ICT Development Concept - Scalping Exercise.srt
1
00:00:11,010 --> 00:00:15,810
ICT: Okay, folks, I give you a trading exercise. And this is
2
00:00:15,810 --> 00:00:20,730
something I did to become more consistent as a day trader.
3
00:00:21,300 --> 00:00:27,780
And if you put the time in doing this, I promise you,
4
00:00:28,560 --> 00:00:30,840
there's very few things I'm going to promise. But this is
5
00:00:30,840 --> 00:00:34,470
one thing I can promise. Your understanding about what the
6
00:00:34,470 --> 00:00:39,570
markets going to do on an intraday basis, a few times a week
7
00:00:40,410 --> 00:00:45,210
will drastically improve. Now, does that mean profitability?
8
00:00:45,450 --> 00:00:49,440
No, because I cannot promise you profitability. I am
9
00:00:49,470 --> 00:00:51,810
promising you a greater understanding of when price action
10
00:00:51,810 --> 00:00:55,050
is going to most likely do a few times a week and that's all
11
00:00:55,050 --> 00:01:02,310
you need to do very, very well in speculation. So If I can
12
00:01:02,310 --> 00:01:06,240
take your attention back to the concept I gave you in terms
13
00:01:06,240 --> 00:01:09,720
of using the daily chart, whenever we see a swing high and
14
00:01:09,720 --> 00:01:14,520
as what was tweeted this evening on my Twitter account, the
15
00:01:15,000 --> 00:01:19,200
swing high here we have a high with a lower high to the left
16
00:01:19,200 --> 00:01:22,140
of it a lower high to the right of it. Okay, once that takes
17
00:01:22,140 --> 00:01:25,920
place, we start looking for the lows to be violated. And
18
00:01:25,920 --> 00:01:28,680
every time you see the previous day's low, that's an
19
00:01:28,680 --> 00:01:34,440
opportunity for trade. Now, it's a scalping tactic. That
20
00:01:34,440 --> 00:01:39,540
means 2030 pips just about every day. This gives you a
21
00:01:39,540 --> 00:01:44,250
setup. Now, it does not give you a setup every single day in
22
00:01:44,520 --> 00:01:49,110
the same pair. It can be multiple examples of it in the same
23
00:01:49,110 --> 00:01:53,160
pair, but what I stated was it can give you a setup every
24
00:01:53,160 --> 00:01:56,700
single trading day, because some pair across all the
25
00:01:56,700 --> 00:02:00,660
universal parents. It's available to us in forex. One of
26
00:02:00,660 --> 00:02:03,690
them is going to provide this. Now the chances you ping hit
27
00:02:04,380 --> 00:02:07,980
may or may not be there, okay. But if you follow one pair at
28
00:02:07,980 --> 00:02:12,840
most two pairs, you will have something to work with every
29
00:02:12,840 --> 00:02:16,170
single trading day. It does not mean to execute live funds,
30
00:02:16,200 --> 00:02:19,860
it just means that you can practice with it. Do not discount
31
00:02:19,860 --> 00:02:23,100
this exercise. If you're looking at it in the basis of it's
32
00:02:23,100 --> 00:02:25,650
only hindsight, because some of you are not going to be able
33
00:02:25,650 --> 00:02:30,630
to do this live. Because you're under a job or your life
34
00:02:30,690 --> 00:02:34,890
circumstances don't permit the opportunity for you to sit in
35
00:02:34,890 --> 00:02:39,210
front of the charts and do it. But go back to the charts in
36
00:02:39,540 --> 00:02:43,380
in end of day capacity and look and see if what I'm teaching
37
00:02:43,380 --> 00:02:46,650
you here tonight is in fact what goes on every single
38
00:02:46,650 --> 00:02:51,480
trading day. Okay. So I want to go back to this reference
39
00:02:51,480 --> 00:02:54,810
point here. This is where a swing highs formed. price starts
40
00:02:54,810 --> 00:02:58,650
ticking down. Each individual daily low is violated until we
41
00:02:58,650 --> 00:03:03,990
get down to here. Price reacts, trades up. Now this run here
42
00:03:04,320 --> 00:03:08,310
is like a railroad track type pattern. I probably should
43
00:03:08,310 --> 00:03:10,530
have never included that in the presentation because it's
44
00:03:10,530 --> 00:03:12,630
going to make it seem like I'm a follower of just
45
00:03:12,630 --> 00:03:17,100
candlestick patterns. But just understand that this pattern
46
00:03:17,100 --> 00:03:22,260
here did not take out the swing high. Okay and soon as we
47
