Changes for page ICT YT - 2017-11-19 - ICT On Institutional Price Levels and New Science Of Fib Use.srt

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... ... @@ -1,1577 +1,319 @@ 1 -1 2 -00:00:16,949 ~-~-> 00:00:27,869 3 -ICT: Okay, folks, welcome, welcome, welcome. We're gonna be talking about a 4 -couple things that are probably going to challenge your preconceived notions 1 +(% class="hover min" %) 2 +|1 |00:00:16,949 ~-~-> 00:00:27,869 |ICT: Okay, folks, welcome, welcome, welcome. We're gonna be talking about a couple things that are probably going to challenge your preconceived notions 3 +|2 |00:00:27,869 ~-~-> 00:00:44,819 |about some classical analysis concepts that's typically bandied about as the science of technical analysis. And it's my motivation to inspire you to go into 4 +|3 |00:00:44,819 ~-~-> 00:00:57,209 |your charts and see if what I'm teaching you here today is what exactly happens just about every single trading day. Just as a reminder, my background is in 5 +|4 |00:00:57,209 ~-~-> 00:01:10,409 |computer science and information systems. So I am a byproduct of the computer programming generation. And right now, at the time of this recording, I'm 45 6 +|5 |00:01:10,439 ~-~-> 00:01:25,049 |years old. So I've been around a long time. And I've watched the transition from the open outcry, pit trading, to electronic trading. So while many have in the 7 +|6 |00:01:25,049 ~-~-> 00:01:38,699 |past, struggled to move and transition from floor trading to all floor trading, I think I've had the advantage of thinking about things from a higher level, 8 +|7 |00:01:39,179 ~-~-> 00:01:49,589 |analytical standpoint. And by that, I mean, I'm already accustomed to algorithmic thinking. So while it's not important to teach the concept of 9 +|8 |00:01:49,589 ~-~-> 00:02:00,449 |computer programming, to understand what I'm going to show you here, just understand that those that have these experiences, if you've done any work in 10 +|9 |00:02:00,449 ~-~-> 00:02:10,619 |computer programming, what I'm going to suggest to you is going to make perfect sense to you and everyone else, probably not so much. But you'll be able to see 11 +|10 |00:02:10,619 ~-~-> 00:02:25,799 |it by experience and seeing and charts. Okay. First and foremost, price is not random. And price is not a byproduct of supply and demand either. Most folks 12 +|11 |00:02:25,799 ~-~-> 00:02:37,559 |that come into this business will buy into all of the misinformation that comes by way of instruction, books, seminars, teaching this that nothing. And the 13 +|12 |00:02:37,559 ~-~-> 00:02:49,199 |first and foremost thing that comes out of their mind is you never really know. And while I'm not preaching 100% accuracy, I am preaching a diametrically 14 +|13 |00:02:49,199 ~-~-> 00:03:03,659 |opposed position to what is deemed as classical technical analysis. My belief is, it's not about trend lines. It's not about indicators. It's not about 15 +|14 |00:03:04,019 ~-~-> 00:03:14,879 |support and resistance either. So before I go any further into it, just understand that everything I'm teaching you Here is my personal belief. I 16 +|15 |00:03:14,879 ~-~-> 00:03:23,069 |started like everyone else. And I started with the ideas that are taught and promoted in books and educators. And I did the same things that anyone else 17 +|16 |00:03:23,069 ~-~-> 00:03:36,029 |would do. The problem was, I wasn't profitable with any of it. And I tried very, very hard. And it wasn't until I looked at things with the perspective that if I 18 +|17 |00:03:36,029 ~-~-> 00:03:46,169 |were trying to upset the individuals that are trying to do the things that the books say, how would I go about doing that? What I was creating was a 19 +|18 |00:03:46,169 ~-~-> 00:03:56,969 |documentation stage of a computer program. Okay, from a systems analyst perspective, okay. I looked at the market as a whole. And if I were to be able 20 +|19 |00:03:56,969 ~-~-> 00:04:09,659 |to wrangle, okay, everybody's collective thought process, or at least a majority, to think about a specific direction or a specific level of interest in 21 +|20 |00:04:09,659 ~-~-> 00:04:19,589 |price. How would I go about doing that? And how can I do it on a repeating fashion? Because my belief is price is not random. And if you've watched 22 +|21 |00:04:19,589 ~-~-> 00:04:33,659 |anything of my work, or examples in my trades, you'll see that that's pretty much a no brainer, it's very predictable. And if we understand that there are 23 +|22 |00:04:34,229 ~-~-> 00:04:47,669 |individuals or entities or now an algorithm that controls the fluctuations in price, and how do we argue and wrestle with the idea that what was going on 24 +|23 |00:04:47,669 ~-~-> 00:05:03,299 |before electronic trading? Well, it's the same theory that it's used. It's just been automated. The folks down on the floor When it was open outcry, only the 25 +|24 |00:05:03,299 ~-~-> 00:05:10,139 |illusion was they were helping push price up or pushing price down. And the fact is, that's not true. 26 +|25 |00:05:11,250 ~-~-> 00:05:21,900 |And the reason why I knew this was most likely accurate, is because I've learned my SNP trading from Georgia Joe, in Georgia. And Joe was a floor trader for the 27 +|26 |00:05:21,900 ~-~-> 00:05:32,670 |s&p. And he said specifically, in many of his teachings, that he left demoralized certain days, he lost a lot of money on some particular days, where 28 +|27 |00:05:33,570 ~-~-> 00:05:41,880 |if he had the insight that everyone would assume they have on the floor, he shouldn't have been having these big suffering losses. So what was going on 29 +|28 |00:05:41,880 ~-~-> 00:05:54,300 |those days? In emulation. So my belief is there's always someone pulling the strings. Now, I can't introduce you to them. I can't say here's where they 30 +|29 |00:05:54,330 ~-~-> 00:06:04,380 |reside, here's where they originate from. Okay. So there's going to be a certain measure of Tom Clancy in this, okay, by way of, I guess, you can put the quotes 31 +|30 |00:06:04,380 ~-~-> 00:06:14,370 |in quotes, symbols around it in quotation marks, if you will, conspiracy. And if that upsets you and bothers, you've just turned the video off, I really don't 32 +|31 |00:06:14,370 ~-~-> 00:06:26,790 |care to try to convince you of it, okay. But if morbid curiosity has kept you on this long, I promise you, you will be rewarded. So the mechanics of price 33 +|32 |00:06:26,790 ~-~-> 00:06:37,950 |manipulation started in the beginning, okay, it's always been there. As long as there's been a market, there's always been someone in control, otherwise, it 34 +|33 |00:06:37,950 ~-~-> 00:06:51,480 |could crash, any market could be completely decimated. If it was sheer, by way of the buying and selling that takes place on speculating, that's it. And they 35 +|34 |00:06:51,480 ~-~-> 00:07:01,800 |build in these ideas, these supposedly circuit breakers, but we're going to stop the selling from causing the market go down too far. They're all illusions, 36 +|35 |00:07:02,100 ~-~-> 00:07:12,720 |they're things that make you believe that the system is there for your benefit. And they're putting things in place to protect you as the investor. And that's 37 +|36 |00:07:12,780 ~-~-> 00:07:26,460 |not what goes on. Okay. So, when we look at price action, we understand that if there is a absence of randomness, that means there must be a present and clear 38 +|37 |00:07:26,820 ~-~-> 00:07:37,170 |order of things. So what is that order? Well, the books will teach you, as they taught me in my beginning, that it's all about support and resistance. The 39 +|38 |00:07:37,170 ~-~-> 00:07:47,190 |problem is, is what support or which resistance should you use? And how do you know if a support resistance is going to hold? And I get that question a lot. 40 +|39 |00:07:48,180 ~-~-> 00:08:00,720 |And before we can tackle that question, I'm going to ask you, what does the book teach you about placing support resistance levels on your chart, find an old 41 +|40 |00:08:00,720 ~-~-> 00:08:08,700 |high find an old well, where it bounced where it repelled. There's where you put your orders that and therefore the setups are going to occur there? How many 42 +|41 |00:08:08,700 ~-~-> 00:08:18,210 |times has that worked for you? I'm sure a few of you have many examples that you could say, well, it worked here. They worked here and work here. But if you're 43 +|42 |00:08:18,210 ~-~-> 00:08:30,270 |honest, how many times is a failed you? A lot more? I'm sure. So the question is, if the market does, in fact, find support and resistance, and I don't 44 +|43 |00:08:30,270 ~-~-> 00:08:39,450 |believe there is support and resistance in the marketplace, it's again, an illusion. Because what you're supposing is at that specific price level in the 45 +|44 |00:08:39,450 ~-~-> 00:08:50,940 |past is going to have the exact same response going forward. And it never rarely ever shows that consistency, once in a while will happen enough to write books 46 +|45 |00:08:50,940 ~-~-> 00:09:03,960 |and write chapters and enough to do seminars and webinars on. But when you start walking forward that idea, you have problems. It's like quicksand. It looks like 47 +|46 |00:09:03,960 ~-~-> 00:09:13,260 |good footing. But when you step out there, you start sinking, and you start questioning what's really going on. So I had a lot of frustration in the 48 +|47 |00:09:13,260 ~-~-> 00:09:24,000 |beginning, after encountering adversity in my trading, so I had to figure things out. I had to I had to think about things from an analytical standpoint. And I 49 +|48 |00:09:24,000 ~-~-> 00:09:34,890 |will admit to you right now that I wasn't confident that I was going to figure it out. But I sure as hell tried. And I was trying every single day, more hours 50 +|49 |00:09:34,890 ~-~-> 00:09:48,060 |than a full time job would have anyone work. Eight to 10 hours a day, sometimes 13 hours a day, and study. So I've been obsessive about this all my life. So I 51 +|50 |00:09:48,060 ~-~-> 00:09:56,730 |want you to understand that I didn't just throw this presentation together because it just fits today. I want you to go through the same mechanics and 52 +|51 |00:09:56,730 ~-~-> 00:10:05,940 |process that I'm doing here on any market. Any market whatsoever, because it's the same thing. There's always a puppeteer, 53 +|52 |00:10:06,990 ~-~-> 00:10:18,990 |there's always someone pulling the strings, it's never being left to the randomness of buying and selling. Okay? So I don't believe there's support 54 +|53 |00:10:18,990 ~-~-> 00:10:26,850 |resistance in the marketplace. And then that's probably unsettling for some of you. And I don't believe their supply and demand either. Because these are all 55 +|54 |00:10:27,180 ~-~-> 00:10:40,620 |notions that promote the idea of free trade. And there's nothing further than that. And it comes to truth of the markets, its complete and utter control and 56 +|55 |00:10:40,620 ~-~-> 00:10:53,940 |manipulation. We are given the ideas and perspectives by industry, talking heads, gurus, teachers, and such. And they could come across with the greatest 57 +|56 |00:10:53,940 ~-~-> 00:11:06,900 |intentions and well meaning spirit. But it's flawed. Because it's promoting the idea that there's no one really in control of price when there absolutely is. 58 +|57 |00:11:07,950 ~-~-> 00:11:22,860 |And I've shown many times where I can predict within one PIP or the very PIP have a particular high or low of a day, or week. And to me, no one can have that 59 +|58 |00:11:22,860 ~-~-> 00:11:35,640 |level of skill, or prognostication. If there wasn't a method behind it, that was measurable, that there was a well, data behind it to support it. Because if we 60 +|59 |00:11:35,640 ~-~-> 00:11:45,900 |understand that, indicators, and trend lines, you've seen all those things before, if it was beat by that, then we would all have the same settings, we 61 +|60 |00:11:45,900 ~-~-> 00:11:58,410 |would all have the same trend line anchor points. And we don't. And yet, still, the majority of people lose money doing it. So I was forced at an early age in 62 +|61 |00:11:58,410 ~-~-> 00:12:10,590 |my career, to abandon those things, because I want to only focus on the things that make sense. And I had to streamline my focus to things that made the 63 +|62 |00:12:10,590 ~-~-> 00:12:26,130 |clearest depiction of what price should do, and finding generic characteristics and price behavior that will repeat not because it's a specific setting, or 64 +|63 |00:12:26,130 ~-~-> 00:12:37,830 |indicator, but because it's what price will do, by its very nature. So what am I getting at, if it's not support resistance, what's moving price, order flow. 65 +|64 |00:12:39,390 ~-~-> 00:12:48,090 |It's all about where the money is. Now, the books will never teach you this. Because the folks that write these books don't understand or even know about it, 66 +|65 |00:12:48,810 ~-~-> 00:13:01,410 |because they're so indoctrinated. They believe wholeheartedly, that their system of indicators, or their methodology is resulting in that profitable trade, when 67 +|66 |00:13:01,410 ~-~-> 00:13:11,700 |that in itself is the sheer randomness that they're talking about. It's the price action that's not random. But their reaction and result of their 68 +|67 |00:13:11,940 ~-~-> 00:13:24,330 |interpretation of indicators and their methodology. And that's the randomness of the results of their system is what's random, not price action. If you look at 69 +|68 |00:13:24,420 ~-~-> 00:13:38,760 |promoters of ideas that sell systems and EAS, and things of that nature, as soon as they say they have proprietary indicators. that's a that's a red flag right 70 +|69 |00:13:38,760 ~-~-> 00:13:48,480 |there, they are not looking at what I'm going to show you today. And it's very generic. It's a very simple approach. It's about price. It's the open the high, 71 +|70 |00:13:48,480 ~-~-> 00:14:01,140 |the low and the close. It's a secret for indicator collection. And it goes by everyone, it goes right over their head every single day. So when we understand, 72 +|71 |00:14:01,440 ~-~-> 00:14:15,240 |or at least I'm asking you to suspend your belief in indicators and other methodologies just for the sake of this video. If we can simply say that the 73 +|72 |00:14:15,240 ~-~-> 00:14:26,730 |market is and trust me on this, for the presentation, the market moves where the money is, okay, we know that they are sometimes referred to as a stop run. But 74 +|73 |00:14:26,730 ~-~-> 00:14:35,280 |the books are not always as clear to determine a methodology on how to trade with that or to avoid it. It's just written up as well. You know, that's why you 75 +|74 |00:14:35,280 ~-~-> 00:14:44,490 |have to have good risk management and money management because price is random. And again, that's always been a stick in my craw. I've had a problem accepting 76 +|75 |00:14:44,490 ~-~-> 00:14:55,950 |that because people that get wealthy in the markets are not randomly getting there. They're doing things that are, again, measurable. Now when I'm saying 77 +|76 |00:14:56,010 ~-~-> 00:15:03,210 |making a lot of money. I'm not talking about the guys who make $100,000 a year I'm talking about the first They make millions of dollars per month. And these 78 +|77 |00:15:03,210 ~-~-> 00:15:05,190 |folks know exactly what's going on. 79 +|78 |00:15:06,000 ~-~-> 00:15:14,700 |And they do the same things over and over and over again. And they expect the same things and price action because it is absolutely controlled. So what do I 80 +|79 |00:15:14,700 ~-~-> 00:15:26,520 |mean? What do I mean by this? What do I mean by order flow? Well, when I look at price, as we looking at this chart right now, is many peaks and valleys in it. 81 +|80 |00:15:27,060 ~-~-> 00:15:38,880 |Now, right away, depending upon where you've come from, in your discipline of technical analysis, your I may be going to harmonic patterns, or your I may be 82 +|81 |00:15:38,880 ~-~-> 00:15:51,630 |drawn to a suppose a trendline, or some view, classic support resistance highs and lows, bottoms become tops and tops becomes bottoms cliche, whatever that is, 83 +|82 |00:15:51,990 ~-~-> 00:16:02,610 |I'm asking you to to push it to side just for a couple more minutes. And I'm going to ask you to think about price. Okay, think about a price. And think 84 +|83 |00:16:02,610 ~-~-> 00:16:17,250 |about it in its 00 level. In this example, here, we're looking at the euro dollar, and we have a price range of 121. Down to approximately 116 or so. in 85 +|84 |00:16:17,250 ~-~-> 00:16:32,520 |that range. There are several 00 levels for what I refer to as a big figure. And there's several 50 levels, okay, like for instance, like 120 50, or 121 51 1950, 86 +|85 |00:16:32,940 ~-~-> 00:16:49,320 |then you have the big figures, 119, even 120, even 121, even 117, even, and so on. And I want you to think about how price moves above and below these 50 00 87 +|86 |00:16:49,320 ~-~-> 00:16:58,770 |levels. You probably never noticed it before. But this is the beginning mechanics of understanding how price moves algorithmically. Okay, I have the 00 88 +|87 |00:16:58,770 ~-~-> 00:17:08,160 |level, the 50 levels on the chart in red. And I've also incorporated the 20 levels and 80 levels, okay, because we're gonna go over a few characteristics 89 +|88 |00:17:08,160 ~-~-> 00:17:18,480 |that are generic and price. But right away, you should be able to see that there are significant turning points at these references, 20 8050 and zero levels. 