Wiki source code of ICT YT - 2024-10-21 - ICT 2024 Mentorship - Lecture 45
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2 | |1 |00:01:40 ~-~-> 00:01:47 |ICT: Well, good morning, folks. If you could give me a audio check on Twitter | ||
3 | |2 |00:01:47 ~-~-> 00:01:50 |for those that are following me, if you guys can hear me, you | ||
4 | |3 |00:02:20 ~-~-> 00:02:44 |I take a Walk, to grab my phone to see if you guys could reply to me on | ||
5 | |4 |00:02:44 ~-~-> 00:02:47 |Twitter. But I see you all can hear me fine. Thank you so much. But by the way, | ||
6 | |5 |00:02:47 ~-~-> 00:02:52 |hope you had a good weekend, good morning. I actually had eight hours of | ||
7 | |6 |00:02:52 ~-~-> 00:02:59 |sleep last night. It's not a normal thing for ICT. I usually do about four | ||
8 | |7 |00:02:59 ~-~-> 00:03:09 |hours or so in two sessions per day, in some naps, but I have some things to | ||
9 | |8 |00:03:09 ~-~-> 00:03:13 |take care of today that prevent me from streaming during the normal opening bell | ||
10 | |9 |00:03:13 ~-~-> 00:03:19 |till 10 3011, o'clock or so. So I'll be doing a pre market tape reading session | ||
11 | |10 |00:03:19 ~-~-> 00:03:29 |with you, and I'll teach you a couple things. Just want to get the most recent | ||
12 | |11 |00:03:29 ~-~-> 00:03:35 |view here since 830 has now transpired. If you look on the right hand side the | ||
13 | |12 |00:03:35 ~-~-> 00:03:41 |white background chart, or it should be white background the the left hand side | ||
14 | |13 |00:03:41 ~-~-> 00:03:50 |is a five minute chart over here, and this is a 32nd chart. So some of you may | ||
15 | |14 |00:03:50 ~-~-> 00:03:53 |not have the ability to look at a 32nd chart. Some of you may not have an | ||
16 | |15 |00:03:53 ~-~-> 00:03:58 |interest in looking at a 32nd chart at all. But for those that are trying to | ||
17 | |16 |00:03:58 ~-~-> 00:04:04 |learn how to reprice and get familiar with the price delivery continuum that | ||
18 | |17 |00:04:04 ~-~-> 00:04:10 |is afforded to us as a technical trader, viewing price with the expectation that | ||
19 | |18 |00:04:10 ~-~-> 00:04:14 |it's going to continuously deliver from one PD array to the next, from one time | ||
20 | |19 |00:04:14 ~-~-> 00:04:20 |frame to the next, not necessarily a top down in and out itself. It's not just a | ||
21 | |20 |00:04:20 ~-~-> 00:04:24 |generic term for top down. It's very specific things that we're looking for | ||
22 | |21 |00:04:24 ~-~-> 00:04:30 |that would constitute a setup that would yield the probabilities of moving from a | ||
23 | |22 |00:04:30 ~-~-> 00:04:34 |discount to a premium array or a premium array to a discount array. In other | ||
24 | |23 |00:04:35 ~-~-> 00:04:39 |words, something that gets short on and then an obvious level to take profits | ||
25 | |24 |00:04:39 ~-~-> 00:04:44 |lower, or an obvious level to get long on to an obvious level to take profit | ||
26 | |25 |00:04:44 ~-~-> 00:04:54 |and sell. So I have stripped this thing down here to opening range gaps and | ||
27 | |26 |00:04:56 ~-~-> 00:05:01 |Asian session liquidity pools now right away. You should already notice that | ||
28 | |27 |00:05:03 ~-~-> 00:05:09 |Friday selling price is up here. Okay, so that's going to be higher than where | ||
29 | |28 |00:05:09 ~-~-> 00:05:13 |we are at market price. If you notice in the lower right hand corner, it's eth is | ||
30 | |29 |00:05:13 ~-~-> 00:05:19 |electronic trading hours. You can see that by toggling here. So over here is | ||
31 | |30 |00:05:19 ~-~-> 00:05:24 |electronic trading hours and here as well electronic trading hours because we | ||
32 | |31 |00:05:24 ~-~-> 00:05:28 |have settled here. And I'll go into regular trading hours, and I'll explain | ||
33 | |32 |00:05:28 ~-~-> 00:05:38 |why I have the chart annotated like that. Here's a settlement price here at | ||
34 | |33 |00:05:39 ~-~-> 00:05:43 |414, now I'm looking at it on the perspective of five minute chart. So | ||
35 | |34 |00:05:43 ~-~-> 00:05:48 |it's going to look a little wonky, because I'm showing you 410 candle. 410 | ||
36 | |35 |00:05:48 ~-~-> 00:05:52 |is not the settlement time, but it would be on a five minute chart. So to | ||
37 | |36 |00:05:53 ~-~-> 00:05:56 |eliminate all the confusion, that's why I tell you to drop down to a one minute | ||
38 | |37 |00:05:56 ~-~-> 00:06:00 |chart and get the opening price in this in the closing price when you're doing | ||
39 | |38 |00:06:00 ~-~-> 00:06:06 |your gaps, whether it be new week opening gap or New Day opening gap. So | ||
40 | |39 |00:06:06 ~-~-> 00:06:12 |because it's Friday's settlement price on river trading hours, and since I can | ||
41 | |40 |00:06:12 ~-~-> 00:06:17 |do this here, I'll just show it to one minute chart, that way you guys can see | ||
42 | |41 |00:06:17 ~-~-> 00:06:24 |it. This is how you pick your opening range gap, previous day settlement. You | ||
43 | |42 |00:06:25 ~-~-> 00:06:30 |go to record trading hours, one minute chart. Last candlestick here is at 414 | ||
44 | |43 |00:06:30 ~-~-> 00:06:37 |because there is no trading at 415 it settles at 414 so there's no data for | ||
45 | |44 |00:06:37 ~-~-> 00:06:43 |415 because the market's closed for regular trading hours, but it trades | ||
46 | |45 |00:06:43 ~-~-> 00:06:47 |until five o'clock. Then it has the one hour, uh, break if it's another trading | ||
47 | |46 |00:06:47 ~-~-> 00:06:51 |day, but on Friday, it's the settlement. And then there's like, uh, electronic | ||
48 | |47 |00:06:51 ~-~-> 00:06:56 |trading hours that will continue until 5pm Eastern Time, near local time. Then | ||
49 | |48 |00:06:56 ~-~-> 00:07:01 |it stops for the weekend. Well, we're annotating that here on Fridays 4:14pm, | ||
50 | |49 |00:07:02 ~-~-> 00:07:08 |Eastern, Standard Time. That is our previous settlement. In this case, it's | ||
51 | |50 |00:07:08 ~-~-> 00:07:12 |previous week settlement price on river trading hours. But because I already see | ||
52 | |51 |00:07:12 ~-~-> 00:07:18 |that we're such a discount relative to that, and I'll scrub down to see it up | ||
53 | |52 |00:07:18 ~-~-> 00:07:23 |here. See there's Monday's opening range gap high. The reason why I'm annotating | ||
54 | |53 |00:07:23 ~-~-> 00:07:27 |that is the likelihood is that we're probably not going to trade all the way | ||
55 | |54 |00:07:27 ~-~-> 00:07:33 |back up there by 930 now, can it happen? Absolutely, it can. But for the sake of | ||
56 | |55 |00:07:33 ~-~-> 00:07:39 |annotation and getting a feel for before I started the live stream this morning, | ||
57 | |56 |00:07:39 ~-~-> 00:07:45 |I wanted to determine where we would be for a gap closure. So naturally, | ||
