ICT Market Maker Primer Course - 20 - Trade Psychology and Effective Journaling.srt
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ICT: Okay folks, welcome back.
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This teaching is going to be specifically dealing with trade
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psychology and effective journaling.
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Okay trade psychology ineffective journaling, the points of
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focus in this module major psychological barriers and my
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personal opinion and solutions for overcoming them. And
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effective journaling, how journaling can assist your
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development? Okay, so major psychological barriers the first
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on our list is the fear of missing moves. Now, I believe
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this personally is rooted in not fully Understanding what
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your setup is. Now you see this glibly tossed about in
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seminars, webinars, videos, whatever it is, folks that are
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teaching today. Many of them aren't even qualified to be in
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the role of a teacher in my opinion. But we'll leave that
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for another discussion. The fear of missing moves is rooted
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in your unique setup. Now, every trade is going to have
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their specific setup. It may or may not have an indicator I
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personally don't believe that indicators should be a part of
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your trading but that's just my personal taste. My faith in
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price action is sufficient enough. But if you have a tool if
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you have a method, if you will, that relies on an indicator
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to give you that buy or sell this For you, then whatever it
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is, you need to stick with it and know that that's the one
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you're going to trade. If you have defined that setup, in a
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written form, or two trading plan, you're not going to have
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many times that same feeling a neophyte trader or less
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organized trader would have. Now it doesn't mean that we're
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going to be profitable, it just means that we're not going
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to be fearing missing a move. Because once you understand
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the setup, the setup should be directly linked to time and
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price. There should be a time when this setup forms and it
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should be a consistency to it. If your pattern doesn't have
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that, and it's rather ambiguous or untimely, you don't know
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when it's gonna happen, then you probably don't have a valid
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setup. And you're going to have hit and miss results and
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when it wins, you're going to falsely attribute To your
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setup, when it's really just randomness. So to overcome fear
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of missing moves is obviously to have a well defined plan.
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And what your setup is, knowing it intimately will keep you
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far less anxious about missing a move, because you'll know
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when they're most likely going to form. This is why I use
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kill zones. This time element of the trading day, I know
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what I'm looking for. I know my setup. And if I knew what
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time it should occur, I know what days a week it should
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form. And I know it should be either a bullish model or a
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bearish model. I'm not anxious about missing a move. Even if
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I do miss that trade. I know when the next one's going to
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form. Most neophyte or novice traders do not have that
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luxury. They're on the seat of their pants all the time, not
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knowing when it's going to happen, or what it is. It's
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supposed to happen at all for them to take a trade fear of
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losing? Well, this one is going to have you looking for
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systems to have high accuracy. And there's not a real need
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for high accuracy. It's wonderful to have it. But the fear
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of losing comes by not having a plan. And if you don't have
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a plan if you don't have a method that seen consistency in
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hindsight and back testing, and then walk forward with it
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seen working and having momentary lapses of accuracy, you
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will not have the wherewithal that's necessary to do what is
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necessary as a trader, that means embrace uncertainty. The
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ability to do this is not going to be for everyone. And
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there's going to be a fine line between those individuals
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that hit this wall that every one of us will hit, and we had
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to determine for ourselves, if this is really right for us,
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and for some of you, it isn't, no one's gonna be able to
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make that decision for you. But it's important that you
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understand that there is always that element. If you're a
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new developing trader and you're unproven, it may be
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that trading isn't for you, you would have to more or less
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rely on someone else to do the trading for you. Or don't
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trade it at all. But if you're going to trade you can't fear
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taking a loss, fearing a loss is many times directly linked
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to over leveraging and or overtrading. Both of those two
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elements are very easily fixed, lower your leverage, and you
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won't be so fearful about taking a loss because it won't
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hurt you so many times in a row if you have a losing streak.
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If you slow your frequency down in terms of your overtrading
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again, Even if you're not trading a high accuracy method or
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setup, the high frequency won't be quickly eroding your
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equity. Very simple solutions to an otherwise rather routine
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problem that comes up in many traders. impatience between
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setups. This is going to come by way of infancy as a trader,
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especially if you have a setup that is profitable. And you
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can be well organized, you can have a well groomed money
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management strategy, and you know what your setup is, but
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you're impatient and waiting for it or you see the setup
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forming, but you're trying to get in just before you're
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really supposed to know the words, you're looking for a
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specific level, you're looking for the 50 level to be buying
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at and it's flirting with 65 and you just can't stand it.
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You just got to get in. That's going to be dealt with over
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time and forging discipline by following the rules and your
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method. The problem is, is you don't have the time doing it
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enough in the experience trading to know what this is going
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to require of you. And you're going to have many times
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previous exposure, either by demo, preferably, or he
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eventually go into live trading, which I don't ever try to
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tell him to do that because it's a decision you're going to
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make on your own if you ever do it at all. But if you find
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success, that feeling or that rush you get when you make a
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profitable decision, you want to have it right away as
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quickly as possible. And many times immediately, as soon as
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you close the trade or hit your limit order and you're out
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with a profit or demo or live. Worst case scenario, it's
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alive. You're going to want to go right back in again and
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you're going to jump in before your setups you're going to
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take things that aren't necessarily aren't your setups, and
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I can Are you as a commodity trader? When I had initial
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luck, back in the early 90s, I would have an idea what I
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wanted to trade. But I would also feel that impulse to want
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to get back in and be a winner again. So I would look at the
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market and say, Okay, well, that's not my setup, but I still
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think it's going to go up, and I would buy it. I had no idea
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what I was doing. But I still succumb to that impulse that,
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hey, look, you know, I need to be doing something because
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I'm sitting in front of charts, and I want to feel good
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again. So let me roll the dice and see what happens. That
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impatience comes by way of your infancy and your lack of
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experience. Experience is going to teach you one of two
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things. One, that losing sucks. It's better that you try not
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to lose too much when you do lose, or experience is going to
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teach you that you're not perfect. So therefore, you have to
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wait for the best scenarios for your, quote unquote, luck to
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be in favor. We don't know if our setups are going to be
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accurate. But we also don't know if our setups are going to
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come when we are expecting them to. So forcing it or jumping
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ahead, and more or less anticipating the setup. Whereas
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we're anticipating a next move in price. That's what trading
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is. It's a statistical guess. Now, with that, there's a
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measure of uncertainty. And that uncertainty and the
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weighting side of trading. It's just like a water torture,
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okay. You can't stand it, especially if you're sitting on
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the charts. You just want to get in, get into trade already
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in except the wider risk if you need it. And that's wrong.
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You don't want to do that. Demand your price, demand your
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setup. And by doing so, you'll combat that impatient that
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resides between setups that novice traders always feel
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fear of not being good enough. Well, this is a byproduct of
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being on social media. Everyone's going to be better than
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the next guy or they're going to be trained by the person
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that's leading the pack, or they themselves are the rock
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star. If you are not equipped to handle the tomfoolery that
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takes place on social media like Facebook and Twitter and
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Instagram, it's probably better for you not to be on it. Now
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I understand that I have a online presence on Twitter, and I
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have a Facebook and I have a YouTube channel.
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But I have thick skin.
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And I like to engage other traders because I like to
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feedback I like to see what their responses will be. And I
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just like the engage So, if you are quickly feeling like you
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are not sufficient, or your learning speed is not up to
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snuff in terms of what you've seen other people, and many
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times what you see online, they're lying anyway, they may
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say they have their things together, you know, they are all,
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you know, completely figured it all out in terms of what
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they're doing. Many times the ones that are saying that
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aren't really as astute as they claim to be. And they're
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trying to fake it until they make it so don't let it wear on
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you too too much or make you feel like you're insignificant
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in terms of where you're at in your development. Because
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your report card on your own results, as you'll hear me
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refer to in the journaling section of this video. That's the
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only opinion that matters. It's not mine or anyone else's
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that matters. It's Are you seeing development progress, and
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by measuring that and by keeping tabs in In terms of your
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journal, that's the scorecard that really matters. And
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obviously, your bottom bottom line, that's the one that
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really makes the case for whether or not you're developing.
