1 | 00:00:03 --> 00:00:06 | ICT: Good evening, folks. All right. So, just so you guys know, channels are not |
2 | 00:00:06 --> 00:00:13 | getting deleted. It's a gullible All right, so we're looking at the NASDAQ. |
3 | 00:00:13 --> 00:00:20 | Is the weekly chart of the NASDAQ, December 2024, delivery contract month. |
4 | 00:00:20 --> 00:00:24 | This price run here, just retracing it back in this is what we were noting. |
5 | 00:00:30 --> 00:00:36 | Okay, so this was the high if you watch the Sundays pre market before the week |
6 | 00:00:36 --> 00:00:41 | started trading. Give you guidance about this is the level I anticipate as an |
7 | 00:00:41 --> 00:00:46 | upside once we take out this high. I mentioned that there was a volume about |
8 | 00:00:46 --> 00:00:49 | you can note that I wasn't going to do that. We never even worried about that |
9 | 00:00:49 --> 00:00:53 | at all. And that's the level. That's where it came from. Okay, so 21,005 |
10 | 00:00:54 --> 00:01:01 | 80.25 if you were following along today on Twitter or x, as it's called now, you |
11 | 00:01:01 --> 00:01:07 | heard me on the hurried but yet you read in my posts that this is what I was |
12 | 00:01:07 --> 00:01:14 | looking for as a draw later on to did certain things as NASDAQ was opening up |
13 | 00:01:14 --> 00:01:18 | in the opening range. So we'll drop down to a daily chart real quick. All right, |
14 | 00:01:18 --> 00:01:23 | see the daily chart on NASDAQ. Here's that retracement down in and I'll |
15 | 00:01:23 --> 00:01:27 | highlight that so you can see the reference points for the here. Here, |
16 | 00:01:28 --> 00:01:33 | once this high is taken out, this is one of the easiest like, I guess it's the |
17 | 00:01:34 --> 00:01:39 | quick general rule of thumb. Once a range is broken out, you're going to |
18 | 00:01:39 --> 00:01:48 | look for either upside objective, very simple, cut and dry, draw and liquidity, |
19 | 00:01:48 --> 00:01:53 | or a frame of reference for potential turtle soup. This is a good general rule |
20 | 00:01:53 --> 00:01:57 | of thumb I've used over the years. It's real simple. It's not really based on |
21 | 00:01:57 --> 00:02:02 | anything that's in technical books, but one quarter of the beauty range broken |
22 | 00:02:02 --> 00:02:07 | out. That's where I think markets can trade to when we're trading with all |
23 | 00:02:07 --> 00:02:14 | time highs okay? So you stick with going long until it proves otherwise. Now, so |
24 | 00:02:14 --> 00:02:23 | we have had a range in here on the daily chart that is lower on close we need a |
25 | 00:02:23 --> 00:02:26 | higher high fail to get to that extension, which is fine. It's not |
26 | 00:02:26 --> 00:02:29 | important in the trades there. If you go back and watch my Sunday video, you'll |
27 | 00:02:29 --> 00:02:33 | hear me say that it can go as much as this. This is where I would think is |
28 | 00:02:33 --> 00:02:37 | reasonable. Okay, so I really wasn't excited about going any further than |
29 | 00:02:37 --> 00:02:41 | that. This is just where the threshold would be once we've taken out this high. |
30 | 00:02:41 --> 00:02:45 | How high can it go? ICT, well. ICT said on Sunday, before the market started |
31 | 00:02:45 --> 00:02:49 | trading 21,005 80 and a quarter, that's about as far as I'd like to see it trade |
32 | 00:02:49 --> 00:02:54 | to. Now it could have and can still tomorrow. Nonprofit role could just rip |
33 | 00:02:54 --> 00:02:57 | right on through that. That's fine. It's not important for me to to be accurate |
34 | 00:02:57 --> 00:03:03 | about that. So we're going to drop down to a 60 minute chart, right? You can see |
