate that currency.
988
00:45:11,400 --> 00:45:14,220
But because their, their volume level is
989
00:45:14,220 --> 00:45:19,410
such such a great contrast to what we
990
00:45:19,410 --> 00:45:22,770
see in a retail side, they leave a very
991
00:45:22,770 --> 00:45:25,650
big footprint. Okay? And I use the
992
00:45:25,650 --> 00:45:27,720
analogy in this video series. It's like
993
00:45:27,720 --> 00:45:30,420
the elephant getting in this children's
994
00:45:30,420 --> 00:45:34,200
pool. Okay? This the displacement of
995
00:45:34,200 --> 00:45:34,770
water.
996
00:45:36,330 --> 00:45:38,490
It can't be missed. It's obvious. It's
997
00:45:38,520 --> 00:45:41,040
when they enter. You can see there's a
998
00:45:41,250 --> 00:45:44,460
there's a major shift in price. Okay,
999
00:45:44,460 --> 00:45:46,260
they don't sneak in. They don't, you
1000
00:45:46,260 --> 00:45:48,300
know, all of a sudden I look at that,
1001
00:45:48,300 --> 00:45:50,970
you know, this 500 PIP rally just took
1002
00:45:50,970 --> 00:45:52,200
off out of nowhere. Where'd this come
1003
00:45:52,200 --> 00:45:55,020
from? If you understand what an elephant
1004
00:45:55,020 --> 00:45:57,180
track looks like, you'll know what
1005
00:45:57,210 --> 00:46:00,180
happens in the future. When you see See
1006
00:46:00,180 --> 00:46:02,730
them start to materialize in price
1007
00:46:02,730 --> 00:46:05,670
action. Okay. It's a rather simplistic
1008
00:46:05,670 --> 00:46:08,340
way of looking at it. But the main thing
1009
00:46:08,370 --> 00:46:10,530
you need to understand as a trader is
1010
00:46:10,530 --> 00:46:13,500
that you are not going to muscle this
1011
00:46:13,500 --> 00:46:16,740
market. Okay, you're not going to be the
1012
00:46:16,740 --> 00:46:18,300
catalyst for it to move up and down.
1013
00:46:18,600 --> 00:46:21,300
Okay? It's a collection of us the retail
1014
00:46:21,300 --> 00:46:24,030
universe in trading will not move this
1015
00:46:24,030 --> 00:46:25,710
market. Now, we may cause little minor
1016
00:46:25,710 --> 00:46:28,590
blips, okay, in a very, very short term,
1017
00:46:29,040 --> 00:46:34,710
okay. But by far and large, the currents
1018
00:46:34,740 --> 00:46:36,750
in the marketplace are always going to
1019
00:46:36,750 --> 00:46:39,600
be dictated by the larger predators,
1020
00:46:39,660 --> 00:46:42,240
okay? And those entities are what we
1021
00:46:42,240 --> 00:46:44,820
considered quote unquote, smart money.
1022
00:46:46,020 --> 00:46:47,970
And because they have the sheer volume
1023
00:46:47,970 --> 00:46:49,950
behind their, their trades, you know,
1024
00:46:50,040 --> 00:46:53,760
they can manipulate the marketplace on a
1025
00:46:53,760 --> 00:46:57,780
certain certain timeframe. Now, the long
1026
00:46:57,780 --> 00:47:02,010
term trends obviously result of these
1027
00:47:02,220 --> 00:47:03,960
larger institutional Smart Money
1028
00:47:03,990 --> 00:47:08,250
investors and trading banks. They keep
1029
00:47:08,280 --> 00:47:10,350
momentum moving in one particular
1030
00:47:10,350 --> 00:47:12,390
direction or the other until something
1031
00:47:12,390 --> 00:47:14,520
changes it either fundamentally, or
1032
00:47:14,520 --> 00:47:17,550
technically, that prevents them from one
1033
00:47:17,550 --> 00:47:21,840
to participate in that existing trend.
1034
00:47:22,050 --> 00:47:23,430
And then that's what will happen is
1035
00:47:23,430 --> 00:47:25,560
you'll see a market shift, there'll be a
1036
00:47:25,560 --> 00:47:27,990
pause maybe, or an abrupt reversal all
1037
00:47:27,990 --> 00:47:30,150
together, and a change in market tide.
1038
00:47:31,350 --> 00:47:33,600
Your job as a trader is simply just get
1039
00:47:33,600 --> 00:47:36,330
involved with what those Smart Money
1040
00:47:36,330 --> 00:47:38,160
traders are doing. Okay, and we're gonna
1041
00:47:38,160 --> 00:47:40,260
be dealing specifically with that type
1042
00:47:40,260 --> 00:47:45,450
of mindset in this section. And the next
1043
00:47:45,450 --> 00:47:46,530
section after this, we're going to be
1044
00:47:46,530 --> 00:47:49,590
dealing with a lot more specifics in
1045
00:47:49,590 --> 00:47:52,890
terms of how to trade with the insights
1046
00:47:53,340 --> 00:47:55,350
that's gleaned with Smart Money action,
1047
00:47:55,710 --> 00:47:57,750
and in the candlesticks and the new
1048
00:47:57,750 --> 00:47:59,340
overall price action of whatever asset
1049
00:47:59,340 --> 00:48:02,670
class to trade, and because this is an
1050
00:48:02,670 --> 00:48:04,920
ICT concept, it's universal. it's
1051
00:48:04,920 --> 00:48:06,840
applicable to commodities applicable to
1052
00:48:06,840 --> 00:48:11,310
stocks, energies, crude oil, metals,
1053
00:48:11,340 --> 00:48:12,780
gold, silver, palladium, platinum,
1054
00:48:13,380 --> 00:48:17,790
copper, in in, as well as debt
1055
00:48:17,790 --> 00:48:19,710
instruments like the bond and Tino
1056
00:48:19,710 --> 00:48:22,290
markets. So don't think this is only
1057
00:48:22,290 --> 00:48:25,050
going to work in forex. It's a measure
1058
00:48:25,080 --> 00:48:28,650
of understanding how to read
1059
00:48:29,280 --> 00:48:31,890
institutional ordering, and the order
1060
00:48:31,890 --> 00:48:34,800
flow that's apparent in price action.
1061
00:48:35,190 --> 00:48:39,870
And it does not require a dependency on
1062
00:48:39,870 --> 00:48:44,670
indicators, okay, so it's a leading
1063
00:48:44,670 --> 00:48:46,650
indicator, if you will, it does not lag.
1064
00:48:46,680 --> 00:48:47,760
Okay. So in other words, you're going to
1065
00:48:47,760 --> 00:48:50,580
see the future and what I'm sharing with
1066
00:48:50,580 --> 00:48:54,090
this concept versus what you would glean
1067
00:48:54,090 --> 00:48:55,920
if you were just using a stochastic or a
1068
00:48:55,920 --> 00:48:58,470
MACD or whatever indicator you like to
1069
00:48:58,470 --> 00:49:00,450
use, okay, so it's a forward Looking
1070
00:49:00,690 --> 00:49:03,810
approach versus looking at old data and
1071
00:49:03,810 --> 00:49:05,610
crunching it mathematically to arrive at
1072
00:49:05,610 --> 00:49:08,370
whenever you come to believe is
1073
00:49:08,640 --> 00:49:13,680
beneficial with indicators. Alright, so
1074
00:49:13,710 --> 00:49:17,010
what makes a trade? high probability?
1075
00:49:17,250 --> 00:49:18,900
Okay, in other words, strategically
1076
00:49:18,900 --> 00:49:21,180
speaking, when you hear mentors or
1077
00:49:21,180 --> 00:49:23,310
traders or authors or whatever it is
1078
00:49:23,310 --> 00:49:26,310
that you, you pay attention to, or even
1079
00:49:26,310 --> 00:49:30,060
me when I say this is high probability,
1080
00:49:30,420 --> 00:49:34,380
what deems that setup high probability?
1081
00:49:35,040 --> 00:49:36,990
Well, the simple fact is, is it's
1082
00:49:37,500 --> 00:49:40,350
generally in sync with what the higher
1083
00:49:40,350 --> 00:49:43,140
timeframe market charts are telling us.
1084
00:49:43,500 --> 00:49:46,650
And also with the current market
1085
00:49:46,650 --> 00:49:47,850
environment, in other words, there's a
1086
00:49:47,850 --> 00:49:50,220
risk on risk off is it moving in in the
1087
00:49:50,220 --> 00:49:51,420
general tide of what the higher
1088
00:49:51,420 --> 00:49:52,920
timeframe markets are doing because
1089
00:49:52,920 --> 00:49:54,720
again, we understand that these large
1090
00:49:54,750 --> 00:49:58,260
animal, predator and these elephants, if
1091
00:49:58,260 --> 00:49:59,520
you will, when they enter the
1092
00:49:59,520 --> 00:50:02,610
marketplace They're going to push price
1093
00:50:02,610 --> 00:50:03,930
around. And again, think of that
1094
00:50:03,930 --> 00:50:07,560
analogy, the, the price of the asset
1095
00:50:07,560 --> 00:50:08,550
class and we're going to stick with
1096
00:50:08,550 --> 00:50:11,970
forex. In this example. Assuming For
1097
00:50:12,120 --> 00:50:14,640
this example, we're looking at the fiber
1098
00:50:15,120 --> 00:50:19,140
or your USD pair for the market rally,
1099
00:50:19,410 --> 00:50:21,810
as we see here in the early part of
1100
00:50:21,810 --> 00:50:23,580
July, up
1101
00:50:24,840 --> 00:50:27,360
to this point here, okay, that's not
1102
00:50:27,360 --> 00:50:29,940
coming by way of retail traders. Okay.
1103
00:50:29,940 --> 00:50:31,530
Now, that does not mean that retail
1104
00:50:31,530 --> 00:50:33,270
traders cannot be a part of this move.
1105
00:50:33,570 --> 00:50:35,010
Okay, but the catalyst was certainly
1106
00:50:35,010 --> 00:50:38,820
not, you know, originated by the retail
1107
00:50:38,820 --> 00:50:42,420
universe. Okay, that was clearly the
1108
00:50:42,420 --> 00:50:44,730
large dominant players in the
1109
00:50:44,730 --> 00:50:49,350
marketplace. But there are certain clues
1110
00:50:49,350 --> 00:50:52,950
that are left in the chart. That's very
1111
00:50:52,950 --> 00:50:53,970
clear if you understand what you're
1112
00:50:53,970 --> 00:50:56,880
looking for, and how you can use those
1113
00:50:56,880 --> 00:51:00,750
moving forward. If we under Standard our
1114
00:51:00,750 --> 00:51:03,270
trading is in sync with that mindset.
1115
00:51:03,600 --> 00:51:07,080
That's what causes us to qualify or
1116
00:51:07,080 --> 00:51:10,320
quantify the trade as high probability.
1117
00:51:10,500 --> 00:51:12,600
Why is it high probability is because
1118
00:51:12,630 --> 00:51:14,910
it's moving in the journal tied, that's
1119
00:51:14,910 --> 00:51:17,310
been established by the larger dominant
1120
00:51:17,370 --> 00:51:20,640
institutional trading. So if we are in
1121
00:51:20,640 --> 00:51:22,380
sync with that tide, or if we're in sync
1122
00:51:22,380 --> 00:51:24,780
with that market momentum, okay, we are
1123
00:51:24,780 --> 00:51:27,330
not trying to be contrarian in regards
1124
00:51:27,330 --> 00:51:30,300
to fighting the strong arm Smart Money
1125
00:51:30,300 --> 00:51:32,160
traders, okay? They're going to take the
1126
00:51:32,160 --> 00:51:33,780
market where they wanted to go
1127
00:51:33,780 --> 00:51:35,460
regardless of how many indicators you
1128
00:51:35,460 --> 00:51:37,590
have on your chart, whether it be your,
1129
00:51:37,950 --> 00:51:41,070
you know, your electronic little trading
1130
00:51:41,070 --> 00:51:42,780
programs that you created and typed up
1131
00:51:42,780 --> 00:51:44,190
and maybe you bought it on the internet
1132
00:51:44,190 --> 00:51:45,210
and it's made a lot of money in the
1133
00:51:45,210 --> 00:51:47,910
past. Those absolutely are worthless
1134
00:51:48,000 --> 00:51:49,710
unless they're in sync with what the
1135
00:51:50,010 --> 00:51:51,660
large institutional traders are doing.
1136
00:51:51,750 --> 00:51:54,600
Okay. And the only way you understand
1137
00:51:54,600 --> 00:51:56,250
what they're doing is by price action,
1138
00:51:57,060 --> 00:51:59,850
and leading indicators such as working
1139
00:51:59,850 --> 00:52:02,010
with Discuss in these next two sections.
1140
00:52:02,430 --> 00:52:05,070
And I promise you, you're going to jump
1141
00:52:05,100 --> 00:52:08,400
about 20 light years ahead in terms of
1142
00:52:08,400 --> 00:52:10,110
what your understanding in price action
1143
00:52:10,410 --> 00:52:12,030
and prognostication in terms of
1144
00:52:12,030 --> 00:52:13,560
technical analysis, okay, that's a
1145
00:52:13,560 --> 00:52:17,940
promise a guaranteed okay? So now, let's
1146
00:52:17,940 --> 00:52:20,910
take a look at the ICT no brainer,
1147
00:52:21,000 --> 00:52:23,730
directional bias concepts. Okay? And I
1148
00:52:23,730 --> 00:52:25,590
say that with tongue in cheek because
1149
00:52:26,040 --> 00:52:28,590
I've been asked so many times about
1150
00:52:28,950 --> 00:52:32,460
directional bias and, you know, how, how
1151
00:52:32,460 --> 00:52:34,920
do I get it right more times than wrong
1152
00:52:34,980 --> 00:52:36,300
in terms of where the direction of the
1153
00:52:36,300 --> 00:52:38,130
market is going to go, either be short
1154
00:52:38,130 --> 00:52:39,780
term, intermediate term or even long
1155
00:52:39,780 --> 00:52:42,000
term. And it's simply a matter of
1156
00:52:42,000 --> 00:52:44,670
understanding higher level charts
1157
00:52:44,700 --> 00:52:47,820
support resistance, price action, and
1158
00:52:47,850 --> 00:52:50,040
the overall tendency that the market
1159
00:52:50,040 --> 00:52:52,170
will continue to move in one direction
1160
00:52:52,170 --> 00:52:54,660
or another, until something of equal or
1161
00:52:54,660 --> 00:53:01,470
greater that may cause a break Shift the
1162
00:53:01,470 --> 00:53:04,860
title in the higher level charts. So if
1163
00:53:04,860 --> 00:53:07,020
you have that understanding, every
1164
00:53:07,020 --> 00:53:09,360
little minor move on an intraday charts,
1165
00:53:09,390 --> 00:53:12,480
okay, are meaningless in regards to the
1166
00:53:12,480 --> 00:53:14,820
higher time frame unless you understand
1167
00:53:14,820 --> 00:53:16,260
how to apply them and what do I mean by
1168
00:53:16,260 --> 00:53:20,040
that? We'll use this rally from here in
1169
00:53:20,040 --> 00:53:22,710
July. Okay, from the lows made here in
1170
00:53:22,710 --> 00:53:24,960
the fiber. Again, Euro USD is the daily
1171
00:53:24,960 --> 00:53:27,540
chart as the market moves from this
1172
00:53:27,540 --> 00:53:29,760
point here, okay, and we're just gonna
1173
00:53:30,480 --> 00:53:33,030
quickly identify the, the ranges here.
1174
00:53:33,510 --> 00:53:36,120
Okay, this point here, and I'm just
1175
00:53:36,120 --> 00:53:37,740
roughly just dropping in doesn't have to
1176
00:53:37,740 --> 00:53:39,600
be the exact we're just talking about a
1177
00:53:39,600 --> 00:53:42,180
specific move in price. Okay, from
1178
00:53:42,180 --> 00:53:45,570
around the 127 57, low to 134 50 level.
1179
00:53:45,810 --> 00:53:48,270
Okay, that's a pretty significant means
1180
00:53:48,270 --> 00:53:50,640
of movement between one point to
1181
00:53:50,640 --> 00:53:53,190
another. Now in terms of pips, we're
1182
00:53:53,190 --> 00:53:57,480
talking approximately almost 700 pips
1183
00:53:57,510 --> 00:54:00,600
rally from there. Okay. And We were
1184
00:54:00,600 --> 00:54:02,940
talking about the cable on fiber making
1185
00:54:02,940 --> 00:54:05,790
a low back in here, both this point and
1186
00:54:05,790 --> 00:54:08,910
this point here. So this is no surprise
1187
00:54:08,910 --> 00:54:12,000
to us in terms of ICT concepts. If you
1188
00:54:12,000 --> 00:54:14,190
go back on on YouTube, I actually talked
1189
00:54:14,190 --> 00:54:15,780
about the cable acts and making the very
1190
00:54:15,780 --> 00:54:20,340
low well in advance based around some of
1191
00:54:20,340 --> 00:54:21,390
the principles we're going to talk about
1192
00:54:21,390 --> 00:54:23,160
here. And also I'm going to build upon
1193
00:54:23,190 --> 00:54:25,290
what's already been released in my
1194
00:54:25,320 --> 00:54:30,000
previous works. So now, if we understand
1195
00:54:30,000 --> 00:54:34,230
this has been established, okay, this
1196
00:54:34,230 --> 00:54:35,550
price moves been established by the
1197
00:54:35,550 --> 00:54:37,650
large institutional Smart Money traders,
1198
00:54:37,650 --> 00:54:39,900
okay, those that have huge blocks of
1199
00:54:39,900 --> 00:54:41,730
trading, that will push the market all
1200
00:54:41,730 --> 00:54:44,550
over the place. It does not mean that
1201
00:54:44,550 --> 00:54:46,080
there's not short term selling
1202
00:54:46,080 --> 00:54:47,790
opportunities in here. Okay, I'm not,
1203
00:54:47,880 --> 00:54:50,160
I'm not negating the effectiveness of
1204
00:54:50,160 --> 00:54:52,740
short term or day trading contrarian to
1205
00:54:52,740 --> 00:54:54,270
the larger time frame. I'm not saying
1206
00:54:54,270 --> 00:54:56,700
that, but this series is really designed
1207
00:54:56,700 --> 00:55:00,000
to get you focused in on only two
1208
00:55:00,000 --> 00:55:03,150
Reading with this tide. Okay? And when
1209
00:55:03,150 --> 00:55:05,940
you start trading with that it's same
1210
00:55:05,940 --> 00:55:08,250
thing here from this high to this low.
1211
00:55:08,460 --> 00:55:09,960
If you were looking for just shorts in
1212
00:55:09,960 --> 00:55:12,450
that environment, your trades number one
1213
00:55:12,480 --> 00:55:15,690
are going to be, quote unquote high
1214
00:55:15,690 --> 00:55:17,370
probability because you're trading in
1215
00:55:17,370 --> 00:55:19,650
sync with the higher timeframe. macro
1216
00:55:19,650 --> 00:55:21,360
perspective, okay, because we're looking
1217
00:55:21,360 --> 00:55:24,360
at a daily chart and this flow,
1218
00:55:25,050 --> 00:55:27,870
okay of orders moving lower. Okay, it's
1219
00:55:27,870 --> 00:55:30,660
going to drive pricing lower, even
1220
00:55:30,660 --> 00:55:31,740
though you'll see these minor little
1221
00:55:31,740 --> 00:55:34,500
blips going higher intraday, okay, those
1222
00:55:34,500 --> 00:55:36,840
are rallies that you sell into much in
1223
00:55:36,840 --> 00:55:39,450
the same capacity on the flip side of
1224
00:55:39,450 --> 00:55:42,060
that, all during this point here, any
1225
00:55:42,060 --> 00:55:45,270
decline just sets up a retracement in a
1226
00:55:45,330 --> 00:55:46,560
up move. Okay, so you're going to be
1227
00:55:46,560 --> 00:55:51,390
trading retracements lower into a
1228
00:55:52,020 --> 00:55:53,580
upswing in price because you're
1229
00:55:53,580 --> 00:55:56,460
basically buying dips and rally and
1230
00:55:56,460 --> 00:55:59,040
you're selling rallies in a decline.
1231
00:55:59,220 --> 00:56:01,680
Okay, so As the markets moving lower,
1232
00:56:01,980 --> 00:56:03,990
you're going to be looking for rallies
1233
00:56:03,990 --> 00:56:07,080
to sell into that flies in the face of
1234
00:56:07,080 --> 00:56:09,420
what generally neophyte traders
1235
00:56:09,570 --> 00:56:12,390
anticipate or expect to do rather, okay
1236
00:56:12,390 --> 00:56:14,280
or react to okay, because generally,
1237
00:56:15,090 --> 00:56:18,690
retail neophytes don't have skills to
1238
00:56:18,690 --> 00:56:21,090
anticipate they simply react, you know,
1239
00:56:21,120 --> 00:56:23,490
an economic report come out, you know,
1240
00:56:23,490 --> 00:56:25,260
five minutes ago that they had no idea
1241
00:56:25,260 --> 00:56:26,160
was coming because they never pay
1242
00:56:26,160 --> 00:56:27,480
attention to the economic calendar,
1243
00:56:27,570 --> 00:56:29,910
something that a seasoned professional
1244
00:56:29,940 --> 00:56:32,190
will always consult prior to the week
1245
00:56:32,190 --> 00:56:35,160
beginning. In fact, I know what's coming
1246
00:56:35,460 --> 00:56:37,200
up for the entire month and I have
1247
00:56:37,230 --> 00:56:39,180
certain dates that I circle where
1248
00:56:39,180 --> 00:56:40,620
there's going to be high probability
1249
00:56:40,620 --> 00:56:43,770
volatility, okay because I view market
1250
00:56:43,980 --> 00:56:46,680
economic indicators and reports that
1251
00:56:46,680 --> 00:56:49,770
come out you you methodically out
1252
00:56:49,800 --> 00:56:52,440
throughout the entire month. These
1253
00:56:52,470 --> 00:56:54,810
reports, okay, are injections of
1254
00:56:54,810 --> 00:56:57,240
volatility and I look for them to set up
1255
00:56:57,240 --> 00:56:59,700
or can confirm a continuation of an
1256
00:56:59,700 --> 00:57:01,680
exist Move on may either be a part of or
1257
00:57:01,680 --> 00:57:03,180
looking to be a part of. So I'm
1258
00:57:03,180 --> 00:57:05,850
anticipating versus with the neophyte
1259
00:57:05,850 --> 00:57:09,120
traders Do you know and majority of the
1260
00:57:09,120 --> 00:57:11,460
folks that populate these online forums
1261
00:57:11,460 --> 00:57:14,640
that, you know, where they appear as if
1262
00:57:14,640 --> 00:57:16,530
they may be convincing other people that
1263
00:57:16,530 --> 00:57:17,880
they're smart or, or they're
1264
00:57:17,880 --> 00:57:19,980
intelligent, or they have a service
1265
00:57:19,980 --> 00:57:21,870
that's, you know, useful. So therefore,
1266
00:57:21,870 --> 00:57:23,640
I'm going to sell for $25 a month or
1267
00:57:23,790 --> 00:57:26,310
$120 a month or whatever, okay, those
1268
00:57:26,310 --> 00:57:30,360
individuals, okay, they are nowhere near
1269
00:57:30,360 --> 00:57:33,180
the degree of trader that you are
1270
00:57:33,180 --> 00:57:35,220
looking for, you want to go beyond that,
1271
00:57:35,280 --> 00:57:37,740
okay. And to get into the realm of what
1272
00:57:37,740 --> 00:57:39,540
we considered an underground traders
1273
00:57:39,540 --> 00:57:41,880
like myself, or folks that are just
1274
00:57:41,880 --> 00:57:44,160
really out there killing it. And they
1275
00:57:44,160 --> 00:57:46,050
don't, we don't really care, who
1276
00:57:46,050 --> 00:57:47,580
believes what we're making. We don't we
1277
00:57:47,580 --> 00:57:49,920
don't care about that. You want to get
1278
00:57:49,920 --> 00:57:52,080
to that same mindset as well. Okay, and
1279
00:57:52,080 --> 00:57:53,070
the concepts that we're going to be
1280
00:57:53,070 --> 00:57:55,590
learning in this, this particular video
1281
00:57:55,590 --> 00:57:59,880
itself is going to be hugely impactful
1282
00:58:00,000 --> 00:58:02,580
Your trading if you apply it correctly,
1283
00:58:02,880 --> 00:58:05,160
and it's very, very simple procedures,
1284
00:58:05,280 --> 00:58:08,460
so I'm pretty confident that it won't be
1285
00:58:08,460 --> 00:58:12,600
taken out of the intended context of how
1286
00:58:12,600 --> 00:58:14,550
to apply it, because it's rather simple.
1287
00:58:15,180 --> 00:58:19,410
But my advice to you is trying not to
1288
00:58:19,410 --> 00:58:22,860
build on this and add more things to it
1289
00:58:22,860 --> 00:58:24,210
because we're going to be talking about
1290
00:58:24,210 --> 00:58:26,550
candlestick patterns. Okay, but there's
1291
00:58:26,550 --> 00:58:28,530
not a whole slew of them like you see,
1292
00:58:28,740 --> 00:58:30,720
if you pick up, you know, a candlestick
1293
00:58:30,720 --> 00:58:33,540
charting book, you know, man, I have so
1294
00:58:33,540 --> 00:58:35,640
many candlestick patterns, how do you?
1295
00:58:36,300 --> 00:58:38,490
How do you arrive at what what to use?
1296
00:58:38,550 --> 00:58:40,830
Okay, and it's just, it's just too much.
