

on 2021-06-07 05:25

on 2021-06-11 14:55
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... ... @@ -1,1480 +1,300 @@ 1 -1 2 -00:00:30,360 ~-~-> 00:00:42,630 3 -ICT: Welcome back, folks, it's been a little bit of time since the last time we 4 -spoke, I want to kind of close this year out with Bitcoin. As some of you know, 1 +(% class="hover min" %) 2 +|1 |00:00:30,360 ~-~-> 00:00:42,630 |ICT: Welcome back, folks, it's been a little bit of time since the last time we spoke, I want to kind of close this year out with Bitcoin. As some of you know, 3 +|2 |00:00:42,630 ~-~-> 00:00:52,680 |I'm no longer on Twitter, you probably seen videos where I've shown invitations to follow me on Twitter, I don't have a Twitter account anymore. I don't have 4 +|3 |00:00:52,680 ~-~-> 00:01:07,200 |Instagram anymore. The only thing I have is YouTube. But for those individuals that were following me, and I had just about 39,000 or so followers on my 5 +|4 |00:01:07,200 ~-~-> 00:01:23,340 |Twitter account, and I was commenting various times throughout the year on Bitcoin and crypto and such, and everyone knows what the entire world has been 6 +|5 |00:01:23,340 ~-~-> 00:01:39,360 |dealing with, since the beginning of the year, or there abouts in March timeframe. The the idea of crypto or Bitcoin, specifically, I mentioned that 7 +|6 |00:01:40,440 ~-~-> 00:01:50,190 |everyone that was following me that if Bitcoin or crypto was going to be what everyone had hoped it would be, now's the time for it to shine and show its 8 +|7 |00:01:50,190 ~-~-> 00:02:05,760 |colors. And that occurred right on schedule. So now there's been some commentary on my part, that I have been very adversarial. and kept at a distance when it 9 +|8 |00:02:05,760 ~-~-> 00:02:20,970 |comes to crypto. The fact that it has traded, as it has here and offered levels of price runs that I like to see. I mean, this is, in my opinion, this is 10 +|9 |00:02:20,970 ~-~-> 00:02:36,990 |phenomenal trading. This is a market that if it can maintain things like this is very exciting for 2021. Now, it's important for some of you that are new that 11 +|10 |00:02:37,230 ~-~-> 00:02:50,010 |listen to me say what I'm about to say and say okay, well, there's no real way of me backing up or verifying what Michael says here. And I'll just leave it up 12 +|11 |00:02:50,010 ~-~-> 00:03:00,240 |to you to decide whether or not it's something I really said or didn't say. But it's important that you use the community tab on my YouTube channel because it 13 +|12 |00:03:00,240 ~-~-> 00:03:12,090 |has replaced my Twitter account. So I don't want to be on Twitter, Twitter actually censored me a couple times and froze my account for talking about 14 +|13 |00:03:12,090 ~-~-> 00:03:25,890 |something that had nothing to do with anything that should have warranted that type of response by them. So I saw move my entire show here to my YouTube 15 +|14 |00:03:25,890 ~-~-> 00:03:41,640 |channel. So if you go to YouTube channel, and you click on the community tab here, it'll give you posts. Now, I don't allow comments because I don't have any 16 +|15 |00:03:41,640 ~-~-> 00:03:51,510 |interest in anyone else's opinions. And it may sound myopic to some. But I already know I'm going to be polarizing. And I'm not offering a stage for people 17 +|16 |00:03:51,510 ~-~-> 00:04:08,940 |to advertise their self making the name for yourself, you know when you're in steam, but I have throughout this fall in the month of December really outlined 18 +|17 |00:04:10,260 ~-~-> 00:04:26,700 |this run here on Bitcoin. Now, my group that was following me on Twitter, back in July, knows that I was talking about it running from there. And then in my 19 +|18 |00:04:26,700 ~-~-> 00:04:39,600 |private group, mentorship, we talked a little bit about it periodically and again, I do not talk about crypto in mentorship. Okay, so I like to bring that 20 +|19 |00:04:39,600 ~-~-> 00:04:50,100 |up multiple times because I don't want anybody thinking I'm dangling a carrot here because I'm learning crypto. Okay, so it's important that you understand on 21 +|20 |00:04:50,100 ~-~-> 00:05:05,430 |transparency here. I don't have any immediate interest in trading it it just has now moved To a degree of more interest by me, okay, whereas before I really 22 +|21 |00:05:05,430 ~-~-> 00:05:13,920 |wasn't interested in at all, I'm interested in it now. So some of you may be laughing and saying, Oh, you missed the party, you missed the biggest bull 23 +|22 |00:05:13,920 ~-~-> 00:05:26,580 |market in the world, blah, blah, blah. Yeah, it's moved a lot of points. But in, there's big moves or mega trades every single year. And what you do with it, is 24 +|23 |00:05:26,580 ~-~-> 00:05:28,710 |the most important thing. And 25 +|24 |00:05:29,790 ~-~-> 00:05:43,110 |while this may be a stunning price rally, I was pretty much involved in calling most of it, okay, here. And there's a backdrop behind this that some of you are 26 +|25 |00:05:43,650 ~-~-> 00:05:57,060 |probably not up to speed with. And if you recall, back in 2018, I was really calling Bitcoin lower. And then ultimately, I said that, I felt that would go to 27 +|26 |00:05:57,060 ~-~-> 00:06:07,200 |100. And at the time, I said it, I meant it. And I kind of went over this on my community tab, but without rehashing that, just know that when I said that, I 28 +|27 |00:06:07,200 ~-~-> 00:06:19,980 |meant it. And there was other supported reasons why I wanted to say it and publicly make it known. But I had no horse in the race. So it really is no skin 29 +|28 |00:06:19,980 ~-~-> 00:06:28,530 |off my back. And crypto has never really been my forte, I never claimed to know how it works. And to be quite honest with you, I don't even know how to open up 30 +|29 |00:06:28,530 ~-~-> 00:06:37,710 |an account to trade this asset class. So that's how little I know about it, I just look at the candles, and I share my opinion publicly, whenever I feel 31 +|30 |00:06:37,740 ~-~-> 00:06:45,660 |inspired to do so. And there's been a few times I've been wrong, but by far and large, you know, with the exception of me obviously being facetious and meaning 32 +|31 |00:06:45,660 ~-~-> 00:06:59,970 |it's still at the same time calling Bitcoin at 100. It's been pretty, pretty interesting to see my public calls have been good. But in full transparency, if 33 +|32 |00:06:59,970 ~-~-> 00:07:14,430 |I look at it, like I did, forex for over the number of years, I've been focusing primarily on it since 2006. That I've been trading markets since 1992, but 34 +|33 |00:07:15,330 ~-~-> 00:07:26,910 |focused primarily on forex in 2006. But I have not really had a vested interest in crypto, only because of my students, they have an interest of constantly 35 +|34 |00:07:26,910 ~-~-> 00:07:35,460 |pinging me for my opinion about what I think it's going to do. And as I mentioned, on Twitter, at the time, when I had an account, I said, if it ever 36 +|35 |00:07:35,460 ~-~-> 00:07:46,230 |does stage or run to 20,000, I will let you know. And I made this public knowledge. And I didn't hide it in some secret membership. I put I put it out 37 +|36 |00:07:46,230 ~-~-> 00:07:58,050 |there. And there it is. But I kind of want to talk a little bit about why I felt it was going to go up and trade where it's at now and tell you where I think it 38 +|37 |00:07:58,050 ~-~-> 00:08:09,720 |might go to. And also talk about why I don't think anybody really knows what's going to happen. So it's a little bit of a sobering message to this. But also 39 +|38 |00:08:09,720 ~-~-> 00:08:22,320 |just sharing what I think I see here in the chart, it's important to understand before I go into it, that I do not have an account trading crypto, I do not have 40 +|39 |00:08:22,320 ~-~-> 00:08:31,470 |any interest in pumping it or inspiring it to go lower. Okay, so I have an indifference here, it doesn't make a difference to me if it goes higher, or if 41 +|40 |00:08:31,470 ~-~-> 00:08:42,930 |it goes lower. I'm just commenting on his objectively as I possibly can. And sharing that view or opinion with you here. It's not meant to be in in vestment 42 +|41 |00:08:42,930 ~-~-> 00:08:52,440 |advice. It's not meant to inspire you to buy it or go short. It's just that I've been asked multiple times because we had this big price around here. And some of 43 +|42 |00:08:52,440 ~-~-> 00:08:55,950 |my students that are following me from afar 44 +|43 |00:08:57,060 ~-~-> 00:08:57,570 |have 45 +|44 |00:08:57,660 ~-~-> 00:09:05,010 |seen this move and have not been aware of the community tab on my YouTube channel. So everything's there, it's dated, you can see the comments I've had 46 +|45 |00:09:05,010 ~-~-> 00:09:21,570 |about it. So let's talk a little bit about what I saw this year. And what led to this price run. I said back in the beginning here we had this I'm not going to 47 +|46 |00:09:21,570 ~-~-> 00:09:31,290 |say the word because it's gonna like my video and I don't want to have any issues with that. But you all know what this is referring to. And the market 48 +|47 |00:09:31,290 ~-~-> 00:09:45,960 |tanked like everything else here. But at the time. This is when if crypto was going to be the the great alternative to Fiat, then this should be a time at 49 +|48 |00:09:45,960 ~-~-> 00:10:01,200 |which it will really start to show its true colors. If that's in fact what it is. Now, do I believe that Bitcoin will be the benchmark forever In crypto, if 50 +|49 |00:10:01,650 ~-~-> 00:10:12,420 |we're to assume that it eventually does replace Fiat, I'm not here to say it will. I'm just making the argument here that if Fiat is completely done away 51 +|50 |00:10:12,420 ~-~-> 00:10:27,090 |with and everything goes to a digital currency, I do not believe that Bitcoin will be the standard. Okay, I think it will be replaced by something else. And 52 +|51 |00:10:27,090 ~-~-> 00:10:37,680 |I'm not a student enough to know what that is. Okay, so I'm kind of like, being as honest as I possibly can. I just believe in my heart that this is just the 53 +|52 |00:10:37,680 ~-~-> 00:10:49,140 |beginning of something. Okay. And they may adopt something else entirely, but still be crypto. And there it is. But whatever that thing is, that replaces 54 +|53 |00:10:49,140 ~-~-> 00:11:03,600 |Bitcoin will do what you see here in Bitcoin faster than what we saw here. So I think it was in 2012. If I'm not mistaken, I think it's about when I was being 55 +|54 |00:11:03,600 ~-~-> 00:11:14,070 |asked, I had a interview with a group of traders that were really, really interested in Bitcoin back then. And it was trading under 1000 is like a couple 56 +|55 |00:11:14,070 ~-~-> 00:11:26,340 |$100 for a Bitcoin. And I didn't have any interest back then either. And I said, you know, I'm not interested in I'll have to see what it does. And the idea of 57 +|56 |00:11:26,670 ~-~-> 00:11:41,040 |this asset class, replacing Fiat has been argued for law since the inception of, you know, the crypto markets, I think that there will be a another coin or 58 +|57 |00:11:41,040 ~-~-> 00:11:56,220 |something to that effect, that will become more favored than this one. Will it mean that this goes away entirely? I don't know. Does it mean that there won't 59 +|58 |00:11:56,220 ~-~-> 00:12:08,100 |be other currencies? Like we have different countries, then they have their own individual currency? Will they have their own individual cryptocurrency? I kind 60 +|59 |00:12:08,100 ~-~-> 00:12:17,640 |of think that's what's happening initially. Before all Fiat goes away, I think every country is eventually going to want to do that. There's been obviously 61 +|60 |00:12:17,640 ~-~-> 00:12:26,520 |talks about the digital dollar. I'm not afraid of that. I don't think there's any real concern. And ultimately, if I'm wrong and say, Fiat just completely 62 +|61 |00:12:26,520 ~-~-> 00:12:39,420 |disappears overnight. Because 2020 has been relentless with doing plot twists throughout the year. The the idea of Fiat gone away immediately, and maybe that 63 +|62 |00:12:39,420 ~-~-> 00:12:52,680 |impacts forex. The big question is, you know, is it over for forex? No, I don't believe that's the case. I think if Fiats done away with, then we'll still apply 64 +|63 |00:12:52,680 ~-~-> 00:13:03,990 |the same things, which we do with forex, and comparing the contrast and looking for leaders and laggards in terms of relative strength and which currency has 65 +|64 |00:13:03,990 ~-~-> 00:13:11,370 |the most interest. And I think this the effects of interest rates, and differentials will still have an impact there, it just won't be done in the 66 +|65 |00:13:11,370 ~-~-> 00:13:20,160 |capacity of a fiat currency, it will be done in crypto. Now, that's my assumptions. And I may absolutely be incorrect. And maybe there's a lot of you 67 +|66 |00:13:20,160 ~-~-> 00:13:27,210 |out there that know more about this than I do. And you're shaking your head saying this guy's a noob. He has no idea. I've already admitted. Every time I 68 +|67 |00:13:27,210 ~-~-> 00:13:38,490 |talk about this, this asset class, I preface it by saying that, because I don't want to sound like and I hope you can see the difference here. Okay. I am 69 +|68 |00:13:38,970 ~-~-> 00:13:45,750 |admittedly uncomfortable talking about this crypto space, okay. 70 +|69 |00:13:47,610 ~-~-> 00:13:56,010 |That's why it sounds like arrogance, when I'm talking about forex or futures. Because I'm comfortable there. And I know what I'm talking about. Here, I'm just 71 +|70 |00:13:56,010 ~-~-> 00:14:08,700 |sharing my feelings, my opinions, my thoughts, my concerns about it, and admitting that there's absolutely no harm to me if I'm wrong or right, because 72 +|71 |00:14:08,700 ~-~-> 00:14:22,200 |I'm not invested in it at all. But I'm fascinated to see the things I'm going to cover here still showing its hand in the delivery of price here. But I want you 73 +|72 |00:14:22,200 ~-~-> 00:14:32,400 |to also remember that there's absolutely no one out there, no one out there knows where bitcoins ultimately going to go. We are clearly in all time highs in 74 +|73 |00:14:32,430 ~-~-> 00:14:44,220 |any market that trades at an all time high. There's absolutely no way to determine with any great accuracy, or a surety that you know where it's going to 75 +|74 |00:14:44,220 ~-~-> 00:14:55,980 |go to. So what I'm going to show you what I believe led to me calling the levels that I called shared with my students and also I shared some levels with the 76 +|75 |00:14:56,010 ~-~-> 00:15:04,980 |YouTube community tab. I'm going to go over some of that tell you why I believed it was going to happen. And then you can see whether there was any validity to 77 +|76 |00:15:04,980 ~-~-> 00:15:15,900 |it. I promise you, there is no secret sauce stuff that I'm not sharing here. Because I don't have anything that I want to plug in to crypto at this moment. 