35 | 00:03:03 --> 00:03:08 | here on the hourly chart for NASDAQ. We traded about that high there, and then |
36 | 00:03:08 --> 00:03:17 | again, fell short just below that 21,005 and you went to 21,005 67 and a quarter. |
37 | 00:03:17 --> 00:03:22 | You can see that price level here. Then gave up the coastal day and traded |
38 | 00:03:22 --> 00:03:25 | lower, taking the sell side in here. So we'll note that, |
39 | 00:03:34 --> 00:03:39 | see I traded down to that have a breaker here. It was, high, low, higher, high, |
40 | 00:03:39 --> 00:03:43 | down, close, candle in here, trades up into it and then sends it to the sell |
41 | 00:03:43 --> 00:03:49 | side. Go into a 15 minute time frame, right? You can see how we had this |
42 | 00:03:49 --> 00:03:55 | really fuzzy type price delivery this morning. Let's talk about this in X |
43 | 00:03:55 --> 00:04:01 | live. And mentioned how this is problematic and we'd want to see a |
44 | 00:04:01 --> 00:04:08 | obvious run at 10 o'clock. That would be an ideal scenario. The market does, in |
45 | 00:04:08 --> 00:04:17 | fact, trade outside of the range, high here, right there, at noon. Okay, so we |
46 | 00:04:17 --> 00:04:25 | trade above and then the market attacks the cell side and the cell side, right |
47 | 00:04:25 --> 00:04:29 | there these relative equal lows. We'll look at that. That was the original |
48 | 00:04:30 --> 00:04:36 | basis for why I was looking for 490 as I draw the cell side, and then a rally up |
49 | 00:04:36 --> 00:04:43 | towards the 21, 500 AB point two five level, which was the very specific price |
50 | 00:04:43 --> 00:04:47 | level I showed you on the weekly chart as an extension should all right. So |
51 | 00:04:47 --> 00:04:52 | here's the one minute chart, and I'm showing you the Thursday overnight |
52 | 00:04:54 --> 00:04:59 | london session lows. So you can see these two lows in here, in true form. It |
53 | 00:04:59 --> 00:05:04 | would be. This, you would probably have your charts annotating that right there. |
54 | 00:05:05 --> 00:05:11 | And if you weren't looking at that one, this would be certainly fine. And that |
55 | 00:05:11 --> 00:05:17 | was the one I was annotating today. But I called the level 21,004 90. Okay, so |
56 | 00:05:17 --> 00:05:23 | that way you can see it follow along with my posts on Twitter or x again, and |
57 | 00:05:24 --> 00:05:27 | the market moves away from that. And as we enter |
58 | 00:05:33 --> 00:05:37 | the nine o'clock hour, I was talking about how the market was staying inside |
59 | 00:05:37 --> 00:05:44 | of this particular candlesticks range, the high and the low. Staying inside |
60 | 00:05:44 --> 00:05:49 | that this is problematic, so because of that, I want to see it trade to 10 |
61 | 00:05:49 --> 00:05:53 | o'clock. So at 10 o'clock, then we'll start watching and seeing what it's |
62 | 00:05:53 --> 00:05:59 | going to do for us. But up in here, I I looked at it and said, Okay, well, it |
63 | 00:05:59 --> 00:06:03 | looks like we've taken the buy side here. So this is what you'll see, kind |
64 | 00:06:03 --> 00:06:11 | of like flesh in and out for you, that is a minor buy side, and this is a minor |
65 | 00:06:11 --> 00:06:12 | sell side, |
66 | 00:06:19 --> 00:06:24 | meaning buy stops above this high. Cell stops above this, I'm sorry, below this |
67 | 00:06:24 --> 00:06:28 | low. And then ultimately the level down here I was aiming for, and then the |
68 | 00:06:28 --> 00:06:35 | other level, the upside. These are two primary This is primary buy side. This |
69 | 00:06:35 --> 00:06:46 | is primary sell side, minor cell side. And uh, miner, buy side. Okay, so I |
