Wiki source code of ICT YT - 2024-09-19 - ICT 2024 Mentorship - Lecture 30
Last modified by Drunk Monkey on 2024-09-25 09:33
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2 | |1 |00:00:26 ~-~-> 00:00:35 |ICT: Well, good morning, folks. How are you welcome? Welcome, welcome. Just | ||
3 | |2 |00:00:35 ~-~-> 00:00:48 |waiting for the opening tick here so I can get the I me open the ranks gap. See | ||
4 | |3 |00:00:48 ~-~-> 00:00:50 |if I can hear this old man talking | ||
5 | |4 |00:01:02 ~-~-> 00:01:09 |four more seconds. All right, there we go. | ||
6 | |5 |00:01:15 ~-~-> 00:01:19 |All right, so we have a mid gap, 19,008, 43, I | ||
7 | |6 |00:01:26 ~-~-> 00:01:38 |so in Upper charts, and I wanted to do that for the micro NASDAQ as well. So | ||
8 | |7 |00:01:38 ~-~-> 00:01:43 |for folks that don't have the amount of capital that's required to trade a mini | ||
9 | |8 |00:01:43 ~-~-> 00:01:51 |contract. Good morning again, by the way. Hope you're doing well. You can | ||
10 | |9 |00:01:51 ~-~-> 00:01:56 |trade the micro, and you can actually do very well trading just the micro. And | ||
11 | |10 |00:01:56 ~-~-> 00:02:01 |we're going to compare and contrast what we see in relationship between the two. | ||
12 | |11 |00:02:16 ~-~-> 00:02:20 |Upper left, I'm sorry, upper right hand corner chart is the micro December | ||
13 | |12 |00:02:20 ~-~-> 00:02:29 |contract, and it's a 15 second chart. And the lower right is the 15 second | ||
14 | |13 |00:02:29 ~-~-> 00:02:35 |chart of the mini December contract for NQ one minute charts, respectively. On | ||
15 | |14 |00:02:35 ~-~-> 00:02:40 |the left hand side, micro NASDAQ for December delivery. Upper left, lower | ||
16 | |15 |00:02:40 ~-~-> 00:02:46 |left is December contract for the Mini. | ||
17 | |16 |00:02:57 ~-~-> 00:03:05 |Okay, so really large opening range gap always give the chance for the market to | ||
18 | |17 |00:03:05 ~-~-> 00:03:10 |try to give the public some reason to chase it when there's a huge gap like | ||
19 | |18 |00:03:10 ~-~-> 00:03:10 |that. | ||
20 | |19 |00:03:19 ~-~-> 00:03:26 |I have an appointment I have to be at today, so I will certainly do my best to | ||
21 | |20 |00:03:26 ~-~-> 00:03:31 |do a execution. If I have to do it on a 15 second, I will, but I'm trying to use | ||
22 | |21 |00:03:31 ~-~-> 00:03:40 |the one minute for my execution. If I can't do one today during the session, | ||
23 | |22 |00:03:40 ~-~-> 00:03:43 |I'll try to do my best to come in and do the afternoon last hour, I'll live | ||
24 | |23 |00:03:43 ~-~-> 00:03:48 |stream that. So if I can get an execution off win or lose during the | ||
25 | |24 |00:03:48 ~-~-> 00:03:55 |live stream the if I get one this morning, I won't be on the last hour, | ||
26 | |25 |00:03:55 ~-~-> 00:03:58 |trading in a live stream today. But if I can't get one, then I will live stream | ||
27 | |26 |00:03:58 ~-~-> 00:04:02 |this afternoon. But I absolutely have to close the stream today at 1030 so | ||
28 | |27 |00:04:04 ~-~-> 00:04:08 |usually I'll say that stuff and I'll stay longer, but that can't happen | ||
29 | |28 |00:04:08 ~-~-> 00:04:10 |today. Absolutely have to get out of | ||
30 | |29 |00:04:19 ~-~-> 00:04:24 |here. Okay, so look at this huge gap in here. Upper left hand corner will | ||
31 | |30 |00:04:27 ~-~-> 00:04:38 |graphically depict that with this here huge gap. And obviously the same thing | ||
32 | |31 |00:04:38 ~-~-> 00:04:41 |appears here in the mini | ||
33 | |32 |00:04:47 ~-~-> 00:04:53 |so, as most of you know, last week or so, we were really eyeballing that | ||
34 | |33 |00:04:55 ~-~-> 00:05:03 |August 27 through to August 29 2024 and. A 60 minute relative equal highs on | ||
35 | |34 |00:05:03 ~-~-> 00:05:12 |NASDAQ, and when we rolled over Tuesday for September's delivery to December's | ||
36 | |35 |00:05:12 ~-~-> 00:05:17 |delivery, that means we're no longer trading or watching the September | ||
37 | |36 |00:05:17 ~-~-> 00:05:21 |contract. We're watching the December contract. And I failed to mention what | ||
38 | |37 |00:05:21 ~-~-> 00:05:32 |the catalyst was for me to determine the rollover, and I'm watching this over | ||
39 | |38 |00:05:32 ~-~-> 00:05:41 |here. You guys are always trying to call me throwing the live streams, and I'm | ||
40 | |39 |00:05:41 ~-~-> 00:05:50 |not interested in talking to you, so stop doing that. That's the problem with | ||
41 | |40 |00:05:50 ~-~-> 00:05:54 |the Freedom of Information Act. Everybody can do a search, but I'm gonna | ||
42 | |41 |00:05:54 ~-~-> 00:05:59 |get a phone number here shortly that's not linked to me at all, and this phone | ||
43 | |42 |00:05:59 ~-~-> 00:06:08 |number is gonna go away because you all have abused it. All right, so we have a | ||
44 | |43 |00:06:08 ~-~-> 00:06:16 |lot of range between where we opened all the way down to mid gap. So 19,008 | ||
45 | |44 |00:06:17 ~-~-> 00:06:28 |43.50, and 18,000 I'm sorry, 19,008 44 and a half for the micro. So they're | ||
46 | |45 |00:06:28 ~-~-> 00:06:33 |very close. It's only off by a tick, or no, I'm sorry, a full, full handle. So | ||
47 | |46 |00:06:33 ~-~-> 00:06:43 |it's 44.5 for the micro. And the mini shown is 843, and a half. I'm | ||
48 | |47 |00:07:07 ~-~-> 00:07:15 |now, just for the sake of your notes and whatnot, if we weren't seeing such a | ||
49 | |48 |00:07:16 ~-~-> 00:07:23 |several 100 handle opening gap this area, right here on the 15 second chart. | ||
50 | |49 |00:07:23 ~-~-> 00:07:26 |I would have already used that for institutional overflow entry drill, so I | ||
51 | |50 |00:07:26 ~-~-> 00:07:30 |would already have a initial position on but because it's such a large gap, I'm | ||
52 | |51 |00:07:30 ~-~-> 00:07:35 |giving a chance for the market to try to make an attempt to run on its initial | ||
53 | |52 |00:07:35 ~-~-> 00:07:43 |high, there's plenty of range there. As I, as I showed the other day during | ||
54 | |53 |00:07:43 ~-~-> 00:07:53 |FOMC, if I was watching another YouTuber cover what he does and wasn't trading | ||
55 | |54 |00:07:53 ~-~-> 00:07:58 |until the last few minutes when I was going to leave that YouTuber stream, I | ||
56 | |55 |00:07:58 ~-~-> 00:08:05 |just put something on shared it on my Twitter. Or x again, I refuse to call it | ||
57 | |56 |00:08:05 ~-~-> 00:08:07 |excellent. Something needs sense. Sounds pornographic. I | ||
58 | |57 |00:08:25 ~-~-> 00:08:30 |uh, the execution I'll do today on the micro. I have been asked several times, | ||
59 | |58 |00:08:30 ~-~-> 00:08:38 |can I do it on the micro, and how can we use the CFDs that I will do that | ||
60 | |59 |00:08:38 ~-~-> 00:08:47 |tomorrow. So the topic for trading, the US 100 the US 500 and US 30. We'll put | ||
61 | |60 |00:08:47 ~-~-> 00:08:52 |the chart side by side, and I'll, I'll read it with you live, so that we, for | ||
62 | |61 |00:08:52 ~-~-> 00:08:57 |the folks that can't trade the futures market, and you're kind of like, stuck | ||
63 | |62 |00:08:57 ~-~-> 00:09:01 |to just doing CFD trading, like like Tom, who guard, for instance, he trades | ||
64 | |63 |00:09:01 ~-~-> 00:09:07 |the CFD markets. But as Americans, we're not legally allowed to trade them, okay, | ||
65 | |64 |00:09:07 ~-~-> 00:09:11 |which is why, I think it's kind of funny how you know other influencers will say | ||
66 | |65 |00:09:11 ~-~-> 00:09:14 |they're making this much money trading CFDs. How do you how do you justify | ||
67 | |66 |00:09:15 ~-~-> 00:09:18 |where that money's coming from? Because you're not legally allowed to do that in | ||
68 | |67 |00:09:18 ~-~-> 00:09:28 |United States. Just a little reason to make you wonder. Okay, so far, that's | ||
69 | |68 |00:09:28 ~-~-> 00:09:33 |what I was explaining earlier. If we didn't have that multi, several 100 | ||
70 | |69 |00:09:33 ~-~-> 00:09:42 |handle gap up, if it was say, like a 60 handle, 50 handle, certainly 40 handles, | ||
71 | |70 |00:09:43 ~-~-> 00:09:47 |if it would have gap just that much from yesterday's settlement price this right | ||
72 | |71 |00:09:48 ~-~-> 00:09:52 |here, that would have been an entry for me. But because it's like this, we have | ||
73 | |72 |00:09:52 ~-~-> 00:09:59 |that really, really large opening range, gap always give the opportunity for the | ||
74 | |73 |00:09:59 ~-~-> 00:10:03 |mark. To do like this, okay, I'm winding down a little bit and then start running | ||
75 | |74 |00:10:03 ~-~-> 00:10:08 |and take out the high, because it could continuously keep going higher. And I | ||
76 | |75 |00:10:08 ~-~-> 00:10:15 |expect that type of thing to happen, because I look at that as an an amazing | ||
77 | |76 |00:10:15 ~-~-> 00:10:20 |track for retail to say, Yeah, I want to keep going. It's broke out. Just think | ||
78 | |77 |00:10:20 ~-~-> 00:10:25 |about like that. Most traders that are retail perspective minded, they like | ||
79 | |78 |00:10:25 ~-~-> 00:10:28 |breakouts. They like confirmation type setups where something has done | ||
80 | |79 |00:10:28 ~-~-> 00:10:32 |something it's moved already. Like, for instance, they now they see this, and | ||
81 | |80 |00:10:32 ~-~-> 00:10:37 |they want to be a buyer now. So they like to chase, they like to use | ||
82 | |81 |00:10:37 ~-~-> 00:10:42 |breakouts. And, you know, buying about above old high, you're basically buying | ||
83 | |82 |00:10:42 ~-~-> 00:10:46 |something that's already been moving up. And how are you going to have a | ||
84 | |83 |00:10:46 ~-~-> 00:10:51 |reasonable stop loss when you're buying at the highest high, at the time of the | ||
85 | |84 |00:10:51 ~-~-> 00:10:57 |session? How much of retracement Are you going to absorb? So it's it doesn't make | ||
86 | |85 |00:10:57 ~-~-> 00:11:02 |sense, but it also affords you the comfort of managing that fear, of | ||
87 | |86 |00:11:02 ~-~-> 00:11:07 |missing out, or impatience, just simply wait. Let them take the initial high | ||
88 | |87 |00:11:07 ~-~-> 00:11:12 |out. If they don't, there's plenty of opportunity to get into the move with a | ||
89 | |88 |00:11:12 ~-~-> 00:11:16 |15 second chart. There's plenty of fear value gaps to trade off of. There's | ||
90 | |89 |00:11:16 ~-~-> 00:11:20 |plenty of micro structure turtle suits, where they runs up and takes out short | ||
91 | |90 |00:11:20 ~-~-> 00:11:23 |term highs. You don't have to rush to get into it. | ||
92 | |91 |00:11:29 ~-~-> 00:11:33 |Okay? So there's the initial highs being taken. So once more, having an | ||
93 | |92 |00:11:33 ~-~-> 00:11:38 |understanding of what we're looking for, versus impulsively chasing see how it | ||
94 | |93 |00:11:38 ~-~-> 00:11:42 |gives you it gives you a peace of mind, comfort. You don't have to be doing | ||
95 | |94 |00:11:42 ~-~-> 00:11:46 |something right away just because the market starts trading. Go here and check | ||
96 | |95 |00:11:46 ~-~-> 00:11:46 |this | ||
97 | |96 |00:11:54 ~-~-> 00:12:00 |one in char here, I'm I | ||
98 | |97 |00:12:08 ~-~-> 00:12:11 |see them out just me, let's apologize. These are all things that would have | ||
99 | |98 |00:12:11 ~-~-> 00:12:19 |been see that I incorporated the volume of ounce because I have my good glasses | ||
100 | |99 |00:12:19 ~-~-> 00:12:26 |on today, not the old ones. All right, so you can't use this candlestick. And | ||
101 | |100 |00:12:26 ~-~-> 00:12:35 |31 no gap. 32 and no gap. 33 no gap, no gap, no gap, no Yes. So this is first | ||
102 | |101 |00:12:35 ~-~-> 00:12:45 |presented fair value gap, and we'll extend that to the right. And for now, | ||
103 | |102 |00:12:45 ~-~-> 00:12:51 |we'll just keep it gray. That way. We're not trying to entice any kind of | ||
104 | |103 |00:13:01 ~-~-> 00:13:04 |right. And the same thing for the micro | ||
105 | |104 |00:13:09 ~-~-> 00:13:12 |issue, first presented fair value got in the micro contract. I | ||
106 | |105 |00:13:23 ~-~-> 00:13:27 |so we have taken out the initial high of the day after a very large range gap | ||
107 | |106 |00:13:27 ~-~-> 00:13:33 |opening. We're not rushing, and we're just going to simply relax and let price | ||
108 | |107 |00:13:35 ~-~-> 00:13:41 |give us a scenario that we can trust, and I'll explain what that would look | ||
109 | |108 |00:13:41 ~-~-> 00:13:43 |like when it's presented to me. | ||
110 | |109 |00:13:58 ~-~-> 00:14:05 |So we got our 19,926 level I was working with my private group last night, and | ||
111 | |110 |00:14:09 ~-~-> 00:14:18 |we're able to capture a lot of that that run up. Alright? So now we have | ||
112 | |111 |00:14:22 ~-~-> 00:14:24 |validated any breakout traders going along to | ||
113 | |112 |00:14:36 ~-~-> 00:14:40 |anyone that bought on the breakout you think they feel comfortable right now or | ||
114 | |113 |00:14:40 ~-~-> 00:14:47 |inside of the initial Fairbank gap between 931 10 o'clock from the opening | ||
