Wiki source code of ICT - Sniper Course - 02 - Bootcamp module - Time and Price Theory and Fractals.srt
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1 | 1 | ||
2 | 00:00:58,950 ~-~-> 00:01:01,290 | ||
3 | ICT: Okay folks, we are in The second | ||
4 | |||
5 | 2 | ||
6 | 00:01:01,290 ~-~-> 00:01:04,440 | ||
7 | part of the ICT scout sniper field | ||
8 | |||
9 | 3 | ||
10 | 00:01:04,440 ~-~-> 00:01:05,160 | ||
11 | training guide, | ||
12 | |||
13 | 4 | ||
14 | 00:01:05,999 ~-~-> 00:01:06,839 | ||
15 | and this | ||
16 | |||
17 | 5 | ||
18 | 00:01:07,499 ~-~-> 00:01:09,149 | ||
19 | episode is going to be dealing with | ||
20 | |||
21 | 6 | ||
22 | 00:01:09,389 ~-~-> 00:01:10,019 | ||
23 | boot camp. | ||
24 | |||
25 | 7 | ||
26 | 00:01:10,529 ~-~-> 00:01:11,639 | ||
27 | Okay, now what are we gonna be covering | ||
28 | |||
29 | 8 | ||
30 | 00:01:11,669 ~-~-> 00:01:12,869 | ||
31 | in this presentation? | ||
32 | |||
33 | 9 | ||
34 | 00:01:14,190 ~-~-> 00:01:16,200 | ||
35 | Well first we're gonna be reviewing the | ||
36 | |||
37 | 10 | ||
38 | 00:01:16,200 ~-~-> 00:01:18,600 | ||
39 | previous episodes assignment, the mark | ||
40 | |||
41 | 11 | ||
42 | 00:01:20,640 ~-~-> 00:01:24,030 | ||
43 | referring to time of day and the effects | ||
44 | |||
45 | 12 | ||
46 | 00:01:24,030 ~-~-> 00:01:26,850 | ||
47 | it has on price. We're gonna be looking | ||
48 | |||
49 | 13 | ||
50 | 00:01:26,850 ~-~-> 00:01:29,100 | ||
51 | at the day of the week, and again, its | ||
52 | |||
53 | 14 | ||
54 | 00:01:29,100 ~-~-> 00:01:32,970 | ||
55 | influence over price. We're gonna be | ||
56 | |||
57 | 15 | ||
58 | 00:01:32,970 ~-~-> 00:01:34,530 | ||
59 | covering institutional orders and | ||
60 | |||
61 | 16 | ||
62 | 00:01:34,530 ~-~-> 00:01:38,520 | ||
63 | pairing of orders. We're gonna be | ||
64 | |||
65 | 17 | ||
66 | 00:01:38,670 ~-~-> 00:01:40,650 | ||
67 | briefly introducing the market makers | ||
68 | |||
69 | 18 | ||
70 | 00:01:40,650 ~-~-> 00:01:44,850 | ||
71 | business model. We're | ||
72 | |||
73 | 19 | ||
74 | 00:01:44,850 ~-~-> 00:01:46,200 | ||
75 | gonna be looking at characteristics of a | ||
76 | |||
77 | 20 | ||
78 | 00:01:46,200 ~-~-> 00:01:46,980 | ||
79 | price swing, | ||
80 | |||
81 | 21 | ||
82 | 00:01:48,870 ~-~-> 00:01:50,880 | ||
83 | specifically dealing with time. | ||
84 | |||
85 | 22 | ||
86 | 00:01:52,950 ~-~-> 00:01:53,670 | ||
87 | Price | ||
88 | |||
89 | 23 | ||
90 | 00:01:55,080 ~-~-> 00:01:57,060 | ||
91 | and melding the two with support and | ||
92 | |||
93 | 24 | ||
94 | 00:01:57,060 ~-~-> 00:01:57,900 | ||
95 | resistance. | ||
96 | |||
97 | 25 | ||
98 | 00:02:00,000 ~-~-> 00:02:02,010 | ||
99 | We're gonna discuss price fractals and | ||
100 | |||
101 | 26 | ||
102 | 00:02:02,010 ~-~-> 00:02:03,360 | ||
103 | their role in analysis. | ||
104 | |||
105 | 27 | ||
106 | 00:02:05,609 ~-~-> 00:02:06,479 | ||
107 | And we're going to give you another | ||
108 | |||
109 | 28 | ||
110 | 00:02:06,479 ~-~-> 00:02:07,349 | ||
111 | homework assignment | ||
112 | |||
113 | 29 | ||
114 | 00:02:07,949 ~-~-> 00:02:09,179 | ||
115 | price reactions. | ||
116 | |||
117 | 30 | ||
118 | 00:02:15,540 ~-~-> 00:02:18,930 | ||
119 | Okay, we are looking at a daily screen | ||
120 | |||
121 | 31 | ||
122 | 00:02:18,960 ~-~-> 00:02:22,530 | ||
123 | capture of the Euro USD pair. And this | ||
124 | |||
125 | 32 | ||
126 | 00:02:22,530 ~-~-> 00:02:24,090 | ||
127 | is a daily chart again, it's | ||
128 | |||
129 | 33 | ||
130 | 00:02:24,300 ~-~-> 00:02:28,170 | ||
131 | specifically highlighting a swing in | ||
132 | |||
133 | 34 | ||
134 | 00:02:28,170 ~-~-> 00:02:29,340 | ||
135 | price that we're going to be dealing | ||
136 | |||
137 | 35 | ||
138 | 00:02:29,340 ~-~-> 00:02:31,710 | ||
139 | with. It's going to be in the latter | ||
140 | |||
141 | 36 | ||
142 | 00:02:31,710 ~-~-> 00:02:35,040 | ||
143 | stages of this price swing. But it's not | ||
144 | |||
145 | 37 | ||
146 | 00:02:35,040 ~-~-> 00:02:36,300 | ||
147 | imperative that you understand what | ||
148 | |||
149 | 38 | ||
150 | 00:02:36,300 ~-~-> 00:02:39,000 | ||
151 | caused that swing lower at this | ||
152 | |||
153 | 39 | ||
154 | 00:02:39,000 ~-~-> 00:02:41,070 | ||
155 | juncture, because we will cover in | ||
156 | |||
157 | 40 | ||
158 | 00:02:41,070 ~-~-> 00:02:43,290 | ||
159 | greater detail all of these types of | ||
160 | |||
161 | 41 | ||
162 | 00:02:43,290 ~-~-> 00:02:45,090 | ||
163 | moves and how we can fare that type of | ||
164 | |||
165 | 42 | ||
166 | 00:02:45,390 ~-~-> 00:02:47,790 | ||
167 | price action out in later episodes in | ||
168 | |||
169 | 43 | ||
170 | 00:02:47,790 ~-~-> 00:02:49,950 | ||
171 | the series. But for now, we're going to | ||
172 | |||
173 | 44 | ||
174 | 00:02:49,980 ~-~-> 00:02:52,800 | ||
175 | be dealing specifically with the fiber | ||
176 | |||
177 | 45 | ||
178 | 00:02:52,890 ~-~-> 00:02:53,670 | ||
179 | in this | ||
180 | |||
181 | 46 | ||
182 | 00:02:55,020 ~-~-> 00:02:57,090 | ||
183 | pair how we can look for | ||
184 | |||
185 | 47 | ||
186 | 00:02:58,440 ~-~-> 00:03:00,000 | ||
187 | turning points and how we can end | ||
188 | |||
189 | 48 | ||
190 | 00:03:00,000 ~-~-> 00:03:02,670 | ||
191 | dissipates certain characteristics and | ||
192 | |||
193 | 49 | ||
194 | 00:03:02,670 ~-~-> 00:03:04,590 | ||
195 | price action that repeat over and over | ||
196 | |||
197 | 50 | ||
198 | 00:03:04,590 ~-~-> 00:03:06,870 | ||
199 | and over again. And I promise you when | ||
200 | |||
201 | 51 | ||
202 | 00:03:06,870 ~-~-> 00:03:09,150 | ||
203 | you are finished watching this episode, | ||
204 | |||
205 | 52 | ||
206 | 00:03:09,150 ~-~-> 00:03:10,410 | ||
207 | you're gonna have a far greater | ||
208 | |||
209 | 53 | ||
210 | 00:03:10,410 ~-~-> 00:03:11,880 | ||
211 | understanding of what price action is | ||
212 | |||
213 | 54 | ||
214 | 00:03:11,880 ~-~-> 00:03:13,980 | ||
215 | like and how you can use it going | ||
216 | |||
217 | 55 | ||
218 | 00:03:13,980 ~-~-> 00:03:16,170 | ||
219 | forward in the new week of forex | ||
220 | |||
221 | 56 | ||
222 | 00:03:16,170 ~-~-> 00:03:16,620 | ||
223 | trading. | ||
224 | |||
225 | 57 | ||
226 | 00:03:23,430 ~-~-> 00:03:25,080 | ||
227 | Okay, if you remember the last episode, | ||
228 | |||
229 | 58 | ||
230 | 00:03:25,110 ~-~-> 00:03:28,110 | ||
231 | I gave you some homework regarding the | ||
232 | |||
233 | 59 | ||
234 | 00:03:28,110 ~-~-> 00:03:31,380 | ||
235 | first week of july of 2013. Now if | ||
236 | |||
237 | 60 | ||
238 | 00:03:31,380 ~-~-> 00:03:33,990 | ||
239 | you're watching this video and it's a | ||
240 | |||
241 | 61 | ||
242 | 00:03:33,990 ~-~-> 00:03:36,750 | ||
243 | number of years old, I apologize that | ||
244 | |||
245 | 62 | ||
246 | 00:03:36,750 ~-~-> 00:03:38,460 | ||
247 | you got to the party too late but that's | ||
248 | |||
249 | 63 | ||
250 | 00:03:38,460 ~-~-> 00:03:41,400 | ||
251 | not my fault now as it but we're going | ||
252 | |||
253 | 64 | ||
254 | 00:03:41,400 ~-~-> 00:03:43,140 | ||
255 | to go over some some details here so | ||
256 | |||
257 | 65 | ||
258 | 00:03:43,140 ~-~-> 00:03:46,590 | ||
259 | that we can at least a digest the the | ||
260 | |||
261 | 66 | ||
262 | 00:03:46,590 ~-~-> 00:03:49,020 | ||
263 | main focal points and how you can use it | ||
264 | |||
265 | 67 | ||
266 | 00:03:49,020 ~-~-> 00:03:51,090 | ||
267 | going forward. These are very generic | ||
268 | |||
269 | 68 | ||
270 | 00:03:51,090 ~-~-> 00:03:54,450 | ||
271 | concepts, they do not fall out of favor. | ||
272 | |||
273 | 69 | ||
274 | 00:03:54,480 ~-~-> 00:03:56,550 | ||
275 | They're not a fad gimmick indicator. | ||
276 | |||
277 | 70 | ||
278 | 00:03:56,940 ~-~-> 00:03:59,580 | ||
279 | These are essential core tenants to | ||
280 | |||
281 | 71 | ||
282 | 00:03:59,580 ~-~-> 00:04:02,370 | ||
283 | price out And I promise if you apply | ||
284 | |||
285 | 72 | ||
286 | 00:04:02,370 ~-~-> 00:04:04,680 | ||
287 | these things not only just to the fiber | ||
288 | |||
289 | 73 | ||
290 | 00:04:04,680 ~-~-> 00:04:07,020 | ||
291 | pair, but if you look at the cable, and | ||
292 | |||
293 | 74 | ||
294 | 00:04:07,020 ~-~-> 00:04:08,940 | ||
295 | all the other majors and | ||
296 | |||
297 | 75 | ||
298 | 00:04:09,239 ~-~-> 00:04:10,469 | ||
299 | the exotics as well. | ||
300 | |||
301 | 76 | ||
302 | 00:04:11,339 ~-~-> 00:04:14,189 | ||
303 | You'll see these reoccurring themes that | ||
304 | |||
305 | 77 | ||
306 | 00:04:14,189 ~-~-> 00:04:16,259 | ||
307 | take place over and over again, in price | ||
308 | |||
309 | 78 | ||
310 | 00:04:16,259 ~-~-> 00:04:18,389 | ||
311 | action. Now the screen capture we're | ||
312 | |||
313 | 79 | ||
314 | 00:04:18,389 ~-~-> 00:04:20,759 | ||
315 | looking at here is a 15 minute basis. | ||
316 | |||
317 | 80 | ||
318 | 00:04:21,209 ~-~-> 00:04:21,569 | ||
319 | And we're going | ||
320 | |||
321 | 81 | ||
322 | 00:04:21,570 ~-~-> 00:04:22,350 | ||
323 | to digest | ||
324 | |||
325 | 82 | ||
326 | 00:04:22,409 ~-~-> 00:04:25,019 | ||
327 | a lot of information just in this small | ||
328 | |||
329 | 83 | ||
330 | 00:04:25,019 ~-~-> 00:04:27,479 | ||
331 | sample size of price data. But let's | ||
332 | |||
333 | 84 | ||
334 | 00:04:27,479 ~-~-> 00:04:30,239 | ||
335 | look at the second portion of study we | ||
336 | |||
337 | 85 | ||
338 | 00:04:30,239 ~-~-> 00:04:32,129 | ||
339 | gave as part of your assignment in the | ||
340 | |||
341 | 86 | ||
342 | 00:04:32,129 ~-~-> 00:04:33,689 | ||
343 | previous episode. | ||
344 | |||
345 | 87 | ||
346 | 00:04:39,000 ~-~-> 00:04:42,060 | ||
347 | Now we're looking at a price rally. | ||
348 | |||
349 | 88 | ||
350 | 00:04:42,750 ~-~-> 00:04:44,850 | ||
351 | Okay, and in this price swing, we're | ||
352 | |||
353 | 89 | ||
354 | 00:04:44,850 ~-~-> 00:04:47,040 | ||
355 | going to be breaking this specific price | ||
356 | |||
357 | 90 | ||
358 | 00:04:47,040 ~-~-> 00:04:49,710 | ||
359 | swing down, and how we can utilize | ||
360 | |||
361 | 91 | ||
362 | 00:04:50,160 ~-~-> 00:04:52,650 | ||
363 | generic concepts that go along with | ||
364 | |||
365 | 92 | ||
366 | 00:04:52,980 ~-~-> 00:04:56,850 | ||
367 | every facet of smart money trading. Now, | ||
368 | |||
369 | 93 | ||
370 | 00:04:57,330 ~-~-> 00:04:59,640 | ||
371 | again, this is a 15 minute timeframe, | ||
372 | |||
373 | 94 | ||
374 | 00:04:59,640 ~-~-> 00:05:01,950 | ||
375 | but we're going to Applying Smart Money | ||
376 | |||
377 | 95 | ||
378 | 00:05:01,950 ~-~-> 00:05:04,380 | ||
379 | concepts to this timeframe that are | ||
380 | |||
381 | 96 | ||
382 | 00:05:04,380 ~-~-> 00:05:06,030 | ||
383 | based on a higher time frame, which is | ||
384 | |||
385 | 97 | ||
386 | 00:05:06,030 ~-~-> 00:05:08,370 | ||
387 | where the institutional level traders | ||
388 | |||
389 | 98 | ||
390 | 00:05:08,370 ~-~-> 00:05:11,070 | ||
391 | and banking traders do the majority of | ||
392 | |||
393 | 99 | ||
394 | 00:05:11,070 ~-~-> 00:05:12,000 | ||
395 | their analysis. | ||
396 | |||
397 | 100 | ||
398 | 00:05:22,560 ~-~-> 00:05:24,000 | ||
399 | Okay, folks, we are looking at the | ||
400 | |||
401 | 101 | ||
402 | 00:05:24,000 ~-~-> 00:05:27,810 | ||
403 | fiber. Euro USD is the daily chart, and | ||
404 | |||
405 | 102 | ||
406 | 00:05:27,810 ~-~-> 00:05:33,090 | ||
407 | this is the top or the highest point of | ||
408 | |||
409 | 103 | ||
410 | 00:05:33,120 ~-~-> 00:05:34,440 | ||
411 | the price swing that we're going to be | ||
412 | |||
413 | 104 | ||
414 | 00:05:34,440 ~-~-> 00:05:37,590 | ||
415 | analyzing and our first sample size | ||
416 | |||
417 | 105 | ||
418 | 00:05:37,680 ~-~-> 00:05:38,190 | ||
419 | of | ||
420 | |||
421 | 106 | ||
422 | 00:05:39,060 ~-~-> 00:05:40,860 | ||
423 | price action, but I | ||
424 | |||
425 | 107 | ||
426 | 00:05:40,860 ~-~-> 00:05:43,380 | ||
427 | want you to keep your eye on what takes | ||
428 | |||
429 | 108 | ||
430 | 00:05:43,380 ~-~-> 00:05:44,520 | ||
431 | place in price. | ||
432 | |||
433 | 109 | ||
434 | 00:05:48,330 ~-~-> 00:05:49,920 | ||
435 | And as price starts to slide down, | ||
436 | |||
437 | 110 | ||
438 | 00:05:53,430 ~-~-> 00:05:56,400 | ||
439 | you'll start to see a pause in price | ||
440 | |||
441 | 111 | ||
442 | 00:05:56,400 ~-~-> 00:05:57,780 | ||
443 | action here and you see this is the | ||
444 | |||
445 | 112 | ||
446 | 00:05:57,780 ~-~-> 00:06:00,930 | ||
447 | first bullish candle on the down like | ||
448 | |||
449 | 113 | ||
450 | 00:06:01,440 ~-~-> 00:06:02,730 | ||
451 | now if you look to the left over here, | ||
452 | |||
453 | 114 | ||
454 | 00:06:02,730 ~-~-> 00:06:04,380 | ||
455 | you'll see a small little consolidation | ||
456 | |||
457 | 115 | ||
458 | 00:06:04,380 ~-~-> 00:06:04,740 | ||
459 | in here. | ||
460 | |||
461 | 116 | ||
462 | 00:06:06,390 ~-~-> 00:06:08,370 | ||
463 | And you keep going over to the left, | ||
464 | |||
465 | 117 | ||
466 | 00:06:08,790 ~-~-> 00:06:11,310 | ||
467 | you'll see some old highs. A | ||
468 | |||
469 | 118 | ||
470 | 00:06:11,310 ~-~-> 00:06:13,860 | ||
471 | consolidation with some highs and bodies | ||
472 | |||
473 | 119 | ||
474 | 00:06:13,860 ~-~-> 00:06:18,690 | ||
475 | of candles. A short term high here and a | ||
476 | |||
477 | 120 | ||
478 | 00:06:18,690 ~-~-> 00:06:21,390 | ||
479 | turning point here and turning point | ||
480 | |||
481 | 121 | ||
482 | 00:06:21,390 ~-~-> 00:06:21,840 | ||
483 | here | ||
484 | |||
485 | 122 | ||
486 | 00:06:24,570 ~-~-> 00:06:25,410 | ||
487 | prior | ||
488 | |||
489 | 123 | ||
490 | 00:06:26,640 ~-~-> 00:06:29,520 | ||
491 | to that big leg up in price here | ||
492 | |||
493 | 124 | ||
494 | 00:06:30,900 ~-~-> 00:06:33,780 | ||
495 | Okay, this was the lowest low | ||
496 | |||
497 | 125 | ||
498 | 00:06:35,370 ~-~-> 00:06:36,450 | ||
499 | as price rallied up. | ||
500 | |||
501 | 126 | ||
502 | 00:06:37,170 ~-~-> 00:06:38,850 | ||
503 | It made a high here as well and then | ||
504 | |||
505 | 127 | ||
506 | 00:06:38,850 ~-~-> 00:06:40,020 | ||
507 | started to move lower | ||
508 | |||
509 | 128 | ||
510 | 00:06:40,200 ~-~-> 00:06:42,720 | ||
511 | in a very large price swing. It came | ||
512 | |||
513 | 129 | ||
514 | 00:06:42,720 ~-~-> 00:06:46,560 | ||
515 | down to a previous level of support. Now | ||
516 | |||
517 | 130 | ||
518 | 00:06:46,560 ~-~-> 00:06:48,870 | ||
519 | the reason why I have this level here is | ||
520 | |||
521 | 131 | ||
522 | 00:06:48,870 ~-~-> 00:06:51,060 | ||
523 | if you look at the body, and wicks of | ||
524 | |||
525 | 132 | ||
526 | 00:06:51,060 ~-~-> 00:06:53,220 | ||
527 | all the candles in here yet the below | ||
528 | |||
529 | 133 | ||
530 | 00:06:53,220 ~-~-> 00:06:55,890 | ||
531 | the wick here, the wick essentially in | ||
532 | |||
533 | 134 | ||
534 | 00:06:55,890 ~-~-> 00:06:59,970 | ||
535 | here, the top of this candles wick this | ||
536 | |||
537 | 135 | ||
538 | 00:07:00,000 ~-~-> 00:07:01,920 | ||
539 | work here, just stop there just a little | ||
540 | |||
541 | 136 | ||
542 | 00:07:01,920 ~-~-> 00:07:05,310 | ||
543 | bit. Again, same here, the bodies of the | ||
544 | |||
545 | 137 | ||
546 | 00:07:05,310 ~-~-> 00:07:07,920 | ||
547 | candles here, okay. And if you look at | ||
548 | |||
549 | 138 | ||
550 | 00:07:07,920 ~-~-> 00:07:12,120 | ||
551 | really essentially it's the 127 70 level | ||
552 | |||
553 | 139 | ||
554 | 00:07:13,230 ~-~-> 00:07:14,850 | ||
555 | and price when it come down to that same | ||
556 | |||
557 | 140 | ||
558 | 00:07:14,850 ~-~-> 00:07:16,710 | ||
559 | price point again, the body of the | ||
560 | |||
561 | 141 | ||
562 | 00:07:16,710 ~-~-> 00:07:20,010 | ||
563 | candle stopped here. granted the wick of | ||
564 | |||
565 | 142 | ||
566 | 00:07:20,010 ~-~-> 00:07:21,390 | ||
567 | the candle trade through just a little | ||
568 | |||
569 | 143 | ||
570 | 00:07:21,390 ~-~-> 00:07:23,730 | ||
571 | bit. Then we had the body that came here | ||
572 | |||
573 | 144 | ||
574 | 00:07:23,730 ~-~-> 00:07:25,680 | ||
575 | as well with a small little wick as | ||
576 | |||
577 | 145 | ||
578 | 00:07:25,680 ~-~-> 00:07:28,770 | ||
579 | well. The body of the candle Here comes | ||
580 | |||
581 | 146 | ||
582 | 00:07:28,770 ~-~-> 00:07:31,140 | ||
583 | right down to that same level rallies | ||
584 | |||
585 | 147 | ||
586 | 00:07:31,140 ~-~-> 00:07:32,250 | ||
587 | and trades right through it one more | ||
588 | |||
589 | 148 | ||
590 | 00:07:32,250 ~-~-> 00:07:37,620 | ||
591 | time and then starts to rally off. Price | ||
592 | |||
593 | 149 | ||
594 | 00:07:37,620 ~-~-> 00:07:40,200 | ||
595 | comes back down makes this smaller short | ||
596 | |||
597 | 150 | ||
598 | 00:07:40,200 ~-~-> 00:07:43,110 | ||
599 | term swing lower. Okay, and I'm promise | ||
600 | |||
601 | 151 | ||
602 | 00:07:43,110 ~-~-> 00:07:44,550 | ||
603 | I'm taking you somewhere I'm just going | ||
604 | |||
605 | 152 | ||
606 | 00:07:44,550 ~-~-> 00:07:49,140 | ||
607 | over the major price reactions and | ||
608 | |||
609 | 153 | ||
610 | 00:07:49,140 ~-~-> 00:07:52,590 | ||
611 | levels that you would be hunting in your | ||
612 | |||
613 | 154 | ||
614 | 00:07:52,740 ~-~-> 00:07:54,900 | ||
615 | future analysis in your demo account | ||
616 | |||
617 | 155 | ||
618 | 00:07:54,900 ~-~-> 00:07:58,080 | ||
619 | trading as you develop as a trader. When | ||
620 | |||
621 | 156 | ||
622 | 00:07:58,080 ~-~-> 00:08:00,210 | ||
623 | price bounced off this level, can right | ||
624 | |||
625 | 157 | ||
626 | 00:08:00,210 ~-~-> 00:08:02,790 | ||
627 | back down to the same point or | ||
628 | |||
629 | 158 | ||
630 | 00:08:03,240 ~-~-> 00:08:06,090 | ||
631 | consolidation in here. And as price come | ||
632 | |||
633 | 159 | ||
634 | 00:08:06,090 ~-~-> 00:08:08,490 | ||
635 | down to that same price level, notice we | ||
636 | |||
637 | 160 | ||
638 | 00:08:08,490 ~-~-> 00:08:11,430 | ||
639 | fail to get to that same old low or | ||
640 | |||
641 | 161 | ||
642 | 00:08:11,460 ~-~-> 00:08:14,280 | ||
643 | support level 127 70 price found the new | ||
644 | |||
645 | 162 | ||
646 | 00:08:14,280 ~-~-> 00:08:18,390 | ||
647 | level consolidated and moved out of that | ||
648 | |||
649 | 163 | ||
650 | 00:08:18,390 ~-~-> 00:08:20,220 | ||
651 | consolidation is starting to trade | ||
652 | |||
653 | 164 | ||
654 | 00:08:20,220 ~-~-> 00:08:22,590 | ||
655 | higher. Now this price swing in here, | ||
656 | |||
657 | 165 | ||
658 | 00:08:23,400 ~-~-> 00:08:28,710 | ||
659 | okay, is the basis of this price rally | ||
660 | |||
661 | 166 | ||
662 | 00:08:28,710 ~-~-> 00:08:32,640 | ||
663 | here. Now as price starts to move lower, | ||
664 | |||
665 | 167 | ||
666 | 00:08:33,150 ~-~-> 00:08:35,310 | ||
667 | we would be looking for areas where we | ||
668 | |||
669 | 168 | ||
670 | 00:08:35,310 ~-~-> 00:08:37,200 | ||
671 | would reasonably expect to see price | ||
672 | |||
673 | 169 | ||
674 | 00:08:37,230 ~-~-> 00:08:38,100 | ||
675 | to stall | ||
676 | |||
677 | 170 | ||
678 | 00:08:39,420 ~-~-> 00:08:40,890 | ||
679 | price bounced here. | ||
680 | |||
681 | 171 | ||
682 | 00:08:41,670 ~-~-> 00:08:44,820 | ||
683 | Now just for illustrative purposes, | ||
684 | |||
685 | 172 | ||
686 | 00:08:44,820 ~-~-> 00:08:46,680 | ||
687 | let's just use the very low the wick | ||
688 | |||
689 | 173 | ||
690 | 00:08:46,740 ~-~-> 00:08:47,190 | ||
691 | here. | ||
692 | |||
693 | 174 | ||
694 | 00:08:49,140 ~-~-> 00:08:51,420 | ||
695 | and double check the candle make sure I | ||
696 | |||
697 | 175 | ||
698 | 00:08:51,420 ~-~-> 00:08:55,050 | ||
699 | am in deed on the low, the low is | ||
700 | |||
701 | 176 | ||
702 | 00:08:55,050 ~-~-> 00:09:00,510 | ||
703 | 130 58. And we're going to move Our | ||
704 | |||
705 | 177 | ||
706 | 00:09:01,440 ~-~-> 00:09:04,020 | ||
707 | level right to that point, they can see | ||
708 | |||
709 | 178 | ||
710 | 00:09:04,020 ~-~-> 00:09:06,390 | ||
711 | this swing high. Remember we talked | ||
712 | |||
713 | 179 | ||
714 | 00:09:06,390 ~-~-> 00:09:08,790 | ||
715 | about in the first episode, a swing high | ||
716 | |||
717 | 180 | ||
718 | 00:09:08,820 ~-~-> 00:09:12,060 | ||
719 | is a high that has a lower high on | ||
720 | |||
721 | 181 | ||
722 | 00:09:12,060 ~-~-> 00:09:13,890 | ||
723 | either side of it. Okay? | ||
724 | |||
725 | 182 | ||
726 | 00:09:15,540 ~-~-> 00:09:16,800 | ||
727 | We have a | ||
728 | |||
729 | 183 | ||
730 | 00:09:19,080 ~-~-> 00:09:20,850 | ||
731 | nice level of support resistance in | ||
732 | |||
733 | 184 | ||
734 | 00:09:20,850 ~-~-> 00:09:21,150 | ||
735 | here. | ||
736 | |||
737 | 185 | ||
738 | 00:09:24,210 ~-~-> 00:09:27,180 | ||
739 | Same thing here, my support resistance, | ||
740 | |||
741 | 186 | ||
742 | 00:09:28,470 ~-~-> 00:09:29,850 | ||
743 | my support resistance, | ||
744 | |||
745 | 187 | ||
746 | 00:09:31,260 ~-~-> 00:09:32,550 | ||
747 | support resistance. | ||
748 | |||
749 | 188 | ||
750 | 00:09:33,630 ~-~-> 00:09:35,790 | ||
751 | Again, same here, okay, we have a nice | ||
752 | |||
753 | 189 | ||
754 | 00:09:35,790 ~-~-> 00:09:38,460 | ||
755 | swing high as well. So this price point, | ||
756 | |||
757 | 190 | ||
758 | 00:09:38,820 ~-~-> 00:09:41,550 | ||
759 | while it is an off, even number, it | ||
760 | |||
761 | 191 | ||
762 | 00:09:41,550 ~-~-> 00:09:43,290 | ||
763 | could be very easily calibrated to | ||
764 | |||
765 | 192 | ||
766 | 00:09:43,290 ~-~-> 00:09:47,910 | ||
767 | 130 60 level. Okay, which I think is a | ||
768 | |||
769 | 193 | ||
770 | 00:09:47,910 ~-~-> 00:09:50,490 | ||
771 | much more reasonable level to move this | ||
772 | |||
773 | 194 | ||
774 | 00:09:50,490 ~-~-> 00:09:53,100 | ||
775 | line to. And what that means is that | ||
776 | |||
777 | 195 | ||
778 | 00:09:53,430 ~-~-> 00:09:57,060 | ||
779 | institutions like to use large, round | ||
780 | |||
781 | 196 | ||
782 | 00:09:57,060 ~-~-> 00:09:59,820 | ||
783 | numbers. They're not so finicky in terms | ||
784 | |||
785 | 197 | ||
786 | 00:09:59,820 ~-~-> 00:10:02,550 | ||
787 | of To get like the the eights and the | ||
788 | |||
789 | 198 | ||
790 | 00:10:02,550 ~-~-> 00:10:05,340 | ||
791 | fours and the threes and such, in terms | ||
792 | |||
793 | 199 | ||
794 | 00:10:05,340 ~-~-> 00:10:08,430 | ||
795 | of filling, they do this use the round | ||
796 | |||
797 | 200 | ||
798 | 00:10:08,430 ~-~-> 00:10:09,630 | ||
799 | numbers to get their | ||
800 | |||
801 | 201 | ||
802 | 00:10:10,560 ~-~-> 00:10:11,430 | ||
803 | orders often. | ||
804 | |||
805 | 202 | ||
806 | 00:10:12,630 ~-~-> 00:10:13,440 | ||
807 | And I'm just going to | ||
808 | |||
809 | 203 | ||
810 | 00:10:14,669 ~-~-> 00:10:16,319 | ||
811 | key that in here manually so you can | ||
812 | |||
813 | 204 | ||
814 | 00:10:16,319 ~-~-> 00:10:16,709 | ||
815 | see. | ||
816 | |||
817 | 205 | ||
818 | 00:10:19,169 ~-~-> 00:10:22,319 | ||
819 | So I'm using 130 60 as around number, | ||
820 | |||
821 | 206 | ||
822 | 00:10:22,589 ~-~-> 00:10:24,089 | ||
823 | you see it gets right to a high here as | ||
824 | |||
825 | 207 | ||
826 | 00:10:24,089 ~-~-> 00:10:26,549 | ||
827 | well. And again, it doesn't really | ||
828 | |||
829 | 208 | ||
830 | 00:10:26,549 ~-~-> 00:10:28,229 | ||
831 | essentially change too much over here. | ||
832 | |||
833 | 209 | ||
834 | 00:10:28,919 ~-~-> 00:10:30,089 | ||
835 | But when we get down to a smaller | ||
836 | |||
837 | 210 | ||
838 | 00:10:30,089 ~-~-> 00:10:33,089 | ||
839 | timeframe, it might be more useful to us | ||
840 | |||
841 | 211 | ||
842 | 00:10:33,149 ~-~-> 00:10:36,509 | ||
843 | as we see the levels more closely | ||
844 | |||
845 | 212 | ||
846 | 00:10:36,509 ~-~-> 00:10:39,149 | ||
847 | calibrated to a smaller, round number. | ||
848 | |||
849 | 213 | ||
850 | 00:10:40,979 ~-~-> 00:10:42,719 | ||
851 | Now when price gives a bullish candle | ||
852 | |||
853 | 214 | ||
854 | 00:10:42,719 ~-~-> 00:10:45,989 | ||
855 | here, this by itself indicates a lot of | ||
856 | |||
857 | 215 | ||
858 | 00:10:45,989 ~-~-> 00:10:49,709 | ||
859 | different things. And this episode will | ||
860 | |||
861 | 216 | ||
862 | 00:10:49,709 ~-~-> 00:10:54,329 | ||
863 | not be own, long enough to go into the | ||
864 | |||
865 | 217 | ||
866 | 00:10:54,329 ~-~-> 00:10:56,279 | ||
867 | information that these types of candles | ||
868 | |||
869 | 218 | ||
870 | 00:10:56,279 ~-~-> 00:10:58,079 | ||
871 | create. But I promise we're going to | ||
872 | |||
873 | 219 | ||
874 | 00:10:58,079 ~-~-> 00:10:59,609 | ||
875 | delve into those things in later | ||
876 | |||
877 | 220 | ||
878 | 00:10:59,609 ~-~-> 00:11:01,049 | ||
879 | episodes. But for now we're going to be | ||
880 | |||
881 | 221 | ||
882 | 00:11:01,049 ~-~-> 00:11:02,189 | ||
883 | giving a lot of | ||
884 | |||
885 | 222 | ||
886 | 00:11:06,419 ~-~-> 00:11:08,489 | ||
887 | generic broad | ||
888 | |||
889 | 223 | ||
890 | 00:11:08,639 ~-~-> 00:11:11,909 | ||
891 | ideas about how smart money operates in | ||
892 | |||
893 | 224 | ||
894 | 00:11:11,909 ~-~-> 00:11:13,799 | ||
895 | the marketplace, and how you can more or | ||
896 | |||
897 | 225 | ||
898 | 00:11:13,799 ~-~-> 00:11:17,069 | ||
899 | less fall their coattails and try to | ||
900 | |||
901 | 226 | ||
902 | 00:11:17,069 ~-~-> 00:11:20,279 | ||
903 | hopefully see a profitable swing in your | ||
904 | |||
905 | 227 | ||
906 | 00:11:20,279 ~-~-> 00:11:23,399 | ||
907 | favor. Now as price continues to move | ||
908 | |||
909 | 228 | ||
910 | 00:11:23,399 ~-~-> 00:11:28,439 | ||
911 | lower Okay, this same bullish candle, | ||
912 | |||
913 | 229 | ||
914 | 00:11:29,069 ~-~-> 00:11:33,089 | ||
915 | okay, when we cause this bounce in here, | ||
916 | |||
917 | 230 | ||
918 | 00:11:33,539 ~-~-> 00:11:37,649 | ||
919 | something about this level at 130 60 was | ||
920 | |||
921 | 231 | ||
922 | 00:11:37,649 ~-~-> 00:11:39,869 | ||
923 | a catalyst. Okay, now institutional | ||
924 | |||
925 | 232 | ||
926 | 00:11:39,869 ~-~-> 00:11:43,409 | ||
927 | level trading, again, revolves around | ||
928 | |||
929 | 233 | ||
930 | 00:11:43,409 ~-~-> 00:11:45,839 | ||
931 | round numbers. So a lot of questions I | ||
932 | |||
933 | 234 | ||
934 | 00:11:45,839 ~-~-> 00:11:48,419 | ||
935 | get through email and if haunting a | ||
936 | |||
937 | 235 | ||
938 | 00:11:48,419 ~-~-> 00:11:51,419 | ||
939 | particular forum or such they will | ||
940 | |||
941 | 236 | ||
942 | 00:11:51,479 ~-~-> 00:11:55,619 | ||
943 | invariably ask me, hey, ICT, can we get | ||
944 | |||
945 | 237 | ||
946 | 00:11:55,619 ~-~-> 00:11:56,969 | ||
947 | a little bit more understanding of how | ||
948 | |||
949 | 238 | ||
950 | 00:11:56,969 ~-~-> 00:11:58,589 | ||
951 | it is that you arrive at what would be | ||
952 | |||
953 | 239 | ||
954 | 00:11:58,589 ~-~-> 00:12:00,509 | ||
955 | considered your key support resistance | ||
956 | |||
957 | 240 | ||
958 | 00:12:00,509 ~-~-> 00:12:02,879 | ||
959 | levels. And what do you mean by | ||
960 | |||
961 | 241 | ||
962 | 00:12:02,879 ~-~-> 00:12:05,399 | ||
963 | institutional levels when you say, price | ||
964 | |||
965 | 242 | ||
966 | 00:12:05,429 ~-~-> 00:12:06,269 | ||
967 | is going to come down to this | ||
968 | |||
969 | 243 | ||
970 | 00:12:06,269 ~-~-> 00:12:09,599 | ||
971 | institution level, or you expect to see | ||
972 | |||
973 | 244 | ||
974 | 00:12:10,229 ~-~-> 00:12:13,259 | ||
975 | particular level swept, okay? I'm going | ||
976 | |||
977 | 245 | ||
978 | 00:12:13,259 ~-~-> 00:12:15,929 | ||
979 | to cover that in this module. So that | ||
980 | |||
981 | 246 | ||
982 | 00:12:15,929 ~-~-> 00:12:17,069 | ||
983 | way you have a greater understanding | ||
984 | |||
985 | 247 | ||
986 | 00:12:17,129 ~-~-> 00:12:18,689 | ||
987 | that way not only will you understand my | ||
988 | |||
989 | 248 | ||
990 | 00:12:18,689 ~-~-> 00:12:21,119 | ||
991 | videos when I do reviews and in trade | ||
992 | |||
993 | 249 | ||
994 | 00:12:21,119 ~-~-> 00:12:23,579 | ||
995 | recaps, what I'm referring to, but | ||
996 | |||
997 | 250 | ||
998 | 00:12:23,579 ~-~-> 00:12:26,339 | ||
999 | you're also going to see how to look for | ||
1000 | |||
1001 | 251 | ||
1002 | 00:12:26,339 ~-~-> 00:12:27,989 | ||
1003 | it in your own charts. And you | ||
1004 | |||
1005 | 252 | ||
1006 | 00:12:27,989 ~-~-> 00:12:29,789 | ||
1007 | understand what it is specifically that | ||
1008 | |||
1009 | 253 | ||
1010 | 00:12:30,119 ~-~-> 00:12:33,839 | ||
1011 | price action is doing and why. So price | ||
1012 | |||
1013 | 254 | ||
1014 | 00:12:33,869 ~-~-> 00:12:38,489 | ||
1015 | bounces here, okay? At an old swing high | ||
1016 | |||
1017 | 255 | ||
1018 | 00:12:39,629 ~-~-> 00:12:42,869 | ||
1019 | bounces here, now, price trades through | ||
1020 | |||
1021 | 256 | ||
1022 | 00:12:42,869 ~-~-> 00:12:46,019 | ||
1023 | it. But if price ever comes back at that | ||
1024 | |||
1025 | 257 | ||
1026 | 00:12:46,019 ~-~-> 00:12:49,829 | ||
1027 | same level, that is a potential area of | ||
1028 | |||
1029 | 258 | ||
1030 | 00:12:50,549 ~-~-> 00:12:53,939 | ||
1031 | a setup. Okay, so we could look for a | ||
1032 | |||
1033 | 259 | ||
1034 | 00:12:53,969 ~-~-> 00:12:55,859 | ||
1035 | selling opportunity should price get to | ||
1036 | |||
1037 | 260 | ||
1038 | 00:12:55,859 ~-~-> 00:12:57,029 | ||
1039 | that same level again | ||
1040 | |||
1041 | 261 | ||
1042 | 00:12:58,950 ~-~-> 00:12:59,700 | ||
1043 | in the future | ||
1044 | |||
1045 | 262 | ||
1046 | 00:13:00,000 ~-~-> 00:13:01,830 | ||
1047 | You can see price trades right up to | ||
1048 | |||
1049 | 263 | ||
1050 | 00:13:01,830 ~-~-> 00:13:04,680 | ||
1051 | this level here. The high of this candle | ||
1052 | |||
1053 | 264 | ||
