Wiki source code of ICT YT - 2025-10-05 - ICT Forex and Futures Market Review 10-04-2025
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2 | |1 |00:00:05 ~-~-> 00:00:11 |ICT: Hello folks, how the heck are you welcome back. Today is October 4, 2025 | ||
3 | |2 |00:00:13 ~-~-> 00:00:19 |and we're doing a quick review on the forex market. Most suspects are and the | ||
4 | |3 |00:00:19 ~-~-> 00:00:31 |usual suspects being US dollar fiber or euro, USD cable or POUND DOLLAR, all | ||
5 | |4 |00:00:31 ~-~-> 00:00:34 |right, it's going to be easy to go through these, because generally, the | ||
6 | |5 |00:00:34 ~-~-> 00:00:39 |market is just held in a holding pattern right now. So you can see how everything | ||
7 | |6 |00:00:39 ~-~-> 00:00:44 |on dollar is being trapped in between this inefficiency and this inefficiency. | ||
8 | |7 |00:00:45 ~-~-> 00:00:49 |So by greeting them, you can see the pertinent levels. Here, I have the | ||
9 | |8 |00:00:49 ~-~-> 00:01:02 |lowest reaching discount WIC, and I only have this suspension block greeted. | ||
10 | |9 |00:01:02 ~-~-> 00:01:07 |Graded. We're on the right hand side. You can see the five minute chart | ||
11 | |10 |00:01:07 ~-~-> 00:01:11 |reaches up into that volume imbalance right here. I have the two dark, black | ||
12 | |11 |00:01:11 ~-~-> 00:01:15 |lines there, and I have a dashed line indicating its consequent encroachment | ||
13 | |12 |00:01:16 ~-~-> 00:01:21 |between the two bodies. This candlesticks open, this candlesticks | ||
14 | |13 |00:01:21 ~-~-> 00:01:28 |close. That's what these two levels are. Here you can see at the start of trading | ||
15 | |14 |00:01:30 ~-~-> 00:01:37 |reaches up into the volume. Imbalance breaks, says displacement, there trades | ||
16 | |15 |00:01:38 ~-~-> 00:01:42 |right back out to consequent encouragement, perfectly then we break | ||
17 | |16 |00:01:42 ~-~-> 00:01:53 |lower, trading into the bullish fair value gap here, and then this quadrant | ||
18 | |17 |00:01:53 ~-~-> 00:01:59 |here, we trade down into it there, and it falls short of reaching consequent | ||
19 | |18 |00:01:59 ~-~-> 00:02:04 |encouragement of the PI side, balance, cell sign efficiency shown here at 9758 | ||
20 | |19 |00:02:08 ~-~-> 00:02:14 |point, or 58 two. So overall, it's kind of like doing nothing. And I mentioned | ||
21 | |20 |00:02:14 ~-~-> 00:02:17 |this earlier in the week, which is another reason why I keep telling you | ||
22 | |21 |00:02:17 ~-~-> 00:02:23 |all that. Keep saying, please talk about forex. Please talk about forex. If Forex | ||
23 | |22 |00:02:23 ~-~-> 00:02:27 |is going to be doing things like this, I'm not interested in it, and it's going | ||
24 | |23 |00:02:27 ~-~-> 00:02:31 |to make it harder for you as a student to navigate in that market, because it's | ||
25 | |24 |00:02:31 ~-~-> 00:02:37 |not highly liquid, it's not loose, it's high resistance, not low resistance, | ||
26 | |25 |00:02:37 ~-~-> 00:02:42 |liquidity runs. So it's very, very difficult for you to navigate a market | ||
27 | |26 |00:02:42 ~-~-> 00:02:46 |like that. So I try to take your attention away from it. My attention | ||
28 | |27 |00:02:46 ~-~-> 00:02:50 |certainly diverted to other markets, like the futures market. But moving on | ||
29 | |28 |00:02:50 ~-~-> 00:02:55 |into Euro, dollar, similar thing. We have a sell sound balance, buy some | ||
30 | |29 |00:02:55 ~-~-> 00:03:00 |efficiency, highest premium wick annotated there, you can see the | ||
