Version 1.1 by Drunk Monkey on 2020-11-20 16:00

Show last authors
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3 ICT: Okay folks, welcome back. This teaching is going to be
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7 specifically dealing with the ICT monitor open kill zone.
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11 Okay, so the London kill zone what ICT concepts are going to
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15 use this module the importance of time and price again
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19 the London open
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23 the London session important characteristics of London.
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27 Okay, folks, this is one of those topics where it's a very
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31 vast subject. So I'm introducing you slowly into one of the
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35 most important timeframes of the 24 hour banking cycle. The
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39 Logging open is typically a time where I like to trade
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43 because it gives me a lot of opportunities. And it's, well,
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47 its magnitude is a lot more favorable for a short term
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51 trader. It comes with it a great deal of responsibility in
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55 terms of knowing what the higher timeframes are doing. A lot
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59 of economic calendar releases come out overnight, and they
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63 can be very volatile. But the euro dollar and the British
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67 Pound pairs are ideal for this time of day. And that's why
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71 I've elected to trade those two pairs. The London open
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75 frequently sets up an optimal trade entry pattern that can
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79 offer 25 to 50 pips, for a scalp. The key times to monitor
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83 are 2am to 5am, New York time center where it's the easiest
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87 way to avoid me confusing you about the time is determined
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91 whatever time it is. in your area relative to what it is in
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95 New York time, okay? And physically wait for 2am to be in
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99 New York, and then calibrate that with your broker and your
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103 local time, and always set a clock for New York. And you'll
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107 know exactly what I'm referring to in terms of time, it's
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111 the easiest way I can overcome that barrier, because it's
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115 been a point of confusion many times, because I don't know
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119 where you are globally, and you're all in different
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123 locations of the globe. I don't know what the translation is
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127 going to be in terms of time, so the conversions are going
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131 to be up to you. But the ideal ICT London kill zone for your
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135 learning is going to be 2am to 5am. And it's relative to New
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139 York time. Now, if you look at this chart here, this is a
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143 euro Dollar chart. And what I'm highlighting here is two
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147 specific trading days. And I want you to take a look at the
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151 red. It's like a deep red vertical line, there's two of them
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155 immediately to the right, of the left most vertical red
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159 line. We see price action drop down initially, and then
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163 rallies up and it creates the very high of the day, the
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167 day's low forms down here. And it comes off the low and
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171 close closes off the low. The next trading day. Again, here
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175 is the vertical red line. And this delineates New York time.
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179 midnight. Okay, so Midnight in New York. That's what this
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183 vertical red line delineates for this particular day. And
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187 this represents Midnight in New York on this trading day. So
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191 we can see that the price rallies again for the euro dollar
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195 up into this smaller little segment of time, and it creates
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199 a high end trades down, crease the low day later on and goes
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203 in consolidation and closes in the middle of the range. The
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207 key takeaway that I want you to more or less be encouraged
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211 to go through your charts and study is that London open
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215 generally has the highest probability of creating the high
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219 or the low the day. So here, we see price trading up to and
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223 this little blue line segment. And this little blue line
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227 segment is just delineating that little pocket of time that
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231 window of opportunity. Between two o'clock in the morning
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235 and 5am New York time, you can see how beautifully goes up.