1297
00:58:40,890 --> 00:58:44,670
Okay, it's information overload. Prior
1298
00:58:44,670 --> 00:58:47,040
to this video series, I presented a
1299
00:58:47,040 --> 00:58:51,240
whole plethora of general market insight
1300
00:58:51,690 --> 00:58:55,020
because it was meant to get you focused
1301
00:58:55,020 --> 00:58:58,290
in on what specifically is useful when
1302
00:58:58,290 --> 00:59:00,540
you're digesting price as Moving
1303
00:59:00,540 --> 00:59:03,000
intraday daily weekly, you want to be
1304
00:59:03,000 --> 00:59:05,550
seeing certain things and till you
1305
00:59:05,550 --> 00:59:09,690
identify the the, the repeating
1306
00:59:09,690 --> 00:59:11,880
reoccurrence of certain phenomenon that
1307
00:59:11,880 --> 00:59:14,910
takes place in price. You can't get
1308
00:59:14,910 --> 00:59:17,370
deeper into price action study, okay?
1309
00:59:17,460 --> 00:59:20,250
Imagine how many of you can speak
1310
00:59:20,250 --> 00:59:23,850
Russian? I can't. So for me to learn it,
1311
00:59:23,850 --> 00:59:25,770
I got to go through this long daunting
1312
00:59:25,770 --> 00:59:28,470
task of understanding how to use simple
1313
00:59:28,470 --> 00:59:31,170
terms. And, you know, maybe you're in
1314
00:59:31,170 --> 00:59:33,240
some mannerisms, to commute to
1315
00:59:33,420 --> 00:59:35,940
communicate that, that language in the
1316
00:59:35,940 --> 00:59:38,490
initial stages, it's almost like, you
1317
00:59:38,490 --> 00:59:40,290
know, when we were in kindergarten as an
1318
00:59:40,290 --> 00:59:41,610
American, you know, when we learn
1319
00:59:41,610 --> 00:59:43,290
English, we start with these picture
1320
00:59:43,290 --> 00:59:45,660
forms. This is an apple, you start with
1321
00:59:45,660 --> 00:59:46,830
a very, very,
1322
00:59:47,670 --> 00:59:48,420
you know,
1323
00:59:49,679 --> 00:59:52,769
limited scope in terms of understanding
1324
00:59:52,769 --> 00:59:56,729
and you build upon that. Well, the the
1325
00:59:56,729 --> 00:59:59,279
original onset of my information being
1326
00:59:59,279 --> 01:00:01,889
released It went over a lot of people's
1327
01:00:01,889 --> 01:00:03,629
heads because they were looking for the
1328
01:00:03,659 --> 01:00:05,699
get me and get me out. And I need to do
1329
01:00:05,699 --> 01:00:07,859
this every single day. And they didn't
1330
01:00:07,859 --> 01:00:10,499
want to take the learning approach to
1331
01:00:10,499 --> 01:00:13,409
understanding the market completely.
1332
01:00:13,709 --> 01:00:15,449
Okay? There's got to be a macro
1333
01:00:15,449 --> 01:00:17,339
perspective in your understanding.
1334
01:00:17,759 --> 01:00:19,289
Otherwise, the things that we're going
1335
01:00:19,289 --> 01:00:21,419
to be discussing here, okay, you're
1336
01:00:21,419 --> 01:00:24,809
going to know if you got a full grasp on
1337
01:00:24,809 --> 01:00:26,159
the general principles that I've
1338
01:00:26,159 --> 01:00:28,229
released. Because if this goes over your
1339
01:00:28,229 --> 01:00:31,139
head, you had no idea what you missed,
1340
01:00:31,349 --> 01:00:32,789
go back over all the previous
1341
01:00:32,789 --> 01:00:34,289
information I released on the internet,
1342
01:00:34,589 --> 01:00:35,579
okay, and then you'll be able to
1343
01:00:35,579 --> 01:00:36,899
understand what I'm about to share here,
1344
01:00:37,109 --> 01:00:38,729
because it's simply not looking for a
1345
01:00:38,729 --> 01:00:41,009
particular white or black candle, and
1346
01:00:41,009 --> 01:00:42,119
therefore, it's going to do this every
1347
01:00:42,119 --> 01:00:44,069
time it does. Don't Don't think that
1348
01:00:44,099 --> 01:00:45,839
okay, but if you understand the
1349
01:00:45,839 --> 01:00:47,519
parameters that we're going to cover,
1350
01:00:47,939 --> 01:00:50,849
and why it's designed to do what we're
1351
01:00:50,849 --> 01:00:53,759
anticipating, you'll, you'll see that
1352
01:00:53,759 --> 01:00:55,679
it's not surprised you you'll know going
1353
01:00:55,679 --> 01:00:58,079
into every week of the month that you
1354
01:00:58,109 --> 01:00:59,819
know exactly specifically what you're
1355
01:00:59,819 --> 01:01:01,589
looking For, you know what days of the
1356
01:01:01,589 --> 01:01:02,729
week you're going to be looking for, you
1357
01:01:02,729 --> 01:01:04,229
know what time of that day you're
1358
01:01:04,229 --> 01:01:06,209
looking for it to occur. Now, does that
1359
01:01:06,209 --> 01:01:07,649
sound like someone that's rolling the
1360
01:01:07,649 --> 01:01:09,779
dice? Does that sound like somebody that
1361
01:01:09,779 --> 01:01:11,009
really doesn't know what they're doing?
1362
01:01:11,369 --> 01:01:14,759
Okay? The skills that you're going to
1363
01:01:14,759 --> 01:01:18,719
learn, okay? are going to give you the
1364
01:01:18,719 --> 01:01:21,539
ability to remove all of the emotions
1365
01:01:21,539 --> 01:01:24,239
that's always plagued you. Okay? And I
1366
01:01:24,239 --> 01:01:25,319
know some of you you're beating your,
1367
01:01:25,409 --> 01:01:28,109
your fist on the on the couch probably
1368
01:01:28,109 --> 01:01:29,519
or your computer desk at work, whatever,
1369
01:01:29,729 --> 01:01:31,709
come on, ICT get to it's a whole lot of
1370
01:01:31,709 --> 01:01:33,869
ramble here. Okay. But I really want you
1371
01:01:33,869 --> 01:01:37,949
to understand that it's, it's important,
1372
01:01:37,949 --> 01:01:40,199
it's crucial that you understand that
1373
01:01:40,229 --> 01:01:47,759
this is not needed to be rocket science.
1374
01:01:47,849 --> 01:01:50,669
Okay? If there's a lot of tools that
1375
01:01:50,669 --> 01:01:53,309
I've shared, I've tweaked it, other
1376
01:01:53,309 --> 01:01:55,559
people have created, I had my own little
1377
01:01:55,559 --> 01:01:58,799
spin on it. But some of these things
1378
01:01:58,799 --> 01:02:00,779
that are just simply They're that are
1379
01:02:00,779 --> 01:02:03,959
very, very generic. Okay? They elude all
1380
01:02:03,959 --> 01:02:05,909
this. And when I first started looking
1381
01:02:05,909 --> 01:02:08,459
at charts, it eluded me as well, okay?
1382
01:02:08,819 --> 01:02:10,919
But I'm going to strip all this stuff
1383
01:02:10,919 --> 01:02:12,659
back and open the curtain if you will,
1384
01:02:12,719 --> 01:02:14,189
okay? And you're going to look through
1385
01:02:14,189 --> 01:02:17,339
the, the eyes of ICT and you're going to
1386
01:02:17,339 --> 01:02:21,509
have ICT vision. Okay, starting now, I'm
1387
01:02:21,509 --> 01:02:22,769
going to give you the perspective that
1388
01:02:22,769 --> 01:02:24,149
you need as a professional trader,
1389
01:02:24,299 --> 01:02:25,439
you're going to give you the perspective
1390
01:02:25,469 --> 01:02:27,959
that you need to see price through the
1391
01:02:27,959 --> 01:02:30,569
lens of a price action trader. This is
1392
01:02:30,569 --> 01:02:32,669
what you want to be looking at and what
1393
01:02:32,669 --> 01:02:34,109
you're hunting and what you're stalking
1394
01:02:34,109 --> 01:02:36,659
and why you're doing it. Okay. So let's
1395
01:02:36,659 --> 01:02:40,949
go and start working on the directional
1396
01:02:40,979 --> 01:02:47,099
bias concepts. And hopefully, you guys
1397
01:02:47,099 --> 01:02:48,779
are all frothing at the mouth ready to
1398
01:02:49,589 --> 01:02:52,019
devour what is going to be shared here.
1399
01:02:52,469 --> 01:02:54,689
Now there's going to be a very similar
1400
01:02:55,169 --> 01:02:58,829
apparents to a few of these concepts
1401
01:02:58,829 --> 01:03:02,279
because I've released Some videos in the
1402
01:03:02,279 --> 01:03:05,279
past where they discovered, you know, by
1403
01:03:05,279 --> 01:03:07,889
simply applying a moving average or to
1404
01:03:08,189 --> 01:03:09,869
it gives me a perspective to stay with a
1405
01:03:09,869 --> 01:03:12,989
momentum idea. Okay. And that's
1406
01:03:12,989 --> 01:03:14,309
generally how the funds and
1407
01:03:14,309 --> 01:03:16,649
institutional traders, you know, keep
1408
01:03:16,649 --> 01:03:19,139
the momentum going. And it keeps you
1409
01:03:19,139 --> 01:03:21,479
from trying to pick a top and pick a
1410
01:03:21,479 --> 01:03:23,039
bottom when there's really no need for
1411
01:03:23,039 --> 01:03:26,609
you to be doing that yet. Okay? What you
1412
01:03:26,609 --> 01:03:28,199
want to do is you want to start with
1413
01:03:28,199 --> 01:03:30,659
your daily chart, okay? Again, this is
1414
01:03:30,659 --> 01:03:34,169
an intermediate term trading strategy,
1415
01:03:34,199 --> 01:03:36,119
where it really is focusing on one
1416
01:03:36,149 --> 01:03:39,149
really strong setup per week. And again,
1417
01:03:39,149 --> 01:03:41,099
if you're a new trader, that's my advice
1418
01:03:41,099 --> 01:03:42,689
is to start there with your demo account
1419
01:03:42,689 --> 01:03:44,249
trading. Don't try to be in there every
1420
01:03:44,249 --> 01:03:46,589
single day trading, but still study on
1421
01:03:46,589 --> 01:03:48,989
an intraday basis daily after the fact.
1422
01:03:49,169 --> 01:03:51,299
So you can get an idea what price action
1423
01:03:51,299 --> 01:03:55,499
is doing generally, but your your daily
1424
01:03:55,499 --> 01:03:57,599
chart is your higher timeframe. Okay,
1425
01:03:57,599 --> 01:03:58,859
and again, we're not negating the
1426
01:03:58,859 --> 01:04:00,629
importance of MONTH Weekly support
1427
01:04:00,629 --> 01:04:02,159
resistance, but we're just going to be
1428
01:04:02,159 --> 01:04:04,379
going to the daily chart as our go to
1429
01:04:04,379 --> 01:04:06,809
high end, higher timeframe chart, okay,
1430
01:04:06,809 --> 01:04:09,329
and go over the videos previous to this
1431
01:04:09,329 --> 01:04:11,789
one, where it discloses what timeframe
1432
01:04:11,789 --> 01:04:13,679
charts you would use for a particular
1433
01:04:13,679 --> 01:04:15,719
type of trading that you may be
1434
01:04:15,719 --> 01:04:19,049
comfortable with. Alright, so again,
1435
01:04:19,049 --> 01:04:20,039
with the daily chart, what you're going
1436
01:04:20,039 --> 01:04:22,049
to do is again, using mt four platform,
1437
01:04:22,049 --> 01:04:25,019
you go up to insert, go to indicators,
1438
01:04:25,379 --> 01:04:26,639
you're going to go down the trend,
1439
01:04:27,389 --> 01:04:31,259
you're gonna go to moving average. And
1440
01:04:31,259 --> 01:04:34,589
you're gonna be using the 18, period,
1441
01:04:34,769 --> 01:04:36,659
moving average, and it doesn't matter
1442
01:04:36,659 --> 01:04:37,829
really what colors you use, we're just
1443
01:04:37,829 --> 01:04:39,839
gonna go with this. And then you're
1444
01:04:39,839 --> 01:04:42,299
going to go and add another moving
1445
01:04:42,299 --> 01:04:48,269
average. Okay, and make sure it's
1446
01:04:48,299 --> 01:04:50,909
exponential. It's just to me, it just
1447
01:04:50,909 --> 01:04:51,239
gives you a
1448
01:04:51,240 --> 01:04:55,230
better smoothing factor in terms of
1449
01:04:56,460 --> 01:04:57,990
moving average and the next period,
1450
01:04:57,990 --> 01:05:00,930
you're going to be using a nine You want
1451
01:05:00,930 --> 01:05:02,160
to have this color a little bit
1452
01:05:02,160 --> 01:05:03,210
different, so we're just going to go
1453
01:05:03,210 --> 01:05:07,920
with red. Okay, and again, the colors
1454
01:05:07,950 --> 01:05:09,810
are not important, it's just you want to
1455
01:05:09,810 --> 01:05:12,570
know for instance, the red one here, the
1456
01:05:12,570 --> 01:05:14,550
nine, you want to know what that that
1457
01:05:14,550 --> 01:05:17,850
color is in contrast to the slower 18
1458
01:05:17,850 --> 01:05:20,310
period exponential moving average, okay?
1459
01:05:21,600 --> 01:05:23,370
Now, the importance of having a moving
1460
01:05:23,370 --> 01:05:26,790
average set like this, it would it gives
1461
01:05:26,790 --> 01:05:28,740
you is it gives you insight in terms of
1462
01:05:28,980 --> 01:05:31,500
where the institutional flow is. Okay?
1463
01:05:31,770 --> 01:05:34,230
If you can't see the price swings for
1464
01:05:34,230 --> 01:05:37,320
what they are naked, this will give you
1465
01:05:38,130 --> 01:05:40,890
the again quote unquote no brainer. Now
1466
01:05:40,890 --> 01:05:42,840
again, it's not to promise that you're
1467
01:05:42,840 --> 01:05:44,280
never going to have a losing trade.
1468
01:05:44,730 --> 01:05:46,650
That's not I am promised that no one
1469
01:05:46,650 --> 01:05:49,140
ever can. But what I'm giving you here,
1470
01:05:49,230 --> 01:05:54,300
you will not miss the two to four really
1471
01:05:54,300 --> 01:05:57,990
handsome setups per month. Okay, and if
1472
01:05:57,990 --> 01:05:59,760
you just do the simple math on it, it
1473
01:05:59,760 --> 01:06:01,320
works out To be about a one shot, one
1474
01:06:01,320 --> 01:06:06,030
kill per week. That's all you need to
1475
01:06:06,030 --> 01:06:08,550
make a career, and I'm talking a wildly
1476
01:06:08,550 --> 01:06:11,610
successful trading career. And I know
1477
01:06:11,610 --> 01:06:12,990
that flies in the face of what you're
1478
01:06:12,990 --> 01:06:15,240
expecting or what you currently
1479
01:06:15,240 --> 01:06:17,790
understand, but I'm promising you, if
1480
01:06:17,790 --> 01:06:20,400
someone consistently draws 50 pips every
1481
01:06:20,400 --> 01:06:22,020
single week out of the marketplace, if
1482
01:06:22,020 --> 01:06:24,090
you know how to do that, and you can
1483
01:06:24,090 --> 01:06:25,830
control your equity and know how to
1484
01:06:25,830 --> 01:06:29,190
apply it, you know, systematically, you
1485
01:06:29,190 --> 01:06:31,680
have absolutely no idea where that can
1486
01:06:31,680 --> 01:06:33,840
take you. And it's crazy amount of
1487
01:06:33,840 --> 01:06:36,270
money, crazy, crazy, insane amount of
1488
01:06:36,270 --> 01:06:39,240
money, if you understand how to do that.
1489
01:06:39,750 --> 01:06:42,510
But the problem is, you made him You
1490
01:06:42,510 --> 01:06:44,910
made a simple trade last week or
1491
01:06:44,940 --> 01:06:47,310
yesterday and you love that feeling,
1492
01:06:47,340 --> 01:06:49,440
okay? You get addicted that to that
1493
01:06:49,440 --> 01:06:51,450
moment of astonishment. Okay, so you
1494
01:06:51,450 --> 01:06:52,590
want to go back in there and do it
1495
01:06:52,590 --> 01:06:53,880
again. Because you'd like that feeling
1496
01:06:53,880 --> 01:06:56,490
you need your fix. That was the hardest
1497
01:06:56,490 --> 01:06:58,530
thing for me to overcome. And I'm
1498
01:06:58,530 --> 01:06:59,700
promising you that's going to be the
1499
01:06:59,700 --> 01:07:00,660
hardest thing that you're gonna have to
1500
01:07:00,660 --> 01:07:03,870
deal with. Because, you know, when we
1501
01:07:03,870 --> 01:07:06,000
first get involved we can, we can expect
1502
01:07:06,000 --> 01:07:07,710
to lose money, okay? And for whatever
1503
01:07:07,710 --> 01:07:09,480
reason we like to block the losers out
1504
01:07:09,510 --> 01:07:11,700
and only focus on winners, but you need
1505
01:07:11,700 --> 01:07:13,740
to be able to look at them, you know the
1506
01:07:13,740 --> 01:07:15,840
same way their trades and you need to
1507
01:07:15,840 --> 01:07:17,640
learn from them. But more importantly
1508
01:07:17,640 --> 01:07:19,890
when you make money, okay, you need to
1509
01:07:19,890 --> 01:07:21,930
act slow when you're trying to make
1510
01:07:21,930 --> 01:07:24,360
money, and then act fast.
1511
01:07:24,659 --> 01:07:26,789
Okay, or react fast is the only time you
1512
01:07:26,789 --> 01:07:28,079
get permission from ICT to be a
1513
01:07:28,079 --> 01:07:31,019
reactionary trader. you react quickly to
1514
01:07:31,019 --> 01:07:33,389
preserve or protect your equity or
1515
01:07:33,389 --> 01:07:37,439
capital. You move slowly to attempt to
1516
01:07:37,439 --> 01:07:40,709
make money, okay? fools rush in. Where
1517
01:07:40,709 --> 01:07:44,189
wise man tread softly and slowly Okay,
1518
01:07:44,489 --> 01:07:46,259
we don't plunge in there trying to just
1519
01:07:46,259 --> 01:07:48,209
go in and try to make the next dollar. I
1520
01:07:48,209 --> 01:07:50,279
want to know what I have is lined up
1521
01:07:50,309 --> 01:07:52,139
with the higher timeframes. There's this
1522
01:07:52,139 --> 01:07:54,179
nice support resistance level, momentum
1523
01:07:54,179 --> 01:07:55,649
is moving higher order flows moving
1524
01:07:55,649 --> 01:07:57,689
higher, then I'll be looking for a long
1525
01:07:57,779 --> 01:08:00,299
okay in a kill zone based on the into
1526
01:08:00,299 --> 01:08:02,339
retracements back in an existing price
1527
01:08:02,339 --> 01:08:03,599
swing, and we're going to talk about
1528
01:08:03,599 --> 01:08:05,669
that as we go along. But for now, the
1529
01:08:05,669 --> 01:08:07,559
building block starts with having the
1530
01:08:07,559 --> 01:08:09,359
two moving averages right here. Okay?
1531
01:08:10,349 --> 01:08:13,709
When the nine period moving average is
1532
01:08:13,709 --> 01:08:17,339
below the 18, what that establishes,
1533
01:08:17,579 --> 01:08:20,279
that's your framework for
1534
01:08:25,890 --> 01:08:29,640
when the nine period or in this case red
1535
01:08:30,120 --> 01:08:32,550
moving average is below the blue 18.
1536
01:08:32,550 --> 01:08:36,330
Period, okay, that establishes a bearish
1537
01:08:37,290 --> 01:08:39,390
framework, okay, in other words, or I
1538
01:08:39,390 --> 01:08:42,300
like to call a cell model, okay, our
1539
01:08:42,300 --> 01:08:45,360
cell program rather. What that does is
1540
01:08:45,360 --> 01:08:47,520
it gives you the green light go to look
1541
01:08:47,520 --> 01:08:50,610
for selling opportunities to be a bear.
1542
01:08:50,970 --> 01:08:52,350
Okay, are you going to be selling into
1543
01:08:52,350 --> 01:08:56,100
rallies? Okay. And when the nine period
1544
01:08:56,130 --> 01:08:58,410
is above the 18 period, what you're
1545
01:08:58,410 --> 01:09:00,510
looking for is buying out opportunities
1546
01:09:00,540 --> 01:09:03,030
where you want to be buying a dip. Okay
1547
01:09:03,030 --> 01:09:06,060
intraday or over the course of a few
1548
01:09:06,060 --> 01:09:09,090
days. If you're a short term trader, as
1549
01:09:09,090 --> 01:09:11,790
we make a retracement lower, okay, all
1550
01:09:11,790 --> 01:09:14,070
that's doing is it's creating a new buy
1551
01:09:14,070 --> 01:09:17,880
opportunity. Okay? And that's what keeps
1552
01:09:17,880 --> 01:09:19,620
you on the right side of the marketplace
1553
01:09:19,620 --> 01:09:24,630
and you arrive at what was discussed a
1554
01:09:24,630 --> 01:09:26,640
few moments ago what classifies a trade
1555
01:09:26,640 --> 01:09:28,950
as high probability, this is high
1556
01:09:28,950 --> 01:09:30,900
probability. Okay? And what I want to
1557
01:09:30,900 --> 01:09:32,370
draw your attention to and here is,
1558
01:09:32,370 --> 01:09:34,680
again, avoid the notion of having to
1559
01:09:34,680 --> 01:09:36,390
feel like you have to pick the tops in
1560
01:09:36,390 --> 01:09:37,740
the bottoms in the marketplace, okay?
1561
01:09:37,980 --> 01:09:39,930
There's tools that I have that helps you
1562
01:09:39,930 --> 01:09:41,790
do that on a higher timeframe macro
1563
01:09:41,790 --> 01:09:43,620
perspective, but we're looking at more
1564
01:09:43,620 --> 01:09:45,510
dynamic trading. This will allow you to
1565
01:09:45,510 --> 01:09:47,730
get into the trenches, immediately start
1566
01:09:47,730 --> 01:09:49,830
applying the tools, okay, on a weekly
1567
01:09:49,830 --> 01:09:51,330
basis, and then hopefully in your demo
1568
01:09:51,330 --> 01:09:52,590
account, you'll see the fruits of your
1569
01:09:52,590 --> 01:09:55,800
labors. But it also is this I
1570
01:09:55,800 --> 01:09:57,570
specifically chose this timeframe
1571
01:09:57,690 --> 01:10:00,840
because it will it will force you To not
1572
01:10:00,840 --> 01:10:03,300
over trade, which is one of the biggest,
1573
01:10:03,480 --> 01:10:07,080
huge barrier for new traders. Day
1574
01:10:07,080 --> 01:10:09,210
Trading is not everyday trading, okay?
1575
01:10:09,390 --> 01:10:11,010
And I'm not teaching you day trading
1576
01:10:11,010 --> 01:10:14,160
here, I'm teaching you high probability
1577
01:10:14,280 --> 01:10:17,670
one shot one kill, kill them hard, I
1578
01:10:17,670 --> 01:10:20,550
mean, just knock them dead type setups
1579
01:10:20,550 --> 01:10:22,320
where if you just sit back and you wait
1580
01:10:22,320 --> 01:10:23,520
for these types of setups and you're
1581
01:10:23,520 --> 01:10:25,920
demonstrating, you'll see a huge
1582
01:10:25,920 --> 01:10:28,410
increase of your, your confidence, your
1583
01:10:28,410 --> 01:10:30,450
understanding the marketplace, you will
1584
01:10:30,450 --> 01:10:32,910
hone your patience, you may not have
1585
01:10:32,910 --> 01:10:35,640
patience now, but using the concepts in
1586
01:10:35,640 --> 01:10:39,000
this series, you are forced to hone your
1587
01:10:39,000 --> 01:10:41,790
patience. Okay. A lot of folks that I've
1588
01:10:41,790 --> 01:10:43,770
been in contact with over the last few
1589
01:10:43,770 --> 01:10:46,140
years because of my presence on a
1590
01:10:46,140 --> 01:10:49,830
particular market forum. They have
1591
01:10:49,830 --> 01:10:51,600
struggled with patience, they struggle
1592
01:10:51,600 --> 01:10:53,850
with these, these demons if you will,
1593
01:10:54,030 --> 01:10:57,090
internally. So I'm forcing you go back
1594
01:10:57,090 --> 01:10:59,340
to this type of perspective. Okay, and
1595
01:10:59,340 --> 01:11:00,900
number one is going to live Your excess
1596
01:11:01,470 --> 01:11:03,750
trading, it'll take it down a huge
1597
01:11:03,780 --> 01:11:05,130
notch. Okay, because you're only gonna
1598
01:11:05,130 --> 01:11:08,280
be trading at maximum, you know, a few
1599
01:11:08,280 --> 01:11:10,350
times a week, okay, depending upon the
1600
01:11:10,350 --> 01:11:13,140
Killzone and the setup. And you're
1601
01:11:13,140 --> 01:11:15,570
forced to have a much larger perspective
1602
01:11:15,570 --> 01:11:18,660
in terms of your analysis. So really the
1603
01:11:18,660 --> 01:11:21,660
worst case scenario, I think that a
1604
01:11:21,660 --> 01:11:23,790
trader would have would be maybe, you
1605
01:11:23,790 --> 01:11:26,760
know, 12 to 14 trades the entire month.
1606
01:11:27,120 --> 01:11:29,070
And that's still might, in my opinion,
1607
01:11:29,070 --> 01:11:31,560
that's a busy trader. And some of you
1608
01:11:31,560 --> 01:11:33,090
guys get in here and you find 10 minutes
1609
01:11:33,090 --> 01:11:36,120
and you catch them five or six pips and
1610
01:11:36,120 --> 01:11:37,710
that's wonderful. If that's what you do.
