Wiki source code of ICT YT - 2017-12-05 - ICT - Trade Review GbpUsd and Commentary.srt
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2 | 00:00:11,340 ~-~-> 00:00:26,250 | ||
3 | ICT: Good afternoon, folks. All right, I'm just gonna show you real quick. What | ||
4 | I did on the British Pound USD, I did do a recording. And the recording didn't | ||
5 | |||
6 | 2 | ||
7 | 00:00:26,250 ~-~-> 00:00:38,760 | ||
8 | turn out too well. And I'll show you. I'll show you the reason why. Here's the | ||
9 | recording I had for last night you see me actually getting in the trade as it | ||
10 | |||
11 | 3 | ||
12 | 00:00:38,760 ~-~-> 00:00:53,820 | ||
13 | was shooting down and long and open. And a few minutes after I went to bed, | ||
14 | Murphy's Law kicks in. And my antivirus cleaning software thing pops up like | ||
15 | |||
16 | 4 | ||
17 | 00:00:53,820 ~-~-> 00:01:11,820 | ||
18 | that. It stays there for hours, at whole time prices, doing what it's doing. I | ||
19 | was unable to capture that and share that with you. So that's a little bit of a | ||
20 | |||
21 | 5 | ||
22 | 00:01:11,820 ~-~-> 00:01:24,210 | ||
23 | letdown. You can see about four and a half hours worth of recording was ruined | ||
24 | with a photo bomb by McAfee's antivirus, and I'm not affiliated with them. So | ||
25 | |||
26 | 6 | ||
27 | 00:01:24,240 ~-~-> 00:01:35,400 | ||
28 | this is not product placement, folks. Alright, so let's go over to charts. This | ||
29 | is the daily. This is the British Pound USD. Now immediately last night, I | ||
30 | |||
31 | 7 | ||
32 | 00:01:35,400 ~-~-> 00:01:46,590 | ||
33 | stayed up all night long watching the pound dollar. And I was looking for a | ||
34 | specific scenario, which I'll outline in a few minutes. But for now, I want you | ||
35 | |||
36 | 8 | ||
37 | 00:01:46,590 ~-~-> 00:01:56,160 | ||
38 | to take a look at what's been going on on the daily. We've had the pound dollar | ||
39 | moving higher. And it looks to me personally, that we're going to want to go | ||
40 | |||
41 | 9 | ||
42 | 00:01:56,160 ~-~-> 00:02:14,760 | ||
43 | above this high. Okay, so if nothing else between now and say next Tuesday, I | ||
44 | would look for an attempt to try to get up to that price point. So the next week | ||
45 | |||
46 | 10 | ||
47 | 00:02:15,180 ~-~-> 00:02:29,970 | ||
48 | worth of trading. We had a nice wicked decline rate from Asia last night. So I'm | ||
49 | going to cover that a little bit as well. But as you can see, I'm trading down | ||
50 | |||
51 | 11 | ||
52 | 00:02:29,970 ~-~-> 00:02:41,910 | ||
53 | here near the end or the low of the day buying down. Okay, and the reason I'm | ||
54 | doing that is if you look at what's happened every time we had these really long | ||
55 | |||
56 | 12 | ||
57 | 00:02:42,000 ~-~-> 00:02:53,340 | ||
58 | attempts to go lower taking out equal lows here. Market rallies away. The market | ||
59 | drops down aggressively in here. Okay clears out a short term low here. Market | ||
60 | |||
61 | 13 | ||
62 | 00:02:53,340 ~-~-> 00:03:02,790 | ||
63 | rallies again. And we have a deep retracement. When we see that happening here, | ||
64 | intraday, we go into a lower timeframe, hourly chart. These are the levels I was | ||
65 | |||
66 | 14 | ||
67 | 00:03:02,790 ~-~-> 00:03:13,080 | ||
68 | actually watching. And I'll give you some of the framework in a minute. But we | ||
69 | had these equal lows on the fourth of December. Okay, we didn't run down | ||
70 | |||
71 | 15 | ||
72 | 00:03:13,110 ~-~-> 00:03:24,840 | ||
73 | initially. And I was watching this happen live. And it just went down and | ||
74 | beautifully hit that. And we went right into consolidation here and then drove | ||
75 | |||
76 | 16 | ||
