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on 2021-06-11 14:16
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... ... @@ -1,677 +1,138 @@ 1 -1 2 -00:00:36,180 ~-~-> 00:00:50,100 3 -ICT: Okay, folks, long time no see, I'll share some things regarding the euro 4 -dollar. Last week, we had the non farm payroll. And, you know, typically that 1 +(% class="hover min" %) 2 +|1 |00:00:36,180 ~-~-> 00:00:50,100 |ICT: Okay, folks, long time no see, I'll share some things regarding the euro dollar. Last week, we had the non farm payroll. And, you know, typically that 3 +|2 |00:00:50,340 ~-~-> 00:01:02,010 |that's a day that I like to refrain from engaging in. But I'm gonna give you some things that added to the uncertainty about that particular day being last 4 +|3 |00:01:02,010 ~-~-> 00:01:13,200 |Friday, or February 1, to be specific, I want you to take a look at this section of price action. And obviously, it's an intraday segment of price action. But 5 +|4 |00:01:13,200 ~-~-> 00:01:28,260 |nonetheless, it's going to communicate something I believe is helpful to those that have ever entered a trade that failed to move in their in their favor, or 6 +|5 |00:01:29,310 ~-~-> 00:01:40,200 |fail to move out of a specific range. This is what is referred to as trapped order flow. So we take a look at it in greater detail, but I want you to take a 7 +|6 |00:01:40,200 ~-~-> 00:01:53,880 |look at what's shown here. And try to determine what makes this segment of price action difficult to move higher or lower, at least for the scope of last Friday, 8 +|7 |00:01:54,480 ~-~-> 00:02:06,840 |understanding what may lead to dynamic price action, one of the things you want to be able to identify is when the market is less likely to move, you understand 9 +|8 |00:02:06,840 ~-~-> 00:02:19,170 |from my concepts that we teach how to determine where the market is being drawn to. So that's to draw on liquidity. If you arrive at that, and you're correct, 10 +|9 |00:02:19,290 ~-~-> 00:02:28,050 |you'll find that you have very little resistance in terms of finding profitability in your setup. But when we have things in price action that lead 11 +|10 |00:02:28,050 ~-~-> 00:02:41,970 |to adversities or what we refer to as high resistance liquidity runs a low resistance liquidity run is something that would be seen as a very low resistant 12 +|11 |00:02:42,060 ~-~-> 00:02:55,020 |high energy price mood that runs an old high or runs an old low, very easy, smooth price action. A high resistance liquidity run would be one that will be 13 +|12 |00:02:55,020 ~-~-> 00:03:06,780 |seen with a great deal of adversity. In other words, from a classical technical analysis analogy, a lot of resistance in a bullish condition and a lot of 14 +|13 |00:03:07,140 ~-~-> 00:03:23,310 |support in a bearish condition. What frames this trapped order flow in here on Friday is directly related to two price points. This one here. And this one 15 +|14 |00:03:23,310 ~-~-> 00:03:38,610 |here. Both of these two reference points here have smaller fractal patterns within those larger patterns that also present additional features that would 16 +|15 |00:03:38,610 ~-~-> 00:03:49,140 |act as a trapping mechanism in the sense that it's very difficult it was difficult rather for price to move out of that range on Friday. So I'm gonna add 17 +|16 |00:03:49,140 ~-~-> 00:04:03,960 |a little bit detail here and I'll give you some more insights as we as we go. Okay, so we have this price when here is the larger bullish ICT breaker. Now 18 +|17 |00:04:03,960 ~-~-> 00:04:14,850 |without being all tied up with the lingo all we're gonna do is refer to this low here we residing below that sell side liquidity could be in the form of sell 19 +|18 |00:04:14,850 ~-~-> 00:04:29,520 |stops to go short or sell stops on assumed long positions. price drops down clears these stops out right here. Then price rallies away. Once this high is 20 +|19 |00:04:29,520 ~-~-> 00:04:40,890 |taken out. The price trades back down to that last close candle. This is a buying opportunity. Generally if the market conditions is bullish, offered 21 +|20 |00:04:40,890 ~-~-> 00:04:54,300 |support and here when a little bit lower into this ICT bullish breaker. Again a low high in between a lower low sell high liquidity ran out here. So inside this 22 +|21 |00:04:54,300 ~-~-> 00:05:08,160 |larger breaker there's a smaller breaker same pattern. Just on a smaller scale, once price runs through that, it makes a high comes back, makes the short term 23 +|22 |00:05:08,160 ~-~-> 00:05:20,310 |low rallies through this old high, then trades back down below this low that makes this a bearish ICT breaker. So now price trades up into there on Friday 24 +|23 |00:05:20,310 ~-~-> 00:05:35,550 |and has difficulty getting through it. We traded back down into this old high. Just like we saw Reese response off of this one here, we saw this rally 25 +|24 |00:05:37,560 ~-~-> 00:05:50,130 |off of offer this high, this low to this high down to this low is a bullish breaker as well, because we have liquidity below this low here, price trades 26 +|25 |00:05:50,130 ~-~-> 00:06:01,920 |down to it and then runs through the highest up close candle. That's your breaker. Price hits it here. So we're seeing a back and forth tug of war for 27 +|26 |00:06:01,920 ~-~-> 00:06:13,410 |order flow back and forth in between those two price points. Now, if we add that to the economic calendar, which obviously last Friday was non farm payroll, if 28 +|27 |00:06:13,410 ~-~-> 00:06:24,030 |we look at a five minute chart, here's the price action on non farm payroll Friday price, meandering around until non farm payroll release, the release 29 +|28 |00:06:24,030 ~-~-> 00:06:38,070 |comes out it drops down aggressively, then rallies back through, drops back down inside the original consolidation then sells off again, but hits a bullish 30 +|29 |00:06:38,070 ~-~-> 00:06:53,400 |breaker. So we have the market wanting to find a direction. But it can't find its way out of a defined range. When you see this coupled with the economic 31 +|30 |00:06:53,400 ~-~-> 00:07:06,210 |calendar for things like FOMC related events, a high impact speakers, or non farm payroll, this is what you could reasonably expect to see. If we have the 32 +|31 |00:07:06,210 ~-~-> 00:07:18,060 |price action, back to a 15 minute timeframe, you can see the difficulty with price finding a direction in here. It can be very problematic for someone that 33 +|32 |00:07:18,060 ~-~-> 00:07:28,230 |wants to follow, for instance, the optimal trade entry long one could be a buyer here. And yes, it made a higher high. But if you don't take partial profits, 34 +|33 |00:07:28,260 ~-~-> 00:07:42,540 |you're not going to see a profit market finds its way all the way back down into the original point of the buy. If you're trying to be a seller up here, and 35 +|34 |00:07:42,540 ~-~-> 00:07:52,800 |looking to go short thinking that this is going to be the downside