1611
01:11:37,980 --> 01:11:39,720
That's wonderful. I just think that's
1612
01:11:39,810 --> 01:11:42,660
crazy, but I used to do it and it
1613
01:11:42,660 --> 01:11:43,890
doesn't pay off the amount of time you
1614
01:11:43,890 --> 01:11:46,170
put in. If you have this perspective,
1615
01:11:46,170 --> 01:11:47,130
you're going to see it blows it out of
1616
01:11:47,130 --> 01:11:49,170
the water. And I'm not spending a whole
1617
01:11:49,170 --> 01:11:50,490
lot of time in front of my computers.
1618
01:11:50,550 --> 01:11:52,170
Okay. And which is what you want to be
1619
01:11:52,170 --> 01:11:53,730
doing to professional traders don't
1620
01:11:54,120 --> 01:11:56,100
don't live in front of monitors. Okay,
1621
01:11:56,130 --> 01:11:58,980
they don't do it. junkies do. Okay,
1622
01:11:58,980 --> 01:12:02,580
action hounds, do And they may do a
1623
01:12:02,580 --> 01:12:05,190
trading for a living, okay, but I'm not
1624
01:12:05,190 --> 01:12:07,380
promising you their own age all the
1625
01:12:07,380 --> 01:12:08,340
time, they're probably
1626
01:12:09,630 --> 01:12:10,260
dumping
1627
01:12:10,710 --> 01:12:12,960
gallons of caffeinated drinks in their
1628
01:12:12,960 --> 01:12:15,540
body, okay? And high sugars and, and
1629
01:12:15,570 --> 01:12:17,130
just their health probably really,
1630
01:12:17,130 --> 01:12:19,440
really stinks in terms of, you're not
1631
01:12:19,440 --> 01:12:21,300
being a part of the real world out away
1632
01:12:21,300 --> 01:12:22,890
from these charts. So this is going to
1633
01:12:22,890 --> 01:12:25,710
give you that ability to do that. So we
1634
01:12:25,710 --> 01:12:27,960
already identified when the parameters
1635
01:12:27,960 --> 01:12:31,350
are in place for a selling framework,
1636
01:12:31,380 --> 01:12:33,900
okay, when the nine is below the 18, and
1637
01:12:33,900 --> 01:12:35,490
then when the nine is above the 18,
1638
01:12:35,730 --> 01:12:37,140
that's the framework to be a buyer.
1639
01:12:37,410 --> 01:12:42,780
Okay? Again, do not, do not worry about
1640
01:12:42,780 --> 01:12:46,350
catching these turning points. Okay.
1641
01:12:46,800 --> 01:12:49,080
Don't worry about that. Because what I'm
1642
01:12:49,080 --> 01:12:51,000
allowing you to do is you're going to
1643
01:12:51,000 --> 01:12:55,650
run into where your trading stops being
1644
01:12:55,650 --> 01:12:58,230
profitable, and you'll have to, number
1645
01:12:58,230 --> 01:13:00,720
one, adjust your equity. You'll To
1646
01:13:00,870 --> 01:13:03,630
calibrate your risk to reward, you'll
1647
01:13:03,630 --> 01:13:06,990
have to calibrate your leverage based on
1648
01:13:06,990 --> 01:13:09,990
your equity decline, okay? Too many
1649
01:13:09,990 --> 01:13:12,420
folks overlook that. Okay, and this is
1650
01:13:12,420 --> 01:13:13,830
going to force you to do those very
1651
01:13:13,830 --> 01:13:16,710
things. Okay? professional traders and
1652
01:13:16,710 --> 01:13:19,710
money managers, we do that always, on a
1653
01:13:19,710 --> 01:13:21,480
daily basis, we're always looking at
1654
01:13:21,510 --> 01:13:23,400
what we're risking what we stand to
1655
01:13:23,400 --> 01:13:25,200
make, and how are we going to remove
1656
01:13:25,200 --> 01:13:28,050
that risk to do zero and then lock in a
1657
01:13:28,050 --> 01:13:30,030
profit. That's where the majority of my
1658
01:13:30,030 --> 01:13:31,710
analysis is, it's not looking at charts
1659
01:13:31,710 --> 01:13:33,330
and waiting for the biases. If I signals
1660
01:13:33,330 --> 01:13:34,530
in the sell signals, that's that's the
1661
01:13:34,530 --> 01:13:38,130
easy stuff. The hard part is knowing
1662
01:13:38,160 --> 01:13:40,470
that the markets predisposed to go
1663
01:13:40,470 --> 01:13:42,900
higher and in fighting that urge to risk
1664
01:13:42,930 --> 01:13:45,450
8% of my account, you know, 20% of my
1665
01:13:45,450 --> 01:13:47,100
account because I see this stuff happen
1666
01:13:47,130 --> 01:13:50,910
all the time. You a reasonably expect it
1667
01:13:50,910 --> 01:13:53,010
and anticipate it to unfold, but there's
1668
01:13:53,010 --> 01:13:55,590
no guarantee it's going to Okay, so I'm
1669
01:13:55,590 --> 01:13:58,410
giving you these these skills, okay to
1670
01:13:58,680 --> 01:14:02,130
work with you Give you a mindset that
1671
01:14:02,280 --> 01:14:05,310
hopefully will guide you to consistency.
1672
01:14:06,480 --> 01:14:09,300
So let's look at a, just a brief sample
1673
01:14:09,300 --> 01:14:11,250
set of how this is applicable, we're
1674
01:14:11,250 --> 01:14:12,930
just going to go and scroll through just
1675
01:14:12,930 --> 01:14:15,600
briefly. Okay, and we'll start here
1676
01:14:15,600 --> 01:14:16,710
again, I'll just, I don't want to go
1677
01:14:16,710 --> 01:14:17,940
back too far, because we could make a
1678
01:14:17,940 --> 01:14:20,730
huge, you know, treatise over this whole
1679
01:14:20,730 --> 01:14:22,380
thing and really not get to the other
1680
01:14:22,380 --> 01:14:25,590
things that I want to cover. But we have
1681
01:14:25,590 --> 01:14:28,050
the nine period break below here. Now,
1682
01:14:28,620 --> 01:14:30,480
price can step through both of these
1683
01:14:30,480 --> 01:14:32,340
moving averages. Okay, that's not
1684
01:14:32,370 --> 01:14:34,290
important in here. The important fact
1685
01:14:34,290 --> 01:14:36,690
is, is that if the nines below the 18th,
1686
01:14:36,720 --> 01:14:39,870
your mindset is I'm looking for sell
1687
01:14:39,870 --> 01:14:41,400
scenarios and looking for rallies to
1688
01:14:41,400 --> 01:14:46,230
sell into, okay. And you can expect the
1689
01:14:46,230 --> 01:14:49,110
blue line or the 18 period, okay to act
1690
01:14:49,110 --> 01:14:50,910
as like a dynamic support resistance
1691
01:14:50,910 --> 01:14:53,310
level, okay? I don't like trend lines. I
1692
01:14:53,310 --> 01:14:55,680
don't have faith in them. Okay. But when
1693
01:14:55,680 --> 01:14:58,350
you have a moving average like this, it
1694
01:14:58,350 --> 01:15:01,200
just, it allows me to anticipate price
1695
01:15:01,410 --> 01:15:02,940
reacting, it's very nice example of it
1696
01:15:02,940 --> 01:15:05,460
here. Okay, a nice example of it here as
1697
01:15:05,460 --> 01:15:07,620
well. And the bodies of the candles
1698
01:15:07,620 --> 01:15:10,680
remained below the 18 Here, here. So
1699
01:15:10,860 --> 01:15:12,240
even though we did have some wick step
1700
01:15:12,240 --> 01:15:14,340
through it to body itself was unable to
1701
01:15:14,340 --> 01:15:16,650
close above and remain lower, and you
1702
01:15:16,650 --> 01:15:18,210
can see that the result of the market
1703
01:15:18,240 --> 01:15:20,940
action was going to the downside. So
1704
01:15:22,110 --> 01:15:24,720
when you have that in place, okay, you
1705
01:15:24,720 --> 01:15:28,200
have that in place. It allows you to,
1706
01:15:28,200 --> 01:15:30,510
number one, view the market with a
1707
01:15:30,510 --> 01:15:33,390
higher level institutional momentum
1708
01:15:33,420 --> 01:15:35,970
perspective. Okay? That's a whole lot of
1709
01:15:35,970 --> 01:15:37,710
words there. And I try to I'm not trying
1710
01:15:37,710 --> 01:15:40,560
to be wordy or sound intellectual. I'm
1711
01:15:40,560 --> 01:15:43,080
trying to communicate the understanding
1712
01:15:43,080 --> 01:15:44,520
that I have in the marketplace because I
1713
01:15:44,520 --> 01:15:46,170
can't if there was a resource for me to
1714
01:15:46,170 --> 01:15:47,700
say, hey, go to this book. And this is
1715
01:15:47,700 --> 01:15:49,260
what it teaches you I would have saved
1716
01:15:49,260 --> 01:15:50,910
myself a lot of trouble. But there's no
1717
01:15:50,910 --> 01:15:52,260
books out that I'm aware of, and I have
1718
01:15:52,260 --> 01:15:54,990
a huge library of it. So I this is the
1719
01:15:54,990 --> 01:15:56,970
way for me to create it like a language
1720
01:15:56,970 --> 01:15:58,890
or vocabulary for us to interact so you
1721
01:15:58,890 --> 01:16:02,790
can understand the concept Okay, so when
1722
01:16:02,790 --> 01:16:05,700
we have the nine period above it above
1723
01:16:05,700 --> 01:16:07,920
the 18, we're buying and when the nine
1724
01:16:07,920 --> 01:16:09,480
periods below the 18 we're selling,
1725
01:16:09,690 --> 01:16:12,780
okay? That by itself will get you into a
1726
01:16:12,780 --> 01:16:15,420
whole lot of wonderful, sweet little
1727
01:16:15,570 --> 01:16:17,790
sweet spots in the market, we can just
1728
01:16:17,790 --> 01:16:19,710
take these opportunities and be happy
1729
01:16:19,710 --> 01:16:22,530
with that. But because I'm ICT that's
1730
01:16:22,530 --> 01:16:24,210
not enough, okay, I got to take it to
1731
01:16:24,210 --> 01:16:26,070
the nth degree. And we're going to be
1732
01:16:26,070 --> 01:16:28,890
looking at how we can further amplify
1733
01:16:28,920 --> 01:16:31,740
the effectiveness of directional bias
1734
01:16:31,800 --> 01:16:35,220
understanding with now we're going to
1735
01:16:36,000 --> 01:16:37,770
look at a series
1736
01:16:40,890 --> 01:16:41,940
Okay, of
1737
01:16:45,210 --> 01:16:50,610
we'll just use a slow area to okay in
1738
01:16:50,610 --> 01:16:59,820
here, that was a by area from this point
1739
01:16:59,820 --> 01:17:07,860
in Here, here was a buying area. And
1740
01:17:10,590 --> 01:17:22,320
right in here became a selling framework
1741
01:17:22,320 --> 01:17:24,360
where you're really just focusing on
1742
01:17:25,110 --> 01:17:30,600
being a bear. And we'll just use that
1743
01:17:30,810 --> 01:17:34,710
because that's a nice little price swing
1744
01:17:34,710 --> 01:17:37,230
in here we can work with it. And what
1745
01:17:37,230 --> 01:17:38,670
I'm going to do now is I'm going to take
1746
01:17:38,670 --> 01:17:39,990
the moving averages off because while
1747
01:17:39,990 --> 01:17:44,010
we've already established where the
1748
01:17:44,010 --> 01:17:46,020
averages have communicated the
1749
01:17:46,830 --> 01:17:48,120
bullishness or bearishness that we
1750
01:17:48,120 --> 01:17:50,160
should be focusing on Okay, so now with
1751
01:17:50,160 --> 01:17:52,290
those moving averages way, we're going
1752
01:17:52,290 --> 01:17:56,100
to apply now market structure and order
1753
01:17:56,100 --> 01:17:59,190
flow. Okay and or market flow, whatever
1754
01:17:59,190 --> 01:18:01,800
you want to call it, but The premise of
1755
01:18:01,800 --> 01:18:03,660
where swing highs are taken out to the
1756
01:18:03,660 --> 01:18:05,850
upside. Okay, that is momentum on the
1757
01:18:05,850 --> 01:18:09,540
upside, in addition to when you have
1758
01:18:09,660 --> 01:18:11,970
these little areas where market is
1759
01:18:11,970 --> 01:18:13,470
generally looking to move higher or
1760
01:18:13,470 --> 01:18:15,690
lower based on just two components
1761
01:18:15,690 --> 01:18:18,450
blended together. And what I mean by
1762
01:18:18,450 --> 01:18:20,640
that, well, we're going to go up to the
1763
01:18:20,640 --> 01:18:24,360
indicator thing here on Mt four. And,
1764
01:18:24,750 --> 01:18:28,620
again, I do not require a five day or
1765
01:18:28,620 --> 01:18:30,330
five candle pattern to create
1766
01:18:31,140 --> 01:18:31,920
a fractal.
1767
01:18:32,220 --> 01:18:35,310
Okay, and when I say fractal, it's this
1768
01:18:35,310 --> 01:18:39,660
little thingamabob, that's on Mt four.
1769
01:18:42,150 --> 01:18:43,590
And I probably should use a different
1770
01:18:43,590 --> 01:18:47,460
color, which I'm going to do now. And
1771
01:18:47,460 --> 01:18:50,250
we're just going to use we'll use red
1772
01:18:50,250 --> 01:18:55,020
that'll pop off pretty good. All right.
1773
01:18:57,000 --> 01:19:00,810
In here, we have a fractal. Hi Basically
1774
01:19:00,810 --> 01:19:01,950
a swing high. In other words, it's a
1775
01:19:01,950 --> 01:19:05,400
candle with two lower high candles on
1776
01:19:05,400 --> 01:19:07,770
both sides of it. For me and my trading,
1777
01:19:07,800 --> 01:19:10,200
I simply use this candle with the higher
1778
01:19:10,200 --> 01:19:11,970
low here, I'm sorry with a lower high
1779
01:19:11,970 --> 01:19:13,680
here and a lower high here, okay,
1780
01:19:14,010 --> 01:19:16,320
between this pattern inside this candle,
1781
01:19:16,320 --> 01:19:18,360
this angle and this candle, that alone
1782
01:19:18,390 --> 01:19:20,070
would have presented a swing high to me
1783
01:19:20,070 --> 01:19:21,630
and if that was violated on the upside,
1784
01:19:21,900 --> 01:19:23,160
you know, that would have been enough
1785
01:19:23,160 --> 01:19:27,810
for me. Okay. We have a swing high here,
1786
01:19:28,410 --> 01:19:30,600
we have a swing low here, we have a
1787
01:19:30,600 --> 01:19:33,750
swing swing low here as well. Now, as
1788
01:19:33,750 --> 01:19:35,250
price moved
1789
01:19:35,760 --> 01:19:36,480
above,
1790
01:19:37,200 --> 01:19:40,170
this swing high here right there. Now we
1791
01:19:40,170 --> 01:19:43,110
have both swing high broken out or Mark
1792
01:19:43,110 --> 01:19:46,950
structure has shifted upwards, while
1793
01:19:46,950 --> 01:19:49,080
we're in an area where those two moving
1794
01:19:49,080 --> 01:19:52,410
averages are implied. Momentum is
1795
01:19:52,410 --> 01:19:54,810
bullish, okay. So from this point, one
1796
01:19:56,850 --> 01:20:01,860
here We are looking to be a buyer. We're
1797
01:20:01,860 --> 01:20:03,180
gonna be looking for a retracement of
1798
01:20:03,180 --> 01:20:06,360
some sorts okay to be a buyer in okay
1799
01:20:07,740 --> 01:20:11,100
now you see a minor little retracement
1800
01:20:11,100 --> 01:20:14,190
in here and then it rallies off. Now
1801
01:20:14,190 --> 01:20:15,570
even though we have a bearish candle
1802
01:20:15,570 --> 01:20:18,660
here, okay we did move higher just in
1803
01:20:18,660 --> 01:20:21,990
terms of pips from the time it broke
1804
01:20:21,990 --> 01:20:24,090
this, this swing high here. We're going
1805
01:20:24,090 --> 01:20:25,770
to use that range to the high up here.
1806
01:20:26,460 --> 01:20:31,680
That's 179 pips. Okay 179 pips? That's
1807
01:20:31,680 --> 01:20:34,950
inside of one week. Do you think you can
1808
01:20:34,950 --> 01:20:37,530
get 50 pips out of that? Is it
1809
01:20:37,530 --> 01:20:39,570
reasonable to think that one would be
1810
01:20:39,570 --> 01:20:42,030
able to? I hope, I hope do you think
1811
01:20:42,030 --> 01:20:45,960
that at least, okay. Again, we have
1812
01:20:46,380 --> 01:20:50,340
price still above the swing high and the
1813
01:20:50,340 --> 01:20:52,140
only recent swing low prior to that
1814
01:20:52,140 --> 01:20:54,210
point is here. So as long as prices and
1815
01:20:54,210 --> 01:20:56,550
break that swing low, we are still
1816
01:20:56,580 --> 01:20:59,220
bullish. We have a swing low form here.
1817
01:20:59,850 --> 01:21:01,470
But Notice that that's the only one
1818
01:21:01,470 --> 01:21:03,600
since this one was formed. So Mark
1819
01:21:03,600 --> 01:21:05,640
structure and order flow suggests that
1820
01:21:06,510 --> 01:21:08,400
we are still go for buying
1821
01:21:08,400 --> 01:21:12,030
opportunities. Okay? Now price retraces
1822
01:21:12,030 --> 01:21:15,330
again, okay inside of this range, and we
1823
01:21:15,330 --> 01:21:18,090
broke this swing high here. So when that
1824
01:21:18,090 --> 01:21:21,120
breaks, this is the range. Right here,
1825
01:21:21,120 --> 01:21:24,690
this is that little price move here. If
1826
01:21:24,690 --> 01:21:26,850
we looked at just that range alone,
1827
01:21:26,880 --> 01:21:28,290
again, we're working on a daily chart
1828
01:21:28,290 --> 01:21:30,780
guys, this is not an intraday chart. If
1829
01:21:30,780 --> 01:21:36,750
I look at using the fib, john draw so
1830
01:21:36,750 --> 01:21:39,720
you guys can see. Here's the 79 cent
1831
01:21:39,720 --> 01:21:42,210
tracer level right in here. Okay, now
1832
01:21:42,210 --> 01:21:44,820
true, it violated just a little bit, but
1833
01:21:44,820 --> 01:21:49,140
ultimately it spent very little time
1834
01:21:49,200 --> 01:21:51,030
Okay, blowing through it going on
1835
01:21:51,030 --> 01:21:54,630
downside and we moved higher again. That
1836
01:21:54,630 --> 01:22:00,150
by itself is insightful because Number
1837
01:22:00,150 --> 01:22:03,300
one, it allows you to understand where
1838
01:22:03,300 --> 01:22:06,120
these fractals are forming. Okay? And
1839
01:22:06,120 --> 01:22:07,530
I'm saying fractal and sense of the
1840
01:22:07,530 --> 01:22:09,780
price pattern, not these little errors,
1841
01:22:09,810 --> 01:22:11,550
okay, and that's probably confusing. I
1842
01:22:11,550 --> 01:22:12,780
wish they would have named this
1843
01:22:12,810 --> 01:22:16,020
indicator for these swing high swing
1844
01:22:16,020 --> 01:22:18,570
lows is something different. But Bill
1845
01:22:18,570 --> 01:22:19,950
Williams, for whatever reason, felt he
1846
01:22:19,950 --> 01:22:22,200
needed to call it that. It's not a
1847
01:22:22,200 --> 01:22:24,450
fractal, by my definition, or many
1848
01:22:24,450 --> 01:22:26,430
others if he if he really looked around.
1849
01:22:27,840 --> 01:22:30,270
But we have a price rally from in here,
1850
01:22:30,510 --> 01:22:32,370
up here. Now we're going to talk about
1851
01:22:32,370 --> 01:22:33,990
how this could have been viewed in
1852
01:22:33,990 --> 01:22:37,770
advance before this happening, where
1853
01:22:38,610 --> 01:22:41,700
overhear something goes on, that's
1854
01:22:41,700 --> 01:22:45,330
useful to tell when there would be an
1855
01:22:45,330 --> 01:22:48,150
opportunity to be a buyer. But before we
1856
01:22:48,150 --> 01:22:49,380
get to that, here's another opportunity
1857
01:22:49,380 --> 01:22:51,870
just by using the the range that's 130
1858
01:22:51,870 --> 01:22:54,900
pips from that point to hear again,
1859
01:22:55,110 --> 01:22:58,080
within a week's time, so there's plenty
1860
01:22:58,080 --> 01:23:01,440
of opportunity to be profitable, okay
1861
01:23:01,440 --> 01:23:04,890
and catch your 50 pips or so a week and
1862
01:23:04,890 --> 01:23:06,150
again, I'm trying to give you a
1863
01:23:06,150 --> 01:23:09,120
realistic low end objective that flies
1864
01:23:09,120 --> 01:23:10,530
against everybody else teaching that you
1865
01:23:10,530 --> 01:23:12,450
got to make 2000 pips a month, okay
1866
01:23:12,450 --> 01:23:13,740
because you don't need to do it my
1867
01:23:13,740 --> 01:23:15,330
question is this if these guys are
1868
01:23:15,330 --> 01:23:17,820
making 2000 pips a month, okay? Or
1869
01:23:17,820 --> 01:23:20,790
20,000 pips a year Why aren't they
1870
01:23:20,790 --> 01:23:24,300
billionaires? Think about that driver
1871
01:23:24,300 --> 01:23:27,300
everybody's selling courses. Why is
1872
01:23:27,330 --> 01:23:30,150
there a billionaire out there? Okay, cuz
1873
01:23:30,150 --> 01:23:32,490
it's crap. Okay look,
1874
01:23:32,670 --> 01:23:34,770
you can have a million pips all you want
1875
01:23:34,920 --> 01:23:36,330
it's how much you manage your money
1876
01:23:36,330 --> 01:23:38,310
behind those pips. Okay? And I guarantee
1877
01:23:38,310 --> 01:23:41,940
you 99% of them don't do right things
1878
01:23:41,940 --> 01:23:43,620
with their equity in their money. So
1879
01:23:43,620 --> 01:23:44,940
just simply because you're showing me a
1880
01:23:44,940 --> 01:23:46,950
spreadsheet or you have a video on
1881
01:23:46,950 --> 01:23:48,480
YouTube saying you made you know X
1882
01:23:48,480 --> 01:23:50,490
amount of pips means absolutely nothing
1883
01:23:50,490 --> 01:23:51,870
to me and it shouldn't mean nothing to
1884
01:23:51,870 --> 01:23:55,860
you. Okay? So, again, think you don't
1885
01:23:55,860 --> 01:23:56,970
need a whole lot. So if we're going to
1886
01:23:56,970 --> 01:23:59,610
focus in just on 50 pips a week, that's
1887
01:23:59,610 --> 01:24:02,220
a really realistic obtainable goal, and
1888
01:24:02,220 --> 01:24:03,570
it's something that could be duplicated
1889
01:24:03,600 --> 01:24:05,040
over and over and over again, it's like
1890
01:24:05,040 --> 01:24:07,170
a, like a cookie cutter approach. You
1891
01:24:07,170 --> 01:24:08,910
keep doing the same thing over and over
1892
01:24:08,910 --> 01:24:11,580
and over again. Sometimes you run out of
1893
01:24:11,580 --> 01:24:13,260
dough. Okay? And what you got to do, you
1894
01:24:13,260 --> 01:24:15,180
got to follow it up and work it out.
1895
01:24:15,180 --> 01:24:17,250
Again, spread thin, spread a thinner, it
1896
01:24:17,250 --> 01:24:19,320
means risk less, okay, cut back your
1897
01:24:19,320 --> 01:24:21,450
equity. Okay? And then you keep doing
1898
01:24:21,450 --> 01:24:23,040
that same thing, milk it for all it's
1899
01:24:23,040 --> 01:24:24,330
worth doing the same thing, don't
1900
01:24:24,330 --> 01:24:25,830
deviate, don't change the parameters.
1901
01:24:26,070 --> 01:24:28,140
And then by approaching the market like
1902
01:24:28,140 --> 01:24:29,370
that, number one, you're not gonna be
1903
01:24:29,370 --> 01:24:30,630
surprised when you lose money because
1904
01:24:30,630 --> 01:24:31,860
you're going to know that okay, that
1905
01:24:31,860 --> 01:24:33,300
didn't work and I'm not going to be
1906
01:24:33,330 --> 01:24:35,220
jumping back in again because my system
1907
01:24:35,490 --> 01:24:37,740
or method or parameter says that I
1908
01:24:37,740 --> 01:24:41,010
can't. So I'm limiting my exposure in my
1909
01:24:41,010 --> 01:24:42,570
engagement to the marketplace to just
1910
01:24:42,570 --> 01:24:46,200
this okay. Which is hugely important
1911
01:24:46,200 --> 01:24:48,990
because 90% of traders don't do that.
