ICT - If I Knew Then - Part 4 of 4 - How I Would Begin Live Funds.srt
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ICT: Okay, this is part four of the if I
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could go back and tell myself what I
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know now series this is a hypothetical
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conversation with my younger self.
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Alright, so you're looking at all your
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books and such Michael and you're
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preparing your way to get to financial
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freedom. And while you're practicing,
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and the question is going to be is when
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do you leave demo trading or at the time
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when we first started, it was paper
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trading. So when am I ready for live
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funds? It begins with proof of concept.
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proof of concept, you have to show a
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minimum of six months consistency
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managed to keep risk below 3% maximum
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and emotionally whether strings of
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losses
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so went to live demo First and foremost,
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you have to have proof of concept. And
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you're gonna be doing a lot of things,
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you mean buying a lot of books. And I
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wish I could tell you to save all that
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money. Because you're going to have over
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2000 books and less than a dozen of them
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were really worth the time reading. A
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lot of it's going to be regurgitated
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things. So you want to focus on the
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following things. If you do this,
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Michael, you're going to be able to fast
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track your way to get through a lot of
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the hardships that you're that you will
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unknowingly enter yourself into and
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chase and pursue things that are going
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to lead to more loss and confusion. The
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first thing we're going to be focusing
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on is seasonal tendencies. You want to
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ignore the things that Jake Bernstein
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talks about. The more research group
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that puts out seasonal tendencies, this
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person has the best seasonal tendencies
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mrci.com is the website, you're going to
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find that if you stick to that
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gentleman's seasonal tendencies, they're
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going to serve you exceptionally well.
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Quarterly shifts, you're looking for
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moves that move every three to four
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months. Now, the markets always have
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some specific gyration. But focusing
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primarily on the major moves that should
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transpire over the next three to four
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months. If you focus there, you're going
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to find a lot of these mega trades.
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Monthly bias. Try to formulate all of
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the things that you're doing every
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single day to get in sync with the
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monthly bias. What is the monthly by
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select way to do is it likely to trade
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higher is it likely to trade lower
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focusing within that Particular bias
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within a specific quarterly shift within
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a specific seasonal tendency is going to
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give you the highest odds probability of
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success than anything you're going to
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read in any of the books that you buy.
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So, if I could grab you and shake you by
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the lapels, Michael, this is exactly
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what I would stress to you, because
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everything that you're doing prior to
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identifying This is creating the
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problem. All the frustrations, you're
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feeling all the I want to know where
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it's going next. This is the three
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things that helps figure that out for
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you. But it's gonna be years before you
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discern that. But if I could convince
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you right now, this is what I would tell
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you to do. Focus on these top three
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things. Once you have that determined,
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then you can focus on a weekly profile.
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Now if it's bullish, then you're
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expected to have a weekly profile.
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That's bullish at the time of recording,
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your world renowned for knowing and
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teaching how the weekly bias and weekly
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range is typically formed with the
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higher low form generally by Tuesday's
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long and open if not by Wednesday. So if
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you can focus on that seasonal tendency
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that's bullish or bearish, and you're
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looking for that quarterly shift that's
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in align with that seasonal tendency.
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And you have factored into what the
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monthly bias should be in concert with
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those two previous ideas. Your weekly
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profile should be in alignment as well.
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So you're not trying to go against the
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underlying momentum, you're trying to
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get in sync with the institutional order
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flow. Once you identify the seasonal
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tendency, and you're focusing on a
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quarterly shift or a price swing that
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should transpire over the next three to
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four months. And your monthly bias is
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determined to be bullish or bearish
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relative to those seasonal tendencies
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and next quarterly shift and you're
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working with any weekly profile, it's
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bullish or bearish relative to the idea
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of that, what monthly bias and quarterly
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shift and seasonal tendency, the daily
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template. That means what type of day
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are we going to have? Did we just come
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off of a big range day, or a series of
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big range days because we're probably
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going to contract and go into small
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ranges. But if we do go into a small
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range, it's going to be a short term
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event that should lead to a large
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expansion in the direction of the
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monthly bias in expectation is a
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quarterly shift that you're looking for
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and within alignment of the seasonal
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tendency. The Daily template is
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basically your power three concept where
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it's the open, high, low and close
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formation of the daily bar. You're
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looking for accumulation, manipulation
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and distribution.
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You want us spend a lot of time studying
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time of day. Long and open has specific
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characteristics that generally make the
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higher low of the day. Not all the time.
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But most of the time. New York is a
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continuation of whatever has transpired
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in London. Unless you've reached a
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higher timeframe level or key level that
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may introduce a new york session market
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reversal profile. London closes
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typically the opposite end of the daily
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range, or will be opposing the higher
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low formed in London open. Focusing on a
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time of day, within all these specific
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studies are going to put you in the
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highest order of probability doesn't
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mean you're going to not take losses you
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will. But sticking to this in this
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protocol is going to lead to the longest
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stretch of consistency and continuity in
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your trading and you're ever going to
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find doing anything else.
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Minimum six months consistency. Now, I
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understand you're excited. And you see
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there's a lot of things ahead of you,
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Michael. And you've made that plan of
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retiring at 40. And newsflash, you get
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there. But try not to rush profits.
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There's going to be a transition. You
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don't know when it's going to occur. But
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it is when you start trading the bond
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market. The bond market starts serving
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you very well. And then you discover
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that you can do far more per week than
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you could with just one lot by using
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more money management. And the
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enticement is going to be get there
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quicker, get there quicker, and you
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discover the power of compound interest,
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but Don't, at that time, understand the
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depths that it can take you down with.
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It's very powerful, but it's a double
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edged sword. So if I could change your
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mind about something speaking to you
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now, you should do your best to try not
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to be profitable or rush profits. And
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what I mean by that, taking more trades
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than necessary. In other words, your
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trade frequency, Michael, when you first
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start is going to be horrendous. There's
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going to be days where you actually have
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taken 30 entries. And none of them are
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profitable. Because you're going back
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and forth, back and forth, thinking
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you're going to get the right direction,
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right? And it's not going to work out
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for you. This is the reason why you have
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to work with the previous information or
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you work from a macro perspective down.
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If you do that. You will also be more
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controlled over your decision. Making
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and you won't be in a rush to make
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profits. rushing to profit is the
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surest, fastest way to lose money. It
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doesn't feel like it, especially when
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you're buying all these books because
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all these books are sugarcoating
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everything. They're over simplifying
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everything and giving you a false sense
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of security because of these indicators.
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And the indicators are not the secret.
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Those indicators are just the red
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herring and the gimmick that that books
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using to sell. Keep them on the return
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as the focus. Now you're going to be
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trading starting with commodities, and
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you're focusing on the dollar amount,
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how much can I make today? How much
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money can I make this week? And as soon
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as you take that first loss for the
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month, this is when you go into a
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tailspin because you're in a hurry to
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get that back. You don't like taking
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losses and I want you to understand
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something 27 years from now You're going
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to be able to look back and count up an
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enormous amount of money that if you
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collectively add it all up, all of your
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losses are enormous. And there is
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nothing wrong with that, because every
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trader loses. But you got to keep the
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focus on the monthly return. It doesn't
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make a difference if you have three
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losing trading days out of the week, or
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you had no winning positive days for the
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week, but you come out ahead on a
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monthly if your monthly return is
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consistently higher than 1%. You're
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doing exceptionally well. It doesn't
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feel like it. It doesn't sound like it.
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You think that everyone that super elite
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is doing 500% per month because that's
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the impression that these books that
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you're buying and wasting money on
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Michael are giving you. They don't do
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that. They aren't making those types of
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returns. And you want to be able to
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focus primarily on what you've done over
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the course of Four weeks or so. And that
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result in that return is your goal.