catalyst on the initial run. Yes, it makes a lower low than this here. But if you don't take 36 +|35 |00:07:52,800 ~-~-> 00:08:01,680 |partials, you get stopped out. So it can be very frustrating back and forth when you're inside of a Seek and Destroy type of event. And that's what this whole 37 +|36 |00:08:01,680 ~-~-> 00:08:13,800 |price pattern is here. Every high and low gets taken out subsequently. So you're probably looking at the entry on this particular chart thinking, well, if that's 38 +|37 |00:08:13,800 ~-~-> 00:08:25,080 |the case, it was so hard. Why are you showing a short position? Obviously, I was on the assumption that I would see something in here, that would help me frame 39 +|38 |00:08:25,080 ~-~-> 00:08:45,750 |an entry. Let's go back down into a five minute chart inside of this run up. Okay, inside this up close candle, we like to look at the midpoint of that. If 40 +|39 |00:08:45,750 ~-~-> 00:08:58,050 |we breach it, like we do here, this candle runs a higher high, and then we start to see it break down. We traded down below the midpoint of this up close candle 41 +|40 |00:08:58,560 ~-~-> 00:09:09,630 |when it started to drop down. I don't like to see that if we take a higher high. So this to me sets up a scenario where we could be a seller. You can go short on 42 +|41 |00:09:09,630 ~-~-> 00:09:28,770 |that. If you look at the time of entry 1634 this candle right here 1635 that's the candle I did it in this little movement back up above the midpoint of this 43 +|42 |00:09:28,830 ~-~-> 00:09:43,590 |up close candle I was trying to get in as close as I possibly can to this mean threshold. My expectation is is that we ran stocks above this high and even if 44 +|43 |00:09:43,590 ~-~-> 00:09:53,790 |this stays in the Define range that it is here. If I can get below this low here, I can take first profit and move my stop to a lower level. And I don't 45 +|44 |00:09:53,790 ~-~-> 00:10:03,780 |care at that point getting stopped out. But if I'm right about this being in it Important high and we've done all the dirty work on the upside, and we grow 46 +|45 |00:10:03,780 ~-~-> 00:10:19,590 |lower. If I have a full 100 pips, in terms of a drop, it may not do this until later in the week, if at all, it doesn't have to do it, I could be wrong. But 47 +|46 |00:10:19,590 ~-~-> 00:10:33,780 |I'm looking at the premise that we had difficulty on Friday, just like we saw on the British pound, British Pound had that same scenario on Thursday. So you can 48 +|47 |00:10:33,780 ~-~-> 00:10:36,480 |destroy higher, low higher, low, higher, low, higher low. 49 +|48 |00:10:38,040 ~-~-> 00:10:46,560 |It's very frustrating when you're caught in this type of environment, because you can be buying, it runs up a little bit and then comes back stops you out. 50 +|49 |00:10:46,560 ~-~-> 00:10:53,280 |And you think, Okay, well, I'm gonna sell short that now. And then you put a short in, it runs up and takes a short term, how do you put your stop above, 51 +|50 |00:10:53,520 ~-~-> 00:11:01,710 |back and forth, it's very, very frustrating. The sooner you find that you're in that situation, the better off you are, and you want to move to the sidelines. 52 +|51 |00:11:01,740 ~-~-> 00:11:16,500 |Or if you do see a run on the extended range. Like up here, I was entering, not above the old high because I just didn't see it at a time. But ideally, you want 53 +|52 |00:11:16,500 ~-~-> 00:11:27,720 |to be a seller above old highs and fire below old lows, if you see the scenario, or the out of the marketplace, because the closer you get to the middle with an 54 +|53 |00:11:27,720 ~-~-> 00:11:36,960 |entry, which is generally going to be with your like an optimal trade entry, it's going to be painful, it's gonna be painful, you're going to be stopped out, 55 +|54 |00:11:36,990 ~-~-> 00:11:44,460 |it's not going to move in your direction. And it's going to be frayed for frustrating. So to me, my thought process was that we cleared this high with 56 +|55 |00:11:44,460 ~-~-> 00:11:53,970 |this run. And I wanted to get in as close as I could to the midpoint of the up close candle. Because even if I do get stopped out faster, it moves down a 57 +|56 |00:11:53,970 ~-~-> 00:12:01,980 |little bit, the likelihood of it come back to that midpoint is unlikely to occur because we've cleared a high. So in other words, they've done some work up here, 58 +|57 |00:12:01,980 ~-~-> 00:12:15,600 |we cleared some stops. And now the market should seek, again, should is not a definitive statement. It's not a an absolute definition of what to expect, okay, 59 +|58 |00:12:15,600 ~-~-> 00:12:25,650 |it's not going to be perfect. And you're not going to know that I don't always know that I have very high probability and statistical edges that helped me get 60 +|59 |00:12:25,650 ~-~-> 00:12:32,040 |to these assumptions. But that's what's really, really all they are at the beginning their assumptions. And until you see me go on Twitter and prove it 61 +|60 |00:12:32,040 ~-~-> 00:12:41,790 |after the fact. Then and only then was I right? But I'm not right yet. Even though that the trade has paper profit. I'm not right about the trade, because 62 +|61 |00:12:41,790 ~-~-> 00:12:52,440 |it's still open. I didn't collapse anything that didn't take any portion of it as a profit. So I want to see it trade below this low. Why because we've been in 63 +|62 |00:12:52,440 ~-~-> 00:13:02,310 |this trap overflow. And once we got to a higher high, I want to be at that high or very close to it. And because it's the means threshold, that's the reason why 64 +|63 |00:13:02,310 ~-~-> 00:13:13,200 |I was entering at that price point. Now I'm not trying to be nailing the absolute high, I want to be as close as I can to that high. It can happen after 65 +|64 |00:13:13,200 ~-~-> 00:13:25,770 |me. Nor it doesn't have to, doesn't have to be expected before I get in, because the understanding is that we've already tried to run higher than this high with 66 +|65 |00:13:25,770 ~-~-> 00:13:35,700 |this high, we ran higher than this high with this high remained higher than this high with this one. So I'm up here. So if I get stopped out, that gives me a lot 67 +|66 |00:13:35,700 ~-~-> 00:13:44,910 |of insight as to what I believe may happen with the euro dollar. Because if we come back up and knock this position out, then I think ultimately euro dollar is 68 +|67 |00:13:44,910 ~-~-> 00:13:53,670 |going to go higher. Now, if it continuously goes lower, I know what I'm looking to do, I would like to take a portion off below this low. If it runs through 69 +|68 |00:13:53,670 ~-~-> 00:14:05,640 |that, I would like to take a portion off below that. move my stop to a point of reasonable open this paper profit and then hopefully see if I can get 100 PIP 70 +|69 |00:14:05,640 ~-~-> 00:14:14,790 |move out of it. And that's it. If I'm right in my assumptions about what has transpired in here, 71 +|70 |00:14:16,320 ~-~-> 00:14:25,590 |I'm feeling this as they