ICT Market Maker Primer Course - 19 - Target Selection and Profit Objectives.srt
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ICT: Welcome back, folks, this teaching will deal with
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target selection and profit objectives.
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Okay, target selection and profit objectives. The points of
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focus in this module we'll be measuring bullish weekly
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targets were to anticipate weekly highs to form measuring
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bearish weekly targets were to anticipate weekly lows to
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form.
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Okay, folks, we're gonna look at the example as shown in the
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previous teaching,
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weekly bias.
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And we're going to assume again that our analysis led to a
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bullish analysis for this week.
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understudy here.
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And before we even consider running target measurements from
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the intraday price action each day, we have to have a
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premise in mind that sets the tone for this market to be
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bullish ahead the weekly beginning or something's opening.
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So rather scrub over to the left of our price action here.
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You can see we have the impulse like here to the high. So
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we're going to run our fiddle on that. Using the lowest body
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open or close to the highest open body or close. Right
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there, okay. Now, we're going to put some horizontal lines
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in. Because these are objectives that could happen going
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into the new week, because as the market was closing here,
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it started trading on Sunday declined. Monday and Tuesday.
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Creating a beautiful hit on the 70.5 level for optimal trade
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entry.
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And we're going to put it on target one.
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And I'm going to put it on target two
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here.
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And I'm going to put one more symmetrical price swing. So
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these will be our objectives relative to this price swing.
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Okay, since we're trading with a longer term idea in mind,
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we want to be looking for the move beyond this swing high to
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what levels it might reach for, okay, so it's target one,
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target two, and it's a medical pricing. So at that, we're
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going to take the fifth off, and now we can go back zoomed
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in and look at some of the measurements we're going to do.
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One individual days. Now these levels will be in My mind
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going forward based on the previous swing. Okay, so now we
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have a chart back to where it was before. Looking at those
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projections, now we have Sunday's opening here, market drops
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down. Again, I've already mentioned in the weekly bias
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video, I'm not only concerned about Monday's trading, I want
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to see if I'm bullish, a move, moving lower on Tuesday. So
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now we can take a look at some of the measurements in
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addition to and see which ones and why not. So the bulk of
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what I'm going to teach you here is an overlapping or
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confluence of Fibonacci levels in the form of extensions.
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Okay, so, right away, we have this high back here, that
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price has been moving lower from, what I want to do is
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incorporate that with a projection from that low here on
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Tuesday. Up to the highest body open or close here.
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There's actually a little bit right there.
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So I'm looking at the body to body in this price swing, why
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am I measuring this? Because what I'm looking for is the
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movement lower to pick up buy orders. And once this high is
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taken out, how far up will we reach into terms of price
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objectives. Okay, so now start looking for overlaps, or kind
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of close with this target to to this one, but not that
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close. But then we have this level here. And this is where a
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little bit of thoughts gonna have to come in. Because on the
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larger price when we did when we scrubbed over to the left
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side of the chart, and we drew those horizontal lines
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across, we have one target here, and then another target
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here, but look what happens right in the middle of that. We
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have this level here to target to lies directly right in the
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middle of that. So that's like an equilibrium concept. Right
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away, I see that that draws my attention.
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So I'm going to draw Now,
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another horizontal line
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here and I'm going to Change the color of this one to
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delineate why I'm drawing it because this is all going to be
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based on this price swing and everything to the right of it.
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And you'll see what I mean as I go.
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So now I want to take another measurement of this open or
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close to highest one in this swing, keep it anchored to here
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and see if there's any measurement up here that has a
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confluence. Again, this one's a little too far away, but
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look how far away We are here to want to just get on an
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equilibrium. So right away, this is another Confluence. Now
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how far away would I'd be willing to allow price to move?
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About 10 to 15 pips depend upon the type of market structure
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there is. But anything more than 15 pips, I'm not really
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willing to let that be deemed a confluence. If it can be
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less than 10 pips it's even better and in this instance, we
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have 19 to One 819 24 so we're less than five pips real
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close. Okay, and I'll tell you how we can pick a specific
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level in mind once I go through all the possible swings.