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You're not trying to get an everyday
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percentage, you're not trying to get an
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every week percentage. You're looking at
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how you close each month, and this month
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positive because if it's positive,
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that's better than a loss. If you
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continuously do that you're going in the
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right direction. But trying not to rush
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profits and try not to look beyond the
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scope of what your monthly return is.
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Invite the possibility of being wrong. I
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understand obsessive compulsive
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disorder. We struggle with it and we
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still struggle with it in our 40s but I
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want you to understand something
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Michael,
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you are not going to be right 100% of
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the time and early on the first couple
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years. You're spending time trying to
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perfect and eliminate the possibility of
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you being wrong. And it's a farce don't
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do that you're going to waste time doing
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That there is no perfect person, there
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is no perfect trader. And you still,
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with almost three decades of experience,
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I'm speaking to you now, you are still
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not perfect, your exits aren't perfect,
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your entries aren't perfect all the
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time. Perfection is still going to evade
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you, but you do not need perfection when
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you're wrong. Many times that's going to
271
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lead to a more profitable trade or
272
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identifying that you're wrong and
273
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getting out and staying on the sidelines
274
00:12:28,260 --> 00:12:31,800
preserves your capital. by preserving
275
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your capital, you don't go into spending
276
00:12:34,950 --> 00:12:37,140
your mental capital in the mental
277
00:12:37,140 --> 00:12:38,910
capital is how much money you're really
278
00:12:38,910 --> 00:12:41,880
willing to lose. You may have $20,000 in
279
00:12:41,880 --> 00:12:43,590
that trading account, but you're really
280
00:12:43,590 --> 00:12:46,110
not comfortable if you lost 5000 of it.
281
00:12:46,440 --> 00:12:47,760
So what are you really trading with
282
00:12:48,570 --> 00:12:52,140
$5,000 but the $20,000 is just lipstick.
283
00:12:52,410 --> 00:12:55,170
The extra 15,000 is padding you hope you
284
00:12:55,170 --> 00:12:57,660
never go into and as soon as you do,
285
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everything gets abandoned the trailer
286
00:13:00,000 --> 00:13:02,700
Plan, methodology. All of that goes up
287
00:13:02,700 --> 00:13:04,590
door risk management, trade management,
288
00:13:04,950 --> 00:13:07,350
all of it tossed out because now you're
289
00:13:07,350 --> 00:13:10,170
emotional, and you can't act that way.
290
00:13:11,760 --> 00:13:13,530
Invite the possibility of being wrong,
291
00:13:13,590 --> 00:13:16,710
identify the characteristics that leads
292
00:13:16,710 --> 00:13:20,040
to your trade idea being wrong, identify
293
00:13:20,040 --> 00:13:22,110
it before you even put the trade on. So
294
00:13:22,110 --> 00:13:25,350
in other words, what negates the idea
295
00:13:25,740 --> 00:13:29,160
what makes it most likely to fail. If
296
00:13:29,160 --> 00:13:31,350
those trades show signatures of that
297
00:13:31,380 --> 00:13:34,470
occurring, do not hesitate to simply
298
00:13:34,470 --> 00:13:36,660
close the trade, preserve capital. If
299
00:13:36,660 --> 00:13:40,050
you do that, you will be on a fast track
300
00:13:40,050 --> 00:13:44,070
to preserving your mental capacity, your
301
00:13:44,490 --> 00:13:47,010
willingness to stay studying, even
302
00:13:47,010 --> 00:13:49,380
though you're not taking trades. If you
303
00:13:49,380 --> 00:13:50,880
don't do this, you're going to find
304
00:13:50,880 --> 00:13:53,760
yourself going into the longest tailspin
305
00:13:53,760 --> 00:13:57,300
in terms of pursuing something that is
306
00:13:57,300 --> 00:13:59,760
eluding you because you're causing it.
307
00:14:00,540 --> 00:14:02,910
You're trying to be perfect. And it
308
00:14:02,910 --> 00:14:04,920
won't exist, it won't, it won't happen,
309
00:14:04,920 --> 00:14:07,260
you're not going to be there that will
310
00:14:07,260 --> 00:14:12,270
always evade. Avoid chasing parabolic
311
00:14:12,270 --> 00:14:18,180
equity searches. I can recall many of
312
00:14:18,180 --> 00:14:21,630
the things that we did. And there's some
313
00:14:21,630 --> 00:14:24,870
of those instances where it worked out
314
00:14:24,870 --> 00:14:28,230
in our favor. But most of the time, it
315
00:14:28,230 --> 00:14:32,370
didn't. So, avoiding parabolic equity
316
00:14:32,370 --> 00:14:34,680
surges is one of the things that it's
317
00:14:34,680 --> 00:14:35,730
going to be very hard for you because
318
00:14:35,730 --> 00:14:37,830
the first one you get with Chicago Board
319
00:14:37,830 --> 00:14:41,370
trade wheat, that sets the stage for you
320
00:14:41,370 --> 00:14:43,350
thinking that you can do this every
321
00:14:43,350 --> 00:14:45,360
week. And it doesn't work that way.
322
00:14:45,810 --> 00:14:48,930
Avoid trying to allow your account to
323
00:14:48,960 --> 00:14:51,930
grow exponentially with these parabolic
324
00:14:51,930 --> 00:14:54,060
equity surges where you're getting
325
00:14:54,870 --> 00:14:59,190
hundred plus returns quickly. Try not to
326
00:14:59,190 --> 00:15:02,670
do that. Number one, you have to have
327
00:15:02,670 --> 00:15:04,710
the right market conditions. You have to
328
00:15:04,710 --> 00:15:07,050
have everything on point your entry,
329
00:15:07,050 --> 00:15:08,880
your stop your trade management, your
330
00:15:08,880 --> 00:15:12,180
exits, there are so many things that
331
00:15:12,180 --> 00:15:14,370
have to line up for you to deliver with
332
00:15:14,400 --> 00:15:17,700
Olympic level equity surges on a
333
00:15:17,700 --> 00:15:21,870
consistent basis. It's not realistic
334
00:15:22,230 --> 00:15:26,430
going into this. Now. It's going to
335
00:15:26,430 --> 00:15:27,810
eventually get to the point where you
336
00:15:27,810 --> 00:15:29,850
can see these things and predict them.
337
00:15:30,060 --> 00:15:32,400
But it won't be in the first few years.
338
00:15:33,450 --> 00:15:34,860
You're going to make the mistake in
339
00:15:34,860 --> 00:15:35,940
believing that you're better than you
340
00:15:35,940 --> 00:15:40,020
really are far before you really get on
341
00:15:40,020 --> 00:15:41,220
what it is you should be doing as a
342
00:15:41,220 --> 00:15:45,810
trader. Reduce leverage when taking
343
00:15:45,810 --> 00:15:48,960
losses. Now this is something that I can
344
00:15:48,960 --> 00:15:51,810
remember we did very poorly, when we
345
00:15:51,810 --> 00:15:55,860
would take losses. You would increase
346
00:15:56,490 --> 00:15:58,260
the amount of contracts trying to
347
00:15:58,260 --> 00:16:00,420
recapture and get more equity. Back in
348
00:16:00,420 --> 00:16:02,640
the account, because we didn't like the
349
00:16:02,640 --> 00:16:04,110
way it felt when money was taken out,
350
00:16:04,200 --> 00:16:05,730
not only did we not like the fact that
351
00:16:05,730 --> 00:16:08,580
we were wrong, but we didn't like the
352
00:16:08,580 --> 00:16:10,140
fact that we were wrong and we were
353
00:16:10,440 --> 00:16:15,720
robbed of equity. And we personify that
354
00:16:16,680 --> 00:16:18,960
and made it someone or something that
355
00:16:18,960 --> 00:16:21,930
we're going to get revenge on. And that
356
00:16:22,020 --> 00:16:24,090
I can look back and say that that was
357
00:16:24,180 --> 00:16:27,900
90% of the biggest losses and the
358
00:16:27,900 --> 00:16:30,870
biggest and longest streaks of losing
359
00:16:30,870 --> 00:16:33,540
trades were linked to that very thing.