31 | |30 |00:03:00 ~-~-> 00:03:07 |consequent encouragement over here at 1.17562 and the lower quadrant being at | ||
32 | |31 |00:03:08 ~-~-> 00:03:20 |1.17449 you can See on Friday's trading, we traded up into the 1.17562 point, | ||
33 | |32 |00:03:20 ~-~-> 00:03:29 |17562, consequent encroachment. I have it colored. It's purple to contrast that | ||
34 | |33 |00:03:29 ~-~-> 00:03:32 |there. Okay, so that way you're not going to see that and think that's the | ||
35 | |34 |00:03:32 ~-~-> 00:03:39 |same level. And then the upper quadrant coming in at 1.17449 that's it, right | ||
36 | |35 |00:03:39 ~-~-> 00:03:44 |here. So really, there's nothing in here. It's all that exciting about Euro | ||
37 | |36 |00:03:44 ~-~-> 00:03:49 |dollar, it's not moved a lot at all. I mean, it's really, really small ranges. | ||
38 | |37 |00:03:50 ~-~-> 00:03:55 |So if you get excited around 20 handles for 20 pips, and to me, it's not worth | ||
39 | |38 |00:03:55 ~-~-> 00:04:01 |paying any in mind or any attention to it right? Moving on into cable. Now this | ||
40 | |39 |00:04:01 ~-~-> 00:04:09 |one has a little bit better structure, so you can see we had lower quadrant of | ||
41 | |40 |00:04:09 ~-~-> 00:04:13 |this premium wick being measured. And I also did the lower quadrant on this one | ||
42 | |41 |00:04:13 ~-~-> 00:04:22 |just for contrast. Okay, so as we were compressing smaller in the wicks, and | ||
43 | |42 |00:04:22 ~-~-> 00:04:27 |then the discount WIC being shown here, you can see that the low is defined by | ||
44 | |43 |00:04:27 ~-~-> 00:04:30 |the upper quadrant of this discount, WIC coming in at 1.34302 | ||
45 | |44 |00:04:37 ~-~-> 00:04:41 |that's that level right there. We have a shift in market structure, buy side of | ||
46 | |45 |00:04:41 ~-~-> 00:04:47 |miles, sell side efficiency, comes right back down into it and rallies, leaving | ||
47 | |46 |00:04:48 ~-~-> 00:04:55 |that which at the high of this discount wick. And then we come right back down | ||
48 | |47 |00:04:55 ~-~-> 00:04:59 |into it there on some more trading into this buy side of miles, sell side of. | ||
49 | |48 |00:05:00 ~-~-> 00:05:06 |Efficiency, then it rallies higher. We have a breaker, low, high, lower, low, | ||
50 | |49 |00:05:07 ~-~-> 00:05:15 |carry that forward. That's a breakaway gap, measuring gap, and then trading up | ||
51 | |50 |00:05:15 ~-~-> 00:05:24 |into the quadrant 1.34864 and that's the lower quadrant of this wick here. Okay, | ||
52 | |51 |00:05:25 ~-~-> 00:05:31 |you would still have this in here by by contrast, you can see it. So this is one | ||
53 | |52 |00:05:31 ~-~-> 00:05:34 |objective could reach for someone worse, if it went to this quadrant and went | ||
54 | |53 |00:05:34 ~-~-> 00:05:38 |higher, you would expect it to reach for that one. So that's how we we work | ||
55 | |54 |00:05:38 ~-~-> 00:05:45 |through nested or closely printed wicks that are in subsequent candles. And | ||
56 | |55 |00:05:47 ~-~-> 00:05:51 |apart from that, really didn't do too much at all, really, but it had a better | ||
57 | |56 |00:05:51 ~-~-> 00:06:04 |run about 45 handles or so, 8050 handles, moving on into futures and | ||
58 | |57 |00:06:06 ~-~-> 00:06:13 |focusing on December mini Nasdaq futures. All right, so on the left hand | ||
59 | |58 |00:06:14 ~-~-> 00:06:18 |side, I mentioned this on Twitter yesterday. So if you look at the posts, | ||
