Wiki source code of ICT YT - 2025-05-18 - 2025 Lecture Series - NQ Review When 0930am ET Is 1st Presented FVG 05-18-2025
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2 | |1 |00:00:20 ~-~-> 00:00:40 |ICT: You. Welcome back, folks. How are you all right? So this is a review for | ||
3 | |2 |00:00:40 ~-~-> 00:00:45 |weekending. May 16, 2025, right? | ||
4 | |3 |00:00:50 ~-~-> 00:00:54 |So we're looking at the weekly chart here. This is a continuous chart, so | ||
5 | |4 |00:00:54 ~-~-> 00:00:58 |to make sure everybody understands what we're looking at, time wise, and | ||
6 | |5 |00:00:58 ~-~-> 00:01:04 |what specific chart on NASDAQ, you can see, let me add some lipstick in here. | ||
7 | |6 |00:01:05 ~-~-> 00:01:12 |If you look at the wick, here, it is a premium wick, and consequence of that | ||
8 | |7 |00:01:12 ~-~-> 00:01:23 |wick is here. And then I graded the lower quadrant and half of that wick. | ||
9 | |8 |00:01:23 ~-~-> 00:01:27 |You can see all of the details in here. And I think should we get | ||
10 | |9 |00:01:27 ~-~-> 00:01:37 |through this city? One, 940, 1.75 is the bullish draw on liquidity. Now, | ||
11 | |10 |00:01:37 ~-~-> 00:01:42 |obviously it's Sunday, early morning hours here in the east coast of United | ||
12 | |11 |00:01:42 ~-~-> 00:01:49 |States. So the market is not open. It is not giving me the opening price. So | ||
13 | |12 |00:01:49 ~-~-> 00:01:54 |without knowing that, I'm only looking at the likelihood of a continuation of | ||
14 | |13 |00:01:54 ~-~-> 00:02:02 |what's already underway. The top of the city is here at 21,006 60 even, | ||
15 | |14 |00:02:03 ~-~-> 00:02:11 |and we traded right up into that upper quadrant of that one this particular | ||
16 | |15 |00:02:11 ~-~-> 00:02:16 |trading week. All the details on here, you can look at that and study out on | ||
17 | |16 |00:02:16 ~-~-> 00:02:20 |your own, but I'm just focusing up here. I'm trying to avoid trying to | ||
18 | |17 |00:02:20 ~-~-> 00:02:26 |pick a top as you should as well. So if we see things that are aligned with | ||
19 | |18 |00:02:26 ~-~-> 00:02:30 |looking for higher prices throughout this week, looking for these | ||
20 | |19 |00:02:30 ~-~-> 00:02:38 |individual levels here, more specifically, 21 940, 1.75 and then if | ||
21 | |20 |00:02:38 ~-~-> 00:02:44 |we can get above the bounce point according to this premium wick, which | ||
22 | |21 |00:02:44 ~-~-> 00:02:52 |is the black top line here, if we get about 22, 103, that level being | ||
23 | |22 |00:02:52 ~-~-> 00:03:00 |breached would Send this into a continuation to all time highs. I All | ||
24 | |23 |00:03:01 ~-~-> 00:03:02 |right, | ||
25 | |24 |00:03:12 ~-~-> 00:03:15 |dropping down into the daily chart, same levels, just adding a little bit | ||
26 | |25 |00:03:15 ~-~-> 00:03:16 |more detail in here. | ||
27 | |26 |00:03:21 ~-~-> 00:03:26 |Inside this range, we may bang around for a few days or jump right out the | ||
28 | |27 |00:03:26 ~-~-> 00:03:34 |gate and run into that premium wick on the weekly chart. This in here needs | ||
29 | |28 |00:03:34 ~-~-> 00:03:38 |to stay open, in my opinion, because we've gained so much ground for them | ||
30 | |29 |00:03:38 ~-~-> 00:03:41 |to come all the way back down into this area in here, problematic, and | ||
31 | |30 |00:03:41 ~-~-> 00:03:50 |then it probably range around and chop in between the low of this 21,001 21 | ||
32 | |31 |00:03:51 ~-~-> 00:03:58 |city on the weekly and this gap in here. So it's kind of like Do or die. | ||
33 | |32 |00:03:59 ~-~-> 00:04:02 |I'd like to see it remain bullish. Otherwise it becomes very, very | ||
34 | |33 |00:04:02 ~-~-> 00:04:07 |difficult, and we could start seeing it do these types of things, if it | ||
35 | |34 |00:04:07 ~-~-> 00:04:08 |gets back down in here, all | ||
36 | |35 |00:04:14 ~-~-> 00:04:18 |right, dropping down into a 15 minute time frame. The Red level here, | ||
37 | |36 |00:04:18 ~-~-> 00:04:21 |obviously you can see that is being carried from the higher Time Frame | ||
38 | |37 |00:04:21 ~-~-> 00:04:26 |charts, so that it's going to be in the entire slides until we get to the | ||
39 | |38 |00:04:26 ~-~-> 00:04:30 |last few. If it's an issue for you, you don't like the color, I don't | ||
40 | |39 |00:04:30 ~-~-> 00:04:33 |care. Don't leave a comment, because I'm going to do it the way I want to | ||
41 | |40 |00:04:33 ~-~-> 00:04:36 |do it, and you're just going to have to accept the way I'm doing it. All | ||
42 | |41 |00:04:37 ~-~-> 00:04:41 |right? So you can see how we work these levels here. These are all the | ||
43 | |42 |00:04:41 ~-~-> 00:04:52 |quadrant levels in that weekly city, working around the 21,400 level or | ||
44 | |43 |00:04:52 ~-~-> 00:04:57 |thereabouts. Now, if you look real close, you can see there is a big | ||
45 | |44 |00:04:57 ~-~-> 00:05:05 |cell, solid liquidity pool. So. Are resting around the 21,300 level. That | ||
46 | |45 |00:05:05 ~-~-> 00:05:10 |might be an issue if we gap down. For instance, on Sundays opening, if we | ||
47 | |46 |00:05:10 ~-~-> 00:05:14 |gap down, I would look for them to take this low here and maybe even | ||
48 | |47 |00:05:14 ~-~-> 00:05:21 |color it down into this low here. Okay, but we've already done enough | ||
49 | |48 |00:05:21 ~-~-> 00:05:25 |damage down here that if they come down for these and start the refresh, | ||
50 | |49 |00:05:25 ~-~-> 00:05:30 |go back higher that that's fine by me, but the go below this low, and then | ||
51 | |50 |00:05:30 ~-~-> 00:05:35 |we've already unsettled the sales thoughts over here, with that run made | ||
52 | |51 |00:05:35 ~-~-> 00:05:40 |a higher high. So this is the only reasonable sell side liquidity pool. | ||
53 | |52 |00:05:40 ~-~-> 00:05:45 |Read that, I think is useful. But if we go below this one, then we're | ||
54 | |53 |00:05:45 ~-~-> 00:05:50 |probably problematic, and we could start seeing accelerations down into | ||
55 | |54 |00:05:50 ~-~-> 00:05:56 |this if this gives up the ghost. Okay, so these are just scenarios I'm | ||
56 | |55 |00:05:56 ~-~-> 00:06:00 |weighing out before the new week opens. Nobody knows where the new week | ||
57 | |56 |00:06:00 ~-~-> 00:06:03 |opening price is going to be, we don't know how it's going to gap higher, or | ||
58 | |57 |00:06:03 ~-~-> 00:06:07 |if it's going to gap lower, or if it's going to open unchanged from Friday | ||
59 | |58 |00:06:07 ~-~-> 00:06:14 |settlement price. So speculating on the initial bias. Is it 100% you know | ||
60 | |59 |00:06:17 ~-~-> 00:06:22 |the procedure that I would encourage you to do, because anything can | ||
61 | |60 |00:06:22 ~-~-> 00:06:26 |happen. Something can happen somewhere in the world, bombs are dropping, | ||
62 | |61 |00:06:26 ~-~-> 00:06:32 |anything geopolitical, and cause a crazy opening gap that would be | ||
63 | |62 |00:06:32 ~-~-> 00:06:36 |completely out of left field. Nobody expecting it. So you have to submit | ||
64 | |63 |00:06:36 ~-~-> 00:06:39 |yourself to six o'clock Eastern time, see where the open price. And then you | ||
65 | |64 |00:06:39 ~-~-> 00:06:42 |can start weighing out all your scenarios. But I just gave you both | ||
66 | |65 |00:06:42 ~-~-> 00:06:47 |scenarios. Both scenarios that would give me guess the narrative I would | ||
67 | |66 |00:06:47 ~-~-> 00:06:55 |operate under. If we gap in a lower gap opening, we're looking for that | ||
68 | |67 |00:06:55 ~-~-> 00:06:59 |low and that low for the South Side resting below that to remain bullish, | ||
69 | |68 |00:06:59 ~-~-> 00:07:04 |I don't want to see it below that low. So hopefully it kind of makes it clear | ||
70 | |69 |00:07:04 ~-~-> 00:07:07 |it's not that here's Plan A, here's Plan B, and whatever happens, I'm | ||
71 | |70 |00:07:07 ~-~-> 00:07:11 |going to come back and share things I see. How right I am. This is a matter | ||
72 | |71 |00:07:11 ~-~-> 00:07:16 |of weighing out what happened at Sunday's opening price, and you have | ||
73 | |72 |00:07:16 ~-~-> 00:07:21 |to have a trading plan of how you're going to engage based on how the | ||
74 | |73 |00:07:21 ~-~-> 00:07:26 |opening is on Sunday, at six o'clock, and what is pertinent in the market | ||
75 | |74 |00:07:26 ~-~-> 00:07:33 |right now, what's what's available for liquidity? They left the high up here | ||