360
00:16:36,090 --> 00:16:38,850
If we would have just simply reduced the
361
00:16:38,850 --> 00:16:41,070
leverage. For instance, if we were
362
00:16:41,070 --> 00:16:43,890
trading 10 contracts of the standard
363
00:16:43,890 --> 00:16:45,180
Poor's futures contract,
364
00:16:45,810 --> 00:16:49,110
and we took a loss of 2%. The next trade
365
00:16:49,170 --> 00:16:53,730
should be five lots. And if we take a
366
00:16:53,730 --> 00:16:56,970
loss there, next trade should be to lots
367
00:16:57,930 --> 00:17:00,000
and keep reducing until you make 50%
368
00:17:00,000 --> 00:17:02,910
Have a previous loss back, then you can
369
00:17:02,910 --> 00:17:05,220
go back up one scale in the money
370
00:17:05,220 --> 00:17:06,870
management and risk trade management.
371
00:17:08,130 --> 00:17:10,020
But if you don't do this, you're going
372
00:17:10,020 --> 00:17:13,560
to have a wild roller coaster equity
373
00:17:13,560 --> 00:17:15,840
swings and many accounts being dusted.
374
00:17:16,980 --> 00:17:19,080
If you don't do this, you're not going
375
00:17:19,080 --> 00:17:21,060
to build in plateaus and your equity,
376
00:17:22,200 --> 00:17:23,340
there's going to be a series of winning
377
00:17:23,340 --> 00:17:25,050
trades. And then what's going to
378
00:17:25,050 --> 00:17:26,490
eventually come that you don't like to
379
00:17:26,580 --> 00:17:28,680
admit, it's going to be a losing trade
380
00:17:28,680 --> 00:17:31,680
or two or three. And if you keep risking
381
00:17:31,680 --> 00:17:34,080
the same amount, your equity drawdown is
382
00:17:34,080 --> 00:17:36,240
going to be notable and horrendous if
383
00:17:36,240 --> 00:17:39,300
you don't control yourself. So you want
384
00:17:39,300 --> 00:17:41,040
to reduce the leverage after taking
385
00:17:41,040 --> 00:17:43,860
losses because then the inevitable is
386
00:17:43,860 --> 00:17:44,730
going to happen. You're gonna have a
387
00:17:44,730 --> 00:17:46,560
series of losses. But if you keep
388
00:17:46,560 --> 00:17:51,150
risking 2% 2% 2% 2% it's going to have
389
00:17:51,330 --> 00:17:54,450
greater impact on the drawdown that you
390
00:17:54,450 --> 00:17:57,060
suffer. And it's much more work on your
391
00:17:57,060 --> 00:18:03,960
part to recapture that. Be patient will
392
00:18:03,960 --> 00:18:08,460
draw down recovery. Losing still sucks.
393
00:18:08,880 --> 00:18:10,710
When you get stopped out, it's not fun.
394
00:18:10,920 --> 00:18:12,450
But it's a business transaction,
395
00:18:12,660 --> 00:18:16,350
eventually, around late 20s, you're
396
00:18:16,350 --> 00:18:18,510
going to see it as just that. It still
397
00:18:18,510 --> 00:18:20,040
won't feel good. And you'll hate that
398
00:18:20,040 --> 00:18:22,470
you have them. But you'll come to grips
399
00:18:22,470 --> 00:18:24,780
with a little bit. But be patient
400
00:18:24,780 --> 00:18:26,040
withdrawal data recovery. In other
401
00:18:26,040 --> 00:18:28,050
words, don't rush to get it back. If you
402
00:18:28,050 --> 00:18:30,390
have a day trade or two, that shares a
403
00:18:30,390 --> 00:18:33,330
net loss for the day, stop the next
404
00:18:33,330 --> 00:18:35,400
trading day. It's very easy to start
405
00:18:35,430 --> 00:18:37,620
building that back up and don't try to
406
00:18:37,620 --> 00:18:40,800
get it back in one trade. You have made
407
00:18:40,800 --> 00:18:43,170
so many errors I can tell you right now,
408
00:18:43,530 --> 00:18:46,020
at least three dozen of them and they
409
00:18:46,020 --> 00:18:50,730
were all in soybeans. Those trades ended
410
00:18:50,730 --> 00:18:53,370
up being parlayed into huge losses and
411
00:18:53,370 --> 00:18:55,530
to lost accounts. You killed two
412
00:18:55,530 --> 00:18:59,670
accounts. You don't see it yet. Oh, but
413
00:18:59,670 --> 00:19:02,640
it's coming. You will have blown to
414
00:19:02,820 --> 00:19:05,700
futures accounts trading the soybean
415
00:19:05,700 --> 00:19:08,760
market, because you're trying to get
416
00:19:08,760 --> 00:19:11,790
back your losses, and you get caught in
417
00:19:11,790 --> 00:19:14,580
a couple limit moves. And you can't get
418
00:19:14,580 --> 00:19:17,010
out of those. And you end up suffering
419
00:19:17,010 --> 00:19:18,870
and blowing out the account. Because you
420
00:19:18,870 --> 00:19:22,320
are not being patient. You're not going
421
00:19:22,320 --> 00:19:28,170
to be patient. And you suffer the draw
422
00:19:28,170 --> 00:19:32,940
down. And the recovery of it is not only
423
00:19:32,940 --> 00:19:35,070
timeline basis. In other words, there's
424
00:19:35,070 --> 00:19:37,710
no deadline that you have to meet to get
425
00:19:37,710 --> 00:19:41,580
that money back. Immediate is what you
426
00:19:41,580 --> 00:19:43,800
feel like it has to be, but that's the
427
00:19:43,800 --> 00:19:46,860
trap. That's the trap. You have to avoid
428
00:19:46,860 --> 00:19:49,590
that. Michael, if you don't listen to
429
00:19:49,590 --> 00:19:52,140
me, you're going to find yourself
430
00:19:52,470 --> 00:19:57,330
chasing loss after loss after loss and
431
00:19:57,330 --> 00:19:58,710
you're not going to be thinking clearly
432
00:19:58,920 --> 00:20:01,260
you're going to get even more insanely
433
00:20:01,260 --> 00:20:03,390
re in raged, okay. It's what it's going
434
00:20:03,390 --> 00:20:06,510
to become. Because you think that the
435
00:20:06,510 --> 00:20:07,800
brokers on the other side clicking
436
00:20:07,800 --> 00:20:11,340
buttons just to get you and I can tell
437
00:20:11,340 --> 00:20:14,010
you honestly, looking back, you were
438
00:20:14,010 --> 00:20:16,410
just doing it wrong and doing it wrong a
439
00:20:16,410 --> 00:20:21,420
lot and very frequently pursuing
440
00:20:21,420 --> 00:20:25,320
something that is very easily accepted.
441
00:20:25,710 --> 00:20:28,440
Take the loss, go home for the day and
442
00:20:28,440 --> 00:20:31,890
see what happens tomorrow. If you don't
443
00:20:31,890 --> 00:20:36,180
do that, you're going to dust multiple
444
00:20:36,180 --> 00:20:36,720
accounts
445
00:20:44,370 --> 00:20:46,440
managed to keep risk below 3% maximum.
