Wiki source code of ICT YT - 2025-06-05 - 2025 Storytellers Series - NQ Review 06-04-2025
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2 | |1 |00:00:01 ~-~-> 00:00:05 |ICT: Hi folks, welcome back. We're looking at storytellers. | ||
3 | |2 |00:00:06 ~-~-> 00:00:14 |This series is about how you should journal now, the benefits of building a | ||
4 | |3 |00:00:14 ~-~-> 00:00:19 |narrative, understanding bias, understanding session bias, the ideal | ||
5 | |4 |00:00:19 ~-~-> 00:00:26 |drawing liquidity or the next one thereof, that is built upon what I'm | ||
6 | |5 |00:00:26 ~-~-> 00:00:30 |showing you here. Now, at first glance, it seems like it's just reviewing | ||
7 | |6 |00:00:30 ~-~-> 00:00:35 |hindsight data and true to form, that's what you will be doing, because you | ||
8 | |7 |00:00:35 ~-~-> 00:00:39 |won't have any idea on how to trade it right? You're learning how to do it. So | ||
9 | |8 |00:00:39 ~-~-> 00:00:43 |before you can get good at trading Well, you have to learn how to read price | ||
10 | |9 |00:00:43 ~-~-> 00:00:49 |well, and then you also have to learn how to know yourself and stave off all | ||
11 | |10 |00:00:49 ~-~-> 00:00:53 |those things that are going to be problematic for you, and focusing on on | ||
12 | |11 |00:00:53 ~-~-> 00:00:59 |the things that are useful, and then back testing and journaling and Logging | ||
13 | |12 |00:00:59 ~-~-> 00:01:03 |things, very specific things. In the beginning, you're only gonna be looking | ||
14 | |13 |00:01:03 ~-~-> 00:01:09 |for one real, obvious setup per day. And the more you do this, the more you | ||
15 | |14 |00:01:09 ~-~-> 00:01:15 |journal and record yourself in your own words, ideally inside your chart. Okay, | ||
16 | |15 |00:01:15 ~-~-> 00:01:19 |so you're gonna be recording annotations, things that are salient for | ||
17 | |16 |00:01:19 ~-~-> 00:01:25 |that given session, that given market, that day, that week, that month, and you | ||
18 | |17 |00:01:25 ~-~-> 00:01:29 |want to try to give as much detail as you can and familiarize yourself with | ||
19 | |18 |00:01:29 ~-~-> 00:01:33 |certain characteristics that tend to repeat. And they're all generally time | ||
20 | |19 |00:01:33 ~-~-> 00:01:37 |based deliveries. They're they're very specific, PD array responses drawing to | ||
21 | |20 |00:01:37 ~-~-> 00:01:41 |an obvious liquidity pool above or below the marketplace based on a higher Time | ||
22 | |21 |00:01:41 ~-~-> 00:01:41 |Frame bias. | ||
23 | |22 |00:01:49 ~-~-> 00:01:54 |All right, so we're looking at June 4, 2025 I didn't do a review yesterday. I | ||
24 | |23 |00:01:54 ~-~-> 00:02:00 |meant to, but I'm busy with my son, Cameron, so I'm hard at work being dead | ||
25 | |24 |00:02:00 ~-~-> 00:02:07 |and ICT in the woodshed with him, trying to get him prepared to be able to carve | ||
26 | |25 |00:02:07 ~-~-> 00:02:16 |out his own income the daily chart here. Let's zoom in on this. I'll review | ||
27 | |26 |00:02:16 ~-~-> 00:02:20 |yesterday's trade I shared on x. By the way, I know some of you were asking for | ||
28 | |27 |00:02:20 ~-~-> 00:02:25 |it, but time didn't permit me to be able to do that last night. So daily chart | ||
29 | |28 |00:02:25 ~-~-> 00:02:32 |here. Let's go back in time, and I'll refer you to Monday's storyteller series | ||
30 | |29 |00:02:32 ~-~-> 00:02:38 |on YouTube channel down close candle, bullish order block. I mentioned how we | ||