1054 | 00:13:05,070 ~-~-> 00:13:10,410 | ||
1055 | comes right in at 130 59. So we felt one | ||
1056 | |||
1057 | 265 | ||
1058 | 00:13:10,410 ~-~-> 00:13:12,960 | ||
1059 | PIP short of the actual round number. | ||
1060 | |||
1061 | 266 | ||
1062 | 00:13:13,590 ~-~-> 00:13:14,910 | ||
1063 | But you'll see when we get down to a | ||
1064 | |||
1065 | 267 | ||
1066 | 00:13:14,910 ~-~-> 00:13:16,320 | ||
1067 | smaller timeframe, it's really doesn't | ||
1068 | |||
1069 | 268 | ||
1070 | 00:13:16,320 ~-~-> 00:13:17,670 | ||
1071 | make that much of a difference because | ||
1072 | |||
1073 | 269 | ||
1074 | 00:13:17,670 ~-~-> 00:13:18,990 | ||
1075 | there's a lot of other factors that will | ||
1076 | |||
1077 | 270 | ||
1078 | 00:13:18,990 ~-~-> 00:13:20,940 | ||
1079 | be more beneficial to us. | ||
1080 | |||
1081 | 271 | ||
1082 | 00:13:22,019 ~-~-> 00:13:22,829 | ||
1083 | So now we have | ||
1084 | |||
1085 | 272 | ||
1086 | 00:13:23,820 ~-~-> 00:13:25,920 | ||
1087 | the next candle here, it sweeps up | ||
1088 | |||
1089 | 273 | ||
1090 | 00:13:25,920 ~-~-> 00:13:29,460 | ||
1091 | through it and then trades lower and | ||
1092 | |||
1093 | 274 | ||
1094 | 00:13:29,460 ~-~-> 00:13:32,520 | ||
1095 | closes on almost a low that the candle | ||
1096 | |||
1097 | 275 | ||
1098 | 00:13:34,920 ~-~-> 00:13:36,540 | ||
1099 | price trades right back up into a | ||
1100 | |||
1101 | 276 | ||
1102 | 00:13:36,540 ~-~-> 00:13:38,040 | ||
1103 | bullish candle here right into our | ||
1104 | |||
1105 | 277 | ||
1106 | 00:13:38,040 ~-~-> 00:13:40,650 | ||
1107 | 130 60. Now the high again on this | ||
1108 | |||
1109 | 278 | ||
1110 | 00:13:40,650 ~-~-> 00:13:44,700 | ||
1111 | candle comes in at 130 73 so we're 13 | ||
1112 | |||
1113 | 279 | ||
1114 | 00:13:44,700 ~-~-> 00:13:46,740 | ||
1115 | pips off so again, we're looking at a | ||
1116 | |||
1117 | 280 | ||
1118 | 00:13:46,740 ~-~-> 00:13:47,490 | ||
1119 | daily chart. | ||
1120 | |||
1121 | 281 | ||
1122 | 00:13:48,029 ~-~-> 00:13:49,889 | ||
1123 | So if we're going to be just | ||
1124 | |||
1125 | 282 | ||
1126 | 00:13:50,399 ~-~-> 00:13:52,319 | ||
1127 | off by 13 pips and we're looking at | ||
1128 | |||
1129 | 283 | ||
1130 | 00:13:52,319 ~-~-> 00:13:55,229 | ||
1131 | daily ranges. Again, these are all | ||
1132 | |||
1133 | 284 | ||
1134 | 00:13:55,679 ~-~-> 00:13:57,029 | ||
1135 | full daily bars. | ||
1136 | |||
1137 | 285 | ||
1138 | 00:13:57,690 ~-~-> 00:14:01,080 | ||
1139 | That's not bad in terms of You know, | ||
1140 | |||
1141 | 286 | ||
1142 | 00:14:01,080 ~-~-> 00:14:03,150 | ||
1143 | highlighting areas of potential | ||
1144 | |||
1145 | 287 | ||
1146 | 00:14:04,769 ~-~-> 00:14:05,789 | ||
1147 | setups or | ||
1148 | |||
1149 | 288 | ||
1150 | 00:14:05,789 ~-~-> 00:14:08,519 | ||
1151 | bounces and assets, your, your framework | ||
1152 | |||
1153 | 289 | ||
1154 | 00:14:08,519 ~-~-> 00:14:10,649 | ||
1155 | is going to build upon this. Because | ||
1156 | |||
1157 | 290 | ||
1158 | 00:14:10,649 ~-~-> 00:14:12,359 | ||
1159 | it's not about getting the weekly high | ||
1160 | |||
1161 | 291 | ||
1162 | 00:14:12,359 ~-~-> 00:14:14,219 | ||
1163 | and writing only to Friday, or the | ||
1164 | |||
1165 | 292 | ||
1166 | 00:14:14,219 ~-~-> 00:14:15,539 | ||
1167 | weekly, low Friday, you know, either | ||
1168 | |||
1169 | 293 | ||
1170 | 00:14:15,539 ~-~-> 00:14:17,249 | ||
1171 | Friday or getting 1000 pips a month, | ||
1172 | |||
1173 | 294 | ||
1174 | 00:14:17,669 ~-~-> 00:14:18,659 | ||
1175 | we're trying to keep up with the next | ||
1176 | |||
1177 | 295 | ||
1178 | 00:14:18,659 ~-~-> 00:14:21,629 | ||
1179 | guy learn to my concepts. That is not | ||
1180 | |||
1181 | 296 | ||
1182 | 00:14:21,629 ~-~-> 00:14:22,319 | ||
1183 | what you're trying to do in the | ||
1184 | |||
1185 | 297 | ||
1186 | 00:14:22,319 ~-~-> 00:14:24,059 | ||
1187 | beginning, what you're trying to do is | ||
1188 | |||
1189 | 298 | ||
1190 | 00:14:24,059 ~-~-> 00:14:27,449 | ||
1191 | build a fundamental base of price | ||
1192 | |||
1193 | 299 | ||
1194 | 00:14:27,449 ~-~-> 00:14:28,979 | ||
1195 | action. And we're going to build and | ||
1196 | |||
1197 | 300 | ||
1198 | 00:14:28,979 ~-~-> 00:14:31,409 | ||
1199 | expand on that each episode and a | ||
1200 | |||
1201 | 301 | ||
1202 | 00:14:31,409 ~-~-> 00:14:32,759 | ||
1203 | promise by the end of the eighth | ||
1204 | |||
1205 | 302 | ||
1206 | 00:14:33,059 ~-~-> 00:14:35,399 | ||
1207 | episode, you're going to have a wicked | ||
1208 | |||
1209 | 303 | ||
1210 | 00:14:35,399 ~-~-> 00:14:36,869 | ||
1211 | understanding of price action, and | ||
1212 | |||
1213 | 304 | ||
1214 | 00:14:36,869 ~-~-> 00:14:38,069 | ||
1215 | you're going to be blowing your socks | ||
1216 | |||
1217 | 305 | ||
1218 | 00:14:38,069 ~-~-> 00:14:40,139 | ||
1219 | off. And not only will you be impressing | ||
1220 | |||
1221 | 306 | ||
1222 | 00:14:40,139 ~-~-> 00:14:40,829 | ||
1223 | yourself | ||
1224 | |||
1225 | 307 | ||
1226 | 00:14:40,860 ~-~-> 00:14:42,300 | ||
1227 | as you go and deep, | ||
1228 | |||
1229 | 308 | ||
1230 | 00:14:42,689 ~-~-> 00:14:44,789 | ||
1231 | deeper study of price action, but you're | ||
1232 | |||
1233 | 309 | ||
1234 | 00:14:44,789 ~-~-> 00:14:47,279 | ||
1235 | going to start seeing by studying the | ||
1236 | |||
1237 | 310 | ||
1238 | 00:14:47,309 ~-~-> 00:14:50,789 | ||
1239 | other, quote unquote street money or | ||
1240 | |||
1241 | 311 | ||
1242 | 00:14:50,819 ~-~-> 00:14:53,219 | ||
1243 | less informed traders that invariably | ||
1244 | |||
1245 | 312 | ||
1246 | 00:14:53,219 ~-~-> 00:14:56,219 | ||
1247 | talk on forums or you see them even in | ||
1248 | |||
1249 | 313 | ||
1250 | 00:14:56,489 ~-~-> 00:14:57,299 | ||
1251 | so called | ||
1252 | |||
1253 | 314 | ||
1254 | 00:14:58,049 ~-~-> 00:14:59,999 | ||
1255 | expert circles, they really have no idea | ||
1256 | |||
1257 | 315 | ||
1258 | 00:14:59,999 ~-~-> 00:15:00,989 | ||
1259 | Do to talking about, | ||
1260 | |||
1261 | 316 | ||
1262 | 00:15:01,350 ~-~-> 00:15:05,580 | ||
1263 | okay. So, again, really go through this | ||
1264 | |||
1265 | 317 | ||
1266 | 00:15:05,580 ~-~-> 00:15:08,460 | ||
1267 | video module a lot, not just one sweep | ||
1268 | |||
1269 | 318 | ||
1270 | 00:15:08,460 ~-~-> 00:15:09,540 | ||
1271 | isn't going to do it, you're going to be | ||
1272 | |||
1273 | 319 | ||
1274 | 00:15:09,540 ~-~-> 00:15:10,770 | ||
1275 | going through this a couple different | ||
1276 | |||
1277 | 320 | ||
1278 | 00:15:10,770 ~-~-> 00:15:12,330 | ||
1279 | times. And there's a lot of things | ||
1280 | |||
1281 | 321 | ||
1282 | 00:15:12,330 ~-~-> 00:15:13,320 | ||
1283 | that's going to go right over your head | ||
1284 | |||
1285 | 322 | ||
1286 | 00:15:13,320 ~-~-> 00:15:15,480 | ||
1287 | the first few times, but I promise by | ||
1288 | |||
1289 | 323 | ||
1290 | 00:15:15,540 ~-~-> 00:15:18,240 | ||
1291 | taking notes, yes, taking notes. | ||
1292 | |||
1293 | 324 | ||
1294 | 00:15:18,270 ~-~-> 00:15:19,740 | ||
1295 | Remember, you must be having a notepad | ||
1296 | |||
1297 | 325 | ||
1298 | 00:15:19,740 ~-~-> 00:15:21,210 | ||
1299 | next to you as you watch these videos. | ||
1300 | |||
1301 | 326 | ||
1302 | 00:15:21,720 ~-~-> 00:15:24,030 | ||
1303 | Because when we discuss a specific | ||
1304 | |||
1305 | 327 | ||
1306 | 00:15:24,030 ~-~-> 00:15:26,640 | ||
1307 | topic, you're going to be wanting to | ||
1308 | |||
1309 | 328 | ||
1310 | 00:15:26,640 ~-~-> 00:15:29,280 | ||
1311 | know the details or specifics around | ||
1312 | |||
1313 | 329 | ||
1314 | 00:15:29,280 ~-~-> 00:15:31,260 | ||
1315 | that concept so that we, it's not that | ||
1316 | |||
1317 | 330 | ||
1318 | 00:15:31,260 ~-~-> 00:15:32,310 | ||
1319 | you have to go back to this video and | ||
1320 | |||
1321 | 331 | ||
1322 | 00:15:32,310 ~-~-> 00:15:35,070 | ||
1323 | see it or which video it was that | ||
1324 | |||
1325 | 332 | ||
1326 | 00:15:35,130 ~-~-> 00:15:36,930 | ||
1327 | specifically talked about this concept | ||
1328 | |||
1329 | 333 | ||
1330 | 00:15:36,930 ~-~-> 00:15:39,120 | ||
1331 | of that you'll know where to get the | ||
1332 | |||
1333 | 334 | ||
1334 | 00:15:39,120 ~-~-> 00:15:41,850 | ||
1335 | information from Okay, and have it apply | ||
1336 | |||
1337 | 335 | ||
1338 | 00:15:41,880 ~-~-> 00:15:44,310 | ||
1339 | without spending too much time chasing | ||
1340 | |||
1341 | 336 | ||
1342 | 00:15:44,310 ~-~-> 00:15:46,830 | ||
1343 | after where it is in the fundamental | ||
1344 | |||
1345 | 337 | ||
1346 | 00:15:46,830 ~-~-> 00:15:49,350 | ||
1347 | concept behind it all. So again, we have | ||
1348 | |||
1349 | 338 | ||
1350 | 00:15:49,350 ~-~-> 00:15:52,110 | ||
1351 | that 130 60 level in here. Okay, this | ||
1352 | |||
1353 | 339 | ||
1354 | 00:15:52,110 ~-~-> 00:15:53,640 | ||
1355 | daily candle trades up into it to | ||
1356 | |||
1357 | 340 | ||
1358 | 00:15:53,640 ~-~-> 00:15:54,060 | ||
1359 | squeeze | ||
1360 | |||
1361 | 341 | ||
1362 | 00:15:54,119 ~-~-> 00:15:57,059 | ||
1363 | through about 13 pips and then the next | ||
1364 | |||
1365 | 342 | ||
1366 | 00:15:57,599 ~-~-> 00:15:59,669 | ||
1367 | candle we have a very nice reaction | ||
1368 | |||
1369 | 343 | ||
1370 | 00:15:59,669 ~-~-> 00:16:02,309 | ||
1371 | here. Trading lower. Now again, all | ||
1372 | |||
1373 | 344 | ||
1374 | 00:16:02,309 ~-~-> 00:16:05,549 | ||
1375 | we're looking at is how prices moving on | ||
1376 | |||
1377 | 345 | ||
1378 | 00:16:05,549 ~-~-> 00:16:07,889 | ||
1379 | a daily chart. So as we see price moving | ||
1380 | |||
1381 | 346 | ||
1382 | 00:16:07,889 ~-~-> 00:16:11,189 | ||
1383 | lower, we just keyed off of a nice price | ||
1384 | |||
1385 | 347 | ||
1386 | 00:16:11,369 ~-~-> 00:16:13,529 | ||
1387 | level here. Now as price is trading | ||
1388 | |||
1389 | 348 | ||
1390 | 00:16:13,529 ~-~-> 00:16:15,419 | ||
1391 | lower now where would we reasonably | ||
1392 | |||
1393 | 349 | ||
1394 | 00:16:15,419 ~-~-> 00:16:17,579 | ||
1395 | expect price to trade back down to if it | ||
1396 | |||
1397 | 350 | ||
1398 | 00:16:17,579 ~-~-> 00:16:19,469 | ||
1399 | continues at all, because there's no | ||
1400 | |||
1401 | 351 | ||
1402 | 00:16:19,469 ~-~-> 00:16:20,549 | ||
1403 | guarantee that price is going to | ||
1404 | |||
1405 | 352 | ||
1406 | 00:16:20,549 ~-~-> 00:16:23,369 | ||
1407 | continue lower. But because we have seen | ||
1408 | |||
1409 | 353 | ||
1410 | 00:16:23,369 ~-~-> 00:16:24,569 | ||
1411 | price trade off such a | ||
1412 | |||
1413 | 354 | ||
1414 | 00:16:24,690 ~-~-> 00:16:25,290 | ||
1415 | nice, | ||
1416 | |||
1417 | 355 | ||
1418 | 00:16:25,889 ~-~-> 00:16:28,319 | ||
1419 | move lower, we broke through old highs. | ||
1420 | |||
1421 | 356 | ||
1422 | 00:16:28,619 ~-~-> 00:16:30,389 | ||
1423 | So now we're going to be looking for old | ||
1424 | |||
1425 | 357 | ||
1426 | 00:16:30,389 ~-~-> 00:16:34,439 | ||
1427 | lows. They are found here. And if price | ||
1428 | |||
1429 | 358 | ||
1430 | 00:16:34,529 ~-~-> 00:16:35,969 | ||
1431 | trades through that, where do we go | ||
1432 | |||
1433 | 359 | ||
1434 | 00:16:35,969 ~-~-> 00:16:38,999 | ||
1435 | next? These lows, and if price was to | ||
1436 | |||
1437 | 360 | ||
1438 | 00:16:38,999 ~-~-> 00:16:40,109 | ||
1439 | trade through these, where would we go | ||
1440 | |||
1441 | 361 | ||
1442 | 00:16:40,109 ~-~-> 00:16:44,369 | ||
1443 | next? These lows, okay. And that's what | ||
1444 | |||
1445 | 362 | ||
1446 | 00:16:44,369 ~-~-> 00:16:47,459 | ||
1447 | you're looking for, again. A | ||
1448 | |||
1449 | 363 | ||
1450 | 00:16:47,789 ~-~-> 00:16:50,699 | ||
1451 | consistently highly successful | ||
1452 | |||
1453 | 364 | ||
1454 | 00:16:51,210 ~-~-> 00:16:51,900 | ||
1455 | trader | ||
1456 | |||
1457 | 365 | ||
1458 | 00:16:53,340 ~-~-> 00:16:55,920 | ||
1459 | does majority of his analysis on the | ||
1460 | |||
1461 | 366 | ||
1462 | 00:16:55,920 ~-~-> 00:16:58,860 | ||
1463 | higher timeframes, okay? You don't have | ||
1464 | |||
1465 | 367 | ||
1466 | 00:16:58,860 ~-~-> 00:17:00,990 | ||
1467 | to spend so much time Off The Charts and | ||
1468 | |||
1469 | 368 | ||
1470 | 00:17:00,990 ~-~-> 00:17:02,340 | ||
1471 | you don't have to spend so much time on | ||
1472 | |||
1473 | 369 | ||
1474 | 00:17:02,340 ~-~-> 00:17:04,050 | ||
1475 | the weekly charts, but it's advisable. | ||
1476 | |||
1477 | 370 | ||
1478 | 00:17:04,590 ~-~-> 00:17:04,920 | ||
1479 | But | ||
1480 | |||
1481 | 371 | ||
1482 | 00:17:05,130 ~-~-> 00:17:06,000 | ||
1483 | certainly | ||
1484 | |||
1485 | 372 | ||
1486 | 00:17:06,029 ~-~-> 00:17:08,639 | ||
1487 | spend a lot of time on your daily, your | ||
1488 | |||
1489 | 373 | ||
1490 | 00:17:08,639 ~-~-> 00:17:12,719 | ||
1491 | four hour and one hour only if you can't | ||
1492 | |||
1493 | 374 | ||
1494 | 00:17:12,719 ~-~-> 00:17:15,509 | ||
1495 | really discern anything. Like right now, | ||
1496 | |||
1497 | 375 | ||
1498 | 00:17:15,509 ~-~-> 00:17:17,519 | ||
1499 | if you'd be trading in a short term day | ||
1500 | |||
1501 | 376 | ||
1502 | 00:17:17,519 ~-~-> 00:17:20,129 | ||
1503 | trading you, that's when you spend a | ||
1504 | |||
1505 | 377 | ||
1506 | 00:17:20,129 ~-~-> 00:17:21,299 | ||
1507 | whole lot of time in your alley. But | ||
1508 | |||
1509 | 378 | ||
1510 | 00:17:21,299 ~-~-> 00:17:22,949 | ||
1511 | really focus on your four hour and daily | ||
1512 | |||
1513 | 379 | ||
1514 | 00:17:22,949 ~-~-> 00:17:24,749 | ||
1515 | because that's where the banks, the | ||
1516 | |||
1517 | 380 | ||
1518 | 00:17:24,749 ~-~-> 00:17:26,429 | ||
1519 | institutional level traders and smart | ||
1520 | |||
1521 | 381 | ||
1522 | 00:17:26,429 ~-~-> 00:17:29,009 | ||
1523 | guys, like you're going to try to be in | ||
1524 | |||
1525 | 382 | ||
1526 | 00:17:29,009 ~-~-> 00:17:31,319 | ||
1527 | the future by applying these concepts. | ||
1528 | |||
1529 | 383 | ||
1530 | 00:17:31,859 ~-~-> 00:17:32,939 | ||
1531 | You're going to be spending the majority | ||
1532 | |||
1533 | 384 | ||
1534 | 00:17:32,939 ~-~-> 00:17:34,739 | ||
1535 | your time doing your analysis on these | ||
1536 | |||
1537 | 385 | ||
1538 | 00:17:34,739 ~-~-> 00:17:37,469 | ||
1539 | timeframes. Now it flies in the face of | ||
1540 | |||
1541 | 386 | ||
1542 | 00:17:37,469 ~-~-> 00:17:41,429 | ||
1543 | what you're commonly referred to as this | ||
1544 | |||
1545 | 387 | ||
1546 | 00:17:41,429 ~-~-> 00:17:45,719 | ||
1547 | is too slow. That's fine. That's exactly | ||
1548 | |||
1549 | 388 | ||
1550 | 00:17:45,719 ~-~-> 00:17:46,829 | ||
1551 | what you want, because you're going to | ||
1552 | |||
1553 | 389 | ||
1554 | 00:17:46,829 ~-~-> 00:17:49,259 | ||
1555 | learn later on this and in this episode, | ||
1556 | |||
1557 | 390 | ||
1558 | 00:17:49,589 ~-~-> 00:17:54,329 | ||
1559 | slow is good. Okay. And one of the | ||
1560 | |||
1561 | 391 | ||
1562 | 00:17:54,629 ~-~-> 00:17:56,819 | ||
1563 | central tenants to understanding what | ||
1564 | |||
1565 | 392 | ||
1566 | 00:17:56,819 ~-~-> 00:17:58,379 | ||
1567 | you should be doing as a trader is | ||
1568 | |||
1569 | 393 | ||
1570 | 00:17:58,919 ~-~-> 00:18:02,069 | ||
1571 | understanding what traders are hopefully | ||
1572 | |||
1573 | 394 | ||
1574 | 00:18:02,069 ~-~-> 00:18:03,899 | ||
1575 | trying to capitalize on and that's price | ||
1576 | |||
1577 | 395 | ||
1578 | 00:18:03,899 ~-~-> 00:18:05,519 | ||
1579 | movement. Now I'll give you a quick | ||
1580 | |||
1581 | 396 | ||
1582 | 00:18:05,519 ~-~-> 00:18:06,599 | ||
1583 | question before we go any further. | ||
1584 | |||
1585 | 397 | ||
1586 | 00:18:07,860 ~-~-> 00:18:09,630 | ||
1587 | Can you as a retail trader, | ||
1588 | |||
1589 | 398 | ||
1590 | 00:18:10,409 ~-~-> 00:18:11,219 | ||
1591 | move the market? | ||
1592 | |||
1593 | 399 | ||
1594 | 00:18:13,559 ~-~-> 00:18:14,939 | ||
1595 | No, you can't. | ||
1596 | |||
1597 | 400 | ||
1598 | 00:18:16,139 ~-~-> 00:18:19,409 | ||
1599 | Can we as a group of retail traders | ||
1600 | |||
1601 | 401 | ||
1602 | 00:18:19,409 ~-~-> 00:18:22,409 | ||
1603 | moved to market? Sure, on a short term | ||
1604 | |||
1605 | 402 | ||
1606 | 00:18:22,409 ~-~-> 00:18:24,809 | ||
1607 | basis, but not very much. And we're | ||
1608 | |||
1609 | 403 | ||
1610 | 00:18:24,809 ~-~-> 00:18:26,819 | ||
1611 | talking about a minor little blip in | ||
1612 | |||
1613 | 404 | ||
1614 | 00:18:26,819 ~-~-> 00:18:29,789 | ||
1615 | price action. So who is it that moves | ||
1616 | |||
1617 | 405 | ||
1618 | 00:18:29,789 ~-~-> 00:18:31,889 | ||
1619 | price? Who can take price from these | ||
1620 | |||
1621 | 406 | ||
1622 | 00:18:31,889 ~-~-> 00:18:35,759 | ||
1623 | levels here, all the way down here. They | ||
1624 | |||
1625 | 407 | ||
1626 | 00:18:35,759 ~-~-> 00:18:38,429 | ||
1627 | are the large dominant players or what | ||
1628 | |||
1629 | 408 | ||
1630 | 00:18:38,459 ~-~-> 00:18:40,079 | ||
1631 | is commonly referred to as the smart | ||
1632 | |||
1633 | 409 | ||
1634 | 00:18:40,079 ~-~-> 00:18:43,049 | ||
1635 | money. Same entity takes price from | ||
1636 | |||
1637 | 410 | ||
1638 | 00:18:43,049 ~-~-> 00:18:44,309 | ||
1639 | these levels up to here. | ||
1640 | |||
1641 | 411 | ||
1642 | 00:18:45,119 ~-~-> 00:18:47,459 | ||
1643 | And vice versa from this high and this | ||
1644 | |||
1645 | 412 | ||
1646 | 00:18:47,459 ~-~-> 00:18:47,759 | ||
1647 | low | ||
1648 | |||
1649 | 413 | ||
1650 | 00:18:48,540 ~-~-> 00:18:50,250 | ||
1651 | and this low to these highs | ||
1652 | |||
1653 | 414 | ||
1654 | 00:18:51,420 ~-~-> 00:18:53,730 | ||
1655 | this high down to these lows. | ||
1656 | |||
1657 | 415 | ||
1658 | 00:18:55,079 ~-~-> 00:18:56,999 | ||
1659 | So the question begs is this | ||
1660 | |||
1661 | 416 | ||
1662 | 00:18:58,349 ~-~-> 00:19:00,479 | ||
1663 | if you're not spending time Trying to | ||
1664 | |||
1665 | 417 | ||
1666 | 00:19:00,479 ~-~-> 00:19:03,869 | ||
1667 | learn what it is that they do. Okay, on | ||
1668 | |||
1669 | 418 | ||
1670 | 00:19:03,869 ~-~-> 00:19:07,079 | ||
1671 | a larger timeframes? Aren't you really | ||
1672 | |||
1673 | 419 | ||
1674 | 00:19:07,079 ~-~-> 00:19:09,599 | ||
1675 | shooting in the dark? I mean, you're | ||
1676 | |||
1677 | 420 | ||
1678 | 00:19:09,599 ~-~-> 00:19:11,069 | ||
1679 | really not giving yourself any real, | ||
1680 | |||
1681 | 421 | ||
1682 | 00:19:11,549 ~-~-> 00:19:13,769 | ||
1683 | measurable chance you're stacking the | ||
1684 | |||
1685 | 422 | ||
1686 | 00:19:13,769 ~-~-> 00:19:15,509 | ||
1687 | odds against yourself, if you're looking | ||
1688 | |||
1689 | 423 | ||
1690 | 00:19:15,509 ~-~-> 00:19:18,299 | ||
1691 | at timeframes less than 60 minutes all | ||
1692 | |||
1693 | 424 | ||
1694 | 00:19:18,299 ~-~-> 00:19:20,369 | ||
1695 | the time, because there's no there's no | ||
1696 | |||
1697 | 425 | ||
1698 | 00:19:20,369 ~-~-> 00:19:22,199 | ||
1699 | neon sign jumping out on your chart | ||
1700 | |||
1701 | 426 | ||
1702 | 00:19:22,199 ~-~-> 00:19:24,989 | ||
1703 | saying, Okay, this is a buy. Now, you | ||
1704 | |||
1705 | 427 | ||
1706 | 00:19:24,989 ~-~-> 00:19:26,489 | ||
1707 | may believe that's the case, but I can | ||
1708 | |||
1709 | 428 | ||
1710 | 00:19:26,489 ~-~-> 00:19:29,039 | ||
1711 | assure you that is not how it works. If | ||
1712 | |||
1713 | 429 | ||
1714 | 00:19:29,039 ~-~-> 00:19:31,949 | ||
1715 | you spend the time in the exercises that | ||
1716 | |||
1717 | 430 | ||
1718 | 00:19:31,949 ~-~-> 00:19:32,909 | ||
1719 | we're going to be covering in this | ||
1720 | |||
1721 | 431 | ||
1722 | 00:19:32,909 ~-~-> 00:19:35,999 | ||
1723 | episode, really roll your sleeves up, | ||
1724 | |||
1725 | 432 | ||
1726 | 00:19:36,749 ~-~-> 00:19:38,609 | ||
1727 | get yourself some time in front of the | ||
1728 | |||
1729 | 433 | ||
1730 | 00:19:38,609 ~-~-> 00:19:42,179 | ||
1731 | charts and spend some study not looking | ||
1732 | |||
1733 | 434 | ||
1734 | 00:19:42,179 ~-~-> 00:19:44,189 | ||
1735 | for trades. You want to be studying what | ||
1736 | |||
1737 | 435 | ||
1738 | 00:19:44,189 ~-~-> 00:19:46,409 | ||
1739 | price has done in the past, why it's | ||
1740 | |||
1741 | 436 | ||
1742 | 00:19:46,409 ~-~-> 00:19:49,529 | ||
1743 | behave that way. And I promise you will | ||
1744 | |||
1745 | 437 | ||
1746 | 00:19:49,529 ~-~-> 00:19:51,419 | ||
1747 | activate your reticular activating | ||
1748 | |||
1749 | 438 | ||
1750 | 00:19:51,419 ~-~-> 00:19:53,369 | ||
1751 | system where it basically tells you | ||
1752 | |||
1753 | 439 | ||
1754 | 00:19:54,089 ~-~-> 00:19:55,769 | ||
1755 | every time you see something that you've | ||
1756 | |||
1757 | 440 | ||
1758 | 00:19:55,799 ~-~-> 00:19:58,169 | ||
1759 | grown accustomed to seeing your your | ||
1760 | |||
1761 | 441 | ||
1762 | 00:19:58,169 ~-~-> 00:19:59,849 | ||
1763 | brain will immediately allow that to | ||
1764 | |||
1765 | 442 | ||
1766 | 00:19:59,849 ~-~-> 00:20:01,049 | ||
1767 | happen. Come into your mind and you'll | ||
1768 | |||
1769 | 443 | ||
1770 | 00:20:01,049 ~-~-> 00:20:02,729 | ||
1771 | receive it. And you'll say, Okay, the | ||
1772 | |||
1773 | 444 | ||
1774 | 00:20:02,729 ~-~-> 00:20:05,249 | ||
1775 | last time I saw this happened, this is | ||
1776 | |||
1777 | 445 | ||
1778 | 00:20:05,249 ~-~-> 00:20:08,849 | ||
1779 | what transpired as a later effect. If | ||
1780 | |||
1781 | 446 | ||
1782 | 00:20:08,849 ~-~-> 00:20:11,249 | ||
1783 | you don't first train your mind to see | ||
1784 | |||
1785 | 447 | ||
1786 | 00:20:11,249 ~-~-> 00:20:13,109 | ||
1787 | what it is that prices have done in the | ||
1788 | |||
1789 | 448 | ||
1790 | 00:20:13,109 ~-~-> 00:20:14,609 | ||
1791 | past, and it repeats over and over and | ||
1792 | |||
1793 | 449 | ||
1794 | 00:20:14,609 ~-~-> 00:20:17,759 | ||
1795 | over again, invariably, you're going to | ||
1796 | |||
1797 | 450 | ||
1798 | 00:20:17,759 ~-~-> 00:20:19,619 | ||
1799 | be a better trader because of it. Now, | ||
1800 | |||
1801 | 451 | ||
1802 | 00:20:19,619 ~-~-> 00:20:21,329 | ||
1803 | I'm not saying better trader is | ||
1804 | |||
1805 | 452 | ||
1806 | 00:20:21,329 ~-~-> 00:20:23,519 | ||
1807 | consistently profitable. That's nothing | ||
1808 | |||
1809 | 453 | ||
1810 | 00:20:23,519 ~-~-> 00:20:25,319 | ||
1811 | that I can promise. But I can promise | ||
1812 | |||
1813 | 454 | ||
1814 | 00:20:25,319 ~-~-> 00:20:28,349 | ||
1815 | that you have a much greater grasp on | ||
1816 | |||
1817 | 455 | ||
1818 | 00:20:28,349 ~-~-> 00:20:30,269 | ||
1819 | what price action is doing. So then you | ||
1820 | |||
1821 | 456 | ||
1822 | 00:20:30,269 ~-~-> 00:20:32,669 | ||
1823 | can start applying some concepts, either | ||
1824 | |||
1825 | 457 | ||
1826 | 00:20:32,669 ~-~-> 00:20:34,439 | ||
1827 | from your own repertoire or your toolbox | ||
1828 | |||
1829 | 458 | ||
1830 | 00:20:34,439 ~-~-> 00:20:37,259 | ||
1831 | that will assist you and making trade | ||
1832 | |||
1833 | 459 | ||
1834 | 00:20:37,259 ~-~-> 00:20:39,329 | ||
1835 | decisions. Now, again, I'm not | ||
1836 | |||
1837 | 460 | ||
1838 | 00:20:39,359 ~-~-> 00:20:41,009 | ||
1839 | advocating you use real money, | ||
1840 | |||
1841 | 461 | ||
1842 | 00:20:41,610 ~-~-> 00:20:42,360 | ||
1843 | learn | ||
1844 | |||
1845 | 462 | ||
1846 | 00:20:42,660 ~-~-> 00:20:44,610 | ||
1847 | to develop into the trader that you | ||
1848 | |||
1849 | 463 | ||
1850 | 00:20:44,610 ~-~-> 00:20:47,130 | ||
1851 | aspire to be with these ideas to | ||
1852 | |||
1853 | 464 | ||
1854 | 00:20:47,130 ~-~-> 00:20:49,710 | ||
1855 | stimulate your development. Again, I | ||
1856 | |||
1857 | 465 | ||
1858 | 00:20:49,710 ~-~-> 00:20:51,150 | ||
1859 | don't want to credit for your success, | ||
1860 | |||
1861 | 466 | ||
1862 | 00:20:51,210 ~-~-> 00:20:52,410 | ||
1863 | and I don't want to credit for your | ||
1864 | |||
1865 | 467 | ||
1866 | 00:20:52,410 ~-~-> 00:20:55,080 | ||
1867 | losses either. So please be responsible | ||
1868 | |||
1869 | 468 | ||
1870 | 00:20:55,080 ~-~-> 00:20:56,250 | ||
1871 | with the information I'm presenting with | ||
1872 | |||
1873 | 469 | ||
1874 | 00:20:56,250 ~-~-> 00:20:58,590 | ||
1875 | you in these modules because again, I'm | ||
1876 | |||
1877 | 470 | ||
1878 | 00:20:58,590 ~-~-> 00:21:02,070 | ||
1879 | not act As an advisor, but on the | ||
1880 | |||
1881 | 471 | ||
1882 | 00:21:02,070 ~-~-> 00:21:04,170 | ||
1883 | showing you the things I do in my own | ||
1884 | |||
1885 | 472 | ||
1886 | 00:21:04,170 ~-~-> 00:21:05,730 | ||
1887 | trading and what I've done for almost | ||
1888 | |||
1889 | 473 | ||
1890 | 00:21:05,730 ~-~-> 00:21:08,100 | ||
1891 | two decades, and I promise if you spend | ||
1892 | |||
1893 | 474 | ||
1894 | 00:21:08,100 ~-~-> 00:21:09,330 | ||
1895 | some time with it, you're going to see | ||
1896 | |||
1897 | 475 | ||
1898 | 00:21:09,330 ~-~-> 00:21:13,680 | ||
1899 | some value in it. So we have this 130 60 | ||
1900 | |||
1901 | 476 | ||
1902 | 00:21:13,680 ~-~-> 00:21:16,140 | ||
1903 | level in here, okay, and price starts to | ||
1904 | |||
1905 | 477 | ||
1906 | 00:21:16,140 ~-~-> 00:21:21,360 | ||
1907 | trade off. And as price moves lower, | ||
1908 | |||
1909 | 478 | ||
1910 | 00:21:21,780 ~-~-> 00:21:24,420 | ||
1911 | again, we're eyeballing these levels in | ||
1912 | |||
1913 | 479 | ||
1914 | 00:21:24,420 ~-~-> 00:21:27,180 | ||
1915 | here. Now, as price starts to move into | ||
1916 | |||
1917 | 480 | ||
1918 | 00:21:27,180 ~-~-> 00:21:29,460 | ||
1919 | these lows, we could reasonably expect | ||
1920 | |||
1921 | 481 | ||
1922 | 00:21:29,460 ~-~-> 00:21:32,790 | ||
1923 | to see pauses bounces, but you can see | ||
1924 | |||
1925 | 482 | ||
1926 | 00:21:32,790 ~-~-> 00:21:35,790 | ||
1927 | there's a very large acceleration moving | ||
1928 | |||
1929 | 483 | ||
1930 | 00:21:35,790 ~-~-> 00:21:36,300 | ||
1931 | lower | ||
1932 | |||
1933 | 484 | ||
1934 | 00:21:39,150 ~-~-> 00:21:40,800 | ||
1935 | price just | ||
1936 | |||
1937 | 485 | ||
1938 | 00:21:40,800 ~-~-> 00:21:42,360 | ||
1939 | gets a small little bounce in here, this | ||
1940 | |||
1941 | 486 | ||
1942 | 00:21:42,360 ~-~-> 00:21:44,490 | ||
1943 | little bullish candle, okay, and that's | ||
1944 | |||
1945 | 487 | ||
1946 | 00:21:44,550 ~-~-> 00:21:46,020 | ||
1947 | on the heels of these | ||
1948 | |||
1949 | 488 | ||
1950 | 00:21:46,470 ~-~-> 00:21:48,000 | ||
1951 | lows here. Okay. | ||
1952 | |||
1953 | 489 | ||
1954 | 00:21:48,810 ~-~-> 00:21:50,880 | ||
1955 | But price eventually trades all the way | ||
1956 | |||
1957 | 490 | ||
1958 | 00:21:50,880 ~-~-> 00:21:54,930 | ||
1959 | down right into this 127 70 level, | ||
1960 | |||
1961 | 491 | ||
1962 | 00:21:55,080 ~-~-> 00:21:56,520 | ||
1963 | again, which is that level we have over | ||
1964 | |||
1965 | 492 | ||
1966 | 00:21:56,520 ~-~-> 00:21:59,130 | ||
1967 | here and these lows here | ||
1968 | |||
1969 | 493 | ||
1970 | 00:22:00,000 ~-~-> 00:22:02,880 | ||
1971 | See how price reacts there? Now? | ||
1972 | |||
1973 | 494 | ||
1974 | 00:22:05,250 ~-~-> 00:22:08,100 | ||
1975 | There, there really isn't any magic to | ||
1976 | |||
1977 | 495 | ||
1978 | 00:22:08,100 ~-~-> 00:22:11,520 | ||
1979 | this isn't simply understanding what the | ||
1980 | |||
1981 | 496 | ||
1982 | 00:22:11,520 ~-~-> 00:22:13,020 | ||
1983 | institutions have done in the past at | ||
1984 | |||
1985 | 497 | ||
1986 | 00:22:13,020 ~-~-> 00:22:14,670 | ||
1987 | that particular level. And when price | ||
1988 | |||
1989 | 498 | ||
1990 | 00:22:14,670 ~-~-> 00:22:17,550 | ||
1991 | comes back down to it, we anticipate the | ||
1992 | |||
1993 | 499 | ||
1994 | 00:22:17,550 ~-~-> 00:22:20,340 | ||
1995 | same reaction or similar reaction, in | ||
1996 | |||
1997 | 500 | ||
1998 | 00:22:20,340 ~-~-> 00:22:22,440 | ||
1999 | deference to what price is going to do. | ||
2000 | |||
2001 | 501 | ||
2002 | 00:22:22,710 ~-~-> 00:22:25,320 | ||
2003 | Next. We don't have a crystal ball, we | ||
2004 | |||
2005 | 502 | ||
2006 | 00:22:25,320 ~-~-> 00:22:26,430 | ||
2007 | don't know for sure what's going to | ||
2008 | |||
2009 | 503 | ||
2010 | 00:22:26,430 ~-~-> 00:22:27,900 | ||
2011 | happen, there's no guarantee that it's | ||
2012 | |||
2013 | 504 | ||
2014 | 00:22:27,900 ~-~-> 00:22:29,460 | ||
2015 | going to always transpire like this. So | ||
2016 | |||
2017 | 505 | ||
2018 | 00:22:29,460 ~-~-> 00:22:31,380 | ||
2019 | that's why we use stop loss orders. And | ||
2020 | |||
2021 | 506 | ||
2022 | 00:22:31,380 ~-~-> 00:22:34,200 | ||
2023 | we use sound prudent risk management | ||
2024 | |||
2025 | 507 | ||
2026 | 00:22:34,200 ~-~-> 00:22:37,140 | ||
2027 | modules, models, rather, where it gives | ||
2028 | |||
2029 | 508 | ||
2030 | 00:22:37,170 ~-~-> 00:22:37,650 | ||
2031 | us | ||
2032 | |||
2033 | 509 | ||
2034 | 00:22:37,950 ~-~-> 00:22:38,610 | ||
2035 | a shield. | ||
2036 | |||
2037 | 510 | ||
2038 | 00:22:39,000 ~-~-> 00:22:40,890 | ||
2039 | Okay, we're not we're not expecting | ||
2040 | |||
2041 | 511 | ||
2042 | 00:22:40,890 ~-~-> 00:22:42,810 | ||
2043 | perfection. We're not expecting to know | ||
2044 | |||
2045 | 512 | ||
2046 | 00:22:42,810 ~-~-> 00:22:44,640 | ||
2047 | every single swing in the marketplace. | ||
2048 | |||
2049 | 513 | ||
2050 | 00:22:44,820 ~-~-> 00:22:46,440 | ||
2051 | We're not expecting to not be stopped | ||
2052 | |||
2053 | 514 | ||
2054 | 00:22:46,440 ~-~-> 00:22:48,720 | ||
2055 | out in trades, we're expecting to be | ||
2056 | |||
2057 | 515 | ||
2058 | 00:22:49,110 ~-~-> 00:22:50,670 | ||
2059 | more consistently | ||
2060 | |||
2061 | 516 | ||