90 +|89 |00:17:19,260 ~-~-> 00:17:28,440 |Everyone out there struggles with what's the right support resistance level. And if you just simply do this to your chart, you'll have the key levels that are 91 +|90 |00:17:28,440 ~-~-> 00:17:40,380 |going to be most likely or salient to current price action at the time. Now I'm going to take that information and promote an understanding that how we can use 92 +|91 |00:17:40,380 ~-~-> 00:17:55,770 |institutional pricing like this 50 00 levels 20s and 80s. To find key turning points, okay, which will also lend well to finding setups. So right away, I want 93 +|92 |00:17:55,770 ~-~-> 00:18:05,010 |you to take a look at the reactions that take place around the 50 levels and the 00 levels. For instance, if we look at the 117, big figure down here, price was 94 +|93 |00:18:05,010 ~-~-> 00:18:11,370 |able to move down to it. But did it stop right at that level? Now it went through it despite a little bit. And then there was a reaction, price came back 95 +|94 |00:18:11,370 ~-~-> 00:18:20,610 |down. Now support resistance idea theory would say okay, let's wait for it to get back down to that level. It didn't do it. It traded higher. And it cut 96 +|95 |00:18:20,610 ~-~-> 00:18:35,400 |through a mid figure in at level, another big figure through a 20 level but then failed to get to a 50 level and then fell all the way down back down into this 97 +|96 |00:18:35,400 ~-~-> 00:18:43,470 |level. Now right away folks is subscribed to support resistance, they would say okay, well, here we are, we traded back to that level. So I can be a buyer now. 98 +|97 |00:18:43,710 ~-~-> 00:18:51,930 |And I'll put a stop loss rate below my low, and they get rewarded for a little while. And then price comes back down and drives through. Why is it doing that? 99 +|98 |00:18:52,470 ~-~-> 00:19:03,900 |Why is it doing it again here, because these double bottoms are designed to lower your eye to it and feel that it's safe to put your stop loss below it for 100 +|99 |00:19:03,900 ~-~-> 00:19:04,680 |a long position. 101 +|100 |00:19:06,030 ~-~-> 00:19:18,660 |Whenever we see price points in charts that have equal levels, that's an opportunity for a raid. Price should go down there, probe that area, and then 102 +|101 |00:19:18,720 ~-~-> 00:19:30,780 |anticipate a rejection and go the other way. And other examples here, double tops, price runs through it. Now this time it runs through it in doesn't reject. 103 +|102 |00:19:31,380 ~-~-> 00:19:41,460 |The reason why is because we've had a market structure shift inside this area right here. After trying several times to get below 117 big figure. The 104 +|103 |00:19:41,460 ~-~-> 00:19:51,510 |algorithm was not allowing price to go below. It wasn't the fact that there was no sellers. And it wasn't an imbalance of more buyers and sellers. The algo was 105 +|104 |00:19:51,660 ~-~-> 00:20:02,310 |working this level 117 How do you know it's working it was that mean? It's going down to it a lot and sweeping through it. That means they're accumulating long 106 +|105 |00:20:02,310 ~-~-> 00:20:16,230 |positions down here. Every time it makes a lower low. Everyone else's system will say that's weak. It's making lower lows. No, it's accumulating, buy, buy 107 +|106 |00:20:16,230 ~-~-> 00:20:27,870 |orders, with the existing sellers that are in place below these lows. Now, I want you to think about how when price reaches up to a 00 level or a 50 level, 108 +|107 |00:20:29,070 ~-~-> 00:20:39,360 |it's significant. Okay, it's kind of like mile markers. So if we can trade through a 50 level or full figure handle, Okay, so here's your level, or 50. 109 +|108 |00:20:41,580 ~-~-> 00:20:53,940 |That to me, if we understand the daily bias as well, if you think about what I taught in the high probability scalping series of three videos, the concept of 110 +|109 |00:20:53,970 ~-~-> 00:21:03,030 |determining what the daily bias is in that series is really simple. And you stick with that daily bias until we get to a potential turning point. And that's 111 +|110 |00:21:03,030 ~-~-> 00:21:14,100 |going to be on the hourly chart, which is what I'm showing you here. Everything I'm showing you with a purpose in mind should help to remove the anxiety about 112 +|111 |00:21:14,340 ~-~-> 00:21:21,870 |what support resistance levels you should be looking at. And by the time I conclude this video, where you can put your fibs, okay, and remove all that 113 +|112 |00:21:21,870 ~-~-> 00:21:33,960 |ambiguity. So we're going to assume that we've arrived at a bullish idea that the euro dollar is going to go up from here, it doesn't matter that you missed 114 +|113 |00:21:33,960 ~-~-> 00:21:42,900 |the buying low point down here, it's not important. Okay, that's not the important part at all. What I want to show you is, there are folks that will 115 +|114 |00:21:42,900 ~-~-> 00:21:55,350 |argue, okay, and suggest that a lot of the things that I teach or show, it's been cherry picked for the purpose of looking good. And I'm gonna show you how 116 +|115 |00:21:55,350 ~-~-> 00:22:04,290 |that's not true at all. Okay, and you can find this same types of setups. And you'll see that they are cookie cutter for the same type of thing all the time. 117 +|116 |00:22:04,740 ~-~-> 00:22:16,230 |And it looks like to the uninitiated, like, perfect hindsight, cherry picking, but it's not. I'll give you an example. All right, so we had all the cell stops 118 +|117 |00:22:16,230 ~-~-> 00:22:26,100 |ran out on this big figure at 117. Okay, and then price rallies, and it takes out a key swing high. Now, why is this a key swing high, because it's come all 119 +|118 |00:22:26,100 ~-~-> 00:22:35,220 |the way back down, taking out lows. So if it breaks this high, that will be a significant event in price action, at least for the euro dollar on an hourly 120 +|119 |00:22:35,220 ~-~-> 00:22:45,720 |chart is price, then, after making a higher high than this swing high here, it starts to retrace and comes back down. And it finds a reaction right here and 121 +|120 |00:22:45,720 ~-~-> 00:22:57,000 |bounces up again, creates an equal high starts to come back down. folks in the retail world will see this as resistance. Not you. There has been a shift in the 122 +|121 |00:22:57,000 ~-~-> 00:23:07,710 |market structure rallies. Now what I want you to do is I want you to think about and I'm gonna zoom in here, swing high that broke this swing high. Now we have a 123 +|122 |00:23:07,710 ~-~-> 00:23:20,370 |bullish market structure. There will be folks out there that will say, Hey, you know, these educators, they put their fibs in after the fact. So that way, it 124 +|123 |00:23:20,370 ~-~-> 00:23:28,080 |looks good. And they'll do something like this. And that's great. Okay, that would have worked because it stopped would have never been hit. Okay, but you're 125 +|124 |00:23:28,080 ~-~-> 00:23:37,590 |looking at a swing low, you're looking at the actual price points, okay. And the reason why I teach folks to focus on the bodies of the candles because your 126 +|125 |00:23:37,590 ~-~-> 00:23:49,920 |broker has the wonderful flexibility that you both agreed to then having about delivering the price to your platform, and it will always be slightly different 127 +|126 |00:23:49,920 ~-~-> 00:23:57,630 |than what is actually on the interbank level. Now, I'll say that, again, in layman's terms, everyone's broker's price is going to be slightly different 128 +|127 |00:23:57,630 ~-~-> 00:24:07,920 |because it benefits them in house on their own books, their their own customer base will be cannibalized when it's convenient for the broker. 129 +|128 |00:24:09,960 ~-~-> 00:24:21,630 |Okay, so, I want you to remove the idea that you have to know what swing low and what swing high to put your foot one. Okay. Forget that. Because that's what the 130 +|129 |00:24:21,630 ~-~-> 00:24:33,930 |books teach. In 1994. I was, was looking at the Japanese yen of all currencies. I know. The Japanese yen, I was trying to figure out what I wanted to do with 131 +|130 |00:24:33,930 ~-~-> 00:24:47,370 |that currency. Now, it was before I was trading forex, because forex wasn't permitted to be traded prior to 1995 unless you were a bank, but in 94, I was 132 +|131 |00:24:47,370 ~-~-> 00:25:02,250 |looking at the Japanese yen. And something struck me as a dissapoint of study I needed to get into the marketplace and find you know what What could be seen in 133 +|132 |00:25:02,250 ~-~-> 00:25:11,700 |price that repeats itself or whatever I'm struggling to figure it out because I knew that I could come up with a way and at the time I was going to write a 134 +|133 |00:25:11,700 ~-~-> 00:25:23,070 |computer program that would make my trading automated. That was my intent. But because I had to understand how it could reference certain price points to 135 +|134 |00:25:24,420 ~-~-> 00:25:30,990 |basically build a condition for bullish or bearishness. I didn't want to use moving averages because I didn't believe in them because eventually the moving 136 +|135 |00:25:30,990 ~-~-> 00:25:41,160 |average, you know, at the highs will have you buying. And it's over, it's done. So there had to be something for me to use as a criteria to determine where 137 +|136 |00:25:41,160 ~-~-> 00:25:50,850 |value is where overbought is where it's cheap, now where it's oversold or overbought and where it's a good price to buy, or where it's a good price to 138 +|137 |00:25:50,850 ~-~-> 00:26:03,780 |sell. And I wanted to make it as generic as possible. So that way, my program could reference these price points from a very generic standpoint, by that 139 +|138 |00:26:05,700 ~-~-> 00:26:19,590 |choice or pursuit. That particular day, it was July 10 1994. I remember writing in my blog, in my journal, I said, I want to incorporate this specific thing in 140 +|139 |00:26:19,590 ~-~-> 00:26:32,610 |price action. Now, I did not know the ramifications of this observation in price. And this is only by me studying price action alone and disregarding my 141 +|140 |00:26:32,610 ~-~-> 00:26:41,730 |indicators, because I had a lot of indicators at the time on my charts. But I stripped it down and I said I need to know what price is going to do. That can 142 +|141 |00:26:41,730 ~-~-> 00:26:50,700 |be seen and measured over long periods of time, not just perfect examples. And in hindsight, I need to be able to see this stuff going forward. So once I 143 +|142 |00:26:50,700 ~-~-> 00:27:01,200 |adopted what I'm going to show you here, it made perfect sense. That's the reason why I could do and I actually contemplated doing this for about a week, I 144 +|143 |00:27:01,200 ~-~-> 00:27:10,080 |was going to plot my fibs, as I'm going to teach you here. And it would have drove Twitter crazy. Oh, he's putting it where it makes sense for him. And you 145 +|144 |00:27:10,080 ~-~-> 00:27:19,140 |will never you have never seen this. And I'm telling you this, and I'm challenging you, you find this in any book or educator, and it's got to be 146 +|145 |00:27:19,140 ~-~-> 00:27:29,370 |printed, or in video where you can see it before the fact Okay, like I I know, it doesn't exist, because I buy everything. But this was never taught to me in 147 +|146 |00:27:29,460 ~-~-> 00:27:39,600 |any of the things I've ever seen. No one else teaches it. And again, it's just one of those things that you get, or at least I received it by just being 148 +|147 |00:27:39,630 ~-~-> 00:27:55,020 |insanely focused. And from a standpoint, as a computer programmer, I needed to be able to reference a specific price point. Now I'm gonna say this, and I want 149 +|148 |00:27:55,020 ~-~-> 00:28:06,540 |you to really pay attention. Because if I lost you by now, okay, this is going to hopefully get you excited. Your broker is high, and my brokers high are not 150 +|149 |00:28:06,540 ~-~-> 00:28:17,940 |going to agree. Our lows are not going to agree there, there's always gonna be some slight variance. Why is that? Because it's economical for them as the 151 +|150 |00:28:17,940 ~-~-> 00:28:25,110 |broker to manipulate price to shorten the spread to widen the spread when it's convenient for them. 152 +|151 |00:28:26,400 ~-~-> 00:28:34,320 |That's the reason why I teach the use the body that candle because that's the bulk of the volume. Now it still is not going to be lockstep for step, the same 153 +|152 |00:28:34,320 ~-~-> 00:28:41,730 |thing you would see on the interbank level, that price is not going to be delivered to your demo account. It's not gonna be delivered to your Live 154 +|153 |00:28:41,730 ~-~-> 00:28:48,630 |account. And I don't care what broker there is, this is the reason why I avoid the broker discussion, which is the good broker, it's up to you to decide that I 155 +|154 |00:28:48,630 ~-~-> 00:28:57,840 |don't ever want to promote the idea of one broker being the safest one, or the best one, because there isn't anyone like that. They all have a vested interest 156 +|155 |00:28:57,840 ~-~-> 00:29:06,540 |in making money off of you. So if you lose money, I don't want you saying that I cause you to lose money with that broker because you made a decision on your 157 +|156 |00:29:06,540 ~-~-> 00:29:15,780 |own. Okay. I will say this if you go through and do a reasonable research on the internet and talk to people that are actually using them. That's the best 158 +|157 |00:29:15,780 ~-~-> 00:29:24,450 |feedback and selection process there is okay because the ones that are big name and doing very well. They didn't get there you overnight, they've been able to 159 +|158 |00:29:24,450 ~-~-> 00:29:33,150 |hold a good customer base and retention. And there's not been enough horror stories to put people on the on the sidelines about putting money with them. 160 +|159 |00:29:33,570 ~-~-> 00:29:43,680 |Okay, so I'll just say that for completeness sake, but there are folks that will teach that the Fibonacci needs to be placed on the very, very low up to the 161 +|160 |00:29:43,680 ~-~-> 00:29:55,860 |very, very high and sometimes that works. And sometimes it doesn't. And I teach that you should put a finger on the body's lowest open or close at a swing low 162 +|161 |00:29:55,980 ~-~-> 00:30:13,170 |up to the highest open or close in a swing high and sometimes It doesn't work. what is really going on, is prices gravitating to these four levels. Now think I 163 +|162 |00:30:13,170 ~-~-> 00:30:24,990 |gave you a science to finding support resistance just now you don't even realize it yet. I've also gave you the science behind why my fib works when it works. 