Wiki source code of ICT YT - 2020-09-26 - ICT Institutional Price Action - Micro-Market Structure and Time and Price Concepts - Part 2.srt
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1 | 1 | ||
2 | 00:00:15,990 ~-~-> 00:00:17,670 | ||
3 | ICT: Hi, folks, welcome back, we're gonna continue our | ||
4 | |||
5 | 2 | ||
6 | 00:00:17,670 ~-~-> 00:00:21,180 | ||
7 | lecture on micro market structure and time and price | ||
8 | |||
9 | 3 | ||
10 | 00:00:21,180 ~-~-> 00:00:24,090 | ||
11 | concepts. I'm going to build a little bit on your | ||
12 | |||
13 | 4 | ||
14 | 00:00:24,090 ~-~-> 00:00:28,980 | ||
15 | understanding of my order block theory. So if we are looking | ||
16 | |||
17 | 5 | ||
18 | 00:00:28,980 ~-~-> 00:00:34,290 | ||
19 | at indices or index futures, specifically, as we refer to | ||
20 | |||
21 | 6 | ||
22 | 00:00:34,290 ~-~-> 00:00:38,730 | ||
23 | last time we were together, we're looking at the E mini s&p | ||
24 | |||
25 | 7 | ||
26 | 00:00:38,760 ~-~-> 00:00:43,500 | ||
27 | December contract for 2020. And if you recall, if you have | ||
28 | |||
29 | 8 | ||
30 | 00:00:43,500 ~-~-> 00:00:46,410 | ||
31 | not watched the previous recording, then please stop this | ||
32 | |||
33 | 9 | ||
34 | 00:00:46,410 ~-~-> 00:00:49,170 | ||
35 | video and watch the other one. It's not a very long video. | ||
36 | |||
37 | 10 | ||
38 | 00:00:51,000 ~-~-> 00:00:55,320 | ||
39 | So it helps build a little bit of the foundation, also | ||
40 | |||
41 | 11 | ||
42 | 00:00:55,320 ~-~-> 00:00:59,730 | ||
43 | referring back to this candle. So we look at price action, | ||
44 | |||
45 | 12 | ||
46 | 00:00:59,730 ~-~-> 00:01:03,840 | ||
47 | like this is a daily chart, I want you to confer with the | ||
48 | |||
49 | 13 | ||
50 | 00:01:03,840 ~-~-> 00:01:08,190 | ||
51 | direction where's it been going? Okay, so if we're gonna be | ||
52 | |||
53 | 14 | ||
54 | 00:01:08,220 ~-~-> 00:01:11,820 | ||
55 | using micro market structure that's like the very, very low | ||
56 | |||
57 | 15 | ||
58 | 00:01:11,820 ~-~-> 00:01:16,380 | ||
59 | timeframe, intraday charts. There are some out there that | ||
60 | |||
61 | 16 | ||
62 | 00:01:16,380 ~-~-> 00:01:19,980 | ||
63 | say that there's just noise on these lower timeframe charts. | ||
64 | |||
65 | 17 | ||
66 | 00:01:20,040 ~-~-> 00:01:22,200 | ||
67 | And if you really take a step back and think about it, | ||
68 | |||
69 | 18 | ||
70 | 00:01:23,070 ~-~-> 00:01:26,940 | ||
71 | that's actually impossible. It's impossible. Okay for that | ||
72 | |||
73 | 19 | ||
74 | 00:01:26,940 ~-~-> 00:01:33,270 | ||
75 | to be true, because it's the same price. So the fact that | ||
76 | |||
77 | 20 | ||
78 | 00:01:33,270 ~-~-> 00:01:38,340 | ||
79 | we're measuring the fluctuations on the basis of a specific | ||
80 | |||
81 | 21 | ||
82 | 00:01:38,340 ~-~-> 00:01:42,960 | ||
83 | time interval, that's where the confusion comes in. Because | ||
84 | |||
85 | 22 | ||
86 | 00:01:42,960 ~-~-> 00:01:46,920 | ||
87 | it becomes a question of, what timeframe do I use? Which is, | ||
88 | |||
89 | 23 | ||
90 | 00:01:47,550 ~-~-> 00:01:50,850 | ||
91 | the better timeframe? Is it a one minute chart, is it a two | ||
92 | |||
93 | 24 | ||
94 | 00:01:50,850 ~-~-> 00:01:53,760 | ||
95 | minute chart, a seven minute chart a five minute, you know, | ||
96 | |||
97 | 25 | ||
98 | 00:01:55,710 ~-~-> 00:01:59,970 | ||
99 | you can use any lower timeframe chart you want. But if you | ||
100 | |||
101 | 26 | ||
102 | 00:01:59,970 ~-~-> 00:02:04,410 | ||
103 | really want to get ultra tight with your entries and stop | ||
104 | |||
105 | 27 | ||
106 | 00:02:04,410 ~-~-> 00:02:12,750 | ||
107 | loss orders, the five or one minute chart is the best in | ||
108 | |||
109 | 28 | ||
110 | 00:02:12,750 ~-~-> 00:02:14,970 | ||
111 | terms of doing that, but you have to understand what you're | ||
112 | |||
113 | 29 | ||
114 | 00:02:14,970 ~-~-> 00:02:18,300 | ||
115 | looking for. Otherwise, you will get burned. Alright, so | ||
116 | |||
117 | 30 | ||
118 | 00:02:19,890 ~-~-> 00:02:25,680 | ||
119 | I've covered in many videos over the last 10 years dealing | ||
120 | |||
121 | 31 | ||
122 | 00:02:25,680 ~-~-> 00:02:30,480 | ||
123 | specifically with forex, and teaching some of my concepts | ||
124 | |||
125 | 32 | ||
126 | 00:02:30,480 ~-~-> 00:02:34,530 | ||
127 | with that asset class. And many of you are familiar with my | ||
128 | |||
129 | 33 | ||
130 | 00:02:34,560 ~-~-> 00:02:37,770 | ||
131 | time and price theory. I've done videos on that and | ||
132 | |||
133 | 34 | ||
134 | 00:02:37,770 ~-~-> 00:02:41,670 | ||
135 | tutorials, and it's made its way in many of my lectures. And | ||
136 | |||
137 | 35 | ||
138 | 00:02:41,700 ~-~-> 00:02:45,000 | ||
139 | you all understand and have been introduced to my ICT order | ||
140 | |||
141 | 36 | ||
142 | 00:02:45,000 ~-~-> 00:02:49,410 | ||
143 | block theory. So while I mentioned this specific candle last | ||
144 | |||
145 | 37 | ||
146 | 00:02:49,410 ~-~-> 00:02:53,640 | ||
147 | time, as a bearish order block, and how we can use the low | ||
148 | |||
149 | 38 | ||
150 | 00:02:53,640 ~-~-> 00:02:55,650 | ||
151 | of that candle, and again, I'm going to count you to look at | ||
152 | |||
153 | 39 | ||
154 | 00:02:55,650 ~-~-> 00:03:01,950 | ||
155 | this price up here. So the price comes in at 30 to 56 and a | ||
156 | |||
157 | 40 | ||
158 | 00:03:01,950 ~-~-> 00:03:06,720 | ||
159 | half. Okay, so 30 to 56 and a half, we can use that level | ||
160 | |||
161 | 41 | ||
162 | 00:03:07,140 ~-~-> 00:03:12,600 | ||
163 | when we're bearish. So the market has been going lower. And | ||
164 | |||
165 | 42 | ||
166 | 00:03:12,600 ~-~-> 00:03:16,770 | ||
167 | to avoid all of the necessities of trying to pick a bottom | ||
168 | |||
169 | 43 | ||
170 | 00:03:17,160 ~-~-> 00:03:21,750 | ||
171 | in a bear market, you just simply focus on the upclose | ||
172 | |||
173 | 44 | ||
174 | 00:03:21,750 ~-~-> 00:03:25,620 | ||
175 | candles. If we get an upclose candle while orderflow is down | ||
176 | |||
177 | 45 | ||
178 | 00:03:25,680 ~-~-> 00:03:29,190 | ||
179 | or trend or momentum, however you want to refer to it. But | ||
180 | |||
181 | 46 | ||
182 | 00:03:29,220 ~-~-> 00:03:33,960 | ||
183 | this is how the interbank traders will focus in on key price | ||
184 | |||
185 | 47 | ||
186 | 00:03:33,960 ~-~-> 00:03:37,560 | ||
187 | levels on the lower timeframe for entry. Now, you're also | ||
188 | |||
189 | 48 | ||
190 | 00:03:37,560 ~-~-> 00:03:41,910 | ||
191 | going to hear hedge fund managers, bank traders don't use | ||
192 | |||
193 | 49 | ||
194 | 00:03:41,910 ~-~-> 00:03:46,830 | ||
195 | one minute charts. Well, that's true in a sense, but they're | ||
196 | |||
197 | 50 | ||
198 | 00:03:46,830 ~-~-> 00:03:51,060 | ||
199 | waiting for something specific on the chart to appear to | ||
200 | |||
201 | 51 | ||
202 | 00:03:51,060 ~-~-> 00:03:55,200 | ||
203 | initiate their engagement. So I'm gonna teach a little bit | ||
204 | |||
205 | 52 | ||
206 | 00:03:55,200 ~-~-> 00:03:58,290 | ||
207 | of that, and I introduced it in the last video, but I want | ||
208 | |||
209 | 53 | ||
210 | 00:03:58,290 ~-~-> 00:04:01,110 | ||
211 | to build on a little bit here and still try to keep the | ||
212 | |||
213 | 54 | ||
214 | 00:04:01,110 ~-~-> 00:04:04,290 | ||
215 | video short. So we have this level here and we're going to | ||
216 | |||
217 | 55 | ||
218 | 00:04:04,290 ~-~-> 00:04:07,410 | ||
219 | look at Friday's price action. Now notice Friday's price | ||
220 | |||
221 | 56 | ||
222 | 00:04:07,410 ~-~-> 00:04:10,680 | ||
223 | action is a nice bullish candle. Now it didn't have a whole | ||
224 | |||
225 | 57 | ||
226 | 00:04:10,680 ~-~-> 00:04:13,590 | ||
227 | lot of range, but it was respectable. And it did trade | ||
228 | |||
229 | 58 | ||
230 | 00:04:13,590 ~-~-> 00:04:17,670 | ||
231 | deeper into this upclose candle. It does not matter because | ||
232 | |||
233 | 59 | ||
234 | 00:04:17,670 ~-~-> 00:04:20,160 | ||
235 | if we're trading micro market structure, what we're | ||
236 | |||
237 | 60 | ||
238 | 00:04:20,160 ~-~-> 00:04:23,430 | ||
239 | essentially doing is we're trading the intraday volatility, | ||
240 | |||
241 | 61 | ||
242 | 00:04:23,580 ~-~-> 00:04:29,220 | ||
243 | both directions up and down. But how can you determine which | ||
244 | |||
245 | 62 | ||
246 | 00:04:29,220 ~-~-> 00:04:33,000 | ||
247 | side of the marketplace has the more likely probability | ||
248 | |||
249 | 63 | ||
250 | 00:04:33,450 ~-~-> 00:04:36,660 | ||
251 | using order block theory? Well, let's go back down into a | ||