1912
01:24:49,140 --> 01:24:53,070
Okay. Now, even in here, now, this is
1913
01:24:53,070 --> 01:24:55,530
why I don't like candlesticks because
1914
01:24:55,530 --> 01:24:58,650
it's very deceiving. If you are looking
1915
01:24:58,650 --> 01:25:02,070
at price action one specific manner and
1916
01:25:02,070 --> 01:25:04,650
then what I mean by that is this. We
1917
01:25:04,650 --> 01:25:07,410
have a low here, okay? And if you look
1918
01:25:07,410 --> 01:25:09,450
at the range between this low of this
1919
01:25:09,450 --> 01:25:11,880
candle to this candle here, we have a
1920
01:25:11,880 --> 01:25:13,770
price swing. Okay, if you looked on a
1921
01:25:13,770 --> 01:25:16,740
lower intraday price model, you'll see
1922
01:25:16,740 --> 01:25:18,210
that this is a very nice price swing,
1923
01:25:18,540 --> 01:25:21,120
okay, it's disguised many times because
1924
01:25:21,450 --> 01:25:23,610
many, many folks don't even look at a
1925
01:25:23,610 --> 01:25:25,830
daily chart, but this here is a range
1926
01:25:25,890 --> 01:25:28,830
Okay, this is a tradable range. If you
1927
01:25:28,830 --> 01:25:31,230
look at what was available from that
1928
01:25:31,230 --> 01:25:34,710
retracement, okay again, cancel the idea
1929
01:25:34,710 --> 01:25:36,570
of this being a bearish candle this
1930
01:25:36,870 --> 01:25:39,420
bearish candle this bearish candle price
1931
01:25:39,420 --> 01:25:43,620
moves from this low to this candles high
1932
01:25:43,620 --> 01:25:48,930
here it's 123 pips again that was made
1933
01:25:49,050 --> 01:25:52,500
during bearish candles, okay, even
1934
01:25:52,500 --> 01:25:54,030
though the market did come down here i'm
1935
01:25:54,030 --> 01:25:57,000
not i'm not you know ignoring the
1936
01:25:57,000 --> 01:25:58,440
elephant in the room here if you will,
1937
01:25:58,710 --> 01:26:01,110
on this two or three Day down move. I'm
1938
01:26:01,110 --> 01:26:03,060
not suggesting that didn't occur or
1939
01:26:03,060 --> 01:26:04,800
wasn't significant. What I'm stating to
1940
01:26:04,800 --> 01:26:07,350
you is if you stick to the model of
1941
01:26:07,440 --> 01:26:09,570
looking at the low to high and then
1942
01:26:09,570 --> 01:26:12,330
retracement during an ideal timeframe,
1943
01:26:12,480 --> 01:26:14,550
okay? Notice we didn't break this swing
1944
01:26:14,550 --> 01:26:16,440
low that formed here we came down into
1945
01:26:16,440 --> 01:26:18,420
the range between that candles low and
1946
01:26:18,420 --> 01:26:21,240
this candles high if we use our fib
1947
01:26:22,950 --> 01:26:27,330
Okay, pull that up. Okay, we have a
1948
01:26:27,330 --> 01:26:29,400
reasonable idea where to anticipate
1949
01:26:29,400 --> 01:26:32,280
again, where the the low should form,
1950
01:26:32,730 --> 01:26:37,500
okay? And if you looked at probably
1951
01:26:37,500 --> 01:26:39,000
splitting hairs, but I really want to
1952
01:26:39,330 --> 01:26:41,550
communicate this well. We're only
1953
01:26:41,550 --> 01:26:44,700
talking about 11 pips from where the
1954
01:26:44,700 --> 01:26:45,930
center lines that chase one level is and
1955
01:26:45,930 --> 01:26:47,520
where the actual low that candle formed.
1956
01:26:47,940 --> 01:26:50,610
Okay. So, again, when we get to stop
1957
01:26:50,610 --> 01:26:53,700
loss placement and, you know, overall
1958
01:26:54,360 --> 01:26:56,670
risk controls, you're going to see that
1959
01:26:56,670 --> 01:26:59,460
there's simply no reason to fear where
1960
01:26:59,460 --> 01:27:01,350
you should be placed. Stop at, okay,
1961
01:27:01,380 --> 01:27:03,480
there's no there's no reason to, to
1962
01:27:03,480 --> 01:27:05,940
guess as to, you know, am I going to get
1963
01:27:05,940 --> 01:27:07,860
stopped out and fearing it also, because
1964
01:27:07,860 --> 01:27:09,090
if you get stopped out where we're going
1965
01:27:09,090 --> 01:27:10,770
to teach you, you need to be getting out
1966
01:27:10,770 --> 01:27:12,240
of the market there, okay? Because it's
1967
01:27:12,240 --> 01:27:13,920
probably gonna be much more of a move in
1968
01:27:13,920 --> 01:27:16,590
against you then if you were to stay in,
1969
01:27:16,620 --> 01:27:19,800
okay. So we have an opportunity to be a
1970
01:27:19,800 --> 01:27:23,190
buyer here as well the market comes
1971
01:27:23,190 --> 01:27:25,860
down, creates another consolidation and
1972
01:27:25,860 --> 01:27:27,360
then moves out of the consolidation.
1973
01:27:27,630 --> 01:27:30,330
Okay, and the market structure and order
1974
01:27:30,330 --> 01:27:33,900
flow shifts bearish here, when we trade
1975
01:27:33,930 --> 01:27:36,270
low, lower right there, because we broke
1976
01:27:36,270 --> 01:27:38,340
that swing low. Now when this broke
1977
01:27:38,340 --> 01:27:41,430
down, okay, we have to wait for another
1978
01:27:41,430 --> 01:27:44,100
shift in market momentum. Okay. And this
1979
01:27:44,100 --> 01:27:46,470
is the reason why I do not like this
1980
01:27:46,470 --> 01:27:49,380
little fractal indicator, okay? Because
1981
01:27:49,380 --> 01:27:51,450
remember, I told you earlier, that all I
1982
01:27:51,450 --> 01:27:54,030
require is three bars, or three candles
1983
01:27:54,030 --> 01:27:56,520
to create a swing high. that's occurring
1984
01:27:56,520 --> 01:27:59,250
right here. Notice there's an absence of
1985
01:27:59,250 --> 01:28:02,250
fractal error. Like it says here, that's
1986
01:28:02,250 --> 01:28:06,720
because this big old candle here, okay?
1987
01:28:07,530 --> 01:28:09,840
It's high was above this candle is high,
1988
01:28:10,080 --> 01:28:12,420
which would negate the formation of this
1989
01:28:12,450 --> 01:28:16,290
arrow or an arrow like this a fractal up
1990
01:28:16,470 --> 01:28:19,530
arrow, because the parameters require
1991
01:28:19,530 --> 01:28:21,510
this candle to be a lower high than this
1992
01:28:21,510 --> 01:28:26,250
one. But is this not a swing high? Yes.
1993
01:28:27,180 --> 01:28:29,970
Because it has a lower high on both
1994
01:28:29,970 --> 01:28:31,650
sides of it. Okay, so this is a swing
1995
01:28:31,650 --> 01:28:33,510
high. As soon as this candle broke here,
1996
01:28:33,540 --> 01:28:34,890
we're back on the bullish momentum.
1997
01:28:35,400 --> 01:28:37,590
Okay, and then we entered this range
1998
01:28:37,590 --> 01:28:41,190
here. Okay, we started another series of
1999
01:28:41,640 --> 01:28:44,070
days where those two moving averages
2000
01:28:44,070 --> 01:28:46,710
have the nine above the moving average,
2001
01:28:46,800 --> 01:28:49,260
so that we're in a bullish framework
2002
01:28:49,740 --> 01:28:52,530
when market structure is bullish, okay,
2003
01:28:52,530 --> 01:28:54,900
because, again, we see this swing high
2004
01:28:54,900 --> 01:28:57,240
here, when it broke to the upside. Now
2005
01:28:57,240 --> 01:29:01,260
we have to wait okay. and expect to see
2006
01:29:01,260 --> 01:29:03,930
the nine be above the 18. Again, we're
2007
01:29:03,930 --> 01:29:07,950
looking at a daily chart. During this
2008
01:29:07,950 --> 01:29:09,060
time period, what you're gonna be
2009
01:29:09,060 --> 01:29:11,280
looking for is opportunities where price
2010
01:29:11,280 --> 01:29:13,890
again, find support, pulls back within a
2011
01:29:13,890 --> 01:29:16,770
range, okay either on a four hour chart
2012
01:29:16,770 --> 01:29:19,560
or an a one hour chart, and when you see
2013
01:29:19,560 --> 01:29:20,580
what we're going to be talking about
2014
01:29:20,670 --> 01:29:22,530
later on in this video, what you're
2015
01:29:22,530 --> 01:29:25,860
specifically looking for and hunting 90%
2016
01:29:25,860 --> 01:29:27,270
of time, it's there and there's no
2017
01:29:27,270 --> 01:29:29,250
reason for you to rush the chase price.
2018
01:29:29,400 --> 01:29:31,200
If he doesn't do these types of things.
2019
01:29:31,920 --> 01:29:34,470
You don't take a trade. Okay? So again,
2020
01:29:34,470 --> 01:29:37,440
we're looking to be a buyer here and all
2021
01:29:37,440 --> 01:29:40,380
the ranges in here again, with all these
2022
01:29:40,380 --> 01:29:42,450
candlestick patterns, you could have all
2023
01:29:42,450 --> 01:29:44,550
kinds of articles and such Oh, these are
2024
01:29:44,550 --> 01:29:48,810
the spinning tops. These are the dogies
2025
01:29:48,810 --> 01:29:50,700
and, and you know, whatever you want to
2026
01:29:50,700 --> 01:29:54,600
call it, the boxcar Willie's I don't I
2027
01:29:54,600 --> 01:29:57,030
am not a subscriber of you know a
2028
01:29:57,030 --> 01:29:59,280
plethora of candlestick patterns.
2029
01:29:59,430 --> 01:30:01,860
Really. I like The doji is long legged
2030
01:30:01,860 --> 01:30:06,210
dojis the hammers, and I like railroad
2031
01:30:06,210 --> 01:30:09,510
tracks. And that's about it. I don't
2032
01:30:09,510 --> 01:30:10,980
have any other faith in any other
2033
01:30:10,980 --> 01:30:13,830
patterns. So you can kind of like leave
2034
01:30:13,830 --> 01:30:15,270
that in your notebook. Don't ever ask me
2035
01:30:15,270 --> 01:30:16,590
about candlestick patterns outside of
2036
01:30:16,590 --> 01:30:18,330
those, because I don't subscribe to the
2037
01:30:18,330 --> 01:30:22,110
views that are useful. Okay. Now, on a
2038
01:30:22,110 --> 01:30:24,630
daily chart, we have the highs in here,
2039
01:30:24,780 --> 01:30:26,640
okay, and look at the bodies of these
2040
01:30:26,640 --> 01:30:29,070
candles, you see that? This is where I
2041
01:30:29,070 --> 01:30:31,560
like candles. Okay, these are these
2042
01:30:31,560 --> 01:30:33,540
ideas that I think are beneficial to
2043
01:30:33,540 --> 01:30:37,740
using candlesticks. Do you see how this
2044
01:30:37,740 --> 01:30:41,220
dealing range level? Okay, if we take
2045
01:30:41,220 --> 01:30:44,670
that out. See on the buys account here,
2046
01:30:45,180 --> 01:30:47,730
the opening was at that level to close
2047
01:30:47,760 --> 01:30:49,980
that candle was at that same level. The
2048
01:30:49,980 --> 01:30:52,680
opening was just a pip below that level
2049
01:30:52,680 --> 01:30:54,990
here. And the close of that candle was
2050
01:30:55,080 --> 01:30:57,810
I'm sorry, um, I've been saying that
2051
01:30:57,810 --> 01:31:00,000
wrong. Sorry. the close of this case.
2052
01:31:00,000 --> 01:31:02,520
handle is on that and the open on this
2053
01:31:02,520 --> 01:31:04,860
candle is at that same level and the
2054
01:31:04,860 --> 01:31:07,140
close of that candle is a pit below it.
2055
01:31:07,530 --> 01:31:09,900
And the open on this candle is right at
2056
01:31:09,900 --> 01:31:14,190
that same level. Do you see this candle
2057
01:31:14,190 --> 01:31:17,220
here? Okay, after we had a little minor
2058
01:31:17,220 --> 01:31:19,770
retracement here, okay, we got a
2059
01:31:19,770 --> 01:31:22,620
retracement. This is the range because
2060
01:31:22,620 --> 01:31:24,660
we have this dealing range here when
2061
01:31:24,660 --> 01:31:27,540
price broke through it, okay, see how
2062
01:31:27,540 --> 01:31:30,300
this is a swing high and see how this is
2063
01:31:30,300 --> 01:31:30,960
a swing high
2064
01:31:32,670 --> 01:31:34,320
when price broke through it.
2065
01:31:35,580 --> 01:31:37,740
market structure confirms once again
2066
01:31:37,740 --> 01:31:40,770
that it's on the upside, okay. But we
2067
01:31:40,770 --> 01:31:43,410
also have this dealing range support. So
2068
01:31:43,410 --> 01:31:47,400
we broke through this. Now, just because
2069
01:31:47,430 --> 01:31:49,020
this would be classified as support
2070
01:31:49,020 --> 01:31:51,870
level or resistance turn support does
2071
01:31:51,870 --> 01:31:54,090
not mean that price needs to get back
2072
01:31:54,090 --> 01:31:56,910
down there. Okay, so what do you how do
2073
01:31:56,910 --> 01:31:58,950
we use that information? Well, if you
2074
01:31:58,950 --> 01:32:02,370
pulled your fib From that level up to
2075
01:32:02,370 --> 01:32:05,610
the range high, which is here, okay,
2076
01:32:05,610 --> 01:32:07,830
that can look as we pulled down into
2077
01:32:07,860 --> 01:32:10,950
intraday okay. inside of that range you
2078
01:32:10,950 --> 01:32:13,980
come right down to that 70.5 level,
2079
01:32:14,040 --> 01:32:15,450
okay, you see how that's useful to you?
2080
01:32:15,900 --> 01:32:19,410
We retraced within that. So having that
2081
01:32:20,640 --> 01:32:22,830
that gives you a an idea again where to
2082
01:32:22,830 --> 01:32:25,680
anticipate price action to retrace into
2083
01:32:27,210 --> 01:32:32,250
that's not that's not all of the
2084
01:32:33,450 --> 01:32:36,210
characteristics we look for. But we will
2085
01:32:36,210 --> 01:32:38,010
be looking at other things that you
2086
01:32:38,010 --> 01:32:41,340
know, allow us to break down on a four
2087
01:32:41,340 --> 01:32:43,740
hour chart where we can also look for
2088
01:32:44,100 --> 01:32:45,960
you know, institutional order flow to
2089
01:32:45,960 --> 01:32:47,430
support the idea and the notion that we
2090
01:32:47,430 --> 01:32:49,560
should be expecting higher prices. And
2091
01:32:49,560 --> 01:32:51,150
again, we move higher higher higher
2092
01:32:51,180 --> 01:32:54,030
higher swing lows here, okay, again are
2093
01:32:54,030 --> 01:32:56,160
higher in each successive move higher.
2094
01:32:56,640 --> 01:32:58,710
Okay, and then we see market structure
2095
01:32:59,610 --> 01:33:03,150
break down in here, okay. And we did
2096
01:33:03,150 --> 01:33:04,590
rally off again in here a little bit.
2097
01:33:04,710 --> 01:33:08,430
Okay? While we're in this screen by
2098
01:33:08,520 --> 01:33:10,140
framework where we overall would still
2099
01:33:10,140 --> 01:33:12,570
be looking for opportunities to be a
2100
01:33:12,570 --> 01:33:18,000
long trader I want you to see the, the
2101
01:33:18,000 --> 01:33:21,570
low here, or this low here, either one
2102
01:33:21,600 --> 01:33:23,910
very close in proximity, but we're going
2103
01:33:23,910 --> 01:33:25,200
to use this one here. If you look at
2104
01:33:25,200 --> 01:33:29,760
that low up to this high, you see that I
2105
01:33:29,760 --> 01:33:32,460
move the fit over here so you can see
2106
01:33:32,460 --> 01:33:38,850
the lines. Here we are. I did was I use
2107
01:33:38,850 --> 01:33:40,950
the range of this low to this high
2108
01:33:40,950 --> 01:33:43,020
again, it's the daily chart, price comes
2109
01:33:43,020 --> 01:33:45,120
right down into what level the 79
2110
01:33:45,180 --> 01:33:46,800
penetration level. Look how many
2111
01:33:46,830 --> 01:33:49,230
opportunities where price stayed within
2112
01:33:49,230 --> 01:33:52,170
that optimal range, okay? And rallied up
2113
01:33:53,670 --> 01:33:55,890
if you look at where we were in regards
2114
01:33:55,890 --> 01:33:59,970
to that price movement. Again, using the
2115
01:34:01,140 --> 01:34:04,020
bodies of the candles up to the high of
2116
01:34:04,020 --> 01:34:06,810
this candle right here. That's 156 pips.
2117
01:34:06,930 --> 01:34:10,860
Again 156 pips within a few days that's
2118
01:34:10,860 --> 01:34:14,520
inside of one week's range. There should
2119
01:34:14,520 --> 01:34:15,900
be no reason why you can't capture at
2120
01:34:15,900 --> 01:34:19,650
least 50 pips out of that. Okay, the
2121
01:34:19,650 --> 01:34:22,890
opportunity here, okay. The bottom line
2122
01:34:22,890 --> 01:34:24,450
is, is there's opportunity for you to
2123
01:34:24,450 --> 01:34:28,170
make money and still quote unquote be
2124
01:34:28,170 --> 01:34:31,110
wrong because ultimately the market did
2125
01:34:31,140 --> 01:34:33,210
move lower outside of this area here,
2126
01:34:33,270 --> 01:34:37,410
okay. And then we moved into a selling
2127
01:34:37,410 --> 01:34:40,650
framework. Okay, you have the market
2128
01:34:40,650 --> 01:34:42,240
breaking down making lower lows
2129
01:34:43,500 --> 01:34:44,940
and lower highs.
2130
01:34:45,660 --> 01:34:48,480
So we have this swing high here, with a
2131
01:34:48,480 --> 01:34:50,640
fractal. Now I got to change this
2132
01:34:50,670 --> 01:34:52,230
fractal to a different color because it
2133
01:34:52,230 --> 01:34:56,190
will not be seen against the red. So we
2134
01:34:56,190 --> 01:34:58,560
had this fractal low here. price breaks
2135
01:34:58,560 --> 01:35:01,590
down through it. Again confirming that
2136
01:35:01,590 --> 01:35:05,640
we are in both concepts agreeing with
2137
01:35:05,640 --> 01:35:07,590
lower prices we have the two moving
2138
01:35:07,590 --> 01:35:09,150
averages the nine is going to be below
2139
01:35:09,150 --> 01:35:11,370
the 18. Remember we marked out this box
2140
01:35:11,670 --> 01:35:13,170
that was giving you the bearish
2141
01:35:13,170 --> 01:35:15,090
framework to expect lower prices
2142
01:35:15,210 --> 01:35:16,980
momentum wise institutionally they're
2143
01:35:16,980 --> 01:35:18,720
going to be looking for order flows
2144
01:35:18,720 --> 01:35:22,350
lower. Okay. And you see technically
2145
01:35:22,650 --> 01:35:24,390
they are moving lower because we see
2146
01:35:24,390 --> 01:35:27,240
those swing low here right down. Okay.
2147
01:35:27,540 --> 01:35:29,520
So when you see that happen, you're
2148
01:35:29,520 --> 01:35:30,360
gonna be doing is you're gonna be
2149
01:35:30,360 --> 01:35:33,570
looking for the ranges. Okay, to form
2150
01:35:33,840 --> 01:35:35,370
you're gonna be looking for rallies,
2151
01:35:35,850 --> 01:35:37,380
you're going to sell into those rallies.
2152
01:35:38,550 --> 01:35:40,950
See this low here and we see the price
2153
01:35:40,950 --> 01:35:45,720
actually move up here this high down to
2154
01:35:45,720 --> 01:35:51,150
that low to the 62% retracement level.
2155
01:35:51,390 --> 01:35:56,160
Okay. And, again, we're going to discuss
2156
01:35:56,340 --> 01:36:00,000
a concept that is useful in terms of you
2157
01:36:00,000 --> 01:36:02,040
institutional order flow, where we can
2158
01:36:02,070 --> 01:36:03,930
again identify areas on the lower
2159
01:36:03,930 --> 01:36:05,940
timeframe where this is again one more
2160
01:36:05,940 --> 01:36:10,770
area where order flow and short term
2161
01:36:10,800 --> 01:36:13,290
market structure shifting and where
2162
01:36:13,380 --> 01:36:15,270
institutional order blocks are retreated
2163
01:36:15,270 --> 01:36:18,420
into to get a another piece of the pie
2164
01:36:18,420 --> 01:36:19,650
if you will, before they start to move
2165
01:36:19,650 --> 01:36:21,750
lower. You can see when when the market
2166
01:36:21,750 --> 01:36:22,980
moved up into that range, it did not
2167
01:36:22,980 --> 01:36:24,240
spend a whole lot of time there and
2168
01:36:24,240 --> 01:36:25,920
that's why you had this very thin wick.
2169
01:36:26,400 --> 01:36:28,200
Okay, the market opened here,
2170
01:36:29,460 --> 01:36:30,480
rallied up
2171
01:36:31,410 --> 01:36:33,210
and then traded lower and close lower
2172
01:36:33,210 --> 01:36:35,640
that's creates that black bar. Okay, the
2173
01:36:35,640 --> 01:36:42,540
close is near the low of the day. You
2174
01:36:42,540 --> 01:36:43,860
can see the clothes on this candle is
2175
01:36:43,890 --> 01:36:55,980
130 64 with the low at 130 47
2176
01:37:21,480 --> 01:37:23,910
Okay, as price moves lower, it's breaks
2177
01:37:24,360 --> 01:37:29,100
each new successive lower swing lows and
2178
01:37:29,130 --> 01:37:31,950
each swing high is lower as well. Now we
2179
01:37:31,950 --> 01:37:36,000
have, again an opportunity where the
2180
01:37:36,000 --> 01:37:38,850
market creates a swing low here, trades
2181
01:37:38,850 --> 01:37:43,500
lower, okay and comes back here and
2182
01:37:43,500 --> 01:37:46,050
takes out this, this swing high. Okay?
2183
01:37:47,820 --> 01:37:50,970
That's going to happen a few different
2184
01:37:50,970 --> 01:37:53,040
times while we are in training
2185
01:37:53,040 --> 01:37:54,390
environments because again, you're going
2186
01:37:54,390 --> 01:37:56,610
to come back and take the stops and
2187
01:37:56,610 --> 01:37:58,860
search for liquidity. Whenever you see
2188
01:37:58,860 --> 01:38:00,300
swing highs like this on a daily chart
2189
01:38:00,300 --> 01:38:01,710
naturally, that's where support
2190
01:38:01,710 --> 01:38:03,900
resistance is going to be implied by
2191
01:38:03,900 --> 01:38:05,100
traders. And they're going to think that
2192
01:38:05,100 --> 01:38:06,750
their stop loss orders are protecting
2193
01:38:06,750 --> 01:38:08,610
above that. And you'll see the market
2194
01:38:08,610 --> 01:38:10,770
rally up just above it, take it out, and
2195
01:38:10,770 --> 01:38:13,560
then break lower, it still does not
2196
01:38:13,560 --> 01:38:15,090
change the fact that we still are
2197
01:38:15,090 --> 01:38:17,130
working within a range, okay, and that
2198
01:38:17,130 --> 01:38:19,980
being this high to the low, and if you
2199
01:38:19,980 --> 01:38:21,450
look it up in here, you'll see
2200
01:38:21,450 --> 01:38:23,430
opportunities to be a seller on the
2201
01:38:23,430 --> 01:38:28,440
lower timeframe. Again, once we break
2202
01:38:28,440 --> 01:38:29,790
lower here, we have everything in an
2203
01:38:29,790 --> 01:38:31,650
agreement as well. Okay, and I'm going
2204
01:38:31,650 --> 01:38:33,750
to subscribe to the notion that you
2205
01:38:33,750 --> 01:38:35,880
probably may have lost money here or
2206
01:38:35,880 --> 01:38:37,380
missed opportunities. We're just gonna
2207
01:38:37,380 --> 01:38:40,110
call this a dead opportunity area where
2208
01:38:40,110 --> 01:38:42,390
we didn't get any kind of reasonable
2209
01:38:45,450 --> 01:38:47,220
positive equity increase, there was
2210
01:38:47,220 --> 01:38:48,930
nothing that we profited from in here.
2211
01:38:49,920 --> 01:38:51,750
Everything gets back in sync here when
2212
01:38:51,750 --> 01:38:55,290
this candle breaks below. This swing low
2213
01:38:55,290 --> 01:38:59,550
here, okay. And then we have the high
2214
01:38:59,550 --> 01:39:02,400
here Is penetrating here. So now on this
2215
01:39:02,400 --> 01:39:05,160
candle, everything's bullish, okay
2216
01:39:05,190 --> 01:39:07,560
inside of this overall sell framework.
2217
01:39:07,830 --> 01:39:09,870
So what we doing is what we've sit on
2218
01:39:09,870 --> 01:39:14,250
our hands until when here okay we expect
2219
01:39:14,310 --> 01:39:19,830
what see this low here? What is that?
2220
01:39:20,460 --> 01:39:23,430
That is a swing low. Again the fractal
2221
01:39:23,430 --> 01:39:26,250
indicator arrow is useful to communicate
2222
01:39:26,970 --> 01:39:29,910
general support, sorry, swing highs and
2223
01:39:29,910 --> 01:39:31,800
lows. But again this is the reason why I
2224
01:39:31,800 --> 01:39:34,320
don't like it by itself because it will
2225
01:39:34,350 --> 01:39:36,780
avoid printing an arrow where I would
2226
01:39:36,780 --> 01:39:38,790
classify that as a swing low. So when
2227
01:39:38,790 --> 01:39:40,950
the market opened up down here, market
2228
01:39:40,950 --> 01:39:43,200
structure and order flow has shifted to
2229
01:39:43,200 --> 01:39:45,570
bearishness again, okay. And this being
2230
01:39:45,570 --> 01:39:48,390
the most recent swing high, soon as this
2231
01:39:48,390 --> 01:39:50,370
candle closes and this one opens up,
2232
01:39:50,700 --> 01:39:52,680
this one would be a swing high To me,
2233
01:39:52,950 --> 01:39:54,750
this is a swing low and everything will
2234
01:39:54,750 --> 01:39:57,210
be bearish here. Okay and until that
2235
01:39:57,210 --> 01:39:59,970
high is taken out on the upside, okay or
2236
01:40:00,000 --> 01:40:03,870
Any newer swing high forming is taking
2237
01:40:03,870 --> 01:40:06,840
out I would be looking for lower prices.