115 | |114 |00:14:47 ~-~-> 00:14:56 |range consequent encroachment should have been treated to just about if not. | ||
116 | |115 |00:15:00 ~-~-> 00:15:03 |It's got real close to it. We'll call it Yes. I | ||
117 | |116 |00:15:30 ~-~-> 00:15:35 |so there's a couple things that can it could use here, where it could use the | ||
118 | |117 |00:15:36 ~-~-> 00:15:40 |constant correction of the initial freeway gap, then rally up into touch | ||
119 | |118 |00:15:40 ~-~-> 00:15:45 |this one here, or if we leave this all together, come back up and then work the | ||
120 | |119 |00:15:45 ~-~-> 00:15:53 |lower half of this gap and treat it as an inversion for Vega. Traders are | ||
121 | |120 |00:15:53 ~-~-> 00:16:00 |caught long buying above this breakout here. All this is retail buying that and | ||
122 | |121 |00:16:01 ~-~-> 00:16:03 |sell side is right here. | ||
123 | |122 |00:16:11 ~-~-> 00:16:16 |If you don't mind, I'm just going to work with this single chart because it's | ||
124 | |123 |00:16:16 ~-~-> 00:16:20 |a little too much going on. I'm and | ||
125 | |124 |00:16:31 ~-~-> 00:16:39 |again, we're favoring the the likelihood that we could draw back down into mid | ||
126 | |125 |00:16:39 ~-~-> 00:16:44 |gap, which is a good distance down here. Okay, so it's a lot of range to get down | ||
127 | |126 |00:16:44 ~-~-> 00:16:47 |there. Doesn't mean it's going to do it today's session. Doesn't mean it's going | ||
128 | |127 |00:16:47 ~-~-> 00:16:55 |to do it in the morning session, see where the bodies are here, mid part, | ||
129 | |128 |00:16:55 ~-~-> 00:16:59 |midpoint of this first gap, And then we're up into this inefficiency right | ||
130 | |129 |00:16:59 ~-~-> 00:16:59 |here. I'm | ||
131 | |130 |00:17:23 ~-~-> 00:17:26 |okay. Now watch the midpoint of this here. I'm | ||
132 | |131 |00:17:50 ~-~-> 00:17:50 |a setting as well. | ||
133 | |132 |00:18:01 ~-~-> 00:18:03 |Terrible, terrible, terrible feel. | ||
134 | |133 |00:18:17 ~-~-> 00:18:23 |Want to see price stay in the lower half down here and aggressively run below | ||
135 | |134 |00:18:23 ~-~-> 00:18:24 |this low here. | ||
136 | |135 |00:18:37 ~-~-> 00:18:38 |Don't copy me. I'm | ||
137 | |136 |00:19:02 ~-~-> 00:19:08 |using the micro contract is very, very forgiving, and that should be there so, | ||
138 | |137 |00:19:08 ~-~-> 00:19:08 |so | ||
139 | |138 |00:19:16 ~-~-> 00:19:20 |you don't have to be as precise. I was trying to capture it as it was hitting | ||
140 | |139 |00:19:20 ~-~-> 00:19:24 |the lowest part of this to illustrate how you don't have to have a lot of risk | ||
141 | |140 |00:19:24 ~-~-> 00:19:28 |going versus if you try to tell you what a meaning you want to be a little bit | ||
142 | |141 |00:19:28 ~-~-> 00:19:34 |more precise. So in the beginning, you're not going to be comfortable | ||
143 | |142 |00:19:34 ~-~-> 00:19:39 |selling it as it goes right up into this gap, and you may get stopped out. And | ||
144 | |143 |00:19:39 ~-~-> 00:19:42 |there's nothing to be afraid of if you get stopped out. Caleb, I'm showing you | ||
145 | |144 |00:19:42 ~-~-> 00:19:49 |how to work with graduated understanding, if plenty enough, plenty | ||
146 | |145 |00:19:49 ~-~-> 00:19:51 |time getting here and take other executions you. | ||
147 | |146 |00:20:08 ~-~-> 00:20:12 |So think about this high right here to this high. | ||
148 | |147 |00:20:20 ~-~-> 00:20:40 |Sorry, I this old high, because we had a large gap, several 100 handles higher. | ||
149 | |148 |00:20:42 ~-~-> 00:20:49 |It's likely to do this very thing, where it'll drop down initially create some | ||
150 | |149 |00:20:49 ~-~-> 00:20:53 |kind of oversold condition for indicators, some some kind of oversold, | ||
151 | |150 |00:20:53 ~-~-> 00:20:58 |maybe a divergence of some kind harmonic traders, something to that effect. | ||
152 | |151 |00:20:58 ~-~-> 00:21:02 |They'll see it, it's, it's just a cheap price, okay? And then they'll send it | ||
153 | |152 |00:21:02 ~-~-> 00:21:06 |higher, taking out that high. So traders that want to be long on a breakout, | ||
154 | |153 |00:21:06 ~-~-> 00:21:12 |because they see how big the move has happened from yesterday to where we're | ||
155 | |154 |00:21:12 ~-~-> 00:21:19 |at today. If, if they place their orders here to buy on a breakout, those | ||
156 | |155 |00:21:19 ~-~-> 00:21:27 |actually become filled and they're hot. Now, up above here, see that in the | ||
157 | |156 |00:21:27 ~-~-> 00:21:32 |market breaks lower, and we had two fair value gaps. So this is model 2022, | ||
158 | |157 |00:21:32 ~-~-> 00:21:36 |stuff. Case you ever study that this is what this is. If you have a fair value | ||
159 | |158 |00:21:36 ~-~-> 00:21:40 |gap here, but there's another smaller one just above it, always expect that | ||
160 | |159 |00:21:40 ~-~-> 00:21:43 |it's going to go up into the SEC the higher one, and it's stabbed into it | ||
161 | |160 |00:21:43 ~-~-> 00:21:55 |there. See that? So, initial fair value gap model, 2022, first. Then we traded | ||
162 | |161 |00:21:55 ~-~-> 00:22:00 |down, and I was trying to time at the low, because I wanted to show the lowest | ||
163 | |162 |00:22:01 ~-~-> 00:22:05 |entry in this first fair value guy. But this is actually even better, because it | ||
164 | |163 |00:22:05 ~-~-> 00:22:10 |was outside of that. So you can see out it's already very forgiving. Some of you | ||
165 | |164 |00:22:10 ~-~-> 00:22:13 |that live in third world nations, and I don't mean that to be mean or anything | ||
166 | |165 |00:22:13 ~-~-> 00:22:19 |like that, but it's just the truth. You know $65 you know, $80 or so is a big | ||
167 | |166 |00:22:19 ~-~-> 00:22:27 |deal where you're at and just trading with one micro contract can make the the | ||
168 | |167 |00:22:27 ~-~-> 00:22:34 |grocery bill a lot easier to pay for so when you're starting out, you can set | ||
169 | |168 |00:22:34 ~-~-> 00:22:40 |things in motion for an objective that's just trying to get One single micro | ||
170 | |169 |00:22:40 ~-~-> 00:22:48 |contract to yield you 75 to $100 and then have that be a goal every single | ||
171 | |170 |00:22:48 ~-~-> 00:22:56 |day, and if you can get to that point where it's not, it's not something | ||
172 | |171 |00:22:56 ~-~-> 00:23:00 |that's difficult for you, you're not worried about the money. Okay? You're | ||
173 | |172 |00:23:00 ~-~-> 00:23:04 |not worried about the money. You're not worried about the fear of being wrong or | ||
174 | |173 |00:23:04 ~-~-> 00:23:09 |or the necessity of being right in front of your peers. You're in this little | ||
175 | |174 |00:23:09 ~-~-> 00:23:14 |laboratory experiment setting, and now, because you can see that you can take | ||
176 | |175 |00:23:14 ~-~-> 00:23:18 |your profit, you can move to sidelines here or right now. Caleb, I want you to | ||
177 | |176 |00:23:18 ~-~-> 00:23:24 |think about if you don't take it if you don't take the profit and close it at 75 | ||
178 | |177 |00:23:24 ~-~-> 00:23:30 |to $100 what does it feel like knowing that that is the threshold that you're | ||
179 | |178 |00:23:30 ~-~-> 00:23:34 |aiming for, but you don't take the profit and just roll your stop? What | ||
180 | |179 |00:23:34 ~-~-> 00:23:37 |does it feel like to stay with the trade? Is it easy for you to hold on to | ||
181 | |180 |00:23:37 ~-~-> 00:23:41 |it? Is it hard for you to hold on to it? Do you feel any kind of regret anytime | ||
182 | |181 |00:23:41 ~-~-> 00:23:46 |the candlestick starts moving back towards your stop loss or your entry? Do | ||
183 | |182 |00:23:46 ~-~-> 00:23:52 |you feel any kind of I wish I would have gotten out or I wish I would have had a | ||
184 | |183 |00:23:52 ~-~-> 00:23:56 |bigger position on Look how nice this thing dropped down. These are all the | ||
185 | |184 |00:23:56 ~-~-> 00:23:58 |things that you're supposed to be journaling. So you want to take | ||
186 | |185 |00:23:58 ~-~-> 00:24:04 |screenshots of this. You can, you can use dad's chart here right now, but you | ||
187 | |186 |00:24:04 ~-~-> 00:24:10 |want to record like all in these open spaces here, up in here, all this area | ||
188 | |187 |00:24:10 ~-~-> 00:24:14 |here, you want to record what it feels like for you when you're in the trade. | ||
189 | |188 |00:24:14 ~-~-> 00:24:21 |And the parameters would be, if you get $75 to $100 using the micro, you're not | ||
190 | |189 |00:24:21 ~-~-> 00:24:27 |using the Mini. You're only using one contract. You can clearly see it offered | ||
191 | |190 |00:24:27 ~-~-> 00:24:30 |it to you. But we're saying hypothetically, you're not going to do | ||
192 | |191 |00:24:30 ~-~-> 00:24:35 |that. You're going to try to stick with does it want to reach to a little bit | ||
193 | |192 |00:24:35 ~-~-> 00:24:41 |lower, which is the upper quadrant level here on the opening range gap. So this | ||
194 | |193 |00:24:41 ~-~-> 00:24:46 |would be just a a logical price level to see it. Want to reach for. But do you | ||
195 | |194 |00:24:46 ~-~-> 00:24:52 |have the patience presently to hold on to it and disregard anything that | ||
196 | |195 |00:24:52 ~-~-> 00:24:55 |happens in price? Because if it comes back up and hits the stop loss, it's | ||
197 | |196 |00:24:55 ~-~-> 00:25:00 |not, it's not a losing trade. You didn't lose anything, but it's giving. You the | ||
198 | |197 |00:25:00 ~-~-> 00:25:04 |experience that everyone else and I can tell you this with my own students, they | ||
199 | |198 |00:25:04 ~-~-> 00:25:08 |try to avoid these types of learning experiences because they wanted to be | ||
200 | |199 |00:25:09 ~-~-> 00:25:12 |get me in, let me make money. I don't want to get stopped out, and I wanted to | ||
201 | |200 |00:25:12 ~-~-> 00:25:16 |go right to my target real fast. And this is the stuff that you learn to do | ||
202 | |201 |00:25:17 ~-~-> 00:25:22 |better. Trading is done through these types of things here, having measured | ||
203 | |202 |00:25:22 ~-~-> 00:25:26 |approaches, laboratory experiments, basically where you're you're going in | ||
204 | |203 |00:25:27 ~-~-> 00:25:33 |with a minimum expectation. The draw is mid gap in the first 10, sorry, the | ||
205 | |204 |00:25:33 ~-~-> 00:25:38 |first 30 minutes. That's, that's what you're trying to aim for. So you're | ||
206 | |205 |00:25:38 ~-~-> 00:25:42 |using that built in little 70% advantage. It doesn't mean it's going to | ||
207 | |206 |00:25:42 ~-~-> 00:25:46 |go to mid gap today. Doesn't mean that it won't go higher. It could take the | ||
208 | |207 |00:25:46 ~-~-> 00:25:51 |high up, but you need to record what it feels like for you. Are you feeling the | ||
209 | |208 |00:25:51 ~-~-> 00:25:59 |excitement, or are you feeling the fear, the anxiety, or the, I guess, the the | ||
210 | |209 |00:25:59 ~-~-> 00:26:04 |uncertainty. If it's too much for you, you need to record that initially and | ||
211 | |210 |00:26:04 ~-~-> 00:26:09 |over time, doing these things, you'll find that it gets it's faster for it to | ||
212 | |211 |00:26:09 ~-~-> 00:26:20 |not be present. Here comes a stop. Almost got it. Come on. Come on. You. It | ||
213 | |212 |00:26:25 ~-~-> 00:26:31 |now, not taking the partial, not I'm sorry, not taking the profit. You have | ||
214 | |213 |00:26:31 ~-~-> 00:26:37 |to record. What do you feel? Do you feel regret? Do you feel that it was | ||
215 | |214 |00:26:37 ~-~-> 00:26:43 |advantageous to follow the model enough to know that 75 to $100 is offered to | ||
216 | |215 |00:26:43 ~-~-> 00:26:47 |you, and you don't even need to get to a target that would be either the upper | ||
217 | |216 |00:26:47 ~-~-> 00:26:55 |quadrant or the mid gap. Using the logic over here, mid gap of the first | ||
218 | |217 |00:26:55 ~-~-> 00:27:01 |presented fair value gap on the one minute chart, the logic was there, poor | ||
219 | |218 |00:27:01 ~-~-> 00:27:10 |execution entry still afforded 75 to $100 in a micro if you relax and allow, | ||
220 | |219 |00:27:10 ~-~-> 00:27:15 |and this is for everyone else that's watching, if you relax and allow that to | ||
221 | |220 |00:27:15 ~-~-> 00:27:21 |be your initial targets to start with just trying to get In and finding this | ||
222 | |221 |00:27:21 ~-~-> 00:27:26 |once a day, and when you get it, don't push the demo again, but you can just | ||
223 | |222 |00:27:26 ~-~-> 00:27:30 |taper it after that. These are all exercises I gave for my students when we | ||
224 | |223 |00:27:30 ~-~-> 00:27:39 |were teaching primarily Forex, and it was not received as well as I thought it | ||
225 | |224 |00:27:39 ~-~-> 00:27:42 |would, because it gives you a context of what it is you're doing in front of the | ||
226 | |225 |00:27:42 ~-~-> 00:27:48 |price action. If you're going to just sit in the charts and just stare into | ||
227 | |226 |00:27:48 ~-~-> 00:27:53 |the ether and not know what you're looking for, you have to experiment. You | ||
