Wiki source code of ICT YT - 2025-04-22 - 2025 Lecture Series - Turtle Soup Deferred Entry With -Rejection Block
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2 | |1 |00:00:01 ~-~-> 00:00:09 |ICT: Hello folks, how are you? Hello folks, how are you? So hope you enjoyed | ||
3 | |2 |00:00:09 ~-~-> 00:00:15 |your Passover holiday last week. I know I did. So we're gonna take a quick look. | ||
4 | |3 |00:00:15 ~-~-> 00:00:20 |I promise it won't be long, real quick, easy, painless. If you watched what I | ||
5 | |4 |00:00:20 ~-~-> 00:00:25 |was showcasing this morning in my telegram channel, and you can find the | ||
6 | |5 |00:00:25 ~-~-> 00:00:33 |link to the telegram channel on my pinned post, on my x channel or profile | ||
7 | |6 |00:00:33 ~-~-> 00:00:40 |on X it'll give you a visual on how to locate it on my YouTube channel. So that | ||
8 | |7 |00:00:40 ~-~-> 00:00:43 |way, there's a lot of people out there who have fake ICT telegram channels, and | ||
9 | |8 |00:00:43 ~-~-> 00:00:48 |they're trying to sell you stuff and do all kinds of nonsense. It's very easy | ||
10 | |9 |00:00:48 ~-~-> 00:00:52 |for you to locate it. It's in the channel description on my YouTube | ||
11 | |10 |00:00:52 ~-~-> 00:00:56 |channel, and again, the visuals on actually how to find that is on the | ||
12 | |11 |00:00:56 ~-~-> 00:01:03 |pinned post on my x channel. All right, so we are looking at the five minute | ||
13 | |12 |00:01:03 ~-~-> 00:01:10 |chart on NASDAQ June delivery contract for 2025 this morning, I was outlining | ||
14 | |13 |00:01:10 ~-~-> 00:01:15 |at very low expectations. Admittedly, usually I have my protocol for trading | ||
15 | |14 |00:01:15 ~-~-> 00:01:20 |after a holiday. And even though markets were trading last week, I was not | ||
16 | |15 |00:01:20 ~-~-> 00:01:24 |participating in any of that. I was fasting from the markets, if you will. | ||
17 | |16 |00:01:26 ~-~-> 00:01:36 |And the long separation from what the market did the previous week to when I | ||
18 | |17 |00:01:36 ~-~-> 00:01:42 |first look at the market today, I like to give it up, like one day buffer. So | ||
19 | |18 |00:01:42 ~-~-> 00:01:47 |today I showcased a execution, and you're going to see it again here. Just | ||
20 | |19 |00:01:47 ~-~-> 00:01:52 |for disclosures purpose, I am going to let you know that it was not a live fund | ||
21 | |20 |00:01:52 ~-~-> 00:01:57 |account trade. Usually, I'll come out and I'll tell you, you know, it's, you | ||
22 | |21 |00:01:57 ~-~-> 00:02:00 |know, a demo, when I want you to understand it was a demo. So because | ||
23 | |22 |00:02:00 ~-~-> 00:02:06 |it's within keeping the rules and processes protocols I follow, this could | ||
24 | |23 |00:02:06 ~-~-> 00:02:11 |have very easily been a day where treating this setup would not have | ||
25 | |24 |00:02:11 ~-~-> 00:02:17 |yielded an outcome like this. So because I am a stickler for principles and rules | ||
26 | |25 |00:02:17 ~-~-> 00:02:23 |when I'm trying to teach it to you all, again, just know that the money that you | ||
27 | |26 |00:02:23 ~-~-> 00:02:27 |see here today, shown on this particular trade, was done through the medium of a | ||
28 | |27 |00:02:27 ~-~-> 00:02:32 |paper trading account, through trading view. But again, if the concepts are | ||
29 | |28 |00:02:32 ~-~-> 00:02:36 |showcasing, you know, theory in action, I'll leave it to you as the viewer to | ||
30 | |29 |00:02:36 ~-~-> 00:02:40 |determine whether or not there's any value in that. Okay, so again, as a | ||
31 | |30 |00:02:40 ~-~-> 00:02:44 |reminder, you will see at the end of the year live broker statements. But for | ||
32 | |31 |00:02:44 ~-~-> 00:02:48 |now, let's just get through the year. Okay, so we're looking at the June | ||
33 | |32 |00:02:48 ~-~-> 00:02:54 |contract five minute chart, and I showcased in my telegram channel. We're | ||
