Wiki source code of ICT Market Maker Primer Course - 02 - Considerations In Risk Management.srt
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|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | ||
| 2 | 00:00:12,809 ~-~-> 00:00:14,099 | ||
| 3 | ICT: Okay, folks, welcome back. | ||
| 4 | |||
| 5 | 2 | ||
| 6 | 00:00:15,420 ~-~-> 00:00:17,610 | ||
| 7 | This teaching is going to be specifically dealing with | ||
| 8 | |||
| 9 | 3 | ||
| 10 | 00:00:17,910 ~-~-> 00:00:20,850 | ||
| 11 | considerations and risk management. This module hopefully | ||
| 12 | |||
| 13 | 4 | ||
| 14 | 00:00:20,850 ~-~-> 00:00:23,460 | ||
| 15 | will be a little bit more of a sober reminder about how we | ||
| 16 | |||
| 17 | 5 | ||
| 18 | 00:00:23,460 ~-~-> 00:00:26,760 | ||
| 19 | should be looking at risk and how we can manage risk to | ||
| 20 | |||
| 21 | 6 | ||
| 22 | 00:00:26,760 ~-~-> 00:00:30,510 | ||
| 23 | survive and have longevity in our trading. Alright, maybe | ||
| 24 | |||
| 25 | 7 | ||
| 26 | 00:00:30,510 ~-~-> 00:00:32,730 | ||
| 27 | you had this in mind when you first got into trading After | ||
| 28 | |||
| 29 | 8 | ||
| 30 | 00:00:32,730 ~-~-> 00:00:35,820 | ||
| 31 | all, the guy that sat down with you before told you, hey, | ||
| 32 | |||
| 33 | 9 | ||
| 34 | 00:00:37,140 ~-~-> 00:00:40,560 | ||
| 35 | this method is so good. You risk 10% of your equity. It's | ||
| 36 | |||
| 37 | 10 | ||
| 38 | 00:00:40,560 ~-~-> 00:00:42,930 | ||
| 39 | going to make you money. Okay, if you have equity balance of | ||
| 40 | |||
| 41 | 11 | ||
| 42 | 00:00:42,930 ~-~-> 00:00:47,040 | ||
| 43 | $10,000 you're gonna risk 10%. Now the first loss you assume | ||
| 44 | |||
| 45 | 12 | ||
| 46 | 00:00:47,580 ~-~-> 00:00:52,620 | ||
| 47 | Guess what, you just took a $1,000 loss. Okay, system says | ||
| 48 | |||
| 49 | 13 | ||
| 50 | 00:00:52,620 ~-~-> 00:00:55,560 | ||
| 51 | continue risking 10% So what do you do? You get anything you | ||
| 52 | |||
| 53 | 14 | ||
| 54 | 00:00:55,560 ~-~-> 00:01:00,540 | ||
| 55 | take an X ray, bang, you hit with an IR loss your equity Now | ||
| 56 | |||
| 57 | 15 | ||
| 58 | 00:01:00,810 ~-~-> 00:01:07,500 | ||
| 59 | sits at $8,100. Three losses, hit with another $810 loss, | ||
| 60 | |||
| 61 | 16 | ||
| 62 | 00:01:07,530 ~-~-> 00:01:13,200 | ||
| 63 | bang your accounts not $7,290. This goes on for what could | ||
| 64 | |||
| 65 | 17 | ||
| 66 | 00:01:13,650 ~-~-> 00:01:18,540 | ||
| 67 | easily be seen in anyone's trading eight string loss, eight | ||
| 68 | |||
| 69 | 18 | ||
| 70 | 00:01:18,540 ~-~-> 00:01:22,890 | ||
| 71 | string loss. That is absolutely realistic guys, I don't care | ||
| 72 | |||
| 73 | 19 | ||
| 74 | 00:01:22,890 ~-~-> 00:01:25,380 | ||
| 75 | how good a trader you are, you're going to get this upside | ||
| 76 | |||
| 77 | 20 | ||
| 78 | 00:01:25,380 ~-~-> 00:01:29,190 | ||
| 79 | your head one day and you need to be prepared for it. If | ||
| 80 | |||
| 81 | 21 | ||
| 82 | 00:01:29,190 ~-~-> 00:01:31,320 | ||
| 83 | you're going to risk 10% of your equity simply because you | ||
| 84 | |||
| 85 | 22 | ||
| 86 | 00:01:31,320 ~-~-> 00:01:34,140 | ||
| 87 | think you're going to be hitting it on the next trade and | ||
| 88 | |||
| 89 | 23 | ||
| 90 | 00:01:34,140 ~-~-> 00:01:38,160 | ||
| 91 | you've been in drawdown, there's a psychological impact that | ||
| 92 | |||
| 93 | 24 | ||
| 94 | 00:01:38,160 ~-~-> 00:01:45,600 | ||
| 95 | traders go through. And we more or less deny the technicals | ||
| 96 | |||
| 97 | 25 | ||
| 98 | 00:01:45,810 ~-~-> 00:01:49,560 | ||
| 99 | that may be indicating that we're in a trade it's not going | ||
| 100 | |||
| 101 | 26 | ||
| 102 | 00:01:49,560 ~-~-> 00:01:52,290 | ||
| 103 | to pan out, but we won't let go of it. We start arm | ||
| 104 | |||
| 105 | 27 | ||
| 106 | 00:01:52,290 ~-~-> 00:01:54,660 | ||
| 107 | wrestling with the market because hey, you know, we're going | ||
| 108 | |||
| 109 | 28 | ||
| 110 | 00:01:54,660 ~-~-> 00:01:57,810 | ||
| 111 | to be right and it's gonna feel so good when we are and we | ||
| 112 | |||
| 113 | 29 | ||
| 114 | 00:01:57,810 ~-~-> 00:02:01,680 | ||
| 115 | can give the middle finger To be crude to the screen, it | ||
| 116 | |||
| 117 | 30 | ||
| 118 | 00:02:01,680 ~-~-> 00:02:04,620 | ||
| 119 | cuts at the screen. You say I got you, I got my money back. | ||
| 120 | |||
| 121 | 31 | ||
| 122 | 00:02:04,740 ~-~-> 00:02:08,310 | ||
| 123 | Everybody wants to have that stuff, you get that feeling of | ||
| 124 | |||
| 125 | 32 | ||
| 126 | 00:02:10,020 ~-~-> 00:02:13,020 | ||
| 127 | conquering the market and beating the guy that you took the | ||
| 128 | |||
| 129 | 33 | ||
| 130 | 00:02:13,020 ~-~-> 00:02:15,180 | ||
| 131 | money from the last time everybody wants to go into the | ||
| 132 | |||
| 133 | 34 | ||
| 134 | 00:02:15,180 ~-~-> 00:02:18,030 | ||
| 135 | endzone, slam football down and do their victory dance and | ||
| 136 | |||
| 137 | 35 | ||
| 138 | 00:02:18,030 ~-~-> 00:02:21,180 | ||
| 139 | all that. But that doesn't work in this business. And | ||
| 140 | |||
| 141 | 36 | ||
| 142 | 00:02:21,720 ~-~-> 00:02:24,960 | ||
| 143 | they'll hand you your head on a platter. If you give them | ||
| 144 | |||
| 145 | 37 | ||
| 146 | 00:02:24,960 ~-~-> 00:02:27,840 | ||
| 147 | the opportunity to take your money, and a lot of it, they're | ||
| 148 | |||
| 149 | 38 | ||
| 150 | 00:02:27,840 ~-~-> 00:02:31,050 | ||
| 151 | going to be more than happy to take it from you. If you just | ||
| 152 | |||
| 153 | 39 | ||
| 154 | 00:02:31,050 ~-~-> 00:02:36,180 | ||
| 155 | take an eight loss streak here and your equity of $10,000 | ||
| 156 | |||
| 157 | 40 | ||
| 158 | 00:02:36,630 ~-~-> 00:02:46,650 | ||
| 159 | your account drawls down $5,217 that's 52% 52% folks, do you | ||
| 160 | |||
| 161 | 41 | ||
