Wiki source code of ICT Market Maker Primer Course - 02 - Considerations In Risk Management.srt
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1 | 1 | ||
2 | 00:00:12,809 ~-~-> 00:00:14,099 | ||
3 | ICT: Okay, folks, welcome back. | ||
4 | |||
5 | 2 | ||
6 | 00:00:15,420 ~-~-> 00:00:17,610 | ||
7 | This teaching is going to be specifically dealing with | ||
8 | |||
9 | 3 | ||
10 | 00:00:17,910 ~-~-> 00:00:20,850 | ||
11 | considerations and risk management. This module hopefully | ||
12 | |||
13 | 4 | ||
14 | 00:00:20,850 ~-~-> 00:00:23,460 | ||
15 | will be a little bit more of a sober reminder about how we | ||
16 | |||
17 | 5 | ||
18 | 00:00:23,460 ~-~-> 00:00:26,760 | ||
19 | should be looking at risk and how we can manage risk to | ||
20 | |||
21 | 6 | ||
22 | 00:00:26,760 ~-~-> 00:00:30,510 | ||
23 | survive and have longevity in our trading. Alright, maybe | ||
24 | |||
25 | 7 | ||
26 | 00:00:30,510 ~-~-> 00:00:32,730 | ||
27 | you had this in mind when you first got into trading After | ||
28 | |||
29 | 8 | ||
30 | 00:00:32,730 ~-~-> 00:00:35,820 | ||
31 | all, the guy that sat down with you before told you, hey, | ||
32 | |||
33 | 9 | ||
34 | 00:00:37,140 ~-~-> 00:00:40,560 | ||
35 | this method is so good. You risk 10% of your equity. It's | ||
36 | |||
37 | 10 | ||
38 | 00:00:40,560 ~-~-> 00:00:42,930 | ||
39 | going to make you money. Okay, if you have equity balance of | ||
40 | |||
41 | 11 | ||
42 | 00:00:42,930 ~-~-> 00:00:47,040 | ||
43 | $10,000 you're gonna risk 10%. Now the first loss you assume | ||
44 | |||
45 | 12 | ||
46 | 00:00:47,580 ~-~-> 00:00:52,620 | ||
47 | Guess what, you just took a $1,000 loss. Okay, system says | ||
48 | |||
49 | 13 | ||
50 | 00:00:52,620 ~-~-> 00:00:55,560 | ||
51 | continue risking 10% So what do you do? You get anything you | ||
52 | |||
53 | 14 | ||
54 | 00:00:55,560 ~-~-> 00:01:00,540 | ||
55 | take an X ray, bang, you hit with an IR loss your equity Now | ||
56 | |||
57 | 15 | ||
58 | 00:01:00,810 ~-~-> 00:01:07,500 | ||
59 | sits at $8,100. Three losses, hit with another $810 loss, | ||
60 | |||
61 | 16 | ||
62 | 00:01:07,530 ~-~-> 00:01:13,200 | ||
63 | bang your accounts not $7,290. This goes on for what could | ||
64 | |||
65 | 17 | ||
66 | 00:01:13,650 ~-~-> 00:01:18,540 | ||
67 | easily be seen in anyone's trading eight string loss, eight | ||
68 | |||
69 | 18 | ||
70 | 00:01:18,540 ~-~-> 00:01:22,890 | ||
71 | string loss. That is absolutely realistic guys, I don't care | ||
72 | |||
73 | 19 | ||
74 | 00:01:22,890 ~-~-> 00:01:25,380 | ||
75 | how good a trader you are, you're going to get this upside | ||
76 | |||
77 | 20 | ||
78 | 00:01:25,380 ~-~-> 00:01:29,190 | ||
79 | your head one day and you need to be prepared for it. If | ||
80 | |||
81 | 21 | ||
82 | 00:01:29,190 ~-~-> 00:01:31,320 | ||
83 | you're going to risk 10% of your equity simply because you | ||
84 | |||
85 | 22 | ||
86 | 00:01:31,320 ~-~-> 00:01:34,140 | ||
87 | think you're going to be hitting it on the next trade and | ||
88 | |||
89 | 23 | ||
90 | 00:01:34,140 ~-~-> 00:01:38,160 | ||
91 | you've been in drawdown, there's a psychological impact that | ||
92 | |||
93 | 24 | ||
94 | 00:01:38,160 ~-~-> 00:01:45,600 | ||
95 | traders go through. And we more or less deny the technicals | ||
96 | |||
97 | 25 | ||
98 | 00:01:45,810 ~-~-> 00:01:49,560 | ||
99 | that may be indicating that we're in a trade it's not going | ||
100 | |||
101 | 26 | ||
102 | 00:01:49,560 ~-~-> 00:01:52,290 | ||
103 | to pan out, but we won't let go of it. We start arm | ||
104 | |||
105 | 27 | ||
106 | 00:01:52,290 ~-~-> 00:01:54,660 | ||
107 | wrestling with the market because hey, you know, we're going | ||
108 | |||
109 | 28 | ||
110 | 00:01:54,660 ~-~-> 00:01:57,810 | ||
111 | to be right and it's gonna feel so good when we are and we | ||
112 | |||
113 | 29 | ||
114 | 00:01:57,810 ~-~-> 00:02:01,680 | ||
115 | can give the middle finger To be crude to the screen, it | ||
116 | |||
117 | 30 | ||
118 | 00:02:01,680 ~-~-> 00:02:04,620 | ||
119 | cuts at the screen. You say I got you, I got my money back. | ||
120 | |||
121 | 31 | ||
122 | 00:02:04,740 ~-~-> 00:02:08,310 | ||
123 | Everybody wants to have that stuff, you get that feeling of | ||
124 | |||
125 | 32 | ||
126 | 00:02:10,020 ~-~-> 00:02:13,020 | ||
127 | conquering the market and beating the guy that you took the | ||
128 | |||
129 | 33 | ||
130 | 00:02:13,020 ~-~-> 00:02:15,180 | ||
131 | money from the last time everybody wants to go into the | ||
132 | |||
133 | 34 | ||
134 | 00:02:15,180 ~-~-> 00:02:18,030 | ||
135 | endzone, slam football down and do their victory dance and | ||
136 | |||
137 | 35 | ||
138 | 00:02:18,030 ~-~-> 00:02:21,180 | ||
139 | all that. But that doesn't work in this business. And | ||
140 | |||
141 | 36 | ||
142 | 00:02:21,720 ~-~-> 00:02:24,960 | ||
143 | they'll hand you your head on a platter. If you give them | ||
144 | |||
145 | 37 | ||
146 | 00:02:24,960 ~-~-> 00:02:27,840 | ||
147 | the opportunity to take your money, and a lot of it, they're | ||
148 | |||
149 | 38 | ||
150 | 00:02:27,840 ~-~-> 00:02:31,050 | ||
151 | going to be more than happy to take it from you. If you just | ||
152 | |||
153 | 39 | ||
154 | 00:02:31,050 ~-~-> 00:02:36,180 | ||
155 | take an eight loss streak here and your equity of $10,000 | ||
156 | |||
157 | 40 | ||
158 | 00:02:36,630 ~-~-> 00:02:46,650 | ||
159 | your account drawls down $5,217 that's 52% 52% folks, do you | ||
160 | |||
161 | 41 | ||
162 | 00:02:46,650 ~-~-> 00:02:50,100 | ||