252 | |||
253 | 64 | ||
254 | 00:04:36,660 ~-~-> 00:04:40,350 | ||
255 | lower timeframe. Okay, so here we have the E mini s&p | ||
256 | |||
257 | 65 | ||
258 | 00:04:40,380 ~-~-> 00:04:44,820 | ||
259 | December contract for 2020. And we are dialed in on a five | ||
260 | |||
261 | 66 | ||
262 | 00:04:44,820 ~-~-> 00:04:47,520 | ||
263 | minute chart. Now I want you to take a look at this price | ||
264 | |||
265 | 67 | ||
266 | 00:04:47,520 ~-~-> 00:04:51,690 | ||
267 | action. Pause the video, study it for a little while and | ||
268 | |||
269 | 68 | ||
270 | 00:04:51,690 ~-~-> 00:04:54,750 | ||
271 | come up with what you think you see in this price action. | ||
272 | |||
273 | 69 | ||
274 | 00:04:55,230 ~-~-> 00:04:57,450 | ||
275 | And then when you're ready, unpause the video and I'll | ||
276 | |||
277 | 70 | ||
278 | 00:04:57,450 ~-~-> 00:04:58,620 | ||
279 | continue to lecture with you | ||
280 | |||
281 | 71 | ||
282 | 00:05:02,220 ~-~-> 00:05:06,750 | ||
283 | All right. So as you can see price has been meandering | ||
284 | |||
285 | 72 | ||
286 | 00:05:06,750 ~-~-> 00:05:10,710 | ||
287 | around in here consolidating, and then finally made its way | ||
288 | |||
289 | 73 | ||
290 | 00:05:10,710 ~-~-> 00:05:14,790 | ||
291 | lower. And then it had a another drop here, a little bit of | ||
292 | |||
293 | 74 | ||
294 | 00:05:14,790 ~-~-> 00:05:18,480 | ||
295 | a retracement in here. And price had a nice sell off trading | ||
296 | |||
297 | 75 | ||
298 | 00:05:18,480 ~-~-> 00:05:25,380 | ||
299 | down below the 32 08 level. If we break this down and add | ||
300 | |||
301 | 76 | ||
302 | 00:05:26,070 ~-~-> 00:05:31,710 | ||
303 | that same daily key level, that's that 30 to 56 and a half. | ||
304 | |||
305 | 77 | ||
306 | 00:05:32,340 ~-~-> 00:05:37,380 | ||
307 | And then we incorporate the aspects of time. Because price | ||
308 | |||
309 | 78 | ||
310 | 00:05:37,410 ~-~-> 00:05:43,620 | ||
311 | by itself doesn't mean anything. It's not price and time. | ||
312 | |||
313 | 79 | ||
314 | 00:05:44,490 ~-~-> 00:05:49,800 | ||
315 | It's time and price. That's how the algorithm operates. It | ||
316 | |||
317 | 80 | ||
318 | 00:05:49,800 ~-~-> 00:05:53,100 | ||
319 | may sound like arguing semantics. But it's absolutely | ||
320 | |||
321 | 81 | ||
322 | 00:05:53,100 ~-~-> 00:05:57,630 | ||
323 | crucial that you understand that time is the first factor in | ||
324 | |||
325 | 82 | ||
326 | 00:05:57,630 ~-~-> 00:06:02,760 | ||
327 | how prices delivered. Once you have a specific window of | ||
328 | |||
329 | 83 | ||
330 | 00:06:02,760 ~-~-> 00:06:07,320 | ||
331 | time, when the algorithm will operate and run on its macro. | ||
332 | |||
333 | 84 | ||
334 | 00:06:07,470 ~-~-> 00:06:11,730 | ||
335 | And again, a macro is a shortlist of processes that go in | ||
336 | |||
337 | 85 | ||
338 | 00:06:12,960 ~-~-> 00:06:19,530 | ||
339 | action for either running to a specific pool of liquidity or | ||
340 | |||
341 | 86 | ||
342 | 00:06:19,890 ~-~-> 00:06:23,820 | ||
343 | to a period of time where the market was inefficiently | ||
344 | |||
345 | 87 | ||
346 | 00:06:23,820 ~-~-> 00:06:27,570 | ||
347 | delivered. And therefore rebalancing. There's only two | ||
348 | |||
349 | 88 | ||
350 | 00:06:27,570 ~-~-> 00:06:33,060 | ||
351 | things that occur in price. It runs to liquidity, either by | ||
352 | |||
353 | 89 | ||
354 | 00:06:33,060 ~-~-> 00:06:36,390 | ||
355 | side liquidity above old highs, or it runs sellside | ||
356 | |||
357 | 90 | ||
358 | 00:06:36,390 ~-~-> 00:06:40,560 | ||
359 | liquidity below old lows, or it runs to an area of | ||
360 | |||
361 | 91 | ||
362 | 00:06:40,560 ~-~-> 00:06:47,130 | ||
363 | inefficiency in the sense that it wants to rebounds. So with | ||
364 | |||
365 | 92 | ||
366 | 00:06:47,130 ~-~-> 00:06:52,050 | ||
367 | those two ideas in mind, I want you to remember that we were | ||
368 | |||
369 | 93 | ||
370 | 00:06:52,050 ~-~-> 00:06:56,340 | ||
371 | looking at the EMAS p on the daily chart, I've already | ||
372 | |||
373 | 94 | ||
374 | 00:06:57,120 ~-~-> 00:07:00,870 | ||
375 | suggested that we should focus on delivery on the downside, | ||
376 | |||
377 | 95 | ||
378 | 00:07:00,870 ~-~-> 00:07:04,410 | ||
379 | so attacking, so side delivery. So you have to look for | ||
380 | |||
381 | 96 | ||
382 | 00:07:04,440 ~-~-> 00:07:08,370 | ||
383 | where does sell side liquidity reside? Well, if you're | ||
384 | |||
385 | 97 | ||
386 | 00:07:08,370 ~-~-> 00:07:12,840 | ||
387 | looking at London open kills him on Friday. And that begins | ||
388 | |||
389 | 98 | ||
390 | 00:07:12,840 ~-~-> 00:07:15,480 | ||
391 | at two o'clock in the morning and ends at five o'clock in | ||
392 | |||
393 | 99 | ||
394 | 00:07:15,480 ~-~-> 00:07:18,750 | ||
395 | the morning. Okay, so once we have that period, on our | ||
396 | |||
397 | 100 | ||
398 | 00:07:18,750 ~-~-> 00:07:22,530 | ||
399 | chart, we're hunting in this area for a specific phone and | ||
400 | |||
401 | 101 | ||
402 | 00:07:22,530 ~-~-> 00:07:26,790 | ||
403 | on. Now that phenomenon is what I talked about in the last | ||
404 | |||
405 | 102 | ||
406 | 00:07:26,790 ~-~-> 00:07:30,090 | ||
407 | video, where we have an order block, which you can see the | ||
408 | |||
409 | 103 | ||
410 | 00:07:30,090 ~-~-> 00:07:32,940 | ||
411 | price trades up to it here. Here, that red line is what I'm | ||
412 | |||
413 | 104 | ||
414 | 00:07:32,940 ~-~-> 00:07:37,950 | ||
415 | referring to here, here, here here. What's going on there? | ||
416 | |||
417 | 105 | ||
418 | 00:07:38,910 ~-~-> 00:07:45,510 | ||
419 | Is that resistance? Or is that an algorithm holding price? | ||
420 | |||
421 | 106 | ||
422 | 00:07:45,870 ~-~-> 00:07:49,710 | ||
423 | At this level? They're accumulating short positions. So now | ||
424 | |||
425 | 107 | ||
426 | 00:07:49,740 ~-~-> 00:07:53,220 | ||
427 | if we are looking at this area up here, and they're shorting | ||
428 | |||
429 | 108 | ||
430 | 00:07:53,610 ~-~-> 00:07:57,990 | ||
431 | and again, they collectively are the real smart money, not | ||
432 | |||
433 | 109 | ||
434 | 00:07:58,350 ~-~-> 00:08:04,620 | ||
435 | Goldman Sachs, not city, there are lower rung entity in the | ||
436 | |||
437 | 110 | ||
438 | 00:08:04,770 ~-~-> 00:08:11,670 | ||
439 | grand scheme of things. Okay. So if we look at that area | ||
440 | |||
441 | 111 | ||
442 | 00:08:11,670 ~-~-> 00:08:15,570 | ||
443 | right here, the order blocking itself, if we're using higher | ||
444 | |||
445 | 112 | ||
446 | 00:08:15,570 ~-~-> 00:08:19,440 | ||
447 | timeframe, you have to wait for price to show its hand. What | ||
448 | |||
449 | 113 | ||
450 | 00:08:19,440 ~-~-> 00:08:21,780 | ||
451 | does that mean? Does it mean get right in at the order | ||
452 | |||
453 | 114 | ||
454 | 00:08:21,780 ~-~-> 00:08:25,020 | ||
455 | block? Not if it's a higher timeframe order block? No. So | ||
456 | |||
457 | 115 | ||
458 | 00:08:25,020 ~-~-> 00:08:29,580 | ||
459 | you wait for time of day now we're in a kill zone. London | ||
460 | |||
461 | 116 | ||
462 | 00:08:31,140 ~-~-> 00:08:37,140 | ||
463 | wait for price to show wants to go away. In this case lower | ||
464 | |||
465 | 117 | ||
466 | 00:08:37,170 ~-~-> 00:08:39,990 | ||
467 | because order flow on a daily chart is bearish. So we're | ||
468 | |||
469 | 118 | ||
470 | 00:08:39,990 ~-~-> 00:08:44,220 | ||
471 | waiting for displacement lower during two o'clock to five | ||
472 | |||
473 | 119 | ||
474 | 00:08:44,220 ~-~-> 00:08:53,610 | ||
475 | o'clock in the morning. Do you see it? Right here. This | ||
476 | |||
477 | 120 | ||
478 | 00:08:53,610 ~-~-> 00:08:57,150 | ||
479 | displacement right here. Now right away, some of you that | ||
480 | |||
481 | 121 | ||
482 | 00:08:57,150 ~-~-> 00:08:59,880 | ||
483 | are familiar with my content would say okay, you have to | ||
484 | |||
485 | 122 | ||
486 | 00:08:59,880 ~-~-> 00:09:03,240 | ||
487 | look at the upclose candle or candles that are consecutive, | ||
488 | |||
489 | 123 | ||
490 | 00:09:03,390 ~-~-> 00:09:07,500 | ||
491 | like this one here like 123 that would be your order block | ||
492 | |||
493 | 124 | ||
494 | 00:09:07,500 ~-~-> 00:09:10,020 | ||
495 | your bearish order block if it trades back up to it once it | ||
496 | |||
497 | 125 | ||
498 | 00:09:10,020 ~-~-> 00:09:12,840 | ||
499 | trades below it. Well it does it here and then do we get a | ||
500 | |||
501 | 126 | ||
502 | 00:09:12,840 ~-~-> 00:09:17,490 | ||
503 | little displacement. Yes, it starts to run. This one has | ||
504 | |||
505 | 127 | ||
506 | 00:09:17,490 ~-~-> 00:09:23,670 | ||