had high, anyone short, they were knocked down. Anyone that sold short here, they were knocked out as well. And it broke down 72 +|71 |00:14:25,620 ~-~-> 00:14:34,710 |aggressively. And then anyone that was selling short up here was not, again not allowed to be a participant in this move that's coming. So therefore, they not 73 +|72 |00:14:34,710 ~-~-> 00:14:45,540 |visit individuals out. So I want to hold on to this position. It admittedly, if I were to tell you how I feel internally at the time of the entry, and also 74 +|73 |00:14:45,570 ~-~-> 00:14:58,440 |currently right now talking to you. I don't feel comfortable about the trade. Now in my past history. Every time I've had a trade that felt uncomfortable the 75 +|74 |00:14:58,440 ~-~-> 00:15:08,160 |whole if I didn't like the way it felt, while I was in it, they generally are the ones that pan out because they're the ones that either exit too early. And I 76 +|75 |00:15:08,160 ~-~-> 00:15:15,870 |take too much off at my first and second third profit scaling. And I wish back in hindsight that I wish I would have held on to it longer with a larger 77 +|76 |00:15:15,870 ~-~-> 00:15:26,160 |portion. Because of the feelings I have about that idea. We are still in a range, it has yet to break below this low. So we're still inside of a dealing 78 +|77 |00:15:26,160 ~-~-> 00:15:35,370 |range. What's the range now to this high in this low, we're on the low end of it. Now, we could have just very easily traded below this low here, and it 79 +|78 |00:15:35,370 ~-~-> 00:15:44,130 |starts to tear off and goes higher and stops me out. And that's trading. That's the way it works. Sometimes you just you're just wrong. I have a rule based idea 80 +|79 |00:15:44,130 ~-~-> 00:15:55,890 |that I'd like to be able to take something off below this low here. Now I could take off something right now. And essentially, I would have 20 pips or so. But I 81 +|80 |00:15:55,890 ~-~-> 00:16:07,800 |only have two and a half standard watts on in terms of leverage, one over 100 and some $1,000 demo account. So I don't have a lot to be concerned about you if 82 +|81 |00:16:07,800 ~-~-> 00:16:18,930 |it stopped me out. And I don't have a lot to make as an illustration for this idea. But admittedly because of the technicals that are here. And because we 83 +|82 |00:16:18,930 ~-~-> 00:16:29,580 |just moved out of just the high end of the range that the final Friday's non farm payroll price action, until we break out below this low, then I'd feel 84 +|83 |00:16:29,580 ~-~-> 00:16:36,840 |better about the likelihood that reaching below here. But right now it's still hammering around, they could come all the way back up to the top, near the top 85 +|84 |00:16:36,840 ~-~-> 00:16:49,110 |of this range. And everything I have an open profit for this setup would be eroded. So what was the point of this video, the point of the video is to see if 86 +|85 |00:16:49,110 ~-~-> 00:17:01,920 |he starts seeing opposing conditions that would present both sides. Okay, this is obviously a nice ideal scenario to be a buyer at when classical support 87 +|86 |00:17:01,920 ~-~-> 00:17:12,360 |resistance would work. If you just use this Oh, hi, yet classical support resistance would be favorable here. In this area here, when we have a high a low 88 +|87 |00:17:12,390 ~-~-> 00:17:22,470 |higher high once the lower point or low and between those two highs is broken on the downside, draw that level as your resistance generally, it'll act as 89 +|88 |00:17:22,470 ~-~-> 00:17:35,940 |resistance and your classical support as our levels will work. But if we have a range that's defined with this massive repricing as what this is here, all of 90 +|89 |00:17:35,940 ~-~-> 00:17:46,680 |this by side delivery, extremely overweighted. On the buy side, the market does in fact rebounds right at this point here and it spends a lot of time 91 +|90 |00:17:46,680 ~-~-> 00:18:00,360 |accumulating right off of this breaker. It runs up to its obvious level of order flow that would create a barrier or wall. Now they tried several times to drive 92 +|91 |00:18:00,360 ~-~-> 00:18:09,060 |it up in there one more time here higher high, and it just couldn't find traction going up. But even though it didn't find traction going up, this 93 +|92 |00:18:09,390 ~-~-> 00:18:18,900 |retracement really wasn't all that energetic either. So what I'm doing is I'm using a very, very small position to get attached 94 +|93 |00:18:19,079 ~-~-> 00:18:29,249 |to this particular pair. Because I have a position and it allows me to think about what I would be feeling if I had skin in the race. In other words, if I 95 +|94 |00:18:29,249 ~-~-> 00:18:37,439 |had money, and at that risk, which I don't own this because it's a demo trade, everything I teach with is a demo. Now you can have an issue with that and say, 96 +|95 |00:18:37,439 ~-~-> 00:18:44,789 |well, you have any business teaching, because you're not trading with real money. I'm not here to defend that I could care less. Okay, I'm teaching 97 +|96 |00:18:44,789 ~-~-> 00:18:54,839 |conceptually. And if you're a new trader, that's my target audience, because you need to have some kind of foundation and you don't build a foundation with live 98 +|97 |00:18:54,839 ~-~-> 00:19:03,689 |funds, because the only thing it's going to do is teach you bad habits, and poor thinking and worry about the money. And I'm teaching the concept of reading 99 +|98 |00:19:03,689 ~-~-> 00:19:13,649 |price action, if you can respect that. Going forward and just understand it the conceptual ideas that I teach, repeat over and over and over again. That does 100 +|99 |00:19:13,649 ~-~-> 00:19:25,589 |not translate into money. Now, it could, if you do it with a Live account, and it pans out in your favor. But it also can and it absolutely will turn around on 101 +|100 |00:19:25,589 ~-~-> 00:19:35,129 |you. And you'll do it wrong and you'll suffer a loss. If you try to trade with live money. Nothing that I do in my teachings provides a 100% strike rate, it 102 +|101 |00:19:35,129 ~-~-> 00:19:51,269 |doesn't happen. I take losses I lose sometimes I get it wrong sometimes. I just read it wrong. And I'm not stating that this is going to make you money. I'm 103 +|102 |00:19:51,269 ~-~-> 00:20:02,609 |stating that this is going to help you avoid times when the market is far less likely to pan out in your favor. And then Again, it's whenever we see opposing 104 +|103 |00:20:03,179 ~-~-> 00:20:12,149 |ideas, and you're inside of a trapped range ready to hit the market can't find its way out. If you go back and look at periods where there's extended 105 +|104 |00:20:12,149 ~-~-> 00:20:24,839 |consolidation in a market or specific asset class, chances are you're going to find this scenario. Cake this, there's a there's a good side and a bad side to 106 +|105 |00:20:24,839 ~-~-> 00:20:35,459 |this. Okay, the bad side is it's very difficult to find moves with a great deal of magnitude that go higher or