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239 trades makes the highly day and then trades aggressively
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243 lower. Same thing here on this day, it trades up spikes up,
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247 creates the high the day and then sells off. Okay? This is
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251 one of the biggest things that a lot of students of mine And
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255 people that have just casually looked at my things in terms
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259 of my tutorials. This is one of the biggest wealth. In my
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263 career, it was the biggest discovery because it helps me
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267 determine where when I'm bearish, the actual high the other
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271 day is going to form. And if I can do that, with a
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275 reasonable measure of
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279 accuracy or consistency, just imagine if you could get three
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283 to four opportunities where you can get the high or very
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287 close to the high the day and ride the majority of the daily
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291 range. If you could do that a few times a month, you could
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295 do exceptionally well as an FX trader. Now, it doesn't lend
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299 itself to just forex. This same phenomenon occurs in other
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303 assets. Now I don't trade Bitcoin or cryptocurrencies, but I
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307 have students of mine that swear by this working in that
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311 asset as well. It works income oddities. It works in bonds,
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315 it works in just about everything that trades electronically
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319 overnight. Incidentally, you can anticipate things like this
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323 to occur in index trading. So if you're trading, for
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327 instance, the DAX, the footsie or the s&p 500, or doubt or
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331 NASDAQ futures contracts, overnight trading, you can see the
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335 same phenomenon occur as well. So it really isn't limited to
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339 just forex now. Because I taught it to the trading
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343 community. They assumed that it was limited and only salient
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347 to forex or foreign exchange. I used this same concept as a
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351 commodity trader in the early 90s. So it's not that we have
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355 a asset class that it can only function in with this type of
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359 trading or this type of price action. It's completely
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363 universal. And that's pretty Powerful now if we have a
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367 market that is, let's say, in a strong trending environment,
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371 you want to be really focusing in on London because London
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375 will give you the highest probability of a low risk entry
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379 price point. Okay and conversely we can see when the market
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383 is bullish the tendency is for the market to trade down
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387 creating the low the day in the London open ICT kills them.
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391 Again here, market trades down after midnight New York time
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395 creates the low of the day between two o'clock and five
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399 o'clock in the morning New York time. Low they forms off to
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403 the races we go. So here's to back to back trading days.
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407 Okay. If you could have taken along not even at the low,
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411 okay, say you use some Have an online maybe a buy stop to
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415 get in. Okay if you try to buy stop above these individual
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419 candle highs and events a trip to you and get you long and
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423 held on to it for 3040 pips, each trading day, it adds up
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427 quickly folks. Same thing here. Market creating low takes
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431 off aggressively. Now I want you to take a look at the
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435 relationship between one long and open low and the immediate
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439 day after London open low. Okay, we have a range that's
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443 framed by the low here and this highest high in between the
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447 two London lows. This is your trading range here and this
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451 would be an optimal trade entry long using previous day's
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455 data to today's In setup, she can get an optimal trade entry
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459 on that. And price as an expansion on the upside. And we can
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463 see a very nice opportunity to have a long trade on both
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467 days here, focusing on London open, creating the low the day
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471 when the underlying market is poised to go higher. Okay, so
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475 the London session itself actually trades a little bit
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479 longer than 5am. Okay, but for the sake of my concepts I
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483 want to graduate over time, the significance of five o'clock
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487 in the morning, New York time to seven o'clock in the
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491 morning, New York time, which is classically, like a London
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495 lunch period where it can go quiet. It can have minor little
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499 retracements but I don't like to see any kind of entry
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503 between five o'clock and seven o'clock in the morning, New
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507 York time. Because it can tend to wait for the New York
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511 open, which we'll cover next lesson. But the price action
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515 during the London session sees the highest probability of a
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519 large
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523 directional move in the 24 hour day. So what does that mean?
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527 If we were to look at the entire 24 hour market and pick it
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531 picked up, beginning point and fall around the entire world,
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535 and where it began, it'll end so we have 24 hours of time.
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539 If we were to measure the volume or how much action if you
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543 want to call it any other word, it's it's layman's terms the
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547 most bang for your buck is going to be in the lung and open.
