Changes for page If I Could Go Back and Tell Myself What I Know Now


on 2020-07-13 16:10


on 2020-09-09 22:07
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... ... @@ -34,12 +34,12 @@ 34 34 - Retail logic is designed to make you fail, so why buy them? 35 35 11. Stop Wasting Money On Books 36 36 - They don't have the secret. Good books? Consider (need to check all these references) 37 -111. For money management, everything from Ralph Vince and Ryan Jones, the do a lot of "optimal f and kelly criterion" (check, not sure what this is) - advanced topic 38 -111. "How ManyMillionDollars Trading CommoditiesLast Year" a70'sbookfromLarry Williams,most of which is still relevant - teaches about smart money and how it influences the market39 -111. Trading for ALiving by Al*Elder37 +111. For money management, everything from Ralph Vince and Ryan Jones, they do a lot of "optimal f and kelly criterion" (check, not sure what this is) - advanced topic 38 +111. //How I Made One Million Last Year Trading Commodities// (1973) by Larry Williams - most of which is still relevant - teaches about smart money and how it influences the market. Advanced techniques 39 +111. //Trading for a Living: Psychology, Trading Tactics, Money Management// (1993) by Alexander Elder 40 40 111. Market Wizards 1 and 2 just for inspiration 41 -111. Street Smarts by Linda ?Rash and LarryConners42 -111. Technical Analysis of Financial Markets -John Murphy - Retail Traders bible - do the opposite of this and you will find the charts more fun to watch because of the high degree of failing.41 +111. //Street Smarts: High Probability Short-Term Trading Strategies// (1996) by Linda Bradford Raschke and Laurence A. Connors 42 +111. //Technical Analysis of the Financial Markets// (1999) by John J. Murphy - Retail Traders bible - do the opposite of this and you will find the charts more fun to watch because of the high degree of failing. 43 43 11. Avoid Looking for Hot Hand Gurus 44 44 - you won't make money doing this. At best, you'll become codependent instead of a thinking trader 45 45 11. Become Your Own Signal Generator ... ... @@ -50,15 +50,97 @@ 50 50 11*. Don't trade with live funds until you know what you're doing. You cannot lose money this way. 51 51 11*. Losing is normal. Control them, and over time you'll make more than you'll lose over the long term 52 52 11*. It's ok to lose, as long as you continue learning to avoid the mistakes you previously made 53 +1. Stay Away From Social Media Drains 54 +- don't let others influence your trades. make your decisions. if you let others control your trading, it will lead to further failures. 55 +11. Don't Join Trading Clubs 56 +- Don't join the hive. everyone has their own trading profile and the group may not be your own style. make your own analysis 57 +11. Don't Subscribe To Alerts 58 +- Just like taking signals, it takes the power of the trade away from you and into someone else's hands. Be responsible for your own trades. Otherwise, you are gambling. 59 +11. Don't count other people's money. 60 +- You will never learn to trade doing this. You will not develop the skills. You're chasing other people's money. You can't spend their money. 61 +11. Don't Feel Insignificant By Contrast 62 +- measure against your own success, not the success of others. Not everyone is what they claim to be 63 +1. Match Your Style To Your Personality 64 +- Learned from Larry Williams. 65 +11. Scalp If You Make Quick Decisions - If you're a scalper, you'll do great if you make quick decisions. Don't do it if you can't 66 +11. Short Term Trade If You Can Sleep - If you can hold a trade overnight without losing sleep, then you can short term trade 67 +11. Don't Force Yourself Into Any Mold - Be what you are, and maybe develop the other skills later 68 +11. Don't Try To Copy Someone - they are not you, you are not them. Their strength are not yours. Develop or refine your own models 69 +1. Don't Change Trading Approaches 70 +11. Stick With One Approach - master it, it takes time 71 +11. Avoid System Hopping - you will never master it. 72 +11. Every Model Loses - Accept It 73 +11. Find Your Unique Model & Grow With It - Don't tweak it too much once you have it working and is profitable, but work on more advanced money management techniques instead. If your method wins more often than it loses, better, more advanced money management will greatly improve your bottom line 74 +1. Settle One One Trade Setup Initially - 75 +11. Determine Your Asset Class - Pick an asset class and stick with it. Then inside that class, pick one market and stick with it. 76 +11. Outline When You Want To Buy - what is the criteria that you feel comfortable for a buy. Detail your plan, on paper. 77 +11. Outline When You Want To Short - The same thing applies to shorts. What are the characteristics and circumstances that would make you short? Details. 