228 | |227 |00:27:53 ~-~-> 00:27:56 |have to engage with price action, and you have to use the rules that I taught | ||
229 | |228 |00:27:56 ~-~-> 00:28:01 |in in the content, what things support an idea for the price to go higher or | ||
230 | |229 |00:28:01 ~-~-> 00:28:06 |lower, what is the time of the day you're trading? What characteristics are | ||
231 | |230 |00:28:06 ~-~-> 00:28:11 |there around that time of day? So if you're just going in here blindly, just | ||
232 | |231 |00:28:11 ~-~-> 00:28:14 |watching other live streamers, or if you're in here just trying to chase | ||
233 | |232 |00:28:14 ~-~-> 00:28:17 |after price, you're never you're never going to get better at doing that. | ||
234 | |233 |00:28:17 ~-~-> 00:28:21 |You're just going to stay doing just that. And you never learn how to trust | ||
235 | |234 |00:28:21 ~-~-> 00:28:24 |your own decision making. You won't trust the rules because you're not | ||
236 | |235 |00:28:24 ~-~-> 00:28:31 |applying them in a very small, low risk, low yield in terms of excitement | ||
237 | |236 |00:28:31 ~-~-> 00:28:35 |conditions. So we went back up and touched the bottom of that fair value | ||
238 | |237 |00:28:35 ~-~-> 00:28:41 |gap here, and again, we're on a 15 second chart, so sell side now has moved | ||
239 | |238 |00:28:41 ~-~-> 00:28:47 |down to here, and we're focusing primarily on the return back into | ||
240 | |239 |00:28:47 ~-~-> 00:28:50 |discounts. So that's going to be this upper quadrant level. This blue line | ||
241 | |240 |00:28:50 ~-~-> 00:29:00 |here is the upper 75% level of the highest high to the next quadrant | ||
242 | |241 |00:29:00 ~-~-> 00:29:06 |measurement of the total opening range gap, and that's below so below this low | ||
243 | |242 |00:29:06 ~-~-> 00:29:12 |here, if we drop down to tack tack this South Side liquid pool, it could trade | ||
244 | |243 |00:29:12 ~-~-> 00:29:20 |down below that into the upper quadrant level, is what I'm saying. And you look | ||
245 | |244 |00:29:20 ~-~-> 00:29:24 |for it. And I'm sorry I didn't say this earlier, but if you watched what I was | ||
246 | |245 |00:29:24 ~-~-> 00:29:31 |teaching on the other day, you want to see a 20 handle run potential for the | ||
247 | |246 |00:29:31 ~-~-> 00:29:37 |setup. So what I'm doing is I'm watching over here. We're going to go to 20,010 | ||
248 | |247 |00:29:38 ~-~-> 00:29:50 |even, and then that's 20 handles, okay, so what I'm looking for is where a fair | ||
249 | |248 |00:29:50 ~-~-> 00:29:56 |value gap, and this could be used for order blocks, it could be any of my PD | ||
250 | |249 |00:29:56 ~-~-> 00:30:00 |arrays. It's not just just a fair value gap, but any of my PD. Whatever one you | ||
251 | |250 |00:30:00 ~-~-> 00:30:06 |like to use to trade with. You first have to have the directional bias to | ||
252 | |251 |00:30:06 ~-~-> 00:30:09 |some degree, not for the whole day, not for the session, but you have to | ||
253 | |252 |00:30:09 ~-~-> 00:30:14 |something that tells you what you're aiming for. And we're electing to stay | ||
254 | |253 |00:30:14 ~-~-> 00:30:18 |with the 70% strike rate that it's likely to see it gravitate towards | ||
255 | |254 |00:30:18 ~-~-> 00:30:31 |middle of the opening range gap you so say, say you wanted to use the | ||
256 | |255 |00:30:31 ~-~-> 00:30:36 |institutional, I'm sorry, the immediate rebalance here, would that afford you | ||
257 | |256 |00:30:36 ~-~-> 00:30:41 |from that point here to get down to that low? Would that be 20 handles? Sure it | ||
258 | |257 |00:30:41 ~-~-> 00:30:46 |would be that's, that's a that's a range that could be used for an experiment of | ||
259 | |258 |00:30:46 ~-~-> 00:30:52 |watching how, using that level, tape reading it. How does it behave? Does it | ||
260 | |259 |00:30:52 ~-~-> 00:30:56 |run for this high here, back into the initial fair value gap, or is it break | ||
261 | |260 |00:30:56 ~-~-> 00:31:00 |below this aggressively and then start to accelerate through this inefficiency | ||
262 | |261 |00:31:00 ~-~-> 00:31:06 |intact that sell side. There has to be some kind of framework what you're | ||
263 | |262 |00:31:06 ~-~-> 00:31:11 |looking for. If you don't have it, then you shouldn't be all keyed up about what | ||
264 | |263 |00:31:11 ~-~-> 00:31:14 |price is doing. You shouldn't have any emotional response to what price is | ||
265 | |264 |00:31:14 ~-~-> 00:31:20 |doing ever. Doesn't mean you can't cheerlead yourself on when, when you've | ||
266 | |265 |00:31:20 ~-~-> 00:31:24 |done something well, but you shouldn't beat yourself up if you don't do | ||
267 | |266 |00:31:24 ~-~-> 00:31:28 |something right. Acknowledge the fact that you didn't do it right. Move on. | ||
268 | |267 |00:31:29 ~-~-> 00:31:32 |Identify key points where you can improve to hopefully avoid doing it | ||
269 | |268 |00:31:32 ~-~-> 00:31:40 |again, and journal that. So for the folks that are looking at their accounts | ||
270 | |269 |00:31:40 ~-~-> 00:31:44 |with the funded account companies, and you're out there trying to do these | ||
271 | |270 |00:31:44 ~-~-> 00:31:50 |massive, huge trades because you want to make a big payout real fast, that's the | ||
272 | |271 |00:31:50 ~-~-> 00:31:56 |worst thing to do, because if you don't take advantage of the opportunities of | ||
273 | |272 |00:31:56 ~-~-> 00:32:03 |building that account, $100 a day with very little risk, extremely low risk. | ||
274 | |273 |00:32:04 ~-~-> 00:32:09 |You won't feel emotional, you won't feel scared, you won't be you won't be afraid | ||
275 | |274 |00:32:09 ~-~-> 00:32:12 |to take any any trade, because the size that you're risking if you're wrong is | ||
276 | |275 |00:32:12 ~-~-> 00:32:20 |so minuscule, like some of those accounts. And I think if I'm and forgive | ||
277 | |276 |00:32:20 ~-~-> 00:32:24 |me if I say this wrong, but I think it's the lowest ones they offer you, like | ||
278 | |277 |00:32:25 ~-~-> 00:32:31 |$1,000 maximum loss or something, something to that effect. But when | ||
279 | |278 |00:32:31 ~-~-> 00:32:36 |you're risking 50 bucks or less on a trade and you're trying to make two to | ||
280 | |279 |00:32:36 ~-~-> 00:32:42 |one, you know, risk 50 to make 100 bucks. And once you do it, you stop, and | ||
281 | |280 |00:32:42 ~-~-> 00:32:46 |you do that for a few weeks until you get comfortable being able to do it. | ||
282 | |281 |00:32:46 ~-~-> 00:32:50 |Then you go for Okay, well, I want to try to do two of them if you're using | ||
283 | |282 |00:32:50 ~-~-> 00:32:55 |them one minute, five minute and 15 second time frame as your you know three | ||
284 | |283 |00:32:55 ~-~-> 00:33:00 |time frames that work with high frequency entries. You can do 200 300 | ||
285 | |284 |00:33:01 ~-~-> 00:33:05 |every single day, and never risk wild amounts of money. And then, because some | ||
286 | |285 |00:33:05 ~-~-> 00:33:09 |of you guys are doing these multiple layered up accounts where you know, | ||
287 | |286 |00:33:09 ~-~-> 00:33:16 |1015, 20 counts, it's easy to get these wild thresholds met, where you get a | ||
288 | |287 |00:33:16 ~-~-> 00:33:21 |withdrawal. But if you're in there trying to trade with big contracts, is | ||
289 | |288 |00:33:21 ~-~-> 00:33:26 |big, big contract sizes. I'm looking at these relative equal highs here. And | ||
290 | |289 |00:33:26 ~-~-> 00:33:33 |then we went back in here to the first Fairbank. Yeah. Just want to take a | ||
291 | |290 |00:33:33 ~-~-> 00:33:36 |quick look at the one minute in relationship. Because everything I'm | ||
292 | |291 |00:33:36 ~-~-> 00:33:39 |doing when I'm doing the live streams, I'm forcing myself to simply use one | ||
293 | |292 |00:33:39 ~-~-> 00:33:46 |screen, because that's kind of like the closest thing that you're doing. You | ||
294 | |293 |00:33:46 ~-~-> 00:33:49 |don't have all the other stuff that I have available to me. So I'm trying to | ||
295 | |294 |00:33:49 ~-~-> 00:33:53 |force myself just to use the minimum, the minimalist approach. | ||
296 | |295 |00:34:00 ~-~-> 00:34:03 |And again, some of you jokers out there that are watching this just say, Oh, | ||
297 | |296 |00:34:03 ~-~-> 00:34:07 |look at this. You know, that was a terrible feel. I'm trying to illustrate | ||
298 | |297 |00:34:07 ~-~-> 00:34:11 |how, in the beginning, Caleb, or anyone else that's new, you're not going to | ||
299 | |298 |00:34:11 ~-~-> 00:34:14 |time it correctly. Remember, in the beginning, I told you not to use the | ||
300 | |299 |00:34:14 ~-~-> 00:34:18 |limit orders. I want you to go in and market it in and then feel what that | ||
301 | |300 |00:34:18 ~-~-> 00:34:24 |feels like. Do you have regret about your entry. Do you have a sense of | ||
302 | |301 |00:34:24 ~-~-> 00:34:30 |accomplishment that you did a really good entry? So we're watching the high | ||
303 | |302 |00:34:30 ~-~-> 00:34:37 |end, top of that initial fair value gap over here on the one minute chart, upper | ||
304 | |303 |00:34:37 ~-~-> 00:34:44 |left hand chart, so we're back inside there. It can spike up and read, you | ||
305 | |304 |00:34:44 ~-~-> 00:34:48 |know, redeliver to the high of it. I just want to see the body state at the | ||
306 | |305 |00:34:48 ~-~-> 00:34:54 |middle point or below. And if we, if we can manage to do that and then roll | ||
307 | |306 |00:34:54 ~-~-> 00:34:57 |outside of it once more, then I think what we'll do is make an attempt to get | ||
308 | |307 |00:34:57 ~-~-> 00:35:02 |down into this inefficiency. And. Then attack the cell side here. Otherwise, | ||
309 | |308 |00:35:02 ~-~-> 00:35:08 |I'm not interested in going long. So if it rallies, it'll do it without me. | ||
310 | |309 |00:35:16 ~-~-> 00:35:21 |But the point is, is showing what you're measuring, how to time it using this the | ||
311 | |310 |00:35:21 ~-~-> 00:35:28 |setups. I mean, no one can deny the logic that's being showed here. I mean, | ||
312 | |311 |00:35:28 ~-~-> 00:35:32 |it clearly did exactly what I said this morning. I'm not trying to save face or | ||
313 | |312 |00:35:32 ~-~-> 00:35:36 |anything, but I just, I like to remind people, because they're constantly out | ||
314 | |313 |00:35:36 ~-~-> 00:35:42 |there trying to discourage you, or they'll say things that isn't true about | ||
315 | |314 |00:35:42 ~-~-> 00:35:51 |me, like I'm rebranding something else. Get your clicks, lady, but the buy stops | ||
316 | |315 |00:35:51 ~-~-> 00:35:54 |here, telling you they was going to run up there first. That gets the retail | ||
317 | |316 |00:35:54 ~-~-> 00:35:58 |traders trap. That's a real trap I've explained to in advance, before it | ||
318 | |317 |00:35:58 ~-~-> 00:36:04 |happened, and then trade down into the first presented fair Vega. I told you | ||
319 | |318 |00:36:04 ~-~-> 00:36:08 |what's about halfway of this, then shoot up into this upper gap here. And it | ||
320 | |319 |00:36:08 ~-~-> 00:36:12 |happened, that's the model 2022, entry. And then it sells off. And then we use | ||
321 | |320 |00:36:12 ~-~-> 00:36:15 |the midpoint and treat this as an inversion fair Vega, which is still it | ||
322 | |321 |00:36:16 ~-~-> 00:36:21 |should have been colored here when I went down to apologize, but it's, it's a | ||
323 | |322 |00:36:21 ~-~-> 00:36:25 |lot to talk about this over a 15 second chart and see what it is I'm expecting | ||
324 | |323 |00:36:26 ~-~-> 00:36:30 |frame in a statement that we it makes sense to you, hopefully, and I'm still | ||
325 | |324 |00:36:30 ~-~-> 00:36:36 |watching and navigating price. It's not as easy on a 15 second chart to stay up, | ||
326 | |325 |00:36:37 ~-~-> 00:36:41 |up to it and not say something correctly, or not say it as well as I | ||
327 | |326 |00:36:41 ~-~-> 00:36:47 |wished I would have, because I don't have benefit or luxury of time. Each | ||
328 | |327 |00:36:47 ~-~-> 00:36:52 |candlesticks painting quick. So it's not the fact that price is moving fast. This | ||
329 | |328 |00:36:52 ~-~-> 00:36:58 |is the framework around every individual candlestick is painting faster. So the | ||
330 | |329 |00:36:58 ~-~-> 00:37:04 |things I want to detail about those individual candlesticks. I have to have | ||
331 | |330 |00:37:04 ~-~-> 00:37:08 |my expectation known in advance, otherwise I'm not going to be able to | ||
332 | |331 |00:37:08 ~-~-> 00:37:11 |keep up with the pace of every individual 15 second. I only have 15 | ||
333 | |332 |00:37:11 ~-~-> 00:37:14 |seconds to talk about the candlestick before it closes in and then when | ||
334 | |333 |00:37:15 ~-~-> 00:37:22 |begins. So we add a little Mohawk here. There's a little portion of this area up | ||
335 | |334 |00:37:22 ~-~-> 00:37:25 |here, it could be trading up into | ||
336 | |335 |00:37:31 ~-~-> 00:37:39 |and we'll just take the middle level into account. So from this candle sticks | ||
