Last modified by Drunk Monkey on 2022-12-22 08:37

From version 1.1
edited by Drunk Monkey
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To version 2.1
edited by Drunk Monkey
on 2021-06-11 14:16
Change comment: There is no comment for this version

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3 -ICT: Okay, folks, long time no see, I'll share some things regarding the euro
4 -dollar. Last week, we had the non farm payroll. And, you know, typically that
1 +(% class="hover min" %)
2 +|1 |00:00:36,180 ~-~-> 00:00:50,100 |ICT: Okay, folks, long time no see, I'll share some things regarding the euro dollar. Last week, we had the non farm payroll. And, you know, typically that
3 +|2 |00:00:50,340 ~-~-> 00:01:02,010 |that's a day that I like to refrain from engaging in. But I'm gonna give you some things that added to the uncertainty about that particular day being last
4 +|3 |00:01:02,010 ~-~-> 00:01:13,200 |Friday, or February 1, to be specific, I want you to take a look at this section of price action. And obviously, it's an intraday segment of price action. But
5 +|4 |00:01:13,200 ~-~-> 00:01:28,260 |nonetheless, it's going to communicate something I believe is helpful to those that have ever entered a trade that failed to move in their in their favor, or
6 +|5 |00:01:29,310 ~-~-> 00:01:40,200 |fail to move out of a specific range. This is what is referred to as trapped order flow. So we take a look at it in greater detail, but I want you to take a
7 +|6 |00:01:40,200 ~-~-> 00:01:53,880 |look at what's shown here. And try to determine what makes this segment of price action difficult to move higher or lower, at least for the scope of last Friday,
8 +|7 |00:01:54,480 ~-~-> 00:02:06,840 |understanding what may lead to dynamic price action, one of the things you want to be able to identify is when the market is less likely to move, you understand
9 +|8 |00:02:06,840 ~-~-> 00:02:19,170 |from my concepts that we teach how to determine where the market is being drawn to. So that's to draw on liquidity. If you arrive at that, and you're correct,
10 +|9 |00:02:19,290 ~-~-> 00:02:28,050 |you'll find that you have very little resistance in terms of finding profitability in your setup. But when we have things in price action that lead
11 +|10 |00:02:28,050 ~-~-> 00:02:41,970 |to adversities or what we refer to as high resistance liquidity runs a low resistance liquidity run is something that would be seen as a very low resistant
12 +|11 |00:02:42,060 ~-~-> 00:02:55,020 |high energy price mood that runs an old high or runs an old low, very easy, smooth price action. A high resistance liquidity run would be one that will be
13 +|12 |00:02:55,020 ~-~-> 00:03:06,780 |seen with a great deal of adversity. In other words, from a classical technical analysis analogy, a lot of resistance in a bullish condition and a lot of
14 +|13 |00:03:07,140 ~-~-> 00:03:23,310 |support in a bearish condition. What frames this trapped order flow in here on Friday is directly related to two price points. This one here. And this one
15 +|14 |00:03:23,310 ~-~-> 00:03:38,610 |here. Both of these two reference points here have smaller fractal patterns within those larger patterns that also present additional features that would
16 +|15 |00:03:38,610 ~-~-> 00:03:49,140 |act as a trapping mechanism in the sense that it's very difficult it was difficult rather for price to move out of that range on Friday. So I'm gonna add
17 +|16 |00:03:49,140 ~-~-> 00:04:03,960 |a little bit detail here and I'll give you some more insights as we as we go. Okay, so we have this price when here is the larger bullish ICT breaker. Now
18 +|17 |00:04:03,960 ~-~-> 00:04:14,850 |without being all tied up with the lingo all we're gonna do is refer to this low here we residing below that sell side liquidity could be in the form of sell
19 +|18 |00:04:14,850 ~-~-> 00:04:29,520 |stops to go short or sell stops on assumed long positions. price drops down clears these stops out right here. Then price rallies away. Once this high is
20 +|19 |00:04:29,520 ~-~-> 00:04:40,890 |taken out. The price trades back down to that last close candle. This is a buying opportunity. Generally if the market conditions is bullish, offered
21 +|20 |00:04:40,890 ~-~-> 00:04:54,300 |support and here when a little bit lower into this ICT bullish breaker. Again a low high in between a lower low sell high liquidity ran out here. So inside this
22 +|21 |00:04:54,300 ~-~-> 00:05:08,160 |larger breaker there's a smaller breaker same pattern. Just on a smaller scale, once price runs through that, it makes a high comes back, makes the short term
23 +|22 |00:05:08,160 ~-~-> 00:05:20,310 |low rallies through this old high, then trades back down below this low that makes this a bearish ICT breaker. So now price trades up into there on Friday
24 +|23 |00:05:20,310 ~-~-> 00:05:35,550 |and has difficulty getting through it. We traded back down into this old high. Just like we saw Reese response off of this one here, we saw this rally
25 +|24 |00:05:37,560 ~-~-> 00:05:50,130 |off of offer this high, this low to this high down to this low is a bullish breaker as well, because we have liquidity below this low here, price trades
26 +|25 |00:05:50,130 ~-~-> 00:06:01,920 |down to it and then runs through the highest up close candle. That's your breaker. Price hits it here. So we're seeing a back and forth tug of war for
27 +|26 |00:06:01,920 ~-~-> 00:06:13,410 |order flow back and forth in between those two price points. Now, if we add that to the economic calendar, which obviously last Friday was non farm payroll, if
28 +|27 |00:06:13,410 ~-~-> 00:06:24,030 |we look at a five minute chart, here's the price action on non farm payroll Friday price, meandering around until non farm payroll release, the release
29 +|28 |00:06:24,030 ~-~-> 00:06:38,070 |comes out it drops down aggressively, then rallies back through, drops back down inside the original consolidation then sells off again, but hits a bullish
30 +|29 |00:06:38,070 ~-~-> 00:06:53,400 |breaker. So we have the market wanting to find a direction. But it can't find its way out of a defined range. When you see this coupled with the economic
31 +|30 |00:06:53,400 ~-~-> 00:07:06,210 |calendar for things like FOMC related events, a high impact speakers, or non farm payroll, this is what you could reasonably expect to see. If we have the
32 +|31 |00:07:06,210 ~-~-> 00:07:18,060 |price action, back to a 15 minute timeframe, you can see the difficulty with price finding a direction in here. It can be very problematic for someone that
33 +|32 |00:07:18,060 ~-~-> 00:07:28,230 |wants to follow, for instance, the optimal trade entry long one could be a buyer here. And yes, it made a higher high. But if you don't take partial profits,
