Wiki source code of ICT YT - 2024-10-15 - ICT 2024 Mentorship - Lecture 42
Show last authors
author | version | line-number | content |
---|---|---|---|
1 | (% class="hover min" %) | ||
2 | |1 |00:02:00 ~-~-> 00:02:17 |ICT: Well, good morning, folks. How are you? If you would all be so kind if | ||
3 | |2 |00:02:17 ~-~-> 00:02:22 |you're following me on Twitter or x, if you could just give me a heads up. Give | ||
4 | |3 |00:02:22 ~-~-> 00:02:24 |me a five by five. Let me know you guys can hear me. I | ||
5 | |4 |00:02:47 ~-~-> 00:02:53 |Awesome. Thank you so much, folks. All right, we're going to do a little bit of | ||
6 | |5 |00:02:53 ~-~-> 00:02:59 |a teaching this morning that I think will serve you well. This is something | ||
7 | |6 |00:02:59 ~-~-> 00:03:04 |that is applicable to forex and indices. So it's not something that's just | ||
8 | |7 |00:03:04 ~-~-> 00:03:10 |limited to stock index futures. So I want to take you out to a daily chart | ||
9 | |8 |00:03:10 ~-~-> 00:03:11 |real quick. | ||
10 | |9 |00:03:20 ~-~-> 00:03:27 |Sorry about that. I did not put my my pups away. So if you bear with me one | ||
11 | |10 |00:03:27 ~-~-> 00:03:27 |second, | ||
12 | |11 |00:03:36 ~-~-> 00:03:40 |this guy's so unprofessional. Look at this. He does this for free. He does | ||
13 | |12 |00:03:40 ~-~-> 00:03:47 |this for free, and he irritates us with all this extra stuff, all right. So look | ||
14 | |13 |00:03:47 ~-~-> 00:03:53 |at this candlestick right here on July 17, 2024 that's the city. That's what | ||
15 | |14 |00:03:53 ~-~-> 00:04:00 |has been our objective since, uh, well, since the mentorship in 2024 started | ||
16 | |15 |00:04:00 ~-~-> 00:04:07 |that would likely draw us up into this in here. So if you look at the gradient | ||
17 | |16 |00:04:07 ~-~-> 00:04:12 |levels, we have this candlestick low, that's the high. This candlesticks high, | ||
18 | |17 |00:04:12 ~-~-> 00:04:15 |that's the low of this city. Southside, imbalanced by side and efficiency. | ||
19 | |18 |00:04:17 ~-~-> 00:04:25 |Midpoint is 20,005 68 upper quadrant is 20,006 46, and three quarters. And we've | ||
20 | |19 |00:04:25 ~-~-> 00:04:30 |seen that traded to yesterday, and it looks as if it hit it today as well. So | ||
21 | |20 |00:04:31 ~-~-> 00:04:38 |when we're trading inside of areas where it may consolidate, even though you have | ||
22 | |21 |00:04:38 ~-~-> 00:04:44 |a bullish bias, even though I have a bullish bias. It's important you look at | ||
23 | |22 |00:04:44 ~-~-> 00:04:49 |what overnight did, okay and with these levels here, just note that the dotted | ||
24 | |23 |00:04:49 ~-~-> 00:04:55 |heavy dashed, I'm sorry, heavy dotted lines are respective to this individual | ||
25 | |24 |00:04:55 ~-~-> 00:05:00 |single down, closed candle on the daily chart, there's going to be smaller. Four | ||
26 | |25 |00:05:00 ~-~-> 00:05:03 |little levels, which I'll put on the chart, and you'll see how I'm putting | ||
27 | |26 |00:05:03 ~-~-> 00:05:07 |them on in a moment. Don't get them confused with the dotted lines. Okay, so | ||
28 | |27 |00:05:07 ~-~-> 00:05:12 |the lower black one here is this candle sticks daily high on the 18th of July. | ||
29 | |28 |00:05:13 ~-~-> 00:05:18 |This candle sticks low. That's a black dotted line. Then you have the upper | ||
30 | |29 |00:05:18 ~-~-> 00:05:23 |quadrant. Blue midpoint is kind of like a purple hue, and the lower quadrant is | ||
31 | |30 |00:05:23 ~-~-> 00:05:28 |a blue. Okay, so just be mindful that. And we're going to drop back down into a | ||
32 | |31 |00:05:28 ~-~-> 00:05:34 |one minute chart. You can see the reaction off of that upper quadrant | ||
33 | |32 |00:05:34 ~-~-> 00:05:38 |level. So far right here. That's what this is. And if you scroll down a little | ||
34 | |33 |00:05:38 ~-~-> 00:05:48 |bit, you'll see the black one I'm up here, see that. So we have where we are | ||
35 | |34 |00:05:48 ~-~-> 00:05:54 |right now to this level, on the upside, if everything remains bullish, this is | ||
36 | |35 |00:05:54 ~-~-> 00:05:59 |the range that's between market price and where it would need to trade to. I | ||
37 | |36 |00:05:59 ~-~-> 00:06:05 |have added because I want my son to understand daily highs and lows. There | ||
38 | |37 |00:06:05 ~-~-> 00:06:11 |is the opening bell here. Let me put on rigor trading hours. You can see the | ||
39 | |38 |00:06:11 ~-~-> 00:06:18 |gap. It's rather anemic. So we're not terribly excited about that. So far this | ||
40 | |39 |00:06:18 ~-~-> 00:06:27 |morning, we have some sell side down in here. Be mindful that scalp, honey. I | ||
41 | |40 |00:06:27 ~-~-> 00:06:34 |can't hold you right now, not right now. Go play. So just be mindful this right | ||
42 | |41 |00:06:34 ~-~-> 00:06:40 |here. Okay, it's a nice pool of liquidity there. It may be impactful. | ||
43 | |42 |00:06:42 ~-~-> 00:06:43 |This morning's trading. I | ||
44 | |43 |00:07:00 ~-~-> 00:07:19 |I just want to annotate the opening range gap i | ||
45 | |44 |00:07:25 ~-~-> 00:07:32 |All right. So that is the range, if you will. So if we look at the the days | ||
46 | |45 |00:07:32 ~-~-> 00:07:37 |where it can consolidate, okay, and I'll tell you what that means in a moment, in | ||
47 | |46 |00:07:37 ~-~-> 00:07:45 |comparison to a data, it's trending. It if we are in a day where you're looking | ||
48 | |47 |00:07:45 ~-~-> 00:07:48 |at the market on a daily chart and you're trying to determine if it's | ||
49 | |48 |00:07:48 ~-~-> 00:07:51 |bullish or bearish, or if you have already maintained a bullish or bearish | ||
50 | |49 |00:07:52 ~-~-> 00:07:56 |bias, and you're you're waiting for the next leg and price higher or lower, | ||
51 | |50 |00:07:56 ~-~-> 00:08:01 |respected to your bias, we'll say that we're sticking with the bias that's been | ||
52 | |51 |00:08:01 ~-~-> 00:08:07 |given us since the beginning in August of this this year, when I started the | ||
53 | |52 |00:08:07 ~-~-> 00:08:10 |2024 mentorship on YouTube, I stated the indices would be bullish. They're going | ||
54 | |53 |00:08:10 ~-~-> 00:08:14 |to keep pumping them up until we get into the election. Because the | ||
55 | |54 |00:08:14 ~-~-> 00:08:21 |perspective is the neophytes or the the street money or the unlearned or non | ||
56 | |55 |00:08:21 ~-~-> 00:08:27 |investors, they see the stock market as a measurement of the economy, and it's | ||
57 | |56 |00:08:27 ~-~-> 00:08:32 |not true, but that's that's the mechanism that they use during | ||
58 | |57 |00:08:32 ~-~-> 00:08:36 |presidential election years. So if you haven't never wrote that down in your | ||
59 | |58 |00:08:36 ~-~-> 00:08:41 |journal, just make sure you have that there. So with everything being bullish. | ||
60 | |59 |00:08:46 ~-~-> 00:08:52 |Okay, what you want to do is, anytime when the market's bullish and you have a | ||
61 | |60 |00:08:53 ~-~-> 00:08:57 |consolidation range where we'll have it like this, see what's still in here, | ||
62 | |61 |00:08:59 ~-~-> 00:09:03 |just staying in a rather large range in here. You want to define it to time. | ||
63 | |62 |00:09:04 ~-~-> 00:09:09 |Strip it down to time. Yep, that's that scalp. Look in our water. This is so | ||
64 | |63 |00:09:09 ~-~-> 00:09:13 |unprofessional. Cannot believe he's forcing us to listen to this dog lapping | ||
65 | |64 |00:09:13 ~-~-> 00:09:25 |up its water. So this is midnight in New York, local time. I Hey, listen, I'm | ||
66 | |65 |00:09:25 ~-~-> 00:09:28 |giving you some leeway here, but you're really taking advantage of it. Be quiet. | ||
67 | |66 |00:09:32 ~-~-> 00:09:41 |And to 5am okay, I think I just moved over. | ||
68 | |67 |00:09:47 ~-~-> 00:09:54 |Okay, so you have midnight, New York local time, and you have 5am so these | ||
69 | |68 |00:09:54 ~-~-> 00:09:58 |are overnight hours. It's very specific times. And then what you want to do is | ||
70 | |69 |00:09:58 ~-~-> 00:10:01 |you want to get the highest, high and the lowest. Low between those two price | ||
71 | |70 |00:10:01 ~-~-> 00:10:08 |points or two time reference points. Apologize. Okay, don't count the | ||
72 | |71 |00:10:08 ~-~-> 00:10:13 |midnight candle and don't count the 5am candle. It's between those two | ||
73 | |72 |00:10:13 ~-~-> 00:10:20 |delineations in time. Okay, so what you'll do is, you can't use that | ||
74 | |73 |00:10:20 ~-~-> 00:10:26 |candlestick. So you can't otherwise it would be that that candlestick that I | ||
75 | |74 |00:10:26 ~-~-> 00:10:32 |would be anchored to, I'm not doing that. Notice that. Don't worry. I'll be | ||
76 | |75 |00:10:32 ~-~-> 00:10:36 |looking at live price action at 10 o'clock. Let the opening range | ||
77 | |76 |00:10:36 ~-~-> 00:10:42 |transpire. I don't need this price movement right here. So the midnight | ||
78 | |77 |00:10:42 ~-~-> 00:10:48 |candlestick, and then after that, so 1201, to 459, what's the highest high | ||
79 | |78 |00:10:48 ~-~-> 00:10:53 |and the lowest low? Well, that's right here. That's the high and that's the | ||
80 | |79 |00:10:53 ~-~-> 00:10:59 |low. Once you have that information, what you can do is you grade that price | ||
81 | |80 |00:10:59 ~-~-> 00:11:07 |swing. You it, meaning you take your fib, just simply take it, put on the | ||
82 | |81 |00:11:07 ~-~-> 00:11:15 |high, that's not the high, drop it on the highest candle down to the lowest, | ||
83 | |82 |00:11:15 ~-~-> 00:11:21 |and you're gonna be showing the quadrant levels. That means your fib will look | ||
84 | |83 |00:11:21 ~-~-> 00:11:30 |like this. You'll have a 0.25 level 0.75 level, 0.5 level, your one level and | ||
85 | |84 |00:11:30 ~-~-> 00:11:33 |zero level. That's the high and the low the range you're defining, that's | ||
86 | |85 |00:11:33 ~-~-> 00:11:37 |equilibrium, which is halfway, and then the upper and lower quadrant | ||
87 | |86 |00:11:37 ~-~-> 00:11:42 |respectively, depend upon which direction you draw the FIB from okay? So | ||
88 | |87 |00:11:43 ~-~-> 00:11:47 |as you saw that I draw, I drew rather the FIB from the highest to the lowest | ||
89 | |88 |00:11:47 ~-~-> 00:11:57 |in that defined range between 12 by one and 459 this is your overnight range. So | ||
90 | |89 |00:11:57 ~-~-> 00:12:02 |what this is actually doing is, is this? This is going to allow you to predict, | ||
91 | |90 |00:12:02 ~-~-> 00:12:06 |yes, predict Virginia. You're going to be predicting some things with this | ||
92 | |91 |00:12:06 ~-~-> 00:12:11 |information. Okay, so because you're in a range, you don't use this concept when | ||
93 | |92 |00:12:11 ~-~-> 00:12:16 |the market is trending, okay, so when the market is trending, it's been like | ||
94 | |93 |00:12:16 ~-~-> 00:12:20 |running in one direction overnight. This is not what this is. It's part of a | ||
95 | |94 |00:12:20 ~-~-> 00:12:26 |larger range. So if it's been like just tearing off, taken off from Asia, and | ||
96 | |95 |00:12:26 ~-~-> 00:12:30 |just keeps on going one direction, higher or lower, you do not use this for | ||
97 | |96 |00:12:30 ~-~-> 00:12:35 |that. But when you're when you're part of a larger consolidation, which is what | ||
98 | |97 |00:12:35 ~-~-> 00:12:36 |you're seeing here, I | ||
99 | |98 |00:12:43 ~-~-> 00:12:47 |are all in here. We do not take out the high here, and we do not take out the | ||
100 | |99 |00:12:47 ~-~-> 00:12:52 |low here. So we're consolidating leading up to the beginning of pre market | ||
101 | |100 |00:12:52 ~-~-> 00:12:58 |session for Tuesday's trading, which is today, today's right now. So what I did | ||
102 | |101 |00:12:58 ~-~-> 00:13:03 |is I've defined this overnight range, and we have graded that. Okay, now I'm | ||
103 | |102 |00:13:03 ~-~-> 00:13:09 |going to change the the the levels here from a.to a dash, so that way there's a | ||
104 | |103 |00:13:09 ~-~-> 00:13:13 |distinction between, remember, I was telling you on the daily chart those | ||
105 | |104 |00:13:13 ~-~-> 00:13:20 |dotted levels, that is going to be the quadrants inside that daily Sibi or sell | ||
106 | |105 |00:13:20 ~-~-> 00:13:25 |sign, in bounds by signing efficiency. Contrast that with now the heavy dash | ||
107 | |106 |00:13:25 ~-~-> 00:13:30 |line, which is defining the overnight range. When you have this information, | ||
108 | |107 |00:13:30 ~-~-> 00:13:37 |it'll allow you to predict the general location in close proximity where my PD | ||
109 | |108 |00:13:37 ~-~-> 00:13:41 |arrays are going to form. So that way you're not surprised. They don't. They | ||
110 | |109 |00:13:41 ~-~-> 00:13:48 |don't just jump out at at you unexpectedly. Let's put it that way. So | ||
111 | |110 |00:13:48 ~-~-> 00:13:52 |a lot of questions I've gotten over the years from my private mentorship | ||
112 | |111 |00:13:52 ~-~-> 00:13:55 |students, a lot of the questions I get from YouTube viewers or whatever, | ||
113 | |112 |00:13:57 ~-~-> 00:14:01 |emails, messages now they go and they text message me. Please don't text | ||
114 | |113 |00:14:01 ~-~-> 00:14:04 |message me, because I'll block you. I won't answer your question. I'll just | ||
115 | |114 |00:14:04 ~-~-> 00:14:11 |block your phone number. But the the idea is, I want to get an eye an idea on | ||
116 | |115 |00:14:11 ~-~-> 00:14:20 |how to communicate to students, how they can predict in the general proximity, in | ||
117 | |116 |00:14:20 ~-~-> 00:14:26 |terms of the price. Now the time aspect is, is always constant. You know the | ||
118 | |117 |00:14:26 ~-~-> 00:14:33 |times, they're macros, they're the opening session. They have the 830 algo. | ||
119 | |118 |00:14:33 ~-~-> 00:14:38 |That's when 830 this starts spooling. Price runs for liquidity. You saw me do | ||
120 | |119 |00:14:38 ~-~-> 00:14:41 |that yesterday, and I'll go over that trade, by the way, before we close | ||
121 | |120 |00:14:41 ~-~-> 00:14:45 |today, I will be done at 1030 so we won't be having a very long session | ||
122 | |121 |00:14:45 ~-~-> 00:14:51 |today. I'm trying to keep them small, concise and to the point. But if you | ||
123 | |122 |00:14:51 ~-~-> 00:15:01 |look at the levels and again, this is the lower quadrant, middle and. In upper | ||
124 | |123 |00:15:01 ~-~-> 00:15:07 |quadrant, you see that of the overnight range. Let me zoom back out a little bit | ||
125 | |124 |00:15:07 ~-~-> 00:15:12 |so you can see the reference once again. Here's the high of it, the upper | ||
126 | |125 |00:15:12 ~-~-> 00:15:18 |quadrant, the midpoint, lower quadrant and the low. So this is the low | ||
127 | |126 |00:15:18 ~-~-> 00:15:23 |overnight range, high the overnight range. Very simple, not complicated, is | ||
128 | |127 |00:15:23 ~-~-> 00:15:28 |it? I give you very specific times to look at. I told you why we're using | ||
129 | |128 |00:15:28 ~-~-> 00:15:31 |this. Why are we using this? Because it's part of a larger consolidation. | ||
130 | |129 |00:15:31 ~-~-> 00:15:36 |It's not an extension run where, since Asia started last night, it didn't just | ||
131 | |130 |00:15:36 ~-~-> 00:15:41 |start running in one direction. It's been it's been maintained inside of a | ||
132 | |131 |00:15:41 ~-~-> 00:15:45 |larger range. So I already know some of you that are brand new are going to look | ||
133 | |132 |00:15:45 ~-~-> 00:15:51 |at this and be subjective and say, Well, you know, how can I not see this as a | ||
134 | |133 |00:15:51 ~-~-> 00:15:54 |trend? Or, how can I not see this as a reversal? Because you're trying to take | ||
135 | |134 |00:15:54 ~-~-> 00:15:58 |everything that either heard somebody else as a student mention, or maybe | ||
