Wiki source code of ICT YT - 2025-05-29 - 2025 Lecture Series - NQ Review 05-29-2025
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2 | |1 |00:00:00 ~-~-> 00:00:05 |ICT: Good morning, folks. How are you just a quick little review. If you've | ||
3 | |2 |00:00:05 ~-~-> 00:00:10 |been following along on my x account, I've been giving analysis and short | ||
4 | |3 |00:00:10 ~-~-> 00:00:17 |little video, pre market analysis and whatnot, giving levels, targets and just | ||
5 | |4 |00:00:17 ~-~-> 00:00:21 |observations on what I believe the market was going to do this week. So | ||
6 | |5 |00:00:21 ~-~-> 00:00:28 |this closes out my week. The target I gave for this week's trading in Nasdaq | ||
7 | |6 |00:00:28 ~-~-> 00:00:33 |futures was delivered, if you recall, and if you haven't, you can find all | ||
8 | |7 |00:00:33 ~-~-> 00:00:38 |this information on the YouTube channel and the supplementary analysis videos | ||
9 | |8 |00:00:38 ~-~-> 00:00:43 |I've posted on X so for the folks that are wondering about the telegram | ||
10 | |9 |00:00:43 ~-~-> 00:00:49 |channel, I'll be using that for study notes. Okay, so you won't have to be in | ||
11 | |10 |00:00:49 ~-~-> 00:00:56 |there to get the real time stuff, because that ends this month, and I'll | ||
12 | |11 |00:00:56 ~-~-> 00:01:02 |be sharing pretty much like summaries, things that are noteworthy. I'll be | ||
13 | |12 |00:01:02 ~-~-> 00:01:07 |doing a project in June where I'm showcasing how, if I was using | ||
14 | |13 |00:01:07 ~-~-> 00:01:15 |electronic journaling versus the handwritten, high touch versus the high | ||
15 | |14 |00:01:15 ~-~-> 00:01:20 |tech approach to journaling, how I would go about doing it. It doesn't mean that | ||
16 | |15 |00:01:20 ~-~-> 00:01:24 |this is what you should do. It just means that I'm answering a question that | ||
17 | |16 |00:01:24 ~-~-> 00:01:29 |most of my students have asked me for a number of years. Even charter member | ||
18 | |17 |00:01:29 ~-~-> 00:01:32 |students to have gone through my private mentorship, they've asked if I could | ||
19 | |18 |00:01:32 ~-~-> 00:01:39 |share how I would journal, and they'll be doing that the last week of June. So | ||
20 | |19 |00:01:40 ~-~-> 00:01:45 |anyway, with all that monolog out of the way, this is a daily, I'm sorry, excuse | ||
21 | |20 |00:01:45 ~-~-> 00:01:51 |me. This is a weekly chart of the continuous contracts for NASDAQ. And you | ||
22 | |21 |00:01:51 ~-~-> 00:01:56 |can find that on trading view with the symbol N, Q, number one, exclamation | ||
23 | |22 |00:01:56 ~-~-> 00:02:00 |point. And it's important to use that when you're using higher Time Frame | ||
24 | |23 |00:02:00 ~-~-> 00:02:05 |charts because it's it's a better way of showing continuity and price delivery, | ||
25 | |24 |00:02:05 ~-~-> 00:02:11 |because the front month or nearby contracts are always, always spotty when | ||
26 | |25 |00:02:11 ~-~-> 00:02:14 |you look back in the higher Time Frame, even if you change it to a monthly or | ||
27 | |26 |00:02:14 ~-~-> 00:02:19 |weekly chart, you're not getting the true perspective. So a continuous chart | ||
28 | |27 |00:02:19 ~-~-> 00:02:27 |is helpful in that regard. So this wick here, I did an analysis on about a month | ||
29 | |28 |00:02:27 ~-~-> 00:02:31 |ago, and you can look at it again on all the content I posted on exit on this | ||
30 | |29 |00:02:31 ~-~-> 00:02:37 |YouTube channel. I said this wick here, while we were below it, down here, we | ||
31 | |30 |00:02:37 ~-~-> 00:02:41 |would gravitate up into it, and I was looking at the lower half of it. So this | ||
