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ICT YT - 2025-02-11 - 2025 Lecture Series - Trading In High Resistance Liquidity Run Conditions With My Lunch Macro

Last modified by Drunk Monkey on 2025-04-03 12:11
1 00:00:07 --> 00:00:12 ICT: Hi folks, so it's going to be a voice over. So this is after the fact
2 00:00:12 --> 00:00:16 I'm giving you commentary, but the commentary was given to you live during
3 00:00:16 --> 00:00:24 the telegram, real time commentary. I usually do the audio clips, but because
4 00:00:24 --> 00:00:30 I had a tech for my HVAC system here today, we had a bad gas valve. There was
5 00:00:30 --> 00:00:34 a lot of interruptions between that and my puppy, Piper, she got sick. So there
6 00:00:34 --> 00:00:38 was a whole lot of that stuff going on, very difficult today. So the market, I
7 00:00:38 --> 00:00:43 used the inversion Fairbank gap. I mentioned, and I mentioned the bearish
8 00:00:43 --> 00:00:49 breaker. And I'm actually highlighting the order block that was initially used
9 00:00:49 --> 00:00:54 the same price higher. I It was a personal note for me. I want to see it
10 00:00:54 --> 00:00:58 become like an inversion PD array. In other words, whatever was bullish, if
11 00:00:58 --> 00:01:02 it's if it's bearish, you know, I want to see a trade lower, so I just took one
12 00:01:03 --> 00:01:09 contract off, and I'm bringing the stop down. And this is high resistance
13 00:01:09 --> 00:01:13 liquidity run conditions. I mean, it's very, very, very challenging, even for
14 00:01:13 --> 00:01:17 me. And I know that sounds arrogant and egotistical to some of you, but it's,
15 00:01:17 --> 00:01:22 it's the facts. I mean, it was challenging, and markets staying in a
16 00:01:22 --> 00:01:27 very tight range and coming back and stopping me out. So I want to go in and
17 00:01:27 --> 00:01:34 try it again. And I reacted off that bearish breaker, and we want to see it
18 00:01:34 --> 00:01:39 trade down into that blue shaded area where I have now lowered that by limit
19 00:01:39 --> 00:01:45 order. I mentioned in the telegram channel that it would be likely that the
20 00:01:45 --> 00:01:53 lunch macro would send it down to 21,008 35 to 21,008 25 respectively. And I
21 00:01:53 --> 00:01:57 always have a best case scenario. I had the limit order to cover way, way, way
22 00:01:57 --> 00:02:02 below that, because if I happen to catch a tiger by the tail. It's always fun to
23 00:02:03 --> 00:02:08 get something extra, more than you originally wanted. So I wanted to see it
24 00:02:08 --> 00:02:12 break lower here, after working the low of that inversion fair value gap that's
25 00:02:12 --> 00:02:17 shaded in orange. And now, because it's the type of day it is, I moved my stop
26 00:02:17 --> 00:02:22 to cover costs. And admittedly, in hindsight, I'm going to regret not
27 00:02:22 --> 00:02:27 taking a partial as it went below that low, because I'm talking to the HVAC
28 00:02:27 --> 00:02:30 tech at this time, and I'm getting frustrated with him because he's
29 00:02:30 --> 00:02:35 assuming that I know his job. If I did, I wouldn't hire him. I would do it
30 00:02:35 --> 00:02:45 myself, right? So at any rate, I'm looking for a breakdown further, and I'm
31 00:02:45 --> 00:02:50 extending that order block with the expectation that it would likely pull
32 00:02:50 --> 00:02:55 down lower and just overall, it's just a very, very, very difficult day. It's not
33 00:02:56 --> 00:03:02 it's not helping matters that we have all of the Fed Chair testimonies that's
34 00:03:02 --> 00:03:11 going to happen this week, and we have high impact news also hitting. So that's
35 00:03:11 --> 00:03:15 a lot of things that's making it much more challenging, plus, we're in that
36 00:03:15 --> 00:03:22 big daily range that I mentioned in the shotgun Saturday, so I'm pairing the
37 00:03:22 --> 00:03:28 risk of open profit and bringing in more potential profit should happen. I
38 00:03:28 --> 00:03:32 mentioned at the time that if it goes to consequent crochet inversion fair value
39 00:03:32 --> 00:03:35 gap, that that would be the breaks. For me. It's reason why you're seeing it
40 00:03:35 --> 00:03:42 now, because I have the stop loss there. And another time here where I was really
41 00:03:43 --> 00:03:47 better equipped. If I would have taken a part on there because of the profile day
42 00:03:48 --> 00:03:53 being high resistance, I should have taken a contract off that when it went
43 00:03:53 --> 00:03:59 below the short term low. But I'm sitting here watching it, and I want to
44 00:03:59 --> 00:04:07 see it. Say, failed to go up into half of the order blocks that I have
45 00:04:07 --> 00:04:15 highlighted here as an inversion block. Okay? And I want to see it not do that,
46 00:04:15 --> 00:04:20 but it stopped me out. And that's the breaks for today. So very, very
47 00:04:20 --> 00:04:26 challenging, even for that three letter guy, I say, but was able to get some
