
on 2020-12-09 05:29

on 2021-06-11 13:11
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... ... @@ -1,214 +1,45 @@ 1 -1 2 -00:00:12,300 ~-~-> 00:00:24,630 3 -ICT: Okay, folks, good afternoon, just a few observations and some commentary on 4 -the dollar CAD. And as you know, yesterday, we went through the previous day's 1 +(% class="hover min" %) 2 +|1 |00:00:12,300 ~-~-> 00:00:24,630 |ICT: Okay, folks, good afternoon, just a few observations and some commentary on the dollar CAD. And as you know, yesterday, we went through the previous day's 3 +|2 |00:00:24,750 ~-~-> 00:00:44,100 |run here on the high side that ran rapid run up into the 128 20 level. And I want to take a look at what we see just here. Okay? You're going to see this in 4 +|3 |00:00:44,100 ~-~-> 00:01:02,880 |my tutorials. This is a consolidation. Okay, price, lease consolidation, re accumulation, regulation, smart money reversal, low risk, sell, redistribution, 5 +|4 |00:01:03,630 ~-~-> 00:01:17,820 |another area of redistribution, additional area of distribution, and a sloppy one here. Okay, and we're back down into the consolidation. Now, it looks as if 6 +|5 |00:01:17,820 ~-~-> 00:01:31,380 |it wants to go down below the previous day's low, which is here. Okay, and I wasn't that optimistic today. Given the symmetry of the market, I talked about 7 +|6 |00:01:31,380 ~-~-> 00:01:43,920 |this today in on Twitter rather. But we are potentially in an area where we could see it so often, one time, I just throw this on here just for completeness 8 +|7 |00:01:43,920 ~-~-> 00:01:58,830 |sake. Okay, so we have this level here, it could come down to Tara two's here. And then a symmetrical price swing takes us right below previous day's low. So 9 +|8 |00:01:58,830 ~-~-> 00:02:13,830 |I'll give you that to watch overnight, because I'm not gonna be able to, whoops, I'm not gonna be able to watch this with you every step of the way, but 126 96 10 +|9 |00:02:14,550 ~-~-> 00:02:31,980 |that's potentially not nother level of liquidity it could run for and want to take a look at the market and put the lipstick on for today I want to show you 11 +|10 |00:02:31,980 ~-~-> 00:02:44,280 |what I did in dollar CAD today. So you can see the markup and where ideal and optimal once of entry and targeting has manifested itself today. Okay, so here 12 +|11 |00:02:44,280 ~-~-> 00:02:59,370 |we have the dollar CAD, and you can see the at midnight, adjusted for daylight savings time now. I do have my kill zones, encompassing the entire my normalized 13 +|12 |00:02:59,820 ~-~-> 00:03:09,240 |kill zone, which encompasses one o'clock in the morning, New York time to 5am New York time. Okay, that's my London kill zone. And it's all referenced in New 14 +|13 |00:03:09,240 ~-~-> 00:03:19,620 |York time. Alright, so you can see, we have this price swing here, right here. So a nice drop down price because some consolidation as you typically would 15 +|14 |00:03:19,620 ~-~-> 00:03:36,570 |expect, in the Asian range, we have a nice little pop up right after midnight, New York time, this return up into optimal trade entry 127 74. And you can see 16 +|15 |00:03:36,570 ~-~-> 00:03:50,070 |that didn't get very much deeper than that. So the London setup, you can see this high, dropping down, then coming right back up into here. And what I'll do 17 +|16 |00:03:50,070 ~-~-> 00:03:57,990 |is I'll take this one, then this is the one I used for the framework on the trade. But this is another setup that I used later in the day for targeting 18 +|17 |00:03:57,990 ~-~-> 00:04:13,080 |purposes. And I'll show you what I mean in a second. Okay, so we are right on that low here. And this candle is high. Okay, so we have price again trading up 19 +|18 |00:04:13,080 ~-~-> 00:04:24,930 |into optimal trade entry 60 to 70% retracement level overshot a little bit here, and it's okay, when the bodies are certainly respecting that area of high 20 +|19 |00:04:24,930 ~-~-> 00:04:39,210 |probability entry. And I want to take you to the 200 extension down here. Okay, and that's in addition to running below these lows, okay, so that's what this 21 +|20 |00:04:39,210 ~-~-> 00:04:50,700 |move is here. So as prices driving down, I wanted to capture that move there. So around 200% and below that low. That's where I want to see the market reach for 22 +|21 |00:04:51,360 ~-~-> 00:05:03,540 |and this one here was to simply again around the low end intraday low in