58 | |57 |00:07:45 ~-~-> 00:07:49 |anything opening lower than this price here on the right, on the left hand | ||
59 | |58 |00:07:49 ~-~-> 00:07:53 |side, which is regular trading hour settlement price at 4:14pm, Eastern, | ||
60 | |59 |00:07:53 ~-~-> 00:07:58 |Standard Time. It's a mouthful, I know, but it's just simply regular trading | ||
61 | |60 |00:07:58 ~-~-> 00:08:03 |hours closed on Friday. Okay, so we have not yet seen any regular trading hour | ||
62 | |61 |00:08:03 ~-~-> 00:08:09 |trading for the new week yet. It's all electronic trading. So when it started | ||
63 | |62 |00:08:09 ~-~-> 00:08:12 |trading at six o'clock yesterday evening, you | ||
64 | |63 |00:08:30 ~-~-> 00:08:32 |here's Friday's | ||
65 | |64 |00:08:37 ~-~-> 00:08:41 |settlement price on Electronic trading hours here. So you Would annotate that. | ||
66 | |65 |00:08:51 ~-~-> 00:08:52 |Let's go with this. | ||
67 | |66 |00:09:06 ~-~-> 00:09:09 |Okay, you make the opening gap low. Why do I know that's the low? It's because | ||
68 | |67 |00:09:09 ~-~-> 00:09:15 |we settled here and we started trading here on Sunday at 6pm Eastern time. So | ||
69 | |68 |00:09:15 ~-~-> 00:09:19 |you just take this once it highlights. Hold down. Control. Drag it away. You | ||
70 | |69 |00:09:19 ~-~-> 00:09:23 |can copy that and then simply drag it there, put it right on the opening price | ||
71 | |70 |00:09:25 ~-~-> 00:09:37 |and change the high, I'm sorry, change the low to high there. And it's rather | ||
72 | |71 |00:09:37 ~-~-> 00:09:42 |small, because it's 44 and a quarter to 496, and a quarter. So it's really, | ||
73 | |72 |00:09:42 ~-~-> 00:09:45 |really small. You can, you can put the consequent encroaching on that. | ||
74 | |73 |00:09:45 ~-~-> 00:09:48 |Generally, I just eyeball it. But for the sake of just showing you how to do | ||
75 | |74 |00:09:48 ~-~-> 00:09:55 |it again as a recap, there is an absence of any significant price data coming out | ||
76 | |75 |00:09:55 ~-~-> 00:10:03 |at 830 and on. Today and or Tuesday. It's nothing really terribly exciting. | ||
77 | |76 |00:10:06 ~-~-> 00:10:14 |And then what I do is I just take a line segment, drop it on and then make sure | ||
78 | |77 |00:10:14 ~-~-> 00:10:20 |it says 490, and a quarter, which it does, and then not change it the line | ||
79 | |78 |00:10:20 ~-~-> 00:10:24 |color too. So that's contrasting, | ||
80 | |79 |00:10:36 ~-~-> 00:10:42 |maybe opening gap, consequent encroachment, everything being equal and | ||
81 | |80 |00:10:42 ~-~-> 00:10:49 |there all right. And now you can go back into looking at where we are in | ||
82 | |81 |00:10:49 ~-~-> 00:10:54 |relationship to all those things. You can see the new week opening gap is up | ||
83 | |82 |00:10:54 ~-~-> 00:11:01 |here. It's also encapsulating the Friday regular trading hours, settlement price, | ||
84 | |83 |00:11:03 ~-~-> 00:11:09 |which would be the Monday gap reference points. So it's always previous days, | ||
85 | |84 |00:11:09 ~-~-> 00:11:16 |settlement at regular trading hours. But don't call it or label it as yesterday's | ||
86 | |85 |00:11:16 ~-~-> 00:11:20 |or last Friday's date. You're using this data for today's trading which is | ||
87 | |86 |00:11:20 ~-~-> 00:11:25 |Monday. So it's going to be Monday's opening range gap high, because we're | ||
88 | |87 |00:11:25 ~-~-> 00:11:30 |sitting here right now, now, in the rare event that it trades all the way back up | ||
89 | |88 |00:11:30 ~-~-> 00:11:35 |to here and traverses over 100 handles before reaching 930 opening bell, then | ||
90 | |89 |00:11:35 ~-~-> 00:11:40 |you would just simply have to change the the label to whatever it would require, | ||
91 | |90 |00:11:40 ~-~-> 00:11:44 |if it went back up to it and higher, then this would become the opening range | ||
92 | |91 |00:11:44 ~-~-> 00:11:49 |gap low, and then whatever 9/31 print would be that would be the opening range | ||
93 | |92 |00:11:49 ~-~-> 00:11:57 |gap high. All right, so let's go back into a five minute chart on that one and | ||
94 | |93 |00:11:57 ~-~-> 00:12:06 |leave everything as it is. Widen them up a little bit. Okay. And over here 32nd | ||
95 | |94 |00:12:06 ~-~-> 00:12:15 |chart, you can already see there's a lot of liquidity sitting under this block of | ||
96 | |95 |00:12:15 ~-~-> 00:12:22 |price action. It's just a little just looks kind of wonky. I like the idea of | ||
97 | |96 |00:12:22 ~-~-> 00:12:27 |coming back down to Thursday's opening range, gap low. And if it was to do | ||
98 | |97 |00:12:27 ~-~-> 00:12:31 |that, excuse me, if it were to do that and trade down below it, we have | ||
99 | |98 |00:12:31 ~-~-> 00:12:37 |Thursday's Asian session, sell side liquidity. Now I'm gonna magnify this | ||
100 | |99 |00:12:37 ~-~-> 00:12:43 |chart here and kind of show you what that reference is. We have some minor | ||
101 | |100 |00:12:43 ~-~-> 00:12:45 |cell side, which you guarding attack that the bodies have stayed above that | ||
102 | |101 |00:12:45 ~-~-> 00:12:51 |we wick down through it so it's allowed to do the damage. There we have this | ||
103 | |102 |00:12:51 ~-~-> 00:12:55 |level. Here I'm watching without having having an annotation, should we start to | ||
104 | |103 |00:12:55 ~-~-> 00:13:01 |slide again? Lower that consequent encroachment. And then we have the Asian | ||
105 | |104 |00:13:01 ~-~-> 00:13:06 |session low, you can see that 8:30pm It's New York local time, always on | ||
106 | |105 |00:13:06 ~-~-> 00:13:11 |october 17, last Thursday. So the liquidity we're seeing below that time | ||
107 | |106 |00:13:11 ~-~-> 00:13:16 |of day, okay, which is a session high or session low? In this case, when you | ||
108 | |107 |00:13:16 ~-~-> 00:13:21 |don't have any data, okay, nothing coming out at 830 and the day is pretty | ||
109 | |108 |00:13:21 ~-~-> 00:13:28 |much void of any kind of volatility injections, no real impact drivers by | ||
110 | |109 |00:13:29 ~-~-> 00:13:33 |medium impact or high impact on the economic calendar, you want to aim for | ||
111 | |110 |00:13:33 ~-~-> 00:13:37 |session highs and session lows. That means, what was the high and the low of | ||
112 | |111 |00:13:37 ~-~-> 00:13:43 |London? What was the high and low of Asia. What was the pm session high and | ||
113 | |112 |00:13:43 ~-~-> 00:13:48 |low of the previous trading session, or trading day rather? And then what was | ||
114 | |113 |00:13:48 ~-~-> 00:13:54 |the am session high and low of that previous day's trading? All of those are | ||
115 | |114 |00:13:54 ~-~-> 00:13:58 |relative to where you're at on the market. Pre market like now we're | ||