2062 | 00:22:51,780 ~-~-> 00:22:52,530 | ||
2063 | positive | ||
2064 | |||
2065 | 517 | ||
2066 | 00:22:52,829 ~-~-> 00:22:55,169 | ||
2067 | than negative and permitting ourselves | ||
2068 | |||
2069 | 518 | ||
2070 | 00:22:55,169 ~-~-> 00:22:57,479 | ||
2071 | to have that occasional and maybe even | ||
2072 | |||
2073 | 519 | ||
2074 | 00:22:57,479 ~-~-> 00:23:01,619 | ||
2075 | string of incorrect I'll use that term | ||
2076 | |||
2077 | 520 | ||
2078 | 00:23:01,619 ~-~-> 00:23:02,759 | ||
2079 | for now because I don't want to talk in | ||
2080 | |||
2081 | 521 | ||
2082 | 00:23:02,759 ~-~-> 00:23:05,759 | ||
2083 | terms of profitability yet in terms of | ||
2084 | |||
2085 | 522 | ||
2086 | 00:23:06,119 ~-~-> 00:23:09,209 | ||
2087 | correctness in our analysis, okay, | ||
2088 | |||
2089 | 523 | ||
2090 | 00:23:09,239 ~-~-> 00:23:12,089 | ||
2091 | that's where you want to be focused on | ||
2092 | |||
2093 | 524 | ||
2094 | 00:23:12,089 ~-~-> 00:23:14,159 | ||
2095 | now you want to be looking at, are you | ||
2096 | |||
2097 | 525 | ||
2098 | 00:23:14,159 ~-~-> 00:23:15,719 | ||
2099 | doing the same thing consistently over | ||
2100 | |||
2101 | 526 | ||
2102 | 00:23:15,719 ~-~-> 00:23:18,209 | ||
2103 | and over and over again, with a large | ||
2104 | |||
2105 | 527 | ||
2106 | 00:23:18,209 ~-~-> 00:23:23,489 | ||
2107 | sample size of data that supports this | ||
2108 | |||
2109 | 528 | ||
2110 | 00:23:23,489 ~-~-> 00:23:25,049 | ||
2111 | theory. Okay, I'm going to give you a | ||
2112 | |||
2113 | 529 | ||
2114 | 00:23:25,049 ~-~-> 00:23:26,969 | ||
2115 | whole lot of things to look at that you | ||
2116 | |||
2117 | 530 | ||
2118 | 00:23:26,969 ~-~-> 00:23:29,039 | ||
2119 | can study on your own. Because I see | ||
2120 | |||
2121 | 531 | ||
2122 | 00:23:29,039 ~-~-> 00:23:33,749 | ||
2123 | this also. If you're new to trading, and | ||
2124 | |||
2125 | 532 | ||
2126 | 00:23:33,749 ~-~-> 00:23:35,579 | ||
2127 | you have your your charts open, maybe | ||
2128 | |||
2129 | 533 | ||
2130 | 00:23:35,579 ~-~-> 00:23:36,839 | ||
2131 | you're at work or maybe you come home | ||
2132 | |||
2133 | 534 | ||
2134 | 00:23:36,839 ~-~-> 00:23:38,789 | ||
2135 | from work and use, you know, over the | ||
2136 | |||
2137 | 535 | ||
2138 | 00:23:38,789 ~-~-> 00:23:40,949 | ||
2139 | table, tennis table yet your laptop or | ||
2140 | |||
2141 | 536 | ||
2142 | 00:23:40,949 ~-~-> 00:23:42,539 | ||
2143 | iPad or whatever it is you may be using | ||
2144 | |||
2145 | 537 | ||
2146 | 00:23:42,539 ~-~-> 00:23:45,599 | ||
2147 | to look at charts. And you're looking at | ||
2148 | |||
2149 | 538 | ||
2150 | 00:23:45,599 ~-~-> 00:23:48,599 | ||
2151 | these price charts and you're staring at | ||
2152 | |||
2153 | 539 | ||
2154 | 00:23:48,599 ~-~-> 00:23:50,729 | ||
2155 | it like a deer in headlights, trying to | ||
2156 | |||
2157 | 540 | ||
2158 | 00:23:50,729 ~-~-> 00:23:52,289 | ||
2159 | figure out what it is that you should be | ||
2160 | |||
2161 | 541 | ||
2162 | 00:23:52,289 ~-~-> 00:23:55,499 | ||
2163 | seeing. A lot of that fog is going to be | ||
2164 | |||
2165 | 542 | ||
2166 | 00:23:55,499 ~-~-> 00:23:57,629 | ||
2167 | lifted. Okay, won't be completely | ||
2168 | |||
2169 | 543 | ||
2170 | 00:23:57,629 ~-~-> 00:23:59,429 | ||
2171 | eradicated but it's gonna be lifted in | ||
2172 | |||
2173 | 544 | ||
2174 | 00:23:59,429 ~-~-> 00:24:00,809 | ||
2175 | this Episode, | ||
2176 | |||
2177 | 545 | ||
2178 | 00:24:00,960 ~-~-> 00:24:01,710 | ||
2179 | okay, so | ||
2180 | |||
2181 | 546 | ||
2182 | 00:24:02,790 ~-~-> 00:24:05,490 | ||
2183 | you can clearly see just by this simple | ||
2184 | |||
2185 | 547 | ||
2186 | 00:24:05,490 ~-~-> 00:24:07,050 | ||
2187 | approach of looking at the higher | ||
2188 | |||
2189 | 548 | ||
2190 | 00:24:07,050 ~-~-> 00:24:10,770 | ||
2191 | timeframe, charts here. Look at the nice | ||
2192 | |||
2193 | 549 | ||
2194 | 00:24:10,770 ~-~-> 00:24:12,690 | ||
2195 | price moves here from this same level | ||
2196 | |||
2197 | 550 | ||
2198 | 00:24:12,690 ~-~-> 00:24:15,540 | ||
2199 | with this highlighted here. Okay? If we | ||
2200 | |||
2201 | 551 | ||
2202 | 00:24:15,540 ~-~-> 00:24:17,760 | ||
2203 | look in terms of pips. Now again, we're | ||
2204 | |||
2205 | 552 | ||
2206 | 00:24:17,760 ~-~-> 00:24:19,530 | ||
2207 | not expecting to get the entire move, | ||
2208 | |||
2209 | 553 | ||
2210 | 00:24:19,530 ~-~-> 00:24:21,120 | ||
2211 | guys, please don't build that as an | ||
2212 | |||
2213 | 554 | ||
2214 | 00:24:21,120 ~-~-> 00:24:23,550 | ||
2215 | expectation on your part. But if you | ||
2216 | |||
2217 | 555 | ||
2218 | 00:24:23,550 ~-~-> 00:24:25,710 | ||
2219 | look at that move from that level down | ||
2220 | |||
2221 | 556 | ||
2222 | 00:24:25,710 ~-~-> 00:24:29,370 | ||
2223 | to this level, that's 292 pips. That's | ||
2224 | |||
2225 | 557 | ||
2226 | 00:24:29,370 ~-~-> 00:24:31,440 | ||
2227 | pretty respectable. Now again, these are | ||
2228 | |||
2229 | 558 | ||
2230 | 00:24:31,440 ~-~-> 00:24:33,330 | ||
2231 | all daily candles, so it's less than a | ||
2232 | |||
2233 | 559 | ||
2234 | 00:24:33,330 ~-~-> 00:24:36,960 | ||
2235 | month. So if you break that down, it's | ||
2236 | |||
2237 | 560 | ||
2238 | 00:24:36,960 ~-~-> 00:24:40,500 | ||
2239 | pretty. It's a pretty good month. I know | ||
2240 | |||
2241 | 561 | ||
2242 | 00:24:40,500 ~-~-> 00:24:41,430 | ||
2243 | you're probably scratching Hey, wait a | ||
2244 | |||
2245 | 562 | ||
2246 | 00:24:41,430 ~-~-> 00:24:43,530 | ||
2247 | minute, I'm not making 500 pips a week. | ||
2248 | |||
2249 | 563 | ||
2250 | 00:24:43,650 ~-~-> 00:24:46,620 | ||
2251 | No, I don't shoot for those types of | ||
2252 | |||
2253 | 564 | ||
2254 | 00:24:46,620 ~-~-> 00:24:48,870 | ||
2255 | levels in terms of tips, because there's | ||
2256 | |||
2257 | 565 | ||
2258 | 00:24:48,870 ~-~-> 00:24:50,190 | ||
2259 | no guarantee you're gonna get that high. | ||
2260 | |||
2261 | 566 | ||
2262 | 00:24:50,490 ~-~-> 00:24:54,510 | ||
2263 | Two. It puts an own realistic level of | ||
2264 | |||
2265 | 567 | ||
2266 | 00:24:54,510 ~-~-> 00:24:58,560 | ||
2267 | expectation as a trader should not be | ||
2268 | |||
2269 | 568 | ||
2270 | 00:24:58,560 ~-~-> 00:25:00,270 | ||
2271 | doing as they're developing. Even A | ||
2272 | |||
2273 | 569 | ||
2274 | 00:25:00,270 ~-~-> 00:25:03,150 | ||
2275 | seasoned pro. I'm not gonna, you know, | ||
2276 | |||
2277 | 570 | ||
2278 | 00:25:03,390 ~-~-> 00:25:05,670 | ||
2279 | well, yeah, I guess I will I am, I could | ||
2280 | |||
2281 | 571 | ||
2282 | 00:25:05,670 ~-~-> 00:25:07,740 | ||
2283 | guess I would be able to be classified | ||
2284 | |||
2285 | 572 | ||
2286 | 00:25:07,740 ~-~-> 00:25:09,450 | ||
2287 | as a seasoned pro me almost two decades | ||
2288 | |||
2289 | 573 | ||
2290 | 00:25:09,450 ~-~-> 00:25:12,360 | ||
2291 | of doing it. Not specifically for expert | ||
2292 | |||
2293 | 574 | ||
2294 | 00:25:12,360 ~-~-> 00:25:16,620 | ||
2295 | trading, I think I would fall in the | ||
2296 | |||
2297 | 575 | ||
2298 | 00:25:16,620 ~-~-> 00:25:19,800 | ||
2299 | category as a seasoned pro. And I don't | ||
2300 | |||
2301 | 576 | ||
2302 | 00:25:20,070 ~-~-> 00:25:22,110 | ||
2303 | have these high level expectations that | ||
2304 | |||
2305 | 577 | ||
2306 | 00:25:22,290 ~-~-> 00:25:26,160 | ||
2307 | new traders are expecting and I, I | ||
2308 | |||
2309 | 578 | ||
2310 | 00:25:26,160 ~-~-> 00:25:28,320 | ||
2311 | consider myself pretty avid in terms of | ||
2312 | |||
2313 | 579 | ||
2314 | 00:25:29,940 ~-~-> 00:25:31,860 | ||
2315 | price action, understanding, and | ||
2316 | |||
2317 | 580 | ||
2318 | 00:25:32,550 ~-~-> 00:25:35,250 | ||
2319 | I have a good feel what price is trying | ||
2320 | |||
2321 | 581 | ||
2322 | 00:25:35,250 ~-~-> 00:25:38,310 | ||
2323 | to do on any market any timeframe. But | ||
2324 | |||
2325 | 582 | ||
2326 | 00:25:38,310 ~-~-> 00:25:39,300 | ||
2327 | it doesn't mean I'm in there every | ||
2328 | |||
2329 | 583 | ||
2330 | 00:25:39,300 ~-~-> 00:25:41,880 | ||
2331 | single day, 15 times a day, because the | ||
2332 | |||
2333 | 584 | ||
2334 | 00:25:41,880 ~-~-> 00:25:43,530 | ||
2335 | common question is okay, once you | ||
2336 | |||
2337 | 585 | ||
2338 | 00:25:43,530 ~-~-> 00:25:45,090 | ||
2339 | understand that you understand more and | ||
2340 | |||
2341 | 586 | ||
2342 | 00:25:45,090 ~-~-> 00:25:46,980 | ||
2343 | more and more of it, then you can start | ||
2344 | |||
2345 | 587 | ||
2346 | 00:25:46,980 ~-~-> 00:25:49,080 | ||
2347 | trading more in terms of levers, you can | ||
2348 | |||
2349 | 588 | ||
2350 | 00:25:49,170 ~-~-> 00:25:50,490 | ||
2351 | take more trades and therefore you're | ||
2352 | |||
2353 | 589 | ||
2354 | 00:25:50,490 ~-~-> 00:25:52,140 | ||
2355 | going to be super rich and you can be | ||
2356 | |||
2357 | 590 | ||
2358 | 00:25:52,140 ~-~-> 00:25:55,500 | ||
2359 | the next George Soros. And that's not | ||
2360 | |||
2361 | 591 | ||
2362 | 00:25:55,500 ~-~-> 00:25:57,570 | ||
2363 | what happens. Okay? Because what happens | ||
2364 | |||
2365 | 592 | ||
2366 | 00:25:57,570 ~-~-> 00:25:59,970 | ||
2367 | is you eventually grow comfortable with | ||
2368 | |||
2369 | 593 | ||
2370 | 00:26:00,000 ~-~-> 00:26:01,290 | ||
2371 | The fact that you don't have to be in | ||
2372 | |||
2373 | 594 | ||
2374 | 00:26:01,290 ~-~-> 00:26:02,970 | ||
2375 | front of charts all the time, life is | ||
2376 | |||
2377 | 595 | ||
2378 | 00:26:02,970 ~-~-> 00:26:05,100 | ||
2379 | out there. And I like being a part of | ||
2380 | |||
2381 | 596 | ||
2382 | 00:26:05,100 ~-~-> 00:26:08,130 | ||
2383 | it. So don't think because you're | ||
2384 | |||
2385 | 597 | ||
2386 | 00:26:08,130 ~-~-> 00:26:09,480 | ||
2387 | learning all these concepts that you | ||
2388 | |||
2389 | 598 | ||
2390 | 00:26:09,480 ~-~-> 00:26:11,280 | ||
2391 | should be spending even more time | ||
2392 | |||
2393 | 599 | ||
2394 | 00:26:11,280 ~-~-> 00:26:14,370 | ||
2395 | trading. In fact, I'm hopefully gonna | ||
2396 | |||
2397 | 600 | ||
2398 | 00:26:14,400 ~-~-> 00:26:16,620 | ||
2399 | take your hand away from the keyboard | ||
2400 | |||
2401 | 601 | ||
2402 | 00:26:16,800 ~-~-> 00:26:18,600 | ||
2403 | and the mouse, so you don't trade all | ||
2404 | |||
2405 | 602 | ||
2406 | 00:26:18,600 ~-~-> 00:26:19,530 | ||
2407 | the time, and you're just gonna be | ||
2408 | |||
2409 | 603 | ||
2410 | 00:26:19,530 ~-~-> 00:26:21,870 | ||
2411 | looking for these really cheery setups. | ||
2412 | |||
2413 | 604 | ||
2414 | 00:26:22,350 ~-~-> 00:26:23,640 | ||
2415 | And that will allow you to go to the | ||
2416 | |||
2417 | 605 | ||
2418 | 00:26:23,640 ~-~-> 00:26:25,770 | ||
2419 | market and pull out when it's highly | ||
2420 | |||
2421 | 606 | ||
2422 | 00:26:26,400 ~-~-> 00:26:28,830 | ||
2423 | stacked in your favor versus what | ||
2424 | |||
2425 | 607 | ||
2426 | 00:26:28,860 ~-~-> 00:26:31,500 | ||
2427 | majority of you guys do. As new traders, | ||
2428 | |||
2429 | 608 | ||
2430 | 00:26:31,500 ~-~-> 00:26:32,850 | ||
2431 | you turn the chart on simply because you | ||
2432 | |||
2433 | 609 | ||
2434 | 00:26:32,850 ~-~-> 00:26:34,650 | ||
2435 | sat down after work, it's time to make | ||
2436 | |||
2437 | 610 | ||
2438 | 00:26:34,650 ~-~-> 00:26:34,980 | ||
2439 | money. | ||
2440 | |||
2441 | 611 | ||
2442 | 00:26:35,460 ~-~-> 00:26:36,840 | ||
2443 | It doesn't work like that, guys. | ||
2444 | |||
2445 | 612 | ||
2446 | 00:26:37,079 ~-~-> 00:26:39,959 | ||
2447 | Okay, so, again, this level here, | ||
2448 | |||
2449 | 613 | ||
2450 | 00:26:40,469 ~-~-> 00:26:42,509 | ||
2451 | something we could arrive at, simply | ||
2452 | |||
2453 | 614 | ||
2454 | 00:26:42,509 ~-~-> 00:26:44,939 | ||
2455 | based on old highs and low lows, and | ||
2456 | |||
2457 | 615 | ||
2458 | 00:26:44,939 ~-~-> 00:26:47,369 | ||
2459 | again, using the daily timeframe, okay. | ||
2460 | |||
2461 | 616 | ||
2462 | 00:26:47,879 ~-~-> 00:26:49,079 | ||
2463 | And there's a whole lot of other things | ||
2464 | |||
2465 | 617 | ||
2466 | 00:26:49,079 ~-~-> 00:26:50,369 | ||
2467 | that we're going to talk about not in | ||
2468 | |||
2469 | 618 | ||
2470 | 00:26:50,369 ~-~-> 00:26:52,019 | ||
2471 | this module, but when we get down to | ||
2472 | |||
2473 | 619 | ||
2474 | 00:26:52,019 ~-~-> 00:26:54,479 | ||
2475 | actually understanding how it is that we | ||
2476 | |||
2477 | 620 | ||
2478 | 00:26:54,479 ~-~-> 00:26:57,209 | ||
2479 | take trades and entries and such. We're | ||
2480 | |||
2481 | 621 | ||
2482 | 00:26:57,209 ~-~-> 00:26:58,649 | ||
2483 | going to get in here and start breaking | ||
2484 | |||
2485 | 622 | ||
2486 | 00:26:58,649 ~-~-> 00:27:01,319 | ||
2487 | down these little points of which you | ||
2488 | |||
2489 | 623 | ||
2490 | 00:27:01,319 ~-~-> 00:27:05,549 | ||
2491 | can use to fine tune a specific entry | ||
2492 | |||
2493 | 624 | ||
2494 | 00:27:05,549 ~-~-> 00:27:08,519 | ||
2495 | point and reasonable expectations and | ||
2496 | |||
2497 | 625 | ||
2498 | 00:27:08,549 ~-~-> 00:27:10,529 | ||
2499 | why where and why price is going to | ||
2500 | |||
2501 | 626 | ||
2502 | 00:27:10,919 ~-~-> 00:27:13,859 | ||
2503 | bounce and move extrapolated. Price | ||
2504 | |||
2505 | 627 | ||
2506 | 00:27:13,859 ~-~-> 00:27:17,249 | ||
2507 | surges and drops in like this here. | ||
2508 | |||
2509 | 628 | ||
2510 | 00:27:17,549 ~-~-> 00:27:19,439 | ||
2511 | Okay, we just covered this one here. Now | ||
2512 | |||
2513 | 629 | ||
2514 | 00:27:19,469 ~-~-> 00:27:20,429 | ||
2515 | we're not going to beat it to death | ||
2516 | |||
2517 | 630 | ||
2518 | 00:27:20,429 ~-~-> 00:27:21,479 | ||
2519 | because we are going to be breaking down | ||
2520 | |||
2521 | 631 | ||
2522 | 00:27:21,479 ~-~-> 00:27:25,319 | ||
2523 | this little section of price action. But | ||
2524 | |||
2525 | 632 | ||
2526 | 00:27:25,349 ~-~-> 00:27:27,659 | ||
2527 | moving ahead, you can see price does | ||
2528 | |||
2529 | 633 | ||
2530 | 00:27:27,659 ~-~-> 00:27:30,419 | ||
2531 | have a very, very aggressive move | ||
2532 | |||
2533 | 634 | ||
2534 | 00:27:30,719 ~-~-> 00:27:32,999 | ||
2535 | higher. And then we start to consolidate | ||
2536 | |||
2537 | 635 | ||
2538 | 00:27:32,999 ~-~-> 00:27:35,639 | ||
2539 | look at the wicks. Okay, see the wicks, | ||
2540 | |||
2541 | 636 | ||
2542 | 00:27:36,089 ~-~-> 00:27:38,339 | ||
2543 | they're all stabbing through that 3060 | ||
2544 | |||
2545 | 637 | ||
2546 | 00:27:38,339 ~-~-> 00:27:39,989 | ||
2547 | level but the bodies are having a hard | ||
2548 | |||
2549 | 638 | ||
2550 | 00:27:39,989 ~-~-> 00:27:42,509 | ||
2551 | time making any measurable move lower, | ||
2552 | |||
2553 | 639 | ||
2554 | 00:27:42,509 ~-~-> 00:27:43,139 | ||
2555 | you see that | ||
2556 | |||
2557 | 640 | ||
2558 | 00:27:44,250 ~-~-> 00:27:45,330 | ||
2559 | and watch what happens. | ||
2560 | |||
2561 | 641 | ||
2562 | 00:27:50,130 ~-~-> 00:27:54,210 | ||
2563 | The same level now. Okay, becomes an | ||
2564 | |||
2565 | 642 | ||
2566 | 00:27:54,210 ~-~-> 00:27:56,760 | ||
2567 | inversion level where it was support | ||
2568 | |||
2569 | 643 | ||
2570 | 00:27:56,760 ~-~-> 00:28:01,320 | ||
2571 | here. Invert. Now. It's changed it Roll | ||
2572 | |||
2573 | 644 | ||
2574 | 00:28:01,740 ~-~-> 00:28:04,620 | ||
2575 | and now acts as resistance. And as price | ||
2576 | |||
2577 | 645 | ||
2578 | 00:28:04,620 ~-~-> 00:28:07,140 | ||
2579 | comes right through it again here. Now | ||
2580 | |||
2581 | 646 | ||
2582 | 00:28:07,140 ~-~-> 00:28:09,210 | ||
2583 | one northern side of it again. So now it | ||
2584 | |||
2585 | 647 | ||
2586 | 00:28:09,210 ~-~-> 00:28:12,690 | ||
2587 | resumes its roll of what support. Okay, | ||
2588 | |||
2589 | 648 | ||
2590 | 00:28:12,900 ~-~-> 00:28:15,030 | ||
2591 | so this tells you that the institutions | ||
2592 | |||
2593 | 649 | ||
2594 | 00:28:15,570 ~-~-> 00:28:18,180 | ||
2595 | are doing some pretty significant | ||
2596 | |||
2597 | 650 | ||
2598 | 00:28:18,180 ~-~-> 00:28:19,920 | ||
2599 | dealings around this level here. | ||
2600 | |||
2601 | 651 | ||
2602 | 00:28:20,459 ~-~-> 00:28:20,819 | ||
2603 | Okay, | ||
2604 | |||
2605 | 652 | ||
2606 | 00:28:21,119 ~-~-> 00:28:24,209 | ||
2607 | so as price moves away from here, and if | ||
2608 | |||
2609 | 653 | ||
2610 | 00:28:24,209 ~-~-> 00:28:25,799 | ||
2611 | you see any kind of type of retracement | ||
2612 | |||
2613 | 654 | ||
2614 | 00:28:25,799 ~-~-> 00:28:27,959 | ||
2615 | here, this is when you can start to hunt | ||
2616 | |||
2617 | 655 | ||
2618 | 00:28:28,169 ~-~-> 00:28:30,209 | ||
2619 | a buy opportunity because now we can | ||
2620 | |||
2621 | 656 | ||
2622 | 00:28:30,209 ~-~-> 00:28:33,419 | ||
2623 | trust with a certain measure of | ||
2624 | |||
2625 | 657 | ||
2626 | 00:28:33,419 ~-~-> 00:28:35,429 | ||
2627 | expectation that this has now gone to | ||
2628 | |||
2629 | 658 | ||
2630 | 00:28:35,819 ~-~-> 00:28:39,509 | ||
2631 | potentially hold price above that 130 60 | ||
2632 | |||
2633 | 659 | ||
2634 | 00:28:39,509 ~-~-> 00:28:47,039 | ||
2635 | level. The price rally up here, this | ||
2636 | |||
2637 | 660 | ||
2638 | 00:28:47,039 ~-~-> 00:28:49,829 | ||
2639 | level here becomes sensitive because | ||
2640 | |||
2641 | 661 | ||
2642 | 00:28:50,219 ~-~-> 00:28:53,159 | ||
2643 | this old low here, which is these old | ||
2644 | |||
2645 | 662 | ||
2646 | 00:28:53,159 ~-~-> 00:28:55,799 | ||
2647 | highs here, okay, so again, we're | ||
2648 | |||
2649 | 663 | ||
2650 | 00:28:55,799 ~-~-> 00:28:58,799 | ||
2651 | looking and studying not just okay, well | ||
2652 | |||
2653 | 664 | ||
2654 | 00:28:58,799 ~-~-> 00:29:00,629 | ||
2655 | I'm gonna grab this high and this low If | ||
2656 | |||
2657 | 665 | ||
2658 | 00:29:00,629 ~-~-> 00:29:02,609 | ||
2659 | you just look at these highs and lows, | ||
2660 | |||
2661 | 666 | ||
2662 | 00:29:02,789 ~-~-> 00:29:04,919 | ||
2663 | it's this low and this high, until price | ||
2664 | |||
2665 | 667 | ||
2666 | 00:29:04,919 ~-~-> 00:29:06,779 | ||
2667 | gets these levels all long time you're | ||
2668 | |||
2669 | 668 | ||
2670 | 00:29:06,779 ~-~-> 00:29:08,999 | ||
2671 | waiting for, you're gonna, you're gonna | ||
2672 | |||
2673 | 669 | ||
2674 | 00:29:08,999 ~-~-> 00:29:09,989 | ||
2675 | be doing a whole lot of trading. So what | ||
2676 | |||
2677 | 670 | ||
2678 | 00:29:09,989 ~-~-> 00:29:11,249 | ||
2679 | are you gonna do, you're going to chase | ||
2680 | |||
2681 | 671 | ||
2682 | 00:29:11,249 ~-~-> 00:29:13,049 | ||
2683 | systems, you're going to chase something | ||
2684 | |||
2685 | 672 | ||
2686 | 00:29:13,049 ~-~-> 00:29:16,829 | ||
2687 | that you know, is more active. Okay? And | ||
2688 | |||
2689 | 673 | ||
2690 | 00:29:17,789 ~-~-> 00:29:19,559 | ||
2691 | that's problematic for a new trader | ||
2692 | |||
2693 | 674 | ||
2694 | 00:29:19,559 ~-~-> 00:29:21,209 | ||
2695 | because it's not about how many trades | ||
2696 | |||
2697 | 675 | ||
2698 | 00:29:21,209 ~-~-> 00:29:24,419 | ||
2699 | you take, it's the quality of the trades | ||
2700 | |||
2701 | 676 | ||
2702 | 00:29:24,509 ~-~-> 00:29:27,989 | ||
2703 | that you take. Okay, so now, when price | ||
2704 | |||
2705 | 677 | ||
2706 | 00:29:27,989 ~-~-> 00:29:30,239 | ||
2707 | moves away from this level here, we can | ||
2708 | |||
2709 | 678 | ||
2710 | 00:29:30,239 ~-~-> 00:29:32,939 | ||
2711 | start looking for other specific price | ||
2712 | |||
2713 | 679 | ||
2714 | 00:29:32,939 ~-~-> 00:29:36,059 | ||
2715 | points that will aid us in support | ||
2716 | |||
2717 | 680 | ||
2718 | 00:29:36,059 ~-~-> 00:29:36,719 | ||
2719 | resistance. | ||
2720 | |||
2721 | 681 | ||
2722 | 00:29:37,709 ~-~-> 00:29:39,509 | ||
2723 | Now, these old highs here, | ||
2724 | |||
2725 | 682 | ||
2726 | 00:29:40,439 ~-~-> 00:29:41,999 | ||
2727 | price trades right up into them again, | ||
2728 | |||
2729 | 683 | ||
2730 | 00:29:42,509 ~-~-> 00:29:45,929 | ||
2731 | okay, and then trades off. Now. Again, | ||
2732 | |||
2733 | 684 | ||
2734 | 00:29:45,929 ~-~-> 00:29:48,569 | ||
2735 | it's not about capturing every single | ||
2736 | |||
2737 | 685 | ||
2738 | 00:29:49,169 ~-~-> 00:29:51,299 | ||
2739 | major high and low, you just want | ||
2740 | |||
2741 | 686 | ||
2742 | 00:29:51,299 ~-~-> 00:29:53,639 | ||
2743 | trading opportunities. Just in this | ||
2744 | |||
2745 | 687 | ||
2746 | 00:29:53,669 ~-~-> 00:29:57,329 | ||
2747 | price swing, here's 191 pips, just this | ||
2748 | |||
2749 | 688 | ||
2750 | 00:29:57,389 ~-~-> 00:29:58,859 | ||
2751 | hundred 91 pips and we're talking about | ||
2752 | |||
2753 | 689 | ||
2754 | 00:29:58,859 ~-~-> 00:30:00,989 | ||
2755 | a week's worth of trading. And then | ||
2756 | |||
2757 | 690 | ||
2758 | 00:30:00,989 ~-~-> 00:30:04,139 | ||
2759 | price does what it snaps off again what | ||
2760 | |||
2761 | 691 | ||
2762 | 00:30:04,139 ~-~-> 00:30:05,519 | ||
2763 | did this rally take | ||
2764 | |||
2765 | 692 | ||
2766 | 00:30:07,290 ~-~-> 00:30:08,160 | ||
2767 | action off of | ||
2768 | |||
2769 | 693 | ||
2770 | 00:30:09,510 ~-~-> 00:30:10,620 | ||
2771 | see this high here | ||
2772 | |||
2773 | 694 | ||
2774 | 00:30:12,660 ~-~-> 00:30:15,600 | ||
2775 | see this swing low in here | ||
2776 | |||
2777 | 695 | ||
2778 | 00:30:17,400 ~-~-> 00:30:21,570 | ||
2779 | you have a lot of body candles and then | ||
2780 | |||
2781 | 696 | ||
2782 | 00:30:21,570 ~-~-> 00:30:26,400 | ||
2783 | boom here you see price rally up price | ||
2784 | |||
2785 | 697 | ||
2786 | 00:30:26,400 ~-~-> 00:30:31,320 | ||
2787 | punches through this high in this high | ||
2788 | |||
2789 | 698 | ||
2790 | 00:30:33,000 ~-~-> 00:30:36,600 | ||
2791 | and gives us a reaction here and then | ||
2792 | |||
2793 | 699 | ||
2794 | 00:30:36,600 ~-~-> 00:30:40,050 | ||
2795 | trades back into this candle as well. | ||
2796 | |||
2797 | 700 | ||
2798 | 00:30:41,610 ~-~-> 00:30:43,290 | ||
2799 | We're going to be looking at two | ||
2800 | |||
2801 | 701 | ||
2802 | 00:30:43,470 ~-~-> 00:30:47,190 | ||
2803 | sections of this market and we're gonna | ||
2804 | |||
2805 | 702 | ||
2806 | 00:30:47,190 ~-~-> 00:30:50,400 | ||
2807 | be looking at this move here and we're | ||
2808 | |||
2809 | 703 | ||
2810 | 00:30:50,400 ~-~-> 00:30:52,500 | ||
2811 | gonna be looking at this move down here | ||
2812 | |||
2813 | 704 | ||
2814 | 00:30:52,500 ~-~-> 00:30:55,110 | ||
2815 | so we're gonna be looking at trending | ||
2816 | |||
2817 | 705 | ||
2818 | 00:30:55,110 ~-~-> 00:30:56,790 | ||
2819 | environment which is what this is here | ||
2820 | |||
2821 | 706 | ||
2822 | 00:30:57,420 ~-~-> 00:31:00,570 | ||
2823 | and potential reversal area. We're gonna | ||
2824 | |||
2825 | 707 | ||
2826 | 00:31:00,570 ~-~-> 00:31:01,710 | ||
2827 | be looking at | ||
2828 | |||
2829 | 708 | ||
2830 | 00:31:02,130 ~-~-> 00:31:04,260 | ||
2831 | this specific | ||
2832 | |||
2833 | 709 | ||
2834 | 00:31:05,579 ~-~-> 00:31:08,579 | ||
2835 | price sample here. And it's a little bit | ||
2836 | |||
2837 | 710 | ||
2838 | 00:31:08,819 ~-~-> 00:31:11,339 | ||
2839 | different characteristic of this. That | ||
2840 | |||
2841 | 711 | ||
2842 | 00:31:11,339 ~-~-> 00:31:15,809 | ||
2843 | will not be so notable here. Okay, but | ||
2844 | |||
2845 | 712 | ||
2846 | 00:31:15,809 ~-~-> 00:31:18,569 | ||
2847 | we'll talk about it in in greater detail | ||
2848 | |||
2849 | 713 | ||
2850 | 00:31:18,929 ~-~-> 00:31:20,849 | ||
2851 | in other episodes but let's For now, | ||
2852 | |||
2853 | 714 | ||
2854 | 00:31:21,329 ~-~-> 00:31:22,889 | ||
2855 | let's take a look at this section and | ||
2856 | |||
2857 | 715 | ||
2858 | 00:31:22,889 ~-~-> 00:31:30,269 | ||
2859 | price action first. Okay, we are in that | ||
2860 | |||
2861 | 716 | ||
2862 | 00:31:31,169 ~-~-> 00:31:33,059 | ||
2863 | small little section of | ||
2864 | |||
2865 | 717 | ||
2866 | 00:31:34,500 ~-~-> 00:31:36,450 | ||
2867 | price. And what I'm going to do is I'm | ||
2868 | |||
2869 | 718 | ||
2870 | 00:31:36,450 ~-~-> 00:31:36,900 | ||
2871 | just gonna | ||
2872 | |||
2873 | 719 | ||
2874 | 00:31:38,310 ~-~-> 00:31:38,970 | ||
2875 | pull up | ||
2876 | |||
2877 | 720 | ||
2878 | 00:31:44,430 ~-~-> 00:31:46,140 | ||
2879 | this area here, as you can see | ||
2880 | |||
2881 | 721 | ||
2882 | 00:31:48,180 ~-~-> 00:31:51,210 | ||
2883 | now, the first episode I talked about, | ||
2884 | |||
2885 | 722 | ||
2886 | 00:31:51,390 ~-~-> 00:31:56,610 | ||
2887 | looking at the first of July, took about | ||
2888 | |||
2889 | 723 | ||
2890 | 00:31:56,610 ~-~-> 00:31:59,880 | ||
2891 | the ninth of July, okay and I wanted you | ||
2892 | |||
2893 | 724 | ||
2894 | 00:31:59,880 ~-~-> 00:32:03,150 | ||
2895 | to study what price was doing and all | ||
2896 | |||
2897 | 725 | ||
2898 | 00:32:03,150 ~-~-> 00:32:06,450 | ||
2899 | this sample size of data. Now again, we | ||
2900 | |||
2901 | 726 | ||
2902 | 00:32:06,450 ~-~-> 00:32:09,240 | ||
2903 | were talking about that section, this is | ||
2904 | |||
2905 | 727 | ||
2906 | 00:32:09,240 ~-~-> 00:32:11,040 | ||
2907 | where price was moving down, trading | ||
2908 | |||
2909 | 728 | ||
2910 | 00:32:11,040 ~-~-> 00:32:13,140 | ||
2911 | Lower, lower, lower aggressively, again | ||
2912 | |||
2913 | 729 | ||
2914 | 00:32:13,140 ~-~-> 00:32:16,620 | ||
2915 | off that 130 60 level that we noted. And | ||
2916 | |||
2917 | 730 | ||
2918 | 00:32:16,620 ~-~-> 00:32:18,780 | ||
2919 | again, I'm going to add that level back | ||
2920 | |||
2921 | 731 | ||
2922 | 00:32:18,780 ~-~-> 00:32:21,480 | ||
2923 | here so you can see it. Okay, and this | ||
2924 | |||
2925 | 732 | ||
2926 | 00:32:21,480 ~-~-> 00:32:24,060 | ||
2927 | is that daily move where it trades right | ||
2928 | |||
2929 | 733 | ||
2930 | 00:32:24,060 ~-~-> 00:32:27,060 | ||
2931 | up into it, and then had a bearish move | ||
2932 | |||
2933 | 734 | ||
2934 | 00:32:27,060 ~-~-> 00:32:29,460 | ||
2935 | lower. Okay, and then we started to move | ||
2936 | |||
2937 | 735 | ||
2938 | 00:32:29,460 ~-~-> 00:32:33,450 | ||
2939 | lower, and lower and lower. Because we | ||
2940 | |||
2941 | 736 | ||
2942 | 00:32:33,450 ~-~-> 00:32:36,270 | ||
2943 | study the higher timeframe, we can | ||
2944 | |||
2945 | 737 | ||
2946 | 00:32:36,270 ~-~-> 00:32:39,960 | ||
2947 | discern where the institutions and large | ||
2948 | |||
2949 | 738 | ||
2950 | 00:32:39,960 ~-~-> 00:32:46,500 | ||
2951 | traders are more apt to muscle, if you | ||
2952 | |||
2953 | 739 | ||
2954 | 00:32:46,500 ~-~-> 00:32:49,470 | ||
2955 | will, the price of a particular market | ||
2956 | |||
2957 | 740 | ||
2958 | 00:32:49,470 ~-~-> 00:32:51,270 | ||
2959 | one direction or the other. You as a | ||
2960 | |||
2961 | 741 | ||
2962 | 00:32:51,270 ~-~-> 00:32:53,520 | ||
2963 | retail trader me as a retail trader. I | ||
2964 | |||
2965 | 742 | ||
2966 | 00:32:53,520 ~-~-> 00:32:56,460 | ||
2967 | can't move the market, I have to rely on | ||
2968 | |||
2969 | 743 | ||
2970 | 00:32:56,460 ~-~-> 00:32:59,790 | ||
2971 | the entities that are large enough. | ||
2972 | |||
2973 | 744 | ||
2974 | 00:33:00,240 ~-~-> 00:33:03,780 | ||
2975 | Their orders and their buying and | ||
2976 | |||
2977 | 745 | ||
2978 | 00:33:03,780 ~-~-> 00:33:09,240 | ||
2979 | selling pull price out of the current | ||
2980 | |||
2981 | 746 | ||
2982 | 00:33:09,600 ~-~-> 00:33:11,670 | ||
2983 | status that it's at right now. For | ||
2984 | |||
2985 | 747 | ||
2986 | 00:33:11,670 ~-~-> 00:33:13,650 | ||
2987 | instance, when price was trading around | ||
2988 | |||
2989 | 748 | ||
2990 | 00:33:13,650 ~-~-> 00:33:16,170 | ||
2991 | that 130 60 level on here. | ||
2992 | |||
2993 | 749 | ||
2994 | 00:33:18,359 ~-~-> 00:33:19,919 | ||
2995 | Let me fix this level here. | ||
2996 | |||
2997 | 750 | ||
2998 | 00:33:24,990 ~-~-> 00:33:26,190 | ||
2999 | When it's trading here, | ||
3000 | |||
3001 | 751 | ||
3002 | 00:33:27,540 ~-~-> 00:33:29,820 | ||
3003 | large institutions come in and he put | ||
3004 | |||
3005 | 752 | ||
3006 | 00:33:29,910 ~-~-> 00:33:33,210 | ||
3007 | big orders through, okay? But they don't | ||
3008 | |||
3009 | 753 | ||
3010 | 00:33:33,210 ~-~-> 00:33:35,970 | ||
3011 | put all their orders in at one time. | ||
3012 | |||
3013 | 754 | ||
3014 | 00:33:36,000 ~-~-> 00:33:38,460 | ||
3015 | They have to work that order in because | ||
3016 | |||
3017 | 755 | ||
3018 | 00:33:38,460 ~-~-> 00:33:39,630 | ||
3019 | they're not like you and I were we're | ||
3020 | |||
3021 | 756 | ||
3022 | 00:33:39,630 ~-~-> 00:33:44,430 | ||
3023 | hoping to trade you know 100,000 of | ||
3024 | |||
3025 | 757 | ||
3026 | 00:33:44,430 ~-~-> 00:33:46,200 | ||
3027 | Euro, okay, they're not worrying about | ||
3028 | |||
3029 | 758 | ||
3030 | 00:33:46,200 ~-~-> 00:33:48,600 | ||
3031 | making $10 a pip, you they're moving | ||
3032 | |||
3033 | 759 | ||
3034 | 00:33:48,600 ~-~-> 00:33:52,950 | ||
3035 | massive blocks of price orders that | ||
3036 | |||
3037 | 760 | ||
3038 | 00:33:53,100 ~-~-> 00:33:56,640 | ||
3039 | hopefully can be filled before price | ||
3040 | |||
3041 | 761 | ||
3042 | 00:33:56,640 ~-~-> 00:33:59,340 | ||
3043 | starts to move away. So as price moves | ||
3044 | |||
3045 | 762 | ||
3046 | 00:33:59,340 ~-~-> 00:34:01,770 | ||
3047 | into these levels, They're putting small | ||
3048 | |||
3049 | 763 | ||
3050 | 00:34:01,770 ~-~-> 00:34:03,600 | ||
3051 | pieces in at a time. | ||
3052 | |||
3053 | 764 | ||
3054 | 00:34:03,960 ~-~-> 00:34:05,850 | ||
3055 | Okay, why did they do that? | ||
3056 | |||
3057 | 765 | ||