32 | |31 |00:02:41 ~-~-> 00:02:49 |line here, the 22,001 03, level, that's the consequent encroachment, or midpoint | ||
33 | |32 |00:02:49 ~-~-> 00:02:56 |of this wick. So I'm only interested in this half, and then grading that in | ||
34 | |33 |00:02:56 ~-~-> 00:03:08 |quadrants. So what we do here in this area is salient to what we'll do in next | ||
35 | |34 |00:03:09 ~-~-> 00:03:16 |month or five or six weeks. Ultimately, it's likely to see these highs get taken | ||
36 | |35 |00:03:16 ~-~-> 00:03:21 |out, because I'm not trying to pick a top so the market has been shunning the | ||
37 | |36 |00:03:22 ~-~-> 00:03:27 |traditional bearish seasonal tendency. So when it does that type of thing, it's | ||
38 | |37 |00:03:27 ~-~-> 00:03:33 |usually very bullish. So I want to keep my focus in the lower half of this wick | ||
39 | |38 |00:03:35 ~-~-> 00:03:39 |before I marry the idea that it's absolutely going to go above here. Okay, | ||
40 | |39 |00:03:39 ~-~-> 00:03:45 |so while I'm submitting to the idea that order flow is bullish, it's likely to go | ||
41 | |40 |00:03:45 ~-~-> 00:03:50 |up there, but I'm not hardlining that it's going there. I want to see how it | ||
42 | |41 |00:03:50 ~-~-> 00:03:53 |delivers inside the lower half of this wick, which is why I have all the | ||
43 | |42 |00:03:53 ~-~-> 00:04:00 |gradient levels here. Okay, so if we take our attention down from this in the | ||
44 | |43 |00:04:00 ~-~-> 00:04:05 |weekly chart inside this area here, we'll look at the daily chart and see | ||
45 | |44 |00:04:05 ~-~-> 00:04:09 |the fair value gap I was mentioning this weekend a couple weeks ago. You take a | ||
46 | |45 |00:04:09 ~-~-> 00:04:14 |look at the daily chart here. This is the fair value gap. So this candle | ||
47 | |46 |00:04:14 ~-~-> 00:04:29 |sticks high. This candle candlesticks low, and it's a civi, so we have this | ||
48 | |47 |00:04:29 ~-~-> 00:04:34 |inefficiency, and I have gradient levels in it. So it's the upper quadrant, | ||
49 | |48 |00:04:34 ~-~-> 00:04:38 |consequent encroachment in green lower quadrant. And then the low and high is | ||
50 | |49 |00:04:38 ~-~-> 00:04:44 |obviously shown by the rectangle being applied. So if you go back and look at | ||
51 | |50 |00:04:44 ~-~-> 00:04:52 |what we were doing when price was trading in here, my commentary was | ||
52 | |51 |00:04:52 ~-~-> 00:04:59 |suggesting that this low, I wanted to see it continue, obviously. But if it | ||
53 | |52 |00:04:59 ~-~-> 00:05:02 |were to drop. Below that low. I wanted to see it act as institutional order | ||
54 | |53 |00:05:02 ~-~-> 00:05:07 |flow entry drill, which is just simply a partial entry into an imbalance. Okay, | ||
55 | |54 |00:05:07 ~-~-> 00:05:12 |so we we had that actually deliver that's probably random, and then the | ||
56 | |55 |00:05:12 ~-~-> 00:05:17 |market trades higher, comes right back down into immediate rebalance. This | ||
57 | |56 |00:05:17 ~-~-> 00:05:22 |candles ticks high, and I'll annotate that for you here. Now I could get | ||
58 | |57 |00:05:22 ~-~-> 00:05:26 |carried away here and make this video very, very long, but that's not my | ||
59 | |58 |00:05:26 ~-~-> 00:05:31 |interest, but the immediate rebalance here and then sends it higher up into | ||
60 | |59 |00:05:31 ~-~-> 00:05:36 |lower quadrant of that daily fair value gap, so that, for me, satisfies my | ||
61 | |60 |00:05:36 ~-~-> 00:05:42 |weekly objective. I'm certainly content with that. Everything delivered as I was | ||