136 | |135 |00:15:58 ~-~-> 00:16:02 |you've watched a few of my videos, and you're trying to form fit and take | ||
137 | |136 |00:16:03 ~-~-> 00:16:07 |certain aspects of what you're unaware of, and you're trying to cram in every | ||
138 | |137 |00:16:07 ~-~-> 00:16:12 |lesson for now, just understand that this is a concept that I use when the | ||
139 | |138 |00:16:12 ~-~-> 00:16:17 |market is being held in a range it's not being permitted to extend further. | ||
140 | |139 |00:16:17 ~-~-> 00:16:22 |Overnight, it's staying in yesterday's predetermined range. So inside of the | ||
141 | |140 |00:16:22 ~-~-> 00:16:27 |daily range of yesterday, we haven't made any new significant high or low. So | ||
142 | |141 |00:16:27 ~-~-> 00:16:32 |because of that, I elect to use this concept. I'll look at overnight range | ||
143 | |142 |00:16:32 ~-~-> 00:16:41 |defined by 12, 01, to 459, Eastern Time. That means your time always has to be | ||
144 | |143 |00:16:41 ~-~-> 00:16:44 |set to this. Okay? If you're looking at trading view and your time is set to | ||
145 | |144 |00:16:44 ~-~-> 00:16:51 |anything other than that, you're doing it wrong period. Okay, so what you can | ||
146 | |145 |00:16:51 ~-~-> 00:16:56 |do with this now is think we've been bullish. I've not been calling a crash. | ||
147 | |146 |00:16:56 ~-~-> 00:17:00 |I've not been calling it lower. We've been focusing on primarily the higher | ||
148 | |147 |00:17:00 ~-~-> 00:17:06 |Time Frame, macro perspective, not macro in terms of time. The perspective on the | ||
149 | |148 |00:17:06 ~-~-> 00:17:10 |higher time frames is it's bullish because it's an election year, because | ||
150 | |149 |00:17:10 ~-~-> 00:17:13 |it's likely to continue going higher. Where can it trade to? Well, it can | ||
151 | |150 |00:17:13 ~-~-> 00:17:22 |trade into that larger city on the daily chart. So with these levels here, these | ||
152 | |151 |00:17:22 ~-~-> 00:17:27 |dashed lines that's on the overnight range, these smaller, little dotted | ||
153 | |152 |00:17:27 ~-~-> 00:17:33 |lines here, and I think a little bit more you'll see another one right here. | ||
154 | |153 |00:17:33 ~-~-> 00:17:37 |So here's the upper quadrant to the daily city. Here's the midpoint of that. | ||
155 | |154 |00:17:38 ~-~-> 00:17:41 |Look what happened today when we went down and made the low of the overnight | ||
156 | |155 |00:17:41 ~-~-> 00:17:46 |range, going into 430 it turned around in there. And look at that right there. | ||
157 | |156 |00:17:46 ~-~-> 00:17:53 |At 508, what's happening there? Time wise, what's occurring right there at | ||
158 | |157 |00:17:53 ~-~-> 00:18:01 |that candlesticks low. It's trading to the consequent approachment of the daily | ||
159 | |158 |00:18:01 ~-~-> 00:18:07 |city, okay, so just for, just for a moment, because I want you to understand | ||
160 | |159 |00:18:07 ~-~-> 00:18:11 |what I'm pointing to here, what this level is. We're going to go back to the | ||
161 | |160 |00:18:11 ~-~-> 00:18:17 |daily chart. Just remember that that price, that low, there is 20,005 67.75, | ||
162 | |161 |00:18:19 ~-~-> 00:18:23 |okay, right there. We're gonna jump right back up to a daily chart, because | ||
163 | |162 |00:18:23 ~-~-> 00:18:26 |I want you to see, I want you to see what I'm pointing to and what I'm | ||
164 | |163 |00:18:26 ~-~-> 00:18:29 |referencing. Because I'm sure by going back and forth in the time frames, | ||
165 | |164 |00:18:30 ~-~-> 00:18:41 |you're losing your focus. That's this level right here, 20,005 68, even, it's | ||
166 | |165 |00:18:41 ~-~-> 00:18:46 |defining that candlesticks low, that candlesticks high, halfway. That's what | ||
167 | |166 |00:18:46 ~-~-> 00:18:50 |that is. Okay? So that's consequent encroachment, because it's a | ||
168 | |167 |00:18:50 ~-~-> 00:18:55 |inefficiency or gap. If it was an order block, it would be mean threshold, the | ||
169 | |168 |00:18:55 ~-~-> 00:18:59 |midpoint of that price level of this individual candlestick. What I'm | ||
170 | |169 |00:18:59 ~-~-> 00:19:07 |highlighting is essentially the middle of this. That right there. And usually | ||
171 | |170 |00:19:07 ~-~-> 00:19:10 |you would see me highlight it like this. It'd be something with a red hue or | ||
172 | |171 |00:19:10 ~-~-> 00:19:14 |whatever, but I'm focusing your attention right there on that midpoint. | ||
173 | |172 |00:19:18 ~-~-> 00:19:20 |Now let's go back down to the one minute chart | ||
174 | |173 |00:19:27 ~-~-> 00:19:38 |and right there on that, candlesticks, low, 20,005, 67.75 it went one tick, one | ||
175 | |174 |00:19:38 ~-~-> 00:19:43 |tick below that daily SIB consequent encroachment to so to get that price | ||
176 | |175 |00:19:43 ~-~-> 00:19:47 |perfectly, if you're a smart money trader, it has to do what it has to | ||
177 | |176 |00:19:47 ~-~-> 00:19:51 |trade one tick below it, because you just can't create the low at 20,005 68, | ||
178 | |177 |00:19:51 ~-~-> 00:19:55 |even, which is consequence encroachment that would be the algorithmic delivery | ||
179 | |178 |00:19:55 ~-~-> 00:20:00 |if it was perfect, but not affording any smart money to buy it because you. To | ||
180 | |179 |00:20:00 ~-~-> 00:20:05 |buy it, this has to be at least one tick below that price. Can you follow what | ||
181 | |180 |00:20:05 ~-~-> 00:20:10 |I'm saying? So if we're looking for longs and it trades down to a specific | ||
182 | |181 |00:20:10 ~-~-> 00:20:14 |price level, it's reasonable to anticipate it to go one tick below, for | ||
183 | |182 |00:20:14 ~-~-> 00:20:19 |perfection, for perfection, and you're seeing that happen here at a time. | ||
184 | |183 |00:20:20 ~-~-> 00:20:32 |Listen, now. Listen 450, to 5:10am, that's Asia's close. We're seeing a | ||
185 | |184 |00:20:32 ~-~-> 00:20:40 |shift from the Asian market to European, London crossover into New York. So we're | ||
186 | |185 |00:20:40 ~-~-> 00:20:44 |entering what pre market session for New York session. But we still have Europe. | ||
187 | |186 |00:20:44 ~-~-> 00:20:50 |We still have London, still active until around 11 o'clock, 1030 something like | ||
188 | |187 |00:20:50 ~-~-> 00:20:56 |that. So at that moment, we can see algorithmic price delivery right to the | ||
189 | |188 |00:20:56 ~-~-> 00:21:02 |tick, just like that. And it turns at a higher Time Frame level that you would | ||
190 | |189 |00:21:02 ~-~-> 00:21:08 |have never paid any attention to. Now, when what do we we're bullish. So if | ||
191 | |190 |00:21:08 ~-~-> 00:21:12 |we're bullish on the marketplace, we're expecting price to react off of these | ||
192 | |191 |00:21:12 ~-~-> 00:21:16 |levels and cause displacement to the upside. That means we want to see price | ||
193 | |192 |00:21:16 ~-~-> 00:21:21 |start to run higher from it. We're not trying to short. We're trying to look | ||
194 | |193 |00:21:21 ~-~-> 00:21:26 |for displacements moving away from them. It's an energetic price run that says, | ||
195 | |194 |00:21:26 ~-~-> 00:21:31 |Look at me. Pay attention to me. You see that happening here? And what is it | ||
196 | |195 |00:21:31 ~-~-> 00:21:36 |doing? I'm going to take this 5am line off, so just be mindful. Just I'll give | ||
197 | |196 |00:21:36 ~-~-> 00:21:39 |you one chance to take a screenshot of it that way for your notes. Caleb, | ||
198 | |197 |00:21:39 ~-~-> 00:21:44 |everyone else you should be doing this in your own charts. He doesn't have the | ||
199 | |198 |00:21:44 ~-~-> 00:21:48 |experience navigating through as much as some of my older students. But if you're | ||
200 | |199 |00:21:48 ~-~-> 00:21:55 |going to be lazy, you know, I can't stop you, but that's what the opening I'm | ||
201 | |200 |00:21:55 ~-~-> 00:22:00 |sorry, the overnight range is from high to low, and the gradings, okay, G, R, A, | ||
202 | |201 |00:22:00 ~-~-> 00:22:08 |D, I N, G, s, gradings. That's what this is. So we see this happen here, and it | ||
203 | |202 |00:22:08 ~-~-> 00:22:11 |starts to school higher. What is it doing? It's taking out the relative | ||
204 | |203 |00:22:11 ~-~-> 00:22:15 |equal highs right here, which are qualified. Why? Because this high is | ||
205 | |204 |00:22:15 ~-~-> 00:22:19 |slightly lower than that one. So what's going to be resting above that short | ||
206 | |205 |00:22:19 ~-~-> 00:22:25 |term? What minor buy side liquidity. So the market rallies up above that, trades | ||
207 | |206 |00:22:25 ~-~-> 00:22:29 |into this inefficiency there, and then comes right back down into in this price | ||
208 | |207 |00:22:29 ~-~-> 00:22:35 |leg. In this price leg, right there, it creates a fair value gap. Where is this | ||
209 | |208 |00:22:35 ~-~-> 00:22:41 |fair value gap in proximity to, I don't know, this lat, this dashed line. Is it | ||
210 | |209 |00:22:41 ~-~-> 00:22:50 |above it, or is it below it? It's below it. So in reference to that price and | ||
211 | |210 |00:22:51 ~-~-> 00:23:01 |time, what time is this? What time is it right in here, 550, to what? 610, macro, | ||
212 | |211 |00:23:02 ~-~-> 00:23:07 |holy, holy smokes. This is unbelievable, right? Because now you're starting gears | ||
213 | |212 |00:23:07 ~-~-> 00:23:10 |are turning, aren't they? Oh, my goodness. Oh, my goodness. You better | ||
214 | |213 |00:23:10 ~-~-> 00:23:13 |start making some more videos, because you're literally making me smile every | ||
215 | |214 |00:23:13 ~-~-> 00:23:19 |single day. I'm a fraud. Look. I see these expose themselves. Come on. Make | ||
216 | |215 |00:23:19 ~-~-> 00:23:25 |some more videos. Come on. Come on. Below that quadrant. Okay, below that | ||
217 | |216 |00:23:25 ~-~-> 00:23:32 |quadrant. When you're bullish, if a PDA forms, it is in a discount. It's also in | ||
218 | |217 |00:23:32 ~-~-> 00:23:37 |close proximity to it. So that means we're expecting this to deliver, what a | ||
219 | |218 |00:23:37 ~-~-> 00:23:43 |read, delivery in price, which we see here, and then once more, here. What | ||
220 | |219 |00:23:43 ~-~-> 00:23:50 |time is that candlestick forming? 55 minutes after 5am that's the 550, to | ||
221 | |220 |00:23:50 ~-~-> 00:23:57 |610, macro, then the market. That's what it delivers, price higher. And what does | ||
222 | |221 |00:23:57 ~-~-> 00:24:03 |it run for? Equilibrium of the overnight range. That's this dashed line here. | ||
223 | |222 |00:24:04 ~-~-> 00:24:08 |Okay, forget all this stuff here. Forget all that for right now it's trading into | ||
224 | |223 |00:24:08 ~-~-> 00:24:14 |that. And then what does it do? It comes right back down into some random level, | ||
225 | |224 |00:24:14 ~-~-> 00:24:21 |some random Elliott Wave, white golf wannabe stuff. Okay, it trades right | ||
226 | |225 |00:24:21 ~-~-> 00:24:25 |back down into the lower quadrant once more. And does it stop there? Absolutely | ||
227 | |226 |00:24:25 ~-~-> 00:24:30 |it does not. Trades down into your fair value. Get right there. So that makes | ||
228 | |227 |00:24:30 ~-~-> 00:24:35 |this what reclaimed bullish fair value got. And then what does the market do? | ||
229 | |228 |00:24:36 ~-~-> 00:24:41 |Completely random, completely unexpected. It price runs from there all | ||
230 | |229 |00:24:41 ~-~-> 00:24:46 |the way up past the minor buy side here, above this buy side, and trades right to | ||
231 | |230 |00:24:46 ~-~-> 00:24:51 |the upper quadrant of the overnight range. Now, what do you think's above | ||
232 | |231 |00:24:51 ~-~-> 00:24:54 |that overnight range? Look how smooth that is. That's that's probably | ||
233 | |232 |00:24:54 ~-~-> 00:24:58 |something significant. What will be resting above that? Oh, I don't know. | ||
234 | |233 |00:24:58 ~-~-> 00:25:02 |Probably some buy stops. I. Some money that would have been riding this short | ||
235 | |234 |00:25:02 ~-~-> 00:25:06 |hoping it's going to keep going down. And the market runs to that level here. | ||
236 | |235 |00:25:06 ~-~-> 00:25:10 |Upper quadrant retraces back down into what, oh my goodness. Look at this | ||
237 | |236 |00:25:10 ~-~-> 00:25:14 |Fairbank guy. How do you pick the right fair value guests all the time? ICT, why | ||
238 | |237 |00:25:14 ~-~-> 00:25:17 |do you keep picking them? You must be recording on a dozen screens, because | ||
239 | |238 |00:25:17 ~-~-> 00:25:20 |you have a dozen screens, and you're recording all of them, and you're | ||
240 | |239 |00:25:20 ~-~-> 00:25:23 |looking for the one that works, then you're going to share that one. Do you | ||
241 | |240 |00:25:23 ~-~-> 00:25:27 |have any idea how hard that is to juggle all that? You guys give me too much | ||
242 | |241 |00:25:27 ~-~-> 00:25:30 |credit. You guys give me way too much credit. All I have to do is the right | ||
243 | |242 |00:25:30 ~-~-> 00:25:34 |stuff. What I'm teaching you right here, this is the right stuff. Okay. NASA | ||
244 | |243 |00:25:34 ~-~-> 00:25:40 |follows my logic. Okay. We do the right stuff. Okay. So again, look at the | ||
245 | |244 |00:25:40 ~-~-> 00:25:46 |criteria. Now look at the criteria here. Is equilibrium. Okay, just so happens | ||
246 | |245 |00:25:46 ~-~-> 00:25:50 |there's a short term load there. What would be there? Sell side, liquidity. | ||
247 | |246 |00:25:50 ~-~-> 00:25:53 |Why would that be there? Because they start to run a little bit here, and | ||
248 | |247 |00:25:53 ~-~-> 00:25:58 |they're going to chase it. Who longs Street Money? Uninformed people, YouTube | ||
249 | |248 |00:25:58 ~-~-> 00:26:01 |influencers with affiliate links for their stuff, because they don't really | ||
250 | |249 |00:26:01 ~-~-> 00:26:05 |trade, but they want to make videos about make videos about me. Keep making | ||
251 | |250 |00:26:05 ~-~-> 00:26:08 |them, baby. Keep making them because you're bringing them right here, and | ||
252 | |251 |00:26:08 ~-~-> 00:26:11 |they're learning how to do it for free. So below that sell side liquidity, | ||
253 | |252 |00:26:11 ~-~-> 00:26:16 |there's your equilibrium price point of the night over night range. So what's | ||
254 | |253 |00:26:16 ~-~-> 00:26:21 |below that in close proximity? Oh, it's just this. This random fair value got | ||
255 | |254 |00:26:21 ~-~-> 00:26:25 |right there. One more bullish. And is it below your equilibrium of the overnight | ||
256 | |255 |00:26:25 ~-~-> 00:26:30 |range? Absolutely. So what is it? It's discount to the young man to put YouTube | ||
257 | |256 |00:26:30 ~-~-> 00:26:33 |video there. You don't need to do anything at a premium and discount. I | ||
258 | |257 |00:26:33 ~-~-> 00:26:37 |don't do anything at premium discount. It's nonsense. You're clueless. You're | ||
259 | |258 |00:26:37 ~-~-> 00:26:41 |clueless. Son, listen, you need to sit down and take notes, because you're not | ||
260 | |259 |00:26:41 ~-~-> 00:26:44 |learning anything by experimenting without the stuff I've taught, you're | ||
261 | |260 |00:26:44 ~-~-> 00:26:48 |gonna be doing it randomly. You're gonna lose money, and you're gonna assume that | ||
262 | |261 |00:26:48 ~-~-> 00:26:53 |this stuff doesn't work when it's perfect. Okay, Patek, they refer to me | ||
263 | |262 |00:26:53 ~-~-> 00:26:57 |for their precision. They come here. They come here for the precision, for | ||
264 | |263 |00:26:57 ~-~-> 00:27:00 |their watchmaking, because you can set your watch to what I'm doing, the | ||
265 | |264 |00:27:01 ~-~-> 00:27:06 |market's going to deliver just like that, just like that. So the market | ||
266 | |265 |00:27:06 ~-~-> 00:27:09 |comes back down into a fair value gap that is in close proximity to the | ||