446
00:20:49,530 --> 00:20:52,890
Avoid large risk for large wins. Now,
447
00:20:53,790 --> 00:20:56,760
when you first start trading, you're
448
00:20:56,760 --> 00:20:58,290
going to read a couple things in
449
00:20:58,710 --> 00:21:01,860
commodity magazine. And it's going to
450
00:21:01,860 --> 00:21:03,840
inspire you to trade with a little bit
451
00:21:03,840 --> 00:21:07,050
larger risk. And you're going to pull
452
00:21:07,050 --> 00:21:08,970
out your calculator, and you're gonna be
453
00:21:08,970 --> 00:21:10,920
sitting at lunch while at work. And
454
00:21:10,920 --> 00:21:12,630
you're gonna think if I take my account,
455
00:21:12,840 --> 00:21:18,300
and I risk 810 12% per trade, I can do
456
00:21:18,300 --> 00:21:21,090
this or that in the time of the end of
457
00:21:21,090 --> 00:21:23,280
the month. If I do that 12 months in a
458
00:21:23,280 --> 00:21:26,790
row, I'll be able to buy this or that.
459
00:21:28,380 --> 00:21:34,710
Don't do that. Avoid large risk. You're
460
00:21:34,710 --> 00:21:36,390
not going to be consistent in the
461
00:21:36,390 --> 00:21:38,580
beginning. You think you are because the
462
00:21:38,580 --> 00:21:41,280
books that you bought are telling you
463
00:21:41,490 --> 00:21:43,230
that it's just simply just do this, do
464
00:21:43,230 --> 00:21:44,730
that and when the indicator says this,
465
00:21:44,730 --> 00:21:45,870
that's when you buy them an indicator
466
00:21:45,870 --> 00:21:48,450
says this, you sell and you're going to
467
00:21:48,450 --> 00:21:49,890
find out very quickly that this doesn't
468
00:21:49,890 --> 00:21:52,710
work that way. It's it's not that easy.
469
00:21:55,170 --> 00:22:00,000
Expect to make velocity your edge after
470
00:22:00,000 --> 00:22:03,690
spending almost 28 years doing this, I
471
00:22:03,690 --> 00:22:06,600
can tell you everyone still thinks that
472
00:22:06,780 --> 00:22:10,920
having a large are multiple. Okay or
473
00:22:10,920 --> 00:22:13,620
risk reward model is the secret. And
474
00:22:13,620 --> 00:22:15,660
that's not the secret. The secret is
475
00:22:15,840 --> 00:22:19,110
velocity doing something over and over
476
00:22:19,110 --> 00:22:21,660
and over again, that has a unexpected
477
00:22:21,660 --> 00:22:24,420
result that is high in probability and
478
00:22:24,420 --> 00:22:27,840
flipping the equity. That's velocity.
479
00:22:29,520 --> 00:22:33,780
You will in your mid 30s, discover how
480
00:22:34,020 --> 00:22:37,230
you can take the same account balance.
481
00:22:38,070 --> 00:22:40,290
And while other traders and other
482
00:22:40,290 --> 00:22:42,570
methodology may be focusing on trying to
483
00:22:42,570 --> 00:22:46,770
get 10 to one or more, you can do
484
00:22:46,770 --> 00:22:50,430
exceptionally well doing one to one two
485
00:22:50,430 --> 00:22:54,330
to one because you can use the lower
486
00:22:54,330 --> 00:22:56,940
timeframes that you don't appreciate
487
00:22:56,940 --> 00:23:00,000
right now. But they are the same market
488
00:23:00,840 --> 00:23:05,850
with dozens of setups per day, but
489
00:23:05,850 --> 00:23:07,260
you're not in a position when you first
490
00:23:07,260 --> 00:23:09,330
start, did start doing those types of
491
00:23:09,330 --> 00:23:12,450
trades. It's going to be a little bit
492
00:23:12,450 --> 00:23:14,970
time before you understand that but
493
00:23:15,360 --> 00:23:18,240
velocity and turning over the equity
494
00:23:18,270 --> 00:23:21,780
without risking a lot. That beats every
495
00:23:21,780 --> 00:23:24,150
race, it beats every trading contest. It
496
00:23:24,150 --> 00:23:28,020
beats every thing, period, because
497
00:23:28,020 --> 00:23:32,220
you're using the rate of turnover in the
498
00:23:32,220 --> 00:23:34,680
equity, because you're taking more
499
00:23:34,680 --> 00:23:37,410
frequency. And you're looking at a
500
00:23:37,410 --> 00:23:40,200
result that is measurable. It's a
501
00:23:40,200 --> 00:23:42,750
repeating reoccurring pattern that forms
502
00:23:42,810 --> 00:23:44,280
every single day multiple times
503
00:23:44,280 --> 00:23:47,940
intraday. So it's not that you want to
504
00:23:47,940 --> 00:23:50,280
take a larger risk to make bigger money,
505
00:23:50,310 --> 00:23:54,030
you want to take surgical strikes, and
506
00:23:54,030 --> 00:23:57,090
parlay the account up using velocity and
507
00:23:57,090 --> 00:24:00,570
it's just a higher frequency trade. The
508
00:24:00,570 --> 00:24:03,660
same reoccurring pattern, want to lower
509
00:24:03,660 --> 00:24:06,810
timeframe. And while other traders are
510
00:24:06,810 --> 00:24:09,330
waiting for their 10 to 121 30 to one,
511
00:24:10,740 --> 00:24:13,530
that money can only make whatever the
512
00:24:13,530 --> 00:24:15,840
maximum, our multiple is going to be for
513
00:24:15,840 --> 00:24:18,450
it. But within those long or higher
514
00:24:18,450 --> 00:24:20,760
timeframe price swings, you're going to
515
00:24:20,760 --> 00:24:23,490
be in there, moving back and forth, both
516
00:24:23,490 --> 00:24:25,410
directions, most of the money being
517
00:24:25,920 --> 00:24:27,030
allocated to the side of the
518
00:24:27,030 --> 00:24:29,910
marketplace, it's going to move in, and
519
00:24:30,150 --> 00:24:32,880
still trading counter trend intraday
520
00:24:33,060 --> 00:24:35,310
with less than the risk that you're
521
00:24:35,310 --> 00:24:36,840
using when you're trading in sync with
522
00:24:36,840 --> 00:24:40,440
the market. And you will destroy the 10
523
00:24:40,440 --> 00:24:43,290
to 121 31 are multiple type trading
524
00:24:43,290 --> 00:24:46,530
models. It's simple math, but you're
525
00:24:46,530 --> 00:24:48,150
going to be distracted Michael, by all
526
00:24:48,150 --> 00:24:50,220
these books and all these things.
527
00:24:50,700 --> 00:24:52,680
They're going to draw your attention
528
00:24:52,680 --> 00:24:55,290
away from the simplest of things. Is it
529
00:24:55,290 --> 00:24:56,910
going on at all? Is it going to go down?
530
00:24:57,300 --> 00:24:59,100
How far is going to go up? How far is it
531
00:24:59,100 --> 00:25:01,320
going to go down? At what point is it
532
00:25:01,410 --> 00:25:02,850
incorrect and I want to be out of the
533
00:25:02,850 --> 00:25:07,110
trade. Now, that same criteria just
534
00:25:07,110 --> 00:25:08,640
applied to a one minute or five minute
535
00:25:08,640 --> 00:25:12,120
chart, you can take that same equity and
536
00:25:12,120 --> 00:25:14,640
flip it over and over and over and over
537
00:25:14,640 --> 00:25:19,230
again. within the span of, say a weekly
538
00:25:19,230 --> 00:25:21,390
range, it takes five candles to form.
