Changes for page ICT YT - 2017-11-02 - Post GbpUsd Rate Announcement Commentary.srt

on 2020-12-09 06:12


on 2021-06-11 14:11
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... ... @@ -1,207 +1,44 @@ 1 -1 2 -00:00:10,410 ~-~-> 00:00:26,670 3 -ICT: Alright, Munchkins, let's take a look at the cable market. This is pound 4 -dollar. And we're going to store a little optimal trade entry. Well it down to 1 +(% class="hover min" %) 2 +|1 |00:00:10,410 ~-~-> 00:00:26,670 |ICT: Alright, Munchkins, let's take a look at the cable market. This is pound dollar. And we're going to store a little optimal trade entry. Well it down to 3 +|2 |00:00:27,930 ~-~-> 00:00:45,750 |this lowest close, and I'm using the highest up close and here is a swing high. See who the highest 134 35. Next candle is 134 58. And obviously, you can see 4 +|3 |00:00:45,750 ~-~-> 00:00:58,950 |it's a lower high on this candle here. So I'm using that swing high projected down because it's a range optimal trade entry right in here. And we are inside 5 +|4 |00:00:58,950 ~-~-> 00:01:13,170 |of a consolidation also. Okay. So in terms of overbought, oversold, we will need the utilization of an RSI or stochastic or a way as percent are to give us a 6 +|5 |00:01:13,170 ~-~-> 00:01:27,480 |reading of overbought because we're in a range. Okay, we're in the top side of that range. Just for spits and giggles. give you guys a good we're into center, 7 +|6 |00:01:27,480 ~-~-> 00:01:37,620 |we haven't used his in a while. There you go for overbought. And there you go. But we didn't need to have this stuff down here to see that we're inside of a 8 +|7 |00:01:37,620 ~-~-> 00:01:49,980 |range and we're on the top side of it. So again, indicators, not necessary. Okay, so now we have some projections down here. share them with you now. In 9 +|8 |00:01:49,980 ~-~-> 00:02:11,640 |case we get some big movement overnight and going into non farm payroll 830. Tomorrow, New York time. Okay, so we have 129 69 and 128 41. There's our two 10 +|9 |00:02:11,730 ~-~-> 00:02:26,550 |objectives. And should we get really insane. On the downside, we have 120 703. Okay, suspect that's going to be the case tomorrow, but we certainly could see 11 +|10 |00:02:26,550 ~-~-> 00:02:39,360 |target one, and maybe make its way down the 2841, maybe we'll see depends on how much of a rally we get in the dollar index. Alright, so with this on our charts, 12 +|11 |00:02:39,690 ~-~-> 00:02:50,280 |also want to bring your attention to we have these, we have these Kwazii railroad tracks in here. And price was able to come back up trade above that. 13 +|12 |00:02:53,220 ~-~-> 00:03:01,140 |Okay, so we have a turtle soup scenario, just false breakout. So we're gonna have this level on our charts, and we're to drop down into a lower timeframe. 14 +|13 |00:03:02,070 ~-~-> 00:03:14,790 |Okay, so we can see our cable on an hourly basis, we had traded above that old high here, and then broke down right in here. This is a market structure break 15 +|14 |00:03:14,790 ~-~-> 00:03:24,480 |right there. Okay, so when we dipped below it, any future rally should be viewed as a suspect rally, that means it's probably really going to be distribution. 16 +|15 |00:03:24,990 ~-~-> 00:03:33,000 |And the market will probably roll over and go lower. Now, because of the interest rate announcement that was due out this morning in New York time for 17 +|16 |00:03:33,000 ~-~-> 00:03:42,510 |cable or British pound, I was a little reluctant in trading in here, I wanted to see it proved to me that it will go lower. And I'll show you what that looks 18 +|17 |00:03:42,510 ~-~-> 00:03:51,570 |like if we go down into a case. And we see on our 15 minute timeframe. Again, the same market structure break here went lower, and then we rallied up and put 19 +|18 |00:03:51,570 ~-~-> 00:04:00,720 |the data buyers as you can see, probably fluffed it up right from the beginning of Asia. Right on in, and then we went slightly consolidated, and then we broke 20 +|19 |00:04:00,720 ~-~-> 