Changes for page OTE Pattern Recognition Series - Vol 17.srt

on 2020-11-20 16:25

on 2021-06-10 10:01
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... ... @@ -1,195 +1,21 @@ 1 -1 2 -00:00:10,500 ~-~-> 00:00:12,930 3 -ICT: Welcome back, folks, this is volume number 17, in a 1 +(% class="hover min" %) 2 +|1 |00:00:10,500 ~-~-> 00:00:17,610 |ICT: Welcome back, folks, this is volume number 17, and a continuing series of 20 videos, the optimal trade entry pattern recognition series for the inner 3 +|2 |00:00:17,610 ~-~-> 00:00:27,240 |circle trader YouTube channel. Our example today is from the British pound, or pound versus dollar. And we're looking at the daily chart here. And I'm going to 4 +|3 |00:00:27,270 ~-~-> 00:00:37,110 |save you a lot of time. And to simply state that we have retail resistance up here. And that's going to be likely a draw on liquidity. Now, here's one of the 5 +|4 |00:00:37,110 ~-~-> 00:00:45,030 |things that you're going to have in your notes. When you're looking at a daily chart like this, it's not important or even required, that price trades from 6 +|5 |00:00:45,030 ~-~-> 00:00:54,360 |this level here all the way up to that level and higher, it just needs to draw towards it. That's the reason why I call it a draw on liquidity. Now, again, the 7 +|6 |00:00:54,360 ~-~-> 00:01:02,430 |ideal scenario would be to see price trade up there. But it's not required if especially if we're looking for day trades or intraday trades, which is the 8 +|7 |00:01:02,430 ~-~-> 00:01:19,860 |scope of this series, focusing primarily for moves within the 8:30am to 11am New York session. So here is last Friday's daily range, and we expect these highs to 9 +|8 |00:01:19,890 ~-~-> 00:01:29,190 |draw price up now again, it's not imperative that it goes all the way up there, but it's more likely to go that direction than it is to go lower. So we want to 10 +|9 |00:01:29,370 ~-~-> 00:01:40,410 |put our line on the daily high which comes in at 123 94 and one PIP et and we're going to go over to our five minute chart. Okay, so here's our British Pound 11 +|10 |00:01:40,410 ~-~-> 00:01:43,710 |five minute chart and you know the drill. pause your video. 12 +|11 |00:01:49,980 ~-~-> 00:02:02,940 |Okay, so let's add the annotations now. And right away you can see we have our optimal trade entry price mu here drops down in after 8:30am Mu drops down into 13 +|12 |00:02:02,940 ~-~-> 00:02:14,580 |the 62% retracement level. Our hypothetical entry is 123 and 88. And it suffers three pips, drawdown, stop losses, 15 pips, which puts it just below this low 14 +|13 |00:02:14,580 ~-~-> 00:02:29,700 |here at the old high, we have a one to one right away at the old high, plus 15 pips at one half a standard deviation it's up 29 pips 43 pips at one standard 15 +|14 |00:02:29,700 ~-~-> 00:02:40,230 |deviation, one and a half standard deviations takes us to plus 56 pips and ultimately at two standard deviations where we would kill the trade at 70 pips 16 +|15 |00:02:40,230 ~-~-> 00:02:50,490 |Now obviously, in hindsight, you can see it went a little bit further. But again idling on the fact that the rules for this model says we have to bail on the day 17 +|16 |00:02:50,490 ~-~-> 00:03:01,380 |trade at two standard deviations. Again, there's gonna be trades if you follow this model, it's going to leave money on the table, hypothetically. And you're 18 +|17 |00:03:01,380 ~-~-> 00:03:10,080 |either going to have to accept that or, again, if you think you're going to go higher than that, leave a leader in other words, a small portion of your 19 +|18 |00:03:10,080 ~-~-> 00:03:17,580 |original position to see if you can capture anything especially based on what we showed on that daily chart. So that's gonna do it for today. Hopefully found 20 +|19 |00:03:17,580 ~-~-> 00:03:20,400 |this insightful. Until next time, I wish you good luck and good trading. 4 4 5 -2 6 -00:00:12,930 ~-~-> 00:00:15,990 7 -continuing series of 20 videos with the optimal trade entry 8 - 9 -3 10 -00:00:15,990 ~-~-> 00:00:18,420 11 -pattern recognition series for the initial trader YouTube 12 - 13 -4 14 -00:00:18,420 ~-~-> 00:00:22,740 15 -channel. Our example today is from the British pound, or 16 - 17 -5 18 -00:00:22,740 ~-~-> 00:00:25,830 19 -pound versus dollar. And we're looking at the daily chart 20 - 21 -6 22 -00:00:25,830 ~-~-> 00:00:29,250 23 -here. And I'm gonna save you a lot of time. And to simply 24 - 25 -7 26 -00:00:29,250 ~-~-> 00:00:34,080 27 -state that we have retail resistance up here. And that's 28 - 29 -8 30 -00:00:34,080 ~-~-> 00:00:37,050 31 -going to be