116 | |115 |00:13:58 ~-~-> 00:14:05 |trading electronic trading hours. We're trading at 20,003 90 even by going into | ||
117 | |116 |00:14:05 ~-~-> 00:14:08 |your chart and annotating where the highs and lows are respectively. In | ||
118 | |117 |00:14:08 ~-~-> 00:14:15 |other words, what was London's high and low or the overnight dealing range I | ||
119 | |118 |00:14:15 ~-~-> 00:14:20 |taught you that last week. And if we are in a market protraction, where it's just | ||
120 | |119 |00:14:20 ~-~-> 00:14:27 |really running in one direction. You don't grade that. But if there is a | ||
121 | |120 |00:14:27 ~-~-> 00:14:32 |consolidation, if you grade it, you can anticipate exactly where throughout the | ||
122 | |121 |00:14:32 ~-~-> 00:14:38 |morning session, during pre market, where the next subsequent premium or | ||
123 | |122 |00:14:38 ~-~-> 00:14:41 |discount array will form. And you can trade the pre market session. But I even | ||
124 | |123 |00:14:41 ~-~-> 00:14:44 |have to be there for the opening. For the opening bell or do anything rest of | ||
125 | |124 |00:14:44 ~-~-> 00:14:49 |the day. But when we have no data, when the economic calendar is anemic, it's | ||
126 | |125 |00:14:49 ~-~-> 00:14:54 |just simply void of anything that would constitute an injection of volatility by | ||
127 | |126 |00:14:54 ~-~-> 00:15:00 |a medium impact or a high impact news driver, some kind of news data. I. Then | ||
128 | |127 |00:15:00 ~-~-> 00:15:05 |the easiest thing you can do is aim for you don't need to do it just in these | ||
129 | |128 |00:15:05 ~-~-> 00:15:09 |instances. If it becomes something you like, you can simply use previous | ||
130 | |129 |00:15:09 ~-~-> 00:15:13 |session highs and lows. That means not the daily highs and lows that's also | ||
131 | |130 |00:15:13 ~-~-> 00:15:17 |included here, but session highs and lows. Okay, so we strip it down to | ||
132 | |131 |00:15:17 ~-~-> 00:15:23 |London session, New York, session, am, pm session in New York, then you have | ||
133 | |132 |00:15:23 ~-~-> 00:15:28 |Asian session. Okay, so you have four opportunities per day to frame a trade | ||
134 | |133 |00:15:28 ~-~-> 00:15:33 |setup. Now this is not an invitation for you to go hog wild out there and try to | ||
135 | |134 |00:15:33 ~-~-> 00:15:37 |trade every single one of these sessions, but you should, if it allows | ||
136 | |135 |00:15:37 ~-~-> 00:15:40 |you by your schedule, if you're you know, if your personal time afford you | ||
137 | |136 |00:15:40 ~-~-> 00:15:46 |to sit in front of charts and tape read them. It will help you become a better | ||
138 | |137 |00:15:46 ~-~-> 00:15:48 |and well rounded technical trader. You'll be able to read price better | ||
139 | |138 |00:15:48 ~-~-> 00:15:54 |because you have a lot more experience doing it. So my go to protocol is when | ||
140 | |139 |00:15:54 ~-~-> 00:15:57 |there's no data, when there's nothing coming out at 830 it doesn't mean that | ||
141 | |140 |00:15:57 ~-~-> 00:16:00 |the market just sits still because there's no data. Obviously it's going to | ||
142 | |141 |00:16:01 ~-~-> 00:16:06 |move, but what you're gonna aim for is session highs and session lows and as | ||
143 | |142 |00:16:06 ~-~-> 00:16:11 |again, do not think that this is the only thing you do, just because there's | ||
144 | |143 |00:16:11 ~-~-> 00:16:17 |no data that's being released at 830 it can be utilized in days that have | ||
145 | |144 |00:16:17 ~-~-> 00:16:22 |economic data that has medium impact or high impact news events around 830 or | ||
146 | |145 |00:16:22 ~-~-> 00:16:28 |so. But it's my usual reach for Okay, well, I'm just going to simply look for | ||
147 | |146 |00:16:28 ~-~-> 00:16:32 |the liquidity in the previous session. So what was the high and the low in | ||
148 | |147 |00:16:32 ~-~-> 00:16:42 |London? We're already annotating the the Thursdays Asian range. Low, which would | ||
149 | |148 |00:16:42 ~-~-> 00:16:45 |be below that would be sell side. And then I have believed Wednesday as well. | ||
150 | |149 |00:16:46 ~-~-> 00:16:51 |Yeah, I have Wednesdays Asian session, sell side liquidity pool annotated right | ||
151 | |150 |00:16:51 ~-~-> 00:16:56 |here with these relative equal lows. If you look at that low right there, it's | ||
152 | |151 |00:16:56 ~-~-> 00:17:01 |810, and we don't care about anything over here, because that's the low during | ||
153 | |152 |00:17:01 ~-~-> 00:17:06 |Asia, and it's relative equal low. So if we were to lose ground this morning into | ||
154 | |153 |00:17:07 ~-~-> 00:17:15 |the regular trading session, 930 going into 11 o'clock London, close, if we | ||
155 | |154 |00:17:15 ~-~-> 00:17:20 |were to trade lower than this low here, my focus would be here for the for the | ||
156 | |155 |00:17:20 ~-~-> 00:17:27 |morning session. That means between 930 and 11 o'clock or so going into noon, as | ||
157 | |156 |00:17:27 ~-~-> 00:17:33 |it stands right now, I want to kind of show you London's overnight dealing | ||
158 | |157 |00:17:33 ~-~-> 00:17:38 |range, so that way you can frame it, and you'll know what to do each session. And | ||
159 | |158 |00:17:41 ~-~-> 00:17:45 |you can do this every single day, and you'll never run out of setups. You'll | ||
160 | |159 |00:17:45 ~-~-> 00:17:50 |never, ever, ever, ever run out of setups, even on high resistance | ||
161 | |160 |00:17:50 ~-~-> 00:17:56 |liquidity run days, these reference points will be used on low resistance | ||
162 | |161 |00:17:56 ~-~-> 00:18:01 |liquidity run days. They are absolute bangers for just easy, low hanging fruit | ||
163 | |162 |00:18:01 ~-~-> 00:18:04 |objectives, getting in, taking your profit right there, and being content | ||
164 | |163 |00:18:04 ~-~-> 00:18:09 |with that it may continuously run beyond what you're aiming for, but in the | ||
165 | |164 |00:18:09 ~-~-> 00:18:16 |beginning, doesn't that give you a really good probability of finding | ||
166 | |165 |00:18:16 ~-~-> 00:18:20 |consistent setups that would reward your diligence about looking for Something | ||
167 | |166 |00:18:20 ~-~-> 00:18:24 |that repeats over and over again. You should not be trying to get 100 handles | ||
168 | |167 |00:18:24 ~-~-> 00:18:28 |a day in the beginning as a new trader. That's not realistic. It's not realistic | ||
169 | |168 |00:18:28 ~-~-> 00:18:34 |at all. But if you can get five handles a day on S, P and 10 handles a day on | ||
170 | |169 |00:18:34 ~-~-> 00:18:41 |NASDAQ as your first rung objective, and you grow to 15 handles to 20 handles in | ||
171 | |170 |00:18:41 ~-~-> 00:18:47 |the NASDAQ, to 10 to 15 handles in the ES, once and once you get it for the | ||