164 +|163 |00:30:25,980 ~-~-> 00:30:42,630 |And why I only look at specific swing highs and swing lows. Look closely. price breaks this swing high, comes back cycles back down into the mid figure. Okay? I 165 +|164 |00:30:42,630 ~-~-> 00:30:59,310 |want you to think about where price originated from. It started sweeping the 17, big figure, right. And price traded all the way up and traded into the 1820 166 +|165 |00:31:00,090 ~-~-> 00:31:14,880 |institutional price level. Now, it went a little bit above it. But I don't want you focusing there. It worked off a 17 big figure up to the 1820 level. That's 167 +|166 |00:31:14,880 ~-~-> 00:31:27,720 |where you anchor your fib. If you put your Fibonacci on the 117, big figure, notice I'm doing it away from any swing lows, any highs and the lows, forget 168 +|167 |00:31:27,720 ~-~-> 00:31:38,130 |that. That's retail thinking. You got to think with an institutional mindset because this is how the algorithm delivers price. It comes exactly down to the 169 +|168 |00:31:38,130 ~-~-> 00:31:47,010 |62% retracement level, then we get a pop, comes right back to this same price level, see where it's stopping. It's not stopping at the high, it's stopping at 170 +|169 |00:31:47,010 ~-~-> 00:31:53,370 |the 20 level. Okay, now the same premise in mind, okay, watch what happens, I'm going to take this fib 171 +|170 |00:31:59,880 ~-~-> 00:32:12,240 |off. And I want you to think about this area right in here. Now, there will be folks that say you need to put your finger on this low, up to the highest high. 172 +|171 |00:32:12,510 ~-~-> 00:32:25,770 |And let's do that. On the lowest low on the highest high. Yes, we get it hit and right here on 62%. tracing level, beautiful, nothing wrong with that. But I want 173 +|172 |00:32:25,770 ~-~-> 00:32:39,780 |you to think a little bit differently. Watch what happens 20 level back on because it took it off. And I'll take this off again. And I'm going to calibrate 174 +|173 |00:32:39,780 ~-~-> 00:32:52,080 |my fib to the actual 50 level, not looking at the actual swing highs and swing lows, I'm putting it right on the price level itself that prices working the 20 175 +|174 |00:32:52,080 ~-~-> 00:33:02,730 |level off of the 1757 words, look at price hitting 1750 then reaction happens there. Who cares about the actual low because your low is not going to agree 176 +|175 |00:33:02,730 ~-~-> 00:33:11,880 |with mine. And it's not gonna agree with 50 other people either only the same people in that same respective liquidity pool or broker is going to have the 177 +|176 |00:33:11,910 ~-~-> 00:33:25,080 |same agreement. So and even if you do that, if you look at like FX cm, they had many ways of looking at price action. I had people that were trading live in FX 178 +|177 |00:33:25,080 ~-~-> 00:33:36,210 |cm, and I had a Live account with FX cm at one time. And we still didn't even agree on our highs and lows. So this is the reason why I'm telling you forget 179 +|178 |00:33:36,210 ~-~-> 00:33:44,310 |that. Forget the folks that tell you this is the proper way of putting your fib on the low and the high forget that because that's not what's going on. Okay, 180 +|179 |00:33:44,970 ~-~-> 00:33:57,360 |price is moving to these four price levels. And they're reacting off of that. Now when we know this, we can see the anchor point is the price level, not the 181 +|180 |00:33:57,360 ~-~-> 00:34:06,570 |very high or the low. Not the bodies of the candles either the buys or cancel get you the closest thing to it without me teaching you this. But I wanted to 182 +|181 |00:34:06,570 ~-~-> 00:34:17,010 |answer this response because I got a couple emails from folks that really support Tom Dante and again, this is not like a pissing match. I'm not trying to 183 +|182 |00:34:17,010 ~-~-> 00:34:29,130 |do that to be disrespectful or anything. But I got a call a correction when it's necessary. And this is what really should be done with a fib. Looking at the 184 +|183 |00:34:29,130 ~-~-> 00:34:36,780 |reference points whenever you think you're gonna put your your Fibonacci on a swing low, find out what level it is, if it's a 50 level and at level, a double 185 +|184 |00:34:36,780 ~-~-> 00:34:48,450 |zero level, then that's what you put it on. That's it. Forget all this other stuff, because that's always going to be erroneous price action. Not in the 186 +|185 |00:34:48,450 ~-~-> 00:34:57,420 |sense that it wasn't necessary, or that they weren't doing something that reach for stops or something like that. We're defending a level not going down to it 187 +|186 |00:34:57,750 ~-~-> 00:35:07,950 |as many times as they would be reasonably expected to see it It just means that you have to think about how if price was controlled by a computer program, 188 +|187 |00:35:08,460 ~-~-> 00:35:19,680 |there's no way on earth that could it could ever see all of our orders. It can't. But when it goes to these levels, and sweeps through it a little bit, 189 +|188 |00:35:19,680 ~-~-> 00:35:29,520 |that's all that's necessary because the common thesis is stop losses are just below old low, or at the old low. So they go to that specific price level, and 190 +|189 |00:35:29,520 ~-~-> 00:35:39,540 |they whip through it just by a little bit. They don't know where your orders are specifically, they just know where they're likely to be at. Think about that. 191 +|190 |00:35:40,500 ~-~-> 00:35:51,690 |Now, right away, if I had my anchor points on the price levels, as indicated here, I got a deeper retracement that goes just a little bit below 62. But 192 +|191 |00:35:51,690 ~-~-> 00:36:06,360 |nonetheless, it's still there. Price rallies again, it takes off. Now watch. Watch what happens here. If we see this buy point right in here. Well, how is 193 +|192 |00:36:06,360 ~-~-> 00:36:18,060 |that a buy point? Is it going to be a Fibonacci retracement? Well, let's take a look at that. We're going to use the standard technical analysis way of doing 194 +|193 |00:36:18,060 ~-~-> 00:36:29,070 |it, we're going to put it on the low up to the high right there. Well, we didn't get down to 62. We didn't get to 70.5. And we sure didn't get down to 79%. 195 +|194 |00:36:29,070 ~-~-> 00:36:37,890 |tradesmen didn't do it. So we can't, we can't look at this as an optimal trade entry because it didn't retrace deep enough. So therefore, Fibonacci traders, 196 +|195 |00:36:37,890 ~-~-> 00:36:50,340 |and those that use the methodology as taught by the books, and everyone else uses online, they miss out on this by. But now do what I taught you. We're going 197 +|196 |00:36:50,340 ~-~-> 00:36:51,480 |to calibrate it to 198 +|197 |00:36:53,010 ~-~-> 00:37:05,670 |the level, we're going to start with the 80 level and drop it down into the 50 level. Okay. So right away, we have we have a shortened range in here. It was 199 +|198 |00:37:05,670 ~-~-> 00:37:17,670 |shortened range. Price has blown through what key price level? What did it just shoot? What did this shoot through? Right here off of this run? It went through 200 +|199 |00:37:17,790 ~-~-> 00:37:30,720 |the big figure 119. So if it's going through with energy to get through 119, shouldn't it be reasonably expected for it to maybe retest 119, or try to stay 201 +|200 |00:37:30,720 ~-~-> 00:37:44,100 |above 119. That's what the algorithm does. It determines these mile markers in price. And once it overtakes a key big figure, or a mid figure, it will either 202 +|201 |00:37:44,100 ~-~-> 00:37:52,710 |come back down to it, or it won't come back down to it or it'll come back down through it in reverse. There's three conditions you have to have now again, the 203 +|202 |00:37:52,710 ~-~-> 00:38:03,390 |folks that understand computer programming, understand exactly what I'm referring to as if then syntax, it's logic behind the decision making that 204 +|203 |00:38:03,420 ~-~-> 00:38:13,800 |controls what the outcome is going to be. Here, I want you to think about the the idea of how much energy it took to get away from 118 to get up to 118 80. 205 +|204 |00:38:14,070 ~-~-> 00:38:25,080 |Then it paused. And it ran aggressively again through 119. Big figure up to 119 50 then it starts to retrace? Well, we've cleared a big figure my mind right 206 +|205 |00:38:25,080 ~-~-> 00:38:41,280 |away thinks we probably will come back down to 119 to retest it. But in the event that it doesn't, what setups could be manifesting there. Watch for the fib 207 +|206 |00:38:41,310 ~-~-> 00:38:48,990 |on the 119. Big figure. And on 119 50. I'm going to zoom in so you can see it 208 +|207 |00:38:56,970 ~-~-> 00:39:08,550 |boom 62% retracement level, there's your optimal trade entry. Now, I'm gonna be honest with you. If I would have put this on a chart, okay, and anchored to fib 209 +|208 |00:39:08,760 ~-~-> 00:39:21,000 |Ray here and up to here. Everybody would have been screaming, what in the world this is cherry picking. He doesn't know how to use a Fibonacci really. Because 210 +|209 |00:39:21,000 ~-~-> 00:39:27,900 |I've been doing this for a long, long time. And it's not just these examples that it works on. I'm telling you to go through your charts, and you'll see it 211 +|210 |00:39:28,980 ~-~-> 00:39:42,030 |when prices bullish as eurodollar was. It's going to be reaching for levels. Okay. Why do I want to exit early? Like, I think that price may go up to a 212 +|211 |00:39:42,030 ~-~-> 00:39:51,060 |specific price level. Maybe ADR suggesting things maybe I've done some Fibonacci extensions or whatever. But I want to get out at the most logical price points. 213 +|212 |00:39:52,380 ~-~-> 00:40:02,730 |And they're going to be as close as I can to these four price levels. Look at the delivery price here. It went right to one, two 50 Yes, it went through it a 214 +|213 |00:40:02,730 ~-~-> 00:40:12,390 |little bit. I am never concerned about that. I don't care about that. Okay, what structures my trade is? Do I have the ability to get to these levels? Look how 215 +|214 |00:40:12,390 ~-~-> 00:40:23,640 |nice it and easily got to this 120 big finger. It's easy to understand the mechanics, when you think about price like this, remove the notion of you have 216 +|215 |00:40:23,640 ~-~-> 00:40:31,440 |to have the right swing high and the right swing low. No, you don't. You don't need that. You need to know where you are in terms of valuation. What's the 217 +|216 |00:40:31,440 ~-~-> 00:40:46,320 |price at? Think about this over here, this axis on your chart is the most important thing. Then this one down here, it's time when those two agree. And a 218 +|217 |00:40:46,320 ~-~-> 00:40:56,550 |bias is in play. In other words, are you bullish or bearish? There has to be a stage. Okay, what makes the setup or condition bullish or bearish? That's where 219 +|218 |00:40:56,550 ~-~-> 00:41:05,880 |the hardest work for you is? Because the entry patterns are the easiest, the easiest, the hardest thing is for you to determine should you be buy or should 220 +|219 |00:41:05,880 ~-~-> 00:41:17,850 |you be a seller and stay in that camp until your setup comes? period. Simple as that. Now we're going to take this idea. And we're going to switch it to when 221 +|220 |00:41:17,850 ~-~-> 00:41:30,990 |things are bearish. And I'm gonna look at this little point right here. Now if we were looking at classic Fibonacci application, here's a swing high. And we'll 222 +|221 |00:41:30,990 ~-~-> 00:41:40,770 |put it on the high here, down to the low, didn't even get back to the 50 level, or equilibrium would be 62 is up here. So how can you get a sell signal here? 223 +|222 |00:41:41,850 ~-~-> 00:41:53,430 |Think about price from an algorithmic standpoint. What price did it just leave? with energy? It left the 120 big figure. So it left the 120 big figure traded 224 +|223 |00:41:53,430 ~-~-> 00:42:13,710 |down to 119 50. Where should your fit be placed? on 120. So you have 1951 20, boom 70.5 level, there's your optimal trade entry. I know right? Folks, it's not 225 +|224 |00:42:13,710 ~-~-> 00:42:23,790 |about picking the right swing high. Right, swing low. It's about understanding what price is doing. It's all in open high, low and close. What is the price 226 +|225 |00:42:24,540 ~-~-> 00:42:36,570 |it's working off of right now? I gave you four price points, 00 levels, 50 levels, 20s and 80s. It's as simple as that there's your support resistance. The 227 +|226 |00:42:36,570 ~-~-> 00:42:47,610 |thing you have to know is where is the bias? Is it bullish or bearish? When you know these things, and you apply it, you will see things that no one else sees. 228 +|227 |00:42:48,150 ~-~-> 00:42:59,940 |And no one in the teaching circuits teaches this. It's mine. This is the byproduct of having an insane interest in knowing what price is going to do. And 229 +|228 |00:43:00,600 ~-~-> 00:43:08,040 |having a degree in something that couldn't make money with I went to school to learn to be a computer programmer. I've never received a paycheck one time doing 230 +|229 |00:43:08,040 ~-~-> 00:43:19,320 |that. But I've received huge paychecks by way of using this information and thinking about things from an analytical standpoint and trying to formulate 231 +|230 |00:43:19,380 ~-~-> 00:43:35,730 |analytical and algorithmic approaches to deciphering price action. So some more examples here. If you look at how price is moving, okay, we left the 120 went 232 +|231 |00:43:35,730 ~-~-> 00:43:50,130 |down to 1950, down to 19. Big figure swept through 1850 fell short of 1820. Okay, so we fell short of 1820. So are they supporting that price level? 233 +|232 |00:43:51,510 ~-~-> 00:44:02,430 |Well, they showed a willingness to go through a short term high here. So even though it never touched that level, and showed a strong reaction, your broker 234 +|233 |00:44:02,460 ~-~-> 00:44:14,580 |may not have that low touching this institutional level at 20. I still would use that I would use that reference point. So let's take a look at applying the fib 235 +|234 |00:44:16,740 ~-~-> 00:44:29,490 |on here 1820 and this is the part that's going to seem like form fitting, okay. But the question is going to be this when you're looking at these levels, the 236 +|235 |00:44:29,490 ~-~-> 00:44:40,560 |questions I asked myself is, is the level being worked up and down around it and then did it leave it the price get away from it energetically above it, you 237 +|236 |00:44:40,590 ~-~-> 00:44:48,990 |know, moving bullishly away from it or barely moving away from it because it's going to give you a tip as to what the algorithm is trying to do reprice higher 238 +|237 |00:44:48,990 ~-~-> 00:44:58,080 |or reprice lower. Now also, I'm also determining whether there's a willingness to get down to that level and if it fails to get to a level going up to it or 239 +|238 |00:44:58,080 ~-~-> 00:45:09,540 |going down to it. I will still Use that level because it's being defended. The algorithm is trying not to go beyond that price point. The reason why you're 240 +|239 |00:45:09,540 ~-~-> 00:45:19,320 |going to struggle with this is because you have to submit the idea that your retail account may not show the price level itself. But when you put these 241 +|240 |00:45:19,320 ~-~-> 00:45:30,390 |levels on your chart, it will help you decipher what price is, in fact, probably doing. Now, you may have expected price to hit that level. Okay. And it made it 242 +|241 |00:45:30,390 ~-~-> 00:45:38,310 |ugly, I probably would have been expecting that same thing that occur here. But when price reverses, and trades through the short term swing high here, when I 243 +|242 |00:45:38,310 ~-~-> 00:45:47,340 |see that I know that they defended at 20 level, and nothing's changed. It's the same thing as if you were looking for the setup to occur. Like after the fact 244 +|243 |00:45:47,340 ~-~-> 00:45:54,930 |here, it went above it. Okay, great, I'm going to look for a buy signal on the same context that I just framed, the earlier buy for this. So we're going to 245 +|244 |00:45:54,930 ~-~-> 00:46:11,190 |anchor our fed right on the 20 level, draw it up to this 1980 level because price did hit it and had a reaction off of it. Now watch closely. I'm looking at 246 +|245 |00:46:11,220 ~-~-> 00:46:12,450 |the price level. 