likely a draw on liquidity. Now, here's one of 32 - 33 -9 34 -00:00:37,050 ~-~-> 00:00:39,750 35 -the things you're going to have in your notes. When you're 36 - 37 -10 38 -00:00:39,750 ~-~-> 00:00:42,330 39 -looking at a daily chart like this, it's not important or 40 - 41 -11 42 -00:00:42,330 ~-~-> 00:00:46,380 43 -even required, that price trades from this level here all 44 - 45 -12 46 -00:00:46,380 ~-~-> 00:00:49,410 47 -the way up to that level and higher. It just needs to draw 48 - 49 -13 50 -00:00:49,410 ~-~-> 00:00:51,930 51 -towards it. That's the reason why I call it a draw on 52 - 53 -14 54 -00:00:51,930 ~-~-> 00:00:55,860 55 -liquidity. Now, again, the ideal scenario would be to see 56 - 57 -15 58 -00:00:55,860 ~-~-> 00:00:59,670 59 -price trade up there, but it's not required if especially if 60 - 61 -16 62 -00:00:59,670 ~-~-> 00:01:02,220 63 -we're looking for Day trades are intraday trades, which is 64 - 65 -17 66 -00:01:02,220 ~-~-> 00:01:05,790 67 -the scope of this series, focusing primarily for moves 68 - 69 -18 70 -00:01:05,820 ~-~-> 00:01:12,990 71 -within the 8:30am to 11am New York session. So here is last 72 - 73 -19 74 -00:01:13,020 ~-~-> 00:01:20,640 75 -Friday's daily range, and we expect these highs draw a price 76 - 77 -20 78 -00:01:20,670 ~-~-> 00:01:22,860 79 -up. Now again, it's not imperative that it goes all the way 80 - 81 -21 82 -00:01:22,860 ~-~-> 00:01:26,040 83 -up there, but it's more likely to go that direction than it 84 - 85 -22 86 -00:01:26,040 ~-~-> 00:01:32,640 87 -is to go lower. So we want to put our line on the daily high 88 - 89 -23 90 -00:01:32,640 ~-~-> 00:01:37,020 91 -which comes in at 123 94 and one PIP at and we're going to 92 - 93 -24 94 -00:01:37,020 ~-~-> 00:01:39,840 95 -go over to our five minute chart. Okay, so here's our 96 - 97 -25 98 -00:01:39,840 ~-~-> 00:01:42,450 99 -British Pound five minute chart, and you know the drill. 100 - 101 -26 102 -00:01:42,750 ~-~-> 00:01:43,680 103 -pause your video. 104 - 105 -27 106 -00:01:49,860 ~-~-> 00:01:54,510 107 -Okay, so let's add the annotations now. And right away you 108 - 109 -28 110 -00:01:54,510 ~-~-> 00:01:57,990 111 -can see we have our optimal trade entry price move here 112 - 113 -29 114 -00:01:58,380 ~-~-> 00:02:03,570 115 -drops down in After 8:30am mood drops down into the 62% 116 - 117 -30 118 -00:02:03,570 ~-~-> 00:02:08,280 119 -retracement level, or hypothetical entry is 123 and 88 and 120 - 121 -31 122 -00:02:08,310 ~-~-> 00:02:13,050 123 -it suffers three pips draw down, stop losses 15 pips, which 124 - 125 -32 126 -00:02:13,050 ~-~-> 00:02:18,960 127 -puts it just below this low here at the old high, we have a 128 - 129 -33 130 -00:02:18,960 ~-~-> 00:02:24,660 131 -one to one right away at the old high at plus 15 pips at one 132 - 133 -34 134 -00:02:24,660 ~-~-> 00:02:29,400 135 -half a standard deviation it's up 29 pips 43 pips at one 136 - 137 -35 138 -00:02:29,400 ~-~-> 00:02:33,000 139 -standard deviation, one and a half standard deviations takes 140 - 141 -36 142 -00:02:33,000 ~-~-> 00:02:37,290 143 -us to plus 56 pips and ultimately at two standard deviations 144 - 145 -37 146 -00:02:37,290 ~-~-> 00:02:41,760 147 -where we would kill the trade at 70 pips Now obviously, in 148 - 149 -38 150 -00:02:41,760 ~-~-> 00:02:44,340 151 -hindsight, you can see it went a little bit further. But 152 - 153 -39 154 -00:02:44,700 ~-~-> 00:02:48,720 155 -again, I lean on the fact that the rules for this model says 156 - 157 -40 158 -00:02:48,720 ~-~-> 00:02:52,560 159 -we have to bail on the day trade at two standard deviations. 160 - 161 -41 162 -00:02:53,070 ~-~-> 00:02:56,370 163 -Again, there's going to be trades if you follow this model. 164 - 165 -42 166 -00:02:56,730 ~-~-> 00:02:59,640 167 -You're going to leave money on the table hypothetically. 168 - 169 -43 170 -00:03:01,110 ~-~-> 00:03:05,460 171 -You're gonna either gonna have to accept that or, again, if 172 - 173 -44 174 -00:03:05,460 ~-~-> 00:03:07,800 175 -you think you're going to go higher than that, leave a 176 - 177 -45 178 -00:03:07,800 ~-~-> 00:03:10,380 179 -leader in other words, a small portion of your original 180 - 181 -46 182 -00:03:10,380 ~-~-> 00:03:13,290 183 -position to see if you can capture anything especially based 184 - 185 -47 186 -00:03:13,290 ~-~-> 00:03:16,770 187 -on what we showed on that daily chart. So that's gonna do it 188 - 189 -48 190 -00:03:16,770 ~-~-> 00:03:18,780 191 -for today. Hopefully found this insightful. Until next time, 192 - 193 -49 194 -00:03:18,780 ~-~-> 00:03:20,370 195 -I wish you good luck and good trading.