Changes for page OTE Pattern Recognition Notes


on 2020-06-28 21:43


on 2020-07-06 18:14
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... ... @@ -1,5 +1,5 @@ 1 1 {{box cssClass="box floatinginfobox" title="**Quick Links**"}} 2 -{{toc start="2"/}} 2 +{{toc start="2" depth="5" numbered="true"/}} 3 3 {{/box}} 4 4 5 5 == {{id name="Primer"/}}Optimal Trade Entry Primer == ... ... @@ -40,6 +40,7 @@ 40 40 \\- daily view 41 41 [[image:Screenshot 2020-06-29 at 03.14.02.png]] 42 42 \\- 15m view[[image:Screenshot 2020-06-29 at 03.06.46.png]] 43 + 43 43 * Note the following: 44 44 ** institutional levels 45 45 ** old monthly high at 1.1720 (1.17137 rounded) ... ... @@ -47,8 +47,11 @@ 47 47 ** the new STH makes for a more likely trade opportunity. (market maker model) and opens up the chance for an OTE. 48 48 ** also, a high, with two lower highs on either side makes that high more significant. when this high is broken, it's a more convincing move than breaking the other shorter term highs, thus giving us the opportunity to find a likely OTE. 49 49 ** at the fib, we see price rockets away from a STL 51 + 50 50 * when old highs/lows are broken, trades will tend to reach back to those old positions (retail calls it "support") 51 51 54 +====== ~[[[top>>doc:]]] ====== 55 + 52 52 == {{id name="Intro"/}}Introduction == 53 53 54 54 * how to annotate the charts to look for specific price patterns ... ... @@ -70,86 +70,159 @@ 70 70 \\The black line (6450) represents the closest institutional or key level near the previous days high. The blue lines above and below are a 10 pip spread. 71 71 72 72 * The OTE pattern occurs during the 8:30 to 11:00am NY session. That's when the major news and reports tends to come out. 73 -[[image:Screenshot 2020-06-29 at 05.02.49.png||height="579" width="385"]] 77 +[[image:Screenshot 2020-06-29 at 05.02.49.png||queryString="width=385&height=579" height="579" width="385"]] 74 74 The green box represents the 62 to 79% Fib retracement levels in the OTE pattern 75 75 76 76 * The Fib box is drawn from the low to high when the previous days high has been broken. 81 +* Trade 82 +** lot size that allows taking the partials (0.04, take a bit off each time? 83 +** SL will be set below the 100 level. 84 +** Profit taking 85 +*** take at 1st scaling at -0.5 or 15 pips or more 86 +*** take next at -1.0 or 15 pips or more (or slightly before - round down to the nearest 10 level) 87 +*** take a scaling at 100 pips regardless of where you are 88 +*** take next at -1.5 89 +*** take next at -2.0 90 +*** once price moves beyond the 1st scaling, move the SL up (just beyond BE) 91 +*** 2nd scaling - move SL above SL. 92 +*** other scalings - watch the trades, then set SL beyond BE, not to close so there is room for the trade to run. 93 +*** get out by the last scaling 94 +* Fib settings for Trading View: 95 +[[image:Screenshot 2020-06-29 at 05.10.27.png||queryString="width=363&height=533" height="533" width="363"]] 96 +We could also at -1.5 level 77 77 78 -* Fib settings for Trading View 79 -[[image:Screenshot 2020-06-29 at 05.10.27.png||height="533" width="363"]] 98 +* key things learned 99 +** when to move a stop 100 +** what entry price to look for 101 +** where stop loss