172 | |171 |00:18:47 ~-~-> 00:18:50 |day, then stop. Then take regressive day, because you're going to be training | ||
173 | |172 |00:18:50 ~-~-> 00:18:55 |yourself for discipline, and you're also looking for that one good setup that you | ||
174 | |173 |00:18:55 ~-~-> 00:18:58 |trust based on the technicals, based on your bias, based on everything you have | ||
175 | |174 |00:18:58 ~-~-> 00:19:01 |going on. And if you're trying to just press the button every time you feel an | ||
176 | |175 |00:19:01 ~-~-> 00:19:05 |impulse to do so, you're not do so you're not really following a model. So | ||
177 | |176 |00:19:05 ~-~-> 00:19:09 |the only way you fix that is by going in and looking for one good setup that has | ||
178 | |177 |00:19:09 ~-~-> 00:19:13 |a plethora of things that around IT support the idea that is likely to go | ||
179 | |178 |00:19:13 ~-~-> 00:19:17 |there, in that direction, at that PD array, you're trying to trade off of and | ||
180 | |179 |00:19:17 ~-~-> 00:19:24 |being diligent about forming that responsibility, that accountability in | ||
181 | |180 |00:19:24 ~-~-> 00:19:27 |yourself, only looking for that one setup, and the way you get there is | ||
182 | |181 |00:19:27 ~-~-> 00:19:31 |simply knowing where are the likely candidates for the market to draw to. | ||
183 | |182 |00:19:32 ~-~-> 00:19:36 |Now taking buy side liquidity and sell side liquidity out of the equation in | ||
184 | |183 |00:19:36 ~-~-> 00:19:40 |terms of just nearby swing highs and lows, and then framing on which swing | ||
185 | |184 |00:19:40 ~-~-> 00:19:45 |highs and swing swing lows. Which are they? Well, in London, we have to frame, | ||
186 | |185 |00:19:45 ~-~-> 00:19:51 |obviously the London time. So here is midnight, and we're working again with | ||
187 | |186 |00:19:51 ~-~-> 00:19:56 |the five minute chart. So we have midnight New York local time. So that's | ||
188 | |187 |00:19:56 ~-~-> 00:20:05 |true day. And then we have a. The kill zone, which is 2am Eastern Standard | ||
189 | |188 |00:20:05 ~-~-> 00:20:20 |Time, which ends at 5am now where's the liquidity in that time? Well, that's the | ||
190 | |189 |00:20:20 ~-~-> 00:20:26 |low of it here, so I can rebook back to that low. But I'm not interested in it. | ||
191 | |190 |00:20:26 ~-~-> 00:20:33 |I want to know what is the I'll make these levels black, okay, and I'll make | ||
192 | |191 |00:20:33 ~-~-> 00:20:37 |them bold. So this is London session. I'm | ||
193 | |192 |00:20:46 ~-~-> 00:20:55 |one session low bottom left, and we'll make it 16, okay, and then you can | ||
194 | |193 |00:20:55 ~-~-> 00:21:05 |already see what's here. What is that smooth highs? I'm so you highlight the | ||
195 | |194 |00:21:05 ~-~-> 00:21:09 |level you want to copy. Hold down Control, drag it up, and it denies you | ||
196 | |195 |00:21:09 ~-~-> 00:21:14 |because you're watching being done on live stream. It all these messes when | ||
197 | |196 |00:21:14 ~-~-> 00:21:21 |you fucking trading view. So we have relative equal highs. So this will be | ||
198 | |197 |00:21:21 ~-~-> 00:21:28 |london session high, right? And obviously you don't need to label it. | ||
199 | |198 |00:21:28 ~-~-> 00:21:31 |You know what's above it, because you know what's above highs, it's by side. | ||
200 | |199 |00:21:32 ~-~-> 00:21:36 |But what you're doing is you're labeling your chart with these reference points | ||
201 | |200 |00:21:36 ~-~-> 00:21:42 |for the basis of understanding where certain liquidity pools will be a | ||
202 | |201 |00:21:42 ~-~-> 00:21:46 |factor. Now, obviously it goes without saying that. You know, there's a short | ||
203 | |202 |00:21:46 ~-~-> 00:21:50 |term little high here, so we'll be resting above that buy side liquidity. | ||
204 | |203 |00:21:50 ~-~-> 00:21:57 |But in in reference to and and in deference to time, what's more, what's | ||
205 | |204 |00:21:57 ~-~-> 00:22:02 |more salient for the morning session is it the london session highs here, or | ||
206 | |205 |00:22:02 ~-~-> 00:22:06 |this one single little candlestick high where there would be buy side above both | ||
207 | |206 |00:22:06 ~-~-> 00:22:11 |this area here and these, but which one's more likely to be a draw on | ||
208 | |207 |00:22:11 ~-~-> 00:22:14 |liquidity? Why would the market if it were, in fact, manipulated, if it was | ||
209 | |208 |00:22:14 ~-~-> 00:22:17 |controlled, if it was targeting liquidity, if it was doing those very | ||
210 | |209 |00:22:17 ~-~-> 00:22:20 |things, and I'm saying that in tongue in cheek, because it obviously is doing | ||
211 | |210 |00:22:20 ~-~-> 00:22:23 |that. But there's a lot of people in the world that don't believe that. Don't | ||
212 | |211 |00:22:24 ~-~-> 00:22:28 |believe that. Would would it be simply in interest only go back up to this high | ||
213 | |212 |00:22:28 ~-~-> 00:22:32 |here and not even disrupt these smooth highs? Or would it be, yes, this would | ||
214 | |213 |00:22:32 ~-~-> 00:22:35 |be one minor objective to reach for, but we would like to see it. Want to | ||
215 | |214 |00:22:35 ~-~-> 00:22:39 |accelerate through that area to get to this area here, before they could take | ||
216 | |215 |00:22:39 ~-~-> 00:22:42 |their stops out of the marketplace. We want to, we want to see the market | ||
217 | |216 |00:22:42 ~-~-> 00:22:48 |gravitate back here aggressively. That further is the likelihood in pre market. | ||
218 | |217 |00:22:48 ~-~-> 00:22:57 |Because why we have a gap now it's, it's slowly eroding the the the size of the | ||
219 | |218 |00:22:57 ~-~-> 00:23:01 |gap that would be, if it was opening down here, that would be a rather large | ||
220 | |219 |00:23:01 ~-~-> 00:23:08 |gap, but it's narrowing that gap now as we get closer and closer to 930 which | ||
221 | |220 |00:23:09 ~-~-> 00:23:13 |will be where I'm at here on the five minute chart. So we have time. Is it | ||
222 | |221 |00:23:13 ~-~-> 00:23:18 |likely to draw all the up arrow to 2000 I'm sorry, 20,004 94, and a quarter | ||
223 | |222 |00:23:19 ~-~-> 00:23:24 |probabilities are rather small for it to occur, but it can, obviously it can do | ||
224 | |223 |00:23:24 ~-~-> 00:23:31 |things like that. So in pre market, when there's no data, I like to look at where | ||
225 | |224 |00:23:31 ~-~-> 00:23:36 |we were for London. So if we were looking at trading in London, these are | ||
226 | |225 |00:23:36 ~-~-> 00:23:42 |the reference points that that session created its range, the highest high | ||
227 | |226 |00:23:44 ~-~-> 00:23:49 |inside of London, between two o'clock in the morning here and 5am when the london | ||