539
00:25:22,710 --> 00:25:26,370
You may have 30 to 40 trades for the
540
00:25:26,370 --> 00:25:28,050
course of the week, and they're all one
541
00:25:28,050 --> 00:25:31,140
minute setups. But if each one of those
542
00:25:31,140 --> 00:25:37,800
pay out 2% minimum nothing's going to
543
00:25:37,800 --> 00:25:41,670
keep up with that. Consider the
544
00:25:41,670 --> 00:25:43,230
negatives of forcing setups.
545
00:25:45,570 --> 00:25:47,130
Your impatience Michael in the
546
00:25:47,130 --> 00:25:48,690
beginning, because the first trade you
547
00:25:48,690 --> 00:25:51,060
put on, you lose 50% of your activity
548
00:25:51,600 --> 00:25:53,580
and your trading options and you didn't
549
00:25:53,910 --> 00:25:56,340
fully understand what you're doing. And
550
00:25:56,940 --> 00:25:59,700
option trading is not just simply being
551
00:25:59,700 --> 00:26:01,200
right On the marketplace, you have to
552
00:26:01,200 --> 00:26:04,140
beat the time decay as well. You'll
553
00:26:04,140 --> 00:26:05,820
learn about that later on with some
554
00:26:05,820 --> 00:26:08,310
pain. But consider the negatives of
555
00:26:08,310 --> 00:26:10,350
forcing the setups because you're going
556
00:26:10,350 --> 00:26:12,360
to try to force it, you're going to have
557
00:26:12,360 --> 00:26:13,860
a level that you want to be buying it,
558
00:26:13,890 --> 00:26:16,560
but you are impatient. And you're going
559
00:26:16,560 --> 00:26:20,340
to try to buy it ahead of time. And that
560
00:26:20,370 --> 00:26:25,020
is a problem. Because you aren't very
561
00:26:25,140 --> 00:26:27,690
versed in proper stock placement. In the
562
00:26:27,690 --> 00:26:30,780
beginning, Michael, you're going to have
563
00:26:30,780 --> 00:26:32,760
your stock too tight because you don't
564
00:26:32,760 --> 00:26:35,160
want to risk a lot of money. But you are
565
00:26:35,160 --> 00:26:38,280
risking 5% on the trade, and that's too
566
00:26:38,280 --> 00:26:41,010
much. You're risking way too much. But
567
00:26:41,010 --> 00:26:43,290
you're forcing the entry sooner than it
568
00:26:43,290 --> 00:26:46,890
should be taken. And it is done at a
569
00:26:46,890 --> 00:26:48,930
time where you're using the maximum
570
00:26:48,930 --> 00:26:51,510
amount of leverage which strangles the
571
00:26:51,510 --> 00:26:52,710
trade because you have to have a very
572
00:26:52,710 --> 00:26:56,220
short, tight stop in a trade that you
573
00:26:56,250 --> 00:26:58,980
entered too soon. Before the level you
574
00:26:58,980 --> 00:27:02,010
want to buy in So, when you're doing
575
00:27:02,010 --> 00:27:05,730
that, you're convincing yourself that
576
00:27:05,730 --> 00:27:08,430
you're going to be right. And ignoring
577
00:27:08,970 --> 00:27:10,860
all of the things that you're doing
578
00:27:10,860 --> 00:27:15,240
wrong that is inviting failure. You have
579
00:27:15,240 --> 00:27:17,730
to consider the negatives of it. What is
580
00:27:17,760 --> 00:27:19,530
the impact of that? Number one, you're
581
00:27:19,590 --> 00:27:22,320
teaching yourself that not following the
582
00:27:22,320 --> 00:27:26,940
rules is okay. That trading ahead of the
583
00:27:26,940 --> 00:27:30,810
level before it's made a touch or a
584
00:27:30,810 --> 00:27:34,140
retest to it. That that's normal. That's
585
00:27:34,140 --> 00:27:35,430
something you should be doing when it
586
00:27:35,430 --> 00:27:37,650
doesn't fit within the model. If you've
587
00:27:37,830 --> 00:27:39,900
identified a level and you want to buy
588
00:27:39,900 --> 00:27:41,490
at that level, why are you buying before
589
00:27:41,490 --> 00:27:44,790
the levels hit? Because you're forcing
590
00:27:44,790 --> 00:27:46,710
the trade. you're impatient. You want to
591
00:27:46,710 --> 00:27:47,970
get in because you're afraid that you're
592
00:27:47,970 --> 00:27:49,800
going to miss the move. It might not hit
593
00:27:49,800 --> 00:27:52,200
your level. Well, guess what? So what?
594
00:27:53,220 --> 00:27:56,160
There's going to be 10s of thousands of
595
00:27:56,160 --> 00:28:00,450
trades in your career, and your Not
596
00:28:00,480 --> 00:28:06,090
going to miss the big moneymaker.
597
00:28:06,690 --> 00:28:10,170
Because of not getting in early. Getting
598
00:28:10,170 --> 00:28:12,720
in early is always always I can tell you
599
00:28:12,720 --> 00:28:15,570
now looking back has always been an
600
00:28:15,570 --> 00:28:19,350
error. Always. It never works out in our
601
00:28:19,350 --> 00:28:24,600
favor. So don't do it. Taking partials
602
00:28:24,600 --> 00:28:26,940
is the best thing you will ever do. And
603
00:28:26,940 --> 00:28:30,420
I'll say it again. Taking partials is
604
00:28:30,420 --> 00:28:33,570
the best thing that you're ever going to
605
00:28:33,570 --> 00:28:37,860
do, Michael, the biggest hurdle in your
606
00:28:37,980 --> 00:28:42,090
development is being comfortable with
607
00:28:42,090 --> 00:28:45,060
holding the trade. You're going to
608
00:28:45,060 --> 00:28:47,070
struggle with that. It's going to cause
609
00:28:47,070 --> 00:28:48,870
anxiety. You're going to have heart
610
00:28:48,870 --> 00:28:50,310
palpitations, you're going to have
611
00:28:50,490 --> 00:28:51,750
shortness of breath, you're going to
612
00:28:51,780 --> 00:28:52,860
feel like you're going to faint a couple
613
00:28:52,860 --> 00:28:54,300
times you're going to vomit a couple
614
00:28:54,300 --> 00:28:56,310
times, because some of the trades that
615
00:28:56,310 --> 00:28:59,700
you're in in the s&p are huge and this
616
00:28:59,700 --> 00:29:03,630
discussion little tick is making you go
617
00:29:03,630 --> 00:29:06,780
nuts. wait around for it, it happens.
618
00:29:08,640 --> 00:29:12,330
But taking partials off, while the trade
619
00:29:12,330 --> 00:29:16,860
is developing, number one, it feels good
620
00:29:16,890 --> 00:29:19,590
to take something off. It feels good.
621
00:29:20,190 --> 00:29:21,750
And it feels like you're doing something
622
00:29:21,750 --> 00:29:23,100
because even when you're in a trade
623
00:29:23,100 --> 00:29:24,960
that's winning, you're going to find
624
00:29:24,960 --> 00:29:29,010
that it is like holding on to a
625
00:29:29,010 --> 00:29:31,050
motorcycle at 200 plus miles an hour.