337 | |336 |00:37:39 ~-~-> 00:37:44 |high, this candlesticks low midpoint. That's consequent encroachment. You can | ||
338 | |337 |00:37:44 ~-~-> 00:37:47 |see that's traded there. And then look at the reaction off. That's nice. And | ||
339 | |338 |00:37:47 ~-~-> 00:37:54 |the bodies did not lay on top of that mid gap. All right. So now you can watch | ||
340 | |339 |00:37:54 ~-~-> 00:37:58 |the consequent encroachment of the inversion fair value gap once more here. | ||
341 | |340 |00:38:00 ~-~-> 00:38:05 |So look at this low here. That's a minor and this is a minor cell side. So | ||
342 | |341 |00:38:05 ~-~-> 00:38:13 |keeping in mind, this is the range for 20 handles. Do we see ranges that afford | ||
343 | |342 |00:38:13 ~-~-> 00:38:18 |us working from anywhere in here, upper quadrant, mid, lower quadrant, or the | ||
344 | |343 |00:38:18 ~-~-> 00:38:23 |low of the inversion fair value gap? Can that yield the potential of moving at | ||
345 | |344 |00:38:23 ~-~-> 00:38:28 |least this much? So that's like, your minimum expectation or filter that says | ||
346 | |345 |00:38:28 ~-~-> 00:38:33 |I have to see if there's a trade forming. And by knowing what, what | ||
347 | |346 |00:38:33 ~-~-> 00:38:38 |you're looking for, for price action, like, where should the setups form? Like | ||
348 | |347 |00:38:38 ~-~-> 00:38:43 |everything I outlined over here that came to pass, we're waiting for a | ||
349 | |348 |00:38:43 ~-~-> 00:38:49 |scenario that builds confidence that we're going to run to a sell side here, | ||
350 | |349 |00:38:49 ~-~-> 00:38:52 |or run to this sell side here. What would that look like? It would have to | ||
351 | |350 |00:38:52 ~-~-> 00:38:58 |be a for me. I want to see it leave the inversion fair value gap and stop | ||
352 | |351 |00:38:58 ~-~-> 00:39:04 |reaching for any kind of premium. So if we go outside of it, touch it one time | ||
353 | |352 |00:39:04 ~-~-> 00:39:09 |with one candlestick. That's it doesn't need to touch it one time the next | ||
354 | |353 |00:39:09 ~-~-> 00:39:13 |displacement after that, that's lower. That would form a fair value gap. That's | ||
355 | |354 |00:39:13 ~-~-> 00:39:17 |the one I would sell short one in aim for if the range is like, say, the entry | ||
356 | |355 |00:39:17 ~-~-> 00:39:22 |will be up here. Well, looking at this distance or height of price action. If | ||
357 | |356 |00:39:22 ~-~-> 00:39:26 |the fair value got formed in this vicinity trading to that low right, | ||
358 | |357 |00:39:26 ~-~-> 00:39:32 |there would be afford Caleb a setup. So it's a setup that is meeting the | ||
359 | |358 |00:39:32 ~-~-> 00:39:37 |criteria. But if you don't have some kind of a threshold that frames the | ||
360 | |359 |00:39:37 ~-~-> 00:39:42 |whole basis of what you're aiming for as a minimum, it has to at least offer 20 | ||
361 | |360 |00:39:42 ~-~-> 00:39:47 |handles. If it doesn't afford him 20 handles, then he can't take the trade. | ||
362 | |361 |00:39:47 ~-~-> 00:39:55 |And he says he has to let it just pass. And what happens if it works out where, | ||
363 | |362 |00:39:55 ~-~-> 00:40:00 |if it was 18 handles, and he doesn't take it and it. Hands out. How should he | ||
364 | |363 |00:40:00 ~-~-> 00:40:04 |feel about that? He should feel good that he exercised discipline, that he | ||
365 | |364 |00:40:04 ~-~-> 00:40:09 |exercised the Well, the idea he had the identification corrected, there was a | ||
366 | |365 |00:40:09 ~-~-> 00:40:12 |setup there, but he just says, No, I'm not taking that one because I want to | ||
367 | |366 |00:40:12 ~-~-> 00:40:16 |learn how to trade with excellence. I don't want to get in here and just get | ||
368 | |367 |00:40:16 ~-~-> 00:40:21 |dirt on my hands. Okay? I want to get in here and walk in here and treat my | ||
369 | |368 |00:40:21 ~-~-> 00:40:25 |trading with a white glove approach where I don't get my hands dirty. I go | ||
370 | |369 |00:40:25 ~-~-> 00:40:28 |in, I execute like a professional and leave without getting my hands dirty. | ||
371 | |370 |00:40:29 ~-~-> 00:40:32 |You're not emotional, you're not freaking out, you're not chasing | ||
372 | |371 |00:40:32 ~-~-> 00:40:35 |anything. I like that right there. That's nice. | ||
373 | |372 |00:40:41 ~-~-> 00:40:49 |So both of these are sell side, but they're minor, but they can still yield. | ||
374 | |373 |00:40:54 ~-~-> 00:41:10 |They can still yield the intended goal that's alongside i a micro Caleb. You're | ||
375 | |374 |00:41:10 ~-~-> 00:41:15 |going to be able to do wider stops, and it doesn't hurt you that much. So now | ||
376 | |375 |00:41:15 ~-~-> 00:41:19 |that's I like to see. I don't want to see it close up and get close to this. I | ||
377 | |376 |00:41:19 ~-~-> 00:41:28 |want to see this candlestick close down and create. See this close right back | ||
378 | |377 |00:41:28 ~-~-> 00:41:35 |in. I can't use that one now. So now we touched we left the inversion fair value | ||
379 | |378 |00:41:35 ~-~-> 00:41:40 |gap. We left it. We had one candlestick come back and touch it. So any | ||
380 | |379 |00:41:40 ~-~-> 00:41:46 |displacement lower that creates a fair value gap. I'll use that on the 15 | ||
381 | |380 |00:41:46 ~-~-> 00:41:46 |second chart to enter. | ||
382 | |381 |00:41:54 ~-~-> 00:42:00 |None of this worries me, and it gives you no concern whatsoever. You see how | ||
383 | |382 |00:42:00 ~-~-> 00:42:04 |it keeps you from panicking. I'm going to miss a move. It has to do certain | ||
384 | |383 |00:42:04 ~-~-> 00:42:09 |things. If it does this, then I will do this. If it keeps doing this, that is | ||
385 | |384 |00:42:09 ~-~-> 00:42:13 |not something that setting up a setup for me, then I'm sitting still. I'm not | ||
386 | |385 |00:42:13 ~-~-> 00:42:19 |worrying about it. I'm completely content. There's zero fear in what I'm | ||
387 | |386 |00:42:19 ~-~-> 00:42:23 |doing here, none. And you might say, Well, it's because you're trading with a | ||
388 | |387 |00:42:23 ~-~-> 00:42:27 |paper trading account. No, I'm in front of however many people are watching, and | ||
389 | |388 |00:42:27 ~-~-> 00:42:31 |all of you have this measurement of me. Oh, it better be perfect, or you're not | ||
390 | |389 |00:42:31 ~-~-> 00:42:37 |inner circle trader. Now, are you? It's easy to talk from the sidelines, but get | ||
391 | |390 |00:42:37 ~-~-> 00:42:45 |out here. I uh, knowing what you're looking for and how you're going to | ||
392 | |391 |00:42:45 ~-~-> 00:42:50 |engage and when you're going to sit still. Paramount. That's more important | ||
393 | |392 |00:42:50 ~-~-> 00:42:54 |than you trying to make money. Because making money, that's, that's, that's the | ||
394 | |393 |00:42:54 ~-~-> 00:42:58 |easy part. The hard part is getting to the part of not going in here | ||
395 | |394 |00:42:58 ~-~-> 00:43:02 |impulsively, just pushing buttons. Alright, now see what it's done. Think | ||
396 | |395 |00:43:02 ~-~-> 00:43:07 |about what I've just outlined. Caleb, we wanted to see this displacement below | ||
397 | |396 |00:43:07 ~-~-> 00:43:14 |this fair guy, you know, the fair area got easy for you to say. ICT, the first | ||
398 | |397 |00:43:14 ~-~-> 00:43:19 |fair value gap of the morning. And I wanted to see it trade below it and show | ||
399 | |398 |00:43:19 ~-~-> 00:43:23 |displacement if this candlestick would have not had this high come back and | ||
400 | |399 |00:43:23 ~-~-> 00:43:28 |touch this candlesticks low, that would have been a fair value gap. And then I | ||
401 | |400 |00:43:28 ~-~-> 00:43:31 |could have used that one. And now I'm going to trade it to get down to here, | ||
402 | |401 |00:43:31 ~-~-> 00:43:36 |but because it went and touched it, then I have to wait for now another | ||
403 | |402 |00:43:36 ~-~-> 00:43:40 |displacement lower, where it creates a fair value gap. If it doesn't create | ||
404 | |403 |00:43:40 ~-~-> 00:43:47 |one. Can I take a losing trade here? No, and you're worried about losing why? | ||
405 | |404 |00:43:47 ~-~-> 00:43:51 |You're not listening to what it is I'm talking about in all the long stuff, all | ||
406 | |405 |00:43:51 ~-~-> 00:43:54 |the drawn out, long, boring stuff, to get to the point. The point is, is I'm | ||
407 | |406 |00:43:54 ~-~-> 00:43:59 |teaching you how to do it the correct way and avoid all the problems that I | ||
408 | |407 |00:43:59 ~-~-> 00:44:03 |went through and most other traders go through not realizing there's a better | ||
409 | |408 |00:44:03 ~-~-> 00:44:08 |way of doing it and not have to get all that scar tissue that that's the result | ||
410 | |409 |00:44:08 ~-~-> 00:44:14 |of doing things incorrect. Okay, so we came all the way back up into this gap | ||
411 | |410 |00:44:14 ~-~-> 00:44:15 |here. | ||
412 | |411 |00:44:21 ~-~-> 00:44:27 |I'm going to make this ugly color because I want to stand out, as you can | ||
413 | |412 |00:44:27 ~-~-> 00:44:37 |see. So we bumped this little short term high here. But what happens if it goes | ||
414 | |413 |00:44:37 ~-~-> 00:44:44 |up even more? Michael, you miss out on a big range day, I'm not teaching Caleb to | ||
415 | |414 |00:44:44 ~-~-> 00:44:50 |anticipate and expect, to know how to know that the daily candlestick is going | ||
416 | |415 |00:44:50 ~-~-> 00:44:54 |to do that. These are smaller, little modular lessons that will give him, | ||
417 | |416 |00:44:54 ~-~-> 00:45:00 |number one, something to do that will allow him to progress. Uh, in a | ||
418 | |417 |00:45:00 ~-~-> 00:45:06 |meaningful and realistic manner, not trying to get some Olympic gold medal | ||
419 | |418 |00:45:06 ~-~-> 00:45:13 |result. He doesn't know how to trade. He has no idea how to do it. So in my | ||
420 | |419 |00:45:13 ~-~-> 00:45:18 |opinion, as his dad and as the the mentor too, I'm teaching him how to have | ||
421 | |420 |00:45:18 ~-~-> 00:45:23 |very low expectations on himself, so that way he can't beat himself up if he | ||
422 | |421 |00:45:23 ~-~-> 00:45:26 |doesn't do it right, he's not going to do it right in the beginning. Nobody | ||
423 | |422 |00:45:26 ~-~-> 00:45:31 |does. I didn't do it right in the beginning. So you have to build in these | ||
424 | |423 |00:45:32 ~-~-> 00:45:43 |allowances for imperfection and set the the mark for progressing. You know, in | ||
425 | |424 |00:45:43 ~-~-> 00:45:49 |small incremental steps make it so that way, every day, it's easy to get to that | ||
426 | |425 |00:45:49 ~-~-> 00:45:55 |cookie or that little reward. Okay, so we bumped the old high here. So this was | ||
427 | |426 |00:45:55 ~-~-> 00:46:02 |the initial high today there. If we take out this high here, we might be seeing a | ||
428 | |427 |00:46:03 ~-~-> 00:46:08 |a larger run higher, admittedly, on the daily chart, that is in the cards, but I | ||
429 | |428 |00:46:08 ~-~-> 00:46:12 |still want to see it offer another opportunity to get towards that mid gap. | ||
430 | |429 |00:46:12 ~-~-> 00:46:16 |It doesn't need to fill it today, because everything technically is really | ||
431 | |430 |00:46:16 ~-~-> 00:46:16 |bullish. | ||
432 | |431 |00:46:21 ~-~-> 00:46:30 |So the buy side is not here anymore. It's here. And the question would be, | ||
433 | |432 |00:46:30 ~-~-> 00:46:35 |is, if they hired trapped traders, here, will be the benefit of taking it above | ||
434 | |433 |00:46:35 ~-~-> 00:46:41 |that high, if not to go higher, longer term into the day. | ||
435 | |434 |00:46:46 ~-~-> 00:46:51 |So every day, Caleb, when you first start looking at your charts, you want | ||
436 | |435 |00:46:51 ~-~-> 00:46:56 |to frame a little box with 20 handles. And what you want to do is you want to | ||
437 | |436 |00:46:56 ~-~-> 00:46:59 |take that after the fact, after the market's already done, moved around and | ||
438 | |437 |00:46:59 ~-~-> 00:47:04 |whatnot. You want to be moving and see, okay, like, here's a fair value gap | ||
439 | |438 |00:47:04 ~-~-> 00:47:12 |right there, and you could have got an entry on it right there. Did this yield | ||
440 | |439 |00:47:13 ~-~-> 00:47:18 |20 handles? Yes. Would it be reasonable to see it trade up to fill in this gap | ||
441 | |440 |00:47:18 ~-~-> 00:47:22 |here as a target? And it does, yes. You don't even need to trade all the way | ||
442 | |441 |00:47:22 ~-~-> 00:47:26 |back up to the inversion for your Vega. You don't need to see that at all. And | ||
443 | |442 |00:47:26 ~-~-> 00:47:32 |doing these types of things, these types of setups happen all day long, going up | ||
444 | |443 |00:47:32 ~-~-> 00:47:36 |and going down, going up, going down. And what you're going to learn, and this | ||
445 | |444 |00:47:36 ~-~-> 00:47:40 |is for everyone else's benefit, listening, you're going to learn that | ||