lower, we have to find our way out of that that 107 +|106 |00:20:35,459 ~-~-> 00:20:48,509 |range first. The good news about this is that there's going to be a large displacement that will occur once we exit this range, once there has been a 108 +|107 |00:20:48,509 ~-~-> 00:20:57,629 |buildup of positions, and we don't know for certain if it's the institutional buying or the institutional selling that has the heavier weight. I don't know 109 +|108 |00:20:57,629 ~-~-> 00:21:08,639 |that. But I know that once we leave this range, we'll have a pretty high odds that we're going to have a sustained price move of several 100 pips both know it 110 +|109 |00:21:08,639 ~-~-> 00:21:19,409 |could be, you know, move up several 100 pips or several 100 PIP move lower, I don't know at this point. But I'm placing weight on the fact that I want to be 111 +|110 |00:21:19,409 ~-~-> 00:21:26,819 |on the high end of the range here, with the likelihood of it clearing up these relatively equal lows. And that's what this liquidity pool is, if we run through 112 +|111 |00:21:26,819 ~-~-> 00:21:37,739 |this and serve some kind of energy, I would like to see it below, here. But if I'm wrong, and it trades all the way up, stops this out and trades above this 113 +|112 |00:21:37,739 ~-~-> 00:21:46,439 |liquidity pool, relative equal highs, then I think that this high is going to be taken out, and we'll probably trade, you know, a little bit longer move on the 114 +|113 |00:21:46,439 ~-~-> 00:21:58,229 |upside. If you look at also, euro dollar, you know, we've been in a really sloppy consolidation. For months since the fall of last year, the Euro dollar 115 +|114 |00:21:58,229 ~-~-> 00:22:12,059 |has basically been sleeping inside of a range of a couple 100 pips. And this movement here, it's highly suspect to just remaining in the range. So to help me 116 +|115 |00:22:12,059 ~-~-> 00:22:23,639 |get a better feel of what prices in initially showing right now, for this week, I wanted to carry something from over on non farm payroll, I wanted to see how 117 +|116 |00:22:23,639 ~-~-> 00:22:33,029 |we opened up we didn't really open up to much different from where we closed on Friday. So again, I'm watching to see if we reject this low, and then we try to 118 +|117 |00:22:33,029 ~-~-> 00:22:45,569 |run higher up, it would look really weird in terms of price action, but it can do it. And it would only be beneficial to me. If we run these highs, because I 119 +|118 |00:22:45,569 ~-~-> 00:22:53,669 |think then this high would be taken out. And we were just going to continuously press higher on the higher time frame dealing range being broken. But for now, 120 +|119 |00:22:53,699 ~-~-> 00:23:02,819 |as long as we remain below these highs, that obviously would indicate to me that we're probably gonna make a run declare up these equal lows. Now it could come 121 +|120 |00:23:02,819 ~-~-> 00:23:12,359 |down clearly sequel lows, rebounds this void. And that would be something that we monitor monitoring and seeing if they make or attempt to run back up. We 122 +|121 |00:23:12,359 ~-~-> 00:23:15,839 |would like to see it obviously find resistance in here and not try to trade back above 123 +|122 |00:23:15,839 ~-~-> 00:23:24,809 |here and move lower. But you know, we're not in control price, we'll just have to see what happens. But I just want to give you guys an opportunity to see what 124 +|123 |00:23:25,019 ~-~-> 00:23:35,249 |it looks like when I have problems. Technically, when it's challenging for me, because I put a tweet out on Twitter last week and on Friday and mentioned that 125 +|124 |00:23:35,789 ~-~-> 00:23:46,889 |euro dollar is between two opposing ideas from my content. This is a bearish breaker. Okay, this is a bearish breaker as well. And that's why I have it 126 +|125 |00:23:46,979 ~-~-> 00:23:55,889 |directly between both of them. Originally, it was this one. But this one is a breaker as well. And I got a question asked, you know, what is? Why is this a 127 +|126 |00:23:55,889 ~-~-> 00:24:06,569 |breaker because what stops would have ran out first. It's this short term high right here. So the high, low higher high liquidity was ran out here. And then we 128 +|127 |00:24:06,569 ~-~-> 00:24:18,179 |broke down through it. So that makes this a breaker. So you can see there's all kinds of layered, opposing ideas. So if I'm trading, I want to find a very low 129 +|128 |00:24:18,179 ~-~-> 00:24:29,819 |resistance liquidity run. That means everything is so heavily weighted in my direction, or my idea in that trade setup, that it's going to take a real move 130 +|129 |00:24:29,819 ~-~-> 00:24:40,619 |of significance for me to be wrong, and see it fail. The more adversities and things you have standing in your way with your trade idea. We shouldn't be 131 +|130 |00:24:40,619 ~-~-> 00:24:48,599 |surprised when we have a trade that stops us out or it fails to move out. And this wears us down emotionally and psychologically. We just can't stand anymore. 132 +|131 |00:24:48,599 ~-~-> 00:24:59,669 |We just closed the trade. If you look at the overall market environment, it will look many times similar or similar in many ways. Like I'm describing here, the 133 +|132 |00:24:59,669 ~-~-> 00:25:07,559 |market In consolidation, so if you look at when markets are trading and trading ranges, now you understand we can go back and look at price, you'll see that 134 +|133 |00:25:07,559 ~-~-> 00:25:18,359 |it's being held between two breakers. And one of those breakers gonna have to give way and then the market will have a much easier way to trade from high 135 +|134 |00:25:18,359 ~-~-> 00:25:28,199 |resistance liquidity runs, which is where we're at right now. It makes it very hard for markets to find sustainable moves, then transitioning from that to low 136 +|135 |00:25:28,199 ~-~-> 00:25:34,979 |resistance liquidity runs, or very efficient, symmetrical price movement. So hopefully you found this insightful and I'll talk to you next time wish good 137 +|136 |00:25:34,979 ~-~-> 00:25:35,999 |luck and good trading. 