76 | |75 |00:07:33 ~-~-> 00:07:41 |on Thursday. So if you look at that, there's a big pool of liquidity left | ||
77 | |76 |00:07:41 ~-~-> 00:07:47 |up here, and they could have baited with this late, late, late sell off | ||
78 | |77 |00:07:47 ~-~-> 00:07:52 |before the settlement at five o'clock Friday. So we'll see all | ||
79 | |78 |00:07:57 ~-~-> 00:08:02 |right, drop down to a one minute chart, looking at this chart like | ||
80 | |79 |00:08:02 ~-~-> 00:08:09 |this, while we're inside of that larger weekly city, I want you to take | ||
81 | |80 |00:08:09 ~-~-> 00:08:13 |consideration about how I teach first presented fair value gap for the am | ||
82 | |81 |00:08:13 ~-~-> 00:08:17 |session. So during the opening range of 930 to 10 o'clock in the morning, | ||
83 | |82 |00:08:18 ~-~-> 00:08:23 |as I was teaching the concept, because it's around the model that I'm taught | ||
84 | |83 |00:08:23 ~-~-> 00:08:30 |my son, Caleb, I gave him very specific rules so he would have to use | ||
85 | |84 |00:08:30 ~-~-> 00:08:34 |the very first presented fair value gap that he could use would be at 931 | ||
86 | |85 |00:08:34 ~-~-> 00:08:41 |Eastern Time, between 931 and 10 o'clock, the very first fair value gap | ||
87 | |86 |00:08:41 ~-~-> 00:08:48 |that forms on a one minute chart, that is his gap to use. Extend that | ||
88 | |87 |00:08:48 ~-~-> 00:08:51 |throughout the day and throughout the week, and you'll see how they're used | ||
89 | |88 |00:08:51 ~-~-> 00:08:56 |over and over and over again. You mentioned at the time, when I first | ||
90 | |89 |00:08:56 ~-~-> 00:09:02 |introduced this concept, I said that he would learn by experience. When he | ||
91 | |90 |00:09:02 ~-~-> 00:09:08 |could use the 931, minute fair value gap, it would take some time in | ||
92 | |91 |00:09:08 ~-~-> 00:09:13 |looking at certain things. So I'm ringing in that now because I executed | ||
93 | |92 |00:09:13 ~-~-> 00:09:16 |on it on Friday. You can watch the video that was posted prior to this | ||
94 | |93 |00:09:16 ~-~-> 00:09:25 |one. I want you to consider this candlestick right here. Now, normally | ||
95 | |94 |00:09:25 ~-~-> 00:09:31 |this would be your first presented fair value gap, but there's a criteria | ||
96 | |95 |00:09:31 ~-~-> 00:09:36 |that I'm going to show you when and how I use the 931 as the very first | ||
97 | |96 |00:09:36 ~-~-> 00:09:41 |percent of fair value gap. Now there's nothing inherently wrong with using | ||
98 | |97 |00:09:41 ~-~-> 00:09:45 |this one, you know, if you extend that throughout the day, eventually you'll | ||
99 | |98 |00:09:45 ~-~-> 00:09:47 |get something over here in the afternoon, but you're going to | ||
100 | |99 |00:09:47 ~-~-> 00:09:51 |discover that it's gets real wild in here, and it doesn't respect it as | ||
101 | |100 |00:09:51 ~-~-> 00:09:55 |much as the level of that 931 minute candlestick. You. | ||
102 | |101 |00:10:02 ~-~-> 00:10:04 |All right. So take a look in the lower right hand corner. You can see that | ||
103 | |102 |00:10:04 ~-~-> 00:10:10 |the chart now is toggled to regular trading hours, R, T, H, okay, so we're | ||
104 | |103 |00:10:10 ~-~-> 00:10:14 |going to see the gap, the difference between previous day's settlement | ||
105 | |104 |00:10:14 ~-~-> 00:10:24 |price at 4:14pm eastern time to where we open at 930 eastern time the very | ||
106 | |105 |00:10:24 ~-~-> 00:10:29 |next trading day. So it's not showing you all the fluctuations in price | ||
107 | |106 |00:10:29 ~-~-> 00:10:36 |overnight in Asia, in London and then before the new am session at 930 | ||
108 | |107 |00:10:37 ~-~-> 00:10:44 |Eastern time. So you have to be aware of that price action still, but you | ||
109 | |108 |00:10:44 ~-~-> 00:10:48 |can't ignore regular trading hour structure, which is what we're showing | ||
110 | |109 |00:10:48 ~-~-> 00:10:53 |here. Okay, so if you take a very close look at where we opened up from, | ||
111 | |110 |00:10:53 ~-~-> 00:11:00 |where we settled previous Thursday, at 4:14pm, Eastern Time, we have a very | ||
112 | |111 |00:11:00 ~-~-> 00:11:06 |large premium gap that opening price here does two things. Number one, it | ||
113 | |112 |00:11:06 ~-~-> 00:11:12 |triggers initial desire to want to be a buyer. Because a lot of retail | ||
114 | |113 |00:11:12 ~-~-> 00:11:17 |traders just see the price being flashed on the screen. It's like, | ||
115 | |114 |00:11:17 ~-~-> 00:11:22 |well, yeah, it's a strong opening. But what do we do after we open? That's | ||
116 | |115 |00:11:22 ~-~-> 00:11:26 |that's what a professional perspective is, not. Where are we at? Relationship | ||
117 | |116 |00:11:26 ~-~-> 00:11:30 |from the previous days closed to today's open? That's retail. That | ||
118 | |117 |00:11:30 ~-~-> 00:11:35 |perspective, that measurement of bullishness or bearishness, is | ||
119 | |118 |00:11:35 ~-~-> 00:11:41 |identified through that lens, but a professional sees it from. Where do we | ||
120 | |119 |00:11:41 ~-~-> 00:11:46 |open at and how do we close based on that open and you want to think about | ||
121 | |120 |00:11:46 ~-~-> 00:11:50 |that for your sessions, not necessarily just limiting it to daily | ||
122 | |121 |00:11:50 ~-~-> 00:11:54 |range in its entirety. You want to be thinking about from the beginning at | ||
123 | |122 |00:11:54 ~-~-> 00:11:58 |930 to say, 11 o'clock in the morning, Eastern Time. So that's your am | ||
124 | |123 |00:11:58 ~-~-> 00:12:05 |session. Same thing for the afternoon. Where do we start trading at 1:30pm | ||
125 | |124 |00:12:06 ~-~-> 00:12:10 |eastern time for that opening range for the pm session? What's that | ||
126 | |125 |00:12:10 ~-~-> 00:12:17 |opening price? The very first tick at nine, at 130 then where we close at | ||
127 | |126 |00:12:17 ~-~-> 00:12:23 |four o'clock? That could be your entire afternoon range and where we | ||
128 | |127 |00:12:23 ~-~-> 00:12:28 |open versus where we close. That's the professional measurement of the lay of | ||
129 | |128 |00:12:28 ~-~-> 00:12:35 |the land, how the market is delivered. So simply stated, we have a very high | ||
130 | |129 |00:12:35 ~-~-> 00:12:38 |premium opening here. But if you're looking at regular trading hours, | ||
131 | |130 |00:12:38 ~-~-> 00:12:42 |you're going to see that they opened it up above regular trading hours | ||
132 | |131 |00:12:42 ~-~-> 00:12:49 |relative equal highs. So in here we have Thursday's regular trading hours, | ||
133 | |132 |00:12:49 ~-~-> 00:12:58 |buy side liquidity, and now looking at this right there, this is your first | ||
134 | |133 |00:12:58 ~-~-> 00:13:08 |presented fair value gap, because it's done a raid on previous early trading | ||
135 | |134 |00:13:08 ~-~-> 00:13:13 |hours relative equal highs. And now with that opening here, we measure the | ||
136 | |135 |00:13:13 ~-~-> 00:13:18 |opening range gap to find the consequent encroachment of that soon | ||
137 | |136 |00:13:18 ~-~-> 00:13:22 |as we get the opening price, right there, right there, boom. You know | ||
138 | |137 |00:13:22 ~-~-> 00:13:25 |that you're looking for 70% likelihood it's going to pull back into that | ||
139 | |138 |00:13:25 ~-~-> 00:13:33 |opening range gap, 50% of it. Okay, so that's important to understand. When | ||
140 | |139 |00:13:33 ~-~-> 00:13:41 |we see this, it's almost as if you have X ray vision, and you can read | ||
141 | |140 |00:13:41 ~-~-> 00:13:45 |what price is reaching for and how it's engaging liquidity from both the | ||
142 | |141 |00:13:45 ~-~-> 00:13:51 |regular trading hours market structure and also incorporating the same ideas | ||
143 | |142 |00:13:51 ~-~-> 00:13:55 |with the electronic trading hours market structure, which we'll look at | ||
144 | |143 |00:13:55 ~-~-> 00:14:02 |in a moment. But this right here, that consequent encroachment is that level | ||
145 | |144 |00:14:02 ~-~-> 00:14:06 |right there. So it comes up later on, hits it. And if you look real close, | ||
146 | |145 |00:14:06 ~-~-> 00:14:11 |there's going to be minor buy side liquidity rating here. So this white | ||
147 | |146 |00:14:11 ~-~-> 00:14:16 |box is the opening range gap for the am session. So that's 930 to 10 | ||
