Wiki source code of ICT YT - 2025-02-08 - 2025 Lecture Series - Algorithmic Price Delivery Continuum
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2 | |1 |00:00:35 ~-~-> 00:00:39 |ICT: Welcome back, folks. So we're going to get right into it. In this lecture, | ||
3 | |2 |00:00:39 ~-~-> 00:00:43 |we're going to be covering how to visually read actual order flow without | ||
4 | |3 |00:00:43 ~-~-> 00:00:50 |retail gimmicks like level two data, depth of market ladders, even footprint | ||
5 | |4 |00:00:52 ~-~-> 00:00:58 |and to anticipate my fair value gaps remaining open, how to properly handle | ||
6 | |5 |00:00:58 ~-~-> 00:01:04 |price inefficiencies at all times when the forecast breakaway gaps and | ||
7 | |6 |00:01:04 ~-~-> 00:01:11 |precisely where now select ultra precise stop loss placement with no fear. All | ||
8 | |7 |00:01:18 ~-~-> 00:01:23 |right, we'll be doing a short little lecture here, and forex review. So I'll | ||
9 | |8 |00:01:23 ~-~-> 00:01:28 |be covering the dollar index, and then the POUND DOLLAR currency pair, and then | ||
10 | |9 |00:01:28 ~-~-> 00:01:32 |we'll be teaching the content that will allow me, obviously, to knock off | ||
11 | |10 |00:01:32 ~-~-> 00:01:37 |several topics all in one fell swoop. In one video, I'll be able to tackle | ||
12 | |11 |00:01:37 ~-~-> 00:01:41 |lectures that I had in mind. So real short, concise, rate to the point too. | ||
13 | |12 |00:01:41 ~-~-> 00:01:46 |So let's zoom in on this. Get started all right. On left hand side, you can | ||
14 | |13 |00:01:46 ~-~-> 00:01:52 |see $1 Index daily chart, and always tell what time frame I'm using by this | ||
15 | |14 |00:01:52 ~-~-> 00:01:57 |upper left hand corner. And this was the gap down here that I wanted to see if we | ||
16 | |15 |00:01:57 ~-~-> 00:02:01 |can get below it and use it as an inversion fair value gap, and then work | ||
17 | |16 |00:02:01 ~-~-> 00:02:04 |towards the sell side liquidity pool. Now because I'm dealing with a daily | ||
18 | |17 |00:02:04 ~-~-> 00:02:09 |chart, there's a whole lot of back and forth type price action. So it's not | ||
19 | |18 |00:02:09 ~-~-> 00:02:12 |unless it's in a very fast, low resistance liquidity run condition. The | ||
20 | |19 |00:02:12 ~-~-> 00:02:16 |market's going to spend a lot of time back and forth, as you see it doing | ||
21 | |20 |00:02:16 ~-~-> 00:02:21 |here. So as you can see, we got down to consequent encroachment of that gap and | ||
22 | |21 |00:02:21 ~-~-> 00:02:27 |then move back up into this fair value gap here that's delineated by these two | ||
23 | |22 |00:02:28 ~-~-> 00:02:34 |line segments, this little area right in here, that is an inversion fair value | ||
24 | |23 |00:02:34 ~-~-> 00:02:38 |gap, which we treated up into just today. So over here, when price was | ||
25 | |24 |00:02:38 ~-~-> 00:02:41 |moving higher, this was a buy seven balance, outside of efficiency. And | ||
26 | |25 |00:02:41 ~-~-> 00:02:45 |typically, when the market's bullish, if it's dropping down into that if we are, | ||
27 | |26 |00:02:45 ~-~-> 00:02:50 |in fact, bullish at that moment, price should show sensitivity and start the | ||
28 | |27 |00:02:50 ~-~-> 00:02:53 |same price higher. It doesn't do that. It goes right through it comes right | ||
29 | |28 |00:02:53 ~-~-> 00:02:58 |back up into it today. So I'll be watching what we do on Sundays opening | ||
30 | |29 |00:02:58 ~-~-> 00:03:03 |going into the first part of next week to see if this is still likely as a | ||
31 | |30 |00:03:03 ~-~-> 00:03:08 |scenario. I don't like the way it has all this up here between these two | ||
32 | |31 |00:03:08 ~-~-> 00:03:13 |highs. To me, it looks heavy, but worst case scenario, it doesn't drop and just | ||
33 | |32 |00:03:13 ~-~-> 00:03:16 |stays in consolidation, which you know it could do with all this stuff that's | ||
34 | |33 |00:03:16 ~-~-> 00:03:21 |going on with tariffs and whatnot. Find the chart on Dollar Index. You can see | ||
35 | |34 |00:03:21 ~-~-> 00:03:25 |we are using this inefficiency, which was obviously framed on the weekly | ||
36 | |35 |00:03:25 ~-~-> 00:03:32 |chart. Look at the videos from earlier in the week. That's this shaded orange | ||
37 | |36 |00:03:32 ~-~-> 00:03:35 |area down here when price dropped into it. That's this occurring right here, | ||
38 | |37 |00:03:37 ~-~-> 00:03:41 |right here on this, on this candlestick, it opened, traded down and sprung back | ||
39 | |38 |00:03:41 ~-~-> 00:03:47 |up into this portion of that inefficiency. So think about it as this | ||
40 | |39 |00:03:47 ~-~-> 00:03:54 |is the discount array, and this is the premium array trades down into it. Here | ||
41 | |40 |00:03:55 ~-~-> 00:04:00 |discount look at the bodies respecting it and its own individual fair value gap | ||
42 | |41 |00:04:01 ~-~-> 00:04:09 |and rallies. This positive balance. Sell side. Efficiency is a bullish fair value | ||
43 | |42 |00:04:09 ~-~-> 00:04:14 |gap, but the market trades down through it and then right back above it here, | ||
44 | |43 |00:04:14 ~-~-> 00:04:18 |then it becomes a reclaimed, bullish fair value gap. So again, I don't look | ||
45 | |44 |00:04:18 ~-~-> 00:04:22 |at an inefficiency that's filled or fills the number, if you will. In other | ||
46 | |45 |00:04:22 ~-~-> 00:04:25 |words, it closes it in once it does that, I don't forget about it. The | ||
47 | |46 |00:04:26 ~-~-> 00:04:29 |algorithm isn't going to forget about it. So me as a trader, I'm not going to | ||
48 | |47 |00:04:29 ~-~-> 00:04:36 |forget about it. So I want to be aware of what these levels are. So bullish | ||
49 | |48 |00:04:36 ~-~-> 00:04:40 |reclaims fair value gap and then partially trading down into it fails to | ||
50 | |49 |00:04:40 ~-~-> 00:04:43 |trade down to its consequent encroachment, which is the midpoint | ||
51 | |50 |00:04:43 ~-~-> 00:04:47 |right here in that line. So that's the institutional order, flow, entry, drill, | ||
52 | |51 |00:04:47 ~-~-> 00:04:58 |rallies up, then finally delivers into this premium array. This over here is an | ||
53 | |52 |00:04:58 ~-~-> 00:05:02 |inversion, fair backup as well. So. So in this case, it was sell side of | ||
54 | |53 |00:05:02 ~-~-> 00:05:06 |balance by side and efficiency. If the market was, in fact, bearish and didn't | ||
55 | |54 |00:05:06 ~-~-> 00:05:10 |have a whole lot of volatility like we've been seeing, it could have went up | ||
56 | |55 |00:05:10 ~-~-> 00:05:15 |into here and sent price lower, but it doesn't do it so that PD array fails and | ||
57 | |56 |00:05:15 ~-~-> 00:05:19 |trades above it. Now that we're on the other side of the curve here, we're | ||
58 | |57 |00:05:19 ~-~-> 00:05:23 |coming back up into it there. And when it comes an inversion fair value gap | ||
59 | |58 |00:05:23 ~-~-> 00:05:27 |here, because we're looking for it to run up into this inefficiency there, or | ||
60 | |59 |00:05:27 ~-~-> 00:05:32 |at the very minimum, the high of this self under balance by sign efficiency, | ||
61 | |60 |00:05:32 ~-~-> 00:05:37 |which is this line as the high, this line as the low. It's this candle is | ||