00:04:14,370 |down this high in this low is what I used for my optimal trade entry. And you guys saw that on my phone, I sat up all night long. basically ran my battery 21 +|20 |00:04:14,370 ~-~-> 00:04:20,820 |down and drove my wife nuts. He was like, Look, if you're gonna be looking at that thing, can you get out of the bed? And I was like, No, I can't do it. I 22 +|21 |00:04:20,820 ~-~-> 00:04:29,280 |just can't do it. I got to be comfortable. So I kind of tortured her last night. I'm probably gonna pay the price for it. But nonetheless, this is what I was 23 +|22 |00:04:29,280 ~-~-> 00:04:40,590 |looking at. This is the optimal trade entry range that I was looking at from a 15 minute standpoint. And I knew I had the likelihood of it trading back up here 24 +|23 |00:04:41,040 ~-~-> 00:04:52,470 |would most likely send it lower. Not this one here. This was a post my exit I I told you on Twitter that probably see a retracement in the New York session, it 25 +|24 |00:04:52,470 ~-~-> 00:05:03,960 |would probably run my stop that I had 30 to 35 and it clearly would have ran out easily and I would have Close to the remaining portion of one standard lie ahead 26 +|25 |00:05:03,960 ~-~-> 00:05:08,940 |onto four off at 20 3020. So 27 +|26 |00:05:09,689 ~-~-> 00:05:17,939 |let's dip down into a little bit smaller time frame, we're going to look at the five minute chart. Because here's the five minute we'll zoom in a little bit. 28 +|27 |00:05:20,069 ~-~-> 00:05:31,409 |Okay, and this was the range off of the 15 minute timeframe. And all I did was dial in a little bit deeper. The highest body and the lowest body here. And that 29 +|28 |00:05:31,409 ~-~-> 00:05:41,999 |gets us right into here. And as price traded right up into that off my iPhone, I traded short rate there. Now, it was slightly outside of the kill zone for 30 +|29 |00:05:41,999 ~-~-> 00:05:57,089 |London. But my rationale was that we would probably see it tank and I wanted to see it run out the high. Not yesterday, but the day before. That low right here. 31 +|30 |00:05:57,089 ~-~-> 00:06:09,569 |So I'm just gonna take this and copy it and just drag it on down here. And we'll skedaddle right back over to where we were. And right before this business was 32 +|31 |00:06:09,569 ~-~-> 00:06:23,759 |taking place. Okay, I wanted to be out at 3215. If this was my target, okay, 131 93 was this level here from two days ago that low? I want to be getting out 33 +|32 |00:06:23,789 ~-~-> 00:06:32,789 |ahead of that. I don't want to be sitting in something that like, well, you saw a perfect example today. You didn't know the target I was really looking for was 34 +|33 |00:06:32,819 ~-~-> 00:06:43,259 |two days ago is low. But that's exactly what I was looking for. But even with that, and trying to get out earlier 3215 it was flirting around with me here. 35 +|34 |00:06:43,439 ~-~-> 00:06:53,609 |And I didn't want to hold on to it because of the bank rate announcement. And it ended up tanking one more leg lower, it would have filled me on my my limit. But 36 +|35 |00:06:53,609 ~-~-> 00:07:08,129 |it never would have got to my initial objective before having really deep retracement all the way up to here and then spiking down. So I mean I in my 37 +|36 |00:07:08,129 ~-~-> 00:07:21,959 |opinion, I managed it appropriately. But those were the mechanics behind it. And it's hard to get a good picture of it without that big candle screwing it all 38 +|37 |00:07:21,959 ~-~-> 00:07:33,719 |up. In here. Yeah, so that's the range I worked within as price was trading up. And that's where I wanted to get it right from the open on this candle. Here it 39 +|38 |00:07:33,719 ~-~-> 00:07:48,479 |opened that 30 to 60. And small little spike up one PIP and caught it and it just slid on down. So that was the the move for cable. I actually shared on 40 +|39 |00:07:48,479 ~-~-> 00:08:05,699 |Twitter, a level down here of 130 37 and we only got down a low of 3045. So I was off there but direction was right and I was able to peel something off, you 41 +|40 |00:08:05,699 ~-~-> 00:08:13,559 |know in a positive mood. Didn't get the high didn't get the low but I got a I got a little piece of the pie. I didn't get all this movement here. But that's 42 +|41 |00:08:13,559 ~-~-> 00:08:20,729 |expected for a bank rate. Try not to be in front of that too much. That's going to be it folks. Hopefully you found this one insightful. Until next time wish 43 +|42 |00:08:20,729 ~-~-> 00:08:21,629 |good luck and good trade. 