148 | |147 |00:14:16 ~-~-> 00:14:23 |o'clock, that measurement. And we're looking for where we settled | ||
149 | |148 |00:14:23 ~-~-> 00:14:28 |previously, which is here and where we open, and that's what we're we're | ||
150 | |149 |00:14:28 ~-~-> 00:14:32 |showing a depiction of that. Okay, so we're blending two elements there, | ||
151 | |150 |00:14:32 ~-~-> 00:14:38 |time and price, and we're also blending in the elements of regular | ||
152 | |151 |00:14:38 ~-~-> 00:14:43 |trading hours, time and market structure and electronic trading hours | ||
153 | |152 |00:14:44 ~-~-> 00:14:48 |and market structure. So what do I mean by that? Well, before we do that, | ||
154 | |153 |00:14:48 ~-~-> 00:14:54 |I want you to notice that we have all this run up in here without having the | ||
155 | |154 |00:14:54 ~-~-> 00:14:59 |need to take out that low I want you to take a look in this little area | ||
156 | |155 |00:14:59 ~-~-> 00:15:03 |right in here, and. See if there's anything useful that you might see as | ||
157 | |156 |00:15:04 ~-~-> 00:15:10 |obviously, for you, it's going to be hindsight, but for an educators moment | ||
158 | |157 |00:15:10 ~-~-> 00:15:13 |to point out something to observe before we get further into the video | ||
159 | |158 |00:15:14 ~-~-> 00:15:19 |inside this area in here, if you don't take this low out and you're expecting | ||
160 | |159 |00:15:19 ~-~-> 00:15:22 |the market to break down, what might you consider in this little area in | ||
161 | |160 |00:15:22 ~-~-> 00:15:34 |here? Pause the video. I'm not going to pause the video. Michael, drop down | ||
162 | |161 |00:15:34 ~-~-> 00:15:39 |to the one minute chart. Now, I had this compressed and I'm showing it | ||
163 | |162 |00:15:39 ~-~-> 00:15:44 |through electronic trading hours now, so I've toggled my my eth, R, T, H, | ||
164 | |163 |00:15:44 ~-~-> 00:15:50 |back to electronic trading hours. I have the range shown here that makes | ||
165 | |164 |00:15:50 ~-~-> 00:15:57 |the opening range gap. That's that white shaded box here, if we're | ||
166 | |165 |00:15:57 ~-~-> 00:16:04 |looking at how the market trades from register trading hours and electronic | ||
167 | |166 |00:16:04 ~-~-> 00:16:08 |trading hours, you have to look at the stops that are there. You have to look | ||
168 | |167 |00:16:08 ~-~-> 00:16:13 |at how the market delivers to inefficiencies, from inefficiencies to | ||
169 | |168 |00:16:13 ~-~-> 00:16:19 |liquidity, from liquidity to inefficiencies and stripped down. | ||
170 | |169 |00:16:19 ~-~-> 00:16:22 |Let's just say you were looking at just the electronic trading hours | ||
171 | |170 |00:16:22 ~-~-> 00:16:27 |only, and you didn't even refer to regular trading hours. I teach you | ||
172 | |171 |00:16:27 ~-~-> 00:16:30 |that going back from pre market session, seven o'clock in the morning, | ||
173 | |172 |00:16:30 ~-~-> 00:16:36 |Eastern Time, to 930 opening bell, that 90 minute window of time that | ||
174 | |173 |00:16:36 ~-~-> 00:16:40 |could be your entire trading canvas, where you you do all your work there, | ||
175 | |174 |00:16:40 ~-~-> 00:16:44 |and you don't care what it does after the opening bell. Opening bell, it's | ||
176 | |175 |00:16:44 ~-~-> 00:16:53 |plenty of opportunity to do that. Or you want to use a session trading to | ||
177 | |176 |00:16:53 ~-~-> 00:16:58 |give yourself a little bit of a buffer, and then trade heavier handed | ||
178 | |177 |00:16:58 ~-~-> 00:17:01 |after you get the opening range and the true understanding of where the | ||
179 | |178 |00:17:01 ~-~-> 00:17:05 |market's going to go after 930 opening. That's a little bit more | ||
180 | |179 |00:17:05 ~-~-> 00:17:08 |advanced. That's what I usually do when I'm running up the accounts. I'll | ||
181 | |180 |00:17:08 ~-~-> 00:17:12 |do things like that. I'll build in a buffer right before the major session | ||
182 | |181 |00:17:12 ~-~-> 00:17:16 |I'm looking to trade, and that might be the afternoon. It might be I'm not | ||
183 | |182 |00:17:16 ~-~-> 00:17:20 |trading in the morning because FOMC rate announcements coming out later in | ||
184 | |183 |00:17:20 ~-~-> 00:17:25 |afternoon. So I will do very, very little light handed trading pre | ||
185 | |184 |00:17:25 ~-~-> 00:17:28 |session, because I know usually the morning session is going to be quiet, | ||
186 | |185 |00:17:28 ~-~-> 00:17:34 |lethargic, choppy, and then after the initial distribution of price higher, | ||
187 | |186 |00:17:34 ~-~-> 00:17:41 |lower, at the 230 conference, when they're now going to listen to the Fed | ||
188 | |187 |00:17:41 ~-~-> 00:17:45 |Chairman speak. That's usually the real move. And because I've done | ||
189 | |188 |00:17:45 ~-~-> 00:17:49 |something early in the day, I've patted myself out, I would be willing | ||
190 | |189 |00:17:49 ~-~-> 00:17:54 |to risk 7550 to 75% of whatever I earned in that light handed trading to | ||
191 | |190 |00:17:54 ~-~-> 00:17:59 |leverage into what I think is the real move in the afternoon. So these are | ||
192 | |191 |00:17:59 ~-~-> 00:18:05 |some of the things that I like to do, and how I use planned leverage and | ||
193 | |192 |00:18:06 ~-~-> 00:18:09 |light handed trading, where I build a little buffer for the real big, | ||
194 | |193 |00:18:09 ~-~-> 00:18:14 |impactful event I'm trying to actually trade that day or session. But if I | ||
195 | |194 |00:18:15 ~-~-> 00:18:19 |take your attention back to some of the things I've taught using the | ||
196 | |195 |00:18:19 ~-~-> 00:18:23 |obvious pools of liquidity that they cannot hide it from you. Okay? You | ||
197 | |196 |00:18:23 ~-~-> 00:18:26 |don't need level two data. You don't need volume profile. You don't need | ||
198 | |197 |00:18:26 ~-~-> 00:18:29 |any you don't need any hand stuff. Okay, you don't need none of those | ||
199 | |198 |00:18:29 ~-~-> 00:18:33 |things, but it makes you feel and look intelligent in the eyes of other | ||
200 | |199 |00:18:33 ~-~-> 00:18:37 |people when they look at your chart. It seems scientific, but it's | ||
201 | |200 |00:18:37 ~-~-> 00:18:43 |simplistically shown by looking at time first. So if we're looking at the | ||
202 | |201 |00:18:43 ~-~-> 00:18:49 |930 opening range, Eastern Time for equities open, going back in time, | ||
203 | |202 |00:18:49 ~-~-> 00:18:52 |what's the first thing you're going to run into? London? Sessions, liquidity? | ||
204 | |203 |00:18:52 ~-~-> 00:18:57 |Well, here you go. Here's London's low. What happens prior to that? Asia | ||
205 | |204 |00:18:57 ~-~-> 00:19:03 |sessions low. So those are two levels that we would be looking for when we | ||
206 | |205 |00:19:03 ~-~-> 00:19:09 |have the market opening up trading above this short term high, this short | ||
207 | |206 |00:19:09 ~-~-> 00:19:17 |term high here, and then bumping it right there at the open so just think, | ||
208 | |207 |00:19:17 ~-~-> 00:19:21 |just think about that for a second. Okay, we have a blending of a blending | ||
209 | |208 |00:19:21 ~-~-> 00:19:25 |of regular trading hours and electronic trading hours to see, kind | ||
210 | |209 |00:19:25 ~-~-> 00:19:30 |of like an envelope, a barrier at which we want to see price reaching | ||
211 | |210 |00:19:30 ~-~-> 00:19:36 |for obvious pools of liquidity that doesn't need level two data is | ||
212 | |211 |00:19:36 ~-~-> 00:19:41 |pointing to, where was the high at, where was the low at in the Asian | ||
213 | |212 |00:19:41 ~-~-> 00:19:47 |session, in the London session, and now we're building them for the | ||
214 | |213 |00:19:47 ~-~-> 00:19:51 |morning session that can be used for the afternoon or lunch macro. So | ||
215 | |214 |00:19:55 ~-~-> 00:19:59 |this little bump up here taking out that high, that's something I point. | ||
216 | |215 |00:20:00 ~-~-> 00:20:05 |It out to in one of my students live streams, Dasha. You know her as Lu | ||
217 | |216 |00:20:05 ~-~-> 00:20:10 |trader. So I shared that. I said I ran to buy stops here, and now I'm gonna | ||
218 | |217 |00:20:10 ~-~-> 00:20:17 |be looking for 21,003 60, and that's based on London low. Okay, so I have | ||
219 | |218 |00:20:17 ~-~-> 00:20:21 |witnesses over there that'll corroborate and say, Yeah, he did | ||
220 | |219 |00:20:21 ~-~-> 00:20:26 |that, but without having the need to do that type of thing. I mean, | ||