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So, fear of not being good enough. It's simply a game that's
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between your ears. It's all a trap. So don't think about
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being on social media don't engage other people. As if
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you're developing trade, the worst thing you can do for you
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men, is to go into this armwrestling match about, you know,
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what's better, who's better, how much is, you know, a good
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amount and what you should be making in terms of pips,
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all that stuff is the
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goes back to the proverbial measuring contest, you know,
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who's the bigger man and it's not about who's the bigger
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man. It's about surviving long enough so that way you can
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appreciate and develop as a trader. fear of losing streaks
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and drawdown? Well, this is going to be directly related to
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money management. If you're afraid of taking losses in any
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set or series, and or fear drawdown is because you have no
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process or protocol in place, or what you would reach for,
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should you have a loss or a losing streak develop. I've
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given you a teaching to help you flatline your your losses
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that way, removes the effects of draw downs in your losing
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trades. And by implementing something as simple as that
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quickly changes your perspective on fear and anxiety about
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taking losses or a single string of losses. lack of
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discipline in following roles. Well, it's in our nature to
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be human. And I've said this many times, if the sign says
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don't walk on the grass, your first impulse is going to be
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what? I'm going to tap dance all over that. Just like your
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children, you know, God Lesson, you know, I have four boys.
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And I have literally watched them do these very same things
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that they should know not to do. But they still do it. Well,
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with an account with money or a demo, we do those same
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things, we know we shouldn't be doing something, but because
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there's an opportunity to do it, and there's really no one
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keeping you from doing it. You end up doing it. Just you
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enter the trade or mess around with your trade like you
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shouldn't. As soon as you do it, that little voice in your
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head says I should not be doing this, or don't do this. But
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you ignore it. You want to see what's going to happen. And
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if you want to do experiments, okay, do it somewhere else,
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not in the marketplace. But you have to have discipline and
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you have to have rules and when those rules are made, you
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have to stick to them. Do not deviate from them. And over
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time this forges discipline It'll also serve you well,
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because you're going to have periods of drawdown, you're
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going to have periods of losing trades. And if you don't
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have the discipline to stick to doing the very things that
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will eventually lead to longevity in this business, you're
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not going to fare well. So discipline comes by forcing
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yourself to follow a set of rules. And those rules have to
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be rigid. They have to be concise, detailed, not ambiguous.
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They're very binary in the sense that you do this, or you do
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that or you do nothing at all. And they have to be three
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conditions. For every decision making process. Either it's a
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go it's a no or you sit still, you don't do anything.
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Searching for the next best thing. I think this is one of
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the biggest problems if you just look at twitter. Whoever's
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hot right now. Whoever's got the most attention. Bye,
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everyone. That's where everyone's gonna flock okay. And it's
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always been like that not just in trading but in anything,
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okay? whoever's barking loudest, draws them in the biggest
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crowd. Now whether or not they have anything to say once the
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crowd gets there, that remains to be seen. But you can see
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how folks that are in love with one concept or one guru or
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method this month will change teams and go somewhere else in
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the thought process thinking that this is the better way of
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doing it, or this is something different in its
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amplification of something. And I have learned that there's
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nothing really better for me as a trader, so therefore, I
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don't look anymore. I know everything I need to know in
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terms of price action, the open high, low and close, tells
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me everything I need. There isn't anything out there that
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entices me personally. And like the Bible said, there's
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nothing new under the sun. So if I have arrived at something
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that makes sense for me, Even if it's not perfect, I don't
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need perfect. But I knew I have a statistical edge in the
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things that I do. They're highly accurate. They're very
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precise. And they're time based. I know when my setups are
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gonna form you, if you were able to pull the majority of
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individuals that were trading any asset class, if they could
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set a time on when their next setup is going to be over 90%
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would say no, I don't think so. I don't think I could do
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that. And that's why trading is uncertain.
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To me, it's not because I know what time of day certain
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things should happen. I know what days of the week certain
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things should happen. So therefore, I'm not anxious about
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what my next steps gonna be. I don't care about missing a
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move. In fact, it's fruitful for you to take vacation time
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scheduled time away from the marketplace, and do that. And I
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would suggest to do that even more. So if you're hot right
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now, if you're doing really, really well. best thing you can
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do is forge development in terms of your discipline, and
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also your experience, force yourself to say, Okay, I'm
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taking a break now, I've been killing it, I got 25 winning
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trades in a row, or whatever it would be. I'm gonna stop
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trading, I'll take a week off. Don't even look at the
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marketplace, you're going to want to look at it, but don't.
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By doing that, you're going to prove to yourself, there's
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nothing better than the thing you're doing right now.
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Because you understand it doesn't have to be my material. If
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you found something in another discipline that you've really
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gravitated towards, and it made sense for you to use it.
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Great. That's awesome. That's all it matters is that you
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find something that you can make a wager on, and then wager
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that with sound money management, because ultimately no
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matter whether we're talking to order blocks, or ICT
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breakers or anything else that's out there, none of that
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stuff really makes price move and we Can't control price
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once we're in the trade once we're in the market, all of the
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control of the steering wheel is not ours now, the markets
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driving what we're going to see in terms of profit or loss.
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So understanding that everyone's going to have losing
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trades. And the first thing that happens is folks that go
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through a losing streak and they experienced drawdown, then
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they show their lack of discipline in following roles. So
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they think there's something better out there, okay,
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something easier, something that doesn't have losing
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streaks. Everything has losing streaks, folks, believe me,
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everything does. No one stays hot or the top forever. And
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there's always going to be some measure of drawdown and
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whatever system or method you're using. So the best thing
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you can do is find something that works, enough time to
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warrant investigation and stick with it. You sound money
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management, and you can turn it into something really
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impressive and you mean surprise yourself. Okay, effective
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journaling. When we talk about doing journals, every single
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day, I make a journal entry in my personal journals. At the
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end of the week, usually it's on a Saturday, I do a weekly
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log in my personal performance and what I have seen happen
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in the previous week, more or less, I'm reviewing the total
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week's range. I do this on the two pairs that I trade which
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is predominantly the euro dollar, and the cable, pound
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dollar. I don't do a lot of trading in a lot of other pairs.
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If I want to be a deviant. I will trade sometimes the
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Canadian dollar or the Aussie dollar, but generally that's
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about it. I don't like to do anything more than that. And
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the reason why is because I actually spent a lot of time
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planning and investigating certain setups and things I'm
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looking at and I want to go through that time, and use that
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time, the most economical way I can. And I don't want to be
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doing that with 28 pairs. So if I'm going to put the time
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into doing a sound, top down analysis, and or review of my
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own setups, if I'm following 20 pairs, can you realistically
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do that every single day, you're never gonna have any time
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to do anything else. So I have a life to live. And I can
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find all the setups I'll ever want to find in these two
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pairs. In fact, I could just trade one, but because they're
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closely correlated, and it fits my model as far as a short
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term and day trader, I look at both eurodollar and cable and
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if I want to find something else that may or may not have a
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setup in the cable or fiber, then I'll trade like I said the
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loonie or the Aussie
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but I tried to make a daily entry whether I take a trade or
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not. And I give myself opportunity to stay in a routine. But
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every single week, I'm doing a complete review of the weekly
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performance as my trader, half of me has performed and then
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the analyst half of me. So I'm always giving a voice to the
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two people that reside in me just like you all. You all are
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going to be looked at internally as a trader, but there's
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actually an analyst inside of you, too. And there's also a
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gambler. So you have to figure out who's in control the time
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when you're doing the trading, and many times you don't see
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it before you go into the trade. You always see it after the
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trade. Okay, the ones that paint out really well and you're
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not feeling a lot of exposure to uncertainty or fear and
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anxiety. Generally, you're going to find that that's going
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to be the analyst because they're focusing on the numbers
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and you're not really worried about it. The person finds
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themselves excited about the Results maintains when they're
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good, or I guess the adverse side of things. They're
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weighing things in terms of the outcome, that's the trader.
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And then you have the gambler, where they're impulsive.