31 | |30 |00:02:38 ~-~-> 00:02:43 |traded down into that, and I mentioned as a kind of like a foresight, looking | ||
32 | |31 |00:02:43 ~-~-> 00:02:48 |forward to now hindsight, looking forward to how we were going to use this | ||
33 | |32 |00:02:48 ~-~-> 00:02:53 |order block and then send price back up. And I said, I want to see it trade to | ||
34 | |33 |00:02:54 ~-~-> 00:02:58 |the consequent encroachment of this candles wick or halfway point. And I | ||
35 | |34 |00:02:58 ~-~-> 00:03:03 |said, just a rough eyeball it, it's basically the same as this low of this | ||
36 | |35 |00:03:03 ~-~-> 00:03:10 |Sibi. So we did, in fact, trade up into that yesterday, and then we traded up | ||
37 | |36 |00:03:10 ~-~-> 00:03:15 |into consequent encroachment of the Sibi. Okay, so the two targets I | ||
38 | |37 |00:03:15 ~-~-> 00:03:21 |mentioned in that order from Monday's analysis was delivered here today and | ||
39 | |38 |00:03:21 ~-~-> 00:03:28 |yesterday. So I want to show you this level here how we opened up yesterday | ||
40 | |39 |00:03:28 ~-~-> 00:03:33 |and traded down immediately to this candle sticks high, all right. So we | ||
41 | |40 |00:03:33 ~-~-> 00:03:41 |have Wednesday, Tuesday, Monday and then Friday. So Friday's high we traded down | ||
42 | |41 |00:03:41 ~-~-> 00:03:45 |to that on Tuesdays, trading immediately opening here, and trading right back | ||
43 | |42 |00:03:45 ~-~-> 00:03:51 |down when it does that and trades above the open. That's one of the most | ||
44 | |43 |00:03:51 ~-~-> 00:03:56 |powerful bullish scenarios you can have when you have a bias that's leaning for | ||
45 | |44 |00:03:56 ~-~-> 00:04:01 |higher prices, which is what we were looking for anyway. And I said, if we | ||
46 | |45 |00:04:01 ~-~-> 00:04:05 |get outside of this city, this would be the next one to draw to. And if we get | ||
47 | |46 |00:04:05 ~-~-> 00:04:08 |really animated and use this as an inversion fair value gap, which this one | ||
48 | |47 |00:04:08 ~-~-> 00:04:16 |can be as well this gap here, so both of these could be used, and I guess, traded | ||
49 | |48 |00:04:16 ~-~-> 00:04:21 |off of with a bullish inversion fair value gap aspect to it. If it does that | ||
50 | |49 |00:04:21 ~-~-> 00:04:26 |these relative equal highs are suspect. Okay, so I'm avoiding trying to pick a | ||
51 | |50 |00:04:26 ~-~-> 00:04:31 |top. I saw a couple people, you know, making comments on X saying that, you | ||
52 | |51 |00:04:31 ~-~-> 00:04:36 |know, my students were were selling short, or I was bearish, or something to | ||
53 | |52 |00:04:36 ~-~-> 00:04:39 |that effect. All you have to do is look at Monday's video. You'll see that I was | ||
54 | |53 |00:04:39 ~-~-> 00:04:44 |calling for where we're at right now on Monday, so it's delivered perfectly. So | ||
55 | |54 |00:04:44 ~-~-> 00:04:48 |anyway, we're going to drop down lower time frames. Just be mindful that this | ||
56 | |55 |00:04:48 ~-~-> 00:04:53 |line here is salient to Friday's high and Tuesday we open traded down to it | ||
57 | |56 |00:04:53 ~-~-> 00:04:56 |immediately, and then we've seen the two targets I mentioned on Monday deliver | ||
58 | |57 |00:04:56 ~-~-> 00:05:04 |you. Right. Here's an hourly chart. And just to for completeness sake, I | ||
59 | |58 |00:05:04 ~-~-> 00:05:09 |mentioned how this bicycle mount cell site efficiency was the low on this day | ||