247 +|246 |00:46:18,300 ~-~-> 00:46:29,160 |jumped on my platform to that low I gotta make sure it doesn't touch that. Okay, so we're on the 1820 level, up to the 88 level cuz it traded traded to it and 248 +|247 |00:46:29,160 ~-~-> 00:46:39,210 |reacted. So in price comes back down here, this is a buying opportunity right there. And we can start looking for these targets here. Okay, Brian, for this 249 +|248 |00:46:39,330 ~-~-> 00:46:49,560 |old high. Let's just watch and see what happens in price, using institutional price levels, not swing highs and swing lows on price, not stressing about, 250 +|249 |00:46:49,710 ~-~-> 00:46:56,370 |well, you know, there's certain educators out there that cherry pick and they put this stuffing Tom, I'm gonna put that at rest with me, because it doesn't 251 +|250 |00:46:56,370 ~-~-> 00:47:04,410 |work with me. That does not apply to me. I'm not saying he did associate that with me. I'm saying just in case you did. Okay, I want you to know that there's 252 +|251 |00:47:04,410 ~-~-> 00:47:14,790 |absolute science behind where I put a fit bat. Price meanders goes forward and look at the reaction right there. Beautiful. That's a buying opportunity as 253 +|252 |00:47:14,790 ~-~-> 00:47:25,620 |well. And what's resting right here. Equal highs, price should react to go where boom, clear that out. Under underlying premise behind the hump market price is 254 +|253 |00:47:25,620 ~-~-> 00:47:40,950 |it's bullish still. Boom, boom, hits it, it's over. This is what I'm talking about. When you have to look at order flow, I'm not using these gimmicky things 255 +|254 |00:47:40,950 ~-~-> 00:47:49,380 |that is there in fashion right now. You know, just like supply and demand was in fashion about five, six years ago. And you know, people still have faith in 256 +|255 |00:47:49,380 ~-~-> 00:47:57,330 |that. But I slice and dice that theory too, because they have limitations on it that don't make sense. Don't cut through candles, you have to cut through 257 +|256 |00:47:57,330 ~-~-> 00:48:06,390 |candles to get context in the market, you have to know certain things. And if you start putting parameters on that says you can only look back to this price 258 +|257 |00:48:06,390 ~-~-> 00:48:16,830 |point here and never cut through a candle at this, that doesn't make any sense. Because you'll never understand a real stop rate. Okay, or a run on a key level. 259 +|258 |00:48:16,920 ~-~-> 00:48:28,680 |If you don't cut through candles, and supply demand teaches that you can't do that. So let me take that off. We're going to take another couple more examples 260 +|259 |00:48:28,680 ~-~-> 00:48:36,540 |here. And I'll end this video because it's getting really long winded. But the idea is just to stimulate your thought processes behind it. It's not an absolute 261 +|260 |00:48:36,540 ~-~-> 00:48:48,300 |science for you, as it is for my mentorship. Okay, I'm just giving you examples of how it is I'm challenged, it cannot be rivaled by any other retail approach. 262 +|261 |00:48:48,510 ~-~-> 00:48:58,080 |If you want to put a Fibonacci on your chart, do it with this mind. And I'm telling you, you will start looking like a wizard, you'll see things that no one 263 +|262 |00:48:58,080 ~-~-> 00:49:08,130 |else is talking about. And you'll be pulling trades out of the marketplace that no one else would be doing either price keys off of the 1850 level again, I'm 264 +|263 |00:49:08,130 ~-~-> 00:49:18,420 |not going to the swing low. I'm going right off to the level itself. Okay. And we're going to go right up to the 1920 level. Boom optimal trade entry. So 265 +|264 |00:49:18,420 ~-~-> 00:49:29,790 |forget all this safe didn't even see this. They didn't worry with it. You want to be a buyer. No problem. We can capture the buy here. Okay. Same thing we want 266 +|265 |00:49:29,790 ~-~-> 00:49:37,980 |to look for projections on price once starts to move out if we take out this swing high, which is the old one. How far can it go up to? Here's a 200 267 +|266 |00:49:37,980 ~-~-> 00:49:49,440 |extension. Boom, beautiful. On done completely decimated the euro dollar with that. Now, did I give you something retail here? Is there any trend lines on it 268 +|267 |00:49:49,440 ~-~-> 00:50:01,050 |any moving averages any stochastics? No, I use the Fibonacci but I used it in a way that we can grade institutional price swings the markets Move from an 269 +|268 |00:50:01,080 ~-~-> 00:50:11,550 |algorithmic standpoint, they're predictable, you can make a science out of why it should go where it should go. And where you should get in at getting in is 270 +|269 |00:50:11,550 ~-~-> 00:50:20,340 |the least important, you have to understand what side of the marketplace it's going to go for the up or the down the bullish or bearish. Okay. So that means 271 +|270 |00:50:20,340 ~-~-> 00:50:28,140 |you need to know what the draw is on price. Well, at this point here buying here, the draw is above this old high, that's where their buy stops are going to 272 +|271 |00:50:28,140 ~-~-> 00:50:38,580 |be. So even though this is suggesting this is a good level to take profit at, and it's a real nice reaction there and trades back down. Watch what happens 273 +|272 |00:50:38,580 ~-~-> 00:50:47,520 |again, in this little money price action in here. You probably don't know where I'm going with it. It'll be the last example for this presentation. We have 274 +|273 |00:50:50,970 ~-~-> 00:51:01,290 |price reacting in sweeping through the 1950 level, and then rallying up then coming back to a shallow retracement and falling short of getting to the 1980 275 +|274 |00:51:01,290 ~-~-> 00:51:10,500 |level. Forget all that. Where's the price points? 19 5020 5200 PIP range. 276 +|275 |00:51:11,970 ~-~-> 00:51:22,920 |But right on the price levels themselves. Right there. Okay. So we're anchoring off this level, not the swing low, not the wick. If I were to put this on here, 277 +|276 |00:51:23,040 ~-~-> 00:51:28,620 |why the hell did you do that ICT? You would have been thinking Oh, he put it back here because this this is that level here night you would have never 278 +|277 |00:51:28,620 ~-~-> 00:51:40,290 |figured this out. You never would have figured this out. Okay. Looking at price, reacting at 1950. That's the level it was working the algorithm went to that 279 +|278 |00:51:40,290 ~-~-> 00:51:53,250 |level but swept it. So the real key work is 19 mid figure. Okay, so 1950 it rallies goes up to 2050 or 20 min. Figure then retraces back down. What's the 280 +|279 |00:51:53,250 ~-~-> 00:52:05,550 |hitting right here? 62% retracement level, boom. Well, also, is it happening? Order block. Today got two things going for you. institution order flow, bullish 281 +|280 |00:52:05,550 ~-~-> 00:52:15,000 |order block, optimal trade entry, buy it, it's going to go above this high for the stops is your fib target and look at the bodies of the candles very close to 282 +|281 |00:52:15,000 ~-~-> 00:52:23,580 |what would be acceptable as a target. And yes, it wicks through it a couple times. But that does not concern me. Okay, I want to know these levels here. 283 +|282 |00:52:24,120 ~-~-> 00:52:31,080 |Okay. And this is a buying opportunity that no one would look at this and say that's an optimal trade entry because they look at just my tutorials. They don't 284 +|283 |00:52:31,080 ~-~-> 00:52:40,260 |have this insight. But now you have it. Okay? If you want to learn things like this, and you want to apply certain higher level theories that I don't make a 285 +|284 |00:52:40,260 ~-~-> 00:52:49,860 |will ever make them public beyond what I've done here. The mentorship is for you. If you're not wanting to get to this level of insanity in terms of 286 +|285 |00:52:49,860 ~-~-> 00:53:01,350 |understand what price is going to do, then you just stick to the free tutorials and that'll be fine. But I just wanted to kind of like answer a response I got. 287 +|286 |00:53:03,870 ~-~-> 00:53:13,290 |Well, I didn't really get it. But I heard it in a video by another educator. And I just wanted to put my two cents in because I get a lot of opinions expressed 288 +|287 |00:53:13,350 ~-~-> 00:53:22,500 |about me and about my methodology. And many times it's done by way of ignorance, they don't really know what they're talking about. And they're grading me or 289 +|288 |00:53:22,500 ~-~-> 00:53:32,610 |suggesting that I'm doing certain things when they have clearly no idea what I'm doing. And I'm going to leave it at that. Okay, but there's so many examples in 290 +|289 |00:53:32,610 ~-~-> 00:53:41,700 |here. Okay, that it's crazy. Like I'll give you one more because I just want to do it. We have a swing high here. Okay, and we have a swing low here. Really 291 +|290 |00:53:41,700 ~-~-> 00:53:50,580 |nice sell off here. So what was the catalyst behind it? Well, if we put our fib obviously the market has shown a willingness to break down up here and I go 292 +|291 |00:53:50,580 ~-~-> 00:53:59,850 |through tutorials showing you that now the swing high swing low camp will do this. Okay, great. It gives you 60% Jason Oh, great. Nothing wrong with that. 293 +|292 |00:54:00,030 ~-~-> 00:54:10,260 |Okay, but in my mind what I'm doing is I'm doing my fib at the level itself at 20 1920 I'm dragging it down 294 +|293 |00:54:15,270 ~-~-> 00:54:25,830 |to 1920 so 2020 to 1920 Why am I putting it down here there's no there's no reference to this swing boy Michael it doesn't make any sense. This is stupid. 295 +|294 |00:54:26,340 ~-~-> 00:54:35,880 |You don't know what you're doing? Sure I do. Price done what it reacted by going higher and failing to get to 1920 so what's the algorithm doing is defending 296 +|295 |00:54:35,880 ~-~-> 00:54:45,390 |1920 Well, how do I know that because it took a swing high. Oh well wait a minute Michael isn't this one of those breaks the swing high comes back down 297 +|296 |00:54:45,420 ~-~-> 00:54:53,310 |optimal trading shrink by No. Because the context is the markets broken down back here. That's why some of you look for optimal trade entry Long's and you 298 +|297 |00:54:53,310 ~-~-> 00:55:03,510 |don't get them. You get these smashed through and Oh no. How do I know? You have to know what the market is showing you By context, context is, what's the 299 +|298 |00:55:03,510 ~-~-> 00:55:12,990 |storyline behind price? Is it bullish or bearish? And has it reversed? Because if it has reversed, well, what's the reversal here, price went above an old 300 +|299 |00:55:12,990 ~-~-> 00:55:23,610 |high, fail to go higher, and came back down, find the reaction low and between the breaks that it's bearish until it resumes going higher again. So this whole 301 +|300 |00:55:23,610 ~-~-> 00:55:32,190 |model here is bearish. So my optimal trade entry would be framed on something like this, and it takes me deeper. So I'll get a slightly higher entry price, 302 +|301 |00:55:32,550 ~-~-> 00:55:42,810 |then if we were to use this high to this low, and look at the consolidation of price action, see the bulk of the volume in there, you're not seeing that, okay, 303 +|302 |00:55:42,810 ~-~-> 00:55:53,490 |now, look how much time the the institutions were given the opportunity to get short in here, before the big move drop, versus something like this. If you just 304 +|303 |00:55:53,490 ~-~-> 00:56:05,040 |do this, retail, okay, gets one to three chances. Maybe if you want to count this here, how many times you really want to hit that it's 62. And you know, 305 +|304 |00:56:05,040 ~-~-> 00:56:13,200 |you're probably not going to do it, you're going to want to get up here and deeper, and get some kind of a better fill. That's not what I'm doing. I'm 306 +|305 |00:56:13,230 ~-~-> 00:56:30,960 |looking for reasons to justify this openly and outwardly to the public. But many times my personal trades are framed with what would otherwise be seen as no 307 +|306 |00:56:30,960 ~-~-> 00:56:43,140 |basis whatsoever, but there is a rhyme and reason behind it all. Look how much time price spends in that 62 to 70.5 level, right in here. Lots of opportunity 308 +|307 |00:56:43,140 ~-~-> 00:56:52,350 |to get short there. And then finally, boom, to be Cavan. And you have your targets, boom, 60, I'm sorry that target two hits it, but also reaches more 309 +|308 |00:56:52,350 ~-~-> 00:57:03,270 |specifically for the 1850. Price wants to go to these levels, folks, it's not random. Now, obviously, I did not give you do this every single time I've given 310 +|309 |00:57:03,270 ~-~-> 00:57:15,150 |you an idea, because that's what started back in July 10. of 1994. This is what I wanted to start looking for evidences of. And it just so happened that it 311 +|310 |00:57:15,600 ~-~-> 00:57:25,380 |provides a wonderful opportunity to also segue into answering in addition with greater detail why Fibonacci is shouldn't be so forced on swing highs and swing 312 +|311 |00:57:25,380 ~-~-> 00:57:33,510 |lows, because that's not the that's not the magic behind it. Okay. And the reason why the Fibonacci is even showing a willingness to have a profitable 313 +|312 |00:57:33,780 ~-~-> 00:57:42,480 |signal, if you want to call it that. It's just using a reference point of overbought and oversold. That's all I use the Fibonacci for. I don't need it for 314 +|313 |00:57:42,480 ~-~-> 00:57:51,300 |anything other than that. So I go into great detail about that in the mentorship. But if you want to trust the fact that the Fibonacci does all the 315 +|314 |00:57:51,300 ~-~-> 00:57:57,540 |work, but you want to use it like this, and have the daily buys understood, then that's fine. You can be a subscriber in that view and it won't hurt anything, 316 +|315 |00:57:57,570 ~-~-> 00:58:06,720 |it'll still give you the same result. But I know some of you are just really really keyed up about wanting to know everything there is that I know and these 317 +|316 |00:58:06,720 ~-~-> 00:58:17,820 |types of concepts and things they get taught only in the mentorship so and you will be able to see a lot of opportunities that would otherwise evade you. And 318 +|317 |00:58:17,820 ~-~-> 00:58:20,040 |until next time, I wish you good luck and good trading 5 5 6 -2 7 -00:00:27,869 ~-~-> 00:00:44,819 8 -about some classical analysis concepts that's typically bandied about as the 9 -science of technical analysis. And it's my motivation to inspire you to go into 10 - 11 -3 12 -00:00:44,819 ~-~-> 00:00:57,209 13 -your charts and see if what I'm teaching you here today is what exactly happens 14 -just about every single trading day. Just as a reminder, my background is in 15 - 16 -4 17 -00:00:57,209 ~-~-> 00:01:10,409 18 -computer science and information systems. So I am a byproduct of the computer 19 -programming generation. And right now, at the time of this recording, I'm 45 20 - 21 -5 22 -00:01:10,439 ~-~-> 00:01:25,049 23 -years old. So I've been around a long time. And I've watched the transition from 24 -the open outcry, pit trading, to electronic trading. So while many have in the 25 - 26 -6 27 -00:01:25,049 ~-~-> 00:01:38,699 28 -past, struggled to move and transition from floor trading to all floor trading, 29 -I think I've had the advantage of thinking about things from a higher level, 30 - 31 -7 32 -00:01:39,179 ~-~-> 00:01:49,589 33 -analytical standpoint. And by that, I mean, I'm already accustomed to 34 -algorithmic thinking. So while it's not important to teach the concept of 35 - 36 -8 37 -00:01:49,589 ~-~-> 00:02:00,449 38 -computer programming, to understand what I'm going to show you here, just 39 -understand that those that have these experiences, if you've done any work in 40 - 41 -9 42 -00:02:00,449 ~-~-> 00:02:10,619 43 -computer programming, what I'm going to suggest to you is going to make perfect 44 -sense to you and everyone else, probably not so much. But you'll be able to see 45 - 46 -10 47 -00:02:10,619 ~-~-> 00:02:25,799 48 -it by experience and seeing and charts. Okay. First and foremost, price is not 49 -random. And price is not a byproduct of supply and demand either. Most folks 50 - 51 -11 52 -00:02:25,799 ~-~-> 00:02:37,559 53 -that come into this business will buy into all of the misinformation that comes 54 -by way of instruction, books, seminars, teaching this that nothing. And the 55 - 56 -12 57 -00:02:37,559 ~-~-> 00:02:49,199 58 -first and foremost thing that comes out of their mind is you never really know. 59 -And while I'm not preaching 100% accuracy, I am preaching a diametrically 60 - 61 -13 62 -00:02:49,199 ~-~-> 00:03:03,659 63 -opposed position to what is deemed as classical technical analysis. My belief 64 -is, it's not about trend lines. It's not about indicators. It's not about 65 - 66 -14 67 -00:03:04,019 ~-~-> 00:03:14,879 68 -support and resistance either. So before I go any further into it, just 69 -understand that everything I'm teaching you Here is my personal belief. I 70 - 71 -15 72 -00:03:14,879 ~-~-> 00:03:23,069 73 -started like everyone else. And I started