3058 | 00:34:06,510 ~-~-> 00:34:07,980 | ||
3059 | What is it specifically that they're | ||
3060 | |||
3061 | 766 | ||
3062 | 00:34:08,100 ~-~-> 00:34:11,610 | ||
3063 | trying to avoid? Much like anybody else, | ||
3064 | |||
3065 | 767 | ||
3066 | 00:34:11,610 ~-~-> 00:34:13,650 | ||
3067 | they want to get a good price. But | ||
3068 | |||
3069 | 768 | ||
3070 | 00:34:13,650 ~-~-> 00:34:16,500 | ||
3071 | because they're smart money and they're | ||
3072 | |||
3073 | 769 | ||
3074 | 00:34:16,500 ~-~-> 00:34:21,000 | ||
3075 | on a institutional level, they are huge. | ||
3076 | |||
3077 | 770 | ||
3078 | 00:34:21,060 ~-~-> 00:34:25,950 | ||
3079 | Okay? For instance, let's take a step | ||
3080 | |||
3081 | 771 | ||
3082 | 00:34:25,950 ~-~-> 00:34:28,500 | ||
3083 | back conceptually looking at the market. | ||
3084 | |||
3085 | 772 | ||
3086 | 00:34:28,650 ~-~-> 00:34:32,760 | ||
3087 | Okay, the Forex market you'll end up as | ||
3088 | |||
3089 | 773 | ||
3090 | 00:34:32,760 ~-~-> 00:34:35,160 | ||
3091 | a new trader, okay? We have a very | ||
3092 | |||
3093 | 774 | ||
3094 | 00:34:35,160 ~-~-> 00:34:38,190 | ||
3095 | childlike perspective of this is like a | ||
3096 | |||
3097 | 775 | ||
3098 | 00:34:38,190 ~-~-> 00:34:41,220 | ||
3099 | video game. Or this is this is an | ||
3100 | |||
3101 | 776 | ||
3102 | 00:34:41,220 ~-~-> 00:34:43,140 | ||
3103 | adventure. Okay, or this is going to be | ||
3104 | |||
3105 | 777 | ||
3106 | 00:34:43,140 ~-~-> 00:34:45,360 | ||
3107 | very fun. This is gonna be my new hobby. | ||
3108 | |||
3109 | 778 | ||
3110 | 00:34:46,830 ~-~-> 00:34:48,690 | ||
3111 | And we'll stick with the childlike | ||
3112 | |||
3113 | 779 | ||
3114 | 00:34:48,690 ~-~-> 00:34:52,920 | ||
3115 | theme. Okay, so this represents four | ||
3116 | |||
3117 | 780 | ||
3118 | 00:34:52,920 ~-~-> 00:34:58,410 | ||
3119 | acts. Looks inviting, doesn't just want | ||
3120 | |||
3121 | 781 | ||
3122 | 00:34:58,410 ~-~-> 00:35:01,530 | ||
3123 | to jump in there and have a split But | ||
3124 | |||
3125 | 782 | ||
3126 | 00:35:02,100 ~-~-> 00:35:04,230 | ||
3127 | we're going to use this analogy this | ||
3128 | |||
3129 | 783 | ||
3130 | 00:35:04,230 ~-~-> 00:35:06,660 | ||
3131 | small little pole here that will | ||
3132 | |||
3133 | 784 | ||
3134 | 00:35:06,660 ~-~-> 00:35:10,830 | ||
3135 | represent the market. Okay? The arena is | ||
3136 | |||
3137 | 785 | ||
3138 | 00:35:10,830 ~-~-> 00:35:13,680 | ||
3139 | the pole, okay and price is the water | ||
3140 | |||
3141 | 786 | ||
3142 | 00:35:14,700 ~-~-> 00:35:16,590 | ||
3143 | we can get in that pole | ||
3144 | |||
3145 | 787 | ||
3146 | 00:35:16,950 ~-~-> 00:35:18,750 | ||
3147 | and we can make little splashes around | ||
3148 | |||
3149 | 788 | ||
3150 | 00:35:19,170 ~-~-> 00:35:24,000 | ||
3151 | okay as retail but that water will not | ||
3152 | |||
3153 | 789 | ||
3154 | 00:35:24,000 ~-~-> 00:35:28,140 | ||
3155 | be displaced by retail traders will make | ||
3156 | |||
3157 | 790 | ||
3158 | 00:35:28,140 ~-~-> 00:35:30,330 | ||
3159 | small little minor little blips, okay, | ||
3160 | |||
3161 | 791 | ||
3162 | 00:35:30,330 ~-~-> 00:35:34,470 | ||
3163 | like you see here, okay. But when smart | ||
3164 | |||
3165 | 792 | ||
3166 | 00:35:34,470 ~-~-> 00:35:35,910 | ||
3167 | money gets involved, | ||
3168 | |||
3169 | 793 | ||
3170 | 00:35:36,330 ~-~-> 00:35:38,520 | ||
3171 | okay? They're like that elephant | ||
3172 | |||
3173 | 794 | ||
3174 | 00:35:39,090 ~-~-> 00:35:41,190 | ||
3175 | in the room. You can't really hide him. | ||
3176 | |||
3177 | 795 | ||
3178 | 00:35:41,220 ~-~-> 00:35:42,510 | ||
3179 | He's standing right there in front of | ||
3180 | |||
3181 | 796 | ||
3182 | 00:35:42,510 ~-~-> 00:35:45,150 | ||
3183 | you. Okay, imagine if that same elephant | ||
3184 | |||
3185 | 797 | ||
3186 | 00:35:45,150 ~-~-> 00:35:47,760 | ||
3187 | now decides it wants to join the pool | ||
3188 | |||
3189 | 798 | ||
3190 | 00:35:47,760 ~-~-> 00:35:48,210 | ||
3191 | party. | ||
3192 | |||
3193 | 799 | ||
3194 | 00:35:51,450 ~-~-> 00:35:52,380 | ||
3195 | What are you going to have? | ||
3196 | |||
3197 | 800 | ||
3198 | 00:35:52,410 ~-~-> 00:35:53,370 | ||
3199 | You're going to have a large | ||
3200 | |||
3201 | 801 | ||
3202 | 00:35:53,370 ~-~-> 00:35:56,790 | ||
3203 | displacement of water. They cannot hide | ||
3204 | |||
3205 | 802 | ||
3206 | 00:35:56,790 ~-~-> 00:35:59,730 | ||
3207 | it. Okay. They are invariably going to | ||
3208 | |||
3209 | 803 | ||
3210 | 00:35:59,730 ~-~-> 00:36:03,240 | ||
3211 | be noticed if you understand their | ||
3212 | |||
3213 | 804 | ||
3214 | 00:36:03,240 ~-~-> 00:36:07,020 | ||
3215 | footprints, okay? as price trades up to | ||
3216 | |||
3217 | 805 | ||
3218 | 00:36:07,020 ~-~-> 00:36:11,070 | ||
3219 | this level at 130 60 level, it's trading | ||
3220 | |||
3221 | 806 | ||
3222 | 00:36:11,070 ~-~-> 00:36:13,530 | ||
3223 | off, it trades through it again, and | ||
3224 | |||
3225 | 807 | ||
3226 | 00:36:13,530 ~-~-> 00:36:16,020 | ||
3227 | then trades off. It trades through it | ||
3228 | |||
3229 | 808 | ||
3230 | 00:36:16,020 ~-~-> 00:36:18,180 | ||
3231 | again, and then trades off. See this is | ||
3232 | |||
3233 | 809 | ||
3234 | 00:36:18,180 ~-~-> 00:36:21,570 | ||
3235 | the first telltale sign that somebody on | ||
3236 | |||
3237 | 810 | ||
3238 | 00:36:21,570 ~-~-> 00:36:23,790 | ||
3239 | the big level, okay, we don't need to | ||
3240 | |||
3241 | 811 | ||
3242 | 00:36:23,790 ~-~-> 00:36:25,980 | ||
3243 | know who specifically but we just know | ||
3244 | |||
3245 | 812 | ||
3246 | 00:36:25,980 ~-~-> 00:36:29,010 | ||
3247 | that somebody want a larger perspective | ||
3248 | |||
3249 | 813 | ||
3250 | 00:36:29,340 ~-~-> 00:36:30,930 | ||
3251 | is now getting involved with this | ||
3252 | |||
3253 | 814 | ||
3254 | 00:36:30,930 ~-~-> 00:36:33,480 | ||
3255 | market. And what are they doing? They're | ||
3256 | |||
3257 | 815 | ||
3258 | 00:36:33,480 ~-~-> 00:36:35,880 | ||
3259 | shorting. Okay, they're becoming sellers | ||
3260 | |||
3261 | 816 | ||
3262 | 00:36:36,240 ~-~-> 00:36:38,760 | ||
3263 | at an add a level now that we discerned | ||
3264 | |||
3265 | 817 | ||
3266 | 00:36:38,760 ~-~-> 00:36:41,580 | ||
3267 | on a daily chart that this is probably | ||
3268 | |||
3269 | 818 | ||
3270 | 00:36:41,580 ~-~-> 00:36:44,130 | ||
3271 | going to be an area that's sensitive, | ||
3272 | |||
3273 | 819 | ||
3274 | 00:36:44,610 ~-~-> 00:36:46,170 | ||
3275 | and price comes up, stops right on the | ||
3276 | |||
3277 | 820 | ||
3278 | 00:36:46,170 ~-~-> 00:36:48,120 | ||
3279 | dime here and trades off a little bit. | ||
3280 | |||
3281 | 821 | ||
3282 | 00:36:48,690 ~-~-> 00:36:50,970 | ||
3283 | Now what's happening is is they'll put | ||
3284 | |||
3285 | 822 | ||
3286 | 00:36:50,970 ~-~-> 00:36:53,280 | ||
3287 | orders in they'll sell a little bit and | ||
3288 | |||
3289 | 823 | ||
3290 | 00:36:53,280 ~-~-> 00:36:56,400 | ||
3291 | sell a little bit and sell sell so So | ||
3292 | |||
3293 | 824 | ||
3294 | 00:36:56,490 ~-~-> 00:36:58,560 | ||
3295 | eventually, when they knew they can put | ||
3296 | |||
3297 | 825 | ||
3298 | 00:36:58,560 ~-~-> 00:37:02,310 | ||
3299 | their last bit of Their trade on, okay. | ||
3300 | |||
3301 | 826 | ||
3302 | 00:37:03,780 ~-~-> 00:37:07,050 | ||
3303 | They will just stack their orders all in | ||
3304 | |||
3305 | 827 | ||
3306 | 00:37:07,050 ~-~-> 00:37:08,700 | ||
3307 | this level. And it may be a little bit | ||
3308 | |||
3309 | 828 | ||
3310 | 00:37:08,700 ~-~-> 00:37:10,590 | ||
3311 | above it a little bit below it, but | ||
3312 | |||
3313 | 829 | ||
3314 | 00:37:10,590 ~-~-> 00:37:12,210 | ||
3315 | they're giant generally trying to get an | ||
3316 | |||
3317 | 830 | ||
3318 | 00:37:12,210 ~-~-> 00:37:14,550 | ||
3319 | average price around that 130 60 level. | ||
3320 | |||
3321 | 831 | ||
3322 | 00:37:14,760 ~-~-> 00:37:17,850 | ||
3323 | Okay? It may be that 130 50 level as | ||
3324 | |||
3325 | 832 | ||
3326 | 00:37:17,850 ~-~-> 00:37:20,280 | ||
3327 | well, because it's a it's a half full | ||
3328 | |||
3329 | 833 | ||
3330 | 00:37:20,280 ~-~-> 00:37:22,830 | ||
3331 | figure minifigure level. So that may be | ||
3332 | |||
3333 | 834 | ||
3334 | 00:37:22,830 ~-~-> 00:37:24,060 | ||
3335 | the price level they're actually working | ||
3336 | |||
3337 | 835 | ||
3338 | 00:37:24,060 ~-~-> 00:37:27,030 | ||
3339 | to, but as price moves above, okay, you | ||
3340 | |||
3341 | 836 | ||
3342 | 00:37:27,030 ~-~-> 00:37:28,620 | ||
3343 | can see how every time it does this | ||
3344 | |||
3345 | 837 | ||
3346 | 00:37:28,620 ~-~-> 00:37:30,060 | ||
3347 | around that level, this look at this | ||
3348 | |||
3349 | 838 | ||
3350 | 00:37:30,090 ~-~-> 00:37:33,150 | ||
3351 | whole price action in here, you can see | ||
3352 | |||
3353 | 839 | ||
3354 | 00:37:33,150 ~-~-> 00:37:36,150 | ||
3355 | that this is a failure to run above this | ||
3356 | |||
3357 | 840 | ||
3358 | 00:37:36,150 ~-~-> 00:37:39,960 | ||
3359 | old high. Okay. Now when we see price | ||
3360 | |||
3361 | 841 | ||
3362 | 00:37:39,990 ~-~-> 00:37:42,660 | ||
3363 | trade off, I guess it fills in all of | ||
3364 | |||
3365 | 842 | ||
3366 | 00:37:42,660 ~-~-> 00:37:45,090 | ||
3367 | that price decline like it does here. | ||
3368 | |||
3369 | 843 | ||
3370 | 00:37:45,900 ~-~-> 00:37:48,720 | ||
3371 | Okay, this is smart money trying to get | ||
3372 | |||
3373 | 844 | ||
3374 | 00:37:48,720 ~-~-> 00:37:50,730 | ||
3375 | that same price action, they put a large | ||
3376 | |||
3377 | 845 | ||
3378 | 00:37:50,730 ~-~-> 00:37:54,870 | ||
3379 | block on here. Now their liquidity is | ||
3380 | |||
3381 | 846 | ||
3382 | 00:37:54,870 ~-~-> 00:37:57,570 | ||
3383 | limited to whatever's there at the time. | ||
3384 | |||
3385 | 847 | ||
3386 | 00:37:58,200 ~-~-> 00:38:01,080 | ||
3387 | So if there isn't a large pool of buyers | ||
3388 | |||
3389 | 848 | ||
3390 | 00:38:01,080 ~-~-> 00:38:05,400 | ||
3391 | here, okay, there will be a issue for | ||
3392 | |||
3393 | 849 | ||
3394 | 00:38:05,400 ~-~-> 00:38:06,840 | ||
3395 | them to get the rest of their orders | ||
3396 | |||
3397 | 850 | ||
3398 | 00:38:06,840 ~-~-> 00:38:08,970 | ||
3399 | off. So what they'll do is they'll put | ||
3400 | |||
3401 | 851 | ||
3402 | 00:38:08,970 ~-~-> 00:38:12,000 | ||
3403 | small and again to us, it would be | ||
3404 | |||
3405 | 852 | ||
3406 | 00:38:12,000 ~-~-> 00:38:15,090 | ||
3407 | large, but to them it's small blocks to | ||
3408 | |||
3409 | 853 | ||
3410 | 00:38:15,090 ~-~-> 00:38:17,580 | ||
3411 | get their overall average price of the | ||
3412 | |||
3413 | 854 | ||
3414 | 00:38:17,580 ~-~-> 00:38:18,840 | ||
3415 | net short position that they want to be | ||
3416 | |||
3417 | 855 | ||
3418 | 00:38:18,840 ~-~-> 00:38:22,320 | ||
3419 | establishing. Once it's established, | ||
3420 | |||
3421 | 856 | ||
3422 | 00:38:22,440 ~-~-> 00:38:27,450 | ||
3423 | okay, price will do what? Drop because | ||
3424 | |||
3425 | 857 | ||
3426 | 00:38:27,450 ~-~-> 00:38:29,340 | ||
3427 | there will not be any more buyers for | ||
3428 | |||
3429 | 858 | ||
3430 | 00:38:29,340 ~-~-> 00:38:31,530 | ||
3431 | the other side of their trade. Okay, | ||
3432 | |||
3433 | 859 | ||
3434 | 00:38:31,530 ~-~-> 00:38:32,850 | ||
3435 | there's no more buyers. So what's going | ||
3436 | |||
3437 | 860 | ||
3438 | 00:38:32,850 ~-~-> 00:38:34,560 | ||
3439 | to happen is it's going to create a | ||
3440 | |||
3441 | 861 | ||
3442 | 00:38:35,130 ~-~-> 00:38:37,620 | ||
3443 | heaviness in the marketplace. So now the | ||
3444 | |||
3445 | 862 | ||
3446 | 00:38:37,620 ~-~-> 00:38:42,180 | ||
3447 | net selling will take larger of toll on | ||
3448 | |||
3449 | 863 | ||
3450 | 00:38:42,210 ~-~-> 00:38:44,310 | ||
3451 | price action. And as price starts to | ||
3452 | |||
3453 | 864 | ||
3454 | 00:38:44,310 ~-~-> 00:38:47,160 | ||
3455 | trade back down, these every little | ||
3456 | |||
3457 | 865 | ||
3458 | 00:38:47,160 ~-~-> 00:38:50,280 | ||
3459 | rally in here, okay, will be new selling | ||
3460 | |||
3461 | 866 | ||
3462 | 00:38:50,280 ~-~-> 00:38:53,160 | ||
3463 | opportunities. Now many times you'll see | ||
3464 | |||
3465 | 867 | ||
3466 | 00:38:53,250 ~-~-> 00:38:55,740 | ||
3467 | traders see these rallies here and | ||
3468 | |||
3469 | 868 | ||
3470 | 00:38:55,740 ~-~-> 00:38:57,780 | ||
3471 | they'll chase that. How many times have | ||
3472 | |||
3473 | 869 | ||
3474 | 00:38:57,780 ~-~-> 00:38:59,970 | ||
3475 | you done that? See this type thing here? | ||
3476 | |||
3477 | 870 | ||
3478 | 00:39:00,000 ~-~-> 00:39:02,640 | ||
3479 | As Nance rallying up, I better chase it. | ||
3480 | |||
3481 | 871 | ||
3482 | 00:39:02,820 ~-~-> 00:39:04,320 | ||
3483 | Let me buy this is probably gonna go | ||
3484 | |||
3485 | 872 | ||
3486 | 00:39:04,320 ~-~-> 00:39:05,790 | ||
3487 | through these levels here, it's gonna go | ||
3488 | |||
3489 | 873 | ||
3490 | 00:39:05,790 ~-~-> 00:39:06,810 | ||
3491 | through these levels, it's probably | ||
3492 | |||
3493 | 874 | ||
3494 | 00:39:06,810 ~-~-> 00:39:08,460 | ||
3495 | gonna keep on going and maybe we'll see | ||
3496 | |||
3497 | 875 | ||
3498 | 00:39:08,460 ~-~-> 00:39:11,970 | ||
3499 | 131 50 or whatever else, the guy in the | ||
3500 | |||
3501 | 876 | ||
3502 | 00:39:12,000 ~-~-> 00:39:13,800 | ||
3503 | forums or on the internet was talking | ||
3504 | |||
3505 | 877 | ||
3506 | 00:39:13,800 ~-~-> 00:39:14,820 | ||
3507 | about how it's going to go there, | ||
3508 | |||
3509 | 878 | ||
3510 | 00:39:15,030 ~-~-> 00:39:16,770 | ||
3511 | because they're cool little indicator | ||
3512 | |||
3513 | 879 | ||
3514 | 00:39:16,770 ~-~-> 00:39:19,080 | ||
3515 | sets up. Has nothing to do with any of | ||
3516 | |||
3517 | 880 | ||
3518 | 00:39:19,080 ~-~-> 00:39:23,430 | ||
3519 | that. Okay? If you start looking at how | ||
3520 | |||
3521 | 881 | ||
3522 | 00:39:23,430 ~-~-> 00:39:24,510 | ||
3523 | prices Now, | ||
3524 | |||
3525 | 882 | ||
3526 | 00:39:25,500 ~-~-> 00:39:28,110 | ||
3527 | moving lower, okay, | ||
3528 | |||
3529 | 883 | ||
3530 | 00:39:28,830 ~-~-> 00:39:31,020 | ||
3531 | you can see they're rapidly | ||
3532 | |||
3533 | 884 | ||
3534 | 00:39:31,260 ~-~-> 00:39:34,920 | ||
3535 | moving price to a specific price point | ||
3536 | |||
3537 | 885 | ||
3538 | 00:39:34,980 ~-~-> 00:39:39,120 | ||
3539 | where, remember that 127 70 level | ||
3540 | |||
3541 | 886 | ||
3542 | 00:39:41,040 ~-~-> 00:39:43,410 | ||
3543 | on a daily chart that we looked at. | ||
3544 | |||
3545 | 887 | ||
3546 | 00:39:45,030 ~-~-> 00:39:46,230 | ||
3547 | Let's put that in right here. | ||
3548 | |||
3549 | 888 | ||
3550 | 00:39:50,790 ~-~-> 00:39:52,440 | ||
3551 | I'm sorry if I'm boring you guys, | ||
3552 | |||
3553 | 889 | ||
3554 | 00:39:52,440 ~-~-> 00:39:56,730 | ||
3555 | because, you know, this isn't sexy. And | ||
3556 | |||
3557 | 890 | ||
3558 | 00:39:56,730 ~-~-> 00:39:58,440 | ||
3559 | it wasn't sexy. The first time I learned | ||
3560 | |||
3561 | 891 | ||
3562 | 00:39:58,440 ~-~-> 00:40:00,840 | ||
3563 | all this stuff either in fact, ignored | ||
3564 | |||
3565 | 892 | ||
3566 | 00:40:00,840 ~-~-> 00:40:04,530 | ||
3567 | it. I said this is this is so boring. It | ||
3568 | |||
3569 | 893 | ||
3570 | 00:40:04,530 ~-~-> 00:40:05,940 | ||
3571 | has nothing to do with making money. I | ||
3572 | |||
3573 | 894 | ||
3574 | 00:40:05,940 ~-~-> 00:40:08,340 | ||
3575 | want to get in and get out. Okay? Had I | ||
3576 | |||
3577 | 895 | ||
3578 | 00:40:08,340 ~-~-> 00:40:11,490 | ||
3579 | understood what I understand now. Okay, | ||
3580 | |||
3581 | 896 | ||
3582 | 00:40:11,490 ~-~-> 00:40:12,720 | ||
3583 | and if you're struggling with this right | ||
3584 | |||
3585 | 897 | ||
3586 | 00:40:12,720 ~-~-> 00:40:16,170 | ||
3587 | now, if you're falling asleep, try to | ||
3588 | |||
3589 | 898 | ||
3590 | 00:40:16,170 ~-~-> 00:40:19,680 | ||
3591 | really get this point. If you can't | ||
3592 | |||
3593 | 899 | ||
3594 | 00:40:19,710 ~-~-> 00:40:22,260 | ||
3595 | grasp this concept here, | ||
3596 | |||
3597 | 900 | ||
3598 | 00:40:24,540 ~-~-> 00:40:26,820 | ||
3599 | wild success will evade you. | ||
3600 | |||
3601 | 901 | ||
3602 | 00:40:28,170 ~-~-> 00:40:31,830 | ||
3603 | Consistent levels of success will evade | ||
3604 | |||
3605 | 902 | ||
3606 | 00:40:31,830 ~-~-> 00:40:34,920 | ||
3607 | you. Sure, you might have moments of | ||
3608 | |||
3609 | 903 | ||
3610 | 00:40:35,370 ~-~-> 00:40:37,440 | ||
3611 | profitability where you have a string of | ||
3612 | |||
3613 | 904 | ||
3614 | 00:40:37,440 ~-~-> 00:40:39,780 | ||
3615 | winners, but anybody can do that. If you | ||
3616 | |||
3617 | 905 | ||
3618 | 00:40:39,780 ~-~-> 00:40:42,390 | ||
3619 | have a career of consistency, then | ||
3620 | |||
3621 | 906 | ||
3622 | 00:40:42,390 ~-~-> 00:40:44,640 | ||
3623 | you're now you're talking, okay? Because | ||
3624 | |||
3625 | 907 | ||
3626 | 00:40:44,640 ~-~-> 00:40:46,140 | ||
3627 | you're going to be doing what? You're | ||
3628 | |||
3629 | 908 | ||
3630 | 00:40:46,140 ~-~-> 00:40:49,530 | ||
3631 | not expecting to be smart. Okay. Does it | ||
3632 | |||
3633 | 909 | ||
3634 | 00:40:49,530 ~-~-> 00:40:51,540 | ||
3635 | take a certain level of understanding | ||
3636 | |||
3637 | 910 | ||
3638 | 00:40:51,540 ~-~-> 00:40:53,190 | ||
3639 | certainly, but you're not trying to be a | ||
3640 | |||
3641 | 911 | ||
3642 | 00:40:53,190 ~-~-> 00:40:55,950 | ||
3643 | genius. Okay, I'm not a marketing Maven. | ||
3644 | |||
3645 | 912 | ||
3646 | 00:40:56,130 ~-~-> 00:40:58,590 | ||
3647 | I'm not in here. You know, understanding | ||
3648 | |||
3649 | 913 | ||
3650 | 00:40:58,590 ~-~-> 00:41:01,020 | ||
3651 | every detail or Fundamental driving | ||
3652 | |||
3653 | 914 | ||
3654 | 00:41:01,020 ~-~-> 00:41:02,880 | ||
3655 | force behind all these moves. But I | ||
3656 | |||
3657 | 915 | ||
3658 | 00:41:02,880 ~-~-> 00:41:05,670 | ||
3659 | understand by looking at price action, | ||
3660 | |||
3661 | 916 | ||
3662 | 00:41:06,030 ~-~-> 00:41:08,190 | ||
3663 | what's the psychology behind it all? And | ||
3664 | |||
3665 | 917 | ||
3666 | 00:41:08,190 ~-~-> 00:41:09,540 | ||
3667 | that's what we're dealing with in this | ||
3668 | |||
3669 | 918 | ||
3670 | 00:41:09,600 ~-~-> 00:41:12,270 | ||
3671 | episode, because this is one of those | ||
3672 | |||
3673 | 919 | ||
3674 | 00:41:12,270 ~-~-> 00:41:15,270 | ||
3675 | Central Market tenants that just is | ||
3676 | |||
3677 | 920 | ||
3678 | 00:41:15,270 ~-~-> 00:41:17,520 | ||
3679 | glossed over in text, oh, well, you have | ||
3680 | |||
3681 | 921 | ||
3682 | 00:41:17,520 ~-~-> 00:41:19,620 | ||
3683 | to understand market structure, you have | ||
3684 | |||
3685 | 922 | ||
3686 | 00:41:19,620 ~-~-> 00:41:22,860 | ||
3687 | to understand market dynamics, internal | ||
3688 | |||
3689 | 923 | ||
3690 | 00:41:22,860 ~-~-> 00:41:26,250 | ||
3691 | pinnings of the market. Okay. And that | ||
3692 | |||
3693 | 924 | ||
3694 | 00:41:26,250 ~-~-> 00:41:28,440 | ||
3695 | was the actual lasting, the internal | ||
3696 | |||
3697 | 925 | ||
3698 | 00:41:28,440 ~-~-> 00:41:29,610 | ||
3699 | pinnings of the market. That was an | ||
3700 | |||
3701 | 926 | ||
3702 | 00:41:29,610 ~-~-> 00:41:30,780 | ||
3703 | expression I learned from Larry | ||
3704 | |||
3705 | 927 | ||
3706 | 00:41:30,780 ~-~-> 00:41:34,290 | ||
3707 | Williams. And the term mix, you know, | ||
3708 | |||
3709 | 928 | ||
3710 | 00:41:35,100 ~-~-> 00:41:37,770 | ||
3711 | intrigued me. But he didn't really go | ||
3712 | |||
3713 | 929 | ||
3714 | 00:41:37,770 ~-~-> 00:41:39,630 | ||
3715 | into great detail as to what the hell he | ||
3716 | |||
3717 | 930 | ||
3718 | 00:41:39,630 ~-~-> 00:41:42,450 | ||
3719 | was talking about, until you spend a lot | ||
3720 | |||
3721 | 931 | ||
3722 | 00:41:42,450 ~-~-> 00:41:45,900 | ||
3723 | more time and money in his work. And I'm | ||
3724 | |||
3725 | 932 | ||
3726 | 00:41:45,900 ~-~-> 00:41:47,400 | ||
3727 | not sure if it was planned because He is | ||
3728 | |||
3729 | 933 | ||
3730 | 00:41:47,610 ~-~-> 00:41:51,240 | ||
3731 | an educator by trade, but he is a | ||
3732 | |||
3733 | 934 | ||
3734 | 00:41:51,240 ~-~-> 00:41:53,490 | ||
3735 | successful trader as well. So, you know, | ||
3736 | |||
3737 | 935 | ||
3738 | 00:41:53,610 ~-~-> 00:41:55,890 | ||
3739 | one could argue is it really meant to be | ||
3740 | |||
3741 | 936 | ||
3742 | 00:41:55,890 ~-~-> 00:41:57,930 | ||
3743 | learned all at one time? Who knows? I | ||
3744 | |||
3745 | 937 | ||
3746 | 00:41:57,930 ~-~-> 00:42:00,840 | ||
3747 | don't know. But all I know is If you | ||
3748 | |||
3749 | 938 | ||
3750 | 00:42:00,840 ~-~-> 00:42:03,750 | ||
3751 | spend time understanding these ideas | ||
3752 | |||
3753 | 939 | ||
3754 | 00:42:03,750 ~-~-> 00:42:06,720 | ||
3755 | that we're expressing here, you will be | ||
3756 | |||
3757 | 940 | ||
3758 | 00:42:06,750 ~-~-> 00:42:09,960 | ||
3759 | far far greater in terms of a price | ||
3760 | |||
3761 | 941 | ||
3762 | 00:42:09,960 ~-~-> 00:42:13,260 | ||
3763 | action trader, then you learn in books | ||
3764 | |||
3765 | 942 | ||
3766 | 00:42:13,290 ~-~-> 00:42:15,660 | ||
3767 | or on your own, because you just don't | ||
3768 | |||
3769 | 943 | ||
3770 | 00:42:15,660 ~-~-> 00:42:18,420 | ||
3771 | learn this stuff. Okay? Just by turning | ||
3772 | |||
3773 | 944 | ||
3774 | 00:42:18,420 ~-~-> 00:42:19,380 | ||
3775 | on the computer and going to the | ||
3776 | |||
3777 | 945 | ||
3778 | 00:42:19,380 ~-~-> 00:42:21,090 | ||
3779 | internet, unless you're watching my | ||
3780 | |||
3781 | 946 | ||
3782 | 00:42:21,090 ~-~-> 00:42:24,330 | ||
3783 | channel, plug plug. So anyway, let's get | ||
3784 | |||
3785 | 947 | ||
3786 | 00:42:24,330 ~-~-> 00:42:26,400 | ||
3787 | back to what we're looking at | ||
3788 | |||
3789 | 948 | ||
3790 | 00:42:26,400 ~-~-> 00:42:30,210 | ||
3791 | specifically in here. Now, the first | ||
3792 | |||
3793 | 949 | ||
3794 | 00:42:30,210 ~-~-> 00:42:32,160 | ||
3795 | decline here and trades right back up | ||
3796 | |||
3797 | 950 | ||
3798 | 00:42:32,160 ~-~-> 00:42:35,070 | ||
3799 | into this level. Note that this price | ||
3800 | |||
3801 | 951 | ||
3802 | 00:42:35,250 ~-~-> 00:42:39,450 | ||
3803 | drop takes out a major, not major, but a | ||
3804 | |||
3805 | 952 | ||
3806 | 00:42:39,450 ~-~-> 00:42:42,030 | ||
3807 | significant swing here as we trade into | ||
3808 | |||
3809 | 953 | ||
3810 | 00:42:42,030 ~-~-> 00:42:46,620 | ||
3811 | that level. Now again, the main focal | ||
3812 | |||
3813 | 954 | ||
3814 | 00:42:46,620 ~-~-> 00:42:49,650 | ||
3815 | point is the higher timeframe key level, | ||
3816 | |||
3817 | 955 | ||
3818 | 00:42:49,650 ~-~-> 00:42:53,490 | ||
3819 | that 130 60 level. Okay? We don't go to | ||
3820 | |||
3821 | 956 | ||
3822 | 00:42:53,490 ~-~-> 00:42:55,920 | ||
3823 | the lower timeframes, hunting, a | ||
3824 | |||
3825 | 957 | ||
3826 | 00:42:55,920 ~-~-> 00:42:59,880 | ||
3827 | pattern, or a signal or a setup and then | ||
3828 | |||
3829 | 958 | ||
3830 | 00:42:59,880 ~-~-> 00:43:01,620 | ||
3831 | try To find the level that supports that | ||
3832 | |||
3833 | 959 | ||
3834 | 00:43:01,620 ~-~-> 00:43:03,930 | ||
3835 | notion, that's not how we're doing this, | ||
3836 | |||
3837 | 960 | ||
3838 | 00:43:03,960 ~-~-> 00:43:06,000 | ||
3839 | okay? You start on the higher timeframe | ||
3840 | |||
3841 | 961 | ||
3842 | 00:43:06,000 ~-~-> 00:43:08,910 | ||
3843 | chart, and you find key levels, okay? | ||
3844 | |||
3845 | 962 | ||
3846 | 00:43:09,150 ~-~-> 00:43:11,130 | ||
3847 | That are obvious, because if they're | ||
3848 | |||
3849 | 963 | ||
3850 | 00:43:11,130 ~-~-> 00:43:13,290 | ||
3851 | obvious, that means it takes all the | ||
3852 | |||
3853 | 964 | ||
3854 | 00:43:13,290 ~-~-> 00:43:15,150 | ||
3855 | guesswork out. Now it may take some | ||
3856 | |||
3857 | 965 | ||
3858 | 00:43:15,540 ~-~-> 00:43:19,050 | ||
3859 | patience on your part. That's really | ||
3860 | |||
3861 | 966 | ||
3862 | 00:43:19,050 ~-~-> 00:43:22,710 | ||
3863 | word p patient, the longing service is | ||
3864 | |||
3865 | 967 | ||
3866 | 00:43:22,710 ~-~-> 00:43:24,030 | ||
3867 | you're going to need to exercise a whole | ||
3868 | |||
3869 | 968 | ||
3870 | 00:43:24,030 ~-~-> 00:43:27,090 | ||
3871 | lot of patience because until price gets | ||
3872 | |||
3873 | 969 | ||
3874 | 00:43:27,090 ~-~-> 00:43:28,860 | ||
3875 | to these higher timeframe key levels, | ||
3876 | |||
3877 | 970 | ||
3878 | 00:43:29,370 ~-~-> 00:43:31,080 | ||
3879 | you aren't going to see institutional | ||
3880 | |||
3881 | 971 | ||
3882 | 00:43:31,080 ~-~-> 00:43:34,140 | ||
3883 | sponsorship behind the moves. Okay, | ||
3884 | |||
3885 | 972 | ||
3886 | 00:43:34,350 ~-~-> 00:43:36,450 | ||
3887 | unless you find a move like we're | ||
3888 | |||
3889 | 973 | ||
3890 | 00:43:36,450 ~-~-> 00:43:40,020 | ||
3891 | describing here, where we have a level | ||
3892 | |||
3893 | 974 | ||
3894 | 00:43:40,170 ~-~-> 00:43:42,930 | ||
3895 | noted in our timeframe, and another | ||
3896 | |||
3897 | 975 | ||
3898 | 00:43:42,930 ~-~-> 00:43:45,570 | ||
3899 | level based on that same time frame that | ||
3900 | |||
3901 | 976 | ||
3902 | 00:43:45,570 ~-~-> 00:43:47,520 | ||
3903 | is a higher level support level. So | ||
3904 | |||
3905 | 977 | ||
3906 | 00:43:47,520 ~-~-> 00:43:50,070 | ||
3907 | between these two levels here, we don't | ||
3908 | |||
3909 | 978 | ||
3910 | 00:43:50,070 ~-~-> 00:43:52,890 | ||
3911 | have a whole lot in terms of higher | ||
3912 | |||
3913 | 979 | ||
3914 | 00:43:52,890 ~-~-> 00:43:55,200 | ||
3915 | timeframe support long lines that you | ||
3916 | |||
3917 | 980 | ||
3918 | 00:43:55,290 ~-~-> 00:43:57,900 | ||
3919 | would really expect to see price turn | ||
3920 | |||
3921 | 981 | ||
3922 | 00:43:57,900 ~-~-> 00:44:01,080 | ||
3923 | around on a dime. Okay, now We do have | ||
3924 | |||
3925 | 982 | ||
3926 | 00:44:01,590 ~-~-> 00:44:05,160 | ||
3927 | intermediate term swing lows here. Okay. | ||
3928 | |||
3929 | 983 | ||
3930 | 00:44:05,670 ~-~-> 00:44:08,190 | ||
3931 | And we have short term swing lows here | ||
3932 | |||
3933 | 984 | ||
3934 | 00:44:08,280 ~-~-> 00:44:10,620 | ||
3935 | that cause pauses in the marketplace. | ||
3936 | |||
3937 | 985 | ||
3938 | 00:44:10,890 ~-~-> 00:44:13,410 | ||
3939 | Okay? But we're not focusing on the | ||
3940 | |||
3941 | 986 | ||
3942 | 00:44:13,410 ~-~-> 00:44:15,690 | ||
3943 | short term. We're trying to train our | ||
3944 | |||
3945 | 987 | ||
3946 | 00:44:15,690 ~-~-> 00:44:17,310 | ||
3947 | eyes to see the intermediate term price | ||
3948 | |||
3949 | 988 | ||
3950 | 00:44:17,310 ~-~-> 00:44:20,940 | ||
3951 | swings. Okay, so now let's take a closer | ||
3952 | |||
3953 | 989 | ||
3954 | 00:44:20,940 ~-~-> 00:44:23,340 | ||
3955 | look as to what's taking place in here. | ||
3956 | |||
3957 | 990 | ||
3958 | 00:44:25,050 ~-~-> 00:44:28,440 | ||
3959 | We're going to introduce the time of day | ||
3960 | |||
3961 | 991 | ||
3962 | 00:44:30,750 ~-~-> 00:44:32,430 | ||
3963 | and what we're going to do is we're just | ||
3964 | |||
3965 | 992 | ||
3966 | 00:44:32,430 ~-~-> 00:44:34,620 | ||
3967 | going to highlight with | ||
3968 | |||
3969 | 993 | ||
3970 | 00:44:35,820 ~-~-> 00:44:38,430 | ||
3971 | some arrows, okay? We're going to look | ||
3972 | |||
3973 | 994 | ||
3974 | 00:44:38,460 ~-~-> 00:44:38,880 | ||
3975 | at | ||
3976 | |||
3977 | 995 | ||
3978 | 00:44:43,920 ~-~-> 00:44:47,190 | ||
3979 | specific little areas where price | ||
3980 | |||
3981 | 996 | ||
3982 | 00:44:49,590 ~-~-> 00:44:51,030 | ||
3983 | made significant price. | ||
3984 | |||
3985 | 997 | ||
3986 | 00:44:52,320 ~-~-> 00:44:53,310 | ||
3987 | highs and lows. | ||
3988 | |||
3989 | 998 | ||
3990 | 00:44:58,920 ~-~-> 00:45:02,880 | ||
3991 | Okay, and What I'm doing is because on | ||
3992 | |||
3993 | 999 | ||
3994 | 00:45:02,880 ~-~-> 00:45:05,550 | ||
3995 | the higher timeframe, we had already | ||
3996 | |||
3997 | 1000 | ||
3998 | 00:45:05,550 ~-~-> 00:45:09,990 | ||
3999 | established a bearish tone to the market | ||
4000 | |||
4001 | 1001 | ||
4002 | 00:45:10,170 ~-~-> 00:45:11,880 | ||
4003 | where we were expecting this level to be | ||
4004 | |||
4005 | 1002 | ||
4006 | 00:45:12,030 ~-~-> 00:45:14,010 | ||
4007 | sensitive, and that we would expect to | ||
4008 | |||
4009 | 1003 | ||
4010 | 00:45:14,010 ~-~-> 00:45:17,430 | ||
4011 | see price moving lower. Okay? And where | ||
4012 | |||
4013 | 1004 | ||
4014 | 00:45:17,430 ~-~-> 00:45:19,500 | ||
4015 | would it be low moving lower towards | ||
4016 | |||
4017 | 1005 | ||
4018 | 00:45:19,860 ~-~-> 00:45:21,660 | ||
4019 | this level down here because it would be | ||
4020 | |||
4021 | 1006 | ||
4022 | 00:45:21,660 ~-~-> 00:45:24,000 | ||
4023 | the next higher level timeframe support | ||
4024 | |||
4025 | 1007 | ||
4026 | 00:45:24,000 ~-~-> 00:45:27,120 | ||
4027 | level. So we have a whole lot of range | ||
4028 | |||
4029 | 1008 | ||
4030 | 00:45:27,450 ~-~-> 00:45:30,570 | ||
4031 | to work between, okay, and this gets to | ||
4032 | |||
4033 | 1009 | ||
4034 | 00:45:30,570 ~-~-> 00:45:34,440 | ||
4035 | the central tenant of directional bias | ||
4036 | |||
4037 | 1010 | ||
4038 | 00:45:34,440 ~-~-> 00:45:38,490 | ||
4039 | because a lot of traders it just escapes | ||
4040 | |||
4041 | 1011 | ||
4042 | 00:45:38,490 ~-~-> 00:45:40,740 | ||
4043 | them, and it's simply because they're | ||
4044 | |||
4045 | 1012 | ||