| 162 | 00:02:46,650 ~-~-> 00:02:50,100 | ||
| 163 | think you can take eight trades in a single week? that week, | ||
| 164 | |||
| 165 | 42 | ||
| 166 | 00:02:50,100 ~-~-> 00:02:52,710 | ||
| 167 | some of you guys on these forums trade. This could happen in | ||
| 168 | |||
| 169 | 43 | ||
| 170 | 00:02:52,710 ~-~-> 00:02:56,310 | ||
| 171 | a day. Now, I'm not saying that most of you guys aren't risk | ||
| 172 | |||
| 173 | 44 | ||
| 174 | 00:02:56,520 ~-~-> 00:03:00,000 | ||
| 175 | that are risking 10% you know, but there are people | ||
| 176 | |||
| 177 | 45 | ||
| 178 | 00:03:00,000 ~-~-> 00:03:01,740 | ||
| 179 | neophytes that come into this business and think they're | ||
| 180 | |||
| 181 | 46 | ||
| 182 | 00:03:01,740 ~-~-> 00:03:05,730 | ||
| 183 | going to do it. And I'm sorry. But, you know, maybe you'll | ||
| 184 | |||
| 185 | 47 | ||
| 186 | 00:03:05,730 ~-~-> 00:03:09,600 | ||
| 187 | come out the gate, make a couple wins and think, man, I'm | ||
| 188 | |||
| 189 | 48 | ||
| 190 | 00:03:09,600 ~-~-> 00:03:12,150 | ||
| 191 | risking 10%. And look, it's it's really working out well. | ||
| 192 | |||
| 193 | 49 | ||
| 194 | 00:03:12,720 ~-~-> 00:03:16,320 | ||
| 195 | But man, I'm telling you this, that cycle leads to | ||
| 196 | |||
| 197 | 50 | ||
| 198 | 00:03:16,320 ~-~-> 00:03:19,680 | ||
| 199 | destruction, right? Just eight trades. Look at this. If you | ||
| 200 | |||
| 201 | 51 | ||
| 202 | 00:03:19,680 ~-~-> 00:03:22,620 | ||
| 203 | have eight losses, you're crushed. That's that's a huge | ||
| 204 | |||
| 205 | 52 | ||
| 206 | 00:03:22,620 ~-~-> 00:03:25,650 | ||
| 207 | drawdown Not, not to mention the emotional impact and your | ||
| 208 | |||
| 209 | 53 | ||
| 210 | 00:03:25,740 ~-~-> 00:03:29,340 | ||
| 211 | mental equity because not only are we trading with real | ||
| 212 | |||
| 213 | 54 | ||
| 214 | 00:03:29,340 ~-~-> 00:03:33,480 | ||
| 215 | tangible money and currency in our account, that equity base | ||
| 216 | |||
| 217 | 55 | ||
| 218 | 00:03:33,690 ~-~-> 00:03:37,560 | ||
| 219 | is not limited. Use $2 terms. You have an equity amount of | ||
| 220 | |||
| 221 | 56 | ||
| 222 | 00:03:37,560 ~-~-> 00:03:40,920 | ||
| 223 | money in your mind what you're really willing to absorb and | ||
| 224 | |||
| 225 | 57 | ||
| 226 | 00:03:41,130 ~-~-> 00:03:44,970 | ||
| 227 | risk. You may have put 10,000 on account, but man, you don't | ||
| 228 | |||
| 229 | 58 | ||
| 230 | 00:03:44,970 ~-~-> 00:03:47,820 | ||
| 231 | really want to be losing 4000 of it. So what are you really | ||
| 232 | |||
| 233 | 59 | ||
| 234 | 00:03:47,820 ~-~-> 00:03:53,970 | ||
| 235 | trading with? $4,000 that's your mental capital. So we're | ||
| 236 | |||
| 237 | 60 | ||
| 238 | 00:03:53,970 ~-~-> 00:03:58,290 | ||
| 239 | going to talk more about that when we get into wealth | ||
| 240 | |||
| 241 | 61 | ||
| 242 | 00:03:58,290 ~-~-> 00:04:02,070 | ||
| 243 | building money management. But for now, understand that | ||
| 244 | |||
| 245 | 62 | ||
| 246 | 00:04:02,070 ~-~-> 00:04:05,370 | ||
| 247 | risking 10% absolutely should be a no brainer for you. You | ||
| 248 | |||
| 249 | 63 | ||
| 250 | 00:04:05,370 ~-~-> 00:04:14,460 | ||
| 251 | don't do that. Okay, maybe you're so turned off by 10%. But | ||
| 252 | |||
| 253 | 64 | ||
| 254 | 00:04:14,460 ~-~-> 00:04:18,810 | ||
| 255 | hey, you know, you're not too afraid of taking risks to 5% | ||
| 256 | |||
| 257 | 65 | ||
| 258 | 00:04:18,810 ~-~-> 00:04:23,070 | ||
| 259 | portrayed is. It's doable for you $10,000 starting account. | ||
| 260 | |||
| 261 | 66 | ||
| 262 | 00:04:23,430 ~-~-> 00:04:27,510 | ||
| 263 | Okay, first, last Bang 500 loss. Now your account drops down | ||
| 264 | |||
| 265 | 67 | ||
| 266 | 00:04:27,510 ~-~-> 00:04:33,060 | ||
| 267 | to $9,500. You do this for a couple series of losses it the | ||
| 268 | |||
| 269 | 68 | ||
| 270 | 00:04:33,060 ~-~-> 00:04:39,000 | ||
| 271 | fifth loss. Okay, now your accounts down to $7,737. But hey, | ||
| 272 | |||
| 273 | 69 | ||
| 274 | 00:04:39,480 ~-~-> 00:04:42,480 | ||
| 275 | you're going to make it back and you're not going to bend 5% | ||
| 276 | |||
| 277 | 70 | ||
| 278 | 00:04:42,480 ~-~-> 00:04:47,670 | ||
| 279 | risk on every trade. Well, with the standard typical eight | ||
| 280 | |||
| 281 | 71 | ||
| 282 | 00:04:47,670 ~-~-> 00:04:50,490 | ||
| 283 | string loss, it can happen to anybody. I'm not saying I had | ||
| 284 | |||
| 285 | 72 | ||
| 286 | 00:04:50,490 ~-~-> 00:04:52,980 | ||
| 287 | this once a month. I'm not saying I'm gonna have it three | ||
| 288 | |||
| 289 | 73 | ||
| 290 | 00:04:52,980 ~-~-> 00:04:55,500 | ||
| 291 | times a year, but it's going to happen eventually. If you | ||
| 292 | |||
| 293 | 74 | ||
| 294 | 00:04:55,530 ~-~-> 00:04:59,340 | ||
| 295 | are in this business at any length of time, you will suffer | ||
| 296 | |||
| 297 | 75 | ||
| 298 | 00:04:59,370 ~-~-> 00:05:02,580 | ||
| 299 | a Eight last string, it's going to happen. | ||
| 300 | |||
| 301 | 76 | ||
| 302 | 00:05:03,689 ~-~-> 00:05:06,749 | ||
| 303 | If you had the risk of 5% portray starting with equity | ||
| 304 | |||
| 305 | 77 | ||
| 306 | 00:05:06,749 ~-~-> 00:05:10,979 | ||
| 307 | balance of $10,000, your equity would draw down to the tune | ||
| 308 | |||
| 309 | 78 | ||
| 310 | 00:05:11,009 ~-~-> 00:05:18,629 | ||
| 311 | of $3,016 or 30%. drawdown. Can you can you withstand that? | ||
| 312 | |||
| 313 | 79 | ||
| 314 | 00:05:19,289 ~-~-> 00:05:21,959 | ||
| 315 | Can you imagine taking eight trades in a single week and | ||
| 316 | |||
| 317 | 80 | ||
| 318 | 00:05:21,959 ~-~-> 00:05:26,579 | ||
| 319 | being drawn down 30% Let me tell you something. I have done | ||
| 320 | |||
| 321 | 81 | ||
| 322 | 00:05:26,579 ~-~-> 00:05:31,499 | ||
| 323 | that. I have done that. Okay. And it is absolutely | ||
