Wiki source code of ICT YT - 2020-10-07 - Blending Price Patterns With Time and Price Theory - Part 1.srt
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1 | 1 | ||
2 | 00:00:16,320 ~-~-> 00:00:18,990 | ||
3 | ICT: Alright, folks, let's take a look at how we can use the | ||
4 | |||
5 | 2 | ||
6 | 00:00:18,990 ~-~-> 00:00:22,350 | ||
7 | economic calendar to find setups and or opportunities to | ||
8 | |||
9 | 3 | ||
10 | 00:00:22,350 ~-~-> 00:00:26,460 | ||
11 | practice in looking at the economic calendar for October | ||
12 | |||
13 | 4 | ||
14 | 00:00:26,460 ~-~-> 00:00:31,740 | ||
15 | 5 2020. And I want to take your attention to 11pm. And the | ||
16 | |||
17 | 5 | ||
18 | 00:00:31,740 ~-~-> 00:00:40,590 | ||
19 | time is set to Eastern time. Okay, so all of my students | ||
20 | |||
21 | 6 | ||
22 | 00:00:40,590 ~-~-> 00:00:44,100 | ||
23 | have their charts set to this time setting. | ||
24 | |||
25 | 7 | ||
26 | 00:00:51,870 ~-~-> 00:00:59,250 | ||
27 | So at 11:30pm, Monday, October 5, RBA rate statement and | ||
28 | |||
29 | 8 | ||
30 | 00:00:59,250 ~-~-> 00:01:02,160 | ||
31 | cash rate was scheduled to be released for the Australian | ||
32 | |||
33 | 9 | ||
34 | 00:01:02,160 ~-~-> 00:01:08,880 | ||
35 | dollar at 11:30pm. Eastern time. I don't care what the | ||
36 | |||
37 | 10 | ||
38 | 00:01:08,880 ~-~-> 00:01:12,450 | ||
39 | actual is, I don't care what the forecast is, I don't care. | ||
40 | |||
41 | 11 | ||
42 | 00:01:12,450 ~-~-> 00:01:14,550 | ||
43 | I don't care what the previous is, I'm not concerned about | ||
44 | |||
45 | 12 | ||
46 | 00:01:14,550 ~-~-> 00:01:19,530 | ||
47 | that. I'm looking at the red indication here. That's a high | ||
48 | |||
49 | 13 | ||
50 | 00:01:19,530 ~-~-> 00:01:24,060 | ||
51 | impact market driver. So regardless of the information or | ||
52 | |||
53 | 14 | ||
54 | 00:01:24,060 ~-~-> 00:01:27,930 | ||
55 | the data that's released, it can have a lot of impact and | ||
56 | |||
57 | 15 | ||
58 | 00:01:27,930 ~-~-> 00:01:31,260 | ||
59 | cause displacement in price. And that's what we're looking | ||
60 | |||
61 | 16 | ||
62 | 00:01:31,260 ~-~-> 00:01:34,260 | ||
63 | for. So let's go over to the charts and take a look at the | ||
64 | |||
65 | 17 | ||
66 | 00:01:34,260 ~-~-> 00:01:39,570 | ||
67 | Australian dollar. So I have the chart set to October 5. | ||
68 | |||
69 | 18 | ||
70 | 00:01:39,600 ~-~-> 00:01:42,900 | ||
71 | This is a five minute chart just to illustrate, along the | ||
72 | |||
73 | 19 | ||
74 | 00:01:42,900 ~-~-> 00:01:45,840 | ||
75 | lines what I've taught already on this YouTube channel, but | ||
76 | |||
77 | 20 | ||
78 | 00:01:45,840 ~-~-> 00:01:48,930 | ||
79 | I'm also going to teach you how to blend two patterns | ||
80 | |||
81 | 21 | ||
82 | 00:01:48,930 ~-~-> 00:01:54,360 | ||
83 | together within a market setup. You can see the market has | ||
84 | |||
85 | 22 | ||
86 | 00:01:54,360 ~-~-> 00:01:59,160 | ||
87 | been trading sideways, in a consolidation leaving relative | ||