34 | |33 |00:02:54 ~-~-> 00:03:00 |gonna look right in here. There was a couple things I had already outlined, | ||
35 | |34 |00:03:00 ~-~-> 00:03:06 |which were this large city for the new weak opening gap. So here's a new week, | ||
36 | |35 |00:03:06 ~-~-> 00:03:12 |opening gap high, and we cover the gap low and the outcome encroachment and | ||
37 | |36 |00:03:12 ~-~-> 00:03:16 |lower and upper quadrant levels. And then we worked away from that. We had a | ||
38 | |37 |00:03:17 ~-~-> 00:03:24 |inversion fair value gap here, trading up into the 650 the 6:10am Eastern Time | ||
39 | |38 |00:03:24 ~-~-> 00:03:29 |macro that supposedly never exists. We have buy side, relative equal eyes here, | ||
40 | |39 |00:03:30 ~-~-> 00:03:34 |and a volume imbalance, really, really easy anticipation running up into that | ||
41 | |40 |00:03:34 ~-~-> 00:03:39 |and in, the market broke aggressively lower. Now, if it was not a day after | ||
42 | |41 |00:03:40 ~-~-> 00:03:46 |the long break from trading, from not participating or even watching price | ||
43 | |42 |00:03:46 ~-~-> 00:03:50 |during the Passover week last week, then I would have actually taken that trade | ||
44 | |43 |00:03:50 ~-~-> 00:03:59 |like that. Would have been an easy low, you know, a low difficulty trade setup, | ||
45 | |44 |00:03:59 ~-~-> 00:04:04 |and I would be looking for this level here, which is an old hourly low. I'll | ||
46 | |45 |00:04:04 ~-~-> 00:04:10 |show it to you in a moment, and then I may have been more inclined to hold on | ||
47 | |46 |00:04:10 ~-~-> 00:04:14 |to the trade for a little bit longer, instead of just a small little move that | ||
48 | |47 |00:04:14 ~-~-> 00:04:22 |I was looking for and you watched me do on the x. So the market again, breaks | ||
49 | |48 |00:04:22 ~-~-> 00:04:26 |below this low here, and I I've taught breakers. Obviously you can go in the | ||
50 | |49 |00:04:27 ~-~-> 00:04:33 |2016 ICT mentorship playlist, and from month four, I teach the breaker as an | ||
51 | |50 |00:04:33 ~-~-> 00:04:37 |introductory there. I've done lots of lessons and built on it since then. But | ||
52 | |51 |00:04:38 ~-~-> 00:04:43 |this is the candlestick that is my bearish breaker. So technically, what | ||
53 | |52 |00:04:43 ~-~-> 00:04:49 |you want to see is the last down, close candle prior to a run higher. And these | ||
54 | |53 |00:04:49 ~-~-> 00:04:54 |highs here, buy side, lowest low before this high takes out that buy side, and | ||
55 | |54 |00:04:54 ~-~-> 00:04:57 |it trades up into a premium array. I mentioned this in the telegram channel, | ||
56 | |55 |00:04:57 ~-~-> 00:05:00 |but just for completeness, six and there's a lot of you. You that can't, | ||
57 | |56 |00:05:00 ~-~-> 00:05:04 |either subscribe to Telegram, which I don't understand why you can't, it's | ||
58 | |57 |00:05:04 ~-~-> 00:05:10 |free, but or don't want to use Telegram, which I can appreciate and understand | ||
59 | |58 |00:05:10 ~-~-> 00:05:16 |too. But for those individuals that were not members of that and watch me outline | ||
60 | |59 |00:05:16 ~-~-> 00:05:22 |this, you know, explain it in the video, in telegram. I'm doing it for you here. | ||
61 | |60 |00:05:22 ~-~-> 00:05:27 |Just later in the day, I mentioned how I walked through this by center balanced | ||
62 | |61 |00:05:27 ~-~-> 00:05:32 |cell sign in efficiency right here, which is this volume of balance to that | ||
63 | |62 |00:05:32 ~-~-> 00:05:36 |candles that sticks low. So all this shaded area is a biotin and balance cell | ||
64 | |63 |00:05:36 ~-~-> 00:05:40 |sign, efficiency. But when the market provides this context, where it trades | ||
65 | |64 |00:05:40 ~-~-> 00:05:45 |through it. This changes to a inversion, fair value gap, bearish inversion, fair | ||