163 | think you can take eight trades in a single week? that week, | ||
164 | |||
165 | 42 | ||
166 | 00:02:50,100 ~-~-> 00:02:52,710 | ||
167 | some of you guys on these forums trade. This could happen in | ||
168 | |||
169 | 43 | ||
170 | 00:02:52,710 ~-~-> 00:02:56,310 | ||
171 | a day. Now, I'm not saying that most of you guys aren't risk | ||
172 | |||
173 | 44 | ||
174 | 00:02:56,520 ~-~-> 00:03:00,000 | ||
175 | that are risking 10% you know, but there are people | ||
176 | |||
177 | 45 | ||
178 | 00:03:00,000 ~-~-> 00:03:01,740 | ||
179 | neophytes that come into this business and think they're | ||
180 | |||
181 | 46 | ||
182 | 00:03:01,740 ~-~-> 00:03:05,730 | ||
183 | going to do it. And I'm sorry. But, you know, maybe you'll | ||
184 | |||
185 | 47 | ||
186 | 00:03:05,730 ~-~-> 00:03:09,600 | ||
187 | come out the gate, make a couple wins and think, man, I'm | ||
188 | |||
189 | 48 | ||
190 | 00:03:09,600 ~-~-> 00:03:12,150 | ||
191 | risking 10%. And look, it's it's really working out well. | ||
192 | |||
193 | 49 | ||
194 | 00:03:12,720 ~-~-> 00:03:16,320 | ||
195 | But man, I'm telling you this, that cycle leads to | ||
196 | |||
197 | 50 | ||
198 | 00:03:16,320 ~-~-> 00:03:19,680 | ||
199 | destruction, right? Just eight trades. Look at this. If you | ||
200 | |||
201 | 51 | ||
202 | 00:03:19,680 ~-~-> 00:03:22,620 | ||
203 | have eight losses, you're crushed. That's that's a huge | ||
204 | |||
205 | 52 | ||
206 | 00:03:22,620 ~-~-> 00:03:25,650 | ||
207 | drawdown Not, not to mention the emotional impact and your | ||
208 | |||
209 | 53 | ||
210 | 00:03:25,740 ~-~-> 00:03:29,340 | ||
211 | mental equity because not only are we trading with real | ||
212 | |||
213 | 54 | ||
214 | 00:03:29,340 ~-~-> 00:03:33,480 | ||
215 | tangible money and currency in our account, that equity base | ||
216 | |||
217 | 55 | ||
218 | 00:03:33,690 ~-~-> 00:03:37,560 | ||
219 | is not limited. Use $2 terms. You have an equity amount of | ||
220 | |||
221 | 56 | ||
222 | 00:03:37,560 ~-~-> 00:03:40,920 | ||
223 | money in your mind what you're really willing to absorb and | ||
224 | |||
225 | 57 | ||
226 | 00:03:41,130 ~-~-> 00:03:44,970 | ||
227 | risk. You may have put 10,000 on account, but man, you don't | ||
228 | |||
229 | 58 | ||
230 | 00:03:44,970 ~-~-> 00:03:47,820 | ||
231 | really want to be losing 4000 of it. So what are you really | ||
232 | |||
233 | 59 | ||
234 | 00:03:47,820 ~-~-> 00:03:53,970 | ||
235 | trading with? $4,000 that's your mental capital. So we're | ||
236 | |||
237 | 60 | ||
238 | 00:03:53,970 ~-~-> 00:03:58,290 | ||
239 | going to talk more about that when we get into wealth | ||
240 | |||
241 | 61 | ||
242 | 00:03:58,290 ~-~-> 00:04:02,070 | ||
243 | building money management. But for now, understand that | ||
244 | |||
245 | 62 | ||
246 | 00:04:02,070 ~-~-> 00:04:05,370 | ||
247 | risking 10% absolutely should be a no brainer for you. You | ||
248 | |||
249 | 63 | ||
250 | 00:04:05,370 ~-~-> 00:04:14,460 | ||
251 | don't do that. Okay, maybe you're so turned off by 10%. But | ||
252 | |||
253 | 64 | ||
254 | 00:04:14,460 ~-~-> 00:04:18,810 | ||
255 | hey, you know, you're not too afraid of taking risks to 5% | ||
256 | |||
257 | 65 | ||
258 | 00:04:18,810 ~-~-> 00:04:23,070 | ||
259 | portrayed is. It's doable for you $10,000 starting account. | ||
260 | |||
261 | 66 | ||
262 | 00:04:23,430 ~-~-> 00:04:27,510 | ||
263 | Okay, first, last Bang 500 loss. Now your account drops down | ||
264 | |||
265 | 67 | ||
266 | 00:04:27,510 ~-~-> 00:04:33,060 | ||
267 | to $9,500. You do this for a couple series of losses it the | ||
268 | |||
269 | 68 | ||
270 | 00:04:33,060 ~-~-> 00:04:39,000 | ||
271 | fifth loss. Okay, now your accounts down to $7,737. But hey, | ||
272 | |||
273 | 69 | ||
274 | 00:04:39,480 ~-~-> 00:04:42,480 | ||
275 | you're going to make it back and you're not going to bend 5% | ||
276 | |||
277 | 70 | ||
278 | 00:04:42,480 ~-~-> 00:04:47,670 | ||
279 | risk on every trade. Well, with the standard typical eight | ||
280 | |||
281 | 71 | ||
282 | 00:04:47,670 ~-~-> 00:04:50,490 | ||
283 | string loss, it can happen to anybody. I'm not saying I had | ||
284 | |||
285 | 72 | ||
286 | 00:04:50,490 ~-~-> 00:04:52,980 | ||
287 | this once a month. I'm not saying I'm gonna have it three | ||
288 | |||
289 | 73 | ||
290 | 00:04:52,980 ~-~-> 00:04:55,500 | ||
291 | times a year, but it's going to happen eventually. If you | ||
292 | |||
293 | 74 | ||
294 | 00:04:55,530 ~-~-> 00:04:59,340 | ||
295 | are in this business at any length of time, you will suffer | ||
296 | |||
297 | 75 | ||
298 | 00:04:59,370 ~-~-> 00:05:02,580 | ||
299 | a Eight last string, it's going to happen. | ||
300 | |||
301 | 76 | ||
302 | 00:05:03,689 ~-~-> 00:05:06,749 | ||
303 | If you had the risk of 5% portray starting with equity | ||
304 | |||
305 | 77 | ||
306 | 00:05:06,749 ~-~-> 00:05:10,979 | ||
307 | balance of $10,000, your equity would draw down to the tune | ||
308 | |||
309 | 78 | ||
310 | 00:05:11,009 ~-~-> 00:05:18,629 | ||
311 | of $3,016 or 30%. drawdown. Can you can you withstand that? | ||
312 | |||
313 | 79 | ||
314 | 00:05:19,289 ~-~-> 00:05:21,959 | ||
315 | Can you imagine taking eight trades in a single week and | ||
316 | |||
317 | 80 | ||
318 | 00:05:21,959 ~-~-> 00:05:26,579 | ||
319 | being drawn down 30% Let me tell you something. I have done | ||
320 | |||
321 | 81 | ||
322 | 00:05:26,579 ~-~-> 00:05:31,499 | ||
323 | that. I have done that. Okay. And it is absolutely | ||
324 | |||
325 | 82 | ||