221 | |220 |00:20:26 ~-~-> 00:20:28 |obviously I've been doing this enough. Now, if you've been following me, if | ||
222 | |221 |00:20:28 ~-~-> 00:20:31 |you're a student, you know that there's no hindsight required. I'm | ||
223 | |222 |00:20:31 ~-~-> 00:20:36 |pointing to these things. I just want you to look for these types of | ||
224 | |223 |00:20:36 ~-~-> 00:20:40 |conditions, these setups, these parameters, so that way you can start | ||
225 | |224 |00:20:40 ~-~-> 00:20:44 |to formulate a routine that you follow every single session. You're not | ||
226 | |225 |00:20:44 ~-~-> 00:20:47 |trying to reinvent the wheel. You're not trying to complicate it. You're | ||
227 | |226 |00:20:47 ~-~-> 00:20:51 |not trying to bring every tool, every aspect of whatever I've taught into | ||
228 | |227 |00:20:51 ~-~-> 00:20:55 |every situation, because every situation doesn't warrant every PD | ||
229 | |228 |00:20:55 ~-~-> 00:20:59 |array, every school of thought that ICT has ever codified. And you know | ||
230 | |229 |00:20:59 ~-~-> 00:21:03 |that's that's you as a student, or that's someone that doesn't want to | ||
231 | |230 |00:21:03 ~-~-> 00:21:06 |learn how to use this thought. They just see all these tools, these these | ||
232 | |231 |00:21:06 ~-~-> 00:21:09 |concepts, these procedures, and they think, Oh, this is who's going to do | ||
233 | |232 |00:21:09 ~-~-> 00:21:14 |all that. Well, there's, there's no application ever by me, or a | ||
234 | |233 |00:21:15 ~-~-> 00:21:19 |instruction by me to try to throw everything I have into every | ||
235 | |234 |00:21:19 ~-~-> 00:21:23 |situation. Right now, looking at a chart, you're not going to have every | ||
236 | |235 |00:21:23 ~-~-> 00:21:30 |PDA right there. That's why knowing all of them generally is a good thing, | ||
237 | |236 |00:21:30 ~-~-> 00:21:35 |but you're going to specialize in one or two, and that's all you need. And | ||
238 | |237 |00:21:36 ~-~-> 00:21:42 |your setup might not form that given moment, and you let it go, and you | ||
239 | |238 |00:21:42 ~-~-> 00:21:47 |trust that you'll find another setup or and this is my hope, that you'll | ||
240 | |239 |00:21:47 ~-~-> 00:21:50 |learn a lot of the continuation patterns that I teach with PD arrays, | ||
241 | |240 |00:21:50 ~-~-> 00:21:57 |like volume imbalances, mitigation blocks, institutional or entry drills. | ||
242 | |241 |00:21:57 ~-~-> 00:22:00 |You know that that type of thing, that's why it's beneficial for you to | ||
243 | |242 |00:22:00 ~-~-> 00:22:06 |know, like month fours content, in my core content, mentorship lessons, you | ||
244 | |243 |00:22:06 ~-~-> 00:22:10 |can find that on the YouTube channel where I'm teaching the PD array matrix | ||
245 | |244 |00:22:10 ~-~-> 00:22:15 |and the general introduction to the basic PD arrays, not all 81 of them, | ||
246 | |245 |00:22:15 ~-~-> 00:22:19 |but just the the most pertinent ones that I think that's going to be easy | ||
247 | |246 |00:22:19 ~-~-> 00:22:23 |for the majority of all of you as retail traders, being able to see that | ||
248 | |247 |00:22:23 ~-~-> 00:22:27 |in price action and how useful they are. So I want you to take a look at | ||
249 | |248 |00:22:27 ~-~-> 00:22:32 |this buy side liquidity here, taken, buy sell liquidity here, taken, buy | ||
250 | |249 |00:22:32 ~-~-> 00:22:38 |sell liquidity here, taken, and we're seeing this occur in electronic | ||
251 | |250 |00:22:38 ~-~-> 00:22:44 |trading hours that leads to that big pump up that keeps us above the | ||
252 | |251 |00:22:44 ~-~-> 00:22:49 |relative equal highs in the regular trading hours. Remember, we're looking | ||
253 | |252 |00:22:49 ~-~-> 00:22:54 |at electronic trading hours here. Okay, so this is one of the things | ||
254 | |253 |00:22:54 ~-~-> 00:22:59 |that new students with me, or those that maybe already trade but never | ||
255 | |254 |00:22:59 ~-~-> 00:23:03 |know how to consider regular trading hours versus the effects of electronic | ||
256 | |255 |00:23:03 ~-~-> 00:23:07 |trading hours market structure. You have to blend both of them, and if you | ||
257 | |256 |00:23:07 ~-~-> 00:23:10 |think that's a complication, I'm sorry, but it's going to require a | ||
258 | |257 |00:23:10 ~-~-> 00:23:15 |little bit of thought, Okay, you're trading against the most elite minds | ||
259 | |258 |00:23:15 ~-~-> 00:23:23 |in the financial world markets arena. You're literally up against | ||
260 | |259 |00:23:23 ~-~-> 00:23:29 |juggernauts with billions and billions of dollars behind them and complaining | ||
261 | |260 |00:23:29 ~-~-> 00:23:33 |about how, you know, this should be easier for me, then I'm not your | ||
262 | |261 |00:23:33 ~-~-> 00:23:36 |mentor. You need to go find somebody else, find somebody who's moving | ||
263 | |262 |00:23:36 ~-~-> 00:23:39 |average, crossover indicator, that type of stuff, and just do really, | ||
264 | |263 |00:23:39 ~-~-> 00:23:42 |really good risk management, and you might be profitable. Yeah, and I wish | ||
265 | |264 |00:23:42 ~-~-> 00:23:46 |you good luck, and God bless you if that's what you want to do. But I just | ||
266 | |265 |00:23:46 ~-~-> 00:23:50 |don't, I don't think like that. I want to know what's going on. I want to | ||
267 | |266 |00:23:50 ~-~-> 00:23:53 |know how I can formulate a plan that the algorithm will refer back to the | ||
268 | |267 |00:23:53 ~-~-> 00:23:59 |same things I'm teaching you. Everything stems from time, delivery | ||
269 | |268 |00:24:00 ~-~-> 00:24:04 |and then price. It's time for the market to do something before price | ||
270 | |269 |00:24:04 ~-~-> 00:24:09 |will do it. That's it. The only time it doesn't occur like that is when | ||
271 | |270 |00:24:09 ~-~-> 00:24:12 |there's a geopolitical upset, some kind of thing that you didn't see, a | ||
272 | |271 |00:24:12 ~-~-> 00:24:17 |terrorist attack, a bombing, a war breaks out, an assassination, a | ||
273 | |272 |00:24:17 ~-~-> 00:24:24 |terrible earthquake rocks a specific area, anything of that nature, that's | ||
274 | |273 |00:24:24 ~-~-> 00:24:30 |an act of God. You just can't predict those types of things. So apart from | ||
275 | |274 |00:24:30 ~-~-> 00:24:35 |those things occurring in manual intervention, markets going to book by | ||
276 | |275 |00:24:36 ~-~-> 00:24:40 |time based delivery first and it's going to refer to price when it's time | ||
277 | |276 |00:24:40 ~-~-> 00:24:44 |to refer to price. That's what an algorithm does. That's what this price | ||
278 | |277 |00:24:44 ~-~-> 00:24:50 |engine does. There is absolutely one algorithm on every instrument that is | ||
279 | |278 |00:24:50 ~-~-> 00:24:56 |delivering price. It's not buying and selling pressure. It's this engine | ||
280 | |279 |00:24:56 ~-~-> 00:25:01 |that keeps pushing offering higher prices no matter. How many people want | ||
281 | |280 |00:25:01 ~-~-> 00:25:03 |to sell it? That's going to keep ticking and keep ticking, keep | ||
282 | |281 |00:25:03 ~-~-> 00:25:06 |ticking, offering higher prices. And because there's people always coming | ||
283 | |282 |00:25:06 ~-~-> 00:25:09 |in at market orders, and because there's pending orders, there's always | ||
284 | |283 |00:25:09 ~-~-> 00:25:12 |going to be a price that they can use that the book. You only need one | ||
285 | |284 |00:25:12 ~-~-> 00:25:18 |contract to cause the price to create the candlestick at that higher low. | ||
286 | |285 |00:25:18 ~-~-> 00:25:26 |You don't need big volume. The folks that believe in volume having any real | ||
287 | |286 |00:25:26 ~-~-> 00:25:33 |basis behind all this, it's infantile, because there's liquidity above the | ||
288 | |287 |00:25:33 ~-~-> 00:25:37 |high that never gets tapped. There's liquidity below the lows that never | ||
289 | |288 |00:25:37 ~-~-> 00:25:41 |gets tapped. What constitutes the reasons for why it doesn't get there, | ||
290 | |289 |00:25:41 ~-~-> 00:25:45 |because it's certainly not an unwillingness for people to buy and | ||
291 | |290 |00:25:45 ~-~-> 00:25:48 |sell just because it went to a specific level. There's people that | ||
292 | |291 |00:25:48 ~-~-> 00:25:52 |are stupid. They just they trade moon cycles and in horoscopes and things | ||