with the ideas that are taught and 74 -promoted in books and educators. And I did the same things that anyone else 75 - 76 -16 77 -00:03:23,069 ~-~-> 00:03:36,029 78 -would do. The problem was, I wasn't profitable with any of it. And I tried very, 79 -very hard. And it wasn't until I looked at things with the perspective that if I 80 - 81 -17 82 -00:03:36,029 ~-~-> 00:03:46,169 83 -were trying to upset the individuals that are trying to do the things that the 84 -books say, how would I go about doing that? What I was creating was a 85 - 86 -18 87 -00:03:46,169 ~-~-> 00:03:56,969 88 -documentation stage of a computer program. Okay, from a systems analyst 89 -perspective, okay. I looked at the market as a whole. And if I were to be able 90 - 91 -19 92 -00:03:56,969 ~-~-> 00:04:09,659 93 -to wrangle, okay, everybody's collective thought process, or at least a 94 -majority, to think about a specific direction or a specific level of interest in 95 - 96 -20 97 -00:04:09,659 ~-~-> 00:04:19,589 98 -price. How would I go about doing that? And how can I do it on a repeating 99 -fashion? Because my belief is price is not random. And if you've watched 100 - 101 -21 102 -00:04:19,589 ~-~-> 00:04:33,659 103 -anything of my work, or examples in my trades, you'll see that that's pretty 104 -much a no brainer, it's very predictable. And if we understand that there are 105 - 106 -22 107 -00:04:34,229 ~-~-> 00:04:47,669 108 -individuals or entities or now an algorithm that controls the fluctuations in 109 -price, and how do we argue and wrestle with the idea that what was going on 110 - 111 -23 112 -00:04:47,669 ~-~-> 00:05:03,299 113 -before electronic trading? Well, it's the same theory that it's used. It's just 114 -been automated. The folks down on the floor When it was open outcry, only the 115 - 116 -24 117 -00:05:03,299 ~-~-> 00:05:10,139 118 -illusion was they were helping push price up or pushing price down. And the fact 119 -is, that's not true. 120 - 121 -25 122 -00:05:11,250 ~-~-> 00:05:21,900 123 -And the reason why I knew this was most likely accurate, is because I've learned 124 -my SNP trading from Georgia Joe, in Georgia. And Joe was a floor trader for the 125 - 126 -26 127 -00:05:21,900 ~-~-> 00:05:32,670 128 -s&p. And he said specifically, in many of his teachings, that he left 129 -demoralized certain days, he lost a lot of money on some particular days, where 130 - 131 -27 132 -00:05:33,570 ~-~-> 00:05:41,880 133 -if he had the insight that everyone would assume they have on the floor, he 134 -shouldn't have been having these big suffering losses. So what was going on 135 - 136 -28 137 -00:05:41,880 ~-~-> 00:05:54,300 138 -those days? In emulation. So my belief is there's always someone pulling the 139 -strings. Now, I can't introduce you to them. I can't say here's where they 140 - 141 -29 142 -00:05:54,330 ~-~-> 00:06:04,380 143 -reside, here's where they originate from. Okay. So there's going to be a certain 144 -measure of Tom Clancy in this, okay, by way of, I guess, you can put the quotes 145 - 146 -30 147 -00:06:04,380 ~-~-> 00:06:14,370 148 -in quotes, symbols around it in quotation marks, if you will, conspiracy. And if 149 -that upsets you and bothers, you've just turned the video off, I really don't 150 - 151 -31 152 -00:06:14,370 ~-~-> 00:06:26,790 153 -care to try to convince you of it, okay. But if morbid curiosity has kept you on 154 -this long, I promise you, you will be rewarded. So the mechanics of price 155 - 156 -32 157 -00:06:26,790 ~-~-> 00:06:37,950 158 -manipulation started in the beginning, okay, it's always been there. As long as 159 -there's been a market, there's always been someone in control, otherwise, it 160 - 161 -33 162 -00:06:37,950 ~-~-> 00:06:51,480 163 -could crash, any market could be completely decimated. If it was sheer, by way 164 -of the buying and selling that takes place on speculating, that's it. And they 165 - 166 -34 167 -00:06:51,480 ~-~-> 00:07:01,800 168 -build in these ideas, these supposedly circuit breakers, but we're going to stop 169 -the selling from causing the market go down too far. They're all illusions, 170 - 171 -35 172 -00:07:02,100 ~-~-> 00:07:12,720 173 -they're things that make you believe that the system is there for your benefit. 174 -And they're putting things in place to protect you as the investor. And that's 175 - 176 -36 177 -00:07:12,780 ~-~-> 00:07:26,460 178 -not what goes on. Okay. So, when we look at price action, we understand that if 179 -there is a absence of randomness, that means there must be a present and clear 180 - 181 -37 182 -00:07:26,820 ~-~-> 00:07:37,170 183 -order of things. So what is that order? Well, the books will teach you, as they 184 -taught me in my beginning, that it's all about support and resistance. The 185 - 186 -38 187 -00:07:37,170 ~-~-> 00:07:47,190 188 -problem is, is what support or which resistance should you use? And how do you 189 -know if a support resistance is going to hold? And I get that question a lot. 190 - 191 -39 192 -00:07:48,180 ~-~-> 00:08:00,720 193 -And before we can tackle that question, I'm going to ask you, what does the book 194 -teach you about placing support resistance levels on your chart, find an old 195 - 196 -40 197 -00:08:00,720 ~-~-> 00:08:08,700 198 -high find an old well, where it bounced where it repelled. There's where you put 199 -your orders that and therefore the setups are going to occur there? How many 200 - 201 -41 202 -00:08:08,700 ~-~-> 00:08:18,210 203 -times has that worked for you? I'm sure a few of you have many examples that you 204 -could say, well, it worked here. They worked here and work here. But if you're 205 - 206 -42 207 -00:08:18,210 ~-~-> 00:08:30,270 208 -honest, how many times is a failed you? A lot more? I'm sure. So the question 209 -is, if the market does, in fact, find support and resistance, and I don't 210 - 211 -43 212 -00:08:30,270 ~-~-> 00:08:39,450 213 -believe there is support and resistance in the marketplace, it's again, an 214 -illusion. Because what you're supposing is at that specific price level in the 215 - 216 -44 217 -00:08:39,450 ~-~-> 00:08:50,940 218 -past is going to have the exact same response going forward. And it never rarely 219 -ever shows that consistency, once in a while will happen enough to write books 220 - 221 -45 222 -00:08:50,940 ~-~-> 00:09:03,960 223 -and write chapters and enough to do seminars and webinars on. But when you start 224 -walking forward that idea, you have problems. It's like quicksand. It looks like 225 - 226 -46 227 -00:09:03,960 ~-~-> 00:09:13,260 228 -good footing. But when you step out there, you start sinking, and you start 229 -questioning what's really going on. So I had a lot of frustration in the 230 - 231 -47 232 -00:09:13,260 ~-~-> 00:09:24,000 233 -beginning, after encountering adversity in my trading, so I had to figure things 234 -out. I had to I had to think about things from an analytical standpoint. And I 235 - 236 -48 237 -00:09:24,000 ~-~-> 00:09:34,890 238 -will admit to you right now that I wasn't confident that I was going to figure 239 -it out. But I sure as hell tried. And I was trying every single day, more hours 240 - 241 -49 242 -00:09:34,890 ~-~-> 00:09:48,060 243 -than a full time job would have anyone work. Eight to 10 hours a day, sometimes 244 -13 hours a day, and study. So I've been obsessive about this all my life. So I 245 - 246 -50 247 -00:09:48,060 ~-~-> 00:09:56,730 248 -want you to understand that I didn't just throw this presentation together 249 -because it just fits today. I want you to go through the same mechanics and 250 - 251 -51 252 -00:09:56,730 ~-~-> 00:10:05,940 253 -process that I'm doing here on any market. Any market whatsoever, because it's 254 -the same thing. There's always a puppeteer, 255 - 256 -52 257 -00:10:06,990 ~-~-> 00:10:18,990 258 -there's always someone pulling the strings, it's never being left to the 259 -randomness of buying and selling. Okay? So I don't believe there's support 260 - 261 -53 262 -00:10:18,990 ~-~-> 00:10:26,850 263 -resistance in the marketplace. And then that's probably unsettling for some of 264 -you. And I don't believe their supply and demand either. Because these are all 265 - 266 -54 267 -00:10:27,180 ~-~-> 00:10:40,620 268 -notions that promote the idea of free trade. And there's nothing further than 269 -that. And it comes to truth of the markets, its complete and utter control and 270 - 271 -55 272 -00:10:40,620 ~-~-> 00:10:53,940 273 -manipulation. We are given the ideas and perspectives by industry, talking 274 -heads, gurus, teachers, and such. And they could come across with the greatest 275 - 276 -56 277 -00:10:53,940 ~-~-> 00:11:06,900 278 -intentions and well meaning spirit. But it's flawed. Because it's promoting the 279 -idea that there's no one really in control of price when there absolutely is. 280 - 281 -57 282 -00:11:07,950 ~-~-> 00:11:22,860 283 -And I've shown many times where I can predict within one PIP or the very PIP 284 -have a particular high or low of a day, or week. And to me, no one can have that 285 - 286 -58 287 -00:11:22,860 ~-~-> 00:11:35,640 288 -level of skill, or prognostication. If there wasn't a method behind it, that was 289 -measurable, that there was a well, data behind it to support it. Because if we 290 - 291 -59 292 -00:11:35,640 ~-~-> 00:11:45,900 293 -understand that, indicators, and trend lines, you've seen all those things 294 -before, if it was beat by that, then we would all have the same settings, we 295 - 296 -60 297 -00:11:45,900 ~-~-> 00:11:58,410 298 -would all have the same trend line anchor points. And we don't. And yet, still, 299 -the majority of people lose money doing it. So I was forced at an early age in 300 - 301 -61 302 -00:11:58,410 ~-~-> 00:12:10,590 303 -my career, to abandon those things, because I want to only focus on the things 304 -that make sense. And I had to streamline my focus to things that made the 305 - 306 -62 307 -00:12:10,590 ~-~-> 00:12:26,130 308 -clearest depiction of what price should do, and finding generic characteristics 309 -and price behavior that will repeat not because it's a specific setting, or 310 - 311 -63 312 -00:12:26,130 ~-~-> 00:12:37,830 313 -indicator, but because it's what price will do, by its very nature. So what am I 314 -getting at, if it's not support resistance, what's moving price, order flow. 315 - 316 -64 317 -00:12:39,390 ~-~-> 00:12:48,090 318 -It's all about where the money is. Now, the books will never teach you this. 319 -Because the folks that write these books don't understand or even know about it, 320 - 321 -65 322 -00:12:48,810 ~-~-> 00:13:01,410 323 -because they're so indoctrinated. They believe wholeheartedly, that their system 324 -of indicators, or their methodology is resulting in that profitable trade, when 325 - 326 -66 327 -00:13:01,410 ~-~-> 00:13:11,700 328 -that in itself is the sheer randomness that they're talking about. It's the 329 -price action that's not random. But their reaction and result of their 330 - 331 -67 332 -00:13:11,940 ~-~-> 00:13:24,330 333 -interpretation of indicators and their methodology. And that's the randomness of 334 -the results of their system is what's random, not price action. If you look at 335 - 336 -68 337 -00:13:24,420 ~-~-> 00:13:38,760 338 -promoters of ideas that sell systems and EAS, and things of that nature, as soon 339 -as they say they have proprietary indicators. that's a that's a red flag right 340 - 341 -69 342 -00:13:38,760 ~-~-> 00:13:48,480 343 -there, they are not looking at what I'm going to show you today. And it's very 344 -generic. It's a very simple approach. It's about price. It's the open the high, 345 - 346 -70 347 -00:13:48,480 ~-~-> 00:14:01,140 348 -the low and the close. It's a secret for indicator collection. And it goes by 349 -everyone, it goes right over their head every single day. So when we understand, 350 - 351 -71 352 -00:14:01,440 ~-~-> 00:14:15,240 353 -or at least I'm asking you to suspend your belief in indicators and other 354 -methodologies just for the sake of this video. If we can simply say that the 355 - 356 -72 357 -00:14:15,240 ~-~-> 00:14:26,730 358 -market is and trust me on this, for the presentation, the market moves where the 359 -money is, okay, we know that they are sometimes referred to as a stop run. But 360 - 361 -73 362 -00:14:26,730 ~-~-> 00:14:35,280 363 -the books are not always as clear to determine a methodology on how to trade 364 -with that or to avoid it. It's just written up as well. You know, that's why you 365 - 366 -74 367 -00:14:35,280 ~-~-> 00:14:44,490 368 -have to have good risk management and money management because price is random. 369 -And again, that's always been a stick in my craw. I've had a problem accepting 370 - 371 -75 372 -00:14:44,490 ~-~-> 00:14:55,950 373 -that because people that get wealthy in the markets are not randomly getting 374 -there. They're doing things that are, again, measurable. Now when I'm saying 375 - 376 -76 377 -00:14:56,010 ~-~-> 00:15:03,210 378 -making a lot of money. I'm not talking about the guys who make $100,000 a year 379 -I'm talking about the first They make millions of dollars per month. And these 380 - 381 -77 382 -00:15:03,210 ~-~-> 00:15:05,190 383 -folks know exactly what's going on. 384 - 385 -78 386 -00:15:06,000 ~-~-> 00:15:14,700 387 -And they do the same things over and over and over again. And they expect the 388 -same things and price action because it is absolutely controlled. So what do I 389 - 390 -79 391 -00:15:14,700 ~-~-> 00:15:26,520 392 -mean? What do I mean by this? What do I mean by order flow? Well, when I look at 393 -price, as we looking at this chart right now, is many peaks and valleys in it. 394 - 395 -80 396 -00:15:27,060 ~-~-> 00:15:38,880 397 -Now, right away, depending upon where you've come from, in your discipline of 398 -technical analysis, your I may be going to harmonic patterns, or your I may be 399 - 400 -81 401 -00:15:38,880 ~-~-> 00:15:51,630 402 -drawn to a suppose a trendline, or some view, classic support resistance highs 403 -and lows, bottoms become tops and tops becomes bottoms cliche, whatever that is, 404 - 405 -82 406 -00:15:51,990 ~-~-> 00:16:02,610 407 -I'm asking you to to push it to side just for a couple more minutes. And I'm 408 -going to ask you to think about price. Okay, think about a price. And think 409 - 410 -83 411 -00:16:02,610 ~-~-> 00:16:17,250 412 -about it in its 00 level. In this example, here, we're looking at the euro 413 -dollar, and we have a price range of 121. Down to approximately 116 or so. in 414 - 415 -84 416 -00:16:17,250 ~-~-> 00:16:32,520 417 -that range. There are several 00 levels for what I refer to as a big figure. And 418 -there's several 50 levels, okay, like for instance, like 120 50, or 121 51 1950, 419 - 420 -85 421 -00:16:32,940 ~-~-> 00:16:49,320 422 -then you have the big figures, 119, even 120, even 121, even 117, even, and so 423 -on. And I want you to think about how price moves above and below these 50 00 424 - 425 -86 426 -00:16:49,320 ~-~-> 00:16:58,770 427 -levels. You probably never noticed it before. But this is the beginning 428 -mechanics of understanding how price moves algorithmically. Okay, I have the 00 429 - 430 -87 431 -00:16:58,770 ~-~-> 00:17:08,160 432 -level, the 50 levels on the chart in red. And I've also incorporated the 20 433 -levels and 80 levels, okay, because we're gonna go over a few characteristics 434 - 435 -88 436 -00:17:08,160 ~-~-> 00:17:18,480 437 -that are generic and price. But right away, you should be able to see that there 438 -are significant turning points at these references, 20 8050 and zero levels. 