507 | already been used. So as we start to retrace higher rate in | ||
508 | |||
509 | 128 | ||
510 | 00:09:23,670 ~-~-> 00:09:27,300 | ||
511 | here, that candle is what you would be using for your order | ||
512 | |||
513 | 129 | ||
514 | 00:09:27,300 ~-~-> 00:09:32,280 | ||
515 | block. So you have this price run here. And then this order | ||
516 | |||
517 | 130 | ||
518 | 00:09:32,280 ~-~-> 00:09:35,310 | ||
519 | block, what's the low on that candle? You're gonna look at | ||
520 | |||
521 | 131 | ||
522 | 00:09:35,310 ~-~-> 00:09:40,140 | ||
523 | this price right here. Okay, focus there. The low on that | ||
524 | |||
525 | 132 | ||
526 | 00:09:40,140 ~-~-> 00:09:51,210 | ||
527 | candle comes in at 3243 even. Okay, 32 43.00 the high on | ||
528 | |||
529 | 133 | ||
530 | 00:09:51,210 ~-~-> 00:09:56,670 | ||
531 | this candle comes in exactly at 32 43.00 | ||
532 | |||
533 | 134 | ||
534 | 00:09:57,180 ~-~-> 00:10:03,150 | ||
535 | again, folks perfect It's perfect. It's not close, it's | ||
536 | |||
537 | 135 | ||
538 | 00:10:03,150 ~-~-> 00:10:07,620 | ||
539 | almost made it, it's perfect. It can only happen that way. | ||
540 | |||
541 | 136 | ||
542 | 00:10:07,620 ~-~-> 00:10:11,010 | ||
543 | If these markets are running on an algorithm. what time of | ||
544 | |||
545 | 137 | ||
546 | 00:10:11,010 ~-~-> 00:10:14,760 | ||
547 | day would this pattern form if it's running on a program? | ||
548 | |||
549 | 138 | ||
550 | 00:10:15,930 ~-~-> 00:10:19,440 | ||
551 | Well, a very specific element of time. That's why I teach | ||
552 | |||
553 | 139 | ||
554 | 00:10:20,130 ~-~-> 00:10:24,270 | ||
555 | them open kills in the New York open kills on the London | ||
556 | |||
557 | 140 | ||
558 | 00:10:24,270 ~-~-> 00:10:28,320 | ||
559 | close kill zone in the New York, close kill zone, and Asia. | ||
560 | |||
561 | 141 | ||
562 | 00:10:29,910 ~-~-> 00:10:34,890 | ||
563 | That's how many opportunities exist every single day. You | ||
564 | |||
565 | 142 | ||
566 | 00:10:34,890 ~-~-> 00:10:38,580 | ||
567 | don't need to be a London open trader, if you can't be up | ||
568 | |||
569 | 143 | ||
570 | 00:10:38,610 ~-~-> 00:10:41,850 | ||
571 | overnight, and you live in the States, then trade New York, | ||
572 | |||
573 | 144 | ||
574 | 00:10:42,090 ~-~-> 00:10:47,670 | ||
575 | or trade London close, or New York close, or Asia. But you | ||
576 | |||
577 | 145 | ||
578 | 00:10:47,670 ~-~-> 00:10:51,060 | ||
579 | don't need to be in London. But now if you want to be a | ||
580 | |||
581 | 146 | ||
582 | 00:10:51,060 ~-~-> 00:10:54,000 | ||
583 | London trader, and you can use micro market structure | ||
584 | |||
585 | 147 | ||
586 | 00:10:54,240 ~-~-> 00:10:57,390 | ||
587 | concepts, as I'm teaching in this series here, you want to | ||
588 | |||
589 | 148 | ||
590 | 00:10:57,390 ~-~-> 00:11:00,870 | ||
591 | be looking for a displacement lower moving away from a | ||
592 | |||
593 | 149 | ||
594 | 00:11:00,870 ~-~-> 00:11:04,080 | ||
595 | higher timeframe order block, we've already seen the | ||
596 | |||
597 | 150 | ||
598 | 00:11:04,080 ~-~-> 00:11:07,260 | ||
599 | inability for the price to get above that level, that red | ||
600 | |||
601 | 151 | ||
602 | 00:11:07,260 ~-~-> 00:11:10,380 | ||
603 | level, it's the order block on the daily chart, price moves | ||
604 | |||
605 | 152 | ||
606 | 00:11:10,380 ~-~-> 00:11:16,770 | ||
607 | away. We have an order block, we trade up into it. And we | ||
608 | |||
609 | 153 | ||
610 | 00:11:16,770 ~-~-> 00:11:21,030 | ||
611 | have a very clear, obvious old low, which is so sign | ||
612 | |||
613 | 154 | ||
614 | 00:11:21,030 ~-~-> 00:11:25,590 | ||
615 | liquidity. So now what we're saying, in essence, is that | ||
616 | |||
617 | 155 | ||
618 | 00:11:25,590 ~-~-> 00:11:29,190 | ||
619 | we're looking for this area here | ||
620 | |||
621 | 156 | ||
622 | 00:11:35,670 ~-~-> 00:11:39,960 | ||
623 | to be matched up with this area here. So smart money | ||
624 | |||
625 | 157 | ||
626 | 00:11:40,890 ~-~-> 00:11:45,480 | ||
627 | operates on there, what I teach is market efficiency | ||
628 | |||
629 | 158 | ||
630 | 00:11:45,480 ~-~-> 00:11:49,500 | ||
631 | paradigm. That means when you look at the marketplace, when | ||
632 | |||
633 | 159 | ||
634 | 00:11:49,500 ~-~-> 00:11:52,230 | ||
635 | you as a retail trader look at price, you're looking at | ||
636 | |||
637 | 160 | ||
638 | 00:11:52,230 ~-~-> 00:11:54,990 | ||
639 | patterns, you're looking at indicators, you're looking for | ||
640 | |||
641 | 161 | ||
642 | 00:11:54,990 ~-~-> 00:11:58,770 | ||
643 | entry, and not so much on a stop loss because most retail | ||
644 | |||
645 | 162 | ||
646 | 00:11:58,770 ~-~-> 00:12:02,130 | ||
647 | traders don't want to use a stop loss. They think if it | ||
648 | |||
649 | 163 | ||
650 | 00:12:02,130 ~-~-> 00:12:05,430 | ||
651 | stops me out, yeah, I'm wrong. Well, you need to have a | ||
652 | |||
653 | 164 | ||
654 | 00:12:05,430 ~-~-> 00:12:08,880 | ||
655 | shield. You can't just go in here with swinging a sword, you | ||
656 | |||
657 | 165 | ||
658 | 00:12:08,880 ~-~-> 00:12:11,250 | ||
659 | need to have a defense mechanism. And that is a stop loss. | ||
660 | |||
661 | 166 | ||
662 | 00:12:11,310 ~-~-> 00:12:14,970 | ||
663 | And that is what real professionals use. They don't trade | ||
664 | |||
665 | 167 | ||
666 | 00:12:14,970 ~-~-> 00:12:19,830 | ||
667 | with a mental stop and or disregard it entirely. You have to | ||
668 | |||
669 | 168 | ||
670 | 00:12:20,010 ~-~-> 00:12:24,450 | ||
671 | measure and assume risk if you're trading in these markets, | ||
672 | |||
673 | 169 | ||
674 | 00:12:24,450 ~-~-> 00:12:28,080 | ||
675 | so it's good to train yourself to believe that what you're | ||
676 | |||
677 | 170 | ||
678 | 00:12:28,080 ~-~-> 00:12:30,660 | ||
679 | doing is the right thing to do, despite what many other | ||
680 | |||
681 | 171 | ||
682 | 00:12:30,660 ~-~-> 00:12:34,440 | ||
683 | people on the internet might tell you. So we have smart | ||
684 | |||
685 | 172 | ||
686 | 00:12:34,440 ~-~-> 00:12:38,160 | ||
687 | money selling short here. We're not looking at patterns. | ||
688 | |||
689 | 173 | ||
690 | 00:12:38,490 ~-~-> 00:12:40,650 | ||
691 | We're not looking at resistance support. We're not looking | ||
692 | |||
693 | 174 | ||
694 | 00:12:40,650 ~-~-> 00:12:42,570 | ||
695 | at supply and demand. We're not looking at Elliott Wave, | ||
696 | |||
697 | 175 | ||
698 | 00:12:42,600 ~-~-> 00:12:46,290 | ||
699 | we're not looking at that stuff. Okay, we're looking at the | ||
700 | |||
701 | 176 | ||
702 | 00:12:46,320 ~-~-> 00:12:53,190 | ||
703 | paradigm between where smart money would enter and where | ||
704 | |||
705 | 177 | ||
706 | 00:12:53,190 ~-~-> 00:12:57,180 | ||
707 | would Smart Money look to exit. You may not subscribe to the | ||
708 | |||
709 | 178 | ||
710 | 00:12:57,210 ~-~-> 00:13:02,190 | ||
711 | quote unquote they or smart money. But just for the sake of | ||
712 | |||
713 | 179 | ||
714 | 00:13:02,190 ~-~-> 00:13:05,490 | ||
715 | discussion, let's assume that they do exist. I believe they | ||
716 | |||
717 | 180 | ||
718 | 00:13:05,490 ~-~-> 00:13:09,930 | ||
719 | do. But let's assume that you don't believe it. But this, | ||
720 | |||
721 | 181 | ||
722 | 00:13:09,990 ~-~-> 00:13:13,290 | ||
723 | you know, just missed all that for a second. If they | ||
724 | |||
725 | 182 | ||
726 | 00:13:13,290 ~-~-> 00:13:17,070 | ||
727 | existed, and they're selling short up here, okay, they're | ||
728 | |||
729 | 183 | ||
730 | 00:13:17,070 ~-~-> 00:13:20,550 | ||
731 | selling as people are chasing this higher every time it | ||
732 | |||
733 | 184 | ||
734 | 00:13:20,550 ~-~-> 00:13:24,420 | ||
735 | makes a little bit of headway above that red line. buyers | ||
736 | |||
737 | 185 | ||
738 | 00:13:24,420 ~-~-> 00:13:27,600 | ||
739 | are using as a breakout. They're buying, buying, buying who | ||
740 | |||
741 | 186 | ||
742 | 00:13:27,600 ~-~-> 00:13:30,960 | ||
743 | is giving them the other side of their buy their long trade, | ||
744 | |||
745 | 187 | ||
746 | 00:13:31,410 ~-~-> 00:13:35,670 | ||
747 | smart money is selling that to them. So if the Smart Money | ||
748 | |||
749 | 188 | ||
750 | 00:13:35,670 ~-~-> 00:13:39,450 | ||
751 | is short, where's the ideal scenario for smart money to get | ||
752 | |||
753 | 189 | ||
754 | 00:13:39,450 ~-~-> 00:13:49,890 | ||
755 | out? a pattern, a harmonic pattern, an Elliott Wave, a | ||
756 | |||
757 | 190 | ||
758 | 00:13:49,890 ~-~-> 00:13:57,000 | ||
759 | supply and demand zone or the obvious Counterparty to what | ||
760 | |||