446 | |445 |00:47:40 ~-~-> 00:47:46 |there are some setups that are going to be easy to spot as something that might | ||
447 | |446 |00:47:46 ~-~-> 00:47:51 |deliver, but you're not willing to take it, and that is a huge, monumental | ||
448 | |447 |00:47:52 ~-~-> 00:47:56 |milestone in your progress, because everybody wants to go out and just | ||
449 | |448 |00:47:56 ~-~-> 00:48:01 |simply get in and push the button. Everybody wants that, but nobody wants | ||
450 | |449 |00:48:01 ~-~-> 00:48:06 |to do the work in preventing needless drawdown. No one wants to do that kind | ||
451 | |450 |00:48:06 ~-~-> 00:48:11 |of work. Because Why put all the time in front of the charts or listen to some | ||
452 | |451 |00:48:11 ~-~-> 00:48:15 |guy or teacher or go through all the course material, whoever it is you're | ||
453 | |452 |00:48:15 ~-~-> 00:48:19 |going to listen to, and not start making money right away? And that's the | ||
454 | |453 |00:48:19 ~-~-> 00:48:25 |unfortunate you know, tick tock mentality that is pervasive today, and | ||
455 | |454 |00:48:25 ~-~-> 00:48:30 |it's, it's, it's too many things forcing you to want to be fast about getting a | ||
456 | |455 |00:48:30 ~-~-> 00:48:36 |result that you don't technically have this skill set to expect. It's | ||
457 | |456 |00:48:36 ~-~-> 00:48:43 |unreasonable for you to expect the basis what I'm saying now what I've noticed | ||
458 | |457 |00:48:43 ~-~-> 00:48:49 |here is the first fair value gap. It behaved everything here as we would | ||
459 | |458 |00:48:49 ~-~-> 00:48:53 |expect it to when we were down here. I said, you can take this off at 75 to | ||
460 | |459 |00:48:53 ~-~-> 00:48:59 |$100 and that you would be done. But I'm placing him and placed him rather in a | ||
461 | |460 |00:48:59 ~-~-> 00:49:04 |condition where the stop was rolled to just make sure the costs were covered. | ||
462 | |461 |00:49:04 ~-~-> 00:49:10 |No no commission costs would be a factor. And no losing, no drawdown, | ||
463 | |462 |00:49:10 ~-~-> 00:49:22 |basically. So the reflection on that should be, if you have a target in | ||
464 | |463 |00:49:22 ~-~-> 00:49:30 |beginning $75 or to $100 on one micro, if the trade that you're in yields it to | ||
465 | |464 |00:49:30 ~-~-> 00:49:36 |you, and you're still trying to learn how to do this, take the profit at 75 to | ||
466 | |465 |00:49:36 ~-~-> 00:49:41 |$100 do it on a limit, do it on a market exit, and then simply watch what the | ||
467 | |466 |00:49:41 ~-~-> 00:49:45 |price does. Go back and listen to the recording when it was down here, I was | ||
468 | |467 |00:49:45 ~-~-> 00:49:48 |explaining that this is what you're looking for, and then you could just | ||
469 | |468 |00:49:48 ~-~-> 00:49:53 |comfortably close the trade and how much time has transpired from the entry. | ||
470 | |469 |00:49:55 ~-~-> 00:49:58 |Their entry was here. Look, look what the fill is. It's almost near the worst | ||
471 | |470 |00:49:58 ~-~-> 00:50:05 |possible scenario. And it still yields 75 to $100 at the time I was talking | ||
472 | |471 |00:50:05 ~-~-> 00:50:11 |about it still was yielding $100 how much better would your trade? And | ||
473 | |472 |00:50:11 ~-~-> 00:50:18 |listen, folks, everybody wants to be, you know, the the person that stands | ||
474 | |473 |00:50:18 ~-~-> 00:50:21 |out, okay, the person that can do it better than everybody else, okay, that's | ||
475 | |474 |00:50:21 ~-~-> 00:50:27 |what you see on social media right now. If you were making $100 consistently | ||
476 | |475 |00:50:27 ~-~-> 00:50:34 |every single day, and that's all you did, is that improvement based on what | ||
477 | |476 |00:50:34 ~-~-> 00:50:39 |you're doing right now? Because I would venture to say that 95% of you are not | ||
478 | |477 |00:50:39 ~-~-> 00:50:45 |that profitable. You're not consistently making money. Okay? So how I'm teaching | ||
479 | |478 |00:50:45 ~-~-> 00:50:51 |Caleb is, if you can make a Benjamin every single day or fail trying to do | ||
480 | |479 |00:50:51 ~-~-> 00:50:57 |it, but making 75 that's progress that anyone should be proud of. I mean, if I | ||
481 | |480 |00:50:57 ~-~-> 00:51:00 |found $100 on the street walking down the sidewalk, I wouldn't look at it and | ||
482 | |481 |00:51:00 ~-~-> 00:51:05 |say, I'm not picking you up. But what's the chances of you finding that happen | ||
483 | |482 |00:51:05 ~-~-> 00:51:11 |every single day? Not likely. But if you build this skill set I'm showing you, | ||
484 | |483 |00:51:11 ~-~-> 00:51:16 |you'll be able to do that every single day. You'll have the opportunity, like | ||
485 | |484 |00:51:16 ~-~-> 00:51:19 |walking outside and saying, Oh, here's $100 bill. Let me pick that up and take | ||
486 | |485 |00:51:19 ~-~-> 00:51:24 |that put in my pocket. And if you learn to be content with that in the | ||
487 | |486 |00:51:24 ~-~-> 00:51:28 |beginning, everybody wants to make $1,000 a trade or more. Everybody wants | ||
488 | |487 |00:51:28 ~-~-> 00:51:32 |to have $10,000 payout leaks. Everybody wants to make $100,000.06 figure | ||
489 | |488 |00:51:32 ~-~-> 00:51:36 |payouts. Everybody, everybody wants that stuff right now, but you have to start | ||
490 | |489 |00:51:36 ~-~-> 00:51:40 |somewhere small that keeps you motivated. While you're learning to be | ||
491 | |490 |00:51:40 ~-~-> 00:51:45 |comfortable. You have to trade comfortably. You have to look at things | ||
492 | |491 |00:51:45 ~-~-> 00:51:48 |in price action and say, Yeah, this makes sense. I expected to see this | ||
493 | |492 |00:51:48 ~-~-> 00:51:52 |happen, and this is basically what I'm looking to trade off of. So I'm going to | ||
494 | |493 |00:51:52 ~-~-> 00:51:56 |take the first opportunity to get in, but if it doesn't give those parameters | ||
495 | |494 |00:51:56 ~-~-> 00:52:00 |for you to get into the trade teaching, what I'm teaching you, Caleb, you're not | ||
496 | |495 |00:52:00 ~-~-> 00:52:04 |getting beat up. You're not getting raked across the coals and and doing it | ||
497 | |496 |00:52:04 ~-~-> 00:52:09 |wrong and entering poorly and getting stopped out. You see that for everyone | ||
498 | |497 |00:52:09 ~-~-> 00:52:13 |else that's listening to do you get that? Because if you're not getting | ||
499 | |498 |00:52:13 ~-~-> 00:52:18 |that, you're not picking up on the main lessons that what we're trying to do is | ||
500 | |499 |00:52:18 ~-~-> 00:52:26 |develop self control and have measured, realistic objectives that could be | ||
501 | |500 |00:52:26 ~-~-> 00:52:35 |easily met. All right, so this is two times we meet a higher high intraday | ||
502 | |501 |00:52:36 ~-~-> 00:52:43 |with a huge opening range gap we've already worked the initial first | ||
503 | |502 |00:52:43 ~-~-> 00:52:47 |presented fair value gap here. We dropped down in here, and we didn't get | ||
504 | |503 |00:52:47 ~-~-> 00:52:53 |this set up that I was wanting to see here. So this was a raid, and this was | ||
505 | |504 |00:52:53 ~-~-> 00:53:01 |another crest into a higher high so we have to hold on to this area right here. | ||
506 | |505 |00:53:03 ~-~-> 00:53:07 |Watch what I'm about to show you. This is liquidity. Okay, this is another | ||
507 | |506 |00:53:07 ~-~-> 00:53:11 |lesson that you ain't going to see in anybody else's bullshit. This was your | ||
508 | |507 |00:53:11 ~-~-> 00:53:17 |initial high. This was the stop run that took out that initial high. All of this | ||
509 | |508 |00:53:17 ~-~-> 00:53:23 |shaded area that I highlighted now that area, you treat that as a balanced price | ||
510 | |509 |00:53:23 ~-~-> 00:53:35 |range. Extend that over. We don't need this gap here. So now, what do we do | ||
511 | |510 |00:53:35 ~-~-> 00:53:40 |with this information? You have sell side here, you have a pool sell side. | ||
512 | |511 |00:53:40 ~-~-> 00:53:45 |Here you have sell side there. First presented fair value gap down here. This | ||
513 | |512 |00:53:45 ~-~-> 00:53:50 |is a balanced price range because it took a run into real orders. This was | ||
514 | |513 |00:53:50 ~-~-> 00:53:55 |not contrived. It's not some, just random area. This was exactly where buy | ||
515 | |514 |00:53:55 ~-~-> 00:53:59 |orders were brought into the marketplace and Smart Money sold to those | ||
516 | |515 |00:53:59 ~-~-> 00:54:05 |individuals to drive them into loss, because when the retail traders use this | ||
517 | |516 |00:54:05 ~-~-> 00:54:09 |area here to go long on a breakout above the initial high of the day, here | ||
518 | |517 |00:54:11 ~-~-> 00:54:15 |they're trapped long. So the market's going to gravitate to opposing | ||
519 | |518 |00:54:15 ~-~-> 00:54:19 |liquidity. Where's that sell side? Where's that right below that low? How | ||
520 | |519 |00:54:19 ~-~-> 00:54:26 |far can we reasonably expect it to go below this low? Michael, you're handy | ||
521 | |520 |00:54:26 ~-~-> 00:54:31 |dandy Fibonacci. Place it on your high that's your highest candle in all of | ||
522 | |521 |00:54:31 ~-~-> 00:54:35 |this. Swing high. It's anchored to the highest high. Drop it down to the low | ||
523 | |522 |00:54:35 ~-~-> 00:54:43 |here. This is the this is the first measurement I gave you. Whenever you | ||
524 | |523 |00:54:43 ~-~-> 00:54:48 |have a dealing range and you want to look for external liquidity, measure the | ||
525 | |524 |00:54:48 ~-~-> 00:54:52 |range which is this high here down to that low. Your first stepping stone to | ||
526 | |525 |00:54:52 ~-~-> 00:54:58 |understand how far prices can go beyond that or outside the range is negative | ||
527 | |526 |00:54:58 ~-~-> 00:55:05 |0.25, Five that's this level here. Did it trade there? Yes, but if it's going | ||
528 | |527 |00:55:05 ~-~-> 00:55:10 |to do a measured run, it's simply just a negative one standard deviation | ||
529 | |528 |00:55:16 ~-~-> 00:55:27 |that's down here that gets us to that upper quadrant level in the FIB you | ||
530 | |529 |00:55:27 ~-~-> 00:55:35 |graduate from a negative 0.25 level to what's half of the negative one. It's | ||
531 | |530 |00:55:35 ~-~-> 00:55:36 |negative 0.5 | ||
532 | |531 |00:55:42 ~-~-> 00:55:50 |we look where the bodies are when I'm looking at this price, like, here I'm | ||
533 | |532 |00:55:50 ~-~-> 00:55:54 |getting an approximation, because it's just simply like, I'm teaching you Caleb | ||
534 | |533 |00:55:54 ~-~-> 00:55:58 |to look at these 20 handle runs in measurement and size, and getting | ||
535 | |534 |00:55:58 ~-~-> 00:56:05 |familiar with what that looks like. This run here to here. Half of that run was | ||
536 | |535 |00:56:06 ~-~-> 00:56:11 |when we were down here, when it was trading at 75 to $100 open unrealized | ||
537 | |536 |00:56:11 ~-~-> 00:56:17 |profit. That's why saying close that if you were in a day that didn't have this | ||
538 | |537 |00:56:17 ~-~-> 00:56:23 |multiple 100 handle opening gap, you could take this as a partial and then | ||
539 | |538 |00:56:23 ~-~-> 00:56:27 |aim for the upper quadrant level of the opening range gap. That's what this | ||
540 | |539 |00:56:27 ~-~-> 00:56:32 |level is here. And then if it's going to go down below that, which is likely, | ||
541 | |540 |00:56:32 ~-~-> 00:56:37 |what would it reach for one standard deviation, or a measured move of this | ||
542 | |541 |00:56:37 ~-~-> 00:56:42 |high to that low, projected below this low takes us down here, but because we | ||
543 | |542 |00:56:42 ~-~-> 00:56:48 |have a huge gap, chances are it can do what continuation. But initially, while | ||
544 | |543 |00:56:48 ~-~-> 00:56:53 |you're in the opening range of the day, not the opening range gap, the opening | ||
545 | |544 |00:56:53 ~-~-> 00:56:57 |range, which is 930 in the morning, Eastern Time to 10 o'clock, after a very | ||
546 | |545 |00:56:57 ~-~-> 00:57:03 |large opening range gap higher, always expect them to drop it down, create an | ||
547 | |546 |00:57:03 ~-~-> 00:57:06 |initial high of the day, and then run that then, then there's a deeper | ||
548 | |547 |00:57:06 ~-~-> 00:57:11 |retracement into it. Whether it gets to the mid gap, upper quadrant level | ||
549 | |548 |00:57:11 ~-~-> 00:57:15 |doesn't matter. It frames the logic where you can take a very easy bread and | ||
550 | |549 |00:57:15 ~-~-> 00:57:20 |butter setup, which is what I outlined. All of this here was that, but I showed | ||
551 | |550 |00:57:21 ~-~-> 00:57:25 |you what it's like if you don't take the partial or if you don't take the clothes | ||
552 | |551 |00:57:25 ~-~-> 00:57:29 |off, you know, if you don't take the one single contractor you're working with, | ||
553 | |552 |00:57:29 ~-~-> 00:57:33 |Caleb, and close it when you get 75 to 100 hours in open profit, and record | ||
554 | |553 |00:57:33 ~-~-> 00:57:38 |what it feels like to do that and record every single day and do it. Stop when | ||