293 | |292 |00:25:52 ~-~-> 00:25:55 |like that. There's all kinds of nonsense that's constantly out there | ||
294 | |293 |00:25:55 ~-~-> 00:26:00 |causing people to be impulsive. So why does the market stop at my levels? Why | ||
295 | |294 |00:26:00 ~-~-> 00:26:04 |is it? Why does it respect those types of things? Because I'm aligned with | ||
296 | |295 |00:26:04 ~-~-> 00:26:08 |what the algorithm is going to do, I'm keying in on where the actual | ||
297 | |296 |00:26:08 ~-~-> 00:26:12 |liquidity is that you can just simply see visually. You don't need any kind | ||
298 | |297 |00:26:12 ~-~-> 00:26:16 |of instrument, any kind of service that tells you this is how many orders | ||
299 | |298 |00:26:16 ~-~-> 00:26:21 |are above or below this level or at this level. All those things could be | ||
300 | |299 |00:26:21 ~-~-> 00:26:25 |faked. Big institutions do that a lot. They'll put a big, big order, a block | ||
301 | |300 |00:26:25 ~-~-> 00:26:30 |of 500 600 1000 contracts at a specific level, because they know all | ||
302 | |301 |00:26:30 ~-~-> 00:26:36 |of you are constantly out here trying to find signs that the big guys are | ||
303 | |302 |00:26:36 ~-~-> 00:26:40 |doing. And then, because you see these big blocks orders, you're going to | ||
304 | |303 |00:26:40 ~-~-> 00:26:43 |naturally assume that, well, I think they're going to go up and get that | ||
305 | |304 |00:26:43 ~-~-> 00:26:46 |big order up there. So what's that going to do that's going to lull you | ||
306 | |305 |00:26:46 ~-~-> 00:26:50 |into and prime you to be a buyer, until we get up and hit that level, | ||
307 | |306 |00:26:52 ~-~-> 00:26:55 |when, in fact, what they're doing is that they're selling into that in | ||
308 | |307 |00:26:55 ~-~-> 00:26:59 |smaller blocks as it's going up there, but right before it gets close enough, | ||
309 | |308 |00:26:59 ~-~-> 00:27:04 |they pull that order away, that's spoofing. But you you don't think | ||
310 | |309 |00:27:04 ~-~-> 00:27:08 |that's going to be an issue for you, because everybody in the circles on | ||
311 | |310 |00:27:08 ~-~-> 00:27:14 |Reddit and Facebook groups and Instagram and tick tock and X, you all | ||
312 | |311 |00:27:14 ~-~-> 00:27:18 |think that that makes you scientific. It makes you a professional trader. It | ||
313 | |312 |00:27:18 ~-~-> 00:27:21 |makes you institutionally minded, because you have level two data, all | ||
314 | |313 |00:27:21 ~-~-> 00:27:29 |you have, all you have, is a myth, because those things don't make price | ||
315 | |314 |00:27:29 ~-~-> 00:27:32 |go up and down. There's a lot of those orders aren't even there. Actually, | ||
316 | |315 |00:27:32 ~-~-> 00:27:38 |when you see price go there over time, the order size starts to diminish. It | ||
317 | |316 |00:27:38 ~-~-> 00:27:41 |starts to diminish. It starts to diminish. And once you get there, look | ||
318 | |317 |00:27:41 ~-~-> 00:27:46 |at the time and sales. A lot of times the number of contracts that you saw | ||
319 | |318 |00:27:46 ~-~-> 00:27:50 |initially. They're not actually traded there. So how are you gonna have any | ||
320 | |319 |00:27:50 ~-~-> 00:27:55 |faith behind that? And it doesn't give you direction, because there's lots of | ||
321 | |320 |00:27:55 ~-~-> 00:28:00 |orders above and below market price. There's ladders above with price | ||
322 | |321 |00:28:00 ~-~-> 00:28:06 |levels and below market price. So what's making you feel so sure that | ||
323 | |322 |00:28:06 ~-~-> 00:28:11 |the number of contracts that you're looking at on this DOM depth of | ||
324 | |323 |00:28:11 ~-~-> 00:28:17 |market, it's not dumb. What constitutes the reasons why you should | ||
325 | |324 |00:28:17 ~-~-> 00:28:21 |expect the price going up that level or down to that level? When, if you | ||
326 | |325 |00:28:21 ~-~-> 00:28:25 |really look at it, it's generally a pretty much an even distribution of | ||
327 | |326 |00:28:26 ~-~-> 00:28:29 |how they bracket all those things. Because they're they're controlling | ||
328 | |327 |00:28:29 ~-~-> 00:28:33 |you, they're influencing you with those things. They can do a lot of | ||
329 | |328 |00:28:33 ~-~-> 00:28:39 |stuff just outside the range of market price. And a lot of you, collectively, | ||
330 | |329 |00:28:40 ~-~-> 00:28:44 |even though you're small fry retail traders, a lot of you are looking at | ||
331 | |330 |00:28:44 ~-~-> 00:28:49 |those things, and they only need one contract of your trading to book price | ||
332 | |331 |00:28:49 ~-~-> 00:28:52 |and cause all kinds of chaos and ripples to go through the marketplace. | ||
333 | |332 |00:28:53 ~-~-> 00:28:58 |So yes, they can use the back of a retail traders order and break the | ||
334 | |333 |00:28:58 ~-~-> 00:29:02 |market and start the spooling effect and take price wherever they want to | ||
335 | |334 |00:29:03 ~-~-> 00:29:09 |go. Markets don't always turn on big volume, and if you studied volume, | ||
336 | |335 |00:29:10 ~-~-> 00:29:15 |you'll know that a lot of times when the market makes a high, they're doing | ||
337 | |336 |00:29:15 ~-~-> 00:29:19 |it with less volume than the previous volume seen at the previous high. So | ||
338 | |337 |00:29:19 ~-~-> 00:29:25 |think of it as a false breakout. In that sense, volume does precede price, | ||
339 | |338 |00:29:25 ~-~-> 00:29:28 |but I already expect that type of stuff happen before volume ever even | ||
340 | |339 |00:29:28 ~-~-> 00:29:34 |comes into conversation. So I don't look at those archaic tools. There's | ||
341 | |340 |00:29:34 ~-~-> 00:29:38 |reference points, because I know how liquidity gonna come in the | ||
342 | |341 |00:29:38 ~-~-> 00:29:43 |marketplace. I know, and you don't need any of these external tools. All | ||
343 | |342 |00:29:43 ~-~-> 00:29:46 |you need is a chart, the open, high, low and close. And what time is the | ||
344 | |343 |00:29:47 ~-~-> 00:29:48 |high and low formed. | ||
345 | |344 |00:29:50 ~-~-> 00:29:56 |Asia session, London, session, pre market. Session, seven o'clock to 930 | ||
346 | |345 |00:29:56 ~-~-> 00:30:01 |open, and then you have the 930 to 11. O'clock, where's your liquidity in | ||
347 | |346 |00:30:01 ~-~-> 00:30:05 |net? Because that's your am session. And then lunch macro will pull against | ||
348 | |347 |00:30:05 ~-~-> 00:30:10 |that, even it's going to stay consolidation, or if it's going to | ||
349 | |348 |00:30:10 ~-~-> 00:30:14 |reverse or continue, it's going to go back into the range for that liquidity | ||
350 | |349 |00:30:14 ~-~-> 00:30:20 |that was formed at 10 o'clock, going into whatever it has done during the | ||
351 | |350 |00:30:20 ~-~-> 00:30:24 |lunch hours. It does this every day, folks, every day it does that. And | ||
352 | |351 |00:30:24 ~-~-> 00:30:31 |then you had the pm session, which will use the lunch macro liquidity and | ||
353 | |352 |00:30:31 ~-~-> 00:30:36 |or the am session liquidity. And that cycle repeats over and over and over | ||
354 | |353 |00:30:36 ~-~-> 00:30:41 |again. They cannot hide it from you. They cannot cause any kind of | ||
355 | |354 |00:30:41 ~-~-> 00:30:45 |distortion in your data. Okay, everybody is going to have the same | ||
356 | |355 |00:30:45 ~-~-> 00:30:49 |price high and low across all the brokers, because you're trading in a | ||
357 | |356 |00:30:49 ~-~-> 00:30:52 |real market. You're not trading a CFD, you're not trading in forex, where | ||
358 | |357 |00:30:52 ~-~-> 00:30:57 |every broker gets to mess around with the highs and the lows. That's this. | ||
359 | |358 |00:30:57 ~-~-> 00:31:01 |What makes these markets better. They're a gentleman's market. They're | ||
360 | |359 |00:31:01 ~-~-> 00:31:05 |not a cowboy that wants a ride like on a crypto market where everybody gets a | ||
361 | |360 |00:31:05 ~-~-> 00:31:10 |chance to do stupid stuff. So that jaw bone a little bit there. I apologize, | ||
362 | |361 |00:31:12 ~-~-> 00:31:15 |but I want you to take a look at this area right in here, | ||
363 | |362 |00:31:20 ~-~-> 00:31:25 |zoomed in now, and I want you to see how, see all these highs here, just | ||
364 | |363 |00:31:25 ~-~-> 00:31:31 |falling short of this area, right in here, this city. So it's Unbound, buy | ||
365 | |364 |00:31:31 ~-~-> 00:31:38 |some inefficiency, minor buy side liquidity here, the market stays in | ||