228 | |227 |00:23:49 ~-~-> 00:23:54 |session closes, or in turns of the kill zone, the time that the algorithm will | ||
229 | |228 |00:23:54 ~-~-> 00:23:59 |be looking for liquidity, looking for PD arrays, looking for a reason to Move all | ||
230 | |229 |00:23:59 ~-~-> 00:24:06 |that is encapsulated inside that time. Now this is the same thing for forex. So | ||
231 | |230 |00:24:06 ~-~-> 00:24:09 |if you're a forex trader, it's the same application. There's nothing different | ||
232 | |231 |00:24:09 ~-~-> 00:24:13 |here. It is absolutely no different. Everything I've said so far this morning | ||
233 | |232 |00:24:13 ~-~-> 00:24:19 |is still relative to Forex. It's relative to bonds, it's relative to | ||
234 | |233 |00:24:22 ~-~-> 00:24:27 |current. Currency futures, not just Forex. Like everything is being | ||
235 | |234 |00:24:27 ~-~-> 00:24:31 |explained to you on the basis of time, and it's it's universal, so it goes | ||
236 | |235 |00:24:31 ~-~-> 00:24:37 |across all the asset classes except for crypto. I have not investigated crypto. | ||
237 | |236 |00:24:37 ~-~-> 00:24:40 |I have students that swear by I don't have an interest in ever trading it. So | ||
238 | |237 |00:24:40 ~-~-> 00:24:45 |that's why I say I don't say it there. But you're welcome to investigate that | ||
239 | |238 |00:24:45 ~-~-> 00:24:49 |yourself. I don't do it. I don't trade the Indian markets. I have no experience | ||
240 | |239 |00:24:49 ~-~-> 00:24:52 |with the Nifty 50. I don't have any experience with that at all. I don't | ||
241 | |240 |00:24:52 ~-~-> 00:24:58 |know if it works at all there. So for the folks that live in India that use | ||
242 | |241 |00:24:58 ~-~-> 00:25:02 |that as your your base. For trading, it's in your hands determine whether | ||
243 | |242 |00:25:02 ~-~-> 00:25:06 |there's a value in using these concepts there. I don't have any experience with | ||
244 | |243 |00:25:06 ~-~-> 00:25:09 |it, so I get a lot of questions in the comment section asking that. I just | ||
245 | |244 |00:25:09 ~-~-> 00:25:16 |simply don't have an answer for you in that regard. So again, back to where | ||
246 | |245 |00:25:16 ~-~-> 00:25:25 |we're at. What is the usual protocol for a discount gap opening at 930 meaning if | ||
247 | |246 |00:25:25 ~-~-> 00:25:29 |we open lower than previous day, selling what's what's previous day on Monday, | ||
248 | |247 |00:25:30 ~-~-> 00:25:35 |it's last Friday, always. So unless Friday was a holiday and there was no | ||
249 | |248 |00:25:35 ~-~-> 00:25:41 |trading, we would simply use previous day or previous week, if it's a Monday. | ||
250 | |249 |00:25:41 ~-~-> 00:25:47 |So in this case, since it's actually Monday, October 21 2420 24 we refer back | ||
251 | |250 |00:25:47 ~-~-> 00:25:53 |to Friday's electronic I'm sorry. Friday's regular trading hours close or | ||
252 | |251 |00:25:53 ~-~-> 00:25:59 |settlement price. Any one second I forgot to put my phone on. Do not | ||
253 | |252 |00:25:59 ~-~-> 00:26:03 |disturb. There's always some Yahoo trying to talk to anyone. I'm doing this | ||
254 | |253 |00:26:04 ~-~-> 00:26:13 |anyway, the so when we have a gap lower at 930 relative to the previous day's | ||
255 | |254 |00:26:13 ~-~-> 00:26:18 |settlement price, and that being Friday's settlement price, and that's | ||
256 | |255 |00:26:18 ~-~-> 00:26:23 |this black line here. Okay, it's labeled Monday's opening range gap high because | ||
257 | |256 |00:26:23 ~-~-> 00:26:27 |we're down here already, so it's not likely that we're gonna come all the way | ||
258 | |257 |00:26:27 ~-~-> 00:26:32 |back up here by 930 so I've already annotated my chart here. Technically, | ||
259 | |258 |00:26:33 ~-~-> 00:26:39 |this should be labeled as Friday's electronic trading settlement closing | ||
260 | |259 |00:26:39 ~-~-> 00:26:45 |price, but because I feel like we'll probably open somewhere below that. That | ||
261 | |260 |00:26:45 ~-~-> 00:26:48 |means whatever the opening price, let's say, let's play devil's advocate for a | ||
262 | |261 |00:26:48 ~-~-> 00:26:56 |moment. And let's say the next tick is the opening price, and it's 408 Okay, so | ||
263 | |262 |00:26:56 ~-~-> 00:27:03 |four eight even. So I would annotate my chart at 408 even. 20,004 0800, and and | ||
264 | |263 |00:27:03 ~-~-> 00:27:06 |that would be lower than that level up here. So that would be labeled as | ||
265 | |264 |00:27:06 ~-~-> 00:27:12 |Monday's opening range, gap low. Now, because it's opened lower. What is the | ||
266 | |265 |00:27:12 ~-~-> 00:27:17 |bias? What's the bias for the next 30 minutes, or the first 30 minutes at 930, | ||
267 | |266 |00:27:17 ~-~-> 00:27:24 |10 o'clock? It would be bullish, expecting a minimum of half of that gaps | ||
268 | |267 |00:27:24 ~-~-> 00:27:28 |range to be traded to, because there's a 70% likelihood of half the gap being | ||
269 | |268 |00:27:28 ~-~-> 00:27:33 |traded to during the first 30 minutes of trading, 930 to 10 o'clock Eastern time. | ||
270 | |269 |00:27:33 ~-~-> 00:27:39 |So if it were to do that, okay? And again, this, this is hypothetical, | ||
271 | |270 |00:27:39 ~-~-> 00:27:43 |because I'm not going to be here for 930 okay, but I'm just giving you how I look | ||
272 | |271 |00:27:43 ~-~-> 00:27:48 |at the pre market session and then how I use that also in relationship to session | ||
273 | |272 |00:27:48 ~-~-> 00:27:51 |highs and session lows, as we have here we have London sessions highs. That's my | ||
274 | |273 |00:27:51 ~-~-> 00:27:55 |interest. I'm not interested in just simply going back to the London lows | ||
275 | |274 |00:27:55 ~-~-> 00:28:00 |that we've already worked those here. So if we can get back through the London | ||
276 | |275 |00:28:00 ~-~-> 00:28:04 |low what levels would be impactful? Well, we obviously have short term minor | ||
277 | |276 |00:28:04 ~-~-> 00:28:08 |buy side liquidity there, so you can annotate that with a very thin level | ||
278 | |277 |00:28:09 ~-~-> 00:28:12 |that doesn't draw too much attention, but still annotates it for the purposes | ||
279 | |278 |00:28:12 ~-~-> 00:28:23 |of your tape reading. We can do something like this, and then minor buy | ||
280 | |279 |00:28:23 ~-~-> 00:28:39 |side, liquidity, top left, and we'll do it Okay, and that's all too okay. So | ||
281 | |280 |00:28:39 ~-~-> 00:28:43 |it's ghosted there. You can still see it, but it's not jumping off the chart | ||
282 | |281 |00:28:43 ~-~-> 00:28:47 |saying, Hey, look at me. So your your eye isn't looking at that and thinking, | ||
283 | |282 |00:28:47 ~-~-> 00:28:53 |well, this is all there is to this move. These levels are bold, because I want my | ||