66 | |65 |00:05:45 ~-~-> 00:05:49 |value gap. Why? Because this was buy side imbalance, outside efficiency. If | ||
67 | |66 |00:05:49 ~-~-> 00:05:52 |it was a bullish market, it would come back down into it and hit it like it did | ||
68 | |67 |00:05:52 ~-~-> 00:05:56 |here, and then rallied up to the premium array. But since we broke down, keeping | ||
69 | |68 |00:05:56 ~-~-> 00:06:03 |with the bearish market directions, and delivered since we started this week | ||
70 | |69 |00:06:04 ~-~-> 00:06:08 |here. And because of all the tariffs and all of the other stuff that's going on | ||
71 | |70 |00:06:08 ~-~-> 00:06:13 |in the geopolitical arena, it's just it's very hard for the market to find | ||
72 | |71 |00:06:13 ~-~-> 00:06:18 |traction. So when we traded below it, I outlined this when we were trading here, | ||
73 | |72 |00:06:18 ~-~-> 00:06:22 |and you can see that in the telegram channel, it trades up into it trace the | ||
74 | |73 |00:06:22 ~-~-> 00:06:26 |consequent encroachment just a little bit above it, the body's respecting the | ||
75 | |74 |00:06:26 ~-~-> 00:06:30 |low end of it, and traded down lower. And then right in here I said, Okay, | ||
76 | |75 |00:06:30 ~-~-> 00:06:35 |hypothetically, you would pay the trader. So that was a pre session setup | ||
77 | |76 |00:06:35 ~-~-> 00:06:40 |that I outlined during the telegram channel. But obviously we know they're | ||
78 | |77 |00:06:40 ~-~-> 00:06:45 |in the opening. The market can run short term highs and short term lows. So if | ||
79 | |78 |00:06:45 ~-~-> 00:06:51 |the markets bearish, and we had relative equal lows down here, you can see how | ||
80 | |79 |00:06:51 ~-~-> 00:06:56 |the market did, in fact, run up. But look at the bodies. See that. So we had | ||
81 | |80 |00:06:56 ~-~-> 00:07:00 |all this damage done with the wick, and then this wick here basically is | ||
82 | |81 |00:07:00 ~-~-> 00:07:07 |consequent encroachment of that I have taught this in 2024 tongue twister. 2024 | ||
83 | |82 |00:07:08 ~-~-> 00:07:13 |I see financial check on my YouTube channel. You can see it's this perfect | ||
84 | |83 |00:07:13 ~-~-> 00:07:17 |delivery. It's algorithmic. Okay, you're gonna tell me that buyers and sellers | ||
85 | |84 |00:07:17 ~-~-> 00:07:22 |agreed to stop transacting right there at the consequent crochet of a level on | ||
86 | |85 |00:07:22 ~-~-> 00:07:26 |a wick was his premium PD array. You're gonna tell me some Gober out there wrote | ||
87 | |86 |00:07:26 ~-~-> 00:07:29 |a book and has that in there before I ever release it to the community. I'm | ||
88 | |87 |00:07:29 ~-~-> 00:07:32 |gonna tell you right now, you're a liar, and nobody's brought it forth to prove | ||
89 | |88 |00:07:32 ~-~-> 00:07:36 |it. Nothing rebranded. All original stuff here, hot, fresh, right from the | ||
90 | |89 |00:07:36 ~-~-> 00:07:39 |oven. And this baker never runs out of yeast, so the market runs up into that | ||
91 | |90 |00:07:40 ~-~-> 00:07:46 |and then breaks lower. So I'm watching this on a five minute chart. You can't | ||
92 | |91 |00:07:46 ~-~-> 00:07:50 |see what I'm seeing because I'm only recording on one screen with my system, | ||
93 | |92 |00:07:50 ~-~-> 00:07:56 |which you can see a short little video that I have 12 monitors in my office, so | ||
94 | |93 |00:07:56 ~-~-> 00:08:00 |I have different time frames on different charts. So I'm watching a | ||
95 | |94 |00:08:00 ~-~-> 00:08:02 |plethora of things. I'm watching other markets that are correlated to it. | ||
96 | |95 |00:08:03 ~-~-> 00:08:07 |Watching es I'm watching YM I'm watching Dollar Index. I'm watching bonds, I'm | ||
97 | |96 |00:08:07 ~-~-> 00:08:11 |watching key currencies. I'm not looking at key stocks. I know that's a popular | ||