2238
01:40:07,350 --> 01:40:08,970
Okay, and the same thing happens here,
2239
01:40:09,240 --> 01:40:12,270
we have the swing high because we have a
2240
01:40:12,720 --> 01:40:14,850
candle with a lower high here and lower
2241
01:40:14,850 --> 01:40:16,890
high here. So this is a swing high to
2242
01:40:16,890 --> 01:40:20,580
me. Okay. price breaks through it here.
2243
01:40:21,450 --> 01:40:23,400
So now we have on a very short term
2244
01:40:23,670 --> 01:40:26,070
market structure being bearish. Okay.
2245
01:40:26,730 --> 01:40:30,060
I'm sorry bullish, again inside of a
2246
01:40:30,060 --> 01:40:31,890
bearish framework. So we're looking to
2247
01:40:31,890 --> 01:40:33,720
do what we're selling into rallies,
2248
01:40:33,930 --> 01:40:36,690
we're selling into it, okay. So this is
2249
01:40:36,690 --> 01:40:38,820
where you're going to be applying the
2250
01:40:38,850 --> 01:40:42,390
what we commonly refer to as market flow
2251
01:40:42,390 --> 01:40:46,080
order flow, you you will see on a daily
2252
01:40:46,080 --> 01:40:49,650
chart, many times rallies going against
2253
01:40:49,680 --> 01:40:52,020
what would be considered market flow
2254
01:40:52,530 --> 01:40:57,360
being bullish In other words, this we
2255
01:40:57,360 --> 01:40:59,580
have this swing high here it's a candle
2256
01:40:59,580 --> 01:41:01,020
with too low Highs on the either side of
2257
01:41:01,020 --> 01:41:03,450
it when this candle blew up through it
2258
01:41:04,110 --> 01:41:06,420
will be considered bullish daily market
2259
01:41:06,420 --> 01:41:09,900
flow or order flow. But you have that
2260
01:41:09,900 --> 01:41:11,400
range here that you got to work within
2261
01:41:12,270 --> 01:41:14,850
okay and that looks like this.
2262
01:41:19,980 --> 01:41:21,390
See I went right up into that area here.
2263
01:41:21,990 --> 01:41:24,120
Both candles stop dead on the 79 cent
2264
01:41:24,120 --> 01:41:26,490
tracing level and then boom, it move
2265
01:41:26,490 --> 01:41:28,500
lower. Okay, now we have everything back
2266
01:41:28,500 --> 01:41:30,480
in sync again. We had this low taken
2267
01:41:30,480 --> 01:41:33,930
out, we have both the framework on the
2268
01:41:33,930 --> 01:41:36,090
moving averages suggesting lower prices
2269
01:41:36,510 --> 01:41:40,140
and the order flow and Mark flow is
2270
01:41:40,170 --> 01:41:41,790
bearish because we took out the swing
2271
01:41:41,790 --> 01:41:43,560
low so everything's moving lower again.
2272
01:41:45,300 --> 01:41:47,640
We we continuingly looking for selling
2273
01:41:47,640 --> 01:41:51,000
opportunities okay. And inside this is
2274
01:41:51,090 --> 01:41:55,200
area here. Now again we have the market
2275
01:41:55,230 --> 01:41:58,170
creating a nice rally and reversal.
2276
01:41:58,200 --> 01:42:00,900
Again, we are not Trying to call the
2277
01:42:00,900 --> 01:42:03,840
lows, we are not looking for the, you
2278
01:42:03,840 --> 01:42:05,070
know, the tops and the bottoms in the
2279
01:42:05,070 --> 01:42:06,900
marketplace. So even if we were to take
2280
01:42:06,900 --> 01:42:08,520
a trade in here somewhere, okay,
2281
01:42:08,520 --> 01:42:11,070
something lent to our analysis that we
2282
01:42:11,070 --> 01:42:13,530
should suggest taking a short trade and
2283
01:42:13,530 --> 01:42:15,780
we got stopped out, what do we do? We
2284
01:42:15,780 --> 01:42:18,120
accept the loss and we move on. Okay?
2285
01:42:18,540 --> 01:42:20,550
Right in our journal, keep it you know,
2286
01:42:21,300 --> 01:42:23,490
as a learning process, and continuously
2287
01:42:23,490 --> 01:42:26,970
looking for the next opportunity. All
2288
01:42:26,970 --> 01:42:30,390
this right here, okay, would be the same
2289
01:42:30,390 --> 01:42:32,550
information this applied going forward.
2290
01:42:32,580 --> 01:42:34,770
Now this, we only had these two examples
2291
01:42:34,770 --> 01:42:38,580
in our analysis and study. Again, we had
2292
01:42:39,240 --> 01:42:41,400
that red arrow area in the two green
2293
01:42:41,400 --> 01:42:45,780
areas. Inside of these pockets of price
2294
01:42:45,780 --> 01:42:48,060
action, there's more than enough
2295
01:42:48,060 --> 01:42:50,190
opportunities for you to take trades
2296
01:42:50,370 --> 01:42:53,580
just using the daily chart. Okay, but if
2297
01:42:53,580 --> 01:42:56,910
you use the four hour chart, you'll be
2298
01:42:56,910 --> 01:42:59,430
able to glean a better understanding of
2299
01:42:59,430 --> 01:43:01,230
what it is That you're going to be
2300
01:43:01,230 --> 01:43:03,510
hunting. But before we do that, let's
2301
01:43:03,510 --> 01:43:06,630
strip the chart again. And we're going
2302
01:43:06,630 --> 01:43:10,710
to take these fractal things off here.
2303
01:43:11,640 --> 01:43:13,500
Okay? And what I'm going to discuss now
2304
01:43:14,910 --> 01:43:15,570
is
2305
01:43:16,410 --> 01:43:18,810
what specifically is inside the candles
2306
01:43:18,810 --> 01:43:20,640
that's useful to us, okay? And why
2307
01:43:20,640 --> 01:43:25,020
consolidations breed opportunity. We
2308
01:43:25,020 --> 01:43:28,440
have an area of consolidation right
2309
01:43:28,440 --> 01:43:31,140
here. And I probably should take these
2310
01:43:31,140 --> 01:43:40,920
rectangles off because there we go. And
2311
01:43:40,920 --> 01:43:41,580
we have
2312
01:43:48,210 --> 01:43:55,950
this consolidation right here. Okay,
2313
01:43:55,950 --> 01:44:00,840
inside this, I'm gonna make it blue. In
2314
01:44:00,840 --> 01:44:04,290
this little area here, okay, smart money
2315
01:44:04,290 --> 01:44:08,790
is accumulating. Now, how do I know it's
2316
01:44:09,660 --> 01:44:11,760
accumulating? Well, because number one
2317
01:44:11,760 --> 01:44:15,120
prices already moved off of an area
2318
01:44:15,150 --> 01:44:19,860
where it caused a reaction. Okay, inside
2319
01:44:19,860 --> 01:44:23,220
this reaction, this price move higher.
2320
01:44:23,250 --> 01:44:25,080
Okay, we're talking about a daily chart
2321
01:44:25,080 --> 01:44:31,050
moving for days to the tune of about 465
2322
01:44:31,050 --> 01:44:33,930
pips. Okay? retail traders can't do
2323
01:44:33,930 --> 01:44:36,090
that. So institutional funds
2324
01:44:36,120 --> 01:44:38,340
institutional traders will smart money
2325
01:44:38,340 --> 01:44:39,870
will this is the elephant putting its
2326
01:44:39,870 --> 01:44:41,970
foot in the water, okay? Then we go into
2327
01:44:41,970 --> 01:44:45,240
a consolidation, it's pausing in here,
2328
01:44:45,300 --> 01:44:47,220
traders chase it thinking, Okay, what's
2329
01:44:47,220 --> 01:44:48,450
been going up, I'm gonna keep buying it
2330
01:44:48,450 --> 01:44:49,920
and they get pounded here to get pounded
2331
01:44:49,920 --> 01:44:51,930
here, get pounded here. And at this
2332
01:44:51,930 --> 01:44:52,950
point, they say well, it's probably not
2333
01:44:52,950 --> 01:44:54,420
going to keep going up. So I'm going to
2334
01:44:54,420 --> 01:44:56,220
be a seller and what they do they sell a
2335
01:44:56,220 --> 01:44:58,470
breakout. Okay? Are they so you know,
2336
01:44:58,500 --> 01:45:00,600
whatever pattern they think is is
2337
01:45:00,630 --> 01:45:03,180
beneficial to them and ended up getting
2338
01:45:03,180 --> 01:45:04,350
caught on the other side of the market
2339
01:45:04,350 --> 01:45:07,890
again. We as traders, okay, here's what
2340
01:45:07,890 --> 01:45:09,330
we're going to take a huge step right
2341
01:45:09,330 --> 01:45:12,780
now. Okay? You need institutional
2342
01:45:12,780 --> 01:45:15,180
sponsorship in your trades.
2343
01:45:16,110 --> 01:45:17,970
Institutional sponsorship is when you
2344
01:45:17,970 --> 01:45:19,560
start seeing things like this as the
2345
01:45:19,590 --> 01:45:21,480
market moves up, moves into
2346
01:45:21,480 --> 01:45:24,240
consolidation. This is where pairing of
2347
01:45:24,240 --> 01:45:26,100
orders is taking place. Okay?
2348
01:45:26,940 --> 01:45:29,910
institutional trading is building up
2349
01:45:29,910 --> 01:45:32,460
positions, all in these areas here.
2350
01:45:32,670 --> 01:45:34,650
Okay. And what you're looking for is
2351
01:45:34,650 --> 01:45:37,020
where areas of where the market has
2352
01:45:37,020 --> 01:45:42,120
moved with a great level of conviction.
2353
01:45:42,510 --> 01:45:45,360
Okay. If they can move the market almost
2354
01:45:45,360 --> 01:45:47,670
500 pips here and it starts pausing.
2355
01:45:48,240 --> 01:45:49,380
Chances are, it's probably gonna be
2356
01:45:49,380 --> 01:45:52,170
another leg up. And what I mean by that,
2357
01:45:52,170 --> 01:45:54,510
well, if you take this low to the high
2358
01:45:54,720 --> 01:46:01,620
in here if you see that range here It's
2359
01:46:01,620 --> 01:46:03,420
probably gonna look to make a move equal
2360
01:46:03,420 --> 01:46:07,050
to that same thing. Okay, and here's a
2361
01:46:07,050 --> 01:46:08,370
low we're going to use basically use
2362
01:46:08,370 --> 01:46:11,160
this because usually the same this here
2363
01:46:11,160 --> 01:46:13,500
and here's basically the same price. As
2364
01:46:13,500 --> 01:46:14,880
you take this out in time, you can see
2365
01:46:15,060 --> 01:46:16,740
the market did move in fact to that same
2366
01:46:16,740 --> 01:46:19,050
price level. Again, it's just like a
2367
01:46:19,050 --> 01:46:21,360
measured move taking the first swing and
2368
01:46:21,360 --> 01:46:23,310
then consolidation and expect another
2369
01:46:23,610 --> 01:46:26,130
move higher. What I want to draw your
2370
01:46:26,130 --> 01:46:28,980
attention to is again on a daily chart
2371
01:46:30,870 --> 01:46:35,220
how I like to view the market is it see
2372
01:46:35,220 --> 01:46:38,790
this candle here? Okay, if we look at
2373
01:46:38,790 --> 01:46:42,690
that, this candle right here,
2374
01:46:44,820 --> 01:46:45,420
here
2375
01:46:53,310 --> 01:46:54,630
the body of that candle
2376
01:46:56,640 --> 01:46:57,150
okay.
2377
01:47:00,000 --> 01:47:02,100
To me the most useful portion of it,
2378
01:47:02,490 --> 01:47:06,810
okay? When price rallied up, okay and
2379
01:47:06,810 --> 01:47:08,670
consolidated and moved out of it and
2380
01:47:08,670 --> 01:47:10,110
came right back down into it but was
2381
01:47:10,140 --> 01:47:12,000
unable to break this low, we are in a
2382
01:47:12,000 --> 01:47:17,610
consolidation. Okay. In this area in
2383
01:47:17,610 --> 01:47:20,190
here, okay, something's going on
2384
01:47:20,400 --> 01:47:22,650
institutionally speaking. I don't know
2385
01:47:22,650 --> 01:47:25,200
exactly what it is. But I know that
2386
01:47:25,200 --> 01:47:28,350
there's something that traders on a
2387
01:47:28,350 --> 01:47:31,830
large institutional basis want this
2388
01:47:31,860 --> 01:47:34,080
price for whatever reason they think
2389
01:47:34,080 --> 01:47:36,630
there's value to it, okay? And what
2390
01:47:36,630 --> 01:47:37,710
we're going to do is we're going to be
2391
01:47:37,710 --> 01:47:42,000
looking at this whole area here and I
2392
01:47:42,000 --> 01:47:43,170
really should be using the high the
2393
01:47:43,170 --> 01:47:47,130
candle, not just the body, but this
2394
01:47:47,130 --> 01:47:53,460
whole area here is important. Because
2395
01:47:53,460 --> 01:47:55,260
this is going to be an institutional
2396
01:47:55,260 --> 01:47:58,260
order block. Okay, when price rallied
2397
01:47:58,260 --> 01:47:59,970
out of that and came back one more time
2398
01:48:00,540 --> 01:48:02,460
Okay, they did, they dipped below this
2399
01:48:02,460 --> 01:48:04,950
area here to clear out any kind of stops
2400
01:48:04,950 --> 01:48:06,510
that would be resting there. Okay and
2401
01:48:06,510 --> 01:48:08,580
it's a stop run. One of the most
2402
01:48:08,580 --> 01:48:09,750
important things you can have your notes
2403
01:48:09,750 --> 01:48:11,700
are is if the price can come back to a
2404
01:48:11,700 --> 01:48:14,070
key level support resistance, sweep
2405
01:48:14,070 --> 01:48:16,230
through it one more time. Okay and then
2406
01:48:16,530 --> 01:48:18,720
fail to keep going. That's generally a
2407
01:48:18,720 --> 01:48:20,190
sign that was a stop rate and they're
2408
01:48:20,190 --> 01:48:22,110
getting ready to do a major repricing
2409
01:48:22,320 --> 01:48:23,610
going the opposite direction in other
2410
01:48:23,610 --> 01:48:25,830
words contrary to direction the stop was
2411
01:48:25,890 --> 01:48:28,260
rattling somewhere they drove it lower
2412
01:48:28,260 --> 01:48:30,900
here, engineered it lower to send it
2413
01:48:30,900 --> 01:48:33,000
higher. Okay, why did they do that?
2414
01:48:33,030 --> 01:48:34,800
Because they want the orders that are in
2415
01:48:34,800 --> 01:48:39,330
existence down here. Okay. So what do I
2416
01:48:39,330 --> 01:48:42,150
mean by that? Well, we had one little or
2417
01:48:42,150 --> 01:48:43,590
block in here between this candles high
2418
01:48:43,590 --> 01:48:45,690
in this candles low Okay, when price
2419
01:48:45,690 --> 01:48:47,040
rallied out they couldn't get all their
2420
01:48:47,040 --> 01:48:49,860
trade on. So what do they do they stop
2421
01:48:49,860 --> 01:48:52,800
their buying okay. And with they're not
2422
01:48:52,800 --> 01:48:55,530
buying price will be permitted to trade
2423
01:48:55,530 --> 01:48:57,360
lower, and then they'll support the
2424
01:48:57,360 --> 01:48:59,280
market again because why they're buying
2425
01:48:59,280 --> 01:49:00,540
comes back in tomorrow. marketplace in
2426
01:49:00,540 --> 01:49:02,160
here, okay, and they're buying it up
2427
01:49:02,160 --> 01:49:04,830
again, that's going to control this
2428
01:49:04,860 --> 01:49:06,930
decline and keep from going back into
2429
01:49:06,930 --> 01:49:08,370
this area here because they already have
2430
01:49:08,370 --> 01:49:10,710
established positions back here. They
2431
01:49:10,710 --> 01:49:12,240
don't want those violated, they don't
2432
01:49:12,240 --> 01:49:13,770
want to see a net loss in there. So
2433
01:49:13,770 --> 01:49:15,390
they're going to add more positions in
2434
01:49:15,390 --> 01:49:18,450
here supporting the market. Again, don't
2435
01:49:18,450 --> 01:49:19,980
think like a retail trader, think like
2436
01:49:19,980 --> 01:49:21,990
the banks, the institutional guys, they
2437
01:49:21,990 --> 01:49:23,580
want to keep this thing they have a
2438
01:49:23,580 --> 01:49:25,110
vested interest in keeping this market
2439
01:49:25,110 --> 01:49:27,090
up. So if they wanted to move higher,
2440
01:49:27,210 --> 01:49:28,500
they're gonna be buying it at a level
2441
01:49:28,500 --> 01:49:30,750
where they consider it valuable, okay,
2442
01:49:30,780 --> 01:49:34,440
or a viewing perspective on the
2443
01:49:34,440 --> 01:49:38,460
marketplace as it has a worth of some
2444
01:49:38,460 --> 01:49:42,330
sort, or undervalued if you will. Now,
2445
01:49:42,390 --> 01:49:44,940
as price moved out of this area here,
2446
01:49:44,970 --> 01:49:46,740
again, this is that consolidation area
2447
01:49:46,740 --> 01:49:49,050
we just had blocked off. Its price move
2448
01:49:49,080 --> 01:49:50,940
out of that area here we have market
2449
01:49:50,940 --> 01:49:52,890
structure shift here again to the
2450
01:49:52,890 --> 01:49:54,600
bullishness to this high was taken out
2451
01:49:54,900 --> 01:50:01,470
here so let's draw that out. Okay, we
2452
01:50:01,470 --> 01:50:03,330
are bullish market structure here, price
2453
01:50:03,330 --> 01:50:05,160
rallies up again and then we have this
2454
01:50:05,190 --> 01:50:07,890
decline. Okay. Now remember earlier I
2455
01:50:07,890 --> 01:50:10,800
was discussing this Yes, it was three
2456
01:50:10,800 --> 01:50:12,060
days where it was bearish. I'm not
2457
01:50:12,120 --> 01:50:14,820
ignoring that. Okay. The reason why I
2458
01:50:14,820 --> 01:50:17,010
was going to come back to this example
2459
01:50:17,010 --> 01:50:19,440
here because this is exactly what I used
2460
01:50:19,440 --> 01:50:21,990
to get in these types of trades. If you
2461
01:50:21,990 --> 01:50:24,570
look at this area of where the
2462
01:50:24,570 --> 01:50:27,000
institutional order block was, okay, and
2463
01:50:27,000 --> 01:50:29,430
again, what how am I defining that
2464
01:50:29,550 --> 01:50:31,860
because we went into a consolidation, we
2465
01:50:31,860 --> 01:50:35,010
rallied up, okay. And you want to see a
2466
01:50:35,010 --> 01:50:37,650
conviction, a very strong conviction in
2467
01:50:37,650 --> 01:50:39,090
the marketplace. And when you see
2468
01:50:39,090 --> 01:50:39,930
something like this where it moves,
2469
01:50:39,930 --> 01:50:42,060
several hundred pips, retail traders
2470
01:50:42,060 --> 01:50:44,160
can't do that. So that's the elephant
2471
01:50:44,160 --> 01:50:45,810
putting his foot in the water. And when
2472
01:50:45,810 --> 01:50:47,880
price comes back down, okay, it gets
2473
01:50:47,880 --> 01:50:49,200
back in the same area, we can reasonably
2474
01:50:49,200 --> 01:50:50,880
expect to see it to do what we expect it
2475
01:50:50,880 --> 01:50:52,920
to rally. And when it rallies up and
2476
01:50:52,920 --> 01:50:54,480
breaks these highs, we know that they
2477
01:50:54,480 --> 01:50:56,640
are really putting an effort to keep
2478
01:50:56,640 --> 01:50:59,100
this thing going moving higher. Now
2479
01:50:59,100 --> 01:51:00,630
watch, we're getting anything out. huge
2480
01:51:00,630 --> 01:51:03,960
leap forward. Okay, this area here
2481
01:51:04,050 --> 01:51:05,820
because we use this first candle, it's
2482
01:51:05,820 --> 01:51:08,430
the bearish candle. Okay prior to the
2483
01:51:08,430 --> 01:51:12,240
first rally if we took this down to a
2484
01:51:12,240 --> 01:51:14,250
lower timeframe, what do you think this
2485
01:51:14,250 --> 01:51:16,770
is going to be? It's going to be a
2486
01:51:16,890 --> 01:51:20,430
market structure or a market flow or
2487
01:51:20,430 --> 01:51:22,830
order flow reference point where if it
2488
01:51:22,830 --> 01:51:24,360
breaks to the higher side we would
2489
01:51:24,360 --> 01:51:26,910
expect to see what bullish prices okay?
2490
01:51:27,540 --> 01:51:31,770
But also it's during down candles okay
2491
01:51:31,770 --> 01:51:34,620
or down moves is when the Smart Money
2492
01:51:34,620 --> 01:51:37,950
accumulates positions. Let me say that
2493
01:51:37,950 --> 01:51:39,000
one more time because it went right over
2494
01:51:39,000 --> 01:51:42,780
your head I'm sure. Smart Money or
2495
01:51:42,810 --> 01:51:46,050
professional traders do their buying on
2496
01:51:46,050 --> 01:51:50,610
down moves. They do not chase price.
2497
01:51:50,940 --> 01:51:53,790
They buy it when it's going down. Okay.
2498
01:51:54,690 --> 01:51:59,130
When the market strong harms were struck
2499
01:52:00,660 --> 01:52:01,350
Smart Money
2500
01:52:01,410 --> 01:52:04,200
traders want to sell, they sell when the
2501
01:52:04,200 --> 01:52:06,660
markets rallying up, they don't sell it
2502
01:52:06,930 --> 01:52:09,420
when it's dropping down. Okay, so have
2503
01:52:09,420 --> 01:52:11,370
that in your little notebook, you want
2504
01:52:11,370 --> 01:52:13,260
to be doing the same thing, which is one
2505
01:52:13,260 --> 01:52:15,690
of the strongest components that makes
2506
01:52:15,690 --> 01:52:17,520
up my trading because I'm a buyer when
2507
01:52:17,520 --> 01:52:20,070
the markets moving lower. If you were
2508
01:52:20,070 --> 01:52:23,100
watching this series of two days here on
2509
01:52:23,100 --> 01:52:25,140
an intraday basis, this probably looked
2510
01:52:25,140 --> 01:52:26,610
like this was like a bat out of hell.
2511
01:52:26,700 --> 01:52:28,380
Okay, screaming lower and it's probably
2512
01:52:28,380 --> 01:52:29,640
gonna keep on trading Lower, lower
2513
01:52:29,640 --> 01:52:32,940
lower. You have to understand on this
2514
01:52:32,940 --> 01:52:34,530
higher timeframe daily chart what was
2515
01:52:34,530 --> 01:52:38,610
taking place. See this whole area here
2516
01:52:38,610 --> 01:52:41,610
we just blocked out. We have two areas
2517
01:52:41,610 --> 01:52:44,640
of where they have created two large
2518
01:52:44,640 --> 01:52:46,980
institutional order blocks. I'm going to
2519
01:52:46,980 --> 01:52:49,350
show you the second one that took place.
2520
01:52:50,190 --> 01:52:53,760
See the rally took off here. The bearish
2521
01:52:53,760 --> 01:52:56,070
candle right before it taken off, is
2522
01:52:56,070 --> 01:52:59,220
where you would have your expectancy of
2523
01:52:59,610 --> 01:53:01,080
market Structure shifting on the bullish
2524
01:53:01,080 --> 01:53:04,260
side right in here okay. Now as price
2525
01:53:04,260 --> 01:53:08,970
rallies off this low here okay and again
2526
01:53:09,420 --> 01:53:11,580
think this is a consolidation in here so
2527
01:53:11,580 --> 01:53:12,750
with this consolidation there's
2528
01:53:12,750 --> 01:53:16,050
opportunity being bred okay and as the
2529
01:53:16,050 --> 01:53:19,410
market moves higher okay it moves up in
2530
01:53:19,410 --> 01:53:22,650
a rally and again you can day trade in
2531
01:53:22,650 --> 01:53:25,020
these moves following that consider a
2532
01:53:25,020 --> 01:53:28,080
daily chart. So, moving within this
2533
01:53:28,110 --> 01:53:31,200
price swing we can reasonably expect you
2534
01:53:31,950 --> 01:53:35,100
intraday trading opportunities which is
2535
01:53:35,100 --> 01:53:37,890
beyond the scope of this teaching again
2536
01:53:37,890 --> 01:53:42,720
but as price moves up and makes us price
2537
01:53:42,720 --> 01:53:47,070
swing here starts to retrace back in we
2538
01:53:47,070 --> 01:53:51,300
have to order block areas that may be
2539
01:53:51,750 --> 01:53:54,480
utilized as retracement opportunities.