78 +|77 |00:15:16,260 ~-~-> 00:15:26,730 |And I don't have any confidence in it. So I just look at pure price delivery, and order block theory. And it's all I'm looking at here. So with that, just 79 +|78 |00:15:26,730 ~-~-> 00:15:39,360 |know that this was the precursor to seeing all this price run up, it was maximum pessimism, and fear, which is where something that is underlying Lee strong. And 80 +|79 |00:15:39,360 ~-~-> 00:15:51,210 |this is something if you're taking notes you should be be the idea of a market that is predisposed to go up. Okay, a market is primarily bullish, if there's 81 +|80 |00:15:51,240 ~-~-> 00:16:04,800 |ever a sharp decline, okay, or a rapid run to lower prices. Many times if you're zoomed in really tight, and you're only looking at about two weeks worth of 82 +|81 |00:16:04,830 ~-~-> 00:16:18,330 |data, this is going to look horrific. But when you zoom out a little bit, it gives you a better, I guess, perspective on how much of an impact that really 83 +|82 |00:16:18,330 ~-~-> 00:16:27,390 |had. But at the time watching it and all the uncertainty that was coming out around March of the year, everybody was taking guesses about what was going on. 84 +|83 |00:16:27,390 ~-~-> 00:16:40,320 |And nobody really wanted to be a participant of any any market. That maximum fear in a market that is predisposed to go up. Its underlying Lee bullish if 85 +|84 |00:16:40,320 ~-~-> 00:16:54,660 |it's really just primed to go higher. Any market like that, in those instances, offer these types of climax reversals, okay, where it just looks like it's going 86 +|85 |00:16:54,660 ~-~-> 00:17:10,170 |down forever go down. But it turns on a dime and starts to go the other way. In July, I felt that we had that effect here, we had a reversal of sorts. And if it 87 +|86 |00:17:10,170 ~-~-> 00:17:23,700 |was going to go higher if crypto was going to be the, the answer to Fiat, the market should start pricing higher. And it was consolidate for a little bit, we 88 +|87 |00:17:23,700 ~-~-> 00:17:30,990 |had this little bit of a run here. We came back down rebalanced, and ran out some relative equal lows in here, you can look at this on your own charts, I 89 +|88 |00:17:30,990 ~-~-> 00:17:41,640 |just want to get through this because already kind of too long, but an optimal trade entry here and running on the sell side liquidity there. And you can see 90 +|89 |00:17:41,640 ~-~-> 00:17:51,870 |some old support resistance ideas if you'd like that kind of thing, but I don't. But we had a run here. And then we had price drop back down into another optimal 91 +|90 |00:17:51,870 ~-~-> 00:18:04,380 |trade entry there. And I want to kind of zoom in on that. Alright, so we have this run and decline these two down close candles as your order block. 92 +|91 |00:18:12,690 ~-~-> 00:18:24,210 |case, you can see how market ran up and broke down. The 20,000 is where everybody was looking forward to go to and 2017. I said that we were going to go 93 +|92 |00:18:24,210 ~-~-> 00:18:34,830 |from 6500 to 10. And then from 10 to 20. This is all during my time on Twitter. There's a lot of people that screen capture all this stuff. Do I have access to 94 +|93 |00:18:34,830 ~-~-> 00:18:45,540 |it now? No, I don't care. Okay, but there was many of you out there that No, I said this. And then I also said, this is a story guy real briefly. My wife asked 95 +|94 |00:18:45,540 ~-~-> 00:18:56,010 |me the day before Bitcoin made a tie. She asked me, have you bought any Bitcoin? And I said, What did you just say to me? And my wife was sitting next to me on 96 +|95 |00:18:56,010 ~-~-> 00:19:06,390 |the couch and she says, Did you buy bitcoin? It's going up. And I said, Hold that thought right there. And I really went to Twitter and said, Okay, my, my 97 +|96 |00:19:06,390 ~-~-> 00:19:13,590 |original idea was, Bitcoin was going to go to 20,000. But I'm telling you right now, it's not going to go to 20,000. And here's the reasons why my wife said I 98 +|97 |00:19:13,590 ~-~-> 00:19:21,180 |should be buying Bitcoin. Now, this is not ladies, please don't be mad. And I'm not making fun of my wife, I love my wife. 99 +|98 |00:19:21,749 ~-~-> 00:19:22,379 |But 100 +|99 |00:19:22,650 ~-~-> 00:19:34,470 |if my wife is telling me to be buying Bitcoin, she's the last person that would know, to be buying Bitcoin. So if she's telling me it's a good buy, that means 101 +|100 |00:19:34,500 ~-~-> 00:19:41,880 |everybody thinks the same thing. So therefore it's not going to 20,000 so that's the reason why I went on the Twitter immediately and said, okay, it's not going 102 +|101 |00:19:41,880 ~-~-> 00:19:50,910 |to 20,000 and I looked at the chart, and I said it's going to go basically just 6000 and everybody laughed me off the internet. It is what it is. It went down 103 +|102 |00:19:50,910 ~-~-> 00:20:00,780 |to 6000 that I called 3000 and went down to like 34 something ish. Yeah, I don't know exactly what it was, but then go to 3000 I was wrong. There. And at that 104 +|103 |00:20:00,780 ~-~-> 00:20:08,970 |point, I really didn't know what it was going to do. And everybody was hammering me because I called the top in Bitcoin and I called the slide to 6000. I called 105 +|104 |00:20:09,330 ~-~-> 00:20:18,540 |the slide almost to 3000. And everybody was waiting for that 3000 still, and I said, You know what, I don't know what's going to happen. But I can't handle 106 +|105 |00:20:18,540 ~-~-> 00:20:30,810 |everybody coming at me with crypto because I'm a forex guy, okay? I'm a futures guy. I'm a limited market type person, I have obsessive compulsive disorder. And 107 +|106 |00:20:30,840 ~-~-> 00:20:41,040 |it's very easy for me to be distracted. So I did what I did, I said, Here's is, I think, ultimately bitcoins gonna crash and go to 100. And I put it out there. 108 +|107 |00:20:41,640 ~-~-> 00:20:52,560 |And it obviously turned a lot of people off made enemies. Have some of my followers with me, oh, you're, you're, you're a Fudd, or whatever that is, you 109 +|108 |00:20:52,560 ~-~-> 00:21:04,440 |guys talk about it. Now, what's the negative side of it. So it worked, though, hey, got everybody off my back about crypto. And it allowed me to focus on the 110 +|109 |00:21:04,440 ~-~-> 00:21:18,870 |markets that I focus on. So that's why this is labeled as the milestone because it never really got to 20,000. So 20,000 was that benchmark it needed to reach 111 +|110 |00:21:18,870 ~-~-> 00:21:33,990 |to and through. And we just got to very close on the first of December off of this optimal trade entry here, and then it consolidated and drop down. This in 112 +|111 |00:21:33,990 ~-~-> 00:21:45,240 |itself is an optimal trade entry. But before I go into this one, I'm going to show you the structure on this, that leads to some of the targets. So the low 113 +|112 |00:21:45,240 ~-~-> 00:21:58,530 |here to this high. Okay, now I'm using the wicks in the tails. Now, most of the time, you see me doing exercises, where I'll draw the fib and the bodies of the 114 +|113 |00:21:58,530 ~-~-> 00:22:07,200 |candles, because it's the bulk of the volume. If I'm looking for targets, and I really want to consider the entire range that could be available. I'm going to 115 +|114 |00:22:07,200 ~-~-> 00:22:19,110 |use this the lowest tail and the highest wick. Why am I doing it here and not using the bodies, because we're trading or expected to trade to all time highs. 116 +|115 |00:22:19,680 ~-~-> 00:22:30,000 |So I want to incorporate the maximum amount of range that could be available to me, if I'm going to be utilizing the fib for target selection. Now, by itself. 117 +|116 |00:22:30,540 ~-~-> 00:22:40,920 |The fib at this point, is the only thing I can lean on for targeting. And this is the reason why I said in the beginning video, nobody has any idea where 118 +|117 |00:22:40,920 ~-~-> 00:22:48,990 |Bitcoin is going to go. Okay, I like to think that it's going to go to 30,000. Because it just, it's a nice round number. It's a reward for everybody that's 119 +|118 |00:22:48,990 ~-~-> 00:23:00,360 |held on this long, it'll really get everybody interested in it. Everybody wanted to see it get to 20. But how does it trade above 20. And I said, if it does go 120 +|119 |00:23:00,360 ~-~-> 00:23:12,480 |above 20, he needs to do what we see here. Just run, run, run, go go go. Okay. My concern is, this is one of the things I'm wondering if it's gonna happen or 121 +|120 |00:23:12,480 ~-~-> 00:23:24,150 |not. If I was trading it, if I was in this, if I had money in this market, which I do not trade crypto, I don't have live money in this asset class, I would want 122 +|121 |00:23:24,150 ~-~-> 00:23:37,230 |to see it trade to 30. If it got the 30, I would probably download about 85% of whatever I held. And then wait and see what happens with a stop below here. 123 +|122 |00:23:39,120 ~-~-> 00:23:48,630 |On the community tab, I gave you some levels. And I said, You know, I don't know what it's going to do. But I feel that as long as we stayed above 17 eight, 124 +|123 |00:23:49,260 ~-~-> 00:24:02,610 |which would be essentially, here's the low here at 117 569. I don't think that needed to go back up below rather 17 eight, which would be potentially running 125 +|124 |00:24:02,610 ~-~-> 00:24:13,470 |below this low. If it did that, then that's for me problematic that would be breaking down in market structure, whereas everything here has been bullish. So 126 +|125 |00:24:13,470 ~-~-> 00:24:20,190 |some of the targets I was looking at was from this low to this high. And it trades back down into optimal trade entry, which is what I teach on this 127 +|126 |00:24:20,190 ~-~-> 00:24:35,190 |channel. It's kind of like the flagship pattern. And then we have multiple levels that are hit here. 28 927 level 27 and 3925 was no problem whatsoever. 128 +|127 |00:24:35,610 ~-~-> 00:24:51,510 |But I like these up here and targeting the 30,000 that to my concerns, will 30,000 act like 20 did in 2017 and just fall short of it and create a issue 129 +|128 |00:24:51,510 ~-~-> 00:25:00,870 |where we have to come back down below 20,000. I think ultimately if it were to do that, that's not necessarily a bad thing. It's not What you probably want to 130 +|129 |00:25:00,870 ~-~-> 00:25:09,390 |hear, especially if you're long, or if you've been buying in here or up here, if you're buying up there, I would be nervous, I wouldn't chase it like that. Just, 131 +|130 |00:25:09,720 ~-~-> 00:25:24,690 |that's just me, I wouldn't do it. But if it were to fail to get to 30, and trade back down below 20, I would like to see it, pick up some buying it this area 132 +|131 |00:25:24,690 ~-~-> 00:25:35,730 |right in here. Okay, so it can go back below 20 a little bit, but I don't think it needs to come back down below here. I think everybody stop is here. So if it 133 +|132 |00:25:35,730 ~-~-> 00:25:44,970 |did come back down, it could retest this old high, but I would like to see it go through it a little bit. And focus on this candle right there. Now, again, 134 +|133 |00:25:45,390 ~-~-> 00:25:56,220 |that's just an expectation, if it were to fail to get the 30. I personally think they're going to push it to 30 before we turn to 2021. And I wouldn't be 135 +|134 |00:25:56,220 ~-~-> 00:26:11,610 |surprised if they really ram it up there through 30, you buy five or 6000 more points beyond that. So like 35 36,000, I think 38. And let's see if we have a 136 +|135 |00:26:11,610 ~-~-> 00:26:20,490 |level here. Now we don't have it on this one. But you'll see it most likely on here. The next optimal trade entry is this. And whenever you're trading at all 137 +|136 |00:26:20,490 ~-~-> 00:26:32,820 |time highs, this is kind of like the the process, it just keeps becoming a guessing game. Because you don't know nobody knows what this markets going to 138 +|137 |00:26:32,820 ~-~-> 00:26:40,860 |do. They don't know where it's going to go. Obviously, some of you're shaking your head saying it's going 100,000 ICT, it's going to a million ICT, it's going 139 +|138 |00:26:40,860 ~-~-> 00:26:51,330 |to 50,000 ICT, everybody has their target, you know, and well, I could just call out levels and say, you know, this is what I think this is what I believe 140 +|139 |00:26:52,290 ~-~-> 00:27:01,950 |there's really nothing that I can say this is the reason why except for a fit here. And I don't trade with just a fit. It may look like that some when they 141 +|140 |00:27:01,950 ~-~-> 00:27:12,810 |watch me do things in my videos. But I promise you that fib is only giving me one small little piece. And that's where we're at with this. And regardless if 142 +|141 |00:27:12,810 ~-~-> 00:27:26,340 |you want to agree with my analysis here, or if my opinion, or my thoughts about it, you have nothing, zero, nothing except for hope, hope and expectation that 143 +|142 |00:27:26,340 ~-~-> 00:27:34,710 |it's going to go to your specific target. Just like I had hope and expectation, just to see if I was at a morbid curiosity, if I was going to be correct. If it 144 +|143 |00:27:34,710 ~-~-> 00:27:44,550 |ran up of 20,000. Before Christmas, it did. Did it trade to the levels I put on my community tab? Yes, it did. Is it skill? No, there wasn't no skill there, it 145 +|144 |00:27:44,550 ~-~-> 00:27:55,950 |was just me looking at how it could potentially expand up into those levels, and maybe even go way beyond that. But no one can really say with any absolute 146 +|145 |00:27:56,880 ~-~-> 00:28:05,520 |evidence to support their idea where it's going to go on evaluation, like you can't look over here on this axis of the chart and say, this is where bitcoins 147 +|146 |00:28:05,520 ~-~-> 00:28:16,980 |gonna go because of this, this, this and this. Whereas if we have traded to an old level before, it's easy to look at things and rationalize it with technicals 148 +|147 |00:28:17,280 ~-~-> 00:28:28,290 |to justify and present that argument. Whereas right now, everybody has their own opinion about this market and where they think it's going to go. And no one has 149 +|148 |00:28:28,320 ~-~-> 00:28:39,030 |any way to quantify that. You just can't do it. So let's take a look at the weekly chart and close this video because it's too long as it is. 150 +|149 |00:28:40,140 ~-~-> 00:28:55,350 |Alright, so let's go back out to a higher timeframe chart and we'll look at this leg here. So if we use the lowest low here, up to this right there. All right, 151 +|150 |00:28:55,350 ~-~-> 00:29:05,670 |I'm going to crunch this up a little bit. So from this low to this high retrace back down, yes, we overshot a little bit. But again, I already stated multiple 152 +|151 |00:29:05,670 ~-~-> 00:29:18,000 |times. I'm not just a fib guy, fibs are just a tool I like to use to provide more Confluence around the level that I would already be looking for anyway. And 153 +|152 |00:29:18,000 ~-~-> 00:29:27,600 |if a fib overlaps with it, then great if it doesn't, whatever. But I've looked at some of these levels here. And let's just say we get some crazy blow off move 154 +|153 |00:29:27,630 ~-~-> 00:29:41,040 |that goes above 30. There you go. That's the level I would look for if we get 30 and run through. And then after there, I don't know. I don't know. could you do 155 +|154 |00:29:41,070 ~-~-> 00:29:52,260 |this? Could you go back to something like this low here, and why am I picking this low? Because this is the most dynamic one out of all this price action. Now 156 +|155 |00:29:52,260 ~-~-> 00:30:06,210 |that I think about it, as I'm looking at this chart, I think it was one was it. I think it was 2014. Yeah, I mentioned early 2012 it was 2014. I think this 157 +|156 |00:30:06,210 ~-~-> 00:30:20,160 |fellows they were initially interviewing me asking me what my opinion