Wiki source code of OTE Pattern Recognition Notes
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1 | {{box cssClass="box floatinginfobox" title="**Quick Links**"}} | ||
2 | {{toc start="2"/}} | ||
3 | {{/box}} | ||
4 | |||
5 | == {{id name="Primer"/}}Optimal Trade Entry Primer == | ||
6 | |||
7 | * one of many trading patterns, one of the easiest | ||
8 | * trading plan needs to be simple: | ||
9 | ** what's your risk model | ||
10 | ** how to frame that? | ||
11 | ** what makes your entry | ||
12 | ** what gives you indicators of bullish/bearish market? | ||
13 | ** how do you execute the trade? | ||
14 | ** how do you manage the trade? | ||
15 | ** where do you take profits? | ||
16 | * what make the market predisposed to go higher or lower? | ||
17 | ** look at HTF (M, W, D, 4h) and look for key levels where price has moved away from in the past | ||
18 | ** HTF shows where the big players are most likely going to push things around. | ||
19 | ** LTF is too noisy to show this detail. | ||
20 | * Assuming bullish market, we are looking for where the market wants to trade higher. OTE is based on buying during the retracements that occur before the further push upwards. | ||
21 | * The impulse move has to incorporate a break in Market Structure. | ||
22 | * Using Fib Retracement as a visual guide, set the following levels | ||
23 | ** -1 - Symmetrical Price Swing | ||
24 | ** -0.62 - TP2 | ||
25 | ** -0.27 - TP1 | ||
26 | ** 0 - First Profit - Scaling | ||
27 | ** 0.5 - Equilibrium | ||
28 | ** 0.618 - 62% retracement | ||
29 | ** 0.705 - OTE 70.5% | ||
30 | ** 0.79 - 79% | ||
31 | ** 1 - 100%, or likely SL | ||
32 | * OTE (70.5%) is an ideal target. getting deeper is better, but you run the risk of not filling your order. 62% retracement is also acceptable, but it results in smaller profits because our SL range will be larger, necessitating smaller order sizes to maintain our risk profile. | ||
33 | * First Scaling, or slightly before, represents the place to take initial profits. It should be a decent return, preferable better than 1:2 risk/reward, but slightly less than 2 (1.5? 1x75?) is also acceptable. | ||
34 | * Setups on 1h charts better than 5m charts because the pip movements will be larger. | ||
35 | * Key levels xxx.00, xxx.20, xxx.50, xxx.80, yyy.00 | ||
36 | * Place the fibs on the body of the candles | ||
37 | * Market structure - example given: | ||
38 | - monthly view | ||
39 | [[image:Screenshot 2020-06-29 at 03.11.56.png]] | ||
40 | \\- daily view | ||
41 | [[image:Screenshot 2020-06-29 at 03.14.02.png]] | ||
42 | \\- 15m view[[image:Screenshot 2020-06-29 at 03.06.46.png]] | ||
43 | * Note the following: | ||
44 | ** institutional levels | ||
45 | ** old monthly high at 1.1720 (1.17137 rounded) | ||
46 | ** price runs down until it hits the 20 level (1.1720), rallies and creates a new short term high (old - middle red line, new STH, top red line. It's also called a "market structure break" | ||
47 | ** the new STH makes for a more likely trade opportunity. (market maker model) and opens up the chance for an OTE. | ||
48 | ** also, a high, with two lower highs on either side makes that high more significant. when this high is broken, it's a more convincing move than breaking the other shorter term highs, thus giving us the opportunity to find a likely OTE. | ||
49 | ** at the fib, we see price rockets away from a STL | ||
50 | * when old highs/lows are broken, trades will tend to reach back to those old positions (retail calls it "support") | ||
51 | |||
52 | == {{id name="Intro"/}}Introduction == | ||
53 | |||
54 | * how to annotate the charts to look for specific price patterns | ||
55 | * study for the patterns for a month, and it'll start to become more easily recognizable as you train your brain to recognize it, then see if you can see it live | ||
56 | * | ||
57 | |||
58 | == {{id name="Ex01"/}}Example 1 == | ||
59 | |||
60 | * example | ||
61 | |||
62 | == {{id name="Ex02"/}}Example 2 == | ||
63 | |||
64 | * example | ||
65 | |||
66 | == {{id name="Ex03"/}}Example 3 == | ||
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68 | * example | ||
69 | |||
70 | == {{id name="Ex04"/}}Example 4 == | ||
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72 | * example | ||
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74 | == {{id name="Ex05"/}}Example 5 == | ||
75 | |||
76 | * example | ||
77 | |||
78 | == {{id name="Ex06"/}}Example 6 == | ||
79 | |||
80 | * example | ||
81 | |||
82 | == {{id name="Ex07"/}}Example 7 == | ||
83 | |||
84 | * example | ||
85 | |||
86 | == {{id name="Ex08"/}}Example 8 == | ||
87 | |||
88 | * example | ||
89 | |||
90 | == {{id name="Ex09"/}}Example 9 == | ||
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92 | * example | ||
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94 | == {{id name="Ex10"/}}Example 10 == | ||
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96 | * example | ||
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98 | == {{id name="Ex11"/}}Example 11 == | ||
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100 | * example | ||
101 | |||
102 | == {{id name="Ex12"/}}Example 12 == | ||
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104 | * example | ||
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106 | == {{id name="Ex13"/}}Example 13 == | ||
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108 | * example | ||
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110 | == {{id name="Ex14"/}}Example 14 == | ||
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112 | * example | ||
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114 | == {{id name="Ex15"/}}Example 15 == | ||
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116 | * example | ||
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118 | == {{id name="Ex16"/}}Example 16 == | ||
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120 | * example | ||
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122 | == {{id name="Ex17"/}}Example 17 == | ||
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124 | * example | ||
125 | |||
126 | == {{id name="Ex18"/}}Example 18 == | ||
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128 | * example | ||
129 | |||
130 | == {{id name="Ex19"/}}Example 19 == | ||
131 | |||
132 | * example | ||
133 | |||
134 | == {{id name="Ex20"/}}Example 20 == | ||
135 | |||
136 | * example |