88 | |||
89 | 23 | ||
90 | 00:01:59,160 ~-~-> 00:02:06,480 | ||
91 | equal highs along the way. And at 1130, which is 2330. Here | ||
92 | |||
93 | 24 | ||
94 | 00:02:06,510 ~-~-> 00:02:09,900 | ||
95 | on this setting, you can see here, the time is set to New | ||
96 | |||
97 | 25 | ||
98 | 00:02:09,900 ~-~-> 00:02:13,920 | ||
99 | York time. So if you have your chart set on trading view, | ||
100 | |||
101 | 26 | ||
102 | 00:02:14,130 ~-~-> 00:02:17,370 | ||
103 | with that timeframe, everything will always match relative | ||
104 | |||
105 | 27 | ||
106 | 00:02:17,370 ~-~-> 00:02:27,450 | ||
107 | to my lectures at 2330, that's 11:30pm, New York time or | ||
108 | |||
109 | 28 | ||
110 | 00:02:27,480 ~-~-> 00:02:31,950 | ||
111 | Eastern time. And this is the run above all of these | ||
112 | |||
113 | 29 | ||
114 | 00:02:31,950 ~-~-> 00:02:35,370 | ||
115 | relative equal highs. We're not trying to forecast a move, | ||
116 | |||
117 | 30 | ||
118 | 00:02:35,490 ~-~-> 00:02:38,730 | ||
119 | we're waiting to see does it run above that? And will it | ||
120 | |||
121 | 31 | ||
122 | 00:02:38,730 ~-~-> 00:02:42,030 | ||
123 | stay above it? Well, it doesn't, it goes above it and | ||
124 | |||
125 | 32 | ||
126 | 00:02:42,030 ~-~-> 00:02:46,770 | ||
127 | rejects and breaks down. Your eye should be trained right to | ||
128 | |||
129 | 33 | ||
130 | 00:02:46,770 ~-~-> 00:02:51,120 | ||
131 | here, because this high, this low and the higher high. | ||
132 | |||
133 | 34 | ||
134 | 00:02:51,540 ~-~-> 00:02:53,880 | ||
135 | That's a pattern that I teach on this YouTube channel, which | ||
136 | |||
137 | 35 | ||
138 | 00:02:53,880 ~-~-> 00:02:59,280 | ||
139 | is my ICT, bearish breaker. The idea is that this liquidity | ||
140 | |||
141 | 36 | ||
142 | 00:02:59,310 ~-~-> 00:03:01,920 | ||
143 | that we resting above here would be in the form of buy | ||
144 | |||
145 | 37 | ||
146 | 00:03:01,920 ~-~-> 00:03:04,620 | ||
147 | stops, and we call it buy side liquidity. Because running | ||
148 | |||
149 | 38 | ||
150 | 00:03:04,620 ~-~-> 00:03:08,970 | ||
151 | above that does two things. It takes traders that are short | ||
152 | |||
153 | 39 | ||
154 | 00:03:09,060 ~-~-> 00:03:13,020 | ||
155 | out by running their stops, that breaks their position, and | ||
156 | |||
157 | 40 | ||
158 | 00:03:13,020 ~-~-> 00:03:17,190 | ||
159 | also puts traders on the long side on a breakout should they | ||
160 | |||
161 | 41 | ||
162 | 00:03:17,190 ~-~-> 00:03:20,490 | ||
163 | have pending orders resting above here. You'd be surprised | ||
164 | |||
165 | 42 | ||
166 | 00:03:20,490 ~-~-> 00:03:23,940 | ||
167 | how many people trade like this. It breaks above it trips | ||
168 | |||
169 | 43 | ||
170 | 00:03:23,940 ~-~-> 00:03:28,230 | ||
171 | those traders long and their stop loss would be where below | ||
172 | |||
173 | 44 | ||
174 | 00:03:28,230 ~-~-> 00:03:31,380 | ||
175 | here or below here relative to whatever their account size | ||