was about Bitcoin. I may have that date wrong still, but I just for sake of discussion, I 158 +|157 |00:30:20,160 ~-~-> 00:30:34,050 |wish I could remember who it was. But anyway, I held the main I maintain the the opinion about crypto and Bitcoin, the same up until right now this at this 159 +|158 |00:30:34,050 ~-~-> 00:30:43,860 |moment here. So, am I saying I'm going to start trading Bitcoin? No, I'm saying I'm interested in I'm gonna start following it. And if it can continuously Give 160 +|159 |00:30:43,860 ~-~-> 00:30:52,590 |me what I'm looking for, and the things I see in forex, then I'll probably start trading. But right now, I have an official interest in it. But you can see here 161 +|160 |00:30:52,590 ~-~-> 00:31:04,290 |using this optimal trade entry here. These are some levels also that could lend well to upside, should we get some kind of crazy, explosive, wild run, like in 162 +|161 |00:31:04,290 ~-~-> 00:31:16,650 |the 1970s commodity markets. So I don't know. Okay, I want to kind of like end it with that I don't know where it's going to go. I personally just want to see 163 +|162 |00:31:16,650 ~-~-> 00:31:28,080 |it, trade 230. Okay, if it goes to 30,000, I'm content. And in my mind, the paper trade that I would have assumed in here, you would have gained to the 164 +|163 |00:31:28,080 ~-~-> 00:31:36,270 |degree that I would have liked to participate in. And then I would move myself to the sidelines, and then leave a small portion on the see if it can run into 165 +|164 |00:31:36,270 ~-~-> 00:31:49,950 |something like this, or kind of like do like, I think it's hodler rice is like hold on for dear life. Again, I'm showing my you know, neophyte stance and all 166 +|165 |00:31:49,950 ~-~-> 00:31:59,160 |this, but I'm being as honest as I possibly can, because there are very sincere people that have been with me for a number of years, they already understand I 167 +|166 |00:31:59,160 ~-~-> 00:32:10,290 |don't trade it, they already understand that I have a, a willingness to try to distance myself from it. But they have sincerely asked if I would make my views 168 +|167 |00:32:10,290 ~-~-> 00:32:20,370 |on it public. And this is what I got for right now. It may be nonsense that some of you may be absolutely a waste of your time. And for that, I apologize. But 169 +|168 |00:32:20,430 ~-~-> 00:32:30,660 |I'm making the video for those individuals that are interested in this, from my perspective. And I just hope it doesn't entice anyone to do something that would 170 +|169 |00:32:30,690 ~-~-> 00:32:44,820 |either remove potential profitability, or put them in a losing trade, I try to carry myself with that every time I talk about the markets as a whole. But I 171 +|170 |00:32:44,820 ~-~-> 00:32:52,800 |know everybody's excited about this one right now, because this is where all the money's pouring, like this is, that's why I talked about it publicly. Every time 172 +|171 |00:32:52,800 ~-~-> 00:33:04,950 |I do a public call, like that's kind of like, where it's at, like, I don't have a secret society, we're often doing calls or signals. If I put it out there, 173 +|172 |00:33:05,370 ~-~-> 00:33:16,290 |that's where I'm going to be weighed in the balance. And I leave it there. Any trade examples I share has always been a public display. So that way, you can 174 +|173 |00:33:16,290 ~-~-> 00:33:25,530 |see it, and either I sink or swim. This particular move in Bitcoin, I believe, 175 +|174 |00:33:26,670 ~-~-> 00:33:39,060 |is inspiring for me as a dinosaur. Like I said, I started trading 1982. So I'm not familiar with these specific markets, but I'm familiar with how price 176 +|175 |00:33:39,060 ~-~-> 00:33:52,050 |delivers. And most of the things that I have been anticipating have happened since basically, July, August of this year. So I'm seeing things that I like 177 +|176 |00:33:52,050 ~-~-> 00:33:59,220 |I've been telling everybody, if I start seeing it, then I'll have a better read on it. And then I'm feel more comfortable telling you what I think is going to 178 +|177 |00:33:59,220 ~-~-> 00:34:09,330 |happen. But prior to that, I wasn't seeing it. Now what do I mean by that? I think there's a lot more institutional involvement now than there ever has been 179 +|178 |00:34:09,360 ~-~-> 00:34:17,310 |ever. And PayPal, which I have a partnership with, because they do on my payment processing for my mentorship. They came out and said that they're going to now 180 +|179 |00:34:17,310 ~-~-> 00:34:28,440 |start taking Bitcoin. That's a huge, you know, milestone for crypto. So at some point, and this was one of the arguments I had when I was first introduced to 181 +|180 |00:34:28,440 ~-~-> 00:34:41,550 |the idea of my opinion being shared about the asset class. I couldn't go to and I still can't really I couldn't go to a gas station and buy gas with my Bitcoin. 182 +|181 |00:34:42,090 ~-~-> 00:34:52,260 |You know, that's starting to change now. I mean, there's places that are taking and there's apps that you can use it and obviously like PayPal is now but it 183 +|182 |00:34:52,260 ~-~-> 00:35:09,690 |seems like it's speeding up. So that transition, you know or movement to A more open access to it is obviously making itself known. But it admittedly, it wasn't 184 +|183 |00:35:09,690 ~-~-> 00:35:26,610 |like that prior to 2020, okay, and we'll just say, post pandemic, okay, I'm saying that with my fingers quotations post pandemic, it was not as obvious 185 +|184 |00:35:26,610 ~-~-> 00:35:39,690 |anytime prior to it is right now. And you can see, I can see things in price that I was not able to see prior to mid part of this year. And I believe it's 186 +|185 |00:35:39,690 ~-~-> 00:35:50,340 |because there's a lot of institutional sponsorship that are taking action. And clearly you can see it, there's a lot of movement in this market. So all this 187 +|186 |00:35:50,340 ~-~-> 00:36:00,330 |has done is drawn more interest in it. And obviously, now my interest is piqued on it. It doesn't mean I'm going out in 2021, and opened up an account as of yet 188 +|187 |00:36:00,330 ~-~-> 00:36:10,440 |I don't have that in my mind yet. But I will be looking at this market on a day by day basis going forward. I'm treating it like a market that I watch with 189 +|188 |00:36:11,310 ~-~-> 00:36:24,360 |forex. Okay, so I've watched the E mini s&p watch gold, watch crude oil. And I watch forex. Okay, and that's about one. And now watch some commodity markets 190 +|189 |00:36:24,360 ~-~-> 00:36:35,040 |like soybeans, I've been mentioning that. But I focus on markets that have big moves. Okay. And if you've been following me at any length of time, one of the 191 +|190 |00:36:35,040 ~-~-> 00:36:45,930 |things that I like to illustrate and show is my ability to use the tools that I teach not only in this YouTube channel, but in my private group, where it 192 +|191 |00:36:45,930 ~-~-> 00:36:52,830 |ferrets out these big moves. Now, there's a lot of people out there that have signal services, and you're trying to get people to subscribe to them and all 193 +|192 |00:36:52,830 ~-~-> 00:36:59,820 |that. And they say, you know, I'm bringing you the proof, I'm showing you the proof. I'm not showing you a fuzzy little screen, you can't see anything about 194 +|193 |00:36:59,820 ~-~-> 00:37:10,590 |it and claiming 95% I live 95%. Okay, I put my name out there all the time, this is what it is, this is what I think's going to happen. And if I fail, I fail 195 +|194 |00:37:10,590 ~-~-> 00:37:22,170 |miserably. Or if I'm consistent, then I'm consistent. So I want big moves. I'm not looking at for instance, like a move that may be found in a market like 196 +|195 |00:37:22,170 ~-~-> 00:37:36,960 |this. This used to be one of my favorite markets, the bond market. And, you know, this markets dead. This is Mario is dead. Now you contrast that with a 197 +|196 |00:37:36,960 ~-~-> 00:37:52,080 |market move that I made public here. And it's 10s of 1000s of points of movement. You can't compare that there's there's no there's no comparison. Also, 198 +|197 |00:37:52,860 ~-~-> 00:38:04,440 |the other market that I felt was a big move rate for this year. And I'm on record with it as well, is soybeans. And that kind of looks a little bit like 199 +|198 |00:38:05,100 ~-~-> 00:38:07,950 |Bitcoin doesn't it? Big run up. 200 +|199 |00:38:09,540 ~-~-> 00:38:22,650 |This market is basically what I like to talk about as a mega trade. mega trade is like an idea I picked up from Larry Williams Now, the way he finds his mega 201 +|200 |00:38:22,650 ~-~-> 00:38:30,780 |trades is not entirely how I do it. There's a lot of things that I do right from his how I made a million dollars trading commodities last year book, which is 202 +|201 |00:38:30,780 ~-~-> 00:38:45,060 |absolutely essential reading for everybody that's a trader, because that part of the book is still applicable today. Those elements to how the soybean market 203 +|202 |00:38:45,060 ~-~-> 00:38:56,580 |traded here. If you read Larry Williams book, how made a million dollar shrink money last year, that 1970s book would have put you right in this market here. 204 +|203 |00:38:57,360 ~-~-> 00:39:03,660 |And you wouldn't have had to watch any ICT videos. You wouldn't have to watch anybody else jawboning about the markets, you went there, subscribe to any 205 +|204 |00:39:03,660 ~-~-> 00:39:17,520 |services, his book would have put you in that trade. Okay. What is this trade look like? Well, from $8.40 to $9.40, that's $5,000 in price movement for one 206 +|205 |00:39:17,520 ~-~-> 00:39:31,200 |contract to 1040, it's 10,000 to 1140, it's 15,000 to 1240, it's 20,000. And we're probably gonna go to 1340. So that'll be 25,000. If we're comparing apples 207 +|206 |00:39:31,200 ~-~-> 00:39:40,410 |to oranges here, you know, Bitcoin versus soybeans. There's not a big move happening. And you can clearly admit this. There hasn't been these big moves 208 +|207 |00:39:40,680 ~-~-> 00:39:52,890 |every year in Bitcoin. But there's always a big move in the commodity market. Every year. There's one every single year. So this is a megatrade. Okay, that I 209 +|208 |00:39:52,890 ~-~-> 00:40:03,690 |like to find these types of moves. Most of my cynics like to think that I'm just a 20 PIP trader here, and I'm only interested This, that's where I Excel because 210 +|209 |00:40:03,750 ~-~-> 00:40:12,390 |I'm a very short term thinker. And I can change my opinion very quickly. So it fits my personality Plus, it provides a way of teaching. And it gives my 211 +|210 |00:40:12,390 ~-~-> 00:40:20,790 |students a plethora of examples to work with. Whereas if you look at something like this, where it takes a half a year to unfold, yes, I outline all this 212 +|211 |00:40:20,790 ~-~-> 00:40:30,420 |stuff. But it takes a long time. And it's very boring to watch this, if you're if you're not familiar with what you're looking for, or watching, you're going 213 +|212 |00:40:30,420 ~-~-> 00:40:43,410 |to lose interest in this whole thing. But it's the same element of knowing what price is likely to do, but not absolutely going to do. Okay, and having these 214 +|213 |00:40:43,410 ~-~-> 00:40:54,900 |big moves each year. That's my primary focus. And I go through all the markets and I try to find where these big moves potentially will occur in Bitcoin, 215 +|214 |00:40:55,020 ~-~-> 00:41:04,710 |because of everything that happened this year with the quote unquote, illness. That was one of the primary reasons why I said, Okay, if I take a step back and 216 +|215 |00:41:04,710 ~-~-> 00:41:16,290 |look at how everything around the world is kind of coming to a halt, the economies are basically being attacked. And if that's the case, then this market 217 +|216 |00:41:16,710 ~-~-> 00:41:30,960 |should start seeing a rapid increase. And it creates the well. It was quietly staying in consolidation, another area here where it's consolidated. And finally 218 +|217 |00:41:30,960 ~-~-> 00:41:42,360 |it was just like, they got to keep it going, and then rallied on higher. So in short, in in closing, I would like to see a trade to 30,000. Will it? I don't 219 +|218 |00:41:42,360 ~-~-> 00:41:56,040 |know. But I would not be surprised if it does not correct. And trade back down below 20 to make everybody feel uneasy about holding on to it. Like this was the 220 +|219 |00:41:56,040 ~-~-> 00:42:10,650 |blow off move. While this is exceptional price action, I don't think this is it. Like if Bitcoin was going to climax reverse on a run higher. I don't see this as 221 +|220 |00:42:10,650 ~-~-> 00:42:23,250 |capitulation yet. If that makes any sense to you, like I feel like this is just part of it. And then we'll see like this big huge, maybe one or two big long 222 +|221 |00:42:23,250 ~-~-> 00:42:36,120 |candles, maybe we'll have, you know, 5000 or 6000 point candle, then, you know, I would feel like okay, we're getting nuts. Now everybody's dogpiling in on 223 +|222 |00:42:36,120 ~-~-> 00:42:44,220 |this. If we see a day like that, or daily range, it does something like that, it doesn't necessarily have to be five or 6000 points, but something that's so 224 +|223 |00:42:44,220 ~-~-> 00:42:52,980 |grandiose compared to everything else in the past. It basically you'll know it when you see it, I think that's the day that you should be rapidly trailing your 225 +|224 |00:42:52,980 ~-~-> 00:43:07,230 |stop loss up using an hourly chart intraday, and kind of like locking in any realized unrealized, rather profits that had been accumulated at that point. But 226 +|225 |00:43:07,230 ~-~-> 00:43:08,400 |right now, it's kind of like 227 +|226 |00:43:10,320 ~-~-> 00:43:25,200 |Larry Williams said this beautifully in his four VHS tape. Of course, the futures manners confidential trading course, it's for cassette tapes, or VHS 228 +|227 |00:43:25,230 ~-~-> 00:43:35,190 |tapes, rather. And it was produced in 1995. And mine were watched so many times, they no longer worked, so I don't have access to them anymore. But nonetheless, 229 +|228 |00:43:35,550 ~-~-> 00:43:44,670 |he made a comment in there. And it's still I still think about all the time when I think about like mega moves, like these big mega trade type, big blow off 230 +|229 |00:43:44,670 ~-~-> 00:43:55,200 |moves. He mentioned it about commercial markets. And I'll leave that for your study. If you buy the book. How many million dollar trading commodities last 231 +|230 |00:43:55,200 ~-~-> 00:44:03,780 |year. It's just a wonderful book. It's a simple book. It's not highly technical. I don't subscribe to everything in there. But the things that he talks about 232 +|231 |00:44:03,780 ~-~-> 00:44:14,760 |having million dollar setups, they work folks. Okay, so if you're looking for a book to buy, okay, maybe you have you some money that you got your stocking from 233 +|232 |00:44:14,760 ~-~-> 00:44:23,700 |Santa, you spend a little bit of money support that guy, okay, because he's put out a lot of good stuff. I don't subscribe to everything. Okay, but that book is 234 +|233 |00:44:23,700 ~-~-> 00:44:33,420 |absolutely gold. And it was written in 1970s. And it's still true today. But he made a comment about these big commercial bull markets that take off and really 235 +|234 |00:44:33,420 ~-~-> 00:44:45,000 |run up crazy. Nobody knows where they're gonna go. Okay. And as