00:03:22,260 --> 00:03:29,010
traded below this candles low right here comes in at 117 63
48
00:03:29,940 --> 00:03:33,150
this is Sunday trading and then today's trading on Monday
49
00:03:34,140 --> 00:03:37,860
the market opens up it rallies up, forget about getting the
50
00:03:37,860 --> 00:03:40,920
Hi there was not necessary. We're focusing primarily on the
51
00:03:40,920 --> 00:03:43,890
New York session. And what we're going to be doing is we're
52
00:03:43,890 --> 00:03:47,700
gonna be looking for where the market may reach for Well,
53
00:03:47,700 --> 00:03:50,160
we've already taken out Sunday's low, we've already taken
54
00:03:50,160 --> 00:03:54,000
out Friday's low. So what will be the next objective, this
55
00:03:54,000 --> 00:03:58,230
low right here so that's our mark, okay, or target. So if we
56
00:03:58,230 --> 00:04:01,320
think in terms of being a sniper This is what we're gonna be
57
00:04:01,320 --> 00:04:05,310
targeting. Okay, this old low. Now why am I saying that this
58
00:04:05,310 --> 00:04:07,560
is a target? Well think about it in terms of support
59
00:04:07,560 --> 00:04:10,830
resistance. Price in itself showed a willingness to rally
60
00:04:10,830 --> 00:04:13,860
from that level. So we could probably see it come back down
61
00:04:13,860 --> 00:04:17,040
to that level again, and maybe it might bounce. Or maybe
62
00:04:17,040 --> 00:04:22,350
you'll go through it. No one absolutely knows this. But if
63
00:04:22,350 --> 00:04:28,650
price is above it, if prices above that low, and it's also
64
00:04:28,680 --> 00:04:32,850
bearish, then we could look for that low to be traded to as
65
00:04:32,850 --> 00:04:36,990
a minimum objective. So how much of a range that allows us
66
00:04:37,440 --> 00:04:40,830
is always going to be largely dependent on individual unique
67
00:04:40,830 --> 00:04:45,630
setups, the larger of the ranges, the better the setup. So
68
00:04:45,630 --> 00:04:49,470
I'm going to give you a exercise and we're going to map this
69
00:04:49,470 --> 00:04:53,250
out here. With this particular chart. I'm gonna maximize it
70
00:04:54,480 --> 00:04:59,310
and we're going to go into a 15 minute time frame and what I
71
00:04:59,310 --> 00:05:02,850
want you to do is I want you to think about how price was
72
00:05:02,850 --> 00:05:07,350
reaching for that level down here. It's 117 29. That's what
73
00:05:07,350 --> 00:05:08,190
that is right there.
74
00:05:08,310 --> 00:05:12,330
Okay, that's that old daily low or Target or as I refer to
75
00:05:12,330 --> 00:05:16,890
it as the mark. Okay as a sniper. So we're looking for that
76
00:05:16,920 --> 00:05:19,890
low to be retested. In this case, it went through it just a
77
00:05:19,890 --> 00:05:23,010
little bit, that's fine. It could very easily just stop
78
00:05:23,010 --> 00:05:26,340
right before hitting it and open just as well. Doesn't have
79
00:05:26,340 --> 00:05:28,740
to always go through it. Now, admittedly, I thought that we
80
00:05:28,740 --> 00:05:31,620
could possibly go through that as an objective today. And I
81
00:05:31,620 --> 00:05:35,070
was allowing the trade that I took to potentially pay that
82
00:05:35,070 --> 00:05:39,150
out to me, should it yield that much of a move below, but it
83
00:05:39,150 --> 00:05:43,530
didn't, and I actually fell asleep and didn't even have
84
00:05:43,530 --> 00:05:46,530
myself alert at the time to take off something at the
85
00:05:46,530 --> 00:05:50,550
market. Okay. Classic portion of it. Once it had come back
86
00:05:50,550 --> 00:05:56,310
above. The lower here, allow me to get right at the first
87
00:05:56,310 --> 00:05:59,880
objective in our fib for scaling, but other than that, that
88
00:05:59,880 --> 00:06:03,030
was The best I could do, and here it is. So you can see I'm
89
00:06:03,030 --> 00:06:08,880
human. But I want you to look at how every day if we're
90
00:06:09,150 --> 00:06:12,000
expecting bearishness, okay, if we're expecting lower
91
00:06:12,000 --> 00:06:16,620
prices. What I want you to do is every day that you're
92
00:06:16,620 --> 00:06:20,850
bearish right before seven o'clock in the morning, New York
93
00:06:20,850 --> 00:06:24,300
time, okay? I want you to tell it, like take a look at what