4046 | 00:45:40,740 ~-~-> 00:45:44,310 | ||
4047 | expecting it to be. Again, real easy to | ||
4048 | |||
4049 | 1013 | ||
4050 | 00:45:44,310 ~-~-> 00:45:46,740 | ||
4051 | determine, because simply look at the | ||
4052 | |||
4053 | 1014 | ||
4054 | 00:45:46,740 ~-~-> 00:45:48,510 | ||
4055 | chart, well, you have to go and spend | ||
4056 | |||
4057 | 1015 | ||
4058 | 00:45:48,510 ~-~-> 00:45:49,950 | ||
4059 | some time on a higher timeframe because | ||
4060 | |||
4061 | 1016 | ||
4062 | 00:45:49,950 ~-~-> 00:45:51,300 | ||
4063 | that's where it's going to tell you. So | ||
4064 | |||
4065 | 1017 | ||
4066 | 00:45:51,300 ~-~-> 00:45:53,670 | ||
4067 | we have a range of 291 pips between the | ||
4068 | |||
4069 | 1018 | ||
4070 | 00:45:53,670 ~-~-> 00:45:56,760 | ||
4071 | high here and the low here these two | ||
4072 | |||
4073 | 1019 | ||
4074 | 00:45:57,210 ~-~-> 00:45:59,940 | ||
4075 | higher timeframe levels, so 290 pips | ||
4076 | |||
4077 | 1020 | ||
4078 | 00:46:01,230 ~-~-> 00:46:02,880 | ||
4079 | Now watch what happens. We're going to | ||
4080 | |||
4081 | 1021 | ||
4082 | 00:46:02,880 ~-~-> 00:46:04,140 | ||
4083 | be looking at | ||
4084 | |||
4085 | 1022 | ||
4086 | 00:46:05,460 ~-~-> 00:46:07,110 | ||
4087 | whoops, let me get the rest of my | ||
4088 | |||
4089 | 1023 | ||
4090 | 00:46:09,750 ~-~-> 00:46:10,680 | ||
4091 | highs in here. | ||
4092 | |||
4093 | 1024 | ||
4094 | 00:46:12,990 ~-~-> 00:46:21,150 | ||
4095 | And okay, | ||
4096 | |||
4097 | 1025 | ||
4098 | 00:46:21,480 ~-~-> 00:46:26,610 | ||
4099 | so we have highs represented here. Okay? | ||
4100 | |||
4101 | 1026 | ||
4102 | 00:46:27,240 ~-~-> 00:46:30,390 | ||
4103 | And we're gonna be looking for things | ||
4104 | |||
4105 | 1027 | ||
4106 | 00:46:30,390 ~-~-> 00:46:37,080 | ||
4107 | that are generically repeating. Okay, so | ||
4108 | |||
4109 | 1028 | ||
4110 | 00:46:37,710 ~-~-> 00:46:41,760 | ||
4111 | we're going to introduce also support | ||
4112 | |||
4113 | 1029 | ||
4114 | 00:46:41,760 ~-~-> 00:46:44,190 | ||
4115 | resistance. But before that we have to | ||
4116 | |||
4117 | 1030 | ||
4118 | 00:46:44,190 ~-~-> 00:46:50,310 | ||
4119 | break our chart down into time and data | ||
4120 | |||
4121 | 1031 | ||
4122 | 00:46:50,310 ~-~-> 00:46:52,650 | ||
4123 | week. Now the double lines represent | ||
4124 | |||
4125 | 1032 | ||
4126 | 00:46:52,650 ~-~-> 00:46:55,380 | ||
4127 | Sunday. So this vertical line to this | ||
4128 | |||
4129 | 1033 | ||
4130 | 00:46:55,380 ~-~-> 00:46:57,240 | ||
4131 | vertical line represents trading for | ||
4132 | |||
4133 | 1034 | ||
4134 | 00:46:57,240 ~-~-> 00:46:59,910 | ||
4135 | that week on a Monday from this vertical | ||
4136 | |||
4137 | 1035 | ||
4138 | 00:46:59,910 ~-~-> 00:47:01,950 | ||
4139 | line To this vertical line represents | ||
4140 | |||
4141 | 1036 | ||
4142 | 00:47:01,950 ~-~-> 00:47:04,140 | ||
4143 | Tuesday, this vertical line to this | ||
4144 | |||
4145 | 1037 | ||
4146 | 00:47:04,140 ~-~-> 00:47:06,780 | ||
4147 | vertical line is Wednesday, and this is | ||
4148 | |||
4149 | 1038 | ||
4150 | 00:47:06,780 ~-~-> 00:47:08,790 | ||
4151 | Thursday trading and then Friday then we | ||
4152 | |||
4153 | 1039 | ||
4154 | 00:47:08,790 ~-~-> 00:47:10,140 | ||
4155 | go into a new week on Sunday | ||
4156 | |||
4157 | 1040 | ||
4158 | 00:47:12,660 ~-~-> 00:47:13,290 | ||
4159 | on | ||
4160 | |||
4161 | 1041 | ||
4162 | 00:47:14,040 ~-~-> 00:47:17,340 | ||
4163 | your notepad write this very, very big, | ||
4164 | |||
4165 | 1042 | ||
4166 | 00:47:17,520 ~-~-> 00:47:21,690 | ||
4167 | okay and underline it in bearish market | ||
4168 | |||
4169 | 1043 | ||
4170 | 00:47:21,690 ~-~-> 00:47:24,660 | ||
4171 | environments. Okay, what I mean by | ||
4172 | |||
4173 | 1044 | ||
4174 | 00:47:24,660 ~-~-> 00:47:26,760 | ||
4175 | bearish market environments if the daily | ||
4176 | |||
4177 | 1045 | ||
4178 | 00:47:26,760 ~-~-> 00:47:31,560 | ||
4179 | chart is poised to move lower you have a | ||
4180 | |||
4181 | 1046 | ||
4182 | 00:47:31,560 ~-~-> 00:47:34,860 | ||
4183 | 70% chance of seeing the high of The | ||
4184 | |||
4185 | 1047 | ||
4186 | 00:47:34,860 ~-~-> 00:47:39,060 | ||
4187 | Week form by Tuesday's London open. | ||
4188 | |||
4189 | 1048 | ||
4190 | 00:47:40,680 ~-~-> 00:47:42,570 | ||
4191 | Okay, so if you have a bearish | ||
4192 | |||
4193 | 1049 | ||
4194 | 00:47:42,600 ~-~-> 00:47:46,200 | ||
4195 | expectation in the marketplace expect | ||
4196 | |||
4197 | 1050 | ||
4198 | 00:47:46,230 ~-~-> 00:47:48,300 | ||
4199 | the high of the week to form by | ||
4200 | |||
4201 | 1051 | ||
4202 | 00:47:48,330 ~-~-> 00:47:51,480 | ||
4203 | Tuesday's long and open now sometimes | ||
4204 | |||
4205 | 1052 | ||
4206 | 00:47:51,570 ~-~-> 00:47:54,960 | ||
4207 | you may get that weird crazy move that | ||
4208 | |||
4209 | 1053 | ||
4210 | 00:47:54,990 ~-~-> 00:47:57,120 | ||
4211 | will take out Tuesday's high with | ||
4212 | |||
4213 | 1054 | ||
4214 | 00:47:57,120 ~-~-> 00:47:59,520 | ||
4215 | Wednesday and that may be because of a | ||
4216 | |||
4217 | 1055 | ||
4218 | 00:48:00,000 ~-~-> 00:48:04,320 | ||
4219 | major market moving indicator or report | ||
4220 | |||
4221 | 1056 | ||
4222 | 00:48:04,320 ~-~-> 00:48:07,110 | ||
4223 | that comes out. And that's going to be | ||
4224 | |||
4225 | 1057 | ||
4226 | 00:48:07,110 ~-~-> 00:48:09,300 | ||
4227 | that one wildcard event where, you know, | ||
4228 | |||
4229 | 1058 | ||
4230 | 00:48:09,450 ~-~-> 00:48:11,220 | ||
4231 | sure, you may have been in a profitable | ||
4232 | |||
4233 | 1059 | ||
4234 | 00:48:11,220 ~-~-> 00:48:12,240 | ||
4235 | trade. And if you didn't take any | ||
4236 | |||
4237 | 1060 | ||
4238 | 00:48:12,240 ~-~-> 00:48:13,890 | ||
4239 | profits as you went down, going into | ||
4240 | |||
4241 | 1061 | ||
4242 | 00:48:13,890 ~-~-> 00:48:16,110 | ||
4243 | Wednesday's trading, before it trades | ||
4244 | |||
4245 | 1062 | ||
4246 | 00:48:16,110 ~-~-> 00:48:17,850 | ||
4247 | and in runs your stop or runs out of | ||
4248 | |||
4249 | 1063 | ||
4250 | 00:48:17,850 ~-~-> 00:48:20,340 | ||
4251 | your position, you know, they're going | ||
4252 | |||
4253 | 1064 | ||
4254 | 00:48:20,340 ~-~-> 00:48:23,130 | ||
4255 | to happen, and I can't, I can't, I have | ||
4256 | |||
4257 | 1065 | ||
4258 | 00:48:23,130 ~-~-> 00:48:24,840 | ||
4259 | not been able to find a way to avoid | ||
4260 | |||
4261 | 1066 | ||
4262 | 00:48:24,840 ~-~-> 00:48:27,090 | ||
4263 | those types of things. Okay, but by far | ||
4264 | |||
4265 | 1067 | ||
4266 | 00:48:27,090 ~-~-> 00:48:28,560 | ||
4267 | and large, if you look at when markets | ||
4268 | |||
4269 | 1068 | ||
4270 | 00:48:28,560 ~-~-> 00:48:30,660 | ||
4271 | are trading softer, and moving lower, | ||
4272 | |||
4273 | 1069 | ||
4274 | 00:48:30,750 ~-~-> 00:48:32,190 | ||
4275 | based on the higher time frame, again, | ||
4276 | |||
4277 | 1070 | ||
4278 | 00:48:32,190 ~-~-> 00:48:34,440 | ||
4279 | we're specifically dealing with the | ||
4280 | |||
4281 | 1071 | ||
4282 | 00:48:34,440 ~-~-> 00:48:37,170 | ||
4283 | daily chart here, okay, but you can also | ||
4284 | |||
4285 | 1072 | ||
4286 | 00:48:37,170 ~-~-> 00:48:39,480 | ||
4287 | move down to the four hour, but really, | ||
4288 | |||
4289 | 1073 | ||
4290 | 00:48:39,870 ~-~-> 00:48:43,170 | ||
4291 | only if it's really not clear to you on | ||
4292 | |||
4293 | 1074 | ||
4294 | 00:48:43,170 ~-~-> 00:48:45,360 | ||
4295 | the daily. So again, the daily or the | ||
4296 | |||
4297 | 1075 | ||
4298 | 00:48:45,360 ~-~-> 00:48:46,500 | ||
4299 | four hour, that's where your higher | ||
4300 | |||
4301 | 1076 | ||
4302 | 00:48:46,500 ~-~-> 00:48:49,200 | ||
4303 | timeframe, key support resistance, and | ||
4304 | |||
4305 | 1077 | ||
4306 | 00:48:49,410 ~-~-> 00:48:51,510 | ||
4307 | bias is determined from because we're | ||
4308 | |||
4309 | 1078 | ||
4310 | 00:48:51,510 ~-~-> 00:48:53,100 | ||
4311 | looking at these higher level timeframe | ||
4312 | |||
4313 | 1079 | ||
4314 | 00:48:53,220 ~-~-> 00:48:54,540 | ||
4315 | support resistance levels that the | ||
4316 | |||
4317 | 1080 | ||
4318 | 00:48:54,540 ~-~-> 00:48:56,310 | ||
4319 | institutional traders are going to be | ||
4320 | |||
4321 | 1081 | ||
4322 | 00:48:56,370 ~-~-> 00:49:01,680 | ||
4323 | keying off of. Okay. So again, With the | ||
4324 | |||
4325 | 1082 | ||
4326 | 00:49:01,710 ~-~-> 00:49:03,810 | ||
4327 | notion that this markets moving lower | ||
4328 | |||
4329 | 1083 | ||
4330 | 00:49:03,960 ~-~-> 00:49:05,400 | ||
4331 | okay we would reasonably expect to see | ||
4332 | |||
4333 | 1084 | ||
4334 | 00:49:05,400 ~-~-> 00:49:07,290 | ||
4335 | the high the weak form on Tuesdays by | ||
4336 | |||
4337 | 1085 | ||
4338 | 00:49:07,680 ~-~-> 00:49:11,190 | ||
4339 | Tuesday's London open or Wednesday's | ||
4340 | |||
4341 | 1086 | ||
4342 | 00:49:11,250 ~-~-> 00:49:13,320 | ||
4343 | London open at the very latest okay? | ||
4344 | |||
4345 | 1087 | ||
4346 | 00:49:15,270 ~-~-> 00:49:16,800 | ||
4347 | doesn't mean you can't see the high the | ||
4348 | |||
4349 | 1088 | ||
4350 | 00:49:16,800 ~-~-> 00:49:18,690 | ||
4351 | weak form on Monday it just means that a | ||
4352 | |||
4353 | 1089 | ||
4354 | 00:49:18,690 ~-~-> 00:49:20,670 | ||
4355 | large percentage of the time you'll | ||
4356 | |||
4357 | 1090 | ||
4358 | 00:49:20,670 ~-~-> 00:49:23,580 | ||
4359 | start to see the high forming for that | ||
4360 | |||
4361 | 1091 | ||
4362 | 00:49:23,580 ~-~-> 00:49:25,560 | ||
4363 | particular week by Tuesday's London | ||
4364 | |||
4365 | 1092 | ||
4366 | 00:49:25,560 ~-~-> 00:49:27,510 | ||
4367 | open. Okay, and you can see that is the | ||
4368 | |||
4369 | 1093 | ||
4370 | 00:49:27,510 ~-~-> 00:49:30,840 | ||
4371 | event here. Okay, and I promise you if | ||
4372 | |||
4373 | 1094 | ||
4374 | 00:49:30,840 ~-~-> 00:49:32,070 | ||
4375 | it's the first time you heard this, it | ||
4376 | |||
4377 | 1095 | ||
4378 | 00:49:32,070 ~-~-> 00:49:33,510 | ||
4379 | sounds like a whole lot of hindsight | ||
4380 | |||
4381 | 1096 | ||
4382 | 00:49:33,510 ~-~-> 00:49:35,940 | ||
4383 | mobile hindsight mumbo jumbo it says to | ||
4384 | |||
4385 | 1097 | ||
4386 | 00:49:35,940 ~-~-> 00:49:38,220 | ||
4387 | perfectly cherry pick, go back over the | ||
4388 | |||
4389 | 1098 | ||
4390 | 00:49:38,220 ~-~-> 00:49:39,840 | ||
4391 | charts yourself, guys. Don't take my | ||
4392 | |||
4393 | 1099 | ||
4394 | 00:49:39,840 ~-~-> 00:49:41,850 | ||
4395 | word on it. Okay, study it. That's how | ||
4396 | |||
4397 | 1100 | ||
4398 | 00:49:41,850 ~-~-> 00:49:43,980 | ||
4399 | you get better at this. dig into it. | ||
4400 | |||
4401 | 1101 | ||
4402 | 00:49:44,040 ~-~-> 00:49:45,870 | ||
4403 | Okay, when bullish market structures | ||
4404 | |||
4405 | 1102 | ||
4406 | 00:49:45,900 ~-~-> 00:49:47,730 | ||
4407 | suggesting higher prices on daily chart, | ||
4408 | |||
4409 | 1103 | ||
4410 | 00:49:48,030 ~-~-> 00:49:50,040 | ||
4411 | look and see if the the low of the week | ||
4412 | |||
4413 | 1104 | ||
4414 | 00:49:50,040 ~-~-> 00:49:52,260 | ||
4415 | wasn't formed on Tuesday, okay, and the | ||
4416 | |||
4417 | 1105 | ||
4418 | 00:49:52,260 ~-~-> 00:49:54,210 | ||
4419 | times that it isn't, it's on Monday or | ||
4420 | |||
4421 | 1106 | ||
4422 | 00:49:54,210 ~-~-> 00:49:56,130 | ||
4423 | Wednesday. And what does that what does | ||
4424 | |||
4425 | 1107 | ||
4426 | 00:49:56,130 ~-~-> 00:49:59,220 | ||
4427 | that mean? It means a whole lot as we're | ||
4428 | |||
4429 | 1108 | ||
4430 | 00:49:59,220 ~-~-> 00:50:02,820 | ||
4431 | going to discuss here. We see the high | ||
4432 | |||
4433 | 1109 | ||
4434 | 00:50:02,820 ~-~-> 00:50:05,640 | ||
4435 | form for this week on Tuesday. Okay, and | ||
4436 | |||
4437 | 1110 | ||
4438 | 00:50:05,640 ~-~-> 00:50:07,800 | ||
4439 | as price trades up to that point, it's | ||
4440 | |||
4441 | 1111 | ||
4442 | 00:50:07,800 ~-~-> 00:50:09,870 | ||
4443 | coming off of this low here. Okay, so we | ||
4444 | |||
4445 | 1112 | ||
4446 | 00:50:09,870 ~-~-> 00:50:14,460 | ||
4447 | have this low as a reference point. And | ||
4448 | |||
4449 | 1113 | ||
4450 | 00:50:14,460 ~-~-> 00:50:16,620 | ||
4451 | it'd be nice if I kept that on the low | ||
4452 | |||
4453 | 1114 | ||
4454 | 00:50:16,620 ~-~-> 00:50:19,260 | ||
4455 | before it was drug away. Let's put that | ||
4456 | |||
4457 | 1115 | ||
4458 | 00:50:19,260 ~-~-> 00:50:21,570 | ||
4459 | back where it belongs. Okay? And what | ||
4460 | |||
4461 | 1116 | ||
4462 | 00:50:21,570 ~-~-> 00:50:22,650 | ||
4463 | we're going to do is we're going to draw | ||
4464 | |||
4465 | 1117 | ||
4466 | 00:50:22,650 ~-~-> 00:50:24,900 | ||
4467 | this all the way through the week. | ||
4468 | |||
4469 | 1118 | ||
4470 | 00:50:27,510 ~-~-> 00:50:29,640 | ||
4471 | Okay, because this level is sensitive, | ||
4472 | |||
4473 | 1119 | ||
4474 | 00:50:29,670 ~-~-> 00:50:30,420 | ||
4475 | because it's | ||
4476 | |||
4477 | 1120 | ||
4478 | 00:50:32,580 ~-~-> 00:50:35,400 | ||
4479 | a nice swing low, going into a key level | ||
4480 | |||
4481 | 1121 | ||
4482 | 00:50:35,400 ~-~-> 00:50:37,350 | ||
4483 | and trade it off. Even this little | ||
4484 | |||
4485 | 1122 | ||
4486 | 00:50:37,350 ~-~-> 00:50:40,140 | ||
4487 | bounce in here is tradable. But we are | ||
4488 | |||
4489 | 1123 | ||
4490 | 00:50:40,140 ~-~-> 00:50:43,830 | ||
4491 | focused on being what a seller because | ||
4492 | |||
4493 | 1124 | ||
4494 | 00:50:43,890 ~-~-> 00:50:46,650 | ||
4495 | of what the premise is that we have seen | ||
4496 | |||
4497 | 1125 | ||
4498 | 00:50:46,650 ~-~-> 00:50:48,780 | ||
4499 | price right up to this 130 60 level on a | ||
4500 | |||
4501 | 1126 | ||
4502 | 00:50:48,780 ~-~-> 00:50:50,310 | ||
4503 | daily chart as we discussed earlier in | ||
4504 | |||
4505 | 1127 | ||
4506 | 00:50:50,310 ~-~-> 00:50:53,220 | ||
4507 | this episode. As trade as price trades | ||
4508 | |||
4509 | 1128 | ||
4510 | 00:50:53,220 ~-~-> 00:50:55,530 | ||
4511 | down and starts to have these bounces. | ||
4512 | |||
4513 | 1129 | ||
4514 | 00:50:55,530 ~-~-> 00:50:58,710 | ||
4515 | We do not get all excited and frothing | ||
4516 | |||
4517 | 1130 | ||
4518 | 00:50:58,710 ~-~-> 00:51:01,170 | ||
4519 | at the mouth. Thank you Okay, now it's | ||
4520 | |||
4521 | 1131 | ||
4522 | 00:51:01,170 ~-~-> 00:51:02,820 | ||
4523 | going to trade higher and we want to be | ||
4524 | |||
4525 | 1132 | ||
4526 | 00:51:02,850 ~-~-> 00:51:06,630 | ||
4527 | higher. Okay? Think classic chart | ||
4528 | |||
4529 | 1133 | ||
4530 | 00:51:06,630 ~-~-> 00:51:09,510 | ||
4531 | patterns. Does this not look like a bull | ||
4532 | |||
4533 | 1134 | ||
4534 | 00:51:09,510 ~-~-> 00:51:12,810 | ||
4535 | flag? Okay, price rallies up | ||
4536 | |||
4537 | 1135 | ||
4538 | 00:51:12,840 ~-~-> 00:51:14,550 | ||
4539 | consolidates and it's even doing what | ||
4540 | |||
4541 | 1136 | ||
4542 | 00:51:14,550 ~-~-> 00:51:16,890 | ||
4543 | finding old support, see here, see the | ||
4544 | |||
4545 | 1137 | ||
4546 | 00:51:16,890 ~-~-> 00:51:18,840 | ||
4547 | support? See the support and what do | ||
4548 | |||
4549 | 1138 | ||
4550 | 00:51:18,840 ~-~-> 00:51:20,730 | ||
4551 | they teach us in a textbook? three | ||
4552 | |||
4553 | 1139 | ||
4554 | 00:51:20,730 ~-~-> 00:51:22,560 | ||
4555 | points of contact confirms the support | ||
4556 | |||
4557 | 1140 | ||
4558 | 00:51:22,560 ~-~-> 00:51:25,320 | ||
4559 | level, right? You don't think the | ||
4560 | |||
4561 | 1141 | ||
4562 | 00:51:25,320 ~-~-> 00:51:27,420 | ||
4563 | dealers know that stuff? They know what | ||
4564 | |||
4565 | 1142 | ||
4566 | 00:51:27,420 ~-~-> 00:51:28,770 | ||
4567 | you're going to do. They're going to | ||
4568 | |||
4569 | 1143 | ||
4570 | 00:51:28,770 ~-~-> 00:51:31,740 | ||
4571 | hold price here. Okay, and allow what | ||
4572 | |||
4573 | 1144 | ||
4574 | 00:51:32,040 ~-~-> 00:51:34,470 | ||
4575 | orders to stack up? What kind of orders | ||
4576 | |||
4577 | 1145 | ||
4578 | 00:51:34,470 ~-~-> 00:51:37,560 | ||
4579 | are going to stack up by orders? who's | ||
4580 | |||
4581 | 1146 | ||
4582 | 00:51:37,560 ~-~-> 00:51:41,250 | ||
4583 | buying retail, the lesson form traders. | ||
4584 | |||
4585 | 1147 | ||
4586 | 00:51:41,760 ~-~-> 00:51:45,030 | ||
4587 | Okay. Well, if they're buying it, who's | ||
4588 | |||
4589 | 1148 | ||
4590 | 00:51:45,030 ~-~-> 00:51:46,680 | ||
4591 | providing the other side of the trade? | ||
4592 | |||
4593 | 1149 | ||
4594 | 00:51:48,030 ~-~-> 00:51:50,100 | ||
4595 | The smart money. What? | ||
4596 | |||
4597 | 1150 | ||
4598 | 00:51:50,430 ~-~-> 00:51:52,860 | ||
4599 | Yep, the smart money. They're selling it | ||
4600 | |||
4601 | 1151 | ||
4602 | 00:51:52,860 ~-~-> 00:51:56,820 | ||
4603 | to them. Lock stock and barrel. Okay, | ||
4604 | |||
4605 | 1152 | ||
4606 | 00:51:57,180 ~-~-> 00:51:59,190 | ||
4607 | who's gonna win an arm wrestling match | ||
4608 | |||
4609 | 1153 | ||
4610 | 00:51:59,520 ~-~-> 00:52:03,060 | ||
4611 | the elephant For the child, the little | ||
4612 | |||
4613 | 1154 | ||
4614 | 00:52:03,060 ~-~-> 00:52:05,370 | ||
4615 | kid in the swimming pool, it's going to | ||
4616 | |||
4617 | 1155 | ||
4618 | 00:52:05,370 ~-~-> 00:52:07,350 | ||
4619 | be elephant. When elephant gets an | ||
4620 | |||
4621 | 1156 | ||
4622 | 00:52:07,350 ~-~-> 00:52:11,370 | ||
4623 | apple, boom, the kid is taken completely | ||
4624 | |||
4625 | 1157 | ||
4626 | 00:52:11,370 ~-~-> 00:52:14,520 | ||
4627 | out and the water is displaced. So what | ||
4628 | |||
4629 | 1158 | ||
4630 | 00:52:14,520 ~-~-> 00:52:19,830 | ||
4631 | do we see? displacement. Okay, price is | ||
4632 | |||
4633 | 1159 | ||
4634 | 00:52:19,830 ~-~-> 00:52:23,070 | ||
4635 | now taken driven lower, okay. Those that | ||
4636 | |||
4637 | 1160 | ||
4638 | 00:52:23,070 ~-~-> 00:52:24,870 | ||
4639 | would have been trading, what would be | ||
4640 | |||
4641 | 1161 | ||
4642 | 00:52:24,870 ~-~-> 00:52:27,540 | ||
4643 | whatever their idea of this is a climax | ||
4644 | |||
4645 | 1162 | ||
4646 | 00:52:27,570 ~-~-> 00:52:29,850 | ||
4647 | reversal or something along the lines | ||
4648 | |||
4649 | 1163 | ||
4650 | 00:52:29,850 ~-~-> 00:52:32,550 | ||
4651 | that would support a buying indication | ||
4652 | |||
4653 | 1164 | ||
4654 | 00:52:32,550 ~-~-> 00:52:34,440 | ||
4655 | in here. And again, we're not arguing or | ||
4656 | |||
4657 | 1165 | ||
4658 | 00:52:34,440 ~-~-> 00:52:36,810 | ||
4659 | making any case for that. But we're just | ||
4660 | |||
4661 | 1166 | ||
4662 | 00:52:36,810 ~-~-> 00:52:38,280 | ||
4663 | going to assume for a moment that | ||
4664 | |||
4665 | 1167 | ||
4666 | 00:52:38,880 ~-~-> 00:52:40,710 | ||
4667 | somebody out there in the retail world | ||
4668 | |||
4669 | 1168 | ||
4670 | 00:52:42,030 ~-~-> 00:52:44,340 | ||
4671 | assumed at that level was probably a | ||
4672 | |||
4673 | 1169 | ||
4674 | 00:52:44,340 ~-~-> 00:52:48,090 | ||
4675 | good area to buy. So if they bought | ||
4676 | |||
4677 | 1170 | ||
4678 | 00:52:48,090 ~-~-> 00:52:49,350 | ||
4679 | here, where would their stop loss be | ||
4680 | |||
4681 | 1171 | ||
4682 | 00:52:49,620 ~-~-> 00:52:52,170 | ||
4683 | right below that? Okay, so price is | ||
4684 | |||
4685 | 1172 | ||
4686 | 00:52:52,170 ~-~-> 00:52:54,540 | ||
4687 | driven, where to where the liquidity is | ||
4688 | |||
4689 | 1173 | ||
4690 | 00:52:54,540 ~-~-> 00:52:58,290 | ||
4691 | going to be here. Okay. So here we have | ||
4692 | |||
4693 | 1174 | ||
4694 | 00:52:58,290 ~-~-> 00:53:00,300 | ||
4695 | price trade down and trade rate. Back up | ||
4696 | |||
4697 | 1175 | ||
4698 | 00:53:00,300 ~-~-> 00:53:05,010 | ||
4699 | to what this level now becomes a another | ||
4700 | |||
4701 | 1176 | ||
4702 | 00:53:05,010 ~-~-> 00:53:08,100 | ||
4703 | selling opportunity who's going to sell | ||
4704 | |||
4705 | 1177 | ||
4706 | 00:53:08,670 ~-~-> 00:53:10,830 | ||
4707 | some more of the smart money. So they're | ||
4708 | |||
4709 | 1178 | ||
4710 | 00:53:10,830 ~-~-> 00:53:11,880 | ||
4711 | going to put some more of their orders | ||
4712 | |||
4713 | 1179 | ||
4714 | 00:53:11,880 ~-~-> 00:53:16,080 | ||
4715 | in, and then boom, it rises lower. Okay? | ||
4716 | |||
4717 | 1180 | ||
4718 | 00:53:17,610 ~-~-> 00:53:20,910 | ||
4719 | This short term swing low here, because | ||
4720 | |||
4721 | 1181 | ||
4722 | 00:53:20,910 ~-~-> 00:53:22,800 | ||
4723 | we're not drawing levels on it. Okay? | ||
4724 | |||
4725 | 1182 | ||
4726 | 00:53:24,060 ~-~-> 00:53:25,920 | ||
4727 | You can look at a lower five minute | ||
4728 | |||
4729 | 1183 | ||
4730 | 00:53:25,920 ~-~-> 00:53:28,110 | ||
4731 | chart and see even greater dynamic | ||
4732 | |||
4733 | 1184 | ||
4734 | 00:53:28,110 ~-~-> 00:53:29,760 | ||
4735 | support resistance levels, but I'm using | ||
4736 | |||
4737 | 1185 | ||
4738 | 00:53:29,760 ~-~-> 00:53:31,530 | ||
4739 | the 15 minute chart simply because | ||
4740 | |||
4741 | 1186 | ||
4742 | 00:53:31,890 ~-~-> 00:53:33,270 | ||
4743 | you'll learn later on that your trade | ||
4744 | |||
4745 | 1187 | ||
4746 | 00:53:33,270 ~-~-> 00:53:34,980 | ||
4747 | setups really going to form on this | ||
4748 | |||
4749 | 1188 | ||
4750 | 00:53:34,980 ~-~-> 00:53:38,550 | ||
4751 | timeframe. But we're gonna keep it | ||
4752 | |||
4753 | 1189 | ||
4754 | 00:53:39,450 ~-~-> 00:53:41,550 | ||
4755 | uniform and keep the continuity going. | ||
4756 | |||
4757 | 1190 | ||
4758 | 00:53:43,020 ~-~-> 00:53:44,070 | ||
4759 | And we're going to use | ||
4760 | |||
4761 | 1191 | ||
4762 | 00:53:45,630 ~-~-> 00:53:47,310 | ||
4763 | this slow here, price trades up to | ||
4764 | |||
4765 | 1192 | ||
4766 | 00:53:47,310 ~-~-> 00:53:49,830 | ||
4767 | there. And once we both blow through it, | ||
4768 | |||
4769 | 1193 | ||
4770 | 00:53:50,010 ~-~-> 00:53:52,440 | ||
4771 | we we trade through it again. Okay, but | ||
4772 | |||
4773 | 1194 | ||
4774 | 00:53:52,440 ~-~-> 00:53:54,300 | ||
4775 | we come right back up in this old swing | ||
4776 | |||
4777 | 1195 | ||
4778 | 00:53:54,300 ~-~-> 00:53:56,370 | ||
4779 | low here. So I could have another level | ||
4780 | |||
4781 | 1196 | ||
4782 | 00:53:56,370 ~-~-> 00:53:57,990 | ||
4783 | but to keep it clean on the charms and | ||
4784 | |||
4785 | 1197 | ||
4786 | 00:53:57,990 ~-~-> 00:54:00,930 | ||
4787 | keep it just like it have here. Don't | ||
4788 | |||
4789 | 1198 | ||
4790 | 00:54:00,930 ~-~-> 00:54:03,900 | ||
4791 | expect, you know, perfection in terms of | ||
4792 | |||
4793 | 1199 | ||
4794 | 00:54:03,900 ~-~-> 00:54:05,040 | ||
4795 | your support resistance levels, | ||
4796 | |||
4797 | 1200 | ||
4798 | 00:54:05,070 ~-~-> 00:54:06,870 | ||
4799 | sometimes they'll knock your socks off | ||
4800 | |||
4801 | 1201 | ||
4802 | 00:54:06,870 ~-~-> 00:54:11,250 | ||
4803 | and be so specifically you right to the | ||
4804 | |||
4805 | 1202 | ||
4806 | 00:54:11,250 ~-~-> 00:54:14,340 | ||
4807 | minute on on the PIP, but we're only | ||
4808 | |||
4809 | 1203 | ||
4810 | 00:54:14,340 ~-~-> 00:54:16,200 | ||
4811 | talking about here 14 pips in terms of | ||
4812 | |||
4813 | 1204 | ||
4814 | 00:54:16,200 ~-~-> 00:54:19,020 | ||
4815 | variance. So again, that's half less | ||
4816 | |||
4817 | 1205 | ||
4818 | 00:54:19,020 ~-~-> 00:54:20,790 | ||
4819 | than half of our normal stop losses. | ||
4820 | |||
4821 | 1206 | ||
4822 | 00:54:21,150 ~-~-> 00:54:23,190 | ||
4823 | Again. For those who don't know, I | ||
4824 | |||
4825 | 1207 | ||
4826 | 00:54:23,190 ~-~-> 00:54:25,350 | ||
4827 | usually trade around with a 30 PIP stop | ||
4828 | |||
4829 | 1208 | ||
4830 | 00:54:25,350 ~-~-> 00:54:27,960 | ||
4831 | loss. And again, we'll understand later | ||
4832 | |||
4833 | 1209 | ||
4834 | 00:54:27,960 ~-~-> 00:54:31,440 | ||
4835 | on why I use that later on again, not | ||
4836 | |||
4837 | 1210 | ||
4838 | 00:54:31,440 ~-~-> 00:54:36,480 | ||
4839 | now. So, we move into a new week. Okay, | ||
4840 | |||
4841 | 1211 | ||
4842 | 00:54:36,570 ~-~-> 00:54:39,420 | ||
4843 | price rallies up and this little pause | ||
4844 | |||
4845 | 1212 | ||
4846 | 00:54:39,420 ~-~-> 00:54:41,940 | ||
4847 | here and turn down happens where? Look | ||
4848 | |||
4849 | 1213 | ||
4850 | 00:54:41,940 ~-~-> 00:54:43,380 | ||
4851 | over here, see that? | ||
4852 | |||
4853 | 1214 | ||
4854 | 00:54:45,150 ~-~-> 00:54:47,400 | ||
4855 | Okay, so price trades down. | ||
4856 | |||
4857 | 1215 | ||
4858 | 00:54:48,660 ~-~-> 00:54:50,880 | ||
4859 | Okay, find some short term support, | ||
4860 | |||
4861 | 1216 | ||
4862 | 00:54:50,880 ~-~-> 00:54:52,020 | ||
4863 | which we're not going to look at because | ||
4864 | |||
4865 | 1217 | ||
4866 | 00:54:52,020 ~-~-> 00:54:52,890 | ||
4867 | it's going to be on the five minute | ||
4868 | |||
4869 | 1218 | ||
4870 | 00:54:52,890 ~-~-> 00:54:54,000 | ||
4871 | chart you can do that on your own | ||
4872 | |||
4873 | 1219 | ||
4874 | 00:54:54,720 ~-~-> 00:54:58,890 | ||
4875 | rallies through okay and does what blows | ||
4876 | |||
4877 | 1220 | ||
4878 | 00:54:58,890 ~-~-> 00:55:02,610 | ||
4879 | out swing high. Why? Because maybe at | ||
4880 | |||
4881 | 1221 | ||
4882 | 00:55:02,610 ~-~-> 00:55:04,920 | ||
4883 | this point, some guys have figured out | ||
4884 | |||
4885 | 1222 | ||
4886 | 00:55:04,920 ~-~-> 00:55:07,770 | ||
4887 | this is in a down move. Okay? So they're | ||
4888 | |||
4889 | 1223 | ||
4890 | 00:55:07,770 ~-~-> 00:55:09,600 | ||
4891 | going to be doing what they're gonna be | ||
4892 | |||
4893 | 1224 | ||
4894 | 00:55:09,600 ~-~-> 00:55:13,830 | ||
4895 | selling. Yeah, those guys sometimes in | ||
4896 | |||
4897 | 1225 | ||
4898 | 00:55:13,830 ~-~-> 00:55:16,710 | ||
4899 | the street, okay, get it right. But do | ||
4900 | |||
4901 | 1226 | ||
4902 | 00:55:16,710 ~-~-> 00:55:19,110 | ||
4903 | you think the elephant really wants them | ||
4904 | |||
4905 | 1227 | ||
4906 | 00:55:19,110 ~-~-> 00:55:22,560 | ||
4907 | in the pool with them? No. Okay, so | ||
4908 | |||
4909 | 1228 | ||
4910 | 00:55:22,560 ~-~-> 00:55:25,620 | ||
4911 | what's going to happen? Well, they're | ||
4912 | |||
4913 | 1229 | ||
4914 | 00:55:25,620 ~-~-> 00:55:28,050 | ||
4915 | going to be short. Okay? And they're | ||
4916 | |||
4917 | 1230 | ||
4918 | 00:55:28,050 ~-~-> 00:55:30,630 | ||
4919 | going to use this old high level to do | ||
4920 | |||
4921 | 1231 | ||
4922 | 00:55:30,630 ~-~-> 00:55:33,450 | ||
4923 | what? protect their position, right? | ||
4924 | |||
4925 | 1232 | ||
4926 | 00:55:33,900 ~-~-> 00:55:35,850 | ||
4927 | Even if they're selling down here, or | ||
4928 | |||
4929 | 1233 | ||
4930 | 00:55:35,850 ~-~-> 00:55:37,890 | ||
4931 | here, or maybe they saw this low here | ||
4932 | |||
4933 | 1234 | ||
4934 | 00:55:37,890 ~-~-> 00:55:38,880 | ||
4935 | and they want to be a seller, right? | ||
4936 | |||
4937 | 1235 | ||
4938 | 00:55:38,880 ~-~-> 00:55:40,980 | ||
4939 | They're great. What are they going to | ||
4940 | |||
4941 | 1236 | ||
4942 | 00:55:40,980 ~-~-> 00:55:43,620 | ||
4943 | use this for stop loss. It could be this | ||
4944 | |||
4945 | 1237 | ||
4946 | 00:55:43,620 ~-~-> 00:55:47,010 | ||
4947 | high here, or this one. So let's take a | ||
4948 | |||
4949 | 1238 | ||
4950 | 00:55:47,010 ~-~-> 00:55:48,000 | ||
4951 | look at what happens. | ||
4952 | |||
4953 | 1239 | ||
4954 | 00:55:52,020 ~-~-> 00:55:52,950 | ||
4955 | Here's your old high | ||
4956 | |||
4957 | 1240 | ||
4958 | 00:55:54,270 ~-~-> 00:55:57,570 | ||
4959 | and I'm going to use that level and | ||
4960 | |||
4961 | 1241 | ||
4962 | 00:55:57,570 ~-~-> 00:55:59,430 | ||
4963 | we're gonna just go above it a few pips | ||
4964 | |||
4965 | 1242 | ||
4966 | 00:55:59,430 ~-~-> 00:55:59,970 | ||
4967 | not much | ||
4968 | |||
4969 | 1243 | ||
4970 | 00:56:03,389 ~-~-> 00:56:05,519 | ||
4971 | Here you go. When price trades right | ||
4972 | |||
4973 | 1244 | ||
4974 | 00:56:05,519 ~-~-> 00:56:05,909 | ||
4975 | there, | ||
4976 | |||
4977 | 1245 | ||
4978 | 00:56:07,620 ~-~-> 00:56:09,780 | ||
4979 | the nature of the spread, does its work | ||
4980 | |||
4981 | 1246 | ||
4982 | 00:56:09,780 ~-~-> 00:56:10,320 | ||
4983 | right there. | ||
4984 | |||
4985 | 1247 | ||
4986 | 00:56:11,730 ~-~-> 00:56:13,920 | ||
4987 | What order would be resting here? Again, | ||
4988 | |||
4989 | 1248 | ||
4990 | 00:56:13,980 ~-~-> 00:56:15,360 | ||
4991 | assuming that the retail traders are | ||
4992 | |||
4993 | 1249 | ||
4994 | 00:56:15,360 ~-~-> 00:56:18,780 | ||
4995 | short, there's gonna be a buy. Stop | ||
4996 | |||
4997 | 1250 | ||
4998 | 00:56:18,780 ~-~-> 00:56:22,080 | ||
4999 | right here, buy stop. So when that price | ||
5000 | |||
5001 | 1251 | ||
5002 | 00:56:22,080 ~-~-> 00:56:24,960 | ||
5003 | trades up and stabs into that level | ||
5004 | |||
5005 | 1252 | ||
5006 | 00:56:24,960 ~-~-> 00:56:26,640 | ||
5007 | here, what's going to happen to that buy | ||
5008 | |||
5009 | 1253 | ||
5010 | 00:56:26,640 ~-~-> 00:56:28,830 | ||
5011 | stop, it becomes a market order to do | ||
5012 | |||
5013 | 1254 | ||
5014 | 00:56:28,830 ~-~-> 00:56:31,650 | ||
5015 | what buy, who's going to sell it to | ||
5016 | |||
5017 | 1255 | ||
5018 | 00:56:31,650 ~-~-> 00:56:35,790 | ||
5019 | them? Smart Money. And then when you see | ||
5020 | |||
5021 | 1256 | ||
5022 | 00:56:35,790 ~-~-> 00:56:38,820 | ||
5023 | price rally up like that, bang, what | ||
5024 | |||
5025 | 1257 | ||
5026 | 00:56:38,820 ~-~-> 00:56:40,560 | ||
5027 | they do to drive it down to their level, | ||
5028 | |||
5029 | 1258 | ||