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They're doing things that are undisciplined, and they're
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pushing more leverage than they should. That's the one you
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want to keep your eye on. Okay. The Gambler is going to get
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you in trouble. The trader will take care of himself,
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because the analysts will speak to that side of you through
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your conscience, but you want to reside in the mindset of
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the analyst, sticking to what you see in the chart, sticking
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to what your process is your your model, okay, the analyst
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is what's going to keep you on the right path. That
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formation that makes a trader is it's made up of three
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people, but you're all the same person, the analyst,
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generally, they're the ones Instead of most sober minded,
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the trader is the one that wants the opportunity and the
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right or wrong measurement. But then you have the gambler
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who wants the thrill of it all. And it's also going to be
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the person that takes the hardest in terms of the grief that
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comes when there's a losing trade in that part of us going
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to always be negative, it's going to be well, it's not my
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fault. It's something else that caused that the gambler is
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only going to be worrying about when it was right and when
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they made money or when you made money. When it was in your
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favor, that's when you want to consider it. But when it
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isn't making money for you, the game was gonna cry, it's
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gonna manifest itself into a spoiled perspective, toxic
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thinking. So you kind of like want to keep that side of you
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want to short leash and you don't want to allow it to
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manifest. It's In your journaling. How you felt going into
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the trading day is really important. There were times in my
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life as a trader, that my oldest son would have to go into
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surgery. And I wish I would have stayed out of the market
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those days because I was already anxious, I was already
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nervous about the outcome of the surgery. So those are days
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that I wish I would have had the discipline to not trade.
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But because I was feeling anxious and helpless, because I
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couldn't do anything to fix my son's ailment. I would try to
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satisfy my anxiety by having a win because even if I made
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100 bucks doing something in the marketplace, it would keep
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me distracted from what I was feeling in my personal life.
377
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So you're going to see that your losing trades are going to
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be directly related to things that are going on in your
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personal life and the only way you're going to see that
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trend. For that truism, is if you go through your journal
381
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and you index all of your trades based on a negative mindset
382
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or if you're sick, if you're physically ill probably not a
383
00:26:14,280 --> 00:26:17,190
good idea to trade. If you have a migraine like I have
384
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migraine sometimes, and I have made the mistake of sometimes
385
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still trying to take a trade and force decision ever,
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because there's nothing worse than feeling like your head's
387
00:26:27,750 --> 00:26:31,080
going to explode. And I already have sensitive eyes. So I
388
00:26:31,080 --> 00:26:35,670
can't look at the chart long to fall out what is the best
389
00:26:35,670 --> 00:26:37,770
procedure for me right now? Should I stick with a trade
390
00:26:37,770 --> 00:26:40,530
Should I move my stuff or do anything with it when it would
391
00:26:40,530 --> 00:26:42,750
be better for me just to not to be in it at all, and just
392
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relax and go to a quiet, dark place in the house and just
393
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relax and let my migraine take care of itself? So how you
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feel
395
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okay, and this is not only physically but how you feel?
396
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emotionally. You did you just have a definite The family
397
00:27:00,900 --> 00:27:03,900
we're seeing in the world you can do is medicate yourself by
398
00:27:04,140 --> 00:27:06,810
rolling the dice. You know, you just had a loss in your
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family, or you and your spouse, you're separating God
400
00:27:10,470 --> 00:27:15,990
forbid, or something terrible happens, okay? You don't want
401
00:27:15,990 --> 00:27:20,310
to open yourself up to gambling, okay? Because that's what's
402
00:27:20,310 --> 00:27:23,100
going to become. in those environments. You want to be
403
00:27:23,100 --> 00:27:25,860
relaxed. You want to have a neutral mindset going in, you
404
00:27:25,860 --> 00:27:28,500
want to feel healthy. That's why it's important to have a
405
00:27:28,500 --> 00:27:32,760
good exercise program. good healthy diet, and staying active
406
00:27:32,760 --> 00:27:36,480
and stretching out and giving yourself hobbies outside of
407
00:27:36,480 --> 00:27:40,830
trading. Because you want to have a fresh perspective, you
408
00:27:40,830 --> 00:27:44,460
want to have a alert mind, you want to have a healthy fed
409
00:27:44,550 --> 00:27:50,070
body, going into the marketplace with a sickly unrested
410
00:27:50,340 --> 00:27:53,100
which I didn't mention before, but sleep is important. You
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00:27:53,100 --> 00:27:57,150
need to have it especially if you have jobs and businesses.
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You need to recuperate. I've been blessed to not have a need
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those things. Because I'm home most of the time doing
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whatever I want to do. So sleep for me isn't as needed.
415
00:28:11,790 --> 00:28:16,380
versus someone that has a business and, you know, doing all
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00:28:16,380 --> 00:28:18,930
these things or has a job, and they have to commute. I mean
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00:28:18,930 --> 00:28:23,700
commuting alone, okay? If you're rushing home, from your
418
00:28:23,700 --> 00:28:27,270
job, you know, and you had a bad experience on the road,
419
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you're angry. So what are you going to do? You're going to
420
00:28:29,910 --> 00:28:32,400
want to take it out on the marketplace, you're, you're
421
00:28:32,400 --> 00:28:35,880
upset. So you're looking to have that replaced by some kind
422
00:28:35,880 --> 00:28:38,790
of a feel good feeling. And what better feeling is there is
423
00:28:38,790 --> 00:28:42,120
to make money, okay? It's like winning the lottery. So
424
00:28:43,320 --> 00:28:46,740
you're going to do things that you shouldn't do, because
425
00:28:46,740 --> 00:28:51,480
you're acting impulsively because of the way you feel. So
426
00:28:51,510 --> 00:28:54,630
it's important that you always be honest with yourself. When
427
00:28:54,630 --> 00:28:59,910
you journal, I always give myself an opportunity to debrief.
428
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Okay, and also release those things. And it's almost
429
00:29:03,900 --> 00:29:09,030
therapeutic because you know what you're doing is the wrong
430
00:29:09,030 --> 00:29:11,550
thing when you do it, and you're acting impulsively, because
431
00:29:11,550 --> 00:29:15,270
you want to have a different feeling than whatever it is
432
00:29:15,270 --> 00:29:17,430
that's bothering you. Okay? If you're stressed, if you're
433
00:29:17,430 --> 00:29:20,640
worried if you're angry, you just want to replace that with
434
00:29:20,640 --> 00:29:23,730
something. Okay. And since we're traders, we can clearly see
435
00:29:23,730 --> 00:29:27,210
that there is a reason to expect the market to go up or
436
00:29:27,210 --> 00:29:30,120
down. So all we have to do is roll the dice and just gamble
437
00:29:30,120 --> 00:29:32,130
and see what's going to happen. And our attention will be
438
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diverted from whatever the things that we are stressing over
439
00:29:35,850 --> 00:29:39,930
or anxious about, or mad about, or sad about or fearful of.
440
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All those stimuli will be replaced by I'm in a trade. And I
441
00:29:45,480 --> 00:29:48,630
made the mistake of doing it as a young man, and it filled
442
00:29:48,630 --> 00:29:52,530
my head up with all the wrong things as a trader. So the way
443
00:29:52,530 --> 00:29:56,100
you want to avoid that is be sober minded going into the
444
00:29:56,100 --> 00:30:01,020
trade and also know what it is you're feeling. At the end of
445
00:30:01,020 --> 00:30:04,380
the day, when you're done trading, you want to put that into
446
00:30:04,380 --> 00:30:07,650
Word, and write it out. And be honest thought if you know
447
00:30:07,650 --> 00:30:10,350
you were angry at your spouse, or if you're angry at your
448
00:30:10,380 --> 00:30:12,990
your child, or if you're worried about something that's
449
00:30:12,990 --> 00:30:15,870
taking place, if you have a job, if you're anxious about
450
00:30:15,870 --> 00:30:18,810
losing your job, or if you're angry that someone else got a
451
00:30:18,810 --> 00:30:22,770
promotion that you didn't get, okay, make sure that you do
452
00:30:22,770 --> 00:30:27,600
that in your journal by allowing it to come out. Because if
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00:30:27,600 --> 00:30:30,540
you don't release it, and put it in your journal, you can
454
00:30:30,540 --> 00:30:35,250
see it and text, read it and release it. If you don't do
455
00:30:35,250 --> 00:30:37,740
that, you're going to harbor it and it's going to become
456
00:30:37,740 --> 00:30:40,380
cancerous to you as a trader, it's going to affect your
457
00:30:40,380 --> 00:30:44,310
mind, it's going to affect your your performance, and it's
458
00:30:44,310 --> 00:30:47,460
not going to always be what you want. Okay, it's going to be
459
00:30:47,460 --> 00:30:50,340
many times the opposite of what you're expecting. It's going
460
00:30:50,340 --> 00:30:55,260
to have an adverse effect on your overall development. You
461
00:30:55,260 --> 00:30:59,520
want to record any of your concerns or fears that you had
462
00:30:59,520 --> 00:31:01,770
while you're watching price action. So if you're in a trade
463
00:31:02,850 --> 00:31:07,410
or not in the trade, whenever you feel a sense of
464
00:31:08,130 --> 00:31:12,990
anxiousness or not trusting the setup, these are beautiful
465
00:31:12,990 --> 00:31:16,200
opportunities for you to learn. Because that's when you want
466
00:31:16,200 --> 00:31:18,480
to be doing screen captures, okay, if you're in front of the
467
00:31:18,480 --> 00:31:21,450
charts, you have the luxury of being able to do that screen
468
00:31:21,450 --> 00:31:23,820
capture that very moment. And then in your chart, you want
469
00:31:23,820 --> 00:31:26,250
to make a notation of what you're feeling and what you're
470
00:31:26,250 --> 00:31:29,790
thinking at that time. You may be feeling its gearing go up.