94
00:06:24,300 --> 00:06:28,620
the markets doing, if you're bearish and we'll say that we
95
00:06:28,620 --> 00:06:32,730
were bearish here on Friday. Okay. Now in this regard, I'm
96
00:06:32,760 --> 00:06:37,890
speaking specifically in light of hindsight only. Okay, so I
97
00:06:37,890 --> 00:06:40,860
have to tell you that this because I'm talking about in
98
00:06:40,860 --> 00:06:44,310
hindsight here doesn't mean it's going to be as it is in
99
00:06:44,310 --> 00:06:47,490
this chart, but it's going to be very close to it in theme,
100
00:06:47,730 --> 00:06:50,550
okay. It's gonna have a lot of similarities to it. And
101
00:06:50,550 --> 00:06:52,320
you'll, you'll see what I mean by that in a minute. Okay,
102
00:06:52,320 --> 00:06:56,490
what I've done is I've added seven o'clock in the morning,
103
00:06:56,790 --> 00:07:00,810
my vertical line here on each respective trading day last
104
00:07:00,810 --> 00:07:06,090
few days, and also noted the previous day's lows. So now I'm
105
00:07:06,090 --> 00:07:11,550
going to do is remove the vertical line delineations that's
106
00:07:11,610 --> 00:07:16,170
seen in the chart and only leave the seven o'clock in the
107
00:07:16,170 --> 00:07:19,410
morning, New York time reference points. Alright, so now
108
00:07:19,410 --> 00:07:22,680
what we have here is we have some days trading here Friday's
109
00:07:22,680 --> 00:07:28,050
low right in here. And here's Thursday's trading over here.
110
00:07:28,650 --> 00:07:34,860
So we're going to look at what we have in terms of a drill
111
00:07:34,860 --> 00:07:37,740
or exercise we can do every single trading day, but you have
112
00:07:37,740 --> 00:07:40,920
to first know what you're looking for in terms of bias now
113
00:07:40,920 --> 00:07:43,020
doesn't mean gonna be right every day. It just means that
114
00:07:43,170 --> 00:07:47,760
you have to work in this framework, know what is most likely
115
00:07:48,240 --> 00:07:51,090
going to be a directional bias today, based on what the
116
00:07:51,090 --> 00:07:54,180
daily charts shown, is it going to be running the lows or
117
00:07:54,180 --> 00:07:57,540
it's gonna be running the highs if we are bearish and we're
118
00:07:57,540 --> 00:08:00,600
going to assume that today we were bearish and For folks
119
00:08:00,600 --> 00:08:04,260
that are in my mentorship group, we had already mapped out a
120
00:08:04,260 --> 00:08:07,680
probable scenario, and in terms of my commentary with them,
121
00:08:07,680 --> 00:08:11,070
so they know that this was the most likely scenario going
122
00:08:11,070 --> 00:08:14,910
forward for Euro, at least using my concepts, but most of
123
00:08:14,910 --> 00:08:18,750
you that are watching don't have that availability. So I'm
124
00:08:18,750 --> 00:08:24,030
going to give you a very simple approach using what we have
125
00:08:24,030 --> 00:08:27,210
already arrived at since I've been back on social media and
126
00:08:27,210 --> 00:08:32,190
YouTube, the element of looking for optimal trade entries in
127
00:08:32,190 --> 00:08:36,450
a day. Okay, and when we're bearish, I want you to focus on
128
00:08:36,450 --> 00:08:39,000
seven o'clock in the morning. Let me take the day dividers
129
00:08:39,000 --> 00:08:41,940
off now sadly, you can focus primarily on seven o'clock in
130
00:08:41,940 --> 00:08:46,530
the morning, each individual trading day. So here's Friday
131
00:08:46,560 --> 00:08:51,150
trading in here, okay, and Friday's trading. I want you to
132
00:08:51,420 --> 00:08:54,840
notice we came back up to this low right here today intraday
133
00:08:56,130 --> 00:09:01,980
now this level many times would not be even considered with
134
00:09:01,980 --> 00:09:07,410
standard support resistance ideas. But this level here is
135
00:09:07,410 --> 00:09:10,500
important because it's a swing high to swing low. And we
136
00:09:10,500 --> 00:09:13,770
mentioned in the went series with every new and aspiring
137
00:09:13,770 --> 00:09:16,560
forester wants to know, we have to use these reference
138
00:09:16,560 --> 00:09:19,860
points because they may end up becoming reused in the
139
00:09:19,860 --> 00:09:26,520
future. Okay, so I also want to again, add dividers again.