5030 | 00:56:40,800 ~-~-> 00:56:42,480 | ||
5031 | okay? And now this is where they | ||
5032 | |||
5033 | 1259 | ||
5034 | 00:56:42,480 ~-~-> 00:56:43,020 | ||
5035 | liquidate | ||
5036 | |||
5037 | 1260 | ||
5038 | 00:56:43,200 ~-~-> 00:56:43,920 | ||
5039 | all their | ||
5040 | |||
5041 | 1261 | ||
5042 | 00:56:45,000 ~-~-> 00:56:46,680 | ||
5043 | short positions back here. Now they | ||
5044 | |||
5045 | 1262 | ||
5046 | 00:56:46,680 ~-~-> 00:56:48,420 | ||
5047 | could have, you know, liquidated summon | ||
5048 | |||
5049 | 1263 | ||
5050 | 00:56:48,420 ~-~-> 00:56:50,370 | ||
5051 | here. Okay, and that's what caused the | ||
5052 | |||
5053 | 1264 | ||
5054 | 00:56:50,730 ~-~-> 00:56:52,350 | ||
5055 | pause in here because now they're buying | ||
5056 | |||
5057 | 1265 | ||
5058 | 00:56:52,350 ~-~-> 00:56:54,600 | ||
5059 | back some other net short position that | ||
5060 | |||
5061 | 1266 | ||
5062 | 00:56:54,600 ~-~-> 00:56:57,180 | ||
5063 | they've assumed between the 130 60 and | ||
5064 | |||
5065 | 1267 | ||
5066 | 00:56:57,180 ~-~-> 00:57:00,840 | ||
5067 | 150 level up here in this block of price | ||
5068 | |||
5069 | 1268 | ||
5070 | 00:57:00,840 ~-~-> 00:57:03,960 | ||
5071 | action. But as price trades down to this | ||
5072 | |||
5073 | 1269 | ||
5074 | 00:57:03,960 ~-~-> 00:57:05,850 | ||
5075 | level here, okay, they're essentially | ||
5076 | |||
5077 | 1270 | ||
5078 | 00:57:05,850 ~-~-> 00:57:09,180 | ||
5079 | now no longer heavily net short, they | ||
5080 | |||
5081 | 1271 | ||
5082 | 00:57:09,180 ~-~-> 00:57:11,910 | ||
5083 | may have some short still at one, but | ||
5084 | |||
5085 | 1272 | ||
5086 | 00:57:11,970 ~-~-> 00:57:14,010 | ||
5087 | essentially, they have been unloading | ||
5088 | |||
5089 | 1273 | ||
5090 | 00:57:14,010 ~-~-> 00:57:16,890 | ||
5091 | every time price dropped lower. Okay? | ||
5092 | |||
5093 | 1274 | ||
5094 | 00:57:17,850 ~-~-> 00:57:19,560 | ||
5095 | Because they're larger institutional | ||
5096 | |||
5097 | 1275 | ||
5098 | 00:57:19,560 ~-~-> 00:57:22,590 | ||
5099 | traders, they have to be exiting during | ||
5100 | |||
5101 | 1276 | ||
5102 | 00:57:22,620 ~-~-> 00:57:24,690 | ||
5103 | the move, but certainly driving price | ||
5104 | |||
5105 | 1277 | ||
5106 | 00:57:24,690 ~-~-> 00:57:26,730 | ||
5107 | down to a specific price point as we | ||
5108 | |||
5109 | 1278 | ||
5110 | 00:57:26,730 ~-~-> 00:57:29,310 | ||
5111 | noted on the higher time frame. Now, | ||
5112 | |||
5113 | 1279 | ||
5114 | 00:57:30,630 ~-~-> 00:57:32,430 | ||
5115 | when price gets to these levels here, we | ||
5116 | |||
5117 | 1280 | ||
5118 | 00:57:32,430 ~-~-> 00:57:34,290 | ||
5119 | could look for patterns to trade because | ||
5120 | |||
5121 | 1281 | ||
5122 | 00:57:34,290 ~-~-> 00:57:36,330 | ||
5123 | again, this would be a higher level | ||
5124 | |||
5125 | 1282 | ||
5126 | 00:57:36,330 ~-~-> 00:57:38,700 | ||
5127 | support level. Okay, and then you can | ||
5128 | |||
5129 | 1283 | ||
5130 | 00:57:38,700 ~-~-> 00:57:43,560 | ||
5131 | see, price does indeed rally up. Okay, | ||
5132 | |||
5133 | 1284 | ||
5134 | 00:57:43,560 ~-~-> 00:57:47,400 | ||
5135 | and for those that had been using these | ||
5136 | |||
5137 | 1285 | ||
5138 | 00:57:47,400 ~-~-> 00:57:50,970 | ||
5139 | points here, okay, and trade on a daily | ||
5140 | |||
5141 | 1286 | ||
5142 | 00:57:50,970 ~-~-> 00:57:52,830 | ||
5143 | timeframe, because there are nine to | ||
5144 | |||
5145 | 1287 | ||
5146 | 00:57:52,830 ~-~-> 00:57:54,780 | ||
5147 | five desk jockeys and it can't be | ||
5148 | |||
5149 | 1288 | ||
5150 | 00:57:54,780 ~-~-> 00:57:58,590 | ||
5151 | intraday traders. So use daily bars to | ||
5152 | |||
5153 | 1289 | ||
5154 | 00:57:58,620 ~-~-> 00:58:01,290 | ||
5155 | put their stop loss over Okay, those | ||
5156 | |||
5157 | 1290 | ||
5158 | 00:58:01,290 ~-~-> 00:58:04,260 | ||
5159 | guys are crushed as well and left | ||
5160 | |||
5161 | 1291 | ||
5162 | 00:58:05,790 ~-~-> 00:58:08,340 | ||
5163 | feeling bewildered. And like the game is | ||
5164 | |||
5165 | 1292 | ||
5166 | 00:58:08,340 ~-~-> 00:58:10,830 | ||
5167 | rigged. And you just learned that is in | ||
5168 | |||
5169 | 1293 | ||
5170 | 00:58:10,830 ~-~-> 00:58:12,720 | ||
5171 | fact it is rigged, and there but there's | ||
5172 | |||
5173 | 1294 | ||
5174 | 00:58:12,720 ~-~-> 00:58:14,730 | ||
5175 | a means of understanding how it's | ||
5176 | |||
5177 | 1295 | ||
5178 | 00:58:14,730 ~-~-> 00:58:15,870 | ||
5179 | rigged. Okay? | ||
5180 | |||
5181 | 1296 | ||
5182 | 00:58:17,640 ~-~-> 00:58:19,620 | ||
5183 | Let's look at these | ||
5184 | |||
5185 | 1297 | ||
5186 | 00:58:19,650 ~-~-> 00:58:24,030 | ||
5187 | specific times when price moved, okay, | ||
5188 | |||
5189 | 1298 | ||
5190 | 00:58:24,090 ~-~-> 00:58:30,240 | ||
5191 | this high here takes place at 1445 GMT, | ||
5192 | |||
5193 | 1299 | ||
5194 | 00:58:30,780 ~-~-> 00:58:34,590 | ||
5195 | or 1500 rather than 1500 GMT. This high | ||
5196 | |||
5197 | 1300 | ||
5198 | 00:58:34,590 ~-~-> 00:58:41,130 | ||
5199 | here takes place at 1500 GMT. This high | ||
5200 | |||
5201 | 1301 | ||
5202 | 00:58:41,130 ~-~-> 00:58:53,070 | ||
5203 | here is essentially 2323 30 GMT and this | ||
5204 | |||
5205 | 1302 | ||
5206 | 00:58:53,070 ~-~-> 00:58:57,480 | ||
5207 | high here is 11 GMT. | ||
5208 | |||
5209 | 1303 | ||
5210 | 00:59:00,870 ~-~-> 00:59:01,890 | ||
5211 | This high here | ||
5212 | |||
5213 | 1304 | ||
5214 | 00:59:04,380 ~-~-> 00:59:06,180 | ||
5215 | is 12 GMT. | ||
5216 | |||
5217 | 1305 | ||
5218 | 00:59:08,790 ~-~-> 00:59:09,840 | ||
5219 | And the high here | ||
5220 | |||
5221 | 1306 | ||
5222 | 00:59:12,000 ~-~-> 00:59:21,510 | ||
5223 | is 630 GMT. That's early New York oh I'm | ||
5224 | |||
5225 | 1307 | ||
5226 | 00:59:21,510 ~-~-> 00:59:24,750 | ||
5227 | sorry. I'm sorry early London open or | ||
5228 | |||
5229 | 1308 | ||
5230 | 00:59:24,750 ~-~-> 00:59:25,350 | ||
5231 | Frankfurt. | ||
5232 | |||
5233 | 1309 | ||
5234 | 00:59:27,360 ~-~-> 00:59:29,550 | ||
5235 | This is New York open. | ||
5236 | |||
5237 | 1310 | ||
5238 | 00:59:31,740 ~-~-> 00:59:32,760 | ||
5239 | This is | ||
5240 | |||
5241 | 1311 | ||
5242 | 00:59:35,280 ~-~-> 00:59:37,650 | ||
5243 | the very beginning of New York open. | ||
5244 | |||
5245 | 1312 | ||
5246 | 00:59:40,140 ~-~-> 00:59:41,550 | ||
5247 | This is Asia. | ||
5248 | |||
5249 | 1313 | ||
5250 | 00:59:45,240 ~-~-> 00:59:48,030 | ||
5251 | This is London close | ||
5252 | |||
5253 | 1314 | ||
5254 | 00:59:51,000 ~-~-> 00:59:52,980 | ||
5255 | and this is London close as well. | ||
5256 | |||
5257 | 1315 | ||
5258 | 00:59:54,480 ~-~-> 00:59:58,020 | ||
5259 | So you can see there are specific | ||
5260 | |||
5261 | 1316 | ||
5262 | 00:59:58,020 ~-~-> 00:59:59,940 | ||
5263 | turning points that are occurring at | ||
5264 | |||
5265 | 1317 | ||
5266 | 01:00:00,540 ~-~-> 01:00:04,320 | ||
5267 | Session open and closings, okay? And I | ||
5268 | |||
5269 | 1318 | ||
5270 | 01:00:04,320 ~-~-> 01:00:05,400 | ||
5271 | promised that we're going to go into | ||
5272 | |||
5273 | 1319 | ||
5274 | 01:00:05,400 ~-~-> 01:00:07,650 | ||
5275 | great detail as to what those specific | ||
5276 | |||
5277 | 1320 | ||
5278 | 01:00:07,650 ~-~-> 01:00:10,890 | ||
5279 | time pockets are. Okay? And in my | ||
5280 | |||
5281 | 1321 | ||
5282 | 01:00:10,890 ~-~-> 01:00:13,140 | ||
5283 | trading, I call them kill zones. It's | ||
5284 | |||
5285 | 1322 | ||
5286 | 01:00:13,140 ~-~-> 01:00:16,530 | ||
5287 | not because I'm supportive of serial | ||
5288 | |||
5289 | 1323 | ||
5290 | 01:00:16,530 ~-~-> 01:00:18,450 | ||
5291 | killing or, or the notion of killing | ||
5292 | |||
5293 | 1324 | ||
5294 | 01:00:18,450 ~-~-> 01:00:22,890 | ||
5295 | people. I adopt the mindset of a sniper, | ||
5296 | |||
5297 | 1325 | ||
5298 | 01:00:22,890 ~-~-> 01:00:25,830 | ||
5299 | but I don't I don't have, you know, | ||
5300 | |||
5301 | 1326 | ||
5302 | 01:00:27,300 ~-~-> 01:00:30,990 | ||
5303 | suicidal or, like | ||
5304 | |||
5305 | 1327 | ||
5306 | 01:00:33,480 ~-~-> 01:00:36,030 | ||
5307 | psychological issues where I'm attracted | ||
5308 | |||
5309 | 1328 | ||
5310 | 01:00:36,030 ~-~-> 01:00:37,770 | ||
5311 | to killing, okay, so don't think don't | ||
5312 | |||
5313 | 1329 | ||
5314 | 01:00:37,770 ~-~-> 01:00:40,170 | ||
5315 | think that's what this is. I just use it | ||
5316 | |||
5317 | 1330 | ||
5318 | 01:00:40,170 ~-~-> 01:00:44,520 | ||
5319 | to adopt a specific mindset. Okay. And I | ||
5320 | |||
5321 | 1331 | ||
5322 | 01:00:44,550 ~-~-> 01:00:47,220 | ||
5323 | view trading as a sharpshooting | ||
5324 | |||
5325 | 1332 | ||
5326 | 01:00:47,280 ~-~-> 01:00:49,590 | ||
5327 | exercise. Okay, much in terms of a | ||
5328 | |||
5329 | 1333 | ||
5330 | 01:00:49,590 ~-~-> 01:00:52,470 | ||
5331 | sniper. So, it's not that I'm supportive | ||
5332 | |||
5333 | 1334 | ||
5334 | 01:00:52,470 ~-~-> 01:00:55,920 | ||
5335 | of going out and shooting people. I'm | ||
5336 | |||
5337 | 1335 | ||
5338 | 01:00:55,950 ~-~-> 01:00:57,240 | ||
5339 | supportive of the idea of being a | ||
5340 | |||
5341 | 1336 | ||
5342 | 01:00:57,240 ~-~-> 01:00:59,520 | ||
5343 | marksman, okay, so please don't send me | ||
5344 | |||
5345 | 1337 | ||
5346 | 01:00:59,520 ~-~-> 01:01:02,550 | ||
5347 | nasty emails or, or leave comments that | ||
5348 | |||
5349 | 1338 | ||
5350 | 01:01:02,580 ~-~-> 01:01:05,040 | ||
5351 | I invariably forgot to turn off on my | ||
5352 | |||
5353 | 1339 | ||
5354 | 01:01:05,040 ~-~-> 01:01:07,170 | ||
5355 | YouTube channel, making comments about | ||
5356 | |||
5357 | 1340 | ||
5358 | 01:01:07,170 ~-~-> 01:01:10,350 | ||
5359 | how, you know, I shouldn't be supporting | ||
5360 | |||
5361 | 1341 | ||
5362 | 01:01:10,350 ~-~-> 01:01:12,060 | ||
5363 | the, you know, war or anything like | ||
5364 | |||
5365 | 1342 | ||
5366 | 01:01:12,060 ~-~-> 01:01:15,300 | ||
5367 | that. So please don't don't run with the | ||
5368 | |||
5369 | 1343 | ||
5370 | 01:01:15,300 ~-~-> 01:01:17,340 | ||
5371 | idea of the sniper theme, okay and think | ||
5372 | |||
5373 | 1344 | ||
5374 | 01:01:17,340 ~-~-> 01:01:19,080 | ||
5375 | that I'm supporting into killing of | ||
5376 | |||
5377 | 1345 | ||
5378 | 01:01:19,080 ~-~-> 01:01:19,920 | ||
5379 | human life. | ||
5380 | |||
5381 | 1346 | ||
5382 | 01:01:20,610 ~-~-> 01:01:22,290 | ||
5383 | But a lot of the themes I use in | ||
5384 | |||
5385 | 1347 | ||
5386 | 01:01:22,290 ~-~-> 01:01:25,050 | ||
5387 | teaching comes from my way of learning. | ||
5388 | |||
5389 | 1348 | ||
5390 | 01:01:25,110 ~-~-> 01:01:27,090 | ||
5391 | So I had to create a language for myself | ||
5392 | |||
5393 | 1349 | ||
5394 | 01:01:27,090 ~-~-> 01:01:28,680 | ||
5395 | to understand what it is I was seeing in | ||
5396 | |||
5397 | 1350 | ||
5398 | 01:01:28,680 ~-~-> 01:01:32,280 | ||
5399 | price action. And it also is valuable as | ||
5400 | |||
5401 | 1351 | ||
5402 | 01:01:32,280 ~-~-> 01:01:34,140 | ||
5403 | a means of communicating or creating a | ||
5404 | |||
5405 | 1352 | ||
5406 | 01:01:34,140 ~-~-> 01:01:37,440 | ||
5407 | vocabulary because a lot of this stuff | ||
5408 | |||
5409 | 1353 | ||
5410 | 01:01:38,070 ~-~-> 01:01:40,440 | ||
5411 | is it came through just staring at | ||
5412 | |||
5413 | 1354 | ||
5414 | 01:01:40,440 ~-~-> 01:01:42,660 | ||
5415 | charts. Now when I do get to concepts | ||
5416 | |||
5417 | 1355 | ||
5418 | 01:01:42,660 ~-~-> 01:01:46,200 | ||
5419 | that I learned from other people, I will | ||
5420 | |||
5421 | 1356 | ||
5422 | 01:01:46,200 ~-~-> 01:01:48,000 | ||
5423 | always give credit to where credit is | ||
5424 | |||
5425 | 1357 | ||
5426 | 01:01:48,000 ~-~-> 01:01:51,090 | ||
5427 | due. Okay. I believe that's should be | ||
5428 | |||
5429 | 1358 | ||
5430 | 01:01:51,090 ~-~-> 01:01:53,730 | ||
5431 | always the case. But you see many times | ||
5432 | |||
5433 | 1359 | ||
5434 | 01:01:53,730 ~-~-> 01:01:56,790 | ||
5435 | and I've seen my own work, okay. appear | ||
5436 | |||
5437 | 1360 | ||
5438 | 01:01:56,790 ~-~-> 01:01:58,350 | ||
5439 | in things that you could buy on the | ||
5440 | |||
5441 | 1361 | ||
5442 | 01:01:58,350 ~-~-> 01:02:01,050 | ||
5443 | internet, and I just recently bought a | ||
5444 | |||
5445 | 1362 | ||
5446 | 01:02:01,050 ~-~-> 01:02:04,200 | ||
5447 | new course. And I'm not going to say who | ||
5448 | |||
5449 | 1363 | ||
5450 | 01:02:04,200 ~-~-> 01:02:07,110 | ||
5451 | it is or what it is in this video. But I | ||
5452 | |||
5453 | 1364 | ||
5454 | 01:02:07,110 ~-~-> 01:02:08,700 | ||
5455 | was very disappointed to see something | ||
5456 | |||
5457 | 1365 | ||
5458 | 01:02:08,730 ~-~-> 01:02:12,690 | ||
5459 | of mine. And it is uniquely mine. And it | ||
5460 | |||
5461 | 1366 | ||
5462 | 01:02:12,690 ~-~-> 01:02:15,540 | ||
5463 | wasn't credited to me. And I'm very, you | ||
5464 | |||
5465 | 1367 | ||
5466 | 01:02:15,540 ~-~-> 01:02:17,580 | ||
5467 | know, disenchanted by the whole thing, | ||
5468 | |||
5469 | 1368 | ||
5470 | 01:02:17,580 ~-~-> 01:02:20,730 | ||
5471 | but I might talk about it later on, but | ||
5472 | |||
5473 | 1369 | ||
5474 | 01:02:20,730 ~-~-> 01:02:21,750 | ||
5475 | I'm certainly not going to bring it up | ||
5476 | |||
5477 | 1370 | ||
5478 | 01:02:21,750 ~-~-> 01:02:25,290 | ||
5479 | in this video series. But if you do see | ||
5480 | |||
5481 | 1371 | ||
5482 | 01:02:25,290 ~-~-> 01:02:28,530 | ||
5483 | a concept in this video series that I | ||
5484 | |||
5485 | 1372 | ||
5486 | 01:02:28,560 ~-~-> 01:02:31,350 | ||
5487 | personally learned from someone else, I | ||
5488 | |||
5489 | 1373 | ||
5490 | 01:02:31,350 ~-~-> 01:02:33,780 | ||
5491 | will certainly do my very best to give | ||
5492 | |||
5493 | 1374 | ||
5494 | 01:02:33,780 ~-~-> 01:02:38,490 | ||
5495 | them their credit as well. Let's look at | ||
5496 | |||
5497 | 1375 | ||
5498 | 01:02:39,210 ~-~-> 01:02:44,730 | ||
5499 | the notion of fractals in price action, | ||
5500 | |||
5501 | 1376 | ||
5502 | 01:02:45,270 ~-~-> 01:02:46,950 | ||
5503 | and we're gonna move over to our second | ||
5504 | |||
5505 | 1377 | ||
5506 | 01:02:46,950 ~-~-> 01:02:49,500 | ||
5507 | portion of price action and | ||
5508 | |||
5509 | 1378 | ||
5510 | 01:02:51,180 ~-~-> 01:02:51,990 | ||
5511 | study | ||
5512 | |||
5513 | 1379 | ||
5514 | 01:02:57,030 ~-~-> 01:03:00,930 | ||
5515 | this segment of price This is the second | ||
5516 | |||
5517 | 1380 | ||
5518 | 01:03:00,930 ~-~-> 01:03:03,480 | ||
5519 | portion of price that I was asking you | ||
5520 | |||
5521 | 1381 | ||
5522 | 01:03:03,480 ~-~-> 01:03:05,490 | ||
5523 | guys to study. And what I have here is | ||
5524 | |||
5525 | 1382 | ||
5526 | 01:03:05,700 ~-~-> 01:03:08,790 | ||
5527 | the price levels on a 15 minute basis | ||
5528 | |||
5529 | 1383 | ||
5530 | 01:03:08,790 ~-~-> 01:03:10,740 | ||
5531 | because remember, we talked about how | ||
5532 | |||
5533 | 1384 | ||
5534 | 01:03:10,740 ~-~-> 01:03:11,970 | ||
5535 | price is | ||
5536 | |||
5537 | 1385 | ||
5538 | 01:03:13,889 ~-~-> 01:03:14,999 | ||
5539 | universally | ||
5540 | |||
5541 | 1386 | ||
5542 | 01:03:15,990 ~-~-> 01:03:17,940 | ||
5543 | limited to trading within support | ||
5544 | |||
5545 | 1387 | ||
5546 | 01:03:17,940 ~-~-> 01:03:19,830 | ||
5547 | resistance levels, but each timeframe | ||
5548 | |||
5549 | 1388 | ||
5550 | 01:03:19,860 ~-~-> 01:03:21,780 | ||
5551 | has its own support resistance levels | ||
5552 | |||
5553 | 1389 | ||
5554 | 01:03:21,780 ~-~-> 01:03:24,090 | ||
5555 | created as price gyrates up and down. | ||
5556 | |||
5557 | 1390 | ||
5558 | 01:03:25,200 ~-~-> 01:03:27,090 | ||
5559 | What I did here is certainly not every | ||
5560 | |||
5561 | 1391 | ||
5562 | 01:03:27,090 ~-~-> 01:03:28,500 | ||
5563 | single one of them but what I'm want to | ||
5564 | |||
5565 | 1392 | ||
5566 | 01:03:28,500 ~-~-> 01:03:31,500 | ||
5567 | draw out with your eye is I want you to | ||
5568 | |||
5569 | 1393 | ||
5570 | 01:03:31,500 ~-~-> 01:03:34,830 | ||
5571 | see there's a specific overall price | ||
5572 | |||
5573 | 1394 | ||
5574 | 01:03:34,830 ~-~-> 01:03:38,940 | ||
5575 | structure here. Okay? Now, this concept | ||
5576 | |||
5577 | 1395 | ||
5578 | 01:03:39,600 ~-~-> 01:03:42,720 | ||
5579 | is not going to be fully explained and | ||
5580 | |||
5581 | 1396 | ||
5582 | 01:03:42,720 ~-~-> 01:03:44,820 | ||
5583 | understood by watching this one video. | ||
5584 | |||
5585 | 1397 | ||
5586 | 01:03:45,570 ~-~-> 01:03:47,670 | ||
5587 | But if you spend time in the charts | ||
5588 | |||
5589 | 1398 | ||
5590 | 01:03:47,670 ~-~-> 01:03:49,500 | ||
5591 | yourself, you'll start seeing these | ||
5592 | |||
5593 | 1399 | ||
5594 | 01:03:49,500 ~-~-> 01:03:51,720 | ||
5595 | things. repeat over and over and over | ||
5596 | |||
5597 | 1400 | ||
5598 | 01:03:51,720 ~-~-> 01:03:53,520 | ||
5599 | again. And it's one of those things you | ||
5600 | |||
5601 | 1401 | ||
5602 | 01:03:53,520 ~-~-> 01:03:55,650 | ||
5603 | have to keep looking at it before your | ||
5604 | |||
5605 | 1402 | ||
5606 | 01:03:55,650 ~-~-> 01:03:57,990 | ||
5607 | eye gets accustomed to seeing it and | ||
5608 | |||
5609 | 1403 | ||
5610 | 01:03:57,990 ~-~-> 01:04:01,410 | ||
5611 | then right away Your your brain will do | ||
5612 | |||
5613 | 1404 | ||
5614 | 01:04:01,410 ~-~-> 01:04:04,200 | ||
5615 | the magic, okay of seeing it remembering | ||
5616 | |||
5617 | 1405 | ||
5618 | 01:04:04,200 ~-~-> 01:04:05,640 | ||
5619 | Oh yeah, this is what this is, and then | ||
5620 | |||
5621 | 1406 | ||
5622 | 01:04:05,640 ~-~-> 01:04:06,810 | ||
5623 | boom, you'll know naturally what you | ||
5624 | |||
5625 | 1407 | ||
5626 | 01:04:06,810 ~-~-> 01:04:09,900 | ||
5627 | should be doing. And again, I'm not | ||
5628 | |||
5629 | 1408 | ||
5630 | 01:04:09,900 ~-~-> 01:04:11,160 | ||
5631 | talking about trading with your gut, | ||
5632 | |||
5633 | 1409 | ||
5634 | 01:04:11,310 ~-~-> 01:04:13,170 | ||
5635 | okay? This is what you do. | ||
5636 | |||
5637 | 1410 | ||
5638 | 01:04:13,830 ~-~-> 01:04:14,880 | ||
5639 | Buy with your eye, | ||
5640 | |||
5641 | 1411 | ||
5642 | 01:04:15,000 ~-~-> 01:04:16,590 | ||
5643 | okay, you trading what you see. | ||
5644 | |||
5645 | 1412 | ||
5646 | 01:04:18,240 ~-~-> 01:04:21,690 | ||
5647 | Price trades off of a level of support. | ||
5648 | |||
5649 | 1413 | ||
5650 | 01:04:22,110 ~-~-> 01:04:24,060 | ||
5651 | Okay, and we're just gonna assume that | ||
5652 | |||
5653 | 1414 | ||
5654 | 01:04:24,060 ~-~-> 01:04:26,280 | ||
5655 | that 132 figure was significant enough | ||
5656 | |||
5657 | 1415 | ||
5658 | 01:04:26,280 ~-~-> 01:04:29,070 | ||
5659 | to provide support and price rallies off | ||
5660 | |||
5661 | 1416 | ||
5662 | 01:04:29,070 ~-~-> 01:04:32,070 | ||
5663 | here. Okay. Price comes back down, | ||
5664 | |||
5665 | 1417 | ||
5666 | 01:04:32,100 ~-~-> 01:04:38,880 | ||
5667 | trades down into that 132 30 level, | ||
5668 | |||
5669 | 1418 | ||
5670 | 01:04:39,690 ~-~-> 01:04:44,940 | ||
5671 | essentially, okay and bounces and runs | ||
5672 | |||
5673 | 1419 | ||
5674 | 01:04:44,940 ~-~-> 01:04:48,180 | ||
5675 | through and creates a short term support | ||
5676 | |||
5677 | 1420 | ||
5678 | 01:04:48,180 ~-~-> 01:04:53,040 | ||
5679 | level. Okay. Now price has since been | ||
5680 | |||
5681 | 1421 | ||
5682 | 01:04:53,040 ~-~-> 01:04:55,950 | ||
5683 | trading higher. From that low we | ||
5684 | |||
5685 | 1422 | ||
5686 | 01:04:55,950 ~-~-> 01:04:59,340 | ||
5687 | discussed when price came down in our | ||
5688 | |||
5689 | 1423 | ||
5690 | 01:04:59,340 ~-~-> 01:05:01,980 | ||
5691 | previous session. example on the higher | ||
5692 | |||
5693 | 1424 | ||
5694 | 01:05:01,980 ~-~-> 01:05:03,480 | ||
5695 | timeframe were found that support level. | ||
5696 | |||
5697 | 1425 | ||
5698 | 01:05:04,080 ~-~-> 01:05:06,960 | ||
5699 | Now as price moved higher, okay, you can | ||
5700 | |||
5701 | 1426 | ||
5702 | 01:05:06,960 ~-~-> 01:05:09,330 | ||
5703 | see this stair stepping environment that | ||
5704 | |||
5705 | 1427 | ||
5706 | 01:05:09,330 ~-~-> 01:05:11,550 | ||
5707 | you see price doing. And eventually it | ||
5708 | |||
5709 | 1428 | ||
5710 | 01:05:11,550 ~-~-> 01:05:14,640 | ||
5711 | reaches a level of resistance. Now we're | ||
5712 | |||
5713 | 1429 | ||
5714 | 01:05:14,640 ~-~-> 01:05:17,640 | ||
5715 | going to show why it's a facade on your | ||
5716 | |||
5717 | 1430 | ||
5718 | 01:05:17,640 ~-~-> 01:05:20,370 | ||
5719 | part, to look at these lower timeframes | ||
5720 | |||
5721 | 1431 | ||
5722 | 01:05:20,670 ~-~-> 01:05:22,650 | ||
5723 | and expect with any reasonable | ||
5724 | |||
5725 | 1432 | ||
5726 | 01:05:22,890 ~-~-> 01:05:25,560 | ||
5727 | consistency to be able to see what's | ||
5728 | |||
5729 | 1433 | ||
5730 | 01:05:25,560 ~-~-> 01:05:27,750 | ||
5731 | going to transpire next, without having | ||
5732 | |||
5733 | 1434 | ||
5734 | 01:05:27,750 ~-~-> 01:05:29,520 | ||
5735 | any idea what the higher time frames are | ||
5736 | |||
5737 | 1435 | ||
5738 | 01:05:29,520 ~-~-> 01:05:33,810 | ||
5739 | doing. Now on a short term level, or a | ||
5740 | |||
5741 | 1436 | ||
5742 | 01:05:33,810 ~-~-> 01:05:35,700 | ||
5743 | short term basis, rather with a higher | ||
5744 | |||
5745 | 1437 | ||
5746 | 01:05:35,700 ~-~-> 01:05:37,710 | ||
5747 | time frame premise in mind until a high | ||
5748 | |||
5749 | 1438 | ||
5750 | 01:05:37,710 ~-~-> 01:05:40,740 | ||
5751 | timeframe barrier is met. And this is | ||
5752 | |||
5753 | 1439 | ||
5754 | 01:05:40,740 ~-~-> 01:05:43,050 | ||
5755 | going to be in the form of resistance. | ||
5756 | |||
5757 | 1440 | ||
5758 | 01:05:43,350 ~-~-> 01:05:45,450 | ||
5759 | Okay. And that would be seen up here | ||
5760 | |||
5761 | 1441 | ||
5762 | 01:05:45,450 ~-~-> 01:05:48,360 | ||
5763 | which we'll look at in a moment. Until | ||
5764 | |||
5765 | 1442 | ||
5766 | 01:05:48,360 ~-~-> 01:05:50,400 | ||
5767 | that is met that barrier or that | ||
5768 | |||
5769 | 1443 | ||
5770 | 01:05:50,400 ~-~-> 01:05:53,730 | ||
5771 | obstruction to higher prices. One could | ||
5772 | |||
5773 | 1444 | ||
5774 | 01:05:54,240 ~-~-> 01:05:56,610 | ||
5775 | capture trading opportunities when | ||
5776 | |||
5777 | 1445 | ||
5778 | 01:05:56,610 ~-~-> 01:06:01,350 | ||
5779 | prices finding support. Okay, so I'm | ||
5780 | |||
5781 | 1446 | ||
5782 | 01:06:01,350 ~-~-> 01:06:04,950 | ||
5783 | very well known for what I coined as the | ||
5784 | |||
5785 | 1447 | ||
5786 | 01:06:04,950 ~-~-> 01:06:07,020 | ||
5787 | optimal trade entry, which is simply | ||
5788 | |||
5789 | 1448 | ||
5790 | 01:06:07,020 ~-~-> 01:06:08,700 | ||
5791 | nothing more than a Fibonacci | ||
5792 | |||
5793 | 1449 | ||
5794 | 01:06:08,700 ~-~-> 01:06:11,880 | ||
5795 | retracement back to the 62% or 77 | ||
5796 | |||
5797 | 1450 | ||
5798 | 01:06:11,880 ~-~-> 01:06:15,870 | ||
5799 | tradesmen level, or my own level 70.5, | ||
5800 | |||
5801 | 1451 | ||
5802 | 01:06:15,870 ~-~-> 01:06:18,210 | ||
5803 | which is between the 62 and 70% trace | ||
5804 | |||
5805 | 1452 | ||
5806 | 01:06:18,210 ~-~-> 01:06:19,950 | ||
5807 | level. They | ||
5808 | |||
5809 | 1453 | ||
5810 | 01:06:21,540 ~-~-> 01:06:22,590 | ||
5811 | they have a very | ||
5812 | |||
5813 | 1454 | ||
5814 | 01:06:23,700 ~-~-> 01:06:27,060 | ||
5815 | consistent level of reaction in price | ||
5816 | |||
5817 | 1455 | ||
5818 | 01:06:27,330 ~-~-> 01:06:31,980 | ||
5819 | when they are hunted. And I'm going to | ||
5820 | |||
5821 | 1456 | ||
5822 | 01:06:31,980 ~-~-> 01:06:33,990 | ||
5823 | give you some examples of how just by | ||
5824 | |||
5825 | 1457 | ||
5826 | 01:06:33,990 ~-~-> 01:06:36,900 | ||
5827 | using this price structure here, okay, | ||
5828 | |||
5829 | 1458 | ||
5830 | 01:06:37,380 ~-~-> 01:06:40,620 | ||
5831 | how many times you can see these in | ||
5832 | |||
5833 | 1459 | ||
5834 | 01:06:40,650 ~-~-> 01:06:45,240 | ||
5835 | these signals setting up. Now, again, | ||
5836 | |||
5837 | 1460 | ||
5838 | 01:06:45,270 ~-~-> 01:06:47,130 | ||
5839 | we're looking at the first week of | ||
5840 | |||
5841 | 1461 | ||
5842 | 01:06:47,130 ~-~-> 01:06:49,320 | ||
5843 | August, okay, the first week of August, | ||
5844 | |||
5845 | 1462 | ||
5846 | 01:06:49,620 ~-~-> 01:06:51,510 | ||
5847 | and again, we're assuming again, the | ||
5848 | |||
5849 | 1463 | ||
5850 | 01:06:51,510 ~-~-> 01:06:53,850 | ||
5851 | market is still bullish, so we'll be | ||
5852 | |||
5853 | 1464 | ||
5854 | 01:06:53,850 ~-~-> 01:06:56,130 | ||
5855 | looking for the low of the week. Okay, | ||
5856 | |||
5857 | 1465 | ||
5858 | 01:06:56,160 ~-~-> 01:06:57,840 | ||
5859 | now we reverse the script we learned | ||
5860 | |||
5861 | 1466 | ||
5862 | 01:06:57,840 ~-~-> 01:06:59,310 | ||
5863 | earlier about the trading day of the | ||
5864 | |||
5865 | 1467 | ||
5866 | 01:06:59,310 ~-~-> 01:07:02,850 | ||
5867 | week. For downloads we expect to see the | ||
5868 | |||
5869 | 1468 | ||
5870 | 01:07:02,850 ~-~-> 01:07:04,530 | ||
5871 | high the weak form by Tuesday's London | ||
5872 | |||
5873 | 1469 | ||
5874 | 01:07:04,530 ~-~-> 01:07:07,080 | ||
5875 | open or Monday and the very latest by | ||
5876 | |||
5877 | 1470 | ||
5878 | 01:07:07,080 ~-~-> 01:07:09,720 | ||
5879 | Wednesday's London open. But 70% of the | ||
5880 | |||
5881 | 1471 | ||
5882 | 01:07:09,720 ~-~-> 01:07:14,100 | ||
5883 | time you see the high form on Tuesday or | ||
5884 | |||
5885 | 1472 | ||
5886 | 01:07:14,130 ~-~-> 01:07:17,310 | ||
5887 | the low form on Tuesday. In this case, | ||
5888 | |||
5889 | 1473 | ||
5890 | 01:07:17,550 ~-~-> 01:07:19,560 | ||
5891 | the low the week. Okay, cuz here's the | ||
5892 | |||
5893 | 1474 | ||
5894 | 01:07:19,560 ~-~-> 01:07:22,590 | ||
5895 | nav here's here's Friday's close. Here's | ||
5896 | |||
5897 | 1475 | ||
5898 | 01:07:22,590 ~-~-> 01:07:25,800 | ||
5899 | Monday's open, the market opens on | ||
5900 | |||
5901 | 1476 | ||
5902 | 01:07:25,800 ~-~-> 01:07:28,410 | ||
5903 | Monday trades lower, this is the low of | ||
5904 | |||
5905 | 1477 | ||
5906 | 01:07:28,410 ~-~-> 01:07:29,700 | ||
5907 | the week. Okay. | ||
5908 | |||
5909 | 1478 | ||
5910 | 01:07:32,040 ~-~-> 01:07:33,240 | ||
5911 | Write this on your notepad | ||
5912 | |||
5913 | 1479 | ||
5914 | 01:07:35,220 ~-~-> 01:07:40,470 | ||
5915 | when there is a large range bar, okay? | ||
5916 | |||
5917 | 1480 | ||
5918 | 01:07:40,980 ~-~-> 01:07:45,480 | ||
5919 | Whether it be a daily or four hour or | ||
5920 | |||
5921 | 1481 | ||
5922 | 01:07:45,510 ~-~-> 01:07:50,430 | ||
5923 | one hour or 15 minute, we really doesn't | ||
5924 | |||
5925 | 1482 | ||
5926 | 01:07:50,430 ~-~-> 01:07:51,810 | ||
5927 | make a difference as to what time frame | ||
5928 | |||
5929 | 1483 | ||
5930 | 01:07:51,810 ~-~-> 01:07:54,300 | ||
5931 | is but whenever you have a large bar or | ||
5932 | |||
5933 | 1484 | ||
5934 | 01:07:54,300 ~-~-> 01:07:58,050 | ||
5935 | a large candle, large candles on any | ||
5936 | |||
5937 | 1485 | ||
5938 | 01:07:58,050 ~-~-> 01:08:02,010 | ||
5939 | timeframe do not usually work both sides | ||
5940 | |||
5941 | 1486 | ||
5942 | 01:08:02,010 ~-~-> 01:08:04,650 | ||
5943 | of the opening of that candle very much. | ||
5944 | |||
5945 | 1487 | ||
5946 | 01:08:05,070 ~-~-> 01:08:07,890 | ||
5947 | Okay. And what I mean by that? Well, | ||
5948 | |||
5949 | 1488 | ||
5950 | 01:08:07,890 ~-~-> 01:08:09,390 | ||
5951 | we're going to use this example here. | ||
5952 | |||
5953 | 1489 | ||
5954 | 01:08:09,660 ~-~-> 01:08:11,280 | ||
5955 | The market opened on Monday on this | ||
5956 | |||
5957 | 1490 | ||
5958 | 01:08:11,280 ~-~-> 01:08:13,200 | ||
5959 | particular week. It trades up a little | ||
5960 | |||
5961 | 1491 | ||
5962 | 01:08:13,200 ~-~-> 01:08:14,910 | ||
5963 | bit, but we're not talking about very | ||
5964 | |||
5965 | 1492 | ||
5966 | 01:08:14,910 ~-~-> 01:08:18,150 | ||
5967 | much here. Okay, let's look at exactly | ||
5968 | |||
5969 | 1493 | ||
5970 | 01:08:18,150 ~-~-> 01:08:21,090 | ||
5971 | what we're looking at here. It's moves | ||
5972 | |||
5973 | 1494 | ||
5974 | 01:08:21,090 ~-~-> 01:08:28,230 | ||
5975 | up 25 pips. It moves down. 42 pips. | ||
5976 | |||
5977 | 1495 | ||
5978 | 01:08:28,620 ~-~-> 01:08:32,250 | ||
5979 | Okay? So it starts off going up about 20 | ||
5980 | |||
5981 | 1496 | ||
5982 | 01:08:32,280 ~-~-> 01:08:35,250 | ||
5983 | goes down about 40 and then starts to | ||
5984 | |||
5985 | 1497 | ||
5986 | 01:08:35,250 ~-~-> 01:08:37,560 | ||
5987 | move higher. But notice it doesn't work | ||
5988 | |||
5989 | 1498 | ||
5990 | 01:08:37,560 ~-~-> 01:08:39,240 | ||
5991 | both sides of the opening very much. | ||
5992 | |||
5993 | 1499 | ||
5994 | 01:08:39,449 ~-~-> 01:08:40,589 | ||
5995 | If we're bullish, | ||
5996 | |||
5997 | 1500 | ||
5998 | 01:08:40,920 ~-~-> 01:08:42,900 | ||
5999 | we can reasonably expect to see any | ||
6000 | |||
6001 | 1501 | ||
6002 | 01:08:42,900 ~-~-> 01:08:47,130 | ||
6003 | decline. Be very modest. Okay. So we | ||
6004 | |||
6005 | 1502 | ||
6006 | 01:08:47,130 ~-~-> 01:08:49,890 | ||
6007 | could be a buyer on weakness with this | ||
6008 | |||
6009 | 1503 | ||
6010 | 01:08:49,980 ~-~-> 01:08:52,380 | ||
6011 | with the understanding or level of | ||
6012 | |||
6013 | 1504 | ||
6014 | 01:08:52,770 ~-~-> 01:08:55,260 | ||
6015 | confidence that if this is a bullish | ||
6016 | |||
6017 | 1505 | ||
6018 | 01:08:55,260 ~-~-> 01:08:58,230 | ||
6019 | week, and it trades lower, okay, on | ||
6020 | |||
6021 | 1506 | ||