5 5 6 -2 7 -00:00:27,930 ~-~-> 00:00:45,750 8 -this lowest close, and I'm using the highest up close and here is a swing high. 9 -See who the highest 134 35. Next candle is 134 58. And obviously, you can see 10 - 11 -3 12 -00:00:45,750 ~-~-> 00:00:58,950 13 -it's a lower high on this candle here. So I'm using that swing high projected 14 -down because it's a range optimal trade entry right in here. And we are inside 15 - 16 -4 17 -00:00:58,950 ~-~-> 00:01:13,170 18 -of a consolidation also. Okay. So in terms of overbought, oversold, we will need 19 -the utilization of an RSI or stochastic or a way as percent are to give us a 20 - 21 -5 22 -00:01:13,170 ~-~-> 00:01:27,480 23 -reading of overbought because we're in a range. Okay, we're in the top side of 24 -that range. Just for spits and giggles. give you guys a good we're into center, 25 - 26 -6 27 -00:01:27,480 ~-~-> 00:01:37,620 28 -we haven't used his in a while. There you go for overbought. And there you go. 29 -But we didn't need to have this stuff down here to see that we're inside of a 30 - 31 -7 32 -00:01:37,620 ~-~-> 00:01:49,980 33 -range and we're on the top side of it. So again, indicators, not necessary. 34 -Okay, so now we have some projections down here. share them with you now. In 35 - 36 -8 37 -00:01:49,980 ~-~-> 00:02:11,640 38 -case we get some big movement overnight and going into non farm payroll 830. 39 -Tomorrow, New York time. Okay, so we have 129 69 and 128 41. There's our two 40 - 41 -9 42 -00:02:11,730 ~-~-> 00:02:26,550 43 -objectives. And should we get really insane. On the downside, we have 120 703. 44 -Okay, suspect that's going to be the case tomorrow, but we certainly could see 45 - 46 -10 47 -00:02:26,550 ~-~-> 00:02:39,360 48 -target one, and maybe make its way down the 2841, maybe we'll see depends on how 49 -much of a rally we get in the dollar index. Alright, so with this on our charts, 50 - 51 -11 52 -00:02:39,690 ~-~-> 00:02:50,280 53 -also want to bring your attention to we have these, we have these Kwazii 54 -railroad tracks in here. And price was able to come back up trade above that. 55 - 56 -12 57 -00:02:53,220 ~-~-> 00:03:01,140 58 -Okay, so we have a turtle soup scenario, just false breakout. So we're gonna 59 -have this level on our charts, and we're to drop down into a lower timeframe. 60 - 61 -13 62 -00:03:02,070 ~-~-> 00:03:14,790 63 -Okay, so we can see our cable on an hourly basis, we had traded above that old 64 -high here, and then broke down right in here. This is a market structure break 65 - 66 -14 67 -00:03:14,790 ~-~-> 00:03:24,480 68 -right there. Okay, so when we dipped below it, any future rally should be viewed 69 -as a suspect rally, that means it's probably really going to be distribution. 70 - 71 -15 72 -00:03:24,990 ~-~-> 00:03:33,000 73 -And the market will probably roll over and go lower. Now, because of the 74 -interest rate announcement that was due out this morning in New York time for 75 - 76 -16 77 -00:03:33,000 ~-~-> 00:03:42,510 78 -cable or British pound, I was a little reluctant in trading in here, I wanted to 79 -see it proved to me that it will go lower. And I'll show you what that looks 80 - 81 -17 82 -00:03:42,510 ~-~-> 00:03:51,570 83 -like if we go down into a case. And we see on our 15 minute timeframe. Again, 84 -the same market structure break here went lower, and then we rallied up and put 85 - 86 -18 87 -00:03:51,570 ~-~-> 00:04:00,720 88 -the data buyers as you can see, probably fluffed it up right from the beginning 89 -of Asia. Right on