140
00:09:28,290 --> 00:09:33,990
You can see that this is Friday's daily low here Sunday's
141
00:09:33,990 --> 00:09:36,450
trading, we made it a lower low on Sunday and then we start
142
00:09:36,450 --> 00:09:41,400
trading on Monday higher and take that back off, and we had
143
00:09:41,400 --> 00:09:43,770
a little bit of a gap in here and you'll learn about that
144
00:09:43,770 --> 00:09:48,030
that's this is whiplash and then catapult. Okay, very simple
145
00:09:48,030 --> 00:09:50,670
little pattern for Sunday. I don't trade it anymore. It's
146
00:09:50,670 --> 00:09:53,580
nice to see when it occurs, but it's not that big of a deal.
147
00:09:55,020 --> 00:09:59,220
But I want you to see how at seven o'clock in the morning
148
00:10:00,000 --> 00:10:05,880
One is mt four platform this demo account 1100 is seven
149
00:10:05,880 --> 00:10:07,170
o'clock in the morning New York time.
150
00:10:08,519 --> 00:10:13,379
I want you at that moment. Wake up, check your your charts,
151
00:10:13,409 --> 00:10:16,259
you can do it on your smartphone. And if you're bearish
152
00:10:16,289 --> 00:10:20,339
you're going to be looking for price to rally up at least 20
153
00:10:20,339 --> 00:10:25,769
pips or more. Okay, if it does this and you're bearish then
154
00:10:25,769 --> 00:10:28,979
what you want to do is you want to anchor a previous high to
155
00:10:28,979 --> 00:10:32,009
the low prior to that seven o'clock in the morning rally up
156
00:10:32,609 --> 00:10:37,499
at least 20 pips. Okay when you see that start hunting
157
00:10:37,829 --> 00:10:41,999
optimal trade entry shorts. In this case, we can zoom in a
158
00:10:41,999 --> 00:10:46,739
little bit here seven o'clock in the morning today, Monday,
159
00:10:47,039 --> 00:10:52,109
October 23 2017. The market shows an initial decline. We're
160
00:10:52,109 --> 00:10:55,769
not looking for that we want to see it start to rally up 20
161
00:10:55,769 --> 00:10:59,969
pips, what is it doing? It's retracing intraday on eight
162
00:10:59,999 --> 00:11:05,009
That's primarily bearish and the high was set during but
163
00:11:05,429 --> 00:11:09,149
what time of day is this? It's exactly two o'clock in the
164
00:11:09,149 --> 00:11:14,189
morning New York time. What did I say in my videos regarding
165
00:11:14,249 --> 00:11:17,789
pilot day, here's Monday's trading it trades up creates a
166
00:11:17,789 --> 00:11:20,069
very high the day between two o'clock and four o'clock in
167
00:11:20,069 --> 00:11:23,039
the morning New York time. That's the higher today. It
168
00:11:23,039 --> 00:11:25,619
trades down after seven o'clock in the morning you want to
169
00:11:25,619 --> 00:11:30,419
see a rally up of 20 pips or more, but not take out the
170
00:11:30,419 --> 00:11:35,219
London high. Okay, it has to get close proximity to the high
171
00:11:35,249 --> 00:11:38,249
but only up to 79 retracement level. So if we look at that
172
00:11:38,249 --> 00:11:43,889
we can see that relationship between the open down to the
173
00:11:43,889 --> 00:11:47,369
lowest body candle right here prior to this rally up. Now
174
00:11:47,369 --> 00:11:52,199
this is equal this open and this closes equal 117 35 but
175
00:11:52,199 --> 00:11:57,239
price trades right back up to the 70.5 level. And it's also
176
00:11:57,689 --> 00:12:02,279
Fridays old well with us. Lowe says a confluence of things
177
00:12:02,279 --> 00:12:05,249