| 324 | |||
| 325 | 82 | ||
| 326 | 00:05:31,499 ~-~-> 00:05:33,869 | ||
| 327 | demoralizing because if you come out the gate strong | ||
| 328 | |||
| 329 | 83 | ||
| 330 | 00:05:33,989 ~-~-> 00:05:36,749 | ||
| 331 | thinking yeah, man, I'm gonna, I'm gonna tear it up. Well, | ||
| 332 | |||
| 333 | 84 | ||
| 334 | 00:05:36,749 ~-~-> 00:05:38,849 | ||
| 335 | yeah, you're gonna tear it up, right? You're gonna tear up | ||
| 336 | |||
| 337 | 85 | ||
| 338 | 00:05:38,849 ~-~-> 00:05:41,039 | ||
| 339 | your account, okay, and you're gonna sit there and you'll be | ||
| 340 | |||
| 341 | 86 | ||
| 342 | 00:05:41,039 ~-~-> 00:05:44,489 | ||
| 343 | depressed for the entire weekend. You're gonna move over | ||
| 344 | |||
| 345 | 87 | ||
| 346 | 00:05:44,519 ~-~-> 00:05:47,039 | ||
| 347 | possibly adding more money when that's not the answer. The | ||
| 348 | |||
| 349 | 88 | ||
| 350 | 00:05:47,039 ~-~-> 00:05:49,019 | ||
| 351 | answer is is controlling the amount of money that you put | ||
| 352 | |||
| 353 | 89 | ||
| 354 | 00:05:49,019 ~-~-> 00:05:54,569 | ||
| 355 | up. And controlling yourself is very difficult when you're | ||
| 356 | |||
| 357 | 90 | ||
| 358 | 00:05:54,569 ~-~-> 00:05:57,869 | ||
| 359 | in a period of drawdown if you're a new trader. I'm talking | ||
| 360 | |||
| 361 | 91 | ||
| 362 | 00:05:57,929 ~-~-> 00:06:00,659 | ||
| 363 | from experience Okay, when I got involved with commodities. | ||
| 364 | |||
| 365 | 92 | ||
| 366 | 00:06:01,019 ~-~-> 00:06:04,409 | ||
| 367 | I was trading, you know, five and six, seven contracts of | ||
| 368 | |||
| 369 | 93 | ||
| 370 | 00:06:05,009 ~-~-> 00:06:09,899 | ||
| 371 | Chicago portrayed wheat. And really my balance really should | ||
| 372 | |||
| 373 | 94 | ||
| 374 | 00:06:09,899 ~-~-> 00:06:13,919 | ||
| 375 | have been working with one midam contract. And I'm not going | ||
| 376 | |||
| 377 | 95 | ||
| 378 | 00:06:13,919 ~-~-> 00:06:16,499 | ||
| 379 | to go into contracts and specifications for commodities, but | ||
| 380 | |||
| 381 | 96 | ||
| 382 | 00:06:16,499 ~-~-> 00:06:19,169 | ||
| 383 | I'm just saying that I was over leveraging. And the worst | ||
| 384 | |||
| 385 | 97 | ||
| 386 | 00:06:19,169 ~-~-> 00:06:22,289 | ||
| 387 | part of it. I knew I was over leveraging. And when I was | ||
| 388 | |||
| 389 | 98 | ||
| 390 | 00:06:22,289 ~-~-> 00:06:26,249 | ||
| 391 | losing, it didn't hurt enough. I was going to be right. I | ||
| 392 | |||
| 393 | 99 | ||
| 394 | 00:06:26,249 ~-~-> 00:06:29,729 | ||
| 395 | was imposing my will in the market. And I'm telling you, you | ||
| 396 | |||
| 397 | 100 | ||
| 398 | 00:06:29,729 ~-~-> 00:06:33,239 | ||
| 399 | will lose doing that. It will hurt you doing that you don't | ||
| 400 | |||
| 401 | 101 | ||
| 402 | 00:06:33,239 ~-~-> 00:06:36,149 | ||
| 403 | gain anything from that except for misery and depression. | ||
| 404 | |||
| 405 | 102 | ||
| 406 | 00:06:36,179 ~-~-> 00:06:40,439 | ||
| 407 | Trust me, I know. Okay, so 5% risk is absolutely too much. | ||
| 408 | |||
| 409 | 103 | ||
| 410 | 00:06:40,439 ~-~-> 00:06:45,329 | ||
| 411 | It's insane. Don't do it. All right. Now let's look at the | ||
| 412 | |||
| 413 | 104 | ||
| 414 | 00:06:45,329 ~-~-> 00:06:48,089 | ||
| 415 | typical traders thought going in. This is the standard | ||
| 416 | |||
| 417 | 105 | ||
| 418 | 00:06:48,089 ~-~-> 00:06:50,339 | ||
| 419 | mentality of all traders. If you read it on all the forums, | ||
| 420 | |||
| 421 | 106 | ||
| 422 | 00:06:50,339 ~-~-> 00:06:52,889 | ||
| 423 | all the book, we all say and I preach it too. Don't risk any | ||
| 424 | |||
| 425 | 107 | ||
| 426 | 00:06:52,889 ~-~-> 00:06:57,089 | ||
| 427 | more than 2% per trade. Alright. Okay, we're gonna look at | ||
| 428 | |||
| 429 | 108 | ||
| 430 | 00:06:57,329 ~-~-> 00:07:00,569 | ||
| 431 | Trader one up here at the top. Okay. You have One trader, | ||
| 432 | |||
| 433 | 109 | ||
| 434 | 00:07:00,809 ~-~-> 00:07:03,329 | ||
| 435 | starting with an equity balance of $10,000. And he's going | ||
| 436 | |||
| 437 | 110 | ||
| 438 | 00:07:03,329 ~-~-> 00:07:07,169 | ||
| 439 | to risk 2% per trade, and he runs into the inevitable eight | ||
| 440 | |||
| 441 | 111 | ||
| 442 | 00:07:07,319 ~-~-> 00:07:12,989 | ||
| 443 | string loss, it's going to happen. Well, the account draws | ||
| 444 | |||
| 445 | 112 | ||
| 446 | 00:07:12,989 ~-~-> 00:07:18,449 | ||
| 447 | down after eight losses $1,318 total percentage draw down | ||
| 448 | |||
| 449 | 113 | ||
| 450 | 00:07:18,539 ~-~-> 00:07:24,239 | ||
| 451 | 13%. You could probably withstand that. I mean, most traders | ||
| 452 | |||
| 453 | 114 | ||
| 454 | 00:07:24,239 ~-~-> 00:07:27,749 | ||
| 455 | could absorb that. Certainly new trades because they're in | ||
| 456 | |||
| 457 | 115 | ||
| 458 | 00:07:27,869 ~-~-> 00:07:30,539 | ||
| 459 | and they're invincible, and their events are going to be in | ||
| 460 | |||
| 461 | 116 | ||
| 462 | 00:07:30,539 ~-~-> 00:07:33,929 | ||
| 463 | the next streak where they make 100% accuracy. So this is | ||
| 464 | |||
| 465 | 117 | ||
| 466 | 00:07:33,929 ~-~-> 00:07:36,869 | ||
| 467 | absolutely, you know, within the realm of comfort for most | ||
| 468 | |||
| 469 | 118 | ||
| 470 | 00:07:36,869 ~-~-> 00:07:39,749 | ||
| 471 | people, if they have a 10,000 equity balance, and they only | ||
| 472 | |||
| 473 | 119 | ||
| 474 | 00:07:39,749 ~-~-> 00:07:42,479 | ||
| 475 | draw down, you know, 1300 bucks, most people can absorb | ||
| 476 | |||
| 477 | 120 | ||
| 478 | 00:07:42,479 ~-~-> 00:07:48,119 | ||
| 479 | that. But let's flip the script for a moment. Look at Trader | ||
| 480 | |||
| 481 | 121 | ||
| 482 | 00:07:48,179 ~-~-> 00:07:53,609 | ||
| 483 | two. Okay. He starts with $10,000 and he's starting with 2% | ||
| 484 | |||
| 485 | 122 | ||