2540
01:53:55,020 --> 01:53:57,630
Okay, you have this one here with this
2541
01:53:58,590 --> 01:54:02,730
candle here which is free Down candle
2542
01:54:02,730 --> 01:54:04,920
prior to the rally up in here, okay, so
2543
01:54:04,920 --> 01:54:06,420
above this high here would be the
2544
01:54:06,420 --> 01:54:08,340
indication of a market structure shift
2545
01:54:08,670 --> 01:54:11,100
on a lower timeframe. So when it breaks
2546
01:54:11,100 --> 01:54:12,720
above that if it comes back down to that
2547
01:54:12,720 --> 01:54:15,600
same point of origin, this will be a
2548
01:54:15,630 --> 01:54:18,180
likely candidate for a buy. Now I want
2549
01:54:18,180 --> 01:54:20,910
to draw your attention to here is the
2550
01:54:20,910 --> 01:54:24,180
fact that we didn't get lower than these
2551
01:54:24,180 --> 01:54:27,030
lows here really doesn't negate the
2552
01:54:27,090 --> 01:54:29,880
validity of this potential area. It just
2553
01:54:29,880 --> 01:54:32,040
means that they have enough of their
2554
01:54:32,040 --> 01:54:34,920
orders established in this area here on
2555
01:54:34,920 --> 01:54:38,010
this front prior to this candle making
2556
01:54:38,010 --> 01:54:39,900
this here. Now what's this down move
2557
01:54:39,900 --> 01:54:42,630
here? All these candles moving up,
2558
01:54:42,930 --> 01:54:45,120
breaking the swing high here. Okay, this
2559
01:54:45,120 --> 01:54:47,880
is the first down candle high above this
2560
01:54:47,880 --> 01:54:50,160
candle here. When it broke here, market
2561
01:54:50,160 --> 01:54:52,260
structure in the lower timeframes was
2562
01:54:52,260 --> 01:54:55,500
bullish. Okay. So when we see that price
2563
01:54:55,500 --> 01:54:57,330
comes right back down, gets into the
2564
01:54:57,330 --> 01:54:58,890
same order block here now one a little
2565
01:54:58,890 --> 01:55:01,950
bit lower again. But if we extend this
2566
01:55:01,950 --> 01:55:06,300
in time, I'm going to illustrate what it
2567
01:55:06,300 --> 01:55:08,280
is specifically that's going on on an
2568
01:55:08,280 --> 01:55:10,590
institutional level that you need to be
2569
01:55:10,590 --> 01:55:13,200
aware of to help you with your trading.
2570
01:55:15,090 --> 01:55:16,530
And I'm going to take these lines off
2571
01:55:16,530 --> 01:55:19,710
because they no longer are serving a
2572
01:55:19,710 --> 01:55:24,060
purpose. Okay, so price comes down. And
2573
01:55:24,060 --> 01:55:25,620
again, remember these these days here
2574
01:55:25,620 --> 01:55:29,190
we're talking about earlier if you as
2575
01:55:29,190 --> 01:55:31,620
price ran up, here, we were in that
2576
01:55:31,620 --> 01:55:35,580
bullish environment where the averages
2577
01:55:35,580 --> 01:55:37,650
were indicating that we're likely to see
2578
01:55:37,650 --> 01:55:40,170
upward pressure. When price came down
2579
01:55:40,170 --> 01:55:43,380
like this, we can sit back and wait for
2580
01:55:43,380 --> 01:55:45,300
price to enter back into an area of
2581
01:55:45,330 --> 01:55:50,220
potential institutional order. So when
2582
01:55:50,220 --> 01:55:51,930
we have price moving back into that,
2583
01:55:52,410 --> 01:55:55,500
this is where we start understanding the
2584
01:55:55,500 --> 01:55:58,170
mechanics behind the ICT optimal trade
2585
01:55:58,170 --> 01:56:00,300
entry pattern. And let's Let's take a
2586
01:56:00,300 --> 01:56:07,380
look at that now. We have the swing here
2587
01:56:07,380 --> 01:56:10,470
from this low up to this range high
2588
01:56:10,470 --> 01:56:13,860
here. Okay, so we have the low here and
2589
01:56:13,860 --> 01:56:15,810
the high here, price comes down and
2590
01:56:15,810 --> 01:56:19,170
slams right into that 70.5 level or
2591
01:56:19,170 --> 01:56:22,080
sweetspot like I like to call it that
2592
01:56:22,080 --> 01:56:23,340
means you could be buying anywhere
2593
01:56:23,340 --> 01:56:25,950
around that 130 big figure not factoring
2594
01:56:25,950 --> 01:56:27,660
in the spread obviously about three pips
2595
01:56:27,660 --> 01:56:30,870
as this is a safe bet, in this case 130
2596
01:56:30,870 --> 01:56:34,740
oh six or 135 is a good number that you
2597
01:56:34,740 --> 01:56:41,100
can try to get long in the the low prior
2598
01:56:41,100 --> 01:56:43,680
to that this swing low here would be a
2599
01:56:44,250 --> 01:56:47,610
possible scenario to had you are
2600
01:56:47,700 --> 01:56:50,490
expecting this candle here. If it dipped
2601
01:56:50,490 --> 01:56:52,500
down lower, we could have caught 260 2%
2602
01:56:52,500 --> 01:56:54,660
there. Okay, so I get a lot of questions
2603
01:56:54,660 --> 01:56:57,360
on why I move my fib to certain swings
2604
01:56:57,360 --> 01:56:59,160
and such. And now you're understanding
2605
01:56:59,190 --> 01:57:00,630
really the mechanics Find it all.
2606
01:57:01,170 --> 01:57:04,890
So let's look at the optimal trade entry
2607
01:57:04,890 --> 01:57:07,980
a little bit closer and understand some,
2608
01:57:08,250 --> 01:57:11,100
some central tenants to it and what's
2609
01:57:11,190 --> 01:57:13,470
specifically that pattern really
2610
01:57:13,470 --> 01:57:17,820
capitalizes on when we have a market
2611
01:57:18,150 --> 01:57:21,330
take out a swing high like this, okay?
2612
01:57:22,080 --> 01:57:25,380
We have institutional sponsorship that
2613
01:57:25,380 --> 01:57:27,780
takes the market above Okay, and when it
2614
01:57:27,780 --> 01:57:30,330
returns back into an area of previous
2615
01:57:30,330 --> 01:57:33,480
consolidation, we expect that to
2616
01:57:34,890 --> 01:57:37,800
reposition or assume more Long's. Okay.
2617
01:57:38,220 --> 01:57:39,870
So I was preparing orders in here.
2618
01:57:40,050 --> 01:57:41,670
They're allowing the market participants
2619
01:57:41,730 --> 01:57:44,790
okay to see this quick drop down. Okay.
2620
01:57:44,790 --> 01:57:46,530
And that's one of the things I find kind
2621
01:57:46,530 --> 01:57:49,470
of interesting when when the markets are
2622
01:57:49,740 --> 01:57:52,440
predisposed to go higher. They had these
2623
01:57:52,440 --> 01:57:55,470
really one or two quick down dynamic
2624
01:57:55,470 --> 01:57:57,870
days, okay, it kind of gets you all
2625
01:57:58,320 --> 01:57:59,820
flustered and thinking, you know, hey,
2626
01:57:59,820 --> 01:58:01,140
look This mark is probably going to go
2627
01:58:01,140 --> 01:58:03,900
lower. And if you're really sensitive to
2628
01:58:03,900 --> 01:58:06,030
the lower timeframes, like you know, one
2629
01:58:06,030 --> 01:58:09,000
515 minutes, or even less than hourly in
2630
01:58:09,000 --> 01:58:11,970
any capacity, it's very easy to swing
2631
01:58:12,000 --> 01:58:16,110
your daily bias based on that. And if
2632
01:58:16,110 --> 01:58:17,640
you learn to start looking at these
2633
01:58:17,640 --> 01:58:20,550
daily and four hour charts, it helps you
2634
01:58:20,550 --> 01:58:25,320
hold on to a longer term perspective and
2635
01:58:25,320 --> 01:58:27,330
you are less likely to be lulled into
2636
01:58:27,570 --> 01:58:29,520
swinging back and forth on a daily basis
2637
01:58:29,550 --> 01:58:31,230
you know, your daily basis being bullish
2638
01:58:31,230 --> 01:58:33,930
one day embarrassed the next you can see
2639
01:58:33,930 --> 01:58:36,570
really when when these moves really take
2640
01:58:36,570 --> 01:58:38,640
off, there are several days that they
2641
01:58:38,640 --> 01:58:40,590
move, okay, then you have a retrace and
2642
01:58:40,590 --> 01:58:42,840
there are several days where it moves,
2643
01:58:43,020 --> 01:58:44,820
then you retrace, then there's really
2644
01:58:44,820 --> 01:58:48,630
dynamic several days on the upside once
2645
01:58:48,630 --> 01:58:50,850
it really starts to move out. When you
2646
01:58:50,850 --> 01:58:54,120
find that it's fulfilled its order
2647
01:58:54,120 --> 01:58:56,790
block, okay. You'll see that there's
2648
01:58:56,790 --> 01:58:59,370
many times very little time for you to
2649
01:58:59,370 --> 01:59:01,530
catch up. entry point. So you got to
2650
01:59:01,530 --> 01:59:03,150
know these things in advance. And that's
2651
01:59:03,150 --> 01:59:04,800
why reacting to a price is not really
2652
01:59:04,800 --> 01:59:08,160
the best case scenario. But as price
2653
01:59:08,160 --> 01:59:11,010
moves down into this range here, okay?
2654
01:59:11,280 --> 01:59:13,050
You can actually see in this smaller
2655
01:59:13,050 --> 01:59:15,060
consolidation, okay, see this right
2656
01:59:15,060 --> 01:59:17,520
here. So don't worry, we're here. Let's
2657
01:59:17,520 --> 01:59:20,970
use this rectangle to highlight that.
2658
01:59:23,220 --> 01:59:24,570
And what we'll do is we'll actually go
2659
01:59:24,570 --> 01:59:28,320
down into a smaller timeframe for our
2660
01:59:28,320 --> 01:59:32,640
chart, and we'll study that little
2661
01:59:32,640 --> 01:59:36,120
consolidation as well. So we're going to
2662
01:59:36,120 --> 01:59:38,280
assume for a moment that you were not
2663
01:59:38,280 --> 01:59:42,480
privy to know in this order block or
2664
01:59:42,480 --> 01:59:46,920
institutional order area here, okay, and
2665
01:59:46,950 --> 01:59:48,510
as we moved into a consolidation in
2666
01:59:48,510 --> 01:59:50,610
here, okay, what we'll do is we're going
2667
01:59:50,610 --> 01:59:55,260
to drop down into it for our Okay, and
2668
01:59:55,260 --> 01:59:58,950
you're going to see that same underlying
2669
01:59:59,100 --> 02:00:02,280
pattern. We have a swing high in here,
2670
02:00:03,060 --> 02:00:06,000
which is broken. Okay. I'm going to
2671
02:00:06,000 --> 02:00:07,290
recap the pattern what you're looking
2672
02:00:07,290 --> 02:00:10,890
for this is how Institute's
2673
02:00:10,920 --> 02:00:13,410
institutional trading can be mimicked.
2674
02:00:15,750 --> 02:00:18,450
Okay, you have an area of potential
2675
02:00:18,450 --> 02:00:20,070
support which we've already identified
2676
02:00:20,130 --> 02:00:23,700
on a daily chart. Market ran up into
2677
02:00:23,700 --> 02:00:25,620
swing high came back retrace. Now you
2678
02:00:25,620 --> 02:00:29,040
can trade this with a pure understanding
2679
02:00:29,040 --> 02:00:30,870
that's a support level. And this could
2680
02:00:30,870 --> 02:00:33,390
be your retracement here. Okay. Now
2681
02:00:33,390 --> 02:00:34,860
again, that's a four hour basis, you
2682
02:00:34,860 --> 02:00:36,690
could you could do that. And the reason
2683
02:00:36,690 --> 02:00:39,510
why is because you're using the same
2684
02:00:42,450 --> 02:00:44,790
underlying premise prior to this move up
2685
02:00:44,910 --> 02:00:48,780
the first down candle prior to it, which
2686
02:00:48,780 --> 02:00:52,110
is here, if price returns back to that
2687
02:00:52,110 --> 02:00:57,360
range, as it does here. Okay, and I'll
2688
02:00:57,360 --> 02:01:00,450
drop a fib on as you can see mechanics
2689
02:01:00,450 --> 02:01:06,240
behind it. Okay, you can see the 79 cent
2690
02:01:06,240 --> 02:01:07,710
chasing level stops it dead to rights
2691
02:01:07,710 --> 02:01:09,960
boom, right there. Okay, and then price
2692
02:01:09,960 --> 02:01:13,020
rallies up. In here when we have this
2693
02:01:13,020 --> 02:01:15,300
break here on a four hour This is much
2694
02:01:15,300 --> 02:01:17,550
more dynamic when you see this take
2695
02:01:17,550 --> 02:01:20,550
place. Okay, put this in your notepad.
2696
02:01:21,030 --> 02:01:23,070
If you see the overall pattern on a four
2697
02:01:23,070 --> 02:01:25,380
hour chart break like this and your
2698
02:01:25,380 --> 02:01:27,690
overall bullish still on the higher
2699
02:01:27,690 --> 02:01:30,630
timeframe daily man get ready because
2700
02:01:30,630 --> 02:01:33,060
it's going to have a dynamic price surge
2701
02:01:33,060 --> 02:01:36,630
higher. Once we have a return back to
2702
02:01:36,810 --> 02:01:38,340
the point of origin the port of origin
2703
02:01:38,340 --> 02:01:39,990
is what we discussed right here. And
2704
02:01:39,990 --> 02:01:42,360
then when price moved up here again, the
2705
02:01:42,360 --> 02:01:46,470
first candle it's down prior to the
2706
02:01:46,470 --> 02:01:54,360
rally up. Once price, rallies up, away
2707
02:01:54,360 --> 02:01:56,310
and breaks the swing high like we just
2708
02:01:56,310 --> 02:01:58,800
discussed right here.
2709
02:02:00,450 --> 02:02:03,180
We had this rally up, we wait. And when
2710
02:02:03,180 --> 02:02:04,650
price returns back to this point of
2711
02:02:04,650 --> 02:02:07,170
origin right in here, okay? This is
2712
02:02:07,170 --> 02:02:08,910
where they dip back into that order
2713
02:02:08,910 --> 02:02:11,490
block. Okay? So they had their orders
2714
02:02:11,490 --> 02:02:13,350
here that came back, they want to get an
2715
02:02:13,350 --> 02:02:16,260
average fill around here that 130 20,
2716
02:02:16,260 --> 02:02:18,750
maybe 130 30 level, if you look over
2717
02:02:18,750 --> 02:02:20,850
here, you can see that's the case, price
2718
02:02:20,850 --> 02:02:22,680
comes down, dips back into that order
2719
02:02:22,680 --> 02:02:26,130
block again, okay, they spend about a
2720
02:02:26,130 --> 02:02:29,520
day or so in there, acquiring more long
2721
02:02:29,520 --> 02:02:31,860
positions. Okay, now what we'll do is
2722
02:02:31,860 --> 02:02:34,740
we're going to use this swing low here,
2723
02:02:34,830 --> 02:02:37,590
up to the high here, okay, using that
2724
02:02:37,590 --> 02:02:39,990
same range. And you can see the 7970
2725
02:02:39,990 --> 02:02:43,170
cent level right in here is containing
2726
02:02:43,170 --> 02:02:44,550
the body to the candle and there's only
2727
02:02:44,550 --> 02:02:46,590
been two little wicks. Okay, we're
2728
02:02:46,590 --> 02:02:49,710
talking about maybe three pips that it
2729
02:02:49,710 --> 02:02:52,560
violated the size and tracing level. So
2730
02:02:53,550 --> 02:02:55,230
if you were using just a 10 PIP stop
2731
02:02:55,230 --> 02:02:58,110
below this low here and I don't want to
2732
02:02:58,110 --> 02:03:01,590
get into Last plate placement yet but I
2733
02:03:01,590 --> 02:03:03,750
just want to give you a little hint as
2734
02:03:03,750 --> 02:03:05,280
to what's going on if you were you're
2735
02:03:05,280 --> 02:03:07,140
buying in here 279 cent tracing level
2736
02:03:07,170 --> 02:03:08,730
and let's be fair and say you're buying
2737
02:03:08,730 --> 02:03:13,860
at 270 and 70.5 at the low here's 37
2738
02:03:13,860 --> 02:03:18,090
pips and your stop to be 10 pips below
2739
02:03:18,090 --> 02:03:21,930
that would be at 130 oh four, okay, and
2740
02:03:21,930 --> 02:03:23,940
that means you'd be risking. If you're
2741
02:03:23,940 --> 02:03:25,620
trading just on the four hour basis,
2742
02:03:26,040 --> 02:03:28,170
you'd have to have a stop of 47 pips.
2743
02:03:28,410 --> 02:03:29,970
And that's still very close to what my
2744
02:03:29,970 --> 02:03:33,510
average standard 30 PIP stop loss is. So
2745
02:03:33,510 --> 02:03:35,280
you can see how by understanding this
2746
02:03:35,280 --> 02:03:37,110
we've already trimmed down a huge amount
2747
02:03:37,110 --> 02:03:39,690
of the risk on a four hour timeframe.
2748
02:03:39,780 --> 02:03:41,970
Not to mention what we could do we drop
2749
02:03:41,970 --> 02:03:44,100
down to an hourly basis and or 15 minute
2750
02:03:44,100 --> 02:03:46,920
basis, which we'll do in a few moments
2751
02:03:46,920 --> 02:03:48,600
but just stuff for the moment. Let's
2752
02:03:48,600 --> 02:03:50,580
just look at this again in greater
2753
02:03:50,580 --> 02:03:54,600
detail. price moves down into this order
2754
02:03:54,600 --> 02:03:57,180
block price, based on this candle here.
2755
02:03:57,540 --> 02:04:00,000
You can see it does not really matter.
2756
02:04:00,300 --> 02:04:01,740
Jad down here and stabbed very
2757
02:04:01,740 --> 02:04:03,960
aggressively to hold the sunlight
2758
02:04:03,960 --> 02:04:05,250
saturation level as we just noted
2759
02:04:05,250 --> 02:04:08,220
earlier. So once price does this and it
2760
02:04:08,550 --> 02:04:10,320
accumulates whatever it is that
2761
02:04:11,010 --> 02:04:12,720
institutionally traders are trying to
2762
02:04:12,720 --> 02:04:15,090
acquire, I don't have the insight as to
2763
02:04:15,090 --> 02:04:17,340
what it is specifically they're trying
2764
02:04:17,340 --> 02:04:19,140
to acquire how much of the position
2765
02:04:19,140 --> 02:04:20,820
they're assuming I just understand the
2766
02:04:20,820 --> 02:04:22,260
footprint that they leave in the
2767
02:04:22,260 --> 02:04:24,150
marketplace that when that takes place,
2768
02:04:24,480 --> 02:04:27,240
okay, we know that it's most likely
2769
02:04:27,240 --> 02:04:28,800
going to have an aggressive move up,
2770
02:04:28,950 --> 02:04:30,990
okay, because we had the first run up
2771
02:04:30,990 --> 02:04:32,430
here and then a four hour market
2772
02:04:32,430 --> 02:04:34,620
structure break here. And then you wait
2773
02:04:34,620 --> 02:04:35,730
for it to come back. Where's it gonna
2774
02:04:35,760 --> 02:04:38,460
come back to? This is your point of
2775
02:04:38,460 --> 02:04:41,760
origin right here. Okay. And it could
2776
02:04:41,760 --> 02:04:43,410
very well easily come back into this one
2777
02:04:43,410 --> 02:04:44,910
as well and create almost like a double
2778
02:04:44,910 --> 02:04:47,760
bottom. It rarely does that. And the
2779
02:04:47,760 --> 02:04:49,770
reason why is because once it goes down,
2780
02:04:49,920 --> 02:04:52,290
it doesn't want to usually come down
2781
02:04:52,290 --> 02:04:53,790
much lower than that because other
2782
02:04:53,790 --> 02:04:56,220
institutional traders may get on board
2783
02:04:56,220 --> 02:04:58,230
and drive much lower than that and throw
2784
02:04:58,230 --> 02:05:02,430
off their their targeted average entry
2785
02:05:02,430 --> 02:05:04,920
price. So as they move up here you can
2786
02:05:04,920 --> 02:05:07,290
see you literally can see it as a as a
2787
02:05:07,290 --> 02:05:09,300
buying opportunity here, they acquire
2788
02:05:09,330 --> 02:05:11,220
Okay, it starts to move too much. So to
2789
02:05:11,220 --> 02:05:13,290
settle down, relax, let price come back
2790
02:05:13,290 --> 02:05:15,150
down again, dips back into this little
2791
02:05:15,150 --> 02:05:17,670
area here. Okay, they buy more of it and
2792
02:05:17,670 --> 02:05:19,530
it rallies up. You can see there's much
2793
02:05:19,530 --> 02:05:21,990
more aggressive buying pressure on this
2794
02:05:21,990 --> 02:05:24,120
candle here because it took three four
2795
02:05:24,210 --> 02:05:26,610
hour candles to make this range here and
2796
02:05:26,610 --> 02:05:28,950
then one four hour basis boom they took
2797
02:05:28,950 --> 02:05:31,710
off here, then come back, retrace,
2798
02:05:31,710 --> 02:05:33,150
retrace, retrace, where's it retracing
2799
02:05:33,150 --> 02:05:35,550
to the point of origin right here. And
2800
02:05:35,550 --> 02:05:36,900
then all of a sudden their remaining
2801
02:05:38,280 --> 02:05:40,260
block of trades that they want to assume
2802
02:05:40,770 --> 02:05:42,660
for a long position was acquired here
2803
02:05:42,660 --> 02:05:45,660
and then they're off to the races. Now
2804
02:05:45,690 --> 02:05:48,270
just trading back to an old high like
2805
02:05:48,270 --> 02:05:51,120
this. Let's note that and you can see.
2806
02:05:52,470 --> 02:05:57,480
Okay, looking for upward targets as I
2807
02:05:57,510 --> 02:05:59,970
like that. We're going to use this one
2808
02:06:00,000 --> 02:06:02,760
As a as an objective as an example
2809
02:06:02,760 --> 02:06:07,350
there's 270 pips late your feet and this
2810
02:06:07,350 --> 02:06:10,320
one here again we're going to assume you
2811
02:06:10,320 --> 02:06:14,730
traded at around the around the sweet
2812
02:06:14,730 --> 02:06:17,220
spot again there's 240 pips. So you're
2813
02:06:17,220 --> 02:06:20,400
really would you be willing to risk
2814
02:06:20,460 --> 02:06:22,800
roughly 50 pips just trading on a four
2815
02:06:22,800 --> 02:06:26,040
hour basis, risk 50 pips to make 240
2816
02:06:26,040 --> 02:06:28,350
pips just sounds like a good reward the
2817
02:06:28,350 --> 02:06:32,220
risk. I'll leave that up for you to
2818
02:06:32,220 --> 02:06:34,830
decide. As price moved up, you can see
2819
02:06:34,830 --> 02:06:37,410
it easily, quite easily hit this
2820
02:06:37,410 --> 02:06:39,060
objective and moved on beyond that as
2821
02:06:39,060 --> 02:06:44,100
well. So with this example here, you can
2822
02:06:44,100 --> 02:06:48,330
see how just simply waiting for these
2823
02:06:48,330 --> 02:06:51,570
scenarios to set up. You can trade
2824
02:06:51,570 --> 02:06:54,480
really a good number of pairs if you're
2825
02:06:54,480 --> 02:06:56,010
trading on a higher timeframe basis like
2826
02:06:56,010 --> 02:06:57,450
us because, number one, think about how
2827
02:06:57,450 --> 02:06:59,370
much time it takes to set these trades.
2828
02:07:00,000 --> 02:07:00,870
Takes a good bit of time.
2829
02:07:01,590 --> 02:07:04,920
Also, it gives you a an area where to
2830
02:07:04,920 --> 02:07:07,500
anticipate and hunt these specific
2831
02:07:07,500 --> 02:07:10,650
patterns. Okay, so it allows you to the
2832
02:07:10,650 --> 02:07:12,690
freedom to sit on your hands and wait
2833
02:07:12,690 --> 02:07:14,430
and not feel rushed to get in here and
2834
02:07:14,430 --> 02:07:16,290
just take a trade simply because it's
2835
02:07:16,290 --> 02:07:18,990
something to do. Now what we're going to
2836
02:07:18,990 --> 02:07:21,300
do is we're going to actually drill in
2837
02:07:21,300 --> 02:07:25,500
tighter. Okay? And what I'm doing is I'm
2838
02:07:25,530 --> 02:07:30,390
actually moving into this little pocket
2839
02:07:30,390 --> 02:07:32,670
of price action. Okay, so this fractal
2840
02:07:32,670 --> 02:07:35,790
here, we're going to look at in regards
2841
02:07:35,940 --> 02:07:38,700
to a 15 minute x go down to one hour
2842
02:07:38,700 --> 02:07:40,170
basis and see what that does first.