I was talking to you in this video, I'm speaking and thinking about his voice in my head back in 236 +|235 |00:44:45,000 ~-~-> 00:44:57,990 |1995. When I heard him in his course, say those very words. Nobody knows where it's going to go when you have these big mega moves. And I have racked my brains 237 +|236 |00:44:59,010 ~-~-> 00:45:09,000 |from which 30 years Here's trying to solve that puzzle. And I'm here to tell you, I gave up on it because there really is no way, but you want to do this. 238 +|237 |00:45:09,690 ~-~-> 00:45:19,560 |And this is his words, you want to wrap your arms around it, close your eyes, and just hold on for dear life, day come hell or high water, and see where you 239 +|238 |00:45:19,560 ~-~-> 00:45:29,220 |end up six months later, because they can go so much farther than you want, or expect them to go. And I'm kinda like paraphrasing, but when I watched him say 240 +|239 |00:45:29,220 ~-~-> 00:45:37,680 |that the first time, I was grinning, because I'm thinking myself, man, that's amazing. Like, I want to be in moves like that. Well, I think Bitcoin has some 241 +|240 |00:45:37,680 ~-~-> 00:45:49,410 |of that still in it. So while this is great, I don't think this is the end of it. Okay, do we need to correct maybe, I would personally like to see it not do 242 +|241 |00:45:49,410 ~-~-> 00:45:58,950 |it, I would like to see it say, you know, we spent too much time below 20,000, we don't need to be down anymore. That's kind of like my view on it. If Bitcoin 243 +|242 |00:45:58,980 ~-~-> 00:46:05,730 |or crypto is exactly what everybody believes it is, it's going to be this juggernaut that no one's going to be able to stop. And I'm not trying to be 244 +|243 |00:46:05,730 ~-~-> 00:46:14,340 |facetious, I'm not trying to make fun. I'm not trying to be sarcastic here. I'm saying, if that's really what this is, then this market should say, I don't need 245 +|244 |00:46:14,340 ~-~-> 00:46:27,030 |to go back down the 20, I'm gonna flex and push myself to 50. That's the way I interpret it, does it need to go back down to 20? It could, but if it does, I 246 +|245 |00:46:27,030 ~-~-> 00:46:35,310 |don't think it breaks it, you know what I mean? Like, I think it needs to go back down here. And that would serve two purposes. Number one, it would upset 247 +|246 |00:46:35,310 ~-~-> 00:46:42,330 |anyone that has a child stoploss below this swing low. And if it goes below 20,000, it would upset those individuals that just want to see this old 248 +|247 |00:46:42,330 ~-~-> 00:46:51,960 |resistance, quote, unquote, be acting as support, I think it can come back down with a deeper and scare everybody out of the idea of Okay, maybe it's gonna 249 +|248 |00:46:52,050 ~-~-> 00:47:06,930 |crash, and then tear off higher again, and do what we saw here. Faster. Okay, that's what I would expect from this market. If it were to read, you know, 250 +|249 |00:47:06,990 ~-~-> 00:47:20,670 |retrace and come back down. If we lose this low here, then we're probably gonna keep whatever high forms between that high, you know, being there and retracing 251 +|250 |00:47:20,670 ~-~-> 00:47:31,410 |lower to this low here, then we'll have to work out some price action, speed bumps at that time, meaning that it consolidate, maybe trade a little bit lower, 252 +|251 |00:47:31,950 ~-~-> 00:47:43,710 |or, basically, hands off, don't touch it for a little while. And that is honestly, the only thing that I see in price. And it probably did not help any 253 +|252 |00:47:43,710 ~-~-> 00:47:50,460 |of you and probably confused some of you, or probably made you doubt some of the things you've already subscribed to. which is the reason why I hate doing these 254 +|253 |00:47:50,460 ~-~-> 00:47:57,240 |kind of videos. It's not because I'm afraid to be right or wrong, because I already give you what I think is gonna happen like in my community tab. But I 255 +|254 |00:47:57,240 ~-~-> 00:48:08,250 |like to think that if I can just inspire everyone in here to just remember, no one knows how far this thing can go up. 256 +|255 |00:48:08,999 ~-~-> 00:48:19,019 |I don't think there's a limit on where it could go. That could be justified in anyone's eyes, like you can't, so nobody can come on YouTube, or go on the TV 257 +|256 |00:48:19,019 ~-~-> 00:48:27,389 |and say, this is where bitcoins gonna go because of this, this this, it's impossible, that part is impossible, which is exciting thing for people that are 258 +|257 |00:48:27,389 ~-~-> 00:48:35,909 |trading this market because that means you have tremendous opportunity. Now obviously, there's always risk. And I'm trying to sweet talk you into thinking, 259 +|258 |00:48:36,119 ~-~-> 00:48:44,879 |this is the this is the be all end all everybody should be doing this. But it's exciting for me now, because like I've said, I've not been interested in this. 260 +|259 |00:48:45,299 ~-~-> 00:48:53,819 |But around the summertime, it started giving me clues that hey, look, you know, you need to be paying attention to what what this is doing. And I was kind of 261 +|260 |00:48:53,819 ~-~-> 00:49:01,139 |like talking to my my students. I said, Look, you know, it's, it's going to have to show its colors right now. If it's going to do it, it's going to do it. Now. 262 +|261 |00:49:01,169 ~-~-> 00:49:14,639 |If it doesn't, here's the big here's the big thing. And I'm closing. If Bitcoin didn't do this, this year, I would have been on YouTube trashing it. literally 263 +|262 |00:49:14,639 ~-~-> 00:49:24,449 |saying it's not going to do what you want it to do. Pretty much what I said about XRP. Okay. And then this is a Bitcoin video, but I just want to put this 264 +|263 |00:49:24,449 ~-~-> 00:49:39,329 |up here. I called the high in this market to on Twitter. I said, here's the XRP market. So the weekly chart this, I called this up in here as well called some 265 +|264 |00:49:39,329 ~-~-> 00:49:47,579 |run up into it. And then I said, it's done. It's dead money. And it's been dead money since then. And there's a lot of people out there that send me emails all 266 +|265 |00:49:47,579 ~-~-> 00:49:56,609 |the time. And please don't send me emails, folks. If I see anything about XRP or ripple, I don't even read it. Okay, and I don't mean to be ignorant. I just have 267 +|266 |00:49:56,609 ~-~-> 00:50:05,159 |very little time and when I get to the emails in order I received them It has anything to do with this market here. I literally just just completely send it 268 +|267 |00:50:05,159 ~-~-> 00:50:16,229 |to the dubbin. I don't look at it. I don't read it. Yes, we had a little bit of a run up in here. But there's nothing in this. This is literally penny stocks. 269 +|268 |00:50:16,349 ~-~-> 00:50:25,829 |Okay, it's performing like penny stocks, it would need to do something at a later time because as of right now, it's dead money. Now, if you remember and 270 +|269 |00:50:25,829 ~-~-> 00:50:33,269 |look at how Bitcoin started, it did a lot of this kind of stuff. I mean, I don't think it was this cheap. But it did some squirrely looking things in the 271 +|270 |00:50:33,269 ~-~-> 00:50:41,759 |beginning. Okay, and maybe down the road 510 years from now, maybe it will be less time if it's going to do I don't know, folks. Okay, but I'm just giving you 272 +|271 |00:50:41,759 ~-~-> 00:50:48,839 |my opinion. And it means absolutely nothing. Okay, I don't have any vested interest in this. I'm this saying, every time I've talked about this one here, 273 +|272 |00:50:48,929 ~-~-> 00:50:58,199 |and then some of you're saying shut up ICT, you're killing it. If you think I'm I'm talking this market down, making it go down, you don't believe what you 274 +|273 |00:50:58,199 ~-~-> 00:51:07,439 |believe about it. Because it doesn't make a difference. When I say about it. I'm not even trading it. So it's, it's just me sharing what I see in the price 275 +|274 |00:51:07,439 ~-~-> 00:51:20,279 |action. This is all classic penny stock activity. It's a pump and dump. Okay. You're not seeing that with Bitcoin. And that was what I meant when I said XRP 276 +|275 |00:51:20,279 ~-~-> 00:51:29,129 |is dead money. So if you're going to be doing anything crypto, you know, at least be in Bitcoin, if you're going to do it at all, because that's where 277 +|276 |00:51:29,129 ~-~-> 00:51:36,599 |everything's being poured into, it's going there. Now, there may be other coins and other things that they're, you know, starting to work in maybe some of you 278 +|277 |00:51:36,599 ~-~-> 00:51:46,289 |are more savvy in regards to noticing what they are, you know, God bless you. But I'm only sticking to the things that I know very little about because 279 +|278 |00:51:46,289 ~-~-> 00:51:57,899 |everything else is next to nothing. But bitcoins price action has this year showed me things that I have not been able to see consistently until 2020. And 280 +|279 |00:51:57,899 ~-~-> 00:52:12,719 |it wasn't until again, post pandemic. So I hope you have at least considered the likelihood of this may be gone a little bit higher than what we're showing here. 281 +|280 |00:52:13,049 ~-~-> 00:52:21,749 |I don't want to talk anybody out of a position because it would just be terrible for you to send me an email, say I see, You scared the living daylights out of 282 +|281 |00:52:21,749 ~-~-> 00:52:30,059 |me. And I took everything off at this price level. And it goes to 100,000. You know, I would be terribly upset about that. So don't take anything I'm saying 283 +|282 |00:52:30,059 ~-~-> 00:52:38,789 |here as investment advice. If you have a trade idea, and you think it's going to go to whatever level it is, you know what? Follow it stick to it, because I'm 284 +|283 |00:52:38,789 ~-~-> 00:52:49,739 |probably wrong. If you looked at every time that I was trading on paper, not with my funds, these crypto markets, when I was trying to do it on a day by day 285 +|284 |00:52:49,739 ~-~-> 00:53:01,469 |basis, like it was horrendous. It was so bad. Like, it was shameful, like, and that's why I said like I don't have any Mojo with this. Like I don't, when I 286 +|285 |00:53:01,469 ~-~-> 00:53:07,319 |feel like I haven't I make it public knowledge. But that's it, it's not a lot, but they tend to be the bigger price swings. 287 +|286 |00:53:09,869 ~-~-> 00:53:24,269 |This year, I've seen more using a four hour on a daily chart setups that I have not been able to see prior to midpoint of this year. So for everyone that has 288 +|287 |00:53:24,269 ~-~-> 00:53:32,519 |followed me for a length of time, and you know, I've always said this, I don't see the same signatures in price that I see in forex, I'm starting to see them. 289 +|288 |00:53:32,669 ~-~-> 00:53:41,639 |Now when I say that it doesn't mean I see everything that I see. In forex, that makes it so precise. I'm seeing a lot more of it now. And that means that the 290 +|289 |00:53:41,639 ~-~-> 00:53:52,559 |boys, they're in this now they're really starting to pour into it. So if they're going to be involved in this, and if I'm accurate in my observations, then this 291 +|290 |00:53:52,709 ~-~-> 00:54:01,259 |asset class is going to get really, really exciting. which kind of makes sense because if you look at forex, forex, it's kind of quiet right now, even though 292 +|291 |00:54:01,259 ~-~-> 00:54:15,209 |it's going where we want it to go. It's slow and lethargic. And you can't compare, you know, with 20,000 points, you know, 20,000 points, versus, you 293 +|292 |00:54:15,209 ~-~-> 00:54:21,989 |know, I'm looking at like 50 to 75 pips a week if I'm trading forex, not because that's all I can make. But that's kind of like, it's easy for me to do. It's 294 +|293 |00:54:21,989 ~-~-> 00:54:31,559 |easy for me to find, and it gives me a lot of free time. I've never seen a market that can offer swings like that, like 20 points now 20,000 points, and 295 +|294 |00:54:31,559 ~-~-> 00:54:42,689 |calling it and seeing, you know, this is where it's going to go. Like this could be a really amazing turn of events for traders. And some of you, Brian, we've 296 +|295 |00:54:42,689 ~-~-> 00:54:49,319 |been doing this for all this time, Michael, where you've been? We've been trying to tell you Yeah, I get it, but there's the things that I'm looking for that 297 +|296 |00:54:49,529 ~-~-> 00:54:58,739 |I've been very apprehensive about participating in because they're not there until now. And I'm hoping to see more of the things I look for in forex happen 298 +|297 |00:54:58,739 ~-~-> 00:55:07,109 |in this asset class. Because if it does, I'm coming to dominate this one just like I did forex, and talk to you next time. Happy New Year, be safe, and I'll 299 +|298 |00:55:07,109 ~-~-> 00:55:08,549 |talk to you again in 2021 5 5 6 -2 7 -00:00:42,630 ~-~-> 00:00:52,680 8 -I'm no longer on Twitter, you probably seen videos where I've shown invitations 9 -to follow me on Twitter, I don't have a Twitter account anymore. I don't have 10 - 11 -3 12 -00:00:52,680 ~-~-> 00:01:07,200 13 -Instagram anymore. The only thing I have is YouTube. But for those individuals 14 -that were following me, and I had just about 39,000 or so followers on my 15 - 16 -4 17 -00:01:07,200 ~-~-> 00:01:23,340 18 -Twitter account, and I was commenting various times throughout the year on 19 -Bitcoin and crypto and such, and everyone knows what the entire world has been 20 - 21 -5 22 -00:01:23,340 ~-~-> 00:01:39,360 23 -dealing with, since the beginning of the year, or there abouts in March 24 -timeframe. The the idea of crypto or Bitcoin, specifically, I mentioned that 25 - 26 -6 27 -00:01:40,440 ~-~-> 00:01:50,190 28 -everyone that was following me that if Bitcoin or crypto was going to be what 29 -everyone had hoped it would be, now's the time for it to shine and show its 30 - 31 -7 32 -00:01:50,190 ~-~-> 00:02:05,760 33 -colors. And that occurred right on schedule. So now there's been some commentary 34 -on my part, that I have been very adversarial. and kept at a distance when it 35 - 36 -8 37 -00:02:05,760 ~-~-> 00:02:20,970 38 -comes to crypto. The fact that it has traded, as it has here and offered levels 39 -of price runs that I like to see. I mean, this is, in my opinion, this is 40 - 41 -9 42 -00:02:20,970 ~-~-> 00:02:36,990 43 -phenomenal trading. This is a market that if it can maintain things like this is 44 -very exciting for 2021. Now, it's important for some of you that are new that 45 - 46 -10 47 -00:02:37,230 ~-~-> 00:02:50,010 48 -listen to me say what I'm about to say and say okay, well, there's no real way 49 -of me backing up or verifying what Michael says here. And I'll just leave it up 50 - 51 -11 52 -00:02:50,010 ~-~-> 00:03:00,240 53 -to you to decide whether or not it's something I really said or didn't say. But 54 -it's important that you use the community tab on my YouTube channel because it 55 - 56 -12 57 -00:03:00,240 ~-~-> 00:03:12,090 58 -has replaced my Twitter account. So I don't want to be on Twitter, Twitter 59 -actually censored me a couple times and froze my account for talking about 60 - 61 -13 62 -00:03:12,090 ~-~-> 00:03:25,890 63 -something that had nothing to do with anything that should have warranted that 64 -type of response by them. So I saw move my entire show here to my YouTube 65 - 66 -14 67 -00:03:25,890 ~-~-> 00:03:41,640 68 -channel. So if you go to YouTube channel, and