60 | |59 |00:06:18 ~-~-> 00:06:23 |I didn't do any live streaming, and I mentioned what I thought was salient at | ||
61 | |60 |00:06:23 ~-~-> 00:06:31 |the time. So buy sign and balance, sell side efficiency here, and the market was | ||
62 | |61 |00:06:31 ~-~-> 00:06:37 |pulling back after making another higher high on a Friday. And I'm showing you | ||
63 | |62 |00:06:37 ~-~-> 00:06:44 |Thursday's opening range real time or regular trading hours, opening range | ||
64 | |63 |00:06:44 ~-~-> 00:06:50 |gap. Rather, that's this here, so that'll look familiar. And it closed | ||
65 | |64 |00:06:50 ~-~-> 00:06:55 |that gap there perfectly, and then came right back up to it again there, came | ||
66 | |65 |00:06:55 ~-~-> 00:06:59 |back down to consequent encroachment, rallied up into some random level in | ||
67 | |66 |00:06:59 ~-~-> 00:07:04 |here, and then fell out of bed and took out the intermediate term sell South | ||
68 | |67 |00:07:04 ~-~-> 00:07:11 |Dakota pool I mentioned on Thursday's commentary, and looking at that rally, | ||
69 | |68 |00:07:11 ~-~-> 00:07:14 |it takes us right back up into Thursday's regular trading hours. | ||
70 | |69 |00:07:14 ~-~-> 00:07:18 |Opening range, gap, lower quadrant. So the labels here are Thursday's regular | ||
71 | |70 |00:07:18 ~-~-> 00:07:24 |trading hours, closing price, Thursday's regular trading hours, opening range | ||
72 | |71 |00:07:24 ~-~-> 00:07:30 |gap. Lower quadrant, consequent encroachment. Upper quadrant, the | ||
73 | |72 |00:07:31 ~-~-> 00:07:37 |opening price there based on Thursday's trading, no opening range gap is being | ||
74 | |73 |00:07:37 ~-~-> 00:07:42 |plotted in this discussion. On Friday's trading, when you have these real big, | ||
75 | |74 |00:07:42 ~-~-> 00:07:46 |wide gaps like that, you definitely want to carry them forward, and they're going | ||
76 | |75 |00:07:46 ~-~-> 00:07:51 |to be utilized the next day, especially if you're inside the range between what | ||
77 | |76 |00:07:51 ~-~-> 00:07:56 |boundaries are referring to inside what range, the high and the low of that | ||
78 | |77 |00:07:56 ~-~-> 00:08:03 |previous day's Opening range gap. So just notice how the sensitivity here, | ||
79 | |78 |00:08:03 ~-~-> 00:08:07 |like that's that's beautiful. It's not pivot numbers, it's not support and | ||
80 | |79 |00:08:07 ~-~-> 00:08:12 |resistance. So dropping down into a one minute chart, because we were just | ||
81 | |80 |00:08:12 ~-~-> 00:08:16 |looking at a five minute chart. Now we're only looking at Friday's trading. | ||
82 | |81 |00:08:16 ~-~-> 00:08:20 |So here's first presents a fair value gap there, and carrying that forward and | ||
83 | |82 |00:08:20 ~-~-> 00:08:24 |grading it. You can see all those levels we try trade up into Thursday's regular | ||
84 | |83 |00:08:24 ~-~-> 00:08:32 |trading hours, opening range, gap high, and we break down. And now refer to | ||
85 | |84 |00:08:32 ~-~-> 00:08:39 |yesterday or October 3, 2025, commentary and the notes I posted in telegram. And | ||
86 | |85 |00:08:39 ~-~-> 00:08:45 |you'll see what these suspension blocks are. I'm not going to go over again | ||
87 | |86 |00:08:45 ~-~-> 00:08:54 |here, but we trade down to consequent encroachment of this discount WIC. Carry | ||
88 | |87 |00:08:54 ~-~-> 00:08:59 |that forward. We trade up into first presents a fair value gap hits all the | ||
89 | |88 |00:08:59 ~-~-> 00:09:03 |quadrant levels, consequent encroachment. Break lower. We have a | ||