62 | |61 |00:05:37 ~-~-> 00:05:43 |high. This candle is low. That one single down closed candle portion. | ||
63 | |62 |00:05:43 ~-~-> 00:05:48 |That's the sell side of balance spots on efficiency. So inside the upper portion | ||
64 | |63 |00:05:48 ~-~-> 00:05:51 |of that, we have a premium rate in the form of a inversion fair value gap, | ||
65 | |64 |00:05:51 ~-~-> 00:05:56 |where this also is an inversion fair value gap. You can see how price runs | ||
66 | |65 |00:05:56 ~-~-> 00:06:03 |from the low of this here, right on that candlesticks low trade into here, and | ||
67 | |66 |00:06:03 ~-~-> 00:06:08 |then spring up through this inversion fair value gap. And then look at the | ||
68 | |67 |00:06:08 ~-~-> 00:06:13 |body stopping right there in consequent encroachment of this. See the blue | ||
69 | |68 |00:06:13 ~-~-> 00:06:18 |dashed line, or dotted line rather. That's the midpoint. That's what you're | ||
70 | |69 |00:06:18 ~-~-> 00:06:22 |seeing here. It trades up to here, stops, goes down, goes above. It uses it | ||
71 | |70 |00:06:22 ~-~-> 00:06:28 |as a discount array, after wicking into this buy side of balance, cell sign | ||
72 | |71 |00:06:28 ~-~-> 00:06:32 |efficiency, which is institutional order flow entry. Joe, now go back. Keep this | ||
73 | |72 |00:06:32 ~-~-> 00:06:37 |in mind. Okay, keep this in mind, and then look at what it was doing over here | ||
74 | |73 |00:06:37 ~-~-> 00:06:42 |too, for this reclaimed, bullish fair value gap. So there's a confluence of | ||
75 | |74 |00:06:42 ~-~-> 00:06:48 |three things here, institutional reform entry drill that's called encroachment, | ||
76 | |75 |00:06:48 ~-~-> 00:06:53 |failing to be traded to on a bullish fair value gap that's being reclaimed. | ||
77 | |76 |00:06:53 ~-~-> 00:06:58 |And then you're seeing that institutional refund entry drill, and | ||
78 | |77 |00:06:59 ~-~-> 00:07:04 |we're in the lower quadrant of this inversion, fair value gap on the daily | ||
79 | |78 |00:07:04 ~-~-> 00:07:08 |chart. And the bodies are supporting the idea that it's bullish. Why? Because | ||
80 | |79 |00:07:08 ~-~-> 00:07:12 |this candle, when it wicked down into it, look where it stopped, the midpoint | ||
81 | |80 |00:07:12 ~-~-> 00:07:15 |or consequence encroachment of this inversion fair value gap on the daily | ||
82 | |81 |00:07:15 ~-~-> 00:07:21 |chart. Then it price sent it up into the premium array seen inside the high end | ||
83 | |82 |00:07:21 ~-~-> 00:07:25 |of this cell phone, advanced bioscience efficiency in the form of an inversion | ||
84 | |83 |00:07:25 ~-~-> 00:07:29 |fair value gap. Now I know if you're brand new or relatively new to my | ||
85 | |84 |00:07:29 ~-~-> 00:07:34 |concepts, that was a whole lot of stuff in there, and I can understand it. If | ||
86 | |85 |00:07:34 ~-~-> 00:07:37 |you're thinking to yourself, there's no way I would have seen that. It's only | ||
87 | |86 |00:07:37 ~-~-> 00:07:40 |because you haven't spent enough time looking through it. Okay, I promise you | ||
88 | |87 |00:07:41 ~-~-> 00:07:45 |all of my students, every single one of them that have become proficient with | ||
89 | |88 |00:07:45 ~-~-> 00:07:49 |inversion, fair value gaps and fair value gaps. If they could go back to the | ||
90 | |89 |00:07:49 ~-~-> 00:07:51 |first time I talked about them, they were scratching their head too, like I | ||
91 | |90 |00:07:51 ~-~-> 00:07:54 |don't understand what you've talked about now. They're in there and just | ||
92 | |91 |00:07:54 ~-~-> 00:07:57 |picking them and trading them and doing all kinds of stuff with them. You got to | ||
93 | |92 |00:07:57 ~-~-> 00:08:00 |give yourself time, and you get that by practicing and journaling. All right, | ||
94 | |93 |00:08:03 ~-~-> 00:08:07 |we're going to segue right into the British pound versus the US dollar | ||
95 | |94 |00:08:08 ~-~-> 00:08:13 |currency pair and the lecture. So I'm going to cover a number of things | ||
96 | |95 |00:08:13 ~-~-> 00:08:17 |tonight, and I'm going to prove to you that I can teach it right to the point, | ||
97 | |96 |00:08:17 ~-~-> 00:08:19 |but you're not going to be satisfied, because you're going to feel like | ||
98 | |97 |00:08:19 ~-~-> 00:08:24 |there's something missing, but I promise you, there's nothing missing. So we have | ||
99 | |98 |00:08:24 ~-~-> 00:08:30 |the 15 minute time frame, pound dollar pair. And what I'm teaching here while | ||
100 | |99 |00:08:30 ~-~-> 00:08:36 |I'm teaching it over the the medium of a forex currency pair. This is the same | ||
101 | |100 |00:08:36 ~-~-> 00:08:39 |thing I do when I'm trading the NASDAQ. It's the same thing I do when I'm | ||
102 | |101 |00:08:39 ~-~-> 00:08:44 |trading commodities. It's the same thing I do when I trade. Es, same thing I did | ||
103 | |102 |00:08:44 ~-~-> 00:08:48 |when I was trading the bond market. Everything, everything that's traded | ||
104 | |103 |00:08:49 ~-~-> 00:08:55 |uses this logic. Okay, so 15 minute time frame, we have a sales on balance, buy | ||
105 | |104 |00:08:55 ~-~-> 00:08:59 |something efficiency. It's a city. It's a fair value gap, but it's classified as | ||
106 | |105 |00:08:59 ~-~-> 00:09:05 |a city because it's a down closed candle. This candle sticks low and this | ||
107 | |106 |00:09:05 ~-~-> 00:09:11 |candle sticks high. And the candle prior to that is this one singular long, down, | ||
108 | |107 |00:09:11 ~-~-> 00:09:17 |closed portion that is sell side imbalance. It's inefficient because it | ||
109 | |108 |00:09:17 ~-~-> 00:09:21 |doesn't have price being delivered in that same range defined by this | ||
110 | |109 |00:09:21 ~-~-> 00:09:25 |candlesticks low, and this candle sticks high. So we're going to look inside this | ||
111 | |110 |00:09:25 ~-~-> 00:09:30 |area right here. I'm going to give you the highest tier of understanding order | ||
112 | |111 |00:09:30 ~-~-> 00:09:35 |flow. And you don't need anything with these retail gimmicks like level two | ||
113 | |112 |00:09:35 ~-~-> 00:09:38 |data. It sounds technical. It sounds like the professionals. You know, it's | ||
114 | |113 |00:09:38 ~-~-> 00:09:43 |their tool. It's not okay, I promise you, it's it's spoofed many times. You | ||
115 | |114 |00:09:43 ~-~-> 00:09:48 |don't need footprint, okay? You don't need DOMs, ladders, depth of market. You | ||
116 | |115 |00:09:48 ~-~-> 00:09:53 |don't need any of those things. Okay? So we're going to dive into that now, left | ||
117 | |116 |00:09:53 ~-~-> 00:09:58 |hand side, five minute chart. Right hand side, one minute chart. So on the left | ||
118 | |117 |00:09:58 ~-~-> 00:10:02 |hand side you can see how. Now during the Non Farm Payroll, which you should | ||
119 | |118 |00:10:02 ~-~-> 00:10:05 |not have been trying to trade, by the way, because NFP is what it stands for. | ||
120 | |119 |00:10:06 ~-~-> 00:10:10 |It's Non Farm Payroll. It's the employment data. But around here we | ||
121 | |120 |00:10:10 ~-~-> 00:10:16 |refer to it as not for professionals. So the market opens up, does its circus | ||