you click on the community tab 69 -here, it'll give you posts. Now, I don't allow comments because I don't have any 70 - 71 -15 72 -00:03:41,640 ~-~-> 00:03:51,510 73 -interest in anyone else's opinions. And it may sound myopic to some. But I 74 -already know I'm going to be polarizing. And I'm not offering a stage for people 75 - 76 -16 77 -00:03:51,510 ~-~-> 00:04:08,940 78 -to advertise their self making the name for yourself, you know when you're in 79 -steam, but I have throughout this fall in the month of December really outlined 80 - 81 -17 82 -00:04:10,260 ~-~-> 00:04:26,700 83 -this run here on Bitcoin. Now, my group that was following me on Twitter, back 84 -in July, knows that I was talking about it running from there. And then in my 85 - 86 -18 87 -00:04:26,700 ~-~-> 00:04:39,600 88 -private group, mentorship, we talked a little bit about it periodically and 89 -again, I do not talk about crypto in mentorship. Okay, so I like to bring that 90 - 91 -19 92 -00:04:39,600 ~-~-> 00:04:50,100 93 -up multiple times because I don't want anybody thinking I'm dangling a carrot 94 -here because I'm learning crypto. Okay, so it's important that you understand on 95 - 96 -20 97 -00:04:50,100 ~-~-> 00:05:05,430 98 -transparency here. I don't have any immediate interest in trading it it just has 99 -now moved To a degree of more interest by me, okay, whereas before I really 100 - 101 -21 102 -00:05:05,430 ~-~-> 00:05:13,920 103 -wasn't interested in at all, I'm interested in it now. So some of you may be 104 -laughing and saying, Oh, you missed the party, you missed the biggest bull 105 - 106 -22 107 -00:05:13,920 ~-~-> 00:05:26,580 108 -market in the world, blah, blah, blah. Yeah, it's moved a lot of points. But in, 109 -there's big moves or mega trades every single year. And what you do with it, is 110 - 111 -23 112 -00:05:26,580 ~-~-> 00:05:28,710 113 -the most important thing. And 114 - 115 -24 116 -00:05:29,790 ~-~-> 00:05:43,110 117 -while this may be a stunning price rally, I was pretty much involved in calling 118 -most of it, okay, here. And there's a backdrop behind this that some of you are 119 - 120 -25 121 -00:05:43,650 ~-~-> 00:05:57,060 122 -probably not up to speed with. And if you recall, back in 2018, I was really 123 -calling Bitcoin lower. And then ultimately, I said that, I felt that would go to 124 - 125 -26 126 -00:05:57,060 ~-~-> 00:06:07,200 127 -100. And at the time, I said it, I meant it. And I kind of went over this on my 128 -community tab, but without rehashing that, just know that when I said that, I 129 - 130 -27 131 -00:06:07,200 ~-~-> 00:06:19,980 132 -meant it. And there was other supported reasons why I wanted to say it and 133 -publicly make it known. But I had no horse in the race. So it really is no skin 134 - 135 -28 136 -00:06:19,980 ~-~-> 00:06:28,530 137 -off my back. And crypto has never really been my forte, I never claimed to know 138 -how it works. And to be quite honest with you, I don't even know how to open up 139 - 140 -29 141 -00:06:28,530 ~-~-> 00:06:37,710 142 -an account to trade this asset class. So that's how little I know about it, I 143 -just look at the candles, and I share my opinion publicly, whenever I feel 144 - 145 -30 146 -00:06:37,740 ~-~-> 00:06:45,660 147 -inspired to do so. And there's been a few times I've been wrong, but by far and 148 -large, you know, with the exception of me obviously being facetious and meaning 149 - 150 -31 151 -00:06:45,660 ~-~-> 00:06:59,970 152 -it's still at the same time calling Bitcoin at 100. It's been pretty, pretty 153 -interesting to see my public calls have been good. But in full transparency, if 154 - 155 -32 156 -00:06:59,970 ~-~-> 00:07:14,430 157 -I look at it, like I did, forex for over the number of years, I've been focusing 158 -primarily on it since 2006. That I've been trading markets since 1992, but 159 - 160 -33 161 -00:07:15,330 ~-~-> 00:07:26,910 162 -focused primarily on forex in 2006. But I have not really had a vested interest 163 -in crypto, only because of my students, they have an interest of constantly 164 - 165 -34 166 -00:07:26,910 ~-~-> 00:07:35,460 167 -pinging me for my opinion about what I think it's going to do. And as I 168 -mentioned, on Twitter, at the time, when I had an account, I said, if it ever 169 - 170 -35 171 -00:07:35,460 ~-~-> 00:07:46,230 172 -does stage or run to 20,000, I will let you know. And I made this public 173 -knowledge. And I didn't hide it in some secret membership. I put I put it out 174 - 175 -36 176 -00:07:46,230 ~-~-> 00:07:58,050 177 -there. And there it is. But I kind of want to talk a little bit about why I felt 178 -it was going to go up and trade where it's at now and tell you where I think it 179 - 180 -37 181 -00:07:58,050 ~-~-> 00:08:09,720 182 -might go to. And also talk about why I don't think anybody really knows what's 183 -going to happen. So it's a little bit of a sobering message to this. But also 184 - 185 -38 186 -00:08:09,720 ~-~-> 00:08:22,320 187 -just sharing what I think I see here in the chart, it's important to understand 188 -before I go into it, that I do not have an account trading crypto, I do not have 189 - 190 -39 191 -00:08:22,320 ~-~-> 00:08:31,470 192 -any interest in pumping it or inspiring it to go lower. Okay, so I have an 193 -indifference here, it doesn't make a difference to me if it goes higher, or if 194 - 195 -40 196 -00:08:31,470 ~-~-> 00:08:42,930 197 -it goes lower. I'm just commenting on his objectively as I possibly can. And 198 -sharing that view or opinion with you here. It's not meant to be in in vestment 199 - 200 -41 201 -00:08:42,930 ~-~-> 00:08:52,440 202 -advice. It's not meant to inspire you to buy it or go short. It's just that I've 203 -been asked multiple times because we had this big price around here. And some of 204 - 205 -42 206 -00:08:52,440 ~-~-> 00:08:55,950 207 -my students that are following me from afar 208 - 209 -43 210 -00:08:57,060 ~-~-> 00:08:57,570 211 -have 212 - 213 -44 214 -00:08:57,660 ~-~-> 00:09:05,010 215 -seen this move and have not been aware of the community tab on my YouTube 216 -channel. So everything's there, it's dated, you can see the comments I've had 217 - 218 -45 219 -00:09:05,010 ~-~-> 00:09:21,570 220 -about it. So let's talk a little bit about what I saw this year. And what led to 221 -this price run. I said back in the beginning here we had this I'm not going to 222 - 223 -46 224 -00:09:21,570 ~-~-> 00:09:31,290 225 -say the word because it's gonna like my video and I don't want to have any 226 -issues with that. But you all know what this is referring to. And the market 227 - 228 -47 229 -00:09:31,290 ~-~-> 00:09:45,960 230 -tanked like everything else here. But at the time. This is when if crypto was 231 -going to be the the great alternative to Fiat, then this should be a time at 232 - 233 -48 234 -00:09:45,960 ~-~-> 00:10:01,200 235 -which it will really start to show its true colors. If that's in fact what it 236 -is. Now, do I believe that Bitcoin will be the benchmark forever In crypto, if 237 - 238 -49 239 -00:10:01,650 ~-~-> 00:10:12,420 240 -we're to assume that it eventually does replace Fiat, I'm not here to say it 241 -will. I'm just making the argument here that if Fiat is completely done away 242 - 243 -50 244 -00:10:12,420 ~-~-> 00:10:27,090 245 -with and everything goes to a digital currency, I do not believe that Bitcoin 246 -will be the standard. Okay, I think it will be replaced by something else. And 247 - 248 -51 249 -00:10:27,090 ~-~-> 00:10:37,680 250 -I'm not a student enough to know what that is. Okay, so I'm kind of like, being 251 -as honest as I possibly can. I just believe in my heart that this is just the 252 - 253 -52 254 -00:10:37,680 ~-~-> 00:10:49,140 255 -beginning of something. Okay. And they may adopt something else entirely, but 256 -still be crypto. And there it is. But whatever that thing is, that replaces 257 - 258 -53 259 -00:10:49,140 ~-~-> 00:11:03,600 260 -Bitcoin will do what you see here in Bitcoin faster than what we saw here. So I 261 -think it was in 2012. If I'm not mistaken, I think it's about when I was being 262 - 263 -54 264 -00:11:03,600 ~-~-> 00:11:14,070 265 -asked, I had a interview with a group of traders that were really, really 266 -interested in Bitcoin back then. And it was trading under 1000 is like a couple 267 - 268 -55 269 -00:11:14,070 ~-~-> 00:11:26,340 270 -$100 for a Bitcoin. And I didn't have any interest back then either. And I said, 271 -you know, I'm not interested in I'll have to see what it does. And the idea of 272 - 273 -56 274 -00:11:26,670 ~-~-> 00:11:41,040 275 -this asset class, replacing Fiat has been argued for law since the inception of, 276 -you know, the crypto markets, I think that there will be a another coin or 277 - 278 -57 279 -00:11:41,040 ~-~-> 00:11:56,220 280 -something to that effect, that will become more favored than this one. Will it 281 -mean that this goes away entirely? I don't know. Does it mean that there won't 282 - 283 -58 284 -00:11:56,220 ~-~-> 00:12:08,100 285 -be other currencies? Like we have different countries, then they have their own 286 -individual currency? Will they have their own individual cryptocurrency? I kind 287 - 288 -59 289 -00:12:08,100 ~-~-> 00:12:17,640 290 -of think that's what's happening initially. Before all Fiat goes away, I think 291 -every country is eventually going to want to do that. There's been obviously 292 - 293 -60 294 -00:12:17,640 ~-~-> 00:12:26,520 295 -talks about the digital dollar. I'm not afraid of that. I don't think there's 296 -any real concern. And ultimately, if I'm wrong and say, Fiat just completely 297 - 298 -61 299 -00:12:26,520 ~-~-> 00:12:39,420 300 -disappears overnight. Because 2020 has been relentless with doing plot twists 301 -throughout the year. The the idea of Fiat gone away immediately, and maybe that 302 - 303 -62 304 -00:12:39,420 ~-~-> 00:12:52,680 305 -impacts forex. The big question is, you know, is it over for forex? No, I don't 306 -believe that's the case. I think if Fiats done away with, then we'll still apply 307 - 308 -63 309 -00:12:52,680 ~-~-> 00:13:03,990 310 -the same things, which we do with forex, and comparing the contrast and looking 311 -for leaders and laggards in terms of relative strength and which currency has 312 - 313 -64 314 -00:13:03,990 ~-~-> 00:13:11,370 315 -the most interest. And I think this the effects of interest rates, and 316 -differentials will still have an impact there, it just won't be done in the 317 - 318 -65 319 -00:13:11,370 ~-~-> 00:13:20,160 320 -capacity of a fiat currency, it will be done in crypto. Now, that's my 321 -assumptions. And I may absolutely be incorrect. And maybe there's a lot of you 322 - 323 -66 324 -00:13:20,160 ~-~-> 00:13:27,210 325 -out there that know more about this than I do. And you're shaking your head 326 -saying this guy's a noob. He has no idea. I've already admitted. Every time I 327 - 328 -67 329 -00:13:27,210 ~-~-> 00:13:38,490 330 -talk about this, this asset class, I preface it by saying that, because I don't 331 -want to sound like and I hope you can see the difference here. Okay. I am 332 - 333 -68 334 -00:13:38,970 ~-~-> 00:13:45,750 335 -admittedly uncomfortable talking about this crypto space, okay. 336 - 337 -69 338 -00:13:47,610 ~-~-> 00:13:56,010 339 -That's why it sounds like arrogance, when I'm talking about forex or futures. 340 -Because I'm comfortable there. And I know what I'm talking about. Here, I'm just 341 - 342 -70 343 -00:13:56,010 ~-~-> 00:14:08,700 344 -sharing my feelings, my opinions, my thoughts, my concerns about it, and 345 -admitting that there's absolutely no harm to me if I'm wrong or right, because 346 - 347 -71 348 -00:14:08,700 ~-~-> 00:14:22,200 349 -I'm not invested in it at all. But I'm fascinated to see the things I'm going to 350 -cover here still showing its hand in the delivery of price here. But I want you 351 - 352 -72 353 -00:14:22,200 ~-~-> 00:14:32,400 354 -to also remember that there's absolutely no one out there, no one out there 355 -knows where bitcoins ultimately going to go. We are clearly in all time highs in 356 - 357 -73 358 -00:14:32,430 ~-~-> 00:14:44,220 359 -any market that trades at an all time high. There's absolutely no way to 360 -determine with any great accuracy, or a surety that you know where it's going to 361 - 362 -74 363 -00:14:44,220 ~-~-> 00:14:55,980 364 -go to. So what I'm going to show you what I believe led to me calling the levels 365 -that I called shared with my students and also I shared some levels with the 366 - 367 -75 368 -00:14:56,010 ~-~-> 00:15:04,980 369 -YouTube community tab. I'm going to go over some of that tell you why I believed 370 -it was going to happen. And then you can see whether there was any validity to 371 - 372 -76 373 -00:15:04,980 ~-~-> 00:15:15,900 374 -it. I promise you, there is no secret sauce stuff that I'm not sharing here. 375 -Because I don't have anything that I want to plug in to crypto at this moment. 376 - 377 -77 378 -00:15:16,260 ~-~-> 00:15:26,730 379 -And I don't have any confidence in it. So I just look at pure price delivery, 380 -and order block theory. And it's all I'm looking at here. So with that, just 381 - 382 -78 383 -00:15:26,730 ~-~-> 00:15:39,360 384 -know that this was the precursor to seeing all this price run up, it was maximum 385 -pessimism, and fear, which is where something that is underlying Lee strong. And 386 - 387 -79 388 -00:15:39,360 ~-~-> 00:15:51,210 389 -this is something if you're taking notes you should be be the idea of a market 390 -that is predisposed to go up. Okay, a market is primarily bullish, if there's 391 - 392 -80 393 -00:15:51,240 ~-~-> 00:16:04,800 394 -ever a sharp decline, okay, or a rapid run to lower prices. Many times if you're 395 -zoomed in really tight, and you're only looking at about two weeks worth of 396 - 397 -81 398 -00:16:04,830 ~-~-> 00:16:18,330 399 -data, this is going to look horrific. But when you zoom out a little bit, it 400 -gives you a better, I guess, perspective on how much of an impact that really 401 - 402 -82 403 -00:16:18,330 ~-~-> 00:16:27,390 404 -had. But at the time watching it and all the uncertainty that was coming out 405 -around March of the year, everybody was taking guesses about what was going on. 406 - 407 -83 408 -00:16:27,390 ~-~-> 00:16:40,320 409 -And nobody really wanted to be a participant of any any market. That maximum 410 -fear in a market that is predisposed to go up. Its underlying Lee bullish if 411 - 412 -84 413 -00:16:40,320 ~-~-> 00:16:54,660 414 -it's really just primed to go higher. Any market like that, in those instances, 415 -offer these types of climax reversals, okay, where it just looks like it's going 416 - 417 -85 418 -00:16:54,660 ~-~-> 00:17:10,170 419 -down forever go down. But it turns on a dime and starts to go the other way. In 420 -July, I felt that we had that effect here, we had a reversal of sorts. And if it 421 - 422 -86 423 -00:17:10,170 ~-~-> 00:17:23,700 424 -was going to go higher if crypto was going to be the, the answer to Fiat, the 425 -market should start pricing higher. And it was consolidate for a little bit, we 426 - 427 -87 428 -00:17:23,700 ~-~-> 00:17:30,990 429 -had this little bit of a run here. We came back down rebalanced, and ran out 430 -some relative equal lows in here, you can look at this on your own charts, I 431 - 432 -88 433 -00:17:30,990 ~-~-> 00:17:41,640 434 -just want to get through this because already kind of too long, but an optimal 435 -trade entry here and running on the sell side liquidity there. And you can see 436 - 437 -89 438 -00:17:41,640 ~-~-> 00:17:51,870 439 -some old support resistance ideas if you'd like that kind of thing, but I don't. 440 -But we had a run here. And then we had price drop back down into another optimal 441 - 442 -90 443 -00:17:51,870 ~-~-> 00:18:04,380 444 -trade entry there. And I want to kind of zoom in on that. Alright, so we have 445 -this run and decline these two down close candles as your order block. 