439 - 440 -89 441 -00:17:19,260 ~-~-> 00:17:28,440 442 -Everyone out there struggles with what's the right support resistance level. And 443 -if you just simply do this to your chart, you'll have the key levels that are 444 - 445 -90 446 -00:17:28,440 ~-~-> 00:17:40,380 447 -going to be most likely or salient to current price action at the time. Now I'm 448 -going to take that information and promote an understanding that how we can use 449 - 450 -91 451 -00:17:40,380 ~-~-> 00:17:55,770 452 -institutional pricing like this 50 00 levels 20s and 80s. To find key turning 453 -points, okay, which will also lend well to finding setups. So right away, I want 454 - 455 -92 456 -00:17:55,770 ~-~-> 00:18:05,010 457 -you to take a look at the reactions that take place around the 50 levels and the 458 -00 levels. For instance, if we look at the 117, big figure down here, price was 459 - 460 -93 461 -00:18:05,010 ~-~-> 00:18:11,370 462 -able to move down to it. But did it stop right at that level? Now it went 463 -through it despite a little bit. And then there was a reaction, price came back 464 - 465 -94 466 -00:18:11,370 ~-~-> 00:18:20,610 467 -down. Now support resistance idea theory would say okay, let's wait for it to 468 -get back down to that level. It didn't do it. It traded higher. And it cut 469 - 470 -95 471 -00:18:20,610 ~-~-> 00:18:35,400 472 -through a mid figure in at level, another big figure through a 20 level but then 473 -failed to get to a 50 level and then fell all the way down back down into this 474 - 475 -96 476 -00:18:35,400 ~-~-> 00:18:43,470 477 -level. Now right away folks is subscribed to support resistance, they would say 478 -okay, well, here we are, we traded back to that level. So I can be a buyer now. 479 - 480 -97 481 -00:18:43,710 ~-~-> 00:18:51,930 482 -And I'll put a stop loss rate below my low, and they get rewarded for a little 483 -while. And then price comes back down and drives through. Why is it doing that? 484 - 485 -98 486 -00:18:52,470 ~-~-> 00:19:03,900 487 -Why is it doing it again here, because these double bottoms are designed to 488 -lower your eye to it and feel that it's safe to put your stop loss below it for 489 - 490 -99 491 -00:19:03,900 ~-~-> 00:19:04,680 492 -a long position. 493 - 494 -100 495 -00:19:06,030 ~-~-> 00:19:18,660 496 -Whenever we see price points in charts that have equal levels, that's an 497 -opportunity for a raid. Price should go down there, probe that area, and then 498 - 499 -101 500 -00:19:18,720 ~-~-> 00:19:30,780 501 -anticipate a rejection and go the other way. And other examples here, double 502 -tops, price runs through it. Now this time it runs through it in doesn't reject. 503 - 504 -102 505 -00:19:31,380 ~-~-> 00:19:41,460 506 -The reason why is because we've had a market structure shift inside this area 507 -right here. After trying several times to get below 117 big figure. The 508 - 509 -103 510 -00:19:41,460 ~-~-> 00:19:51,510 511 -algorithm was not allowing price to go below. It wasn't the fact that there was 512 -no sellers. And it wasn't an imbalance of more buyers and sellers. The algo was 513 - 514 -104 515 -00:19:51,660 ~-~-> 00:20:02,310 516 -working this level 117 How do you know it's working it was that mean? It's going 517 -down to it a lot and sweeping through it. That means they're accumulating long 518 - 519 -105 520 -00:20:02,310 ~-~-> 00:20:16,230 521 -positions down here. Every time it makes a lower low. Everyone else's system 522 -will say that's weak. It's making lower lows. No, it's accumulating, buy, buy 523 - 524 -106 525 -00:20:16,230 ~-~-> 00:20:27,870 526 -orders, with the existing sellers that are in place below these lows. Now, I 527 -want you to think about how when price reaches up to a 00 level or a 50 level, 528 - 529 -107 530 -00:20:29,070 ~-~-> 00:20:39,360 531 -it's significant. Okay, it's kind of like mile markers. So if we can trade 532 -through a 50 level or full figure handle, Okay, so here's your level, or 50. 533 - 534 -108 535 -00:20:41,580 ~-~-> 00:20:53,940 536 -That to me, if we understand the daily bias as well, if you think about what I 537 -taught in the high probability scalping series of three videos, the concept of 538 - 539 -109 540 -00:20:53,970 ~-~-> 00:21:03,030 541 -determining what the daily bias is in that series is really simple. And you 542 -stick with that daily bias until we get to a potential turning point. And that's 543 - 544 -110 545 -00:21:03,030 ~-~-> 00:21:14,100 546 -going to be on the hourly chart, which is what I'm showing you here. Everything 547 -I'm showing you with a purpose in mind should help to remove the anxiety about 548 - 549 -111 550 -00:21:14,340 ~-~-> 00:21:21,870 551 -what support resistance levels you should be looking at. And by the time I 552 -conclude this video, where you can put your fibs, okay, and remove all that 553 - 554 -112 555 -00:21:21,870 ~-~-> 00:21:33,960 556 -ambiguity. So we're going to assume that we've arrived at a bullish idea that 557 -the euro dollar is going to go up from here, it doesn't matter that you missed 558 - 559 -113 560 -00:21:33,960 ~-~-> 00:21:42,900 561 -the buying low point down here, it's not important. Okay, that's not the 562 -important part at all. What I want to show you is, there are folks that will 563 - 564 -114 565 -00:21:42,900 ~-~-> 00:21:55,350 566 -argue, okay, and suggest that a lot of the things that I teach or show, it's 567 -been cherry picked for the purpose of looking good. And I'm gonna show you how 568 - 569 -115 570 -00:21:55,350 ~-~-> 00:22:04,290 571 -that's not true at all. Okay, and you can find this same types of setups. And 572 -you'll see that they are cookie cutter for the same type of thing all the time. 573 - 574 -116 575 -00:22:04,740 ~-~-> 00:22:16,230 576 -And it looks like to the uninitiated, like, perfect hindsight, cherry picking, 577 -but it's not. I'll give you an example. All right, so we had all the cell stops 578 - 579 -117 580 -00:22:16,230 ~-~-> 00:22:26,100 581 -ran out on this big figure at 117. Okay, and then price rallies, and it takes 582 -out a key swing high. Now, why is this a key swing high, because it's come all 583 - 584 -118 585 -00:22:26,100 ~-~-> 00:22:35,220 586 -the way back down, taking out lows. So if it breaks this high, that will be a 587 -significant event in price action, at least for the euro dollar on an hourly 588 - 589 -119 590 -00:22:35,220 ~-~-> 00:22:45,720 591 -chart is price, then, after making a higher high than this swing high here, it 592 -starts to retrace and comes back down. And it finds a reaction right here and 593 - 594 -120 595 -00:22:45,720 ~-~-> 00:22:57,000 596 -bounces up again, creates an equal high starts to come back down. folks in the 597 -retail world will see this as resistance. Not you. There has been a shift in the 598 - 599 -121 600 -00:22:57,000 ~-~-> 00:23:07,710 601 -market structure rallies. Now what I want you to do is I want you to think about 602 -and I'm gonna zoom in here, swing high that broke this swing high. Now we have a 603 - 604 -122 605 -00:23:07,710 ~-~-> 00:23:20,370 606 -bullish market structure. There will be folks out there that will say, Hey, you 607 -know, these educators, they put their fibs in after the fact. So that way, it 608 - 609 -123 610 -00:23:20,370 ~-~-> 00:23:28,080 611 -looks good. And they'll do something like this. And that's great. Okay, that 612 -would have worked because it stopped would have never been hit. Okay, but you're 613 - 614 -124 615 -00:23:28,080 ~-~-> 00:23:37,590 616 -looking at a swing low, you're looking at the actual price points, okay. And the 617 -reason why I teach folks to focus on the bodies of the candles because your 618 - 619 -125 620 -00:23:37,590 ~-~-> 00:23:49,920 621 -broker has the wonderful flexibility that you both agreed to then having about 622 -delivering the price to your platform, and it will always be slightly different 623 - 624 -126 625 -00:23:49,920 ~-~-> 00:23:57,630 626 -than what is actually on the interbank level. Now, I'll say that, again, in 627 -layman's terms, everyone's broker's price is going to be slightly different 628 - 629 -127 630 -00:23:57,630 ~-~-> 00:24:07,920 631 -because it benefits them in house on their own books, their their own customer 632 -base will be cannibalized when it's convenient for the broker. 633 - 634 -128 635 -00:24:09,960 ~-~-> 00:24:21,630 636 -Okay, so, I want you to remove the idea that you have to know what swing low and 637 -what swing high to put your foot one. Okay. Forget that. Because that's what the 638 - 639 -129 640 -00:24:21,630 ~-~-> 00:24:33,930 641 -books teach. In 1994. I was, was looking at the Japanese yen of all currencies. 642 -I know. The Japanese yen, I was trying to figure out what I wanted to do with 643 - 644 -130 645 -00:24:33,930 ~-~-> 00:24:47,370 646 -that currency. Now, it was before I was trading forex, because forex wasn't 647 -permitted to be traded prior to 1995 unless you were a bank, but in 94, I was 648 - 649 -131 650 -00:24:47,370 ~-~-> 00:25:02,250 651 -looking at the Japanese yen. And something struck me as a dissapoint of study I 652 -needed to get into the marketplace and find you know what What could be seen in 653 - 654 -132 655 -00:25:02,250 ~-~-> 00:25:11,700 656 -price that repeats itself or whatever I'm struggling to figure it out because I 657 -knew that I could come up with a way and at the time I was going to write a 658 - 659 -133 660 -00:25:11,700 ~-~-> 00:25:23,070 661 -computer program that would make my trading automated. That was my intent. But 662 -because I had to understand how it could reference certain price points to 663 - 664 -134 665 -00:25:24,420 ~-~-> 00:25:30,990 666 -basically build a condition for bullish or bearishness. I didn't want to use 667 -moving averages because I didn't believe in them because eventually the moving 668 - 669 -135 670 -00:25:30,990 ~-~-> 00:25:41,160 671 -average, you know, at the highs will have you buying. And it's over, it's done. 672 -So there had to be something for me to use as a criteria to determine where 673 - 674 -136 675 -00:25:41,160 ~-~-> 00:25:50,850 676 -value is where overbought is where it's cheap, now where it's oversold or 677 -overbought and where it's a good price to buy, or where it's a good price to 678 - 679 -137 680 -00:25:50,850 ~-~-> 00:26:03,780 681 -sell. And I wanted to make it as generic as possible. So that way, my program 682 -could reference these price points from a very generic standpoint, by that 683 - 684 -138 685 -00:26:05,700 ~-~-> 00:26:19,590 686 -choice or pursuit. That particular day, it was July 10 1994. I remember writing 687 -in my blog, in my journal, I said, I want to incorporate this specific thing in 688 - 689 -139 690 -00:26:19,590 ~-~-> 00:26:32,610 691 -price action. Now, I did not know the ramifications of this observation in 692 -price. And this is only by me studying price action alone and disregarding my 693 - 694 -140 695 -00:26:32,610 ~-~-> 00:26:41,730 696 -indicators, because I had a lot of indicators at the time on my charts. But I 697 -stripped it down and I said I need to know what price is going to do. That can 698 - 699 -141 700 -00:26:41,730 ~-~-> 00:26:50,700 701 -be seen and measured over long periods of time, not just perfect examples. And 702 -in hindsight, I need to be able to see this stuff going forward. So once I 703 - 704 -142 705 -00:26:50,700 ~-~-> 00:27:01,200 706 -adopted what I'm going to show you here, it made perfect sense. That's the 707 -reason why I could do and I actually contemplated doing this for about a week, I 708 - 709 -143 710 -00:27:01,200 ~-~-> 00:27:10,080 711 -was going to plot my fibs, as I'm going to teach you here. And it would have 712 -drove Twitter crazy. Oh, he's putting it where it makes sense for him. And you 713 - 714 -144 715 -00:27:10,080 ~-~-> 00:27:19,140 716 -will never you have never seen this. And I'm telling you this, and I'm 717 -challenging you, you find this in any book or educator, and it's got to be 718 - 719 -145 720 -00:27:19,140 ~-~-> 00:27:29,370 721 -printed, or in video where you can see it before the fact Okay, like I I know, 722 -it doesn't exist, because I buy everything. But this was never taught to me in 723 - 724 -146 725 -00:27:29,460 ~-~-> 00:27:39,600 726 -any of the things I've ever seen. No one else teaches it. And again, it's just 727 -one of those things that you get, or at least I received it by just being 728 - 729 -147 730 -00:27:39,630 ~-~-> 00:27:55,020 731 -insanely focused. And from a standpoint, as a computer programmer, I needed to 732 -be able to reference a specific price point. Now I'm gonna say this, and I want 733 - 734 -148 735 -00:27:55,020 ~-~-> 00:28:06,540 736 -you to really pay attention. Because if I lost you by now, okay, this is going 737 -to hopefully get you excited. Your broker is high, and my brokers high are not 738 - 739 -149 740 -00:28:06,540 ~-~-> 00:28:17,940 741 -going to agree. Our lows are not going to agree there, there's always gonna be 742 -some slight variance. Why is that? Because it's economical for them as the 743 - 744 -150 745 -00:28:17,940 ~-~-> 00:28:25,110 746 -broker to manipulate price to shorten the spread to widen the spread when it's 747 -convenient for them. 748 - 749 -151 750 -00:28:26,400 ~-~-> 00:28:34,320 751 -That's the reason why I teach the use the body that candle because that's the 752 -bulk of the volume. Now it still is not going to be lockstep for step, the same 753 - 754 -152 755 -00:28:34,320 ~-~-> 00:28:41,730 756 -thing you would see on the interbank level, that price is not going to be 757 -delivered to your demo account. It's not gonna be delivered to your Live 758 - 759 -153 760 -00:28:41,730 ~-~-> 00:28:48,630 761 -account. And I don't care what broker there is, this is the reason why I avoid 762 -the broker discussion, which is the good broker, it's up to you to decide that I 763 - 764 -154 765 -00:28:48,630 ~-~-> 00:28:57,840 766 -don't ever want to promote the idea of one broker being the safest one, or the 767 -best one, because there isn't anyone like that. They all have a vested interest 768 - 769 -155 770 -00:28:57,840 ~-~-> 00:29:06,540 771 -in making money off of you. So if you lose money, I don't want you saying that I 772 -cause you to lose money with that broker because you made a decision on your 773 - 774 -156 775 -00:29:06,540 ~-~-> 00:29:15,780 776 -own. Okay. I will say this if you go through and do a reasonable research on the 777 -internet and talk to people that are actually using them. That's the best 778 - 779 -157 780 -00:29:15,780 ~-~-> 00:29:24,450 781 -feedback and selection process there is okay because the ones that are big name 782 -and doing very well. They didn't get there you overnight, they've been able to 783 - 784 -158 785 -00:29:24,450 ~-~-> 00:29:33,150 786 -hold a good customer base and retention. And there's not been enough horror 787 -stories to put people on the on the sidelines about putting money with them. 788 - 789 -159 790 -00:29:33,570 ~-~-> 00:29:43,680 791 -Okay, so I'll just say that for completeness sake, but there are folks that will 792 -teach that the Fibonacci needs to be placed on the very, very low up to the 793 - 794 -160 795 -00:29:43,680 ~-~-> 00:29:55,860 796 -very, very high and sometimes that works. And sometimes it doesn't. And I teach 797 -that you should put a finger on the body's lowest open or close at a swing low 798 - 799 -161 800 -00:29:55,980 ~-~-> 00:30:13,170 801 -up to the highest open or close in a swing high and sometimes It doesn't work. 802 -what is really going on, is prices gravitating to these four levels. Now think I 803 - 804 -162 805 -00:30:13,170 ~-~-> 00:30:24,990 806 -gave you a science to finding support resistance just now you don't even realize 807 -it yet. I've also gave you the science behind why my fib works when it works. 