2843
02:07:43,710 --> 02:07:49,170
Okay, now you can see price rallies up
2844
02:07:49,170 --> 02:07:53,280
out of here. And right in here, you can
2845
02:07:53,280 --> 02:07:54,540
actually see how we're actually starting
2846
02:07:54,540 --> 02:08:01,020
to fine tune here's the bears. candle,
2847
02:08:01,290 --> 02:08:03,060
the first one right before you go to
2848
02:08:03,450 --> 02:08:06,540
move up. So if you bracket that out
2849
02:08:08,850 --> 02:08:10,530
okay, you can see that's the the order
2850
02:08:10,530 --> 02:08:13,170
block in here. Now again, it's anywhere
2851
02:08:13,170 --> 02:08:16,710
in here specifically, okay? But what I
2852
02:08:16,710 --> 02:08:20,910
like to see is like a Fibonacci level
2853
02:08:20,940 --> 02:08:24,600
and or pivot level in this area to
2854
02:08:24,600 --> 02:08:27,030
suggest where price may be going also
2855
02:08:27,030 --> 02:08:29,460
like round numbers, and in this case,
2856
02:08:29,460 --> 02:08:33,000
the 130 40 level is really ideal. And
2857
02:08:33,060 --> 02:08:35,520
you can see that's also roughly the same
2858
02:08:35,550 --> 02:08:38,280
price point this swing high is now also
2859
02:08:38,280 --> 02:08:39,750
around or what we talked about when we
2860
02:08:39,750 --> 02:08:41,640
look at swing highs, we'd like to look
2861
02:08:41,640 --> 02:08:43,620
at the three bar pattern. Okay, here's
2862
02:08:43,650 --> 02:08:48,000
the here's the highest candle in this
2863
02:08:48,000 --> 02:08:50,790
pattern, the right candle to the right
2864
02:08:50,790 --> 02:08:53,550
of it with a lower high. It's open and
2865
02:08:53,550 --> 02:08:56,160
closed and higher lows important. The
2866
02:08:56,160 --> 02:08:58,530
open high, low and close on the high
2867
02:08:58,530 --> 02:09:00,630
candle are the highest most That three
2868
02:09:00,900 --> 02:09:02,520
bar pattern on the swing high pattern.
2869
02:09:02,940 --> 02:09:04,740
And then this high here, the open high,
2870
02:09:04,740 --> 02:09:07,230
low and close as well. So when we, when
2871
02:09:07,230 --> 02:09:09,420
we factor those individual price levels,
2872
02:09:09,660 --> 02:09:11,010
you can actually take that out and
2873
02:09:11,010 --> 02:09:12,630
extend that across in terms of like the
2874
02:09:12,630 --> 02:09:15,420
horizontal lines and really specifically
2875
02:09:15,420 --> 02:09:16,740
wait for price to move down to those
2876
02:09:16,740 --> 02:09:19,170
levels on a one, I'm sorry, I want to
2877
02:09:19,170 --> 02:09:21,330
five minute or 15 minute basis and
2878
02:09:21,330 --> 02:09:23,160
really fine tune your entry in regards
2879
02:09:23,160 --> 02:09:26,940
to what may be possible for trimming
2880
02:09:26,940 --> 02:09:31,020
down to stop loss orders. So now what
2881
02:09:31,020 --> 02:09:32,010
we're going to do is is going to take
2882
02:09:32,010 --> 02:09:34,680
the same price level here, okay, and I'm
2883
02:09:34,680 --> 02:09:36,000
going to look at
2884
02:09:41,520 --> 02:09:46,830
this small little section and price are
2885
02:09:46,830 --> 02:09:52,860
here. And I make sure I'm not getting
2886
02:09:52,860 --> 02:09:59,940
more than I want okay, right in here's
2887
02:10:00,390 --> 02:10:01,410
What I'm looking for
2888
02:10:05,370 --> 02:10:06,150
right there.
2889
02:10:14,070 --> 02:10:16,950
And again, that's January 9, and we're
2890
02:10:16,950 --> 02:10:18,240
going to drop down to a 15 minute
2891
02:10:18,240 --> 02:10:23,760
timeframe. Okay, and now watch. We have
2892
02:10:24,630 --> 02:10:27,840
price action, okay in here moving up on
2893
02:10:27,840 --> 02:10:30,420
a very short term basis, okay and comes
2894
02:10:30,420 --> 02:10:37,140
back down. See this candle here? That's
2895
02:10:37,140 --> 02:10:39,060
your point of origin, where the rally
2896
02:10:39,060 --> 02:10:43,530
ensues. Right in here. move that out in
2897
02:10:43,530 --> 02:10:47,910
time. Right in here. Price comes back
2898
02:10:47,910 --> 02:10:51,510
down into it, and then runs up. Okay?
2899
02:10:52,770 --> 02:10:58,830
Same thing here. Okay, we have this
2900
02:10:58,830 --> 02:11:02,700
rally here. Here's the candle prior to
2901
02:11:02,700 --> 02:11:06,120
the rally up, it's bearish. And if you
2902
02:11:06,120 --> 02:11:14,880
take that area here you can see it
2903
02:11:14,880 --> 02:11:18,900
enters that water block again, right
2904
02:11:18,900 --> 02:11:21,510
here. And again, if you run your fibs on
2905
02:11:21,510 --> 02:11:23,400
that, okay, you can get opportunities
2906
02:11:23,400 --> 02:11:26,280
where you can take intraday trades and
2907
02:11:26,310 --> 02:11:28,230
get in sync with the higher time frame
2908
02:11:28,230 --> 02:11:32,130
trades as well. But assuming that you
2909
02:11:32,130 --> 02:11:33,930
took that as your entry point based on
2910
02:11:33,930 --> 02:11:36,000
the higher time frame trade, okay, you
2911
02:11:36,000 --> 02:11:39,690
could trade this here. Okay, we get in
2912
02:11:39,690 --> 02:11:45,870
at 130. Let's see what is prices 130 45.
2913
02:11:46,290 --> 02:11:50,100
Let's say 130 47 fair. And you're using
2914
02:11:50,100 --> 02:11:54,900
a 10 PIP stop below here. Mexico,
2915
02:11:56,010 --> 02:11:57,750
crunches up just a little bit. So you
2916
02:11:57,750 --> 02:11:59,640
can see where the stop loss would be.
2917
02:12:00,000 --> 02:12:04,350
You can trim back the risk. Again,
2918
02:12:04,410 --> 02:12:06,240
assuming you're getting long on a limit
2919
02:12:06,300 --> 02:12:09,840
at 130 47. And we're going to use this
2920
02:12:09,840 --> 02:12:11,820
low here as your primary reference point
2921
02:12:11,820 --> 02:12:14,670
for stock location. If you go down 10
2922
02:12:14,670 --> 02:12:17,490
pips below that, your order, your stop
2923
02:12:17,490 --> 02:12:21,480
loss order will be at 130 27. Okay, and
2924
02:12:21,480 --> 02:12:23,160
what we'll do is we're gonna put that in
2925
02:12:23,160 --> 02:12:29,880
here 130 27 and price comes down but
2926
02:12:29,880 --> 02:12:32,790
never comes close to it. Okay, I'm going
2927
02:12:32,820 --> 02:12:34,920
to scrunch it but you can see it so you
2928
02:12:34,920 --> 02:12:38,250
can get yourself positioned here. Okay,
2929
02:12:38,250 --> 02:12:39,600
and again, this is a 15 minute charts
2930
02:12:39,600 --> 02:12:41,700
here, waiting for these positions to
2931
02:12:41,700 --> 02:12:44,640
unwind. These remember we're looking at
2932
02:12:44,640 --> 02:12:48,060
a four hour and daily timeframe setup so
2933
02:12:48,420 --> 02:12:50,580
you're not trading it on a 15 minute
2934
02:12:50,580 --> 02:12:51,780
basis. So when you start seeing these
2935
02:12:51,780 --> 02:12:54,000
wiggles lower, where's your stop loss
2936
02:12:54,030 --> 02:12:56,220
down here? So you just simply let it do
2937
02:12:56,220 --> 02:12:59,490
its thing and price rallies on up and
2938
02:13:00,450 --> 02:13:02,910
You get excited and everything's, you
2939
02:13:02,910 --> 02:13:06,540
know, as you'd hoped it would be. Okay,
2940
02:13:06,540 --> 02:13:09,330
you can see the point of entry back
2941
02:13:09,330 --> 02:13:12,210
here, and then the ultimate unwinding of
2942
02:13:12,210 --> 02:13:17,430
that position here. Let's take a look at
2943
02:13:17,430 --> 02:13:20,880
another example. And we see this price
2944
02:13:20,880 --> 02:13:24,690
rally up off of a daily chart, key
2945
02:13:24,690 --> 02:13:29,520
support level around here. And want to
2946
02:13:29,520 --> 02:13:31,080
draw your attention to in here is
2947
02:13:31,410 --> 02:13:33,630
obviously this quick rally up and then a
2948
02:13:33,630 --> 02:13:38,070
bull flag formation here. We have this
2949
02:13:38,070 --> 02:13:43,530
level in here if you were following any
2950
02:13:43,530 --> 02:13:45,600
of my market reviews, we talked about
2951
02:13:45,600 --> 02:13:49,530
this level being a possible area of
2952
02:13:49,980 --> 02:13:54,450
support. And prior to the move out,
2953
02:13:54,630 --> 02:13:57,870
okay, we had a couple different areas
2954
02:13:57,870 --> 02:14:02,220
that could have meant To probable areas
2955
02:14:02,220 --> 02:14:05,190
of support and institutional dealing
2956
02:14:05,190 --> 02:14:10,980
ranges where order blocks may reside for
2957
02:14:10,980 --> 02:14:15,930
the institutional level trading and that
2958
02:14:15,930 --> 02:14:19,350
comes in the form here we have this
2959
02:14:19,350 --> 02:14:21,210
candle here prior to to move up
2960
02:14:30,210 --> 02:14:32,700
okay is no worse this move higher and
2961
02:14:32,700 --> 02:14:43,830
this candle here okay and you can see
2962
02:14:43,830 --> 02:14:47,160
that's the first bearish candle prior to
2963
02:14:47,160 --> 02:14:49,530
the move higher first bearish candle
2964
02:14:49,590 --> 02:14:53,250
prior to the move higher and we see also
2965
02:14:54,240 --> 02:14:57,600
you know just likely support and
2966
02:14:57,600 --> 02:14:59,670
resistance level based on this. It may
2967
02:14:59,670 --> 02:15:02,010
turn out On the daily chart, we did get
2968
02:15:02,010 --> 02:15:04,140
an opportunity to see a bounce here.
2969
02:15:04,470 --> 02:15:07,140
Okay, and that's seen with this move
2970
02:15:07,140 --> 02:15:10,290
here. This was the bearish candle prior
2971
02:15:10,290 --> 02:15:14,250
to its rally up. So if you take the
2972
02:15:14,250 --> 02:15:19,560
range in here, you can see how this
2973
02:15:19,590 --> 02:15:21,090
retracement would have been a very
2974
02:15:21,090 --> 02:15:24,510
decent, handsome opportunity to get
2975
02:15:24,510 --> 02:15:28,530
along on. Price came back down to that
2976
02:15:28,530 --> 02:15:32,310
same institutional order block in here
2977
02:15:33,330 --> 02:15:35,250
and rally up higher and eventually
2978
02:15:35,250 --> 02:15:39,120
started to break down. Okay, and let's
2979
02:15:39,120 --> 02:15:40,470
take a look at what's transpired here.
2980
02:15:40,470 --> 02:15:43,020
We lost this level here we try to start
2981
02:15:43,020 --> 02:15:45,090
trading lower. Okay and this would be
2982
02:15:45,090 --> 02:15:48,630
the next area to expect some support.
2983
02:15:49,920 --> 02:15:51,690
Okay, and you can see price trades right
2984
02:15:51,690 --> 02:15:54,210
down into that right there. Okay, and
2985
02:15:54,210 --> 02:15:55,170
then what I'm gonna do is I'm just going
2986
02:15:55,170 --> 02:15:58,560
to take a horizontal level, draw across
2987
02:15:58,560 --> 02:16:01,590
the chart like that. Okay, and when you
2988
02:16:01,590 --> 02:16:04,200
see this, this is the area where to
2989
02:16:04,200 --> 02:16:09,060
reasonably expect prices to bounce. If
2990
02:16:09,060 --> 02:16:13,380
you notice also the low here to this
2991
02:16:13,380 --> 02:16:15,720
high, this is your your price when you
2992
02:16:15,720 --> 02:16:19,050
see that. Okay, we're retracing inside
2993
02:16:19,050 --> 02:16:21,960
that price swing. So if you take the
2994
02:16:21,960 --> 02:16:24,540
range and highlight that with your
2995
02:16:25,020 --> 02:16:27,150
Fibonacci tool, you can see the sweet
2996
02:16:27,150 --> 02:16:28,980
spot lays directly right on top of that
2997
02:16:29,340 --> 02:16:32,490
same point of origin right in here.
2998
02:16:35,100 --> 02:16:38,010
Price does not move much lower than
2999
02:16:38,010 --> 02:16:40,380
that. Again, this is a daily chart and
3000
02:16:40,380 --> 02:16:46,950
price rallies on price rallies on so you
3001
02:16:46,950 --> 02:16:49,200
can see that there's a definite
3002
02:16:49,200 --> 02:16:51,630
advantage of knowing where the
3003
02:16:51,630 --> 02:16:53,340
institutional level trading is going to
3004
02:16:53,340 --> 02:16:56,790
come in to the marketplace. And I having
3005
02:16:56,790 --> 02:16:58,110
an understanding of where that's gonna
3006
02:16:58,110 --> 02:17:00,300
take place. You can also expect it On a
3007
02:17:00,330 --> 02:17:03,150
time basis with the kill zones, okay, so
3008
02:17:03,150 --> 02:17:04,380
we have an understanding of support
3009
02:17:04,380 --> 02:17:06,600
resistance, we have an understanding of
3010
02:17:06,600 --> 02:17:09,480
the time of day, we understand where the
3011
02:17:09,480 --> 02:17:13,830
big moves should ensue and where to more
3012
02:17:13,830 --> 02:17:17,640
or less wait for them to take place in
3013
02:17:17,910 --> 02:17:20,850
form based on a higher timeframe charts
3014
02:17:21,990 --> 02:17:27,630
if we if we look at the market on a
3015
02:17:27,660 --> 02:17:32,880
shorter timeframe Okay, and we're going
3016
02:17:32,880 --> 02:17:39,300
to apply our tools we learned for the
3017
02:17:48,869 --> 02:17:53,459
directional bias Okay, and
3018
02:18:01,020 --> 02:18:06,900
18 period Okay, and what we're going to
3019
02:18:06,900 --> 02:18:08,310
do is we're going to look at a time
3020
02:18:08,310 --> 02:18:13,470
frame when price was moving up in here,
3021
02:18:14,220 --> 02:18:16,410
okay, and I'm going to highlight that
3022
02:18:16,410 --> 02:18:21,330
with a rectangle in here. And what
3023
02:18:21,330 --> 02:18:24,540
that's going to help me do is show you
3024
02:18:25,020 --> 02:18:29,850
how to use this for trade entry and
3025
02:18:29,880 --> 02:18:30,690
we're going to do is we're going to
3026
02:18:30,690 --> 02:18:32,910
break down to a 15 minute timeframe to
3027
02:18:32,910 --> 02:18:36,480
do that. Okay, what I did was zoom down
3028
02:18:36,480 --> 02:18:39,480
into a 15 minute timeframe, and I added
3029
02:18:39,480 --> 02:18:43,710
the Asian range for each daily intraday
3030
02:18:43,710 --> 02:18:46,980
action. Now I'm going to draw your
3031
02:18:46,980 --> 02:18:49,680
attention to here is as market moves
3032
02:18:49,710 --> 02:18:52,110
into this is a Monday guys, it's very
3033
02:18:52,110 --> 02:18:53,700
hard to see here but just a double line,
3034
02:18:54,000 --> 02:18:56,430
delineating a Sunday. Okay, I'm just
3035
02:18:56,430 --> 02:18:59,550
gonna scroll through and here is a
3036
02:19:00,000 --> 02:19:02,610
Monday and going into Tuesday. Here's
3037
02:19:02,610 --> 02:19:07,200
Tuesday's trading here. Okay? Now,
3038
02:19:07,770 --> 02:19:09,360
looking at this, you can see how price
3039
02:19:09,360 --> 02:19:13,740
moved up here and created a range here.
3040
02:19:14,760 --> 02:19:18,330
See this down candle prior to the move
3041
02:19:18,330 --> 02:19:22,740
up. Okay, we had this rally up here. If
3042
02:19:22,740 --> 02:19:25,860
you take your fib and you pull it from a
3043
02:19:26,100 --> 02:19:28,740
swing low here, up to this range high
3044
02:19:33,750 --> 02:19:35,640
price comes down to the 62% retracement
3045
02:19:35,640 --> 02:19:38,310
level. And this is nine GMT. This is the
3046
02:19:38,310 --> 02:19:40,980
London open. Okay. So there's an
3047
02:19:40,980 --> 02:19:43,470
opportunity were being long again and
3048
02:19:43,470 --> 02:19:45,120
now with the background being blue like
3049
02:19:45,120 --> 02:19:47,070
desk again, what that's highlighting is
3050
02:19:47,580 --> 02:19:50,670
a time period when on a daily basis. We
3051
02:19:50,670 --> 02:19:52,590
have a nine period exponential moving
3052
02:19:52,590 --> 02:19:54,450
average above the 18 period. So we have
3053
02:19:54,450 --> 02:19:57,540
institutional momentum on the upward
3054
02:19:57,930 --> 02:19:59,490
side of the market always. We're looking
3055
02:19:59,490 --> 02:20:01,170
for just buy The framework is
3056
02:20:01,170 --> 02:20:04,440
established as a bullish scenario. So we
3057
02:20:04,440 --> 02:20:05,700
would be looking for opportunities to be
3058
02:20:05,700 --> 02:20:08,010
a buyer here. And that's one example
3059
02:20:08,010 --> 02:20:09,780
here using what we just discussed with
3060
02:20:10,050 --> 02:20:12,330
point of origin here. And when price
3061
02:20:12,330 --> 02:20:14,100
rallies up and trades back down into it.
3062
02:20:18,300 --> 02:20:23,550
We see price move up into its high for
3063
02:20:23,550 --> 02:20:28,320
the day and then we have another right
3064
02:20:28,320 --> 02:20:37,140
here. Okay, we have this range here and
3065
02:20:37,140 --> 02:20:43,860
trades down. We're going to use this is
3066
02:20:43,860 --> 02:20:48,420
the first down, bearish candle prior to
3067
02:20:48,420 --> 02:20:50,610
move higher. So we're going to use that
3068
02:20:50,760 --> 02:20:59,790
as its basis. Okay, great in here. And
3069
02:20:59,790 --> 02:21:03,030
we had This candle here prior to this
3070
02:21:03,030 --> 02:21:06,360
move up so we could use that one as
3071
02:21:06,360 --> 02:21:10,710
well. What you're looking for is clear
3072
02:21:10,740 --> 02:21:14,370
points of where price moves with
3073
02:21:14,370 --> 02:21:16,800
conviction. Okay where it's really
3074
02:21:16,800 --> 02:21:18,840
clearly trying to move away you have it
3075
02:21:18,840 --> 02:21:22,200
here okay and then you have a here is
3076
02:21:22,200 --> 02:21:25,410
again it's the 15 minute time frame and
3077
02:21:25,410 --> 02:21:27,270
then price makes its price swing and
3078
02:21:27,270 --> 02:21:31,260
trades lower. This candle on very low
3079
02:21:31,260 --> 02:21:35,820
here is 1515 GMT so that's like like 15
3080
02:21:35,820 --> 02:21:42,030
minutes past the the kill zone that this
3081
02:21:42,090 --> 02:21:45,360
was established for this trading trading
3082
02:21:45,360 --> 02:21:48,690
series. This here is 15 GMT and this is
3083
02:21:48,690 --> 02:21:55,530
1445 GMT so this is still capable trade
3084
02:21:55,530 --> 02:21:58,350
setup for the New York open session
3085
02:21:58,830 --> 02:22:00,690
light late for New York but still
3086
02:22:00,690 --> 02:22:02,220
nonetheless, it's something you could
3087
02:22:02,220 --> 02:22:03,030
take a trade on.
3088
02:22:09,630 --> 02:22:12,600
Let's go out one here.
3089
02:22:14,280 --> 02:22:14,940
We have
3090
02:22:19,140 --> 02:22:20,940
just in market structure alone here,
3091
02:22:20,940 --> 02:22:24,300
this is nice where you have a low, a
3092
02:22:24,300 --> 02:22:27,570
lower low to have them in here and a
3093
02:22:27,570 --> 02:22:29,190
higher low here. So we have an
3094
02:22:29,190 --> 02:22:31,230
intermediate term low just in market
3095
02:22:31,230 --> 02:22:34,230
structure alone. So that's that's
3096
02:22:34,260 --> 02:22:36,810
bullish by itself without anything else
3097
02:22:36,810 --> 02:22:38,430
added to it. That's That's very good.
3098
02:22:39,990 --> 02:22:42,480
And then we have price rally up away
3099
02:22:42,480 --> 02:22:46,080
here. This is our first bullish candle
3100
02:22:46,080 --> 02:22:47,220
prior to the move up.
3101
02:22:57,810 --> 02:23:00,540
Okay, you can see how arise up Your
3102
02:23:00,540 --> 02:23:06,390
range. What's your fib on that range
3103
02:23:08,400 --> 02:23:10,980
right in here. This candle Here comes in
3104
02:23:11,010 --> 02:23:14,670
at nine GMT. This candle here is 930
3105
02:23:14,670 --> 02:23:18,810
GMT. That's London open. Okay, we also
3106
02:23:18,810 --> 02:23:19,320
have
3107
02:23:26,040 --> 02:23:28,890
this rally here and it comes right back
3108
02:23:28,890 --> 02:23:32,820
into here's the first bearish candle
3109
02:23:32,820 --> 02:23:34,710
prior to the move up. So this is where
3110
02:23:34,710 --> 02:23:37,320
the market structure would shift. Okay,
3111
02:23:37,410 --> 02:23:41,250
and without having to draw a line you
3112
02:23:41,250 --> 02:23:42,690
can see we've moved back into that range
3113
02:23:42,690 --> 02:23:44,940
right here. Here is the smaller
3114
02:23:47,100 --> 02:23:48,630
reference point, here's where you would
3115
02:23:48,630 --> 02:23:52,230
be buying. And again 10 PIP risk below
3116
02:23:52,230 --> 02:23:54,630
here. Let's give you an idea what that
3117
02:23:54,630 --> 02:23:57,660
will look like in terms of and we're
3118
02:23:57,660 --> 02:24:03,690
going to say we bought at the 70.5 level
3119
02:24:04,020 --> 02:24:09,450
130 107 here's the low and if we go down
3120
02:24:10,110 --> 02:24:13,260
10 pips below that, your stop would be
3121
02:24:13,260 --> 02:24:18,240
at 130 at six. Okay, so approximately a
3122
02:24:18,240 --> 02:24:22,440
30 PIP stop well within the range of
3123
02:24:23,130 --> 02:24:26,550
profitable trading back to an old high,
3124
02:24:26,940 --> 02:24:28,620
you could take profits here take profits
3125
02:24:28,620 --> 02:24:30,780
here or just look forward to continue
3126
02:24:30,780 --> 02:24:37,140
moving on on a higher basis. Okay, see
3127
02:24:37,140 --> 02:24:40,920
price moving up here. Now just let's
3128
02:24:40,950 --> 02:24:46,020
zoom in here and I want you to see using
3129
02:24:46,020 --> 02:24:49,470
the ideas that we just covered. Okay
3130
02:24:49,470 --> 02:24:51,210
look at every time when the market moves
3131
02:24:51,300 --> 02:24:55,680
up, breaks a swing high. Okay, then
3132
02:24:55,680 --> 02:24:57,120
comes back down and comes right back
3133
02:24:57,120 --> 02:24:59,820
into that previous point of origin
3134
02:24:59,820 --> 02:25:01,560
already. This is where the move starts
3135
02:25:01,920 --> 02:25:03,780
and trades right back into it. This is
3136
02:25:03,780 --> 02:25:06,510
what you pull your fib on. Okay. I get a
3137
02:25:06,510 --> 02:25:08,730
lot of questions, you know, where, what
3138
02:25:08,730 --> 02:25:10,560
am I looking for? Why do I put my fib?
3139
02:25:10,560 --> 02:25:12,780
Where, why would I use those those
3140
02:25:12,780 --> 02:25:14,130
reference points like you do in your
3141
02:25:14,130 --> 02:25:15,810
videos, or if you go back over all of
3142
02:25:15,810 --> 02:25:17,100
the videos, you'll see me doing it.
3143
02:25:17,100 --> 02:25:18,450
You'll see me doing this very thing.