176 | |||
177 | 45 | ||
178 | 00:03:31,380 ~-~-> 00:03:38,310 | ||
179 | and equity risk management would outline. What we're looking | ||
180 | |||
181 | 46 | ||
182 | 00:03:38,310 ~-~-> 00:03:43,290 | ||
183 | for is the narrative that runs above it, and then it breaks | ||
184 | |||
185 | 47 | ||
186 | 00:03:43,290 ~-~-> 00:03:47,940 | ||
187 | down fine. If it goes below this low here, and it trades | ||
188 | |||
189 | 48 | ||
190 | 00:03:47,940 ~-~-> 00:03:51,510 | ||
191 | back up to this low. Now notice what I'm teaching you here. | ||
192 | |||
193 | 49 | ||
194 | 00:03:51,750 ~-~-> 00:03:54,330 | ||
195 | I'm not teaching you support and resistance because if | ||
196 | |||
197 | 50 | ||
198 | 00:03:54,330 ~-~-> 00:03:58,230 | ||
199 | that's the case, why not just use this low? Or these loves? | ||
200 | |||
201 | 51 | ||
202 | 00:03:58,920 ~-~-> 00:04:03,420 | ||
203 | Or this low? Or these lows here? Why aren't we referring to | ||
204 | |||
205 | 52 | ||
206 | 00:04:03,420 ~-~-> 00:04:08,340 | ||
207 | any of those? It's the narrative behind the specific level | ||
208 | |||
209 | 53 | ||
210 | 00:04:08,340 ~-~-> 00:04:12,570 | ||
211 | that's being referred to. That's what makes this level as I | ||
212 | |||
213 | 54 | ||
214 | 00:04:12,570 ~-~-> 00:04:18,270 | ||
215 | teach it as an ICT bearish breaker. If this loads taken out, | ||
216 | |||
217 | 55 | ||
218 | 00:04:18,300 ~-~-> 00:04:23,820 | ||
219 | which is taken out here, and trades back up to it during a | ||
220 | |||
221 | 56 | ||
222 | 00:04:23,820 ~-~-> 00:04:26,970 | ||
223 | specific time of day, what's the specific time of day? Well, | ||
224 | |||
225 | 57 | ||
226 | 00:04:26,970 ~-~-> 00:04:29,730 | ||
227 | I've been teaching 830 to 11 o'clock in the morning, Eastern | ||
228 | |||
229 | 58 | ||
230 | 00:04:29,730 ~-~-> 00:04:32,430 | ||
231 | time. You can find setups, you can find optimal trade | ||
232 | |||
233 | 59 | ||
234 | 00:04:32,430 ~-~-> 00:04:36,930 | ||
235 | entries there. And you can also blend a breaker pattern with | ||
236 | |||
237 | 60 | ||
238 | 00:04:36,990 ~-~-> 00:04:40,170 | ||
239 | an optimal trade entry. So add some annotations real quick. | ||
240 | |||
241 | 61 | ||
242 | 00:04:40,620 ~-~-> 00:04:44,280 | ||
243 | So here's the burger, the boss illiquidity that gets purged | ||
244 | |||
245 | 62 | ||
246 | 00:04:45,330 ~-~-> 00:04:49,860 | ||
247 | at the rate announcement 11:30pm eastern time, it runs this | ||
248 | |||
249 | 63 | ||
250 | 00:04:50,130 ~-~-> 00:04:54,510 | ||
251 | and then we wait. What are we waiting for New York session. | ||
252 | |||
253 | 64 | ||
254 | 00:04:55,410 ~-~-> 00:05:00,000 | ||
255 | New York session trades back up into the breaker and we can | ||
256 | |||
257 | 65 | ||
258 | 00:05:00,000 ~-~-> 00:05:02,910 | ||
259 | Have a short on two things, the fact that we trade it back | ||
260 | |||
261 | 66 | ||
262 | 00:05:02,940 ~-~-> 00:05:04,860 | ||