| 486 | 00:07:53,609 ~-~-> 00:07:59,009 | ||
| 487 | risk. Watch what happens is first loss at 2% is $200. | ||
| 488 | |||
| 489 | 123 | ||
| 490 | 00:07:59,999 ~-~-> 00:08:06,959 | ||
| 491 | Suddenly, he has a problem. He has absorbed a loss. | ||
| 492 | |||
| 493 | 124 | ||
| 494 | 00:08:08,069 ~-~-> 00:08:11,969 | ||
| 495 | Something's going to take place in this traders mind that | ||
| 496 | |||
| 497 | 125 | ||
| 498 | 00:08:11,969 ~-~-> 00:08:14,999 | ||
| 499 | didn't take place in the first traders mind. So his next | ||
| 500 | |||
| 501 | 126 | ||
| 502 | 00:08:14,999 ~-~-> 00:08:21,149 | ||
| 503 | trade, he only loses $98. But it's still a loss. So the next | ||
| 504 | |||
| 505 | 127 | ||
| 506 | 00:08:21,149 ~-~-> 00:08:28,229 | ||
| 507 | trade he takes is what? A loss of $48 look at just after | ||
| 508 | |||
| 509 | 128 | ||
| 510 | 00:08:28,259 ~-~-> 00:08:33,239 | ||
| 511 | three losses, the difference in terms of equity. Where are | ||
| 512 | |||
| 513 | 129 | ||
| 514 | 00:08:33,239 ~-~-> 00:08:37,379 | ||
| 515 | we at? Essentially in the same neighborhood, but look what | ||
| 516 | |||
| 517 | 130 | ||
| 518 | 00:08:37,379 ~-~-> 00:08:41,909 | ||
| 519 | happens over the period of the eight losses trader to after | ||
| 520 | |||
| 521 | 131 | ||
| 522 | 00:08:41,999 ~-~-> 00:08:47,879 | ||
| 523 | eight string loss. His account draws down $538 total | ||
| 524 | |||
| 525 | 132 | ||
| 526 | 00:08:47,879 ~-~-> 00:08:53,519 | ||
| 527 | percentage drawdown 5%. Do you see a difference there? What | ||
| 528 | |||
| 529 | 133 | ||
| 530 | 00:08:53,519 ~-~-> 00:08:56,489 | ||
| 531 | do you think trader two did differently that trader one | ||
| 532 | |||
| 533 | 134 | ||
| 534 | 00:08:56,489 ~-~-> 00:09:00,719 | ||
| 535 | didn't do. Number one, he identified the fact that He's not | ||
| 536 | |||
| 537 | 135 | ||
| 538 | 00:09:00,719 ~-~-> 00:09:05,579 | ||
| 539 | perfect. He identify or she rather and definitely the ladies | ||
| 540 | |||
| 541 | 136 | ||
| 542 | 00:09:05,579 ~-~-> 00:09:10,259 | ||
| 543 | that are watching this Sorry, sorry, gals. The second trader | ||
| 544 | |||
| 545 | 137 | ||
| 546 | 00:09:10,259 ~-~-> 00:09:16,139 | ||
| 547 | here in our case study when he absorbs a loss, okay, he only | ||
| 548 | |||
| 549 | 138 | ||
| 550 | 00:09:16,139 ~-~-> 00:09:19,049 | ||
| 551 | takes one to do this the first loss immediately he cuts his | ||
| 552 | |||
| 553 | 139 | ||
| 554 | 00:09:19,049 ~-~-> 00:09:23,129 | ||
| 555 | risk in half. So no longer is he risking 2% so now he has | ||
| 556 | |||
| 557 | 140 | ||
| 558 | 00:09:23,159 ~-~-> 00:09:27,539 | ||
| 559 | drawdown at $200. So he risks on the next trade. When his | ||
| 560 | |||
| 561 | 141 | ||
| 562 | 00:09:27,539 ~-~-> 00:09:30,569 | ||
| 563 | account equity is at 90 hundred dollars. He's going to risk | ||
| 564 | |||
| 565 | 142 | ||
| 566 | 00:09:30,599 ~-~-> 00:09:36,239 | ||
| 567 | 1% portrayed. Now, he assumes $1 loss. Does he stay at 1%? | ||
| 568 | |||
| 569 | 143 | ||
| 570 | 00:09:36,269 ~-~-> 00:09:39,089 | ||
| 571 | Absolutely not. What does he do he drops down to one half of | ||
| 572 | |||
| 573 | 144 | ||
| 574 | 00:09:39,089 ~-~-> 00:09:45,899 | ||
| 575 | 1%. So it's next trade. He has lost $48 and 51 cents. | ||
| 576 | |||
| 577 | 145 | ||
| 578 | 00:09:46,590 ~-~-> 00:09:49,890 | ||
| 579 | Guys, you can take that. If you got 9700 in your account and | ||
| 580 | |||
| 581 | 146 | ||
| 582 | 00:09:49,890 ~-~-> 00:09:52,620 | ||
| 583 | you can lose $48 you can lose 50 bucks. You're not losing | ||
| 584 | |||
| 585 | 147 | ||
| 586 | 00:09:52,620 ~-~-> 00:09:54,930 | ||
| 587 | sleep over that. If you could lose if you lose sleep over | ||
| 588 | |||
| 589 | 148 | ||
| 590 | 00:09:54,930 ~-~-> 00:09:58,080 | ||
| 591 | that type of loss with the equity balance of 9007 hours. | ||
| 592 | |||
| 593 | 149 | ||
| 594 | 00:09:58,410 ~-~-> 00:10:03,090 | ||
| 595 | Stop trading. It's not for you. Go Go bet at horse races and | ||
| 596 | |||
| 597 | 150 | ||
| 598 | 00:10:03,090 ~-~-> 00:10:04,740 | ||
| 599 | you know, play lottery, something like that. But I'm telling | ||
| 600 | |||
| 601 | 151 | ||
| 602 | 00:10:04,740 ~-~-> 00:10:07,320 | ||
| 603 | you, you have to assume some kind of risk. You know, this | ||
| 604 | |||
| 605 | 152 | ||
| 606 | 00:10:07,380 ~-~-> 00:10:10,860 | ||
| 607 | goes along with everything that's been discussed in the | ||
| 608 | |||
| 609 | 153 | ||
| 610 | 00:10:10,860 ~-~-> 00:10:12,870 | ||
| 611 | beginning of the disclaimers. I mean, you have to understand | ||
| 612 | |||
| 613 | 154 | ||
| 614 | 00:10:12,870 ~-~-> 00:10:14,820 | ||
| 615 | you're going to lose money in this business. And if you're | ||
| 616 | |||
| 617 | 155 | ||
| 618 | 00:10:14,820 ~-~-> 00:10:18,510 | ||
| 619 | not comfortable with losing money on a consistent basis | ||
| 620 | |||
| 621 | 156 | ||
| 622 | 00:10:18,510 ~-~-> 00:10:23,100 | ||
| 623 | where you're not perfect, bottom line is stop trading. Okay, | ||
| 624 | |||
| 625 | 157 | ||
| 626 | 00:10:23,130 ~-~-> 00:10:25,950 | ||
| 627 | I have losses, you're gonna have losses too. I can't teach | ||
| 628 | |||
| 629 | 158 | ||
| 630 | 00:10:25,950 ~-~-> 00:10:28,680 | ||
| 631 | you how to trade perfectly without losses. No one can, | ||
| 632 | |||
| 633 | 159 | ||
| 634 | 00:10:28,800 ~-~-> 00:10:31,230 | ||
| 635 | you're not gonna be able to find it. And if that's the Grail | ||
| 636 | |||
| 637 | 160 | ||
| 638 | 00:10:31,230 ~-~-> 00:10:33,360 | ||
| 639 | you're looking for, it doesn't exist. Trust me. It doesn't | ||
| 640 | |||
| 641 | 161 | ||
| 642 | 00:10:33,360 ~-~-> 00:10:36,240 | ||
| 643 | exist because I'd pay everything I have for and it's not | ||
| 644 | |||
| 645 | 162 | ||
| 646 | 00:10:36,240 ~-~-> 00:10:41,970 | ||