284 | |283 |00:28:53 ~-~-> 00:28:58 |students looking at this chart to see that as a much more impactful level to | ||
285 | |284 |00:28:58 ~-~-> 00:29:01 |draw to not to simply let me come up here and knock out the stops on anyone | ||
286 | |285 |00:29:01 ~-~-> 00:29:05 |that's short here. This is where the majority of the liquidity is. If | ||
287 | |286 |00:29:05 ~-~-> 00:29:10 |anyone's short up here, this is where their stops trail to now admit, | ||
288 | |287 |00:29:10 ~-~-> 00:29:13 |admittedly, there's some that has trailed it here, and probably all down | ||
289 | |288 |00:29:13 ~-~-> 00:29:16 |to here, and they've been stopped out. So they're no longer a factor in the | ||
290 | |289 |00:29:16 ~-~-> 00:29:21 |equation anyway. But using that 408 level hypothetically, say that was | ||
291 | |290 |00:29:21 ~-~-> 00:29:30 |20,004 zero, 8.00 say that was at 930 and that gap would be solidified as a | ||
292 | |291 |00:29:30 ~-~-> 00:29:34 |discount gap, meaning that we opened lower than previous render trading hours | ||
293 | |292 |00:29:34 ~-~-> 00:29:37 |selling price, which is this level up here I've annotated already for Monday's | ||
294 | |293 |00:29:37 ~-~-> 00:29:44 |Opening range. Gap high. That means for the next 30 minutes from 930 to 10 | ||
295 | |294 |00:29:44 ~-~-> 00:29:50 |o'clock, my bias would be bullish. It at the very minimum until, until 50% of | ||
296 | |295 |00:29:50 ~-~-> 00:29:54 |that opening range gap is traded to So hypothetically, okay, and this is not to | ||
297 | |296 |00:29:54 ~-~-> 00:29:58 |be used for today, okay, I'm just saying. I'm teaching you how to do this | ||
298 | |297 |00:29:58 ~-~-> 00:30:05 |stuff every single day, going for. Board. Okay, so hypothetically, let's | ||
299 | |298 |00:30:05 ~-~-> 00:30:11 |say that is the other side of the range, or what would be, quote, unquote, the | ||
300 | |299 |00:30:11 ~-~-> 00:30:18 |930 opening price. That means that this would be your first tick price at 930 | ||
301 | |300 |00:30:18 ~-~-> 00:30:21 |and then you reference where you've previously settled on Friday because | ||
302 | |301 |00:30:21 ~-~-> 00:30:28 |it's Monday. So you would drop your fib on that level here, and up to | ||
303 | |302 |00:30:31 ~-~-> 00:30:36 |494 and a quarter, and you drop it so there's 50% of the opening range. If it | ||
304 | |303 |00:30:36 ~-~-> 00:30:41 |was using four zero, it ain't using 408 because it's not even 930 yet. So be | ||
305 | |304 |00:30:41 ~-~-> 00:30:44 |aware that what I'm suggesting to you here is just a hypothetical approach to | ||
306 | |305 |00:30:44 ~-~-> 00:30:50 |how I do it anyway. So notice that we would have half the gap here, and if it | ||
307 | |306 |00:30:50 ~-~-> 00:30:54 |was sitting here like this, would I be content with simply trying to be long up | ||
308 | |307 |00:30:54 ~-~-> 00:30:58 |into that level there, knowing that there is London session highs right here | ||
309 | |308 |00:30:58 ~-~-> 00:31:03 |that are smooth. So what would what would be the most likely scenario for | ||
310 | |309 |00:31:03 ~-~-> 00:31:07 |ICT to be trading in that situation? I would be long looking for a partial | ||
311 | |310 |00:31:07 ~-~-> 00:31:12 |here, but more specifically, aiming for a draw in above here, because if it's | ||
312 | |311 |00:31:12 ~-~-> 00:31:15 |going to go here, and it's in close proximity, there's relative equal highs, | ||
313 | |312 |00:31:15 ~-~-> 00:31:19 |it's not likely to leave that there, because we have a whole lot more or half | ||
314 | |313 |00:31:19 ~-~-> 00:31:22 |the other portion of that gap still to be traded to it could go a full gap | ||
315 | |314 |00:31:22 ~-~-> 00:31:28 |closure or three quarter gap closure. So by blending session highs and session | ||
316 | |315 |00:31:28 ~-~-> 00:31:33 |lows in also incorporating the opening range, gap when, when the gap is | ||
317 | |316 |00:31:33 ~-~-> 00:31:40 |allowing that that that measure of importance, in this case, hypothetically | ||
318 | |317 |00:31:40 ~-~-> 00:31:45 |using that 408 point 00, level, if it were the opening price, it could be | ||
319 | |318 |00:31:45 ~-~-> 00:31:51 |simply any price. I mean, I'm saying, if it say we open up here, okay, and that | ||
320 | |319 |00:31:51 ~-~-> 00:31:58 |would mean that we have mid gap would be essentially about there, which also | ||
321 | |320 |00:31:58 ~-~-> 00:32:03 |agrees with clearing out the london session. Highs by side. So it's building | ||
322 | |321 |00:32:03 ~-~-> 00:32:10 |what several things, not just one thing, several things to lean on in terms of a | ||
323 | |322 |00:32:10 ~-~-> 00:32:15 |draw, on liquidity, and you're using finite reference points, not something | ||
324 | |323 |00:32:15 ~-~-> 00:32:18 |that's always morphing into something new, always trying to figure out a | ||
325 | |324 |00:32:18 ~-~-> 00:32:22 |mystery in price action. The highest high and the lowest low of london | ||
326 | |325 |00:32:22 ~-~-> 00:32:26 |session is what it is. That's what it is. Okay, it's not going to change it. | ||
327 | |326 |00:32:26 ~-~-> 00:32:30 |Can't hide it from you. Okay. And the opening range gap, if there is one, and | ||
328 | |327 |00:32:31 ~-~-> 00:32:34 |generally there is one, that just depends how much of a gap there, there | ||
329 | |328 |00:32:34 ~-~-> 00:32:40 |would be if we're opening lower, you know, until half that gap is filled | ||
330 | |329 |00:32:40 ~-~-> 00:32:45 |during the first 30 minutes, I am looking for longs. I'm not looking to go | ||
331 | |330 |00:32:45 ~-~-> 00:32:49 |short. I'm never, ever, ever, ever, ever going in there on the basis of simply | ||
332 | |331 |00:32:49 ~-~-> 00:32:52 |just going, I'm going to go short because we open lower. That's the worst | ||
333 | |332 |00:32:52 ~-~-> 00:32:56 |thing in the world to do. That's what retail minded traders do. They want to | ||
334 | |333 |00:32:56 ~-~-> 00:33:00 |chase. They think, wow, we're we're way down from yesterday. Because they look | ||
335 | |334 |00:33:00 ~-~-> 00:33:05 |at the relationship between yesterday's close to where we open today. That's the | ||
336 | |335 |00:33:05 ~-~-> 00:33:09 |public's perspective. The professional perspective is, where do we close from | ||
337 | |336 |00:33:09 ~-~-> 00:33:14 |today's opening? That's the challenge I put out for the people that make | ||
338 | |337 |00:33:14 ~-~-> 00:33:18 |indicators. If you plot a cumulative line on the relationship between | ||
339 | |338 |00:33:18 ~-~-> 00:33:22 |yesterday's close and today's open, and you plot that on a cumulative basis, | ||