60 | |59 |00:05:09 ~-~-> 00:05:13 |here. And then we rallied up, came back down, used the high of the Sibi. I'm | ||
61 | |60 |00:05:13 ~-~-> 00:05:17 |sorry, busy rather buy some amount, sell side efficiency this. We hit that and | ||
62 | |61 |00:05:17 ~-~-> 00:05:22 |then we started to rally up. And then once we went above this high, then we | ||
63 | |62 |00:05:22 ~-~-> 00:05:25 |had immediate rebalance. That's what this is. Here. Look at the bodies | ||
64 | |63 |00:05:25 ~-~-> 00:05:30 |respecting as well, and the market starts to gravitate towards what the | ||
65 | |64 |00:05:30 ~-~-> 00:05:37 |daily city low. Okay, daily city low is, again, this area here on the daily | ||
66 | |65 |00:05:37 ~-~-> 00:05:43 |chart. So this red shaded line, I'm sorry, red, shaded rectangle in the | ||
67 | |66 |00:05:43 ~-~-> 00:05:51 |midline here, that is going to be seen here. Here's the midline or consequent | ||
68 | |67 |00:05:51 ~-~-> 00:05:54 |encroachment, the high of that and the low of that. So it's the daily city low | ||
69 | |68 |00:05:54 ~-~-> 00:05:59 |and the daily city consequent encroachment, or midpoint of that shaded | ||
70 | |69 |00:05:59 ~-~-> 00:06:05 |area shows you on the daily chart, and have been showing you for weeks and | ||
71 | |70 |00:06:05 ~-~-> 00:06:12 |almost two months now. So the immediate rebalance from that point on up to the | ||
72 | |71 |00:06:12 ~-~-> 00:06:17 |low of the daily Sibi, that is the draw on liquidity. That was the thing I told | ||
73 | |72 |00:06:17 ~-~-> 00:06:21 |you to look for on Monday. And it happened. And then if we can grind out a | ||
74 | |73 |00:06:21 ~-~-> 00:06:27 |run up into the consequence, that would be it. Now, let me counsel you to recall | ||
75 | |74 |00:06:27 ~-~-> 00:06:37 |that this week is a Non Farm Payroll event week, okay, meaning that I teach | ||
76 | |75 |00:06:37 ~-~-> 00:06:42 |my students to strive to look for setups on Monday of Non Farm Payroll week. A | ||
77 | |76 |00:06:42 ~-~-> 00:06:46 |lot of people say I teach not to trade on Mondays. It's not true. If you're | ||
78 | |77 |00:06:46 ~-~-> 00:06:50 |brand new and you're a student of mine, it's not had too much experience doing | ||
79 | |78 |00:06:50 ~-~-> 00:06:54 |it. I tell everyone to avoid Mondays unless it's Non Farm Payroll week. And | ||
80 | |79 |00:06:54 ~-~-> 00:06:58 |with more experience, obviously you can trade every single day. You can read | ||
81 | |80 |00:06:58 ~-~-> 00:07:02 |price action and do whatever you want to do with your own model. But as a mentor, | ||
82 | |81 |00:07:02 ~-~-> 00:07:07 |as a teacher, I try to counsel new people with less experience. I help them | ||
83 | |82 |00:07:07 ~-~-> 00:07:13 |navigate the problematic days, because everybody thinks when they first come | ||
84 | |83 |00:07:13 ~-~-> 00:07:18 |into this is every day is a trading day, and it is for you to lose money. And I | ||
85 | |84 |00:07:18 ~-~-> 00:07:24 |try to look for the most advantageous days, times of day, days of week, months | ||
86 | |85 |00:07:24 ~-~-> 00:07:28 |of the year, that type of thing to you hopefully have all the advantages and | ||
87 | |86 |00:07:28 ~-~-> 00:07:32 |minimize, but you'll never be able to do it entirely but minimize the underlying | ||
88 | |87 |00:07:32 ~-~-> 00:07:38 |risks and or the adversities that plague everyday trading. Okay, day trading is | ||
89 | |88 |00:07:38 ~-~-> 00:07:43 |not everyday trading, and professionals don't make a mind of going out there and | ||