90 | |89 |00:09:03 ~-~-> 00:09:08 |bullish fair value gap that becomes an inversion Fairbank gap here and again at | ||
91 | |90 |00:09:08 ~-~-> 00:09:14 |the regular trading hours, opening range gap, upper quadrant. Okay, I saw some | ||
92 | |91 |00:09:14 ~-~-> 00:09:17 |people that were saying I was calling this level wrong. It's not the upper | ||
93 | |92 |00:09:17 ~-~-> 00:09:20 |quadrant. You don't know what you're talking about. Okay, that's why I burned | ||
94 | |93 |00:09:20 ~-~-> 00:09:25 |you off of Max I won't look at your your posts. Don't try to correct me about | ||
95 | |94 |00:09:26 ~-~-> 00:09:30 |something. I know you're just learning about it here. And talk to me about what | ||
96 | |95 |00:09:30 ~-~-> 00:09:33 |you think I'm doing wrong. I'll make mistakes, but I know what I was talking | ||
97 | |96 |00:09:33 ~-~-> 00:09:41 |about when I was posting it. So it sells off here and trades down into the lower | ||
98 | |97 |00:09:41 ~-~-> 00:09:46 |quadrant, and then all the way back up to the higher suspension block. Now this | ||
99 | |98 |00:09:47 ~-~-> 00:09:52 |is shaded, not green here, like it was when I presented to you yesterday. It | ||
100 | |99 |00:09:52 ~-~-> 00:09:56 |now it's acting as an inversion level. So it's going to be a premium array hits | ||
101 | |100 |00:09:56 ~-~-> 00:10:00 |the consequent encroachment of that perfectly and sells off you. Comes back | ||
102 | |101 |00:10:00 ~-~-> 00:10:06 |up inside this one again, sells off inefficiency, inversion, fair value gap | ||
103 | |102 |00:10:06 ~-~-> 00:10:12 |after this fails, and when it's heavy and bearish, that's what we want to see. | ||
104 | |103 |00:10:12 ~-~-> 00:10:18 |And I mentioned that we would see the lower quadrant and then the fair value | ||
105 | |104 |00:10:18 ~-~-> 00:10:23 |gap. I asked on Twitter, did you have this highlighted on your daily chart, | ||
106 | |105 |00:10:23 ~-~-> 00:10:27 |and is it graded? And we got down to lower quadrant. I'm sorry, upper | ||
107 | |106 |00:10:27 ~-~-> 00:10:34 |quadrant, rather, at 24,009 55 that's this level here. It trades down to here | ||
108 | |107 |00:10:34 ~-~-> 00:10:39 |and gets very, very close to consequent encroachment. But says Not today, and | ||
109 | |108 |00:10:39 ~-~-> 00:10:50 |came off that enclosed up here. Easy if conditions, we had a high of the week at | ||
110 | |109 |00:10:50 ~-~-> 00:10:58 |25,001 96 and a half, and the low came in at 24,006 33 and a quarter. That's | ||
111 | |110 |00:10:58 ~-~-> 00:11:01 |this candlesticks quick, and this candlesticks quick, making the daily | ||
112 | |111 |00:11:01 ~-~-> 00:11:09 |range boundaries high and low. And then here is the 20% of the range. It's | ||
113 | |112 |00:11:09 ~-~-> 00:11:17 |25,083 and three quarters. 30% of the range of the Week is 25,027 and a half. | ||
114 | |113 |00:11:17 ~-~-> 00:11:27 |And then 40% was 24,971.25 so. And those levels here you can see them right here. | ||
115 | |114 |00:11:28 ~-~-> 00:11:32 |They're shortened to nail go to the hard right edge. You can see how they were | ||
116 | |115 |00:11:32 ~-~-> 00:11:37 |delivered to so TGIF was delivered, actually almost went down to half the | ||
117 | |116 |00:11:37 ~-~-> 00:11:43 |weekly range, left that portion with that candlesticks wick that opened as | ||
118 | |117 |00:11:43 ~-~-> 00:11:52 |well. All right, so moving into the afternoon, all I did was move forward in | ||