761 | 191 | ||
762 | 00:13:57,000 ~-~-> 00:14:00,780 | ||
763 | they use to enter the position. If they are selling to | ||
764 | |||
765 | 192 | ||
766 | 00:14:00,780 ~-~-> 00:14:05,820 | ||
767 | buyers up here. They are going to look to pair their order | ||
768 | |||
769 | 193 | ||
770 | 00:14:05,850 ~-~-> 00:14:14,340 | ||
771 | for exiting that short with existing sellers. That's what's | ||
772 | |||
773 | 194 | ||
774 | 00:14:14,340 ~-~-> 00:14:19,170 | ||
775 | residing below here. Sell stops. So what they're going to do | ||
776 | |||
777 | 195 | ||
778 | 00:14:19,170 ~-~-> 00:14:23,490 | ||
779 | is they're going to sell short here and look to buy it back | ||
780 | |||
781 | 196 | ||
782 | 00:14:23,520 ~-~-> 00:14:26,640 | ||
783 | from willing sellers at a lower price that are just waiting | ||
784 | |||
785 | 197 | ||
786 | 00:14:26,640 ~-~-> 00:14:30,090 | ||
787 | to be tagged. So the market efficiency paradigm is this. | ||
788 | |||
789 | 198 | ||
790 | 00:14:30,930 ~-~-> 00:14:36,870 | ||
791 | Smart Money sells. Them buys it back from retail traders | ||
792 | |||
793 | 199 | ||
794 | 00:14:36,870 ~-~-> 00:14:40,590 | ||
795 | that have sell stops resting below old lows. Everything is | ||
796 | |||
797 | 200 | ||
798 | 00:14:40,590 ~-~-> 00:14:43,200 | ||
799 | upside down folks. Everything that you think about the | ||
800 | |||
801 | 201 | ||
802 | 00:14:43,200 ~-~-> 00:14:46,440 | ||
803 | marketplace, everything you think about technical analysis, | ||
804 | |||
805 | 202 | ||
806 | 00:14:46,680 ~-~-> 00:14:51,300 | ||
807 | it's inverted. And you have to reverse that school of | ||
808 | |||
809 | 203 | ||
810 | 00:14:51,300 ~-~-> 00:14:54,090 | ||
811 | thought and then everything will start falling into place | ||
812 | |||
813 | 204 | ||
814 | 00:14:54,090 ~-~-> 00:14:58,740 | ||
815 | but as long as you struggle to defend your retail logic | ||
816 | |||
817 | 205 | ||
818 | 00:14:58,740 ~-~-> 00:15:01,170 | ||
819 | against people like me You're going to break and I'm going | ||
820 | |||
821 | 206 | ||
822 | 00:15:01,170 ~-~-> 00:15:05,160 | ||
823 | to be a frustration to you versus a help. Because that's why | ||
824 | |||
825 | 207 | ||
826 | 00:15:05,160 ~-~-> 00:15:08,250 | ||
827 | I'm doing this. I'm not here to say, look how foolish all of | ||
828 | |||
829 | 208 | ||
830 | 00:15:08,250 ~-~-> 00:15:12,300 | ||
831 | you are. Because I used to subscribe to this stuff, too. I | ||
832 | |||
833 | 209 | ||
834 | 00:15:12,300 ~-~-> 00:15:17,130 | ||
835 | want you to test it. Look at it like this. And I promise | ||
836 | |||
837 | 210 | ||
838 | 00:15:17,130 ~-~-> 00:15:21,060 | ||
839 | you, if you spend one month looking at charts like that, all | ||
840 | |||
841 | 211 | ||
842 | 00:15:21,060 ~-~-> 00:15:25,800 | ||
843 | the retail stuff starts to feel foolish to consider. And | ||
844 | |||
845 | 212 | ||
846 | 00:15:25,800 ~-~-> 00:15:27,990 | ||
847 | then when you start looking at how the real professionals, | ||
848 | |||
849 | 213 | ||
850 | 00:15:28,830 ~-~-> 00:15:33,090 | ||
851 | real professionals, look at price action, everything makes | ||
852 | |||
853 | 214 | ||
854 | 00:15:33,090 ~-~-> 00:15:37,440 | ||
855 | more sense. It's not just simply, oh, it's a stop hunt. Oh, | ||
856 | |||
857 | 215 | ||
858 | 00:15:37,440 ~-~-> 00:15:40,350 | ||
859 | it's a support broken term resistance. No, there's a | ||
860 | |||
861 | 216 | ||
862 | 00:15:40,350 ~-~-> 00:15:43,890 | ||
863 | narrative that's going on. And it's operating on a very | ||
864 | |||
865 | 217 | ||
866 | 00:15:43,890 ~-~-> 00:15:47,460 | ||
867 | specific element. I told you this level, in the previous | ||
868 | |||
869 | 218 | ||
870 | 00:15:47,460 ~-~-> 00:15:53,670 | ||
871 | video, it was in your awareness. So we're not predicting a | ||
872 | |||
873 | 219 | ||
874 | 00:15:53,730 ~-~-> 00:15:58,950 | ||
875 | down close day, we're focusing on micro market structure. I | ||
876 | |||
877 | 220 | ||
878 | 00:15:58,950 ~-~-> 00:16:01,950 | ||
879 | get thousands of emails asking all the time, how was I doing | ||
880 | |||
881 | 221 | ||
882 | 00:16:01,950 ~-~-> 00:16:04,890 | ||
883 | those trades buying and selling and buying and selling in | ||
884 | |||
885 | 222 | ||
886 | 00:16:04,890 ~-~-> 00:16:09,960 | ||
887 | the same day? Well, a lot of it has to do with things I'm | ||
888 | |||
889 | 223 | ||
890 | 00:16:09,960 ~-~-> 00:16:14,790 | ||
891 | not going to teach. But I will share some things and give | ||
892 | |||
893 | 224 | ||
894 | 00:16:14,790 ~-~-> 00:16:20,160 | ||
895 | you part of a view where some of the setups were framed on | ||
896 | |||
897 | 225 | ||
898 | 00:16:20,160 ~-~-> 00:16:22,590 | ||
899 | things like I'm showing you here, but not all of them there. | ||
900 | |||
901 | 226 | ||
902 | 00:16:22,680 ~-~-> 00:16:26,220 | ||
903 | So and I think it's reasonable everyone out there should | ||
904 | |||
905 | 227 | ||
906 | 00:16:26,220 ~-~-> 00:16:31,890 | ||
907 | really accept the fact that if someone knows something, and | ||
908 | |||
909 | 228 | ||
910 | 00:16:31,890 ~-~-> 00:16:37,200 | ||
911 | it's extremely technical, and it's highly sought after, | ||
912 | |||
913 | 229 | ||
914 | 00:16:39,000 ~-~-> 00:16:41,550 | ||
915 | you're not going to teach everything, okay, you're going to | ||
916 | |||
917 | 230 | ||
918 | 00:16:41,550 ~-~-> 00:16:44,370 | ||
919 | keep something for yourself and for your family. And I don't | ||
920 | |||
921 | 231 | ||
922 | 00:16:44,370 ~-~-> 00:16:47,940 | ||
923 | believe that's selfish, because I have spent 10 years | ||
924 | |||
925 | 232 | ||
926 | 00:16:48,660 ~-~-> 00:16:53,760 | ||
927 | teaching forex, for free. And while I do have a mentorship, | ||
928 | |||
929 | 233 | ||
930 | 00:16:54,660 ~-~-> 00:17:00,270 | ||
931 | I'm still here doing this for free. So again, take the value | ||
932 | |||
933 | 234 | ||
934 | 00:17:00,270 ~-~-> 00:17:02,610 | ||
935 | that I'm giving you, and you don't have to like me, but just | ||
936 | |||
937 | 235 | ||
938 | 00:17:02,610 ~-~-> 00:17:04,530 | ||
939 | look at it. I'm challenging you to look at your charts a | ||
940 | |||
941 | 236 | ||
942 | 00:17:04,530 ~-~-> 00:17:08,190 | ||
943 | little bit differently. And I promise you will improve, I | ||
944 | |||
945 | 237 | ||
946 | 00:17:08,190 ~-~-> 00:17:14,070 | ||
947 | promise you, you will improve. Like it's it's a night and | ||
948 | |||
949 | 238 | ||
950 | 00:17:14,070 ~-~-> 00:17:17,760 | ||
951 | day difference once you see it. But what are we looking for | ||
952 | |||
953 | 239 | ||
954 | 00:17:17,760 ~-~-> 00:17:22,680 | ||
955 | specifically, we want to see the price move away, but not | ||
956 | |||
957 | 240 | ||
958 | 00:17:22,680 ~-~-> 00:17:27,990 | ||
959 | just drift away, we want to see it drive hard away, because | ||
960 | |||
961 | 241 | ||
962 | 00:17:27,990 ~-~-> 00:17:32,040 | ||
963 | what the indicators are telling you is something altogether | ||
964 | |||
965 | 242 | ||
966 | 00:17:32,040 ~-~-> 00:17:35,430 | ||
967 | different. Whereas if we're reading price prices indicating, | ||
968 | |||
969 | 243 | ||
970 | 00:17:35,460 ~-~-> 00:17:38,850 | ||
971 | okay, yeah, we're reaching for something. And what we're | ||
972 | |||
973 | 244 | ||
974 | 00:17:38,850 ~-~-> 00:17:41,400 | ||
975 | reaching for is the liquidity resting below this low. | ||
976 | |||
977 | 245 | ||
978 | 00:17:42,870 ~-~-> 00:17:48,240 | ||
979 | Remember, the daily chart order flow is bearish. So I'm | ||
980 | |||
981 | 246 | ||
982 | 00:17:48,240 ~-~-> 00:17:51,240 | ||
983 | going to be looking at key levels and selling short with | ||
984 | |||
985 | 247 | ||
986 | 00:17:51,240 ~-~-> 00:17:54,630 | ||
987 | intraday volatility. At a time of day, when I know the | ||
988 | |||
989 | 248 | ||
990 | 00:17:54,630 ~-~-> 00:17:58,140 | ||
991 | algorithm will start really operating and running on its own | ||
992 | |||
993 | 249 | ||
994 | 00:17:58,140 ~-~-> 00:18:01,350 | ||
995 | macro, that means it's going to be reaching for a | ||
996 | |||
997 | 250 | ||
998 | 00:18:01,350 ~-~-> 00:18:05,160 | ||
999 | predetermined level that we can clearly see if we understand | ||
1000 | |||
1001 | 251 | ||
1002 | 00:18:05,310 ~-~-> 00:18:08,760 | ||
1003 | the market efficiency paradigm. That means we look at price | ||
1004 | |||
1005 | 252 | ||
1006 | 00:18:08,760 ~-~-> 00:18:12,570 | ||
1007 | how smart money looks at price, we don't look at patterns, | ||
1008 | |||
1009 | 253 | ||
1010 | 00:18:12,840 ~-~-> 00:18:15,900 | ||
1011 | we look on the basis of liquidity, imbalance, rebounds, | ||