122 | |121 |00:10:16 ~-~-> 00:10:20 |act, and runs right up into an inversion fair bag, up on the 15 minute time | ||
123 | |122 |00:10:20 ~-~-> 00:10:24 |frame. You know, this gap, because of what I was covering so far this week, it | ||
124 | |123 |00:10:24 ~-~-> 00:10:27 |just reversed its role because we were below it came up, hit it as an inversion | ||
125 | |124 |00:10:27 ~-~-> 00:10:31 |fair value gap, that's probably random, and then trades lower. And then one more | ||
126 | |125 |00:10:31 ~-~-> 00:10:37 |time, we drive right back up into the lower quadrant of this gap, which is the | ||
127 | |126 |00:10:37 ~-~-> 00:10:42 |wick. So counsel you to think about that right there, measuring that on your fib | ||
128 | |127 |00:10:44 ~-~-> 00:10:50 |don't trust my charts or my commentary alone. The market rolls over and creates | ||
129 | |128 |00:10:50 ~-~-> 00:10:54 |this inefficiency on the 15th time frame. But you notice that it doesn't | ||
130 | |129 |00:10:54 ~-~-> 00:10:58 |look the same as it did on the 15th time frame, because it looks like we opened | ||
131 | |130 |00:10:58 ~-~-> 00:11:02 |here, traded down, then opened here, went down a little bit, and opened here | ||
132 | |131 |00:11:02 ~-~-> 00:11:05 |and opened here and went down. So how's that an inefficiency here? Wouldn't it | ||
133 | |132 |00:11:05 ~-~-> 00:11:09 |just be this portion is the inefficiency? Well, on the five minute | ||
134 | |133 |00:11:09 ~-~-> 00:11:13 |chart, it is, but we're looking at it from a price delivery continuum. Okay, | ||
135 | |134 |00:11:13 ~-~-> 00:11:20 |so what I constantly do is I'm going through time frames every single time | ||
136 | |135 |00:11:20 ~-~-> 00:11:26 |that we close one full hour trading at the top of every 60 minutes. I'm | ||
137 | |136 |00:11:26 ~-~-> 00:11:30 |referring back to the hourly chart. I want to get a feel for where we're at. | ||
138 | |137 |00:11:30 ~-~-> 00:11:34 |Was there any inefficiencies? Is it respecting in any efficiencies? Is it | ||
139 | |138 |00:11:34 ~-~-> 00:11:38 |aiming for buy side or sell side? That is on that time frame? I'm not living on | ||
140 | |139 |00:11:38 ~-~-> 00:11:41 |the 60 minute chart. I'm just referring to it at the top of the hour, every | ||
141 | |140 |00:11:41 ~-~-> 00:11:48 |single time we get a new hour start, every 15 minute time frame, the same | ||
142 | |141 |00:11:48 ~-~-> 00:11:54 |thing every single time we close a 15 minute interval. I'm going back to the | ||
143 | |142 |00:11:54 ~-~-> 00:11:58 |15 minute time frame, and I'm cycling through that information that's on that | ||
144 | |143 |00:11:58 ~-~-> 00:12:03 |chart. And imagine what we just did showed the 15 minute time frame and then | ||
145 | |144 |00:12:03 ~-~-> 00:12:08 |dropping back from the 15 down to the five minute chart every five minutes. | ||
146 | |145 |00:12:08 ~-~-> 00:12:13 |I'm going back to the five minute chart. I'm only looking at it until we get a | ||
147 | |146 |00:12:13 ~-~-> 00:12:17 |new five minute close. So when a candlestick on the five minute time | ||
148 | |147 |00:12:18 ~-~-> 00:12:21 |frame closes and a new one begins, I'm going back to that five minute chart and | ||
149 | |148 |00:12:21 ~-~-> 00:12:26 |referring back to it. Now, when you see me doing my trade examples, many times, | ||
150 | |149 |00:12:26 ~-~-> 00:12:29 |it's just me showing you on a one minute chart, but I'm telling you what I'm | ||
151 | |150 |00:12:29 ~-~-> 00:12:35 |doing. I'm cycling through the time frames just like that. So that is my | ||
152 | |151 |00:12:35 ~-~-> 00:12:39 |price delivery continuum theory. That means I'm constantly cycling through all | ||
153 | |152 |00:12:39 ~-~-> 00:12:42 |those time frames. It's not top down analysis. It's cycling through | ||
154 | |153 |00:12:42 ~-~-> 00:12:47 |continuously looking for algorithmic PD arrays where price is going to respect, | ||
155 | |154 |00:12:47 ~-~-> 00:12:52 |respect to a degree and then maybe fail. And that gives me information. I'm | ||
156 | |155 |00:12:52 ~-~-> 00:12:57 |constantly feeding my attention with these things that are on these specific | ||
157 | |156 |00:12:57 ~-~-> 00:13:01 |time frames, and I'm not living on those time frames, because all I have to do is | ||
158 | |157 |00:13:01 ~-~-> 00:13:04 |refer to it real quick and see where I'm at and then go right back to that one | ||
159 | |158 |00:13:04 ~-~-> 00:13:09 |minute chart here. This little area here is that 15 minute time frame, fair value | ||
160 | |159 |00:13:09 ~-~-> 00:13:15 |gap or city. But it looks different because it takes up what it takes three | ||
161 | |160 |00:13:15 ~-~-> 00:13:19 |of these candlesticks to make that 115 minute candle. So let's get some detail | ||
162 | |161 |00:13:19 ~-~-> 00:13:24 |here. So we're gonna, again, use the high of that fair value gap. So I'm | ||
163 | |162 |00:13:24 ~-~-> 00:13:32 |darkening up here, and then this one here, that's your range, and side of | ||
164 | |163 |00:13:32 ~-~-> 00:13:38 |that range we're going to be studying with a lot more detail, with both of | ||
165 | |164 |00:13:38 ~-~-> 00:13:42 |these levels now understood that that's the 15 minute time frames high and low | ||
166 | |165 |00:13:42 ~-~-> 00:13:48 |of a severe value gap or city look over here on a one minute chart. So we | ||
167 | |166 |00:13:48 ~-~-> 00:13:51 |watched at the beginning of the discussion on POUND DOLLAR, I showed you | ||
168 | |167 |00:13:51 ~-~-> 00:13:56 |the 15 minute time frame and the very specific fair value gap, then on the | ||
169 | |168 |00:13:56 ~-~-> 00:14:02 |five minute chart, and then now that same gap being viewed on a one minute | ||
170 | |169 |00:14:02 ~-~-> 00:14:08 |chart. So right away you see this inefficiency. You see this inefficiency. | ||
171 | |170 |00:14:08 ~-~-> 00:14:11 |So what do you, what do you do? What do you do with that information? Michael, | ||
172 | |171 |00:14:11 ~-~-> 00:14:15 |how do you? How do you navigate that? Well, you certainly don't go to level | ||
173 | |172 |00:14:15 ~-~-> 00:14:18 |two, and you certainly don't need to pull up a footprint. You don't need to | ||
174 | |173 |00:14:18 ~-~-> 00:14:24 |do anything with DOMs, uh, V wop, all those things. I promise you, none of | ||
175 | |174 |00:14:24 ~-~-> 00:14:31 |that stuff is necessary. Everything you see here as it relates to time and the | ||
176 | |175 |00:14:31 ~-~-> 00:14:35 |open, high, low and close, that's all you need, folks, I promise you, if you | ||
177 | |176 |00:14:35 ~-~-> 00:14:38 |know where the mark is likely to go, that's the bias, the draw and liquidity. | ||
178 | |177 |00:14:38 ~-~-> 00:14:43 |If you know that open, high, low and close, and the time of the day or the | ||
179 | |178 |00:14:43 ~-~-> 00:14:46 |session is all that you need. I promise you. I'm going to prove it to you today. | ||
180 | |179 |00:14:49 ~-~-> 00:14:54 |So what we have here is this shaded area from this candlesticks low and this | ||
181 | |180 |00:14:54 ~-~-> 00:15:00 |candlesticks high, that is the basis of that 15 minute fair value gap. But. It's | ||