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551 Now that right away draws excitement to younger guys. And if
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555 you don't know what you're doing, you can get really hurt
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559 quick in the London session because it can be extremely
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563 volatile and it can be like a lightning bolt. Okay, if
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567 you're caught on the wrong side of the marketplace, and as a
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571 high impact news event, it's out during that timeframe, you
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575 can get mowed over rather quickly. And if you don't use stop
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579 loss orders, that session is going to treat you very
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583 cruelly, in the form of taking money from you. Because
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587 London can be extremely one sided. And once it takes off,
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591 it's pretty relentless, it doesn't really give you a chance
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595 to get off the hook. And the London trading session actually
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599 extends beyond the 5am hour to 7am New York time. The London
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603 session sees the highest volume of order execution than any
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607 other trading session. We look at the little chart to the
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611 right. And again, all I'm trying to do is show the profile
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615 itself we don't need to zoom in and look at details of wicks
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619 and candle bodies. I just want you to look at it graphically
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623 in terms of The way the range is expand and how it looks
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627 overall. So we have a trading day here of consolidation, it
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631 creates a little bit of a run up, rejects that and trades
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635 aggressively lower and then comes off the low and begins the
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639 New York session. So we have a micro power three formation
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643 in here. So we have the open
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647 the rally up
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651 the expansion, the low off the low closes. Okay, prices
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655 fractal folks, we can anticipate seeing duplicate patterns
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659 that are seen on higher timeframes on a lower timeframe. So
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663 if we understand that the daily range if it's a bearish
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667 market profile or for looking for lower prices, the opening
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671 on the daily range or daily bar it's going to be at or near
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675 the high today. The high is going to be very limited in
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679 terms of how much it goes above the opening price. And then
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683 the largest portion of the range is going to be between the
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687 open and the close. And the close is gonna be near the low
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691 of the day. Well, this is intraday price action between this
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695 vertical line here and this vertical line here. This is
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699 delineating two o'clock in the morning to seven o'clock in
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703 the morning, New York time. Okay, so we're looking at a
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707 window of five hours. So if we understand that price can be
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711 fractal and we're bearish, this could be viewed as a micro
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715 power three formation. Okay. Now, why is that significant?
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719 Why should I be teaching it to you? What's the point of it?
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723 Well, if we see in this trading day here, it creates a
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727 scenario where let's assume for a moment that we were
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731 anticipating a bullish market move. Okay, maybe this
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735 particular day trade down to a level that was Some kind of a