326 | 00:05:31,499 ~-~-> 00:05:33,869 | ||
327 | demoralizing because if you come out the gate strong | ||
328 | |||
329 | 83 | ||
330 | 00:05:33,989 ~-~-> 00:05:36,749 | ||
331 | thinking yeah, man, I'm gonna, I'm gonna tear it up. Well, | ||
332 | |||
333 | 84 | ||
334 | 00:05:36,749 ~-~-> 00:05:38,849 | ||
335 | yeah, you're gonna tear it up, right? You're gonna tear up | ||
336 | |||
337 | 85 | ||
338 | 00:05:38,849 ~-~-> 00:05:41,039 | ||
339 | your account, okay, and you're gonna sit there and you'll be | ||
340 | |||
341 | 86 | ||
342 | 00:05:41,039 ~-~-> 00:05:44,489 | ||
343 | depressed for the entire weekend. You're gonna move over | ||
344 | |||
345 | 87 | ||
346 | 00:05:44,519 ~-~-> 00:05:47,039 | ||
347 | possibly adding more money when that's not the answer. The | ||
348 | |||
349 | 88 | ||
350 | 00:05:47,039 ~-~-> 00:05:49,019 | ||
351 | answer is is controlling the amount of money that you put | ||
352 | |||
353 | 89 | ||
354 | 00:05:49,019 ~-~-> 00:05:54,569 | ||
355 | up. And controlling yourself is very difficult when you're | ||
356 | |||
357 | 90 | ||
358 | 00:05:54,569 ~-~-> 00:05:57,869 | ||
359 | in a period of drawdown if you're a new trader. I'm talking | ||
360 | |||
361 | 91 | ||
362 | 00:05:57,929 ~-~-> 00:06:00,659 | ||
363 | from experience Okay, when I got involved with commodities. | ||
364 | |||
365 | 92 | ||
366 | 00:06:01,019 ~-~-> 00:06:04,409 | ||
367 | I was trading, you know, five and six, seven contracts of | ||
368 | |||
369 | 93 | ||
370 | 00:06:05,009 ~-~-> 00:06:09,899 | ||
371 | Chicago portrayed wheat. And really my balance really should | ||
372 | |||
373 | 94 | ||
374 | 00:06:09,899 ~-~-> 00:06:13,919 | ||
375 | have been working with one midam contract. And I'm not going | ||
376 | |||
377 | 95 | ||
378 | 00:06:13,919 ~-~-> 00:06:16,499 | ||
379 | to go into contracts and specifications for commodities, but | ||
380 | |||
381 | 96 | ||
382 | 00:06:16,499 ~-~-> 00:06:19,169 | ||
383 | I'm just saying that I was over leveraging. And the worst | ||
384 | |||
385 | 97 | ||
386 | 00:06:19,169 ~-~-> 00:06:22,289 | ||
387 | part of it. I knew I was over leveraging. And when I was | ||
388 | |||
389 | 98 | ||
390 | 00:06:22,289 ~-~-> 00:06:26,249 | ||
391 | losing, it didn't hurt enough. I was going to be right. I | ||
392 | |||
393 | 99 | ||
394 | 00:06:26,249 ~-~-> 00:06:29,729 | ||
395 | was imposing my will in the market. And I'm telling you, you | ||
396 | |||
397 | 100 | ||
398 | 00:06:29,729 ~-~-> 00:06:33,239 | ||
399 | will lose doing that. It will hurt you doing that you don't | ||
400 | |||
401 | 101 | ||
402 | 00:06:33,239 ~-~-> 00:06:36,149 | ||
403 | gain anything from that except for misery and depression. | ||
404 | |||
405 | 102 | ||
406 | 00:06:36,179 ~-~-> 00:06:40,439 | ||
407 | Trust me, I know. Okay, so 5% risk is absolutely too much. | ||
408 | |||
409 | 103 | ||
410 | 00:06:40,439 ~-~-> 00:06:45,329 | ||
411 | It's insane. Don't do it. All right. Now let's look at the | ||
412 | |||
413 | 104 | ||
414 | 00:06:45,329 ~-~-> 00:06:48,089 | ||
415 | typical traders thought going in. This is the standard | ||
416 | |||
417 | 105 | ||
418 | 00:06:48,089 ~-~-> 00:06:50,339 | ||
419 | mentality of all traders. If you read it on all the forums, | ||
420 | |||
421 | 106 | ||
422 | 00:06:50,339 ~-~-> 00:06:52,889 | ||
423 | all the book, we all say and I preach it too. Don't risk any | ||
424 | |||
425 | 107 | ||
426 | 00:06:52,889 ~-~-> 00:06:57,089 | ||
427 | more than 2% per trade. Alright. Okay, we're gonna look at | ||
428 | |||
429 | 108 | ||
430 | 00:06:57,329 ~-~-> 00:07:00,569 | ||
431 | Trader one up here at the top. Okay. You have One trader, | ||
432 | |||
433 | 109 | ||
434 | 00:07:00,809 ~-~-> 00:07:03,329 | ||
435 | starting with an equity balance of $10,000. And he's going | ||
436 | |||
437 | 110 | ||
438 | 00:07:03,329 ~-~-> 00:07:07,169 | ||
439 | to risk 2% per trade, and he runs into the inevitable eight | ||
440 | |||
441 | 111 | ||
442 | 00:07:07,319 ~-~-> 00:07:12,989 | ||
443 | string loss, it's going to happen. Well, the account draws | ||
444 | |||
445 | 112 | ||
446 | 00:07:12,989 ~-~-> 00:07:18,449 | ||
447 | down after eight losses $1,318 total percentage draw down | ||
448 | |||
449 | 113 | ||
450 | 00:07:18,539 ~-~-> 00:07:24,239 | ||
451 | 13%. You could probably withstand that. I mean, most traders | ||
452 | |||
453 | 114 | ||
454 | 00:07:24,239 ~-~-> 00:07:27,749 | ||
455 | could absorb that. Certainly new trades because they're in | ||
456 | |||
457 | 115 | ||
458 | 00:07:27,869 ~-~-> 00:07:30,539 | ||
459 | and they're invincible, and their events are going to be in | ||
460 | |||
461 | 116 | ||
462 | 00:07:30,539 ~-~-> 00:07:33,929 | ||
463 | the next streak where they make 100% accuracy. So this is | ||
464 | |||
465 | 117 | ||
466 | 00:07:33,929 ~-~-> 00:07:36,869 | ||
467 | absolutely, you know, within the realm of comfort for most | ||
468 | |||
469 | 118 | ||
470 | 00:07:36,869 ~-~-> 00:07:39,749 | ||
471 | people, if they have a 10,000 equity balance, and they only | ||
472 | |||
473 | 119 | ||
474 | 00:07:39,749 ~-~-> 00:07:42,479 | ||
475 | draw down, you know, 1300 bucks, most people can absorb | ||
476 | |||
477 | 120 | ||
478 | 00:07:42,479 ~-~-> 00:07:48,119 | ||
479 | that. But let's flip the script for a moment. Look at Trader | ||
480 | |||
481 | 121 | ||
482 | 00:07:48,179 ~-~-> 00:07:53,609 | ||
483 | two. Okay. He starts with $10,000 and he's starting with 2% | ||
484 | |||
485 | 122 | ||
486 | 00:07:53,609 ~-~-> 00:07:59,009 | ||