happening right there. Now, if you were to use Wix, I just
178
00:12:05,249 --> 00:12:06,929
want to throw this in there for completeness sake, I don't
179
00:12:06,989 --> 00:12:10,859
advise doing this. But we're comparison, you can do this and
180
00:12:10,859 --> 00:12:15,389
see, we still get exactly right to the 70.5 level precision,
181
00:12:15,779 --> 00:12:20,039
okay? Now, I don't require that for entries. I will allow
182
00:12:20,039 --> 00:12:22,109
myself to use the bodies of the candles and it'll get me
183
00:12:22,109 --> 00:12:24,929
close enough. But if you want to be a nutcase about
184
00:12:24,989 --> 00:12:28,769
precision, you can get that surgical with it, okay, you're
185
00:12:28,769 --> 00:12:31,259
going to miss some setups because your orders won't get
186
00:12:31,259 --> 00:12:34,259
filled. And that's going to be problematic for you. But
187
00:12:34,259 --> 00:12:38,339
that's the reason why I use the bulk of the volume with the
188
00:12:38,339 --> 00:12:41,129
bodies. Okay, so again, seven o'clock in the morning, which
189
00:12:41,129 --> 00:12:45,059
is my platform here for my demo. It's 1100. So when it
190
00:12:45,059 --> 00:12:48,959
rallies up 20 pips? Well, we have 1735. So that would mean
191
00:12:48,959 --> 00:12:52,019
you have to go up to at least 1755. It does that here and it
192
00:12:52,019 --> 00:12:55,799
does it here. It has to do that and find an overlapping of
193
00:12:55,799 --> 00:12:59,099
optimal trade entry, which it does here. So at least 62%
194
00:12:59,099 --> 00:13:02,219
retracement level and it's pit rally after seven o'clock in
195
00:13:02,219 --> 00:13:05,339
New York time in a bearish day anchor to the London high
196
00:13:06,659 --> 00:13:09,359
optimal trade entry short What are you targeting? intraday
197
00:13:09,359 --> 00:13:14,729
low, and then the next daily low. Okay. And you can see as I
198
00:13:14,729 --> 00:13:22,919
showed on the video earlier 117 25 gets us really close to
199
00:13:23,219 --> 00:13:29,639
that level, the actual low here on this platform, I'm going
200
00:13:29,639 --> 00:13:33,899
to pop up here low comes in at 117 25. This fib takes us
201
00:13:33,899 --> 00:13:38,609
down to like 117 24. And just for completeness sake, I'll
202
00:13:38,609 --> 00:13:41,639
put this back up here like that. And down here like that. So
203
00:13:41,639 --> 00:13:44,789
if it's on the wicks, we are really far away in that target
204
00:13:44,789 --> 00:13:47,999
then, but using the bodies, it gets us much closer to the
205
00:13:48,059 --> 00:13:51,689
objectives that I outlined just now. Now everything I've
206
00:13:51,689 --> 00:13:53,969
just said here, you would reverse when it's bullish, you
207
00:13:53,969 --> 00:13:56,819
would expect a retracement lower after seven o'clock in the
208
00:13:56,819 --> 00:14:00,299
morning and expect that run higher and again This is a
209
00:14:00,299 --> 00:14:04,289
scalping technique. It's for something like 2030 pips type
210
00:14:04,289 --> 00:14:07,139
move intraday couple times a week, but that's all you need.
211
00:14:07,139 --> 00:14:11,159
Remember 23 pips, risking 2% of your account can make a
212
00:14:11,189 --> 00:14:14,579
double of your account or basically double your account over
213
00:14:14,579 --> 00:14:17,129
a course of a year. So hopefully you found this insightful.
214
00:14:17,159 --> 00:14:19,379
Until next time, I wish you good luck and good trading.