182 | |181 |00:15:00 ~-~-> 00:15:05 |being shown on a five minute chart here. So if we look at that same range on the | ||
183 | |182 |00:15:05 ~-~-> 00:15:09 |one minute chart, there's some characteristics in here that I want you | ||
184 | |183 |00:15:09 ~-~-> 00:15:13 |to notice. Now I've spoken on this before, but I kind of like want to bring | ||
185 | |184 |00:15:13 ~-~-> 00:15:17 |everything together and synergize everything, so that way you can see how | ||
186 | |185 |00:15:17 ~-~-> 00:15:21 |the algorithm fires off and refers back to these price points. When I first | ||
187 | |186 |00:15:21 ~-~-> 00:15:25 |started teaching, I would look at the charts and I'd say, All right, now my | ||
188 | |187 |00:15:25 ~-~-> 00:15:29 |students are going to want to be looking for something that reoccurs. So I | ||
189 | |188 |00:15:29 ~-~-> 00:15:34 |started by labeling things as points of interest, okay? And now everybody refers | ||
190 | |189 |00:15:34 ~-~-> 00:15:37 |to them in their own little mentorships as POIs, or, you know, something to that | ||
191 | |190 |00:15:37 ~-~-> 00:15:42 |effect. But it all comes from my mentorship level, lessons and stuff. | ||
192 | |191 |00:15:43 ~-~-> 00:15:47 |When we refer to a point of interest, the point of interest that's most | ||
193 | |192 |00:15:47 ~-~-> 00:15:51 |important when we're looking at a fair value gap is when we're looking at a | ||
194 | |193 |00:15:51 ~-~-> 00:15:56 |bearish fair value gap. We want to study the upper half of it first, because the | ||
195 | |194 |00:15:56 ~-~-> 00:15:59 |upper half of that fair value gap, when it's bearish is going to tell you a | ||
196 | |195 |00:15:59 ~-~-> 00:16:04 |great deal of information. And when you're looking at bullish fair value | ||
197 | |196 |00:16:04 ~-~-> 00:16:08 |gaps, you're going to be looking at the lowest portion, or the lower half of it. | ||
198 | |197 |00:16:09 ~-~-> 00:16:14 |What I mean by that? Well, if you look at the price action over here, price | ||
199 | |198 |00:16:14 ~-~-> 00:16:22 |drops down and comes right back up. Then it opens here, it trades down halfway | ||
200 | |199 |00:16:22 ~-~-> 00:16:27 |and comes back up. And then the next candle, it opens, trades down and | ||
201 | |200 |00:16:27 ~-~-> 00:16:36 |closes. And the next candle does what it does here, it takes three candles in | ||
202 | |201 |00:16:36 ~-~-> 00:16:41 |this time frame to make 115 minute candlestick. So when you're looking at | ||
203 | |202 |00:16:41 ~-~-> 00:16:45 |price, what you're focusing on is the upper half, when it's a bearish fair | ||
204 | |203 |00:16:45 ~-~-> 00:16:50 |value gap. So we're splitting it in half. This shaded area over here on the | ||
205 | |204 |00:16:50 ~-~-> 00:16:57 |five minute chart is this shaded area over here on the one minute chart, this | ||
206 | |205 |00:16:57 ~-~-> 00:17:03 |back and forth price action in the upper half of that is a balanced price range. | ||
207 | |206 |00:17:03 ~-~-> 00:17:07 |What makes it balanced? The fact that we're in the upper half of a bearish | ||
208 | |207 |00:17:07 ~-~-> 00:17:13 |fair value gap. So the upper half, if you see back and forth price delivery, | ||
209 | |208 |00:17:13 ~-~-> 00:17:18 |that is not inefficient. This drop down in here from the middle of the shaded | ||
210 | |209 |00:17:18 ~-~-> 00:17:25 |area up here, all this single candlestick right there that is not an | ||
211 | |210 |00:17:25 ~-~-> 00:17:30 |inefficient price delivery. It's extremely efficient. Why? Because the | ||
212 | |211 |00:17:30 ~-~-> 00:17:34 |first candle dropped down into here, and then we went back up over top of that | ||
213 | |212 |00:17:34 ~-~-> 00:17:40 |same range in here, went outside of that level that we're identifying as the high | ||
214 | |213 |00:17:40 ~-~-> 00:17:45 |of the 15 minute city, and then returns back inside the range and stops halfway | ||
215 | |214 |00:17:45 ~-~-> 00:17:49 |again, and then release once more, and the bodies are respecting the upper half | ||
216 | |215 |00:17:50 ~-~-> 00:17:56 |high of that city. Then it drops aggressively lower. Now, if you're not | ||
217 | |216 |00:17:56 ~-~-> 00:17:59 |looking at price the way I'm showing you here, which is why you got a lot of | ||
218 | |217 |00:17:59 ~-~-> 00:18:03 |these mentors out there that are trying to teach my stuff, SMC concepts, and | ||
219 | |218 |00:18:03 ~-~-> 00:18:08 |they don't ever mention me, because if they do, they have no they have no | ||
220 | |219 |00:18:08 ~-~-> 00:18:13 |presence anymore. They don't have any any voice, because they won't go to them | ||
221 | |220 |00:18:13 ~-~-> 00:18:16 |and pay them. They'll be just right here at the YouTube channel where it's | ||
222 | |221 |00:18:16 ~-~-> 00:18:21 |authors teaching it. They'll call this a fair value, gap, and now look for this | ||
223 | |222 |00:18:21 ~-~-> 00:18:27 |to try to close in and fill the numbers. And that won't happen here. It will not | ||
224 | |223 |00:18:27 ~-~-> 00:18:31 |happen. Why? Because it's efficiently delivered back and forth price action, | ||
225 | |224 |00:18:31 ~-~-> 00:18:36 |and then it trades down into the lower half and then validates it as a fair | ||
226 | |225 |00:18:36 ~-~-> 00:18:40 |value gap. So once the fair value gap is there on a 15 minute time frame, or any | ||
227 | |226 |00:18:40 ~-~-> 00:18:44 |time frame, you drop down the lower time frames, and you study what price | ||
228 | |227 |00:18:44 ~-~-> 00:18:48 |actually did in the upper half when it's a bearish fair value gap, or you study | ||
229 | |228 |00:18:48 ~-~-> 00:18:51 |the lower half when it's a bullish fair value gap. On a lower time frame chart, | ||
230 | |229 |00:18:52 ~-~-> 00:18:56 |when price goes back and forth in the upper half, it becomes balanced. There's | ||
231 | |230 |00:18:56 ~-~-> 00:19:00 |no need for price to come back up in this shaded area over here, when it | ||
232 | |231 |00:19:00 ~-~-> 00:19:07 |starts to return back inside of it, and watch, we're gonna take a huge leap when | ||
233 | |232 |00:19:07 ~-~-> 00:19:12 |do fair value gaps form inside the quarters. Now that's not quarters | ||
234 | |233 |00:19:12 ~-~-> 00:19:16 |theory. Okay, I already know some of you guys are running around right now. You | ||
235 | |234 |00:19:16 ~-~-> 00:19:19 |can't wait to go on the X and go on the Instagram and say, This is what | ||
236 | |235 |00:19:19 ~-~-> 00:19:23 |Michael's been using all of its quarters. Wrong, wrong. What I'm talking | ||
237 | |236 |00:19:23 ~-~-> 00:19:28 |about is time so if we were looking at the time of 10 o'clock in the morning, | ||
238 | |237 |00:19:28 ~-~-> 00:19:32 |Eastern Standard Time, from 10 o'clock at the top of the hour to 1015 there's | ||
239 | |238 |00:19:32 ~-~-> 00:19:38 |going to be a fair value gap that forms every time frame. But whatever time | ||
240 | |239 |00:19:38 ~-~-> 00:19:42 |frame you're trading on, you work with that information, and then that means | ||
241 | |240 |00:19:42 ~-~-> 00:19:48 |there's four potential fair value gaps that form per hour. Now the app pupil | ||