487 | risk. Watch what happens is first loss at 2% is $200. | ||
488 | |||
489 | 123 | ||
490 | 00:07:59,999 ~-~-> 00:08:06,959 | ||
491 | Suddenly, he has a problem. He has absorbed a loss. | ||
492 | |||
493 | 124 | ||
494 | 00:08:08,069 ~-~-> 00:08:11,969 | ||
495 | Something's going to take place in this traders mind that | ||
496 | |||
497 | 125 | ||
498 | 00:08:11,969 ~-~-> 00:08:14,999 | ||
499 | didn't take place in the first traders mind. So his next | ||
500 | |||
501 | 126 | ||
502 | 00:08:14,999 ~-~-> 00:08:21,149 | ||
503 | trade, he only loses $98. But it's still a loss. So the next | ||
504 | |||
505 | 127 | ||
506 | 00:08:21,149 ~-~-> 00:08:28,229 | ||
507 | trade he takes is what? A loss of $48 look at just after | ||
508 | |||
509 | 128 | ||
510 | 00:08:28,259 ~-~-> 00:08:33,239 | ||
511 | three losses, the difference in terms of equity. Where are | ||
512 | |||
513 | 129 | ||
514 | 00:08:33,239 ~-~-> 00:08:37,379 | ||
515 | we at? Essentially in the same neighborhood, but look what | ||
516 | |||
517 | 130 | ||
518 | 00:08:37,379 ~-~-> 00:08:41,909 | ||
519 | happens over the period of the eight losses trader to after | ||
520 | |||
521 | 131 | ||
522 | 00:08:41,999 ~-~-> 00:08:47,879 | ||
523 | eight string loss. His account draws down $538 total | ||
524 | |||
525 | 132 | ||
526 | 00:08:47,879 ~-~-> 00:08:53,519 | ||
527 | percentage drawdown 5%. Do you see a difference there? What | ||
528 | |||
529 | 133 | ||
530 | 00:08:53,519 ~-~-> 00:08:56,489 | ||
531 | do you think trader two did differently that trader one | ||
532 | |||
533 | 134 | ||
534 | 00:08:56,489 ~-~-> 00:09:00,719 | ||
535 | didn't do. Number one, he identified the fact that He's not | ||
536 | |||
537 | 135 | ||
538 | 00:09:00,719 ~-~-> 00:09:05,579 | ||
539 | perfect. He identify or she rather and definitely the ladies | ||
540 | |||
541 | 136 | ||
542 | 00:09:05,579 ~-~-> 00:09:10,259 | ||
543 | that are watching this Sorry, sorry, gals. The second trader | ||
544 | |||
545 | 137 | ||
546 | 00:09:10,259 ~-~-> 00:09:16,139 | ||
547 | here in our case study when he absorbs a loss, okay, he only | ||
548 | |||
549 | 138 | ||
550 | 00:09:16,139 ~-~-> 00:09:19,049 | ||
551 | takes one to do this the first loss immediately he cuts his | ||
552 | |||
553 | 139 | ||
554 | 00:09:19,049 ~-~-> 00:09:23,129 | ||
555 | risk in half. So no longer is he risking 2% so now he has | ||
556 | |||
557 | 140 | ||
558 | 00:09:23,159 ~-~-> 00:09:27,539 | ||
559 | drawdown at $200. So he risks on the next trade. When his | ||
560 | |||
561 | 141 | ||
562 | 00:09:27,539 ~-~-> 00:09:30,569 | ||
563 | account equity is at 90 hundred dollars. He's going to risk | ||
564 | |||
565 | 142 | ||
566 | 00:09:30,599 ~-~-> 00:09:36,239 | ||
567 | 1% portrayed. Now, he assumes $1 loss. Does he stay at 1%? | ||
568 | |||
569 | 143 | ||
570 | 00:09:36,269 ~-~-> 00:09:39,089 | ||
571 | Absolutely not. What does he do he drops down to one half of | ||
572 | |||
573 | 144 | ||
574 | 00:09:39,089 ~-~-> 00:09:45,899 | ||
575 | 1%. So it's next trade. He has lost $48 and 51 cents. | ||
576 | |||
577 | 145 | ||
578 | 00:09:46,590 ~-~-> 00:09:49,890 | ||
579 | Guys, you can take that. If you got 9700 in your account and | ||
580 | |||
581 | 146 | ||
582 | 00:09:49,890 ~-~-> 00:09:52,620 | ||
583 | you can lose $48 you can lose 50 bucks. You're not losing | ||
584 | |||
585 | 147 | ||
586 | 00:09:52,620 ~-~-> 00:09:54,930 | ||
587 | sleep over that. If you could lose if you lose sleep over | ||
588 | |||
589 | 148 | ||
590 | 00:09:54,930 ~-~-> 00:09:58,080 | ||
591 | that type of loss with the equity balance of 9007 hours. | ||
592 | |||
593 | 149 | ||
594 | 00:09:58,410 ~-~-> 00:10:03,090 | ||
595 | Stop trading. It's not for you. Go Go bet at horse races and | ||
596 | |||
597 | 150 | ||
598 | 00:10:03,090 ~-~-> 00:10:04,740 | ||
599 | you know, play lottery, something like that. But I'm telling | ||
600 | |||
601 | 151 | ||
602 | 00:10:04,740 ~-~-> 00:10:07,320 | ||
603 | you, you have to assume some kind of risk. You know, this | ||
604 | |||
605 | 152 | ||
606 | 00:10:07,380 ~-~-> 00:10:10,860 | ||
607 | goes along with everything that's been discussed in the | ||
608 | |||
609 | 153 | ||
610 | 00:10:10,860 ~-~-> 00:10:12,870 | ||
611 | beginning of the disclaimers. I mean, you have to understand | ||
612 | |||
613 | 154 | ||
614 | 00:10:12,870 ~-~-> 00:10:14,820 | ||
615 | you're going to lose money in this business. And if you're | ||
616 | |||
617 | 155 | ||
618 | 00:10:14,820 ~-~-> 00:10:18,510 | ||
619 | not comfortable with losing money on a consistent basis | ||
620 | |||
621 | 156 | ||
622 | 00:10:18,510 ~-~-> 00:10:23,100 | ||
623 | where you're not perfect, bottom line is stop trading. Okay, | ||
624 | |||
625 | 157 | ||
626 | 00:10:23,130 ~-~-> 00:10:25,950 | ||
627 | I have losses, you're gonna have losses too. I can't teach | ||
628 | |||
629 | 158 | ||
630 | 00:10:25,950 ~-~-> 00:10:28,680 | ||
631 | you how to trade perfectly without losses. No one can, | ||
632 | |||
633 | 159 | ||
634 | 00:10:28,800 ~-~-> 00:10:31,230 | ||
635 | you're not gonna be able to find it. And if that's the Grail | ||
636 | |||
637 | 160 | ||
638 | 00:10:31,230 ~-~-> 00:10:33,360 | ||
639 | you're looking for, it doesn't exist. Trust me. It doesn't | ||
640 | |||
641 | 161 | ||
642 | 00:10:33,360 ~-~-> 00:10:36,240 | ||
643 | exist because I'd pay everything I have for and it's not | ||
644 | |||
645 | 162 | ||
646 | 00:10:36,240 ~-~-> 00:10:41,970 | ||
647 | there, trust me. So let's keep this train rolling here. | ||