366 | |365 |00:31:38 ~-~-> 00:31:44 |this consolidation. So at 930 we open, we hang around, bang around, bang | ||
367 | |366 |00:31:44 ~-~-> 00:31:47 |around, bang around, and finally retrace back up. Because if it's going | ||
368 | |367 |00:31:47 ~-~-> 00:31:51 |to go down, they're going to price in a premium, and they're going to take | ||
369 | |368 |00:31:51 ~-~-> 00:31:56 |out some measure of buy side. And that's this area right here, trades | ||
370 | |369 |00:31:56 ~-~-> 00:32:03 |right up into that level. And then breaks comes back up, breaks one more | ||
371 | |370 |00:32:03 ~-~-> 00:32:08 |time, and in here I'm looking for a short because we're in the lower | ||
372 | |371 |00:32:08 ~-~-> 00:32:23 |portions now of this city. Add in the other, which I'll have in my charts in | ||
373 | |372 |00:32:23 ~-~-> 00:32:27 |a second. But the way I teach first present the fair value gap this week, | ||
374 | |373 |00:32:27 ~-~-> 00:32:30 |I pointed out several of them, and you're instructed by me to always | ||
375 | |374 |00:32:30 ~-~-> 00:32:34 |project them in the future. So in trading view, you just toggle it | ||
376 | |375 |00:32:34 ~-~-> 00:32:38 |extend to the right. And if you do that and you label them as you'll see | ||
377 | |376 |00:32:38 ~-~-> 00:32:42 |mine in a moment. It helps you stay organized. But you don't have to have | ||
378 | |377 |00:32:42 ~-~-> 00:32:45 |the all these things on your chart that you're looking at every day, all | ||
379 | |378 |00:32:45 ~-~-> 00:32:50 |day long. You should always have a naked chart, nothing on it, because it | ||
380 | |379 |00:32:50 ~-~-> 00:32:56 |allows you to see things with a blank slate or a canvas that doesn't have | ||
381 | |380 |00:32:56 ~-~-> 00:33:01 |any paint on it. It gives you a fresh perspective constantly. So throughout | ||
382 | |381 |00:33:01 ~-~-> 00:33:05 |the day, throughout the morning session, the afternoon session, I'll | ||
383 | |382 |00:33:05 ~-~-> 00:33:08 |take everything off my chart and look at price action like that. So that | ||
384 | |383 |00:33:08 ~-~-> 00:33:12 |way, I'm not marrying the idea. I'm not forcing my will in the | ||
385 | |384 |00:33:12 ~-~-> 00:33:17 |marketplace. Because by having all these annotations on the chart, if I'm | ||
386 | |385 |00:33:17 ~-~-> 00:33:20 |making examples for you, and I'm executing and taking live trades, | ||
387 | |386 |00:33:20 ~-~-> 00:33:25 |these annotations are not necessarily on my chart when I'm trading, because | ||
388 | |387 |00:33:26 ~-~-> 00:33:33 |I don't want to force that outcome on my end result expectations. And you | ||
389 | |388 |00:33:33 ~-~-> 00:33:38 |can do that by addressing your chart a lot, and by managing the information | ||
390 | |389 |00:33:38 ~-~-> 00:33:43 |that you're curating, taking all these things, first present to fair value | ||
391 | |390 |00:33:43 ~-~-> 00:33:47 |gaps, new week opening gaps, New Day opening gaps. I have nothing on my | ||
392 | |391 |00:33:47 ~-~-> 00:33:51 |chart, no reference at all to those there, like I'm not looking at new | ||
393 | |392 |00:33:51 ~-~-> 00:33:55 |week opening gaps or New Day opening gaps in any things I'm showing you | ||
394 | |393 |00:33:55 ~-~-> 00:34:00 |here today, all of those things add, but you don't have to apply it to | ||
395 | |394 |00:34:00 ~-~-> 00:34:06 |every, not to every, to the chart you're looking at your your Bellwether | ||
396 | |395 |00:34:06 ~-~-> 00:34:10 |chart, the one you look at basically majority of the time throughout the | ||
397 | |396 |00:34:10 ~-~-> 00:34:13 |trading sessions that you're trading. You want to have templates. You want | ||
398 | |397 |00:34:13 ~-~-> 00:34:17 |to have things that you can toggle and refer back to periodically, like every | ||
399 | |398 |00:34:17 ~-~-> 00:34:21 |couple minutes you and say, Where are we at? In regards to the last five new | ||
400 | |399 |00:34:21 ~-~-> 00:34:24 |day opening gaps. Where are we at in regards to the last five new week | ||
401 | |400 |00:34:24 ~-~-> 00:34:32 |opening gaps? Where are we in regards to in the Asian session liquidity from | ||
402 | |401 |00:34:32 ~-~-> 00:34:37 |earlier in the week, Monday or Tuesday or Wednesday? You want to constantly | ||
403 | |402 |00:34:37 ~-~-> 00:34:41 |be referring to all those pools of liquidity, and you will start to see | ||
404 | |403 |00:34:41 ~-~-> 00:34:45 |the rhyme and reason of what price is doing, but until you start keeping a | ||
405 | |404 |00:34:45 ~-~-> 00:34:48 |log of all these things, you won't fully appreciate what I've been what | ||
406 | |405 |00:34:48 ~-~-> 00:34:52 |I've been teaching all these years in front of you, and in executing on it, | ||
407 | |406 |00:34:52 ~-~-> 00:34:56 |my students execute on it. The fact that you can't identify any of it is | ||
408 | |407 |00:34:56 ~-~-> 00:34:59 |because you're not annotating your chart and logging them and collecting | ||
409 | |408 |00:34:59 ~-~-> 00:35:03 |them and. Studying at the end of the week, before the week opens up, you | ||
410 | |409 |00:35:03 ~-~-> 00:35:06 |should have already spent about 30 minutes, to a maximum of an hour, | ||
411 | |410 |00:35:06 ~-~-> 00:35:11 |reviewing where the turning points took place intra week, intraday, what | ||
412 | |411 |00:35:11 ~-~-> 00:35:14 |was the weekly high and the low? How did that relate to what the weekly | ||
413 | |412 |00:35:14 ~-~-> 00:35:19 |chart and the monthly chart is suggesting, and you get closer to what | ||
414 | |413 |00:35:19 ~-~-> 00:35:21 |the market's doing by doing things like that. | ||
415 | |414 |00:35:26 ~-~-> 00:35:31 |All right, so this is your first retentive fair value gap, and | ||
416 | |415 |00:35:31 ~-~-> 00:35:35 |consequent encroachment of that gap is here. So you can see we traded up into | ||
417 | |416 |00:35:35 ~-~-> 00:35:39 |it, bumping the buy side, consequent encroachment of first retentive fair | ||
418 | |417 |00:35:39 ~-~-> 00:35:44 |value gap at 930 breaks lower, comes back up, hits it one more time there, | ||
419 | |418 |00:35:44 ~-~-> 00:35:49 |and we're staying outside of what the upper half. That's order flow theory | ||
420 | |419 |00:35:49 ~-~-> 00:35:55 |with my PD arrays. It's always like that. It's always like that. And no, | ||
421 | |420 |00:35:55 ~-~-> 00:35:58 |you don't find that in any books. I had another Joker on X yesterday | ||
422 | |421 |00:35:59 ~-~-> 00:36:02 |talking the same nonsense. It's all these concepts have always existed, | ||
423 | |422 |00:36:03 ~-~-> 00:36:07 |but they never tell you what book, what author, what page number, and | ||
424 | |423 |00:36:07 ~-~-> 00:36:11 |show them doing what I'm doing here. It's not there, folks, it's not and I | ||
425 | |424 |00:36:11 ~-~-> 00:36:15 |love sound like a broken record, because it needs to happen, because | ||
426 | |425 |00:36:15 ~-~-> 00:36:18 |you have AI. And the more people constantly put out their false | ||
427 | |426 |00:36:18 ~-~-> 00:36:22 |information, they will lay down a false narrative saying that this was | ||
428 | |427 |00:36:22 ~-~-> 00:36:25 |stuff that was seen in books, and that's why I challenge people. That's | ||
429 | |428 |00:36:25 ~-~-> 00:36:29 |why I remind all of you I have 5 million US dollars that says you can't | ||
430 | |429 |00:36:29 ~-~-> 00:36:35 |find my work anywhere prior to 1996 it's, in fact, you look at it like | ||
431 | |430 |00:36:35 ~-~-> 00:36:40 |this, in 2016 when I started doing paid mentorship, that's when I was | ||
432 | |431 |00:36:40 ~-~-> 00:36:45 |revealing it to the public in a broad range where I wasn't doing it one on | ||
433 | |432 |00:36:45 ~-~-> 00:36:53 |one, like I was in the 90s. So 2016 you don't even have to go back prior | ||
434 | |433 |00:36:53 ~-~-> 00:37:03 |in prior to 1996 just go to 2015 Okay. Can you find it there? No, it exploded | ||
435 | |434 |00:37:03 ~-~-> 00:37:07 |because my mentorship was so sought after, and everybody copied it, | ||
436 | |435 |00:37:07 ~-~-> 00:37:10 |everybody paired it, and all sampled from it. They all sample from it. | ||
437 | |436 |00:37:12 ~-~-> 00:37:15 |That's okay. I mean, that's what a teacher wants, right? He wants | ||