70 | 00:06:46 --> 00:06:53 | indicated on Twitter for x again, that I'd like to see the 8am which is this |
71 | 00:06:53 --> 00:06:59 | high here. I'd like to see that taken and then trade down to 21,004 90, and |
72 | 00:06:59 --> 00:07:06 | then trade in the direction to the 21,005 80 level. Okay, so that was what |
73 | 00:07:06 --> 00:07:11 | I gave guidance for this morning. Before it actually happened, market traded up, |
74 | 00:07:12 --> 00:07:16 | we broke down the bodies of the candles on this rally up. That was a shift in |
75 | 00:07:16 --> 00:07:21 | market structure there. So as the market trades back above this old high you'll |
76 | 00:07:21 --> 00:07:28 | see in the recording. I'll add it in this video. The run back above that. I |
77 | 00:07:28 --> 00:07:32 | went short, and then we had a an immediate rebalance, where the market |
78 | 00:07:32 --> 00:07:37 | trades back up into this low here, I added to it there. The market then |
79 | 00:07:37 --> 00:07:42 | attacked this level here. I had several limit orders layered below that in the |
80 | 00:07:42 --> 00:07:48 | event that we didn't get down to 21,004 90. And that served me well, because it |
81 | 00:07:48 --> 00:07:52 | took two limit orders left one went right down to the price, but the spread |
82 | 00:07:52 --> 00:07:57 | wouldn't let me get out on it, and then the remaining four contracts would not |
83 | 00:07:57 --> 00:08:02 | be filled there either. So market rallied back up, came back and hit my |
84 | 00:08:02 --> 00:08:10 | stop at 526, and I gave guidance on that as well, real time on x, the market then |
85 | 00:08:10 --> 00:08:17 | went into range bound consolidation. And then right in here we're gonna look at |
86 | 00:08:17 --> 00:08:21 | on a five second chart. But the framework is this, if we look at this |
87 | 00:08:21 --> 00:08:25 | little area right in here, highlight that, so that way we'll know what we're |
88 | 00:08:25 --> 00:08:36 | referring to all through here. Okay, so we have high, higher, high, higher, |
89 | 00:08:36 --> 00:08:41 | high, and then this high, taking out that high. Okay, so in this little range |
90 | 00:08:41 --> 00:08:46 | right here, we're going to look at the inefficiency and volume balance that was |
91 | 00:08:46 --> 00:08:49 | keyed off of on a five second chart. So I'm going to drop down to a five second |
92 | 00:08:49 --> 00:08:56 | chart now. All right, so here's the five second chart on NASDAQ, so you can see |
93 | 00:08:56 --> 00:09:02 | we had high, higher, high, higher, high. So I'm going to get rid of this |
94 | 00:09:02 --> 00:09:05 | rectangle here, because it's really not serving anything, except for me helping |
95 | 00:09:06 --> 00:09:10 | highlight where in the five second chart the time frame was, where the shorts |
96 | 00:09:10 --> 00:09:20 | were taken. So in this little area right in here, we watch and see how that's |
97 | 00:09:20 --> 00:09:20 | sippy I'm Sibi, |
98 | 00:09:29 --> 00:09:33 | see how the bodies are respecting that wicks above it. Yes, that's fine, but |
99 | 00:09:34 --> 00:09:39 | the bodies are respecting that. Okay, so when we created that, I went short, |
100 | 00:09:39 --> 00:09:43 | aiming for consequent encroachment and volume and balance right in here, and |
101 | 00:09:43 --> 00:09:47 | it's a five second chart. So marketing in you're not going to get the perfect |
102 | 00:09:47 --> 00:09:51 | entries, and I didn't have time to be doing the orders. Plus, I just want to |
103 | 00:09:51 --> 00:09:55 | prove that the orders are being filled with the buy and sell buttons up here, |
104 | 00:09:55 --> 00:09:59 | which is what you don't see when you're using Market Replay. I don't use market. |