1012 | |||
1013 | 254 | ||
1014 | 00:18:15,960 ~-~-> 00:18:19,470 | ||
1015 | that's it. That's it, there's a two by side liquidity run | ||
1016 | |||
1017 | 255 | ||
1018 | 00:18:19,830 ~-~-> 00:18:24,420 | ||
1019 | sellside liquidity run or inefficient, run rebalanced or run | ||
1020 | |||
1021 | 256 | ||
1022 | 00:18:24,420 ~-~-> 00:18:28,740 | ||
1023 | to make inefficient. That's that's the only things you need | ||
1024 | |||
1025 | 257 | ||
1026 | 00:18:28,740 ~-~-> 00:18:32,280 | ||
1027 | to understand about price. It's not an over simplification, | ||
1028 | |||
1029 | 258 | ||
1030 | 00:18:32,280 ~-~-> 00:18:36,000 | ||
1031 | obviously. And it's not an over complication. There are four | ||
1032 | |||
1033 | 259 | ||
1034 | 00:18:36,000 ~-~-> 00:18:39,720 | ||
1035 | specific things, there are four pillars of understanding | ||
1036 | |||
1037 | 260 | ||
1038 | 00:18:39,720 ~-~-> 00:18:45,000 | ||
1039 | what price is doing. The fifth element is time. That's what | ||
1040 | |||
1041 | 261 | ||
1042 | 00:18:45,000 ~-~-> 00:18:49,470 | ||
1043 | we're looking at here. So we see price moving away from that | ||
1044 | |||
1045 | 262 | ||
1046 | 00:18:49,470 ~-~-> 00:18:52,470 | ||
1047 | order block. You don't need to be in at the order block. | ||
1048 | |||
1049 | 263 | ||
1050 | 00:18:53,040 ~-~-> 00:18:54,960 | ||
1051 | Don't think that you need to do that on a higher timeframe | ||
1052 | |||
1053 | 264 | ||
1054 | 00:18:54,960 ~-~-> 00:18:58,890 | ||
1055 | level, you just need to see Do we have proof that prices are | ||
1056 | |||
1057 | 265 | ||
1058 | 00:18:58,920 ~-~-> 00:19:02,730 | ||
1059 | wanting to go lower away from it. And we have that then we | ||
1060 | |||
1061 | 266 | ||
1062 | 00:19:02,730 ~-~-> 00:19:06,330 | ||
1063 | have consolidation and then we drive lower? first level | ||
1064 | |||
1065 | 267 | ||
1066 | 00:19:06,330 ~-~-> 00:19:08,520 | ||
1067 | would have been here. So you could be short already there | ||
1068 | |||
1069 | 268 | ||
1070 | 00:19:08,640 ~-~-> 00:19:11,190 | ||
1071 | and your stop loss would be there. But say you missed it. | ||
1072 | |||
1073 | 269 | ||
1074 | 00:19:12,000 ~-~-> 00:19:15,630 | ||
1075 | Okay, from this price run here. Where's the order block | ||
1076 | |||
1077 | 270 | ||
1078 | 00:19:15,720 ~-~-> 00:19:22,260 | ||
1079 | there? So if we look at that, and put a line rate on that | ||
1080 | |||
1081 | 271 | ||
1082 | 00:19:22,260 ~-~-> 00:19:35,910 | ||
1083 | low right there. The high 30 to 43. The low 30 to 43 perfect | ||
1084 | |||
1085 | 272 | ||
1086 | 00:19:35,940 ~-~-> 00:19:40,470 | ||
1087 | delivery of price. sell short there. And where's it going to | ||
1088 | |||
1089 | 273 | ||
1090 | 00:19:40,470 ~-~-> 00:19:46,920 | ||
1091 | go? Well, we're going to aim for a level below this swing | ||
1092 | |||
1093 | 274 | ||
1094 | 00:19:46,920 ~-~-> 00:19:49,860 | ||
1095 | low because it's gonna be what residing below their cell | ||
1096 | |||
1097 | 275 | ||
1098 | 00:19:49,860 ~-~-> 00:19:55,110 | ||
1099 | stops. Why should it go there? Think Why should price from | ||
1100 | |||
1101 | 276 | ||
1102 | 00:19:55,110 ~-~-> 00:20:00,840 | ||
1103 | here drop below that low. It's not support Because that | ||
1104 | |||
1105 | 277 | ||
1106 | 00:20:00,840 ~-~-> 00:20:03,390 | ||
1107 | logic says, if it's going to go down, it's going to go down | ||
1108 | |||
1109 | 278 | ||
1110 | 00:20:03,390 ~-~-> 00:20:06,930 | ||
1111 | to that level here in bounce. That's what I was taught in | ||
1112 | |||
1113 | 279 | ||
1114 | 00:20:06,930 ~-~-> 00:20:13,350 | ||
1115 | all the books I had. Think that's what you're taught. If it | ||
1116 | |||
1117 | 280 | ||
1118 | 00:20:13,350 ~-~-> 00:20:16,800 | ||
1119 | goes down here, it's a buy, they're not teaching you to | ||
1120 | |||
1121 | 281 | ||
1122 | 00:20:16,800 ~-~-> 00:20:19,950 | ||
1123 | target that low. And the liquidity below that that's what I | ||
1124 | |||
1125 | 282 | ||
1126 | 00:20:19,950 ~-~-> 00:20:24,450 | ||
1127 | teach. That's what Smart Money traders do. In indices, and | ||
1128 | |||
1129 | 283 | ||
1130 | 00:20:24,450 ~-~-> 00:20:30,930 | ||
1131 | in stocks. And in futures, and commodities, and bonds, you | ||
1132 | |||
1133 | 284 | ||
1134 | 00:20:30,930 ~-~-> 00:20:34,590 | ||
1135 | see where I'm going with this, right? You need to stop | ||
1136 | |||
1137 | 285 | ||
1138 | 00:20:34,590 ~-~-> 00:20:38,820 | ||
1139 | drinking from the pool. Because the waters tainted and | ||
1140 | |||
1141 | 286 | ||
1142 | 00:20:38,820 ~-~-> 00:20:41,520 | ||
1143 | stopped reading your books, because those things are | ||
1144 | |||
1145 | 287 | ||
1146 | 00:20:41,520 ~-~-> 00:20:48,090 | ||
1147 | poisoning your perception. If we take the kill zone, lines | ||
1148 | |||
1149 | 288 | ||
1150 | 00:20:48,090 ~-~-> 00:20:51,390 | ||
1151 | off, I don't have these things on my chart. When I look at | ||
1152 | |||
1153 | 289 | ||
1154 | 00:20:51,390 ~-~-> 00:20:55,290 | ||
1155 | price, there's nothing on the chart, zero. Now I might make | ||
1156 | |||
1157 | 290 | ||
1158 | 00:20:55,290 ~-~-> 00:20:58,740 | ||
1159 | an annotation, you know, a text thing for myself to read, | ||
1160 | |||
1161 | 291 | ||
1162 | 00:20:58,890 ~-~-> 00:21:01,890 | ||
1163 | remember a specific level. But I'm not drawing all this | ||
1164 | |||
1165 | 292 | ||
1166 | 00:21:01,890 ~-~-> 00:21:05,370 | ||
1167 | stuff out. I'm drawing all these things on my chart. So it | ||
1168 | |||
1169 | 293 | ||
1170 | 00:21:05,370 ~-~-> 00:21:09,360 | ||
1171 | can be taught and learned by you. So you can visually see | ||
1172 | |||
1173 | 294 | ||
1174 | 00:21:09,360 ~-~-> 00:21:12,630 | ||
1175 | what I'm internalizing in the price. So when I'm looking at | ||
1176 | |||
1177 | 295 | ||
1178 | 00:21:12,630 ~-~-> 00:21:15,570 | ||
1179 | price, I don't have all this stuff on there. Because number | ||
1180 | |||
1181 | 296 | ||
1182 | 00:21:15,570 ~-~-> 00:21:17,820 | ||
1183 | one, it's going to be a distraction. I know in my head when | ||
1184 | |||
1185 | 297 | ||
1186 | 00:21:17,820 ~-~-> 00:21:22,050 | ||
1187 | I'm looking for, but you as a developing student learning my | ||
1188 | |||
1189 | 298 | ||
1190 | 00:21:22,050 ~-~-> 00:21:26,310 | ||
1191 | way of thought process, price action, institution order | ||
1192 | |||
1193 | 299 | ||
1194 | 00:21:26,310 ~-~-> 00:21:29,430 | ||
1195 | flow, institutional trading, smart money trading all that. | ||
1196 | |||
1197 | 300 | ||
1198 | 00:21:30,960 ~-~-> 00:21:34,530 | ||
1199 | For you to understand it, you have to see these things | ||
1200 | |||
1201 | 301 | ||
1202 | 00:21:34,560 ~-~-> 00:21:36,360 | ||
1203 | applied to the chart, because it will | ||
1204 | |||
1205 | 302 | ||
1206 | 00:21:36,900 ~-~-> 00:21:40,920 | ||
1207 | solidify the concept over and over again, repetitive | ||
1208 | |||
1209 | 303 | ||
1210 | 00:21:42,570 ~-~-> 00:21:45,630 | ||
1211 | examples will just basically burn the image in your brain. | ||
1212 | |||
1213 | 304 | ||
1214 | 00:21:47,130 ~-~-> 00:21:50,700 | ||
1215 | But we have an optimal trade entry here. Okay, so we have | ||
1216 | |||
1217 | 305 | ||
1218 | 00:21:50,730 ~-~-> 00:21:56,280 | ||
1219 | this run here. So we have 123 candles up, and we have this | ||
1220 | |||
1221 | 306 | ||
1222 | 00:21:56,490 ~-~-> 00:22:01,050 | ||
1223 | swing low here. Alright, so we have the fib on the high and | ||
1224 | |||
1225 | 307 | ||
1226 | 00:22:01,050 ~-~-> 00:22:05,340 | ||
1227 | the low. And you can see the 62% retracement level, or maybe | ||
1228 | |||
1229 | 308 | ||
1230 | 00:22:05,340 ~-~-> 00:22:12,360 | ||
1231 | you can't. It says 30 to 43 00. Perfect. Okay. Again, it's | ||
1232 | |||
1233 | 309 | ||
1234 | 00:22:12,360 ~-~-> 00:22:16,920 | ||
1235 | not the fact that the Fibonacci sweet spot, optimal trade | ||
1236 | |||
1237 | 310 | ||
1238 | 00:22:16,920 ~-~-> 00:22:20,400 | ||
1239 | entry, all that stuff. That's just from me to teach you a | ||
1240 | |||
1241 | 311 | ||
1242 | 00:22:20,400 ~-~-> 00:22:23,970 | ||
1243 | good area to aim for. It doesn't necessarily need to trade | ||
1244 | |||
1245 | 312 | ||
1246 | 00:22:23,970 ~-~-> 00:22:28,770 | ||
1247 | at that level for me to enter. But we can see that we trade | ||
1248 | |||
1249 | 313 | ||
1250 | 00:22:29,310 ~-~-> 00:22:33,510 | ||
1251 | to optimal trade entry. And if it breaks this low, how far | ||
1252 | |||
1253 | 314 | ||
1254 | 00:22:33,510 ~-~-> 00:22:36,270 | ||
1255 | can it go? Well, our target is something below this low | ||
1256 | |||
1257 | 315 | ||