648 | |||
649 | 163 | ||
650 | 00:10:41,970 ~-~-> 00:10:46,560 | ||
651 | Okay, after he drops his equity risk to one half of 1%. | ||
652 | |||
653 | 164 | ||
654 | 00:10:46,980 ~-~-> 00:10:50,820 | ||
655 | Okay, and he has another loss, the fourth loss, okay. $48 | ||
656 | |||
657 | 165 | ||
658 | 00:10:50,820 ~-~-> 00:10:54,450 | ||
659 | and 27 cents. While he takes another loss. He stays at one | ||
660 | |||
661 | 166 | ||
662 | 00:10:54,450 ~-~-> 00:10:58,920 | ||
663 | half of 1% look what happens at the end of his eight losses. | ||
664 | |||
665 | 167 | ||
666 | 00:11:00,000 ~-~-> 00:11:03,750 | ||
667 | He's got a huge amount of his starting equity still at his | ||
668 | |||
669 | 168 | ||
670 | 00:11:03,750 ~-~-> 00:11:07,440 | ||
671 | disposal, and he suffered eight losses, he hasn't had one | ||
672 | |||
673 | 169 | ||
674 | 00:11:07,470 ~-~-> 00:11:12,930 | ||
675 | winning trade yet. Now contrast that with trader one. This | ||
676 | |||
677 | 170 | ||
678 | 00:11:12,930 ~-~-> 00:11:19,620 | ||
679 | guy, he's down 1300 bucks. trader two, he's only down $530 | ||
680 | |||
681 | 171 | ||
682 | 00:11:20,340 ~-~-> 00:11:25,620 | ||
683 | to 5% drawdown is absolutely tolerable in any one trading. I | ||
684 | |||
685 | 172 | ||
686 | 00:11:25,620 ~-~-> 00:11:29,700 | ||
687 | mean, you're gonna you're gonna suffer 5% Good grief 5% You | ||
688 | |||
689 | 173 | ||
690 | 00:11:29,700 ~-~-> 00:11:33,240 | ||
691 | know, that's it you're trying to make in a day some some of | ||
692 | |||
693 | 174 | ||
694 | 00:11:33,240 ~-~-> 00:11:37,230 | ||
695 | you guys that are trading, you have to control your risk. | ||
696 | |||
697 | 175 | ||
698 | 00:11:37,260 ~-~-> 00:11:40,380 | ||
699 | Okay, if you have a loss, cut your risk. If you have another | ||
700 | |||
701 | 176 | ||
702 | 00:11:40,380 ~-~-> 00:11:44,130 | ||
703 | loss, cut your risk trade and drop down to one half of 1%. | ||
704 | |||
705 | 177 | ||
706 | 00:11:44,550 ~-~-> 00:11:47,520 | ||
707 | Now if you have five or six trades, then you've lost that | ||
708 | |||
709 | 178 | ||
710 | 00:11:47,820 ~-~-> 00:11:51,810 | ||
711 | half 1% drop it down to a quarter percent. Okay, whatever | ||
712 | |||
713 | 179 | ||
714 | 00:11:52,830 ~-~-> 00:11:57,480 | ||
715 | suits your risk appetite. That's what you have to do, but | ||
716 | |||
717 | 180 | ||
718 | 00:11:57,480 ~-~-> 00:12:02,040 | ||
719 | you have to go the other way. You do not You do not average | ||
720 | |||
721 | 181 | ||
722 | 00:12:02,040 ~-~-> 00:12:05,160 | ||
723 | down loads you don't take well I lost 2% mean risk for now | ||
724 | |||
725 | 182 | ||
726 | 00:12:05,160 ~-~-> 00:12:07,500 | ||
727 | because if it all it takes is one trade and I'll make that | ||
728 | |||
729 | 183 | ||
730 | 00:12:07,500 ~-~-> 00:12:11,160 | ||
731 | back and maybe even make the 2% and I was hoping to make on | ||
732 | |||
733 | 184 | ||
734 | 00:12:11,160 ~-~-> 00:12:14,850 | ||
735 | the previous trade that lost, or I only have to make, you | ||
736 | |||
737 | 185 | ||
738 | 00:12:14,850 ~-~-> 00:12:17,280 | ||
739 | know half of what I lost in terms of pips in the last trade | ||
740 | |||
741 | 186 | ||
742 | 00:12:17,280 ~-~-> 00:12:19,530 | ||
743 | if I was fortunate, don't do that, guys. I've done it. I'm | ||
744 | |||
745 | 187 | ||
746 | 00:12:19,530 ~-~-> 00:12:22,650 | ||
747 | telling you, I've done it. Granted, I'll give you this and | ||
748 | |||
749 | 188 | ||
750 | 00:12:22,650 ~-~-> 00:12:25,830 | ||
751 | I'm gonna be fair. There's been times where early on, I did | ||
752 | |||
753 | 189 | ||
754 | 00:12:25,830 ~-~-> 00:12:28,080 | ||
755 | it, and it worked out in my favor. But when I tried it later | ||
756 | |||
757 | 190 | ||
758 | 00:12:28,080 ~-~-> 00:12:30,360 | ||
759 | on, it crushed me and it never gave it back to me. It took | ||
760 | |||
761 | 191 | ||
762 | 00:12:30,360 ~-~-> 00:12:32,760 | ||
763 | more and it took more and it took more and I'm telling you, | ||
764 | |||
765 | 192 | ||
766 | 00:12:33,090 ~-~-> 00:12:36,690 | ||
767 | it is a loser's game, trust me. I know this by firsthand | ||
768 | |||
769 | 193 | ||
770 | 00:12:36,690 ~-~-> 00:12:40,890 | ||
771 | experience. It never pans out over time. Doesn't happen. | ||
772 | |||
773 | 194 | ||
774 | 00:12:40,920 ~-~-> 00:12:43,440 | ||
775 | Okay? So just don't do it. If you have a loss, cut your | ||
776 | |||
777 | 195 | ||
778 | 00:12:43,440 ~-~-> 00:12:50,610 | ||
779 | risk. Cut your risk, cut your risk. Alright. Now let's | ||
780 | |||
781 | 196 | ||
782 | 00:12:50,610 ~-~-> 00:12:54,090 | ||
783 | assume let's stretch this out a little bit. Alright. trader | ||
784 | |||
785 | 197 | ||
786 | 00:12:54,090 ~-~-> 00:12:59,310 | ||
787 | one had a drawdown of 1300 dollars. Okay, one, eight losses, | ||
788 | |||
789 | 198 | ||
790 | 00:12:59,550 ~-~-> 00:13:02,970 | ||
791 | not one trade was a winner. All eight were losers. Well look | ||
792 | |||
793 | 199 | ||
794 | 00:13:02,970 ~-~-> 00:13:06,990 | ||
795 | at Trader two. Let's assume for a moment the guy hits. He's | ||
796 | |||
797 | 200 | ||
798 | 00:13:06,990 ~-~-> 00:13:09,630 | ||
799 | got a bad run, you know, he's got some problems in his | ||
800 | |||
801 | 201 | ||
802 | 00:13:09,630 ~-~-> 00:13:13,470 | ||
803 | personal life in 95 getting him, you stressed out his boss | ||
804 | |||
805 | 202 | ||
806 | 00:13:13,470 ~-~-> 00:13:15,810 | ||
807 | is driving and crazy. You know, he's rushing trades. He's | ||
808 | |||