98 | |97 |00:08:11 ~-~-> 00:08:15 |thing with a lot of people. I could care less, because everything I need to find | ||
99 | |98 |00:08:15 ~-~-> 00:08:21 |is what I'm looking at. So because we have this idea here, and it's likely to | ||
100 | |99 |00:08:21 ~-~-> 00:08:26 |run the 18,000 zero, 80 level, which, to me, was a very easy, low hanging fruit | ||
101 | |100 |00:08:26 ~-~-> 00:08:32 |objective, very easy, simplistic, nothing crazy about it. It could have | ||
102 | |101 |00:08:32 ~-~-> 00:08:36 |just went down here, take out that low like it did here, and then traded, | ||
103 | |102 |00:08:36 ~-~-> 00:08:39 |banged around a little bit and didn't do anything that would be a classic type of | ||
104 | |103 |00:08:39 ~-~-> 00:08:48 |day after a Passover slash. You may call it Easter break from the normal volume | ||
105 | |104 |00:08:48 ~-~-> 00:08:52 |that comes in the marketplace. If you watched last week, that is a little bit | ||
106 | |105 |00:08:52 ~-~-> 00:08:57 |more animated than a Passover week's volume, because usually it gets real | ||
107 | |106 |00:08:57 ~-~-> 00:09:03 |wonky and it doesn't really deliver very cleanly. And I don't regret being in | ||
108 | |107 |00:09:03 ~-~-> 00:09:08 |front of the the charts at not being in front of the charts at all last week. | ||
109 | |108 |00:09:08 ~-~-> 00:09:13 |But anyway, I'm starting to ramble on. This is the again, the context here from | ||
110 | |109 |00:09:13 ~-~-> 00:09:16 |the five minute basis. And then we're going to drop down at the one minute | ||
111 | |110 |00:09:16 ~-~-> 00:09:18 |chart and finish this up real quick. | ||
112 | |111 |00:09:18 ~-~-> 00:09:23 |Alrighty. Here we are on the one minute chart you can see on this candlestick | ||
113 | |112 |00:09:23 ~-~-> 00:09:27 |right here. It runs up after opening, runs up hits a constant encouragement of | ||
114 | |113 |00:09:27 ~-~-> 00:09:32 |the five minute premium wick stops dead in its tracks, and then starts to | ||
115 | |114 |00:09:32 ~-~-> 00:09:39 |displace and go lower my eye, my eyes is toggled on to that right there, that up | ||
116 | |115 |00:09:39 ~-~-> 00:09:44 |close candle. Now, what am I looking at that for? Why am I watching that? | ||
117 | |116 |00:09:45 ~-~-> 00:09:49 |Because we've already shown the initial run into that inversion, fair value gap, | ||
118 | |117 |00:09:49 ~-~-> 00:09:53 |and this one right here. And then we went lower. So all of this was outlined | ||
119 | |118 |00:09:53 ~-~-> 00:09:59 |before the fact. And then at 930 opening the route up into the clear the pre | ||
120 | |119 |00:09:59 ~-~-> 00:10:03 |session. Stops for anyone that's already short, classic scenario, classic, | ||
121 | |120 |00:10:03 ~-~-> 00:10:08 |classic, classic. So this inversion fair value got gets used again. But I wanted | ||
122 | |121 |00:10:08 ~-~-> 00:10:12 |to wait and see, because of the nature of the marketplace, even it was a demo | ||
123 | |122 |00:10:12 ~-~-> 00:10:16 |account execution, I still wanted to be nice and clean and principally based. So | ||
124 | |123 |00:10:16 ~-~-> 00:10:22 |as it left trading below it, I'm trying to wait and time it when it hits this | ||
125 | |124 |00:10:23 ~-~-> 00:10:27 |closing price. So I want to show you like this. So here you go. That is the | ||
126 | |125 |00:10:27 ~-~-> 00:10:33 |rejection block. It's a bearish rejection block, and right there, just | ||
127 | |126 |00:10:33 ~-~-> 00:10:36 |like that. Okay, so as price is dropping down on a moment of chart, as it does | ||
128 | |127 |00:10:36 ~-~-> 00:10:41 |that right there, it's doing two things. It's leaving the inversion Fairbank at | ||
129 | |128 |00:10:41 ~-~-> 00:10:47 |this after proving that the consequent encroachment of the five minute wick | ||
130 | |129 |00:10:47 ~-~-> 00:10:53 |stops price in its tracks. And look at the bodies here. Every body is higher, | ||