267 | |266 |00:27:09 ~-~-> 00:27:13 |equilibrium price point of the overnight range that is clearly defined. It is not | ||
268 | |267 |00:27:13 ~-~-> 00:27:17 |complicated. It is not complex. If you don't know what time it is on your | ||
269 | |268 |00:27:17 ~-~-> 00:27:20 |charts, then you're a fucking idiot. You have new business listening to me or | ||
270 | |269 |00:27:20 ~-~-> 00:27:23 |anyone else, you shouldn't be trading. If you think that's complex, that's | ||
271 | |270 |00:27:23 ~-~-> 00:27:27 |complicated, if you think this is me complicating anything you failed in | ||
272 | |271 |00:27:27 ~-~-> 00:27:31 |elementary school, guaranteed they pushed you through school. There's no | ||
273 | |272 |00:27:31 ~-~-> 00:27:36 |way. There's no way you deserve the graduate degree or your diploma if | ||
274 | |273 |00:27:36 ~-~-> 00:27:39 |you're if you're still carrying one, if you can't follow up the show here today, | ||
275 | |274 |00:27:40 ~-~-> 00:27:44 |very specific price levels. If you're bullish, the PD arrays will form at | ||
276 | |275 |00:27:44 ~-~-> 00:27:50 |them, but below them. Oh, so we're on a discount. That means there, if there | ||
277 | |276 |00:27:50 ~-~-> 00:27:55 |really is this elusive, hard to believe exists algorithm, then there has to be | ||
278 | |277 |00:27:55 ~-~-> 00:28:00 |logic that repeats over and over and over and over again around the things | ||
279 | |278 |00:28:00 ~-~-> 00:28:08 |I've communicated to you what PD arrays around time, time it has to be the time | ||
280 | |279 |00:28:08 ~-~-> 00:28:12 |for the market to move. Otherwise it isn't going to move. It'll stay stagnant | ||
281 | |280 |00:28:12 ~-~-> 00:28:17 |or retrace against you. Period. Now, if it's being held there, that means | ||
282 | |281 |00:28:17 ~-~-> 00:28:21 |there's manual intervention. That means they're holding it for something later | ||
283 | |282 |00:28:21 ~-~-> 00:28:27 |in the day or the next trading day, that part you're gonna get burned by I get | ||
284 | |283 |00:28:27 ~-~-> 00:28:31 |burned by it. It's nothing you can do about that, because if they want to get | ||
285 | |284 |00:28:31 ~-~-> 00:28:35 |their hand in the cookie jar, you can't stop them, period. That's why you have | ||
286 | |285 |00:28:35 ~-~-> 00:28:38 |to have a stop loss. That's why you don't over leverage. So what does it do? | ||
287 | |286 |00:28:38 ~-~-> 00:28:43 |It drops down into some random fair value gap right here, and it's half of | ||
288 | |287 |00:28:43 ~-~-> 00:28:47 |the move that you expect to see deliver, which is the high of the overnight range | ||
289 | |288 |00:28:48 ~-~-> 00:28:52 |price rallies, draws back down into another fair value gap here, | ||
290 | |289 |00:28:58 ~-~-> 00:29:04 |if You were looking for a long if you were, would you be afraid to buy it in | ||
291 | |290 |00:29:04 ~-~-> 00:29:09 |here? Would you think it's too much of a premium? It's too high? Can't buy it. | ||
292 | |291 |00:29:10 ~-~-> 00:29:16 |Can't do it. No. What happens when you see price on the upper half of the | ||
293 | |292 |00:29:16 ~-~-> 00:29:23 |overnight range? You don't want to see anything come back down towards the low | ||
294 | |293 |00:29:24 ~-~-> 00:29:32 |of the overnight range. But we have to deal with what the opening bell. We have | ||
295 | |294 |00:29:32 ~-~-> 00:29:35 |to see. We have to anticipate some kind of volatility coming into the | ||
296 | |295 |00:29:35 ~-~-> 00:29:41 |marketplace. But before the opening bell, what takes place at 830 usually | ||
297 | |296 |00:29:41 ~-~-> 00:29:44 |there's news. If there's any news that's on the docket for the day, it's either | ||
298 | |297 |00:29:44 ~-~-> 00:29:48 |going to be a high impact or a medium impact news driver. But you don't need | ||
299 | |298 |00:29:48 ~-~-> 00:29:53 |that. I'm teaching you that there doesn't. There hasn't ever been a need | ||
300 | |299 |00:29:53 ~-~-> 00:29:59 |for me to have a calendar event on 838 30 is an algorithmic price delivery you. | ||
301 | |300 |00:30:00 ~-~-> 00:30:06 |The algorithm does this very thing every single day. At 830 it will spool and it | ||
302 | |301 |00:30:06 ~-~-> 00:30:10 |creates some kind of sentiment driven response in traders because they want to | ||
303 | |302 |00:30:10 ~-~-> 00:30:15 |chase it. They want to they want to believe something that's either in play | ||
304 | |303 |00:30:15 ~-~-> 00:30:20 |or maybe potentially reversing. And it gets their their appetite revved up | ||
305 | |304 |00:30:20 ~-~-> 00:30:25 |because they want to get there and start trading in another hour. Think about it. | ||
306 | |305 |00:30:25 ~-~-> 00:30:30 |It's kind of like when you watch the cheerleaders, watch the players on the | ||
307 | |306 |00:30:30 ~-~-> 00:30:34 |field or whatever, before they got on and play their game. Whatever it is they | ||
308 | |307 |00:30:34 ~-~-> 00:30:38 |do, the cheerleaders get them all riled up. Who not the football players. They | ||
309 | |308 |00:30:38 ~-~-> 00:30:43 |could care less about them. It's the it's the crowd. Well, the spectators | ||
310 | |309 |00:30:44 ~-~-> 00:30:48 |here are the speculators, and they're waiting for that opening bell. So 830 | ||
311 | |310 |00:30:48 ~-~-> 00:30:52 |there's always gonna be what there's gonna be a price run starts just like | ||
312 | |311 |00:30:52 ~-~-> 00:30:56 |that. And if you have a medium or high impact news driver at that time, at 830 | ||
313 | |312 |00:30:56 ~-~-> 00:31:01 |New York local time, then it just exasperates the likelihood that the move | ||
314 | |313 |00:31:01 ~-~-> 00:31:05 |is going to be exaggerated, and that may or may not be indicative of the | ||
315 | |314 |00:31:05 ~-~-> 00:31:10 |underlying direction of the day, or not, very minimum, the morning session. So | ||
316 | |315 |00:31:11 ~-~-> 00:31:15 |price comes back down, does it goes back down to the halfway point after leaving | ||
317 | |316 |00:31:15 ~-~-> 00:31:23 |here? No. In this area, upper quadrant, it's going to be less likely to have the | ||
318 | |317 |00:31:23 ~-~-> 00:31:29 |same degree of precision. Why? If you look at my teachings in the core content | ||
319 | |318 |00:31:29 ~-~-> 00:31:35 |of the 2016 2017 mentorship, I talked about price grading, and then I talked | ||
320 | |319 |00:31:35 ~-~-> 00:31:41 |about how in the upper quadrant there is less degree of precision, because it's | ||
321 | |320 |00:31:41 ~-~-> 00:31:46 |going to be more inclined to run and rip towards to if it's bullish, it's going | ||
322 | |321 |00:31:46 ~-~-> 00:31:50 |to just kind of leave that range and keep going, or at least clear the high | ||
323 | |322 |00:31:50 ~-~-> 00:31:54 |of that range, and that high being the overnight range, market trades back | ||
324 | |323 |00:31:54 ~-~-> 00:31:58 |down, doesn't take out that low, doesn't trade back down to the middle of the | ||
325 | |324 |00:31:58 ~-~-> 00:32:02 |overnight range, and consolidates roughly in here, and then reaching | ||
326 | |325 |00:32:02 ~-~-> 00:32:08 |again, still higher. We're in an upper quadrant of what that daily city. What's | ||
327 | |326 |00:32:08 ~-~-> 00:32:14 |above this? We have Monday's, october 14, daily high. So there's going to be | ||
328 | |327 |00:32:14 ~-~-> 00:32:18 |buy side resting above that. So if it gonna, if it's gonna go higher, it's | ||
329 | |328 |00:32:18 ~-~-> 00:32:23 |gonna want to reach into this level. If continuing, sticking with the higher | ||
330 | |329 |00:32:23 ~-~-> 00:32:27 |Time Frame election year bias it would likely draw if it's going to be a | ||
331 | |330 |00:32:27 ~-~-> 00:32:32 |perfect world, in a perfect world where there's redelivery that price right | ||
332 | |331 |00:32:32 ~-~-> 00:32:38 |there is where that daily cities high is. So to deliver back up to that price | ||
333 | |332 |00:32:38 ~-~-> 00:32:43 |level, would at least afford that old daily Sibi to be rebalanced. It doesn't | ||
334 | |333 |00:32:43 ~-~-> 00:32:46 |rebalance simply because it trades there. It needs to leave the range | ||
335 | |334 |00:32:46 ~-~-> 00:32:51 |higher or lower, respectively. Just Just going back to this level here is just | ||
336 | |335 |00:32:51 ~-~-> 00:32:55 |simply redelivery that's not rebalanced. All right. So give me a second here. | ||
337 | |336 |00:32:56 ~-~-> 00:32:59 |These little girls are getting too rambunctious, and then I'm starting to | ||
338 | |337 |00:32:59 ~-~-> 00:33:07 |distract me, so bear with me One second. Okay, this stuff is amazing for being | ||
339 | |338 |00:33:07 ~-~-> 00:33:07 |through | ||
340 | |339 |00:33:20 ~-~-> 00:33:45 |I had to steal a drink too, spring water, baby. I don't drink alcohol. I | ||
341 | |340 |00:33:45 ~-~-> 00:33:52 |get high on life, alright? So you can see how sloppy and this organ | ||
342 | |341 |00:33:53 ~-~-> 00:33:57 |disorganized It is thus far. So that's why I said we're going to wait till 10 | ||
343 | |342 |00:33:57 ~-~-> 00:34:01 |o'clock and we'll see what we get there. In regards to the next price run higher | ||
344 | |343 |00:34:01 ~-~-> 00:34:07 |or lower. But I want you to think about how you can use the overnight range | ||
345 | |344 |00:34:07 ~-~-> 00:34:14 |defined by 1201 midnight, New York, local town, and then the 5am Well, 459 | ||
346 | |345 |00:34:14 ~-~-> 00:34:20 |rather defining your chart like that and then getting the range measurements from | ||
347 | |346 |00:34:20 ~-~-> 00:34:27 |the high, the upper quadrant, the middle or equilibrium, the lower quadrant, and | ||
348 | |347 |00:34:27 ~-~-> 00:34:31 |the actual low. And then when we start and we transition, this is the this is | ||
349 | |348 |00:34:31 ~-~-> 00:34:34 |the price skipped over because I'm being distracted by my dogs. I apologize for | ||
350 | |349 |00:34:34 ~-~-> 00:34:37 |that, but yes, it's what you get when you get it for free, right? You're gonna | ||
351 | |350 |00:34:37 ~-~-> 00:34:43 |have to be a little bit more patient and not have a entitlement mindset, because | ||
352 | |351 |00:34:43 ~-~-> 00:34:46 |some of you guys are leaving comments are just a little too rude and | ||
353 | |352 |00:34:47 ~-~-> 00:34:51 |demanding, and I'm just want to remind you that I'm doing this for for free, | ||
354 | |353 |00:34:51 ~-~-> 00:34:55 |and because I like doing it, not because I'm obligated to. So at six o'clock, we | ||
355 | |354 |00:34:55 ~-~-> 00:35:01 |change over, and that's yet your pre market. So at 6am York local time to | ||
356 | |355 |00:35:01 ~-~-> 00:35:15 |listen now to 933 there. This is all pre market session. There's so much | ||
357 | |356 |00:35:15 ~-~-> 00:35:19 |opportunity inside of that range. And you never need to trade the opening | ||
358 | |357 |00:35:19 ~-~-> 00:35:22 |bell. You never need to trade the morning session. You never need to trade | ||
359 | |358 |00:35:22 ~-~-> 00:35:25 |the launch macro. You never need to trade a pm session. You never need to | ||
360 | |359 |00:35:25 ~-~-> 00:35:30 |trade the last hour. Trading. If you have a job that requires you to be at | ||
361 | |360 |00:35:30 ~-~-> 00:35:33 |work, or you run a business where you go to university, or if you're just simply | ||
362 | |361 |00:35:33 ~-~-> 00:35:38 |in a different time zone and you can afford to use this area of price action, | ||
363 | |362 |00:35:39 ~-~-> 00:35:43 |you don't need to do anything else. Man, you don't need to do anything else. | ||
364 | |363 |00:35:43 ~-~-> 00:35:48 |It's, it's ample it's it gives you plenty of opportunity, plenty of it. | ||
365 | |364 |00:35:48 ~-~-> 00:35:50 |Now, does that mean every single day you're going to find a winning trade | ||
366 | |365 |00:35:50 ~-~-> 00:35:53 |there? Absolutely not. I can't guarantee that. I can't guarantee that you're | ||
367 | |366 |00:35:53 ~-~-> 00:35:56 |going to have the prowess or the skill set they make even one winning trade, | ||
368 | |367 |00:35:56 ~-~-> 00:35:59 |because so many of my students, they watch a video, and they're in a rush to | ||
369 | |368 |00:35:59 ~-~-> 00:36:03 |try to go out there and use it right away, try to pass a combine, try to get | ||
370 | |369 |00:36:03 ~-~-> 00:36:08 |a payout, whatever you want to, kind of like defer that and study the things I'm | ||
371 | |370 |00:36:08 ~-~-> 00:36:14 |teaching you here are very, very top tier time aspects to what the algorithm | ||
372 | |371 |00:36:14 ~-~-> 00:36:22 |will refer to, and it's dependent on You understanding whether the market is in a | ||
373 | |372 |00:36:22 ~-~-> 00:36:26 |protraction, protracted state, that means it's trending. It's going in one | ||
374 | |373 |00:36:26 ~-~-> 00:36:30 |direction overnight. If it's doing that, you cannot use what I just showed you | ||
375 | |374 |00:36:30 ~-~-> 00:36:33 |here today. So what does that mean? You're going to see this actually get | ||
376 | |375 |00:36:33 ~-~-> 00:36:38 |used more times than when it's trending. So this is a kind of like a an MO in the | ||
377 | |376 |00:36:38 ~-~-> 00:36:45 |morning, where I generally will refer to what the overnight range was. I'll grade | ||
378 | |377 |00:36:45 ~-~-> 00:36:49 |that price swing, and all I have to do is determine if I'm bullish or bearish. | ||
379 | |378 |00:36:49 ~-~-> 00:36:52 |If I'm bullish, then I'm going to be looking for every one of these gradient | ||
380 | |379 |00:36:52 ~-~-> 00:36:58 |levels prior to the 6am pre market trading session. I'm going to look at | ||
381 | |380 |00:36:58 ~-~-> 00:37:03 |those ranges, or the level. Rather, this is the low, the lower quadrant, | ||
382 | |381 |00:37:03 ~-~-> 00:37:11 |equilibrium, upper quadrant and the high, respectively. Based on 1201, to | ||
383 | |382 |00:37:11 ~-~-> 00:37:16 |5am that's easy stuff, folks. It's really, really easy. Now, what do you | ||
384 | |383 |00:37:16 ~-~-> 00:37:21 |think would happen if we were bearish and what we were watching this morning, | ||
385 | |384 |00:37:21 ~-~-> 00:37:26 |or what we expecting this morning, we would be looking for PD arrays to form | ||
386 | |385 |00:37:26 ~-~-> 00:37:31 |just above these respective levels to offer us some kind of a shorting | ||
387 | |386 |00:37:31 ~-~-> 00:37:36 |opportunity. You see how easy that is. It's very easy. It's not complicated. | ||
388 | |387 |00:37:36 ~-~-> 00:37:39 |It's not complex. There's not a lot of moving parts. You don't need to know | ||
389 | |388 |00:37:39 ~-~-> 00:37:43 |what order block it is. You don't need to know what macro it is. Every macro, | ||
390 | |389 |00:37:44 ~-~-> 00:37:48 |every macro, every 10 minute to the top of the hour, to 10 minutes after the top | ||
391 | |390 |00:37:48 ~-~-> 00:37:55 |of the hour, okay. How many do you have? You have 556, 10 that's one, 657, 10 | ||
392 | |391 |00:37:55 ~-~-> 00:38:02 |that's two, 758, 10 that's three, 859, 10 that's four. You have four | ||
393 | |392 |00:38:02 ~-~-> 00:38:07 |opportunities, plus you got the 830 algo, where it comes online and starts | ||
394 | |393 |00:38:07 ~-~-> 00:38:12 |running at 830 so you have five opportunities in pre market. It's the | ||
395 | |394 |00:38:12 ~-~-> 00:38:17 |equivalent of the same thing you get in the last hour of trading. You think | ||
396 | |395 |00:38:17 ~-~-> 00:38:22 |that's coincidental? No, it's absolutely not. It's all coded. It's all scripted. | ||
397 | |396 |00:38:22 ~-~-> 00:38:26 |All these things that you're watching in price action, and you're you're flipping | ||