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738 00:14:00,450 ~-~-> 00:14:05,550
739 support level, and we came off of it to consolidated, okay,
740
741 186
742 00:14:05,550 ~-~-> 00:14:10,470
743 and then we came down initially, right after the two o'clock
744
745 187
746 00:14:10,500 ~-~-> 00:14:21,750
747 time period. And price drops down into a significant low. If
748
749 188
750 00:14:21,750 ~-~-> 00:14:27,060
751 price doesn't start to run there during the London session,
752
753 189
754 00:14:27,870 ~-~-> 00:14:31,410
755 we could reasonably expect that the real move is going to be
756
757 190
758 00:14:31,560 ~-~-> 00:14:34,470
759 in the next trading session, which would be the new york
760
761 191
762 00:14:34,470 ~-~-> 00:14:37,200
763 session, which is not going to be our teaching here. It's
764
765 192
766 00:14:37,200 ~-~-> 00:14:41,610
767 the next lesson in this series. But you can see the move
768
769 193
770 00:14:41,970 ~-~-> 00:14:47,430
771 ensues after the crossover from the London session and then
772
773 194
774 00:14:47,430 ~-~-> 00:14:51,390
775 the beginning of the new york session. Now, the London
776
777 195
778 00:14:51,390 ~-~-> 00:14:54,390
779 session technically extends even beyond seven o'clock in the
780
781 196
782 00:14:54,390 ~-~-> 00:14:59,040
783 morning, up into 10 to 11 o'clock in the morning, New York
784
785 197
786 00:14:59,040 ~-~-> 00:15:03,750
787 time So basically it's three o'clock in the morning New York
788
789 198
790 00:15:03,750 ~-~-> 00:15:11,430
791 time, to 11am to noon. All relative to New York time. Okay,
792
793 199
794 00:15:11,730 ~-~-> 00:15:16,890
795 so there's an overlap of New York and London trading, which
796
797 200
798 00:15:16,890 ~-~-> 00:15:18,780
799 makes the next teaching a little bit more interesting as
800
801 201
802 00:15:18,780 ~-~-> 00:15:23,490
803 well. But the takeaways I want you to have is that the
804
805 202
806 00:15:23,520 ~-~-> 00:15:27,870
807 London session can create the higher low day. And we can
808
809 203
810 00:15:27,870 ~-~-> 00:15:33,990
811 also study the profile that takes place in between the
812
813 204
814 00:15:33,990 ~-~-> 00:15:38,340
815 beginning and ending of the overnight session. If it's
816
817 205
818 00:15:38,340 ~-~-> 00:15:43,200
819 trending, okay, we have a trending model like this. Chances
820
821 206
822 00:15:43,200 ~-~-> 00:15:47,580
823 are, we could see it rather quiet. New York session doesn't
824
825 207
826 00:15:47,580 ~-~-> 00:15:50,940
827 mean that always but it's one way I like to look for
828
829 208
830 00:15:51,660 ~-~-> 00:15:55,500
831 potentially a slow New York session. Or we could have a
832
833 209
834 00:15:55,500 ~-~-> 00:15:58,980
835 reversal scenario, which is what we saw here. Okay, to the
836
837 210
838 00:15:58,980 ~-~-> 00:16:01,860
839 right of this vertical line. Is the New York session you can
840
841 211
842 00:16:01,860 ~-~-> 00:16:03,630
843 see it did have a little bit reversal, but it went
844
845 212
846 00:16:03,630 ~-~-> 00:16:06,120
847 consolidated, and basically traded in the middle of the
848
849 213
850 00:16:06,120 ~-~-> 00:16:11,010
851 overall range into the close. The very next day, we had a
852
853 214
854 00:16:11,010 ~-~-> 00:16:13,800
855 initial drop down in London, creating the low of the day.
856
857 215
858 00:16:14,340 ~-~-> 00:16:17,340
859 But it closed the session right in the middle. So it didn't
860
861 216
862 00:16:17,340 ~-~-> 00:16:21,360
863 really have much of a trend had a spike low. But if we're
864
865 217
866 00:16:21,360 ~-~-> 00:16:24,360
867 bullish, it didn't really show any kind of indication that
868
869 218
870 00:16:24,420 ~-~-> 00:16:27,870
871 in the London session, but as soon as we crossed over into
872
873 219
874 00:16:27,870 ~-~-> 00:16:32,190
875 the New York session and overlapped with London, then we
876
877 220
878 00:16:32,190 ~-~-> 00:16:37,290
879 have the optimal trade entry. Then we have the dynamic
880
881 221
882 00:16:37,290 ~-~-> 00:16:40,590
883 imbalance where the range expansion occurs for the for the
884
885 222
886 00:16:40,590 ~-~-> 00:16:47,850
887 daily upside and up close. So London, gives us a lot of
888
889 223
890 00:16:47,850 ~-~-> 00:16:51,030
891 things to study. And I want you to go through your charts
892
893 224
894 00:16:51,030 ~-~-> 00:16:53,760
895 and look for examples of the things I just outlined here.
896
897 225
898 00:16:54,450 ~-~-> 00:17:01,200
899 And I think you'll be rather surprised Okay, the one session
900
901 226
902 00:17:01,200 ~-~-> 00:17:05,280
903 characteristics. Now abundant session typically creates the
904
905 227
906 00:17:05,280 ~-~-> 00:17:08,580
907 low the day when the market is primarily bullish. And the
908
909 228
910 00:17:08,580 ~-~-> 00:17:12,210
911 high of the day when bearish. When the market is poised to
912
913 229
914 00:17:12,210 ~-~-> 00:17:15,150
915 trade higher on a daily timeframe, we can focus on the
916
917 230
918 00:17:15,150 ~-~-> 00:17:18,780
919 London session to post a low the trading day. If the daily
920
921 231
922 00:17:18,780 ~-~-> 00:17:21,930
923 is poised to trade lower, we can focus on the London session
924
925 232
926 00:17:22,170 ~-~-> 00:17:24,000
927 to post the highs of the trading day.