131 | |130 |00:10:54 ~-~-> 00:11:01 |higher, higher, higher, higher rejection, algorithmic destruction, if | ||
132 | |131 |00:11:01 ~-~-> 00:11:04 |price takes it outside of the inversion fair value gap. And as soon as it hits | ||
133 | |132 |00:11:04 ~-~-> 00:11:08 |this level here, the algorithm is going to start spooling. Okay, I'm not going | ||
134 | |133 |00:11:08 ~-~-> 00:11:13 |to go any greater detail here. I promise you, in the book, Volume One, I will | ||
135 | |134 |00:11:13 ~-~-> 00:11:18 |talk about this very thing right here, because this is a deferred entry to a | ||
136 | |135 |00:11:18 ~-~-> 00:11:25 |turtle soup. False breakout. Higher, high reversal pattern. Okay, so I try to | ||
137 | |136 |00:11:25 ~-~-> 00:11:29 |cover every possible scenario that you may be familiar with. The general | ||
138 | |137 |00:11:29 ~-~-> 00:11:35 |principle of a buy, stop read here, turtle soup is my little play on and a | ||
139 | |138 |00:11:35 ~-~-> 00:11:41 |nod to the pattern that was taught in street smarts by Linda rashkin, Larry | ||
140 | |139 |00:11:41 ~-~-> 00:11:47 |Connors, but I do not trade that form of turtle soup. I don't use a 20 day high. | ||
141 | |140 |00:11:47 ~-~-> 00:11:53 |I don't use a 21 day high. This isn't even daily charts. This is just one | ||
142 | |141 |00:11:53 ~-~-> 00:11:56 |minute candles. Okay, but the premise behind it a stop hunt, stop rate. It's | ||
143 | |142 |00:11:57 ~-~-> 00:12:00 |just a beautiful little mechanism of entering a trade. But you have to know | ||
144 | |143 |00:12:00 ~-~-> 00:12:03 |what the narrative is. If you don't know what the narrative is, you're going to | ||
145 | |144 |00:12:03 ~-~-> 00:12:06 |get lost in the sauce. You're not going to know what you're looking for, what, | ||
146 | |145 |00:12:06 ~-~-> 00:12:08 |how you going to pick you know what, what are you going to aim for as your | ||
147 | |146 |00:12:08 ~-~-> 00:12:12 |entry mechanism? How do you know it's not going to keep going up? That's what | ||
148 | |147 |00:12:12 ~-~-> 00:12:15 |I teach. I teach narrative. I understand how far it's going to go. And I gave | ||
149 | |148 |00:12:15 ~-~-> 00:12:19 |this inversion for everybody gap before the opening bell, but true to form. Look | ||
150 | |149 |00:12:19 ~-~-> 00:12:22 |what it does. The wicks are allowed to do the damage. And that doesn't matter | ||
151 | |150 |00:12:22 ~-~-> 00:12:27 |to me. I'm looking for how those wicks are laid down, and then I look for this | ||
152 | |151 |00:12:27 ~-~-> 00:12:31 |type of scenario, which is what I taught in 2024 more insights about that pattern | ||
153 | |152 |00:12:31 ~-~-> 00:12:35 |as well. I'll say in volume one of my books, Volume One absolutely will be out | ||
154 | |153 |00:12:35 ~-~-> 00:12:39 |before Christmas this year, so please stop sending me emails. When the | ||
155 | |154 |00:12:39 ~-~-> 00:12:43 |publisher gets it ready? Then that's when it's ready. And when it's ready, | ||
156 | |155 |00:12:43 ~-~-> 00:12:47 |you'll, you'll know about it. Now, I'll tweet about it or post it on x and I'll | ||
157 | |156 |00:12:47 ~-~-> 00:12:51 |do a little press release on my YouTube channel. But, you know, asking me about | ||
158 | |157 |00:12:51 ~-~-> 00:12:55 |it, is it making it happen to me soon? Okay, so anyway, that's the business. | ||
159 | |158 |00:12:55 ~-~-> 00:12:59 |There the market ratings now, and takes out the relative equal lows. This is a | ||
160 | |159 |00:12:59 ~-~-> 00:13:03 |minor sell side liquidity pool. And then finally, that right here, the old low in | ||
161 | |160 |00:13:03 ~-~-> 00:13:08 |the morning session. So what I've been doing, in case you haven't noticed, is, | ||
162 | |161 |00:13:08 ~-~-> 00:13:12 |just for the morning session, if I'm operating inside the pre session, or | ||