| 647 | there, trust me. So let's keep this train rolling here. | ||
| 648 | |||
| 649 | 163 | ||
| 650 | 00:10:41,970 ~-~-> 00:10:46,560 | ||
| 651 | Okay, after he drops his equity risk to one half of 1%. | ||
| 652 | |||
| 653 | 164 | ||
| 654 | 00:10:46,980 ~-~-> 00:10:50,820 | ||
| 655 | Okay, and he has another loss, the fourth loss, okay. $48 | ||
| 656 | |||
| 657 | 165 | ||
| 658 | 00:10:50,820 ~-~-> 00:10:54,450 | ||
| 659 | and 27 cents. While he takes another loss. He stays at one | ||
| 660 | |||
| 661 | 166 | ||
| 662 | 00:10:54,450 ~-~-> 00:10:58,920 | ||
| 663 | half of 1% look what happens at the end of his eight losses. | ||
| 664 | |||
| 665 | 167 | ||
| 666 | 00:11:00,000 ~-~-> 00:11:03,750 | ||
| 667 | He's got a huge amount of his starting equity still at his | ||
| 668 | |||
| 669 | 168 | ||
| 670 | 00:11:03,750 ~-~-> 00:11:07,440 | ||
| 671 | disposal, and he suffered eight losses, he hasn't had one | ||
| 672 | |||
| 673 | 169 | ||
| 674 | 00:11:07,470 ~-~-> 00:11:12,930 | ||
| 675 | winning trade yet. Now contrast that with trader one. This | ||
| 676 | |||
| 677 | 170 | ||
| 678 | 00:11:12,930 ~-~-> 00:11:19,620 | ||
| 679 | guy, he's down 1300 bucks. trader two, he's only down $530 | ||
| 680 | |||
| 681 | 171 | ||
| 682 | 00:11:20,340 ~-~-> 00:11:25,620 | ||
| 683 | to 5% drawdown is absolutely tolerable in any one trading. I | ||
| 684 | |||
| 685 | 172 | ||
| 686 | 00:11:25,620 ~-~-> 00:11:29,700 | ||
| 687 | mean, you're gonna you're gonna suffer 5% Good grief 5% You | ||
| 688 | |||
| 689 | 173 | ||
| 690 | 00:11:29,700 ~-~-> 00:11:33,240 | ||
| 691 | know, that's it you're trying to make in a day some some of | ||
| 692 | |||
| 693 | 174 | ||
| 694 | 00:11:33,240 ~-~-> 00:11:37,230 | ||
| 695 | you guys that are trading, you have to control your risk. | ||
| 696 | |||
| 697 | 175 | ||
| 698 | 00:11:37,260 ~-~-> 00:11:40,380 | ||
| 699 | Okay, if you have a loss, cut your risk. If you have another | ||
| 700 | |||
| 701 | 176 | ||
| 702 | 00:11:40,380 ~-~-> 00:11:44,130 | ||
| 703 | loss, cut your risk trade and drop down to one half of 1%. | ||
| 704 | |||
| 705 | 177 | ||
| 706 | 00:11:44,550 ~-~-> 00:11:47,520 | ||
| 707 | Now if you have five or six trades, then you've lost that | ||
| 708 | |||
| 709 | 178 | ||
| 710 | 00:11:47,820 ~-~-> 00:11:51,810 | ||
| 711 | half 1% drop it down to a quarter percent. Okay, whatever | ||
| 712 | |||
| 713 | 179 | ||
| 714 | 00:11:52,830 ~-~-> 00:11:57,480 | ||
| 715 | suits your risk appetite. That's what you have to do, but | ||
| 716 | |||
| 717 | 180 | ||
| 718 | 00:11:57,480 ~-~-> 00:12:02,040 | ||
| 719 | you have to go the other way. You do not You do not average | ||
| 720 | |||
| 721 | 181 | ||
| 722 | 00:12:02,040 ~-~-> 00:12:05,160 | ||
| 723 | down loads you don't take well I lost 2% mean risk for now | ||
| 724 | |||
| 725 | 182 | ||
| 726 | 00:12:05,160 ~-~-> 00:12:07,500 | ||
| 727 | because if it all it takes is one trade and I'll make that | ||
| 728 | |||
| 729 | 183 | ||
| 730 | 00:12:07,500 ~-~-> 00:12:11,160 | ||
| 731 | back and maybe even make the 2% and I was hoping to make on | ||
| 732 | |||
| 733 | 184 | ||
| 734 | 00:12:11,160 ~-~-> 00:12:14,850 | ||
| 735 | the previous trade that lost, or I only have to make, you | ||
| 736 | |||
| 737 | 185 | ||
| 738 | 00:12:14,850 ~-~-> 00:12:17,280 | ||
| 739 | know half of what I lost in terms of pips in the last trade | ||
| 740 | |||
| 741 | 186 | ||
| 742 | 00:12:17,280 ~-~-> 00:12:19,530 | ||
| 743 | if I was fortunate, don't do that, guys. I've done it. I'm | ||
| 744 | |||
| 745 | 187 | ||
| 746 | 00:12:19,530 ~-~-> 00:12:22,650 | ||
| 747 | telling you, I've done it. Granted, I'll give you this and | ||
| 748 | |||
| 749 | 188 | ||
| 750 | 00:12:22,650 ~-~-> 00:12:25,830 | ||
| 751 | I'm gonna be fair. There's been times where early on, I did | ||
| 752 | |||
| 753 | 189 | ||
| 754 | 00:12:25,830 ~-~-> 00:12:28,080 | ||
| 755 | it, and it worked out in my favor. But when I tried it later | ||
| 756 | |||
| 757 | 190 | ||
| 758 | 00:12:28,080 ~-~-> 00:12:30,360 | ||
| 759 | on, it crushed me and it never gave it back to me. It took | ||
| 760 | |||
| 761 | 191 | ||
| 762 | 00:12:30,360 ~-~-> 00:12:32,760 | ||
| 763 | more and it took more and it took more and I'm telling you, | ||
| 764 | |||
| 765 | 192 | ||
| 766 | 00:12:33,090 ~-~-> 00:12:36,690 | ||
| 767 | it is a loser's game, trust me. I know this by firsthand | ||
| 768 | |||
| 769 | 193 | ||
| 770 | 00:12:36,690 ~-~-> 00:12:40,890 | ||
| 771 | experience. It never pans out over time. Doesn't happen. | ||
| 772 | |||
| 773 | 194 | ||
| 774 | 00:12:40,920 ~-~-> 00:12:43,440 | ||
| 775 | Okay? So just don't do it. If you have a loss, cut your | ||
| 776 | |||
| 777 | 195 | ||
| 778 | 00:12:43,440 ~-~-> 00:12:50,610 | ||
| 779 | risk. Cut your risk, cut your risk. Alright. Now let's | ||
| 780 | |||
| 781 | 196 | ||
| 782 | 00:12:50,610 ~-~-> 00:12:54,090 | ||
| 783 | assume let's stretch this out a little bit. Alright. trader | ||
| 784 | |||
| 785 | 197 | ||
| 786 | 00:12:54,090 ~-~-> 00:12:59,310 | ||
| 787 | one had a drawdown of 1300 dollars. Okay, one, eight losses, | ||
| 788 | |||
| 789 | 198 | ||
| 790 | 00:12:59,550 ~-~-> 00:13:02,970 | ||
| 791 | not one trade was a winner. All eight were losers. Well look | ||
| 792 | |||
| 793 | 199 | ||
| 794 | 00:13:02,970 ~-~-> 00:13:06,990 | ||
| 795 | at Trader two. Let's assume for a moment the guy hits. He's | ||
| 796 | |||
| 797 | 200 | ||
| 798 | 00:13:06,990 ~-~-> 00:13:09,630 | ||
| 799 | got a bad run, you know, he's got some problems in his | ||
| 800 | |||
| 801 | 201 | ||
| 802 | 00:13:09,630 ~-~-> 00:13:13,470 | ||
| 803 | personal life in 95 getting him, you stressed out his boss | ||
| 804 | |||
| 805 | 202 | ||
| 806 | 00:13:13,470 ~-~-> 00:13:15,810 | ||
| 807 | is driving and crazy. You know, he's rushing trades. He's | ||