90 | |89 |00:07:43 ~-~-> 00:07:48 |trying to do an everyday trading event. Now, with experience, you'll be able to | ||
91 | |90 |00:07:48 ~-~-> 00:07:51 |determine if you're realistic with yourself and honest. You'll be able to | ||
92 | |91 |00:07:51 ~-~-> 00:07:56 |determine if you can trade every single day. But I think if you look for a very | ||
93 | |92 |00:07:56 ~-~-> 00:08:01 |few number of setups per week and wait for the setups to form for them, it's | ||
94 | |93 |00:08:01 ~-~-> 00:08:04 |very liberating, and that's how I'm going into this series here. I want you | ||
95 | |94 |00:08:04 ~-~-> 00:08:10 |to just look for the obvious moves each day and then build a narrative in | ||
96 | |95 |00:08:10 ~-~-> 00:08:14 |hindsight about why it did what it did in the beginning, you'll be clumsy. | ||
97 | |96 |00:08:14 ~-~-> 00:08:19 |You'll really just be waiting on my video and the commentary I give, but | ||
98 | |97 |00:08:19 ~-~-> 00:08:22 |it's meant for you to use as like training wheels on a bicycle. | ||
99 | |98 |00:08:22 ~-~-> 00:08:26 |Eventually, you want to get to the point where you do your annotation, your | ||
100 | |99 |00:08:26 ~-~-> 00:08:31 |commentary, and then watch my video and compare and contrast what you sell, what | ||
101 | |100 |00:08:31 ~-~-> 00:08:34 |you annotated in your own journal, versus what it is I'm talking about | ||
102 | |101 |00:08:34 ~-~-> 00:08:37 |without a doubt, there's going to be a lot of things I'm leaving out. As I | ||
103 | |102 |00:08:37 ~-~-> 00:08:42 |mentioned, I'm not trying to do a complete clinic on every possible PD | ||
104 | |103 |00:08:42 ~-~-> 00:08:49 |rate that was available, just the major draw or two on each individual day. So | ||
105 | |104 |00:08:49 ~-~-> 00:08:53 |anyway, we draw up into this level here, and today, for Wednesday, June 4, 2025 | ||
106 | |105 |00:08:53 ~-~-> 00:08:57 |we did get to consequent encroachment. And it's funny how it just stopped, | ||
107 | |106 |00:08:57 ~-~-> 00:09:03 |right there, isn't it? It's probably random. All right. Here is the 15 minute | ||
108 | |107 |00:09:03 ~-~-> 00:09:06 |time frame. And we had this budget amount of cell sign efficiency right | ||
109 | |108 |00:09:06 ~-~-> 00:09:11 |before we get to the daily city below. It trades up into it falls short of the | ||
110 | |109 |00:09:11 ~-~-> 00:09:15 |midpoint, comes right back down. Look at the body, respecting that. And then we | ||
111 | |110 |00:09:15 ~-~-> 00:09:20 |consolidate, and we start building cell cell liquidity here. This is all time | ||
112 | |111 |00:09:20 ~-~-> 00:09:26 |distortion, which is usually what you're going to get on Wednesday morning of Non | ||
113 | |112 |00:09:26 ~-~-> 00:09:29 |Farm Payroll week. And then it becomes hit or miss, whether or not Wednesday's | ||
114 | |113 |00:09:29 ~-~-> 00:09:34 |afternoon trading or even Wednesday's morning session is worth trading at all. | ||
115 | |114 |00:09:35 ~-~-> 00:09:38 |And then same thing goes into Thursday. And then finally, on Non Farm Payroll | ||
116 | |115 |00:09:38 ~-~-> 00:09:42 |Friday at 830 tomorrow, Eastern Time, and the carnival ride on unloads on the | ||
117 | |116 |00:09:42 ~-~-> 00:09:47 |marketplace, and everybody has to reset their prop accounts or close their | ||
118 | |117 |00:09:47 ~-~-> 00:09:54 |brokerage account, right? So this morning, I was looking at this drop | ||