6022 | 01:08:58,230 ~-~-> 01:09:00,570 | ||
6023 | Monday or Tuesday, we can To be a buyer | ||
6024 | |||
6025 | 1507 | ||
6026 | 01:09:00,570 ~-~-> 01:09:03,720 | ||
6027 | if it finds support, okay? But now prior | ||
6028 | |||
6029 | 1508 | ||
6030 | 01:09:03,720 ~-~-> 01:09:06,780 | ||
6031 | to this price drop, I'm going to ask you | ||
6032 | |||
6033 | 1509 | ||
6034 | 01:09:06,780 ~-~-> 01:09:08,610 | ||
6035 | what do you see here. Now we're looking | ||
6036 | |||
6037 | 1510 | ||
6038 | 01:09:08,610 ~-~-> 01:09:11,430 | ||
6039 | at the 132 30 level here, but again, | ||
6040 | |||
6041 | 1511 | ||
6042 | 01:09:11,430 ~-~-> 01:09:12,660 | ||
6043 | because we move down to a lower | ||
6044 | |||
6045 | 1512 | ||
6046 | 01:09:12,660 ~-~-> 01:09:15,840 | ||
6047 | timeframe, what other levels stands out? | ||
6048 | |||
6049 | 1513 | ||
6050 | 01:09:17,789 ~-~-> 01:09:18,929 | ||
6051 | You see this high here, | ||
6052 | |||
6053 | 1514 | ||
6054 | 01:09:19,499 ~-~-> 01:09:20,309 | ||
6055 | the short term high. | ||
6056 | |||
6057 | 1515 | ||
6058 | 01:09:21,750 ~-~-> 01:09:22,530 | ||
6059 | Let's note that. | ||
6060 | |||
6061 | 1516 | ||
6062 | 01:09:27,599 ~-~-> 01:09:30,599 | ||
6063 | Now I will admit it's not very much in | ||
6064 | |||
6065 | 1517 | ||
6066 | 01:09:30,599 ~-~-> 01:09:32,969 | ||
6067 | terms of difference between here and | ||
6068 | |||
6069 | 1518 | ||
6070 | 01:09:32,969 ~-~-> 01:09:36,239 | ||
6071 | here. Okay, this level, let's note it so | ||
6072 | |||
6073 | 1519 | ||
6074 | 01:09:36,239 ~-~-> 01:09:44,639 | ||
6075 | you can see what it is the 132 26 and | ||
6076 | |||
6077 | 1520 | ||
6078 | 01:09:44,639 ~-~-> 01:09:46,919 | ||
6079 | this is the 132 30 level. | ||
6080 | |||
6081 | 1521 | ||
6082 | 01:09:47,130 ~-~-> 01:09:49,290 | ||
6083 | So it's not much in terms of | ||
6084 | |||
6085 | 1522 | ||
6086 | 01:09:50,550 ~-~-> 01:09:53,310 | ||
6087 | pips, but if this was an hourly chart or | ||
6088 | |||
6089 | 1523 | ||
6090 | 01:09:53,310 ~-~-> 01:09:55,200 | ||
6091 | a four hour chart, this could very | ||
6092 | |||
6093 | 1524 | ||
6094 | 01:09:55,200 ~-~-> 01:09:58,590 | ||
6095 | easily be 5060 different. You any number | ||
6096 | |||
6097 | 1525 | ||
6098 | 01:09:58,590 ~-~-> 01:10:00,990 | ||
6099 | of pips that's greater than Less than 10 | ||
6100 | |||
6101 | 1526 | ||
6102 | 01:10:00,990 ~-~-> 01:10:03,210 | ||
6103 | here. So again, I'm trying to take your | ||
6104 | |||
6105 | 1527 | ||
6106 | 01:10:03,210 ~-~-> 01:10:07,020 | ||
6107 | eye and train it on a conceptual basis | ||
6108 | |||
6109 | 1528 | ||
6110 | 01:10:07,260 ~-~-> 01:10:09,660 | ||
6111 | and not limited to a specific timeframe. | ||
6112 | |||
6113 | 1529 | ||
6114 | 01:10:09,870 ~-~-> 01:10:12,450 | ||
6115 | Okay? The things that are generically | ||
6116 | |||
6117 | 1530 | ||
6118 | 01:10:12,450 ~-~-> 01:10:15,750 | ||
6119 | inherent or sensitive to timeframe is | ||
6120 | |||
6121 | 1531 | ||
6122 | 01:10:15,750 ~-~-> 01:10:17,760 | ||
6123 | the higher timeframe the daily for our | ||
6124 | |||
6125 | 1532 | ||
6126 | 01:10:17,790 ~-~-> 01:10:21,360 | ||
6127 | one hour. So the trend, the directional | ||
6128 | |||
6129 | 1533 | ||
6130 | 01:10:21,360 ~-~-> 01:10:23,070 | ||
6131 | bias the hearts high level support | ||
6132 | |||
6133 | 1534 | ||
6134 | 01:10:23,070 ~-~-> 01:10:25,290 | ||
6135 | resistance levels, those things don't | ||
6136 | |||
6137 | 1535 | ||
6138 | 01:10:25,320 ~-~-> 01:10:28,200 | ||
6139 | move. They're very, very, very powerful, | ||
6140 | |||
6141 | 1536 | ||
6142 | 01:10:28,200 ~-~-> 01:10:30,300 | ||
6143 | they're static, you have to correct | ||
6144 | |||
6145 | 1537 | ||
6146 | 01:10:30,330 ~-~-> 01:10:32,160 | ||
6147 | directly relate them to the higher time | ||
6148 | |||
6149 | 1538 | ||
6150 | 01:10:32,160 ~-~-> 01:10:35,730 | ||
6151 | frame again daily for our one hour. No | ||
6152 | |||
6153 | 1539 | ||
6154 | 01:10:35,730 ~-~-> 01:10:39,300 | ||
6155 | trade whatsoever. You should never take | ||
6156 | |||
6157 | 1540 | ||
6158 | 01:10:39,300 ~-~-> 01:10:42,600 | ||
6159 | a trade outside of having a key support | ||
6160 | |||
6161 | 1541 | ||
6162 | 01:10:42,600 ~-~-> 01:10:45,840 | ||
6163 | level or resistance level that is easier | ||
6164 | |||
6165 | 1542 | ||
6166 | 01:10:45,900 ~-~-> 01:10:47,220 | ||
6167 | either from the 60 minute, | ||
6168 | |||
6169 | 1543 | ||
6170 | 01:10:48,060 ~-~-> 01:10:48,660 | ||
6171 | minimum, | ||
6172 | |||
6173 | 1544 | ||
6174 | 01:10:49,530 ~-~-> 01:10:52,650 | ||
6175 | four hour or daily chart. Okay. | ||
6176 | |||
6177 | 1545 | ||
6178 | 01:10:53,970 ~-~-> 01:10:57,360 | ||
6179 | If you do this, your trading is going to | ||
6180 | |||
6181 | 1546 | ||
6182 | 01:10:57,360 ~-~-> 01:11:00,750 | ||
6183 | move to another level immediately. But | ||
6184 | |||
6185 | 1547 | ||
6186 | 01:11:00,750 ~-~-> 01:11:03,240 | ||
6187 | it's also going to force patience, which | ||
6188 | |||
6189 | 1548 | ||
6190 | 01:11:03,240 ~-~-> 01:11:05,610 | ||
6191 | is a very hard characteristic for | ||
6192 | |||
6193 | 1549 | ||
6194 | 01:11:05,610 ~-~-> 01:11:07,650 | ||
6195 | traders, especially as a new trader, | ||
6196 | |||
6197 | 1550 | ||
6198 | 01:11:07,650 ~-~-> 01:11:10,140 | ||
6199 | you're not going to have that level of | ||
6200 | |||
6201 | 1551 | ||
6202 | 01:11:10,470 ~-~-> 01:11:13,170 | ||
6203 | patience. Okay? But by applying the | ||
6204 | |||
6205 | 1552 | ||
6206 | 01:11:13,170 ~-~-> 01:11:14,280 | ||
6207 | higher time frames for resistance | ||
6208 | |||
6209 | 1553 | ||
6210 | 01:11:14,280 ~-~-> 01:11:16,770 | ||
6211 | levels, it's going to force you to wait. | ||
6212 | |||
6213 | 1554 | ||
6214 | 01:11:17,070 ~-~-> 01:11:18,060 | ||
6215 | And that's a good thing. | ||
6216 | |||
6217 | 1555 | ||
6218 | 01:11:18,360 ~-~-> 01:11:20,430 | ||
6219 | Okay, that's it. That's a characteristic | ||
6220 | |||
6221 | 1556 | ||
6222 | 01:11:20,430 ~-~-> 01:11:23,880 | ||
6223 | of good trading that has a learned | ||
6224 | |||
6225 | 1557 | ||
6226 | 01:11:24,090 ~-~-> 01:11:26,160 | ||
6227 | characteristic. We just don't we don't | ||
6228 | |||
6229 | 1558 | ||
6230 | 01:11:26,160 ~-~-> 01:11:27,780 | ||
6231 | open a book up say, Okay, I read that | ||
6232 | |||
6233 | 1559 | ||
6234 | 01:11:27,780 ~-~-> 01:11:30,540 | ||
6235 | chapter. Now. I'm patient. Now, you know | ||
6236 | |||
6237 | 1560 | ||
6238 | 01:11:30,540 ~-~-> 01:11:31,470 | ||
6239 | what I'm talking about. I mean, you | ||
6240 | |||
6241 | 1561 | ||
6242 | 01:11:31,470 ~-~-> 01:11:33,180 | ||
6243 | know, we you've had your demo accounts, | ||
6244 | |||
6245 | 1562 | ||
6246 | 01:11:33,180 ~-~-> 01:11:35,520 | ||
6247 | you've over leveraged it, you know, $100 | ||
6248 | |||
6249 | 1563 | ||
6250 | 01:11:35,520 ~-~-> 01:11:37,080 | ||
6251 | per PIP just to see what would happen, | ||
6252 | |||
6253 | 1564 | ||
6254 | 01:11:37,350 ~-~-> 01:11:38,550 | ||
6255 | you know, what's going to happen? | ||
6256 | |||
6257 | 1565 | ||
6258 | 01:11:38,760 ~-~-> 01:11:40,650 | ||
6259 | Nothing, nothing money in your pocket, | ||
6260 | |||
6261 | 1566 | ||
6262 | 01:11:40,650 ~-~-> 01:11:42,870 | ||
6263 | you wasted time, and if it lost money, | ||
6264 | |||
6265 | 1567 | ||
6266 | 01:11:43,020 ~-~-> 01:11:44,460 | ||
6267 | you didn't pay attention to that one. | ||
6268 | |||
6269 | 1568 | ||
6270 | 01:11:45,570 ~-~-> 01:11:47,970 | ||
6271 | But the ones that do, you're sitting at | ||
6272 | |||
6273 | 1569 | ||
6274 | 01:11:47,970 ~-~-> 01:11:49,020 | ||
6275 | work daydreaming as to where you're | ||
6276 | |||
6277 | 1570 | ||
6278 | 01:11:49,020 ~-~-> 01:11:50,310 | ||
6279 | going to get out of having to ever have | ||
6280 | |||
6281 | 1571 | ||
6282 | 01:11:50,310 ~-~-> 01:11:52,080 | ||
6283 | a work anymore, okay, so you know what | ||
6284 | |||
6285 | 1572 | ||
6286 | 01:11:52,080 ~-~-> 01:11:53,670 | ||
6287 | you did? You know, you do all the time | ||
6288 | |||
6289 | 1573 | ||
6290 | 01:11:53,670 ~-~-> 01:11:55,920 | ||
6291 | to stop doing all that mess. So now | ||
6292 | |||
6293 | 1574 | ||
6294 | 01:11:55,920 ~-~-> 01:11:58,320 | ||
6295 | looking at this price action here, okay. | ||
6296 | |||
6297 | 1575 | ||
6298 | 01:11:59,190 ~-~-> 01:12:02,730 | ||
6299 | We have This short term high here, okay, | ||
6300 | |||
6301 | 1576 | ||
6302 | 01:12:03,030 ~-~-> 01:12:06,180 | ||
6303 | we have these swing lows in here. Okay? | ||
6304 | |||
6305 | 1577 | ||
6306 | 01:12:06,630 ~-~-> 01:12:10,140 | ||
6307 | So what what in this block of price, | ||
6308 | |||
6309 | 1578 | ||
6310 | 01:12:10,350 ~-~-> 01:12:15,900 | ||
6311 | what level in here is being worked? Any | ||
6312 | |||
6313 | 1579 | ||
6314 | 01:12:15,900 ~-~-> 01:12:23,190 | ||
6315 | idea? The 132 big figure, okay 132 big | ||
6316 | |||
6317 | 1580 | ||
6318 | 01:12:23,190 ~-~-> 01:12:24,420 | ||
6319 | figure. So what we'll do is | ||
6320 | |||
6321 | 1581 | ||
6322 | 01:12:25,710 ~-~-> 01:12:26,880 | ||
6323 | let's move this down. | ||
6324 | |||
6325 | 1582 | ||
6326 | 01:12:30,060 ~-~-> 01:12:33,870 | ||
6327 | Okay, and what I'll do is I'll take this | ||
6328 | |||
6329 | 1583 | ||
6330 | 01:12:33,870 ~-~-> 01:12:34,320 | ||
6331 | level | ||
6332 | |||
6333 | 1584 | ||
6334 | 01:12:39,570 ~-~-> 01:12:41,490 | ||
6335 | and I'm just gonna put that here. | ||
6336 | |||
6337 | 1585 | ||
6338 | 01:12:44,700 ~-~-> 01:12:46,920 | ||
6339 | Okay, so we have a price level that's | ||
6340 | |||
6341 | 1586 | ||
6342 | 01:12:46,920 ~-~-> 01:12:50,850 | ||
6343 | being worked here. And we have a very | ||
6344 | |||
6345 | 1587 | ||
6346 | 01:12:50,850 ~-~-> 01:12:54,510 | ||
6347 | short term high here as well. But this | ||
6348 | |||
6349 | 1588 | ||
6350 | 01:12:55,080 ~-~-> 01:12:57,690 | ||
6351 | retracement here. Okay, you see that | ||
6352 | |||
6353 | 1589 | ||
6354 | 01:12:59,340 ~-~-> 01:13:02,370 | ||
6355 | we're going to end Introduce briefly. I | ||
6356 | |||
6357 | 1590 | ||
6358 | 01:13:02,370 ~-~-> 01:13:03,660 | ||
6359 | don't want to do too much of this | ||
6360 | |||
6361 | 1591 | ||
6362 | 01:13:03,660 ~-~-> 01:13:05,160 | ||
6363 | because I can very easily turn this into | ||
6364 | |||
6365 | 1592 | ||
6366 | 01:13:05,160 ~-~-> 01:13:07,740 | ||
6367 | a full hour teaching just on fibs and | ||
6368 | |||
6369 | 1593 | ||
6370 | 01:13:07,740 ~-~-> 01:13:09,420 | ||
6371 | won't even scratch the surface on what's | ||
6372 | |||
6373 | 1594 | ||
6374 | 01:13:09,420 ~-~-> 01:13:11,640 | ||
6375 | applicable with it. If you pull a fib | ||
6376 | |||
6377 | 1595 | ||
6378 | 01:13:11,640 ~-~-> 01:13:13,230 | ||
6379 | from that level, okay, this is the | ||
6380 | |||
6381 | 1596 | ||
6382 | 01:13:13,230 ~-~-> 01:13:16,500 | ||
6383 | support level. Okay, we have price here, | ||
6384 | |||
6385 | 1597 | ||
6386 | 01:13:16,830 ~-~-> 01:13:20,220 | ||
6387 | rallying up away from it, making this | ||
6388 | |||
6389 | 1598 | ||
6390 | 01:13:20,220 ~-~-> 01:13:22,710 | ||
6391 | high here. Can you see that? | ||
6392 | |||
6393 | 1599 | ||
6394 | 01:13:24,090 ~-~-> 01:13:25,350 | ||
6395 | Do you see now | ||
6396 | |||
6397 | 1600 | ||
6398 | 01:13:27,060 ~-~-> 01:13:28,200 | ||
6399 | let me put this right on the level | ||
6400 | |||
6401 | 1601 | ||
6402 | 01:13:28,200 ~-~-> 01:13:29,490 | ||
6403 | because I want to be consistent about | ||
6404 | |||
6405 | 1602 | ||
6406 | 01:13:29,490 ~-~-> 01:13:33,780 | ||
6407 | what I'm showing you. This is the 70.5 | ||
6408 | |||
6409 | 1603 | ||
6410 | 01:13:33,780 ~-~-> 01:13:36,750 | ||
6411 | level, this is the 79% level and this is | ||
6412 | |||
6413 | 1604 | ||
6414 | 01:13:36,750 ~-~-> 01:13:41,520 | ||
6415 | the 62% level. Price comes down to 62 | ||
6416 | |||
6417 | 1605 | ||
6418 | 01:13:41,820 ~-~-> 01:13:44,850 | ||
6419 | and bounces and then what does it do? It | ||
6420 | |||
6421 | 1606 | ||
6422 | 01:13:44,850 ~-~-> 01:13:50,850 | ||
6423 | rallies off trades up into old lows. Old | ||
6424 | |||
6425 | 1607 | ||
6426 | 01:13:50,850 ~-~-> 01:13:55,320 | ||
6427 | high resistance into Tuesday. Okay, | ||
6428 | |||
6429 | 1608 | ||
6430 | 01:13:55,380 ~-~-> 01:13:58,470 | ||
6431 | Tuesday trades down. It makes a low. The | ||
6432 | |||
6433 | 1609 | ||
6434 | 01:13:58,470 ~-~-> 01:14:02,460 | ||
6435 | low Here comes at six 30 GMT thinking | ||
6436 | |||
6437 | 1610 | ||
6438 | 01:14:02,460 ~-~-> 01:14:03,240 | ||
6439 | time of day, | ||
6440 | |||
6441 | 1611 | ||
6442 | 01:14:03,930 ~-~-> 01:14:06,240 | ||
6443 | that's middle of Frankfurt. | ||
6444 | |||
6445 | 1612 | ||
6446 | 01:14:07,259 ~-~-> 01:14:09,029 | ||
6447 | the very early stages of London open. | ||
6448 | |||
6449 | 1613 | ||
6450 | 01:14:09,389 ~-~-> 01:14:11,639 | ||
6451 | Okay, just go back here for a second. | ||
6452 | |||
6453 | 1614 | ||
6454 | 01:14:11,669 ~-~-> 01:14:15,539 | ||
6455 | The lowness day here forms at 1345 GMT, | ||
6456 | |||
6457 | 1615 | ||
6458 | 01:14:16,529 ~-~-> 01:14:20,399 | ||
6459 | the high that day on Monday forms at 745 | ||
6460 | |||
6461 | 1616 | ||
6462 | 01:14:20,429 ~-~-> 01:14:23,879 | ||
6463 | which is a London open. So now we have | ||
6464 | |||
6465 | 1617 | ||
6466 | 01:14:23,909 ~-~-> 01:14:27,419 | ||
6467 | another minor move here and retracement. | ||
6468 | |||
6469 | 1618 | ||
6470 | 01:14:28,289 ~-~-> 01:14:28,679 | ||
6471 | Okay. | ||
6472 | |||
6473 | 1619 | ||
6474 | 01:14:30,480 ~-~-> 01:14:31,740 | ||
6475 | If you pull a fit from that | ||
6476 | |||
6477 | 1620 | ||
6478 | 01:14:33,450 ~-~-> 01:14:35,520 | ||
6479 | price swing from here to here | ||
6480 | |||
6481 | 1621 | ||
6482 | 01:14:38,250 ~-~-> 01:14:41,640 | ||
6483 | and let's take this one off. So you can | ||
6484 | |||
6485 | 1622 | ||
6486 | 01:14:41,640 ~-~-> 01:14:44,430 | ||
6487 | see, price comes right down to that 62% | ||
6488 | |||
6489 | 1623 | ||
6490 | 01:14:44,430 ~-~-> 01:14:46,740 | ||
6491 | retracement level. Now we're hunting or | ||
6492 | |||
6493 | 1624 | ||
6494 | 01:14:46,740 ~-~-> 01:14:51,240 | ||
6495 | stocking buying opportunities. Okay, but | ||
6496 | |||
6497 | 1625 | ||
6498 | 01:14:51,900 ~-~-> 01:14:56,460 | ||
6499 | the 62% What else could we use? Okay, | ||
6500 | |||
6501 | 1626 | ||
6502 | 01:14:56,730 ~-~-> 01:14:59,550 | ||
6503 | well, let's see what else happens around | ||
6504 | |||
6505 | 1627 | ||
6506 | 01:14:59,550 ~-~-> 01:15:04,740 | ||
6507 | that. 62% we have the 132 47 so isn't | ||
6508 | |||
6509 | 1628 | ||
6510 | 01:15:04,740 ~-~-> 01:15:08,280 | ||
6511 | that really the 132 50 level? It's a | ||
6512 | |||
6513 | 1629 | ||
6514 | 01:15:08,280 ~-~-> 01:15:10,440 | ||
6515 | big, big round number right? So you can | ||
6516 | |||
6517 | 1630 | ||
6518 | 01:15:10,440 ~-~-> 01:15:11,940 | ||
6519 | see price comes down to that mid figure | ||
6520 | |||
6521 | 1631 | ||
6522 | 01:15:11,940 ~-~-> 01:15:13,980 | ||
6523 | level and then bounces. So there's a | ||
6524 | |||
6525 | 1632 | ||
6526 | 01:15:13,980 ~-~-> 01:15:17,940 | ||
6527 | confluence of support like that. Okay. | ||
6528 | |||
6529 | 1633 | ||
6530 | 01:15:18,600 ~-~-> 01:15:21,270 | ||
6531 | Now price rallies up, comes down, | ||
6532 | |||
6533 | 1634 | ||
6534 | 01:15:21,630 ~-~-> 01:15:25,380 | ||
6535 | bounces here, trades up finds a high and | ||
6536 | |||
6537 | 1635 | ||
6538 | 01:15:25,410 ~-~-> 01:15:28,560 | ||
6539 | retraces To do what? Well this old high | ||
6540 | |||
6541 | 1636 | ||
6542 | 01:15:28,560 ~-~-> 01:15:31,290 | ||
6543 | here once it's broken through is becomes | ||
6544 | |||
6545 | 1637 | ||
6546 | 01:15:31,290 ~-~-> 01:15:33,600 | ||
6547 | an inversion level again it's resistance | ||
6548 | |||
6549 | 1638 | ||
6550 | 01:15:33,600 ~-~-> 01:15:36,030 | ||
6551 | here once broken. Okay it's rose | ||
6552 | |||
6553 | 1639 | ||
6554 | 01:15:36,030 ~-~-> 01:15:39,030 | ||
6555 | inverted now becomes a support rallies | ||
6556 | |||
6557 | 1640 | ||
6558 | 01:15:39,030 ~-~-> 01:15:42,810 | ||
6559 | off okay and it comes back down on the | ||
6560 | |||
6561 | 1641 | ||
6562 | 01:15:42,810 ~-~-> 01:15:45,270 | ||
6563 | very next day so you don't have to rush. | ||
6564 | |||
6565 | 1642 | ||
6566 | 01:15:45,600 ~-~-> 01:15:47,760 | ||
6567 | If you miss this move Fine. Then you | ||
6568 | |||
6569 | 1643 | ||
6570 | 01:15:47,760 ~-~-> 01:15:50,130 | ||
6571 | start seeing on Wednesday price retraces | ||
6572 | |||
6573 | 1644 | ||
6574 | 01:15:50,460 ~-~-> 01:15:52,410 | ||
6575 | okay and you would do what expected to | ||
6576 | |||
6577 | 1645 | ||
6578 | 01:15:52,410 ~-~-> 01:15:55,830 | ||
6579 | find support were here. But now watch | ||
6580 | |||
6581 | 1646 | ||
6582 | 01:15:55,830 ~-~-> 01:16:00,300 | ||
6583 | what happens. You take your fib The | ||
6584 | |||
6585 | 1647 | ||
6586 | 01:16:00,300 ~-~-> 01:16:04,530 | ||
6587 | previous day's low, pulled up to the | ||
6588 | |||
6589 | 1648 | ||
6590 | 01:16:04,530 ~-~-> 01:16:08,100 | ||
6591 | high. This is the highest point from | ||
6592 | |||
6593 | 1649 | ||
6594 | 01:16:08,100 ~-~-> 01:16:11,430 | ||
6595 | this low to this high as it retraces. Do | ||
6596 | |||
6597 | 1650 | ||
6598 | 01:16:11,430 ~-~-> 01:16:13,650 | ||
6599 | you see what it's done here? Here's the | ||
6600 | |||
6601 | 1651 | ||
6602 | 01:16:13,650 ~-~-> 01:16:16,770 | ||
6603 | 62% retracement is 7970 basement level | ||
6604 | |||
6605 | 1652 | ||
6606 | 01:16:17,100 ~-~-> 01:16:19,020 | ||
6607 | we have a confluence of support and | ||
6608 | |||
6609 | 1653 | ||
6610 | 01:16:19,020 ~-~-> 01:16:21,450 | ||
6611 | resistance on that 70.5 level or | ||
6612 | |||
6613 | 1654 | ||
6614 | 01:16:21,450 ~-~-> 01:16:25,230 | ||
6615 | sweetspot Okay, this is like that target | ||
6616 | |||
6617 | 1655 | ||
6618 | 01:16:25,680 ~-~-> 01:16:28,470 | ||
6619 | crosshair on a sniper scope This is | ||
6620 | |||
6621 | 1656 | ||
6622 | 01:16:28,470 ~-~-> 01:16:30,150 | ||
6623 | exactly what you're looking for. The | ||
6624 | |||
6625 | 1657 | ||
6626 | 01:16:30,150 ~-~-> 01:16:32,850 | ||
6627 | very low of this candle okay comes at | ||
6628 | |||
6629 | 1658 | ||
6630 | 01:16:32,880 ~-~-> 01:16:34,980 | ||
6631 | zactly at nine GMT | ||
6632 | |||
6633 | 1659 | ||
6634 | 01:16:35,010 ~-~-> 01:16:36,150 | ||
6635 | that is the | ||
6636 | |||
6637 | 1660 | ||
6638 | 01:16:37,980 ~-~-> 01:16:41,370 | ||
6639 | Monday and open kilson price rallies up, | ||
6640 | |||
6641 | 1661 | ||
6642 | 01:16:41,760 ~-~-> 01:16:44,370 | ||
6643 | takes off. Okay. breaks through this old | ||
6644 | |||
6645 | 1662 | ||
6646 | 01:16:44,370 ~-~-> 01:16:47,010 | ||
6647 | high. Okay see that old high here breaks | ||
6648 | |||
6649 | 1663 | ||
6650 | 01:16:47,010 ~-~-> 01:16:51,090 | ||
6651 | through that sticker that we had drawn | ||
6652 | |||
6653 | 1664 | ||
6654 | 01:16:51,090 ~-~-> 01:16:54,480 | ||
6655 | here off. Okay price rallies through it | ||
6656 | |||
6657 | 1665 | ||
6658 | 01:16:54,480 ~-~-> 01:16:57,420 | ||
6659 | and it comes back and does what finds an | ||
6660 | |||
6661 | 1666 | ||
6662 | 01:16:57,420 ~-~-> 01:16:59,730 | ||
6663 | inversion level this resistance broken | ||
6664 | |||
6665 | 1667 | ||
6666 | 01:17:00,690 ~-~-> 01:17:02,910 | ||
6667 | The role is inverted, boom, it becomes | ||
6668 | |||
6669 | 1668 | ||
6670 | 01:17:02,910 ~-~-> 01:17:07,620 | ||
6671 | what? Now support. Okay. Now, I'm going | ||
6672 | |||
6673 | 1669 | ||
6674 | 01:17:07,620 ~-~-> 01:17:09,720 | ||
6675 | to refrain from breaking down to a five | ||
6676 | |||
6677 | 1670 | ||
6678 | 01:17:09,720 ~-~-> 01:17:11,460 | ||
6679 | minute chart just to show you the | ||
6680 | |||
6681 | 1671 | ||
6682 | 01:17:13,020 ~-~-> 01:17:15,510 | ||
6683 | optimal trade entry here. But you see | ||
6684 | |||
6685 | 1672 | ||
6686 | 01:17:15,510 ~-~-> 01:17:18,930 | ||
6687 | this swing low here. This is London | ||
6688 | |||
6689 | 1673 | ||
6690 | 01:17:18,930 ~-~-> 01:17:21,840 | ||
6691 | close, this little swing low, here it is | ||
6692 | |||
6693 | 1674 | ||
6694 | 01:17:21,840 ~-~-> 01:17:24,690 | ||
6695 | occurs at London close, write this down | ||
6696 | |||
6697 | 1675 | ||
6698 | 01:17:24,690 ~-~-> 01:17:28,620 | ||
6699 | here in a pen, every session high and | ||
6700 | |||
6701 | 1676 | ||
6702 | 01:17:28,620 ~-~-> 01:17:30,690 | ||
6703 | low. In other words, the highest high | ||
6704 | |||
6705 | 1677 | ||
6706 | 01:17:30,690 ~-~-> 01:17:33,060 | ||
6707 | and the lowest low it makes during each | ||
6708 | |||
6709 | 1678 | ||
6710 | 01:17:33,060 ~-~-> 01:17:36,690 | ||
6711 | session. Okay? That means the London | ||
6712 | |||
6713 | 1679 | ||
6714 | 01:17:36,690 ~-~-> 01:17:40,230 | ||
6715 | session, the New York session, the asian | ||
6716 | |||
6717 | 1680 | ||
6718 | 01:17:40,230 ~-~-> 01:17:43,140 | ||
6719 | session, okay, only look at those three | ||
6720 | |||
6721 | 1681 | ||
6722 | 01:17:43,140 ~-~-> 01:17:46,140 | ||
6723 | major trading sessions. And you want to | ||
6724 | |||
6725 | 1682 | ||
6726 | 01:17:46,140 ~-~-> 01:17:47,760 | ||
6727 | be looking for the highest high and the | ||
6728 | |||
6729 | 1683 | ||
6730 | 01:17:47,760 ~-~-> 01:17:50,610 | ||
6731 | lowest low and it's easiest to do that | ||
6732 | |||
6733 | 1684 | ||
6734 | 01:17:50,640 ~-~-> 01:17:53,280 | ||
6735 | research on a five minute basis. Okay. | ||
6736 | |||
6737 | 1685 | ||
6738 | 01:17:53,700 ~-~-> 01:17:56,160 | ||
6739 | And you want to be getting used to | ||
6740 | |||
6741 | 1686 | ||
6742 | 01:17:56,160 ~-~-> 01:17:58,770 | ||
6743 | seeing what those ranges are for these | ||
6744 | |||
6745 | 1687 | ||
6746 | 01:17:58,770 ~-~-> 01:18:02,220 | ||
6747 | individual sessions. Now when you use | ||
6748 | |||
6749 | 1688 | ||
6750 | 01:18:02,220 ~-~-> 01:18:05,250 | ||
6751 | that information, you'll be able to pull | ||
6752 | |||
6753 | 1689 | ||
6754 | 01:18:05,250 ~-~-> 01:18:07,110 | ||
6755 | your fibs from these particular price | ||
6756 | |||
6757 | 1690 | ||
6758 | 01:18:07,110 ~-~-> 01:18:09,840 | ||
6759 | points. And you'll see the signals that | ||
6760 | |||
6761 | 1691 | ||
6762 | 01:18:09,870 ~-~-> 01:18:11,490 | ||
6763 | evade many people. And a lot of times | ||
6764 | |||
6765 | 1692 | ||
6766 | 01:18:11,490 ~-~-> 01:18:13,020 | ||
6767 | people watch my video and say, Well, it | ||
6768 | |||
6769 | 1693 | ||
6770 | 01:18:13,020 ~-~-> 01:18:14,790 | ||
6771 | looks like hindsight to me, you'll see | ||
6772 | |||
6773 | 1694 | ||
6774 | 01:18:14,790 ~-~-> 01:18:16,470 | ||
6775 | that this is the same stuff applied over | ||
6776 | |||
6777 | 1695 | ||
6778 | 01:18:16,470 ~-~-> 01:18:18,450 | ||
6779 | and over and over again. Okay? So we | ||
6780 | |||
6781 | 1696 | ||
6782 | 01:18:18,450 ~-~-> 01:18:22,560 | ||
6783 | have old, sorry, low here, which is old | ||
6784 | |||
6785 | 1697 | ||
6786 | 01:18:22,560 ~-~-> 01:18:26,190 | ||
6787 | highs here on Tuesday. So these are all | ||
6788 | |||
6789 | 1698 | ||
6790 | 01:18:26,220 ~-~-> 01:18:27,960 | ||
6791 | lower level support levels, they're now | ||
6792 | |||
6793 | 1699 | ||
6794 | 01:18:27,960 ~-~-> 01:18:30,870 | ||
6795 | dynamic. So this level is good, but you | ||
6796 | |||
6797 | 1700 | ||
6798 | 01:18:30,870 ~-~-> 01:18:33,270 | ||
6799 | can fine tune also. Okay, but more | ||
6800 | |||
6801 | 1701 | ||
6802 | 01:18:33,270 ~-~-> 01:18:35,640 | ||
6803 | importantly, as price trades back down | ||
6804 | |||
6805 | 1702 | ||
6806 | 01:18:35,640 ~-~-> 01:18:38,040 | ||
6807 | to this level here, I'm going to show | ||
6808 | |||
6809 | 1703 | ||
6810 | 01:18:38,040 ~-~-> 01:18:42,690 | ||
6811 | you this is the high and the low. And | ||
6812 | |||
6813 | 1704 | ||
6814 | 01:18:42,690 ~-~-> 01:18:44,100 | ||
6815 | here's the second is that tracing level | ||
6816 | |||
6817 | 1705 | ||
6818 | 01:18:44,340 ~-~-> 01:18:47,490 | ||
6819 | lying right on top of the support level. | ||
6820 | |||
6821 | 1706 | ||
6822 | 01:18:47,490 ~-~-> 01:18:49,770 | ||
6823 | So we have real support resistance with | ||
6824 | |||
6825 | 1707 | ||
6826 | 01:18:49,770 ~-~-> 01:18:53,160 | ||
6827 | overlapping Fibonacci retracement level | ||
6828 | |||
6829 | 1708 | ||
6830 | 01:18:53,190 ~-~-> 01:18:55,350 | ||
6831 | with a directional bias and mine looking | ||
6832 | |||
6833 | 1709 | ||
6834 | 01:18:55,350 ~-~-> 01:18:57,450 | ||
6835 | for higher prices. Okay, so you could be | ||
6836 | |||
6837 | 1710 | ||
6838 | 01:18:57,450 ~-~-> 01:19:01,080 | ||
6839 | a buyer on this candle here. This candle | ||
6840 | |||
6841 | 1711 | ||
6842 | 01:19:01,110 ~-~-> 01:19:05,160 | ||
6843 | comes in at 245 GMT. So you guys that | ||
6844 | |||
6845 | 1712 | ||
6846 | 01:19:05,160 ~-~-> 01:19:07,140 | ||
6847 | work all day, you could have been an | ||
6848 | |||
6849 | 1713 | ||
6850 | 01:19:07,140 ~-~-> 01:19:09,600 | ||
6851 | participant on this move this is a Asia | ||
6852 | |||
6853 | 1714 | ||
6854 | 01:19:09,600 ~-~-> 01:19:14,490 | ||
6855 | session, trade price moves up, blows | ||
6856 | |||
6857 | 1715 | ||
6858 | 01:19:14,490 ~-~-> 01:19:16,080 | ||
6859 | through a short term high that it | ||
6860 | |||
6861 | 1716 | ||
6862 | 01:19:16,080 ~-~-> 01:19:20,850 | ||
6863 | creates on this day here and meets a | ||
6864 | |||
6865 | 1717 | ||
6866 | 01:19:21,660 ~-~-> 01:19:25,140 | ||
6867 | otherwise unknown resistance level. | ||
6868 | |||
6869 | 1718 | ||
6870 | 01:19:25,560 ~-~-> 01:19:27,720 | ||
6871 | Okay, do you see the facade here if | ||
6872 | |||
6873 | 1719 | ||
6874 | 01:19:27,720 ~-~-> 01:19:28,950 | ||
6875 | you're just looking at these types of | ||
6876 | |||
6877 | 1720 | ||
6878 | 01:19:28,950 ~-~-> 01:19:31,530 | ||
6879 | charts in 15 minute basis, if you're | ||
6880 | |||
6881 | 1721 | ||
6882 | 01:19:31,530 ~-~-> 01:19:34,170 | ||
6883 | looking at sub 60 minutes, anything less | ||
6884 | |||
6885 | 1722 | ||
6886 | 01:19:34,170 ~-~-> 01:19:37,680 | ||
6887 | than 60 minutes without having a | ||
6888 | |||
6889 | 1723 | ||
6890 | 01:19:37,680 ~-~-> 01:19:38,880 | ||
6891 | reference point, on the higher | ||
6892 | |||
6893 | 1724 | ||
6894 | 01:19:38,880 ~-~-> 01:19:41,580 | ||
6895 | timeframe, you really are throwing darts | ||
6896 | |||
6897 | 1725 | ||
6898 | 01:19:41,730 ~-~-> 01:19:43,830 | ||
6899 | in the dark, you have no idea what | ||
6900 | |||
6901 | 1726 | ||
6902 | 01:19:43,830 ~-~-> 01:19:46,110 | ||
6903 | you're aiming for. Okay, you may think | ||
6904 | |||
6905 | 1727 | ||
6906 | 01:19:46,140 ~-~-> 01:19:47,400 | ||
6907 | you know what you're doing because price | ||
6908 | |||
6909 | 1728 | ||
6910 | 01:19:47,400 ~-~-> 01:19:48,630 | ||
6911 | is trading up and maybe you're drawing | ||
6912 | |||
6913 | 1729 | ||
6914 | 01:19:48,630 ~-~-> 01:19:51,510 | ||
6915 | trend lines and all that business. Look, | ||
6916 | |||
6917 | 1730 | ||
6918 | 01:19:51,630 ~-~-> 01:19:53,040 | ||
6919 | if you don't have the higher time frame | ||
6920 | |||
6921 | 1731 | ||
6922 | 01:19:53,040 ~-~-> 01:19:55,050 | ||
6923 | premise in mind, you are gambling. | ||
6924 | |||
6925 | 1732 | ||
6926 | 01:19:55,740 ~-~-> 01:19:56,850 | ||
6927 | There's no other way of saying it, | ||
6928 | |||
6929 | 1733 | ||
6930 | 01:19:56,850 ~-~-> 01:19:59,880 | ||
6931 | you're just simply gambling. So now | ||
6932 | |||
6933 | 1734 | ||
6934 | 01:20:00,630 ~-~-> 01:20:02,580 | ||
6935 | We're going to look at a moment at what | ||
6936 | |||
6937 | 1735 | ||
6938 | 01:20:02,580 ~-~-> 01:20:04,710 | ||
6939 | this catalyst was okay? And it's going | ||
6940 | |||
6941 | 1736 | ||
6942 | 01:20:04,710 ~-~-> 01:20:06,420 | ||
6943 | to be very clear to you won't be like, | ||
6944 | |||
6945 | 1737 | ||
6946 | 01:20:06,450 ~-~-> 01:20:08,250 | ||
6947 | Oh, this is now hindsight picking, | ||
6948 | |||
6949 | 1738 | ||
6950 | 01:20:08,310 ~-~-> 01:20:09,840 | ||
6951 | you're going to see it so clearly | ||
6952 | |||
6953 | 1739 | ||
6954 | 01:20:09,840 ~-~-> 01:20:13,380 | ||
6955 | obvious why it turned here. But | ||
6956 | |||
6957 | 1740 | ||
6958 | 01:20:13,380 ~-~-> 01:20:15,600 | ||
6959 | eventually price does break down and | ||
6960 | |||
6961 | 1741 | ||
6962 | 01:20:15,600 ~-~-> 01:20:19,050 | ||
6963 | trade down, breaking all of the higher | ||
6964 | |||
6965 | 1742 | ||
6966 | 01:20:19,050 ~-~-> 01:20:21,120 | ||
6967 | highs, higher lows, higher, high high, | ||
6968 | |||
6969 | 1743 | ||
6970 | 01:20:21,270 ~-~-> 01:20:24,630 | ||
6971 | it's all broken here. This low is broken | ||
6972 | |||
6973 | 1744 | ||
6974 | 01:20:24,630 ~-~-> 01:20:27,180 | ||
6975 | here. So now we have a break in market | ||
6976 | |||
6977 | 1745 | ||
6978 | 01:20:27,180 ~-~-> 01:20:28,260 | ||
6979 | structure. So we're going to learn more | ||
6980 | |||
6981 | 1746 | ||
6982 | 01:20:28,260 ~-~-> 01:20:31,590 | ||
6983 | about in later modules. But as price | ||
6984 | |||
6985 | 1747 | ||
6986 | 01:20:31,590 ~-~-> 01:20:34,920 | ||
6987 | breaks down, okay, this support level as | ||
6988 | |||
6989 | 1748 | ||
6990 | 01:20:34,920 ~-~-> 01:20:36,300 | ||
6991 | we see it at my little bounce here, | ||
6992 | |||
6993 | 1749 | ||
6994 | 01:20:36,660 ~-~-> 01:20:39,090 | ||
6995 | price comes down, breaks through it and | ||
6996 | |||
6997 | 1750 | ||
6998 | 01:20:39,090 ~-~-> 01:20:41,910 | ||
6999 | trades right back to it now. Okay, so | ||
7000 | |||
7001 | 1751 | ||
7002 | 01:20:41,910 ~-~-> 01:20:44,580 | ||
7003 | now if you pull a fib from this high to | ||
7004 | |||
7005 | 1752 | ||
