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ICT YT - 2025-02-25 - 2025 Lecture Series - NQ Futures Live Execution With NY Lunch Macro 02-24-2025

Last modified by Drunk Monkey on 2025-04-03 12:12
1 00:00:16 --> 00:00:21 ICT: My folks, all right, this is a New York launch macro trade and cover all
2 00:00:21 --> 00:00:26 the details as we go. I'm going along here also on an immediate rebalance, so
3 00:00:26 --> 00:00:35 you can see how that came down, closed in, and annotating the buy side of
4 00:00:35 --> 00:00:41 balance, cell sign efficiency. And we're inside of the 1050, 1110, macro. And
5 00:00:41 --> 00:00:48 that is the high I'm aiming for, okay, and I'll tell you why as we go along. So
6 00:00:48 --> 00:00:51 I want to see price stay in the upper half of that blue shaded area. I'm
7 00:00:52 --> 00:00:58 bringing the stop loss up, because if it goes down there, I'm wrong. All right,
8 00:00:58 --> 00:01:03 so we have the top of that blue box right there. That would be a wonderful
9 00:01:03 --> 00:01:08 area to add, but this position is too big for any more additions, because of
10 00:01:08 --> 00:01:14 the volatility today. It's extremely volatile, very, very fast market. I was
11 00:01:14 --> 00:01:21 not able to be with you all today because of some rules. Obviously,
12 00:01:22 --> 00:01:26 whenever we have a large down day the very next trading day, I usually try to
13 00:01:26 --> 00:01:33 avoid the morning session. And it didn't really give me a first presented fair
14 00:01:33 --> 00:01:39 value gap set up this morning. So that's the launch macro buy side liquidity I'm
15 00:01:39 --> 00:01:45 aiming for. And I'll tell you why in just a few minutes, as to why I'm
16 00:01:45 --> 00:01:48 selecting that high, because there's rules to it. And this is another
17 00:01:49 --> 00:01:52 inversion fair value gap that I believe that once price gets above it, it should
18 00:01:52 --> 00:01:58 support price and then run up into that lunch macro, buy, sell, liquidity pool.
19 00:01:59 --> 00:02:02 Notice the blue shaded area I was entering on the candle that came right
20 00:02:02 --> 00:02:07 back down to the low of it, and creating an immediate rebalance. That means the
21 00:02:07 --> 00:02:13 candlestick prior to the bullish candle I was trading long in the retracement of
22 00:02:15 --> 00:02:21 it touched its previous candle, and it's also the low of the previous spot side,
23 00:02:21 --> 00:02:27 about sell side efficiency. So what I'm watching here is, does the market want
24 00:02:27 --> 00:02:32 to stay inside of the previous candles? Wick, which is ideal and optimal?
25 00:02:34 --> 00:02:38 Anything above that inversion fair value gap in orange should set the stage for
26 00:02:38 --> 00:02:43 another run up into that 10 o'clock hour high
27 00:02:50 --> 00:02:53 and see how those candlesticks are basically the same low.
28 00:02:58 --> 00:03:02 And we just swipe it a little bit. So now I want to see it really aggressively
29 00:03:02 --> 00:03:09 run higher. No need for it to trade back down into that bullish survey gap in the
30 00:03:09 --> 00:03:16 form of that blue shaded box it's acting when I entered as a reclaimed busy buy.
31 00:03:16 --> 00:03:17 Some about cell sign efficiency. You
32 00:03:33 --> 00:03:40 all right, so let's see if we can vault above the inversion here by you go, the
33 00:03:43 --> 00:03:51 market basically just fell out of bed this morning. In all honesty, I'm glad
34 00:03:51 --> 00:03:55 that I wasn't with you, because in the comment section, I'm seeing a lot of
35 00:03:55 --> 00:03:59 folks reporting that they're making profitable trades using the tape reading
36 00:03:59 --> 00:04:04 and the opinions and commentary that I give in the telegram channel, and that's
37 00:04:04 --> 00:04:08 what you don't want to be doing if you don't want to be doing that. And today
38 00:04:08 --> 00:04:15 was so fast that even if I was giving any kind of opinion, I'm quite certain
39 00:04:15 --> 00:04:18 some women probably would have hurt themselves, because it was just it was
40 00:04:18 --> 00:04:25 violently fast, unforgiving. Just kept breaking lower, lower, lower. Which begs
41 00:04:25 --> 00:04:28 the question is, why do I feel and why did I feel that it was warranted to take
42 00:04:28 --> 00:04:36 along here? Because we had traded all the way down to the low of the morning
43 00:04:38 --> 00:04:44 just after 10 o'clock, and then at 1030 we had basically had one hour trading.