5 5 6 -2 7 -00:00:50,340 ~-~-> 00:01:02,010 8 -that's a day that I like to refrain from engaging in. But I'm gonna give you 9 -some things that added to the uncertainty about that particular day being last 10 - 11 -3 12 -00:01:02,010 ~-~-> 00:01:13,200 13 -Friday, or February 1, to be specific, I want you to take a look at this section 14 -of price action. And obviously, it's an intraday segment of price action. But 15 - 16 -4 17 -00:01:13,200 ~-~-> 00:01:28,260 18 -nonetheless, it's going to communicate something I believe is helpful to those 19 -that have ever entered a trade that failed to move in their in their favor, or 20 - 21 -5 22 -00:01:29,310 ~-~-> 00:01:40,200 23 -fail to move out of a specific range. This is what is referred to as trapped 24 -order flow. So we take a look at it in greater detail, but I want you to take a 25 - 26 -6 27 -00:01:40,200 ~-~-> 00:01:53,880 28 -look at what's shown here. And try to determine what makes this segment of price 29 -action difficult to move higher or lower, at least for the scope of last Friday, 30 - 31 -7 32 -00:01:54,480 ~-~-> 00:02:06,840 33 -understanding what may lead to dynamic price action, one of the things you want 34 -to be able to identify is when the market is less likely to move, you understand 35 - 36 -8 37 -00:02:06,840 ~-~-> 00:02:19,170 38 -from my concepts that we teach how to determine where the market is being drawn 39 -to. So that's to draw on liquidity. If you arrive at that, and you're correct, 40 - 41 -9 42 -00:02:19,290 ~-~-> 00:02:28,050 43 -you'll find that you have very little resistance in terms of finding 44 -profitability in your setup. But when we have things in price action that lead 45 - 46 -10 47 -00:02:28,050 ~-~-> 00:02:41,970 48 -to adversities or what we refer to as high resistance liquidity runs a low 49 -resistance liquidity run is something that would be seen as a very low resistant 50 - 51 -11 52 -00:02:42,060 ~-~-> 00:02:55,020 53 -high energy price mood that runs an old high or runs an old low, very easy, 54 -smooth price action. A high resistance liquidity run would be one that will be 55 - 56 -12 57 -00:02:55,020 ~-~-> 00:03:06,780 58 -seen with a great deal of adversity. In other words, from a classical technical 59 -analysis analogy, a lot of resistance in a bullish condition and a lot of 60 - 61 -13 62 -00:03:07,140 ~-~-> 00:03:23,310 63 -support in a bearish condition. What frames this trapped order flow in here on 64 -Friday is directly related to two price points. This one here. And this one 65 - 66 -14 67 -00:03:23,310 ~-~-> 00:03:38,610 68 -here. Both of these two reference points here have smaller fractal patterns 69 -within those larger patterns that also present additional features that would 70 - 71 -15 72 -00:03:38,610 ~-~-> 00:03:49,140 73 -act as a trapping mechanism in the sense that it's very difficult it was 74 -difficult rather for price to move out of that range on Friday. So I'm gonna add 75 - 76 -16 77 -00:03:49,140 ~-~-> 00:04:03,960 78 -a little bit detail here and I'll give you some more insights as we as we go. 79 -Okay, so we have this price when here is the larger bullish ICT breaker. Now 80 - 81 -17 82 -00:04:03,960 ~-~-> 00:04:14,850 83 -without being all tied up with the lingo all we're gonna do is refer to this low 84 -here we residing below that sell side liquidity could be in the form of sell 85 - 86 -18 87 -00:04:14,850 ~-~-> 00:04:29,520 88 -stops to go short or sell stops on assumed long positions. price drops down 89 -clears these stops out right here. Then price rallies away. Once this high is 90 - 91 -19 92 -00:04:29,520 ~-~-> 00:04:40,890 93 -taken out. The price trades back down to that last close candle. This is a 94 -buying opportunity. Generally if the market conditions is bullish, offered 95 - 96 -20 97 -00:04:40,890 ~-~-> 00:04:54,300 98 -support and here when a little bit lower into this ICT bullish breaker. Again a 99 -low high in between a lower low sell high liquidity ran out here. So inside this 100 - 101 -21 102 -00:04:54,300 ~-~-> 00:05:08,160 103 -larger breaker there's a smaller breaker same pattern. Just on a smaller scale, 104 -once price runs through that, it makes a high comes back, makes the short term 105 - 106 -22 107 -00:05:08,160 ~-~-> 00:05:20,310 108 -low rallies through this old high, then trades back down below this low that 109 -makes this a bearish ICT breaker. So now price trades up into there on Friday 110 - 111 -23 112 -00:05:20,310 ~-~-> 00:05:35,550 113 -and has difficulty getting through it. We traded back down into this old high. 114 -Just like we saw Reese response off of this one here, we saw this rally 115 - 116 -24 117 -00:05:37,560 ~-~-> 00:05:50,130 118 -off of offer this high, this low to this high down to this low is a bullish 119 -breaker as well, because we have liquidity below this low here, price trades 120 - 121 -25 122 -00:05:50,130 ~-~-> 00:06:01,920 123 -down to it and then runs through the highest up close candle. That's your 124 -breaker. Price hits it here. So we're seeing a back and forth tug of war for 125 - 126 -26 127 -00:06:01,920 ~-~-> 00:06:13,410 128 -order flow back and forth in between those two price points. Now, if we add that 129 -to the economic calendar, which obviously last Friday was non farm payroll, if 130 - 131 -27 132 -00:06:13,410 ~-~-> 00:06:24,030 133 -we look at a five minute chart, here's the price action on non farm payroll 134 -Friday price, meandering around until non farm payroll release, the release 135 - 136 -28 137 -00:06:24,030 ~-~-> 00:06:38,070 138 -comes out it drops down aggressively, then rallies back through, drops back down 139 -inside the original consolidation then sells off again, but hits a bullish 140 - 141 -29 142 -00:06:38,070 ~-~-> 00:06:53,400 143 -breaker. So we have the market wanting to find a direction. But it can't find 144 -its way out of a defined range. When you see this coupled with the economic 145 - 146 -30 147 -00:06:53,400 ~-~-> 00:07:06,210 148 -calendar for things like FOMC related events, a high impact speakers, or non 149 -farm payroll, this is what you could reasonably expect to see. If we have the 150 - 151 -31 152 -00:07:06,210 ~-~-> 00:07:18,060 153 -price action, back to a 15 minute timeframe, you can see the difficulty with 154 -price finding a direction in here. It can be very problematic for someone that 155 - 156 -32 157 -00:07:18,060 ~-~-> 00:07:28,230 158 -wants to follow, for instance, the optimal trade entry long one could be a buyer 159 -here. And yes, it made a higher high. But if you don't take partial profits, 160 - 161 -33 162 -00:07:28,260 ~-~-> 00:07:42,540 163 -you're not going to see a profit market finds its way all the way back down into 164 -the original point of the buy. If you're trying to be a seller up here, and 165 - 166 -34 167 -00:07:42,540 ~-~-> 00:07:52,800 168 -looking to go short thinking that this is going to be the downside catalyst on 169 -the initial run. Yes, it makes a lower low than this here. But if you don't take 170 - 171 -35 172 -00:07:52,800 ~-~-> 00:08:01,680 173 -partials, you get stopped out. So it can be very frustrating back and forth when 174 -you're inside of a Seek and Destroy type of event. And that's what this whole 175 - 176 -36 177 -00:08:01,680 ~-~-> 00:08:13,800 178 -price pattern is here. Every high and low gets taken out subsequently. So you're 179 -probably looking at the entry on this particular chart thinking, well, if that's 180 - 181 -37 182 -00:08:13,800 ~-~-> 00:08:25,080 183 -the case, it was so hard. Why are you showing a short position? Obviously, I was 184 -on the assumption that I would see something in here, that would help me frame 185 - 186 -38 187 -00:08:25,080 ~-~-> 00:08:45,750 188 -an entry. Let's go back down into a five minute chart inside of this run up. 189 -Okay, inside this up close candle, we like to look at the midpoint of