119 | |118 |00:11:52 ~-~-> 00:11:56 |the chart, and you can see how we can wrap into consequent crochet from that | ||
120 | |119 |00:11:56 ~-~-> 00:12:00 |suspension block that becomes an inversion level Same here. Fills that | ||
121 | |120 |00:12:00 ~-~-> 00:12:05 |small little gap right there. It's too small for me to annotate. Breaks lower | ||
122 | |121 |00:12:05 ~-~-> 00:12:08 |the body's respecting the upper quadrant doesn't come up to the top, but this | ||
123 | |122 |00:12:08 ~-~-> 00:12:14 |bias on balance sells on efficiency. Measure your volume imbalance, and then | ||
124 | |123 |00:12:14 ~-~-> 00:12:17 |breaks lower, hits the low of it, and then sells off and comes right back out | ||
125 | |124 |00:12:17 ~-~-> 00:12:21 |to that same inversion for your body gap. And then this hammers and bangs in | ||
126 | |125 |00:12:21 ~-~-> 00:12:26 |between 40% of the weekly range and 30% of the weekly range and the river | ||
127 | |126 |00:12:26 ~-~-> 00:12:30 |trading hours closing price from Thursday, and that's where it defined | ||
128 | |127 |00:12:30 ~-~-> 00:12:35 |the range going into the close now, for the folks that complain and bellyache to | ||
129 | |128 |00:12:35 ~-~-> 00:12:40 |me, please talk about forex, because you trade CFDs or Forex payers outside the | ||
130 | |129 |00:12:40 ~-~-> 00:12:47 |US. I don't know why you're not doing this, okay, because you're able to | ||
131 | |130 |00:12:47 ~-~-> 00:12:53 |follow what I'm doing in NASDAQ with us. 100 Okay, so if you go on to trading | ||
132 | |131 |00:12:53 ~-~-> 00:12:58 |view, and this is being used, and I'm not suggesting that you should open up | ||
133 | |132 |00:12:58 ~-~-> 00:13:05 |an account or trade with this brokerage firm, but capital.com pull that up for | ||
134 | |133 |00:13:05 ~-~-> 00:13:12 |the US 100 market. Okay, this is the CFD version of Nasdaq futures contract. It's | ||
135 | |134 |00:13:12 ~-~-> 00:13:16 |not going to mark to market perfectly, but I'm going to show you here that it's | ||
136 | |135 |00:13:16 ~-~-> 00:13:21 |doing the same things I'm teaching that the futures market is doing. So instead | ||
137 | |136 |00:13:21 ~-~-> 00:13:25 |of complaining to me and leaving comments in the sections of my video | ||
138 | |137 |00:13:25 ~-~-> 00:13:29 |where I groom you, I make you invisible to a channel. It means I'm never going | ||
139 | |138 |00:13:29 ~-~-> 00:13:34 |to see your comment anymore. Listen to me here, okay, because your time with me | ||
140 | |139 |00:13:34 ~-~-> 00:13:38 |learning will be greatly increased and be much more fruitful if you listen to | ||
141 | |140 |00:13:38 ~-~-> 00:13:45 |what I'm going to say daily chart of the US, 100 Okay. Same thing happening here. | ||
142 | |141 |00:13:45 ~-~-> 00:13:54 |This is TGIF. Same thing, high and low, half, 40% 20% it had that much of a | ||
143 | |142 |00:13:54 ~-~-> 00:13:58 |retracement. But more specifically, first present the fair value gap. It | ||
144 | |143 |00:13:58 ~-~-> 00:14:03 |trades up into it. There, hits the quadrants, consequent encroachment sells | ||
145 | |144 |00:14:03 ~-~-> 00:14:08 |off the upper quadrant of Thursday's regular trading hours, opening range | ||
146 | |145 |00:14:08 ~-~-> 00:14:17 |gap, regular trading hours, opening range gap, high, consequent | ||
147 | |146 |00:14:17 ~-~-> 00:14:22 |encroachment. Lower quadrant and the low of the regular trading hours, opening | ||