119 | |118 |00:09:54 ~-~-> 00:09:59 |here. I saw all these breakers forming, and I wanted to see it take out this low | ||
120 | |119 |00:09:59 ~-~-> 00:10:04 |here. And. There's going to be a smaller five minute and one minute imbalance, | ||
121 | |120 |00:10:04 ~-~-> 00:10:08 |but specifically a five minute inversion fair value gap. I use the timing and | ||
122 | |121 |00:10:09 ~-~-> 00:10:14 |entry to go short to target that sell side liquidity. Over here, I went long | ||
123 | |122 |00:10:14 ~-~-> 00:10:18 |to get to this level. Here, you saw that on x, and I'll drop down lower time | ||
124 | |123 |00:10:18 ~-~-> 00:10:22 |frame in a second. But I put the gradient levels on here, and you can see | ||
125 | |124 |00:10:22 ~-~-> 00:10:24 |how we dropped down into the upper quadrant, but fell short of the | ||
126 | |125 |00:10:25 ~-~-> 00:10:30 |consequent encroachment of this busy didn't take out that low there, either, | ||
127 | |126 |00:10:30 ~-~-> 00:10:33 |but it did use the consequent encroachment there, which is again very | ||
128 | |127 |00:10:33 ~-~-> 00:10:34 |fascinating. | ||
129 | |128 |00:10:37 ~-~-> 00:10:38 |Got down to a five minute chart. | ||
130 | |129 |00:10:40 ~-~-> 00:10:45 |Same thing that low sell side, very, very defined, and this drop here is what | ||
131 | |130 |00:10:45 ~-~-> 00:10:49 |I wanted. I didn't get a chance to get positioned. It dropped really fast. So I | ||
132 | |131 |00:10:49 ~-~-> 00:10:53 |had to use the inversion fair value gap you'll see in a moment when I highlight | ||
133 | |132 |00:10:53 ~-~-> 00:10:59 |it. But dropping down into here would be another objective. But because it's | ||
134 | |133 |00:10:59 ~-~-> 00:11:03 |Wednesday of nonprofit here all week, I was content with getting out just below | ||
135 | |134 |00:11:03 ~-~-> 00:11:06 |here. Now, up to this point, it sounds like just about everybody else that's a | ||
136 | |135 |00:11:06 ~-~-> 00:11:10 |YouTuber or someone's on social media, and they'll say, I think I took a trade | ||
137 | |136 |00:11:10 ~-~-> 00:11:13 |somewhere here. I think, I think my feel was here, instead of just simply showing | ||
138 | |137 |00:11:13 ~-~-> 00:11:17 |the executions, okay, I'm not going to sit up here and tell you I took a trade. | ||
139 | |138 |00:11:17 ~-~-> 00:11:20 |I took a trade and not show you the executions. I'm not going to I will | ||
140 | |139 |00:11:20 ~-~-> 00:11:24 |never do that. Okay? I would never do that. So let's take a look at that. Now, | ||
141 | |140 |00:11:26 ~-~-> 00:11:29 |here is the five minute chart. You can see here | ||
142 | |141 |00:11:29 ~-~-> 00:11:32 |is this order, block | ||
143 | |142 |00:11:33 ~-~-> 00:11:38 |right here. Don't close candle this one right here. And I'm entering on it there | ||
144 | |143 |00:11:39 ~-~-> 00:11:44 |and running up into the daily si below, I told you, we draw on liquidity Monday | ||
145 | |144 |00:11:44 ~-~-> 00:11:49 |night in analysis. So the next day, I do the very thing I told you I was looking | ||
146 | |145 |00:11:49 ~-~-> 00:11:55 |for with an execution. And then over here today, this business, don't worry, | ||
147 | |146 |00:11:55 ~-~-> 00:12:02 |this box will move out of the way. But this short is actually filled right | ||
148 | |147 |00:12:02 ~-~-> 00:12:09 |here. And it's terrible, terrible placement, if it weren't so obvious that | ||