242 | |241 |00:19:48 ~-~-> 00:19:51 |will think about that for a moment and say, wow, there's potentially a scalp | ||
243 | |242 |00:19:51 ~-~-> 00:19:58 |every 15 minutes. Yes, that's high frequency trading algorithm. That's high | ||
244 | |243 |00:19:58 ~-~-> 00:20:03 |frequency trading algorithm. Quickly. It's also knowing that you don't have to | ||
245 | |244 |00:20:03 ~-~-> 00:20:06 |take the trade that you just missed and have any regret, because there's going | ||
246 | |245 |00:20:06 ~-~-> 00:20:10 |to be another one, just like a bus. Remember, I taught how that's a bus, the | ||
247 | |246 |00:20:10 ~-~-> 00:20:14 |bus route schedule, every 15 minutes there's something coming around the bend | ||
248 | |247 |00:20:15 ~-~-> 00:20:18 |again. Now for some of you that just simply want to trade on a daily chart or | ||
249 | |248 |00:20:18 ~-~-> 00:20:23 |higher time frames, it won't be that. It won't be like that for you, but for the | ||
250 | |249 |00:20:23 ~-~-> 00:20:25 |price action you know | ||
251 | |250 |00:20:27 ~-~-> 00:20:30 |means that I create. We're in these lower time frames, because there's a | ||
252 | |251 |00:20:30 ~-~-> 00:20:36 |plethora of opportunity, and these opportunities are extremely abundant. So | ||
253 | |252 |00:20:36 ~-~-> 00:20:43 |every quarter so 10 to 1015 there's a fair value gap forming. 1015, to 1030 | ||
254 | |253 |00:20:44 ~-~-> 00:20:47 |there's a fair value gap forming. Between 1030, to 1045 there's a fair | ||
255 | |254 |00:20:47 ~-~-> 00:20:52 |value fair value gap forming. And 1045 to 11 o'clock, there's a fair value gap | ||
256 | |255 |00:20:52 ~-~-> 00:20:58 |forming on whatever time frame that you see that form, whether it be the 15 | ||
257 | |256 |00:20:58 ~-~-> 00:21:03 |minute, the five minute, either one of those, you're going to see one of these | ||
258 | |257 |00:21:03 ~-~-> 00:21:07 |fair value gaps form every single 15 minute time frame. When you have the | ||
259 | |258 |00:21:07 ~-~-> 00:21:10 |draw on liquidity, it will be there. Now, if the market's going to be range | ||
260 | |259 |00:21:10 ~-~-> 00:21:14 |bound, it might not create that. Because why we're going to be in a high | ||
261 | |260 |00:21:14 ~-~-> 00:21:18 |resistance liquidity run conditions, that means there won't be fair value | ||
262 | |261 |00:21:18 ~-~-> 00:21:22 |gaps forming, which is the reason why I teach the number one premise is, are we | ||
263 | |262 |00:21:22 ~-~-> 00:21:26 |in low resistance or high resistance? Liquidity running conditions? If you're | ||
264 | |263 |00:21:26 ~-~-> 00:21:30 |seeing fair value gaps not materialized, then you're in high resistance. Sit and | ||
265 | |264 |00:21:30 ~-~-> 00:21:36 |wait. Wait for what? Wait till the next 15 minutes. And then, if it's the same | ||
266 | |265 |00:21:36 ~-~-> 00:21:40 |way there, wait 15 minutes longer. And you do that all the way until you get to | ||
267 | |266 |00:21:40 ~-~-> 00:21:43 |the end of the session, if the entire session was high resistance, you did | ||
268 | |267 |00:21:43 ~-~-> 00:21:50 |nothing and you took no trade come back the following afternoon or next trading | ||
269 | |268 |00:21:50 ~-~-> 00:21:56 |day. Now, what can you use this information when it's a balanced price | ||
270 | |269 |00:21:56 ~-~-> 00:22:02 |range? Well, it identifies what the lower half as, what an imbalanced price | ||
271 | |270 |00:22:02 ~-~-> 00:22:07 |range. Why is it imbalanced? Because it leaves the upper half here and it only | ||
272 | |271 |00:22:07 ~-~-> 00:22:13 |sells off. There's no up candle to the midpoint of it. But sell side imbalance, | ||
273 | |272 |00:22:13 ~-~-> 00:22:17 |buy side inefficiency, meaning that it needs to offer price back up to the | ||
274 | |273 |00:22:17 ~-~-> 00:22:21 |midpoint. That's what you'd be waiting for. That's what the algorithm is doing. | ||
275 | |274 |00:22:22 ~-~-> 00:22:26 |Buying pressure is not bringing up and stopping it dead against tracks halfway. | ||
276 | |275 |00:22:26 ~-~-> 00:22:31 |That's algorithmic price delivery. It's going to offer that price over a | ||
277 | |276 |00:22:31 ~-~-> 00:22:35 |continuous delivery. Higher, higher, higher, higher. No matter how many | ||
278 | |277 |00:22:35 ~-~-> 00:22:39 |people come in wanting the short, no matter how many people are reluctant to | ||
279 | |278 |00:22:39 ~-~-> 00:22:44 |buy, it does not matter. Okay, so when you're looking at depth of market, level | ||
280 | |279 |00:22:44 ~-~-> 00:22:50 |two, footprint, all these things, the market doesn't care. It doesn't care | ||
281 | |280 |00:22:50 ~-~-> 00:22:55 |about the number of contracts. It does not care. It doesn't care. Now the | ||
282 | |281 |00:22:55 ~-~-> 00:23:02 |number of contracts is the life's blood of what you can get filled on trades, | ||
283 | |282 |00:23:03 ~-~-> 00:23:07 |but the delivery mechanism has absolutely no care, no concern, for the | ||
284 | |283 |00:23:07 ~-~-> 00:23:11 |actual number of trades being booked, which is why I'm trying to tell you, and | ||
285 | |284 |00:23:11 ~-~-> 00:23:16 |I've been telling you since I started teaching it, that this algorithm that | ||
286 | |285 |00:23:16 ~-~-> 00:23:20 |exists is a price engine. It will deliver right to these specific PD | ||
287 | |286 |00:23:20 ~-~-> 00:23:24 |arrays and their consequent encroachment. There's no way, there's | ||
288 | |287 |00:23:24 ~-~-> 00:23:27 |absolutely no way, that buying and selling pressure would deliver that. It | ||
289 | |288 |00:23:27 ~-~-> 00:23:30 |would be random distribution. There would be all kinds of different highs | ||
290 | |289 |00:23:30 ~-~-> 00:23:34 |and lows for me, but they're stopping dead in its tracks, where I tell you it | ||
291 | |290 |00:23:34 ~-~-> 00:23:40 |stops. That is authorship. That's something that you can't go around. You | ||
292 | |291 |00:23:40 ~-~-> 00:23:44 |can't hide from that. You can't chase it down and say, I'm going to beat it into | ||
293 | |292 |00:23:44 ~-~-> 00:23:47 |submission and say it's something else. It's not anything but algorithmic price | ||
294 | |293 |00:23:47 ~-~-> 00:23:52 |delivery. That means the price engine will offer that midpoint consequence | ||
295 | |294 |00:23:52 ~-~-> 00:23:56 |encroachment, because that's exactly what it's scripted and designed to do. | ||
296 | |295 |00:23:57 ~-~-> 00:24:03 |So the market trades up in there and then efficiently delivers buy side. So | ||
297 | |296 |00:24:03 ~-~-> 00:24:07 |now there is no inefficiency for for buy side delivery. So we had sell side | ||
298 | |297 |00:24:08 ~-~-> 00:24:13 |imbalance, buy side inefficiency, the portion that's inefficient on buy side | ||
299 | |298 |00:24:13 ~-~-> 00:24:17 |is the lower half. Why? Because we only had a single pass with this candles, | ||
300 | |299 |00:24:18 ~-~-> 00:24:22 |halfway point right here, where the shades of the boxes change color from | ||
301 | |300 |00:24:22 ~-~-> 00:24:26 |that point down to the low of that shaded area. Or specifically, this | ||