263 | up to the breaker, which is this low | ||
264 | |||
265 | 67 | ||
266 | 00:05:06,900 ~-~-> 00:05:11,160 | ||
267 | and an optimal trade entry using this high here now why this | ||
268 | |||
269 | 68 | ||
270 | 00:05:11,160 ~-~-> 00:05:16,050 | ||
271 | high, it's not cherry picked. That's the London kill zone, | ||
272 | |||
273 | 69 | ||
274 | 00:05:16,650 ~-~-> 00:05:20,940 | ||
275 | session high. So we're gonna take that fib and all we're | ||
276 | |||
277 | 70 | ||
278 | 00:05:20,940 ~-~-> 00:05:23,670 | ||
279 | doing is getting a measurement of overbought oversold. It's | ||
280 | |||
281 | 71 | ||
282 | 00:05:23,670 ~-~-> 00:05:28,470 | ||
283 | not the fib that's causing the magic here. It's not I'm not | ||
284 | |||
285 | 72 | ||
286 | 00:05:28,470 ~-~-> 00:05:31,890 | ||
287 | trying to sell the idea that the markets working off of just | ||
288 | |||
289 | 73 | ||
290 | 00:05:31,890 ~-~-> 00:05:36,570 | ||
291 | to fit the narrative, the narrative is all of this, it runs | ||
292 | |||
293 | 74 | ||
294 | 00:05:36,600 ~-~-> 00:05:41,010 | ||
295 | gets there by offset, and then breaks down all through | ||
296 | |||
297 | 75 | ||
298 | 00:05:41,010 ~-~-> 00:05:43,110 | ||
299 | London, you don't need to be up trading London, you can wait | ||
300 | |||
301 | 76 | ||
302 | 00:05:43,110 ~-~-> 00:05:46,500 | ||
303 | till New York session. And then with the sometimes | ||
304 | |||
305 | 77 | ||
306 | 00:05:46,530 ~-~-> 00:05:50,370 | ||
307 | retracement level. Okay, that over time, starting right here | ||
308 | |||
309 | 78 | ||
310 | 00:05:50,370 ~-~-> 00:05:52,860 | ||
311 | at the beginning of our starting exactly at 830, which is | ||
312 | |||
313 | 79 | ||
314 | 00:05:52,860 ~-~-> 00:05:55,980 | ||
315 | our new york session window. It's not the New York kill | ||
316 | |||
317 | 80 | ||
318 | 00:05:55,980 ~-~-> 00:05:58,920 | ||
319 | zone, it's just 830 beginning where the news embargo lifts | ||
320 | |||
321 | 81 | ||
322 | 00:05:58,920 ~-~-> 00:06:04,020 | ||
323 | at 830. And all the way till 11 o'clock. Already, you should | ||
324 | |||
325 | 82 | ||
326 | 00:06:04,020 ~-~-> 00:06:08,370 | ||
327 | be able to see the optimal trade entry that overlaps with | ||
328 | |||
329 | 83 | ||
330 | 00:06:08,370 ~-~-> 00:06:11,700 | ||
331 | the breaker within the time window 11 o'clock, you have up | ||
332 | |||
333 | 84 | ||
334 | 00:06:11,700 ~-~-> 00:06:14,790 | ||
335 | to 11 o'clock to take the take the trade. So we have an | ||
336 | |||
337 | 85 | ||
338 | 00:06:14,790 ~-~-> 00:06:19,500 | ||
339 | overlap of the breaker and optimal trade entry. The range | ||
340 | |||
341 | 86 | ||
342 | 00:06:19,500 ~-~-> 00:06:23,730 | ||
343 | from here to here, we're just extending that on time. All of | ||
344 | |||
345 | 87 | ||
346 | 00:06:23,730 ~-~-> 00:06:27,090 | ||
347 | this is just waiting for the New York session, then the | ||
348 | |||
349 | 88 | ||
350 | 00:06:27,090 ~-~-> 00:06:31,050 | ||