participation that I may not get the 200 extension Okay, so there are several 23 +|22 |00:05:03,660 ~-~-> 00:05:11,160 |levels in the add this right back over to here, you can see how that contrasts with the projections on the fib. 24 +|23 |00:05:12,060 ~-~-> 00:05:22,620 |On this particular swing. Okay, you can see right below the symmetrical price swing that says exit here. And then we have terminal extension down here, which 25 +|24 |00:05:22,650 ~-~-> 00:05:37,800 |is very close to the previous day's blow. You can see that over here. It's been delineated with that. Okay, so not a bad little decline on dollar CAD, it was 26 +|25 |00:05:37,800 ~-~-> 00:05:51,720 |rather muddy. The New York session gave a really poor showing in here, I know that there's a few of you that probably wanted to capitalize on this. And you 27 +|26 |00:05:51,750 ~-~-> 00:06:00,510 |may have entered here and they'd gotten stopped out and that's okay. There's nothing wrong with that. I mean, if you if you did it, you know, it's a learning 28 +|27 |00:06:00,870 ~-~-> 00:06:13,140 |experience because real quick, I'll just breeze through it you can see that the eurodollar intraday today rather sloppy, no real direction in this pair. And the 29 +|28 |00:06:14,040 ~-~-> 00:06:26,160 |cable has been able to drop lower and and now he got into consolidation. So that's gonna be promoting a long euro pound. And I think Yeah, your account here 30 +|29 |00:06:26,190 ~-~-> 00:06:36,540 |euro pound, it's bullish for that type of price action, European consolidated and cable being able to drop in dollar index real quick, you can see that it's 31 +|30 |00:06:36,540 ~-~-> 00:06:47,310 |been in the mud. Okay, so really, really tough market, the trading today. So you had to know what you're looking for. And one could argue that this high down 32 +|31 |00:06:47,310 ~-~-> 00:06:54,840 |here, this could have been optimal trade entry, maybe. But I think personally just want to stop. Yeah. So no matter how you slice it, whether you did this one 33 +|32 |00:06:54,960 ~-~-> 00:07:03,930 |as itself, or here in New York, cross over to London close, that probably would have burned you a little bit. And because of the market conditions, I was 34 +|33 |00:07:03,960 ~-~-> 00:07:12,060 |unwilling to hold for previous day's low. Okay, so I know some of you're gonna be Oh, well, you know, this isn't a swing pattern, you told me blah, blah, blah, 35 +|34 |00:07:12,060 ~-~-> 00:07:26,940 |yo, yo, yo. Let me real quickly take you out to the daily chart. Okay, and I'll give you an idea that what I was looking at, because we're in consolidation, the 36 +|35 |00:07:26,940 ~-~-> 00:07:34,980 |markets are not trending. So you have to know your, your, your levels, you have to know what it is you're trading off of why you're looking to see it move as 37 +|36 |00:07:34,980 ~-~-> 00:07:50,940 |you would. So everyone understands by looking at the ICT sniper trading series, the scout sniper field training guide series that did for waterblock entry. This 38 +|37 |00:07:50,940 ~-~-> 00:08:02,310 |is a bearish order block price change up into it yesterday. Okay, and you know what I did with the dollar CAD in response to this maneuver here. But if we hit 39 +|38 |00:08:02,310 ~-~-> 00:08:11,190 |a bearish order block, and we're in consolidation, it probably means that we're either going to continuously go sideways, or we might even try to reach it go a 40 +|39 |00:08:11,190 ~-~-> 00:08:21,270 |little bit lower. And that was really the only basis I used in addition to the market maker sell profile that you can see 41 +|40 |00:08:28,380 ~-~-> 00:08:38,550 |with a consolidation, small reversal, low risk cell distribution, redistribution, another area distribution in here and this could wind up pushing 42 +|41 |00:08:38,550 ~-~-> 00:08:48,510 |us down below the consolidation, which is over here, and this would be the low from one day. Okay, so we have two areas of liquidity that we may still probe 43 +|42 |00:08:48,780 ~-~-> 00:08:57,480 |that means yesterday's low, and in Monday's low as well. It doesn't mean that it has to go down that low. It can go right from here to trade higher, which is the 44 +|43 |00:08:57,480 ~-~-> 00:09:05,010 |reason why I was unwilling to hold for anything lower. So if you found this insightful until tomorrow wish good luck and good trading 5 5 6 -2 7 -00:00:24,750 ~-~-> 00:00:44,100 8 -run here on the high side