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Alright, so we're looking at not this level here and reason
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why I'm not going to use this price swing is because we have
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this low and this low here and then we drop down. So I'm not
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really I'm not concerned about this one. Okay, so I'm not
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interested in this swing at all. This swing is the parent
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price swing, this is a subordinate price swing within the
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overall swing from this low to this high. So even though we
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traded down came back up, it really was a new significance.
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So this low to this high is much more significant. Now we
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can start looking at smaller price swings and the optimal
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trade entry here. Okay, so we have the lowest open or close
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up to the highest open or close in this price swing. Price
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comes down hits the 62% retracement level optimal trade
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entry and we start looking for extensions. Okay? We have the
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300 extension within again, less than 15 pips. So now we
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have another Confluence
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right there.
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And now
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I'm going to measure
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every
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price swing that moves lower. So every price swing down, I'm
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going to measure that. So it's this one here, it's going
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down picking the orders. Why am I looking for that? Because
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I'm looking for the expansion of the upside. Now watch, look
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what happens. Now we start seeing an overlap here. So we
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have one Confluence here at that level, and we also have
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another one right here, but to 500%. Okay, so you can
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already start seeing the grouping that's occurring right
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here.
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This Little price swing here.
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Why is this significant because it comes down and takes out
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an area of
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short term low where,
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but this is catching my eye, this would have caught my eye.
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If we started breaking higher, right away, I'd be looking
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for
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highest by the close.
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I'm sorry, the highest and lowest open or close relative to
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each swing high and low here. And I'd look for another
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extension and we don't need to draw another one because it's
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right on here. It's 200 extension, okay, and there's no
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other, there's really not Confluence that need to be drawn
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here. So we can see that there's room to justify this level
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here. This would be a target, but we have a lot of grouping
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re up in this area here. So now what I'm gonna do is I'm
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going to take that and just
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highlight it.
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Now I don't draw these boxes on here or these rectangles
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when I'm doing this, I look for just the levels and I can
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start keeping an eye on where they're starting to group. Now
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once we have an area where they start to converge, here and
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then over here, right away, we're below that price level as
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we're coming up. So this is going to be a nice object of the
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reach for which is basically the 119 big figure because if
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you want 1898, you can go to more pips just with just a
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spread or chaotic price action will take us right up into
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that 119 big figure. If that trades through then we'd be
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looking for an area in here where all these overlap starts
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to take place. So now I'm gonna take all of the horizontal
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lines off to make a little bit cleaner.
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And we can see that
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the lowest point that that level Confluence started was
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119 24. And then we have the highest point comes in at
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119 35 So you're stuck with the decision rather to go with
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what level are we looking for. And here's your choices, you
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can be conservative and get out at the 20 institutional
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level right before all those conferences agreed. You can get
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119 25 you can get 119 30 round number, or you can hold for
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119 35. Mr. five levels, zero levels, and obviously the
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119 20s institutional level, waiting for the confluence of
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target two. So this has started to one that price when we
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had
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relative to this swing here.
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So all I'm doing is measuring all of the possible overlaps
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of the Fibonacci.
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And looking for an agreement on a specific area, then I'm
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either picking a five level or zero level, the closest I can
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get to an institutional level. Better. Truth be told 119 20
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would be my level. And I'd look for that only. And I would
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miss out on all the remaining portion of the move. And we're
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going to do similar things here. So we have, again, a sell
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idea. So we're looking for Where is going to be the
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objective we would reach for for covering our short
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positions. If we have a bearish weakened mind, what type of
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things will we look for for overlapping for target selection
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and profit objectives? Well, we're gonna be looking for any
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movement up is meant to be gathering several entries to go
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short. So we want to be focusing on that. I will draw him
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up. And first and foremost, I like this swing here. And we
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also have an equal load down here. So right away, I'm
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already thinking if we're bearish on the week, and we're
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lucky enough to get in here and get short on Tuesday. If
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this occurs, my mind thinking 2030 pips below this low or
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equal lows, they're probably gonna want to reach for that.
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And we'll come to that in a minute. But for now, we're going
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to look at the overall price swing there. So we have an
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initial Confluence.
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Quick target one on that parent price swing here.