105 | 00:10:00 --> 00:10:04 | Like, and then the market trades lower. It comes back up in and I'm treating |
106 | 00:10:04 --> 00:10:11 | this as a premium array, so it's kind of like a reclaimed sell, side amounts by |
107 | 00:10:11 --> 00:10:16 | side efficiency. It was used here, and then once more come back above here. |
108 | 00:10:16 --> 00:10:20 | Notice the bodies respecting the midpoint, consequent approachment, and |
109 | 00:10:20 --> 00:10:24 | then the high. So I saw that, I was like, Okay, this is a bull flag. I know |
110 | 00:10:24 --> 00:10:29 | retail is going to want to see that. Want to trade higher off of that. And I |
111 | 00:10:29 --> 00:10:40 | faded it, and then used the reclaimed city here. So market breaks down. I want |
112 | 00:10:40 --> 00:10:44 | to see it take out this low. It does so aggressively. See all the thin price |
113 | 00:10:44 --> 00:10:48 | action in here, whereas it's back and forth, back and forth, even going lower. |
114 | 00:10:48 --> 00:10:52 | But here it creates this nice inefficiency. So we come back up in |
115 | 00:10:52 --> 00:10:56 | there's two of them always give room for the trip, and the higher one there, and |
116 | 00:10:56 --> 00:11:03 | then aggressively sells off into the 21,004 90 level. And you can see that |
117 | 00:11:03 --> 00:11:08 | that was the limit order being filled. So I want to make sure I had that done |
118 | 00:11:08 --> 00:11:12 | today, because I outlined it. And then this morning I said I'd like to see a |
119 | 00:11:12 --> 00:11:17 | trade down into after taking the eight o'clock high, then trade down into 21 |
120 | 00:11:17 --> 00:11:26 | 490 and then slow roll up into 21, 580, direction. So okay, you see these lows |
121 | 00:11:26 --> 00:11:35 | right here. That to me with these relative equal lows, and then we have |
122 | 00:11:35 --> 00:11:44 | this low to high, low, low or low, low so all these lows are characteristic of |
123 | 00:11:44 --> 00:11:50 | a favorable it's a good candidate for sell side liquidity. So that means the |
124 | 00:11:50 --> 00:11:54 | nonprofit payroll Friday tomorrow, we could see, if we don't trade |
125 | 00:11:54 --> 00:11:59 | aggressively higher, they may want to attack this area in here, if not, Friday |
126 | 00:11:59 --> 00:12:03 | may be going into probably part of next week. So that's what I'm expecting, |
127 | 00:12:04 --> 00:12:09 | nonprofit payroll Friday tomorrow, and I think that's going to be it again, as a |
128 | 00:12:09 --> 00:12:16 | celebration of Bitcoin going to 100,000 I will resume doing forex market reviews |
129 | 00:12:16 --> 00:12:21 | on the daily. Again. I'm not doing them right now because it's the holiday and, |
130 | 00:12:21 --> 00:12:24 | well, it's Holly season for ICT. Let's put it that way. I'm usually not even |
131 | 00:12:24 --> 00:12:30 | looking at the charts, but when we resume the 2025, mentorship on YouTube, |
132 | 00:12:30 --> 00:12:36 | all for free every day, I'll be ringing in a forex market review. So I'll cover |
133 | 00:12:36 --> 00:12:44 | the pound, dollar, euro, dollar, dollar index, and I'll also do a continuation |
134 | 00:12:44 --> 00:12:49 | of index futures, as you're used to seeing now. And then, also I'm going to |
135 | 00:12:49 --> 00:12:53 | be ringing in commodity prices, so I'll be looking at the majors in commodity |
136 | 00:12:53 --> 00:12:58 | markets and every sector in that so foods, meats, metals, energies, debt |
137 | 00:12:58 --> 00:13:02 | instruments, all that business, agricultural. So hopefully you found |
138 | 00:13:02 --> 00:13:05 | this insightful, and I'll talk to you again. Be safe. Thank. |