302 | |301 |00:24:26 ~-~-> 00:24:32 |candle sticks high. It's only offered sell side delivery. That means movement | ||
303 | |302 |00:24:32 ~-~-> 00:24:37 |lower. So because the market is algorithmic, because it's controlled, | ||
304 | |303 |00:24:38 ~-~-> 00:24:41 |because it's rigged, and you should be thankful that it is because if it wasn't | ||
305 | |304 |00:24:41 ~-~-> 00:24:44 |rigged, I would not be able to do these things. I would not be able to tell you | ||
306 | |305 |00:24:44 ~-~-> 00:24:47 |it's going to stop here, turn around, go with this candle, stop here, go higher, | ||
307 | |306 |00:24:47 ~-~-> 00:24:50 |and I certainly wouldn't be able to execute on it, right? But you keep | ||
308 | |307 |00:24:50 ~-~-> 00:24:55 |seeing it now, my students are learning how to do it too well. Delivering price | ||
309 | |308 |00:24:55 ~-~-> 00:25:01 |up to the halfway point here satisfies the coding in that. Algorithm. It need | ||
310 | |309 |00:25:01 ~-~-> 00:25:07 |not go any higher. So now we're going to take a huge leap in understanding. Okay, | ||
311 | |310 |00:25:08 ~-~-> 00:25:13 |this is the inefficiency that really matters in that 15 minute time frame, | ||
312 | |311 |00:25:13 ~-~-> 00:25:22 |fair Vega. It's also this portion here on a five minute fair value gap. But you | ||
313 | |312 |00:25:22 ~-~-> 00:25:25 |won't be confused by looking at the 15 minute time frame fair value gap and | ||
314 | |313 |00:25:25 ~-~-> 00:25:31 |think it has to close in the upper half of it, because it doesn't that becomes a | ||
315 | |314 |00:25:31 ~-~-> 00:25:35 |balanced price range. So using the price delivery continuum theory, which is | ||
316 | |315 |00:25:35 ~-~-> 00:25:40 |working from higher Time Frame, lower, lower, higher Time Frame, lower, lower, | ||
317 | |316 |00:25:40 ~-~-> 00:25:44 |you're constantly cycling through every time a new 15 minute candlestick forms | ||
318 | |317 |00:25:44 ~-~-> 00:25:49 |or begins. You refer back to that 15 minute candlestick chart and see where | ||
319 | |318 |00:25:49 ~-~-> 00:25:53 |you're at. What inefficiencies are there? Did it form one? Did it close in | ||
320 | |319 |00:25:53 ~-~-> 00:25:57 |or deliver the numbers? Okay? If it didn't fill the numbers on the | ||
321 | |320 |00:25:57 ~-~-> 00:26:01 |inefficiency, in other words, close in and overlap the inefficiency of a fair | ||
322 | |321 |00:26:01 ~-~-> 00:26:06 |value gap, then you're constantly waiting for that information to be | ||
323 | |322 |00:26:06 ~-~-> 00:26:10 |delivered in price action. But if price is showing things like we're showing | ||
324 | |323 |00:26:10 ~-~-> 00:26:14 |here, where it's working the upper half and it's a bearish fair value gap, you | ||
325 | |324 |00:26:14 ~-~-> 00:26:20 |can anticipate that that five minute portion here is the real fair value gap, | ||
326 | |325 |00:26:21 ~-~-> 00:26:26 |because we've done the work of looking at actual price delivery. We don't need | ||
327 | |326 |00:26:26 ~-~-> 00:26:29 |to look at orders. We don't need to know how many contracts were were traded. | ||
328 | |327 |00:26:29 ~-~-> 00:26:34 |Because it doesn't matter. The algorithm doesn't see your stop. It doesn't see | ||
329 | |328 |00:26:34 ~-~-> 00:26:39 |how many contracts were traded at a particular range of price action. It | ||
330 | |329 |00:26:39 ~-~-> 00:26:44 |doesn't refer to that folks, it can't that's too much of an effort to code | ||
331 | |330 |00:26:44 ~-~-> 00:26:49 |that the only thing it refers back to is number one time, and then it works on | ||
332 | |331 |00:26:49 ~-~-> 00:26:53 |the open, high, low and close. It doesn't use hike and ashy. It doesn't | ||
333 | |332 |00:26:53 ~-~-> 00:26:58 |use Ichimoku candlesticks. It doesn't use, you know, whatever else, candy bar | ||
334 | |333 |00:26:59 ~-~-> 00:27:03 |nickname they want to give their stuff. It only usually open high, low and close | ||
335 | |334 |00:27:03 ~-~-> 00:27:13 |on a time based delivery. Okay, so let's take a huge leap forward from this. This | ||
336 | |335 |00:27:13 ~-~-> 00:27:19 |portion, it's not gonna it's not gonna close in. It's not gonna overlap that | ||
337 | |336 |00:27:19 ~-~-> 00:27:24 |portion. It's not going to fill the numbers on the upper half of that | ||
338 | |337 |00:27:24 ~-~-> 00:27:29 |bearish fair value gap. Now, if it's not going to do that, folks on a 15 minute | ||
339 | |338 |00:27:29 ~-~-> 00:27:35 |time frame, what does it make it what can you do with that information? Number | ||
340 | |339 |00:27:35 ~-~-> 00:27:40 |one, it helps you with stop placement. Your stop can be in the upper quadrant | ||
341 | |340 |00:27:40 ~-~-> 00:27:45 |of that known area right there, because that's not likely to fill. More | ||
342 | |341 |00:27:45 ~-~-> 00:27:50 |conservative approach would be put your stop loss just above that shaded area | ||
343 | |342 |00:27:50 ~-~-> 00:27:57 |here, for quadrant is fine, consequent encroachment. I wouldn't do that. It's a | ||
344 | |343 |00:27:57 ~-~-> 00:28:01 |little too close, and the spread might get you because we allow the wicks to do | ||
345 | |344 |00:28:01 ~-~-> 00:28:06 |damage. But if we were to get stopped out using this information, as long as | ||
346 | |345 |00:28:06 ~-~-> 00:28:10 |we traded back up into the lower half of this portion, should not offer the | ||
347 | |346 |00:28:10 ~-~-> 00:28:13 |filling of the numbers. I mean, the upper half of that 15 minute time frame | ||
348 | |347 |00:28:13 ~-~-> 00:28:17 |fair value got, I would re enter the short and place the stop loss again into | ||
349 | |348 |00:28:17 ~-~-> 00:28:21 |the upper quadrant of it, or just above the high with half the number of | ||
350 | |349 |00:28:21 ~-~-> 00:28:27 |contracts that I just took. Okay? So now we've covered stop loss placement. We | ||
351 | |350 |00:28:27 ~-~-> 00:28:32 |understand how to properly handle inefficiencies when they're bullish or | ||
352 | |351 |00:28:32 ~-~-> 00:28:39 |bearish. I told you when they form, every single 15 minute time, every | ||
353 | |352 |00:28:39 ~-~-> 00:28:44 |interval of 15 minutes, there's one forming from the 15 minute into the five | ||
354 | |353 |00:28:44 ~-~-> 00:28:47 |minute, back and forth. You're going to cycle through there every 15 minutes. | ||
355 | |354 |00:28:48 ~-~-> 00:28:51 |Here's the thing that you need to have your notes now, if you're noticing that | ||
356 | |355 |00:28:51 ~-~-> 00:28:55 |it's not happening, if it's not forming one in the 15 minute chart or the five | ||
357 | |356 |00:28:55 ~-~-> 00:28:59 |minute chart, then you're in high resistance liquidity run conditions, and | ||
358 | |357 |00:28:59 ~-~-> 00:29:04 |you need to sit still, wait for that 15 to five minutes to shift into where | ||
359 | |358 |00:29:04 ~-~-> 00:29:07 |they're offering fair value gaps. It need not trade into the fair value gap | ||
360 | |359 |00:29:07 ~-~-> 00:29:12 |in that 15 minute interval time. It just means that you have to see them forming, | ||
361 | |360 |00:29:12 ~-~-> 00:29:16 |because that's the algorithm posting little areas where it's going to refer | ||