471
00:31:30,060 --> 00:31:32,910
But it's retraced a little bit deeper than you thought. And
472
00:31:32,910 --> 00:31:35,340
you're starting to have anxiety about it, it may not pan
473
00:31:35,340 --> 00:31:38,940
out. That's a time when you want to screen capture, and make
474
00:31:38,940 --> 00:31:42,360
that notation and log that. Keep that as part of your
475
00:31:42,360 --> 00:31:46,200
journal entry. Each time you do this, you're going to find
476
00:31:46,200 --> 00:31:49,470
that you're going to find less sensitivity
477
00:31:50,280 --> 00:31:54,060
or emotional attachment to these ideas because you've been
478
00:31:54,060 --> 00:31:57,870
there before. And yes, you see that there may be a
479
00:31:58,170 --> 00:32:00,600
opportunity for the trade this year. To fail,
480
00:32:01,080 --> 00:32:02,160
and hit your stop loss.
481
00:32:02,580 --> 00:32:05,520
But if you stick with it, how many times did it really
482
00:32:05,520 --> 00:32:08,460
actually go there. And that's the benefit of keeping a
483
00:32:08,460 --> 00:32:11,700
journal. Because unless you write the things down and keep a
484
00:32:11,700 --> 00:32:13,530
journal of what the charts look like and what you're
485
00:32:13,530 --> 00:32:15,990
thinking, you're never going to remember them, you're gonna
486
00:32:15,990 --> 00:32:18,450
remember that really good trade. And you're going to try to
487
00:32:18,450 --> 00:32:22,380
forget with all your energy and effort and might to forget
488
00:32:22,380 --> 00:32:25,350
those trades that you should have never been in, you knew
489
00:32:25,350 --> 00:32:27,810
you were getting into it. And you should have never done it.
490
00:32:28,080 --> 00:32:30,210
And now you got to do your best to try to avoid it and
491
00:32:30,570 --> 00:32:33,450
forget it ever happened. And they're your lessons that you
492
00:32:33,450 --> 00:32:37,440
want to learn from. So journaling is absolutely crucial to
493
00:32:37,440 --> 00:32:39,990
your development as a trader, especially if you want to be
494
00:32:41,550 --> 00:32:45,570
organized and you want to be collective and calm about what
495
00:32:45,570 --> 00:32:49,590
you're doing. That only comes by doing this exercise here,
496
00:32:49,620 --> 00:32:53,520
journaling. Every professional, whether it be a doctor or
497
00:32:53,520 --> 00:32:56,790
lawyer, physician psychologist, the long and short is they
498
00:32:56,790 --> 00:32:59,700
keep good records about what they say what they have done.
499
00:33:00,270 --> 00:33:03,780
They do not want to rely on your memory. And you can't rely
500
00:33:03,780 --> 00:33:07,050
on your memory. You're going to forget things. Okay? every
501
00:33:07,050 --> 00:33:11,490
seven years, your brain breaks off this little nodule, okay?
502
00:33:11,670 --> 00:33:16,140
And part of that you lose memory. So it's important to keep
503
00:33:16,170 --> 00:33:19,650
a record of things that you've said and done. Because when
504
00:33:19,650 --> 00:33:22,500
you have these adverse times in the future as a traitor,
505
00:33:22,530 --> 00:33:24,900
because you're going to, you won't be able to go back and
506
00:33:24,900 --> 00:33:27,390
reflect on those times that you forgot how you've been
507
00:33:27,390 --> 00:33:30,720
through that before and what you did to go through it's
508
00:33:30,720 --> 00:33:36,990
important. Contrast your personal expectations of what you
509
00:33:36,990 --> 00:33:39,090
thought was going to happen in the marketplace and how you
510
00:33:39,090 --> 00:33:42,420
were going to do versus the actual result. This is where you
511
00:33:42,420 --> 00:33:49,020
get to be more or less the, the scorekeeper you're able to
512
00:33:49,020 --> 00:33:55,950
soberly and balanced give a an opinion about what you did,
513
00:33:56,340 --> 00:34:02,220
in terms of your analysis going into The day for the week.
514
00:34:03,360 --> 00:34:06,870
And then what actually happened. Now, you're not in this
515
00:34:06,870 --> 00:34:10,230
section of journaling, to beat yourself up. That's not what
516
00:34:10,230 --> 00:34:13,110
this is. But what you're trying to do is highlight the
517
00:34:13,110 --> 00:34:18,600
things that you missed. But you don't want to draw so much
518
00:34:18,600 --> 00:34:22,110
attention to it that it seems like you're writing, you know,
519
00:34:22,620 --> 00:34:26,160
a suicide letter, like, you know, I'm no good. I'm this or
520
00:34:26,160 --> 00:34:28,260
that. What you want to be doing is highlighting the
521
00:34:28,260 --> 00:34:31,410
opportunities for you to develop better or spend more time
522
00:34:31,410 --> 00:34:35,130
focusing on your weaknesses, because that's what journaling
523
00:34:35,130 --> 00:34:39,900
helps you do. It identifies your weaknesses. You if you were
524
00:34:39,900 --> 00:34:43,200
honest with yourself, you probably would have about 10
525
00:34:43,200 --> 00:34:45,900
things that you could list, it's a weakness, but you're
526
00:34:45,900 --> 00:34:48,210
probably going to have four to five times more than that,
527
00:34:48,210 --> 00:34:51,390
that you won't really readily discover until you go through
528
00:34:51,390 --> 00:34:54,030
the journaling process. And it's not something you do for a
529
00:34:54,030 --> 00:34:58,170
short term and then you abandon it. You always do this. I've
530
00:34:58,170 --> 00:35:01,320
been doing it for 25 years. I did journaling before that and
531
00:35:01,320 --> 00:35:05,100
other things in my life. So, to me, it's, it's something
532
00:35:05,100 --> 00:35:07,170
I've always done and you don't need to spend a whole lot of
533
00:35:07,170 --> 00:35:10,140
time doing it. But I've always made a reference to what I've
534
00:35:10,140 --> 00:35:13,500
done or said in the previous day, at the end of the day. In
535
00:35:13,500 --> 00:35:16,830
other words, I'm looking back and reflection. Otherwise, if
536
00:35:16,830 --> 00:35:21,510
I try to go to bed, my mind will not allow me to, because my
537
00:35:21,510 --> 00:35:24,420
mind's going to race, I should write this down. And many
538
00:35:24,420 --> 00:35:27,690
times I have tried to go to bed even after journaling, and I
539
00:35:27,690 --> 00:35:30,240
have something on my mind. I can't do it until I get up and
540
00:35:30,240 --> 00:35:33,090
I write that down in my journal, because then it's, I've
541
00:35:33,090 --> 00:35:37,440
released it. And the only way you're going to trade with a
542
00:35:37,890 --> 00:35:43,560
emotion free or as close as you can get it in a well
543
00:35:43,560 --> 00:35:48,510
balanced mind is to have a clear conscience. Anything that's
544
00:35:48,510 --> 00:35:51,210
bothering you, you release it into your journal, your
545
00:35:51,210 --> 00:35:53,340
journal is not going to call you a name. It's not going to
546
00:35:53,340 --> 00:35:56,850
say it wants a divorce is not going to say you don't love me
547
00:35:56,850 --> 00:35:59,280
enough or you don't spend time with me enough. Okay? It's
548
00:35:59,310 --> 00:36:03,690
only going to What you write in it? So when you go back to
549
00:36:03,690 --> 00:36:06,930
it, it's going to say the words that you put in. So it's
550
00:36:06,930 --> 00:36:11,850
important to what you put in it is going to benefit you. But
551
00:36:11,850 --> 00:36:14,490
you're not sugarcoating it either. So you want to be honest
552
00:36:14,490 --> 00:36:18,420
about your evaluation about what you did or thought going
553
00:36:18,420 --> 00:36:21,120
into the day or the week, and then what the actual results
554
00:36:21,120 --> 00:36:25,170