351 | volume that comes in dog piles in on this optimal trade | ||
352 | |||
353 | 89 | ||
354 | 00:06:31,050 ~-~-> 00:06:38,370 | ||
355 | entry. And we're scrunch this up. And we have an overlap of | ||
356 | |||
357 | 90 | ||
358 | 00:06:38,460 ~-~-> 00:06:44,850 | ||
359 | 79, nine and nine pets. See that right there with the | ||
360 | |||
361 | 91 | ||
362 | 00:06:45,570 ~-~-> 00:06:49,410 | ||
363 | standard deviation of negative five. And we have an old | ||
364 | |||
365 | 92 | ||
366 | 00:06:49,800 ~-~-> 00:06:57,450 | ||
367 | level of equal lows. As I teach, again, on this YouTube | ||
368 | |||
369 | 93 | ||
370 | 00:06:57,450 ~-~-> 00:07:00,540 | ||
371 | channel, so there's sell side liquidity on here. So bank | ||
372 | |||
373 | 94 | ||
374 | 00:07:00,540 ~-~-> 00:07:04,410 | ||
375 | traders take this off, bank traders can go short with this | ||
376 | |||
377 | 95 | ||
378 | 00:07:04,410 ~-~-> 00:07:08,310 | ||
379 | run up here, you don't have to be eliminated. Wait for this | ||
380 | |||
381 | 96 | ||
382 | 00:07:08,310 ~-~-> 00:07:11,580 | ||
383 | low the break. Once it trades back up into it during the New | ||
384 | |||
385 | 97 | ||
386 | 00:07:11,580 ~-~-> 00:07:16,080 | ||
387 | York session, then you can target this level down here. We | ||
388 | |||
389 | 98 | ||
390 | 00:07:16,080 ~-~-> 00:07:22,890 | ||
391 | have an overlap with the fib for projected low. And those | ||
392 | |||
393 | 99 | ||
394 | 00:07:22,890 ~-~-> 00:07:24,210 | ||
395 | equal lows that align | ||
396 | |||
397 | 100 | ||
398 | 00:07:31,800 ~-~-> 00:07:34,740 | ||
399 | in the market sells off and sweeps those relatively close | ||
400 | |||
401 | 101 | ||
402 | 00:07:34,740 ~-~-> 00:07:37,860 | ||
403 | and hits our target on the fib. So you have a blending of | ||
404 | |||
405 | 102 | ||
406 | 00:07:37,860 ~-~-> 00:07:43,800 | ||
407 | two of my concepts together within a narrative using the | ||
408 | |||
409 | 103 | ||
410 | 00:07:43,800 ~-~-> 00:07:47,310 | ||
411 | economic calendar to frame it. So we're not trying to | ||
412 | |||
413 | 104 | ||
414 | 00:07:47,310 ~-~-> 00:07:50,940 | ||
415 | predict this break in continuation. All we're doing is | ||
416 | |||
417 | 105 | ||
418 | 00:07:50,940 ~-~-> 00:07:55,260 | ||
419 | saying okay, what did they do? overnight, they ran liquidity | ||
420 | |||
421 | 106 | ||
422 | 00:07:55,260 ~-~-> 00:07:59,460 | ||
423 | out here and rejected it. We can get shortened here in | ||
424 | |||
425 | 107 | ||
426 | 00:07:59,460 ~-~-> 00:08:03,030 | ||
427 | London if we want to, but you don't have to you wait until | ||
428 | |||
429 | 108 | ||
430 | 00:08:03,030 ~-~-> 00:08:06,780 | ||
431 | the New York session, use the volume that's used in this | ||
432 | |||
433 | 109 | ||
434 | 00:08:06,810 ~-~-> 00:08:11,910 | ||
435 | time of day with the breaker. So they have this low | ||
436 | |||
437 | 110 | ||
438 | 00:08:12,210 ~-~-> 00:08:19,080 | ||
439 | projected in time. It operates on it in London session at | ||