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So again, the idea is it starts here, it runs higher, they
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sell, they sell more, they sell more. Finally price in the
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weekly high and it starts to break down. We want to see this
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low broken, but how far will it go? It can go to Target one
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or target two.
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Just to save time, we won't add the symmetrical price swing
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but you would add it and you would look for other
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conferences but we had the benefit of hindsight here. So
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we'll stick with that just for purpose of keeping the video
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short. And you'll see that there's conferences that line up
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with this one here a lot. So let me keep both of them and
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train. Okay. So now we can take every price swings. I don't
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like this one because it was part of a consolidation and we
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basically came back in that same area. So I want to look at
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the lowest open or close here, because it's open or close in
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the swing high up here. And right away, we can see another
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symmetrical price swing overlapping. So this is what I'm
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saying. It takes a little bit of work and thinking to figure
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out what level you're gonna be aiming for.
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And now
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we can start doing Fibonacci extensions on the optimal trade
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entries. So we have 300 extension down here, so we can look
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for that level. Right there. And we have another optimal
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trade entry, we're gonna use the bodies of the candle, most
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body candle here and highest open or close on the swing
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here. Thoughtful trade entry sell on Wednesday, leaving the
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opening on the week start to expand, then we have 200
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extension down here, right there. And we're a little too far
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away, in my opinion for this one to align up. So again, all
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the grouping still around this level here. And we're also
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going to look at
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this swing
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right there. To here, so we're looking at the overall price
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swing from this high, down to this low right here is what
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I'm measuring. Why am I doing that because that's the
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biggest dynamic price move. So I want to see if this is
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gonna be replicated And we get that same measurement to
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measure move idea from this high to this low using the body
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says the bulk of the volume, and then projecting it down
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again, will take us right to here. So we have an overlap
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there as well. Okay, so we can see a tight grouping around
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here.
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So we're going to leave
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now no interested with this one here, because it's a lot of
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overlap here. So we're gonna shade in, again,
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this area here, this is going to be the bulk of our
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interest. And I'm going to delete all the other horizontal
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lines will just leave one for target selection purposes.
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Okay, so the top of that shaded area where the uppermost
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overlap occurred, comes in essentially at 126 89. The lower
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one comes in at 2681. So we have a range of eight pips. Not
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bad. So we can look to take our profit again, we're selling
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short this week, in theory, so we're looking at 126 89. So
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above that would be what 126 90 round number, or 126 95,
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which is what I would love, I would love to get there,
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because the lowest portion of that range was down here. So
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if it's going to reach as far as that by our overlapping
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fibs, that means 126 81 could be the low, but then you have
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to factor in the spread dollar CAD, so you may end up
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getting, you know, 2685 that was the year and that's the
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best case scenario. Okay, so 2685 may get you out. If it
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trades
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at 2681.
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You think it's going there and you want to cover you got to
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add your spread to that. So we'll say 2685 would be your
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Your limit. To get out, I want to be out before that, I want
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to be out of 2695 I want to be just a little bit ahead of
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all those overlapping fields because I want to make sure I
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get my price. So I'll always leave a little bit on that's
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why see most of my exits, always have that little bit of a
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tail and move left. I just want to be out. I don't want to
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be in there demanding I get the very lowest low. I can call
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that and make that public and look like a rock star. But I
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am hardly ever really in news moves only to the end because
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I don't trust them. And think about what we're dealing with
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here. We're dealing with Fibonacci, okay. And we're also
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looking at a variance between everyone's delivery price,
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everyone's price is gonna be slightly different. And that's
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the reason why I teach you to use the bulk of the volume
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with the body of the candle and not the wicks. The wicks are
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always going to be slightly off relative to your brokers.
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Okay. And there's a lot more to this that I can teach you by
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way of the mentorship but this is certainly well enough for
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those individuals that can't afford to be part of the
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mentorship but just don't have in mind to ever want to do
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it. That's fine. That's cool. I'm not twisting your arm. But
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I've given you enough here to find reasons to suspect a
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highly probable target for weekly objectives. Until next
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time, wish good luck and good trading. Hopefully you enjoyed
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this presentation. If you'd like to find more, you can visit
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my website at the inner circle trader.com