398 | |397 |00:38:26 ~-~-> 00:38:29 |out, like, Why did it do this? Let me write down, I gotta send a comment to | ||
399 | |398 |00:38:29 ~-~-> 00:38:33 |ICT. Why did this fair value gap work? But this didn't. I'm showing you that. | ||
400 | |399 |00:38:33 ~-~-> 00:38:38 |I'm teaching you that, but you have to see other things to understand and | ||
401 | |400 |00:38:38 ~-~-> 00:38:41 |appreciate me pointing to that, that fair value gap. What makes this fair | ||
402 | |401 |00:38:41 ~-~-> 00:38:46 |value gap good? It's below equilibrium. It's in close proximity, but it's at a | ||
403 | |402 |00:38:46 ~-~-> 00:38:50 |discount relative to that equilibrium price point. That this little purple | ||
404 | |403 |00:38:50 ~-~-> 00:38:54 |line right here, I'm on real time. You're never going to be able to see | ||
405 | |404 |00:38:54 ~-~-> 00:38:57 |them on the hard right edge. It won't ever happen for you, it won't ever | ||
406 | |405 |00:38:57 ~-~-> 00:39:03 |happen. But you'll complain, and you'll say this stuff doesn't work, but you | ||
407 | |406 |00:39:03 ~-~-> 00:39:07 |didn't win Robins, but you didn't do this, but you didn't do that. Oh, but | ||
408 | |407 |00:39:07 ~-~-> 00:39:13 |I'm out here telling you exactly how to do it. Come on, man, you guys are making | ||
409 | |408 |00:39:13 ~-~-> 00:39:22 |it too easy. So here is our focus for the 10 o'clock hour, going into 1030 I | ||
410 | |409 |00:39:22 ~-~-> 00:39:26 |have to budget my time, because I'm going to need about five minutes to | ||
411 | |410 |00:39:26 ~-~-> 00:39:32 |review yesterday's trades with you, and then we'll close it at 1030 so we are | ||
412 | |411 |00:39:32 ~-~-> 00:39:45 |looking At a abysmal opening range. We have buy side, here, here, here, and | ||
413 | |412 |00:39:46 ~-~-> 00:39:52 |then we have the Monday, October 14. We had a really anemic, that means weak, | ||
414 | |413 |00:39:52 ~-~-> 00:39:58 |very lackluster, opening gap. What did I teach in the mentorship for 2024 here? | ||
415 | |414 |00:39:58 ~-~-> 00:40:06 |I. If it's a small gap that is indicative of what of rather crummy, low | ||
416 | |415 |00:40:06 ~-~-> 00:40:13 |impact, very lackluster, not exciting, not an easy run from entry to target | ||
417 | |416 |00:40:13 ~-~-> 00:40:22 |morning session. So my best advice for you, okay, this is what I'm telling my | ||
418 | |417 |00:40:22 ~-~-> 00:40:27 |son. You all can do what you want to do, but I'm telling my son, Caleb, and all | ||
419 | |418 |00:40:27 ~-~-> 00:40:33 |the other boys that I have that are watching I'm sure the the absence of a | ||
420 | |419 |00:40:33 ~-~-> 00:40:41 |significant gap, okay, an absence of a gap of like, 4550 handles, I like, I | ||
421 | |420 |00:40:41 ~-~-> 00:40:46 |like that. Okay, that like, that's a minimum threshold for me, but I prefer | ||
422 | |421 |00:40:46 ~-~-> 00:40:51 |75 handles. That's what I'm looking for. If you want to know that the morning | ||
423 | |422 |00:40:51 ~-~-> 00:40:55 |session that I'm absolutely going in there and going right in there at the | ||
424 | |423 |00:40:55 ~-~-> 00:40:59 |opening soon as opening bell happens and we get our first print, I'm not even | ||
425 | |424 |00:40:59 ~-~-> 00:41:02 |going to wait for the first fair value gap. That's just a model for my son, | ||
426 | |425 |00:41:02 ~-~-> 00:41:07 |Caleb. I don't need that. I'm going to trade with 70% likelihood that it's | ||
427 | |426 |00:41:07 ~-~-> 00:41:12 |going to go back to half the gap. If it's 75 handles or more, I'm going in | ||
428 | |427 |00:41:12 ~-~-> 00:41:20 |there right away. That's what I'm I'm looking for reasons to do that. But what | ||
429 | |428 |00:41:20 ~-~-> 00:41:27 |can we do if the gap is so small and it's it's anemic? In other words, here's | ||
430 | |429 |00:41:27 ~-~-> 00:41:32 |where we here's where we settle. That yesterday at 4:14pm, that opening, I'm | ||
431 | |430 |00:41:32 ~-~-> 00:41:40 |sorry, that closing price there, and then we opened up here. So if we, if we | ||
432 | |431 |00:41:41 ~-~-> 00:41:50 |look at like this, we have 20,006 31 and three quarters is your opening price, | ||
433 | |432 |00:41:50 ~-~-> 00:41:59 |and then you have the settlement price. Previous day settlement at six, 12.75 | ||
434 | |433 |00:42:02 ~-~-> 00:42:09 |like that's, it's, it's weak. Like, that's weak. That's like Patrick | ||
435 | |434 |00:42:09 ~-~-> 00:42:13 |Whelan's, course, it's weak. You can't, you can't really do anything with that. | ||
436 | |435 |00:42:13 ~-~-> 00:42:17 |So you have to do what. You have to expect more information. You have to sit | ||
437 | |436 |00:42:17 ~-~-> 00:42:22 |still. Just sit still. What do you wait for? You wait till 10 o'clock. You work | ||
438 | |437 |00:42:22 ~-~-> 00:42:27 |inside that 10 o'clock to 11 o'clock, silver bullet. You wait for your very | ||
439 | |438 |00:42:28 ~-~-> 00:42:33 |value form, look for liquidity. And if it doesn't give it to you based on your | ||
440 | |439 |00:42:33 ~-~-> 00:42:38 |your bias, or if it doesn't give it to you in a clear, obvious way, then you do | ||
441 | |440 |00:42:38 ~-~-> 00:42:43 |nothing. Why? Because you were warned ahead of time. There was very little bit | ||
442 | |441 |00:42:43 ~-~-> 00:42:48 |of excitement or displacement, right? The opening bell, your, your opening | ||
443 | |442 |00:42:48 ~-~-> 00:42:54 |price, right? There is so small into where we closed at 414, there has, there | ||
444 | |443 |00:42:54 ~-~-> 00:43:00 |has been no excitement created by that gap. So that means that we can have, | ||
445 | |444 |00:43:00 ~-~-> 00:43:06 |what a 5050, delivery in the morning session. So what does that mean for you | ||
446 | |445 |00:43:06 ~-~-> 00:43:10 |as a day trader, that you have a little bit more time available to you, and you | ||
447 | |446 |00:43:10 ~-~-> 00:43:14 |could trade the lunch macro, or you could trade the pm session, or you could | ||
448 | |447 |00:43:14 ~-~-> 00:43:17 |trade the last hour trading. That means that that's what you would defer your | ||
449 | |448 |00:43:17 ~-~-> 00:43:23 |trading to. You would simply just go, Okay, I'm gonna go and completely remove | ||
450 | |449 |00:43:23 ~-~-> 00:43:27 |myself from the charts this morning, and I'll come back at 130 I'll watch the | ||
451 | |450 |00:43:27 ~-~-> 00:43:30 |first 30 minutes going into two o'clock, and then I'll trade the pm session, or | ||
452 | |451 |00:43:30 ~-~-> 00:43:34 |I'm just gonna let it do whatever it wants to do until 245 and then I'll sit | ||
453 | |452 |00:43:34 ~-~-> 00:43:38 |down, get a view for what it's likely setting up. And then I'll trade the last | ||
454 | |453 |00:43:38 ~-~-> 00:43:39 |hour trading, | ||
455 | |454 |00:43:40 ~-~-> 00:43:49 |see how easy that is? It's easy to find to manage your time, to schedule your | ||
456 | |455 |00:43:49 ~-~-> 00:43:52 |participation in the marketplace versus I got to get in front of the charts. | ||
457 | |456 |00:43:53 ~-~-> 00:43:58 |I've got to push the button. I have to do something. Because what? Well, I have | ||
458 | |457 |00:43:58 ~-~-> 00:44:01 |to, that's what the traders do. We have to get out here and push the button and | ||
459 | |458 |00:44:01 ~-~-> 00:44:05 |just figure out what happens afterwards? F, A, F, O, right. Well, you don't want | ||
460 | |459 |00:44:05 ~-~-> 00:44:09 |to do that as a trader. That's gambling. You're gambling. Just because the | ||
461 | |460 |00:44:09 ~-~-> 00:44:13 |markets are printing and open doesn't mean it's time for you to trade. | ||
462 | |461 |00:44:13 ~-~-> 00:44:16 |Professionals are not in here looking for every excuse to do something. | ||
463 | |462 |00:44:16 ~-~-> 00:44:21 |They're looking for the best, choicest setups. If they don't submit themselves | ||
464 | |463 |00:44:21 ~-~-> 00:44:24 |to that. Are they following their model? No? Are they gambling? Yes. Are they | ||
465 | |464 |00:44:24 ~-~-> 00:44:30 |being impulsive and emotional? Most likely, and that's exactly what you want | ||
466 | |465 |00:44:30 ~-~-> 00:44:34 |to avoid doing. You don't want to do any of those things in this mentorship in | ||
467 | |466 |00:44:34 ~-~-> 00:44:39 |2024 I've taught you how to sit still more than any other educator out there, | ||
468 | |467 |00:44:40 ~-~-> 00:44:45 |and it's based on sound logic that things that repeat, that tell you to sit | ||
469 | |468 |00:44:45 ~-~-> 00:44:49 |still. It ain't worth the risk sit still. It ain't worth time or the | ||
470 | |469 |00:44:49 ~-~-> 00:44:52 |investment. The stops are going to be hit. Most likely, your risk is going to | ||
471 | |470 |00:44:52 ~-~-> 00:44:59 |be larger. The direction becomes 5050, during a very specific session, this | ||
472 | |471 |00:44:59 ~-~-> 00:45:07 |one, if. The gap is small, if it's anemic, that means sit still, sit still. | ||
473 | |472 |00:45:07 ~-~-> 00:45:14 |Nothing forces you to get in there and trade it period. Remember this cell side | ||
474 | |473 |00:45:14 ~-~-> 00:45:21 |right here? Let me get these lines off here, because that's not, no, I'm doing | ||
475 | |474 |00:45:21 ~-~-> 00:45:25 |this drawing attention to those prices, which we all necessarily need now. | ||
476 | |475 |00:45:40 ~-~-> 00:45:45 |Now, I personally would like to see the market create the clothes on this | ||
477 | |476 |00:45:45 ~-~-> 00:45:49 |candlestick here, come back up, trade into this fair value gap, and then come | ||
478 | |477 |00:45:49 ~-~-> 00:45:59 |down and take the sell side. That's what I would like to see. For some of you | ||
479 | |478 |00:45:59 ~-~-> 00:46:01 |just already went short because I pointed that sell side again. Now you're | ||
480 | |479 |00:46:01 ~-~-> 00:46:04 |thinking, please don't retrace back up there. Now, please don't | ||
481 | |480 |00:46:22 ~-~-> 00:46:28 |we're looking at River trading hours, by the way. And at 594 and a quarter is | ||
482 | |481 |00:46:30 ~-~-> 00:46:35 |yesterday's afternoon that start up the pm session. Notice that 132 o'clock, | ||
483 | |482 |00:46:36 ~-~-> 00:46:44 |that is a very repeating level of liquidity. When you look for your | ||
484 | |483 |00:46:44 ~-~-> 00:46:50 |session highs and lows, you want to look at between 130 and two o'clock for your | ||
485 | |484 |00:46:50 ~-~-> 00:46:54 |Pm session. And you want to do that in the previous day and the day before | ||
486 | |485 |00:46:54 ~-~-> 00:46:57 |that. So for the last three days, you always want to look at the pm session | ||
487 | |486 |00:46:57 ~-~-> 00:47:02 |highs and pm session lows. But you also want to start looking at whatever has | ||
488 | |487 |00:47:02 ~-~-> 00:47:07 |formed at the beginning of 132 o'clock. That's that opening range going into the | ||
489 | |488 |00:47:07 ~-~-> 00:47:13 |pm session. So because that time window, that 30 minute interval, is synonymous | ||
490 | |489 |00:47:13 ~-~-> 00:47:19 |with setting up the direction the liquidity, where the initial liquidity | ||
491 | |490 |00:47:19 ~-~-> 00:47:23 |would be. And here you can see they created those relative equal lows, and | ||
492 | |491 |00:47:23 ~-~-> 00:47:27 |then they rallied all the way up in the afternoon. Now we're getting ready to | ||
493 | |492 |00:47:27 ~-~-> 00:47:32 |pierce underneath that. And it's because that that liquidity is a constant. It's | ||
494 | |493 |00:47:32 ~-~-> 00:47:36 |it's something that you can go back to on a time based principle. It's not | ||
495 | |494 |00:47:36 ~-~-> 00:47:39 |something random, it's not something ambiguous, it's not something that | ||
496 | |495 |00:47:39 ~-~-> 00:47:43 |constantly morphs into something else that you can't trust them or trust and | ||
497 | |496 |00:47:43 ~-~-> 00:47:48 |rely on. It's a very static thing, like 830 is just like 930 is just like 930 to | ||
498 | |497 |00:47:48 ~-~-> 00:47:52 |10 o'clock is there are very specific elements of time. So because that time | ||
499 | |498 |00:47:52 ~-~-> 00:47:59 |aspect is it's finite, it's not it's not changing, it's something that will | ||
500 | |499 |00:47:59 ~-~-> 00:48:05 |always be a factor for the algorithm. So just know that between 130 and two | ||
501 | |500 |00:48:05 ~-~-> 00:48:10 |o'clock, whatever has formed at that 30 minute interval above or below it, | ||
502 | |501 |00:48:10 ~-~-> 00:48:13 |there's going to be liquidity there. And if the market is likely to draw back | ||
503 | |502 |00:48:13 ~-~-> 00:48:18 |into it, and you saw it again here today, if it's likely to do that, see | ||
504 | |503 |00:48:18 ~-~-> 00:48:26 |these two lows here. She's trying to get out of that kind of wing. She this guy | ||
505 | |504 |00:48:27 ~-~-> 00:48:32 |lets his dogs make all this noise, and I'm trying to, I'm trying to record all | ||
506 | |505 |00:48:32 ~-~-> 00:48:32 |this stuff. | ||
507 | |506 |00:48:39 ~-~-> 00:48:40 |Let's go back to electronic trading hours. | ||
508 | |507 |00:48:51 ~-~-> 00:49:03 |So upper quadrant on the daily Sibi, see that we're breaking down into the these | ||
509 | |508 |00:49:03 ~-~-> 00:49:13 |lows over here, the liquidity and linear as well. And if we lose the overnight | ||
510 | |509 |00:49:13 ~-~-> 00:49:22 |low, which is this level down here, then it becomes a lot More significant for | ||
511 | |510 |00:49:22 ~-~-> 00:49:23 |the morning session. Hang | ||
512 | |511 |00:49:42 ~-~-> 00:49:43 |on one second. Thank. | ||
513 | |512 |00:50:27 ~-~-> 00:50:35 |I had to trick Piper. She wouldn't go in her kennel unless I give her a treat. So | ||
514 | |513 |00:50:35 ~-~-> 00:50:39 |we came down below here, and now we want to look at the overnight Lows. I | ||
515 | |514 |00:50:52 ~-~-> 00:50:53 |And here we come, | ||
516 | |515 |00:51:02 ~-~-> 00:51:10 |just like that. So when we're looking for morning session runs, price runs, | ||
517 | |516 |00:51:12 ~-~-> 00:51:16 |unless we've had a protracted market delivery overnight, that means where, | ||
518 | |517 |00:51:16 ~-~-> 00:51:19 |and you've, you've asked me this a couple weeks ago, where we had the Asian | ||
519 | |518 |00:51:19 ~-~-> 00:51:25 |session just, it just started right away and started running one direction, this | ||
520 | |519 |00:51:25 ~-~-> 00:51:30 |concept of using the overnight range, because it wouldn't be part of a | ||
521 | |520 |00:51:30 ~-~-> 00:51:33 |consolidation, then it would be a market for attraction, and that means the | ||
522 | |521 |00:51:33 ~-~-> 00:51:38 |market's trending. You don't want to do that. You don't want to measure that and | ||
523 | |522 |00:51:38 ~-~-> 00:51:42 |expect these levels to have any kind of importance if it's part of anything | ||
524 | |523 |00:51:42 ~-~-> 00:51:47 |other than that, then it's part of a consolidation. So it's a lot more likely | ||
525 | |524 |00:51:47 ~-~-> 00:51:52 |that it's going to form using these types of ideas than without it, meaning | ||
526 | |525 |00:51:52 ~-~-> 00:51:55 |that you can use this idea, of this concept, because I do it every single | ||
527 | |526 |00:51:55 ~-~-> 00:52:01 |day, if there is not been an overnight trend, and I go in and I measure where | ||
528 | |527 |00:52:01 ~-~-> 00:52:06 |my PD arrays should likely form around price. Then I simply submit myself to | ||
529 | |528 |00:52:06 ~-~-> 00:52:11 |the aspect of time I know that the macro is going to be this, this, this, this, | ||
530 | |529 |00:52:11 ~-~-> 00:52:16 |every 20 minutes of each hour. It's the first 10 minutes before the top of the | ||