62 | |61 |00:05:42 ~-~-> 00:05:48 |expecting. Everything I gave guidance for on x this week has been just | ||
63 | |62 |00:05:48 ~-~-> 00:05:53 |perfectly delivered. So it's really hard to to be upset when the market does | ||
64 | |63 |00:05:53 ~-~-> 00:05:59 |that. So let's take a closer look inside of the lower time frames. We'll drop | ||
65 | |64 |00:05:59 ~-~-> 00:06:04 |down to a 15 in time frame next. Here we are on the 15 minute time frame. You can | ||
66 | |65 |00:06:04 ~-~-> 00:06:11 |see the relative equal highs here. So I went over this in the X analysis video | ||
67 | |66 |00:06:11 ~-~-> 00:06:16 |clips and whatnot and posts. So if you see these relative equal highs here, | ||
68 | |67 |00:06:16 ~-~-> 00:06:21 |that was a upside objective. And then ultimately, if it gets above that, we | ||
69 | |68 |00:06:21 ~-~-> 00:06:25 |would see it run up into that daily fair value gap that you can see they shaped | ||
70 | |69 |00:06:25 ~-~-> 00:06:28 |up in here, lower quadrant slammed by the bodies. Look at that. That's | ||
71 | |70 |00:06:28 ~-~-> 00:06:34 |absolutely beautiful. And then we have a break lower what we do today and Friday | ||
72 | |71 |00:06:34 ~-~-> 00:06:37 |is really of no consequence to me, because I could care less. I have things | ||
73 | |72 |00:06:37 ~-~-> 00:06:41 |I take care of my personal life. So this will be the last discussion I have over | ||
74 | |73 |00:06:41 ~-~-> 00:06:46 |price action. So I want to take a look at this with you. And this is a 15 | ||
75 | |74 |00:06:46 ~-~-> 00:06:57 |minute city, which you can see over here. This should be anchored like that | ||
76 | |75 |00:06:57 ~-~-> 00:07:04 |body to wick dropping down in here, quadrant, consequent encroachment in | ||
77 | |76 |00:07:04 ~-~-> 00:07:10 |green. So since it was a city, it's going to change this character to that | ||
78 | |77 |00:07:11 ~-~-> 00:07:15 |of something bullish, positive balance outside efficiency that's just below | ||
79 | |78 |00:07:16 ~-~-> 00:07:21 |this 15 minute inversion, fair value gap. We consolidate, rally up. I broke | ||
80 | |79 |00:07:21 ~-~-> 00:07:28 |this down in here with these two wicks on x, and it was just perfectly | ||
81 | |80 |00:07:28 ~-~-> 00:07:36 |delivered as a long entry, trading up into the 21,005 62.25, level that | ||
82 | |81 |00:07:36 ~-~-> 00:07:40 |relative equal high. And then market breaks lower, all the way back down to | ||
83 | |82 |00:07:40 ~-~-> 00:07:46 |the low of the 15 minute inversion fair value gap, but specifically to | ||
84 | |83 |00:07:46 ~-~-> 00:07:53 |consequent encouragement of this candlestick right here. So the Mohawk, | ||
85 | |84 |00:07:53 ~-~-> 00:07:56 |your little coloring outside the lines that we allow for with the wicks, | ||
86 | |85 |00:07:56 ~-~-> 00:08:02 |because they can do damage the bodies tell the narrative. Bodies are | ||
87 | |86 |00:08:02 ~-~-> 00:08:09 |respecting the lower quadrant we wick down touch the consequent encroachment | ||
88 | |87 |00:08:10 ~-~-> 00:08:15 |or midpoint of this bicycle outside efficiency always includes your volume | ||
89 | |88 |00:08:15 ~-~-> 00:08:22 |imbalance for the higher body. That'll be a more specific topic that we'll | ||
90 | |89 |00:08:22 ~-~-> 00:08:30 |cover in the book. Drop down here is FOMC. And then we rip higher trading | ||
91 | |90 |00:08:30 ~-~-> 00:08:37 |aggressively into this run right here is Nvidia related. So the market trades up | ||
92 | |91 |00:08:37 ~-~-> 00:08:41 |into the lower quadrant of that daily. Everybody got there. So. |