928
929 233
930 00:17:33,750 ~-~-> 00:17:37,050
931 Okay, and what I've done is instead of putting the Fibonacci
932
933 234
934 00:17:37,050 ~-~-> 00:17:40,950
935 on the chart, and cluttering it all up, I just basically
936
937 235
938 00:17:41,160 ~-~-> 00:17:44,700
939 drew a line indicating the high I'm using and the low I'm
940
941 236
942 00:17:44,700 ~-~-> 00:17:48,840
943 using. Now I'm not using the body the body reference points
944
945 237
946 00:17:48,840 ~-~-> 00:17:52,080
947 because of the daily timeframe and I want to encapsulate the
948
949 238
950 00:17:52,080 ~-~-> 00:17:57,480
951 entire range with the wicks included. It will not change
952
953 239
954 00:17:57,480 ~-~-> 00:17:59,490
955 what I'm going to show you here so if you have your daily
956
957 240
958 00:17:59,490 ~-~-> 00:18:02,760
959 timeframe On your eurodollar you'll see that it will still
960
961 241
962 00:18:02,760 ~-~-> 00:18:06,720
963 take us up into optimal trade entry, which is basically a
964
965 242
966 00:18:07,380 ~-~-> 00:18:13,320
967 non indicator form of overbought or oversold. Okay. So what
968
969 243
970 00:18:13,320 ~-~-> 00:18:17,160
971 we're seeing here is the market on the Euro, trading up into
972
973 244
974 00:18:17,580 ~-~-> 00:18:21,090
975 the 70.5 level, failing to get to the 79 level and this
976
977 245
978 00:18:21,090 ~-~-> 00:18:25,110
979 candle right here shows a willingness to want to reverse so
980
981 246
982 00:18:25,110 ~-~-> 00:18:29,040
983 the next candle we could potentially see this be a bearish
984
985 247
986 00:18:29,040 ~-~-> 00:18:32,190
987 candle. Now I'm not looking at swing points, I'm just
988
989 248
990 00:18:32,190 ~-~-> 00:18:36,750
991 looking at in terms of where we are in a higher timeframe
992
993 249
994 00:18:36,780 ~-~-> 00:18:41,880
995 and this could be a point of interest for a breakdown. Okay,
996
997 250
998 00:18:42,240 ~-~-> 00:18:45,510
999 so once we have a bearish candle like this, and we're inside
1000
1001 251
1002 00:18:45,510 ~-~-> 00:18:50,040
1003 the area of optimal trade entry, for sell, we would be
1004
1005 252
1006 00:18:50,040 ~-~-> 00:18:53,820
1007 deemed as a potential sell. The very next candle we want to
1008
1009 253
1010 00:18:53,820 ~-~-> 00:18:57,840
1011 study that extend may give us a condition that frames a
1012
1013 254
1014 00:18:59,130 ~-~-> 00:19:03,960
1015 power three form With a down close, relative to the daily
1016
1017 255
1018 00:19:03,960 ~-~-> 00:19:08,820
1019 chart, okay, so we have this particular day here, which is
1020
1021 256
1022 00:19:10,200 ~-~-> 00:19:14,610
1023 the 28th of November. And we have the market trading
1024
1025 257
1026 00:19:14,610 ~-~-> 00:19:19,770
1027 sideways until midnight in New York, and then we have the
1028
1029 258
1030 00:19:19,770 ~-~-> 00:19:25,050
1031 market initially drop down. We do not worry about that. We
1032
1033 259
1034 00:19:25,050 ~-~-> 00:19:27,390
1035 want to see it rally up into
1036
1037 260
1038 00:19:27,780 ~-~-> 00:19:28,680
1039 London open.
1040
1041 261
1042 00:19:29,280 ~-~-> 00:19:33,630
1043 It starts this area right here. It's dropping here we want
1044
1045 262
1046 00:19:33,630 ~-~-> 00:19:36,720
1047 we don't want to see that. We want to see price rally up.