48 00:04:26 --> 00:04:34 some pizza money. So we can take a look at this. Now you can see trying to get
49 00:04:34 --> 00:04:40 in here and put on some more towards here, trying once more to get down into
50 00:04:40 --> 00:04:50 that 21,008 35 to 21,008 25 basically selling the low of that inversion, fair
51 00:04:50 --> 00:04:56 value gap. HVAC tech guy just just left. I looked at the chart. I was like, Well,
52 00:04:56 --> 00:05:02 let me see if I can skin this cat still. I. The risk is at the top of the
53 00:05:02 --> 00:05:09 inversion fair value gap, and there is a partial and again, we're going to see if
54 00:05:09 --> 00:05:13 I can get down into that lower portion of that buy sign and balance cell sign
55 00:05:13 --> 00:05:18 efficiency. And again, now the stop also has been brought down to cover costs. So
56 00:05:19 --> 00:05:23 again, just very, very, very challenging today, very challenging, lots of
57 00:05:23 --> 00:05:30 manipulation, lots of just, you know, opposition. Really, I'm checking es
58 00:05:30 --> 00:05:34 here, and there's my second partial. And now I'm just going to see what I can get
59 00:05:34 --> 00:05:37 out of this, you know, see if there's any extra juice in this lemon, if you
60 00:05:37 --> 00:05:41 will. I'm completely content with getting stopped out because I'm honestly
61 00:05:42 --> 00:05:46 little ticked off because I had too many things I watched that small, little fair
62 00:05:46 --> 00:05:54 value gap, and I want to see it break hard from here, but it's being very
63 00:05:54 --> 00:06:00 reluctant to do so. So I'm going to extend this out here and share my
64 00:06:00 --> 00:06:04 perspective. I want to see it act as an inversion fair value gap here. So I want
65 00:06:04 --> 00:06:08 to see it break down, go below it to the downside, and then if it has to come
66 00:06:08 --> 00:06:11 back up in again, I don't want to see it explore in the upper half.
67 00:06:20 --> 00:06:25 And again, just an overzealous target, because I'm trying not to worry about it
68 00:06:25 --> 00:06:29 getting to a specific target. I'm worried about watching what price is
69 00:06:29 --> 00:06:35 showing me each candlestick. So if it's looming close to my target, I'm going to
70 00:06:35 --> 00:06:39 be worried about that. So to remove that, I just move the target completely
71 00:06:39 --> 00:06:43 out of the way I'm managing more specifically about, does it still want
72 00:06:43 --> 00:06:49 to respect that inversion for value gap, or what I'm viewing as a potential
73 00:06:49 --> 00:06:56 inversion for value gap, and say it that way, and I already don't like what it's
74 00:06:56 --> 00:07:03 doing here. It's being very stubborn, okay, and the fact that it's spending so
75 00:07:03 --> 00:07:08 much time in an inversion fair pay gap is problematic, but because I've already
76 00:07:08 --> 00:07:12 taken two partials, I'm just going to let it ride and see what happens. And if
77 00:07:12 --> 00:07:16 I get stopped out, I get stopped out, if it breaks lower, then I will consider
78 00:07:16 --> 00:07:22 moving the stop loss lower. That's what I'm thinking at that time. I
79 00:07:30 --> 00:07:34 i already know this is problematic, but I'm going to commit to the trade and let
80 00:07:34 --> 00:07:43 you see, even in days like this, I would, I would want to, generally hold
81 00:07:43 --> 00:07:48 and put the stop loss just a little bit above, but I'm going to take one off
82 00:07:48 --> 00:07:52 just to prove that this is how you might want to do this, and that way, if you
83 00:07:52 --> 00:07:56 are likely to get stopped out, at least it's not taking the full open profit
84 00:07:56 --> 00:08:02 before getting stopped out. So I was able to bank another contract there in
85 00:08:02 --> 00:08:05 the event that it should pop up and get the stop loss. It's not taking two
86 00:08:05 --> 00:08:10 contracts. It's just taking one, okay, and lower the stop down aggressively to
87 00:08:10 --> 00:08:13 that little short term high. Because if it's going to go there, folks, then I
88 00:08:13 --> 00:08:20 don't want to be in it any longer. So I'm facetiously posted in the telegram
89 00:08:20 --> 00:08:24 challenge. I could actually feel my hair is turning gray today, and it's only
90 00:08:24 --> 00:08:27 because, not because of the price action, but because of all the
91 00:08:27 --> 00:08:29 distractions here at home.
92 00:08:34 --> 00:08:40 So I was, I was very, very much outnumbered with all of the adversities.
93 00:08:40 --> 00:08:42 So I kind of felt like a retail trader for the first day,
94 00:08:48 --> 00:08:52 and there I am getting stopped out. So I'll show you the executions right
95 00:08:52 --> 00:08:58 there. And just in case somebody wants to ask about that chart over there, it's
96 00:08:58 --> 00:09:02 the same stuff over there. I hope you found insightful till next time be safe.
97 00:09:02 --> 00:09:02 You.