362 | |361 |00:29:16 ~-~-> 00:29:22 |back to later on. It's like you see a bus stop that you need to get a bus ride | ||
363 | |362 |00:29:22 ~-~-> 00:29:26 |at, and you're walking to the bus stop, but you know you're not going to make it | ||
364 | |363 |00:29:26 ~-~-> 00:29:30 |in time. Okay. Well, you're you're heading that direction to the bus stop | ||
365 | |364 |00:29:30 ~-~-> 00:29:33 |because, you know, in 15 minutes, it's likely to have another bus come there, | ||
366 | |365 |00:29:33 ~-~-> 00:29:39 |and you can get a ride on that. You see how that absolutely removes the FOMO, | ||
367 | |366 |00:29:40 ~-~-> 00:29:43 |like there's no reason for you to fear missing a move. There's no reason for | ||
368 | |367 |00:29:43 ~-~-> 00:29:47 |you to be obsessively worrying about are you going to find a trade setup today? I | ||
369 | |368 |00:29:47 ~-~-> 00:29:52 |know I'm going to find one every day, but I demand that it's in a low | ||
370 | |369 |00:29:52 ~-~-> 00:29:56 |resistance, liquid run condition for me to trade every single session. Every | ||
371 | |370 |00:29:56 ~-~-> 00:30:02 |single day. I can trade every single 60 minute. Candlestick, okay? Because I | ||
372 | |371 |00:30:02 ~-~-> 00:30:06 |have four opportunities to do something, aim for a fair value gap or use the fair | ||
373 | |372 |00:30:06 ~-~-> 00:30:12 |value gap that's formed in one of those 15 minute time frames. In terms of time, | ||
374 | |373 |00:30:12 ~-~-> 00:30:17 |I have an opportunity forming. I have an opportunity presented to me now. It may | ||
375 | |374 |00:30:17 ~-~-> 00:30:20 |not engage the fair value gap that it formed in the previous 15 minute time | ||
376 | |375 |00:30:20 ~-~-> 00:30:25 |frame. That's fine. I'm waiting for one where everything lines up. Now, what | ||
377 | |376 |00:30:25 ~-~-> 00:30:25 |does that mean? | ||
378 | |377 |00:30:27 ~-~-> 00:30:34 |Well, if we look for setups that are drawing towards a buy side liquidity, | ||
379 | |378 |00:30:34 ~-~-> 00:30:38 |then I'm going to be looking for fair value gaps that are bullish, or I want | ||
380 | |379 |00:30:38 ~-~-> 00:30:43 |to see bearish fair value gaps fail and then become inversion fair value gaps. | ||
381 | |380 |00:30:43 ~-~-> 00:30:47 |See the logic there. It's not complicated. It's absolutely not | ||
382 | |381 |00:30:47 ~-~-> 00:30:51 |complicated. But I understand if you're new, if you haven't really spent that | ||
383 | |382 |00:30:51 ~-~-> 00:30:54 |much time with my concepts, this still sounds like a foreign language to you, | ||
384 | |383 |00:30:54 ~-~-> 00:30:57 |and I understand. But the people that have been studying for a while with me, | ||
385 | |384 |00:30:57 ~-~-> 00:31:00 |their gears are turning right now. They're literally chomping at the bit. | ||
386 | |385 |00:31:00 ~-~-> 00:31:04 |They can't wait until Monday now. So and that's good, that's what I want. I want | ||
387 | |386 |00:31:04 ~-~-> 00:31:07 |you to be excited about learning. I want you to be engaged. Okay, if you're not | ||
388 | |387 |00:31:07 ~-~-> 00:31:10 |engaged, you won't be happy about what you're you're studying, and you won't be | ||
389 | |388 |00:31:10 ~-~-> 00:31:14 |inspired to continue doing it, because it's going to be hard work, despite what | ||
390 | |389 |00:31:14 ~-~-> 00:31:17 |I'm making it sound like here. But if we know that this is not going to fill the | ||
391 | |390 |00:31:17 ~-~-> 00:31:21 |numbers, that means closing the gap portion on here, on the one minute | ||
392 | |391 |00:31:21 ~-~-> 00:31:29 |chart. What does that make it it makes it a breakaway gap it's not likely to | ||
393 | |392 |00:31:29 ~-~-> 00:31:33 |fill. So when you watch me in my executions, and I'm recording | ||
394 | |393 |00:31:33 ~-~-> 00:31:39 |annotations and such, I'm explaining to you with real time observation that I | ||
395 | |394 |00:31:39 ~-~-> 00:31:43 |believe that that portion should stay open, and if it does, it's a breakaway | ||
396 | |395 |00:31:43 ~-~-> 00:31:47 |gap, meaning that we're going to, unlikely see a lot of movement lower and | ||
397 | |396 |00:31:48 ~-~-> 00:31:54 |look what it did here. And when do you have all these things come together as a | ||
398 | |397 |00:31:54 ~-~-> 00:31:59 |perfect Blue Ribbon recipe for a trade setup or idea that isn't so high order, | ||
399 | |398 |00:32:00 ~-~-> 00:32:06 |odds in your favor. What do we what do we utilize there to kind of facilitate | ||
400 | |399 |00:32:06 ~-~-> 00:32:19 |that? My macro, time, 10:50am, to 1110, macro, hello, Southbound Train, baby. | ||
401 | |400 |00:32:21 ~-~-> 00:32:26 |Let close candles consecutively are a bearish order block. That's not a supply | ||
402 | |401 |00:32:26 ~-~-> 00:32:31 |zone, okay? It's the change in the state of delivery, which is the lowest opening | ||
403 | |402 |00:32:31 ~-~-> 00:32:40 |price of these consecutive candlesticks. It's inside of this portion of what the | ||
404 | |403 |00:32:40 ~-~-> 00:32:46 |lower half of that 15 minute time frame. Fair value gap. That's the only portion | ||
405 | |404 |00:32:46 ~-~-> 00:32:51 |it needs to trade to. So now look at all the confluences. This portion is | ||
406 | |405 |00:32:51 ~-~-> 00:32:58 |balanced. This portion is imbalanced. It's inefficient with buy side. This buy | ||
407 | |406 |00:32:58 ~-~-> 00:33:04 |side offered here is perfect delivery, and you have the change in the state of | ||
408 | |407 |00:33:04 ~-~-> 00:33:09 |delivery here at the time that the algorithm will fire off and start | ||
409 | |408 |00:33:09 ~-~-> 00:33:13 |offering lower prices regardless of how many people want to buy it. It does not | ||
410 | |409 |00:33:13 ~-~-> 00:33:18 |matter how many people are short selling it, either. That's why you have markets | ||
411 | |410 |00:33:18 ~-~-> 00:33:24 |that have very low volume. But you see huge candlesticks, and they'll say, Oh, | ||
412 | |411 |00:33:24 ~-~-> 00:33:28 |the market's just running out of buyers. That's not what it is. The algorithm is | ||
413 | |412 |00:33:28 ~-~-> 00:33:35 |offering prices lower, skipping big time, just running down there. And all | ||
414 | |413 |00:33:35 ~-~-> 00:33:39 |they need is one contract to print to make that candlestick look however they | ||
415 | |414 |00:33:39 ~-~-> 00:33:43 |want it to. And there's always something someone coming in with a market order to | ||
416 | |415 |00:33:43 ~-~-> 00:33:49 |buy or sell. There's liquidity resting in the marketplace. So as soon as the | ||
417 | |416 |00:33:49 ~-~-> 00:33:53 |algorithm keeps offering lower prices, and they do it real sudden and quick, | ||
418 | |417 |00:33:55 ~-~-> 00:34:01 |everything proves, in hindsight, that these moves are quick and sudden, but | ||
419 | |418 |00:34:01 ~-~-> 00:34:06 |they don't usually get seen in advance, because you're looking at things that | ||
420 | |419 |00:34:06 ~-~-> 00:34:11 |are going to mask it footprint, looking at how many contracts were traded here | ||
421 | |420 |00:34:11 ~-~-> 00:34:16 |on the on the previous volume, and we're looking at volume profile, or I'm | ||