34 +|33 |00:07:28,260 ~-~-> 00:07:42,540 |you're not going to see a profit market finds its way all the way back down into the original point of the buy. If you're trying to be a seller up here, and
35 +|34 |00:07:42,540 ~-~-> 00:07:52,800 |looking to go short thinking that this is going to be the downside catalyst on the initial run. Yes, it makes a lower low than this here. But if you don't take
36 +|35 |00:07:52,800 ~-~-> 00:08:01,680 |partials, you get stopped out. So it can be very frustrating back and forth when you're inside of a Seek and Destroy type of event. And that's what this whole
37 +|36 |00:08:01,680 ~-~-> 00:08:13,800 |price pattern is here. Every high and low gets taken out subsequently. So you're probably looking at the entry on this particular chart thinking, well, if that's
38 +|37 |00:08:13,800 ~-~-> 00:08:25,080 |the case, it was so hard. Why are you showing a short position? Obviously, I was on the assumption that I would see something in here, that would help me frame
39 +|38 |00:08:25,080 ~-~-> 00:08:45,750 |an entry. Let's go back down into a five minute chart inside of this run up. Okay, inside this up close candle, we like to look at the midpoint of that. If
40 +|39 |00:08:45,750 ~-~-> 00:08:58,050 |we breach it, like we do here, this candle runs a higher high, and then we start to see it break down. We traded down below the midpoint of this up close candle
41 +|40 |00:08:58,560 ~-~-> 00:09:09,630 |when it started to drop down. I don't like to see that if we take a higher high. So this to me sets up a scenario where we could be a seller. You can go short on
42 +|41 |00:09:09,630 ~-~-> 00:09:28,770 |that. If you look at the time of entry 1634 this candle right here 1635 that's the candle I did it in this little movement back up above the midpoint of this
43 +|42 |00:09:28,830 ~-~-> 00:09:43,590 |up close candle I was trying to get in as close as I possibly can to this mean threshold. My expectation is is that we ran stocks above this high and even if
44 +|43 |00:09:43,590 ~-~-> 00:09:53,790 |this stays in the Define range that it is here. If I can get below this low here, I can take first profit and move my stop to a lower level. And I don't
45 +|44 |00:09:53,790 ~-~-> 00:10:03,780 |care at that point getting stopped out. But if I'm right about this being in it Important high and we've done all the dirty work on the upside, and we grow
46 +|45 |00:10:03,780 ~-~-> 00:10:19,590 |lower. If I have a full 100 pips, in terms of a drop, it may not do this until later in the week, if at all, it doesn't have to do it, I could be wrong. But
47 +|46 |00:10:19,590 ~-~-> 00:10:33,780 |I'm looking at the premise that we had difficulty on Friday, just like we saw on the British pound, British Pound had that same scenario on Thursday. So you can
48 +|47 |00:10:33,780 ~-~-> 00:10:36,480 |destroy higher, low higher, low, higher, low, higher low.
49 +|48 |00:10:38,040 ~-~-> 00:10:46,560 |It's very frustrating when you're caught in this type of environment, because you can be buying, it runs up a little bit and then comes back stops you out.
50 +|49 |00:10:46,560 ~-~-> 00:10:53,280 |And you think, Okay, well, I'm gonna sell short that now. And then you put a short in, it runs up and takes a short term, how do you put your stop above,
51 +|50 |00:10:53,520 ~-~-> 00:11:01,710 |back and forth, it's very, very frustrating. The sooner you find that you're in that situation, the better off you are, and you want to move to the sidelines.
52 +|51 |00:11:01,740 ~-~-> 00:11:16,500 |Or if you do see a run on the extended range. Like up here, I was entering, not above the old high because I just didn't see it at a time. But ideally, you want
53 +|52 |00:11:16,500 ~-~-> 00:11:27,720 |to be a seller above old highs and fire below old lows, if you see the scenario, or the out of the marketplace, because the closer you get to the middle with an
54 +|53 |00:11:27,720 ~-~-> 00:11:36,960 |entry, which is generally going to be with your like an optimal trade entry, it's going to be painful, it's gonna be painful, you're going to be stopped out,
55 +|54 |00:11:36,990 ~-~-> 00:11:44,460 |it's not going to move in your direction. And it's going to be frayed for frustrating. So to me, my thought process was that we cleared this high with
56 +|55 |00:11:44,460 ~-~-> 00:11:53,970 |this run. And I wanted to get in as close as I could to the midpoint of the up close candle. Because even if I do get stopped out faster, it moves down a
57 +|56 |00:11:53,970 ~-~-> 00:12:01,980 |little bit, the likelihood of it come back to that midpoint is unlikely to occur because we've cleared a high. So in other words, they've done some work up here,
58 +|57 |00:12:01,980 ~-~-> 00:12:15,600 |we cleared some stops. And now the market should seek, again, should is not a definitive statement. It's not a an absolute definition of what to expect, okay,
59 +|58 |00:12:15,600 ~-~-> 00:12:25,650 |it's not going to be perfect. And you're not going to know that I don't always know that I have very high probability and statistical edges that helped me get
60 +|59 |00:12:25,650 ~-~-> 00:12:32,040 |to these assumptions. But that's what's really, really all they are at the beginning their assumptions. And until you see me go on Twitter and prove it
61 +|60 |00:12:32,040 ~-~-> 00:12:41,790 |after the fact. Then and only then was I right? But I'm not right yet. Even though that the trade has paper profit. I'm not right about the trade, because
62 +|61 |00:12:41,790 ~-~-> 00:12:52,440 |it's still open. I didn't collapse anything that didn't take any portion of it as a profit. So I want to see it trade below this low. Why because we've been in
63 +|62 |00:12:52,440 ~-~-> 00:13:02,310 |this trap overflow. And once we got to a higher high, I want to be at that high or very close to it. And because it's the means threshold, that's the reason why
64 +|63 |00:13:02,310 ~-~-> 00:13:13,200 |I was entering at that price point. Now I'm not trying to be nailing the absolute high, I want to be as close as I can to that high. It can happen after
65 +|64 |00:13:13,200 ~-~-> 00:13:25,770 |me. Nor it doesn't have to, doesn't have to be expected before I get in, because the understanding is that we've already tried to run higher than this high with
66 +|65 |00:13:25,770 ~-~-> 00:13:35,700 |this high, we ran higher than this high with this high remained higher than this high with this one. So I'm up here. So if I get stopped out, that gives me a lot
67 +|66 |00:13:35,700 ~-~-> 00:13:44,910 |of insight as to what I believe may happen with the euro dollar. Because if we come back up and knock this position out, then I think ultimately euro dollar is