78 +11. Build Many Study Journal Cases - Many examples of when it worked, and when it didn't. The more examples the better. Thus you will train yourself to recognize when the setup happens in live trading. 53 53 54 54 == {{id name="Part2"/}}Part 2 - How Would I Study == 55 55 56 - *blah82 +(this video should be viewed multiple times) 57 57 84 +you will lose trades - doesn't matter. Focus on the re-occurring setups 85 + 86 +1. Where do steady setups form? Focus first on the following because everything else is a distraction. If you understand how prices flow around these various areas, you will always be able to find setups that will lead to profitable trading. 87 +\\There are 4 areas that we need to examine: 88 +11. Monthly Highs & Lows 89 +11. Weekly Highs & Lows 90 +11. Daily Highs & Lows 91 +11. Session Highs & Lows 92 +1. In detail: 93 +\\The open/high/low/close for a period needs to be focused on. 94 +11. Monthly Highs & Lows 95 +11*. Look at the last 3 months - mark out the high and the low and then study how the market reacts around it. Ignore standard support and resistance crap because that will lead to loss. 96 +11*. Example marked out - daily GBPUSD Apr 1 2020 to July 10 2020: 97 +[[image:02-hwis-01a.png||alt="Screenshot 2020-08-07 at 02.54.45.png"]] 98 +11*. Mark out the monthlies and extend it out into the future. 99 +11*. What's happening and is happening as it reacts around that price level? Is price heading for an old monthly high? Low? Where is it aiming? Has it recently gone below an old low? and rallying up? If so, it's probably just ran stops. If it ran sell stops, then it'll probably run for the old monthly highs. 100 +\\If it's reaching for an old monthly high - then the algorithm is reaching for the liquidity resting above those old highs. 101 +\\If it's reaching for the old monthly lows - then it's reaching for the liquidity resting below those old monthly lows. 102 +\\"to and through" - important words and we shall see later. 103 +11. Weekly Highs & Lows 104 +11*. We are going to find key levels defined by the weekly highs/lows and you can see how price sweeps below old monthly/weekly lows and then move gyrate to find other week]ly lows. 105 +11*. 4 hour chart with the weekly and the monthly highs and lows marked out. 106 +[[image:02-hwis-02.png||alt="Screenshot 2020-08-07 at 03.22.01.jpg"]] 107 +11*. We are using different colors to mark the highs and lows. (blue, high, red, low) as well as using different widths to differentiate between the monthly and the weekly points of interest 108 +11*. when price breaks above the blue levels (old monthly/weekly highs), is the market going higher? or is it seeking liquidity and then rejection to go low? 109 +11*. if it is taking out multiple blues, then that's indicating a bullish narrative and would appear to be seeking a higher liquidity pool, not a weekly high, but an higher monthly high, it's giving is an indication/xray of what the underlying market wants to do. 110 +11*. the same applies to the opposite direction? multiple lows taken? seeking lower liquidity pools 111 +11. Daily Highs & Lows 112 +11*. 60M chart 113 +11*. you will see setups every day 114 +11*. be content to take profit early on in the week (tues-thur). trades taken later in the week are riskier and are more likely to add to your losses at this stage of your development (maybe always?). 115 +11*. daily highs and lows offer the potential for liquidity draws, meaning the market will likely go above our daily highs to reach the buy stops, or go below the daily low to reach the sell stops. 116 +11. Session Highs & Lows 117 +[[image:02-hwis-03b.png]] 118 +11. Notes: 119 +11*. Look at this chart here, 60m time frame, lows where the arrow is 120 +[[image:Screenshot 2020-08-07 at 03.50.09.jpg]] 121 +11*. 122 +1. key points 123 +11. breaking of old high/lows at key levels (old monthly/weekly/daily/session high/lows) to help determine the bias as described in this teaching 124 +11. time of day for NY OTE entry 125 +11. proper setup of price action from the london timezone 126 + 58 58 == {{id name="Part3"/}}Part 3 - How Would I Practice == 59 59 60 - *blah129 +most important - for the NY OTE entry, need to declare the rules as they are defined in the OTE videos 61 61 131 +- directional bias determination for the day/week 132 + 133 +- where do we draw the fib from? which low, high? candle sticks or the body? 134 + 135 +- definition of the TP targets - when to take profit? 136 + 137 +- define the SL target 138 + 139 +* trading view demo platform 140 +* treat the demo account as real to build good habits - not overtrading, not overleveraging, using proper risk management 141 +* back test by walking through the old data and look for the setups, then test the result 142 + 143 + 62 62 == {{id name="Part4"/}}Part 4 - How Would I ... == 63 63 64 64 * blah
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