626
00:29:32,130 --> 00:29:35,610
It's it's a incredible rush. But you'll
627
00:29:35,610 --> 00:29:38,370
also want to ride the end sometimes
628
00:29:38,400 --> 00:29:40,680
quickly. And when you get in a trade,
629
00:29:41,040 --> 00:29:43,470
and it's moving in your favor, you want
630
00:29:43,470 --> 00:29:45,030
to get there quick, you want to get
631
00:29:45,030 --> 00:29:46,470
there and get you out of the trade and
632
00:29:46,470 --> 00:29:47,730
profit because you don't like the
633
00:29:47,730 --> 00:29:49,470
discomfort of not knowing if it's gonna
634
00:29:49,470 --> 00:29:52,590
hit your target. So the way you're going
635
00:29:52,590 --> 00:29:55,650
to best deal with that and have the
636
00:29:55,650 --> 00:29:57,960
ability to hold on to the trade longer
637
00:29:57,960 --> 00:30:00,300
into fruition or to get stopped out. Cuz
638
00:30:00,300 --> 00:30:04,560
that's part of the plan too. You have to
639
00:30:04,560 --> 00:30:06,630
take something off. So if the trade
640
00:30:06,630 --> 00:30:08,730
moves 10 points in your favor, take 10
641
00:30:08,730 --> 00:30:11,820
points off with something. Even if it's
642
00:30:11,820 --> 00:30:14,220
one contract or one lot, take something
643
00:30:14,220 --> 00:30:16,830
off. It feels good. It's that cookie
644
00:30:16,830 --> 00:30:19,620
that reward. When it moves a little bit
645
00:30:19,620 --> 00:30:22,980
more, take something off again. And
646
00:30:22,980 --> 00:30:25,350
you're going to find by doing that, it
647
00:30:25,350 --> 00:30:28,710
helps alleviate the pain and uncertainty
648
00:30:28,710 --> 00:30:30,480
of holding on to that trade until it
649
00:30:30,480 --> 00:30:34,920
gets to your profit objective. Taking
650
00:30:34,920 --> 00:30:37,170
partials reduces risk while paying.
651
00:30:39,750 --> 00:30:41,100
You're going to worry in the beginning
652
00:30:41,130 --> 00:30:42,660
about getting stopped out all the time.
653
00:30:43,080 --> 00:30:44,250
And you're going to do a lot of
654
00:30:44,250 --> 00:30:46,140
acrobatics. With your your stop loss,
655
00:30:46,140 --> 00:30:47,160
you're going to move it back when you
656
00:30:47,160 --> 00:30:48,930
think it's dropping against you. or
657
00:30:48,930 --> 00:30:50,700
raise it up when it's rising back up
658
00:30:50,700 --> 00:30:52,770
towards your stop. And you're going to
659
00:30:52,770 --> 00:30:54,780
drive yourself crazy doing that you have
660
00:30:54,780 --> 00:30:56,190
to commit to whatever your stop is going
661
00:30:56,190 --> 00:30:57,810
to be based on sound money management
662
00:30:57,810 --> 00:31:01,080
and risk and Once the trade starts
663
00:31:01,080 --> 00:31:03,150
moving in your favor, take partials off.
664
00:31:03,390 --> 00:31:05,550
By doing that, not only does it fund you
665
00:31:05,550 --> 00:31:09,060
as the trader, but it also reduces the
666
00:31:09,060 --> 00:31:10,830
risk. Because every time you take
667
00:31:10,830 --> 00:31:12,570
something off, you're reducing the
668
00:31:12,570 --> 00:31:14,490
exposure to your account and your and
669
00:31:14,490 --> 00:31:17,250
your mental capital will withstand. So
670
00:31:17,250 --> 00:31:19,860
you have to constantly manage not only
671
00:31:19,860 --> 00:31:21,480
the trade, but you have to manage the
672
00:31:21,480 --> 00:31:24,570
trader. And it's expectation, your
673
00:31:24,570 --> 00:31:27,150
expectation is you put the trade on
674
00:31:27,150 --> 00:31:29,340
because you want to be profitable. So
675
00:31:29,340 --> 00:31:32,220
what's the best thing that you can do as
676
00:31:32,220 --> 00:31:33,810
a trader, when the trades in profit,
677
00:31:34,530 --> 00:31:37,710
take something off, don't be fearful and
678
00:31:37,710 --> 00:31:40,230
don't allow greed to say I have to hold
679
00:31:40,230 --> 00:31:42,060
on for everything. It's all or nothing,
680
00:31:42,270 --> 00:31:43,260
because I'm going to tell you, Michael,
681
00:31:43,260 --> 00:31:44,670
when you do that, the first couple
682
00:31:44,670 --> 00:31:46,140
years, you're going to be in some
683
00:31:46,140 --> 00:31:48,930
trades. For instance, coffee, you're
684
00:31:48,930 --> 00:31:50,010
going to be holding on to a coffee
685
00:31:50,010 --> 00:31:52,800
trade. That's going to move a lot. It's
686
00:31:52,800 --> 00:31:58,080
going to move a lot and $35,000 turns
687
00:31:58,080 --> 00:32:01,500
into an $8,000 loss. Because you wanted
688
00:32:01,500 --> 00:32:05,790
to get your full target. You have to
689
00:32:05,790 --> 00:32:08,520
listen. You have to listen to this. If
690
00:32:08,520 --> 00:32:10,020
you don't do these things, Michael,
691
00:32:10,020 --> 00:32:12,480
you're going to regret it. Taking
692
00:32:12,480 --> 00:32:13,890
partials is the best thing you're ever
693
00:32:13,890 --> 00:32:16,950
going to do. And taking partials reduces
694
00:32:16,950 --> 00:32:21,510
risk while paying you. Ignore
695
00:32:21,510 --> 00:32:25,560
unprofitable traders advice on risk. If
696
00:32:25,560 --> 00:32:29,220
someone that you read if someone that
697
00:32:29,220 --> 00:32:32,610
you listen to says anything against
698
00:32:32,610 --> 00:32:35,970
what's being said to you right here, I
699
00:32:35,970 --> 00:32:37,530
would put a million dollars on them not
700
00:32:37,530 --> 00:32:41,100
being a profitable trader. Chances are
701
00:32:41,130 --> 00:32:42,720
they have no idea what it is to be
702
00:32:42,720 --> 00:32:44,610
consistent. They probably had hit and
703
00:32:44,610 --> 00:32:49,860
miss type results, but consistent. Long
704
00:32:49,860 --> 00:32:52,980
term trading results come by way of
705
00:32:53,310 --> 00:32:56,160
funding the positions and funding the
706
00:32:56,160 --> 00:32:59,040
trader or as we say it today, pay the
707
00:32:59,040 --> 00:33:02,340
trader If you don't do those things,
708
00:33:02,370 --> 00:33:04,110
there's nothing guaranteed like that
709
00:33:04,110 --> 00:33:05,490
your trades gonna hit your target.