were. Keep it simple. All you're doing is this is what I
555
00:36:25,170 --> 00:36:28,080
thought, and this is what actually happened. You're not
556
00:36:28,110 --> 00:36:31,530
using adjectives, you're just stating the facts. This is
557
00:36:31,530 --> 00:36:33,840
what I thought was gonna happen. I thought I was going to go
558
00:36:33,840 --> 00:36:36,330
here, if I was going to have this effect, if I was going to
559
00:36:36,330 --> 00:36:39,750
move this much, and this is what the actual result was, and
560
00:36:39,750 --> 00:36:42,480
you're not adding anything to it, or attaching any
561
00:36:42,480 --> 00:36:48,090
emotionalism to it. Okay, you want to detail where you felt
562
00:36:48,090 --> 00:36:52,080
uncertainty, and this is important, how you actually coped
563
00:36:52,080 --> 00:36:55,590
with it. You're going to find that many of your
564
00:36:57,750 --> 00:37:00,990
coping skills for stress aren't really coping skills,
565
00:37:01,560 --> 00:37:05,520
they're actually feeding that emotional stimuli. And it
566
00:37:05,520 --> 00:37:08,580
creates even more stress, the only way you're going to find
567
00:37:08,580 --> 00:37:12,060
that is by actually recording it, writing it down. And you
568
00:37:12,060 --> 00:37:14,640
may be in a trade and it may be flirting with your limit
569
00:37:14,640 --> 00:37:18,030
order, you've already had your profits taken, for the most
570
00:37:18,030 --> 00:37:22,290
part scaled out, your stop losses trailed up now. But now
571
00:37:22,290 --> 00:37:25,560
you're feeling like it's gonna hit your stop, you know, get
572
00:37:25,560 --> 00:37:30,210
that last piece of the move. What are you doing to cope with
573
00:37:30,210 --> 00:37:34,020
that? are you staring at the chart screaming? Or are you
574
00:37:34,020 --> 00:37:37,950
taking a walk? Or are you turning the computer off into the
575
00:37:37,950 --> 00:37:40,170
saying, I'm going to see what happens at the end of the day,
576
00:37:40,770 --> 00:37:43,470
you come hell or high water, it's going to take my stop or
577
00:37:43,470 --> 00:37:45,750
it's going to take my limit, or it's going to trade sideways
578
00:37:45,750 --> 00:37:48,180
until the next session, and then whatever it's going to
579
00:37:48,180 --> 00:37:52,590
happen is going to happen. Whatever that coping mechanism is
580
00:37:52,620 --> 00:37:56,700
that you've used for that stress trigger. You want to
581
00:37:56,700 --> 00:38:01,950
include that because it's important the one that do not work
582
00:38:01,980 --> 00:38:04,500
you're going to see. And that way when you start feeling
583
00:38:04,500 --> 00:38:10,380
that stress trigger come up, you immediately discount that
584
00:38:10,380 --> 00:38:13,230
thought process to follow that same regimen. Again, if it's
585
00:38:13,230 --> 00:38:16,110
something that hasn't worked in the past, and it's mean to a
586
00:38:16,140 --> 00:38:19,020
stressful level, and you know, you're wanting to think about
587
00:38:19,020 --> 00:38:22,440
it or do that same thing again, like smoke cigarettes, okay?
588
00:38:22,440 --> 00:38:26,460
or grab a drink that's alcoholic, those things. You may feel
589
00:38:26,460 --> 00:38:29,040
like they're soothing you, but actually, they're not. So
590
00:38:29,070 --> 00:38:32,400
what you want to be doing is focusing on when the coping
591
00:38:32,400 --> 00:38:34,770
mechanism that you've used to get through that stressful
592
00:38:34,770 --> 00:38:39,540
environment, when it helps you. It's highlighted on an
593
00:38:39,540 --> 00:38:42,480
opportunity for you to use that in the future. And here's
594
00:38:42,480 --> 00:38:46,590
the thing. Many times I've learned coping skills that were
595
00:38:46,590 --> 00:38:50,040
in high stressful events, through trading. When I had
596
00:38:50,040 --> 00:38:52,860
stressful events and my personal life, I used those same
597
00:38:52,860 --> 00:38:58,440
coping skills. So for instance, you know, while I'm trading
598
00:38:58,440 --> 00:39:00,720
I usually have a deck of cards in my hands. I'm a fidgeter.
599
00:39:00,840 --> 00:39:03,600
Okay? And now they have these things called these fidget
600
00:39:03,600 --> 00:39:07,470
spinners, which I love them. I absolutely love them. For me,
601
00:39:07,500 --> 00:39:11,310
it keeps me distracted from worrying about what the next
602
00:39:11,310 --> 00:39:14,370
move is going to be in price. I'm allowing my method to pan
603
00:39:14,370 --> 00:39:17,940
out and do what it's going to do. Before I did that, I used
604
00:39:17,940 --> 00:39:21,540
to have a coin and always keep a coin in my hand, and I'd
605
00:39:21,540 --> 00:39:24,030
either roll it through my fingers, or I would just keep it
606
00:39:24,030 --> 00:39:27,240
pressed in my palm. And I would just practice palming. Okay,
607
00:39:27,240 --> 00:39:31,260
because I'm somewhat of an amateur magician. Nonetheless, I
608
00:39:31,260 --> 00:39:34,470
would do those things to keep me distracted and not being
609
00:39:34,530 --> 00:39:38,010
hypersensitive to every fluctuation in the marketplace. So
610
00:39:38,760 --> 00:39:43,350
whatever the coping skills are, okay, that you find work in
611
00:39:43,350 --> 00:39:47,220
high stressful environment of trading. I found that they
612
00:39:47,220 --> 00:39:50,010
were just as equally effective in high stressful
613
00:39:50,130 --> 00:39:52,740
environments, like when my son was in surgery, you know, I
614
00:39:52,740 --> 00:39:55,590
would take cards and I would fidget with those, or I would
615
00:39:55,590 --> 00:39:58,620
have coin in my hand and it would just keep me distracted
616
00:39:58,620 --> 00:40:01,200
enough where I have had to go through that experience, I
617
00:40:01,200 --> 00:40:03,810
couldn't escape it just like you can't escape the trade
618
00:40:03,810 --> 00:40:06,330
unless you just kill it. If you're going to take the trade,
619
00:40:06,450 --> 00:40:08,910
you have to go through the trade. Either it takes your stop
620
00:40:08,910 --> 00:40:12,840
or it takes your limit. But you have to submit to that. So
621
00:40:12,870 --> 00:40:15,900
whatever it takes for you to submit to that, over time,
622
00:40:16,440 --> 00:40:19,410
these coping skills that you will find that there really
623
00:40:19,410 --> 00:40:23,250
isn't a, this is what you do, because it's only going to
624
00:40:23,250 --> 00:40:27,000
work for you. When you discover it works for you. It may be
625
00:40:27,000 --> 00:40:29,880
something as simple as having something against a fidget and
626
00:40:29,880 --> 00:40:34,920
maybe something that requires you to completely step away
627
00:40:34,920 --> 00:40:37,830
from the charts and grab a book. In my mind, personally, I
628
00:40:37,830 --> 00:40:40,800
can't read if I'm in the market. I can't do that I have to
629
00:40:40,800 --> 00:40:43,620
read when there's no one talking to me. And I have complete
630
00:40:43,620 --> 00:40:47,550
silence. So whatever those things are, that you discover
631
00:40:47,550 --> 00:40:51,720
through journaling, to help you in your trading. Don't look
632
00:40:51,720 --> 00:40:55,380
at it as that's your fix for trading stress. Many times if
633
00:40:55,380 --> 00:40:58,950
you apply it to your stressful personal life, it fixes it as
634
00:40:58,950 --> 00:41:05,280
well. What's Many times is that's a plus. You want to use
635
00:41:05,280 --> 00:41:09,210
positive words, for the things you did well on. You don't
636
00:41:09,210 --> 00:41:10,980
want to sugarcoat it. You don't say I'm the best trade in a
637
00:41:10,980 --> 00:41:14,460
room because I did this. But you do want to say, I'm happy