68 +|67 |00:13:44,910 ~-~-> 00:13:53,670 |going to go higher. Now, if it continuously goes lower, I know what I'm looking to do, I would like to take a portion off below this low. If it runs through
69 +|68 |00:13:53,670 ~-~-> 00:14:05,640 |that, I would like to take a portion off below that. move my stop to a point of reasonable open this paper profit and then hopefully see if I can get 100 PIP
70 +|69 |00:14:05,640 ~-~-> 00:14:14,790 |move out of it. And that's it. If I'm right in my assumptions about what has transpired in here,
71 +|70 |00:14:16,320 ~-~-> 00:14:25,590 |I'm feeling this as they had high, anyone short, they were knocked down. Anyone that sold short here, they were knocked out as well. And it broke down
72 +|71 |00:14:25,620 ~-~-> 00:14:34,710 |aggressively. And then anyone that was selling short up here was not, again not allowed to be a participant in this move that's coming. So therefore, they not
73 +|72 |00:14:34,710 ~-~-> 00:14:45,540 |visit individuals out. So I want to hold on to this position. It admittedly, if I were to tell you how I feel internally at the time of the entry, and also
74 +|73 |00:14:45,570 ~-~-> 00:14:58,440 |currently right now talking to you. I don't feel comfortable about the trade. Now in my past history. Every time I've had a trade that felt uncomfortable the
75 +|74 |00:14:58,440 ~-~-> 00:15:08,160 |whole if I didn't like the way it felt, while I was in it, they generally are the ones that pan out because they're the ones that either exit too early. And I
76 +|75 |00:15:08,160 ~-~-> 00:15:15,870 |take too much off at my first and second third profit scaling. And I wish back in hindsight that I wish I would have held on to it longer with a larger
77 +|76 |00:15:15,870 ~-~-> 00:15:26,160 |portion. Because of the feelings I have about that idea. We are still in a range, it has yet to break below this low. So we're still inside of a dealing
78 +|77 |00:15:26,160 ~-~-> 00:15:35,370 |range. What's the range now to this high in this low, we're on the low end of it. Now, we could have just very easily traded below this low here, and it
79 +|78 |00:15:35,370 ~-~-> 00:15:44,130 |starts to tear off and goes higher and stops me out. And that's trading. That's the way it works. Sometimes you just you're just wrong. I have a rule based idea
80 +|79 |00:15:44,130 ~-~-> 00:15:55,890 |that I'd like to be able to take something off below this low here. Now I could take off something right now. And essentially, I would have 20 pips or so. But I
81 +|80 |00:15:55,890 ~-~-> 00:16:07,800 |only have two and a half standard watts on in terms of leverage, one over 100 and some $1,000 demo account. So I don't have a lot to be concerned about you if
82 +|81 |00:16:07,800 ~-~-> 00:16:18,930 |it stopped me out. And I don't have a lot to make as an illustration for this idea. But admittedly because of the technicals that are here. And because we
83 +|82 |00:16:18,930 ~-~-> 00:16:29,580 |just moved out of just the high end of the range that the final Friday's non farm payroll price action, until we break out below this low, then I'd feel
84 +|83 |00:16:29,580 ~-~-> 00:16:36,840 |better about the likelihood that reaching below here. But right now it's still hammering around, they could come all the way back up to the top, near the top
85 +|84 |00:16:36,840 ~-~-> 00:16:49,110 |of this range. And everything I have an open profit for this setup would be eroded. So what was the point of this video, the point of the video is to see if
86 +|85 |00:16:49,110 ~-~-> 00:17:01,920 |he starts seeing opposing conditions that would present both sides. Okay, this is obviously a nice ideal scenario to be a buyer at when classical support
87 +|86 |00:17:01,920 ~-~-> 00:17:12,360 |resistance would work. If you just use this Oh, hi, yet classical support resistance would be favorable here. In this area here, when we have a high a low
88 +|87 |00:17:12,390 ~-~-> 00:17:22,470 |higher high once the lower point or low and between those two highs is broken on the downside, draw that level as your resistance generally, it'll act as
89 +|88 |00:17:22,470 ~-~-> 00:17:35,940 |resistance and your classical support as our levels will work. But if we have a range that's defined with this massive repricing as what this is here, all of
90 +|89 |00:17:35,940 ~-~-> 00:17:46,680 |this by side delivery, extremely overweighted. On the buy side, the market does in fact rebounds right at this point here and it spends a lot of time
91 +|90 |00:17:46,680 ~-~-> 00:18:00,360 |accumulating right off of this breaker. It runs up to its obvious level of order flow that would create a barrier or wall. Now they tried several times to drive
92 +|91 |00:18:00,360 ~-~-> 00:18:09,060 |it up in there one more time here higher high, and it just couldn't find traction going up. But even though it didn't find traction going up, this
93 +|92 |00:18:09,390 ~-~-> 00:18:18,900 |retracement really wasn't all that energetic either. So what I'm doing is I'm using a very, very small position to get attached
94 +|93 |00:18:19,079 ~-~-> 00:18:29,249 |to this particular pair. Because I have a position and it allows me to think about what I would be feeling if I had skin in the race. In other words, if I
95 +|94 |00:18:29,249 ~-~-> 00:18:37,439 |had money, and at that risk, which I don't own this because it's a demo trade, everything I teach with is a demo. Now you can have an issue with that and say,
96 +|95 |00:18:37,439 ~-~-> 00:18:44,789 |well, you have any business teaching, because you're not trading with real money. I'm not here to defend that I could care less. Okay, I'm teaching
97 +|96 |00:18:44,789 ~-~-> 00:18:54,839 |conceptually. And if you're a new trader, that's my target audience, because you need to have some kind of foundation and you don't build a foundation with live
98 +|97 |00:18:54,839 ~-~-> 00:19:03,689 |funds, because the only thing it's going to do is teach you bad habits, and poor thinking and worry about the money. And I'm teaching the concept of reading
99 +|98 |00:19:03,689 ~-~-> 00:19:13,649 |price action, if you can respect that. Going forward and just understand it the conceptual ideas that I teach, repeat over and over and over again. That does
100 +|99 |00:19:13,649 ~-~-> 00:19:25,589 |not translate into money. Now, it could, if you do it with a Live account, and it pans out in your favor. But it also can and it absolutely will turn around on
101 +|100 |00:19:25,589 ~-~-> 00:19:35,129 |you. And you'll do it wrong and you'll suffer a loss. If you try to trade with live money. Nothing that I do in my teachings provides a 100% strike rate, it
102 +|101 |00:19:35,129 ~-~-> 00:19:51,269 |doesn't happen. I take losses I lose sometimes I get it wrong sometimes. I just read it wrong. And I'm not stating that this is going to make you money. I'm