that. If 190 - 191 -39 192 -00:08:45,750 ~-~-> 00:08:58,050 193 -we breach it, like we do here, this candle runs a higher high, and then we start 194 -to see it break down. We traded down below the midpoint of this up close candle 195 - 196 -40 197 -00:08:58,560 ~-~-> 00:09:09,630 198 -when it started to drop down. I don't like to see that if we take a higher high. 199 -So this to me sets up a scenario where we could be a seller. You can go short on 200 - 201 -41 202 -00:09:09,630 ~-~-> 00:09:28,770 203 -that. If you look at the time of entry 1634 this candle right here 1635 that's 204 -the candle I did it in this little movement back up above the midpoint of this 205 - 206 -42 207 -00:09:28,830 ~-~-> 00:09:43,590 208 -up close candle I was trying to get in as close as I possibly can to this mean 209 -threshold. My expectation is is that we ran stocks above this high and even if 210 - 211 -43 212 -00:09:43,590 ~-~-> 00:09:53,790 213 -this stays in the Define range that it is here. If I can get below this low 214 -here, I can take first profit and move my stop to a lower level. And I don't 215 - 216 -44 217 -00:09:53,790 ~-~-> 00:10:03,780 218 -care at that point getting stopped out. But if I'm right about this being in it 219 -Important high and we've done all the dirty work on the upside, and we grow 220 - 221 -45 222 -00:10:03,780 ~-~-> 00:10:19,590 223 -lower. If I have a full 100 pips, in terms of a drop, it may not do this until 224 -later in the week, if at all, it doesn't have to do it, I could be wrong. But 225 - 226 -46 227 -00:10:19,590 ~-~-> 00:10:33,780 228 -I'm looking at the premise that we had difficulty on Friday, just like we saw on 229 -the British pound, British Pound had that same scenario on Thursday. So you can 230 - 231 -47 232 -00:10:33,780 ~-~-> 00:10:36,480 233 -destroy higher, low higher, low, higher, low, higher low. 234 - 235 -48 236 -00:10:38,040 ~-~-> 00:10:46,560 237 -It's very frustrating when you're caught in this type of environment, because 238 -you can be buying, it runs up a little bit and then comes back stops you out. 239 - 240 -49 241 -00:10:46,560 ~-~-> 00:10:53,280 242 -And you think, Okay, well, I'm gonna sell short that now. And then you put a 243 -short in, it runs up and takes a short term, how do you put your stop above, 244 - 245 -50 246 -00:10:53,520 ~-~-> 00:11:01,710 247 -back and forth, it's very, very frustrating. The sooner you find that you're in 248 -that situation, the better off you are, and you want to move to the sidelines. 249 - 250 -51 251 -00:11:01,740 ~-~-> 00:11:16,500 252 -Or if you do see a run on the extended range. Like up here, I was entering, not 253 -above the old high because I just didn't see it at a time. But ideally, you want 254 - 255 -52 256 -00:11:16,500 ~-~-> 00:11:27,720 257 -to be a seller above old highs and fire below old lows, if you see the scenario, 258 -or the out of the marketplace, because the closer you get to the middle with an 259 - 260 -53 261 -00:11:27,720 ~-~-> 00:11:36,960 262 -entry, which is generally going to be with your like an optimal trade entry, 263 -it's going to be painful, it's gonna be painful, you're going to be stopped out, 264 - 265 -54 266 -00:11:36,990 ~-~-> 00:11:44,460 267 -it's not going to move in your direction. And it's going to be frayed for 268 -frustrating. So to me, my thought process was that we cleared this high with 269 - 270 -55 271 -00:11:44,460 ~-~-> 00:11:53,970 272 -this run. And I wanted to get in as close as I could to the midpoint of the up 273 -close candle. Because even if I do get stopped out faster, it moves down a 274 - 275 -56 276 -00:11:53,970 ~-~-> 00:12:01,980 277 -little bit, the likelihood of it come back to that midpoint is unlikely to occur 278 -because we've cleared a high. So in other words, they've done some work up here, 279 - 280 -57 281 -00:12:01,980 ~-~-> 00:12:15,600 282 -we cleared some stops. And now the market should seek, again, should is not a 283 -definitive statement. It's not a an absolute definition of what to expect, okay, 284 - 285 -58 286 -00:12:15,600 ~-~-> 00:12:25,650 287 -it's not going to be perfect. And you're not going to know that I don't always 288 -know that I have very high probability and statistical edges that helped me get 289 - 290 -59 291 -00:12:25,650 ~-~-> 00:12:32,040 292 -to these assumptions. But that's what's really, really all they are at the 293 -beginning their assumptions. And until you see me go on Twitter and prove it 294 - 295 -60 296 -00:12:32,040 ~-~-> 00:12:41,790 297 -after the fact. Then and only then was I right? But I'm not right yet. Even 298 -though that the trade has paper profit. I'm not right about the trade, because 299 - 300 -61 301 -00:12:41,790 ~-~-> 00:12:52,440 302 -it's still open. I didn't collapse anything that didn't take any portion of it 303 -as a profit. So I want to see it trade below this low. Why because we've been in 304 - 305 -62 306 -00:12:52,440 ~-~-> 00:13:02,310 307 -this trap overflow. And once we got to a higher high, I want to be at that high 308 -or very close to it. And because it's the means threshold, that's the reason why 309 - 310 -63 311 -00:13:02,310 ~-~-> 00:13:13,200 312 -I was entering at that price point. Now I'm not trying to be nailing the 313 -absolute high, I want to be as close as I can to that high. It can happen after 314 - 315 -64 316 -00:13:13,200 ~-~-> 00:13:25,770 317 -me. Nor it doesn't have to, doesn't have to be expected before I get in, because 318 -the understanding is that we've already tried to run higher than this high with 319 - 320 -65 321 -00:13:25,770 ~-~-> 00:13:35,700 322 -this high, we ran higher than this high with this high remained higher than this 323 -high with this one. So I'm up here. So if I get stopped out, that gives me a lot 324 - 325 -66 326 -00:13:35,700 ~-~-> 00:13:44,910 327 -of insight as to what I believe may happen with the euro dollar. Because if we 328 -come back up and knock this position out, then I think ultimately euro dollar is 329 - 330 -67 331 -00:13:44,910 ~-~-> 00:13:53,670 332 -going to go higher. Now, if it continuously goes lower, I know what I'm looking 333 -to do, I would like to take a portion off below this low. If it runs through 334 - 335 -68 336 -00:13:53,670 ~-~-> 00:14:05,640 337 -that, I would like to take a portion off below that. move my stop to a point of 338 -reasonable open this paper profit and then hopefully see if I can get 100 PIP 339 - 340 -69 341 -00:14:05,640 ~-~-> 00:14:14,790 342 -move out of it. And that's it. If I'm right in my assumptions about what has 343 -transpired in here, 344 - 345 -70 346 -00:14:16,320 ~-~-> 00:14:25,590 347 -I'm feeling this as they had high, anyone short, they were knocked down. Anyone 348 -that sold short here, they were knocked out as well. And it broke down 349 - 350 -71 351 -00:14:25,620 ~-~-> 00:14:34,710 352 -aggressively. And then anyone that was selling short up here was not, again not 353 -allowed to be a participant in this move that's coming. So therefore, they not 354 - 355 -72 356 -00:14:34,710 ~-~-> 00:14:45,540 357 -visit individuals out. So I want to hold on to this position. It admittedly, if 358 -I were to tell you how I feel internally at the time of the entry, and also 359 - 360 -73 361 -00:14:45,570 ~-~-> 00:14:58,440 362 -currently right now talking to you. I don't feel comfortable about the trade. 