638
00:41:14,460 --> 00:41:20,100
with my execution with this trade, because I did this. And I
639
00:41:20,100 --> 00:41:24,450
had that in mind. And I did exactly as my plan outlined, and
640
00:41:24,450 --> 00:41:30,000
I did not deviate. I'm glad that I used the 25 pips stop
641
00:41:30,000 --> 00:41:33,840
loss, and didn't try to get short and sweet with it. With a
642
00:41:33,840 --> 00:41:37,290
15 or 10 PIP stop, I followed my rules, regardless of what
643
00:41:37,290 --> 00:41:39,990
the trade was doing anything that you did, that was pre
644
00:41:39,990 --> 00:41:42,570
determined, and you follow through with it. You want to
645
00:41:42,570 --> 00:41:50,070
record that in your own words, and use adjectives like happy
646
00:41:50,700 --> 00:41:52,350
or pleased
647
00:41:52,559 --> 00:41:56,549
or proud, okay, those types of things because your mind's
648
00:41:56,549 --> 00:41:59,519
going to retain that and when you go back to it, this is
649
00:41:59,519 --> 00:42:01,799
where it's actually When you come back to your journal and
650
00:42:01,799 --> 00:42:04,049
you read those things, you certainly don't want to litter it
651
00:42:04,049 --> 00:42:07,799
with things that are just going to be mundane or not
652
00:42:07,829 --> 00:42:12,659
impactful. You want to be well, you want to cheerlead
653
00:42:12,659 --> 00:42:14,579
yourself basically, because there's going to be times when
654
00:42:14,579 --> 00:42:16,799
you go through periods of drawdown, and it's going to feel
655
00:42:16,799 --> 00:42:19,829
like trading is the worst thing you could have ever done. So
656
00:42:19,829 --> 00:42:23,789
you want to have that old friend of your conscience to feel
657
00:42:23,789 --> 00:42:27,869
soothed. When you read your own words in your journal. You
658
00:42:27,869 --> 00:42:31,739
don't want to read it like, Well, you know, I really didn't
659
00:42:31,739 --> 00:42:35,309
feel well that day, and I'm lying to myself in there. You
660
00:42:35,309 --> 00:42:40,769
want to be honest, but you also want to be well, you want to
661
00:42:40,769 --> 00:42:43,619
be comforting to yourself, but you don't want to sugarcoat
662
00:42:43,619 --> 00:42:48,599
and you don't want to embellish and lie about how you did
663
00:42:48,599 --> 00:42:50,609
something right when you really didn't you want to be
664
00:42:50,729 --> 00:42:53,039
accurate about what you're describing, but you also want to
665
00:42:53,039 --> 00:43:00,149
do it in a positive light. And here is the kicker when You
666
00:43:00,149 --> 00:43:04,859
do things messed up, okay, and you do the wrong things and
667
00:43:04,859 --> 00:43:08,789
you make errors. You want to avoid negatively charged words,
668
00:43:09,299 --> 00:43:13,559
wherever you struggled in the execution, or the application
669
00:43:13,559 --> 00:43:18,029
of money management, over leveraging. Or if you over traded,
670
00:43:18,599 --> 00:43:24,809
you do not want to say, Oh, I'm a stupid so and so. Or I am
671
00:43:24,809 --> 00:43:28,199
a failure, or I'm never going to get this do not do those
672
00:43:28,199 --> 00:43:32,159
things in your journal. Because your mind will latch on to
673
00:43:32,159 --> 00:43:36,839
that. And whatever you use negative words on your
674
00:43:36,839 --> 00:43:40,349
subconscious is going to see that and say, Okay, well, this
675
00:43:40,349 --> 00:43:42,869
is a problem or it's a source of stress, so I'm going to
676
00:43:42,869 --> 00:43:44,639
avoid it. So what's going to happen when you look at the
677
00:43:44,639 --> 00:43:47,879
charts, subconsciously, your mind is going to say, this is
678
00:43:47,879 --> 00:43:50,129
stressful, I want to avoid this and you're not going to pay
679
00:43:50,129 --> 00:43:55,289
attention and or your mind is not going to let that set up,
680
00:43:55,919 --> 00:43:58,769
jump off at the chart at you. So that way you can engage it
681
00:43:58,769 --> 00:44:02,039
properly. So it's Very important not to use negative terms.
682
00:44:03,989 --> 00:44:07,019
So while this is not an exhaustive list, I wanted to have
683
00:44:07,019 --> 00:44:12,329
some measure of journaling suggestions, and I wanted to have
684
00:44:12,329 --> 00:44:21,329
some measure of psychological. Well, solutions. And both of
685
00:44:21,329 --> 00:44:26,489
these topics can be really explored in greater detail. And
686
00:44:27,329 --> 00:44:31,139
it comes by personal experience. And while there's a lot of
687
00:44:31,139 --> 00:44:33,779
books written about both that solved the subject matter that
688
00:44:33,779 --> 00:44:36,929
I mentioned here tonight, I don't think it's something that
689
00:44:36,959 --> 00:44:40,979
you need to make any more complicated than what I have here.
690
00:44:41,669 --> 00:44:44,879
Because this is really the bare bones of what I've done for
691
00:44:44,879 --> 00:44:50,129
25 years. And the best trading book out there is the one
692
00:44:50,129 --> 00:44:53,729
you're about to write in your journal. That's the best one,
693
00:44:54,239 --> 00:44:59,099
because they're going to be directly related to you and your
694
00:44:59,099 --> 00:45:04,859
own experiences. You can't teach your experience to someone
695
00:45:04,859 --> 00:45:07,799
else. You can talk about it, you can share it, you can share
696
00:45:07,799 --> 00:45:10,619
your journal, let them read it, but it still won't have the
697
00:45:10,619 --> 00:45:14,939
same impact that your experience has for you. And that's the
698
00:45:14,939 --> 00:45:20,039
wonderful treasure and well, secret weapon, if you will, of
699
00:45:20,069 --> 00:45:24,719
a trader by using a journal. It seems like extra work. It
700
00:45:24,719 --> 00:45:26,849
seems frivolous. Oh, I got time for that. Who does that?
701
00:45:27,299 --> 00:45:31,109
Well, I'll tell you who does it. Winning traders do it. And
702
00:45:31,109 --> 00:45:34,139
we know what we're looking for. Because we've studied it.
703
00:45:34,169 --> 00:45:38,459
We've had days and days and days on end, where we have
704
00:45:38,459 --> 00:45:44,069
recorded the same exact setup. The same winning attitude
705
00:45:44,099 --> 00:45:46,919
that we went into is always there. So these are all
706
00:45:46,919 --> 00:45:51,089
signatures. These are hallmarks of classic setups. So that
707
00:45:51,089 --> 00:45:53,069
way, when you start feeling a certain way, going into the
708
00:45:53,069 --> 00:45:57,179
market day, if you're not on, you'll know it and you'll be
709
00:45:57,179 --> 00:46:00,419
honest with yourself and say okay, I got to know in the
710
00:46:00,419 --> 00:46:03,869
market today, I got to take a day off. Otherwise, how would
711
00:46:03,869 --> 00:46:06,389
you know those things? Because you're going to talk yourself
712
00:46:06,389 --> 00:46:08,609
into taking a trade if you're feeling bad, that's the normal
713
00:46:08,609 --> 00:46:11,759
response where a human distract me. I needed a distraction,
714
00:46:11,909 --> 00:46:14,849
or what's about a distraction, then getting money, nothing.
715
00:46:15,209 --> 00:46:20,129
So you want to play the lottery each time for casino so many
716
00:46:20,129 --> 00:46:25,349
times that result in a negative withdrawal from your equity,
717
00:46:25,739 --> 00:46:28,259
whether it be demo or live, and we want to try to avoid
718
00:46:28,259 --> 00:46:33,059
those things. Okay. So what type of things do we look for in
719
00:46:33,059 --> 00:46:36,779
terms of adding charts to our journal, and then we can go
720
00:46:36,779 --> 00:46:39,899
through the charts now and give you some suggestions.