103 +|102 |00:19:51,269 ~-~-> 00:20:02,609 |stating that this is going to help you avoid times when the market is far less likely to pan out in your favor. And then Again, it's whenever we see opposing
104 +|103 |00:20:03,179 ~-~-> 00:20:12,149 |ideas, and you're inside of a trapped range ready to hit the market can't find its way out. If you go back and look at periods where there's extended
105 +|104 |00:20:12,149 ~-~-> 00:20:24,839 |consolidation in a market or specific asset class, chances are you're going to find this scenario. Cake this, there's a there's a good side and a bad side to
106 +|105 |00:20:24,839 ~-~-> 00:20:35,459 |this. Okay, the bad side is it's very difficult to find moves with a great deal of magnitude that go higher or lower, we have to find our way out of that that
107 +|106 |00:20:35,459 ~-~-> 00:20:48,509 |range first. The good news about this is that there's going to be a large displacement that will occur once we exit this range, once there has been a
108 +|107 |00:20:48,509 ~-~-> 00:20:57,629 |buildup of positions, and we don't know for certain if it's the institutional buying or the institutional selling that has the heavier weight. I don't know
109 +|108 |00:20:57,629 ~-~-> 00:21:08,639 |that. But I know that once we leave this range, we'll have a pretty high odds that we're going to have a sustained price move of several 100 pips both know it
110 +|109 |00:21:08,639 ~-~-> 00:21:19,409 |could be, you know, move up several 100 pips or several 100 PIP move lower, I don't know at this point. But I'm placing weight on the fact that I want to be
111 +|110 |00:21:19,409 ~-~-> 00:21:26,819 |on the high end of the range here, with the likelihood of it clearing up these relatively equal lows. And that's what this liquidity pool is, if we run through
112 +|111 |00:21:26,819 ~-~-> 00:21:37,739 |this and serve some kind of energy, I would like to see it below, here. But if I'm wrong, and it trades all the way up, stops this out and trades above this
113 +|112 |00:21:37,739 ~-~-> 00:21:46,439 |liquidity pool, relative equal highs, then I think that this high is going to be taken out, and we'll probably trade, you know, a little bit longer move on the
114 +|113 |00:21:46,439 ~-~-> 00:21:58,229 |upside. If you look at also, euro dollar, you know, we've been in a really sloppy consolidation. For months since the fall of last year, the Euro dollar
115 +|114 |00:21:58,229 ~-~-> 00:22:12,059 |has basically been sleeping inside of a range of a couple 100 pips. And this movement here, it's highly suspect to just remaining in the range. So to help me
116 +|115 |00:22:12,059 ~-~-> 00:22:23,639 |get a better feel of what prices in initially showing right now, for this week, I wanted to carry something from over on non farm payroll, I wanted to see how
117 +|116 |00:22:23,639 ~-~-> 00:22:33,029 |we opened up we didn't really open up to much different from where we closed on Friday. So again, I'm watching to see if we reject this low, and then we try to
118 +|117 |00:22:33,029 ~-~-> 00:22:45,569 |run higher up, it would look really weird in terms of price action, but it can do it. And it would only be beneficial to me. If we run these highs, because I
119 +|118 |00:22:45,569 ~-~-> 00:22:53,669 |think then this high would be taken out. And we were just going to continuously press higher on the higher time frame dealing range being broken. But for now,
120 +|119 |00:22:53,699 ~-~-> 00:23:02,819 |as long as we remain below these highs, that obviously would indicate to me that we're probably gonna make a run declare up these equal lows. Now it could come
121 +|120 |00:23:02,819 ~-~-> 00:23:12,359 |down clearly sequel lows, rebounds this void. And that would be something that we monitor monitoring and seeing if they make or attempt to run back up. We
122 +|121 |00:23:12,359 ~-~-> 00:23:15,839 |would like to see it obviously find resistance in here and not try to trade back above
123 +|122 |00:23:15,839 ~-~-> 00:23:24,809 |here and move lower. But you know, we're not in control price, we'll just have to see what happens. But I just want to give you guys an opportunity to see what
124 +|123 |00:23:25,019 ~-~-> 00:23:35,249 |it looks like when I have problems. Technically, when it's challenging for me, because I put a tweet out on Twitter last week and on Friday and mentioned that
125 +|124 |00:23:35,789 ~-~-> 00:23:46,889 |euro dollar is between two opposing ideas from my content. This is a bearish breaker. Okay, this is a bearish breaker as well. And that's why I have it
126 +|125 |00:23:46,979 ~-~-> 00:23:55,889 |directly between both of them. Originally, it was this one. But this one is a breaker as well. And I got a question asked, you know, what is? Why is this a
127 +|126 |00:23:55,889 ~-~-> 00:24:06,569 |breaker because what stops would have ran out first. It's this short term high right here. So the high, low higher high liquidity was ran out here. And then we
128 +|127 |00:24:06,569 ~-~-> 00:24:18,179 |broke down through it. So that makes this a breaker. So you can see there's all kinds of layered, opposing ideas. So if I'm trading, I want to find a very low
129 +|128 |00:24:18,179 ~-~-> 00:24:29,819 |resistance liquidity run. That means everything is so heavily weighted in my direction, or my idea in that trade setup, that it's going to take a real move
130 +|129 |00:24:29,819 ~-~-> 00:24:40,619 |of significance for me to be wrong, and see it fail. The more adversities and things you have standing in your way with your trade idea. We shouldn't be
131 +|130 |00:24:40,619 ~-~-> 00:24:48,599 |surprised when we have a trade that stops us out or it fails to move out. And this wears us down emotionally and psychologically. We just can't stand anymore.
132 +|131 |00:24:48,599 ~-~-> 00:24:59,669 |We just closed the trade. If you look at the overall market environment, it will look many times similar or similar in many ways. Like I'm describing here, the
133 +|132 |00:24:59,669 ~-~-> 00:25:07,559 |market In consolidation, so if you look at when markets are trading and trading ranges, now you understand we can go back and look at price, you'll see that
134 +|133 |00:25:07,559 ~-~-> 00:25:18,359 |it's being held between two breakers. And one of those breakers gonna have to give way and then the market will have a much easier way to trade from high
135 +|134 |00:25:18,359 ~-~-> 00:25:28,199 |resistance liquidity runs, which is where we're at right now. It makes it very hard for markets to find sustainable moves, then transitioning from that to low
136 +|135 |00:25:28,199 ~-~-> 00:25:34,979 |resistance liquidity runs, or very efficient, symmetrical price movement. So hopefully you found this insightful and I'll talk to you next time wish good
137 +|136 |00:25:34,979 ~-~-> 00:25:35,999 |luck and good trading.
