Changes for page OTE Pattern Recognition Notes


on 2020-06-28 19:59


on 2020-07-06 17:44
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... ... @@ -40,6 +40,7 @@ 40 40 \\- daily view 41 41 [[image:Screenshot 2020-06-29 at 03.14.02.png]] 42 42 \\- 15m view[[image:Screenshot 2020-06-29 at 03.06.46.png]] 43 + 43 43 * Note the following: 44 44 ** institutional levels 45 45 ** old monthly high at 1.1720 (1.17137 rounded) ... ... @@ -47,6 +47,7 @@ 47 47 ** the new STH makes for a more likely trade opportunity. (market maker model) and opens up the chance for an OTE. 48 48 ** also, a high, with two lower highs on either side makes that high more significant. when this high is broken, it's a more convincing move than breaking the other shorter term highs, thus giving us the opportunity to find a likely OTE. 49 49 ** at the fib, we see price rockets away from a STL 51 + 50 50 * when old highs/lows are broken, trades will tend to reach back to those old positions (retail calls it "support") 51 51 52 52 == {{id name="Intro"/}}Introduction == ... ... @@ -53,12 +53,51 @@ 53 53 54 54 * how to annotate the charts to look for specific price patterns 55 55 * study for the patterns for a month, and it'll start to become more easily recognizable as you train your brain to recognize it, then see if you can see it live 56 -* 58 +* the pattern should appear every day, but not necessarily on the same pairs 59 +* daily chart - audusd, 20-apr-2020 contains two down candles, showing orderblock 60 +[[image:Screenshot 2020-06-29 at 04.21.46.png]] 61 + 62 +* the two equal lows in May are sensitive to prices in that order block 63 +[[image:Screenshot 2020-06-29 at 04.23.52.png]] 64 + 65 +* we are primarily looking for reactions to the previous days range. (last visible green candle in the picture above) 66 +* can we determine whether the price is going to be able to break the previous days high or low? 67 +[[image:Screenshot 2020-06-29 at 04.50.28.png]] 68 +We can see that the recent lows pushed slightly into the order block, but returned indicating that prices doesn't currently want to run lower. 69 + 70 +* AUDUSD 5M example[[image:Screenshot 2020-06-29 at 04.58.02.png]] 71 +Mark out the previous days high and low. 72 +\\The black line (6450) represents the closest institutional or key level near the previous days high. The blue lines above and below are a 10 pip spread. 73 + 74 +* The OTE pattern occurs during the 8:30 to 11:00am NY session. That's when the major news and reports tends to come out. 75 +[[image:Screenshot 2020-06-29 at 05.02.49.png||queryString="width=385&height=579" height="579" width="385"]] 76 +The green box represents the 62 to 79% Fib retracement levels in the OTE pattern 77 + 78 +* The Fib box is drawn from the low to high when the previous days high has been broken. 79 +* Trade 80 +** lot size that allows taking the partials (0.04, take a bit off each time? 81 +** SL will be set below the 100 level. 82 +** Profit taking 83 +*** take at 1st scaling at -0.5 or 15 pips or more 84 +*** take next at -1.0 or 15 pips or more (or slightly before - round down to the nearest 10 level) 85 +*** take a scaling at 100 pips regardless of where you are 86 +*** take next at -1.5 87 +*** take next at -2.0 88 +*** once price moves beyond the 1st scaling, move the SL up (just beyond BE) 89 +*** 2nd scaling - move SL above SL. 90 +*** other scalings - watch the trades, then set SL beyond BE, not to close so there is room for the trade to run. 91 +*** get out by the last scaling 92 +* Fib settings for Trading View: 93 +[[image:Screenshot 2020-06-29 at 05.10.27.png||queryString="width=363&height=533" height="533" width="363"]] 94 +We could also at -1.5 level 95 + 96 +* key things learned 97 +** when to move a stop 98 +** what entry price to look for 99 +** where stop loss should be 100 +** where do you take partials 101 +** what you avoid doing to your revised stops (choking them out) 57 57 58 -== {{id name="Ex01"/}}Example 1 == 59 - 60 -* example 61 - 62 62 == {{id name="Ex02"/}}Example 2 == 63 63 64 64 * example
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