3144
02:25:19,920 --> 02:25:23,670
Okay, and here we go. We have price
3145
02:25:23,700 --> 02:25:27,270
moving up here. Okay, this is a Monday's
3146
02:25:27,270 --> 02:25:30,630
trading. We have the first bearish
3147
02:25:30,630 --> 02:25:35,190
candle prior to the move going up. Okay,
3148
02:25:35,460 --> 02:25:41,850
take your range. Jolyon over here. Can
3149
02:25:41,850 --> 02:25:44,670
you see that here this this candle forms
3150
02:25:44,700 --> 02:25:49,890
at 630 GMT, at 630 GMT. That's about a
3151
02:25:49,890 --> 02:25:55,680
half hour before the very, very
3152
02:25:55,680 --> 02:25:58,890
beginning of what I like to see in terms
3153
02:25:58,890 --> 02:26:06,960
of the The meat of London starting, you
3154
02:26:06,960 --> 02:26:08,100
can see how it comes right down to that
3155
02:26:08,100 --> 02:26:12,960
sweet spot in here. Okay, and also note,
3156
02:26:13,590 --> 02:26:15,270
sharp, I probably should have said this,
3157
02:26:15,270 --> 02:26:17,910
I'm jumping ahead of myself. When you're
3158
02:26:17,910 --> 02:26:19,800
looking to be a buyer, you want to be
3159
02:26:19,800 --> 02:26:21,240
doing what we mentioned earlier in a
3160
02:26:21,240 --> 02:26:23,670
previous video using the Asian range
3161
02:26:23,670 --> 02:26:25,050
high as your filter. So now what you
3162
02:26:25,050 --> 02:26:27,750
want to be buying, definitely anything
3163
02:26:27,750 --> 02:26:32,100
below this level, okay? It's an ideal
3164
02:26:32,160 --> 02:26:35,250
position, entry point. Again, here we
3165
02:26:35,250 --> 02:26:37,170
have the Asian range high, this is below
3166
02:26:37,170 --> 02:26:38,610
the Asian range low so that's even
3167
02:26:38,670 --> 02:26:46,710
better. Okay. And here is the New York
3168
02:26:46,710 --> 02:26:52,020
session by and again, here's the bearish
3169
02:26:52,020 --> 02:26:56,010
candle prior to the move up, okay, and
3170
02:26:56,010 --> 02:26:57,120
if you look over here, you can see we
3171
02:26:57,120 --> 02:26:58,680
move right back into that point of
3172
02:26:58,680 --> 02:27:00,540
origin Okay, so they move right back
3173
02:27:00,540 --> 02:27:04,470
into that, that dealing range and order
3174
02:27:04,470 --> 02:27:10,530
block. If you use too low in here, up to
3175
02:27:10,530 --> 02:27:11,850
here you can see how we went right down
3176
02:27:11,850 --> 02:27:14,910
to say nice I'm tracing level and rather
3177
02:27:14,910 --> 02:27:17,940
handsomely even if you used the low
3178
02:27:17,940 --> 02:27:20,520
formed in London, you're still getting
3179
02:27:20,580 --> 02:27:22,260
almost a sweet spot here but certainly
3180
02:27:22,260 --> 02:27:25,050
this 62% retracement level and getting
3181
02:27:25,050 --> 02:27:26,730
in sync with the daily trend you can see
3182
02:27:26,730 --> 02:27:29,550
how that's rather handsome in terms of a
3183
02:27:29,550 --> 02:27:34,710
trade opportunity. Okay, and again, we
3184
02:27:34,710 --> 02:27:37,980
have this point here at where we have a
3185
02:27:38,730 --> 02:27:42,450
new york session low. Remember we're
3186
02:27:42,450 --> 02:27:45,000
looking at session highs and lows, not
3187
02:27:45,000 --> 02:27:47,430
just previous day's highs and lows. And
3188
02:27:48,150 --> 02:27:50,700
here is your bearish candle prior to the
3189
02:27:50,700 --> 02:27:51,990
rally up so you're gonna see market
3190
02:27:51,990 --> 02:27:55,770
structure, shift on this candle draw
3191
02:27:55,770 --> 02:27:56,760
that out in time
3192
02:28:00,179 --> 02:28:02,249
Okay, cuz this is the point of origin
3193
02:28:02,609 --> 02:28:04,289
where this rally took place. So the
3194
02:28:04,289 --> 02:28:07,889
range that was created here, originally
3195
02:28:07,889 --> 02:28:09,479
right here on this bearish candle. So
3196
02:28:09,479 --> 02:28:10,889
when the market structure broke here,
3197
02:28:11,519 --> 02:28:13,409
this is where the order block resides,
3198
02:28:13,679 --> 02:28:15,599
okay within this candle. This is where
3199
02:28:15,599 --> 02:28:18,209
the, the institutional order block
3200
02:28:18,209 --> 02:28:21,419
resides. Okay, someone market meanders
3201
02:28:21,419 --> 02:28:23,249
and trades lower it was a good back into
3202
02:28:23,249 --> 02:28:26,099
that same order block. And then you do
3203
02:28:26,309 --> 02:28:28,019
acquire more the original position they
3204
02:28:28,019 --> 02:28:29,579
were trying to acquire here that they
3205
02:28:29,579 --> 02:28:30,779
couldn't get on because the market
3206
02:28:30,779 --> 02:28:33,119
started to take off. And if you take
3207
02:28:33,119 --> 02:28:36,239
that and you add that to your fibs.
3208
02:28:37,979 --> 02:28:39,329
Okay, you can see how here's the
3209
02:28:39,329 --> 02:28:41,489
sunlight saturation level deviated just
3210
02:28:41,489 --> 02:28:42,809
a little bit and we're going to give you
3211
02:28:42,809 --> 02:28:46,439
actually how much it moved below it. To
3212
02:28:46,439 --> 02:28:48,119
give you an idea how much we're talking
3213
02:28:48,119 --> 02:28:49,799
about six pips I think that's livable
3214
02:28:49,799 --> 02:28:51,839
guys. You guys can certainly tolerate
3215
02:28:51,839 --> 02:28:57,029
that. If you were to use the lower low
3216
02:28:57,089 --> 02:28:59,759
here, you still end up with the sweet
3217
02:28:59,759 --> 02:29:01,829
spot Okay, so you can see how using
3218
02:29:01,829 --> 02:29:04,529
session lows and highs, you know, with a
3219
02:29:04,559 --> 02:29:07,379
directional bias defined as we just
3220
02:29:07,829 --> 02:29:10,439
covered in this video, it really helps
3221
02:29:10,439 --> 02:29:11,909
you figure it out opportunities and
3222
02:29:11,909 --> 02:29:13,769
certainly being a buyer down here below
3223
02:29:13,769 --> 02:29:15,959
the Asian range high. Okay, think of the
3224
02:29:15,959 --> 02:29:17,279
daily range. Remember we were talking
3225
02:29:17,279 --> 02:29:21,089
about the likelihood of big range days
3226
02:29:21,359 --> 02:29:23,219
if we have the opening price in here,
3227
02:29:23,339 --> 02:29:25,499
okay, it doesn't really work both sides
3228
02:29:25,499 --> 02:29:27,029
of the opening price very much and
3229
02:29:27,029 --> 02:29:28,859
certainly doesn't work the lower end
3230
02:29:29,159 --> 02:29:31,229
making the low very much and onwards.
3231
02:29:31,529 --> 02:29:33,569
What am I mean by that? There's not much
3232
02:29:33,569 --> 02:29:36,899
range on daily bar from the opening to
3233
02:29:36,899 --> 02:29:39,509
the low. Okay, and let's see what that
3234
02:29:39,509 --> 02:29:42,389
does here. Okay, we're just gonna
3235
02:29:42,749 --> 02:29:46,559
eyeball it. And we're talking about 27
3236
02:29:46,559 --> 02:29:50,969
pips. Okay. 27 pips. So it worked lower
3237
02:29:50,969 --> 02:29:56,819
27 but moved off the lows for the day to
3238
02:29:56,819 --> 02:30:01,169
the tune of 76 pips So it's basically
3239
02:30:01,169 --> 02:30:02,819
three to one almost. Okay?
3240
02:30:09,809 --> 02:30:14,129
The the reoccurring principle is simply
3241
02:30:14,129 --> 02:30:17,249
looking for retracements in an uptrend
3242
02:30:17,279 --> 02:30:18,569
Okay, so you're buying dips in an
3243
02:30:18,569 --> 02:30:23,249
uptrend. And if you look at here we go
3244
02:30:23,249 --> 02:30:23,669
here.
3245
02:30:26,400 --> 02:30:27,480
Here's one where
3246
02:30:28,830 --> 02:30:31,410
it was not able to get down into that
3247
02:30:31,680 --> 02:30:40,290
price point in here. But using just the
3248
02:30:40,320 --> 02:30:42,060
optimal trade entry, you can see how
3249
02:30:42,060 --> 02:30:46,140
we've got a sweet spot here. And I'm
3250
02:30:46,140 --> 02:30:48,930
sure if you pulled the pivots up, which
3251
02:30:48,930 --> 02:30:50,940
we're not going to do here, because I'm
3252
02:30:50,940 --> 02:30:54,480
trying to keep this video around three
3253
02:30:54,480 --> 02:30:56,790
hours at maximum, which is a lot by
3254
02:30:56,790 --> 02:30:59,970
itself, but nonetheless, it's certainly
3255
02:31:00,000 --> 02:31:05,850
Yeah certainly a long video and here's
3256
02:31:05,910 --> 02:31:07,650
you know, you see opportunity in here
3257
02:31:07,650 --> 02:31:10,740
where you could have even intraday you
3258
02:31:10,740 --> 02:31:12,990
know price when this rally up like this
3259
02:31:13,020 --> 02:31:16,890
your first bearish candle went right
3260
02:31:16,890 --> 02:31:18,750
down if it were a block right here and
3261
02:31:18,750 --> 02:31:22,560
then gave you a tradable rally okay and
3262
02:31:22,590 --> 02:31:25,920
let's look at that range. It's 44 pips
3263
02:31:25,950 --> 02:31:27,030
so that's certainly something you can
3264
02:31:27,030 --> 02:31:32,760
get 20 pips 2530 pips out of. Okay, and
3265
02:31:32,760 --> 02:31:34,590
let's drop out one more.
3266
02:31:40,890 --> 02:31:43,980
Here's a nice double bottom where it
3267
02:31:43,980 --> 02:31:45,450
comes right back down to this original
3268
02:31:45,450 --> 02:31:47,790
order block prior to it rallying up.
3269
02:32:03,179 --> 02:32:08,159
market moves into consolidation here and
3270
02:32:10,229 --> 02:32:11,939
really don't have anything that's really
3271
02:32:11,939 --> 02:32:18,389
discernible. So you may be sitting on
3272
02:32:18,389 --> 02:32:25,109
your hands in here. Here's one that was
3273
02:32:27,269 --> 02:32:29,339
this was all right, you got this candle
3274
02:32:29,339 --> 02:32:31,619
here, draw it out in time it moves right
3275
02:32:31,619 --> 02:32:34,259
back into that same order block day
3276
02:32:34,259 --> 02:32:39,059
moves higher. Again, all we're doing is
3277
02:32:39,059 --> 02:32:41,999
focusing on the buying not anything else
3278
02:32:42,029 --> 02:32:43,049
just simply looking for buying
3279
02:32:43,049 --> 02:32:47,939
opportunities. Okay, we have prior to
3280
02:32:47,939 --> 02:32:50,219
the move up, we have this bearish candle
3281
02:32:50,219 --> 02:32:52,169
here. draw that out in time.
3282
02:32:57,210 --> 02:32:58,170
Okay, and
3283
02:33:00,000 --> 02:33:04,290
Pour fib on the range. Here's a sentence
3284
02:33:04,290 --> 02:33:06,360
at chase on level one here dva just a
3285
02:33:06,360 --> 02:33:13,050
little bit below it. And this is where
3286
02:33:13,050 --> 02:33:16,200
you would have encountered a trade that
3287
02:33:16,200 --> 02:33:18,690
would have been a losing trade. Okay,
3288
02:33:18,690 --> 02:33:20,250
and it's fair for me to show you this
3289
02:33:20,250 --> 02:33:21,630
because I don't want to just go through
3290
02:33:21,930 --> 02:33:24,030
and appear to be just cherry picking,
3291
02:33:24,270 --> 02:33:26,100
looking at opportunities where it worked
3292
02:33:26,100 --> 02:33:27,750
out favorably every single time. But I
3293
02:33:27,750 --> 02:33:29,220
don't want to log into thinking this is
3294
02:33:29,220 --> 02:33:30,510
going to be perfect and it's not going
3295
02:33:30,510 --> 02:33:32,730
to give you any losses certainly would
3296
02:33:32,730 --> 02:33:33,570
have happened here.
3297
02:33:42,330 --> 02:33:45,420
Here's one where it moves deeper below
3298
02:33:45,420 --> 02:33:47,430
and runs the stops on the Asian range
3299
02:33:47,430 --> 02:33:49,260
low before running higher.
3300
02:33:55,260 --> 02:33:57,420
We have the same scenario here where the
3301
02:33:57,420 --> 02:34:02,490
previous day's low Which on this in this
3302
02:34:02,490 --> 02:34:05,820
case is 14 GMT which is a session low
3303
02:34:06,540 --> 02:34:12,210
New York session. Here's your low to
3304
02:34:12,210 --> 02:34:14,970
high the range price drops down into the
3305
02:34:14,970 --> 02:34:17,940
60 to almost the sweet spot returning
3306
02:34:17,940 --> 02:34:21,690
back to this dealing range and
3307
02:34:21,720 --> 02:34:23,580
institutional level point of origin
3308
02:34:23,580 --> 02:34:28,080
where everything when price dropped
3309
02:34:28,080 --> 02:34:29,550
lower, it allowed them to accumulate
3310
02:34:29,550 --> 02:34:31,260
more of their long positions. And then
3311
02:34:31,260 --> 02:34:34,320
you saw the price move on up and profit
3312
02:34:34,320 --> 02:34:37,590
release portion of the trade unfolded.
3313
02:34:40,710 --> 02:34:43,080
Little opportunity here where price
3314
02:34:43,080 --> 02:34:45,630
moves up, first bearish candle in here
3315
02:34:45,630 --> 02:34:48,900
draw it out in time. This is a return to
3316
02:34:48,900 --> 02:34:51,000
the point of origin back into the order
3317
02:34:51,000 --> 02:34:54,420
block here and price rallies up. And
3318
02:34:54,420 --> 02:34:57,450
this candle Here comes in at 1600 GMT.
3319
02:35:00,000 --> 02:35:03,030
Nice little opportunity to be able to
3320
02:35:03,030 --> 02:35:06,630
catch a scalp intraday. And I'm only
3321
02:35:06,900 --> 02:35:11,310
tossing this in about 40 pips or so in
3322
02:35:11,310 --> 02:35:18,750
terms of range. I'm adding these these
3323
02:35:19,950 --> 02:35:23,400
intraday setups to show you how you can
3324
02:35:23,400 --> 02:35:25,920
use it to be a trader on an intraday
3325
02:35:25,920 --> 02:35:28,950
basis or a scalper. But really, what you
3326
02:35:28,950 --> 02:35:32,340
want to be focusing on is the ideal days
3327
02:35:32,340 --> 02:35:35,670
of the week which are Monday. I'm sorry,
3328
02:35:35,670 --> 02:35:37,260
yeah, Monday, Tuesday and Wednesday,
3329
02:35:37,650 --> 02:35:39,870
being the higher low of the week. And
3330
02:35:39,870 --> 02:35:42,090
again, because we're looking at this
3331
02:35:43,890 --> 02:35:46,860
area price action. We're going to look
3332
02:35:46,860 --> 02:35:50,070
for again, just the significant lows,
3333
02:35:50,490 --> 02:35:52,650
the farm for the week one, let's go back
3334
02:35:52,650 --> 02:35:54,540
and look at the beginning portion of
3335
02:35:54,540 --> 02:35:58,200
that. And just for clarity, because I
3336
02:35:58,200 --> 02:36:03,420
want to be make sure that is easy to
3337
02:36:03,420 --> 02:36:11,160
see. I'm just going to change the color
3338
02:36:11,880 --> 02:36:15,990
to a little lightly. There you go. It's
3339
02:36:15,990 --> 02:36:18,480
a little bit easier to see. Here's
3340
02:36:18,480 --> 02:36:20,730
Monday's trading. And that's the low the
3341
02:36:20,730 --> 02:36:23,370
week during the time when we're looking
3342
02:36:23,370 --> 02:36:25,860
for buying opportunities only. Okay, so
3343
02:36:25,890 --> 02:36:28,410
on Monday this week, we have the Monday
3344
02:36:28,410 --> 02:36:33,060
making the low. On this week here, the
3345
02:36:33,060 --> 02:36:35,580
low the week is on Monday as well. Nice
3346
02:36:35,580 --> 02:36:37,320
opportunity to be buying on Tuesday,
3347
02:36:37,650 --> 02:36:38,850
even gives you an opportunity on
3348
02:36:38,850 --> 02:36:40,860
Thursday, which doesn't fit the model
3349
02:36:40,860 --> 02:36:43,650
but still, everything working towards
3350
02:36:43,710 --> 02:36:45,990
making a higher close on Friday is the
3351
02:36:45,990 --> 02:36:52,830
general idea. We have a shift in market
3352
02:36:54,840 --> 02:36:57,300
tone in here where we went lower and
3353
02:36:57,300 --> 02:36:59,850
retrace much deeper. But there was
3354
02:36:59,850 --> 02:37:02,250
certain Buying opportunities on Monday,
3355
02:37:02,640 --> 02:37:04,980
Tuesday in even on Wednesday still
3356
02:37:05,100 --> 02:37:07,440
catching some opportunities to be a
3357
02:37:07,440 --> 02:37:10,680
buyer that the loan this week comes in
3358
02:37:10,770 --> 02:37:14,070
on Monday. Very nice opportunity a buyer
3359
02:37:14,070 --> 02:37:16,230
here as well. And you can actually see
3360
02:37:16,230 --> 02:37:18,990
the same result of years of down candle
3361
02:37:18,990 --> 02:37:20,850
prior to move up and it retraces back
3362
02:37:20,850 --> 02:37:22,710
into that order block and as your
3363
02:37:22,710 --> 02:37:26,430
optimal trade entry moving higher and
3364
02:37:29,490 --> 02:37:31,320
Tuesday opportunity a buyer Wednesday
3365
02:37:31,320 --> 02:37:33,960
nice opportunity a buyer Okay, those are
3366
02:37:33,960 --> 02:37:38,190
those one one shot one kill type
3367
02:37:38,190 --> 02:37:40,290
scenarios that you would be looking for,
3368
02:37:40,590 --> 02:37:42,570
to not trade a whole lot but catch very
3369
02:37:42,570 --> 02:37:44,910
handsome pips and not not have to do a
3370
02:37:44,910 --> 02:37:47,640
whole lot of work really. That low
3371
02:37:47,670 --> 02:37:49,800
actually forms here on Thursday for this
3372
02:37:50,100 --> 02:37:51,570
particular week. And again, I'm using a
3373
02:37:51,570 --> 02:37:54,090
double lines here delineating the marker
3374
02:37:54,090 --> 02:37:56,340
of Sunday to Sunday so the action
3375
02:37:56,340 --> 02:37:58,950
between those two is the intra week
3376
02:37:58,980 --> 02:38:03,120
price action Nice buying opportunity
3377
02:38:03,120 --> 02:38:05,010
here on the Monday of this week, nice
3378
02:38:05,010 --> 02:38:08,340
one on Tuesday. Okay, does retrace,
3379
02:38:08,370 --> 02:38:11,070
trades lower than Monday's low, but
3380
02:38:11,070 --> 02:38:13,680
again, still opportunities to be a buyer
3381
02:38:14,700 --> 02:38:21,330
moving up rather handsomely. And then
3382
02:38:21,330 --> 02:38:23,130
move into an area where we no longer
3383
02:38:23,130 --> 02:38:27,300
have the daily bias enforce where now we
3384
02:38:27,300 --> 02:38:29,970
would be expecting to see lower prices
3385
02:38:30,030 --> 02:38:31,440
come into effect. And that's what you
3386
02:38:31,440 --> 02:38:34,500
see here. And really, if you just
3387
02:38:34,530 --> 02:38:36,180
reverse the scenario and look at
3388
02:38:36,180 --> 02:38:37,860
everything, like we just did on the buy
3389
02:38:37,860 --> 02:38:39,960
side, reversing it for the downside,
3390
02:38:40,380 --> 02:38:42,180
it's much in the same capacity, the same
3391
02:38:42,180 --> 02:38:46,020
thing just reversed. Okay? And let's
3392
02:38:46,020 --> 02:38:47,310
take a look at
3393
02:38:50,280 --> 02:38:51,870
the breakdown of what you're looking
3394
02:38:51,870 --> 02:38:54,690
for, with the support and resistance
3395
02:38:54,720 --> 02:38:58,530
notion and time of day and the optimal
3396
02:38:58,530 --> 02:39:00,720
trade entry and what Specifically that
3397
02:39:00,780 --> 02:39:04,290
sets up your trade data as high
3398
02:39:04,290 --> 02:39:05,130
probability.
3399
02:39:10,380 --> 02:39:12,810
Okay, the ICT optimal trade entry
3400
02:39:12,810 --> 02:39:16,440
pattern. The premise really builds upon
3401
02:39:16,560 --> 02:39:18,990
the understanding of support resistance
3402
02:39:18,990 --> 02:39:20,850
and we're going to use this example here
3403
02:39:20,850 --> 02:39:25,170
to illustrate the example of an optimal
3404
02:39:25,170 --> 02:39:27,510
trade entry that's used for a buy entry.
3405
02:39:28,200 --> 02:39:30,930
And assuming the support level has been
3406
02:39:30,990 --> 02:39:35,610
arrived at, we have the support level,
3407
02:39:36,030 --> 02:39:39,030
which is ideally a higher level daily
3408
02:39:39,060 --> 02:39:41,190
four hour or one hour timeframe support
3409
02:39:41,190 --> 02:39:47,580
line. This high here, okay, this swing
3410
02:39:47,580 --> 02:39:50,670
high, breaking this previous high is
3411
02:39:50,670 --> 02:39:52,710
good. That's what you want to see. Okay.
3412
02:39:52,770 --> 02:39:55,200
And then when you have price, break it
3413
02:39:55,200 --> 02:39:58,830
again here you have another cotton
3414
02:39:58,860 --> 02:40:01,650
Manasa conviction. By the traders that
3415
02:40:01,650 --> 02:40:03,420
are in control of price, what's your
3416
02:40:03,420 --> 02:40:07,530
smart money? They are indicating to us
3417
02:40:07,530 --> 02:40:10,260
that they are wanting to see this
3418
02:40:10,440 --> 02:40:14,430
market, not trade lower. Okay. So if
3419
02:40:14,430 --> 02:40:16,500
it's not going to go lower, chances are
3420
02:40:16,500 --> 02:40:18,870
it's probably going to go up and go up
3421
02:40:18,900 --> 02:40:22,410
sharply. Now, if we see the star here,
3422
02:40:22,410 --> 02:40:24,900
that's delineating a break in market
3423
02:40:24,900 --> 02:40:28,590
structure, okay, on both points, the
3424
02:40:28,620 --> 02:40:30,390
previous little short term high that we
3425
02:40:30,390 --> 02:40:32,760
just showed, and now when the price ran
3426
02:40:32,760 --> 02:40:35,520
up aggressively through that, what we'd
3427
02:40:35,520 --> 02:40:37,680
be waiting for a price to return back to
3428
02:40:37,680 --> 02:40:42,180
the point of origin. That scene here
3429
02:40:43,050 --> 02:40:45,420
where price comes right back down into
3430
02:40:45,960 --> 02:40:48,450
the first bearish candle prior to the
3431
02:40:48,450 --> 02:40:50,640
rally gamebreaking market structure
3432
02:40:50,640 --> 02:40:53,520
here. So now we have a range from here
3433
02:40:53,910 --> 02:40:57,030
to here. Okay. So we're looking for
3434
02:40:57,030 --> 02:40:59,760
price really to stay above support not
3435
02:40:59,760 --> 02:41:01,410
necessary. Trading back down to that
3436
02:41:01,410 --> 02:41:05,700
same price level. This is the swing that
3437
02:41:05,700 --> 02:41:07,680
you should be identifying with your eye.
3438
02:41:08,010 --> 02:41:09,900
This is what you train your eye to see,
3439
02:41:10,290 --> 02:41:12,870
this particular price swing is what's
3440
02:41:12,900 --> 02:41:15,240
necessary for you to pull your fib on.
3441
02:41:18,000 --> 02:41:19,890
By doing that, and again noting where
3442
02:41:19,890 --> 02:41:23,070
the market structure has shifted. When
3443
02:41:23,070 --> 02:41:25,860
price moves back down into this area
3444
02:41:25,860 --> 02:41:28,770
here, it's between the 62 and 79 cent
3445
02:41:28,770 --> 02:41:32,670
treatment level. The 70.5 level is what
3446
02:41:32,670 --> 02:41:34,410
I deemed the sweet spot. That's
3447
02:41:34,410 --> 02:41:36,420
generally what I try to aim at for my
3448
02:41:36,420 --> 02:41:39,270
entry point. I may add the PIP spread
3449
02:41:39,270 --> 02:41:42,030
from that point or I'll use the 62%
3450
02:41:42,030 --> 02:41:43,440
retracement level and depending upon the
3451
02:41:43,440 --> 02:41:45,900
type of PIP range between the two, if
3452
02:41:45,900 --> 02:41:48,030
it's not a whole lot, you know, I'll
3453
02:41:48,150 --> 02:41:50,460
just simply use 62 just to make sure I
3454
02:41:50,460 --> 02:41:52,050
get the trade as long as it doesn't
3455
02:41:52,050 --> 02:41:55,950
deviate my overall price parameters in
3456
02:41:55,950 --> 02:41:58,860
terms of allowing my stop loss order to
3457
02:41:58,860 --> 02:42:04,650
be within my Maximum risk portrayed. And
3458
02:42:04,650 --> 02:42:06,570
obviously, you can see the results of
3459
02:42:06,810 --> 02:42:09,270
taking this type of pattern with the
3460
02:42:09,270 --> 02:42:10,770
understanding of everything that we've
3461
02:42:10,770 --> 02:42:12,900
talked about in this video series up to
3462
02:42:12,900 --> 02:42:15,360
this point in that little gray. I mean,
3463
02:42:15,360 --> 02:42:16,800
sorry, in that little green box,
3464
02:42:16,830 --> 02:42:19,830
ideally, that should be a kill zone, be
3465
02:42:20,100 --> 02:42:23,370
the London open for the New York session
3466
02:42:23,400 --> 02:42:26,310
open. Okay? Those are the ideal trading
3467
02:42:26,310 --> 02:42:29,340
scenarios for you to be finding trading
3468
02:42:29,340 --> 02:42:31,350
opportunities to get long in. And again
3469
02:42:31,350 --> 02:42:32,760
with the assumption that the nine day
3470
02:42:32,760 --> 02:42:34,200
exponential moving average is above the
3471
02:42:34,200 --> 02:42:37,440
18 day and when you have that and also
3472
02:42:38,280 --> 02:42:40,440
order flow and market flow and market
3473
02:42:40,440 --> 02:42:42,270
structure on that timeframe dealing for
3474
02:42:42,270 --> 02:42:45,240
our or suggesting higher prices. It's
3475
02:42:45,240 --> 02:42:46,680
all but a green light just to get in
3476
02:42:46,680 --> 02:42:48,810
here and start hunting by opportunities
3477
02:42:48,900 --> 02:42:49,920
using this format.