446 - 447 -91 448 -00:18:12,690 ~-~-> 00:18:24,210 449 -case, you can see how market ran up and broke down. The 20,000 is where 450 -everybody was looking forward to go to and 2017. I said that we were going to go 451 - 452 -92 453 -00:18:24,210 ~-~-> 00:18:34,830 454 -from 6500 to 10. And then from 10 to 20. This is all during my time on Twitter. 455 -There's a lot of people that screen capture all this stuff. Do I have access to 456 - 457 -93 458 -00:18:34,830 ~-~-> 00:18:45,540 459 -it now? No, I don't care. Okay, but there was many of you out there that No, I 460 -said this. And then I also said, this is a story guy real briefly. My wife asked 461 - 462 -94 463 -00:18:45,540 ~-~-> 00:18:56,010 464 -me the day before Bitcoin made a tie. She asked me, have you bought any Bitcoin? 465 -And I said, What did you just say to me? And my wife was sitting next to me on 466 - 467 -95 468 -00:18:56,010 ~-~-> 00:19:06,390 469 -the couch and she says, Did you buy bitcoin? It's going up. And I said, Hold 470 -that thought right there. And I really went to Twitter and said, Okay, my, my 471 - 472 -96 473 -00:19:06,390 ~-~-> 00:19:13,590 474 -original idea was, Bitcoin was going to go to 20,000. But I'm telling you right 475 -now, it's not going to go to 20,000. And here's the reasons why my wife said I 476 - 477 -97 478 -00:19:13,590 ~-~-> 00:19:21,180 479 -should be buying Bitcoin. Now, this is not ladies, please don't be mad. And I'm 480 -not making fun of my wife, I love my wife. 481 - 482 -98 483 -00:19:21,749 ~-~-> 00:19:22,379 484 -But 485 - 486 -99 487 -00:19:22,650 ~-~-> 00:19:34,470 488 -if my wife is telling me to be buying Bitcoin, she's the last person that would 489 -know, to be buying Bitcoin. So if she's telling me it's a good buy, that means 490 - 491 -100 492 -00:19:34,500 ~-~-> 00:19:41,880 493 -everybody thinks the same thing. So therefore it's not going to 20,000 so that's 494 -the reason why I went on the Twitter immediately and said, okay, it's not going 495 - 496 -101 497 -00:19:41,880 ~-~-> 00:19:50,910 498 -to 20,000 and I looked at the chart, and I said it's going to go basically just 499 -6000 and everybody laughed me off the internet. It is what it is. It went down 500 - 501 -102 502 -00:19:50,910 ~-~-> 00:20:00,780 503 -to 6000 that I called 3000 and went down to like 34 something ish. Yeah, I don't 504 -know exactly what it was, but then go to 3000 I was wrong. There. And at that 505 - 506 -103 507 -00:20:00,780 ~-~-> 00:20:08,970 508 -point, I really didn't know what it was going to do. And everybody was hammering 509 -me because I called the top in Bitcoin and I called the slide to 6000. I called 510 - 511 -104 512 -00:20:09,330 ~-~-> 00:20:18,540 513 -the slide almost to 3000. And everybody was waiting for that 3000 still, and I 514 -said, You know what, I don't know what's going to happen. But I can't handle 515 - 516 -105 517 -00:20:18,540 ~-~-> 00:20:30,810 518 -everybody coming at me with crypto because I'm a forex guy, okay? I'm a futures 519 -guy. I'm a limited market type person, I have obsessive compulsive disorder. And 520 - 521 -106 522 -00:20:30,840 ~-~-> 00:20:41,040 523 -it's very easy for me to be distracted. So I did what I did, I said, Here's is, 524 -I think, ultimately bitcoins gonna crash and go to 100. And I put it out there. 525 - 526 -107 527 -00:20:41,640 ~-~-> 00:20:52,560 528 -And it obviously turned a lot of people off made enemies. Have some of my 529 -followers with me, oh, you're, you're, you're a Fudd, or whatever that is, you 530 - 531 -108 532 -00:20:52,560 ~-~-> 00:21:04,440 533 -guys talk about it. Now, what's the negative side of it. So it worked, though, 534 -hey, got everybody off my back about crypto. And it allowed me to focus on the 535 - 536 -109 537 -00:21:04,440 ~-~-> 00:21:18,870 538 -markets that I focus on. So that's why this is labeled as the milestone because 539 -it never really got to 20,000. So 20,000 was that benchmark it needed to reach 540 - 541 -110 542 -00:21:18,870 ~-~-> 00:21:33,990 543 -to and through. And we just got to very close on the first of December off of 544 -this optimal trade entry here, and then it consolidated and drop down. This in 545 - 546 -111 547 -00:21:33,990 ~-~-> 00:21:45,240 548 -itself is an optimal trade entry. But before I go into this one, I'm going to 549 -show you the structure on this, that leads to some of the targets. So the low 550 - 551 -112 552 -00:21:45,240 ~-~-> 00:21:58,530 553 -here to this high. Okay, now I'm using the wicks in the tails. Now, most of the 554 -time, you see me doing exercises, where I'll draw the fib and the bodies of the 555 - 556 -113 557 -00:21:58,530 ~-~-> 00:22:07,200 558 -candles, because it's the bulk of the volume. If I'm looking for targets, and I 559 -really want to consider the entire range that could be available. I'm going to 560 - 561 -114 562 -00:22:07,200 ~-~-> 00:22:19,110 563 -use this the lowest tail and the highest wick. Why am I doing it here and not 564 -using the bodies, because we're trading or expected to trade to all time highs. 565 - 566 -115 567 -00:22:19,680 ~-~-> 00:22:30,000 568 -So I want to incorporate the maximum amount of range that could be available to 569 -me, if I'm going to be utilizing the fib for target selection. Now, by itself. 570 - 571 -116 572 -00:22:30,540 ~-~-> 00:22:40,920 573 -The fib at this point, is the only thing I can lean on for targeting. And this 574 -is the reason why I said in the beginning video, nobody has any idea where 575 - 576 -117 577 -00:22:40,920 ~-~-> 00:22:48,990 578 -Bitcoin is going to go. Okay, I like to think that it's going to go to 30,000. 579 -Because it just, it's a nice round number. It's a reward for everybody that's 580 - 581 -118 582 -00:22:48,990 ~-~-> 00:23:00,360 583 -held on this long, it'll really get everybody interested in it. Everybody wanted 584 -to see it get to 20. But how does it trade above 20. And I said, if it does go 585 - 586 -119 587 -00:23:00,360 ~-~-> 00:23:12,480 588 -above 20, he needs to do what we see here. Just run, run, run, go go go. Okay. 589 -My concern is, this is one of the things I'm wondering if it's gonna happen or 590 - 591 -120 592 -00:23:12,480 ~-~-> 00:23:24,150 593 -not. If I was trading it, if I was in this, if I had money in this market, which 594 -I do not trade crypto, I don't have live money in this asset class, I would want 595 - 596 -121 597 -00:23:24,150 ~-~-> 00:23:37,230 598 -to see it trade to 30. If it got the 30, I would probably download about 85% of 599 -whatever I held. And then wait and see what happens with a stop below here. 600 - 601 -122 602 -00:23:39,120 ~-~-> 00:23:48,630 603 -On the community tab, I gave you some levels. And I said, You know, I don't know 604 -what it's going to do. But I feel that as long as we stayed above 17 eight, 605 - 606 -123 607 -00:23:49,260 ~-~-> 00:24:02,610 608 -which would be essentially, here's the low here at 117 569. I don't think that 609 -needed to go back up below rather 17 eight, which would be potentially running 610 - 611 -124 612 -00:24:02,610 ~-~-> 00:24:13,470 613 -below this low. If it did that, then that's for me problematic that would be 614 -breaking down in market structure, whereas everything here has been bullish. So 615 - 616 -125 617 -00:24:13,470 ~-~-> 00:24:20,190 618 -some of the targets I was looking at was from this low to this high. And it 619 -trades back down into optimal trade entry, which is what I teach on this 620 - 621 -126 622 -00:24:20,190 ~-~-> 00:24:35,190 623 -channel. It's kind of like the flagship pattern. And then we have multiple 624 -levels that are hit here. 28 927 level 27 and 3925 was no problem whatsoever. 625 - 626 -127 627 -00:24:35,610 ~-~-> 00:24:51,510 628 -But I like these up here and targeting the 30,000 that to my concerns, will 629 -30,000 act like 20 did in 2017 and just fall short of it and create a issue 630 - 631 -128 632 -00:24:51,510 ~-~-> 00:25:00,870 633 -where we have to come back down below 20,000. I think ultimately if it were to 634 -do that, that's not necessarily a bad thing. It's not What you probably want to 635 - 636 -129 637 -00:25:00,870 ~-~-> 00:25:09,390 638 -hear, especially if you're long, or if you've been buying in here or up here, if 639 -you're buying up there, I would be nervous, I wouldn't chase it like that. Just, 640 - 641 -130 642 -00:25:09,720 ~-~-> 00:25:24,690 643 -that's just me, I wouldn't do it. But if it were to fail to get to 30, and trade 644 -back down below 20, I would like to see it, pick up some buying it this area 645 - 646 -131 647 -00:25:24,690 ~-~-> 00:25:35,730 648 -right in here. Okay, so it can go back below 20 a little bit, but I don't think 649 -it needs to come back down below here. I think everybody stop is here. So if it 650 - 651 -132 652 -00:25:35,730 ~-~-> 00:25:44,970 653 -did come back down, it could retest this old high, but I would like to see it go 654 -through it a little bit. And focus on this candle right there. Now, again, 655 - 656 -133 657 -00:25:45,390 ~-~-> 00:25:56,220 658 -that's just an expectation, if it were to fail to get the 30. I personally think 659 -they're going to push it to 30 before we turn to 2021. And I wouldn't be 660 - 661 -134 662 -00:25:56,220 ~-~-> 00:26:11,610 663 -surprised if they really ram it up there through 30, you buy five or 6000 more 664 -points beyond that. So like 35 36,000, I think 38. And let's see if we have a 665 - 666 -135 667 -00:26:11,610 ~-~-> 00:26:20,490 668 -level here. Now we don't have it on this one. But you'll see it most likely on 669 -here. The next optimal trade entry is this. And whenever you're trading at all 670 - 671 -136 672 -00:26:20,490 ~-~-> 00:26:32,820 673 -time highs, this is kind of like the the process, it just keeps becoming a 674 -guessing game. Because you don't know nobody knows what this markets going to 675 - 676 -137 677 -00:26:32,820 ~-~-> 00:26:40,860 678 -do. They don't know where it's going to go. Obviously, some of you're shaking 679 -your head saying it's going 100,000 ICT, it's going to a million ICT, it's going 680 - 681 -138 682 -00:26:40,860 ~-~-> 00:26:51,330 683 -to 50,000 ICT, everybody has their target, you know, and well, I could just call 684 -out levels and say, you know, this is what I think this is what I believe 685 - 686 -139 687 -00:26:52,290 ~-~-> 00:27:01,950 688 -there's really nothing that I can say this is the reason why except for a fit 689 -here. And I don't trade with just a fit. It may look like that some when they 690 - 691 -140 692 -00:27:01,950 ~-~-> 00:27:12,810 693 -watch me do things in my videos. But I promise you that fib is only giving me 694 -one small little piece. And that's where we're at with this. And regardless if 695 - 696 -141 697 -00:27:12,810 ~-~-> 00:27:26,340 698 -you want to agree with my analysis here, or if my opinion, or my thoughts about 699 -it, you have nothing, zero, nothing except for hope, hope and expectation that 700 - 701 -142 702 -00:27:26,340 ~-~-> 00:27:34,710 703 -it's going to go to your specific target. Just like I had hope and expectation, 704 -just to see if I was at a morbid curiosity, if I was going to be correct. If it 705 - 706 -143 707 -00:27:34,710 ~-~-> 00:27:44,550 708 -ran up of 20,000. Before Christmas, it did. Did it trade to the levels I put on 709 -my community tab? Yes, it did. Is it skill? No, there wasn't no skill there, it 710 - 711 -144 712 -00:27:44,550 ~-~-> 00:27:55,950 713 -was just me looking at how it could potentially expand up into those levels, and 714 -maybe even go way beyond that. But no one can really say with any absolute 715 - 716 -145 717 -00:27:56,880 ~-~-> 00:28:05,520 718 -evidence to support their idea where it's going to go on evaluation, like you 719 -can't look over here on this axis of the chart and say, this is where bitcoins 720 - 721 -146 722 -00:28:05,520 ~-~-> 00:28:16,980 723 -gonna go because of this, this, this and this. Whereas if we have traded to an 724 -old level before, it's easy to look at things and rationalize it with technicals 725 - 726 -147 727 -00:28:17,280 ~-~-> 00:28:28,290 728 -to justify and present that argument. Whereas right now, everybody has their own 729 -opinion about this market and where they think it's going to go. And no one has 730 - 731 -148 732 -00:28:28,320 ~-~-> 00:28:39,030 733 -any way to quantify that. You just can't do it. So let's take a look at the 734 -weekly chart and close this video because it's too long as it is. 735 - 736 -149 737 -00:28:40,140 ~-~-> 00:28:55,350 738 -Alright, so let's go back out to a higher timeframe chart and we'll look at this 739 -leg here. So if we use the lowest low here, up to this right there. All right, 740 - 741 -150 742 -00:28:55,350 ~-~-> 00:29:05,670 743 -I'm going to crunch this up a little bit. So from this low to this high retrace 744 -back down, yes, we overshot a little bit. But again, I already stated multiple 745 - 746 -151 747 -00:29:05,670 ~-~-> 00:29:18,000 748 -times. I'm not just a fib guy, fibs are just a tool I like to use to provide 749 -more Confluence around the level that I would already be looking for anyway. And 750 - 751 -152 752 -00:29:18,000 ~-~-> 00:29:27,600 753 -if a fib overlaps with it, then great if it doesn't, whatever. But I've looked 754 -at some of these levels here. And let's just say we get some crazy blow off move 755 - 756 -153 757 -00:29:27,630 ~-~-> 00:29:41,040 758 -that goes above 30. There you go. That's the level I would look for if we get 30 759 -and run through. And then after there, I don't know. I don't know. could you do 760 - 761 -154 762 -00:29:41,070 ~-~-> 00:29:52,260 763 -this? Could you go back to something like this low here, and why am I picking 764 -this low? Because this is the most dynamic one out of all this price action. Now 765 - 766 -155 767 -00:29:52,260 ~-~-> 00:30:06,210 768 -that I think about it, as I'm looking at this chart, I think it was one was it. 769 -I think it was 2014. Yeah, I mentioned early 2012 it was 2014. I think this 770 - 771 -156 772 -00:30:06,210 ~-~-> 00:30:20,160 773 -fellows they were initially interviewing me asking me what my opinion was about 774 -Bitcoin. I may have that date wrong still, but I just for sake of discussion, I 775 - 776 -157 777 -00:30:20,160 ~-~-> 00:30:34,050 778 -wish I could remember who it was. But anyway, I held the main I maintain the the 779 -opinion about crypto and Bitcoin, the same up until right now this at this 780 - 781 -158 782 -00:30:34,050 ~-~-> 00:30:43,860 783 -moment here. So, am I saying I'm going