148 | |147 |00:14:22 ~-~-> 00:14:30 |range gap below. And how am I getting those levels on us? 100 think about | ||
149 | |148 |00:14:30 ~-~-> 00:14:34 |pause the video and think about how I got those levels. Because there is no | ||
150 | |149 |00:14:35 ~-~-> 00:14:40 |greater trading hours for a CFD. I already taught this before, but you just | ||
151 | |150 |00:14:40 ~-~-> 00:14:45 |didn't listen. You don't listen, you don't you don't take notes. You're so | ||
152 | |151 |00:14:45 ~-~-> 00:14:48 |worried about what I'm going to teach new, but the things I'm jaw bending | ||
153 | |152 |00:14:48 ~-~-> 00:14:52 |about, that's the stuff where you're really learning. What you're doing is | ||
154 | |153 |00:14:52 ~-~-> 00:14:59 |you're going to be going into 4:14pm, Eastern Time, where that price is. | ||
155 | |154 |00:15:00 ~-~-> 00:15:05 |Annotate that with a line segment, like this one here the ray, and then label | ||
156 | |155 |00:15:05 ~-~-> 00:15:13 |that river. Trading hours, closing price for whatever day it is, okay, and when | ||
157 | |156 |00:15:13 ~-~-> 00:15:17 |you're creating it, you're creating it for the next trading day. So if you're | ||
158 | |157 |00:15:17 ~-~-> 00:15:22 |looking at it on 4:14pm, Eastern Time on a Wednesday, you're looking at a | ||
159 | |158 |00:15:22 ~-~-> 00:15:27 |Thursday opening range level. That's how you're going to define it. And then | ||
160 | |159 |00:15:27 ~-~-> 00:15:32 |you're going to wait until 930 eastern time the next morning, and when it opens | ||
161 | |160 |00:15:32 ~-~-> 00:15:35 |up. That's your other reference point. So between those two reference points, | ||
162 | |161 |00:15:35 ~-~-> 00:15:39 |that's going to be your regular trading hours, opening range gap high and low, | ||
163 | |162 |00:15:40 ~-~-> 00:15:44 |there won't be a gap. You're just simply just going to the one minute candlestick | ||
164 | |163 |00:15:45 ~-~-> 00:15:49 |for 9:30am Eastern Time and 4:14pm Eastern Time, and you're going to get | ||
165 | |164 |00:15:49 ~-~-> 00:15:54 |the same information that I'm showing you here, and it's the same thing that | ||
166 | |165 |00:15:54 ~-~-> 00:16:00 |I'm teaching with the futures market. Why are you complicating everything? And | ||
167 | |166 |00:16:00 ~-~-> 00:16:06 |you can see how we delivered down into the upper quadrant, just like I did in | ||
168 | |167 |00:16:06 ~-~-> 00:16:10 |the futures market. Calling it on X on Friday afternoon, we traded down into | ||
169 | |168 |00:16:10 ~-~-> 00:16:14 |the upper quadrant of the buy side and balance outside efficiency. And then it | ||
170 | |169 |00:16:14 ~-~-> 00:16:19 |came right back off that and trading right near the regular trading hours, | ||
171 | |170 |00:16:19 ~-~-> 00:16:25 |opening range gap low from Thursday's trading. Don't just discard the previous | ||
172 | |171 |00:16:25 ~-~-> 00:16:30 |day's opening range gaps. You're going to see that the algorithm is still using | ||
173 | |172 |00:16:30 ~-~-> 00:16:35 |them. And because this is going to track the real futures market, where is it | ||
174 | |173 |00:16:35 ~-~-> 00:16:39 |going to get its rhyme and reason for where it's going to go up and down, what | ||
175 | |174 |00:16:39 ~-~-> 00:16:51 |that futures market is doing? Right, folks, that's it for this one. Hope you | ||
176 | |175 |00:16:51 ~-~-> 00:16:55 |found it insightful until talk to you next time. I wish you good luck and good | ||
177 | |176 |00:16:55 ~-~-> 00:16:56 |trading. |