721
00:46:45,809 --> 00:46:47,939
Alright, so this is the Canadian dollars, the daily chart,
722
00:46:48,449 --> 00:46:51,329
and this particular week I was looking for the market to
723
00:46:51,329 --> 00:46:54,449
want to run above is equal highs. And I'll have that
724
00:46:54,449 --> 00:46:56,459
actually in recording so you can go back and look at that.
725
00:46:56,909 --> 00:47:03,419
But we have double tops A third time the market trades up to
726
00:47:04,409 --> 00:47:07,259
the same level. So we know that this is too clean of a
727
00:47:07,259 --> 00:47:10,709
level, we had a nice rejection down here. So markets most
728
00:47:10,709 --> 00:47:14,159
likely going to want to push above this level. Now if it's
729
00:47:14,159 --> 00:47:18,119
so clean like that, what's the most likely outcome? Should
730
00:47:18,119 --> 00:47:22,319
it traded at level a blast off and continue higher or
731
00:47:22,349 --> 00:47:26,549
retreating back down into the range? Well, look what's
732
00:47:26,549 --> 00:47:29,159
happened, we've had a sell off, people have made money,
733
00:47:29,189 --> 00:47:31,649
there's no sell off, people have made money. And then we're
734
00:47:31,649 --> 00:47:34,589
going right back up to those levels again. So to take those
735
00:47:34,589 --> 00:47:38,099
individuals out, or put new traders in on the wrong side
736
00:47:38,129 --> 00:47:42,269
buying the market is going to want to push up there. So in
737
00:47:42,269 --> 00:47:44,549
your journal, when you start seeing these things, you want
738
00:47:44,549 --> 00:47:47,369
to print out your chart or screen capture it. And in your
739
00:47:47,369 --> 00:47:49,709
notations, you want to write down what you think is going to
740
00:47:49,709 --> 00:47:53,039
happen, what's the most likely outcome, okay, is that when
741
00:47:53,039 --> 00:47:55,709
you have a condition that we can wait against what actually
742
00:47:55,709 --> 00:47:58,619
happens later on, but you want to build the context in your
743
00:47:58,619 --> 00:48:01,289
chart in your journaling? So that we wouldn't go back and
744
00:48:01,289 --> 00:48:03,989
look at it. If it pans out Well, you're going to be
745
00:48:03,989 --> 00:48:06,629
encouraged in the future when you have periods of time when
746
00:48:06,629 --> 00:48:13,199
your trades don't actually pan out. Okay, and as soon as the
747
00:48:13,199 --> 00:48:17,009
event that you've been waiting for occurs, like I share a
748
00:48:17,009 --> 00:48:21,179
lot of my trades at the time of the setup, or the
749
00:48:21,509 --> 00:48:24,239
confirmation, if you will, of whatever I'm looking for that
750
00:48:24,239 --> 00:48:28,589
sets the ideal out this many times is the screen capture
751
00:48:28,589 --> 00:48:31,979
where it either hits a level I was reaching for, or a level
752
00:48:31,979 --> 00:48:35,519
I'm trying to get in. This is where you want to take a
753
00:48:35,519 --> 00:48:39,329
picture of it again. And this is why I don't do 20 pairs or
754
00:48:39,329 --> 00:48:41,729
a lot of different markets because I'm only focusing on two
755
00:48:41,729 --> 00:48:46,439
things, cable and fiber. So it's very easy for me to dial in
756
00:48:46,439 --> 00:48:49,739
and get the screen capture what I'm looking for. And then I
757
00:48:49,739 --> 00:48:52,259
don't share my chart with all the notations on it because
758
00:48:52,289 --> 00:48:56,519
there's a lot of things that I do among finances in trading
759
00:48:56,519 --> 00:49:01,529
that I don't make public so but I do make references to the
760
00:49:01,529 --> 00:49:04,229
things I'm talking about here. In terms of Okay, this is the
761
00:49:04,229 --> 00:49:07,919
run on the buy stops. So um, right now, I would say I would
762
00:49:07,919 --> 00:49:13,229
have an expectation of seeing a strong reversal. And I would
763
00:49:13,229 --> 00:49:16,469
look for price don't want to reach down into those wicks
764
00:49:16,529 --> 00:49:21,119
here and see how far we can go and as far as that low here.
765
00:49:24,809 --> 00:49:28,259
Now we can start dropping down into a four hour chart and
766
00:49:28,259 --> 00:49:31,949
work into an intraday price action. And we can see how
767
00:49:32,189 --> 00:49:35,009
noting areas of stops because if we thought that price is
768
00:49:35,009 --> 00:49:38,189
going to go above these highs here, again, we give more
769
00:49:38,189 --> 00:49:41,549
details about what we're looking for the time of day that
770
00:49:41,549 --> 00:49:45,449
this occurred, and how long of a timeframe we would
771
00:49:45,449 --> 00:49:48,149
reasonably expect to see this move take place if we're going
772
00:49:48,149 --> 00:49:51,239
to run out this low. All those things, you can add in all
773
00:49:51,239 --> 00:49:54,119
these open spaces on your chart. You want to make it
774
00:49:54,119 --> 00:49:57,329
personal you want to make your journal and your charts,
775
00:49:57,629 --> 00:49:59,849
something that's unique that you're comfortable with and
776
00:49:59,849 --> 00:50:02,369
it's Something that you're really not aiming to share with
777
00:50:02,369 --> 00:50:05,759
anybody. It's comfortable for you to be able to look at and
778
00:50:05,759 --> 00:50:08,129
it gives you all the information at the time, what you were
779
00:50:08,129 --> 00:50:11,939
thinking at the time at the time that chart was creating the
780
00:50:11,939 --> 00:50:17,909
very setup that's being screen captured. Okay, dropping down
781
00:50:17,909 --> 00:50:22,559
to a 30 minute chart, same mindset here, we're adding any
782
00:50:22,559 --> 00:50:27,899
details that we're noticing. Okay, and we're here, we have
783
00:50:27,929 --> 00:50:32,879
Monday's trading, and the anticipated rally up. Once we see
784
00:50:32,879 --> 00:50:36,659
those types of things, we know that this is the setup. So we
785
00:50:36,659 --> 00:50:39,209
won't be a seller up here. But where are we going to be
786
00:50:39,209 --> 00:50:42,329
reaching for what's the drawing price. So you want to have
787
00:50:42,329 --> 00:50:46,349
that before the trade really starts to unfold? As it's
788
00:50:46,349 --> 00:50:49,289
setting up, you want to get extreme capture, but at that
789
00:50:49,289 --> 00:50:51,929
time, you also want to outline what you're reaching for and
790
00:50:51,929 --> 00:50:54,689
what was the context behind why you would expect it to
791
00:50:54,689 --> 00:50:59,069
occur. We have an old low here, got 20 and 10 PIP grades of
792
00:50:59,339 --> 00:51:02,729
swingers would be expected to go below it in here just for
793
00:51:02,849 --> 00:51:06,239
the sake of keeping the chart neat. I'm just referencing
794
00:51:06,239 --> 00:51:12,389
templates below that low. And on Monday, because I don't
795
00:51:12,419 --> 00:51:16,319
like to trade on Monday, I would like to use that Monday
796
00:51:16,319 --> 00:51:20,159
range and projected like the power three study that was used
797
00:51:20,759 --> 00:51:25,499
taught you in the asian session and or power three. And I
798
00:51:25,499 --> 00:51:28,559
would take that Monday range. If I'm bearish looking for
799
00:51:28,559 --> 00:51:31,469
that run, I'm going to take that range of Monday and apply
800
00:51:31,469 --> 00:51:33,479
it right on top of its daily high.
801
00:51:34,530 --> 00:51:37,650
And that gives me a projected range of one standard
802
00:51:37,650 --> 00:51:40,590
deviation. And we take that out in the future. It's
803
00:51:40,650 --> 00:51:44,850
approximately what Tuesday's high of the day is. So I know
804
00:51:44,850 --> 00:51:47,130
that I'm looking for a Judas swing. So how far will it go
805
00:51:47,130 --> 00:51:49,620
up? Well, it could go this far, which would take us right
806
00:51:49,620 --> 00:51:56,490
above that old high at 129 10. Where touch three times and
807
00:51:56,490 --> 00:51:59,160
that's what the biceps will be residing. So we're looking
808
00:51:59,160 --> 00:52:02,010
for a move Above that, so it can be a seller right there.