77 | 00:03:24,840 ~-~-> 00:03:35,190 | ||
78 | lower, clearing out those equal lows. The first time it went through just up by | ||
79 | a little bit and left that liquidity pool there. Okay, price dropped down | ||
80 | |||
81 | 17 | ||
82 | 00:03:35,190 ~-~-> 00:03:45,390 | ||
83 | aggressively, even lower to take out these equal lows. And exactly 20 pips below | ||
84 | that takes us down to here at 133 88. And the bodies of the candles are | ||
85 | |||
86 | 18 | ||
87 | 00:03:45,390 ~-~-> 00:03:59,130 | ||
88 | respecting that. We did step through it with a wick. But that also took us below | ||
89 | these lows as well. Okay, so it really came down took out those price points for | ||
90 | |||
91 | 19 | ||
92 | 00:03:59,490 ~-~-> 00:04:09,870 | ||
93 | sell stops that are resting in the marketplace. Now. My opinion is, if I'm | ||
94 | accurate in my assumptions about where they're trying to take the daily pound | ||
95 | |||
96 | 20 | ||
97 | 00:04:09,870 ~-~-> 00:04:22,530 | ||
98 | dollar chart that's above these old highs back here. And if that's the case, we | ||
99 | have equal highs here. It's beautiful reason to expect that. And we've had equal | ||
100 | |||
101 | 21 | ||
102 | 00:04:22,530 ~-~-> 00:04:33,030 | ||
103 | lows taken here. And we rally back away. We've gone below these equal lows, | ||
104 | these equal lows and these equal lows. So to me personally until I see | ||
105 | |||
106 | 22 | ||
107 | 00:04:33,060 ~-~-> 00:04:45,840 | ||
108 | otherwise, and it will be in the form of being stopped down, I'm sure. But if we | ||
109 | can rally from here, I think we're going to 3555 as a weekly objective. If it | ||
110 | |||
111 | 23 | ||
112 | 00:04:45,840 ~-~-> 00:04:58,560 | ||
113 | goes beyond that, then obviously we'll have to consider the 3660 level. Okay. Do | ||
114 | I see that this week? Hmm. Personally, no, I don't see that. But I think that we | ||
115 | |||
116 | 24 | ||
117 | 00:04:58,560 ~-~-> 00:05:05,610 | ||
118 | could obviously get above These highs here, and it's go back over hourly, okay, | ||
119 | and | ||
120 | |||
121 | 25 | ||
122 | 00:05:07,680 ~-~-> 00:05:16,860 | ||
123 | drop down into a 15 minute timeframe with these points of reference, we have an | ||
124 | old low in here, price trades back up to that. And equal lows trading through | ||
125 | |||
126 | 26 | ||
127 | 00:05:16,860 ~-~-> 00:05:30,390 | ||
128 | that and the subsequent decline through a previous double bottom as indicated on | ||
129 | the hourly chart. As price drove down into that and cleared those stops, I went | ||
130 | |||
131 | 27 | ||
132 | 00:05:30,390 ~-~-> 00:05:44,280 | ||
133 | in long on this candle right here. Okay, right on there. At that candle I had, | ||
134 | it looks like if I go through my recording, it looks like only had about five to | ||
135 | |||
136 | 28 | ||
137 | 00:05:44,280 ~-~-> 00:05:56,580 | ||
138 | six pips of heat, or draw down against me not counting the spread. So not a bad | ||
139 | fill, I had to sit through a lot of slop and chop today. And we had the New York | ||
140 | |||
141 | 29 | ||
142 | 00:05:56,580 ~-~-> 00:06:08,340 | ||
143 | session set up in here, which I'll zoom in in a minute and show you what that | ||
144 | was. But we had both points of entry, the London open, and the New York open. | ||
145 | |||
146 | 30 | ||
147 | 00:06:09,060 ~-~-> 00:06:20,880 | ||
148 | And we had a nice profit on these, I had a nice profit on both positions, I have | ||
149 | a remaining balance of one standard lot from the entry at London. And it's | ||
150 | |||
151 | 31 | ||
152 | 00:06:20,880 ~-~-> 00:06:28,830 | ||
153 | sitting right below these lows here, I was surprised that I didn't get stopped | ||