555 | |554 |00:57:38 ~-~-> 00:57:45 |you get it. Don't push the buttons anymore. Having that consistency, that | ||
556 | |555 |00:57:45 ~-~-> 00:57:50 |ability to see something, and then you capitalize on it, and you realize it, | ||
557 | |556 |00:57:50 ~-~-> 00:57:55 |and you take it home in the results, it builds your confidence. But it's not | ||
558 | |557 |00:57:55 ~-~-> 00:58:00 |overconfidence, because, remember, it's just 75 to $100 but now, when you take | ||
559 | |558 |00:58:00 ~-~-> 00:58:04 |the logic that's being used by taking a setup like this and capturing a move | ||
560 | |559 |00:58:04 ~-~-> 00:58:10 |down to where you get to 75 to 100 what happens when it becomes a mini contract? | ||
561 | |560 |00:58:10 ~-~-> 00:58:16 |Then it gets a little bit more exciting. Then you start making your weekly salary | ||
562 | |561 |00:58:16 ~-~-> 00:58:20 |at your job in one of these little bread and butter setups. Just one of them, not | ||
563 | |562 |00:58:20 ~-~-> 00:58:26 |an everyday thing. Just one of them yields that. And then what happens is it | ||
564 | |563 |00:58:26 ~-~-> 00:58:35 |becomes much more beneficial for you to be selective about what setups you take, | ||
565 | |564 |00:58:35 ~-~-> 00:58:40 |and you don't have to be trading every single day, but in the beginning, you | ||
566 | |565 |00:58:40 ~-~-> 00:58:45 |need to be doing a lot of these types of setups, because it desensitizes you to | ||
567 | |566 |00:58:45 ~-~-> 00:58:49 |Yeah, I know I can find lots of setups. I know I can find lots of setups, and I | ||
568 | |567 |00:58:49 ~-~-> 00:58:56 |don't need to be fearful of missing any of them. But I have two minutes left. | ||
569 | |568 |00:58:56 ~-~-> 00:58:56 |All | ||
570 | |569 |00:59:02 ~-~-> 00:59:11 |right. So I covered a bunch of stuff for the folks that say I trade order blocks | ||
571 | |570 |00:59:11 ~-~-> 00:59:15 |and that's support and domain supply and demand. Or what is it? Support, | ||
572 | |571 |00:59:15 ~-~-> 00:59:21 |resistance? No, but I can teach you how to find the levels that classic support | ||
573 | |572 |00:59:21 ~-~-> 00:59:26 |and resistance would hope to be able to pick, but they don't. There's never been | ||
574 | |573 |00:59:26 ~-~-> 00:59:30 |a book out there, and I have over 2000 of them. There's never been a book that | ||
575 | |574 |00:59:30 ~-~-> 00:59:36 |has communicated how to find the right support level or the right resistance | ||
576 | |575 |00:59:36 ~-~-> 00:59:40 |level. And I'm using those terms right those correct ones, just like I've never | ||
577 | |576 |00:59:40 ~-~-> 00:59:46 |seen a book that shows you how to pick the right diagonal support trendline or | ||
578 | |577 |00:59:46 ~-~-> 00:59:52 |diagonal resistance trendline. It's, it's so subjective. It's, it's, it's a | ||
579 | |578 |00:59:52 ~-~-> 01:00:00 |farce, really. But when you look at this initial high, it's unreasonable. All | ||
580 | |579 |01:00:00 ~-~-> 01:00:03 |based on what I taught you today and what I taught in core content lessons | ||
581 | |580 |01:00:03 ~-~-> 01:00:07 |too and mentorship. It's unreasonable to anticipate the market to come right back | ||
582 | |581 |01:00:07 ~-~-> 01:00:12 |up to that high and stop as resistance, but it is reasonable, based on | ||
583 | |582 |01:00:12 ~-~-> 01:00:16 |algorithmic principles, that it will go above that high to get the orders for | ||
584 | |583 |01:00:16 ~-~-> 01:00:22 |the Express purposes of growing lower to attack them so they're targeting retail | ||
585 | |584 |01:00:22 ~-~-> 01:00:26 |mindset. That's why retail concepts is not what I I don't trade with that's | ||
586 | |585 |01:00:26 ~-~-> 01:00:32 |about just because you see me drawing a box or drawing a a trend line segment to | ||
587 | |586 |01:00:32 ~-~-> 01:00:36 |highlight a very specific price level for you to focus on. We're attacking | ||
588 | |587 |01:00:36 ~-~-> 01:00:40 |that level. Okay, that's what we're doing. We're tap, we're we're targeting | ||
589 | |588 |01:00:40 ~-~-> 01:00:44 |it. I'm not using this old high to say I want to sell short at that price level. | ||
590 | |589 |01:00:44 ~-~-> 01:00:48 |Now I'm expecting it to go up there and spend some time up there. Why? Because | ||
591 | |590 |01:00:49 ~-~-> 01:00:53 |it's going to accumulate what the orders that would be sitting there, and then | ||
592 | |591 |01:00:53 ~-~-> 01:00:58 |drop it down to attack the mindset that retail traders use, which is buying | ||
593 | |592 |01:00:58 ~-~-> 01:01:03 |momentum, selling momentum, buying a breakout, selling a breakout, they're | ||
594 | |593 |01:01:03 ~-~-> 01:01:08 |never trading against the direction of their intended profit. In other words, | ||
595 | |594 |01:01:08 ~-~-> 01:01:11 |if they're bullish, they're never entering when the market's dropping. | ||
596 | |595 |01:01:11 ~-~-> 01:01:14 |They're not doing that. It's scary to them because they don't know what | ||
597 | |596 |01:01:14 ~-~-> 01:01:20 |they're doing. But I'm doing that, I'm going in and teaching you how to | ||
598 | |597 |01:01:20 ~-~-> 01:01:27 |capitalize on that counter move you're running against the wind. And that's | ||
599 | |598 |01:01:27 ~-~-> 01:01:32 |exactly how you hang glide. That's how planes fly to heights that you know you | ||
600 | |599 |01:01:32 ~-~-> 01:01:37 |want to stay on the ground. Trade with those retail concepts you're never going | ||
601 | |600 |01:01:37 ~-~-> 01:01:42 |to fly, but you have to run into the resistance of one coming wind. You You | ||
602 | |601 |01:01:42 ~-~-> 01:01:47 |have to put your wings in there, open your your your parachute, and you'll be | ||
603 | |602 |01:01:47 ~-~-> 01:01:54 |able to glide on that. But if you're trying to chase something that's like | ||
604 | |603 |01:01:54 ~-~-> 01:01:57 |finding an air pocket, you're going to fall just like you feel when you're in | ||
605 | |604 |01:01:57 ~-~-> 01:02:02 |an airplane. You feel that turbulence, you're not getting lift. So what | ||
606 | |605 |01:02:02 ~-~-> 01:02:06 |happens? You fall and you wonder why retail logic causes you to go into | ||
607 | |606 |01:02:06 ~-~-> 01:02:10 |drawdown and lose because you're you're placing so much emphasis on things that | ||
608 | |607 |01:02:10 ~-~-> 01:02:14 |aren't going to give you what you're hoping they're going to give you, but | ||
609 | |608 |01:02:14 ~-~-> 01:02:18 |you're allowing yourself to be beaten up in that toxic relationship and say, | ||
610 | |609 |01:02:18 ~-~-> 01:02:21 |well, it's normal because the markets are random. Nobody, nobody knows what | ||
611 | |610 |01:02:21 ~-~-> 01:02:26 |price is going to do. Well, I'm Mr. Nobody. So here's the thing, this high | ||
612 | |611 |01:02:26 ~-~-> 01:02:31 |here, it's not going to be resistance. It's going to be absorbing buy stops | ||
613 | |612 |01:02:31 ~-~-> 01:02:38 |above that. So when it does this, when it does this very thing here, this | ||
614 | |613 |01:02:38 ~-~-> 01:02:43 |creates this whole pocket. It becomes a balanced price range. That means that | ||
615 | |614 |01:02:43 ~-~-> 01:02:48 |this, this will absolutely this high, will absolutely be just like a Support | ||
616 | |615 |01:02:48 ~-~-> 01:02:54 |Resistance book will tell you, Okay, here's resistance, broken. Turn support, | ||
617 | |616 |01:02:55 ~-~-> 01:03:01 |support. Now tell me find a fucking book that tells you how to give that logic | ||
618 | |617 |01:03:01 ~-~-> 01:03:04 |where it's the right support resistance, how to know when a support resistance | ||
619 | |618 |01:03:04 ~-~-> 01:03:08 |level is going to be really a supportive resistance level and not being swept for | ||
620 | |619 |01:03:08 ~-~-> 01:03:14 |the purposes of gathering the liquidity above or below them. I'm sorry. I'm | ||
621 | |620 |01:03:14 ~-~-> 01:03:18 |sorry, toots, but your ass is absolutely ass backwards. You want clout. I gave it | ||
622 | |621 |01:03:18 ~-~-> 01:03:22 |to you. I tweeted your shit. I hope you make more videos, because I'm going to | ||
623 | |622 |01:03:22 ~-~-> 01:03:27 |have fun with you. Everything that these people were going to tell you, if this | ||
624 | |623 |01:03:27 ~-~-> 01:03:32 |was logic that's borrowed from someone else, somebody else would be doing it. | ||
625 | |624 |01:03:32 ~-~-> 01:03:37 |They would explain it beforehand. They would tell you which supplier demand | ||
626 | |625 |01:03:37 ~-~-> 01:03:41 |zone is going to be the one. They would use a very small, ultra small stop loss, | ||
627 | |626 |01:03:41 ~-~-> 01:03:46 |and they would get targets hit just like that. But you ain't seeing that. Okay, | ||
628 | |627 |01:03:46 ~-~-> 01:03:50 |you're not seeing that, but I'm showing it to you. I'm giving you the why. I'm | ||
629 | |628 |01:03:50 ~-~-> 01:03:56 |giving you the win. I'm I'm telling you how to do it, but as my son, as the | ||
630 | |629 |01:03:56 ~-~-> 01:04:04 |target audience here, you have to move very small, slow and small, incremental | ||
631 | |630 |01:04:04 ~-~-> 01:04:09 |steps. Okay? And what you see dad doing, you'll be able to do that stuff. It's | ||
632 | |631 |01:04:09 ~-~-> 01:04:15 |just you have to start here first, and that way you won't feel any regret, you | ||
633 | |632 |01:04:15 ~-~-> 01:04:24 |won't chase big fast money, because that is that's easy. In the Navy SEALs, I'm | ||
634 | |633 |01:04:24 ~-~-> 01:04:27 |gonna say this and I'm gonna close it. In the Navy Navy SEALs, they have an | ||
635 | |634 |01:04:27 ~-~-> 01:04:39 |expression, slow is smooth, and smooth is fast, meaning when you move, when you | ||
636 | |635 |01:04:39 ~-~-> 01:04:44 |move, slow, you're moving smoothly. You're less likely to make a mistake, | ||
637 | |636 |01:04:44 ~-~-> 01:04:51 |and because you're not making mistakes, you're moving fast. You're all trying to | ||
638 | |637 |01:04:51 ~-~-> 01:04:54 |get to a profitable, consistent lifestyle as a trader, where you're | ||
639 | |638 |01:04:54 ~-~-> 01:05:01 |making big money. That big money is waiting for you. You. Pushing it further | ||
640 | |639 |01:05:01 ~-~-> 01:05:05 |away by trying to run to it faster than you can. You haven't even learned how to | ||
641 | |640 |01:05:05 ~-~-> 01:05:10 |crawl yet. You haven't learned how to walk. You haven't learned how to walk | ||
642 | |641 |01:05:10 ~-~-> 01:05:16 |briskly and then run when you're really good and you know what you're looking | ||
643 | |642 |01:05:16 ~-~-> 01:05:19 |for. You can run these markets up down, all over the place, buying and selling | ||
644 | |643 |01:05:19 ~-~-> 01:05:27 |all day alone, I've made over 1400 handles just in the last two and three | ||
645 | |644 |01:05:27 ~-~-> 01:05:33 |quarters weeks, and I have students that can verify that some of it you watch me | ||
646 | |645 |01:05:33 ~-~-> 01:05:39 |do publicly, other stuff they saw. I regret sometimes saying that, because it | ||
647 | |646 |01:05:39 ~-~-> 01:05:42 |sounds like an X people out there saying I'm going to do a mentorship in 2025 to | ||
648 | |647 |01:05:42 ~-~-> 01:05:46 |do a mentorship in 2025 No, I'm not. I'm never doing another mentorship where | ||
649 | |648 |01:05:46 ~-~-> 01:05:52 |you're paying me money. But I do have this group that sits with me and I I | ||
650 | |649 |01:05:52 ~-~-> 01:05:56 |show them what I'm doing, and I'm walking them through what I'm walking | ||
651 | |650 |01:05:56 ~-~-> 01:06:00 |you through. Here. Watch this. Watch this. It's going to behave here. It's | ||
652 | |651 |01:06:00 ~-~-> 01:06:03 |going to reach here. It shouldn't go below here. I'm walking it's I'm tape | ||
653 | |652 |01:06:03 ~-~-> 01:06:07 |reading them. I'm giving them my internal dialog. It's important for you | ||
654 | |653 |01:06:07 ~-~-> 01:06:12 |to do that on your own. Caleb, based on the things I'm I'm giving you, is just | ||
655 | |654 |01:06:12 ~-~-> 01:06:18 |foundational principles. And then building on that, if I don't tell you | ||
656 | |655 |01:06:19 ~-~-> 01:06:26 |everything, that forces you to do what, expand your discomfort zone. See, when | ||
657 | |656 |01:06:26 ~-~-> 01:06:29 |you don't know something, it's uncomfortable, and when you're looking | ||
658 | |657 |01:06:29 ~-~-> 01:06:33 |at these candlesticks, what's it going to do next? What's going to do next? You | ||
659 | |658 |01:06:33 ~-~-> 01:06:36 |don't have to worry about that, because what you're looking for is what matters | ||
660 | |659 |01:06:36 ~-~-> 01:06:40 |most to you and your model. And like it did down here, it didn't give the setup | ||
661 | |660 |01:06:40 ~-~-> 01:06:44 |that would have yielded a losing trade. That's the benefit of knowing what to do | ||
662 | |661 |01:06:44 ~-~-> 01:06:50 |and when not to do something. I don't regret not capturing along here. I don't | ||