340 | |339 |00:33:22 ~-~-> 00:33:26 |you're going to see what retail perspective is. And if you plot it on | ||
341 | |340 |00:33:26 ~-~-> 00:33:30 |the basis of today's opening price versus today's closing price, you're | ||
342 | |341 |00:33:30 ~-~-> 00:33:34 |going to get the professional mindset, because that's actual accumulation and | ||
343 | |342 |00:33:34 ~-~-> 00:33:38 |distribution once the market has booked, when there's an opening price, opening | ||
344 | |343 |00:33:38 ~-~-> 00:33:43 |price is always, always rough cut sentiment. That means it's meant to go | ||
345 | |344 |00:33:43 ~-~-> 00:33:48 |out there and inspire or discourage traders that are less informed, because | ||
346 | |345 |00:33:48 ~-~-> 00:33:53 |they're mostly impulsive creatures. So they see, oh, we opened lower than | ||
347 | |346 |00:33:53 ~-~-> 00:33:56 |yesterday's close or last week's close. So therefore they think it's weak, so | ||
348 | |347 |00:33:56 ~-~-> 00:33:59 |therefore they want to chase it, and they go short. And then what happens is, | ||
349 | |348 |00:33:59 ~-~-> 00:34:03 |is the gap starts to close in, even if it's just a half a gap that's enough to | ||
350 | |349 |00:34:03 ~-~-> 00:34:07 |wipe them out many times, because you retail traders want to over leverage | ||
351 | |350 |00:34:07 ~-~-> 00:34:12 |just a quarter of the gap being traded too and being filled just a quarter | ||
352 | |351 |00:34:13 ~-~-> 00:34:17 |portion of it wouldn't stop you out and cause you to have a losing trade or | ||
353 | |352 |00:34:17 ~-~-> 00:34:24 |losing day. So it's real important to measure several factors relative to | ||
354 | |353 |00:34:24 ~-~-> 00:34:29 |time. That's what we're focusing on here time. And then what price levels in | ||
355 | |354 |00:34:29 ~-~-> 00:34:38 |those periods are we concerned with? If we're looking at days that have high | ||
356 | |355 |00:34:38 ~-~-> 00:34:42 |impact or medium impact news drivers, then obviously what I'm showing here | ||
357 | |356 |00:34:42 ~-~-> 00:34:51 |still is applicable. It's even more likely to deliver faster runs. What's | ||
358 | |357 |00:34:51 ~-~-> 00:34:54 |missing is the volatility injection. Because of the news not being available | ||
359 | |358 |00:34:54 ~-~-> 00:34:58 |to us, we don't have a medium impact we don't have a high impact news driver. We | ||
360 | |359 |00:34:58 ~-~-> 00:35:04 |don't have like a PMI, a C. Pi, we don't have any kind of we have really nothing | ||
361 | |360 |00:35:04 ~-~-> 00:35:08 |that speak up Monday and Tuesday of this calendar week. So I I'm not suggesting | ||
362 | |361 |00:35:08 ~-~-> 00:35:12 |that simply because there's no data, that there's no reason to trade. There | ||
363 | |362 |00:35:12 ~-~-> 00:35:16 |is absolutely reasons to trade, but you have to have a procedure or a protocol | ||
364 | |363 |00:35:16 ~-~-> 00:35:20 |that you're going to stick to to help you frame your setups. Otherwise you're | ||
365 | |364 |00:35:20 ~-~-> 00:35:23 |guessing. Otherwise, you're trying to do something on the basis of just one | ||
366 | |365 |00:35:23 ~-~-> 00:35:27 |candlestick pattern, one order block, one fair value gap, you know, just | ||
367 | |366 |00:35:27 ~-~-> 00:35:31 |because it looks like it's, you know, this high here or this low here, you | ||
368 | |367 |00:35:31 ~-~-> 00:35:35 |know which ones are going to hit. Is it going to take the minor buy side here? | ||
369 | |368 |00:35:35 ~-~-> 00:35:38 |Is it going to take the minor sell side here? Because that's what should be | ||
370 | |369 |00:35:38 ~-~-> 00:35:42 |framed, basically, right now, where we're trading. Right now your focus | ||
371 | |370 |00:35:42 ~-~-> 00:35:46 |should be, are we going to take the buy side here? Are we going to take the sell | ||
372 | |371 |00:35:46 ~-~-> 00:35:53 |side there? That's the next move. Nothing, nothing else except for staying | ||
373 | |372 |00:35:53 ~-~-> 00:35:57 |inside that range between this high and that low. There's nothing else you can | ||
374 | |373 |00:35:58 ~-~-> 00:36:02 |do. There's nothing there's nothing else to do. Either it stays in the range or | ||
375 | |374 |00:36:02 ~-~-> 00:36:07 |it runs for the buy side or runs for the sell side. So your question that needs | ||
376 | |375 |00:36:07 ~-~-> 00:36:12 |to be answered is, do you know with any degree of confidence which one of those | ||
377 | |376 |00:36:12 ~-~-> 00:36:18 |levels are going to be traded to now, as we get closer, if it stays in that range | ||
378 | |377 |00:36:18 ~-~-> 00:36:22 |between this high and that low, as we get closer to 930 opening bell, which I | ||
379 | |378 |00:36:22 ~-~-> 00:36:27 |won't be here with you. Okay, literally, I'm going to be going here in about six | ||
380 | |379 |00:36:27 ~-~-> 00:36:34 |or seven minutes. You want to see it draw higher, because you why? Why would | ||
381 | |380 |00:36:34 ~-~-> 00:36:40 |that be a factor? Because the gap aspect, because you're already lower | ||
382 | |381 |00:36:40 ~-~-> 00:36:45 |than previous day selling Friday. So again at 930 that starts that countdown | ||
383 | |382 |00:36:45 ~-~-> 00:36:49 |for the next 30 minutes. Between 930 to 10 o'clock Eastern time, your bias is | ||
384 | |383 |00:36:49 ~-~-> 00:36:55 |what bullish until 50% that gap is closed. It doesn't mean it then becomes | ||
385 | |384 |00:36:55 ~-~-> 00:37:00 |bearish. It just means that that 70% of the time, that's what's usually | ||
386 | |385 |00:37:00 ~-~-> 00:37:05 |unfolding. That's what's usually likely to be seen in price action. Now, does it | ||
387 | |386 |00:37:05 ~-~-> 00:37:10 |mean that if it doesn't go up there and go to 50% opening range gap within the | ||
388 | |387 |00:37:10 ~-~-> 00:37:14 |30 minutes of 930, to 10 o'clock, then it ain't going to go there? No, I'm | ||
389 | |388 |00:37:14 ~-~-> 00:37:22 |still going to look for that. I'm just saying for a immediate bias, something | ||
390 | |389 |00:37:22 ~-~-> 00:37:26 |to look for in price action, a some something to study, something to tape, | ||
391 | |390 |00:37:26 ~-~-> 00:37:30 |read, something to draw your focus to. Instead of just looking at the charts | ||
392 | |391 |00:37:30 ~-~-> 00:37:34 |and not knowing what you're looking at or what you're looking for, it gives you | ||
393 | |392 |00:37:34 ~-~-> 00:37:40 |immediate information, Intel. If we got lower, okay, look for it to go higher up | ||
394 | |393 |00:37:40 ~-~-> 00:37:44 |to half the gap, and that could be your entire model. And you never need to do | ||
395 | |394 |00:37:44 ~-~-> 00:37:46 |anything else. You never need to come back and watch any of my videos. You | ||