531 | |530 |00:52:16 ~-~-> 00:52:21 |hour. Or, let me say it this way, it's the last 10 minutes of the existing | ||
532 | |531 |00:52:21 ~-~-> 00:52:26 |present hour to the new top of the new hour to 10 minutes after that new hour. | ||
533 | |532 |00:52:26 ~-~-> 00:52:32 |So it's whatever hour it is, 50 minutes after that hour to 10 minutes after the | ||
534 | |533 |00:52:32 ~-~-> 00:52:37 |new hour. So it's always that 20 minute interval there. There's always some kind | ||
535 | |534 |00:52:37 ~-~-> 00:52:41 |of price run where it's spoiling for liquidity or reaching into an | ||
536 | |535 |00:52:41 ~-~-> 00:52:48 |inefficiency, these macros are more sensitive because they're more prone to | ||
537 | |536 |00:52:48 ~-~-> 00:52:52 |deliver price because of the increased measure of order flow that's coming in. | ||
538 | |537 |00:52:53 ~-~-> 00:52:58 |And it's used to facilitate that, where it graduates their introduction to the | ||
539 | |538 |00:52:58 ~-~-> 00:53:03 |marketplace, where large institutions, large firms, large insurance companies, | ||
540 | |539 |00:53:04 ~-~-> 00:53:09 |large entities. They have big, big blocks of orders they have to push | ||
541 | |540 |00:53:09 ~-~-> 00:53:12 |through the marketplace. They're not going out there and just throwing them | ||
542 | |541 |00:53:12 ~-~-> 00:53:17 |all in one time. They're easing them in. They're easing them in, and a dealer | ||
543 | |542 |00:53:17 ~-~-> 00:53:21 |will facilitate that for them, who's clearing their trades for them, and they | ||
544 | |543 |00:53:21 ~-~-> 00:53:27 |will push them through at appropriate times. Sometimes those times may be | ||
545 | |544 |00:53:27 ~-~-> 00:53:32 |appropriate more so for the dealer. So that way they can, they can make an in | ||
546 | |545 |00:53:32 ~-~-> 00:53:39 |house book and use that, that threshold that this entity has said, Look, I would | ||
547 | |546 |00:53:39 ~-~-> 00:53:44 |like to make a purchase of this, whatever or I would like to sell or | ||
548 | |547 |00:53:44 ~-~-> 00:53:50 |distribute this, but I want, you know, try to get an average price of this much | ||
549 | |548 |00:53:50 ~-~-> 00:53:56 |or better. So that function that's existing without you realizing it, | ||
550 | |549 |00:53:56 ~-~-> 00:53:58 |without you knowing it, because you're looking at charts, patterns and things | ||
551 | |550 |00:53:58 ~-~-> 00:54:01 |like that, you don't understand what the actual financial markets are doing and | ||
552 | |551 |00:54:01 ~-~-> 00:54:08 |how they facilitate trade on a large scale. They use these macros to shove | ||
553 | |552 |00:54:08 ~-~-> 00:54:12 |that liquidity through the marketplace. That's why they're there. That's why | ||
554 | |553 |00:54:12 ~-~-> 00:54:16 |that happens. That's the function of what they're doing. So it's kind of like | ||
555 | |554 |00:54:16 ~-~-> 00:54:21 |a built in mechanism to allow and afford large entities, which you're not, I'm | ||
556 | |555 |00:54:21 ~-~-> 00:54:27 |not, and it allows them at every hour, because people are watching how much | ||
557 | |556 |00:54:27 ~-~-> 00:54:30 |time they got left in the trading day. How much time does it take between where | ||
558 | |557 |00:54:30 ~-~-> 00:54:34 |I'm looking at it right now and when the opening bell happens? The whole time the | ||
559 | |558 |00:54:34 ~-~-> 00:54:40 |market is being pushed through this aspect of time, and you can only get so | ||
560 | |559 |00:54:40 ~-~-> 00:54:47 |many orders through during a small window time. And because of that, it has | ||
561 | |560 |00:54:47 ~-~-> 00:54:51 |to happen around a specific price level. For these large entities, they just | ||
562 | |561 |00:54:51 ~-~-> 00:54:55 |can't go in there and just buy it at the market because they feel like it's gonna | ||
563 | |562 |00:54:55 ~-~-> 00:55:00 |go higher. They have to go in in measured, appropriated, static. Weird | ||
564 | |563 |00:55:00 ~-~-> 00:55:05 |movements. Otherwise they're never going to get efficient fills. They're never | ||
565 | |564 |00:55:05 ~-~-> 00:55:09 |going to get efficient executions, because they're trying to get an average | ||
566 | |565 |00:55:09 ~-~-> 00:55:15 |cost price that's appropriate for them, for their risk model, or for whatever | ||
567 | |566 |00:55:15 ~-~-> 00:55:18 |their customer needs are, why they're going into the marketplace to do | ||
568 | |567 |00:55:18 ~-~-> 00:55:24 |anything, whether buying or selling. So at every 60 minute interval, there's | ||
569 | |568 |00:55:24 ~-~-> 00:55:28 |this short little span of time. It's it's 20 minutes, and during that 20 | ||
570 | |569 |00:55:28 ~-~-> 00:55:33 |minute time frame, they're shoving orders through. They're piping them | ||
571 | |570 |00:55:33 ~-~-> 00:55:37 |through. It's not their entire block of orders, it's just that's when they're | ||
572 | |571 |00:55:37 ~-~-> 00:55:41 |starting to push them through. Okay? They're not looking at these weird | ||
573 | |572 |00:55:41 ~-~-> 00:55:44 |numbers that I see. People always tweeting to me, oh, yeah, ICT, I see | ||
574 | |573 |00:55:44 ~-~-> 00:55:49 |you. You know, 811, nine. Well, it's nonsense. They think they figured | ||
575 | |574 |00:55:49 ~-~-> 00:55:53 |something out. I swear to God Almighty, none of that stuff has anything to do. | ||
576 | |575 |00:55:53 ~-~-> 00:55:56 |None of that stuff has anything to do with what I'm doing or what the | ||
577 | |576 |00:55:56 ~-~-> 00:56:02 |algorithm is doing. I promise you. I promise you. Okay, it has nothing to do | ||
578 | |577 |00:56:02 ~-~-> 00:56:09 |with GO Box stuff. Okay, I promise you, if you use that stuff and it's helping | ||
579 | |578 |00:56:10 ~-~-> 00:56:13 |you, God, bless you. I swear to God, it has nothing to do. There's nothing going | ||
580 | |579 |00:56:13 ~-~-> 00:56:18 |on with that information in here. Okay, I promise you, it's not happening. But | ||
581 | |580 |00:56:20 ~-~-> 00:56:26 |it's these aspects of the time element that I'm I'm forcing you to spend more | ||
582 | |581 |00:56:26 ~-~-> 00:56:32 |time looking at. And because we're leading up to the opening belt 930 every | ||
583 | |582 |00:56:32 ~-~-> 00:56:37 |hour, that creates that macro. And during the pre market session, at six | ||
584 | |583 |00:56:37 ~-~-> 00:56:42 |o'clock to 930 there is several opportunities for you to anticipate | ||
585 | |584 |00:56:42 ~-~-> 00:56:46 |where my PD arrays are going to form. You're not going to be surprised by | ||
586 | |585 |00:56:46 ~-~-> 00:56:50 |them. You're not going to be like, Where'd that come from? You're going to | ||
587 | |586 |00:56:50 ~-~-> 00:56:56 |be anticipating them, expecting them, and in relationship to your bias, where | ||
588 | |587 |00:56:56 ~-~-> 00:56:59 |it's likely to reach, to how far it's going to go, went to the upper quadrant | ||
589 | |588 |00:56:59 ~-~-> 00:57:04 |of that daily city sweeping the relative equal highs here, here and here. What | ||
590 | |589 |00:57:04 ~-~-> 00:57:14 |did they leave? What's above that my side? Do you because you see this drop | ||
591 | |590 |00:57:14 ~-~-> 00:57:18 |down in here? Do you abandon the bullishness on the daily chart? Because | ||
592 | |591 |00:57:18 ~-~-> 00:57:22 |you see that so many retail traders would so many retail traders see that | ||
593 | |592 |00:57:22 ~-~-> 00:57:27 |kind of stuff, and that's exactly how they use this type of price action. It | ||
594 | |593 |00:57:27 ~-~-> 00:57:32 |discourages them to want to be long. It discourages them to ever want to | ||
595 | |594 |00:57:32 ~-~-> 00:57:36 |consider that maybe the higher time frame, you know, just had a little | ||
596 | |595 |00:57:36 ~-~-> 00:57:40 |retracement today, and it wants to go higher for the next three weeks until we | ||
597 | |596 |00:57:40 ~-~-> 00:57:49 |get into election, knowing what you're looking at in terms of the delivery of | ||
598 | |597 |00:57:49 ~-~-> 00:57:52 |market protraction. That means, when the market's just running one direction, | ||
599 | |598 |00:57:52 ~-~-> 00:57:56 |like this would be a market protraction, for instance. It's this one sidedness, | ||
600 | |599 |00:57:56 ~-~-> 00:58:02 |but it's a very small one, because it's only been going for about what, 40 | ||
601 | |600 |00:58:02 ~-~-> 00:58:10 |minutes or so, not even about a half an hour. That's a very small market | ||
602 | |601 |00:58:10 ~-~-> 00:58:16 |protraction. It's one sided, one sided delivery. If the overnight is behaving | ||
603 | |602 |00:58:16 ~-~-> 00:58:20 |that way from Asia all through London, if it's doing something like that, you | ||
604 | |603 |00:58:20 ~-~-> 00:58:23 |do not do what I showed you this morning, because it's not going to help | ||
605 | |604 |00:58:23 ~-~-> 00:58:29 |you, but I have tools for when it's dealing the protraction. Okay, I can't | ||
606 | |605 |00:58:29 ~-~-> 00:58:33 |teach it all today because it took me longer to do it. But here, when it's | ||
607 | |606 |00:58:33 ~-~-> 00:58:37 |part of a large consolidation, and there is no one sided protraction overnight, | ||
608 | |607 |00:58:37 ~-~-> 00:58:42 |and it's part of consolidation, just simply get the high and the low and then | ||
609 | |608 |00:58:42 ~-~-> 00:58:47 |grade it with the lower quadrant equilibrium. And upper quadrant stick to | ||
610 | |609 |00:58:47 ~-~-> 00:58:50 |the bias that's determined on the higher time frame we have been bullish. So it's | ||
611 | |610 |00:58:50 ~-~-> 00:58:54 |going to reach for what it's going to reach for some measure of a premium | ||
612 | |611 |00:58:54 ~-~-> 00:58:59 |array. Well, that Sibi that we looked at, that's the upper quadrant level | ||
613 | |612 |00:58:59 ~-~-> 00:59:04 |here, and it reaches into that multiple times, offering what it's like playing | ||
614 | |613 |00:59:04 ~-~-> 00:59:07 |horseshoes. You ever play horseshoes in the United States, we have a game where | ||
615 | |614 |00:59:07 ~-~-> 00:59:10 |you take these two metal poles, you pound them in the ground, and you | ||
616 | |615 |00:59:10 ~-~-> 00:59:16 |actually take horseshoes of horse. I know there's gonna be people that don't | ||
617 | |616 |00:59:16 ~-~-> 00:59:19 |know what I'm talking about. This from another language or different part of | ||
618 | |617 |00:59:19 ~-~-> 00:59:24 |the country, but basically, the metal apparatus gets a hammer on the bottom of | ||
619 | |618 |00:59:24 ~-~-> 00:59:30 |a horse's foot in its hoof. We have created this game. It's been a long, | ||
620 | |619 |00:59:30 ~-~-> 00:59:33 |long time. It's, I can't tell you how long it's been in existence, but the the | ||
621 | |620 |00:59:33 ~-~-> 00:59:37 |object of the game is to take this horseshoe and toss it at this post that | ||
622 | |621 |00:59:37 ~-~-> 00:59:41 |you nailed into the ground, and you're trying to get a ringer. It's called | ||
623 | |622 |00:59:41 ~-~-> 00:59:46 |where the horseshoe will go around the post. And that's what you're you're | ||
624 | |623 |00:59:46 ~-~-> 00:59:51 |anticipating, is you're seeing this level here, the high of the overnight | ||
625 | |624 |00:59:51 ~-~-> 00:59:57 |range, the Monday high. And then if it was to keep going up in here, that's the | ||
626 | |625 |00:59:57 ~-~-> 01:00:00 |high, the daily city. So what you're doing is with your order. Is why you're | ||
627 | |626 |01:00:00 ~-~-> 01:00:05 |long you're tossing partials into these levels, trying to secure a ringer, | ||
628 | |627 |01:00:05 ~-~-> 01:00:13 |trying to get a profitable exit. But if you don't know what you're doing with | ||
629 | |628 |01:00:13 ~-~-> 01:00:15 |finding fair value gaps, | ||
630 | |629 |01:00:16 ~-~-> 01:00:19 |this is going to help you, because it's going to give you a degree of | ||
631 | |630 |01:00:19 ~-~-> 01:00:24 |understanding a general proximity in terms of price, where it should form, | ||
632 | |631 |01:00:25 ~-~-> 01:00:30 |but how to qualify it if it's below a level from the overnight range and | ||
633 | |632 |01:00:30 ~-~-> 01:00:33 |you're bullish, that means your discount. So that means every fair value | ||
634 | |633 |01:00:33 ~-~-> 01:00:38 |gap below these gradient levels of the overnight range, that makes it a high | ||
635 | |634 |01:00:38 ~-~-> 01:00:45 |probability. High probability, not. It might work. I hope this one holds up. | ||
636 | |635 |01:00:45 ~-~-> 01:00:50 |These are the ones I'm trading on. This is the this is the ICT fair value gap | ||
637 | |636 |01:00:50 ~-~-> 01:00:53 |that I'm trading on. These are the ones where I go in there and I'll put six | ||
638 | |637 |01:00:53 ~-~-> 01:00:56 |contracts on it, runs away from it, comes back down, touches the top of it. | ||
639 | |638 |01:00:56 ~-~-> 01:01:00 |Again, I'm adding four more contracts there, and it rallies up and it goes | ||
640 | |639 |01:01:00 ~-~-> 01:01:04 |into this in here because it's below half of the move or equilibrium. It's | ||
641 | |640 |01:01:04 ~-~-> 01:01:10 |still in a discount. And it's a discount relative to this level here with that | ||
642 | |641 |01:01:10 ~-~-> 01:01:13 |fair value gap. And then I'll add more there. I'll pyramid. So what that is | ||
643 | |642 |01:01:13 ~-~-> 01:01:17 |teaching here today, I taught you how to find the right fair value gaps, how to | ||
644 | |643 |01:01:17 ~-~-> 01:01:22 |qualify and quantify them, not in ambiguous terms, very specific, finite | ||
645 | |644 |01:01:22 ~-~-> 01:01:28 |terms, based on time, how everything comes together, and it just beautifully | ||
646 | |645 |01:01:28 ~-~-> 01:01:33 |dovetails together. But there's no algorithm, right? There's no algorithm | ||
647 | |646 |01:01:34 ~-~-> 01:01:39 |in the market rallies and it reaches the clear the buy stops about here, which is | ||
648 | |647 |01:01:39 ~-~-> 01:01:44 |the overnight range. And then it doesn't just go above here by a little bit. It | ||
649 | |648 |01:01:44 ~-~-> 01:01:50 |goes above to touch that daily Sibi that sells out of bounds by sound efficiency | ||
650 | |649 |01:01:50 ~-~-> 01:01:53 |the upper quadrant, before it completely fills it in by going all the way up to | ||
651 | |650 |01:01:53 ~-~-> 01:01:57 |here. There's a lot of range still there. And then that range just was | ||
652 | |651 |01:01:57 ~-~-> 01:02:03 |increased by this, dropping down, taking out overnight lows. So my question to | ||
653 | |652 |01:02:03 ~-~-> 01:02:10 |you is this, does this make sense to you in terms of defining which fair value | ||
654 | |653 |01:02:10 ~-~-> 01:02:15 |got not? And I know there's some of you that are brand new, or just recently | ||
655 | |654 |01:02:15 ~-~-> 01:02:18 |came onto my stuff and you're thinking, i This doesn't make any sense to me. I | ||
656 | |655 |01:02:18 ~-~-> 01:02:22 |understand that it wouldn't for you because you're too new, but for the | ||
657 | |656 |01:02:22 ~-~-> 01:02:26 |folks that have been dabbling with them, studying them back, testing and looking | ||
658 | |657 |01:02:26 ~-~-> 01:02:29 |for fair value gaps. And you have asked yourself the question all the time, I | ||
659 | |658 |01:02:29 ~-~-> 01:02:33 |guarantee you have, how is he picking that fair value guy? Why is he getting | ||
660 | |659 |01:02:33 ~-~-> 01:02:37 |in there? Why is my entries taking off as soon as I get into them? That's the | ||
661 | |660 |01:02:37 ~-~-> 01:02:42 |repeating questions that come to me by my paid students. That's the same | ||
662 | |661 |01:02:42 ~-~-> 01:02:45 |questions that come to me by way of the comment section that you don't see, but | ||
