OTE Pattern Recognition Series - Vol 17.srt
1
00:00:10,500 --> 00:00:12,930
ICT: Welcome back, folks, this is volume number 17, in a
2
00:00:12,930 --> 00:00:15,990
continuing series of 20 videos with the optimal trade entry
3
00:00:15,990 --> 00:00:18,420
pattern recognition series for the initial trader YouTube
4
00:00:18,420 --> 00:00:22,740
channel. Our example today is from the British pound, or
5
00:00:22,740 --> 00:00:25,830
pound versus dollar. And we're looking at the daily chart
6
00:00:25,830 --> 00:00:29,250
here. And I'm gonna save you a lot of time. And to simply
7
00:00:29,250 --> 00:00:34,080
state that we have retail resistance up here. And that's
8
00:00:34,080 --> 00:00:37,050
going to be likely a draw on liquidity. Now, here's one of
9
00:00:37,050 --> 00:00:39,750
the things you're going to have in your notes. When you're
10
00:00:39,750 --> 00:00:42,330
looking at a daily chart like this, it's not important or
11
00:00:42,330 --> 00:00:46,380
even required, that price trades from this level here all
12
00:00:46,380 --> 00:00:49,410
the way up to that level and higher. It just needs to draw
13
00:00:49,410 --> 00:00:51,930
towards it. That's the reason why I call it a draw on
14
00:00:51,930 --> 00:00:55,860
liquidity. Now, again, the ideal scenario would be to see
15
00:00:55,860 --> 00:00:59,670
price trade up there, but it's not required if especially if
16
00:00:59,670 --> 00:01:02,220
we're looking for Day trades are intraday trades, which is
17
00:01:02,220 --> 00:01:05,790
the scope of this series, focusing primarily for moves
18
00:01:05,820 --> 00:01:12,990
within the 8:30am to 11am New York session. So here is last
19
00:01:13,020 --> 00:01:20,640
Friday's daily range, and we expect these highs draw a price
20
00:01:20,670 --> 00:01:22,860
up. Now again, it's not imperative that it goes all the way
21
00:01:22,860 --> 00:01:26,040
up there, but it's more likely to go that direction than it
22
00:01:26,040 --> 00:01:32,640
is to go lower. So we want to put our line on the daily high
23
00:01:32,640 --> 00:01:37,020
which comes in at 123 94 and one PIP at and we're going to
24
00:01:37,020 --> 00:01:39,840
go over to our five minute chart. Okay, so here's our
25
00:01:39,840 --> 00:01:42,450
British Pound five minute chart, and you know the drill.
26
00:01:42,750 --> 00:01:43,680
pause your video.
27
00:01:49,860 --> 00:01:54,510
Okay, so let's add the annotations now. And right away you
28
00:01:54,510 --> 00:01:57,990
can see we have our optimal trade entry price move here
29
00:01:58,380 --> 00:02:03,570
drops down in After 8:30am mood drops down into the 62%
30
00:02:03,570 --> 00:02:08,280
retracement level, or hypothetical entry is 123 and 88 and
31
00:02:08,310 --> 00:02:13,050
it suffers three pips draw down, stop losses 15 pips, which
32
00:02:13,050 --> 00:02:18,960
puts it just below this low here at the old high, we have a
33
00:02:18,960 --> 00:02:24,660
one to one right away at the old high at plus 15 pips at one
34
00:02:24,660 --> 00:02:29,400
half a standard deviation it's up 29 pips 43 pips at one
35
00:02:29,400 --> 00:02:33,000
standard deviation, one and a half standard deviations takes
36
00:02:33,000 --> 00:02:37,290
us to plus 56 pips and ultimately at two standard deviations
37
00:02:37,290 --> 00:02:41,760
where we would kill the trade at 70 pips Now obviously, in
38
00:02:41,760 --> 00:02:44,340
hindsight, you can see it went a little bit further. But
39
00:02:44,700 --> 00:02:48,720
again, I lean on the fact that the rules for this model says
40
00:02:48,720 --> 00:02:52,560
we have to bail on the day trade at two standard deviations.
41
00:02:53,070 --> 00:02:56,370
Again, there's going to be trades if you follow this model.
42
00:02:56,730 --> 00:02:59,640
You're going to leave money on the table hypothetically.
43
00:03:01,110 --> 00:03:05,460
You're gonna either gonna have to accept that or, again, if
44
00:03:05,460 --> 00:03:07,800
you think you're going to go higher than that, leave a
45
00:03:07,800 --> 00:03:10,380
leader in other words, a small portion of your original
46
00:03:10,380 --> 00:03:13,290
position to see if you can capture anything especially based
47
00:03:13,290 --> 00:03:16,770
on what we showed on that daily chart. So that's gonna do it
48
00:03:16,770 --> 00:03:18,780
for today. Hopefully found this insightful. Until next time,
49
00:03:18,780 --> 00:03:20,370
I wish you good luck and good trading.