1258 | 00:22:36,270 ~-~-> 00:22:41,700 | ||
1259 | here. So look at the fib what's below that we have 32 1550 | ||
1260 | |||
1261 | 316 | ||
1262 | 00:22:42,420 ~-~-> 00:22:48,270 | ||
1263 | Then we have 32 07 even 32 07 even that's what this line is | ||
1264 | |||
1265 | 317 | ||
1266 | 00:22:48,270 ~-~-> 00:22:51,900 | ||
1267 | here and trades down to that line here on this candle. The | ||
1268 | |||
1269 | 318 | ||
1270 | 00:22:51,900 ~-~-> 00:22:57,900 | ||
1271 | low comes in at 32 06 point five zero. That's one half of a | ||
1272 | |||
1273 | 319 | ||
1274 | 00:22:58,230 ~-~-> 00:23:02,370 | ||
1275 | standard handle in the E mini s&p or basically we're talking | ||
1276 | |||
1277 | 320 | ||
1278 | 00:23:02,370 ~-~-> 00:23:10,530 | ||
1279 | about $25 so it was off by $25 in terms of projecting a low | ||
1280 | |||
1281 | 321 | ||
1282 | 00:23:10,590 ~-~-> 00:23:15,390 | ||
1283 | target that would be below here at a guy on YouTube. He made | ||
1284 | |||
1285 | 322 | ||
1286 | 00:23:15,390 ~-~-> 00:23:18,240 | ||
1287 | a comment in recent video his he said you know you're trying | ||
1288 | |||
1289 | 323 | ||
1290 | 00:23:18,240 ~-~-> 00:23:21,210 | ||
1291 | to tell me to ICT knows how far it's going to go below an | ||
1292 | |||
1293 | 324 | ||
1294 | 00:23:21,210 ~-~-> 00:23:26,070 | ||
1295 | old low. Yeah, just watch my PG. I'm teaching you right | ||
1296 | |||
1297 | 325 | ||
1298 | 00:23:26,070 ~-~-> 00:23:32,610 | ||
1299 | here. Anyway, it price has a nice run from 30 to 43 to | ||
1300 | |||
1301 | 326 | ||
1302 | 00:23:32,610 ~-~-> 00:23:38,760 | ||
1303 | 32 07. That's 36 handles in the Standard and Poor's futures | ||
1304 | |||
1305 | 327 | ||
1306 | 00:23:38,760 ~-~-> 00:23:44,040 | ||
1307 | contract 36 handles hooks when I was trading back in the | ||
1308 | |||
1309 | 328 | ||
1310 | 00:23:44,040 ~-~-> 00:23:48,930 | ||
1311 | 90s. And I transitioned from trading grains and live cattle | ||
1312 | |||
1313 | 329 | ||
1314 | 00:23:48,930 ~-~-> 00:23:53,790 | ||
1315 | and copper and all the regular commodity markets. I | ||
1316 | |||
1317 | 330 | ||
1318 | 00:23:53,790 ~-~-> 00:23:57,690 | ||
1319 | transitioned into bonds, and then by trading bonds, I got | ||
1320 | |||
1321 | 331 | ||
1322 | 00:23:57,690 ~-~-> 00:24:02,700 | ||
1323 | enticed into trading s&p, we had hoped that we would get | ||
1324 | |||
1325 | 332 | ||
1326 | 00:24:03,060 ~-~-> 00:24:07,200 | ||
1327 | three full handles for our trade. That was the type of | ||
1328 | |||
1329 | 333 | ||
1330 | 00:24:07,200 ~-~-> 00:24:12,000 | ||
1331 | volatility we had back then. Three. I just showed you 36 | ||
1332 | |||
1333 | 334 | ||
1334 | 00:24:12,510 ~-~-> 00:24:17,100 | ||
1335 | using this method, okay. So we're applying an element of | ||
1336 | |||
1337 | 335 | ||
1338 | 00:24:17,100 ~-~-> 00:24:20,910 | ||
1339 | precision that nothing else out there delivers. And everyone | ||
1340 | |||
1341 | 336 | ||
1342 | 00:24:20,910 ~-~-> 00:24:24,120 | ||
1343 | that can watch my videos and this is why folks don't like | ||
1344 | |||
1345 | 337 | ||
1346 | 00:24:24,120 ~-~-> 00:24:27,420 | ||
1347 | any thumbs down the video despite I'm giving you gold, okay, | ||
1348 | |||
1349 | 338 | ||
1350 | 00:24:27,420 ~-~-> 00:24:31,230 | ||
1351 | I'm literally laying gold and in lottery tickets in your | ||
1352 | |||
1353 | 339 | ||
1354 | 00:24:31,230 ~-~-> 00:24:36,330 | ||
1355 | hands for next week and months and years to come. But they | ||
1356 | |||
1357 | 340 | ||
1358 | 00:24:36,330 ~-~-> 00:24:39,720 | ||
1359 | don't like hearing me say nothing's like this and nothing's | ||
1360 | |||
1361 | 341 | ||
1362 | 00:24:39,720 ~-~-> 00:24:45,240 | ||
1363 | better. But folks, how can you improve on perfection? I | ||
1364 | |||
1365 | 342 | ||
1366 | 00:24:45,240 ~-~-> 00:24:48,360 | ||
1367 | mean, seriously, forget who I am. If you and I were just | ||
1368 | |||
1369 | 343 | ||
1370 | 00:24:48,360 ~-~-> 00:24:51,180 | ||
1371 | sitting here talking about any other topic and we clearly | ||
1372 | |||
1373 | 344 | ||
1374 | 00:24:51,180 ~-~-> 00:24:57,390 | ||
1375 | see an element of perfection. Perfection. How is that a | ||
1376 | |||
1377 | 345 | ||
1378 | 00:24:57,390 ~-~-> 00:25:01,350 | ||
1379 | staged arguing? Anyone? Looking at this can see it's | ||
1380 | |||
1381 | 346 | ||
1382 | 00:25:01,350 ~-~-> 00:25:07,950 | ||
1383 | perfect. It's not flawed. It's not muddy. It's not it works. | ||
1384 | |||
1385 | 347 | ||
1386 | 00:25:07,950 ~-~-> 00:25:21,000 | ||
1387 | Sometimes it's working every day, every day. So I'm here to | ||
1388 | |||
1389 | 348 | ||
1390 | 00:25:21,090 ~-~-> 00:25:25,080 | ||
1391 | keep you inspired, and working towards improving. But if you | ||
1392 | |||
1393 | 349 | ||
1394 | 00:25:25,080 ~-~-> 00:25:30,960 | ||
1395 | don't study, all of these things don't really matter. It's | ||
1396 | |||
1397 | 350 | ||
1398 | 00:25:30,960 ~-~-> 00:25:34,440 | ||
1399 | just you're watching videos that are going to be watched by | ||
1400 | |||
1401 | 351 | ||
1402 | 00:25:34,440 ~-~-> 00:25:36,780 | ||
1403 | other people too. And they're going to start going into the | ||
1404 | |||
1405 | 352 | ||
1406 | 00:25:36,780 ~-~-> 00:25:39,240 | ||
1407 | charts and looking for these things that repeat over and | ||
1408 | |||
1409 | 353 | ||
1410 | 00:25:39,240 ~-~-> 00:25:45,390 | ||
1411 | over and over again. Now, once it gets below this low, here, | ||
1412 | |||
1413 | 354 | ||
1414 | 00:25:46,020 ~-~-> 00:25:48,750 | ||
1415 | and it trades down and takes that liquidity out, the shorts | ||
1416 | |||
1417 | 355 | ||
1418 | 00:25:48,750 ~-~-> 00:25:52,110 | ||
1419 | that the Smart Money have traded with up here and looking to | ||
1420 | |||
1421 | 356 | ||
1422 | 00:25:52,110 ~-~-> 00:25:55,380 | ||
1423 | buy back below here to sell stocks that are waiting to be | ||
1424 | |||
1425 | 357 | ||
1426 | 00:25:55,380 ~-~-> 00:26:02,790 | ||
1427 | filled in triggered. Once that's done, my intraday sentiment | ||
1428 | |||
1429 | 358 | ||
1430 | 00:26:02,790 ~-~-> 00:26:06,840 | ||
1431 | shifts, I'm now thinking, Okay, we ran sell side liquidity, | ||
1432 | |||
1433 | 359 | ||
1434 | 00:26:07,350 ~-~-> 00:26:13,560 | ||
1435 | where is the nearest buy side liquidity here? And they think | ||
1436 | |||
1437 | 360 | ||
1438 | 00:26:13,560 ~-~-> 00:26:16,770 | ||
1439 | and run above here, what next? What at Target, it would | ||
1440 | |||
1441 | 361 | ||
1442 | 00:26:16,770 ~-~-> 00:26:22,380 | ||
1443 | target this. And what did they leave up here? Relative equal | ||
1444 | |||
1445 | 362 | ||
1446 | 00:26:22,380 ~-~-> 00:26:27,240 | ||
1447 | highs. So what's residing above here by sign liquidity. | ||
1448 | |||
1449 | 363 | ||
1450 | 00:26:29,430 ~-~-> 00:26:33,900 | ||
1451 | So in addition to closing shorts from up here, below this | ||
1452 | |||
1453 | 364 | ||
1454 | 00:26:33,900 ~-~-> 00:26:38,640 | ||
1455 | low, smart money now is accumulating long positions. So | ||
1456 | |||
1457 | 365 | ||
1458 | 00:26:38,640 ~-~-> 00:26:40,980 | ||
1459 | they're going to buy sell stops with the intent that they're | ||
1460 | |||
1461 | 366 | ||
1462 | 00:26:40,980 ~-~-> 00:26:45,450 | ||
1463 | going to sell them to. Buyers up here with the buy sell | ||
1464 | |||
1465 | 367 | ||
1466 | 00:26:45,450 ~-~-> 00:26:48,210 | ||
1467 | liquidity. So that's the market efficiency paradigm, you | ||
1468 | |||
1469 | 368 | ||
1470 | 00:26:48,210 ~-~-> 00:26:51,270 | ||
1471 | need to know by looking at the chart, day of the week, time | ||
1472 | |||
1473 | 369 | ||
1474 | 00:26:51,270 ~-~-> 00:26:54,900 | ||
1475 | of day, sentiment ideas, not sentiment in the sense that | ||
1476 | |||
1477 | 370 | ||
1478 | 00:26:55,290 ~-~-> 00:26:58,500 | ||
1479 | we're measuring it in an indicator, but based on what has | ||
1480 | |||
1481 | 371 | ||
1482 | 00:26:58,500 ~-~-> 00:27:02,460 | ||
1483 | recently transpired in price, has it taken out stops that's | ||
1484 | |||
1485 | 372 | ||
1486 | 00:27:02,460 ~-~-> 00:27:05,340 | ||
1487 | below the marketplace, okay? Then it's either going to go up | ||
1488 | |||
1489 | 373 | ||
1490 | 00:27:05,370 ~-~-> 00:27:08,280 | ||
1491 | to rebound, something inefficient, or it's going to go up to | ||
1492 | |||
1493 | 374 | ||
1494 | 00:27:08,280 ~-~-> 00:27:11,430 | ||
1495 | take out by stops. That's the only two things that can | ||
1496 | |||
1497 | 375 | ||
1498 | 00:27:11,430 ~-~-> 00:27:15,450 | ||
1499 | happen, folks. That's it. Nothing else. No patterns, nothing | ||
1500 | |||
1501 | 376 | ||
1502 | 00:27:15,450 ~-~-> 00:27:20,760 | ||