163 | |162 |00:13:12 ~-~-> 00:13:16 |during the opening range, or the first hour trading, that's kind of like that | ||
164 | |163 |00:13:16 ~-~-> 00:13:19 |little, small, little area of opportunity I've been focusing on for | ||
165 | |164 |00:13:19 ~-~-> 00:13:23 |this year's executions, and sometimes I'll do trade setups in other time | ||
166 | |165 |00:13:23 ~-~-> 00:13:27 |frames. You've seen me trade London. Now you've seen me trade Asia. You've seen | ||
167 | |166 |00:13:27 ~-~-> 00:13:32 |me trade the pm session in the afternoon New York session. But really, my focus | ||
168 | |167 |00:13:32 ~-~-> 00:13:35 |has been primarily trying to get you to focus on just a small little window of | ||
169 | |168 |00:13:35 ~-~-> 00:13:40 |opportunity that's framed by time and looking for very simplistic things that | ||
170 | |169 |00:13:40 ~-~-> 00:13:46 |repeat, and it's been a pleasure this this year, just showcasing it without a | ||
171 | |170 |00:13:46 ~-~-> 00:13:50 |doubt, proof before it happens, the very PDA race, because I get a lot of | ||
172 | |171 |00:13:50 ~-~-> 00:13:54 |questions, like, people will leave condescending remarks in other people's | ||
173 | |172 |00:13:54 ~-~-> 00:13:59 |channels about what is I teach. And maybe they may be using it, and then, | ||
174 | |173 |00:13:59 ~-~-> 00:14:02 |because they're using it, they have trolls that come in and try to tear them | ||
175 | |174 |00:14:02 ~-~-> 00:14:05 |down and and say it doesn't work, or it's rebranded, but they can't even come | ||
176 | |175 |00:14:05 ~-~-> 00:14:09 |up with where it was rebranded visually in a book show anybody in a page number, | ||
177 | |176 |00:14:09 ~-~-> 00:14:14 |you prove it. Prove it. It's never, it's never to be done by them. So I want you | ||
178 | |177 |00:14:14 ~-~-> 00:14:20 |to understand that by showcasing these things. And I'm pulling out in the | ||
179 | |178 |00:14:20 ~-~-> 00:14:25 |telegram channel, the very PDA race is going to cause the moves, and it's | ||
180 | |179 |00:14:25 ~-~-> 00:14:31 |undeniable. Okay, so I get great deal of encouragement as an educator when I see | ||
181 | |180 |00:14:31 ~-~-> 00:14:36 |the comment section, and there's lots of them every single day on YouTube where I | ||
182 | |181 |00:14:36 ~-~-> 00:14:40 |see them. You can't see them, but I can. And I just want you know, there's so | ||
183 | |182 |00:14:40 ~-~-> 00:14:45 |many of you. I'm just doing a blanket response, saying I appreciate your | ||
184 | |183 |00:14:45 ~-~-> 00:14:49 |willingness to take a couple minutes to type out your your comments or | ||
185 | |184 |00:14:50 ~-~-> 00:14:56 |suggestions to continue, but I will tell you this, the the live calling the | ||
186 | |185 |00:14:56 ~-~-> 00:15:01 |markets, stuff that's only going to be. Be for the month of May, and then I'm | ||
187 | |186 |00:15:01 ~-~-> 00:15:05 |going to stop, and you'll understand why after that, because what I'm going to be | ||
188 | |187 |00:15:05 ~-~-> 00:15:09 |doing, I don't want anybody else looking at the market the same way I am. Okay, | ||
189 | |188 |00:15:09 ~-~-> 00:15:17 |but I will give you lectures and maybe reviews, if not post May until we get to | ||
190 | |189 |00:15:17 ~-~-> 00:15:21 |the end of the year. I have a schedule I want to keep and some things I want to | ||
191 | |190 |00:15:21 ~-~-> 00:15:26 |accomplish and some projects I'm working on. So it's not that I'm going to stop | ||
192 | |191 |00:15:26 ~-~-> 00:15:31 |altogether sharing with you. I just I'm not going to be doing the daily pointing | ||
193 | |192 |00:15:31 ~-~-> 00:15:36 |to where it's going to refer to specific PD arrays, because it's already being | ||