809 | 203 | ||
810 | 00:13:15,810 ~-~-> 00:13:19,230 | ||
811 | not following the system. He's not feeling well. He's | ||
812 | |||
813 | 204 | ||
814 | 00:13:19,230 ~-~-> 00:13:21,840 | ||
815 | spending too much time in the forums and not really studying | ||
816 | |||
817 | 205 | ||
818 | 00:13:21,840 ~-~-> 00:13:25,080 | ||
819 | the charts. It's something that's keeping him from being | ||
820 | |||
821 | 206 | ||
822 | 00:13:25,080 ~-~-> 00:13:29,070 | ||
823 | disciplined, okay? He's not hitting on all four on all | ||
824 | |||
825 | 207 | ||
826 | 00:13:29,070 ~-~-> 00:13:31,830 | ||
827 | cylinders. Something's wrong. Maybe he's got a system | ||
828 | |||
829 | 208 | ||
830 | 00:13:31,830 ~-~-> 00:13:34,560 | ||
831 | doesn't work. Maybe he's a bank, he hasn't abandoned his bad | ||
832 | |||
833 | 209 | ||
834 | 00:13:34,560 ~-~-> 00:13:38,340 | ||
835 | habits. Bottom line is is he's not made a profitable trade | ||
836 | |||
837 | 210 | ||
838 | 00:13:38,340 ~-~-> 00:13:42,600 | ||
839 | yet. Look what trader two can absorb. He can absorb three | ||
840 | |||
841 | 211 | ||
842 | 00:13:42,600 ~-~-> 00:13:47,160 | ||
843 | times the amount of loss that trader one can. Following the | ||
844 | |||
845 | 212 | ||
846 | 00:13:47,160 ~-~-> 00:13:51,330 | ||
847 | same approach, the first loss, risking 2% the only draws and | ||
848 | |||
849 | 213 | ||
850 | 00:13:51,330 ~-~-> 00:13:54,990 | ||
851 | the 90 hundred dollars. Second loss, risking 1% now because | ||
852 | |||
853 | 214 | ||
854 | 00:13:54,990 ~-~-> 00:13:58,200 | ||
855 | he's trained back to his risk, he only loses $98. His draw | ||
856 | |||
857 | 215 | ||
858 | 00:13:58,200 ~-~-> 00:14:02,400 | ||
859 | down goes to 90 $700 In his account, now he's at one half of | ||
860 | |||
861 | 216 | ||
862 | 00:14:02,400 ~-~-> 00:14:08,070 | ||
863 | 1%. And he stays there. Okay, all the way through up to 24 | ||
864 | |||
865 | 217 | ||
866 | 00:14:08,070 ~-~-> 00:14:12,240 | ||
867 | losses, this gentleman or young lady could have a loss | ||
868 | |||
869 | 218 | ||
870 | 00:14:12,300 ~-~-> 00:14:17,280 | ||
871 | string of 24 losses and still be less than the first trader. | ||
872 | |||
873 | 219 | ||
874 | 00:14:17,760 ~-~-> 00:14:24,210 | ||
875 | Think about that. This guy or gal can have 24 losing trades, | ||
876 | |||
877 | 220 | ||
878 | 00:14:24,690 ~-~-> 00:14:29,190 | ||
879 | and still have lost less than the first trader on a trade | ||
880 | |||
881 | 221 | ||
882 | 00:14:29,700 ~-~-> 00:14:33,450 | ||
883 | because he didn't augment his risk exposure. | ||
884 | |||
885 | 222 | ||
886 | 00:14:34,080 ~-~-> 00:14:37,800 | ||
887 | You have to control the amount of risk in your account. If | ||
888 | |||
889 | 223 | ||
890 | 00:14:37,800 ~-~-> 00:14:41,550 | ||
891 | you do not do this, no one's doing it for you. I can't do it | ||
892 | |||
893 | 224 | ||
894 | 00:14:41,550 ~-~-> 00:14:43,800 | ||
895 | for you, your wife can't do it for you. Your husband can't | ||
896 | |||
897 | 225 | ||
898 | 00:14:43,800 ~-~-> 00:14:46,320 | ||
899 | do it for you, your kids can't do it. The broker certainly | ||
900 | |||
901 | 226 | ||
902 | 00:14:46,320 ~-~-> 00:14:49,260 | ||
903 | ain't going to do it. Okay. So you have to have this in your | ||
904 | |||
905 | 227 | ||
906 | 00:14:49,260 ~-~-> 00:14:52,680 | ||
907 | plan. It has to be mounted on the wall tattooed on your | ||
908 | |||
909 | 228 | ||
910 | 00:14:52,680 ~-~-> 00:14:55,020 | ||
911 | hand, it's got to be on your forehead. So when you see | ||
912 | |||
913 | 229 | ||
914 | 00:14:55,020 ~-~-> 00:14:58,170 | ||
915 | yourself in the mirror, you see this all the time, control | ||
916 | |||
917 | 230 | ||
918 | 00:14:58,260 ~-~-> 00:15:01,680 | ||
919 | risk. I can't stress it enough. Nobody talks about it enough | ||
920 | |||
921 | 231 | ||
922 | 00:15:01,710 ~-~-> 00:15:05,070 | ||
923 | in you have to do this, you absolutely have to do this. | ||
924 | |||
925 | 232 | ||
926 | 00:15:05,250 ~-~-> 00:15:08,580 | ||
927 | Okay? This will give you the the Viagra effect not to be | ||
928 | |||
929 | 233 | ||
930 | 00:15:08,580 ~-~-> 00:15:11,550 | ||
931 | crude, but it gives you the staying power, you have to be | ||
932 | |||
933 | 234 | ||
934 | 00:15:11,700 ~-~-> 00:15:15,090 | ||
935 | able to absorb losses. So I'm telling you these banks, | ||
936 | |||
937 | 235 | ||
938 | 00:15:15,180 ~-~-> 00:15:17,880 | ||
939 | they're ruthless, as good as my methods are I still get | ||
940 | |||
941 | 236 | ||
942 | 00:15:17,880 ~-~-> 00:15:21,390 | ||
943 | slapped around sometimes, okay, it's going to happen. Now, | ||
944 | |||
945 | 237 | ||
946 | 00:15:21,810 ~-~-> 00:15:26,040 | ||
947 | granted, when we dropped down to half a percent, okay, we're | ||
948 | |||
949 | 238 | ||
950 | 00:15:26,040 ~-~-> 00:15:28,200 | ||
951 | not probably going to make a whole lot of money coming back | ||
952 | |||
953 | 239 | ||
954 | 00:15:28,200 ~-~-> 00:15:31,590 | ||
955 | out of it. Sure, that's fine. But there's a, there's a | ||
956 | |||
957 | 240 | ||
958 | 00:15:31,590 ~-~-> 00:15:36,510 | ||
959 | strategy that we're employing. That goes a long way in terms | ||
960 | |||
961 | 241 | ||
962 | 00:15:36,540 ~-~-> 00:15:41,910 | ||
963 | of a profitable career. Okay, if you can absorb 24 losses | ||
964 | |||
965 | 242 | ||
966 | 00:15:41,910 ~-~-> 00:15:46,500 | ||
967 | and only have 12% drawdown, you're controlling risk. There's | ||
968 | |||
969 | 243 | ||
970 | 00:15:46,500 ~-~-> 00:15:49,980 | ||