809
00:52:03,330 --> 00:52:06,570
But before we do that, we have to remember if this is in
810
00:52:06,570 --> 00:52:10,980
fact a bearish week, and this is a weekly high forming this
811
00:52:10,980 --> 00:52:13,860
Judas swing is useful and we can apply power three concepts
812
00:52:13,860 --> 00:52:20,340
to it, we can get the range of the Judas swing in it, apply
813
00:52:20,340 --> 00:52:24,600
it in one standard deviation below the low. In other words,
814
00:52:24,630 --> 00:52:27,870
I'm taking this range and adding it or in this case,
815
00:52:27,870 --> 00:52:31,500
subtracting it from this low and projecting it down. Give me
816
00:52:31,500 --> 00:52:34,350
one standard deviation. So we're seeing power three, which
817
00:52:34,350 --> 00:52:38,550
is accumulation, accumulate more manipulation on the stock,
818
00:52:38,580 --> 00:52:43,080
put them in by side. We're going to see hopefully a move
819
00:52:43,080 --> 00:52:47,310
down with power three with distribution and a final area
820
00:52:47,310 --> 00:52:51,060
distribution down here. So we have three measurements of the
821
00:52:51,060 --> 00:52:54,630
actual Judas swing, projected down and that gives us just
822
00:52:54,630 --> 00:52:59,460
below that all low. So that validates this potential
823
00:52:59,460 --> 00:53:03,660
stopper. While price was like this only, we don't have
824
00:53:03,660 --> 00:53:07,920
anything else happening yet. So we have power three scaled
825
00:53:07,920 --> 00:53:14,280
out accumulation, manipulation distribution framed before
826
00:53:14,280 --> 00:53:16,050
the move even occurs.
827
00:53:22,380 --> 00:53:26,790
You can see that 10 pips below this low is what we're
828
00:53:26,790 --> 00:53:29,880
looking for. So 10 pips below that we're going to have a
829
00:53:29,880 --> 00:53:36,450
little level there. And now we see Wednesday's trading. And
830
00:53:36,480 --> 00:53:41,070
during the New York setup, we have a optimal trade entry
831
00:53:41,070 --> 00:53:45,120
form. And we can run projections on the fit. We can see
832
00:53:45,120 --> 00:53:48,630
there's a 400 extension overlapping exactly with one of the
833
00:53:48,630 --> 00:53:54,870
levels we've already arrived at. And here's Wednesday
834
00:53:55,740 --> 00:53:59,430
because Apple trade entry short term swing here, trades back
835
00:53:59,430 --> 00:54:03,780
up apple tree Entry short, sells off aggressively, and
836
00:54:03,780 --> 00:54:12,600
reaches down into our template sweep below the old low. And
837
00:54:12,600 --> 00:54:15,720
we're going to get a measurement from the highest body to
838
00:54:15,720 --> 00:54:19,230
lowest body and these two price swings in that projection
839
00:54:19,230 --> 00:54:23,490
down gives us exactly a 300 extension right there and it
840
00:54:23,490 --> 00:54:25,620
actually gives you the low of the day which actually
841
00:54:25,620 --> 00:54:31,320
overlaps with the approximate 10 pips swing below the old
842
00:54:31,320 --> 00:54:37,680
low. So we have several things being used here that I've
843
00:54:37,680 --> 00:54:42,630
given you in recent teachings. Every one of these screen
844
00:54:42,630 --> 00:54:47,070
captures, you would write down any notation that would be
845
00:54:47,100 --> 00:54:51,210
necessary for you to have as a benefit. And that way when
846
00:54:51,210 --> 00:54:54,060
you go to the end of the week, usually on Saturday morning
847
00:54:54,060 --> 00:54:57,630
for me, may not be Saturday for you. But I'd like to take
848
00:54:57,630 --> 00:55:00,600
about 30 minutes and go through the market and see What I
849
00:55:00,930 --> 00:55:05,730
didn't see and note that but every day, I'm writing down
850
00:55:05,730 --> 00:55:08,220
what my expectations are, what the daily high low should be.
851
00:55:09,240 --> 00:55:12,750
And then I'm recording what actually happened. And it builds
852
00:55:12,750 --> 00:55:15,150
a lot of confidence seeing how many times I'm right. And
853
00:55:15,150 --> 00:55:19,020
when I'm wrong, even though I learned something from the
854
00:55:21,060 --> 00:55:26,940
well, the time I was not accurate it proves that I'm more
855
00:55:26,940 --> 00:55:29,400
right than I'm wrong. So therefore, I don't fear being
856
00:55:29,400 --> 00:55:32,790
wrong. And I use the times when I'm wrong to learn what it
857
00:55:32,790 --> 00:55:39,060
is I did wrong. So I'm taking no pain at the experience. I'm
858
00:55:39,210 --> 00:55:42,510
looking at it as okay. This is actually like a workout.
859
00:55:42,930 --> 00:55:46,530
Okay, I'm string telling myself I'm, I'm putting stress on
860
00:55:46,530 --> 00:55:51,030
my body with the attempt to make it stronger. Okay, so I
861
00:55:51,030 --> 00:55:55,740
don't look at adversities in trading as a defeat. I look at
862
00:55:55,740 --> 00:56:00,270
it as exercise and strengthening iron sharpens iron So we
863
00:56:00,270 --> 00:56:03,120
can see how using the tools here, we get one more instance,
864
00:56:03,120 --> 00:56:07,140
well, this could be the very weekly low. Okay? If we trade
865
00:56:07,140 --> 00:56:10,560
through it, so be it. But if this is all I would ever get,
866
00:56:10,710 --> 00:56:15,330
that's fine. Because this would be power three applied to
867
00:56:15,330 --> 00:56:19,350
the weekly range, okay, and apply that on the weekly, Sunday
868
00:56:19,350 --> 00:56:23,100
opening vertical line if you hit Ctrl y, and use the
869
00:56:23,100 --> 00:56:27,630
thickest trendline to draw radio on top of that, and then I
870
00:56:27,630 --> 00:56:32,040
delete the actual control y line. And I draw a little
871
00:56:32,040 --> 00:56:36,300
horizontal tick representing the open, and I forecast where
872
00:56:36,300 --> 00:56:38,940
I think the close is going to be. And it doesn't have to be
873
00:56:38,940 --> 00:56:40,890
where it's actually going to close. I like to do that just
874
00:56:40,890 --> 00:56:46,290
to keep myself entertained and trying to dial in as best I
875
00:56:46,290 --> 00:56:50,700
can for where I project. The clothes. Sometimes I'm really
876
00:56:51,000 --> 00:56:54,300
accurate, and other times I'm not so accurate, but I'm more
877
00:56:54,300 --> 00:56:58,140
inclined to focus on what if I'm bearish with the highest
878
00:56:58,140 --> 00:57:01,740
gonna be and how far of a Reasonable objective, how low can
879
00:57:01,740 --> 00:57:05,730
go. If it keeps going lower Who cares? Long short it is I
880
00:57:05,730 --> 00:57:07,500
want to have an opportunity to get some kind of range
881
00:57:07,500 --> 00:57:10,470
expansion. In on Wednesday, we can also see that there was
882
00:57:10,470 --> 00:57:14,490
no return back to the opening price on Sunday. Once it moved
883
00:57:14,490 --> 00:57:18,660
away from it on the New York session setup, we accelerated
884
00:57:18,660 --> 00:57:22,020
away from it. So there's a lot of things that took place in
885
00:57:22,020 --> 00:57:26,610
the dollar CAD this week that we have outlined before. They
886
00:57:26,610 --> 00:57:30,300
are hallmarks to the things I've taught you. And we did in
887
00:57:30,300 --> 00:57:33,930
fact runners equal highs out as I mentioned in the higher
888
00:57:33,930 --> 00:57:40,170
timeframe, scenario, and conditions video for this for this
889
00:57:40,200 --> 00:57:42,270
set of videos for 2017.
890
00:57:48,119 --> 00:57:50,939
certainly enjoyed this presentation. If you'd like to find
891
00:57:50,939 --> 00:57:54,449
more, go visit my website at the inner circle trader calm