149 | |148 |00:12:09 ~-~-> 00:12:13 |the sell side liquidity pool was going to get tagged, and I'll show you I mean | ||
150 | |149 |00:12:13 ~-~-> 00:12:17 |in a moment. But then after it hits that, after I close the trade, and then | ||
151 | |150 |00:12:17 ~-~-> 00:12:20 |the owners filled, it comes right back up to the Costco encroachment of the | ||
152 | |151 |00:12:20 ~-~-> 00:12:24 |daily city. Bodies respect it drops about one more time. Look at the body | ||
153 | |152 |00:12:24 ~-~-> 00:12:29 |staying inside of the daily city low. But the wick does the damage of taking | ||
154 | |153 |00:12:29 ~-~-> 00:12:34 |out that low and trading down to the upper quadrant of the 15 minute bison | ||
155 | |154 |00:12:34 ~-~-> 00:12:39 |balance, cell sign efficiency that's shaded in green, and then it goes into | ||
156 | |155 |00:12:39 ~-~-> 00:12:44 |just consolidation and just more time distortion. | ||
157 | |156 |00:12:54 ~-~-> 00:12:58 |Okay, and let's go back in time to Tuesday's trade. Here is the inversion | ||
158 | |157 |00:12:58 ~-~-> 00:13:03 |fair value gap that I was using also inversion fair value, gap, quarter block | ||
159 | |158 |00:13:03 ~-~-> 00:13:03 |on the | ||
160 | |159 |00:13:06 ~-~-> 00:13:12 |discount, range, volume and balance respected | ||
161 | |160 |00:13:12 ~-~-> 00:13:16 |with the bodies, comes up, hits the high of it drops back down. Upper quadrant. | ||
162 | |161 |00:13:16 ~-~-> 00:13:19 |You can see the entry right here, upper quadrant of the city, which becomes in | ||
163 | |162 |00:13:19 ~-~-> 00:13:22 |when it's bullish. Why is it bullish? Because I told you Monday I was looking | ||
164 | |163 |00:13:22 ~-~-> 00:13:28 |for looking for the low of the daily city low, and it draws from there up to | ||
165 | |164 |00:13:28 ~-~-> 00:13:32 |there. And I showed you that execution as it filled on x, just a small portion | ||
166 | |165 |00:13:32 ~-~-> 00:13:37 |of it. This is the business behind all of it. And then moving on over into | ||
167 | |166 |00:13:38 ~-~-> 00:13:44 |today, we had sell side building here is obvious. This is so obvious. So just | ||
168 | |167 |00:13:44 ~-~-> 00:13:51 |remember that this level here, 21,006 65 that right there is based on this pool | ||
169 | |168 |00:13:51 ~-~-> 00:13:58 |of liquidity that's forming. Scrub down over here, that same level, there's the | ||
170 | |169 |00:13:58 ~-~-> 00:14:05 |fill and the drop down into that liquidity, and then the later lower run. | ||
171 | |170 |00:14:05 ~-~-> 00:14:09 |But I was not able to hold that, because this is what could potentially happen, | ||
172 | |171 |00:14:09 ~-~-> 00:14:14 |because where it's not from here a week. So this little area in here is a | ||
173 | |172 |00:14:14 ~-~-> 00:14:18 |inversion fair value gap. You can study that on your own before we get to the | ||
174 | |173 |00:14:18 ~-~-> 00:14:22 |open at six o'clock, and I may not get the video by then. So if it happens, | ||
175 | |174 |00:14:22 ~-~-> 00:14:25 |then, you know, big deal. But right now I'm watching these relative equal lows, | ||
176 | |175 |00:14:26 ~-~-> 00:14:29 |so we could drop down into that, and then I'll be interested to see if it | ||
177 | |176 |00:14:29 ~-~-> 00:14:33 |starts to work overnight, higher to the high upper quadrant of the daily sippy | ||
178 | |177 |00:14:33 ~-~-> 00:14:33 |I'm | ||
179 | |178 |00:14:42 ~-~-> 00:14:45 |that's it for this one, until I'll talk to you next time. Be safe. You. |