971 | not a trader out there. Okay, that can beat their chest and | ||
972 | |||
973 | 244 | ||
974 | 00:15:49,980 ~-~-> 00:15:53,220 | ||
975 | say, I've been trading for five 810 years, okay. And I've | ||
976 | |||
977 | 245 | ||
978 | 00:15:53,220 ~-~-> 00:15:56,100 | ||
979 | never had an eight string loss. Okay, I'm telling you that | ||
980 | |||
981 | 246 | ||
982 | 00:15:56,280 ~-~-> 00:15:58,890 | ||
983 | they don't don't that's a unicorn, they don't exist. Okay. | ||
984 | |||
985 | 247 | ||
986 | 00:15:58,890 ~-~-> 00:16:02,040 | ||
987 | So you're going to have strings losses. I'm showing you how, | ||
988 | |||
989 | 248 | ||
990 | 00:16:02,460 ~-~-> 00:16:05,220 | ||
991 | even with a na, I've never had 24 losses, I'll give you that | ||
992 | |||
993 | 249 | ||
994 | 00:16:05,220 ~-~-> 00:16:07,920 | ||
995 | I've never had that string of 24 losses, but I've given you | ||
996 | |||
997 | 250 | ||
998 | 00:16:07,920 ~-~-> 00:16:11,910 | ||
999 | a shield. Okay? I've given you a mindset when you step out | ||
1000 | |||
1001 | 251 | ||
1002 | 00:16:11,910 ~-~-> 00:16:14,730 | ||
1003 | in that arena and risk your capital and you risk your money. | ||
1004 | |||
1005 | 252 | ||
1006 | 00:16:15,330 ~-~-> 00:16:19,650 | ||
1007 | This is your only defense, this right here, okay? It's not | ||
1008 | |||
1009 | 253 | ||
1010 | 00:16:19,650 ~-~-> 00:16:22,800 | ||
1011 | the trade signals. Okay? It's not the amount of money you | ||
1012 | |||
1013 | 254 | ||
1014 | 00:16:22,800 ~-~-> 00:16:25,500 | ||
1015 | put in the account to start with. It's the amount of money | ||
1016 | |||
1017 | 255 | ||
1018 | 00:16:25,500 ~-~-> 00:16:28,740 | ||
1019 | you put up. Because whatever you offer them in your hand, | ||
1020 | |||
1021 | 256 | ||
1022 | 00:16:28,770 ~-~-> 00:16:32,640 | ||
1023 | open palmed, they're going to take it if they can. So if you | ||
1024 | |||
1025 | 257 | ||
1026 | 00:16:32,640 ~-~-> 00:16:35,010 | ||
1027 | give them a large percentage of it, all you're doing is | ||
1028 | |||
1029 | 258 | ||
1030 | 00:16:35,010 ~-~-> 00:16:39,990 | ||
1031 | enticing more interest in taking it from you. Okay, so the | ||
1032 | |||
1033 | 259 | ||
1034 | 00:16:39,990 ~-~-> 00:16:44,610 | ||
1035 | moral of the story is, if you have a loss, cut your risk, if | ||
1036 | |||
1037 | 260 | ||
1038 | 00:16:44,610 ~-~-> 00:16:46,710 | ||
1039 | you if you have a loss, again, you cut your risk and you | ||
1040 | |||
1041 | 261 | ||
1042 | 00:16:46,710 ~-~-> 00:16:51,960 | ||
1043 | drop down to one half of 1%. Okay, and you stay there until | ||
1044 | |||
1045 | 262 | ||
1046 | 00:16:52,350 ~-~-> 00:16:55,950 | ||
1047 | we have a turn in equity. And when you start making money | ||
1048 | |||
1049 | 263 | ||
1050 | 00:16:55,950 ~-~-> 00:16:59,310 | ||
1051 | and start being profitable, okay, there's a way to going | ||
1052 | |||
1053 | 264 | ||
1054 | 00:16:59,310 ~-~-> 00:17:02,070 | ||
1055 | back to do your Original risk exposure, say your maximum | ||
1056 | |||
1057 | 265 | ||
1058 | 00:17:02,070 ~-~-> 00:17:05,460 | ||
1059 | risk exposures 2%. betrayed. Okay, how do we, how do we | ||
1060 | |||
1061 | 266 | ||
1062 | 00:17:05,460 ~-~-> 00:17:07,920 | ||
1063 | compensate for that? How do we get back to that? That point? | ||
1064 | |||
1065 | 267 | ||
1066 | 00:17:08,160 ~-~-> 00:17:12,150 | ||
1067 | Well, let's talk about that. Now. How do we, how do we go | ||
1068 | |||
1069 | 268 | ||
1070 | 00:17:12,150 ~-~-> 00:17:14,070 | ||
1071 | forward with this information? Okay, well, when we | ||
1072 | |||
1073 | 269 | ||
1074 | 00:17:14,070 ~-~-> 00:17:16,530 | ||
1075 | experience a loss, the first thing you want to do is number | ||
1076 | |||
1077 | 270 | ||
1078 | 00:17:16,530 ~-~-> 00:17:19,320 | ||
1079 | one, reduce risk. That's the absolute first thing you think | ||
1080 | |||
1081 | 271 | ||
1082 | 00:17:19,320 ~-~-> 00:17:21,480 | ||
1083 | in your mind not let me get back in and try to get my money | ||
1084 | |||
1085 | 272 | ||
1086 | 00:17:21,480 ~-~-> 00:17:24,630 | ||
1087 | back. No, you cut risk. Why? Because you already have a | ||
1088 | |||
1089 | 273 | ||
1090 | 00:17:24,630 ~-~-> 00:17:27,480 | ||
1091 | state of mind where you feel you're victimized, okay, I | ||
1092 | |||
1093 | 274 | ||
1094 | 00:17:27,480 ~-~-> 00:17:30,360 | ||
1095 | don't care how long you've been trading losses still haven't | ||
1096 | |||
1097 | 275 | ||
1098 | 00:17:30,420 ~-~-> 00:17:34,230 | ||
1099 | had an impact. Okay? I don't like losing. I hate losing. | ||
1100 | |||
1101 | 276 | ||
1102 | 00:17:34,320 ~-~-> 00:17:37,740 | ||
1103 | Okay. Because my method wins more than loses. When it | ||
1104 | |||
1105 | 277 | ||
1106 | 00:17:37,740 ~-~-> 00:17:40,920 | ||
1107 | happens. I don't like it. Okay, but I don't beat myself up | ||
1108 | |||
1109 | 278 | ||
1110 | 00:17:40,920 ~-~-> 00:17:43,650 | ||
1111 | about and going into, well, you know, I lost $500 I'm gonna | ||
1112 | |||
1113 | 279 | ||
1114 | 00:17:43,650 ~-~-> 00:17:46,800 | ||
1115 | get in here and trade, and I'm gonna try to make $2,000 on | ||
1116 | |||
1117 | 280 | ||
1118 | 00:17:46,800 ~-~-> 00:17:48,960 | ||
1119 | the next trade because I lost five. I want to get four times | ||
1120 | |||
1121 | 281 | ||
1122 | 00:17:48,960 ~-~-> 00:17:51,630 | ||
1123 | as much money back I'm gonna do it in half the time. I don't | ||
1124 | |||
1125 | 282 | ||
1126 | 00:17:51,630 ~-~-> 00:17:53,880 | ||
1127 | think like that anymore. I did. I'm gonna give you this. I | ||