| 808 | |||
| 809 | 203 | ||
| 810 | 00:13:15,810 ~-~-> 00:13:19,230 | ||
| 811 | not following the system. He's not feeling well. He's | ||
| 812 | |||
| 813 | 204 | ||
| 814 | 00:13:19,230 ~-~-> 00:13:21,840 | ||
| 815 | spending too much time in the forums and not really studying | ||
| 816 | |||
| 817 | 205 | ||
| 818 | 00:13:21,840 ~-~-> 00:13:25,080 | ||
| 819 | the charts. It's something that's keeping him from being | ||
| 820 | |||
| 821 | 206 | ||
| 822 | 00:13:25,080 ~-~-> 00:13:29,070 | ||
| 823 | disciplined, okay? He's not hitting on all four on all | ||
| 824 | |||
| 825 | 207 | ||
| 826 | 00:13:29,070 ~-~-> 00:13:31,830 | ||
| 827 | cylinders. Something's wrong. Maybe he's got a system | ||
| 828 | |||
| 829 | 208 | ||
| 830 | 00:13:31,830 ~-~-> 00:13:34,560 | ||
| 831 | doesn't work. Maybe he's a bank, he hasn't abandoned his bad | ||
| 832 | |||
| 833 | 209 | ||
| 834 | 00:13:34,560 ~-~-> 00:13:38,340 | ||
| 835 | habits. Bottom line is is he's not made a profitable trade | ||
| 836 | |||
| 837 | 210 | ||
| 838 | 00:13:38,340 ~-~-> 00:13:42,600 | ||
| 839 | yet. Look what trader two can absorb. He can absorb three | ||
| 840 | |||
| 841 | 211 | ||
| 842 | 00:13:42,600 ~-~-> 00:13:47,160 | ||
| 843 | times the amount of loss that trader one can. Following the | ||
| 844 | |||
| 845 | 212 | ||
| 846 | 00:13:47,160 ~-~-> 00:13:51,330 | ||
| 847 | same approach, the first loss, risking 2% the only draws and | ||
| 848 | |||
| 849 | 213 | ||
| 850 | 00:13:51,330 ~-~-> 00:13:54,990 | ||
| 851 | the 90 hundred dollars. Second loss, risking 1% now because | ||
| 852 | |||
| 853 | 214 | ||
| 854 | 00:13:54,990 ~-~-> 00:13:58,200 | ||
| 855 | he's trained back to his risk, he only loses $98. His draw | ||
| 856 | |||
| 857 | 215 | ||
| 858 | 00:13:58,200 ~-~-> 00:14:02,400 | ||
| 859 | down goes to 90 $700 In his account, now he's at one half of | ||
| 860 | |||
| 861 | 216 | ||
| 862 | 00:14:02,400 ~-~-> 00:14:08,070 | ||
| 863 | 1%. And he stays there. Okay, all the way through up to 24 | ||
| 864 | |||
| 865 | 217 | ||
| 866 | 00:14:08,070 ~-~-> 00:14:12,240 | ||
| 867 | losses, this gentleman or young lady could have a loss | ||
| 868 | |||
| 869 | 218 | ||
| 870 | 00:14:12,300 ~-~-> 00:14:17,280 | ||
| 871 | string of 24 losses and still be less than the first trader. | ||
| 872 | |||
| 873 | 219 | ||
| 874 | 00:14:17,760 ~-~-> 00:14:24,210 | ||
| 875 | Think about that. This guy or gal can have 24 losing trades, | ||
| 876 | |||
| 877 | 220 | ||
| 878 | 00:14:24,690 ~-~-> 00:14:29,190 | ||
| 879 | and still have lost less than the first trader on a trade | ||
| 880 | |||
| 881 | 221 | ||
| 882 | 00:14:29,700 ~-~-> 00:14:33,450 | ||
| 883 | because he didn't augment his risk exposure. | ||
| 884 | |||
| 885 | 222 | ||
| 886 | 00:14:34,080 ~-~-> 00:14:37,800 | ||
| 887 | You have to control the amount of risk in your account. If | ||
| 888 | |||
| 889 | 223 | ||
| 890 | 00:14:37,800 ~-~-> 00:14:41,550 | ||
| 891 | you do not do this, no one's doing it for you. I can't do it | ||
| 892 | |||
| 893 | 224 | ||
| 894 | 00:14:41,550 ~-~-> 00:14:43,800 | ||
| 895 | for you, your wife can't do it for you. Your husband can't | ||
| 896 | |||
| 897 | 225 | ||
| 898 | 00:14:43,800 ~-~-> 00:14:46,320 | ||
| 899 | do it for you, your kids can't do it. The broker certainly | ||
| 900 | |||
| 901 | 226 | ||
| 902 | 00:14:46,320 ~-~-> 00:14:49,260 | ||
| 903 | ain't going to do it. Okay. So you have to have this in your | ||
| 904 | |||
| 905 | 227 | ||
| 906 | 00:14:49,260 ~-~-> 00:14:52,680 | ||
| 907 | plan. It has to be mounted on the wall tattooed on your | ||
| 908 | |||
| 909 | 228 | ||
| 910 | 00:14:52,680 ~-~-> 00:14:55,020 | ||
| 911 | hand, it's got to be on your forehead. So when you see | ||
| 912 | |||
| 913 | 229 | ||
| 914 | 00:14:55,020 ~-~-> 00:14:58,170 | ||
| 915 | yourself in the mirror, you see this all the time, control | ||
| 916 | |||
| 917 | 230 | ||
| 918 | 00:14:58,260 ~-~-> 00:15:01,680 | ||
| 919 | risk. I can't stress it enough. Nobody talks about it enough | ||
| 920 | |||
| 921 | 231 | ||
| 922 | 00:15:01,710 ~-~-> 00:15:05,070 | ||
| 923 | in you have to do this, you absolutely have to do this. | ||
| 924 | |||
| 925 | 232 | ||
| 926 | 00:15:05,250 ~-~-> 00:15:08,580 | ||
| 927 | Okay? This will give you the the Viagra effect not to be | ||
| 928 | |||
| 929 | 233 | ||
| 930 | 00:15:08,580 ~-~-> 00:15:11,550 | ||
| 931 | crude, but it gives you the staying power, you have to be | ||
| 932 | |||
| 933 | 234 | ||
| 934 | 00:15:11,700 ~-~-> 00:15:15,090 | ||
| 935 | able to absorb losses. So I'm telling you these banks, | ||
| 936 | |||
| 937 | 235 | ||
| 938 | 00:15:15,180 ~-~-> 00:15:17,880 | ||
| 939 | they're ruthless, as good as my methods are I still get | ||
| 940 | |||
| 941 | 236 | ||
| 942 | 00:15:17,880 ~-~-> 00:15:21,390 | ||
| 943 | slapped around sometimes, okay, it's going to happen. Now, | ||
| 944 | |||
| 945 | 237 | ||
| 946 | 00:15:21,810 ~-~-> 00:15:26,040 | ||
| 947 | granted, when we dropped down to half a percent, okay, we're | ||
| 948 | |||
| 949 | 238 | ||
| 950 | 00:15:26,040 ~-~-> 00:15:28,200 | ||
| 951 | not probably going to make a whole lot of money coming back | ||
| 952 | |||
| 953 | 239 | ||
| 954 | 00:15:28,200 ~-~-> 00:15:31,590 | ||
| 955 | out of it. Sure, that's fine. But there's a, there's a | ||
| 956 | |||
| 957 | 240 | ||
| 958 | 00:15:31,590 ~-~-> 00:15:36,510 | ||
| 959 | strategy that we're employing. That goes a long way in terms | ||
| 960 | |||
| 961 | 241 | ||
| 962 | 00:15:36,540 ~-~-> 00:15:41,910 | ||
| 963 | of a profitable career. Okay, if you can absorb 24 losses | ||
| 964 | |||
| 965 | 242 | ||
| 966 | 00:15:41,910 ~-~-> 00:15:46,500 | ||
| 967 | and only have 12% drawdown, you're controlling risk. There's | ||
| 968 | |||
| 969 | 243 | ||