154 | out actually waiting. So I'd have the video done around two o'clock, but it | ||
155 | |||
156 | 32 | ||
157 | 00:06:28,830 ~-~-> 00:06:34,380 | ||
158 | looked like it was gonna come down and stop me on this, it's going to wait for | ||
159 | it to do that, and then come back and give you the cat with that insight and | ||
160 | |||
161 | 33 | ||
162 | 00:06:34,380 ~-~-> 00:06:49,110 | ||
163 | post trade result. But it didn't happen. So while I'm working with you live | ||
164 | here, I do want to take off half in here of that last standard. And that way, I | ||
165 | |||
166 | 34 | ||
167 | 00:06:49,110 ~-~-> 00:06:57,450 | ||
168 | don't care if it comes down, I'll take another piece out in a nice little area. | ||
169 | So if it does break down in here and go slower, then it really doesn't make a | ||
170 | |||
171 | 35 | ||
172 | 00:06:57,450 ~-~-> 00:07:10,410 | ||
173 | difference to me, I have such a small little position in here, I'll get 30 pips, | ||
174 | still with being stopped out and add another $190 of demo profit. So let's zoom | ||
175 | |||
176 | 36 | ||
177 | 00:07:10,410 ~-~-> 00:07:30,330 | ||
178 | in here and get a better look at that New York setup. Okay, to the lowest body | ||
179 | in the slow. And we're taking it all up to this close here. So this is the range | ||
180 | |||
181 | 37 | ||
182 | 00:07:30,330 ~-~-> 00:07:43,110 | ||
183 | between open and close between between these two reference points, this one | ||
184 | here. And this one here, okay, disregard the wicks, we're not interested in | ||
185 | |||
186 | 38 | ||
187 | 00:07:43,110 ~-~-> 00:07:53,490 | ||
188 | that, and price comes down, does wick through it, but does not go below the low. | ||
189 | So in here, I was looking for a reason to anticipate a rally up into the | ||
190 | |||
191 | 39 | ||
192 | 00:07:53,490 ~-~-> 00:07:59,700 | ||
193 | symmetrical price swing. And I'm going to go into a five minute chart now. | ||
194 | |||
195 | 40 | ||
196 | 00:08:05,910 ~-~-> 00:08:22,080 | ||
197 | Okay, and take this off. And I'm just going to take you over to the trade recap | ||
198 | or account history. And I'll add all the price points. And you can see what I | ||
199 | |||
200 | 41 | ||
201 | 00:08:22,080 ~-~-> 00:08:38,760 | ||
202 | did in terms of entry and my exit points. Okay, here's my most recent exit. I | ||
203 | get questioned all the time, and my doctor knees up after the fact. And I like | ||
204 | |||
205 | 42 | ||
206 | 00:08:38,760 ~-~-> 00:08:52,500 | ||
207 | to do this to show you that they are in fact, entries and exits. And I don't | ||
208 | personally know how to manipulate this, to fake it. I don't know why people | ||
209 | |||
210 | 43 | ||
211 | 00:08:53,100 ~-~-> 00:09:06,870 | ||
212 | don't know why they make such a big deal about it, because it's everything that | ||
213 | I teach. So again, there's our reference points here. And if you look at what we | ||
214 | |||
215 | 44 | ||
216 | 00:09:06,870 ~-~-> 00:09:17,970 | ||
217 | show, on this rally here, this is a load that was formed in the London setup. | ||
218 | And we had a rally up and it drops down. We're gonna look at this reference | ||
219 | |||
220 | 45 | ||
221 | 00:09:17,970 ~-~-> 00:09:31,800 | ||
222 | point right in here. And you'll see another optimal trade entry in here that | ||
223 | further added confidence to me wanting to take this trade. So we had the range | ||
224 | |||
225 | 46 | ||
226 | 00:09:31,800 ~-~-> 00:09:45,480 | ||
227 | from this low up to this highest body and price drops down into the 62% | ||
228 | tradesmen level here, and then exactly here on this candle at 1215. So this is | ||
229 | |||
230 | 47 | ||
231 | 00:09:45,480 ~-~-> 00:09:56,970 | ||