194 | |193 |00:15:36 ~-~-> 00:15:41 |sold in other telegram channels as somebody else's analysis discord | ||
195 | |194 |00:15:41 ~-~-> 00:15:45 |channels are also copying what I'm saying, and they're treating it as | ||
196 | |195 |00:15:45 ~-~-> 00:15:49 |analysis, and they're selling it too. So it doesn't take long for somebody to | ||
197 | |196 |00:15:49 ~-~-> 00:15:53 |come in, a small handful of people that come in and try to pretend that they're | ||
198 | |197 |00:15:53 ~-~-> 00:15:58 |doing it themselves. And that's why them baiting them more by not putting any | ||
199 | |198 |00:15:58 ~-~-> 00:16:02 |watermarks on the on the videos on x because I know they're sharing those | ||
200 | |199 |00:16:02 ~-~-> 00:16:05 |things and pretending it was them, and they're in other countries, and the | ||
201 | |200 |00:16:05 ~-~-> 00:16:10 |people probably didn't know who I am, and that's fine, but when the water | ||
202 | |201 |00:16:10 ~-~-> 00:16:15 |turns off, when ICT turns the utilities off, you got nothing else to talk about | ||
203 | |202 |00:16:15 ~-~-> 00:16:18 |you, you run out of yeast. I don't run out of yeast. So let's take a look at | ||
204 | |203 |00:16:18 ~-~-> 00:16:25 |the setup. I'm only showcasing the the moves that are basically working inside | ||
205 | |204 |00:16:25 ~-~-> 00:16:31 |the first 60 minutes of trading. And if you showcase this here, you can see that | ||
206 | |205 |00:16:32 ~-~-> 00:16:36 |this candle right there, and I'm I'm targeting right there, that rejection | ||
207 | |206 |00:16:36 ~-~-> 00:16:39 |block, and I'm doing it on a market order basis. So it's not going to be | ||
208 | |207 |00:16:39 ~-~-> 00:16:45 |perfect, but that's what I'm aiming for, okay? And then obviously, the the low | ||
209 | |208 |00:16:45 ~-~-> 00:16:49 |over here, you can see it gets filled below there, and then it comes right | ||
210 | |209 |00:16:49 ~-~-> 00:16:52 |back up to the old hourly low, which I will show you in a moment. What that is, | ||
211 | |210 |00:16:53 ~-~-> 00:16:59 |trades up at the volume imbalance here, and breaks lower, takes another low out | ||
212 | |211 |00:16:59 ~-~-> 00:17:03 |there, trades one more time up in to the old hourly low and then they send it | ||
213 | |212 |00:17:04 ~-~-> 00:17:08 |this. Move here. This is not what I'm trying to give all of you this year, | ||
214 | |213 |00:17:08 ~-~-> 00:17:12 |because this is Robin's Cup winning type setups. And I'm not trying to spoon feed | ||
215 | |214 |00:17:12 ~-~-> 00:17:18 |that. I know that there's two guys that are basically following along what I'm | ||
216 | |215 |00:17:18 ~-~-> 00:17:23 |doing. And you got to get your own honey buddy. You can't, you can't be in there | ||
217 | |216 |00:17:23 ~-~-> 00:17:26 |getting it from me. And then you wonder why they're slipping on the leaderboard, | ||
218 | |217 |00:17:27 ~-~-> 00:17:35 |because ICT turned the valve off. Okay, but we're seeing it obviously break | ||
219 | |218 |00:17:35 ~-~-> 00:17:38 |lower. Then we had some buy side liquidity here that took that and broke | ||
220 | |219 |00:17:38 ~-~-> 00:17:44 |lower. And again, the same thing in here. Break yourself in a balanced box | ||
221 | |220 |00:17:44 ~-~-> 00:17:47 |and efficiency when it's a wick that overlaps it like that, that means | ||
222 | |221 |00:17:47 ~-~-> 00:17:52 |they're going to revisit it again. And you see it there. I'll just highlight it | ||
223 | |222 |00:17:52 ~-~-> 00:18:04 |once more, right there, right? It's easier to see it like this, these old | ||
224 | |223 |00:18:04 ~-~-> 00:18:05 |eyes of mine. | ||
225 | |224 |00:18:15 ~-~-> 00:18:24 |See it here. Beautiful. Look at the bodies respecting that. Okay, the again, | ||
226 | |225 |00:18:24 ~-~-> 00:18:29 |this is one of those. How do you know which fair Vega of ICT? Well, first of | ||