438 | |437 |00:37:15 ~-~-> 00:37:19 |students to learn. But there's this movement they want to try to hide the | ||
439 | |438 |00:37:19 ~-~-> 00:37:23 |fact that I'm its originator. I'm its creator, and I codified these things, | ||
440 | |439 |00:37:23 ~-~-> 00:37:27 |and they did not exist in any form, fashion, any way, as you see me | ||
441 | |440 |00:37:27 ~-~-> 00:37:32 |teaching and using them. That's why no one else handles them as well as I do. | ||
442 | |441 |00:37:32 ~-~-> 00:37:39 |You are forced to look at these concepts. They're your own perspective | ||
443 | |442 |00:37:41 ~-~-> 00:37:45 |during the times that you can trade during the times of your study, and | ||
444 | |443 |00:37:45 ~-~-> 00:37:48 |you're going to see that the way I have created this language for you, | ||
445 | |444 |00:37:49 ~-~-> 00:37:54 |you can engage this algorithm, this market, and do things that fits your | ||
446 | |445 |00:37:54 ~-~-> 00:37:59 |schedule, your personal life, your personality, your you're given The | ||
447 | |446 |00:37:59 ~-~-> 00:38:05 |freedom to pick whatever PDA Ray you want. Who says that you have to be at | ||
448 | |447 |00:38:05 ~-~-> 00:38:09 |the high when you're shorting? You don't. Who says you have to be at the | ||
449 | |448 |00:38:09 ~-~-> 00:38:13 |low when you're going long? You don't. I don't always get the opportunity to | ||
450 | |449 |00:38:13 ~-~-> 00:38:16 |be in front of my computers when the setups there and I can't enter the | ||
451 | |450 |00:38:16 ~-~-> 00:38:22 |trade right at the low or the high. So I'll use continuation ideas that my PD | ||
452 | |451 |00:38:22 ~-~-> 00:38:26 |arrays offer me, because I'm looking at order flow, I'm trusting that what | ||
453 | |452 |00:38:26 ~-~-> 00:38:29 |I'm expecting to be delivered, I can still free my trade and manage risk, | ||
454 | |453 |00:38:29 ~-~-> 00:38:38 |you know, in a manner that's not excessive. So let's break this down a | ||
455 | |454 |00:38:38 ~-~-> 00:38:42 |little bit further. But as the market drops down and here there's a fair | ||
456 | |455 |00:38:42 ~-~-> 00:38:48 |value gap there, and then there's volume imbalance right here, | ||
457 | |456 |00:38:49 ~-~-> 00:38:52 |separation between the bodies. So the market trades up into that and then | ||
458 | |457 |00:38:52 ~-~-> 00:38:58 |breaks down, trading down into Friday's London sell side liquidity | ||
459 | |458 |00:38:58 ~-~-> 00:39:02 |pool. So | ||
460 | |459 |00:39:11 ~-~-> 00:39:14 |all right in the month minute chart here you can see, I've identified the | ||
461 | |460 |00:39:14 ~-~-> 00:39:20 |Friday london session liquidity, Friday Asian session liquidity, and | ||
462 | |461 |00:39:20 ~-~-> 00:39:23 |then Thursday's regular trading hours. And earlier in the video, I told you | ||
463 | |462 |00:39:23 ~-~-> 00:39:26 |to look inside that low and you'll see that there's a little fair value you | ||
464 | |463 |00:39:26 ~-~-> 00:39:29 |got right there. It's a buy side amount, sell side and efficiency. And | ||
465 | |464 |00:39:29 ~-~-> 00:39:34 |we traded right down into that. You see that. So what is this level here? | ||
466 | |465 |00:39:35 ~-~-> 00:39:41 |If you measure the opening range high to low, and you run a negative 1.5 | ||
467 | |466 |00:39:41 ~-~-> 00:39:46 |standard deviation on your fib, you'll get that projection. It takes us below | ||
468 | |467 |00:39:47 ~-~-> 00:39:52 |both London and Asia sessions liquidity right here. So that's the | ||
469 | |468 |00:39:52 ~-~-> 00:39:56 |level, and it trades down to that inefficiency, but not needing to take | ||
470 | |469 |00:39:56 ~-~-> 00:39:57 |out Thursday's low. So. | ||
471 | |470 |00:40:02 ~-~-> 00:40:06 |So here is that zoomed in that little fair value gap I was quizzing you on | ||
472 | |471 |00:40:06 ~-~-> 00:40:09 |earlier in the beginning of the video. This is what you should have seen. And | ||
473 | |472 |00:40:09 ~-~-> 00:40:12 |we don't need to see Thursday's registration, hours sell side, | ||
474 | |473 |00:40:12 ~-~-> 00:40:18 |liquidity be taken. All right. So stripped down in a normal fashion. | ||
475 | |474 |00:40:18 ~-~-> 00:40:21 |This is what my charge usually looks like, and it looks like this when I'm | ||
476 | |475 |00:40:21 ~-~-> 00:40:25 |doing the execution, when I'm showing it to you. Here's the bump on the buy | ||
477 | |476 |00:40:25 ~-~-> 00:40:31 |stops. Here's the opening range gap, first presented fair value gap, | ||
478 | |477 |00:40:33 ~-~-> 00:40:39 |inversion fair value gap. See this low here. That's start of a new day. This | ||
479 | |478 |00:40:39 ~-~-> 00:40:46 |is a first presented fair value gap at the start of the new day. Project that | ||
480 | |479 |00:40:46 ~-~-> 00:40:49 |forward, you can see how it's being used here, and then they finally bump | ||
481 | |480 |00:40:49 ~-~-> 00:40:54 |through it leaves, it never comes back. That's a good thing. And then | ||
482 | |481 |00:40:54 ~-~-> 00:41:01 |you have this cell sign imbalanced by sound and efficiency here. Project | ||
483 | |482 |00:41:01 ~-~-> 00:41:06 |that forward. And then here's the minor cell side liquidity that | ||
484 | |483 |00:41:06 ~-~-> 00:41:09 |attacks. And then you have volume imbalances in here. And you can see | ||
485 | |484 |00:41:09 ~-~-> 00:41:15 |all that, how that was used in the recorded execution. And then you have | ||
486 | |485 |00:41:15 ~-~-> 00:41:18 |Tuesday's pm session, first present to fair value gap. It draws down into | ||
487 | |486 |00:41:18 ~-~-> 00:41:24 |that too. So look at the bodies respecting that, think about that. | ||
488 | |487 |00:41:24 ~-~-> 00:41:27 |It's it's interesting, isn't it? You're going to tell me that's buying | ||
489 | |488 |00:41:27 ~-~-> 00:41:32 |and selling pressure. Everybody that doesn't follow what I teach somehow | ||
490 | |489 |00:41:32 ~-~-> 00:41:36 |agreed to be buying and selling to afford the opening price and the | ||
491 | |490 |00:41:36 ~-~-> 00:41:41 |closing prices of these two candles to reflect the respect of that Tuesday pm | ||
492 | |491 |00:41:41 ~-~-> 00:41:44 |session first presents a fair value gap. You're you're going to push real | ||
493 | |492 |00:41:44 ~-~-> 00:41:48 |hard to to make that argument, and I'm going to laugh in your face. So | ||
494 | |493 |00:41:48 ~-~-> 00:41:54 |remember, we're going to moving in to a little bit more of the morning | ||
495 | |494 |00:41:54 ~-~-> 00:41:58 |session. Here we project that forward at fair value gap. Now we change its | ||
496 | |495 |00:41:58 ~-~-> 00:42:02 |character from that of a sell side imbalance buy side and efficiency, | ||
497 | |496 |00:42:02 ~-~-> 00:42:05 |which is going to be used to sell off further to get down to our target. But | ||
498 | |497 |00:42:06 ~-~-> 00:42:09 |now, when the market has done our target, it's going to consolidate and | ||
499 | |498 |00:42:09 ~-~-> 00:42:13 |trade above it. Now it changes its character, its initial bearish | ||
500 | |499 |00:42:14 ~-~-> 00:42:18 |character now becomes bullish. Look at respecting the consequent encroachment | ||
501 | |500 |00:42:18 ~-~-> 00:42:22 |here. Here rallies back up into the actual first percent of fair value gap | ||
502 | |501 |00:42:22 ~-~-> 00:42:26 |at 930 fall short of going into consequent encroachment comes right | ||
503 | |502 |00:42:26 ~-~-> 00:42:31 |back down in fair value gap. You can do that on your own with sell side | ||
504 | |503 |00:42:32 ~-~-> 00:42:37 |hits, it rallies, comes back up in volume of balance. Rally. And then we | ||
505 | |504 |00:42:37 ~-~-> 00:42:40 |get back up inside of the first visit fair value gap. You're going to want | ||
506 | |505 |00:42:40 ~-~-> 00:42:43 |to put your gradient levels in there. So in other words, you're going to use | ||
507 | |506 |00:42:43 ~-~-> 00:42:47 |the high upper quadrant, consequent encroachment, which is midpoint, lower | ||
508 | |507 |00:42:47 ~-~-> 00:42:51 |quadrant and the low put that on. I just didn't want to have it on here, | ||
509 | |508 |00:42:51 ~-~-> 00:42:54 |because it's too busy, but you can see that that's what's occurring here. It | ||
510 | |509 |00:42:54 ~-~-> 00:42:59 |trades up, comes down to lower quadrant, consequent encroachment, | ||