232 | the new york open kill zone. So trading right there, you could be a buyer. Now I | ||
233 | didn't get that. It rallied away and it came back to here and started the rally | ||
234 | |||
235 | 48 | ||
236 | 00:09:56,970 ~-~-> 00:10:05,760 | ||
237 | again. And I thought to myself well I'm going to miss this if I don't do | ||
238 | something with it. So all I did was key off of an order block, which is these | ||
239 | |||
240 | 49 | ||
241 | 00:10:05,820 ~-~-> 00:10:14,400 | ||
242 | down close candles of you that is a bullish order block. When price trades down | ||
243 | into that area here, I was trading right into it, as it was a bearish candle. | ||
244 | |||
245 | 50 | ||
246 | 00:10:15,000 ~-~-> 00:10:29,850 | ||
247 | And that was my point of entry took profit here to profit here, collapsing it. | ||
248 | And then you can see the reference points up here, above target to above target | ||
249 | |||
250 | 51 | ||
251 | 00:10:29,850 ~-~-> 00:10:51,780 | ||
252 | one. And if we look at the price point for the range right here, you'll see what | ||
253 | I was targeting, I was using the low here, up to the highest body here and | ||
254 | |||
255 | 52 | ||
256 | 00:10:52,080 ~-~-> 00:11:01,170 | ||
257 | target to look where I was working those levels. When, if you could have watched | ||
258 | the video I was doing without having that photobomb of McAfee anti virus thing | ||
259 | |||
260 | 53 | ||
261 | 00:11:01,170 ~-~-> 00:11:13,200 | ||
262 | popping up on me you'll see me actually scaling out and taking those points of | ||
263 | profit here because I was working at Target to level based on this fit and | ||
264 | |||
265 | 54 | ||
266 | 00:11:13,290 ~-~-> 00:11:24,630 | ||
267 | target one here. Okay, and then, again, target one right now or I just bailed | ||
268 | out. Those levels are in my mind when I'm looking at the chart, I don't have to | ||
269 | |||
270 | 55 | ||
271 | 00:11:24,630 ~-~-> 00:11:34,080 | ||
272 | have them on there. Because I know what I'm looking at. Once I get a feel for | ||
273 | where I got a level or two that I want to be trying to scale out, you'll see the | ||
274 | |||
275 | 56 | ||
276 | 00:11:34,080 ~-~-> 00:11:44,940 | ||
277 | grouping just like a person that shoots a gun at a gun range. They look at the | ||
278 | the spread on the target afterwards. This is why Okay, target two, you can see | ||
279 | |||
280 | 57 | ||
281 | 00:11:44,940 ~-~-> 00:11:55,440 | ||
282 | the grouping here with my exits. You can see the grouping here at Target one and | ||
283 | you can see the exit I just did with you guys live here. Okay. And I have that | ||
284 | |||
285 | 58 | ||
286 | 00:11:55,470 ~-~-> 00:12:09,360 | ||
287 | remaining portion that if it comes down and stopped me out, I really don't care. | ||
288 | But if it continues, I'll be looking forward to run above these highs up in here | ||
289 | |||
290 | 59 | ||
291 | 00:12:09,480 ~-~-> 00:12:26,790 | ||
292 | around 3480 and then up to my objective which is 7555 up here. Up there, give me | ||
293 | 162 pips, so that's that, but all in all, it was a rather difficult, sloppy day | ||
294 | |||
295 | 60 | ||
296 | 00:12:26,820 ~-~-> 00:12:35,700 | ||
297 | personally took a lot of patience on my part to stick with this as an example. | ||
298 | I'm just disappointed that that little thing popped up down here and prevented | ||
299 | |||
300 | 61 | ||
301 | 00:12:35,700 ~-~-> 00:12:45,240 | ||
302 | me from seeing the or showing you the entire price action that was delivered for | ||
303 | all this price movement in here. So hopefully you found this example insightful. | ||
304 | |||
305 | 62 | ||
306 | 00:12:45,270 ~-~-> 00:12:47,640 | ||
307 | Until next time, I wish you good luck and good trading. |