1503 | harmonic. No waves from Elliott. No Dow Theory, nothing like | ||
1504 | |||
1505 | 377 | ||
1506 | 00:27:20,760 ~-~-> 00:27:25,980 | ||
1507 | that needs to be referred to at all. Its liquidity, rebound, | ||
1508 | |||
1509 | 378 | ||
1510 | 00:27:25,980 ~-~-> 00:27:30,660 | ||
1511 | rebalance imbalance. That's it, buy side, sell side, | ||
1512 | |||
1513 | 379 | ||
1514 | 00:27:30,870 ~-~-> 00:27:36,390 | ||
1515 | inefficient delivery, rebounds to efficient delivery, and | ||
1516 | |||
1517 | 380 | ||
1518 | 00:27:36,390 ~-~-> 00:27:40,710 | ||
1519 | then add an element of time, then you have the understanding | ||
1520 | |||
1521 | 381 | ||
1522 | 00:27:40,710 ~-~-> 00:27:43,950 | ||
1523 | of what price is doing. Now, there's narratives that you | ||
1524 | |||
1525 | 382 | ||
1526 | 00:27:43,950 ~-~-> 00:27:45,990 | ||
1527 | need to understand and how that fits in the grand scheme of | ||
1528 | |||
1529 | 383 | ||
1530 | 00:27:45,990 ~-~-> 00:27:48,750 | ||
1531 | things. But if we're talking about intraday volatility on a | ||
1532 | |||
1533 | 384 | ||
1534 | 00:27:48,750 ~-~-> 00:27:52,380 | ||
1535 | micro scale like this, then it's not that important, as long | ||
1536 | |||
1537 | 385 | ||
1538 | 00:27:52,380 ~-~-> 00:27:55,500 | ||
1539 | as you have one key level that we can operate on. And that | ||
1540 | |||
1541 | 386 | ||
1542 | 00:27:55,530 ~-~-> 00:27:58,800 | ||
1543 | level is this bearish order block. That's from the daily | ||
1544 | |||
1545 | 387 | ||
1546 | 00:27:58,800 ~-~-> 00:28:02,760 | ||
1547 | chart. But if you want to focus only in the direction of the | ||
1548 | |||
1549 | 388 | ||
1550 | 00:28:02,760 ~-~-> 00:28:06,810 | ||
1551 | highest probability trades and filter out, possibly being | ||
1552 | |||
1553 | 389 | ||
1554 | 00:28:06,810 ~-~-> 00:28:11,400 | ||
1555 | wrong, going long, intraday, then this is how you do it. But | ||
1556 | |||
1557 | 390 | ||
1558 | 00:28:11,400 ~-~-> 00:28:13,410 | ||
1559 | once you get your objective below the sell side liquidity | ||
1560 | |||
1561 | 391 | ||
1562 | 00:28:13,440 ~-~-> 00:28:16,680 | ||
1563 | you're done. That's it, you don't turn it into a long term | ||
1564 | |||
1565 | 392 | ||
1566 | 00:28:16,680 ~-~-> 00:28:19,440 | ||
1567 | trade, you're not a swing trader, you know, a position | ||
1568 | |||
1569 | 393 | ||
1570 | 00:28:19,440 ~-~-> 00:28:24,000 | ||
1571 | trader, you're getting out, you're collecting your chips, | ||
1572 | |||
1573 | 394 | ||
1574 | 00:28:24,630 ~-~-> 00:28:28,380 | ||
1575 | cashing in, and you're coming back the next day. That's how | ||
1576 | |||
1577 | 395 | ||
1578 | 00:28:28,410 ~-~-> 00:28:31,890 | ||
1579 | day traders live and thrive. They don't go in here and keep | ||
1580 | |||
1581 | 396 | ||
1582 | 00:28:31,890 ~-~-> 00:28:35,010 | ||
1583 | throwing dice, throwing the dice on the dice. But let's take | ||
1584 | |||
1585 | 397 | ||
1586 | 00:28:35,010 ~-~-> 00:28:38,610 | ||
1587 | a look at what happened later on in the day. the sell side | ||
1588 | |||
1589 | 398 | ||
1590 | 00:28:38,610 ~-~-> 00:28:42,000 | ||
1591 | of equities taken comes back down hits that same old low | ||
1592 | |||
1593 | 399 | ||
1594 | 00:28:43,080 ~-~-> 00:28:48,060 | ||
1595 | rallies up and clears all the buy side liquidity above these | ||
1596 | |||
1597 | 400 | ||
1598 | 00:28:48,060 ~-~-> 00:28:59,280 | ||
1599 | highs here would run into the clothes on Friday. So when you | ||
1600 | |||
1601 | 401 | ||
1602 | 00:28:59,280 ~-~-> 00:29:05,250 | ||
1603 | look at things like this, it should be very fascinating. At | ||
1604 | |||
1605 | 402 | ||
1606 | 00:29:05,250 ~-~-> 00:29:07,290 | ||
1607 | least it was for me when I started seeing it and studying | ||
1608 | |||
1609 | 403 | ||
1610 | 00:29:07,290 ~-~-> 00:29:12,450 | ||
1611 | it. When I saw these things in 1995. It changed everything | ||
1612 | |||
1613 | 404 | ||
1614 | 00:29:12,450 ~-~-> 00:29:18,900 | ||
1615 | from me. It made me feel like I should be expecting a knock | ||
1616 | |||
1617 | 405 | ||
1618 | 00:29:18,900 ~-~-> 00:29:23,940 | ||
1619 | at my door anytime. Like I had some forbidden knowledge. | ||
1620 | |||
1621 | 406 | ||
1622 | 00:29:23,940 ~-~-> 00:29:28,380 | ||
1623 | That's what it felt like, okay, and it grew from here. And I | ||
1624 | |||
1625 | 407 | ||
1626 | 00:29:28,380 ~-~-> 00:29:31,560 | ||
1627 | got more insights and more details and more precision | ||
1628 | |||
1629 | 408 | ||
1630 | 00:29:31,560 ~-~-> 00:29:35,430 | ||
1631 | elements. And everything started coming together with this | ||
1632 | |||
1633 | 409 | ||
1634 | 00:29:35,760 ~-~-> 00:29:43,500 | ||
1635 | beautiful tapestry of amazing, highly detailed processes | ||
1636 | |||
1637 | 410 | ||
1638 | 00:29:43,740 ~-~-> 00:29:47,310 | ||
1639 | that the markets actually repeat and do every single day and | ||
1640 | |||
1641 | 411 | ||
1642 | 00:29:47,310 ~-~-> 00:29:50,160 | ||
1643 | every single week. Now here's the wonderful thing. When you | ||
1644 | |||
1645 | 412 | ||
1646 | 00:29:50,160 ~-~-> 00:29:54,570 | ||
1647 | start knowing these things, you'll find that there are times | ||
1648 | |||
1649 | 413 | ||
1650 | 00:29:54,570 ~-~-> 00:29:59,400 | ||
1651 | of the year seasonal tendencies, that specific markets will | ||
1652 | |||
1653 | 414 | ||
1654 | 00:29:59,430 ~-~-> 00:30:03,450 | ||
1655 | tend to do Bigger moves. And you can use these elements like | ||
1656 | |||
1657 | 415 | ||
1658 | 00:30:03,450 ~-~-> 00:30:07,380 | ||
1659 | this, to position yourself in trades that may be longer | ||
1660 | |||
1661 | 416 | ||
1662 | 00:30:07,380 ~-~-> 00:30:11,610 | ||
1663 | term. But if you're only going to be a intraday trader, you | ||
1664 | |||
1665 | 417 | ||
1666 | 00:30:11,610 ~-~-> 00:30:17,670 | ||
1667 | need to refine this art in this timeframe only and avoid | ||
1668 | |||
1669 | 418 | ||
1670 | 00:30:17,790 ~-~-> 00:30:20,700 | ||
1671 | trying to say okay, well, I'm smarter than I really am | ||
1672 | |||
1673 | 419 | ||
1674 | 00:30:20,730 ~-~-> 00:30:26,040 | ||
1675 | before you are. And overstaying your welcome into position, | ||
1676 | |||
1677 | 420 | ||
1678 | 00:30:26,130 ~-~-> 00:30:30,330 | ||
1679 | you don't want to do that. Because if you use the things I'm | ||
1680 | |||
1681 | 421 | ||
1682 | 00:30:30,330 ~-~-> 00:30:33,300 | ||
1683 | showing you here, you're going to find setups a lot, you're | ||
1684 | |||
1685 | 422 | ||
1686 | 00:30:33,300 ~-~-> 00:30:36,480 | ||
1687 | going to find lots and lots of setups. And you're not | ||
1688 | |||
1689 | 423 | ||
1690 | 00:30:36,480 ~-~-> 00:30:39,570 | ||
1691 | limited to just that daily chart for an order block to base | ||
1692 | |||
1693 | 424 | ||
1694 | 00:30:39,570 ~-~-> 00:30:43,350 | ||
1695 | your trade on, you can use a four hour chart. So you have a | ||
1696 | |||
1697 | 425 | ||
1698 | 00:30:43,350 ~-~-> 00:30:48,210 | ||
1699 | daily and a four hour if you use that idea. And just wait | ||
1700 | |||
1701 | 426 | ||
1702 | 00:30:48,210 ~-~-> 00:30:50,910 | ||
1703 | for these levels. To give you an indication, what I've | ||
1704 | |||
1705 | 427 | ||
1706 | 00:30:50,910 ~-~-> 00:30:57,150 | ||
1707 | taught you here is to trade off of key levels, with a bias | ||
1708 | |||
1709 | 428 | ||
1710 | 00:30:57,180 ~-~-> 00:30:59,880 | ||
1711 | relative to its timeframes downwards at the four hour has | ||
1712 | |||
1713 | 429 | ||
1714 | 00:30:59,880 ~-~-> 00:31:03,600 | ||
1715 | been dropping, okay, that's even greater if the daily has | ||
1716 | |||
1717 | 430 | ||
1718 | 00:31:03,600 ~-~-> 00:31:06,450 | ||
1719 | been dropping. So you're really in sync with higher | ||
1720 | |||
1721 | 431 | ||
1722 | 00:31:06,450 ~-~-> 00:31:08,850 | ||
1723 | timeframe order flow, you're not trying to predict the | ||
1724 | |||
1725 | 432 | ||
1726 | 00:31:08,850 ~-~-> 00:31:11,370 | ||
1727 | bottom. And if the markets been going up, you're not trying | ||
1728 | |||
1729 | 433 | ||
1730 | 00:31:11,370 ~-~-> 00:31:15,570 | ||
1731 | to predict the top, because intraday volatility is going to | ||
1732 | |||
1733 | 434 | ||
1734 | 00:31:17,010 ~-~-> 00:31:20,520 | ||
1735 | serve you well, if you're just looking on the basis of | ||
1736 | |||
1737 | 435 | ||
1738 | 00:31:20,520 ~-~-> 00:31:23,610 | ||
1739 | running to an old, low or an old high, | ||
1740 | |||
1741 | 436 | ||
1742 | 00:31:24,330 ~-~-> 00:31:27,030 | ||
1743 | because you're reaching for liquidity, you're still gonna | ||
1744 | |||
1745 | 437 | ||
1746 | 00:31:27,030 ~-~-> 00:31:29,580 | ||