422 | |421 |00:34:16 ~-~-> 00:34:21 |looking at a point of control, or I'm looking At a V wop, or I'm looking at | ||
423 | |422 |00:34:21 ~-~-> 00:34:26 |whatever. All those things are distracting you. They're not going to | ||
424 | |423 |00:34:26 ~-~-> 00:34:31 |tell you the time when the setup is going to form. I am. They're not going | ||
425 | |424 |00:34:31 ~-~-> 00:34:36 |to tell you when these PD arrays are going to form. I am. You're not going to | ||
426 | |425 |00:34:36 ~-~-> 00:34:42 |see which one of those levels on price ladders, DOMs, which one of all those | ||
427 | |426 |00:34:42 ~-~-> 00:34:46 |things above the marketplace or below the marketplace is it going to stop and | ||
428 | |427 |00:34:46 ~-~-> 00:34:50 |turn around on you don't know that, and no one using that information does. | ||
429 | |428 |00:34:50 ~-~-> 00:34:57 |They're just guessing. I promise you, that is all nonsense. Look at what this | ||
430 | |429 |00:34:57 ~-~-> 00:35:01 |is showing you here, folks. See here. Seriously, it's ridiculous when you | ||
431 | |430 |00:35:01 ~-~-> 00:35:07 |compare it with everything else. What you think and believe about me aside. | ||
432 | |431 |00:35:07 ~-~-> 00:35:13 |Okay, listen to me. What I just gave you in this lecture tonight is the golden | ||
433 | |432 |00:35:13 ~-~-> 00:35:19 |ticket. You never need to buy another mentorship, you never need to look at a | ||
434 | |433 |00:35:19 ~-~-> 00:35:23 |signal service. You never need to look at a live streamer and try to copy them. | ||
435 | |434 |00:35:24 ~-~-> 00:35:29 |Never. You never need to do that now, because what I've given you here is the | ||
436 | |435 |00:35:29 ~-~-> 00:35:32 |actual thing I'm cycling through while I'm watching price action, and I'm | ||
437 | |436 |00:35:32 ~-~-> 00:35:35 |waiting for these setups, and I'm waiting for them to form, and I know | ||
438 | |437 |00:35:35 ~-~-> 00:35:40 |what I'm looking for. See it provides you context. It's not just some | ||
439 | |438 |00:35:40 ~-~-> 00:35:46 |subjective you know, trading on a gut feeling. I'm not trusting any | ||
440 | |439 |00:35:46 ~-~-> 00:35:52 |indicators, because time is on my side. I know when the setups are going to | ||
441 | |440 |00:35:52 ~-~-> 00:35:55 |form. I know when fair value gaps are going to form. Now you know when they're | ||
442 | |441 |00:35:55 ~-~-> 00:36:01 |going to form. Every 15 minutes on the 15 or five minute chart. It's forming. | ||
443 | |442 |00:36:01 ~-~-> 00:36:07 |If it doesn't, you're in high resistance liquidity. That means sit still. And | ||
444 | |443 |00:36:07 ~-~-> 00:36:12 |then you look at time when the macros are forming and fair value gaps are | ||
445 | |444 |00:36:12 ~-~-> 00:36:15 |forming, and it's trading into those at the beginning, or going into the | ||
446 | |445 |00:36:15 ~-~-> 00:36:20 |beginning of the macro time you know what's coming. The price is going to | ||
447 | |446 |00:36:20 ~-~-> 00:36:25 |start spooling. And if you have a degree of understanding of where it's likely to | ||
448 | |447 |00:36:25 ~-~-> 00:36:30 |go, Well, look at the previous lecture I gave this week using the POUND DOLLAR | ||
449 | |448 |00:36:32 ~-~-> 00:36:42 |this level here, we want to look at it again. Okay, there's your target from up | ||
450 | |449 |00:36:42 ~-~-> 00:36:47 |here, down here, peer meeting opportunity here with the institutional | ||
451 | |450 |00:36:47 ~-~-> 00:36:51 |order flow entry drill. It doesn't need to fill this. Doesn't need to do | ||
452 | |451 |00:36:51 ~-~-> 00:36:57 |anything with this price action. Why? Because you have a breakaway gap that | ||
453 | |452 |00:36:57 ~-~-> 00:37:02 |was up here, and this is going to be a measuring gap, so half halfway from it | ||
454 | |453 |00:37:02 ~-~-> 00:37:05 |starts dropping is about halfway, and you know that you have another measured | ||
455 | |454 |00:37:05 ~-~-> 00:37:11 |move to that level here. It's not complex. It's not difficult. It's | ||
456 | |455 |00:37:11 ~-~-> 00:37:14 |difficult and complex for the people that are brand new, or if you didn't | ||
457 | |456 |00:37:14 ~-~-> 00:37:21 |really study and back test and log and observe, spending time studying past | ||
458 | |457 |00:37:21 ~-~-> 00:37:26 |price moves, journaling news and then watching the tape, real time, all these | ||
459 | |458 |00:37:26 ~-~-> 00:37:31 |things that you're trying to worry about adding to your chart, these new | ||
460 | |459 |00:37:31 ~-~-> 00:37:36 |gimmicks, I promise you, none of that stuff's going to serve you like you | ||
461 | |460 |00:37:36 ~-~-> 00:37:42 |think it will, time and price that will serve you perfectly, and you'll never | ||
462 | |461 |00:37:42 ~-~-> 00:37:46 |get the results that I'm showing you here with anything else. You'll never | ||
463 | |462 |00:37:46 ~-~-> 00:37:50 |get this precise with anything else, because there's so many different rules | ||
464 | |463 |00:37:50 ~-~-> 00:37:55 |of you know, this is that, and that's this. And come on, come on, man, any | ||
465 | |464 |00:37:55 ~-~-> 00:38:01 |happening you're still guessing, you're still just using those things as a | ||
466 | |465 |00:38:01 ~-~-> 00:38:05 |catalyst to get into a trade, because you don't have a decision mechanism. | ||
467 | |466 |00:38:06 ~-~-> 00:38:12 |Time is my decision mechanism. Trade condition, market tone is my decision | ||
468 | |467 |00:38:13 ~-~-> 00:38:17 |I'm blending several things. And I know when I'm not wanting to trade. I know | ||
469 | |468 |00:38:17 ~-~-> 00:38:21 |when I shouldn't trade, and I counsel you as students to try not to do | ||
470 | |469 |00:38:21 ~-~-> 00:38:26 |anything in those critical times like Non Farm Payroll, it makes it harder, | ||
471 | |470 |00:38:27 ~-~-> 00:38:28 |but it's not impossible. All | ||
472 | |471 |00:38:36 ~-~-> 00:38:43 |right, folks, there you have it. Another chapter in the market wizardry of | ||
473 | |472 |00:38:43 ~-~-> 00:38:47 |Michael J Huddleston, hope you found it insightful. Hope you learned something | ||
474 | |473 |00:38:47 ~-~-> 00:38:51 |from it, and hope it inspires you to go into your charts next week with a new | ||
475 | |474 |00:38:52 ~-~-> 00:38:57 |sense of urgency on how to capture this information. Journal it, log it back. | ||
476 | |475 |00:38:57 ~-~-> 00:39:01 |Test it, study it. Do that for a couple weeks up, you know, maybe a couple | ||
477 | |476 |00:39:01 ~-~-> 00:39:05 |months. And then once you have a real good collection of what you've seen it | ||
478 | |477 |00:39:05 ~-~-> 00:39:11 |in the past, do start doing it real time. Tape reading, no demo account, no | ||
479 | |478 |00:39:11 ~-~-> 00:39:14 |funded account challenges, no fund account trading, no live account | ||
480 | |479 |00:39:14 ~-~-> 00:39:19 |trading. Tape, read it, watch it live. And I promise you, you're the corners of | ||
481 | |480 |00:39:19 ~-~-> 00:39:24 |your mouth is going to ache because you can't stop smiling. Enjoy your weekend, | ||
482 | |481 |00:39:24 ~-~-> 00:39:27 |so I'll talk to you next week. Lord willing. Be safe. You. |