808 - 809 -163 810 -00:30:25,980 ~-~-> 00:30:42,630 811 -And why I only look at specific swing highs and swing lows. Look closely. price 812 -breaks this swing high, comes back cycles back down into the mid figure. Okay? I 813 - 814 -164 815 -00:30:42,630 ~-~-> 00:30:59,310 816 -want you to think about where price originated from. It started sweeping the 17, 817 -big figure, right. And price traded all the way up and traded into the 1820 818 - 819 -165 820 -00:31:00,090 ~-~-> 00:31:14,880 821 -institutional price level. Now, it went a little bit above it. But I don't want 822 -you focusing there. It worked off a 17 big figure up to the 1820 level. That's 823 - 824 -166 825 -00:31:14,880 ~-~-> 00:31:27,720 826 -where you anchor your fib. If you put your Fibonacci on the 117, big figure, 827 -notice I'm doing it away from any swing lows, any highs and the lows, forget 828 - 829 -167 830 -00:31:27,720 ~-~-> 00:31:38,130 831 -that. That's retail thinking. You got to think with an institutional mindset 832 -because this is how the algorithm delivers price. It comes exactly down to the 833 - 834 -168 835 -00:31:38,130 ~-~-> 00:31:47,010 836 -62% retracement level, then we get a pop, comes right back to this same price 837 -level, see where it's stopping. It's not stopping at the high, it's stopping at 838 - 839 -169 840 -00:31:47,010 ~-~-> 00:31:53,370 841 -the 20 level. Okay, now the same premise in mind, okay, watch what happens, I'm 842 -going to take this fib 843 - 844 -170 845 -00:31:59,880 ~-~-> 00:32:12,240 846 -off. And I want you to think about this area right in here. Now, there will be 847 -folks that say you need to put your finger on this low, up to the highest high. 848 - 849 -171 850 -00:32:12,510 ~-~-> 00:32:25,770 851 -And let's do that. On the lowest low on the highest high. Yes, we get it hit and 852 -right here on 62%. tracing level, beautiful, nothing wrong with that. But I want 853 - 854 -172 855 -00:32:25,770 ~-~-> 00:32:39,780 856 -you to think a little bit differently. Watch what happens 20 level back on 857 -because it took it off. And I'll take this off again. And I'm going to calibrate 858 - 859 -173 860 -00:32:39,780 ~-~-> 00:32:52,080 861 -my fib to the actual 50 level, not looking at the actual swing highs and swing 862 -lows, I'm putting it right on the price level itself that prices working the 20 863 - 864 -174 865 -00:32:52,080 ~-~-> 00:33:02,730 866 -level off of the 1757 words, look at price hitting 1750 then reaction happens 867 -there. Who cares about the actual low because your low is not going to agree 868 - 869 -175 870 -00:33:02,730 ~-~-> 00:33:11,880 871 -with mine. And it's not gonna agree with 50 other people either only the same 872 -people in that same respective liquidity pool or broker is going to have the 873 - 874 -176 875 -00:33:11,910 ~-~-> 00:33:25,080 876 -same agreement. So and even if you do that, if you look at like FX cm, they had 877 -many ways of looking at price action. I had people that were trading live in FX 878 - 879 -177 880 -00:33:25,080 ~-~-> 00:33:36,210 881 -cm, and I had a Live account with FX cm at one time. And we still didn't even 882 -agree on our highs and lows. So this is the reason why I'm telling you forget 883 - 884 -178 885 -00:33:36,210 ~-~-> 00:33:44,310 886 -that. Forget the folks that tell you this is the proper way of putting your fib 887 -on the low and the high forget that because that's not what's going on. Okay, 888 - 889 -179 890 -00:33:44,970 ~-~-> 00:33:57,360 891 -price is moving to these four price levels. And they're reacting off of that. 892 -Now when we know this, we can see the anchor point is the price level, not the 893 - 894 -180 895 -00:33:57,360 ~-~-> 00:34:06,570 896 -very high or the low. Not the bodies of the candles either the buys or cancel 897 -get you the closest thing to it without me teaching you this. But I wanted to 898 - 899 -181 900 -00:34:06,570 ~-~-> 00:34:17,010 901 -answer this response because I got a couple emails from folks that really 902 -support Tom Dante and again, this is not like a pissing match. I'm not trying to 903 - 904 -182 905 -00:34:17,010 ~-~-> 00:34:29,130 906 -do that to be disrespectful or anything. But I got a call a correction when it's 907 -necessary. And this is what really should be done with a fib. Looking at the 908 - 909 -183 910 -00:34:29,130 ~-~-> 00:34:36,780 911 -reference points whenever you think you're gonna put your your Fibonacci on a 912 -swing low, find out what level it is, if it's a 50 level and at level, a double 913 - 914 -184 915 -00:34:36,780 ~-~-> 00:34:48,450 916 -zero level, then that's what you put it on. That's it. Forget all this other 917 -stuff, because that's always going to be erroneous price action. Not in the 918 - 919 -185 920 -00:34:48,450 ~-~-> 00:34:57,420 921 -sense that it wasn't necessary, or that they weren't doing something that reach 922 -for stops or something like that. We're defending a level not going down to it 923 - 924 -186 925 -00:34:57,750 ~-~-> 00:35:07,950 926 -as many times as they would be reasonably expected to see it It just means that 927 -you have to think about how if price was controlled by a computer program, 928 - 929 -187 930 -00:35:08,460 ~-~-> 00:35:19,680 931 -there's no way on earth that could it could ever see all of our orders. It 932 -can't. But when it goes to these levels, and sweeps through it a little bit, 933 - 934 -188 935 -00:35:19,680 ~-~-> 00:35:29,520 936 -that's all that's necessary because the common thesis is stop losses are just 937 -below old low, or at the old low. So they go to that specific price level, and 938 - 939 -189 940 -00:35:29,520 ~-~-> 00:35:39,540 941 -they whip through it just by a little bit. They don't know where your orders are 942 -specifically, they just know where they're likely to be at. Think about that. 943 - 944 -190 945 -00:35:40,500 ~-~-> 00:35:51,690 946 -Now, right away, if I had my anchor points on the price levels, as indicated 947 -here, I got a deeper retracement that goes just a little bit below 62. But 948 - 949 -191 950 -00:35:51,690 ~-~-> 00:36:06,360 951 -nonetheless, it's still there. Price rallies again, it takes off. Now watch. 952 -Watch what happens here. If we see this buy point right in here. Well, how is 953 - 954 -192 955 -00:36:06,360 ~-~-> 00:36:18,060 956 -that a buy point? Is it going to be a Fibonacci retracement? Well, let's take a 957 -look at that. We're going to use the standard technical analysis way of doing 958 - 959 -193 960 -00:36:18,060 ~-~-> 00:36:29,070 961 -it, we're going to put it on the low up to the high right there. Well, we didn't 962 -get down to 62. We didn't get to 70.5. And we sure didn't get down to 79%. 963 - 964 -194 965 -00:36:29,070 ~-~-> 00:36:37,890 966 -tradesmen didn't do it. So we can't, we can't look at this as an optimal trade 967 -entry because it didn't retrace deep enough. So therefore, Fibonacci traders, 968 - 969 -195 970 -00:36:37,890 ~-~-> 00:36:50,340 971 -and those that use the methodology as taught by the books, and everyone else 972 -uses online, they miss out on this by. But now do what I taught you. We're going 973 - 974 -196 975 -00:36:50,340 ~-~-> 00:36:51,480 976 -to calibrate it to 977 - 978 -197 979 -00:36:53,010 ~-~-> 00:37:05,670 980 -the level, we're going to start with the 80 level and drop it down into the 50 981 -level. Okay. So right away, we have we have a shortened range in here. It was 982 - 983 -198 984 -00:37:05,670 ~-~-> 00:37:17,670 985 -shortened range. Price has blown through what key price level? What did it just 986 -shoot? What did this shoot through? Right here off of this run? It went through 987 - 988 -199 989 -00:37:17,790 ~-~-> 00:37:30,720 990 -the big figure 119. So if it's going through with energy to get through 119, 991 -shouldn't it be reasonably expected for it to maybe retest 119, or try to stay 992 - 993 -200 994 -00:37:30,720 ~-~-> 00:37:44,100 995 -above 119. That's what the algorithm does. It determines these mile markers in 996 -price. And once it overtakes a key big figure, or a mid figure, it will either 997 - 998 -201 999 -00:37:44,100 ~-~-> 00:37:52,710 1000 -come back down to it, or it won't come back down to it or it'll come back down 1001 -through it in reverse. There's three conditions you have to have now again, the 1002 - 1003 -202 1004 -00:37:52,710 ~-~-> 00:38:03,390 1005 -folks that understand computer programming, understand exactly what I'm 1006 -referring to as if then syntax, it's logic behind the decision making that 1007 - 1008 -203 1009 -00:38:03,420 ~-~-> 00:38:13,800 1010 -controls what the outcome is going to be. Here, I want you to think about the 1011 -the idea of how much energy it took to get away from 118 to get up to 118 80. 1012 - 1013 -204 1014 -00:38:14,070 ~-~-> 00:38:25,080 1015 -Then it paused. And it ran aggressively again through 119. Big figure up to 1016 -119 50 then it starts to retrace? Well, we've cleared a big figure my mind right 1017 - 1018 -205 1019 -00:38:25,080 ~-~-> 00:38:41,280 1020 -away thinks we probably will come back down to 119 to retest it. But in the 1021 -event that it doesn't, what setups could be manifesting there. Watch for the fib 1022 - 1023 -206 1024 -00:38:41,310 ~-~-> 00:38:48,990 1025 -on the 119. Big figure. And on 119 50. I'm going to zoom in so you can see it 1026 - 1027 -207 1028 -00:38:56,970 ~-~-> 00:39:08,550 1029 -boom 62% retracement level, there's your optimal trade entry. Now, I'm gonna be 1030 -honest with you. If I would have put this on a chart, okay, and anchored to fib 1031 - 1032 -208 1033 -00:39:08,760 ~-~-> 00:39:21,000 1034 -Ray here and up to here. Everybody would have been screaming, what in the world 1035 -this is cherry picking. He doesn't know how to use a Fibonacci really. Because 1036 - 1037 -209 1038 -00:39:21,000 ~-~-> 00:39:27,900 1039 -I've been doing this for a long, long time. And it's not just these examples 1040 -that it works on. I'm telling you to go through your charts, and you'll see it 1041 - 1042 -210 1043 -00:39:28,980 ~-~-> 00:39:42,030 1044 -when prices bullish as eurodollar was. It's going to be reaching for levels. 1045 -Okay. Why do I want to exit early? Like, I think that price may go up to a 1046 - 1047 -211 1048 -00:39:42,030 ~-~-> 00:39:51,060 1049 -specific price level. Maybe ADR suggesting things maybe I've done some Fibonacci 1050 -extensions or whatever. But I want to get out at the most logical price points. 1051 - 1052 -212 1053 -00:39:52,380 ~-~-> 00:40:02,730 1054 -And they're going to be as close as I can to these four price levels. Look at 1055 -the delivery price here. It went right to one, two 50 Yes, it went through it a 1056 - 1057 -213 1058 -00:40:02,730 ~-~-> 00:40:12,390 1059 -little bit. I am never concerned about that. I don't care about that. Okay, what 1060 -structures my trade is? Do I have the ability to get to these levels? Look how 1061 - 1062 -214 1063 -00:40:12,390 ~-~-> 00:40:23,640 1064 -nice it and easily got to this 120 big finger. It's easy to understand the 1065 -mechanics, when you think about price like this, remove the notion of you have 1066 - 1067 -215 1068 -00:40:23,640 ~-~-> 00:40:31,440 1069 -to have the right swing high and the right swing low. No, you don't. You don't 1070 -need that. You need to know where you are in terms of valuation. What's the 1071 - 1072 -216 1073 -00:40:31,440 ~-~-> 00:40:46,320 1074 -price at? Think about this over here, this axis on your chart is the most 1075 -important thing. Then this one down here, it's time when those two agree. And a 1076 - 1077 -217 1078 -00:40:46,320 ~-~-> 00:40:56,550 1079 -bias is in play. In other words, are you bullish or bearish? There has to be a 1080 -stage. Okay, what makes the setup or condition bullish or bearish? That's where 1081 - 1082 -218 1083 -00:40:56,550 ~-~-> 00:41:05,880 1084 -the hardest work for you is? Because the entry patterns are the easiest, the 1085 -easiest, the hardest thing is for you to determine should you be buy or should 1086 - 1087 -219 1088 -00:41:05,880 ~-~-> 00:41:17,850 1089 -you be a seller and stay in that camp until your setup comes? period. Simple as 1090 -that. Now we're going to take this idea. And we're going to switch it to when 1091 - 1092 -220 1093 -00:41:17,850 ~-~-> 00:41:30,990 1094 -things are bearish. And I'm gonna look at this little point right here. Now if 1095 -we were looking at classic Fibonacci application, here's a swing high. And we'll 1096 - 1097 -221 1098 -00:41:30,990 ~-~-> 00:41:40,770 1099 -put it on the high here, down to the low, didn't even get back to the 50 level, 1100 -or equilibrium would be 62 is up here. So how can you get a sell signal here? 1101 - 1102 -222 1103 -00:41:41,850 ~-~-> 00:41:53,430 1104 -Think about price from an algorithmic standpoint. What price did it just leave? 1105 -with energy? It left the 120 big figure. So it left the 120 big figure traded 1106 - 1107 -223 1108 -00:41:53,430 ~-~-> 00:42:13,710 1109 -down to 119 50. Where should your fit be placed? on 120. So you have 1951 20, 1110 -boom 70.5 level, there's your optimal trade entry. I know right? Folks, it's not 1111 - 1112 -224 1113 -00:42:13,710 ~-~-> 00:42:23,790 1114 -about picking the right swing high. Right, swing low. It's about understanding 1115 -what price is doing. It's all in open high, low and close. What is the price 1116 - 1117 -225 1118 -00:42:24,540 ~-~-> 00:42:36,570 1119 -it's working off of right now? I gave you four price points, 00 levels, 50 1120 -levels, 20s and 80s. It's as simple as that there's your support resistance. The 1121 - 1122 -226 1123 -00:42:36,570 ~-~-> 00:42:47,610 1124 -thing you have to know is where is the bias? Is it bullish or bearish? When you 1125 -know these things, and you apply it, you will see things that no one else sees. 1126 - 1127 -227 1128 -00:42:48,150 ~-~-> 00:42:59,940 1129 -And no one in the teaching circuits teaches this. It's mine. This is the 1130 -byproduct of having an insane interest in knowing what price is going to do. And 1131 - 1132 -228 1133 -00:43:00,600 ~-~-> 00:43:08,040 1134 -having a degree in something that couldn't make money with I went to school to 1135 -learn to be a computer programmer. I've never received a paycheck one time doing 1136 - 1137 -229 1138 -00:43:08,040 ~-~-> 00:43:19,320 1139 -that. But I've received huge paychecks by way of using this information and 1140 -thinking about things from an analytical standpoint and trying to formulate 1141 - 1142 -230 1143 -00:43:19,380 ~-~-> 00:43:35,730 1144 -analytical and algorithmic approaches to deciphering price action. So some more 1145 -examples here. If you look at how price is moving, okay, we left the 120 went 1146 - 1147 -231 1148 -00:43:35,730 ~-~-> 00:43:50,130 1149 -down to 1950, down to 19. Big figure swept through 1850 fell short of 1820. 1150 -Okay, so we fell short of 1820. So are they supporting that price level? 1151 - 1152 -232 1153 -00:43:51,510 ~-~-> 00:44:02,430 1154 -Well, they showed a willingness to go through a short term high here. So even 1155 -though it never touched that level, and showed a strong reaction, your broker 1156 - 1157 -233 1158 -00:44:02,460 ~-~-> 00:44:14,580 1159 -may not have that low touching this institutional level at 20. I still would use 1160 -that I would use that reference point. So let's take a look at applying the fib 1161 - 1162 -234 1163 -00:44:16,740 ~-~-> 00:44:29,490 1164 -on here 1820 and this is the part that's going to seem like form fitting, okay. 1165 -But the question is going to be this when you're looking at these levels, the 1166 - 1167 -235 1168 -00:44:29,490 ~-~-> 00:44:40,560 1169 -questions I asked myself is, is the level being worked up and down around it and 1170 -then did it leave it the price get away from it energetically above it, you 1171 - 1172 -236 1173 -00:44:40,590 ~-~-> 00:44:48,990 1174 -know, moving bullishly away from it or barely moving away from it because it's 1175 -going to give you a tip as to what the algorithm is trying to do reprice higher 1176 - 1177 -237 1178 -00:44:48,990 ~-~-> 00:44:58,080 1179 -or reprice lower. Now also, I'm also determining whether there's a willingness 1180 -to get down to that level and if it fails to get to a level going up to it or 1181 - 1182 -238 1183 -00:44:58,080 ~-~-> 00:45:09,540 1184 -going down to it. I will still Use that level because it's being defended. The 1185 -algorithm is trying not to go beyond that price point. The reason why you're 1186 - 1187 -239 1188 -00:45:09,540 ~-~-> 00:45:19,320 1189 -going to struggle with this is because you have to submit the idea that your 1190 -retail account may not show the price level itself. But when you put these 1191 - 1192 -240 1193 -00:45:19,320 ~-~-> 00:45:30,390 1194 -levels on your chart, it will help you decipher what price is, in fact, probably 1195 -doing. Now, you may have expected price to hit that level. Okay. And it made it 1196 - 1197 -241 1198 -00:45:30,390 ~-~-> 00:45:38,310 1199 -ugly, I probably would have been expecting that same thing that occur here. But 1200 -when price reverses, and trades through the short term swing high here, when I 1201 - 1202 -242 1203 -00:45:38,310 ~-~-> 00:45:47,340 1204 -see that I know that they defended at 20 level, and nothing's changed. It's the 1205 -same thing as if you were looking for the setup to occur. Like after the fact 1206 - 1207 -243 1208 -00:45:47,340 ~-~-> 00:45:54,930 1209 -here, it went above it. Okay, great, I'm going to look for a buy signal on the 1210 -same context that I just framed, the earlier buy for this. So we're going to 1211 - 1212 -244 1213 -00:45:54,930 ~-~-> 00:46:11,190 1214 -anchor our fed right on the 20 level, draw it up to this 1980 level because 1215 -price did hit it and had a reaction off of it. Now watch closely. I'm looking at 1216 - 1217 -245 1218 -00:46:11,220 ~-~-> 00:46:12,450 1219 -the price level. 