511 | |510 |00:42:59 ~-~-> 00:43:03 |upper quadrant, and you're seeing the beginnings of the afternoon session in | ||
512 | |511 |00:43:03 ~-~-> 00:43:07 |here, but this is the morning am session opening range gap first | ||
513 | |512 |00:43:07 ~-~-> 00:43:10 |presents a fair value gap, huge, lots of things in there. Sounds like word | ||
514 | |513 |00:43:10 ~-~-> 00:43:15 |salad, but this is what separates the lazy from the people that really want | ||
515 | |514 |00:43:15 ~-~-> 00:43:18 |to understand how to manage risk. Know when setups are going to form. Never | ||
516 | |515 |00:43:18 ~-~-> 00:43:24 |fall victim to fear of missing out. Never fearing a shortage on supply of | ||
517 | |516 |00:43:24 ~-~-> 00:43:29 |trades. These things happen every single day. What do you think the | ||
518 | |517 |00:43:29 ~-~-> 00:43:33 |professionals are doing? The people that aren't teaching like I am, | ||
519 | |518 |00:43:34 ~-~-> 00:43:36 |they're out there in these big institutions. What do you think | ||
520 | |519 |00:43:36 ~-~-> 00:43:39 |they're doing? You think they're out there guessing all the time, something | ||
521 | |520 |00:43:39 ~-~-> 00:43:42 |different every day? No, they have models. They stick to rules, and I'm | ||
522 | |521 |00:43:42 ~-~-> 00:43:46 |giving you time and price analysis that way you can tap into these setups | ||
523 | |522 |00:43:46 ~-~-> 00:43:49 |that form every single day. They cannot hide it from you. You don't | ||
524 | |523 |00:43:49 ~-~-> 00:43:54 |need extra level two institutional tools and all this other stuff. They | ||
525 | |524 |00:43:54 ~-~-> 00:43:57 |want to try to sell you these gimmicks. They're all used against | ||
526 | |525 |00:43:57 ~-~-> 00:44:04 |you, all of them, the things I'm teaching you it is the market, right. | ||
527 | |526 |00:44:04 ~-~-> 00:44:10 |Here's the afternoon, and you can see that is the first presented fair value | ||
528 | |527 |00:44:10 ~-~-> 00:44:14 |gap for the pm session between 130 and two o'clock Eastern time, market | ||
529 | |528 |00:44:14 ~-~-> 00:44:18 |trades down to the low the actual AM. First presented fair value gap rallies | ||
530 | |529 |00:44:18 ~-~-> 00:44:22 |back above consequent encroachment. And then look how it accumulates | ||
531 | |530 |00:44:22 ~-~-> 00:44:25 |inside of the first visitor fairway gap between 130 and two o'clock. It | ||
532 | |531 |00:44:25 ~-~-> 00:44:29 |helps you identify the actual fair value gaps. That's going to help you | ||
533 | |532 |00:44:30 ~-~-> 00:44:34 |know which one to trust. A lot of you don't realize what I've done, okay, | ||
534 | |533 |00:44:34 ~-~-> 00:44:39 |I've pulled back the veil, and I'm teaching you how to never fall victim | ||
535 | |534 |00:44:39 ~-~-> 00:44:44 |to picking the wrong fair value gap. You'll never find that in any fucking | ||
536 | |535 |00:44:44 ~-~-> 00:44:49 |books. Besides what I've wrote and codified, and people have already put | ||
537 | |536 |00:44:49 ~-~-> 00:44:52 |out there incomplete. They don't have all the full information, but they're | ||
538 | |537 |00:44:52 ~-~-> 00:44:55 |trying to rush it out there, to put it in print form. I have a book that was | ||
539 | |538 |00:44:55 ~-~-> 00:44:58 |teaching that first, but you parroted what I said in my mentorship lessons, | ||
540 | |539 |00:44:59 ~-~-> 00:45:05 |and it's in. Complete. All those things are incomplete. My books will | ||
541 | |540 |00:45:05 ~-~-> 00:45:08 |fill in all the gaps. That way, the ones that have rushed to put books out | ||
542 | |541 |00:45:08 ~-~-> 00:45:13 |there gonna look like fools, and that's okay. But the first was, it's a | ||
543 | |542 |00:45:13 ~-~-> 00:45:19 |fair value gap gets used here in a reversal of what its original | ||
544 | |543 |00:45:19 ~-~-> 00:45:21 |character was. Over here it was bullish because the buy side and | ||
545 | |544 |00:45:21 ~-~-> 00:45:25 |balance sell side efficiency, the market can use that if it trades back | ||
546 | |545 |00:45:25 ~-~-> 00:45:29 |down into if it's bullish. But what happens if you're seeing the market | ||
547 | |546 |00:45:29 ~-~-> 00:45:33 |trying to trade higher? It's used here to send price up, and then what | ||
548 | |547 |00:45:33 ~-~-> 00:45:37 |happens when it trades below it, it changes its character. Now it's using | ||
549 | |548 |00:45:37 ~-~-> 00:45:40 |consequent encroachment on that level to send it down into sell side | ||
550 | |549 |00:45:40 ~-~-> 00:45:49 |liquidity over here. And zoomed in here, you can notice that we had sell | ||
551 | |550 |00:45:49 ~-~-> 00:45:57 |side, buy side this run here during the 315 to 345 macro rallies, last | ||
552 | |551 |00:45:57 ~-~-> 00:46:04 |hour trading. Look at the Thursday 60 minute premium wick, okay, the highest | ||
553 | |552 |00:46:04 ~-~-> 00:46:10 |60 minute candle on Thursdays trading. There's a wick on it. Measure it so it | ||
554 | |553 |00:46:10 ~-~-> 00:46:14 |shows just the 50% of the wick. That's what this level is here. That's the | ||
555 | |554 |00:46:14 ~-~-> 00:46:19 |consequence on Thursday 60 minute premium wick. It hits that sells off, | ||
556 | |555 |00:46:19 ~-~-> 00:46:23 |consolidates and breaks. We have a shift in market structure here. Here's | ||
557 | |556 |00:46:23 ~-~-> 00:46:28 |model 2022, fair value gap breaks lower. Trades to pm session first, | ||
558 | |557 |00:46:28 ~-~-> 00:46:31 |present the fair value gap that's always low, hanging fruit. And then it | ||
559 | |558 |00:46:31 ~-~-> 00:46:34 |trades to the low of it, attacking the sell side here, and then just | ||
560 | |559 |00:46:34 ~-~-> 00:46:36 |extrapolates to the downside. You | ||
561 | |560 |00:46:46 ~-~-> 00:46:51 |all right, folks, I know some of this might seem complex, convoluted, you | ||
562 | |561 |00:46:51 ~-~-> 00:46:55 |know, excessive. I'm not going to apologize for that, because the | ||
563 | |562 |00:46:55 ~-~-> 00:46:59 |results that I show my executions and my students show in their executions, | ||
564 | |563 |00:47:00 ~-~-> 00:47:03 |they're all derivatives of the things I'm teaching and have taught you, I'm | ||
565 | |564 |00:47:03 ~-~-> 00:47:07 |literally doing things that are referring back to the very specific | ||
566 | |565 |00:47:07 ~-~-> 00:47:12 |times, very specific PD arrays, very, very specific ones. The the rhyme and | ||
567 | |566 |00:47:12 ~-~-> 00:47:15 |reason behind why I'm picking them are not It's not morphing and changing | ||
568 | |567 |00:47:15 ~-~-> 00:47:18 |into new things all the time. It's always the same thing, same stuff. | ||
569 | |568 |00:47:18 ~-~-> 00:47:23 |It's the time reference first, so that way you can find it, that we can go | ||
570 | |569 |00:47:23 ~-~-> 00:47:26 |into your charts without me mentioning it, because at the end of this month, | ||
571 | |570 |00:47:26 ~-~-> 00:47:29 |that's it. We're not doing any more live pointing to this. I'm not calling | ||
572 | |571 |00:47:29 ~-~-> 00:47:33 |out anything. Whatever I do is going to be after the fact, hindsight. | ||
573 | |572 |00:47:33 ~-~-> 00:47:38 |Talking about this is what I did, and how you can do it too, the pointing to | ||
574 | |573 |00:47:38 ~-~-> 00:47:44 |it before it happens that ends this month. So the things I've taught you, | ||
575 | |574 |00:47:44 ~-~-> 00:47:48 |it will serve you well, because it's something that will allow you to go | ||
576 | |575 |00:47:48 ~-~-> 00:47:52 |right into your charts and say, Okay, here's that 30 minute window of time | ||
577 | |576 |00:47:52 ~-~-> 00:47:55 |that I gotta just wait for the very first fair value gap to form in this | ||
578 | |577 |00:47:55 ~-~-> 00:48:01 |time window, on this time frame, one minute chart, that information is | ||
579 | |578 |00:48:01 ~-~-> 00:48:05 |gold. It's the golden ticket to the Chocolate Factory. Okay? I'm Willy | ||
580 | |579 |00:48:05 ~-~-> 00:48:09 |Wonka, and everybody's getting a golden ticket, and you have to pay for | ||
581 | |580 |00:48:09 ~-~-> 00:48:12 |it. And nothing can beat it. Nothing's better than it. Nothing's more | ||
582 | |581 |00:48:12 ~-~-> 00:48:18 |precise, nothing's more consistent. Hello. You're welcome, and I'll talk | ||
583 | |582 |00:48:18 ~-~-> 00:48:20 |to you next time. Be safe. You. |