that ran rapid run up into the 128 20 level. And I 9 -want to take a look at what we see just here. Okay? You're going to see this in 10 - 11 -3 12 -00:00:44,100 ~-~-> 00:01:02,880 13 -my tutorials. This is a consolidation. Okay, price, lease consolidation, re 14 -accumulation, regulation, smart money reversal, low risk, sell, redistribution, 15 - 16 -4 17 -00:01:03,630 ~-~-> 00:01:17,820 18 -another area of redistribution, additional area of distribution, and a sloppy 19 -one here. Okay, and we're back down into the consolidation. Now, it looks as if 20 - 21 -5 22 -00:01:17,820 ~-~-> 00:01:31,380 23 -it wants to go down below the previous day's low, which is here. Okay, and I 24 -wasn't that optimistic today. Given the symmetry of the market, I talked about 25 - 26 -6 27 -00:01:31,380 ~-~-> 00:01:43,920 28 -this today in on Twitter rather. But we are potentially in an area where we 29 -could see it so often, one time, I just throw this on here just for completeness 30 - 31 -7 32 -00:01:43,920 ~-~-> 00:01:58,830 33 -sake. Okay, so we have this level here, it could come down to Tara two's here. 34 -And then a symmetrical price swing takes us right below previous day's low. So 35 - 36 -8 37 -00:01:58,830 ~-~-> 00:02:13,830 38 -I'll give you that to watch overnight, because I'm not gonna be able to, whoops, 39 -I'm not gonna be able to watch this with you every step of the way, but 126 96 40 - 41 -9 42 -00:02:14,550 ~-~-> 00:02:31,980 43 -that's potentially not nother level of liquidity it could run for and want to 44 -take a look at the market and put the lipstick on for today I want to show you 45 - 46 -10 47 -00:02:31,980 ~-~-> 00:02:44,280 48 -what I did in dollar CAD today. So you can see the markup and where ideal and 49 -optimal once of entry and targeting has manifested itself today. Okay, so here 50 - 51 -11 52 -00:02:44,280 ~-~-> 00:02:59,370 53 -we have the dollar CAD, and you can see the at midnight, adjusted for daylight 54 -savings time now. I do have my kill zones, encompassing the entire my normalized 55 - 56 -12 57 -00:02:59,820 ~-~-> 00:03:09,240 58 -kill zone, which encompasses one o'clock in the morning, New York time to 5am 59 -New York time. Okay, that's my London kill zone. And it's all referenced in New 60 - 61 -13 62 -00:03:09,240 ~-~-> 00:03:19,620 63 -York time. Alright, so you can see, we have this price swing here, right here. 64 -So a nice drop down price because some consolidation as you typically would 65 - 66 -14 67 -00:03:19,620 ~-~-> 00:03:36,570 68 -expect, in the Asian range, we have a nice little pop up right after midnight, 69 -New York time, this return up into optimal trade entry 127 74. And you can see 70 - 71 -15 72 -00:03:36,570 ~-~-> 00:03:50,070 73 -that didn't get very much deeper than that. So the London setup, you can see 74 -this high, dropping down, then coming right back up into here. And what I'll do 75 - 76 -16 77 -00:03:50,070 ~-~-> 00:03:57,990 78 -is I'll take this one, then this is the one I used for the framework on the 79 -trade. But this is another setup that I used later in the day for targeting 80 - 81 -17 82 -00:03:57,990 ~-~-> 00:04:13,080 83 -purposes. And I'll show you what I mean in a second. Okay, so we are right on 84 -that low here. And this candle is high. Okay, so we have price again trading up 85 - 86 -18 87 -00:04:13,080 ~-~-> 00:04:24,930 88 -into optimal trade entry 60 to 70% retracement level overshot a little bit here, 89 -and it's okay, when the bodies are certainly respecting that area of high 90 - 91 -19 92 -00:04:24,930 ~-~-> 00:04:39,210 93 -probability entry. And I want to take you to the 200 extension down here. Okay, 94 -and that's in addition to running below these lows, okay, so that's what this 95 - 96 -20 97 -00:04:39,210 ~-~-> 00:04:50,700 98 -move is here. So as prices driving down, I wanted to capture that move there. So 99 -around 200% and below that low. That's where I want to see the market reach for 100 - 101 -21 102 -00:04:51,360 ~-~-> 00:05:03,540 103 -and this one here was to simply again around the low end intraday low in 104 -participation that I may not get the 200 extension Okay, so there are several 105 - 106 -22 107 -00:05:03,660 ~-~-> 00:05:11,160 108 -levels in the add this right back over to here, you can see how that contrasts 109 -with the projections on the fib. 110 - 111 -23 112 -00:05:12,060 ~-~-> 00:05:22,620 113 -On this particular swing. Okay, you