5 5  
6 -2
7 -00:00:50,340 ~-~-> 00:01:02,010
8 -that's a day that I like to refrain from engaging in. But I'm gonna give you
9 -some things that added to the uncertainty about that particular day being last
10 -
11 -3
12 -00:01:02,010 ~-~-> 00:01:13,200
13 -Friday, or February 1, to be specific, I want you to take a look at this section
14 -of price action. And obviously, it's an intraday segment of price action. But
15 -
16 -4
17 -00:01:13,200 ~-~-> 00:01:28,260
18 -nonetheless, it's going to communicate something I believe is helpful to those
19 -that have ever entered a trade that failed to move in their in their favor, or
20 -
21 -5
22 -00:01:29,310 ~-~-> 00:01:40,200
23 -fail to move out of a specific range. This is what is referred to as trapped
24 -order flow. So we take a look at it in greater detail, but I want you to take a
25 -
26 -6
27 -00:01:40,200 ~-~-> 00:01:53,880
28 -look at what's shown here. And try to determine what makes this segment of price
29 -action difficult to move higher or lower, at least for the scope of last Friday,
30 -
31 -7
32 -00:01:54,480 ~-~-> 00:02:06,840
33 -understanding what may lead to dynamic price action, one of the things you want
34 -to be able to identify is when the market is less likely to move, you understand
35 -
36 -8
37 -00:02:06,840 ~-~-> 00:02:19,170
38 -from my concepts that we teach how to determine where the market is being drawn
39 -to. So that's to draw on liquidity. If you arrive at that, and you're correct,
40 -
41 -9
42 -00:02:19,290 ~-~-> 00:02:28,050
43 -you'll find that you have very little resistance in terms of finding
44 -profitability in your setup. But when we have things in price action that lead
45 -
46 -10
47 -00:02:28,050 ~-~-> 00:02:41,970
48 -to adversities or what we refer to as high resistance liquidity runs a low
49 -resistance liquidity run is something that would be seen as a very low resistant
50 -
51 -11
52 -00:02:42,060 ~-~-> 00:02:55,020
53 -high energy price mood that runs an old high or runs an old low, very easy,
54 -smooth price action. A high resistance liquidity run would be one that will be
55 -
56 -12
57 -00:02:55,020 ~-~-> 00:03:06,780
58 -seen with a great deal of adversity. In other words, from a classical technical
59 -analysis analogy, a lot of resistance in a bullish condition and a lot of
60 -
61 -13
62 -00:03:07,140 ~-~-> 00:03:23,310
63 -support in a bearish condition. What frames this trapped order flow in here on
64 -Friday is directly related to two price points. This one here. And this one
65 -
66 -14
67 -00:03:23,310 ~-~-> 00:03:38,610
68 -here. Both of these two reference points here have smaller fractal patterns
69 -within those larger patterns that also present additional features that would
70 -
71 -15
72 -00:03:38,610 ~-~-> 00:03:49,140
73 -act as a trapping mechanism in the sense that it's very difficult it was
74 -difficult rather for price to move out of that range on Friday. So I'm gonna add
75 -
76 -16
77 -00:03:49,140 ~-~-> 00:04:03,960
78 -a little bit detail here and I'll give you some more insights as we as we go.
79 -Okay, so we have this price when here is the larger bullish ICT breaker. Now
80 -
81 -17
82 -00:04:03,960 ~-~-> 00:04:14,850
83 -without being all tied up with the lingo all we're gonna do is refer to this low
84 -here we residing below that sell side liquidity could be in the form of sell
85 -
86 -18
87 -00:04:14,850 ~-~-> 00:04:29,520
88 -stops to go short or sell stops on assumed long positions. price drops down
89 -clears these stops out right here. Then price rallies away. Once this high is
90 -
91 -19
92 -00:04:29,520 ~-~-> 00:04:40,890
93 -taken out. The price trades back down to that last close candle. This is a
94 -buying opportunity. Generally if the market conditions is bullish, offered
95 -
96 -20
97 -00:04:40,890 ~-~-> 00:04:54,300
98 -support and here when a little bit lower into this ICT bullish breaker. Again a
99 -low high in between a lower low sell high liquidity ran out here. So inside this
100 -
101 -21
102 -00:04:54,300 ~-~-> 00:05:08,160
103 -larger breaker there's a smaller breaker same pattern. Just on a smaller scale,
104 -once price runs through that, it makes a high comes back, makes the short term
105 -
106 -22
107 -00:05:08,160 ~-~-> 00:05:20,310
108 -low rallies through this old high, then trades back down below this low that
109 -makes this a bearish ICT breaker. So now price trades up into there on Friday
110 -
111 -23
112 -00:05:20,310 ~-~-> 00:05:35,550
113 -and has difficulty getting through it. We traded back down into this old high.
114 -Just like we saw Reese response off of this one here, we saw this rally
115 -
116 -24
117 -00:05:37,560 ~-~-> 00:05:50,130
118 -off of offer this high, this low to this high down to this low is a bullish
119 -breaker as well, because we have liquidity below this low here, price trades
120 -
121 -25
122 -00:05:50,130 ~-~-> 00:06:01,920
123 -down to it and then runs through the highest up close candle. That's your
124 -breaker. Price hits it here. So we're seeing a back and forth tug of war for
125 -
126 -26
127 -00:06:01,920 ~-~-> 00:06:13,410
128 -order flow back and forth in between those two price points. Now, if we add that
129 -to the economic calendar, which obviously last Friday was non farm payroll, if
130 -
131 -27
132 -00:06:13,410 ~-~-> 00:06:24,030
133 -we look at a five minute chart, here's the price action on non farm payroll
134 -Friday price, meandering around until non farm payroll release, the release
135 -
136 -28
137 -00:06:24,030 ~-~-> 00:06:38,070
138 -comes out it drops down aggressively, then rallies back through, drops back down
139 -inside the original consolidation then sells off again, but hits a bullish
140 -
141 -29
142 -00:06:38,070 ~-~-> 00:06:53,400
143 -breaker. So we have the market wanting to find a direction. But it can't find
144 -its way out of a defined range. When you see this coupled with the economic
145 -
146 -30
147 -00:06:53,400 ~-~-> 00:07:06,210
148 -calendar for things like FOMC related events, a high impact speakers, or non
149 -farm payroll, this is what you could reasonably expect to see. If we have the
150 -
151 -31
152 -00:07:06,210 ~-~-> 00:07:18,060
153 -price action, back to a 15 minute timeframe, you can see the difficulty with
154 -price finding a direction in here. It can be very problematic for someone that
155 -
156 -32
157 -00:07:18,060 ~-~-> 00:07:28,230
158 -wants to follow, for instance, the optimal trade entry long one could be a buyer
159 -here. And yes, it made a higher high. But if you don't take partial profits,
160 -
161 -33
162 -00:07:28,260 ~-~-> 00:07:42,540
163 -you're not going to see a profit market finds its way all the way back down into
164 -the original point of the buy. If you're trying to be a seller up here, and
165 -
166 -34
167 -00:07:42,540 ~-~-> 00:07:52,800
168 -looking to go short thinking that this is going to be the downside catalyst on
169 -the initial run. Yes, it makes a lower low than this here. But if you don't take
170 -
171 -35
172 -00:07:52,800 ~-~-> 00:08:01,680
173 -partials, you get stopped out. So it can be very frustrating back and forth when
174 -you're inside of a Seek and Destroy type of event. And that's what this whole
175 -
176 -36
177 -00:08:01,680 ~-~-> 00:08:13,800
178 -price pattern is here. Every high and low gets taken out subsequently. So you're
179 -probably looking at the entry on this particular chart thinking, well, if that's
180 -
181 -37
182 -00:08:13,800 ~-~-> 00:08:25,080
183 -the case, it was so hard. Why are you showing a short position? Obviously, I was
184 -on the assumption that I would see something in here, that would help me frame
185 -
186 -38
187 -00:08:25,080 ~-~-> 00:08:45,750
188 -an entry. Let's go back down into a five minute chart inside of this run up.
189 -Okay, inside this up close candle, we like to look at the midpoint of that. If
190 -
191 -39
192 -00:08:45,750 ~-~-> 00:08:58,050
193 -we breach it, like we do here, this candle runs a higher high, and then we start
194 -to see it break down. We traded down below the midpoint of this up close candle
195 -
196 -40
197 -00:08:58,560 ~-~-> 00:09:09,630
198 -when it started to drop down. I don't like to see that if we take a higher high.