1128 | |||
1129 | 283 | ||
1130 | 00:17:53,880 ~-~-> 00:17:56,460 | ||
1131 | did think like that years ago, but I don't need to do that | ||
1132 | |||
1133 | 284 | ||
1134 | 00:17:56,460 ~-~-> 00:17:59,040 | ||
1135 | anymore. Okay. And you don't need to do that. Now. If you | ||
1136 | |||
1137 | 285 | ||
1138 | 00:17:59,040 ~-~-> 00:18:02,340 | ||
1139 | haven't adopted that. bad habit, this is hopefully keep you | ||
1140 | |||
1141 | 286 | ||
1142 | 00:18:02,340 ~-~-> 00:18:07,530 | ||
1143 | from doing it. So, if you take a loss of 2% the next trade | ||
1144 | |||
1145 | 287 | ||
1146 | 00:18:07,620 ~-~-> 00:18:11,940 | ||
1147 | you will only assume 1% risk. Now, should this trade result | ||
1148 | |||
1149 | 288 | ||
1150 | 00:18:11,940 ~-~-> 00:18:16,110 | ||
1151 | in a loss, the next trade will only assume one half of 1%. | ||
1152 | |||
1153 | 289 | ||
1154 | 00:18:16,800 ~-~-> 00:18:21,870 | ||
1155 | Okay, you will only risk one half of 1% portrayed until you | ||
1156 | |||
1157 | 290 | ||
1158 | 00:18:21,870 ~-~-> 00:18:26,160 | ||
1159 | have made at least 50% of the draw down of the equity dip | ||
1160 | |||
1161 | 291 | ||
1162 | 00:18:26,490 ~-~-> 00:18:29,640 | ||
1163 | from the trade risking 1% of equity. Okay, so, in other | ||
1164 | |||
1165 | 292 | ||
1166 | 00:18:29,640 ~-~-> 00:18:32,550 | ||
1167 | words, the trade that you lost when you're risking 1%, | ||
1168 | |||
1169 | 293 | ||
1170 | 00:18:32,550 ~-~-> 00:18:36,150 | ||
1171 | whatever that amount is, let's say it's 500 bucks, you need | ||
1172 | |||
1173 | 294 | ||
1174 | 00:18:36,150 ~-~-> 00:18:40,590 | ||
1175 | to make $250 risking one half of 1% before you can trade up | ||
1176 | |||
1177 | 295 | ||
1178 | 00:18:40,590 ~-~-> 00:18:45,630 | ||
1179 | to the 1% risk portrayed here. Okay, now you're going to | ||
1180 | |||
1181 | 296 | ||
1182 | 00:18:45,630 ~-~-> 00:18:50,130 | ||
1183 | risk 1% per trade until you make at least 50% of the equity | ||
1184 | |||
1185 | 297 | ||
1186 | 00:18:50,130 ~-~-> 00:18:54,960 | ||
1187 | dip that you used when you risked 2% per trade, okay? So | ||
1188 | |||
1189 | 298 | ||
1190 | 00:18:54,960 ~-~-> 00:19:00,960 | ||
1191 | again, if you're risking $500 when you're risking 2% At 1% | ||
1192 | |||
1193 | 299 | ||
1194 | 00:19:00,960 ~-~-> 00:19:03,840 | ||
1195 | risk, you need to make at least $250 before you go back to | ||
1196 | |||
1197 | 300 | ||
1198 | 00:19:03,840 ~-~-> 00:19:07,320 | ||
1199 | risking 2%. If you lose, you go back to that system again, | ||
1200 | |||
1201 | 301 | ||
1202 | 00:19:07,320 ~-~-> 00:19:10,530 | ||
1203 | you drop cut in half, cut it in half cut in half. And now | ||
1204 | |||
1205 | 302 | ||
1206 | 00:19:10,890 ~-~-> 00:19:14,040 | ||
1207 | you have an opportunity to step back and say, Okay, I can | ||
1208 | |||
1209 | 303 | ||
1210 | 00:19:14,040 ~-~-> 00:19:16,350 | ||
1211 | take some blows, I can get knocked around, but I'm not | ||
1212 | |||
1213 | 304 | ||
1214 | 00:19:16,350 ~-~-> 00:19:19,080 | ||
1215 | getting taken out of the game. Okay, so now hopefully, | ||
1216 | |||
1217 | 305 | ||
1218 | 00:19:19,320 ~-~-> 00:19:24,690 | ||
1219 | hopefully, with this presentation, you can breathe. There's | ||
1220 | |||
1221 | 306 | ||
1222 | 00:19:24,690 ~-~-> 00:19:27,390 | ||
1223 | a way of doing it, guys, okay? And this is how it's done. | ||
1224 | |||
1225 | 307 | ||
1226 | 00:19:27,660 ~-~-> 00:19:29,850 | ||
1227 | You can't stay in this business without controlling your | ||
1228 | |||
1229 | 308 | ||
1230 | 00:19:29,850 ~-~-> 00:19:33,750 | ||
1231 | risk. That's the moral stick to the game plan, stick to the | ||
1232 | |||
1233 | 309 | ||
1234 | 00:19:33,750 ~-~-> 00:19:36,600 | ||
1235 | method of controlling risk using this approach, and | ||
1236 | |||
1237 | 310 | ||
1238 | 00:19:36,600 ~-~-> 00:19:40,410 | ||
1239 | absolutely guarantee, okay, you want the Holy Grail. This is | ||
1240 | |||
1241 | 311 | ||
1242 | 00:19:40,410 ~-~-> 00:19:44,010 | ||
1243 | the Holy Grail. This is it. You have to have a shield in | ||
1244 | |||
1245 | 312 | ||
1246 | 00:19:44,010 ~-~-> 00:19:47,010 | ||
1247 | this business. If you don't, your money is going to come to | ||
1248 | |||
1249 | 313 | ||
1250 | 00:19:47,010 ~-~-> 00:19:49,680 | ||
1251 | me. It's going to go to the central banks. It's going to go | ||
1252 | |||
1253 | 314 | ||
1254 | 00:19:49,680 ~-~-> 00:19:52,200 | ||
1255 | to the guys that know how to do this, okay, because I'm | ||
1256 | |||
1257 | 315 | ||
1258 | 00:19:52,200 ~-~-> 00:19:55,230 | ||
1259 | going to be in the game years from now, you know, and I'm | ||
1260 | |||
1261 | 316 | ||
1262 | 00:19:55,230 ~-~-> 00:19:57,450 | ||
1263 | going to still apply this approach when I have losses. This | ||
1264 | |||
1265 | 317 | ||
1266 | 00:19:57,450 ~-~-> 00:20:00,510 | ||
1267 | is how I do it. This is what kept me in the game. As long as | ||
1268 | |||
1269 | 318 | ||
1270 | 00:20:00,510 ~-~-> 00:20:05,010 | ||
1271 | I've been, it's gonna be a concept that I hold closest to | ||
1272 | |||
1273 | 319 | ||
1274 | 00:20:05,010 ~-~-> 00:20:08,250 | ||
1275 | me. Because this is more important than my entry signals. | ||
1276 | |||
1277 | 320 | ||
1278 | 00:20:08,610 ~-~-> 00:20:12,120 | ||
1279 | This is more important to my access. This is the absolute | ||
1280 | |||
1281 | 321 | ||
1282 | 00:20:12,390 ~-~-> 00:20:16,200 | ||
1283 | key Cornerstone to long term success in careers in trading. |