363 -Now in my past history. Every time I've had a trade that felt uncomfortable the 364 - 365 -74 366 -00:14:58,440 ~-~-> 00:15:08,160 367 -whole if I didn't like the way it felt, while I was in it, they generally are 368 -the ones that pan out because they're the ones that either exit too early. And I 369 - 370 -75 371 -00:15:08,160 ~-~-> 00:15:15,870 372 -take too much off at my first and second third profit scaling. And I wish back 373 -in hindsight that I wish I would have held on to it longer with a larger 374 - 375 -76 376 -00:15:15,870 ~-~-> 00:15:26,160 377 -portion. Because of the feelings I have about that idea. We are still in a 378 -range, it has yet to break below this low. So we're still inside of a dealing 379 - 380 -77 381 -00:15:26,160 ~-~-> 00:15:35,370 382 -range. What's the range now to this high in this low, we're on the low end of 383 -it. Now, we could have just very easily traded below this low here, and it 384 - 385 -78 386 -00:15:35,370 ~-~-> 00:15:44,130 387 -starts to tear off and goes higher and stops me out. And that's trading. That's 388 -the way it works. Sometimes you just you're just wrong. I have a rule based idea 389 - 390 -79 391 -00:15:44,130 ~-~-> 00:15:55,890 392 -that I'd like to be able to take something off below this low here. Now I could 393 -take off something right now. And essentially, I would have 20 pips or so. But I 394 - 395 -80 396 -00:15:55,890 ~-~-> 00:16:07,800 397 -only have two and a half standard watts on in terms of leverage, one over 100 398 -and some $1,000 demo account. So I don't have a lot to be concerned about you if 399 - 400 -81 401 -00:16:07,800 ~-~-> 00:16:18,930 402 -it stopped me out. And I don't have a lot to make as an illustration for this 403 -idea. But admittedly because of the technicals that are here. And because we 404 - 405 -82 406 -00:16:18,930 ~-~-> 00:16:29,580 407 -just moved out of just the high end of the range that the final Friday's non 408 -farm payroll price action, until we break out below this low, then I'd feel 409 - 410 -83 411 -00:16:29,580 ~-~-> 00:16:36,840 412 -better about the likelihood that reaching below here. But right now it's still 413 -hammering around, they could come all the way back up to the top, near the top 414 - 415 -84 416 -00:16:36,840 ~-~-> 00:16:49,110 417 -of this range. And everything I have an open profit for this setup would be 418 -eroded. So what was the point of this video, the point of the video is to see if 419 - 420 -85 421 -00:16:49,110 ~-~-> 00:17:01,920 422 -he starts seeing opposing conditions that would present both sides. Okay, this 423 -is obviously a nice ideal scenario to be a buyer at when classical support 424 - 425 -86 426 -00:17:01,920 ~-~-> 00:17:12,360 427 -resistance would work. If you just use this Oh, hi, yet classical support 428 -resistance would be favorable here. In this area here, when we have a high a low 429 - 430 -87 431 -00:17:12,390 ~-~-> 00:17:22,470 432 -higher high once the lower point or low and between those two highs is broken on 433 -the downside, draw that level as your resistance generally, it'll act as 434 - 435 -88 436 -00:17:22,470 ~-~-> 00:17:35,940 437 -resistance and your classical support as our levels will work. But if we have a 438 -range that's defined with this massive repricing as what this is here, all of 439 - 440 -89 441 -00:17:35,940 ~-~-> 00:17:46,680 442 -this by side delivery, extremely overweighted. On the buy side, the market does 443 -in fact rebounds right at this point here and it spends a lot of time 444 - 445 -90 446 -00:17:46,680 ~-~-> 00:18:00,360 447 -accumulating right off of this breaker. It runs up to its obvious level of order 448 -flow that would create a barrier or wall. Now they tried several times to drive 449 - 450 -91 451 -00:18:00,360 ~-~-> 00:18:09,060 452 -it up in there one more time here higher high, and it just couldn't find 453 -traction going up. But even though it didn't find traction going up, this 454 - 455 -92 456 -00:18:09,390 ~-~-> 00:18:18,900 457 -retracement really wasn't all that energetic either. So what I'm doing is I'm 458 -using a very, very small position to get attached 459 - 460 -93 461 -00:18:19,079 ~-~-> 00:18:29,249 462 -to this particular pair. Because I have a position and it allows me to think 463 -about what I would be feeling if I had skin in the race. In other words, if I 464 - 465 -94 466 -00:18:29,249 ~-~-> 00:18:37,439 467 -had money, and at that risk, which I don't own this because it's a demo trade, 468 -everything I teach with is a demo. Now you can have an issue with that and say, 469 - 470 -95 471 -00:18:37,439 ~-~-> 00:18:44,789 472 -well, you have any business teaching, because you're not trading with real 473 -money. I'm not here to defend that I could care less. Okay, I'm teaching 474 - 475 -96 476 -00:18:44,789 ~-~-> 00:18:54,839 477 -conceptually. And if you're a new trader, that's my target audience, because you 478 -need to have some kind of foundation and you don't build a foundation with live 479 - 480 -97 481 -00:18:54,839 ~-~-> 00:19:03,689 482 -funds, because the only thing it's going to do is teach you bad habits, and poor 483 -thinking and worry about the money. And I'm teaching the concept of reading 484 - 485 -98 486 -00:19:03,689 ~-~-> 00:19:13,649 487 -price action, if you can respect that. Going forward and just understand it the 488 -conceptual ideas that I teach, repeat over and over and over again. That does 489 - 490 -99 491 -00:19:13,649 ~-~-> 00:19:25,589 492 -not translate into money. Now, it could, if you do it with a Live account, and 493 -it pans out in your favor. But it also can and it absolutely will turn around on 494 - 495 -100 496 -00:19:25,589 ~-~-> 00:19:35,129 497 -you. And you'll do it wrong and you'll suffer a loss. If you try to trade with 498 -live money. Nothing that I do in my teachings provides a 100% strike rate, it 499 - 500 -101 501 -00:19:35,129 ~-~-> 00:19:51,269 502 -doesn't happen. I take losses I lose sometimes I get it wrong sometimes. I just 503 -read it wrong. And I'm not stating that this is going to make you money. I'm 504 - 505 -102 506 -00:19:51,269 ~-~-> 00:20:02,609 507 -stating that this is going to help you avoid times when the market is far less 508 -likely to pan out in your favor. And then Again, it's whenever we see opposing 509 - 510 -103 511 -00:20:03,179 ~-~-> 00:20:12,149 512 -ideas, and you're inside of a trapped range ready to hit the market can't find 513 -its way out. If you go back and look at periods where there's extended 514 - 515 -104 516 -00:20:12,149 ~-~-> 00:20:24,839 517 -consolidation in a market or specific asset class, chances are you're going to 518 -find this scenario. Cake this, there's a there's a good side and a bad side to 519 - 520 -105 521 -00:20:24,839 ~-~-> 00:20:35,459 522 -this. Okay, the bad side is it's very difficult to find moves with a great deal 523 -of magnitude that go higher or lower, we have to find our way out of that that 524 - 525 -106 526 -00:20:35,459 ~-~-> 00:20:48,509 527 -range first. The good news about this is that there's going to be a large 528 -displacement that will occur once we exit this range, once there has been a 529 - 530 -107 531 -00:20:48,509 ~-~-> 00:20:57,629 532 -buildup of positions, and we don't know for certain if it's the institutional 533 -buying or the institutional selling that has the heavier weight. I don't know 534 - 535 -108 536 -00:20:57,629 ~-~-> 00:21:08,639 537 -that. But I know that once we leave this range, we'll have a pretty high odds 538 -that we're going to have a sustained price move of several 100 pips both know it 539 - 540 -109 541 -00:21:08,639 ~-~-> 00:21:19,409 542 -could be, you know, move up several 100 pips or several 100 PIP move lower, I 543 -don't know at this point. But I'm placing weight on the fact that I want to be 544 - 545 -110 546 -00:21:19,409 ~-~-> 00:21:26,819 547 -on the high end of the range here, with the likelihood of it clearing up these 548 -relatively equal lows. And that's what this liquidity pool is, if we run through 549 - 550 -111 551 -00:21:26,819 ~-~-> 00:21:37,739 552 -this and serve some kind of energy, I would like to see it below, here. But if 553 -I'm wrong, and it trades all the way up, stops this out and trades above this 554 - 555 -112 556 -00:21:37,739 ~-~-> 00:21:46,439 557 -liquidity pool, relative equal highs, then I think that this high is going to be 558 -taken out, and we'll probably trade, you know, a little bit longer move on the 559 - 560 -113 561 -00:21:46,439 ~-~-> 00:21:58,229 562 -upside. If you look at also, euro dollar, you know, we've been in a really 563 -sloppy consolidation. For months since the fall of last year, the Euro dollar 564 - 565 -114 566 -00:21:58,229 ~-~-> 00:22:12,059 567 -has basically been sleeping inside of a range of a couple 100 pips. And this 568 -movement here, it's highly suspect to just remaining in the range. So to help me 569 - 570 -115 571 -00:22:12,059 ~-~-> 00:22:23,639 572 -get a better feel of what prices in initially showing right now, for this week, 573 -I wanted to carry something from over on non farm payroll, I wanted to see how 574 - 575 -116 576 -00:22:23,639 ~-~-> 00:22:33,029 577 -we opened up we didn't really open up to much different from where we closed on 578 -Friday. So again, I'm watching to see if we reject this low, and then we try to 579 - 580 -117 581 -00:22:33,029 ~-~-> 00:22:45,569 582 -run higher up, it would look really weird in terms of price action, but it can 583 -do it. And it would only be beneficial to me. If we run these highs, because I 584 - 585 -118 586 -00:22:45,569 ~-~-> 00:22:53,669 587 -think then this high would be taken out. And we were just going to continuously 588 -press higher on the higher time frame dealing range being broken. But for now, 589 - 590 -119 591 -00:22:53,699 ~-~-> 00:23:02,819 592 -as long as we remain below these highs, that obviously would indicate to me that 593 -we're probably gonna make a run declare up these equal lows. Now it could come 594 - 595 -120 596 -00:23:02,819 ~-~-> 00:23:12,359 597 -down clearly sequel lows, rebounds this void. And that would be something that 598 -we monitor monitoring and seeing if they make or attempt to run back up. We 599 - 600 -121 601 -00:23:12,359 ~-~-> 00:23:15,839 602 -would like to see it obviously find resistance in here and not try to trade back 603 -above 604 - 605 -122 606 -00:23:15,839 ~-~-> 00:23:24,809 607 -here and move lower. But you know, we're not in control price, we'll just have 608 -to see what happens. But I just want to give you guys an opportunity to see what 609 - 610 -123 611 -00:23:25,019 ~-~-> 00:23:35,249 612 -it looks like when I have problems. Technically, when it's challenging for me, 613 -because I put a tweet out on Twitter last week and on Friday and mentioned that 614 - 615 -124 616 -00:23:35,789 ~-~-> 00:23:46,889 617 -euro dollar is between two opposing ideas from my content. This is a bearish 618 -breaker. Okay, this is a bearish breaker as well. And that's why I have it 619 - 620 -125 621 -00:23:46,979 ~-~-> 00:23:55,889 622 -directly between both of them. Originally, it was this one. But this one is a 623 -breaker as well. And I got a question asked, you know, what is? Why is this a 624 - 625 -126 626 -00:23:55,889 ~-~-> 00:24:06,569 627 -breaker because what stops would have ran out first. It's this short term high 628 -right here. So the high, low higher high liquidity was ran out here. And then we 629 - 630 -127 631 -00:24:06,569 ~-~-> 00:24:18,179 632 -broke down through it. So that makes this a breaker. So you can see there's all 633 -kinds of layered, opposing ideas. So if I'm trading, I want to find a very low 634 - 635 -128 636 -00:24:18,179 ~-~-> 00:24:29,819 637 -resistance liquidity run. That means everything is so heavily weighted in my 638 -direction, or my idea in that trade setup, that it's going to take a real move 639 - 640 -129 641 -00:24:29,819 ~-~-> 00:24:40,619 642 -of significance for me to be wrong, and see it fail. The more adversities and 643 -things you have standing in your way with your trade idea. We shouldn't be 644 - 645 -130 646 -00:24:40,619 ~-~-> 00:24:48,599 647 -surprised when we have a trade that stops us out or it fails to move out. And 648 -this wears us down emotionally and psychologically. We just can't stand anymore. 649 - 650 -131 651 -00:24:48,599 ~-~-> 00:24:59,669 652 -We just closed the trade. If you look at the overall market environment, it will 653 -look many times similar or similar in many ways. Like I'm describing here, the 654 - 655 -132 656 -00:24:59,669 ~-~-> 00:25:07,559 657 -market In consolidation, so if you look at when markets are trading and trading 658 -ranges, now you understand we can go back and look at price, you'll see that 659 - 660 -133 661 -00:25:07,559 ~-~-> 00:25:18,359 662 -it's being held between two breakers. And one of those breakers gonna have to 663 -give way and then the market will have a much easier way to trade from high 664 - 665 -134 666 -00:25:18,359 ~-~-> 00:25:28,199 667 -resistance liquidity runs, which is where we're at right now. It makes it very 668 -hard for markets to find sustainable moves, then transitioning from that to low 669 - 670 -135 671 -00:25:28,199 ~-~-> 00:25:34,979 672 -resistance liquidity runs, or very efficient, symmetrical price movement. So 673 -hopefully you found this insightful and I'll talk to you next time wish good 674 - 675 -136 676 -00:25:34,979 ~-~-> 00:25:35,999 677 -luck and good trading.