199 -So this to me sets up a scenario where we could be a seller. You can go short on
200 -
201 -41
202 -00:09:09,630 ~-~-> 00:09:28,770
203 -that. If you look at the time of entry 1634 this candle right here 1635 that's
204 -the candle I did it in this little movement back up above the midpoint of this
205 -
206 -42
207 -00:09:28,830 ~-~-> 00:09:43,590
208 -up close candle I was trying to get in as close as I possibly can to this mean
209 -threshold. My expectation is is that we ran stocks above this high and even if
210 -
211 -43
212 -00:09:43,590 ~-~-> 00:09:53,790
213 -this stays in the Define range that it is here. If I can get below this low
214 -here, I can take first profit and move my stop to a lower level. And I don't
215 -
216 -44
217 -00:09:53,790 ~-~-> 00:10:03,780
218 -care at that point getting stopped out. But if I'm right about this being in it
219 -Important high and we've done all the dirty work on the upside, and we grow
220 -
221 -45
222 -00:10:03,780 ~-~-> 00:10:19,590
223 -lower. If I have a full 100 pips, in terms of a drop, it may not do this until
224 -later in the week, if at all, it doesn't have to do it, I could be wrong. But
225 -
226 -46
227 -00:10:19,590 ~-~-> 00:10:33,780
228 -I'm looking at the premise that we had difficulty on Friday, just like we saw on
229 -the British pound, British Pound had that same scenario on Thursday. So you can
230 -
231 -47
232 -00:10:33,780 ~-~-> 00:10:36,480
233 -destroy higher, low higher, low, higher, low, higher low.
234 -
235 -48
236 -00:10:38,040 ~-~-> 00:10:46,560
237 -It's very frustrating when you're caught in this type of environment, because
238 -you can be buying, it runs up a little bit and then comes back stops you out.
239 -
240 -49
241 -00:10:46,560 ~-~-> 00:10:53,280
242 -And you think, Okay, well, I'm gonna sell short that now. And then you put a
243 -short in, it runs up and takes a short term, how do you put your stop above,
244 -
245 -50
246 -00:10:53,520 ~-~-> 00:11:01,710
247 -back and forth, it's very, very frustrating. The sooner you find that you're in
248 -that situation, the better off you are, and you want to move to the sidelines.
249 -
250 -51
251 -00:11:01,740 ~-~-> 00:11:16,500
252 -Or if you do see a run on the extended range. Like up here, I was entering, not
253 -above the old high because I just didn't see it at a time. But ideally, you want
254 -
255 -52
256 -00:11:16,500 ~-~-> 00:11:27,720
257 -to be a seller above old highs and fire below old lows, if you see the scenario,
258 -or the out of the marketplace, because the closer you get to the middle with an
259 -
260 -53
261 -00:11:27,720 ~-~-> 00:11:36,960
262 -entry, which is generally going to be with your like an optimal trade entry,
263 -it's going to be painful, it's gonna be painful, you're going to be stopped out,
264 -
265 -54
266 -00:11:36,990 ~-~-> 00:11:44,460
267 -it's not going to move in your direction. And it's going to be frayed for
268 -frustrating. So to me, my thought process was that we cleared this high with
269 -
270 -55
271 -00:11:44,460 ~-~-> 00:11:53,970
272 -this run. And I wanted to get in as close as I could to the midpoint of the up
273 -close candle. Because even if I do get stopped out faster, it moves down a
274 -
275 -56
276 -00:11:53,970 ~-~-> 00:12:01,980
277 -little bit, the likelihood of it come back to that midpoint is unlikely to occur
278 -because we've cleared a high. So in other words, they've done some work up here,
279 -
280 -57
281 -00:12:01,980 ~-~-> 00:12:15,600
282 -we cleared some stops. And now the market should seek, again, should is not a
283 -definitive statement. It's not a an absolute definition of what to expect, okay,
284 -
285 -58
286 -00:12:15,600 ~-~-> 00:12:25,650
287 -it's not going to be perfect. And you're not going to know that I don't always
288 -know that I have very high probability and statistical edges that helped me get
289 -
290 -59
291 -00:12:25,650 ~-~-> 00:12:32,040
292 -to these assumptions. But that's what's really, really all they are at the
293 -beginning their assumptions. And until you see me go on Twitter and prove it
294 -
295 -60
296 -00:12:32,040 ~-~-> 00:12:41,790
297 -after the fact. Then and only then was I right? But I'm not right yet. Even
298 -though that the trade has paper profit. I'm not right about the trade, because
299 -
300 -61
301 -00:12:41,790 ~-~-> 00:12:52,440
302 -it's still open. I didn't collapse anything that didn't take any portion of it
303 -as a profit. So I want to see it trade below this low. Why because we've been in
304 -
305 -62
306 -00:12:52,440 ~-~-> 00:13:02,310
307 -this trap overflow. And once we got to a higher high, I want to be at that high
308 -or very close to it. And because it's the means threshold, that's the reason why
309 -
310 -63
311 -00:13:02,310 ~-~-> 00:13:13,200
312 -I was entering at that price point. Now I'm not trying to be nailing the
313 -absolute high, I want to be as close as I can to that high. It can happen after
314 -
315 -64
316 -00:13:13,200 ~-~-> 00:13:25,770
317 -me. Nor it doesn't have to, doesn't have to be expected before I get in, because
318 -the understanding is that we've already tried to run higher than this high with
319 -
320 -65
321 -00:13:25,770 ~-~-> 00:13:35,700
322 -this high, we ran higher than this high with this high remained higher than this
323 -high with this one. So I'm up here. So if I get stopped out, that gives me a lot
324 -
325 -66
326 -00:13:35,700 ~-~-> 00:13:44,910
327 -of insight as to what I believe may happen with the euro dollar. Because if we
328 -come back up and knock this position out, then I think ultimately euro dollar is
329 -
330 -67
331 -00:13:44,910 ~-~-> 00:13:53,670
332 -going to go higher. Now, if it continuously goes lower, I know what I'm looking
333 -to do, I would like to take a portion off below this low. If it runs through
334 -
335 -68
336 -00:13:53,670 ~-~-> 00:14:05,640
337 -that, I would like to take a portion off below that. move my stop to a point of
338 -reasonable open this paper profit and then hopefully see if I can get 100 PIP
339 -
340 -69
341 -00:14:05,640 ~-~-> 00:14:14,790
342 -move out of it. And that's it. If I'm right in my assumptions about what has
343 -transpired in here,
344 -
345 -70
346 -00:14:16,320 ~-~-> 00:14:25,590
347 -I'm feeling this as they had high, anyone short, they were knocked down. Anyone
348 -that sold short here, they were knocked out as well. And it broke down
349 -
350 -71
351 -00:14:25,620 ~-~-> 00:14:34,710
352 -aggressively. And then anyone that was selling short up here was not, again not
353 -allowed to be a participant in this move that's coming. So therefore, they not
354 -
355 -72
356 -00:14:34,710 ~-~-> 00:14:45,540
357 -visit individuals out. So I want to hold on to this position. It admittedly, if
358 -I were to tell you how I feel internally at the time of the entry, and also
359 -
360 -73
361 -00:14:45,570 ~-~-> 00:14:58,440
362 -currently right now talking to you. I don't feel comfortable about the trade.