should be 102 +** where do you take partials 103 +** what you avoid doing to your revised stops (choking them out) 80 80 81 -== {{idname="Ex02"/}}Example 2==105 +====== ~[[[top>>doc:]]] ====== 82 82 83 - *example107 +== {{id name="Ex02"/}}Example 2 - USDJPY == 84 84 109 +* Daily Chart 110 +[[image:Screenshot 2020-07-07 at 01.38.28.png]] 111 +\\fib drawn from the swing low, to the swing high 112 + 113 +* previous days high (2nd last candle) broke the high from the day before that. This means we could potentially see a turn, or an expansion to the upside 114 +[[image:Screenshot 2020-07-07 at 01.40.40.png]] 115 +\\Our high is 106.65(7) 116 + 117 +* Dropping into the 5m chart: 118 +[[image:Screenshot 2020-07-07 at 01.43.50.png]] 119 +\\Where do you think the OTE is going to be? Look before scrolling further. Remember the magic hours of 08:30 - 11:00 NY time. 120 + 121 +* Fib added from the previous low at point 1, to the last recent high at point 2 122 +[[image:Screenshot 2020-07-07 at 01.47.47.png]] 123 + 124 +====== ~[[[top>>doc:]]] ====== 125 + 85 85 == {{id name="Ex03"/}}Example 3 == 86 86 87 87 * example 88 88 130 +====== ~[[[top>>doc:]]] ====== 131 + 89 89 == {{id name="Ex04"/}}Example 4 == 90 90 91 91 * example 92 92 136 +====== ~[[[top>>doc:]]] ====== 137 + 93 93 == {{id name="Ex05"/}}Example 5 == 94 94 95 95 * example 96 96 142 +====== ~[[[top>>doc:]]] ====== 143 + 97 97 == {{id name="Ex06"/}}Example 6 == 98 98 99 99 * example 100 100 148 +====== ~[[[top>>doc:]]] ====== 149 + 101 101 == {{id name="Ex07"/}}Example 7 == 102 102 103 103 * example 104 104 154 +====== ~[[[top>>doc:]]] ====== 155 + 105 105 == {{id name="Ex08"/}}Example 8 == 106 106 107 107 * example 108 108 160 +====== ~[[[top>>doc:]]] ====== 161 + 109 109 == {{id name="Ex09"/}}Example 9 == 110 110 111 111 * example 112 112 166 +====== ~[[[top>>doc:]]] ====== 167 + 113 113 == {{id name="Ex10"/}}Example 10 == 114 114 115 115 * example 116 116 172 +====== ~[[[top>>doc:]]] ====== 173 + 117 117 == {{id name="Ex11"/}}Example 11 == 118 118 119 119 * example 120 120 178 +====== ~[[[top>>doc:]]] ====== 179 + 121 121 == {{id name="Ex12"/}}Example 12 == 122 122 123 123 * example 124 124 184 +====== ~[[[top>>doc:]]] ====== 185 + 125 125 == {{id name="Ex13"/}}Example 13 == 126 126 127 127 * example 128 128 190 +====== ~[[[top>>doc:]]] ====== 191 + 129 129 == {{id name="Ex14"/}}Example 14 == 130 130 131 131 * example 132 132 196 +====== ~[[[top>>doc:]]] ====== 197 + 133 133 == {{id name="Ex15"/}}Example 15 == 134 134 135 135 * example 136 136 202 +====== ~[[[top>>doc:]]] ====== 203 + 137 137 == {{id name="Ex16"/}}Example 16 == 138 138 139 139 * example 140 140 208 +====== ~[[[top>>doc:]]] ====== 209 + 141 141 == {{id name="Ex17"/}}Example 17 == 142 142 143 143 * example 144 144 214 +====== ~[[[top>>doc:]]] ====== 215 + 145 145 == {{id name="Ex18"/}}Example 18 == 146 146 147 147 * example 148 148 220 +====== ~[[[top>>doc:]]] ====== 221 + 149 149 == {{id name="Ex19"/}}Example 19 == 150 150 151 151 * example 152 152 226 +====== ~[[[top>>doc:]]] ====== 227 + 153 153 == {{id name="Ex20"/}}Example 20 == 154 154 155 155 * example 231 + 232 +====== ~[[[top>>doc:]]] ======
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