710
00:33:06,390 --> 00:33:08,520
There's absolutely nothing guaranteeing
711
00:33:08,520 --> 00:33:11,580
that and the volatility in today's
712
00:33:11,580 --> 00:33:14,820
world, which, at the time of this
713
00:33:14,820 --> 00:33:16,950
recording, we've seen some pretty
714
00:33:17,070 --> 00:33:22,350
dramatic volatility and your trades
715
00:33:22,410 --> 00:33:24,780
every time you put them on, there's no
716
00:33:24,780 --> 00:33:26,550
guarantee that you're going to hit your
717
00:33:26,550 --> 00:33:29,400
objective. So you have to get to the
718
00:33:29,400 --> 00:33:31,740
point where you trust yourself and you
719
00:33:31,740 --> 00:33:33,450
don't rely on other people's advice
720
00:33:33,480 --> 00:33:35,880
about risk because their advice about
721
00:33:35,880 --> 00:33:39,870
your risk is free to them. There's no
722
00:33:39,870 --> 00:33:41,970
exposure, and the advice they're giving
723
00:33:41,970 --> 00:33:45,450
you probably isn't sound. So stick to
724
00:33:45,450 --> 00:33:48,480
what I'm telling you here. commit to it,
725
00:33:48,780 --> 00:33:52,080
and own it. Your losses are your losses,
726
00:33:52,350 --> 00:33:54,660
your wins are your wins. No one else can
727
00:33:54,660 --> 00:33:56,340
take credit for it, and you shouldn't
728
00:33:56,340 --> 00:33:57,120
try to share credit
729
00:34:05,700 --> 00:34:08,310
Whether a series of consecutive losses,
730
00:34:11,100 --> 00:34:13,470
taking losses is normal Michael, it
731
00:34:13,470 --> 00:34:16,620
doesn't feel good. It sucks. But
732
00:34:16,860 --> 00:34:19,530
unfortunately, there's simply no way
733
00:34:19,530 --> 00:34:21,870
around it. Every trader loses money.
734
00:34:22,380 --> 00:34:23,970
Every trader suffers drawdown.
735
00:34:24,480 --> 00:34:27,930
professional traders manage how much and
736
00:34:28,350 --> 00:34:30,150
they understand they don't know how long
737
00:34:30,150 --> 00:34:31,710
it's going to take before it turns to
738
00:34:31,920 --> 00:34:33,600
equity around in other words, the
739
00:34:33,600 --> 00:34:40,650
recovery you will lose fortunes. Expect
740
00:34:40,650 --> 00:34:44,010
the pain. The faster you can accept this
741
00:34:44,010 --> 00:34:45,720
Michael and warm up to the idea that
742
00:34:45,720 --> 00:34:49,200
imperfection is normal. It's absolutely
743
00:34:49,290 --> 00:34:51,600
normal. And there's going to be booked
744
00:34:51,600 --> 00:34:53,220
as you're going to buy. It's going to
745
00:34:53,220 --> 00:34:55,230
sound like it's the best book in the
746
00:34:55,230 --> 00:34:57,240
world. You're going to buy courses and
747
00:34:57,240 --> 00:34:58,260
it's going to sound like you're going to
748
00:34:58,260 --> 00:35:01,500
get riches on told, this isn't a
749
00:35:01,500 --> 00:35:04,500
volunteer account, all of that stuff is
750
00:35:04,500 --> 00:35:07,440
nonsense. You're going to lose money,
751
00:35:07,770 --> 00:35:09,420
and you're going to have losing streaks.
752
00:35:09,840 --> 00:35:12,480
And the amount of money if we could
753
00:35:12,510 --> 00:35:14,700
total all up and look back, it's
754
00:35:14,700 --> 00:35:18,690
enormous. But it didn't kill you. It
755
00:35:18,690 --> 00:35:20,940
didn't take you out of the game. It did
756
00:35:20,940 --> 00:35:23,580
not defeat you. It beat you up a couple
757
00:35:23,580 --> 00:35:26,070
times pretty bad and your ego is bruised
758
00:35:26,070 --> 00:35:30,180
for well. Truth be told, I still feel a
759
00:35:30,180 --> 00:35:33,120
little pain from it. But you're going to
760
00:35:33,120 --> 00:35:35,940
have to accept the fact that losing
761
00:35:35,940 --> 00:35:39,390
streaks do occur. Now, it's been a long
762
00:35:39,390 --> 00:35:42,720
time since I had 10 losses in a row. But
763
00:35:42,720 --> 00:35:44,850
you're going to have those and there's
764
00:35:44,850 --> 00:35:46,470
nothing wrong with it because it helps
765
00:35:46,470 --> 00:35:50,220
you number one respect risk. Because no
766
00:35:50,220 --> 00:35:53,790
one is exempt from being wrong. I still
767
00:35:53,790 --> 00:35:55,950
get it wrong. And you're going to get it
768
00:35:55,950 --> 00:35:58,200
wrong a lot in the beginning. Prepare
769
00:35:58,200 --> 00:36:02,340
for that. Multiple losses does not prove
770
00:36:02,550 --> 00:36:06,060
it is broken. Your trading method is not
771
00:36:06,090 --> 00:36:09,660
decided in terms of effectiveness. If
772
00:36:09,780 --> 00:36:11,520
you have a series of losing trades, a
773
00:36:11,520 --> 00:36:12,990
series of losing trades is something
774
00:36:12,990 --> 00:36:15,270
that every trading methodology will
775
00:36:15,360 --> 00:36:18,150
eventually will eventually plague every
776
00:36:18,180 --> 00:36:21,030
methodology. There's there is not one
777
00:36:21,030 --> 00:36:23,880
single trader that has not endured this.
778
00:36:24,090 --> 00:36:26,100
It's a normal thing. But when you
779
00:36:26,280 --> 00:36:28,560
experience it, and you have to endure
780
00:36:28,560 --> 00:36:30,390
it, it feels like it's only you right,
781
00:36:30,390 --> 00:36:33,810
Michael, but it's not just you. Truth
782
00:36:33,810 --> 00:36:36,480
is, everyone has it. But the problem is,
783
00:36:37,020 --> 00:36:39,000
the people online and the people you
784
00:36:39,000 --> 00:36:40,440
read about in their books aren't not
785
00:36:40,440 --> 00:36:42,240
really honest with you. They're going to
786
00:36:42,240 --> 00:36:44,670
tell you nothing about their losses.
787
00:36:44,670 --> 00:36:45,990
They're not going to say anything about
788
00:36:45,990 --> 00:36:47,310
losing money. They're only going to
789
00:36:47,310 --> 00:36:49,650
focus on the sweet sugary coated
790
00:36:49,770 --> 00:36:51,750
chapters of their books that says this
791
00:36:51,750 --> 00:36:53,670
is what I got rich with, and you can
792
00:36:53,670 --> 00:36:58,770
too. Stick to the method and risk
793
00:36:58,800 --> 00:37:02,130
reduction. When you have your first
794
00:37:02,130 --> 00:37:03,360
string of losses, Michael, you're going
795
00:37:03,360 --> 00:37:05,190
to want to skip around and try something
796
00:37:05,190 --> 00:37:06,360
new. And that's the reason why you
797
00:37:06,360 --> 00:37:08,340
bought all those books because you were
798
00:37:08,340 --> 00:37:11,190
looking for the Holy Grail. And the
799
00:37:11,190 --> 00:37:13,200
problem with that is every time you went
800
00:37:13,200 --> 00:37:15,420
to a new system, it starts off with
801
00:37:16,050 --> 00:37:18,630
modest wins, and you fall in love it,
802
00:37:18,630 --> 00:37:20,280
you think you figured it out, and then
803
00:37:20,280 --> 00:37:22,470
it goes into a tailspin. And you do
804
00:37:22,470 --> 00:37:24,330
things the same way that I've outlined
805
00:37:24,360 --> 00:37:26,550
in our discussion here. And you lose
806
00:37:26,550 --> 00:37:28,320
track of what you're doing, and lose
807
00:37:28,320 --> 00:37:30,750
control of yourself. And you enter into
808
00:37:30,750 --> 00:37:35,880
a series of losing trades. Your first
809
00:37:36,000 --> 00:37:39,030
impulse is to abandon that method and go
810
00:37:39,030 --> 00:37:40,920
to something else. And the problem with
811
00:37:40,920 --> 00:37:43,590
that is is you do this dozens of times.