363 -Now in my past history. Every time I've had a trade that felt uncomfortable the
364 -
365 -74
366 -00:14:58,440 ~-~-> 00:15:08,160
367 -whole if I didn't like the way it felt, while I was in it, they generally are
368 -the ones that pan out because they're the ones that either exit too early. And I
369 -
370 -75
371 -00:15:08,160 ~-~-> 00:15:15,870
372 -take too much off at my first and second third profit scaling. And I wish back
373 -in hindsight that I wish I would have held on to it longer with a larger
374 -
375 -76
376 -00:15:15,870 ~-~-> 00:15:26,160
377 -portion. Because of the feelings I have about that idea. We are still in a
378 -range, it has yet to break below this low. So we're still inside of a dealing
379 -
380 -77
381 -00:15:26,160 ~-~-> 00:15:35,370
382 -range. What's the range now to this high in this low, we're on the low end of
383 -it. Now, we could have just very easily traded below this low here, and it
384 -
385 -78
386 -00:15:35,370 ~-~-> 00:15:44,130
387 -starts to tear off and goes higher and stops me out. And that's trading. That's
388 -the way it works. Sometimes you just you're just wrong. I have a rule based idea
389 -
390 -79
391 -00:15:44,130 ~-~-> 00:15:55,890
392 -that I'd like to be able to take something off below this low here. Now I could
393 -take off something right now. And essentially, I would have 20 pips or so. But I
394 -
395 -80
396 -00:15:55,890 ~-~-> 00:16:07,800
397 -only have two and a half standard watts on in terms of leverage, one over 100
398 -and some $1,000 demo account. So I don't have a lot to be concerned about you if
399 -
400 -81
401 -00:16:07,800 ~-~-> 00:16:18,930
402 -it stopped me out. And I don't have a lot to make as an illustration for this
403 -idea. But admittedly because of the technicals that are here. And because we
404 -
405 -82
406 -00:16:18,930 ~-~-> 00:16:29,580
407 -just moved out of just the high end of the range that the final Friday's non
408 -farm payroll price action, until we break out below this low, then I'd feel
409 -
410 -83
411 -00:16:29,580 ~-~-> 00:16:36,840
412 -better about the likelihood that reaching below here. But right now it's still
413 -hammering around, they could come all the way back up to the top, near the top
414 -
415 -84
416 -00:16:36,840 ~-~-> 00:16:49,110
417 -of this range. And everything I have an open profit for this setup would be
418 -eroded. So what was the point of this video, the point of the video is to see if
419 -
420 -85
421 -00:16:49,110 ~-~-> 00:17:01,920
422 -he starts seeing opposing conditions that would present both sides. Okay, this
423 -is obviously a nice ideal scenario to be a buyer at when classical support
424 -
425 -86
426 -00:17:01,920 ~-~-> 00:17:12,360
427 -resistance would work. If you just use this Oh, hi, yet classical support
428 -resistance would be favorable here. In this area here, when we have a high a low
429 -
430 -87
431 -00:17:12,390 ~-~-> 00:17:22,470
432 -higher high once the lower point or low and between those two highs is broken on
433 -the downside, draw that level as your resistance generally, it'll act as
434 -
435 -88
436 -00:17:22,470 ~-~-> 00:17:35,940
437 -resistance and your classical support as our levels will work. But if we have a
438 -range that's defined with this massive repricing as what this is here, all of
439 -
440 -89
441 -00:17:35,940 ~-~-> 00:17:46,680
442 -this by side delivery, extremely overweighted. On the buy side, the market does
443 -in fact rebounds right at this point here and it spends a lot of time
444 -
445 -90
446 -00:17:46,680 ~-~-> 00:18:00,360
447 -accumulating right off of this breaker. It runs up to its obvious level of order
448 -flow that would create a barrier or wall. Now they tried several times to drive
449 -
450 -91
451 -00:18:00,360 ~-~-> 00:18:09,060
452 -it up in there one more time here higher high, and it just couldn't find
453 -traction going up. But even though it didn't find traction going up, this
454 -
455 -92
456 -00:18:09,390 ~-~-> 00:18:18,900
457 -retracement really wasn't all that energetic either. So what I'm doing is I'm
458 -using a very, very small position to get attached
459 -
460 -93
461 -00:18:19,079 ~-~-> 00:18:29,249
462 -to this particular pair. Because I have a position and it allows me to think
463 -about what I would be feeling if I had skin in the race. In other words, if I
464 -
465 -94
466 -00:18:29,249 ~-~-> 00:18:37,439
467 -had money, and at that risk, which I don't own this because it's a demo trade,
468 -everything I teach with is a demo. Now you can have an issue with that and say,
469 -
470 -95
471 -00:18:37,439 ~-~-> 00:18:44,789
472 -well, you have any business teaching, because you're not trading with real
473 -money. I'm not here to defend that I could care less. Okay, I'm teaching
474 -
475 -96
476 -00:18:44,789 ~-~-> 00:18:54,839
477 -conceptually. And if you're a new trader, that's my target audience, because you
478 -need to have some kind of foundation and you don't build a foundation with live
479 -
480 -97
481 -00:18:54,839 ~-~-> 00:19:03,689
482 -funds, because the only thing it's going to do is teach you bad habits, and poor
483 -thinking and worry about the money. And I'm teaching the concept of reading
484 -
485 -98
486 -00:19:03,689 ~-~-> 00:19:13,649
487 -price action, if you can respect that. Going forward and just understand it the
488 -conceptual ideas that I teach, repeat over and over and over again. That does
489 -
490 -99
491 -00:19:13,649 ~-~-> 00:19:25,589
492 -not translate into money. Now, it could, if you do it with a Live account, and
493 -it pans out in your favor. But it also can and it absolutely will turn around on
494 -
495 -100
496 -00:19:25,589 ~-~-> 00:19:35,129
497 -you. And you'll do it wrong and you'll suffer a loss. If you try to trade with
498 -live money. Nothing that I do in my teachings provides a 100% strike rate, it
499 -
500 -101
501 -00:19:35,129 ~-~-> 00:19:51,269
502 -doesn't happen. I take losses I lose sometimes I get it wrong sometimes. I just
503 -read it wrong. And I'm not stating that this is going to make you money. I'm
504 -
505 -102
506 -00:19:51,269 ~-~-> 00:20:02,609
507 -stating that this is going to help you avoid times when the market is far less
508 -likely to pan out in your favor. And then Again, it's whenever we see opposing
509 -
510 -103
511 -00:20:03,179 ~-~-> 00:20:12,149
512 -ideas, and you're inside of a trapped range ready to hit the market can't find
513 -its way out. If you go back and look at periods where there's extended
514 -
515 -104
516 -00:20:12,149 ~-~-> 00:20:24,839
517 -consolidation in a market or specific asset class, chances are you're going to
518 -find this scenario. Cake this, there's a there's a good side and a bad side to
519 -