663 | |662 |01:02:45 ~-~-> 01:02:50 |you can leave a comment. I can see it, but nobody else can see it, because I | ||
664 | |663 |01:02:50 ~-~-> 01:02:54 |don't want all that love fest. And yes, there's people out there saying you're a | ||
665 | |664 |01:02:54 ~-~-> 01:02:57 |fraud. You haven't done this. You haven't done that. I don't care about | ||
666 | |665 |01:02:57 ~-~-> 01:03:01 |that. What I'm showing you is the stuff that works. I'm telling you, when I pick | ||
667 | |666 |01:03:01 ~-~-> 01:03:07 |the fairbay gaps that I trade on, I'm using predominantly this right here. | ||
668 | |667 |01:03:08 ~-~-> 01:03:12 |Okay, there's other things that I do to further increase the likelihood of me | ||
669 | |668 |01:03:12 ~-~-> 01:03:18 |being correct about the Fairbank guy, but this in itself, is the easiest go to | ||
670 | |669 |01:03:18 ~-~-> 01:03:22 |strategy plan for you to be able to formulate an approach to saying, Okay, I | ||
671 | |670 |01:03:22 ~-~-> 01:03:27 |trust that the bias is bullish. I trust that the bias is bearish. Based on that | ||
672 | |671 |01:03:27 ~-~-> 01:03:32 |logic, you're simply going to use this information, as I showed here today. | ||
673 | |672 |01:03:32 ~-~-> 01:03:35 |This is not a lecture where you're going to watch it one time and you're going to | ||
674 | |673 |01:03:35 ~-~-> 01:03:38 |understand what I just said, because you're going to need to refer back to it | ||
675 | |674 |01:03:38 ~-~-> 01:03:41 |a few times. You're going to go and look at old data, and then refer back to what | ||
676 | |675 |01:03:41 ~-~-> 01:03:45 |I said here, because I guarantee what I've said here, you're going to think | ||
677 | |676 |01:03:45 ~-~-> 01:03:49 |that I've created an edited format because it went where we had the first | ||
678 | |677 |01:03:49 ~-~-> 01:03:54 |time. Because you you already have some idea in mind what you're reaching for | ||
679 | |678 |01:03:54 ~-~-> 01:03:58 |for a model, and you're trying to take every new little thing I talk about and | ||
680 | |679 |01:03:58 ~-~-> 01:04:02 |press it into that to make it click for you so you can go out there, start | ||
681 | |680 |01:04:02 ~-~-> 01:04:06 |making money. You have to try to defer that, push that aside because, just | ||
682 | |681 |01:04:06 ~-~-> 01:04:10 |because you're now learning more ideas about what makes a fair value gap valid | ||
683 | |682 |01:04:10 ~-~-> 01:04:16 |or not, what happens when that shift in sentiment changes from you're not, | ||
684 | |683 |01:04:16 ~-~-> 01:04:19 |you're not bullish for that morning session or that afternoon session | ||
685 | |684 |01:04:19 ~-~-> 01:04:29 |anymore. What do you do? Then everything that you used here on the upside becomes | ||
686 | |685 |01:04:29 ~-~-> 01:04:32 |what part of a market maker, sell model. So everything over here that would be a | ||
687 | |686 |01:04:32 ~-~-> 01:04:36 |bullish fair value gap will become an inversion, fairy back fair value gap | ||
688 | |687 |01:04:36 ~-~-> 01:04:40 |over here. Anything over here that would be an order block that would be bullish. | ||
689 | |688 |01:04:40 ~-~-> 01:04:48 |Would be a inverted, basically, it would reverse its role and characteristic as a | ||
690 | |689 |01:04:48 ~-~-> 01:04:51 |bare shoulder block. It would repeat. It would reverse its role. | ||
691 | |690 |01:04:57 ~-~-> 01:05:00 |And this is a lower quadrant one. City right here. | ||
692 | |691 |01:05:14 ~-~-> 01:05:18 |Now we have a range, like overnight range, and you define it like that. | ||
693 | |692 |01:05:19 ~-~-> 01:05:24 |Other things you can do is you can do extensions off of that and get an idea | ||
694 | |693 |01:05:24 ~-~-> 01:05:29 |how far it can go for targeting, for partials, for potential reversal | ||
695 | |694 |01:05:29 ~-~-> 01:05:36 |patterns. And what you would do is you simply take the the range the first one | ||
696 | |695 |01:05:36 ~-~-> 01:05:42 |is you always want to reach for is the negative 0.5 level, and that one's here, | ||
697 | |696 |01:05:42 ~-~-> 01:05:46 |and then negative one is one standard deviation which is done and we hit the | ||
698 | |697 |01:05:46 ~-~-> 01:05:50 |lower quadrant on that Sibi on the daily chart. Let's go back out to the daily | ||
699 | |698 |01:05:50 ~-~-> 01:05:54 |chart real quick. Let me take these off for a moment, because there'll be too | ||
700 | |699 |01:05:54 ~-~-> 01:05:56 |many lines on the chart. Otherwise I'm | ||
701 | |700 |01:06:09 ~-~-> 01:06:12 |this candlestick is the city I keep referring to on the daily chart. You can | ||
702 | |701 |01:06:12 ~-~-> 01:06:19 |see up here daily, July 17, 2024 it's a Wednesday. That singular down closed | ||
703 | |702 |01:06:19 ~-~-> 01:06:25 |candle. That's the city. This is the low of it. That candlesticks high. This is | ||
704 | |703 |01:06:25 ~-~-> 01:06:30 |the high of it. This candle sticks low, equilibrium. Lower quadrant is 20,004 89 | ||
705 | |704 |01:06:31 ~-~-> 01:06:41 |the low of it is 410, even, 20,004 89 go back into a one minute chart. 49 is that | ||
706 | |705 |01:06:41 ~-~-> 01:06:48 |level right there? See that? So we traded down to and below equilibrium of | ||
707 | |706 |01:06:48 ~-~-> 01:06:55 |that daily city. And what did it do? There protraction lower, reaching down | ||
708 | |707 |01:06:55 ~-~-> 01:07:02 |to the lower quadrant. That's the low of the daily city right here. I'm | ||
709 | |708 |01:07:08 ~-~-> 01:07:12 |a little bit over my time, so let me go back to yesterday's real quick, and | ||
710 | |709 |01:07:12 ~-~-> 01:07:18 |we'll look at the think I got a chart already set up for this. Give me a | ||
711 | |710 |01:07:18 ~-~-> 01:07:22 |second, a 32nd All | ||
712 | |711 |01:07:30 ~-~-> 01:07:37 |right, so if you follow me on Twitter or X, I shared this yesterday, and I was | ||
713 | |712 |01:07:37 ~-~-> 01:07:46 |out running around with my wife, shopping again. Any excuse for her to | ||
714 | |713 |01:07:46 ~-~-> 01:07:53 |use credit cards, she's gonna jump on honey. We could save 30% if we get this | ||
715 | |714 |01:07:53 ~-~-> 01:07:57 |right here. Yeah, I tell her, I could save 100% if I don't buy it at all. We | ||
716 | |715 |01:07:57 ~-~-> 01:08:04 |don't need that stuff. But you know, that's that's wife, math, ladies, Don't | ||
717 | |716 |01:08:04 ~-~-> 01:08:09 |come at me. Okay, don't come at me. I'm just being honest. Alright, so here we | ||
718 | |717 |01:08:09 ~-~-> 01:08:17 |have the the session yesterday, okay? And Thursday, October 10, 2024, daily | ||
719 | |718 |01:08:17 ~-~-> 01:08:21 |high. So we have done what we went above it here, came back down, went below it, | ||
720 | |719 |01:08:21 ~-~-> 01:08:25 |once more, back above it, once more, below it, and then we rallied back above | ||
721 | |720 |01:08:26 ~-~-> 01:08:31 |and we're keeping what relative equal highs. We have minor buy side, and it's | ||
722 | |721 |01:08:31 ~-~-> 01:08:35 |also what it's an election year. It's bullish. The market's likely to continue | ||
723 | |722 |01:08:35 ~-~-> 01:08:39 |going higher, and we've already explored the likelihood of digging back down into | ||
724 | |723 |01:08:40 ~-~-> 01:08:44 |October 9 daily candle. That's the high of that. So look on your daily chart, | ||
725 | |724 |01:08:45 ~-~-> 01:08:52 |Thursday, October 10 of this year. Note that high, and then we drop back down | ||
726 | |725 |01:08:52 ~-~-> 01:08:55 |into a one minute chart, or in this case, it's 30 seconds. Every every | ||
727 | |726 |01:08:55 ~-~-> 01:09:01 |candlestick on this chart is 30 seconds. So what we're looking at is, I'm not, | ||
728 | |727 |01:09:01 ~-~-> 01:09:04 |I'm not trading Support Resistance, okay? Because the idea of support | ||
729 | |728 |01:09:04 ~-~-> 01:09:10 |resistance would say this, this is the daily high on October 10. We went above | ||
730 | |729 |01:09:10 ~-~-> 01:09:14 |it when it came back down. Test it right here. If we were just simply expecting | ||
731 | |730 |01:09:14 ~-~-> 01:09:19 |the old highs and lows of a previous day or previous week, then that right there | ||
732 | |731 |01:09:19 ~-~-> 01:09:23 |should have turned the market higher and started going higher. And that's what I | ||
733 | |732 |01:09:23 ~-~-> 01:09:27 |expected as a 20 year old, because the books that I read said that that's how | ||
734 | |733 |01:09:27 ~-~-> 01:09:30 |support resistance would work. They give you these perfect examples, these | ||
735 | |734 |01:09:30 ~-~-> 01:09:34 |perfect little things that would create this opportunity, a wonderful repeating | ||
736 | |735 |01:09:34 ~-~-> 01:09:37 |phenomenon, where you can go in and make all the money you'd ever want and quit | ||
737 | |736 |01:09:37 ~-~-> 01:09:42 |your job in two weeks. Okay, I had unrealistic expectations, just like all | ||
738 | |737 |01:09:42 ~-~-> 01:09:45 |of you have when you come to watch my content for the first time. So I'm not a | ||
739 | |738 |01:09:45 ~-~-> 01:09:52 |Support Resistance trader, but I do use the order flow around old highs and old | ||
740 | |739 |01:09:52 ~-~-> 01:09:59 |lows, if you are not aware of the old highs in the last week, every individual | ||
741 | |740 |01:09:59 ~-~-> 01:10:06 |day. Day. You want to know every single daily high and low of the last five days | ||
742 | |741 |01:10:06 ~-~-> 01:10:12 |and at least Friday of last week. You want to know what last week's high and | ||
743 | |742 |01:10:12 ~-~-> 01:10:16 |low was. Those levels are going to give you what I'm going to show you right | ||
744 | |743 |01:10:16 ~-~-> 01:10:19 |here. This is an endless supply of setups. Okay, I want you to sit still | ||
745 | |744 |01:10:19 ~-~-> 01:10:22 |for a second. Put time. Put down your writing instrument for a moment. Okay, | ||
746 | |745 |01:10:22 ~-~-> 01:10:31 |let me do moment. Okay, just think for a second. Think, what would it feel like | ||
747 | |746 |01:10:31 ~-~-> 01:10:38 |if you knew, not, guessed not, was influenced by me or anybody else? What | ||
748 | |747 |01:10:38 ~-~-> 01:10:44 |if you knew how to go into an endless supply of new setups that is never going | ||
749 | |748 |01:10:44 ~-~-> 01:10:49 |to hide from you. It's never going to be changed. They're not going to change | ||
750 | |749 |01:10:49 ~-~-> 01:10:53 |this, okay, this is, this is not something that they're going to change | ||
751 | |750 |01:10:53 ~-~-> 01:10:56 |the algorithm. You're never going to be able to take advantages anymore. This is | ||
752 | |751 |01:10:56 ~-~-> 01:11:00 |always going to be there, folks, okay, I want you to understand that. I want you | ||
753 | |752 |01:11:00 ~-~-> 01:11:04 |to get excited about this part. This is where you can allow your emotions to | ||
754 | |753 |01:11:04 ~-~-> 01:11:09 |come into it. I want you to feel happy and excited, because it's absolutely an | ||
755 | |754 |01:11:09 ~-~-> 01:11:17 |endless supply of setups period. It will never be exhausted, okay, if we're | ||
756 | |755 |01:11:17 ~-~-> 01:11:24 |bullish, if we're expecting higher prices by knowing the highs in the last | ||
757 | |756 |01:11:24 ~-~-> 01:11:27 |five days and at least the previous week's Friday, and then knowing the | ||
758 | |757 |01:11:27 ~-~-> 01:11:32 |previous week's high and low, you will always know where order flow is going to | ||
759 | |758 |01:11:32 ~-~-> 01:11:36 |come in, and all you have to do is wait for the displacement. And what does that | ||
760 | |759 |01:11:36 ~-~-> 01:11:40 |look like? Well, here we have the rally above the high on October 10. That's | ||
761 | |760 |01:11:40 ~-~-> 01:11:44 |this level here. Okay, if you put this on your own chart, this is why I'm I'm | ||
762 | |761 |01:11:44 ~-~-> 01:11:47 |leading parts of this stuff out. So that way, it causes you to have interactive | ||
763 | |762 |01:11:47 ~-~-> 01:11:51 |study where you have to go into your charts highlight the actual high of | ||
764 | |763 |01:11:51 ~-~-> 01:11:57 |October 10, 2024, is high. It's last Thursday. Okay, but putting that chart, | ||
765 | |764 |01:11:57 ~-~-> 01:12:01 |I'm sorry, putting that line on your chart, and then watching how price | ||
766 | |765 |01:12:01 ~-~-> 01:12:06 |gyrates above it. It comes back down. It doesn't stop there and go higher. Even | ||
767 | |766 |01:12:06 ~-~-> 01:12:09 |though it's bullish, it does not stop there and go higher. It does what it | ||
768 | |767 |01:12:09 ~-~-> 01:12:13 |digs back down into the range. That's exactly what you want to see, because | ||
769 | |768 |01:12:13 ~-~-> 01:12:18 |what that's doing is it's offering you the opportunity to study and measure its | ||
770 | |769 |01:12:18 ~-~-> 01:12:22 |willingness to go deeper into that range. Does it want to do so? No. How do | ||
771 | |770 |01:12:22 ~-~-> 01:12:25 |we know that? Because we leave that range and go back above the high of | ||
772 | |771 |01:12:25 ~-~-> 01:12:29 |October 10 again here. And then, what does it do? Do we do we buy it now | ||
773 | |772 |01:12:29 ~-~-> 01:12:34 |because it does this and touches the No. Give it an opportunity to run back down | ||
774 | |773 |01:12:34 ~-~-> 01:12:41 |in does it want to take the relative equal lows here? No, it's it's left the | ||
775 | |774 |01:12:41 ~-~-> 01:12:45 |bait here, because you're being trained to look for relative equal lows to be | ||
776 | |775 |01:12:45 ~-~-> 01:12:49 |traded to. But what happens if it doesn't do it? It's telling you what, | ||
777 | |776 |01:12:50 ~-~-> 01:12:53 |it's not likely to go lower, and if it's not likely to go lower, when you're | ||
778 | |777 |01:12:53 ~-~-> 01:12:58 |already predisposed to expect higher prices, then you're what you're in a buy | ||
779 | |778 |01:12:58 ~-~-> 01:13:03 |program. Then expect protraction higher. You see that here, the market rallies | ||
780 | |779 |01:13:03 ~-~-> 01:13:06 |back above October 10. Now are we looking for the market to come back down | ||
781 | |780 |01:13:06 ~-~-> 01:13:10 |and touch that high like support and resistance? Folks would assume, no, | ||
782 | |781 |01:13:10 ~-~-> 01:13:15 |absolutely not. What we're looking for is any inefficiency on the pass down | ||
783 | |782 |01:13:16 ~-~-> 01:13:19 |that will act as an inversion fair value gap. That's what this is right here. | ||
784 | |783 |01:13:20 ~-~-> 01:13:24 |Now, as it's dropping down, I'm looking at that fair value gap, knowing that if | ||
785 | |784 |01:13:24 ~-~-> 01:13:28 |it's really good, it won't even touch it, because we spent some time in here | ||
786 | |785 |01:13:28 ~-~-> 01:13:32 |and then left it. I'm I'm going long right in here. I'll show you the | ||
787 | |786 |01:13:32 ~-~-> 01:13:36 |executions in a moment. Okay, and then the market rallies up, and it leaves | ||
788 | |787 |01:13:36 ~-~-> 01:13:39 |these relative equal highs. And I'm noting in the video that you can watch | ||
789 | |788 |01:13:39 ~-~-> 01:13:46 |on Twitter, I'm noting these volume imbalances. Volume imbalances are the | ||
790 | |789 |01:13:46 ~-~-> 01:13:51 |most flexible, or it's the PD array of my repertoire that you as the analyst, | ||
791 | |790 |01:13:51 ~-~-> 01:13:55 |you as the trader, you as the implementer behind pushing a button. If | ||
792 | |791 |01:13:55 ~-~-> 01:14:02 |you ever decide to do that, you're going to see price go through these types of | ||
793 | |792 |01:14:02 ~-~-> 01:14:07 |things. Okay? Because it's a measurement of a willingness to see the price | ||