| 970 | 00:15:46,500 ~-~-> 00:15:49,980 | ||
| 971 | not a trader out there. Okay, that can beat their chest and | ||
| 972 | |||
| 973 | 244 | ||
| 974 | 00:15:49,980 ~-~-> 00:15:53,220 | ||
| 975 | say, I've been trading for five 810 years, okay. And I've | ||
| 976 | |||
| 977 | 245 | ||
| 978 | 00:15:53,220 ~-~-> 00:15:56,100 | ||
| 979 | never had an eight string loss. Okay, I'm telling you that | ||
| 980 | |||
| 981 | 246 | ||
| 982 | 00:15:56,280 ~-~-> 00:15:58,890 | ||
| 983 | they don't don't that's a unicorn, they don't exist. Okay. | ||
| 984 | |||
| 985 | 247 | ||
| 986 | 00:15:58,890 ~-~-> 00:16:02,040 | ||
| 987 | So you're going to have strings losses. I'm showing you how, | ||
| 988 | |||
| 989 | 248 | ||
| 990 | 00:16:02,460 ~-~-> 00:16:05,220 | ||
| 991 | even with a na, I've never had 24 losses, I'll give you that | ||
| 992 | |||
| 993 | 249 | ||
| 994 | 00:16:05,220 ~-~-> 00:16:07,920 | ||
| 995 | I've never had that string of 24 losses, but I've given you | ||
| 996 | |||
| 997 | 250 | ||
| 998 | 00:16:07,920 ~-~-> 00:16:11,910 | ||
| 999 | a shield. Okay? I've given you a mindset when you step out | ||
| 1000 | |||
| 1001 | 251 | ||
| 1002 | 00:16:11,910 ~-~-> 00:16:14,730 | ||
| 1003 | in that arena and risk your capital and you risk your money. | ||
| 1004 | |||
| 1005 | 252 | ||
| 1006 | 00:16:15,330 ~-~-> 00:16:19,650 | ||
| 1007 | This is your only defense, this right here, okay? It's not | ||
| 1008 | |||
| 1009 | 253 | ||
| 1010 | 00:16:19,650 ~-~-> 00:16:22,800 | ||
| 1011 | the trade signals. Okay? It's not the amount of money you | ||
| 1012 | |||
| 1013 | 254 | ||
| 1014 | 00:16:22,800 ~-~-> 00:16:25,500 | ||
| 1015 | put in the account to start with. It's the amount of money | ||
| 1016 | |||
| 1017 | 255 | ||
| 1018 | 00:16:25,500 ~-~-> 00:16:28,740 | ||
| 1019 | you put up. Because whatever you offer them in your hand, | ||
| 1020 | |||
| 1021 | 256 | ||
| 1022 | 00:16:28,770 ~-~-> 00:16:32,640 | ||
| 1023 | open palmed, they're going to take it if they can. So if you | ||
| 1024 | |||
| 1025 | 257 | ||
| 1026 | 00:16:32,640 ~-~-> 00:16:35,010 | ||
| 1027 | give them a large percentage of it, all you're doing is | ||
| 1028 | |||
| 1029 | 258 | ||
| 1030 | 00:16:35,010 ~-~-> 00:16:39,990 | ||
| 1031 | enticing more interest in taking it from you. Okay, so the | ||
| 1032 | |||
| 1033 | 259 | ||
| 1034 | 00:16:39,990 ~-~-> 00:16:44,610 | ||
| 1035 | moral of the story is, if you have a loss, cut your risk, if | ||
| 1036 | |||
| 1037 | 260 | ||
| 1038 | 00:16:44,610 ~-~-> 00:16:46,710 | ||
| 1039 | you if you have a loss, again, you cut your risk and you | ||
| 1040 | |||
| 1041 | 261 | ||
| 1042 | 00:16:46,710 ~-~-> 00:16:51,960 | ||
| 1043 | drop down to one half of 1%. Okay, and you stay there until | ||
| 1044 | |||
| 1045 | 262 | ||
| 1046 | 00:16:52,350 ~-~-> 00:16:55,950 | ||
| 1047 | we have a turn in equity. And when you start making money | ||
| 1048 | |||
| 1049 | 263 | ||
| 1050 | 00:16:55,950 ~-~-> 00:16:59,310 | ||
| 1051 | and start being profitable, okay, there's a way to going | ||
| 1052 | |||
| 1053 | 264 | ||
| 1054 | 00:16:59,310 ~-~-> 00:17:02,070 | ||
| 1055 | back to do your Original risk exposure, say your maximum | ||
| 1056 | |||
| 1057 | 265 | ||
| 1058 | 00:17:02,070 ~-~-> 00:17:05,460 | ||
| 1059 | risk exposures 2%. betrayed. Okay, how do we, how do we | ||
| 1060 | |||
| 1061 | 266 | ||
| 1062 | 00:17:05,460 ~-~-> 00:17:07,920 | ||
| 1063 | compensate for that? How do we get back to that? That point? | ||
| 1064 | |||
| 1065 | 267 | ||
| 1066 | 00:17:08,160 ~-~-> 00:17:12,150 | ||
| 1067 | Well, let's talk about that. Now. How do we, how do we go | ||
| 1068 | |||
| 1069 | 268 | ||
| 1070 | 00:17:12,150 ~-~-> 00:17:14,070 | ||
| 1071 | forward with this information? Okay, well, when we | ||
| 1072 | |||
| 1073 | 269 | ||
| 1074 | 00:17:14,070 ~-~-> 00:17:16,530 | ||
| 1075 | experience a loss, the first thing you want to do is number | ||
| 1076 | |||
| 1077 | 270 | ||
| 1078 | 00:17:16,530 ~-~-> 00:17:19,320 | ||
| 1079 | one, reduce risk. That's the absolute first thing you think | ||
| 1080 | |||
| 1081 | 271 | ||
| 1082 | 00:17:19,320 ~-~-> 00:17:21,480 | ||
| 1083 | in your mind not let me get back in and try to get my money | ||
| 1084 | |||
| 1085 | 272 | ||
| 1086 | 00:17:21,480 ~-~-> 00:17:24,630 | ||
| 1087 | back. No, you cut risk. Why? Because you already have a | ||
| 1088 | |||
| 1089 | 273 | ||
| 1090 | 00:17:24,630 ~-~-> 00:17:27,480 | ||
| 1091 | state of mind where you feel you're victimized, okay, I | ||
| 1092 | |||
| 1093 | 274 | ||
| 1094 | 00:17:27,480 ~-~-> 00:17:30,360 | ||
| 1095 | don't care how long you've been trading losses still haven't | ||
| 1096 | |||
| 1097 | 275 | ||
| 1098 | 00:17:30,420 ~-~-> 00:17:34,230 | ||
| 1099 | had an impact. Okay? I don't like losing. I hate losing. | ||
| 1100 | |||
| 1101 | 276 | ||
| 1102 | 00:17:34,320 ~-~-> 00:17:37,740 | ||
| 1103 | Okay. Because my method wins more than loses. When it | ||
| 1104 | |||
| 1105 | 277 | ||
| 1106 | 00:17:37,740 ~-~-> 00:17:40,920 | ||
| 1107 | happens. I don't like it. Okay, but I don't beat myself up | ||
| 1108 | |||
| 1109 | 278 | ||
| 1110 | 00:17:40,920 ~-~-> 00:17:43,650 | ||
| 1111 | about and going into, well, you know, I lost $500 I'm gonna | ||
| 1112 | |||
| 1113 | 279 | ||
| 1114 | 00:17:43,650 ~-~-> 00:17:46,800 | ||
| 1115 | get in here and trade, and I'm gonna try to make $2,000 on | ||
| 1116 | |||
| 1117 | 280 | ||
| 1118 | 00:17:46,800 ~-~-> 00:17:48,960 | ||
| 1119 | the next trade because I lost five. I want to get four times | ||
| 1120 | |||
| 1121 | 281 | ||
| 1122 | 00:17:48,960 ~-~-> 00:17:51,630 | ||
| 1123 | as much money back I'm gonna do it in half the time. I don't | ||
| 1124 | |||
| 1125 | 282 | ||
| 1126 | 00:17:51,630 ~-~-> 00:17:53,880 | ||