44 00:04:44 --> 00:04:48 So that's the one hour dealing range. And when it's been no here we are
45 00:04:49 --> 00:04:53 trading about the inversion period. So we want to see it trade above it, break
46 00:04:53 --> 00:04:57 above it, and then come back down and retest it. And once it tests it, we want
47 00:04:57 --> 00:05:02 to see it stay away from the lower half of it. So. But that first hour is
48 00:05:02 --> 00:05:06 trading that dealing range when there's been no real retracements on buy side.
49 00:05:07 --> 00:05:13 That's usually a very, very strong setup for my lunch macro, where basically this
50 00:05:13 --> 00:05:18 retraces into a key high or low. And I'll tell you the rules for it that way.
51 00:05:18 --> 00:05:25 You know, just let's pin, Let's pan out through this setup with each individual
52 00:05:25 --> 00:05:29 candlestick. Okay, so we came down now we left that inversion fair value gap.
53 00:05:29 --> 00:05:32 So then we don't ever want to see it come back down in and trade to the lower
54 00:05:32 --> 00:05:38 half of it. It can come back down and touch it again, but it's beneficial for
55 00:05:38 --> 00:05:39 us. If it doesn't do it, you
56 00:05:44 --> 00:05:48 trading back down to a buy side of valence on efficiency. We're busy. You.
57 00:06:06 --> 00:06:10 Okay, so see how it traded down into the half of that inversion fair value gap.
58 00:06:10 --> 00:06:14 We don't want to see it trade to the lower end of it now. So whenever you're
59 00:06:14 --> 00:06:18 trading my inversion, fair value gap, PD array, you're looking for that
60 00:06:18 --> 00:06:23 characteristic. You're looking for it to behave and perform that way, and if it
61 00:06:23 --> 00:06:27 does that, your probabilities and odds in your favor go astronomically higher.
62 00:06:27 --> 00:06:31 Doesn't mean it's a perfect trade. It doesn't mean you're not going to have a
63 00:06:31 --> 00:06:36 losing trade eventually, but that's the rules I use and I employ with teaching
64 00:06:36 --> 00:06:44 it. And what you see me doing in my examples, I'm alright. So this looks
65 00:06:44 --> 00:06:48 really good for a run up into that lunch macro by sound liquidity pool.
66 00:06:54 --> 00:06:58 Like to see some of that stay open on the previous candle. We don't see that
67 00:06:58 --> 00:07:01 and completely re overlap that.
68 00:07:06 --> 00:07:17 Oh, nice, very, very nice, almost like I know what I doing, standby for a random
69 00:07:17 --> 00:07:25 act of precision, and there's there she is. All right, so that's probably
70 00:07:25 --> 00:07:30 random, so let's take a look at why I picked that that high here. Okay, we saw
71 00:07:30 --> 00:07:35 the market trade lower, obviously, and really no run on buy side. So what I'm
72 00:07:35 --> 00:07:39 showing here is I'm going to take it back to 10 o'clock, because that's the
73 00:07:39 --> 00:07:44 end of the first 30 minutes of trading. So that's your opening range. So that
74 00:07:44 --> 00:07:49 high that forms after 10 o'clock, up to this level, here are reasonable targets
75 00:07:49 --> 00:07:55 for the launch macro. So it's the high that forms after 10 o'clock, when you're
76 00:07:55 --> 00:08:01 selling short for the day or targeting it and reverse it for markets have been
77 00:08:01 --> 00:08:03 really higher. There's all my executions. Hope you found it
78 00:08:03 --> 00:08:06 insightful. I'll talk to you next time. Be safe. Bye.