794 | |793 |01:14:07 ~-~-> 01:14:11 |sustain and run high or low. It can be used as an entry. It can be used as a | ||
795 | |794 |01:14:11 ~-~-> 01:14:16 |partial. It can be used as managing your stop loss. But I like looking for these | ||
796 | |795 |01:14:16 ~-~-> 01:14:20 |little, tiny pockets and price action. And it's basically the the absence. If | ||
797 | |796 |01:14:20 ~-~-> 01:14:26 |you look real close, it's the absence between this candlesticks body or open | ||
798 | |797 |01:14:26 ~-~-> 01:14:32 |and this candlesticks close, there is a wick touching, but there's no bodies | ||
799 | |798 |01:14:32 ~-~-> 01:14:35 |there. That's what I'm highlighting in that video. It's got a little music | ||
800 | |799 |01:14:36 ~-~-> 01:14:40 |track added to it on Twitter. Same thing here. Small, little separation between | ||
801 | |800 |01:14:40 ~-~-> 01:14:44 |the candlesticks bodies, there's one in here, but I'm not worried about that | ||
802 | |801 |01:14:44 ~-~-> 01:14:47 |one, because I've framed one here, and I frame one here, and I'm watching how | ||
803 | |802 |01:14:47 ~-~-> 01:14:51 |price behaves. But then this fair value gap, which is what I was aiming as I | ||
804 | |803 |01:14:51 ~-~-> 01:14:56 |entered the first time and added multiple entries on, then when it | ||
805 | |804 |01:14:56 ~-~-> 01:15:00 |dropped down in here, and it closed that initially right to that low. So. I fired | ||
806 | |805 |01:15:00 ~-~-> 01:15:03 |it in there again, but I had already typed out that the launch time is now. I | ||
807 | |806 |01:15:03 ~-~-> 01:15:07 |said, at 830 the market's going to spool higher. Go watch that recording. You'll | ||
808 | |807 |01:15:07 ~-~-> 01:15:12 |see every annotation just as I typed it. Then everything here is exactly how I | ||
809 | |808 |01:15:12 ~-~-> 01:15:17 |left it when I recorded that live execution, but I timed it and told you | ||
810 | |809 |01:15:17 ~-~-> 01:15:22 |very specifically the launch time is now. Why? How did I know that? How did I | ||
811 | |810 |01:15:22 ~-~-> 01:15:27 |know that was going to happen? Because at 830 if I'm bullish, I want to see the | ||
812 | |811 |01:15:27 ~-~-> 01:15:32 |price drop down to a discount array that's this fair value gap. It could | ||
813 | |812 |01:15:32 ~-~-> 01:15:37 |have went down and touched this inversion fair value gap, and it would | ||
814 | |813 |01:15:37 ~-~-> 01:15:40 |have been fine. It would not have it would not have changed anything. But | ||
815 | |814 |01:15:40 ~-~-> 01:15:45 |because it didn't touch it here, and it created this fair value gap, and it | ||
816 | |815 |01:15:45 ~-~-> 01:15:49 |already started to run up and left these relative equal highs. I know it's just | ||
817 | |816 |01:15:49 ~-~-> 01:15:54 |coming back down in here to redeliver into here. That's why you'll see when | ||
818 | |817 |01:15:54 ~-~-> 01:15:57 |I'm adding the executions on the chart, you'll see that that's where I fired in | ||
819 | |818 |01:15:57 ~-~-> 01:16:02 |and added my last portion. And I already anticipated by saying that the launch | ||
820 | |819 |01:16:02 ~-~-> 01:16:06 |time is now hits. It stops the tick and starts to rally up. And then I'm | ||
821 | |820 |01:16:06 ~-~-> 01:16:11 |watching do these volume imbalances support price. It trades up to it. Look | ||
822 | |821 |01:16:11 ~-~-> 01:16:15 |at the bodies you're respecting. It then comes back down. Look at the bodies. See | ||
823 | |822 |01:16:15 ~-~-> 01:16:19 |that? See you're see the assholes and asshats. They're watching these wicks. | ||
824 | |823 |01:16:19 ~-~-> 01:16:22 |And they're looking at this. Look at this stuff. It doesn't have any rhyme or | ||
825 | |824 |01:16:22 ~-~-> 01:16:25 |reason why. Reason. What's going on. You're a fucking clown. Look real close. | ||
826 | |825 |01:16:25 ~-~-> 01:16:29 |You see the bodies. See what those bodies are telling you. It's respecting | ||
827 | |826 |01:16:29 ~-~-> 01:16:33 |that inefficiency right there between these two candlestick bodies. That's | ||
828 | |827 |01:16:33 ~-~-> 01:16:38 |exactly what I'm watching. That's algorithmic price delivery. That's the | ||
829 | |828 |01:16:38 ~-~-> 01:16:44 |very thing that I'm looking for, and if price runs away from that, then I know | ||
830 | |829 |01:16:44 ~-~-> 01:16:48 |that if I wanted to, I could add more when it's inside that little volume | ||
831 | |830 |01:16:48 ~-~-> 01:16:52 |imbalance there, and add more to it and then rally up. Or I could take this drop | ||
832 | |831 |01:16:52 ~-~-> 01:16:56 |down in here and trade this inefficiency or fair value gap. And that could have | ||
833 | |832 |01:16:56 ~-~-> 01:17:02 |been an entry. Why? Because this volume imbalance is here, and I'm trading in a | ||
834 | |833 |01:17:02 ~-~-> 01:17:05 |fair value gap that's below that volume of balance. That means when a discount | ||
835 | |834 |01:17:05 ~-~-> 01:17:10 |throwing a market that's bullish after the algorithm starts firing at 830 and | ||
836 | |835 |01:17:10 ~-~-> 01:17:10 |then | ||
837 | |836 |01:17:11 ~-~-> 01:17:15 |volume and balance right there. I was going to annotate that, but I had missed | ||
838 | |837 |01:17:15 ~-~-> 01:17:18 |it because I was looking at my dogs at the time, and I didn't want to go and | ||
839 | |838 |01:17:18 ~-~-> 01:17:21 |add anything to it. But anyone watching that trade just as well as you can see | ||
840 | |839 |01:17:21 ~-~-> 01:17:24 |it right here. You can see it there. It's being utilized right there, | ||
841 | |840 |01:17:24 ~-~-> 01:17:28 |consequent encroachment. That's the midpoint of this separation. These | ||
842 | |841 |01:17:28 ~-~-> 01:17:33 |little pockets, okay, these little, tiny, little separations in the volume | ||
843 | |842 |01:17:34 ~-~-> 01:17:39 |of the candlestick. You cannot get this information in any other aspect of | ||
844 | |843 |01:17:39 ~-~-> 01:17:44 |charting. So when you listen to these clowns, these fucking clueless idiots, | ||
845 | |844 |01:17:44 ~-~-> 01:17:48 |these fucking dweebs, okay, these people that have zero understanding, zero | ||
846 | |845 |01:17:48 ~-~-> 01:17:53 |understanding by Price Books, they'll say time based charts are trash trying. | ||
847 | |846 |01:17:53 ~-~-> 01:17:58 |Time based charts are useless. You have no idea what you're talking about. You | ||
848 | |847 |01:17:58 ~-~-> 01:18:02 |have literally no idea. No one's ever told you how to use a time based chart | ||
849 | |848 |01:18:02 ~-~-> 01:18:06 |until I started talking about it. And holy shit, could I just step into | ||
850 | |849 |01:18:06 ~-~-> 01:18:09 |narcissistic power shit right there? Didn't, well, guess what? Scoop up and | ||
851 | |850 |01:18:09 ~-~-> 01:18:11 |swallow because it's the truth. No one ever told you to look at the | ||
852 | |851 |01:18:11 ~-~-> 01:18:15 |candlesticks like I'm teaching you to look at them. No one's ever told you to | ||
853 | |852 |01:18:15 ~-~-> 01:18:19 |focus on the elements of time, using these candlesticks with this information | ||
854 | |853 |01:18:19 ~-~-> 01:18:23 |before. It's never been done before because I codified it. This is my | ||
855 | |854 |01:18:23 ~-~-> 01:18:26 |fucking shit. Okay? And when you guys are making these fucking videos, and I'm | ||
856 | |855 |01:18:26 ~-~-> 01:18:29 |coming out here doing it over every single day, over and over and over | ||
857 | |856 |01:18:29 ~-~-> 01:18:34 |again, I'm laughing at you. I'm laughing at you because you're taking the bait. | ||
858 | |857 |01:18:34 ~-~-> 01:18:37 |You're doing exactly what I want. Because more people are coming here, and | ||
859 | |858 |01:18:37 ~-~-> 01:18:40 |they're watching the technical science being taught, and more people this rest | ||
860 | |859 |01:18:40 ~-~-> 01:18:44 |of this year are gonna be making more money using this shit, more money, more | ||
861 | |860 |01:18:44 ~-~-> 01:18:48 |testimonies coming forward. So keep bringing them here. I love it. You're | ||
862 | |861 |01:18:48 ~-~-> 01:18:54 |working for free. Keep them coming. Engagement farming done, right? So I | ||
863 | |862 |01:18:54 ~-~-> 01:19:00 |want to take a look at the executions here. Okay, this is probably gonna be a | ||
864 | |863 |01:19:00 ~-~-> 01:19:06 |little jarring for some of you. So as the market's trading and we're dropping | ||
865 | |864 |01:19:06 ~-~-> 01:19:09 |down, okay? And you can see clearly this is not Market Replay, okay, see that. | ||
866 | |865 |01:19:09 ~-~-> 01:19:16 |Can't do that on Market Replay, but the the entries in here look inside this | ||
867 | |866 |01:19:16 ~-~-> 01:19:25 |fair value gap. It's in the lower half of that fair value got that that is at | ||
868 | |867 |01:19:25 ~-~-> 01:19:28 |the top as it's hitting it, right here, in this volume imbalance, as it's | ||
869 | |868 |01:19:28 ~-~-> 01:19:31 |trading down here, I'm trying to time it as it hits it, but it's kind of it's | ||
870 | |869 |01:19:31 ~-~-> 01:19:36 |kind of difficult when you're doing on a 32nd chart, I'm doing it where I'm | ||
871 | |870 |01:19:36 ~-~-> 01:19:41 |pushing into the the price action as it's going in a direction I want it to | ||
872 | |871 |01:19:41 ~-~-> 01:19:44 |go, which is opposed to the direction I'm trading in. So in other words, I'm | ||
873 | |872 |01:19:44 ~-~-> 01:19:49 |trying to enter when the market's going down. I'm never trying to go in when the | ||
874 | |873 |01:19:49 ~-~-> 01:19:54 |market's going up. If the candlesticks painting bullishly, I don't want to be | ||
875 | |874 |01:19:54 ~-~-> 01:20:00 |going in after the candlesticks started going higher. It. Like, open like, in | ||
876 | |875 |01:20:00 ~-~-> 01:20:04 |this case, here we have the candlestick opening up here and trading down. That's | ||
877 | |876 |01:20:04 ~-~-> 01:20:09 |ideal. I'm sorry I said that wrong. It opens up down here and trades higher. So | ||
878 | |877 |01:20:09 ~-~-> 01:20:14 |it's creating a bullish candlestick. In this candlestick I'm trying to trade as | ||
879 | |878 |01:20:14 ~-~-> 01:20:18 |it's fluctuating around and in close proximity to that volume of balance. | ||
880 | |879 |01:20:18 ~-~-> 01:20:23 |That's what I'm trying to aim for. And over here, same premise. I'm trying to | ||
881 | |880 |01:20:23 ~-~-> 01:20:28 |time it as it's entering into that volume imbalance. Here, I'm trading | ||
882 | |881 |01:20:28 ~-~-> 01:20:33 |inside of this little separation. I'm trying to get that little return back | ||
883 | |882 |01:20:33 ~-~-> 01:20:40 |into that candlestick as well. Here, similar down here, I'm trying to time it | ||
884 | |883 |01:20:40 ~-~-> 01:20:44 |as it's trading down into this fair value gap. All of these could be further | ||
885 | |884 |01:20:44 ~-~-> 01:20:48 |refined if I was willing to use a limit order, but I'm trying to force myself to | ||
886 | |885 |01:20:48 ~-~-> 01:20:53 |use every aspect of proving it's not Market Replay. So that's why the open | ||
887 | |886 |01:20:54 ~-~-> 01:21:00 |and close, or the buying entry. So button for buying this shit, basically, | ||
888 | |887 |01:21:02 ~-~-> 01:21:06 |you can't do. You don't see that in Market Replay. Okay, so it's actually | ||
889 | |888 |01:21:06 ~-~-> 01:21:12 |better. I just did that, but I'm using this way of showing it to you, so that | ||
890 | |889 |01:21:12 ~-~-> 01:21:16 |way anybody that understands trading view knows that this is not Market | ||
891 | |890 |01:21:16 ~-~-> 01:21:22 |Replay, and anybody, anybody can do it in Market Replay and make it look good. | ||
892 | |891 |01:21:22 ~-~-> 01:21:29 |Anybody can do that, but I'm teaching you how to read 32nd chart. Okay. Why | ||
893 | |892 |01:21:29 ~-~-> 01:21:32 |32nd chart? Why not a 15 second chart? Because the price is a little bit | ||
894 | |893 |01:21:32 ~-~-> 01:21:37 |cleaner, little bit more refined, a 15 second chart's a little bit more spotty | ||
895 | |894 |01:21:37 ~-~-> 01:21:41 |in here, spotty means that there's a lot more volume imbalances. I'd like to have | ||
896 | |895 |01:21:41 ~-~-> 01:21:45 |a chart, and this is for your notes. This is the part where you write down. I | ||
897 | |896 |01:21:45 ~-~-> 01:21:50 |like to use a time frame. It's sub one minute that doesn't have a plethora or a | ||
898 | |897 |01:21:50 ~-~-> 01:21:56 |exaggerated number of volume imbalances. I want to have like a few of them, so I | ||
899 | |898 |01:21:56 ~-~-> 01:22:00 |want to be able to see them if they form. But if I'm looking at a, like a | ||
900 | |899 |01:22:00 ~-~-> 01:22:04 |five second chart, I'm gonna have a whole lot more to choose from, and I | ||
901 | |900 |01:22:04 ~-~-> 01:22:09 |don't want that. So the 15 second, I didn't like it, so I focused on the 32nd | ||
902 | |901 |01:22:10 ~-~-> 01:22:16 |and I'm only using the 32nd chart just to kind of like drive home the the | ||
903 | |902 |01:22:16 ~-~-> 01:22:21 |emphasis that I am not a one minute Chart Trader. I'm not a five minute | ||
904 | |903 |01:22:21 ~-~-> 01:22:25 |Chart Trader, I'm not a 60 minute 60 minute Chart Trader, I'm a price trader, | ||
905 | |904 |01:22:26 ~-~-> 01:22:34 |I'm a time based price delivery trader, an algorithmic delivery trader. So I'm | ||
906 | |905 |01:22:34 ~-~-> 01:22:39 |I'm looking at price in a way where I'm expecting it to behave a certain way | ||
907 | |906 |01:22:39 ~-~-> 01:22:44 |with these repeating phenomenon that I titled PD arrays around specific | ||
908 | |907 |01:22:44 ~-~-> 01:22:49 |elements of time. So because 830 here is the 830 window right there, this | ||
909 | |908 |01:22:49 ~-~-> 01:22:52 |candlestick, when we get close to the top of the Fairbank, I'm getting in | ||
910 | |909 |01:22:52 ~-~-> 01:22:56 |there and then finally hammering it as it's creating that down closed candle | ||
911 | |910 |01:22:56 ~-~-> 01:23:01 |right there. I'm hitting it, and there's the entry at the time. I'm telling you | ||
912 | |911 |01:23:01 ~-~-> 01:23:05 |that the launch time is now, so it drops down, and then it right from there, | ||
913 | |912 |01:23:06 ~-~-> 01:23:10 |creates these little, uh, confirming that I'm on side. That's what these | ||
914 | |913 |01:23:10 ~-~-> 01:23:15 |little candlestick bodies are telling me, folks, okay, I'm on side, I'm on | ||
915 | |914 |01:23:15 ~-~-> 01:23:19 |side, and then I'm expecting price to rip, and it does. And then you start | ||
916 | |915 |01:23:19 ~-~-> 01:23:23 |seeing it run up. It gets this low volume of bounce tagged right there, and | ||
917 | |916 |01:23:23 ~-~-> 01:23:27 |rallies up. And then there's the objective now I could have held for | ||
918 | |917 |01:23:27 ~-~-> 01:23:31 |longer. Okay, there's a joker on Twitter who likes to come after the fact all the | ||
919 | |918 |01:23:31 ~-~-> 01:23:34 |time. You never see a stop loss in his trades. You never see him execute | ||
920 | |919 |01:23:34 ~-~-> 01:23:38 |either, but he's always got some kind of screenshot that's kind of lame. Show | ||
921 | |920 |01:23:38 ~-~-> 01:23:41 |your execution while you're doing it. Move a stop loss. You don't have a stop | ||
922 | |921 |01:23:41 ~-~-> 01:23:45 |loss in there because you're using something that you don't need to trust. | ||
923 | |922 |01:23:45 ~-~-> 01:23:48 |Okay? I have a stop loss in every single one of my executions. It's always there. | ||
924 | |923 |01:23:48 ~-~-> 01:23:52 |It's always being managed. And everybody sees the repeating phenomenon and | ||