663 | |662 |01:06:50 ~-~-> 01:06:54 |regret not shorting up here. These are all things I was outlined, but I'm | ||
664 | |663 |01:06:54 ~-~-> 01:07:00 |teaching you, Caleb, to use that first fair value. It has to be framed off of | ||
665 | |664 |01:07:00 ~-~-> 01:07:04 |that. It can be used as a bullish scenario. It can be used as a bearish | ||
666 | |665 |01:07:04 ~-~-> 01:07:08 |scenario. But your focus is right here. Do you see the benefits of knowing what | ||
667 | |666 |01:07:08 ~-~-> 01:07:14 |that does for you? There's all kinds of all these little gaps in here. Which one | ||
668 | |667 |01:07:14 ~-~-> 01:07:17 |are you going to pick? That's the same question that every other student in the | ||
669 | |668 |01:07:17 ~-~-> 01:07:20 |world has called me. Which fair value get. So I removed that problem for you | ||
670 | |669 |01:07:20 ~-~-> 01:07:24 |and everybody else that wants to listen to wants to listen to me, use the very | ||
671 | |670 |01:07:24 ~-~-> 01:07:28 |first one that's presented on a one minute chart, because that'll give you | ||
672 | |671 |01:07:28 ~-~-> 01:07:33 |enough to start with. In time, you'll find that there are other fair value | ||
673 | |672 |01:07:33 ~-~-> 01:07:38 |gaps on time based delivery that will be meaningful to you as well. It's not just | ||
674 | |673 |01:07:38 ~-~-> 01:07:42 |simply the first one, but that's the first one that can't hide, right? That's | ||
675 | |674 |01:07:42 ~-~-> 01:07:46 |the first one that's presented in price action that they cannot hide from you. | ||
676 | |675 |01:07:48 ~-~-> 01:07:53 |So it gives you your immediate initial focus, your bias initially is going to | ||
677 | |676 |01:07:53 ~-~-> 01:08:02 |be always looking for middle the gap. I'm making it binary. If it's this, then | ||
678 | |677 |01:08:02 ~-~-> 01:08:07 |you do that. If it's that, then you do this. If neither these scenarios are | ||
679 | |678 |01:08:07 ~-~-> 01:08:11 |there, you do nothing. You sit still. If then else | ||
680 | |679 |01:08:12 ~-~-> 01:08:17 |that's programming, that's computer programming, that's that's how a | ||
681 | |680 |01:08:17 ~-~-> 01:08:25 |programmer would build with with, with code to the project specifications. This | ||
682 | |681 |01:08:25 ~-~-> 01:08:29 |is what I want at the end. I need a paid I need a payroll program that does this, | ||
683 | |682 |01:08:29 ~-~-> 01:08:36 |this, this, and runs reports on these primary statistics that I want to have. | ||
684 | |683 |01:08:37 ~-~-> 01:08:42 |And then a coder sits down says, Okay, well, I can do that. Encodes it out well | ||
685 | |684 |01:08:42 ~-~-> 01:08:45 |in trading, because it's algorithmically delivered, you have to have your your | ||
686 | |685 |01:08:46 ~-~-> 01:08:49 |arrays where you're going to get the information from, where's the first | ||
687 | |686 |01:08:49 ~-~-> 01:08:52 |setup going to form every single time you sit in front of the charts, Caleb, | ||
688 | |687 |01:08:52 ~-~-> 01:08:56 |it's going to happen in the morning session. Where are you going to look for | ||
689 | |688 |01:08:56 ~-~-> 01:09:00 |that set up the form that's an array, that's a data point, just like a program | ||
690 | |689 |01:09:00 ~-~-> 01:09:05 |is going to go and, okay, I need to do this calculation. I need to get the | ||
691 | |690 |01:09:05 ~-~-> 01:09:10 |source information. So that data, where is it? Well, it's in that first 30 | ||
692 | |691 |01:09:10 ~-~-> 01:09:16 |minutes of trading. What is the first data point where we first open up at the | ||
693 | |692 |01:09:16 ~-~-> 01:09:21 |first 930 print in relationship to where we settled previous day. So you have | ||
694 | |693 |01:09:21 ~-~-> 01:09:25 |two, two arrays of information right there. Are we above or below at the | ||
695 | |694 |01:09:25 ~-~-> 01:09:29 |opening at 930 if we're above, okay, what's the midpoint between those two | ||
696 | |695 |01:09:29 ~-~-> 01:09:33 |price points? Yesterday's settlement price at 414 and 930 opening price | ||
697 | |696 |01:09:33 ~-~-> 01:09:39 |today, if we're opening higher at 930 today, that means that the draw, initial | ||
698 | |697 |01:09:39 ~-~-> 01:09:46 |draw, or the bias for you is going to be lower, and you are. You're submitting to | ||
699 | |698 |01:09:46 ~-~-> 01:09:50 |the idea that it doesn't need to get to that midpoint gap. It doesn't never need | ||
700 | |699 |01:09:50 ~-~-> 01:09:54 |to pray. It doesn't need the price there yet, but that's your bias. And then | ||
701 | |700 |01:09:54 ~-~-> 01:10:02 |you're waiting until 931 candlestick closes. And. Then at 932 if 931 creates | ||
702 | |701 |01:10:02 ~-~-> 01:10:07 |a fair value gap, that's your first fair value gap for the day. That is your | ||
703 | |702 |01:10:07 ~-~-> 01:10:13 |focus point for the range that your setup is going to form at or near right | ||
704 | |703 |01:10:13 ~-~-> 01:10:17 |away that's already smashed the shit out of everybody else's stuff, because | ||
705 | |704 |01:10:17 ~-~-> 01:10:22 |everybody else's stuff is reacting to things we're anticipating, we are | ||
706 | |705 |01:10:22 ~-~-> 01:10:26 |fucking predicting the future. That's what you're trading futures. It's in the | ||
707 | |706 |01:10:26 ~-~-> 01:10:29 |name of the fucking game. If you're not predicting the future, you're fucking | ||
708 | |707 |01:10:29 ~-~-> 01:10:36 |clueless. You're clueless. And I am not making guesses, and I'm not teaching you | ||
709 | |708 |01:10:36 ~-~-> 01:10:40 |son to make fucking guesses like these Yahoos out there, these people are | ||
710 | |709 |01:10:40 ~-~-> 01:10:44 |fucking idiots. They're fucking clowns. They think they're smart. They have no | ||
711 | |710 |01:10:44 ~-~-> 01:10:49 |idea where they're at zero. They have zero fucking understanding. My students | ||
712 | |711 |01:10:49 ~-~-> 01:10:52 |have seen me do this, and they're able to do this, and you're gonna do it too. | ||
713 | |712 |01:10:53 ~-~-> 01:10:57 |You are going to fucking run circles around these fucking jerks. But let them | ||
714 | |713 |01:10:57 ~-~-> 01:11:03 |talk, because that is liquidity. That's the people up here. That's the people | ||
715 | |714 |01:11:04 ~-~-> 01:11:08 |that are selling short down here. That's the people that you're targeting. | ||
716 | |715 |01:11:08 ~-~-> 01:11:14 |They're your fucking food. Son, they're your food. Don't worry about don't play | ||
717 | |716 |01:11:14 ~-~-> 01:11:17 |with your fucking food. Okay, don't worry about them, because they're gonna | ||
718 | |717 |01:11:17 ~-~-> 01:11:22 |keep coming to the watering hole and you eat. Don't feel sorry for them. Don't | ||
719 | |718 |01:11:22 ~-~-> 01:11:27 |apologize to them when you get ready, take them out, devour them. Fucking | ||
720 | |719 |01:11:27 ~-~-> 01:11:32 |devour them. Their food. For you, their food just simply consume them. That's | ||
721 | |720 |01:11:32 ~-~-> 01:11:36 |all you have to do. That's what trading is. You don't feel sorry for the person | ||
722 | |721 |01:11:36 ~-~-> 01:11:40 |outside your trade. Fuck them. They made the mistake. Let them live with it. If | ||
723 | |722 |01:11:40 ~-~-> 01:11:43 |they're smart, they'll come back and bounce it and get it back and draw down | ||
724 | |723 |01:11:43 ~-~-> 01:11:47 |recover. If they can't recover, their drawdown, they don't deserve to be here. | ||
725 | |724 |01:11:47 ~-~-> 01:11:53 |They should be food and exterminated. That's the that's the economy in this | ||
726 | |725 |01:11:53 ~-~-> 01:11:58 |business. Folks, if that's jarring for you, if that's unsettling for you, get | ||
727 | |726 |01:11:58 ~-~-> 01:12:01 |over it, because that's exactly what you're going to have happen to you when | ||
728 | |727 |01:12:01 ~-~-> 01:12:07 |you do it wrong. Your food, someone got you, someone devoured you, someone took | ||
729 | |728 |01:12:07 ~-~-> 01:12:16 |your money. But until you look at the market like this, like it's war, like | ||
730 | |729 |01:12:16 ~-~-> 01:12:25 |it's survival of the fittest, predator and prey, what would you rather be the | ||
731 | |730 |01:12:25 ~-~-> 01:12:34 |animal looking up, expecting any moment darkness to descend upon them, or | ||
732 | |731 |01:12:34 ~-~-> 01:12:44 |looking down At the meal and not needing to apologize? That's the mindset. That's | ||
733 | |732 |01:12:44 ~-~-> 01:12:50 |what it requires. If you go in here and think you're looking at classical | ||
734 | |733 |01:12:50 ~-~-> 01:12:56 |musical notes on a sheet of paper, that's that's not how it works. You're | ||
735 | |734 |01:12:56 ~-~-> 01:13:01 |lying to yourself. This Is War, and the people on the other side of your trade, | ||
736 | |735 |01:13:01 ~-~-> 01:13:06 |want you to fail. I want all of you, if you're on the other side of my trade, I | ||
737 | |736 |01:13:06 ~-~-> 01:13:13 |want every single one of you to lose. If I was on the other side of your trade, | ||
738 | |737 |01:13:13 ~-~-> 01:13:18 |you'd want me to lose. Why is there any shame? There ain't none. If you | ||
739 | |738 |01:13:18 ~-~-> 01:13:24 |understand the the economy of this industry. That's how it works. So you | ||
740 | |739 |01:13:24 ~-~-> 01:13:28 |have to look for the advantages that everybody else makes the same mistakes | ||
741 | |740 |01:13:29 ~-~-> 01:13:33 |outside of the logic I'm teaching. They all make the same fucking mistakes, and | ||
742 | |741 |01:13:33 ~-~-> 01:13:39 |they think, they think with their myopic perspectives, because I dress a chart a | ||
743 | |742 |01:13:39 ~-~-> 01:13:44 |certain way. Oh, that's a sell. And so time and price theory, my time and price | ||
744 | |743 |01:13:44 ~-~-> 01:13:49 |theory, is fucking macros. That means 20 minute intervals every single hour of | ||
745 | |744 |01:13:49 ~-~-> 01:13:52 |every single day, the last 10 minutes before the top of the hour and the first | ||
746 | |745 |01:13:52 ~-~-> 01:13:57 |10 minutes of the top of the hour every single hour. That's my time and price | ||
747 | |746 |01:13:57 ~-~-> 01:14:00 |theory. I'm not using geometrical fucking shapes. I'm not looking at | ||
748 | |747 |01:14:00 ~-~-> 01:14:04 |diagonal trend lines. I'm not looking again. Gann is absolute fucking | ||
749 | |748 |01:14:04 ~-~-> 01:14:09 |bullshit. I've said this before. It's bullshit that's nowhere in my charts. | ||
750 | |749 |01:14:09 ~-~-> 01:14:14 |It's never being implemented. None of that stuff I'm looking for time when the | ||
751 | |750 |01:14:14 ~-~-> 01:14:17 |market should should start running. It's spooling and it's going to be running | ||
752 | |751 |01:14:17 ~-~-> 01:14:21 |for liquidity or inefficiency. So that means I already know what I'm looking | ||
753 | |752 |01:14:21 ~-~-> 01:14:26 |for. Time wise, I'm setting my watch to I'm gonna set a expectation. I'm gonna | ||
754 | |753 |01:14:26 ~-~-> 01:14:33 |look for a setup at every fucking hour. Can you do that with your harmonic horse | ||
755 | |754 |01:14:33 ~-~-> 01:14:37 |shit? Can you do that with your Elliot Wade? Can you tell me at every single | ||
756 | |755 |01:14:37 ~-~-> 01:14:40 |hour that you're gonna get a fucking setup that you know when that fucking | ||
757 | |756 |01:14:40 ~-~-> 01:14:45 |setups gonna form. Can you do that? You fucking can't. You cannot do that. So | ||
758 | |757 |01:14:45 ~-~-> 01:14:48 |how the fuck are we on the same playing field? We're not baby I'm way to fuck up | ||
759 | |758 |01:14:48 ~-~-> 01:14:52 |here in the fucking stratosphere looking down at all you fucking piss ants. You | ||
760 | |759 |01:14:52 ~-~-> 01:14:56 |have no idea who the fuck is talking to you. You have no idea where the fuck I | ||
761 | |760 |01:14:56 ~-~-> 01:15:00 |am from, what I'm fucking done, what I know you are fucking clowns. Keep making | ||
762 | |761 |01:15:00 ~-~-> 01:15:08 |your dumb shit. We're all laughing at you. Nowhere near the same fucking | ||
763 | |762 |01:15:08 ~-~-> 01:15:13 |playing field. It's unfair. The advantages are so unfair. And what's | ||
764 | |763 |01:15:13 ~-~-> 01:15:23 |funny is you can't even recognize it. You can't recognize it. So imagine the | ||
765 | |764 |01:15:23 ~-~-> 01:15:29 |humor. Imagine the fucking humor. I hope this person and anybody else that talks | ||
766 | |765 |01:15:29 ~-~-> 01:15:33 |that nonsense, I can't wait to watch them live stream. I can't wait to see | ||
767 | |766 |01:15:33 ~-~-> 01:15:36 |what the fuck they do, because I'm gonna fade every fucking thing they do, and | ||
768 | |767 |01:15:36 ~-~-> 01:15:43 |I'm gonna explain why that bullshit ain't working, so please schedule your | ||
769 | |768 |01:15:43 ~-~-> 01:15:46 |live stream, and I'm gonna fucking show you what you fucking don't know. And | ||
770 | |769 |01:15:47 ~-~-> 01:15:51 |this is an open invitation to anybody. I don't give a fuck who you are. Let's | ||