1747 | have losing trades. So if you make the mistake of trading | ||
1748 | |||
1749 | 438 | ||
1750 | 00:31:29,580 ~-~-> 00:31:31,980 | ||
1751 | with my funds with this idea, expect to lose money, you're | ||
1752 | |||
1753 | 439 | ||
1754 | 00:31:31,980 ~-~-> 00:31:35,250 | ||
1755 | going to lose money, everyone loses money, period, you're | ||
1756 | |||
1757 | 440 | ||
1758 | 00:31:35,250 ~-~-> 00:31:37,770 | ||
1759 | going to have losing trades, your stops, you're going to hit | ||
1760 | |||
1761 | 441 | ||
1762 | 00:31:37,770 ~-~-> 00:31:40,740 | ||
1763 | sometimes the trade won't pan out, you'll be wrong, you'll | ||
1764 | |||
1765 | 442 | ||
1766 | 00:31:40,740 ~-~-> 00:31:45,450 | ||
1767 | read it wrong. Or despite it looking as if it's perfect, it | ||
1768 | |||
1769 | 443 | ||
1770 | 00:31:45,450 ~-~-> 00:31:48,150 | ||
1771 | will fail, it may not go anywhere, it may just go into | ||
1772 | |||
1773 | 444 | ||
1774 | 00:31:48,150 ~-~-> 00:31:52,260 | ||
1775 | consolidation. And then you'll have to have a time stop. How | ||
1776 | |||
1777 | 445 | ||
1778 | 00:31:52,260 ~-~-> 00:31:54,120 | ||
1779 | long are you going to hold on to a trade that isn't panning | ||
1780 | |||
1781 | 446 | ||
1782 | 00:31:54,120 ~-~-> 00:31:59,640 | ||
1783 | out? Well, if we leave the kills him in London, and we start | ||
1784 | |||
1785 | 447 | ||
1786 | 00:31:59,640 ~-~-> 00:32:02,820 | ||
1787 | going into a time of day after 5am, and it's not moving, | ||
1788 | |||
1789 | 448 | ||
1790 | 00:32:03,120 ~-~-> 00:32:06,150 | ||
1791 | it's best many times is to kill the trade and then wait for | ||
1792 | |||
1793 | 449 | ||
1794 | 00:32:06,180 ~-~-> 00:32:09,840 | ||
1795 | New York setup. Don't hold on to something that you're | ||
1796 | |||
1797 | 450 | ||
1798 | 00:32:09,840 ~-~-> 00:32:14,130 | ||
1799 | worrying about. And many of you probably trade during work | ||
1800 | |||
1801 | 451 | ||
1802 | 00:32:14,130 ~-~-> 00:32:16,560 | ||
1803 | hours, and you're really not being efficient for your | ||
1804 | |||
1805 | 452 | ||
1806 | 00:32:16,560 ~-~-> 00:32:19,680 | ||
1807 | employer, you're not being a good steward there. And you're | ||
1808 | |||
1809 | 453 | ||
1810 | 00:32:20,400 ~-~-> 00:32:24,240 | ||
1811 | making yourself miserable. So if you only trade during the | ||
1812 | |||
1813 | 454 | ||
1814 | 00:32:24,240 ~-~-> 00:32:27,570 | ||
1815 | kill zones, New York being seven o'clock in the morning to | ||
1816 | |||
1817 | 455 | ||
1818 | 00:32:27,600 ~-~-> 00:32:29,430 | ||
1819 | nine o'clock in the morning, there's your sweet spot, or you | ||
1820 | |||
1821 | 456 | ||
1822 | 00:32:29,430 ~-~-> 00:32:33,000 | ||
1823 | can use the 830 to 11 o'clock, optimal trade entry pattern | ||
1824 | |||
1825 | 457 | ||
1826 | 00:32:33,000 ~-~-> 00:32:36,750 | ||
1827 | recognition series, New York session window, knew that that | ||
1828 | |||
1829 | 458 | ||
1830 | 00:32:36,750 ~-~-> 00:32:42,120 | ||
1831 | takes into consideration the 830 News embargo lifting in | ||
1832 | |||
1833 | 459 | ||
1834 | 00:32:42,780 ~-~-> 00:32:46,350 | ||
1835 | London clothes. So you have two major factors, they're | ||
1836 | |||
1837 | 460 | ||
1838 | 00:32:46,800 ~-~-> 00:32:51,540 | ||
1839 | providing a beginning and an ending where majority of the | ||
1840 | |||
1841 | 461 | ||
1842 | 00:32:51,570 ~-~-> 00:32:55,560 | ||
1843 | moves are going to occur. Because you're letting price wait | ||
1844 | |||
1845 | 462 | ||
1846 | 00:32:55,560 ~-~-> 00:32:59,010 | ||
1847 | for the news events, whatever volatility is injected after | ||
1848 | |||
1849 | 463 | ||
1850 | 00:32:59,010 ~-~-> 00:33:01,950 | ||
1851 | that until the London close and then volume starts to Peter | ||
1852 | |||
1853 | 464 | ||
1854 | 00:33:01,950 ~-~-> 00:33:06,390 | ||
1855 | off on the daily for for that particular asset around 11 | ||
1856 | |||
1857 | 465 | ||
1858 | 00:33:06,390 ~-~-> 00:33:12,540 | ||
1859 | o'clock to 12 o'clock. And to make it easy, just it's two | ||
1860 | |||
1861 | 466 | ||
1862 | 00:33:12,540 ~-~-> 00:33:16,620 | ||
1863 | o'clock to five o'clock in London open seven to nine, New | ||
1864 | |||
1865 | 467 | ||
1866 | 00:33:16,620 ~-~-> 00:33:24,300 | ||
1867 | York 830 to 11, New York session, London, closed 10 to noon. | ||
1868 | |||
1869 | 468 | ||
1870 | 00:33:26,310 ~-~-> 00:33:30,540 | ||
1871 | And ages 7pm to 9pm. And these are all Eastern Standard | ||
1872 | |||
1873 | 469 | ||
1874 | 00:33:30,540 ~-~-> 00:33:35,790 | ||
1875 | times. And that's going to be pretty much it. When you're | ||
1876 | |||
1877 | 470 | ||
1878 | 00:33:35,790 ~-~-> 00:33:39,870 | ||
1879 | trading late New York. It's the session I showed you using | ||
1880 | |||
1881 | 471 | ||
1882 | 00:33:39,870 ~-~-> 00:33:42,840 | ||
1883 | the equities afternoon trend. It's one o'clock in the | ||
1884 | |||
1885 | 472 | ||
1886 | 00:33:42,840 ~-~-> 00:33:45,780 | ||
1887 | afternoon to four o'clock in the afternoon, Eastern Standard | ||
1888 | |||
1889 | 473 | ||
1890 | 00:33:45,780 ~-~-> 00:33:49,200 | ||
1891 | Time. So that way you have all my kill zones, you have | ||
1892 | |||
1893 | 474 | ||
1894 | 00:33:49,200 ~-~-> 00:33:52,290 | ||
1895 | again, the New York session kills in that I don't want to | ||
1896 | |||
1897 | 475 | ||
1898 | 00:33:52,290 ~-~-> 00:33:56,220 | ||
1899 | call it kill zone. That's the New York session for the | ||
1900 | |||
1901 | 476 | ||
1902 | 00:33:56,220 ~-~-> 00:33:58,500 | ||
1903 | optimal trade entry pattern recognition series. You know, | ||
1904 | |||
1905 | 477 | ||
1906 | 00:33:58,500 ~-~-> 00:34:01,920 | ||
1907 | when I talk about when to look for it, that's a nice window | ||
1908 | |||
1909 | 478 | ||
1910 | 00:34:01,920 ~-~-> 00:34:04,470 | ||
1911 | of opportunity to look for it there. But in my own personal | ||
1912 | |||
1913 | 479 | ||
1914 | 00:34:04,470 ~-~-> 00:34:07,110 | ||
1915 | trading, there's lots of trades that I'll take between seven | ||
1916 | |||
1917 | 480 | ||
1918 | 00:34:07,110 ~-~-> 00:34:10,380 | ||
1919 | o'clock and nine o'clock in the morning. That will be ahead | ||
1920 | |||
1921 | 481 | ||
1922 | 00:34:10,410 ~-~-> 00:34:14,100 | ||
1923 | of the news that comes out. And I'll always trade ahead of | ||
1924 | |||
1925 | 482 | ||
1926 | 00:34:14,100 ~-~-> 00:34:16,500 | ||
1927 | the news. Depending on what type of news event comes out. It | ||
1928 | |||
1929 | 483 | ||
1930 | 00:34:16,500 ~-~-> 00:34:18,690 | ||
1931 | could be a high impact news event that says I'll wait for | ||
1932 | |||
1933 | 484 | ||
1934 | 00:34:18,690 ~-~-> 00:34:21,750 | ||
1935 | that. But if it's a medium impact news event, or no news is | ||
1936 | |||
1937 | 485 | ||
1938 | 00:34:21,780 ~-~-> 00:34:26,040 | ||
1939 | expected for that currencies on trading. Or in this case in | ||
1940 | |||
1941 | 486 | ||
1942 | 00:34:26,040 ~-~-> 00:34:29,430 | ||
1943 | the sea, then I'm not I'm not worried about this take a | ||
1944 | |||
1945 | 487 | ||
1946 | 00:34:29,430 ~-~-> 00:34:33,300 | ||
1947 | trade before 830 is not anticipate 830 fueling the fire that | ||
1948 | |||
1949 | 488 | ||
1950 | 00:34:33,300 ~-~-> 00:34:36,600 | ||
1951 | I have already set between seven o'clock and more than 830. | ||
1952 | |||
1953 | 489 | ||
1954 | 00:34:38,040 ~-~-> 00:34:40,260 | ||
1955 | So hopefully you got something out of this one. We'll | ||
1956 | |||
1957 | 490 | ||
1958 | 00:34:40,260 ~-~-> 00:34:43,590 | ||
1959 | continue this series and refine a little bit more and bring | ||
1960 | |||
1961 | 491 | ||
1962 | 00:34:43,590 ~-~-> 00:34:46,650 | ||
1963 | some more insights about order blocks because apparently | ||
1964 | |||
1965 | 492 | ||
1966 | 00:34:46,650 ~-~-> 00:34:48,600 | ||
1967 | YouTube needs it because there's a lot of misinformation | ||
1968 | |||
1969 | 493 | ||
1970 | 00:34:48,600 ~-~-> 00:34:51,540 | ||
1971 | going on. But you don't need to enter exactly at the order | ||
1972 | |||
1973 | 494 | ||
1974 | 00:34:51,540 ~-~-> 00:34:53,880 | ||
1975 | block. If you have a hard time frame order block. All you're | ||
1976 | |||
1977 | 495 | ||
1978 | 00:34:53,880 ~-~-> 00:34:57,480 | ||
1979 | doing is waiting to see if it's willing to move and at a | ||
1980 | |||
1981 | 496 | ||
1982 | 00:34:57,480 ~-~-> 00:35:01,200 | ||
1983 | specific time of day and then find your liquidity pool and | ||
1984 | |||
1985 | 497 | ||
1986 | 00:35:01,200 ~-~-> 00:35:03,720 | ||
1987 | set targets. And that's pretty much it. Until next time, | ||
1988 | |||
1989 | 498 | ||
1990 | 00:35:03,720 ~-~-> 00:35:05,100 | ||
1991 | wish you good luck and good trading. |