to start trading Bitcoin? No, I'm saying 784 -I'm interested in I'm gonna start following it. And if it can continuously Give 785 - 786 -159 787 -00:30:43,860 ~-~-> 00:30:52,590 788 -me what I'm looking for, and the things I see in forex, then I'll probably start 789 -trading. But right now, I have an official interest in it. But you can see here 790 - 791 -160 792 -00:30:52,590 ~-~-> 00:31:04,290 793 -using this optimal trade entry here. These are some levels also that could lend 794 -well to upside, should we get some kind of crazy, explosive, wild run, like in 795 - 796 -161 797 -00:31:04,290 ~-~-> 00:31:16,650 798 -the 1970s commodity markets. So I don't know. Okay, I want to kind of like end 799 -it with that I don't know where it's going to go. I personally just want to see 800 - 801 -162 802 -00:31:16,650 ~-~-> 00:31:28,080 803 -it, trade 230. Okay, if it goes to 30,000, I'm content. And in my mind, the 804 -paper trade that I would have assumed in here, you would have gained to the 805 - 806 -163 807 -00:31:28,080 ~-~-> 00:31:36,270 808 -degree that I would have liked to participate in. And then I would move myself 809 -to the sidelines, and then leave a small portion on the see if it can run into 810 - 811 -164 812 -00:31:36,270 ~-~-> 00:31:49,950 813 -something like this, or kind of like do like, I think it's hodler rice is like 814 -hold on for dear life. Again, I'm showing my you know, neophyte stance and all 815 - 816 -165 817 -00:31:49,950 ~-~-> 00:31:59,160 818 -this, but I'm being as honest as I possibly can, because there are very sincere 819 -people that have been with me for a number of years, they already understand I 820 - 821 -166 822 -00:31:59,160 ~-~-> 00:32:10,290 823 -don't trade it, they already understand that I have a, a willingness to try to 824 -distance myself from it. But they have sincerely asked if I would make my views 825 - 826 -167 827 -00:32:10,290 ~-~-> 00:32:20,370 828 -on it public. And this is what I got for right now. It may be nonsense that some 829 -of you may be absolutely a waste of your time. And for that, I apologize. But 830 - 831 -168 832 -00:32:20,430 ~-~-> 00:32:30,660 833 -I'm making the video for those individuals that are interested in this, from my 834 -perspective. And I just hope it doesn't entice anyone to do something that would 835 - 836 -169 837 -00:32:30,690 ~-~-> 00:32:44,820 838 -either remove potential profitability, or put them in a losing trade, I try to 839 -carry myself with that every time I talk about the markets as a whole. But I 840 - 841 -170 842 -00:32:44,820 ~-~-> 00:32:52,800 843 -know everybody's excited about this one right now, because this is where all the 844 -money's pouring, like this is, that's why I talked about it publicly. Every time 845 - 846 -171 847 -00:32:52,800 ~-~-> 00:33:04,950 848 -I do a public call, like that's kind of like, where it's at, like, I don't have 849 -a secret society, we're often doing calls or signals. If I put it out there, 850 - 851 -172 852 -00:33:05,370 ~-~-> 00:33:16,290 853 -that's where I'm going to be weighed in the balance. And I leave it there. Any 854 -trade examples I share has always been a public display. So that way, you can 855 - 856 -173 857 -00:33:16,290 ~-~-> 00:33:25,530 858 -see it, and either I sink or swim. This particular move in Bitcoin, I believe, 859 - 860 -174 861 -00:33:26,670 ~-~-> 00:33:39,060 862 -is inspiring for me as a dinosaur. Like I said, I started trading 1982. So I'm 863 -not familiar with these specific markets, but I'm familiar with how price 864 - 865 -175 866 -00:33:39,060 ~-~-> 00:33:52,050 867 -delivers. And most of the things that I have been anticipating have happened 868 -since basically, July, August of this year. So I'm seeing things that I like 869 - 870 -176 871 -00:33:52,050 ~-~-> 00:33:59,220 872 -I've been telling everybody, if I start seeing it, then I'll have a better read 873 -on it. And then I'm feel more comfortable telling you what I think is going to 874 - 875 -177 876 -00:33:59,220 ~-~-> 00:34:09,330 877 -happen. But prior to that, I wasn't seeing it. Now what do I mean by that? I 878 -think there's a lot more institutional involvement now than there ever has been 879 - 880 -178 881 -00:34:09,360 ~-~-> 00:34:17,310 882 -ever. And PayPal, which I have a partnership with, because they do on my payment 883 -processing for my mentorship. They came out and said that they're going to now 884 - 885 -179 886 -00:34:17,310 ~-~-> 00:34:28,440 887 -start taking Bitcoin. That's a huge, you know, milestone for crypto. So at some 888 -point, and this was one of the arguments I had when I was first introduced to 889 - 890 -180 891 -00:34:28,440 ~-~-> 00:34:41,550 892 -the idea of my opinion being shared about the asset class. I couldn't go to and 893 -I still can't really I couldn't go to a gas station and buy gas with my Bitcoin. 894 - 895 -181 896 -00:34:42,090 ~-~-> 00:34:52,260 897 -You know, that's starting to change now. I mean, there's places that are taking 898 -and there's apps that you can use it and obviously like PayPal is now but it 899 - 900 -182 901 -00:34:52,260 ~-~-> 00:35:09,690 902 -seems like it's speeding up. So that transition, you know or movement to A more 903 -open access to it is obviously making itself known. But it admittedly, it wasn't 904 - 905 -183 906 -00:35:09,690 ~-~-> 00:35:26,610 907 -like that prior to 2020, okay, and we'll just say, post pandemic, okay, I'm 908 -saying that with my fingers quotations post pandemic, it was not as obvious 909 - 910 -184 911 -00:35:26,610 ~-~-> 00:35:39,690 912 -anytime prior to it is right now. And you can see, I can see things in price 913 -that I was not able to see prior to mid part of this year. And I believe it's 914 - 915 -185 916 -00:35:39,690 ~-~-> 00:35:50,340 917 -because there's a lot of institutional sponsorship that are taking action. And 918 -clearly you can see it, there's a lot of movement in this market. So all this 919 - 920 -186 921 -00:35:50,340 ~-~-> 00:36:00,330 922 -has done is drawn more interest in it. And obviously, now my interest is piqued 923 -on it. It doesn't mean I'm going out in 2021, and opened up an account as of yet 924 - 925 -187 926 -00:36:00,330 ~-~-> 00:36:10,440 927 -I don't have that in my mind yet. But I will be looking at this market on a day 928 -by day basis going forward. I'm treating it like a market that I watch with 929 - 930 -188 931 -00:36:11,310 ~-~-> 00:36:24,360 932 -forex. Okay, so I've watched the E mini s&p watch gold, watch crude oil. And I 933 -watch forex. Okay, and that's about one. And now watch some commodity markets 934 - 935 -189 936 -00:36:24,360 ~-~-> 00:36:35,040 937 -like soybeans, I've been mentioning that. But I focus on markets that have big 938 -moves. Okay. And if you've been following me at any length of time, one of the 939 - 940 -190 941 -00:36:35,040 ~-~-> 00:36:45,930 942 -things that I like to illustrate and show is my ability to use the tools that I 943 -teach not only in this YouTube channel, but in my private group, where it 944 - 945 -191 946 -00:36:45,930 ~-~-> 00:36:52,830 947 -ferrets out these big moves. Now, there's a lot of people out there that have 948 -signal services, and you're trying to get people to subscribe to them and all 949 - 950 -192 951 -00:36:52,830 ~-~-> 00:36:59,820 952 -that. And they say, you know, I'm bringing you the proof, I'm showing you the 953 -proof. I'm not showing you a fuzzy little screen, you can't see anything about 954 - 955 -193 956 -00:36:59,820 ~-~-> 00:37:10,590 957 -it and claiming 95% I live 95%. Okay, I put my name out there all the time, this 958 -is what it is, this is what I think's going to happen. And if I fail, I fail 959 - 960 -194 961 -00:37:10,590 ~-~-> 00:37:22,170 962 -miserably. Or if I'm consistent, then I'm consistent. So I want big moves. I'm 963 -not looking at for instance, like a move that may be found in a market like 964 - 965 -195 966 -00:37:22,170 ~-~-> 00:37:36,960 967 -this. This used to be one of my favorite markets, the bond market. And, you 968 -know, this markets dead. This is Mario is dead. Now you contrast that with a 969 - 970 -196 971 -00:37:36,960 ~-~-> 00:37:52,080 972 -market move that I made public here. And it's 10s of 1000s of points of 973 -movement. You can't compare that there's there's no there's no comparison. Also, 974 - 975 -197 976 -00:37:52,860 ~-~-> 00:38:04,440 977 -the other market that I felt was a big move rate for this year. And I'm on 978 -record with it as well, is soybeans. And that kind of looks a little bit like 979 - 980 -198 981 -00:38:05,100 ~-~-> 00:38:07,950 982 -Bitcoin doesn't it? Big run up. 983 - 984 -199 985 -00:38:09,540 ~-~-> 00:38:22,650 986 -This market is basically what I like to talk about as a mega trade. mega trade 987 -is like an idea I picked up from Larry Williams Now, the way he finds his mega 988 - 989 -200 990 -00:38:22,650 ~-~-> 00:38:30,780 991 -trades is not entirely how I do it. There's a lot of things that I do right from 992 -his how I made a million dollars trading commodities last year book, which is 993 - 994 -201 995 -00:38:30,780 ~-~-> 00:38:45,060 996 -absolutely essential reading for everybody that's a trader, because that part of 997 -the book is still applicable today. Those elements to how the soybean market 998 - 999 -202 1000 -00:38:45,060 ~-~-> 00:38:56,580 1001 -traded here. If you read Larry Williams book, how made a million dollar shrink 1002 -money last year, that 1970s book would have put you right in this market here. 1003 - 1004 -203 1005 -00:38:57,360 ~-~-> 00:39:03,660 1006 -And you wouldn't have had to watch any ICT videos. You wouldn't have to watch 1007 -anybody else jawboning about the markets, you went there, subscribe to any 1008 - 1009 -204 1010 -00:39:03,660 ~-~-> 00:39:17,520 1011 -services, his book would have put you in that trade. Okay. What is this trade 1012 -look like? Well, from $8.40 to $9.40, that's $5,000 in price movement for one 1013 - 1014 -205 1015 -00:39:17,520 ~-~-> 00:39:31,200 1016 -contract to 1040, it's 10,000 to 1140, it's 15,000 to 1240, it's 20,000. And 1017 -we're probably gonna go to 1340. So that'll be 25,000. If we're comparing apples 1018 - 1019 -206 1020 -00:39:31,200 ~-~-> 00:39:40,410 1021 -to oranges here, you know, Bitcoin versus soybeans. There's not a big move 1022 -happening. And you can clearly admit this. There hasn't been these big moves 1023 - 1024 -207 1025 -00:39:40,680 ~-~-> 00:39:52,890 1026 -every year in Bitcoin. But there's always a big move in the commodity market. 1027 -Every year. There's one every single year. So this is a megatrade. Okay, that I 1028 - 1029 -208 1030 -00:39:52,890 ~-~-> 00:40:03,690 1031 -like to find these types of moves. Most of my cynics like to think that I'm just 1032 -a 20 PIP trader here, and I'm only interested This, that's where I Excel because 1033 - 1034 -209 1035 -00:40:03,750 ~-~-> 00:40:12,390 1036 -I'm a very short term thinker. And I can change my opinion very quickly. So it 1037 -fits my personality Plus, it provides a way of teaching. And it gives my 1038 - 1039 -210 1040 -00:40:12,390 ~-~-> 00:40:20,790 1041 -students a plethora of examples to work with. Whereas if you look at something 1042 -like this, where it takes a half a year to unfold, yes, I outline all this 1043 - 1044 -211 1045 -00:40:20,790 ~-~-> 00:40:30,420 1046 -stuff. But it takes a long time. And it's very boring to watch this, if you're 1047 -if you're not familiar with what you're looking for, or watching, you're going 1048 - 1049 -212 1050 -00:40:30,420 ~-~-> 00:40:43,410 1051 -to lose interest in this whole thing. But it's the same element of knowing what 1052 -price is likely to do, but not absolutely going to do. Okay, and having these 1053 - 1054 -213 1055 -00:40:43,410 ~-~-> 00:40:54,900 1056 -big moves each year. That's my primary focus. And I go through all the markets 1057 -and I try to find where these big moves potentially will occur in Bitcoin, 1058 - 1059 -214 1060 -00:40:55,020 ~-~-> 00:41:04,710 1061 -because of everything that happened this year with the quote unquote, illness. 1062 -That was one of the primary reasons why I said, Okay, if I take a step back and 1063 - 1064 -215 1065 -00:41:04,710 ~-~-> 00:41:16,290 1066 -look at how everything around the world is kind of coming to a halt, the 1067 -economies are basically being attacked. And if that's the case, then this market 1068 - 1069 -216 1070 -00:41:16,710 ~-~-> 00:41:30,960 1071 -should start seeing a rapid increase. And it creates the well. It was quietly 1072 -staying in consolidation, another area here where it's consolidated. And finally 1073 - 1074 -217 1075 -00:41:30,960 ~-~-> 00:41:42,360 1076 -it was just like, they got to keep it going, and then rallied on higher. So in 1077 -short, in in closing, I would like to see a trade to 30,000. Will it? I don't 1078 - 1079 -218 1080 -00:41:42,360 ~-~-> 00:41:56,040 1081 -know. But I would not be surprised if it does not correct. And trade back down 1082 -below 20 to make everybody feel uneasy about holding on to it. Like this was the 1083 - 1084 -219 1085 -00:41:56,040 ~-~-> 00:42:10,650 1086 -blow off move. While this is exceptional price action, I don't think this is it. 1087 -Like if Bitcoin was going to climax reverse on a run higher. I don't see this as 1088 - 1089 -220 1090 -00:42:10,650 ~-~-> 00:42:23,250 1091 -capitulation yet. If that makes any sense to you, like I feel like this is just 1092 -part of it. And then we'll see like this big huge, maybe one or two big long 1093 - 1094 -221 1095 -00:42:23,250 ~-~-> 00:42:36,120 1096 -candles, maybe we'll have, you know, 5000 or 6000 point candle, then, you know, 1097 -I would feel like okay, we're getting nuts. Now everybody's dogpiling in on 1098 - 1099 -222 1100 -00:42:36,120 ~-~-> 00:42:44,220 1101 -this. If we see a day like that, or daily range, it does something like that, it 1102 -doesn't necessarily have to be five or 6000 points, but something that's so 1103 - 1104 -223 1105 -00:42:44,220 ~-~-> 00:42:52,980 1106 -grandiose compared to everything else in the past. It basically you'll know it 1107 -when you see it, I think that's the day that you should be rapidly trailing your 1108 - 1109 -224 1110 -00:42:52,980 ~-~-> 00:43:07,230 1111 -stop loss up using an hourly chart intraday, and kind of like locking in any 1112 -realized unrealized, rather profits that had been accumulated at that point. But 1113 - 1114 -225 1115 -00:43:07,230 ~-~-> 00:43:08,400 1116 -right now, it's kind of like 1117 - 1118 -226 1119 -00:43:10,320 ~-~-> 00:43:25,200 1120 -Larry Williams said this beautifully in his four VHS tape. Of course, the 1121 -futures manners confidential trading course, it's for cassette tapes, or VHS 1122 - 1123 -227 1124 -00:43:25,230 ~-~-> 00:43:35,190 1125 -tapes, rather. And it was produced in 1995. And mine were watched so many times, 1126 -they no longer worked, so I don't have access to them anymore. But nonetheless, 1127 - 1128 -228 1129 -00:43:35,550 ~-~-> 00:43:44,670 1130 -he made a comment in there. And it's still I still think about all the time when 1131 -I think about like mega moves, like these big mega trade type, big blow off 1132 - 1133 -229 1134 -00:43:44,670 ~-~-> 00:43:55,200 1135 -moves. He mentioned it about commercial markets. And I'll leave that for your 1136 -study. If you buy the book. How many million dollar trading commodities last 1137 - 1138 -230 1139 -00:43:55,200 ~-~-> 00:44:03,780 1140 -year. It's just a wonderful book. It's a simple book. It's not highly technical. 