1220 - 1221 -246 1222 -00:46:18,300 ~-~-> 00:46:29,160 1223 -jumped on my platform to that low I gotta make sure it doesn't touch that. Okay, 1224 -so we're on the 1820 level, up to the 88 level cuz it traded traded to it and 1225 - 1226 -247 1227 -00:46:29,160 ~-~-> 00:46:39,210 1228 -reacted. So in price comes back down here, this is a buying opportunity right 1229 -there. And we can start looking for these targets here. Okay, Brian, for this 1230 - 1231 -248 1232 -00:46:39,330 ~-~-> 00:46:49,560 1233 -old high. Let's just watch and see what happens in price, using institutional 1234 -price levels, not swing highs and swing lows on price, not stressing about, 1235 - 1236 -249 1237 -00:46:49,710 ~-~-> 00:46:56,370 1238 -well, you know, there's certain educators out there that cherry pick and they 1239 -put this stuffing Tom, I'm gonna put that at rest with me, because it doesn't 1240 - 1241 -250 1242 -00:46:56,370 ~-~-> 00:47:04,410 1243 -work with me. That does not apply to me. I'm not saying he did associate that 1244 -with me. I'm saying just in case you did. Okay, I want you to know that there's 1245 - 1246 -251 1247 -00:47:04,410 ~-~-> 00:47:14,790 1248 -absolute science behind where I put a fit bat. Price meanders goes forward and 1249 -look at the reaction right there. Beautiful. That's a buying opportunity as 1250 - 1251 -252 1252 -00:47:14,790 ~-~-> 00:47:25,620 1253 -well. And what's resting right here. Equal highs, price should react to go where 1254 -boom, clear that out. Under underlying premise behind the hump market price is 1255 - 1256 -253 1257 -00:47:25,620 ~-~-> 00:47:40,950 1258 -it's bullish still. Boom, boom, hits it, it's over. This is what I'm talking 1259 -about. When you have to look at order flow, I'm not using these gimmicky things 1260 - 1261 -254 1262 -00:47:40,950 ~-~-> 00:47:49,380 1263 -that is there in fashion right now. You know, just like supply and demand was in 1264 -fashion about five, six years ago. And you know, people still have faith in 1265 - 1266 -255 1267 -00:47:49,380 ~-~-> 00:47:57,330 1268 -that. But I slice and dice that theory too, because they have limitations on it 1269 -that don't make sense. Don't cut through candles, you have to cut through 1270 - 1271 -256 1272 -00:47:57,330 ~-~-> 00:48:06,390 1273 -candles to get context in the market, you have to know certain things. And if 1274 -you start putting parameters on that says you can only look back to this price 1275 - 1276 -257 1277 -00:48:06,390 ~-~-> 00:48:16,830 1278 -point here and never cut through a candle at this, that doesn't make any sense. 1279 -Because you'll never understand a real stop rate. Okay, or a run on a key level. 1280 - 1281 -258 1282 -00:48:16,920 ~-~-> 00:48:28,680 1283 -If you don't cut through candles, and supply demand teaches that you can't do 1284 -that. So let me take that off. We're going to take another couple more examples 1285 - 1286 -259 1287 -00:48:28,680 ~-~-> 00:48:36,540 1288 -here. And I'll end this video because it's getting really long winded. But the 1289 -idea is just to stimulate your thought processes behind it. It's not an absolute 1290 - 1291 -260 1292 -00:48:36,540 ~-~-> 00:48:48,300 1293 -science for you, as it is for my mentorship. Okay, I'm just giving you examples 1294 -of how it is I'm challenged, it cannot be rivaled by any other retail approach. 1295 - 1296 -261 1297 -00:48:48,510 ~-~-> 00:48:58,080 1298 -If you want to put a Fibonacci on your chart, do it with this mind. And I'm 1299 -telling you, you will start looking like a wizard, you'll see things that no one 1300 - 1301 -262 1302 -00:48:58,080 ~-~-> 00:49:08,130 1303 -else is talking about. And you'll be pulling trades out of the marketplace that 1304 -no one else would be doing either price keys off of the 1850 level again, I'm 1305 - 1306 -263 1307 -00:49:08,130 ~-~-> 00:49:18,420 1308 -not going to the swing low. I'm going right off to the level itself. Okay. And 1309 -we're going to go right up to the 1920 level. Boom optimal trade entry. So 1310 - 1311 -264 1312 -00:49:18,420 ~-~-> 00:49:29,790 1313 -forget all this safe didn't even see this. They didn't worry with it. You want 1314 -to be a buyer. No problem. We can capture the buy here. Okay. Same thing we want 1315 - 1316 -265 1317 -00:49:29,790 ~-~-> 00:49:37,980 1318 -to look for projections on price once starts to move out if we take out this 1319 -swing high, which is the old one. How far can it go up to? Here's a 200 1320 - 1321 -266 1322 -00:49:37,980 ~-~-> 00:49:49,440 1323 -extension. Boom, beautiful. On done completely decimated the euro dollar with 1324 -that. Now, did I give you something retail here? Is there any trend lines on it 1325 - 1326 -267 1327 -00:49:49,440 ~-~-> 00:50:01,050 1328 -any moving averages any stochastics? No, I use the Fibonacci but I used it in a 1329 -way that we can grade institutional price swings the markets Move from an 1330 - 1331 -268 1332 -00:50:01,080 ~-~-> 00:50:11,550 1333 -algorithmic standpoint, they're predictable, you can make a science out of why 1334 -it should go where it should go. And where you should get in at getting in is 1335 - 1336 -269 1337 -00:50:11,550 ~-~-> 00:50:20,340 1338 -the least important, you have to understand what side of the marketplace it's 1339 -going to go for the up or the down the bullish or bearish. Okay. So that means 1340 - 1341 -270 1342 -00:50:20,340 ~-~-> 00:50:28,140 1343 -you need to know what the draw is on price. Well, at this point here buying 1344 -here, the draw is above this old high, that's where their buy stops are going to 1345 - 1346 -271 1347 -00:50:28,140 ~-~-> 00:50:38,580 1348 -be. So even though this is suggesting this is a good level to take profit at, 1349 -and it's a real nice reaction there and trades back down. Watch what happens 1350 - 1351 -272 1352 -00:50:38,580 ~-~-> 00:50:47,520 1353 -again, in this little money price action in here. You probably don't know where 1354 -I'm going with it. It'll be the last example for this presentation. We have 1355 - 1356 -273 1357 -00:50:50,970 ~-~-> 00:51:01,290 1358 -price reacting in sweeping through the 1950 level, and then rallying up then 1359 -coming back to a shallow retracement and falling short of getting to the 1980 1360 - 1361 -274 1362 -00:51:01,290 ~-~-> 00:51:10,500 1363 -level. Forget all that. Where's the price points? 19 5020 5200 PIP range. 1364 - 1365 -275 1366 -00:51:11,970 ~-~-> 00:51:22,920 1367 -But right on the price levels themselves. Right there. Okay. So we're anchoring 1368 -off this level, not the swing low, not the wick. If I were to put this on here, 1369 - 1370 -276 1371 -00:51:23,040 ~-~-> 00:51:28,620 1372 -why the hell did you do that ICT? You would have been thinking Oh, he put it 1373 -back here because this this is that level here night you would have never 1374 - 1375 -277 1376 -00:51:28,620 ~-~-> 00:51:40,290 1377 -figured this out. You never would have figured this out. Okay. Looking at price, 1378 -reacting at 1950. That's the level it was working the algorithm went to that 1379 - 1380 -278 1381 -00:51:40,290 ~-~-> 00:51:53,250 1382 -level but swept it. So the real key work is 19 mid figure. Okay, so 1950 it 1383 -rallies goes up to 2050 or 20 min. Figure then retraces back down. What's the 1384 - 1385 -279 1386 -00:51:53,250 ~-~-> 00:52:05,550 1387 -hitting right here? 62% retracement level, boom. Well, also, is it happening? 1388 -Order block. Today got two things going for you. institution order flow, bullish 1389 - 1390 -280 1391 -00:52:05,550 ~-~-> 00:52:15,000 1392 -order block, optimal trade entry, buy it, it's going to go above this high for 1393 -the stops is your fib target and look at the bodies of the candles very close to 1394 - 1395 -281 1396 -00:52:15,000 ~-~-> 00:52:23,580 1397 -what would be acceptable as a target. And yes, it wicks through it a couple 1398 -times. But that does not concern me. Okay, I want to know these levels here. 1399 - 1400 -282 1401 -00:52:24,120 ~-~-> 00:52:31,080 1402 -Okay. And this is a buying opportunity that no one would look at this and say 1403 -that's an optimal trade entry because they look at just my tutorials. They don't 1404 - 1405 -283 1406 -00:52:31,080 ~-~-> 00:52:40,260 1407 -have this insight. But now you have it. Okay? If you want to learn things like 1408 -this, and you want to apply certain higher level theories that I don't make a 1409 - 1410 -284 1411 -00:52:40,260 ~-~-> 00:52:49,860 1412 -will ever make them public beyond what I've done here. The mentorship is for 1413 -you. If you're not wanting to get to this level of insanity in terms of 1414 - 1415 -285 1416 -00:52:49,860 ~-~-> 00:53:01,350 1417 -understand what price is going to do, then you just stick to the free tutorials 1418 -and that'll be fine. But I just wanted to kind of like answer a response I got. 1419 - 1420 -286 1421 -00:53:03,870 ~-~-> 00:53:13,290 1422 -Well, I didn't really get it. But I heard it in a video by another educator. And 1423 -I just wanted to put my two cents in because I get a lot of opinions expressed 1424 - 1425 -287 1426 -00:53:13,350 ~-~-> 00:53:22,500 1427 -about me and about my methodology. And many times it's done by way of ignorance, 1428 -they don't really know what they're talking about. And they're grading me or 1429 - 1430 -288 1431 -00:53:22,500 ~-~-> 00:53:32,610 1432 -suggesting that I'm doing certain things when they have clearly no idea what I'm 1433 -doing. And I'm going to leave it at that. Okay, but there's so many examples in 1434 - 1435 -289 1436 -00:53:32,610 ~-~-> 00:53:41,700 1437 -here. Okay, that it's crazy. Like I'll give you one more because I just want to 1438 -do it. We have a swing high here. Okay, and we have a swing low here. Really 1439 - 1440 -290 1441 -00:53:41,700 ~-~-> 00:53:50,580 1442 -nice sell off here. So what was the catalyst behind it? Well, if we put our fib 1443 -obviously the market has shown a willingness to break down up here and I go 1444 - 1445 -291 1446 -00:53:50,580 ~-~-> 00:53:59,850 1447 -through tutorials showing you that now the swing high swing low camp will do 1448 -this. Okay, great. It gives you 60% Jason Oh, great. Nothing wrong with that. 1449 - 1450 -292 1451 -00:54:00,030 ~-~-> 00:54:10,260 1452 -Okay, but in my mind what I'm doing is I'm doing my fib at the level itself at 1453 -20 1920 I'm dragging it down 1454 - 1455 -293 1456 -00:54:15,270 ~-~-> 00:54:25,830 1457 -to 1920 so 2020 to 1920 Why am I putting it down here there's no there's no 1458 -reference to this swing boy Michael it doesn't make any sense. This is stupid. 1459 - 1460 -294 1461 -00:54:26,340 ~-~-> 00:54:35,880 1462 -You don't know what you're doing? Sure I do. Price done what it reacted by going 1463 -higher and failing to get to 1920 so what's the algorithm doing is defending 1464 - 1465 -295 1466 -00:54:35,880 ~-~-> 00:54:45,390 1467 -1920 Well, how do I know that because it took a swing high. Oh well wait a 1468 -minute Michael isn't this one of those breaks the swing high comes back down 1469 - 1470 -296 1471 -00:54:45,420 ~-~-> 00:54:53,310 1472 -optimal trading shrink by No. Because the context is the markets broken down 1473 -back here. That's why some of you look for optimal trade entry Long's and you 1474 - 1475 -297 1476 -00:54:53,310 ~-~-> 00:55:03,510 1477 -don't get them. You get these smashed through and Oh no. How do I know? You have 1478 -to know what the market is showing you By context, context is, what's the 1479 - 1480 -298 1481 -00:55:03,510 ~-~-> 00:55:12,990 1482 -storyline behind price? Is it bullish or bearish? And has it reversed? Because 1483 -if it has reversed, well, what's the reversal here, price went above an old 1484 - 1485 -299 1486 -00:55:12,990 ~-~-> 00:55:23,610 1487 -high, fail to go higher, and came back down, find the reaction low and between 1488 -the breaks that it's bearish until it resumes going higher again. So this whole 1489 - 1490 -300 1491 -00:55:23,610 ~-~-> 00:55:32,190 1492 -model here is bearish. So my optimal trade entry would be framed on something 1493 -like this, and it takes me deeper. So I'll get a slightly higher entry price, 1494 - 1495 -301 1496 -00:55:32,550 ~-~-> 00:55:42,810 1497 -then if we were to use this high to this low, and look at the consolidation of 1498 -price action, see the bulk of the volume in there, you're not seeing that, okay, 1499 - 1500 -302 1501 -00:55:42,810 ~-~-> 00:55:53,490 1502 -now, look how much time the the institutions were given the opportunity to get 1503 -short in here, before the big move drop, versus something like this. If you just 1504 - 1505 -303 1506 -00:55:53,490 ~-~-> 00:56:05,040 1507 -do this, retail, okay, gets one to three chances. Maybe if you want to count 1508 -this here, how many times you really want to hit that it's 62. And you know, 1509 - 1510 -304 1511 -00:56:05,040 ~-~-> 00:56:13,200 1512 -you're probably not going to do it, you're going to want to get up here and 1513 -deeper, and get some kind of a better fill. That's not what I'm doing. I'm 1514 - 1515 -305 1516 -00:56:13,230 ~-~-> 00:56:30,960 1517 -looking for reasons to justify this openly and outwardly to the public. But many 1518 -times my personal trades are framed with what would otherwise be seen as no 1519 - 1520 -306 1521 -00:56:30,960 ~-~-> 00:56:43,140 1522 -basis whatsoever, but there is a rhyme and reason behind it all. Look how much 1523 -time price spends in that 62 to 70.5 level, right in here. Lots of opportunity 1524 - 1525 -307 1526 -00:56:43,140 ~-~-> 00:56:52,350 1527 -to get short there. And then finally, boom, to be Cavan. And you have your 1528 -targets, boom, 60, I'm sorry that target two hits it, but also reaches more 1529 - 1530 -308 1531 -00:56:52,350 ~-~-> 00:57:03,270 1532 -specifically for the 1850. Price wants to go to these levels, folks, it's not 1533 -random. Now, obviously, I did not give you do this every single time I've given 1534 - 1535 -309 1536 -00:57:03,270 ~-~-> 00:57:15,150 1537 -you an idea, because that's what started back in July 10. of 1994. This is what 1538 -I wanted to start looking for evidences of. And it just so happened that it 1539 - 1540 -310 1541 -00:57:15,600 ~-~-> 00:57:25,380 1542 -provides a wonderful opportunity to also segue into answering in addition with 1543 -greater detail why Fibonacci is shouldn't be so forced on swing highs and swing 1544 - 1545 -311 1546 -00:57:25,380 ~-~-> 00:57:33,510 1547 -lows, because that's not the that's not the magic behind it. Okay. And the 1548 -reason why the Fibonacci is even showing a willingness to have a profitable 1549 - 1550 -312 1551 -00:57:33,780 ~-~-> 00:57:42,480 1552 -signal, if you want to call it that. It's just using a reference point of 1553 -overbought and oversold. That's all I use the Fibonacci for. I don't need it for 1554 - 1555 -313 1556 -00:57:42,480 ~-~-> 00:57:51,300 1557 -anything other than that. So I go into great detail about that in the 1558 -mentorship. But if you want to trust the fact that the Fibonacci does all the 1559 - 1560 -314 1561 -00:57:51,300 ~-~-> 00:57:57,540 1562 -work, but you want to use it like this, and have the daily buys understood, then 1563 -that's fine. You can be a subscriber in that view and it won't hurt anything, 1564 - 1565 -315 1566 -00:57:57,570 ~-~-> 00:58:06,720 1567 -it'll still give you the same result. But I know some of you are just really 1568 -really keyed up about wanting to know everything there is that I know and these 1569 - 1570 -316 1571 -00:58:06,720 ~-~-> 00:58:17,820 1572 -types of concepts and things they get taught only in the mentorship so and you 1573 -will be able to see a lot of opportunities that would otherwise evade you. And 1574 - 1575 -317 1576 -00:58:17,820 ~-~-> 00:58:20,040 1577 -until next time, I wish you good luck and good trading