can see right below the symmetrical price 114 -swing that says exit here. And then we have terminal extension down here, which 115 - 116 -24 117 -00:05:22,650 ~-~-> 00:05:37,800 118 -is very close to the previous day's blow. You can see that over here. It's been 119 -delineated with that. Okay, so not a bad little decline on dollar CAD, it was 120 - 121 -25 122 -00:05:37,800 ~-~-> 00:05:51,720 123 -rather muddy. The New York session gave a really poor showing in here, I know 124 -that there's a few of you that probably wanted to capitalize on this. And you 125 - 126 -26 127 -00:05:51,750 ~-~-> 00:06:00,510 128 -may have entered here and they'd gotten stopped out and that's okay. There's 129 -nothing wrong with that. I mean, if you if you did it, you know, it's a learning 130 - 131 -27 132 -00:06:00,870 ~-~-> 00:06:13,140 133 -experience because real quick, I'll just breeze through it you can see that the 134 -eurodollar intraday today rather sloppy, no real direction in this pair. And the 135 - 136 -28 137 -00:06:14,040 ~-~-> 00:06:26,160 138 -cable has been able to drop lower and and now he got into consolidation. So 139 -that's gonna be promoting a long euro pound. And I think Yeah, your account here 140 - 141 -29 142 -00:06:26,190 ~-~-> 00:06:36,540 143 -euro pound, it's bullish for that type of price action, European consolidated 144 -and cable being able to drop in dollar index real quick, you can see that it's 145 - 146 -30 147 -00:06:36,540 ~-~-> 00:06:47,310 148 -been in the mud. Okay, so really, really tough market, the trading today. So you 149 -had to know what you're looking for. And one could argue that this high down 150 - 151 -31 152 -00:06:47,310 ~-~-> 00:06:54,840 153 -here, this could have been optimal trade entry, maybe. But I think personally 154 -just want to stop. Yeah. So no matter how you slice it, whether you did this one 155 - 156 -32 157 -00:06:54,960 ~-~-> 00:07:03,930 158 -as itself, or here in New York, cross over to London close, that probably would 159 -have burned you a little bit. And because of the market conditions, I was 160 - 161 -33 162 -00:07:03,960 ~-~-> 00:07:12,060 163 -unwilling to hold for previous day's low. Okay, so I know some of you're gonna 164 -be Oh, well, you know, this isn't a swing pattern, you told me blah, blah, blah, 165 - 166 -34 167 -00:07:12,060 ~-~-> 00:07:26,940 168 -yo, yo, yo. Let me real quickly take you out to the daily chart. Okay, and I'll 169 -give you an idea that what I was looking at, because we're in consolidation, the 170 - 171 -35 172 -00:07:26,940 ~-~-> 00:07:34,980 173 -markets are not trending. So you have to know your, your, your levels, you have 174 -to know what it is you're trading off of why you're looking to see it move as 175 - 176 -36 177 -00:07:34,980 ~-~-> 00:07:50,940 178 -you would. So everyone understands by looking at the ICT sniper trading series, 179 -the scout sniper field training guide series that did for waterblock entry. This 180 - 181 -37 182 -00:07:50,940 ~-~-> 00:08:02,310 183 -is a bearish order block price change up into it yesterday. Okay, and you know 184 -what I did with the dollar CAD in response to this maneuver here. But if we hit 185 - 186 -38 187 -00:08:02,310 ~-~-> 00:08:11,190 188 -a bearish order block, and we're in consolidation, it probably means that we're 189 -either going to continuously go sideways, or we might even try to reach it go a 190 - 191 -39 192 -00:08:11,190 ~-~-> 00:08:21,270 193 -little bit lower. And that was really the only basis I used in addition to the 194 -market maker sell profile that you can see 195 - 196 -40 197 -00:08:28,380 ~-~-> 00:08:38,550 198 -with a consolidation, small reversal, low risk cell distribution, 199 -redistribution, another area distribution in here and this could wind up pushing 200 - 201 -41 202 -00:08:38,550 ~-~-> 00:08:48,510 203 -us down below the consolidation, which is over here, and this would be the low 204 -from one day. Okay, so we have two areas of liquidity that we may still probe 205 - 206 -42 207 -00:08:48,780 ~-~-> 00:08:57,480 208 -that means yesterday's low, and in Monday's low as well. It doesn't mean that it 209 -has to go down that low. It can go right from here to trade higher, which is the 210 - 211 -43 212 -00:08:57,480 ~-~-> 00:09:05,010 213 -reason why I was unwilling to hold for anything lower. So if you found this 214 -insightful until tomorrow wish good luck and good trading