1141 -I don't subscribe to everything in there. But the things that he talks about 1142 - 1143 -231 1144 -00:44:03,780 ~-~-> 00:44:14,760 1145 -having million dollar setups, they work folks. Okay, so if you're looking for a 1146 -book to buy, okay, maybe you have you some money that you got your stocking from 1147 - 1148 -232 1149 -00:44:14,760 ~-~-> 00:44:23,700 1150 -Santa, you spend a little bit of money support that guy, okay, because he's put 1151 -out a lot of good stuff. I don't subscribe to everything. Okay, but that book is 1152 - 1153 -233 1154 -00:44:23,700 ~-~-> 00:44:33,420 1155 -absolutely gold. And it was written in 1970s. And it's still true today. But he 1156 -made a comment about these big commercial bull markets that take off and really 1157 - 1158 -234 1159 -00:44:33,420 ~-~-> 00:44:45,000 1160 -run up crazy. Nobody knows where they're gonna go. Okay. And as I was talking to 1161 -you in this video, I'm speaking and thinking about his voice in my head back in 1162 - 1163 -235 1164 -00:44:45,000 ~-~-> 00:44:57,990 1165 -1995. When I heard him in his course, say those very words. Nobody knows where 1166 -it's going to go when you have these big mega moves. And I have racked my brains 1167 - 1168 -236 1169 -00:44:59,010 ~-~-> 00:45:09,000 1170 -from which 30 years Here's trying to solve that puzzle. And I'm here to tell 1171 -you, I gave up on it because there really is no way, but you want to do this. 1172 - 1173 -237 1174 -00:45:09,690 ~-~-> 00:45:19,560 1175 -And this is his words, you want to wrap your arms around it, close your eyes, 1176 -and just hold on for dear life, day come hell or high water, and see where you 1177 - 1178 -238 1179 -00:45:19,560 ~-~-> 00:45:29,220 1180 -end up six months later, because they can go so much farther than you want, or 1181 -expect them to go. And I'm kinda like paraphrasing, but when I watched him say 1182 - 1183 -239 1184 -00:45:29,220 ~-~-> 00:45:37,680 1185 -that the first time, I was grinning, because I'm thinking myself, man, that's 1186 -amazing. Like, I want to be in moves like that. Well, I think Bitcoin has some 1187 - 1188 -240 1189 -00:45:37,680 ~-~-> 00:45:49,410 1190 -of that still in it. So while this is great, I don't think this is the end of 1191 -it. Okay, do we need to correct maybe, I would personally like to see it not do 1192 - 1193 -241 1194 -00:45:49,410 ~-~-> 00:45:58,950 1195 -it, I would like to see it say, you know, we spent too much time below 20,000, 1196 -we don't need to be down anymore. That's kind of like my view on it. If Bitcoin 1197 - 1198 -242 1199 -00:45:58,980 ~-~-> 00:46:05,730 1200 -or crypto is exactly what everybody believes it is, it's going to be this 1201 -juggernaut that no one's going to be able to stop. And I'm not trying to be 1202 - 1203 -243 1204 -00:46:05,730 ~-~-> 00:46:14,340 1205 -facetious, I'm not trying to make fun. I'm not trying to be sarcastic here. I'm 1206 -saying, if that's really what this is, then this market should say, I don't need 1207 - 1208 -244 1209 -00:46:14,340 ~-~-> 00:46:27,030 1210 -to go back down the 20, I'm gonna flex and push myself to 50. That's the way I 1211 -interpret it, does it need to go back down to 20? It could, but if it does, I 1212 - 1213 -245 1214 -00:46:27,030 ~-~-> 00:46:35,310 1215 -don't think it breaks it, you know what I mean? Like, I think it needs to go 1216 -back down here. And that would serve two purposes. Number one, it would upset 1217 - 1218 -246 1219 -00:46:35,310 ~-~-> 00:46:42,330 1220 -anyone that has a child stoploss below this swing low. And if it goes below 1221 -20,000, it would upset those individuals that just want to see this old 1222 - 1223 -247 1224 -00:46:42,330 ~-~-> 00:46:51,960 1225 -resistance, quote, unquote, be acting as support, I think it can come back down 1226 -with a deeper and scare everybody out of the idea of Okay, maybe it's gonna 1227 - 1228 -248 1229 -00:46:52,050 ~-~-> 00:47:06,930 1230 -crash, and then tear off higher again, and do what we saw here. Faster. Okay, 1231 -that's what I would expect from this market. If it were to read, you know, 1232 - 1233 -249 1234 -00:47:06,990 ~-~-> 00:47:20,670 1235 -retrace and come back down. If we lose this low here, then we're probably gonna 1236 -keep whatever high forms between that high, you know, being there and retracing 1237 - 1238 -250 1239 -00:47:20,670 ~-~-> 00:47:31,410 1240 -lower to this low here, then we'll have to work out some price action, speed 1241 -bumps at that time, meaning that it consolidate, maybe trade a little bit lower, 1242 - 1243 -251 1244 -00:47:31,950 ~-~-> 00:47:43,710 1245 -or, basically, hands off, don't touch it for a little while. And that is 1246 -honestly, the only thing that I see in price. And it probably did not help any 1247 - 1248 -252 1249 -00:47:43,710 ~-~-> 00:47:50,460 1250 -of you and probably confused some of you, or probably made you doubt some of the 1251 -things you've already subscribed to. which is the reason why I hate doing these 1252 - 1253 -253 1254 -00:47:50,460 ~-~-> 00:47:57,240 1255 -kind of videos. It's not because I'm afraid to be right or wrong, because I 1256 -already give you what I think is gonna happen like in my community tab. But I 1257 - 1258 -254 1259 -00:47:57,240 ~-~-> 00:48:08,250 1260 -like to think that if I can just inspire everyone in here to just remember, no 1261 -one knows how far this thing can go up. 1262 - 1263 -255 1264 -00:48:08,999 ~-~-> 00:48:19,019 1265 -I don't think there's a limit on where it could go. That could be justified in 1266 -anyone's eyes, like you can't, so nobody can come on YouTube, or go on the TV 1267 - 1268 -256 1269 -00:48:19,019 ~-~-> 00:48:27,389 1270 -and say, this is where bitcoins gonna go because of this, this this, it's 1271 -impossible, that part is impossible, which is exciting thing for people that are 1272 - 1273 -257 1274 -00:48:27,389 ~-~-> 00:48:35,909 1275 -trading this market because that means you have tremendous opportunity. Now 1276 -obviously, there's always risk. And I'm trying to sweet talk you into thinking, 1277 - 1278 -258 1279 -00:48:36,119 ~-~-> 00:48:44,879 1280 -this is the this is the be all end all everybody should be doing this. But it's 1281 -exciting for me now, because like I've said, I've not been interested in this. 1282 - 1283 -259 1284 -00:48:45,299 ~-~-> 00:48:53,819 1285 -But around the summertime, it started giving me clues that hey, look, you know, 1286 -you need to be paying attention to what what this is doing. And I was kind of 1287 - 1288 -260 1289 -00:48:53,819 ~-~-> 00:49:01,139 1290 -like talking to my my students. I said, Look, you know, it's, it's going to have 1291 -to show its colors right now. If it's going to do it, it's going to do it. Now. 1292 - 1293 -261 1294 -00:49:01,169 ~-~-> 00:49:14,639 1295 -If it doesn't, here's the big here's the big thing. And I'm closing. If Bitcoin 1296 -didn't do this, this year, I would have been on YouTube trashing it. literally 1297 - 1298 -262 1299 -00:49:14,639 ~-~-> 00:49:24,449 1300 -saying it's not going to do what you want it to do. Pretty much what I said 1301 -about XRP. Okay. And then this is a Bitcoin video, but I just want to put this 1302 - 1303 -263 1304 -00:49:24,449 ~-~-> 00:49:39,329 1305 -up here. I called the high in this market to on Twitter. I said, here's the XRP 1306 -market. So the weekly chart this, I called this up in here as well called some 1307 - 1308 -264 1309 -00:49:39,329 ~-~-> 00:49:47,579 1310 -run up into it. And then I said, it's done. It's dead money. And it's been dead 1311 -money since then. And there's a lot of people out there that send me emails all 1312 - 1313 -265 1314 -00:49:47,579 ~-~-> 00:49:56,609 1315 -the time. And please don't send me emails, folks. If I see anything about XRP or 1316 -ripple, I don't even read it. Okay, and I don't mean to be ignorant. I just have 1317 - 1318 -266 1319 -00:49:56,609 ~-~-> 00:50:05,159 1320 -very little time and when I get to the emails in order I received them It has 1321 -anything to do with this market here. I literally just just completely send it 1322 - 1323 -267 1324 -00:50:05,159 ~-~-> 00:50:16,229 1325 -to the dubbin. I don't look at it. I don't read it. Yes, we had a little bit of 1326 -a run up in here. But there's nothing in this. This is literally penny stocks. 1327 - 1328 -268 1329 -00:50:16,349 ~-~-> 00:50:25,829 1330 -Okay, it's performing like penny stocks, it would need to do something at a 1331 -later time because as of right now, it's dead money. Now, if you remember and 1332 - 1333 -269 1334 -00:50:25,829 ~-~-> 00:50:33,269 1335 -look at how Bitcoin started, it did a lot of this kind of stuff. I mean, I don't 1336 -think it was this cheap. But it did some squirrely looking things in the 1337 - 1338 -270 1339 -00:50:33,269 ~-~-> 00:50:41,759 1340 -beginning. Okay, and maybe down the road 510 years from now, maybe it will be 1341 -less time if it's going to do I don't know, folks. Okay, but I'm just giving you 1342 - 1343 -271 1344 -00:50:41,759 ~-~-> 00:50:48,839 1345 -my opinion. And it means absolutely nothing. Okay, I don't have any vested 1346 -interest in this. I'm this saying, every time I've talked about this one here, 1347 - 1348 -272 1349 -00:50:48,929 ~-~-> 00:50:58,199 1350 -and then some of you're saying shut up ICT, you're killing it. If you think I'm 1351 -I'm talking this market down, making it go down, you don't believe what you 1352 - 1353 -273 1354 -00:50:58,199 ~-~-> 00:51:07,439 1355 -believe about it. Because it doesn't make a difference. When I say about it. I'm 1356 -not even trading it. So it's, it's just me sharing what I see in the price 1357 - 1358 -274 1359 -00:51:07,439 ~-~-> 00:51:20,279 1360 -action. This is all classic penny stock activity. It's a pump and dump. Okay. 1361 -You're not seeing that with Bitcoin. And that was what I meant when I said XRP 1362 - 1363 -275 1364 -00:51:20,279 ~-~-> 00:51:29,129 1365 -is dead money. So if you're going to be doing anything crypto, you know, at 1366 -least be in Bitcoin, if you're going to do it at all, because that's where 1367 - 1368 -276 1369 -00:51:29,129 ~-~-> 00:51:36,599 1370 -everything's being poured into, it's going there. Now, there may be other coins 1371 -and other things that they're, you know, starting to work in maybe some of you 1372 - 1373 -277 1374 -00:51:36,599 ~-~-> 00:51:46,289 1375 -are more savvy in regards to noticing what they are, you know, God bless you. 1376 -But I'm only sticking to the things that I know very little about because 1377 - 1378 -278 1379 -00:51:46,289 ~-~-> 00:51:57,899 1380 -everything else is next to nothing. But bitcoins price action has this year 1381 -showed me things that I have not been able to see consistently until 2020. And 1382 - 1383 -279 1384 -00:51:57,899 ~-~-> 00:52:12,719 1385 -it wasn't until again, post pandemic. So I hope you have at least considered the 1386 -likelihood of this may be gone a little bit higher than what we're showing here. 1387 - 1388 -280 1389 -00:52:13,049 ~-~-> 00:52:21,749 1390 -I don't want to talk anybody out of a position because it would just be terrible 1391 -for you to send me an email, say I see, You scared the living daylights out of 1392 - 1393 -281 1394 -00:52:21,749 ~-~-> 00:52:30,059 1395 -me. And I took everything off at this price level. And it goes to 100,000. You 1396 -know, I would be terribly upset about that. So don't take anything I'm saying 1397 - 1398 -282 1399 -00:52:30,059 ~-~-> 00:52:38,789 1400 -here as investment advice. If you have a trade idea, and you think it's going to 1401 -go to whatever level it is, you know what? Follow it stick to it, because I'm 1402 - 1403 -283 1404 -00:52:38,789 ~-~-> 00:52:49,739 1405 -probably wrong. If you looked at every time that I was trading on paper, not 1406 -with my funds, these crypto markets, when I was trying to do it on a day by day 1407 - 1408 -284 1409 -00:52:49,739 ~-~-> 00:53:01,469 1410 -basis, like it was horrendous. It was so bad. Like, it was shameful, like, and 1411 -that's why I said like I don't have any Mojo with this. Like I don't, when I 1412 - 1413 -285 1414 -00:53:01,469 ~-~-> 00:53:07,319 1415 -feel like I haven't I make it public knowledge. But that's it, it's not a lot, 1416 -but they tend to be the bigger price swings. 1417 - 1418 -286 1419 -00:53:09,869 ~-~-> 00:53:24,269 1420 -This year, I've seen more using a four hour on a daily chart setups that I have 1421 -not been able to see prior to midpoint of this year. So for everyone that has 1422 - 1423 -287 1424 -00:53:24,269 ~-~-> 00:53:32,519 1425 -followed me for a length of time, and you know, I've always said this, I don't 1426 -see the same signatures in price that I see in forex, I'm starting to see them. 1427 - 1428 -288 1429 -00:53:32,669 ~-~-> 00:53:41,639 1430 -Now when I say that it doesn't mean I see everything that I see. In forex, that 1431 -makes it so precise. I'm seeing a lot more of it now. And that means that the 1432 - 1433 -289 1434 -00:53:41,639 ~-~-> 00:53:52,559 1435 -boys, they're in this now they're really starting to pour into it. So if they're 1436 -going to be involved in this, and if I'm accurate in my observations, then this 1437 - 1438 -290 1439 -00:53:52,709 ~-~-> 00:54:01,259 1440 -asset class is going to get really, really exciting. which kind of makes sense 1441 -because if you look at forex, forex, it's kind of quiet right now, even though 1442 - 1443 -291 1444 -00:54:01,259 ~-~-> 00:54:15,209 1445 -it's going where we want it to go. It's slow and lethargic. And you can't 1446 -compare, you know, with 20,000 points, you know, 20,000 points, versus, you 1447 - 1448 -292 1449 -00:54:15,209 ~-~-> 00:54:21,989 1450 -know, I'm looking at like 50 to 75 pips a week if I'm trading forex, not because 1451 -that's all I can make. But that's kind of like, it's easy for me to do. It's 1452 - 1453 -293 1454 -00:54:21,989 ~-~-> 00:54:31,559 1455 -easy for me to find, and it gives me a lot of free time. I've never seen a 1456 -market that can offer swings like that, like 20 points now 20,000 points, and 1457 - 1458 -294 1459 -00:54:31,559 ~-~-> 00:54:42,689 1460 -calling it and seeing, you know, this is where it's going to go. Like this could 1461 -be a really amazing turn of events for traders. And some of you, Brian, we've 1462 - 1463 -295 1464 -00:54:42,689 ~-~-> 00:54:49,319 1465 -been doing this for all this time, Michael, where you've been? We've been trying 1466 -to tell you Yeah, I get it, but there's the things that I'm looking for that 1467 - 1468 -296 1469 -00:54:49,529 ~-~-> 00:54:58,739 1470 -I've been very apprehensive about participating in because they're not there 1471 -until now. And I'm hoping to see more of the things I look for in forex happen 1472 - 1473 -297 1474 -00:54:58,739 ~-~-> 00:55:07,109 1475 -in this asset class. Because if it does, I'm coming to dominate this one just 1476 -like I did forex, and talk to you next time. Happy New Year, be safe, and I'll 1477 - 1478 -298 1479 -00:55:07,109 ~-~-> 00:55:08,549 1480 -talk to you again in 2021