| 1127 | think like that anymore. I did. I'm gonna give you this. I | ||
| 1128 | |||
| 1129 | 283 | ||
| 1130 | 00:17:53,880 ~-~-> 00:17:56,460 | ||
| 1131 | did think like that years ago, but I don't need to do that | ||
| 1132 | |||
| 1133 | 284 | ||
| 1134 | 00:17:56,460 ~-~-> 00:17:59,040 | ||
| 1135 | anymore. Okay. And you don't need to do that. Now. If you | ||
| 1136 | |||
| 1137 | 285 | ||
| 1138 | 00:17:59,040 ~-~-> 00:18:02,340 | ||
| 1139 | haven't adopted that. bad habit, this is hopefully keep you | ||
| 1140 | |||
| 1141 | 286 | ||
| 1142 | 00:18:02,340 ~-~-> 00:18:07,530 | ||
| 1143 | from doing it. So, if you take a loss of 2% the next trade | ||
| 1144 | |||
| 1145 | 287 | ||
| 1146 | 00:18:07,620 ~-~-> 00:18:11,940 | ||
| 1147 | you will only assume 1% risk. Now, should this trade result | ||
| 1148 | |||
| 1149 | 288 | ||
| 1150 | 00:18:11,940 ~-~-> 00:18:16,110 | ||
| 1151 | in a loss, the next trade will only assume one half of 1%. | ||
| 1152 | |||
| 1153 | 289 | ||
| 1154 | 00:18:16,800 ~-~-> 00:18:21,870 | ||
| 1155 | Okay, you will only risk one half of 1% portrayed until you | ||
| 1156 | |||
| 1157 | 290 | ||
| 1158 | 00:18:21,870 ~-~-> 00:18:26,160 | ||
| 1159 | have made at least 50% of the draw down of the equity dip | ||
| 1160 | |||
| 1161 | 291 | ||
| 1162 | 00:18:26,490 ~-~-> 00:18:29,640 | ||
| 1163 | from the trade risking 1% of equity. Okay, so, in other | ||
| 1164 | |||
| 1165 | 292 | ||
| 1166 | 00:18:29,640 ~-~-> 00:18:32,550 | ||
| 1167 | words, the trade that you lost when you're risking 1%, | ||
| 1168 | |||
| 1169 | 293 | ||
| 1170 | 00:18:32,550 ~-~-> 00:18:36,150 | ||
| 1171 | whatever that amount is, let's say it's 500 bucks, you need | ||
| 1172 | |||
| 1173 | 294 | ||
| 1174 | 00:18:36,150 ~-~-> 00:18:40,590 | ||
| 1175 | to make $250 risking one half of 1% before you can trade up | ||
| 1176 | |||
| 1177 | 295 | ||
| 1178 | 00:18:40,590 ~-~-> 00:18:45,630 | ||
| 1179 | to the 1% risk portrayed here. Okay, now you're going to | ||
| 1180 | |||
| 1181 | 296 | ||
| 1182 | 00:18:45,630 ~-~-> 00:18:50,130 | ||
| 1183 | risk 1% per trade until you make at least 50% of the equity | ||
| 1184 | |||
| 1185 | 297 | ||
| 1186 | 00:18:50,130 ~-~-> 00:18:54,960 | ||
| 1187 | dip that you used when you risked 2% per trade, okay? So | ||
| 1188 | |||
| 1189 | 298 | ||
| 1190 | 00:18:54,960 ~-~-> 00:19:00,960 | ||
| 1191 | again, if you're risking $500 when you're risking 2% At 1% | ||
| 1192 | |||
| 1193 | 299 | ||
| 1194 | 00:19:00,960 ~-~-> 00:19:03,840 | ||
| 1195 | risk, you need to make at least $250 before you go back to | ||
| 1196 | |||
| 1197 | 300 | ||
| 1198 | 00:19:03,840 ~-~-> 00:19:07,320 | ||
| 1199 | risking 2%. If you lose, you go back to that system again, | ||
| 1200 | |||
| 1201 | 301 | ||
| 1202 | 00:19:07,320 ~-~-> 00:19:10,530 | ||
| 1203 | you drop cut in half, cut it in half cut in half. And now | ||
| 1204 | |||
| 1205 | 302 | ||
| 1206 | 00:19:10,890 ~-~-> 00:19:14,040 | ||
| 1207 | you have an opportunity to step back and say, Okay, I can | ||
| 1208 | |||
| 1209 | 303 | ||
| 1210 | 00:19:14,040 ~-~-> 00:19:16,350 | ||
| 1211 | take some blows, I can get knocked around, but I'm not | ||
| 1212 | |||
| 1213 | 304 | ||
| 1214 | 00:19:16,350 ~-~-> 00:19:19,080 | ||
| 1215 | getting taken out of the game. Okay, so now hopefully, | ||
| 1216 | |||
| 1217 | 305 | ||
| 1218 | 00:19:19,320 ~-~-> 00:19:24,690 | ||
| 1219 | hopefully, with this presentation, you can breathe. There's | ||
| 1220 | |||
| 1221 | 306 | ||
| 1222 | 00:19:24,690 ~-~-> 00:19:27,390 | ||
| 1223 | a way of doing it, guys, okay? And this is how it's done. | ||
| 1224 | |||
| 1225 | 307 | ||
| 1226 | 00:19:27,660 ~-~-> 00:19:29,850 | ||
| 1227 | You can't stay in this business without controlling your | ||
| 1228 | |||
| 1229 | 308 | ||
| 1230 | 00:19:29,850 ~-~-> 00:19:33,750 | ||
| 1231 | risk. That's the moral stick to the game plan, stick to the | ||
| 1232 | |||
| 1233 | 309 | ||
| 1234 | 00:19:33,750 ~-~-> 00:19:36,600 | ||
| 1235 | method of controlling risk using this approach, and | ||
| 1236 | |||
| 1237 | 310 | ||
| 1238 | 00:19:36,600 ~-~-> 00:19:40,410 | ||
| 1239 | absolutely guarantee, okay, you want the Holy Grail. This is | ||
| 1240 | |||
| 1241 | 311 | ||
| 1242 | 00:19:40,410 ~-~-> 00:19:44,010 | ||
| 1243 | the Holy Grail. This is it. You have to have a shield in | ||
| 1244 | |||
| 1245 | 312 | ||
| 1246 | 00:19:44,010 ~-~-> 00:19:47,010 | ||
| 1247 | this business. If you don't, your money is going to come to | ||
| 1248 | |||
| 1249 | 313 | ||
| 1250 | 00:19:47,010 ~-~-> 00:19:49,680 | ||
| 1251 | me. It's going to go to the central banks. It's going to go | ||
| 1252 | |||
| 1253 | 314 | ||
| 1254 | 00:19:49,680 ~-~-> 00:19:52,200 | ||
| 1255 | to the guys that know how to do this, okay, because I'm | ||
| 1256 | |||
| 1257 | 315 | ||
| 1258 | 00:19:52,200 ~-~-> 00:19:55,230 | ||
| 1259 | going to be in the game years from now, you know, and I'm | ||
| 1260 | |||
| 1261 | 316 | ||
| 1262 | 00:19:55,230 ~-~-> 00:19:57,450 | ||
| 1263 | going to still apply this approach when I have losses. This | ||
| 1264 | |||
| 1265 | 317 | ||
| 1266 | 00:19:57,450 ~-~-> 00:20:00,510 | ||
| 1267 | is how I do it. This is what kept me in the game. As long as | ||
| 1268 | |||
| 1269 | 318 | ||
| 1270 | 00:20:00,510 ~-~-> 00:20:05,010 | ||
| 1271 | I've been, it's gonna be a concept that I hold closest to | ||
| 1272 | |||
| 1273 | 319 | ||
| 1274 | 00:20:05,010 ~-~-> 00:20:08,250 | ||
| 1275 | me. Because this is more important than my entry signals. | ||
| 1276 | |||
| 1277 | 320 | ||
| 1278 | 00:20:08,610 ~-~-> 00:20:12,120 | ||
| 1279 | This is more important to my access. This is the absolute | ||
| 1280 | |||
| 1281 | 321 | ||
| 1282 | 00:20:12,390 ~-~-> 00:20:16,200 | ||
| 1283 | key Cornerstone to long term success in careers in trading. |