925 | |924 |01:23:52 ~-~-> 01:23:56 |routine that I'm using. I'm not rushing it to break even. I'm not rushing it to | ||
926 | |925 |01:23:56 ~-~-> 01:24:00 |strangle the profit. Okay, but yesterday, I couldn't stay the babysit | ||
927 | |926 |01:24:00 ~-~-> 01:24:04 |the rest of the position. I told you last week that 20,005 38 was our | ||
928 | |927 |01:24:04 ~-~-> 01:24:07 |objective. It didn't trade there last week. But guess what it did yesterday. | ||
929 | |928 |01:24:08 ~-~-> 01:24:13 |Traded to 20,005 38 it did that I had limit order to get me out there. I had | ||
930 | |929 |01:24:13 ~-~-> 01:24:16 |enough time to compress it, throw a music track on there, and then out the | ||
931 | |930 |01:24:16 ~-~-> 01:24:22 |door I went. So I was not able, was not able to sit and ride all this up and | ||
932 | |931 |01:24:22 ~-~-> 01:24:27 |babysit it. My wife asked me to stay off the phone for the time we were out, and | ||
933 | |932 |01:24:27 ~-~-> 01:24:35 |I honored that request. Okay, so in the afternoon, a little bit later, what do | ||
934 | |933 |01:24:35 ~-~-> 01:24:36 |you see here? | ||
935 | |934 |01:24:41 ~-~-> 01:24:53 |What's this? Who's this? The fairba. I got Sibi market trades up into it. I'm | ||
936 | |935 |01:24:53 ~-~-> 01:25:05 |entering again on 32nd chart. There. To my fills and it drops down, I'm willing | ||
937 | |936 |01:25:05 ~-~-> 01:25:11 |to see it come back up in to this breaker. So that means I have to afford | ||
938 | |937 |01:25:11 ~-~-> 01:25:14 |myself what the likelihood of going into drawdown. But if it trades back there, | ||
939 | |938 |01:25:14 ~-~-> 01:25:18 |I'm going to add more to it, but I need a little bit more information. Should it | ||
940 | |939 |01:25:18 ~-~-> 01:25:21 |do? So what information is that? Well, what's trading up into that quadrant? | ||
941 | |940 |01:25:21 ~-~-> 01:25:29 |Level breaks lower, creates another fair value gap entry, I'm waiting for the | ||
942 | |941 |01:25:29 ~-~-> 01:25:36 |market to do what show a willingness to take buy, stops there at a quadrant, | ||
943 | |942 |01:25:37 ~-~-> 01:25:45 |breaks fair value gap entry, same thing here. I'm looking at this wick. I'm | ||
944 | |943 |01:25:45 ~-~-> 01:25:49 |trying to time it with this fair value gap being traded to, I want to get in | ||
945 | |944 |01:25:49 ~-~-> 01:25:57 |there at that wick, conco encroachment right here, and that's a whole lot of | ||
946 | |945 |01:25:57 ~-~-> 01:26:08 |stuff, and get it down to just to middle level. It's funny and it's fun. So much. | ||
947 | |946 |01:26:08 ~-~-> 01:26:12 |This is so much better than college. Some of you guys have that are younger, | ||
948 | |947 |01:26:12 ~-~-> 01:26:15 |like your parents may be listening. What the hell do you say? You need to stop | ||
949 | |948 |01:26:15 ~-~-> 01:26:18 |listen this guy. I'm paying too much for this college, so I'm trying to time it | ||
950 | |949 |01:26:18 ~-~-> 01:26:23 |right there, to consequent coaching that wick right there, adding more to it. And | ||
951 | |950 |01:26:23 ~-~-> 01:26:29 |then I shared live as it was, aiming for the sell side below here, knowing that | ||
952 | |951 |01:26:29 ~-~-> 01:26:34 |we had a abbreviated session yesterday because of the holiday, and I wanted to | ||
953 | |952 |01:26:34 ~-~-> 01:26:37 |get out when it took that cell side there, because it would most likely draw | ||
954 | |953 |01:26:37 ~-~-> 01:26:40 |back up into the middle of the range between here and here, worst case | ||
955 | |954 |01:26:40 ~-~-> 01:26:44 |scenario and best case scenario, we could come back up and try to take that | ||
956 | |955 |01:26:44 ~-~-> 01:26:47 |high out. So I didn't want to write any of that in. So I went short. Added more | ||
957 | |956 |01:26:47 ~-~-> 01:26:52 |there, and then the fill as it was aiming for this low I want to make sure | ||
958 | |957 |01:26:52 ~-~-> 01:26:55 |I get out so I had the limit order just above it. So there you go. That's low | ||
959 | |958 |01:26:55 ~-~-> 01:26:59 |hanging fruit objective. That's the level I'm looking for. The sell side | ||
960 | |959 |01:26:59 ~-~-> 01:27:04 |below. That's what I want to see it trade to. But my exits are sliding on | ||
961 | |960 |01:27:04 ~-~-> 01:27:10 |into home. I don't require that load be taken out. Why? Because I might be | ||
962 | |961 |01:27:10 ~-~-> 01:27:14 |wrong. Because it's the holiday. They may not want to come back down in there. | ||
963 | |962 |01:27:14 ~-~-> 01:27:17 |They may, may, they may want to do that at six o'clock, restart in the | ||
964 | |963 |01:27:17 ~-~-> 01:27:22 |afternoon, or any time when they when they resume trading again. So that's | ||
965 | |964 |01:27:22 ~-~-> 01:27:31 |where my exit was there, and then that's the business. So let's take this back | ||
966 | |965 |01:27:31 ~-~-> 01:27:32 |over here. And I | ||
967 | |966 |01:27:39 ~-~-> 01:27:48 |think that's going to be it for today. This is a first presented fair value gap | ||
968 | |967 |01:27:48 ~-~-> 01:27:55 |from last week. I don't recall what day it is, but it was, I think it was on the | ||
969 | |968 |01:27:55 ~-~-> 01:27:58 |second half of the week, so either Wednesday or Thursday. Look at that, and | ||
970 | |969 |01:27:58 ~-~-> 01:28:02 |you'll see that that's what that is. Another reason why you should annotate | ||
971 | |970 |01:28:02 ~-~-> 01:28:06 |your your charts with these labels like this. I don't need to do that because I | ||
972 | |971 |01:28:06 ~-~-> 01:28:11 |break my stuff down on the notepad. But that's a first presenter. Fair Value got | ||
973 | |972 |01:28:11 ~-~-> 01:28:16 |to these two, these two dark, thick lines there. So I covered a lot of stuff | ||
974 | |973 |01:28:16 ~-~-> 01:28:20 |today. I talked about how I picked the right fair value gap. What constitutes | ||
975 | |974 |01:28:21 ~-~-> 01:28:24 |qualifying the fair value gap. I talked about the overnight range. How to use | ||
976 | |975 |01:28:24 ~-~-> 01:28:30 |that. When is it useful? When is it not useful? If it's part of, if you're large | ||
977 | |976 |01:28:30 ~-~-> 01:28:33 |part of a larger consolidation, you're going to grade it. If you're doing a | ||
978 | |977 |01:28:33 ~-~-> 01:28:38 |market protraction overnight, you're not going to do that at all. And you'll have | ||
979 | |978 |01:28:38 ~-~-> 01:28:42 |to trade differently. And also, if you have a market retraction overnight, that | ||
980 | |979 |01:28:42 ~-~-> 01:28:45 |usually puts you on the sidelines in the morning session, so you already had a | ||
981 | |980 |01:28:45 ~-~-> 01:28:51 |big move overnight. So expect, excuse me, the New York session to be either a | ||
982 | |981 |01:28:51 ~-~-> 01:28:54 |market reversal profile or consolidation, meaning that unless | ||
983 | |982 |01:28:54 ~-~-> 01:28:58 |you're very versed with reversal patterns, don't trade the morning | ||
984 | |983 |01:28:58 ~-~-> 01:29:01 |session if you have an overnight trending market and then wait for a | ||
985 | |984 |01:29:01 ~-~-> 01:29:05 |launch reversal, or pm session trade, or trade the last hour trade. So there's a | ||
986 | |985 |01:29:05 ~-~-> 01:29:09 |whole lot of conditions there that helps you. Should have helped you rather | ||
987 | |986 |01:29:10 ~-~-> 01:29:14 |define when you should expect something to form, when you should sit still. When | ||
988 | |987 |01:29:14 ~-~-> 01:29:17 |should you feel comfortable sitting still? And why should you feel | ||
989 | |988 |01:29:17 ~-~-> 01:29:21 |comfortable sitting still? Also, where the fair value gaps are best? What's the | ||
990 | |989 |01:29:21 ~-~-> 01:29:24 |best ones? What's the ones I'm I'm going to be trading at, what's the one that I | ||
991 | |990 |01:29:24 ~-~-> 01:29:31 |have elected to trade on? And it's based on premium and discount. It's based on a | ||
992 | |991 |01:29:31 ~-~-> 01:29:35 |previous range that the algorithm will refer back to. It's not ambiguous. It's | ||
993 | |992 |01:29:35 ~-~-> 01:29:40 |not some kind of contrivance, you know, made up stuff. It's something that | ||
994 | |993 |01:29:40 ~-~-> 01:29:43 |you're going to go back in a chart to see over and over again, repeating | ||
995 | |994 |01:29:43 ~-~-> 01:29:48 |constantly, always there, always there. And what happens if you don't see these | ||
996 | |995 |01:29:48 ~-~-> 01:29:53 |elements in price action, then you have manual intervention. That means you | ||
997 | |996 |01:29:53 ~-~-> 01:29:56 |should sit on your hands and don't do anything if you're if the pvar that | ||
998 | |997 |01:29:56 ~-~-> 01:30:00 |you're highlighting are not responding and respecting price. Is the way they | ||
999 | |998 |01:30:00 ~-~-> 01:30:03 |should remember inefficiencies, fair value gaps. You don't want to see them | ||
1000 | |999 |01:30:03 ~-~-> 01:30:08 |hanging around in them, trade into them, leave. And if you have defined your fair | ||
1001 | |1000 |01:30:08 ~-~-> 01:30:12 |value gaps based on your bias with the overnight range, as I showed you here by | ||
1002 | |1001 |01:30:12 ~-~-> 01:30:16 |grading it, you know the general proximity of where a fair value gap or | ||
1003 | |1002 |01:30:16 ~-~-> 01:30:20 |order, block or breaker or stop run is going to form. All of the PD arrays are | ||
1004 | |1003 |01:30:20 ~-~-> 01:30:24 |going to gravitate around these levels. Don't just think it's just fair value. | ||
1005 | |1004 |01:30:24 ~-~-> 01:30:29 |It's not just that. It's whatever PB array that's going to be given to you at | ||
1006 | |1005 |01:30:29 ~-~-> 01:30:36 |that time, with price being utilized for that that purpose, meaning during the | ||
1007 | |1006 |01:30:36 ~-~-> 01:30:40 |macro or 830 because there's the only departure. It's always the 50 minute | ||
1008 | |1007 |01:30:40 ~-~-> 01:30:44 |after to 10 minute after, that's the element of time when the price is going | ||
1009 | |1008 |01:30:44 ~-~-> 01:30:47 |to start spooling during the pre market sessions. There's several hours there | ||
1010 | |1009 |01:30:47 ~-~-> 01:30:53 |that you can do that with, but there's one outlier. It's the 838 30 does its | ||
1011 | |1010 |01:30:53 ~-~-> 01:30:57 |own thing. That's when the algorithm comes online and it's full force just | ||
1012 | |1011 |01:30:57 ~-~-> 01:31:02 |run, because it's going to push price around for that first hour ahead of 930 | ||
1013 | |1012 |01:31:02 ~-~-> 01:31:07 |opening. That's what it's doing. That's its function. Okay, so, and it's also | ||
1014 | |1013 |01:31:07 ~-~-> 01:31:11 |allowing a lot of orders to be pushed through when there's economic data. | ||
1015 | |1014 |01:31:11 ~-~-> 01:31:15 |Remember, I was telling you earlier how the dealers that are facilitating and | ||
1016 | |1015 |01:31:15 ~-~-> 01:31:19 |executing the orders for large entities that are not necessarily always trading | ||
1017 | |1016 |01:31:19 ~-~-> 01:31:23 |for the purpose of trading for profit. They're not out there trading competing | ||
1018 | |1017 |01:31:23 ~-~-> 01:31:30 |against you. They just are holding risk or their window dressing their | ||
1019 | |1018 |01:31:30 ~-~-> 01:31:35 |portfolio. They're cycling through and reappropriating things in other assets | ||
1020 | |1019 |01:31:35 ~-~-> 01:31:38 |classes and other other instruments. So if they're trying to unload something or | ||
1021 | |1020 |01:31:38 ~-~-> 01:31:44 |acquire it, the dealer will facilitate their requirements and expectations by | ||
1022 | |1021 |01:31:44 ~-~-> 01:31:47 |pushing the orders through with these very high volume times. And that's | ||
1023 | |1022 |01:31:47 ~-~-> 01:31:51 |what's going on. Okay, that's exactly what's going on. You're not going to see | ||
1024 | |1023 |01:31:51 ~-~-> 01:31:54 |it on your fucking books. You're not going to hear some Joe Schmo on the | ||
1025 | |1024 |01:31:54 ~-~-> 01:31:57 |fucking internet tell you this is what is going on, but that's exactly what's | ||
1026 | |1025 |01:31:57 ~-~-> 01:32:00 |going on. Okay, so when you had this perfect storm of all this order flow | ||
1027 | |1026 |01:32:00 ~-~-> 01:32:06 |coming in that is not causing the market going down, they're utilizing that high | ||
1028 | |1027 |01:32:06 ~-~-> 01:32:11 |volume, okay, not high volume, that high traffic time, where there's more | ||
1029 | |1028 |01:32:11 ~-~-> 01:32:16 |participation. It's easy to throw those orders into the marketplace. They're | ||
1030 | |1029 |01:32:16 ~-~-> 01:32:20 |they're consumed quickly. And it doesn't mean that the market's going to go | ||
1031 | |1030 |01:32:20 ~-~-> 01:32:23 |really high or really low, because they push that volume in. Remember that big | ||
1032 | |1031 |01:32:23 ~-~-> 01:32:27 |volume is being broken up throughout the day, throughout the morning, throughout | ||
1033 | |1032 |01:32:27 ~-~-> 01:32:32 |the several hours they're pushing those orders in. You're not going to get a | ||
1034 | |1033 |01:32:32 ~-~-> 01:32:37 |company like I don't even want to put a person's or company name out there. It's | ||
1035 | |1034 |01:32:37 ~-~-> 01:32:41 |just a large conglomerate, large entity that would be trading very, very large. | ||
1036 | |1035 |01:32:42 ~-~-> 01:32:45 |Their entire order is not getting pushed through on one one pass through. They're | ||
1037 | |1036 |01:32:45 ~-~-> 01:32:51 |not just saying, Hey, you sell me, you know, $15 billion worth of Spoos. You | ||
1038 | |1037 |01:32:51 ~-~-> 01:32:55 |know, at the market, they're never doing it. That's never happening, okay? So | ||
1039 | |1038 |01:32:55 ~-~-> 01:32:59 |what they'll do is they, they know that their dealer has been given | ||
1040 | |1039 |01:32:59 ~-~-> 01:33:07 |instructions, okay to facilitate that request, but average cost needs to be a | ||
1041 | |1040 |01:33:07 ~-~-> 01:33:12 |part of it. They're not willing to have this position either accumulated or | ||
1042 | |1041 |01:33:12 ~-~-> 01:33:18 |distributed without at least factoring in some measure of value that they're | ||
1043 | |1042 |01:33:18 ~-~-> 01:33:23 |hoping to hold on to or acquire in purchasing it. So that's what's really | ||
1044 | |1043 |01:33:23 ~-~-> 01:33:27 |going on, that's behind the scenes. That's what's going on with these times, | ||
1045 | |1044 |01:33:27 ~-~-> 01:33:32 |and what the order flow is coming through, it's doing. And that's not | ||
1046 | |1045 |01:33:32 ~-~-> 01:33:35 |going to cause price to go up and down. It's just going to be that much more of | ||
1047 | |1046 |01:33:36 ~-~-> 01:33:39 |Time and Sales being booked and printed. But the price is going to go where the | ||
1048 | |1047 |01:33:39 ~-~-> 01:33:43 |price is going to go, and they have no control over it. You don't have any | ||
1049 | |1048 |01:33:43 ~-~-> 01:33:49 |control over it. And we're looking for the maximum damage. Where can it move | ||
1050 | |1049 |01:33:49 ~-~-> 01:33:55 |the most to hurt whoever's been making money? Okay? So I would love to keep can | ||
1051 | |1050 |01:33:55 ~-~-> 01:33:59 |talk. Keep on talking. I really want to. I've already went over more than I want | ||
1052 | |1051 |01:33:59 ~-~-> 01:34:02 |to do my time. So I'm going to close this one. Wish you all very pleasant | ||
1053 | |1052 |01:34:02 ~-~-> 01:34:07 |day. I will be back with you tomorrow, Lord willing, at 925, ish tomorrow, | ||
1054 | |1053 |01:34:07 ~-~-> 01:34:11 |we'll meet again, and I'll give you some information about macros and | ||
1055 | |1054 |01:34:11 ~-~-> 01:34:13 |algorithmic. Parcel Larry, until talk to you, then be safe. You. |