1048
1049 263
1050 00:19:37,260 ~-~-> 00:19:40,770
1051 That's where we'll sell. Notice also that we have equal
1052
1053 264
1054 00:19:40,770 ~-~-> 00:19:44,670
1055 highs in here. Okay, about 10 pips above this short term
1056
1057 265
1058 00:19:44,670 ~-~-> 00:19:48,810
1059 high that gives us the high of the day. At the same time, we
1060
1061 266
1062 00:19:48,810 ~-~-> 00:19:51,600
1063 would reasonably expect to see London open create the high
1064
1065 267
1066 00:19:51,600 ~-~-> 00:19:55,650
1067 of the day. Why should the daily bias be bearish? Because
1068
1069 268
1070 00:19:55,650 ~-~-> 00:19:58,440
1071 it's been going bullish here, while we trade it into an area
1072
1073 269
1074 00:19:58,440 ~-~-> 00:20:02,040
1075 of optimal trade entry and we got one case Though showing a
1076
1077 270
1078 00:20:02,040 ~-~-> 00:20:05,250
1079 willingness to reject and go lower, so we want to look for
1080
1081 271
1082 00:20:05,250 ~-~-> 00:20:08,760
1083 characteristics like we're seeing here the open and then
1084
1085 272
1086 00:20:08,760 ~-~-> 00:20:12,660
1087 rally above we can look to a seller their effort takes equal
1088
1089 273
1090 00:20:12,660 ~-~-> 00:20:18,240
1091 highs out so we have cameleon buy stop liquidity pool, okay,
1092
1093 274
1094 00:20:18,780 ~-~-> 00:20:22,650
1095 runs up, knocks and stops out and then trades aggressively
1096
1097 275
1098 00:20:22,650 ~-~-> 00:20:26,940
1099 lower, creates the low of the day, it comes off the low day
1100
1101 276
1102 00:20:27,120 ~-~-> 00:20:34,050
1103 trades at or near the low. So in relationship to power
1104
1105 277
1106 00:20:34,050 ~-~-> 00:20:37,800
1107 three, if we're looking at this price action here, you can
1108
1109 278
1110 00:20:37,800 ~-~-> 00:20:40,740
1111 see that would be the daily range. So we can see that the
1112
1113 279
1114 00:20:40,740 ~-~-> 00:20:44,820
1115 opening it's a very limited upside movement above the
1116
1117 280
1118 00:20:44,820 ~-~-> 00:20:48,330
1119 opening. That's just a portion of price action here. It
1120
1121 281
1122 00:20:48,330 ~-~-> 00:20:51,450
1123 creates the high of the day during the London open kill zone
1124
1125 282
1126 00:20:51,450 ~-~-> 00:20:54,030
1127 between two o'clock and five o'clock in the morning. Dynamic
1128
1129 283
1130 00:20:54,030 ~-~-> 00:20:57,540
1131 imbalance or range expansion for the daily candle or bar
1132
1133 284
1134 00:20:57,900 ~-~-> 00:21:01,080
1135 creating the low of the day. Right here. Then we come off
1136
1137 285
1138 00:21:01,080 ~-~-> 00:21:05,430
1139 the low trading near the low of the day. In closing, right
1140
1141 286
1142 00:21:05,430 ~-~-> 00:21:11,850
1143 here. So this is this is this whole candle right here. This
1144
1145 287
1146 00:21:11,850 ~-~-> 00:21:15,630
1147 is what it looks like in a open high low close format. So
1148
1149 288
1150 00:21:15,630 ~-~-> 00:21:18,390
1151 hopefully you found this teaching insightful. Until next
1152
1153 289
1154 00:21:18,390 ~-~-> 00:21:20,490
1155 time, I wish you good luck and good trading