227 | |226 |00:18:29 ~-~-> 00:18:33 |all, number one premise is time wise. Why should it form? Where it's forming? | ||
228 | |227 |00:18:33 ~-~-> 00:18:39 |Two, where is it in the context and narrative of the day? Is it profiles | ||
229 | |228 |00:18:39 ~-~-> 00:18:41 |going to be a training day to be consolidation day is going to be | ||
230 | |229 |00:18:41 ~-~-> 00:18:46 |reversal. And if you see the fair value gap that has a wick laying over top of | ||
231 | |230 |00:18:46 ~-~-> 00:18:49 |it, okay, you see that body right there. None of that candlesticks, body is | ||
232 | |231 |00:18:49 ~-~-> 00:18:53 |laying anywhere inside of that fair value gap. This is going to be | ||
233 | |232 |00:18:53 ~-~-> 00:18:58 |revisited, where it's like a reclaimed fair value gap. 90% of the time it's | ||
234 | |233 |00:18:58 ~-~-> 00:19:02 |going to happen. 90% of the time it's going to happen so you can see it, | ||
235 | |234 |00:19:02 ~-~-> 00:19:08 |respecting it there. Now everybody else would see this. Okay? Allah, Laurie | ||
236 | |235 |00:19:08 ~-~-> 00:19:12 |crowd, now they're going to say, Okay, well, this is done, Tony, you know what | ||
237 | |236 |00:19:12 ~-~-> 00:19:16 |you're talking about. So the market rallies up, wicks up to the high end of | ||
238 | |237 |00:19:16 ~-~-> 00:19:21 |it, and then you had the, what the opening right at that low of that fair | ||
239 | |238 |00:19:21 ~-~-> 00:19:25 |value gap, and it stops dead in its tracks right there, and sends it lower. | ||
240 | |239 |00:19:25 ~-~-> 00:19:31 |And we're going to attack low down here, which is sell side liquidity market | ||
241 | |240 |00:19:31 ~-~-> 00:19:36 |breaks lower. One more attempt to get in here. What's it hitting the breaker this | ||
242 | |241 |00:19:36 ~-~-> 00:19:42 |candlestick here? No, it's the lowest down closed candle. Watch, and you use | ||
243 | |242 |00:19:42 ~-~-> 00:19:48 |the entire range, not just the body. Sometimes you use the wicks, not when it | ||
244 | |243 |00:19:48 ~-~-> 00:19:53 |comes to breakers. And then you go, you see it beautifully, straight in there, | ||
245 | |244 |00:19:53 ~-~-> 00:19:58 |sends it lower relative equal lows, breaks lower. And now we left these | ||
246 | |245 |00:19:58 ~-~-> 00:20:04 |here, and now we've come. Off of that into the close, murder on crow close, if | ||
247 | |246 |00:20:04 ~-~-> 00:20:09 |you will. Okay, so this right here has been left, which I like that. So this | ||
248 | |247 |00:20:09 ~-~-> 00:20:13 |might be something overnight. It might be something for tomorrow. Just have | ||
249 | |248 |00:20:13 ~-~-> 00:20:17 |that in mind. And just so you know, for completeness sake, there it is. We're | ||
250 | |249 |00:20:17 ~-~-> 00:20:22 |looking for 17,700 and just below. Okay, so that's the level I'm going to be | ||
251 | |250 |00:20:22 ~-~-> 00:20:28 |watching for this evening. If I wake up during London, I'll take a look at and | ||
252 | |251 |00:20:28 ~-~-> 00:20:31 |see where it were there. And then tomorrow's trading again. That's what | ||
253 | |252 |00:20:31 ~-~-> 00:20:36 |we're looking for as something to draw us down into that, if it doesn't just | ||
254 | |253 |00:20:36 ~-~-> 00:20:41 |completely do it after 430 when river trading hours are completed, and the | ||
255 | |254 |00:20:41 ~-~-> 00:20:45 |settlement finally finishes. Is the markets are all over the place, folks, | ||
256 | |255 |00:20:45 ~-~-> 00:20:49 |the volatility is off the off the charts, and no pun intended. Hopefully | ||
257 | |256 |00:20:49 ~-~-> 00:20:52 |this was insightful. Hopefully it's helpful to you. If not just keep coming | ||
258 | |257 |00:20:52 ~-~-> 00:20:56 |back and you'll get more and I promise it'll help you. Until talk to You, then | ||
259 | |258 |00:20:57 ~-~-> 00:20:57 |Be safe. You. |