520 -105
521 -00:20:24,839 ~-~-> 00:20:35,459
522 -this. Okay, the bad side is it's very difficult to find moves with a great deal
523 -of magnitude that go higher or lower, we have to find our way out of that that
524 -
525 -106
526 -00:20:35,459 ~-~-> 00:20:48,509
527 -range first. The good news about this is that there's going to be a large
528 -displacement that will occur once we exit this range, once there has been a
529 -
530 -107
531 -00:20:48,509 ~-~-> 00:20:57,629
532 -buildup of positions, and we don't know for certain if it's the institutional
533 -buying or the institutional selling that has the heavier weight. I don't know
534 -
535 -108
536 -00:20:57,629 ~-~-> 00:21:08,639
537 -that. But I know that once we leave this range, we'll have a pretty high odds
538 -that we're going to have a sustained price move of several 100 pips both know it
539 -
540 -109
541 -00:21:08,639 ~-~-> 00:21:19,409
542 -could be, you know, move up several 100 pips or several 100 PIP move lower, I
543 -don't know at this point. But I'm placing weight on the fact that I want to be
544 -
545 -110
546 -00:21:19,409 ~-~-> 00:21:26,819
547 -on the high end of the range here, with the likelihood of it clearing up these
548 -relatively equal lows. And that's what this liquidity pool is, if we run through
549 -
550 -111
551 -00:21:26,819 ~-~-> 00:21:37,739
552 -this and serve some kind of energy, I would like to see it below, here. But if
553 -I'm wrong, and it trades all the way up, stops this out and trades above this
554 -
555 -112
556 -00:21:37,739 ~-~-> 00:21:46,439
557 -liquidity pool, relative equal highs, then I think that this high is going to be
558 -taken out, and we'll probably trade, you know, a little bit longer move on the
559 -
560 -113
561 -00:21:46,439 ~-~-> 00:21:58,229
562 -upside. If you look at also, euro dollar, you know, we've been in a really
563 -sloppy consolidation. For months since the fall of last year, the Euro dollar
564 -
565 -114
566 -00:21:58,229 ~-~-> 00:22:12,059
567 -has basically been sleeping inside of a range of a couple 100 pips. And this
568 -movement here, it's highly suspect to just remaining in the range. So to help me
569 -
570 -115
571 -00:22:12,059 ~-~-> 00:22:23,639
572 -get a better feel of what prices in initially showing right now, for this week,
573 -I wanted to carry something from over on non farm payroll, I wanted to see how
574 -
575 -116
576 -00:22:23,639 ~-~-> 00:22:33,029
577 -we opened up we didn't really open up to much different from where we closed on
578 -Friday. So again, I'm watching to see if we reject this low, and then we try to
579 -
580 -117
581 -00:22:33,029 ~-~-> 00:22:45,569
582 -run higher up, it would look really weird in terms of price action, but it can
583 -do it. And it would only be beneficial to me. If we run these highs, because I
584 -
585 -118
586 -00:22:45,569 ~-~-> 00:22:53,669
587 -think then this high would be taken out. And we were just going to continuously
588 -press higher on the higher time frame dealing range being broken. But for now,
589 -
590 -119
591 -00:22:53,699 ~-~-> 00:23:02,819
592 -as long as we remain below these highs, that obviously would indicate to me that
593 -we're probably gonna make a run declare up these equal lows. Now it could come
594 -
595 -120
596 -00:23:02,819 ~-~-> 00:23:12,359
597 -down clearly sequel lows, rebounds this void. And that would be something that
598 -we monitor monitoring and seeing if they make or attempt to run back up. We
599 -
600 -121
601 -00:23:12,359 ~-~-> 00:23:15,839
602 -would like to see it obviously find resistance in here and not try to trade back
603 -above
604 -
605 -122
606 -00:23:15,839 ~-~-> 00:23:24,809
607 -here and move lower. But you know, we're not in control price, we'll just have
608 -to see what happens. But I just want to give you guys an opportunity to see what
609 -
610 -123
611 -00:23:25,019 ~-~-> 00:23:35,249
612 -it looks like when I have problems. Technically, when it's challenging for me,
613 -because I put a tweet out on Twitter last week and on Friday and mentioned that
614 -
615 -124
616 -00:23:35,789 ~-~-> 00:23:46,889
617 -euro dollar is between two opposing ideas from my content. This is a bearish
618 -breaker. Okay, this is a bearish breaker as well. And that's why I have it
619 -
620 -125
621 -00:23:46,979 ~-~-> 00:23:55,889
622 -directly between both of them. Originally, it was this one. But this one is a
623 -breaker as well. And I got a question asked, you know, what is? Why is this a
624 -
625 -126
626 -00:23:55,889 ~-~-> 00:24:06,569
627 -breaker because what stops would have ran out first. It's this short term high
628 -right here. So the high, low higher high liquidity was ran out here. And then we
629 -
630 -127
631 -00:24:06,569 ~-~-> 00:24:18,179
632 -broke down through it. So that makes this a breaker. So you can see there's all
633 -kinds of layered, opposing ideas. So if I'm trading, I want to find a very low
634 -
635 -128
636 -00:24:18,179 ~-~-> 00:24:29,819
637 -resistance liquidity run. That means everything is so heavily weighted in my
638 -direction, or my idea in that trade setup, that it's going to take a real move
639 -
640 -129
641 -00:24:29,819 ~-~-> 00:24:40,619
642 -of significance for me to be wrong, and see it fail. The more adversities and
643 -things you have standing in your way with your trade idea. We shouldn't be
644 -
645 -130
646 -00:24:40,619 ~-~-> 00:24:48,599
647 -surprised when we have a trade that stops us out or it fails to move out. And
648 -this wears us down emotionally and psychologically. We just can't stand anymore.
649 -
650 -131
651 -00:24:48,599 ~-~-> 00:24:59,669
652 -We just closed the trade. If you look at the overall market environment, it will
653 -look many times similar or similar in many ways. Like I'm describing here, the
654 -
655 -132
656 -00:24:59,669 ~-~-> 00:25:07,559
657 -market In consolidation, so if you look at when markets are trading and trading
658 -ranges, now you understand we can go back and look at price, you'll see that
659 -
660 -133
661 -00:25:07,559 ~-~-> 00:25:18,359
662 -it's being held between two breakers. And one of those breakers gonna have to
663 -give way and then the market will have a much easier way to trade from high
664 -
665 -134
666 -00:25:18,359 ~-~-> 00:25:28,199
667 -resistance liquidity runs, which is where we're at right now. It makes it very
668 -hard for markets to find sustainable moves, then transitioning from that to low
669 -
670 -135
671 -00:25:28,199 ~-~-> 00:25:34,979
672 -resistance liquidity runs, or very efficient, symmetrical price movement. So
673 -hopefully you found this insightful and I'll talk to you next time wish good
674 -
675 -136
676 -00:25:34,979 ~-~-> 00:25:35,999
677 -luck and good trading.