771 | |770 |01:15:51 ~-~-> 01:15:55 |have some fun. I'm here for it. I told you the fall of this year was gonna be | ||
772 | |771 |01:15:55 ~-~-> 01:16:04 |fucking fun, and I'm here for it. But you have to understand something. Just | ||
773 | |772 |01:16:04 ~-~-> 01:16:09 |because a fucking trend line, a straight line drawing from one point to the next, | ||
774 | |773 |01:16:09 ~-~-> 01:16:12 |doesn't mean that I'm a trend line trader. Doesn't mean that I'm trading | ||
775 | |774 |01:16:12 ~-~-> 01:16:18 |uh, support or resistance. It doesn't mean that I'm trading supply and demand. | ||
776 | |775 |01:16:18 ~-~-> 01:16:24 |When I highlight a very specific price range. That is a order block. It is not | ||
777 | |776 |01:16:24 ~-~-> 01:16:30 |a bunch of orders. Okay? Order blocks don't make price go up. You fucking | ||
778 | |777 |01:16:30 ~-~-> 01:16:33 |people don't know what you're talking about. You literally don't know what the | ||
779 | |778 |01:16:33 ~-~-> 01:16:45 |fuck you're talking about. An order block is two specific price levels. Two | ||
780 | |779 |01:16:45 ~-~-> 01:16:49 |one's afforded for the initial entry, for smart money, and the second one, if | ||
781 | |780 |01:16:49 ~-~-> 01:16:55 |it's given they can add to it. That's what's really going on in those specific | ||
782 | |781 |01:16:56 ~-~-> 01:16:59 |time intervals that I'm pointing to at any given time. That's what's really | ||
783 | |782 |01:16:59 ~-~-> 01:17:05 |going on. It's an algorithmic delivery where prices being offered at that | ||
784 | |783 |01:17:05 ~-~-> 01:17:10 |price, not a zone, not some fucking Milli Vanilli area, where, who the hell | ||
785 | |784 |01:17:10 ~-~-> 01:17:14 |knows what you're trying to get? I know exactly what I'm trying to get. Look at | ||
786 | |785 |01:17:14 ~-~-> 01:17:17 |my fucking executions. Look at the logic. Look at the things I'm telling | ||
787 | |786 |01:17:17 ~-~-> 01:17:22 |you as the tape is printing on these lower time frames, and how it's stopping | ||
788 | |787 |01:17:22 ~-~-> 01:17:26 |right to the fucking tick it's behaving. What I tell you it's going to do, how | ||
789 | |788 |01:17:26 ~-~-> 01:17:30 |it's going to behave, and when it doesn't do that, it gives me insight and | ||
790 | |789 |01:17:30 ~-~-> 01:17:34 |tells me it's going to go to this liquidity or this inefficiency or this | ||
791 | |790 |01:17:34 ~-~-> 01:17:41 |specific PD array. It's laughable. Like it. I mean, I love it. I wish more | ||
792 | |791 |01:17:41 ~-~-> 01:17:45 |people made more videos like that. I swear. I wish you would do more of that | ||
793 | |792 |01:17:45 ~-~-> 01:17:49 |stuff. Because all it does, it saturates the market with more proof that you | ||
794 | |793 |01:17:49 ~-~-> 01:17:50 |fucking people are stupid. | ||
795 | |794 |01:17:51 ~-~-> 01:17:55 |Because once my students see this stuff and they make money with it in their own | ||
796 | |795 |01:17:55 ~-~-> 01:18:00 |hands, you're never convincing them otherwise, and we're all in on the | ||
797 | |796 |01:18:00 ~-~-> 01:18:04 |fucking joke, you're a clown, and you understand why? Now, I've always laughed | ||
798 | |797 |01:18:04 ~-~-> 01:18:10 |at people like this. That's why I sound arrogant and pompous and narcissistic, | ||
799 | |798 |01:18:10 ~-~-> 01:18:16 |because idiots are trying to tell me what they don't know. Like you don't | ||
800 | |799 |01:18:16 ~-~-> 01:18:21 |know. You simply don't know. And it's not for a lack of opportunity, because I | ||
801 | |800 |01:18:21 ~-~-> 01:18:28 |have it out here for free. Who's the idiot here? Who's the fool here? Someone | ||
802 | |801 |01:18:28 ~-~-> 01:18:31 |they can tell you beforehand and then execute on it, and then made millionaire | ||
803 | |802 |01:18:31 ~-~-> 01:18:37 |students with it. Millionaire students, not just I gotta, I gotta pay out | ||
804 | |803 |01:18:37 ~-~-> 01:18:49 |millionaire students. You're going to come talking to me. I fucking love it. I | ||
805 | |804 |01:18:49 ~-~-> 01:18:53 |love it. Get your fucking ad revenue. Lady. Christmas is fucking coming that | ||
806 | |805 |01:18:53 ~-~-> 01:18:58 |way. You can put some stamps on the fucking Christmas cards and send them | ||
807 | |806 |01:18:58 ~-~-> 01:19:03 |out. I will be with you tomorrow if I can, if I absolutely can, work it out, I | ||
808 | |807 |01:19:03 ~-~-> 01:19:06 |will be with you the last hour today. Okay, because I want to be able to prove | ||
809 | |808 |01:19:06 ~-~-> 01:19:12 |to you that we can, we can do more than what's being shown here. But Caleb, you | ||
810 | |809 |01:19:12 ~-~-> 01:19:18 |have plenty to work with here. You have plenty to start with as a framework, | ||
811 | |810 |01:19:19 ~-~-> 01:19:26 |there's no guesswork in it you're you're going by the numbers, time of day, very | ||
812 | |811 |01:19:26 ~-~-> 01:19:30 |specific measurements in time, very, very, very specific measurements in what | ||
813 | |812 |01:19:30 ~-~-> 01:19:35 |price you're looking for. Not a zone, not a diagonal trend line, not some | ||
814 | |813 |01:19:35 ~-~-> 01:19:40 |horseshit, Elliott Wave garbage, none of that stuff. Okay, the measurements of | ||
815 | |814 |01:19:40 ~-~-> 01:19:46 |Fibonacci are just simply giving me measurements of a range and what beyond | ||
816 | |815 |01:19:46 ~-~-> 01:19:50 |that range, if it trades beyond it, what level, if it agrees with another PD | ||
817 | |816 |01:19:50 ~-~-> 01:19:54 |array. That's the secret of Fibonacci. Because you can have all the Fibonacci | ||
818 | |817 |01:19:54 ~-~-> 01:19:58 |extensions you want and all the retracements you want, it doesn't mean | ||
819 | |818 |01:19:58 ~-~-> 01:20:03 |price is going to do shit there you. It doesn't mean that. But what happens if | ||
820 | |819 |01:20:03 ~-~-> 01:20:07 |you have a price range that's moved higher, then it retraces lower into a | ||
821 | |820 |01:20:07 ~-~-> 01:20:13 |62, to 70% traceable that's a that's the golden ratio. I mean, that's, I mean, I | ||
822 | |821 |01:20:13 ~-~-> 01:20:17 |didn't invent that. It's a three quarter poreback by itself. There. You can do | ||
823 | |822 |01:20:17 ~-~-> 01:20:23 |that all day long, all day long, and fail. But what happens when there's a PD | ||
824 | |823 |01:20:23 ~-~-> 01:20:26 |array that agrees with that, and it's also in a macro time 10 minutes to the | ||
825 | |824 |01:20:26 ~-~-> 01:20:31 |top of our or 10 minutes after that same hour? Now you have a loaded deal. It's | ||
826 | |825 |01:20:31 ~-~-> 01:20:34 |going to trade, it's going to, it's going to it's going to run. It may not | ||
827 | |826 |01:20:34 ~-~-> 01:20:38 |run 100 handles, but it's going to run back to the top of the range that you're | ||
828 | |827 |01:20:38 ~-~-> 01:20:41 |framing for that Fibonacci. And that's all you need is a bread and butter | ||
829 | |828 |01:20:41 ~-~-> 01:20:45 |setup. See, I can use all your tools against you. I can use all your retail | ||
830 | |829 |01:20:45 ~-~-> 01:20:48 |horseshit. I can pick the right support and resistance. I can pick the right | ||
831 | |830 |01:20:48 ~-~-> 01:20:51 |fucking trend line. I can pick all the fucking supply and demand zones that are | ||
832 | |831 |01:20:51 ~-~-> 01:20:55 |really the ones that make money. Why are all these people out there failing when | ||
833 | |832 |01:20:55 ~-~-> 01:20:59 |they try to use supply and demand? Why am I able to tell you beforehand all the | ||
834 | |833 |01:20:59 ~-~-> 01:21:02 |when am I getting it wrong? Have you seen that? Have you noticed that lately? | ||
835 | |834 |01:21:03 ~-~-> 01:21:06 |Have you noticed that why is my in my hands work better than everything else. | ||
836 | |835 |01:21:06 ~-~-> 01:21:10 |I can do the same thing with indicators. I can take a buy and sell based on | ||
837 | |836 |01:21:10 ~-~-> 01:21:15 |divergence. That that works the real divergence. I used to lose money all the | ||
838 | |837 |01:21:15 ~-~-> 01:21:19 |time trading bullish divergences, but bullish divergences that occur in a | ||
839 | |838 |01:21:19 ~-~-> 01:21:26 |stochastics or a rsi or a MACD, and you have a bullish scenario based on a order | ||
840 | |839 |01:21:26 ~-~-> 01:21:30 |block or inefficiency with a fair value gap, and it's inside of a macro There | ||
841 | |840 |01:21:30 ~-~-> 01:21:34 |you go. Now your indicators fucking work. Now they will work. The secret | ||
842 | |841 |01:21:34 ~-~-> 01:21:39 |recipe that you never have is ICT. If you don't put ICT in your shit, you got | ||
843 | |842 |01:21:39 ~-~-> 01:21:46 |nothing, honey, I'm the I'm the sweet in the tea. Okay? I'm the spice that makes | ||
844 | |843 |01:21:46 ~-~-> 01:21:54 |it so fucking nice. I am the thing that cherry on top. I'm what makes it good. | ||
845 | |844 |01:21:54 ~-~-> 01:21:58 |You don't have me in it. It ain't working. How about that? How's that for | ||
846 | |845 |01:21:58 ~-~-> 01:22:02 |narcissism? How's that for arrogance? Without me, your shit doesn't work, | ||
847 | |846 |01:22:03 ~-~-> 01:22:06 |period. Look at every one of your losing trades, I guarantee you you're against | ||
848 | |847 |01:22:06 ~-~-> 01:22:10 |what I'm teaching. Then look at your winning trades, and they're going to be | ||
849 | |848 |01:22:10 ~-~-> 01:22:13 |in alignment, and you're not going to know or recognize that that's the reason | ||
850 | |849 |01:22:14 ~-~-> 01:22:18 |why your trade worked. How about that? For a fucking video? Do a documentary on | ||
851 | |850 |01:22:18 ~-~-> 01:22:23 |that? You fucking clowns. You have no idea what you're talking about. I could | ||
852 | |851 |01:22:23 ~-~-> 01:22:28 |flip this around and make a mockery of every other fucking style and show them | ||
853 | |852 |01:22:28 ~-~-> 01:22:34 |how it fails and how to make it work. I got plenty of opportunities to make like | ||
854 | |853 |01:22:34 ~-~-> 01:22:40 |that, but I'm busy doing this. I'm I'm busy predicting the future. I'm busy | ||
855 | |854 |01:22:40 ~-~-> 01:22:48 |teaching how other people can be millionaires for free. So that's it for | ||
856 | |855 |01:22:48 ~-~-> 01:22:58 |today. Low risk, low yield, laboratory experiments, 75 to $100 a day time. Very | ||
857 | |856 |01:23:00 ~-~-> 01:23:04 |specific price levels, very specific draws on liquidity. The initial draw is | ||
858 | |857 |01:23:04 ~-~-> 01:23:09 |50% of the gap. If you work with this in the beginning. Caleb, don't ask beyond | ||
859 | |858 |01:23:09 ~-~-> 01:23:13 |that. Don't ask me, what about this? And what about that? Just stick with this. | ||
860 | |859 |01:23:13 ~-~-> 01:23:17 |Do it for a couple weeks. Look at your charts and, you know, impact testing it. | ||
861 | |860 |01:23:17 ~-~-> 01:23:21 |Look and see, and you'll see these setups are there every single day. And | ||
862 | |861 |01:23:21 ~-~-> 01:23:25 |then when you have the ability to do it, watch it with the tape live, you're not | ||
863 | |862 |01:23:25 ~-~-> 01:23:29 |pushing the button, but you're going to watch these types of things pan out. And | ||
864 | |863 |01:23:29 ~-~-> 01:23:32 |then after you do two or three weeks of that, then you can go and start pressing | ||
865 | |864 |01:23:32 ~-~-> 01:23:36 |the button with one contract on a micro and then test the theory. Just simply, | ||
866 | |865 |01:23:36 ~-~-> 01:23:39 |just test it, and desensitize yourself to the worries about making money or | ||
867 | |866 |01:23:39 ~-~-> 01:23:43 |losing money. And that's what all of you should do, too, in that order, in that | ||
868 | |867 |01:23:43 ~-~-> 01:23:47 |natural progression, that way you go through the process of eliminating all | ||
869 | |868 |01:23:47 ~-~-> 01:23:50 |that I have to make money or I'm afraid I'm going to lose money, don't worry | ||
870 | |869 |01:23:50 ~-~-> 01:23:54 |about doing that stuff. All that stuff is things that it's going to work itself | ||
871 | |870 |01:23:54 ~-~-> 01:23:58 |out. If you do everything I'm teaching, that's going to be the least of your | ||
872 | |871 |01:23:58 ~-~-> 01:24:02 |concern. And until I'll talk to you either later today, I'll let you know in | ||
873 | |872 |01:24:02 ~-~-> 01:24:05 |my community post and or on Twitter. I'll probably do if I'm going to be on | ||
874 | |873 |01:24:05 ~-~-> 01:24:09 |there, I'll do both. I'll tweet it and I'll say it on my community post. | ||
875 | |874 |01:24:09 ~-~-> 01:24:12 |Otherwise, the only post you see in my community post will be, what did you | ||
876 | |875 |01:24:12 ~-~-> 01:24:15 |learn today? And for the jackasses, they'll say, we we watched you not take | ||
877 | |876 |01:24:15 ~-~-> 01:24:19 |the profit in the market went the other direction. And that's exactly what I | ||
878 | |877 |01:24:19 ~-~-> 01:24:22 |want you to see. I'll talk to you later be safe. Bye. |