396 | |395 |00:37:46 ~-~-> 00:37:50 |never need to worry about any of my live streams anymore, ever, ever, ever, ever, | ||
397 | |396 |00:37:50 ~-~-> 00:37:55 |that's my goal as a mentor. I am not trying to tether you to me. Every other | ||
398 | |397 |00:37:55 ~-~-> 00:37:58 |mentor wants you to constantly watch them. They want you to buy their | ||
399 | |398 |00:37:58 ~-~-> 00:38:01 |bullshit. They want you to buy their courses. They want you to do everything | ||
400 | |399 |00:38:01 ~-~-> 00:38:04 |it keeps feeding them and paying their bills. I'm looking to end your | ||
401 | |400 |00:38:04 ~-~-> 00:38:08 |visibility. No, not visible, your viewership. That's my goal. I want you | ||
402 | |401 |00:38:08 ~-~-> 00:38:12 |to say, You know what I learned? Enough. Thank you. ICT, I never watch your stuff | ||
403 | |402 |00:38:12 ~-~-> 00:38:15 |anymore. That's That's my goal. That's nobody else's goal. In this business, | ||
404 | |403 |00:38:16 ~-~-> 00:38:19 |they're wanting you to continuously come back. I'm trying to bring you to a point | ||
405 | |404 |00:38:19 ~-~-> 00:38:23 |of you're independently thinking without me or anyone else. You're not buying any | ||
406 | |405 |00:38:23 ~-~-> 00:38:26 |courses. You're not buying any other mentorships. You're simply just doing | ||
407 | |406 |00:38:26 ~-~-> 00:38:29 |your own thing, making your money and living your life and taking care of your | ||
408 | |407 |00:38:29 ~-~-> 00:38:34 |family. That's my goal for you. That's it. And if I wanted to make money off of | ||
409 | |408 |00:38:34 ~-~-> 00:38:38 |you, I very easily could do that. I'm not. I'm sitting here giving it to you | ||
410 | |409 |00:38:38 ~-~-> 00:38:43 |for free. You watch or you don't watch it. So obviously this is hypothetical | ||
411 | |410 |00:38:43 ~-~-> 00:38:44 |example, but | ||
412 | |411 |00:38:49 ~-~-> 00:38:56 |so my interest rate now as we go into 930 Okay, or shortly after 930 because | ||
413 | |412 |00:38:56 ~-~-> 00:38:59 |we have the strong likelihood it's going to be a discount gap, that means we're | ||
414 | |413 |00:38:59 ~-~-> 00:39:05 |opening lower than Friday's regulator trading session hours, my interest is | ||
415 | |414 |00:39:05 ~-~-> 00:39:09 |the one in session highs, okay, that that's what I'd like to see. And you're | ||
416 | |415 |00:39:09 ~-~-> 00:39:12 |gonna see whatever you see at 930 at the opening bell. I won't even be able to | ||
417 | |416 |00:39:12 ~-~-> 00:39:16 |see the chart, so I can't do anything. I'm gonna be away from the house and | ||
418 | |417 |00:39:16 ~-~-> 00:39:22 |leave from the ability to see this stuff. So I'm saying to you that, I | ||
419 | |418 |00:39:22 ~-~-> 00:39:26 |think, based on what we have right now, if we start to sell off initially, and | ||
420 | |419 |00:39:26 ~-~-> 00:39:29 |say we take out this low, then I would look for it to change directions and | ||
421 | |420 |00:39:29 ~-~-> 00:39:34 |come back and target the london session high. And that would be what I'm aiming | ||
422 | |421 |00:39:34 ~-~-> 00:39:38 |for for the morning session. If I were there at 930 and it started to sell off | ||
423 | |422 |00:39:38 ~-~-> 00:39:44 |first, if we open initially at 930 and we're below these relative equal highs, | ||
424 | |423 |00:39:44 ~-~-> 00:39:50 |and we're below the london session low. Then I would look for a modest, little, | ||
425 | |424 |00:39:50 ~-~-> 00:39:55 |tiny, little Judah swing lower, taking out whatever one minute, short term load | ||
426 | |425 |00:39:55 ~-~-> 00:40:00 |it may form between where we're at right now and 930 I would. For something like | ||
427 | |426 |00:40:00 ~-~-> 00:40:04 |that. It doesn't need to do that, but I prefer to see that and then rally back | ||
428 | |427 |00:40:04 ~-~-> 00:40:10 |up and then attack here. And that would be building on the basis of drawing into | ||
429 | |428 |00:40:10 ~-~-> 00:40:18 |that discount gap opening, which half that gap would be 70% likelihood, in my | ||
430 | |429 |00:40:18 ~-~-> 00:40:21 |mind, I wouldn't see that half of that gap filled, half of the gap is whatever | ||
431 | |430 |00:40:21 ~-~-> 00:40:26 |that 930 opening price is, we don't know it yet. It's right now, 907, so we have | ||
432 | |431 |00:40:26 ~-~-> 00:40:32 |23 minutes or so before that happens up to previous regular trading session, | ||
433 | |432 |00:40:32 ~-~-> 00:40:38 |hour close on Friday. So that means that that's why I'm leaving at Monday's | ||
434 | |433 |00:40:38 ~-~-> 00:40:43 |opening range. Gap high. So long story short, that was a long way. And walk | ||
435 | |434 |00:40:43 ~-~-> 00:40:47 |around the barn. I'm looking for these levels to be cleared out this morning. | ||
436 | |435 |00:40:47 ~-~-> 00:40:50 |And that would be my, that would be my trade for, for Caleb, I would tell him, | ||
437 | |436 |00:40:51 ~-~-> 00:40:55 |focus on that. Use any fair value gap. Use the first presented fair value gap. | ||
438 | |437 |00:40:56 ~-~-> 00:41:01 |Try to frame a basis on that being your, your your model for the morning, and if | ||
439 | |438 |00:41:01 ~-~-> 00:41:05 |it wins, you be done with it. If you lose, you don't do it again. You sit | ||
440 | |439 |00:41:05 ~-~-> 00:41:10 |still. Is that hard? Is it ambiguous? Is that wishy washy? No, that's very, very | ||
441 | |440 |00:41:10 ~-~-> 00:41:15 |specific things so, but I've showed you how to build the context around the idea | ||
442 | |441 |00:41:15 ~-~-> 00:41:19 |and just simply looking for a short term high here for buy side, that's not | ||
443 | |442 |00:41:19 ~-~-> 00:41:24 |enough. Where are the previous session? Highs and lows. And that's here, okay? | ||
444 | |443 |00:41:24 ~-~-> 00:41:28 |And we framed it like that. I'll let you take a screenshot. That's it, so you can | ||
445 | |444 |00:41:28 ~-~-> 00:41:32 |have it for your notes. Caleb, hold on one second. There you go. All right, and | ||
446 | |445 |00:41:32 ~-~-> 00:41:36 |that's going to be it for this morning. I apologize my personal schedule, like I | ||
447 | |446 |00:41:36 ~-~-> 00:41:40 |have a lot of things I get done, weather changing and the elections coming up, so | ||
448 | |447 |00:41:40 ~-~-> 00:41:43 |I just want to make sure I have all this stuff done, and then I'll be content to | ||
449 | |448 |00:41:44 ~-~-> 00:41:48 |hang out with you guys more next week. You know, as we finish our 2024 | ||
450 | |449 |00:41:48 ~-~-> 00:41:52 |mentorship, have a good day. Be safe, and so I'll talk to you tomorrow. Lord | ||
451 | |450 |00:41:52 ~-~-> 00:41:52 |willing. You. |