7006 | 01:20:44,580 ~-~-> 01:20:46,770 | ||
7007 | this low, you can start seeing | ||
7008 | |||
7009 | 1753 | ||
7010 | 01:20:46,770 ~-~-> 01:20:48,060 | ||
7011 | overlapping and you can do this on your | ||
7012 | |||
7013 | 1754 | ||
7014 | 01:20:48,060 ~-~-> 01:20:50,100 | ||
7015 | own chart that's on this video is | ||
7016 | |||
7017 | 1755 | ||
7018 | 01:20:50,100 ~-~-> 01:20:51,990 | ||
7019 | getting very long. You can see there's | ||
7020 | |||
7021 | 1756 | ||
7022 | 01:20:51,990 ~-~-> 01:20:53,910 | ||
7023 | this selling opportunity. The candle | ||
7024 | |||
7025 | 1757 | ||
7026 | 01:20:53,910 ~-~-> 01:20:56,490 | ||
7027 | Here comes in at 60 empties Frankfurt | ||
7028 | |||
7029 | 1758 | ||
7030 | 01:20:56,490 ~-~-> 01:20:59,040 | ||
7031 | opening the very beginning of Frankfurt. | ||
7032 | |||
7033 | 1759 | ||
7034 | 01:21:00,000 ~-~-> 01:21:03,600 | ||
7035 | Price trades down, find support, okay? | ||
7036 | |||
7037 | 1760 | ||
7038 | 01:21:04,620 ~-~-> 01:21:07,380 | ||
7039 | If you just look over here, where price | ||
7040 | |||
7041 | 1761 | ||
7042 | 01:21:07,380 ~-~-> 01:21:09,570 | ||
7043 | starts to take off in here, this little | ||
7044 | |||
7045 | 1762 | ||
7046 | 01:21:09,690 ~-~-> 01:21:12,750 | ||
7047 | pause or consolidation, it bounces right | ||
7048 | |||
7049 | 1763 | ||
7050 | 01:21:12,750 ~-~-> 01:21:15,270 | ||
7051 | at that same point comes up and starts | ||
7052 | |||
7053 | 1764 | ||
7054 | 01:21:15,270 ~-~-> 01:21:20,850 | ||
7055 | making a larger range, okay? And creates | ||
7056 | |||
7057 | 1765 | ||
7058 | 01:21:20,880 ~-~-> 01:21:24,960 | ||
7059 | a tap to this old swing low is | ||
7060 | |||
7061 | 1766 | ||
7062 | 01:21:24,960 ~-~-> 01:21:27,240 | ||
7063 | resistance and then trades lower and | ||
7064 | |||
7065 | 1767 | ||
7066 | 01:21:27,240 ~-~-> 01:21:30,510 | ||
7067 | breaks through this swing low trade | ||
7068 | |||
7069 | 1768 | ||
7070 | 01:21:30,510 ~-~-> 01:21:33,390 | ||
7071 | softer back right back down to old lows | ||
7072 | |||
7073 | 1769 | ||
7074 | 01:21:33,510 ~-~-> 01:21:36,300 | ||
7075 | that I did not have load on the chart as | ||
7076 | |||
7077 | 1770 | ||
7078 | 01:21:36,330 ~-~-> 01:21:37,440 | ||
7079 | a horizontal line. | ||
7080 | |||
7081 | 1771 | ||
7082 | 01:21:38,370 ~-~-> 01:21:41,040 | ||
7083 | It bounces trades up to a known level of | ||
7084 | |||
7085 | 1772 | ||
7086 | 01:21:41,040 ~-~-> 01:21:44,190 | ||
7087 | resistance, okay, and comes back down | ||
7088 | |||
7089 | 1773 | ||
7090 | 01:21:44,520 ~-~-> 01:21:46,620 | ||
7091 | and starts consolidating. But it's | ||
7092 | |||
7093 | 1774 | ||
7094 | 01:21:46,620 ~-~-> 01:21:50,310 | ||
7095 | consolidating around that 132 50 level. | ||
7096 | |||
7097 | 1775 | ||
7098 | 01:21:51,240 ~-~-> 01:21:53,160 | ||
7099 | So that's just calibrate our level here | ||
7100 | |||
7101 | 1776 | ||
7102 | 01:22:00,150 ~-~-> 01:22:02,220 | ||
7103 | Okay, we're gonna leave that there. And | ||
7104 | |||
7105 | 1777 | ||
7106 | 01:22:02,220 ~-~-> 01:22:03,870 | ||
7107 | I'm going to take this one off too. So | ||
7108 | |||
7109 | 1778 | ||
7110 | 01:22:03,870 ~-~-> 01:22:05,610 | ||
7111 | it won't be confusing to us when we go | ||
7112 | |||
7113 | 1779 | ||
7114 | 01:22:05,610 ~-~-> 01:22:08,610 | ||
7115 | out to a higher timeframe chart, because | ||
7116 | |||
7117 | 1780 | ||
7118 | 01:22:08,610 ~-~-> 01:22:11,670 | ||
7119 | I want to illustrate what it is that's | ||
7120 | |||
7121 | 1781 | ||
7122 | 01:22:11,670 ~-~-> 01:22:14,910 | ||
7123 | transpiring here. And now up here, if | ||
7124 | |||
7125 | 1782 | ||
7126 | 01:22:14,910 ~-~-> 01:22:16,590 | ||
7127 | you look on the left, I'm sorry, on the | ||
7128 | |||
7129 | 1783 | ||
7130 | 01:22:16,590 ~-~-> 01:22:18,630 | ||
7131 | right hand side, this is essentially the | ||
7132 | |||
7133 | 1784 | ||
7134 | 01:22:18,630 ~-~-> 01:22:19,890 | ||
7135 | 134 figure. | ||
7136 | |||
7137 | 1785 | ||
7138 | 01:22:21,180 ~-~-> 01:22:22,770 | ||
7139 | So what we're going to do is we're just | ||
7140 | |||
7141 | 1786 | ||
7142 | 01:22:22,770 ~-~-> 01:22:23,520 | ||
7143 | going to highlight | ||
7144 | |||
7145 | 1787 | ||
7146 | 01:22:24,810 ~-~-> 01:22:25,920 | ||
7147 | the 134. | ||
7148 | |||
7149 | 1788 | ||
7150 | 01:22:29,220 ~-~-> 01:22:32,160 | ||
7151 | Okay, and it was 133 98 was the high | ||
7152 | |||
7153 | 1789 | ||
7154 | 01:22:32,160 ~-~-> 01:22:34,710 | ||
7155 | that day, but we're going to see there's | ||
7156 | |||
7157 | 1790 | ||
7158 | 01:22:34,710 ~-~-> 01:22:36,690 | ||
7159 | an actual high on the higher timeframe | ||
7160 | |||
7161 | 1791 | ||
7162 | 01:22:36,690 ~-~-> 01:22:38,850 | ||
7163 | that this would have been utilized as an | ||
7164 | |||
7165 | 1792 | ||
7166 | 01:22:38,850 ~-~-> 01:22:41,040 | ||
7167 | unreasonable expectation. Expect price | ||
7168 | |||
7169 | 1793 | ||
7170 | 01:22:41,040 ~-~-> 01:22:45,540 | ||
7171 | to be either pausing at that level, or | ||
7172 | |||
7173 | 1794 | ||
7174 | 01:22:45,540 ~-~-> 01:22:47,730 | ||
7175 | maybe a little bit above it, excuse me, | ||
7176 | |||
7177 | 1795 | ||
7178 | 01:22:47,940 ~-~-> 01:22:51,180 | ||
7179 | or below as we have here. Now we're | ||
7180 | |||
7181 | 1796 | ||
7182 | 01:22:51,180 ~-~-> 01:22:52,920 | ||
7183 | gonna drop out to a four hour chart. | ||
7184 | |||
7185 | 1797 | ||
7186 | 01:22:58,410 ~-~-> 01:23:00,690 | ||
7187 | Okay, and here is that Oh, level right | ||
7188 | |||
7189 | 1798 | ||
7190 | 01:23:00,690 ~-~-> 01:23:04,110 | ||
7191 | there. Okay. Do you see these old highs? | ||
7192 | |||
7193 | 1799 | ||
7194 | 01:23:05,070 ~-~-> 01:23:08,760 | ||
7195 | It's essentially worked that 134 figure. | ||
7196 | |||
7197 | 1800 | ||
7198 | 01:23:09,150 ~-~-> 01:23:11,370 | ||
7199 | How about this old high. See that? Let | ||
7200 | |||
7201 | 1801 | ||
7202 | 01:23:11,370 ~-~-> 01:23:16,260 | ||
7203 | me take these vertical lines off. Sorry, | ||
7204 | |||
7205 | 1802 | ||
7206 | 01:23:16,320 ~-~-> 01:23:18,630 | ||
7207 | I gotta get this office drive when I | ||
7208 | |||
7209 | 1803 | ||
7210 | 01:23:18,630 ~-~-> 01:23:19,110 | ||
7211 | write to | ||
7212 | |||
7213 | 1804 | ||
7214 | 01:23:20,580 ~-~-> 01:23:21,480 | ||
7215 | see the price | ||
7216 | |||
7217 | 1805 | ||
7218 | 01:23:22,140 ~-~-> 01:23:24,390 | ||
7219 | slipped aggressively layer right there | ||
7220 | |||
7221 | 1806 | ||
7222 | 01:23:24,420 ~-~-> 01:23:27,900 | ||
7223 | and as price ran up to that old high in | ||
7224 | |||
7225 | 1807 | ||
7226 | 01:23:27,900 ~-~-> 01:23:31,170 | ||
7227 | here, it's reasonable to expect that at | ||
7228 | |||
7229 | 1808 | ||
7230 | 01:23:31,170 ~-~-> 01:23:33,450 | ||
7231 | least this would be a pause or a | ||
7232 | |||
7233 | 1809 | ||
7234 | 01:23:33,450 ~-~-> 01:23:36,480 | ||
7235 | reversal. And you see that if you go | ||
7236 | |||
7237 | 1810 | ||
7238 | 01:23:36,480 ~-~-> 01:23:37,380 | ||
7239 | back farther | ||
7240 | |||
7241 | 1811 | ||
7242 | 01:23:39,600 ~-~-> 01:23:42,210 | ||
7243 | look at these highs. See that? | ||
7244 | |||
7245 | 1812 | ||
7246 | 01:23:43,800 ~-~-> 01:23:45,210 | ||
7247 | How about we go out to a daily chart. | ||
7248 | |||
7249 | 1813 | ||
7250 | 01:23:49,680 ~-~-> 01:23:51,330 | ||
7251 | Here's those highs we just looked at. | ||
7252 | |||
7253 | 1814 | ||
7254 | 01:23:52,320 ~-~-> 01:23:52,920 | ||
7255 | Look at this high. | ||
7256 | |||
7257 | 1815 | ||
7258 | 01:23:54,840 ~-~-> 01:23:55,770 | ||
7259 | Look at the lows here | ||
7260 | |||
7261 | 1816 | ||
7262 | 01:23:57,090 ~-~-> 01:23:59,160 | ||
7263 | to the highs here. You don't think that | ||
7264 | |||
7265 | 1817 | ||
7266 | 01:23:59,160 ~-~-> 01:23:59,970 | ||
7267 | level sensitive | ||
7268 | |||
7269 | 1818 | ||
7270 | 01:24:01,230 ~-~-> 01:24:03,450 | ||
7271 | Okay, you sent me saw that here. Okay? | ||
7272 | |||
7273 | 1819 | ||
7274 | 01:24:03,930 ~-~-> 01:24:06,600 | ||
7275 | So, again, let's go back down to the 15 | ||
7276 | |||
7277 | 1820 | ||
7278 | 01:24:06,600 ~-~-> 01:24:13,020 | ||
7279 | minutes for price trades down from | ||
7280 | |||
7281 | 1821 | ||
7282 | 01:24:13,020 ~-~-> 01:24:16,380 | ||
7283 | there, okay until it does what it finds | ||
7284 | |||
7285 | 1822 | ||
7286 | 01:24:16,410 ~-~-> 01:24:22,200 | ||
7287 | support. Okay? This level in here where | ||
7288 | |||
7289 | 1823 | ||
7290 | 01:24:22,200 ~-~-> 01:24:25,530 | ||
7291 | it's going to borrow horizontal line and | ||
7292 | |||
7293 | 1824 | ||
7294 | 01:24:25,530 ~-~-> 01:24:27,510 | ||
7295 | we're going to use the very extreme. | ||
7296 | |||
7297 | 1825 | ||
7298 | 01:24:27,930 ~-~-> 01:24:30,150 | ||
7299 | Okay? Now this is illustrating the, | ||
7300 | |||
7301 | 1826 | ||
7302 | 01:24:30,180 ~-~-> 01:24:31,740 | ||
7303 | again the facade of using | ||
7304 | |||
7305 | 1827 | ||
7306 | 01:24:31,740 ~-~-> 01:24:32,760 | ||
7307 | lower timeframes | ||
7308 | |||
7309 | 1828 | ||
7310 | 01:24:32,880 ~-~-> 01:24:34,830 | ||
7311 | to justify the trade without having a | ||
7312 | |||
7313 | 1829 | ||
7314 | 01:24:34,830 ~-~-> 01:24:36,540 | ||
7315 | higher time frame premise. Okay? | ||
7316 | |||
7317 | 1830 | ||
7318 | 01:24:37,560 ~-~-> 01:24:39,990 | ||
7319 | We have the 132 10 level, | ||
7320 | |||
7321 | 1831 | ||
7322 | 01:24:40,980 ~-~-> 01:24:42,300 | ||
7323 | this essentially what that is, and | ||
7324 | |||
7325 | 1832 | ||
7326 | 01:24:42,300 ~-~-> 01:24:45,510 | ||
7327 | that's a level that I've talked about in | ||
7328 | |||
7329 | 1833 | ||
7330 | 01:24:45,750 ~-~-> 01:24:48,090 | ||
7331 | weeks. Since this time of this | ||
7332 | |||
7333 | 1834 | ||
7334 | 01:24:48,090 ~-~-> 01:24:48,600 | ||
7335 | recording. | ||
7336 | |||
7337 | 1835 | ||
7338 | 01:24:49,920 ~-~-> 01:24:51,330 | ||
7339 | We got to a four hour chart. | ||
7340 | |||
7341 | 1836 | ||
7342 | 01:24:53,340 ~-~-> 01:24:58,290 | ||
7343 | Here's that 130 to 10 level. Okay, price | ||
7344 | |||
7345 | 1837 | ||
7346 | 01:24:58,290 ~-~-> 01:25:00,780 | ||
7347 | comes down, hits it right there. rallies | ||
7348 | |||
7349 | 1838 | ||
7350 | 01:25:00,780 ~-~-> 01:25:05,040 | ||
7351 | off. Look at the time it spends at | ||
7352 | |||
7353 | 1839 | ||
7354 | 01:25:05,040 ~-~-> 01:25:07,560 | ||
7355 | support resistance at that level, | ||
7356 | |||
7357 | 1840 | ||
7358 | 01:25:09,000 ~-~-> 01:25:17,160 | ||
7359 | see that? Okay. | ||
7360 | |||
7361 | 1841 | ||
7362 | 01:25:21,270 ~-~-> 01:25:22,980 | ||
7363 | When price trades down like this | ||
7364 | |||
7365 | 1842 | ||
7366 | 01:25:24,570 ~-~-> 01:25:25,530 | ||
7367 | and rallies off, | ||
7368 | |||
7369 | 1843 | ||
7370 | 01:25:27,270 ~-~-> 01:25:28,800 | ||
7371 | back down to a | ||
7372 | |||
7373 | 1844 | ||
7374 | 01:25:31,710 ~-~-> 01:25:33,000 | ||
7375 | 15 minute timeframe. | ||
7376 | |||
7377 | 1845 | ||
7378 | 01:25:35,790 ~-~-> 01:25:38,730 | ||
7379 | It was in a consolidation. So I was | ||
7380 | |||
7381 | 1846 | ||
7382 | 01:25:38,730 ~-~-> 01:25:39,480 | ||
7383 | asking you | ||
7384 | |||
7385 | 1847 | ||
7386 | 01:25:41,580 ~-~-> 01:25:43,410 | ||
7387 | when we were doing our first episode | ||
7388 | |||
7389 | 1848 | ||
7390 | 01:25:43,440 ~-~-> 01:25:44,580 | ||
7391 | what you saw | ||
7392 | |||
7393 | 1849 | ||
7394 | 01:25:46,320 ~-~-> 01:25:50,190 | ||
7395 | here, okay. Now this is the market maker | ||
7396 | |||
7397 | 1850 | ||
7398 | 01:25:50,190 ~-~-> 01:25:52,890 | ||
7399 | business model. Okay, and we'll talk | ||
7400 | |||
7401 | 1851 | ||
7402 | 01:25:52,890 ~-~-> 01:25:54,990 | ||
7403 | more about this as we go along. But we | ||
7404 | |||
7405 | 1852 | ||
7406 | 01:25:54,990 ~-~-> 01:25:58,350 | ||
7407 | generally see a consolidation or rally | ||
7408 | |||
7409 | 1853 | ||
7410 | 01:25:59,340 ~-~-> 01:26:01,500 | ||
7411 | or retracement And then another leg up | ||
7412 | |||
7413 | 1854 | ||
7414 | 01:26:02,430 ~-~-> 01:26:05,220 | ||
7415 | and a pause and a leg up in an eventual | ||
7416 | |||
7417 | 1855 | ||
7418 | 01:26:05,220 ~-~-> 01:26:08,220 | ||
7419 | reversal with a failure swing, where | ||
7420 | |||
7421 | 1856 | ||
7422 | 01:26:08,220 ~-~-> 01:26:10,020 | ||
7423 | she's a high, it fails go higher and | ||
7424 | |||
7425 | 1857 | ||
7426 | 01:26:10,020 ~-~-> 01:26:12,030 | ||
7427 | then it breaks down. Then you start | ||
7428 | |||
7429 | 1858 | ||
7430 | 01:26:12,030 ~-~-> 01:26:13,830 | ||
7431 | seeing the market move lower with | ||
7432 | |||
7433 | 1859 | ||
7434 | 01:26:13,830 ~-~-> 01:26:17,820 | ||
7435 | opportunities to sell. Okay? There are | ||
7436 | |||
7437 | 1860 | ||
7438 | 01:26:18,780 ~-~-> 01:26:21,870 | ||
7439 | really two legs up and then two legs | ||
7440 | |||
7441 | 1861 | ||
7442 | 01:26:21,870 ~-~-> 01:26:26,610 | ||
7443 | down. And there is an Zenith point here. | ||
7444 | |||
7445 | 1862 | ||
7446 | 01:26:27,270 ~-~-> 01:26:30,480 | ||
7447 | There's an origin point here and a | ||
7448 | |||
7449 | 1863 | ||
7450 | 01:26:30,480 ~-~-> 01:26:32,700 | ||
7451 | conclusion point on the right side, | ||
7452 | |||
7453 | 1864 | ||
7454 | 01:26:33,030 ~-~-> 01:26:35,490 | ||
7455 | okay? They build a block of orders. | ||
7456 | |||
7457 | 1865 | ||
7458 | 01:26:36,330 ~-~-> 01:26:39,180 | ||
7459 | Okay, they rally the price up. They is | ||
7460 | |||
7461 | 1866 | ||
7462 | 01:26:39,210 ~-~-> 01:26:42,120 | ||
7463 | dealers, okay, the market makers and | ||
7464 | |||
7465 | 1867 | ||
7466 | 01:26:42,120 ~-~-> 01:26:45,900 | ||
7467 | then they have another leg up. If you | ||
7468 | |||
7469 | 1868 | ||
7470 | 01:26:45,900 ~-~-> 01:26:50,190 | ||
7471 | look at price very generically, if you | ||
7472 | |||
7473 | 1869 | ||
7474 | 01:26:50,190 ~-~-> 01:26:52,050 | ||
7475 | say okay, here's the low and it rallies | ||
7476 | |||
7477 | 1870 | ||
7478 | 01:26:52,050 ~-~-> 01:26:53,310 | ||
7479 | up and makes this price swing | ||
7480 | |||
7481 | 1871 | ||
7482 | 01:27:00,000 ~-~-> 01:27:02,250 | ||
7483 | essentially using this low here, this is | ||
7484 | |||
7485 | 1872 | ||
7486 | 01:27:02,250 ~-~-> 01:27:05,310 | ||
7487 | a second leg here. Okay? Now we're not | ||
7488 | |||
7489 | 1873 | ||
7490 | 01:27:05,310 ~-~-> 01:27:09,390 | ||
7491 | looking for x in perfect symmetry, but | ||
7492 | |||
7493 | 1874 | ||
7494 | 01:27:09,390 ~-~-> 01:27:11,280 | ||
7495 | the overall price structure will always | ||
7496 | |||
7497 | 1875 | ||
7498 | 01:27:11,280 ~-~-> 01:27:12,810 | ||
7499 | be very similar to what you see here. | ||
7500 | |||
7501 | 1876 | ||
7502 | 01:27:13,560 ~-~-> 01:27:15,000 | ||
7503 | The price move lower. | ||
7504 | |||
7505 | 1877 | ||
7506 | 01:27:18,029 ~-~-> 01:27:20,879 | ||
7507 | Okay, we have a high, down to a low. | ||
7508 | |||
7509 | 1878 | ||
7510 | 01:27:25,560 ~-~-> 01:27:28,410 | ||
7511 | Okay, you can see the second light here. | ||
7512 | |||
7513 | 1879 | ||
7514 | 01:27:29,010 ~-~-> 01:27:31,620 | ||
7515 | Okay, so we have price move and | ||
7516 | |||
7517 | 1880 | ||
7518 | 01:27:31,650 ~-~-> 01:27:33,840 | ||
7519 | consolidation and or move lower. So | ||
7520 | |||
7521 | 1881 | ||
7522 | 01:27:33,840 ~-~-> 01:27:36,330 | ||
7523 | that's the second like. So there's two | ||
7524 | |||
7525 | 1882 | ||
7526 | 01:27:36,330 ~-~-> 01:27:38,940 | ||
7527 | phases up, two phases down, but there's | ||
7528 | |||
7529 | 1883 | ||
7530 | 01:27:38,940 ~-~-> 01:27:41,880 | ||
7531 | a reactionary high that's formed here. | ||
7532 | |||
7533 | 1884 | ||
7534 | 01:27:42,300 ~-~-> 01:27:47,040 | ||
7535 | Okay. So they rally price up, and then | ||
7536 | |||
7537 | 1885 | ||
7538 | 01:27:47,040 ~-~-> 01:27:49,560 | ||
7539 | they sell off. So the accumulation they | ||
7540 | |||
7541 | 1886 | ||
7542 | 01:27:49,560 ~-~-> 01:27:52,350 | ||
7543 | accumulate Long's here, they rally price | ||
7544 | |||
7545 | 1887 | ||
7546 | 01:27:52,350 ~-~-> 01:27:54,300 | ||
7547 | up as prices rally and they distribute, | ||
7548 | |||
7549 | 1888 | ||
7550 | 01:27:54,930 ~-~-> 01:27:56,880 | ||
7551 | and then they start selling on the other | ||
7552 | |||
7553 | 1889 | ||
7554 | 01:27:56,880 ~-~-> 01:27:59,130 | ||
7555 | side. Usually what happens is folks over | ||
7556 | |||
7557 | 1890 | ||
7558 | 01:27:59,130 ~-~-> 01:28:02,100 | ||
7559 | here are expecting it to continue. And | ||
7560 | |||
7561 | 1891 | ||
7562 | 01:28:02,100 ~-~-> 01:28:03,750 | ||
7563 | they're buying over here. Because why | ||
7564 | |||
7565 | 1892 | ||
7566 | 01:28:03,750 ~-~-> 01:28:05,940 | ||
7567 | they're looking at loads of here drawing | ||
7568 | |||
7569 | 1893 | ||
7570 | 01:28:05,940 ~-~-> 01:28:07,740 | ||
7571 | trend lines, and then thinking, Okay, | ||
7572 | |||
7573 | 1894 | ||
7574 | 01:28:07,740 ~-~-> 01:28:08,910 | ||
7575 | it's right at the trendline and start | ||
7576 | |||
7577 | 1895 | ||
7578 | 01:28:08,910 ~-~-> 01:28:12,540 | ||
7579 | buying in breaks. And they don't know | ||
7580 | |||
7581 | 1896 | ||
7582 | 01:28:12,540 ~-~-> 01:28:15,720 | ||
7583 | what they're doing so much in the same | ||
7584 | |||
7585 | 1897 | ||
7586 | 01:28:15,720 ~-~-> 01:28:17,850 | ||
7587 | way it does it on the upside. Same thing | ||
7588 | |||
7589 | 1898 | ||
7590 | 01:28:17,850 ~-~-> 01:28:19,890 | ||
7591 | will happen here, folks start seeing | ||
7592 | |||
7593 | 1899 | ||
7594 | 01:28:19,890 ~-~-> 01:28:22,020 | ||
7595 | these stair steps going lower, lower, | ||
7596 | |||
7597 | 1900 | ||
7598 | 01:28:22,020 ~-~-> 01:28:24,060 | ||
7599 | lower, they'll draw their trend line. | ||
7600 | |||
7601 | 1901 | ||
7602 | 01:28:25,290 ~-~-> 01:28:27,120 | ||
7603 | Again, this is why I'm not a fan of | ||
7604 | |||
7605 | 1902 | ||
7606 | 01:28:27,120 ~-~-> 01:28:30,030 | ||
7607 | trend lines. But you can see how this is | ||
7608 | |||
7609 | 1903 | ||
7610 | 01:28:30,030 ~-~-> 01:28:33,150 | ||
7611 | a very textbook trend line. So when | ||
7612 | |||
7613 | 1904 | ||
7614 | 01:28:33,150 ~-~-> 01:28:35,820 | ||
7615 | price gets here, okay, let's be a | ||
7616 | |||
7617 | 1905 | ||
7618 | 01:28:35,820 ~-~-> 01:28:41,610 | ||
7619 | seller. Really? Why? Because the 15 | ||
7620 | |||
7621 | 1906 | ||
7622 | 01:28:41,610 ~-~-> 01:28:43,680 | ||
7623 | minute chart says so it's a it's a trend | ||
7624 | |||
7625 | 1907 | ||
7626 | 01:28:43,680 ~-~-> 01:28:43,920 | ||
7627 | line. | ||
7628 | |||
7629 | 1908 | ||
7630 | 01:28:45,360 ~-~-> 01:28:46,530 | ||
7631 | Watch what happens. | ||
7632 | |||
7633 | 1909 | ||
7634 | 01:28:48,900 ~-~-> 01:28:50,310 | ||
7635 | Wow, we've made money. | ||
7636 | |||
7637 | 1910 | ||
7638 | 01:28:51,930 ~-~-> 01:28:53,490 | ||
7639 | Boom, we got crushed. | ||
7640 | |||
7641 | 1911 | ||
7642 | 01:28:55,110 ~-~-> 01:28:57,480 | ||
7643 | Watch what's happened. Okay, we move | ||
7644 | |||
7645 | 1912 | ||
7646 | 01:28:57,480 ~-~-> 01:29:00,780 | ||
7647 | into another market maker. business | ||
7648 | |||
7649 | 1913 | ||
7650 | 01:29:00,780 ~-~-> 01:29:02,730 | ||
7651 | model we go on until consolidation, a | ||
7652 | |||
7653 | 1914 | ||
7654 | 01:29:02,730 ~-~-> 01:29:06,000 | ||
7655 | fake rally. They take the stops out on | ||
7656 | |||
7657 | 1915 | ||
7658 | 01:29:06,000 ~-~-> 01:29:07,200 | ||
7659 | those that are right on the market so | ||
7660 | |||
7661 | 1916 | ||
7662 | 01:29:07,200 ~-~-> 01:29:08,280 | ||
7663 | they could have been buyers down in | ||
7664 | |||
7665 | 1917 | ||
7666 | 01:29:08,280 ~-~-> 01:29:10,980 | ||
7667 | here. Okay, there's gonna be retail | ||
7668 | |||
7669 | 1918 | ||
7670 | 01:29:10,980 ~-~-> 01:29:12,600 | ||
7671 | traders that are being buyers down here | ||
7672 | |||
7673 | 1919 | ||
7674 | 01:29:12,600 ~-~-> 01:29:15,240 | ||
7675 | and they would have been right. Bang, | ||
7676 | |||
7677 | 1920 | ||
7678 | 01:29:15,240 ~-~-> 01:29:17,130 | ||
7679 | you take them out, it activates their | ||
7680 | |||
7681 | 1921 | ||
7682 | 01:29:17,130 ~-~-> 01:29:19,410 | ||
7683 | cell stop, their cell stop becomes a | ||
7684 | |||
7685 | 1922 | ||
7686 | 01:29:19,410 ~-~-> 01:29:21,510 | ||
7687 | sell order at the market, who's going to | ||
7688 | |||
7689 | 1923 | ||
7690 | 01:29:21,510 ~-~-> 01:29:22,140 | ||
7691 | buy it from | ||
7692 | |||
7693 | 1924 | ||
7694 | 01:29:23,220 ~-~-> 01:29:23,910 | ||
7695 | smart money. | ||
7696 | |||
7697 | 1925 | ||
7698 | 01:29:24,840 ~-~-> 01:29:26,880 | ||
7699 | And you see this extrapolated, huge | ||
7700 | |||
7701 | 1926 | ||
7702 | 01:29:26,880 ~-~-> 01:29:30,810 | ||
7703 | move, rally up. Okay. Now think like a | ||
7704 | |||
7705 | 1927 | ||
7706 | 01:29:30,810 ~-~-> 01:29:32,490 | ||
7707 | way over here we have a consolidation | ||
7708 | |||
7709 | 1928 | ||
7710 | 01:29:32,520 ~-~-> 01:29:35,160 | ||
7711 | early, and then a consolidation rally. | ||
7712 | |||
7713 | 1929 | ||
7714 | 01:29:35,220 ~-~-> 01:29:39,330 | ||
7715 | It's always a rally in a reversal of | ||
7716 | |||
7717 | 1930 | ||
7718 | 01:29:39,330 ~-~-> 01:29:41,610 | ||
7719 | sorts and then a breakdown. Okay, let's | ||
7720 | |||
7721 | 1931 | ||
7722 | 01:29:41,610 ~-~-> 01:29:44,400 | ||
7723 | look at what we're looking at here. We | ||
7724 | |||
7725 | 1932 | ||
7726 | 01:29:44,400 ~-~-> 01:29:47,100 | ||
7727 | have a consolidation, a rally, a | ||
7728 | |||
7729 | 1933 | ||
7730 | 01:29:47,100 ~-~-> 01:29:49,350 | ||
7731 | consolidation around Ollie. | ||
7732 | |||
7733 | 1934 | ||
7734 | 01:29:51,630 ~-~-> 01:29:52,500 | ||
7735 | A failure swing. | ||
7736 | |||
7737 | 1935 | ||
7738 | 01:29:53,100 ~-~-> 01:29:54,780 | ||
7739 | The market breaks down and creates a | ||
7740 | |||
7741 | 1936 | ||
7742 | 01:29:54,780 ~-~-> 01:30:01,590 | ||
7743 | false rally and move lower. Lower rally | ||
7744 | |||
7745 | 1937 | ||
7746 | 01:30:02,790 ~-~-> 01:30:07,890 | ||
7747 | move up into old resistance. Okay? And | ||
7748 | |||
7749 | 1938 | ||
7750 | 01:30:07,890 ~-~-> 01:30:12,420 | ||
7751 | this is where we're at right now. So you | ||
7752 | |||
7753 | 1939 | ||
7754 | 01:30:12,420 ~-~-> 01:30:13,980 | ||
7755 | can see there's a general repeating | ||
7756 | |||
7757 | 1940 | ||
7758 | 01:30:13,980 ~-~-> 01:30:16,410 | ||
7759 | theme here, okay? They're not always | ||
7760 | |||
7761 | 1941 | ||
7762 | 01:30:16,410 ~-~-> 01:30:18,000 | ||
7763 | going to be identical, but they're going | ||
7764 | |||
7765 | 1942 | ||
7766 | 01:30:18,000 ~-~-> 01:30:20,130 | ||
7767 | to be very close in terms of their | ||
7768 | |||
7769 | 1943 | ||
7770 | 01:30:21,630 ~-~-> 01:30:23,910 | ||
7771 | structure. Okay? And this is what I | ||
7772 | |||
7773 | 1944 | ||
7774 | 01:30:23,910 ~-~-> 01:30:25,920 | ||
7775 | refer to as market structure, you need | ||
7776 | |||
7777 | 1945 | ||
7778 | 01:30:25,920 ~-~-> 01:30:29,220 | ||
7779 | to see what price is trying to do. Okay? | ||
7780 | |||
7781 | 1946 | ||
7782 | 01:30:29,250 ~-~-> 01:30:31,500 | ||
7783 | And key office support resistance, use | ||
7784 | |||
7785 | 1947 | ||
7786 | 01:30:31,500 ~-~-> 01:30:35,130 | ||
7787 | time of day, use day of the week. Okay, | ||
7788 | |||
7789 | 1948 | ||
7790 | 01:30:35,190 ~-~-> 01:30:37,530 | ||
7791 | and let's add that real quick here. You | ||
7792 | |||
7793 | 1949 | ||
7794 | 01:30:37,530 ~-~-> 01:30:40,530 | ||
7795 | can see that the lowest formed on the | ||
7796 | |||
7797 | 1950 | ||
7798 | 01:30:40,530 ~-~-> 01:30:42,990 | ||
7799 | initial leg up, but you're now in a | ||
7800 | |||
7801 | 1951 | ||
7802 | 01:30:42,990 ~-~-> 01:30:46,080 | ||
7803 | second stage. Okay? This is where we | ||
7804 | |||
7805 | 1952 | ||
7806 | 01:30:46,110 ~-~-> 01:30:49,770 | ||
7807 | apply. It's more of a list an advanced | ||
7808 | |||
7809 | 1953 | ||
7810 | 01:30:50,040 ~-~-> 01:30:51,960 | ||
7811 | approach to utilizing but you're also | ||
7812 | |||
7813 | 1954 | ||
7814 | 01:30:51,960 ~-~-> 01:30:54,030 | ||
7815 | implying time on the study of time is | ||
7816 | |||
7817 | 1955 | ||
7818 | 01:30:54,030 ~-~-> 01:30:58,650 | ||
7819 | important. Okay, so you have this price | ||
7820 | |||
7821 | 1956 | ||
7822 | 01:30:58,650 ~-~-> 01:31:00,750 | ||
7823 | rally here from the previous week. Then | ||
7824 | |||
7825 | 1957 | ||
7826 | 01:31:00,750 ~-~-> 01:31:03,390 | ||
7827 | consolidation and then it rallies up. So | ||
7828 | |||
7829 | 1958 | ||
7830 | 01:31:03,390 ~-~-> 01:31:05,250 | ||
7831 | this is when you get these weeks that | ||
7832 | |||
7833 | 1959 | ||
7834 | 01:31:05,700 ~-~-> 01:31:07,980 | ||
7835 | Yeah, you do have a low form on a Monday | ||
7836 | |||
7837 | 1960 | ||
7838 | 01:31:07,980 ~-~-> 01:31:10,620 | ||
7839 | or Tuesday rallies off, it makes a very | ||
7840 | |||
7841 | 1961 | ||
7842 | 01:31:10,620 ~-~-> 01:31:13,350 | ||
7843 | good potentially profitable trade. But | ||
7844 | |||
7845 | 1962 | ||
7846 | 01:31:13,350 ~-~-> 01:31:15,570 | ||
7847 | then you have the reversal, failure | ||
7848 | |||
7849 | 1963 | ||
7850 | 01:31:15,570 ~-~-> 01:31:17,520 | ||
7851 | swing and it trades lower and takes out | ||
7852 | |||
7853 | 1964 | ||
7854 | 01:31:17,520 ~-~-> 01:31:20,520 | ||
7855 | the weekly low. Why did it do that? Take | ||
7856 | |||
7857 | 1965 | ||
7858 | 01:31:20,520 ~-~-> 01:31:22,620 | ||
7859 | the vertical lines off and take the | ||
7860 | |||
7861 | 1966 | ||
7862 | 01:31:22,620 ~-~-> 01:31:24,450 | ||
7863 | barriers or blinders that you have on | ||
7864 | |||
7865 | 1967 | ||
7866 | 01:31:24,450 ~-~-> 01:31:26,010 | ||
7867 | thinking okay ICT said | ||
7868 | |||
7869 | 1968 | ||
7870 | 01:31:26,280 ~-~-> 01:31:27,600 | ||
7871 | the week is bullish, | ||
7872 | |||
7873 | 1969 | ||
7874 | 01:31:27,930 ~-~-> 01:31:29,430 | ||
7875 | that means it's going to be the low of | ||
7876 | |||
7877 | 1970 | ||
7878 | 01:31:29,430 ~-~-> 01:31:30,750 | ||
7879 | the week on Monday or Tuesday or | ||
7880 | |||
7881 | 1971 | ||
7882 | 01:31:30,750 ~-~-> 01:31:32,550 | ||
7883 | certainly latest by Wednesday's London | ||
7884 | |||
7885 | 1972 | ||
7886 | 01:31:32,550 ~-~-> 01:31:35,070 | ||
7887 | open so therefore, buy and hold. | ||
7888 | |||
7889 | 1973 | ||
7890 | 01:31:35,850 ~-~-> 01:31:37,170 | ||
7891 | Well, there's a little bit more | ||
7892 | |||
7893 | 1974 | ||
7894 | 01:31:37,170 ~-~-> 01:31:39,330 | ||
7895 | to it than that and that gets back to | ||
7896 | |||
7897 | 1975 | ||
7898 | 01:31:39,330 ~-~-> 01:31:40,920 | ||
7899 | where we at in terms of the overall | ||
7900 | |||
7901 | 1976 | ||
7902 | 01:31:40,920 ~-~-> 01:31:44,580 | ||
7903 | market structure. Okay. So now on the | ||
7904 | |||
7905 | 1977 | ||
7906 | 01:31:44,640 ~-~-> 01:31:48,540 | ||
7907 | other side of the business model, so now | ||
7908 | |||
7909 | 1978 | ||
7910 | 01:31:48,570 ~-~-> 01:31:50,910 | ||
7911 | Are we going to continue to move lower, | ||
7912 | |||
7913 | 1979 | ||
7914 | 01:31:51,960 ~-~-> 01:31:54,000 | ||
7915 | very well could. Why because we went up | ||
7916 | |||
7917 | 1980 | ||
7918 | 01:31:54,000 ~-~-> 01:31:58,950 | ||
7919 | to at 134 and failed. Okay. There's a | ||
7920 | |||
7921 | 1981 | ||
7922 | 01:31:58,950 ~-~-> 01:32:00,300 | ||
7923 | little bit of a lot of fun. A lot of | ||
7924 | |||
7925 | 1982 | ||
7926 | 01:32:00,300 ~-~-> 01:32:02,160 | ||
7927 | other things that we could build on. And | ||
7928 | |||
7929 | 1983 | ||
7930 | 01:32:02,160 ~-~-> 01:32:02,940 | ||
7931 | again, I'm not trying to give you a | ||
7932 | |||
7933 | 1984 | ||
7934 | 01:32:02,940 ~-~-> 01:32:05,610 | ||
7935 | trade. But there's certainly a lot to | ||
7936 | |||
7937 | 1985 | ||
7938 | 01:32:05,640 ~-~-> 01:32:06,570 | ||
7939 | suggest that | ||
7940 | |||
7941 | 1986 | ||
7942 | 01:32:06,630 ~-~-> 01:32:09,000 | ||
7943 | this could potentially become a nice | ||
7944 | |||
7945 | 1987 | ||
7946 | 01:32:09,000 ~-~-> 01:32:10,470 | ||
7947 | starting point. If you look at the high | ||
7948 | |||
7949 | 1988 | ||
7950 | 01:32:10,470 ~-~-> 01:32:12,660 | ||
7951 | here down to this low, it's a very | ||
7952 | |||
7953 | 1989 | ||
7954 | 01:32:12,660 ~-~-> 01:32:15,420 | ||
7955 | significant retracement point. And we'll | ||
7956 | |||
7957 | 1990 | ||
7958 | 01:32:15,420 ~-~-> 01:32:18,420 | ||
7959 | just leave that for another time. But if | ||
7960 | |||
7961 | 1991 | ||
7962 | 01:32:18,420 ~-~-> 01:32:21,390 | ||
7963 | price continues to move on higher, then | ||
7964 | |||
7965 | 1992 | ||
7966 | 01:32:21,390 ~-~-> 01:32:25,170 | ||
7967 | we can assume that this is a very solid | ||
7968 | |||
7969 | 1993 | ||
7970 | 01:32:25,290 ~-~-> 01:32:28,260 | ||
7971 | swing low is formed. And we could see, | ||
7972 | |||
7973 | 1994 | ||
7974 | 01:32:28,380 ~-~-> 01:32:30,420 | ||
7975 | you know, this, this high challenge but | ||
7976 | |||
7977 | 1995 | ||
7978 | 01:32:30,570 ~-~-> 01:32:32,760 | ||
7979 | we don't know for certain ways look for | ||
7980 | |||
7981 | 1996 | ||
7982 | 01:32:32,760 ~-~-> 01:32:35,670 | ||
7983 | confluences of support resistance with a | ||
7984 | |||
7985 | 1997 | ||
7986 | 01:32:35,670 ~-~-> 01:32:37,350 | ||
7987 | bias in mind and then | ||
7988 | |||
7989 | 1998 | ||
7990 | 01:32:37,950 ~-~-> 01:32:38,760 | ||
7991 | trade on that. | ||
7992 | |||
7993 | 1999 | ||
7994 | 01:32:39,150 ~-~-> 01:32:42,570 | ||
7995 | And overall, consistently. Applying that | ||
7996 | |||
7997 | 2000 | ||
7998 | 01:32:42,570 ~-~-> 01:32:45,120 | ||
7999 | mindset, you'll see that there's a means | ||
8000 | |||
8001 | 2001 | ||
8002 | 01:32:45,120 ~-~-> 01:32:47,970 | ||
8003 | of finding consistency in your trading. |