812
00:37:44,490 --> 00:37:45,960
Now, if I could grab you by the lapels
813
00:37:45,960 --> 00:37:48,210
and shake you again, it's simply this
814
00:37:48,450 --> 00:37:52,470
stop bouncing around. Focus with one
815
00:37:52,500 --> 00:37:54,330
thing in mind. Work with a higher
816
00:37:54,330 --> 00:37:56,340
timeframe bias work off of one key
817
00:37:56,340 --> 00:37:59,100
level, work off with one market and stay
818
00:37:59,100 --> 00:38:01,110
on one side of the market. until proven,
819
00:38:01,170 --> 00:38:02,640
obviously that you're on the wrong side.
820
00:38:03,450 --> 00:38:06,030
If you manage your risk, don't force the
821
00:38:06,030 --> 00:38:10,350
trades and your patient, that alone can
822
00:38:10,350 --> 00:38:12,930
be profitable. But you have to stick
823
00:38:12,930 --> 00:38:15,900
with the method. And if you don't reduce
824
00:38:15,900 --> 00:38:19,200
the risk when you take losses, you won't
825
00:38:19,650 --> 00:38:21,180
have the ability to stay with the
826
00:38:21,180 --> 00:38:24,660
method. The method eventually it takes
827
00:38:24,660 --> 00:38:26,100
six years for you to figure it out. By
828
00:38:26,100 --> 00:38:29,670
the way, six years, you figure out
829
00:38:29,670 --> 00:38:33,090
exactly who you are as a trader. And it
830
00:38:33,120 --> 00:38:35,100
feels like a lifetime. It feels like
831
00:38:35,100 --> 00:38:36,420
you're never going to get it Michael, I
832
00:38:36,420 --> 00:38:39,060
know I know how it feels. And I wish I
833
00:38:39,060 --> 00:38:40,500
could go back and just tell you to your
834
00:38:40,500 --> 00:38:40,950
face.
835
00:38:42,300 --> 00:38:46,740
Suck it up. Just take it because
836
00:38:47,010 --> 00:38:49,650
everything changes in your sixth year.
837
00:38:50,430 --> 00:38:53,820
Everything changes. It becomes easier.
838
00:38:54,210 --> 00:38:57,120
It becomes far less stressful to put the
839
00:38:57,120 --> 00:38:58,470
trade on you know exactly what you're
840
00:38:58,470 --> 00:38:59,730
looking for. You know where your stop
841
00:38:59,730 --> 00:39:01,050
should be. If you hadn't managed to
842
00:39:01,050 --> 00:39:03,000
stop, you're not over leveraging your
843
00:39:03,000 --> 00:39:06,420
account. You're not forcing trades. You
844
00:39:06,420 --> 00:39:08,580
grow into yourself and the sixth year.
845
00:39:09,720 --> 00:39:12,000
But prior that sixth year, you're like a
846
00:39:12,000 --> 00:39:16,380
wild cowboy. And you just gunslinger and
847
00:39:16,380 --> 00:39:18,840
you're not fearful of anything. You take
848
00:39:18,840 --> 00:39:20,460
on wrist, it's much larger than you
849
00:39:20,460 --> 00:39:21,930
should you trade more times than you
850
00:39:21,930 --> 00:39:23,640
should. And when you have severe
851
00:39:23,640 --> 00:39:26,190
drawdown, it doesn't bother you. And
852
00:39:26,190 --> 00:39:29,490
that's a problem. You weren't afraid to
853
00:39:29,490 --> 00:39:33,060
do anything. And you weren't afraid to
854
00:39:33,060 --> 00:39:34,950
get into the marketplace with huge
855
00:39:34,950 --> 00:39:38,190
leverage, where one trade could wipe out
856
00:39:38,190 --> 00:39:42,090
the account. That's nonsense. And you
857
00:39:42,090 --> 00:39:45,060
don't need to do that to do well. But
858
00:39:45,060 --> 00:39:46,770
you have to stick to a method that's
859
00:39:47,010 --> 00:39:50,490
very consistent. That will have losses
860
00:39:50,880 --> 00:39:55,590
and you manage your risk. You will be
861
00:39:55,590 --> 00:39:57,660
correct more than you're incorrect. It
862
00:39:57,660 --> 00:39:59,490
doesn't feel like it now Michael, but
863
00:39:59,490 --> 00:40:01,530
you will be And the only way that
864
00:40:01,530 --> 00:40:03,510
happens is sticking to the method.
865
00:40:04,800 --> 00:40:07,380
sticking to the method, working from the
866
00:40:07,380 --> 00:40:11,070
macro down to the micro, and being
867
00:40:11,070 --> 00:40:14,040
willing to admit that you're wrong, and
868
00:40:14,040 --> 00:40:15,420
either taking the loss and going home
869
00:40:15,420 --> 00:40:19,080
for the day, or changing direction. And
870
00:40:19,080 --> 00:40:21,120
in the beginning, it's best if you just
871
00:40:21,120 --> 00:40:22,380
take my advice right now, Michael, and
872
00:40:22,380 --> 00:40:24,060
just get out of the marketplace and try
873
00:40:24,060 --> 00:40:26,550
not to do the reversal. Because we lose
874
00:40:26,550 --> 00:40:30,900
a lot of money doing that too. Don't
875
00:40:30,900 --> 00:40:32,280
look for others to measure against.
876
00:40:33,360 --> 00:40:34,560
You're gonna look at other people, other
877
00:40:34,560 --> 00:40:37,050
traders, other authors. And you're going
878
00:40:37,050 --> 00:40:39,600
to try to say that you want to be like
879
00:40:39,600 --> 00:40:46,500
them, and everyone else should not be a
880
00:40:46,500 --> 00:40:50,250
measuring stick to you. Because to have
881
00:40:50,250 --> 00:40:53,640
that stunt your growth, you're saying
882
00:40:53,640 --> 00:40:56,760
that, that person's accomplishments and
883
00:40:56,790 --> 00:41:03,510
accolades. You want them Why focus on
884
00:41:03,510 --> 00:41:04,560
the ones that you're going to do
885
00:41:04,560 --> 00:41:07,830
yourself? The ones that you are going to
886
00:41:07,830 --> 00:41:11,400
achieve those successes and those
887
00:41:11,400 --> 00:41:13,230
failures, because they're stories that
888
00:41:13,260 --> 00:41:15,690
are going to be significant and
889
00:41:15,690 --> 00:41:18,030
meaningful to you. And should anyone sit
890
00:41:18,030 --> 00:41:20,700
down with you that has any interest in
891
00:41:20,700 --> 00:41:23,940
the marketplace. They're gonna be very
892
00:41:23,940 --> 00:41:25,290
interested to hear what you have to say.
893
00:41:26,310 --> 00:41:28,920
You have so many adventures ahead of
894
00:41:28,920 --> 00:41:32,640
you, Michael. But so much of the pain
895
00:41:33,030 --> 00:41:38,610
that we endure, was 120% avoidable. So
896
00:41:40,260 --> 00:41:42,750
hopefully, you've taken my advice here
897
00:41:44,370 --> 00:41:46,320
and are going to work towards trying to
898
00:41:46,320 --> 00:41:47,520
eliminate some of the pain that we
899
00:41:47,520 --> 00:41:50,070
endure. I can tell you as an older man,
900
00:41:50,130 --> 00:41:51,810
I'd greatly appreciate it if you would.
901
00:41:53,670 --> 00:41:55,950
And those of you they were listening. I
902
00:41:55,950 --> 00:41:58,320
hope this was also very beneficial and
903
00:41:58,320 --> 00:41:59,580
profitable for your learning and
904
00:41:59,580 --> 00:42:01,800
development. Until next time, I wish you
905
00:42:01,800 --> 00:42:02,700
good luck and good trading.