440 | |||
441 | 111 | ||
442 | 00:08:19,080 ~-~-> 00:08:25,920 | ||
443 | the end of one that open going into Asia's clothes, then we | ||
444 | |||
445 | 112 | ||
446 | 00:08:25,920 ~-~-> 00:08:31,050 | ||
447 | have the 830 in the morning, beginning our time winded I've | ||
448 | |||
449 | 113 | ||
450 | 00:08:31,050 ~-~-> 00:08:35,310 | ||
451 | been teaching here on YouTube with their rate that the high | ||
452 | |||
453 | 114 | ||
454 | 00:08:35,310 ~-~-> 00:08:38,430 | ||
455 | it starts it there. And then one more time, it's it there. | ||
456 | |||
457 | 115 | ||
458 | 00:08:38,880 ~-~-> 00:08:43,470 | ||
459 | But it's inside of the optimal trade entry. And it's this | ||
460 | |||
461 | 116 | ||
462 | 00:08:43,470 ~-~-> 00:08:50,520 | ||
463 | level to this level to this level 79 70.5 62. All of this | ||
464 | |||
465 | 117 | ||
466 | 00:08:50,520 ~-~-> 00:08:53,700 | ||
467 | area here is optimal trade entry relative to the London | ||
468 | |||
469 | 118 | ||
470 | 00:08:53,700 ~-~-> 00:09:00,810 | ||
471 | session Hi. And low formed here, ahead of what we teach is | ||
472 | |||
473 | 119 | ||
474 | 00:09:00,810 ~-~-> 00:09:06,120 | ||
475 | the New York open kill zone. But this is just the 830 to 11 | ||
476 | |||
477 | 120 | ||
478 | 00:09:06,120 ~-~-> 00:09:10,020 | ||
479 | o'clock window of opportunity where you can take trades. And | ||
480 | |||
481 | 121 | ||
482 | 00:09:10,020 ~-~-> 00:09:14,910 | ||
483 | this is an example how you can blend two patterns with time | ||
484 | |||
485 | 122 | ||
486 | 00:09:14,910 ~-~-> 00:09:20,670 | ||
487 | of day targeting. And it does a pretty good job of doing a | ||
488 | |||
489 | 123 | ||
490 | 00:09:20,670 ~-~-> 00:09:24,420 | ||
491 | run to that level and it says where we're at currently. So | ||
492 | |||
493 | 124 | ||
494 | 00:09:24,420 ~-~-> 00:09:29,040 | ||
495 | not bad. You can look for this type of setup when there's an | ||
496 | |||
497 | 125 | ||
498 | 00:09:29,040 ~-~-> 00:09:32,040 | ||
499 | economic calendar event that's a medium impact or high | ||
500 | |||
501 | 126 | ||
502 | 00:09:32,040 ~-~-> 00:09:35,640 | ||
503 | impact. And if it's set to release during the London | ||
504 | |||
505 | 127 | ||
506 | 00:09:35,640 ~-~-> 00:09:40,980 | ||
507 | session, or if it's set to release during Asia. That | ||
508 | |||
509 | 128 | ||
510 | 00:09:40,980 ~-~-> 00:09:44,700 | ||
511 | timeframe, okay, just sets the narrative and then just use | ||
512 | |||
513 | 129 | ||
514 | 00:09:44,700 ~-~-> 00:09:48,690 | ||
515 | the New York 830 to 11 o'clock and frame it with an optimal | ||
516 | |||
517 | 130 | ||
518 | 00:09:48,690 ~-~-> 00:09:52,260 | ||
519 | trade entry and a breaker and you have a dandy of an | ||
520 | |||
521 | 131 | ||
522 | 00:09:52,260 ~-~-> 00:09:55,380 | ||
523 | opportunity that repeats a couple times a month. So next | ||
524 | |||
525 | 132 | ||
526 | 00:09:55,380 ~-~-> 00:09:56,940 | ||
527 | time wish good luck and good trading. |