in, and then we went slightly consolidated, and then we broke 90 - 91 -19 92 -00:04:00,720 ~-~-> 00:04:14,370 93 -down this high in this low is what I used for my optimal trade entry. And you 94 -guys saw that on my phone, I sat up all night long. basically ran my battery 95 - 96 -20 97 -00:04:14,370 ~-~-> 00:04:20,820 98 -down and drove my wife nuts. He was like, Look, if you're gonna be looking at 99 -that thing, can you get out of the bed? And I was like, No, I can't do it. I 100 - 101 -21 102 -00:04:20,820 ~-~-> 00:04:29,280 103 -just can't do it. I got to be comfortable. So I kind of tortured her last night. 104 -I'm probably gonna pay the price for it. But nonetheless, this is what I was 105 - 106 -22 107 -00:04:29,280 ~-~-> 00:04:40,590 108 -looking at. This is the optimal trade entry range that I was looking at from a 109 -15 minute standpoint. And I knew I had the likelihood of it trading back up here 110 - 111 -23 112 -00:04:41,040 ~-~-> 00:04:52,470 113 -would most likely send it lower. Not this one here. This was a post my exit I I 114 -told you on Twitter that probably see a retracement in the New York session, it 115 - 116 -24 117 -00:04:52,470 ~-~-> 00:05:03,960 118 -would probably run my stop that I had 30 to 35 and it clearly would have ran out 119 -easily and I would have Close to the remaining portion of one standard lie ahead 120 - 121 -25 122 -00:05:03,960 ~-~-> 00:05:08,940 123 -onto four off at 20 3020. So 124 - 125 -26 126 -00:05:09,689 ~-~-> 00:05:17,939 127 -let's dip down into a little bit smaller time frame, we're going to look at the 128 -five minute chart. Because here's the five minute we'll zoom in a little bit. 129 - 130 -27 131 -00:05:20,069 ~-~-> 00:05:31,409 132 -Okay, and this was the range off of the 15 minute timeframe. And all I did was 133 -dial in a little bit deeper. The highest body and the lowest body here. And that 134 - 135 -28 136 -00:05:31,409 ~-~-> 00:05:41,999 137 -gets us right into here. And as price traded right up into that off my iPhone, I 138 -traded short rate there. Now, it was slightly outside of the kill zone for 139 - 140 -29 141 -00:05:41,999 ~-~-> 00:05:57,089 142 -London. But my rationale was that we would probably see it tank and I wanted to 143 -see it run out the high. Not yesterday, but the day before. That low right here. 144 - 145 -30 146 -00:05:57,089 ~-~-> 00:06:09,569 147 -So I'm just gonna take this and copy it and just drag it on down here. And we'll 148 -skedaddle right back over to where we were. And right before this business was 149 - 150 -31 151 -00:06:09,569 ~-~-> 00:06:23,759 152 -taking place. Okay, I wanted to be out at 3215. If this was my target, okay, 153 -131 93 was this level here from two days ago that low? I want to be getting out 154 - 155 -32 156 -00:06:23,789 ~-~-> 00:06:32,789 157 -ahead of that. I don't want to be sitting in something that like, well, you saw 158 -a perfect example today. You didn't know the target I was really looking for was 159 - 160 -33 161 -00:06:32,819 ~-~-> 00:06:43,259 162 -two days ago is low. But that's exactly what I was looking for. But even with 163 -that, and trying to get out earlier 3215 it was flirting around with me here. 164 - 165 -34 166 -00:06:43,439 ~-~-> 00:06:53,609 167 -And I didn't want to hold on to it because of the bank rate announcement. And it 168 -ended up tanking one more leg lower, it would have filled me on my my limit. But 169 - 170 -35 171 -00:06:53,609 ~-~-> 00:07:08,129 172 -it never would have got to my initial objective before having really deep 173 -retracement all the way up to here and then spiking down. So I mean I in my 174 - 175 -36 176 -00:07:08,129 ~-~-> 00:07:21,959 177 -opinion, I managed it appropriately. But those were the mechanics behind it. And 178 -it's hard to get a good picture of it without that big candle screwing it all 179 - 180 -37 181 -00:07:21,959 ~-~-> 00:07:33,719 182 -up. In here. Yeah, so that's the range I worked within as price was trading up. 183 -And that's where I wanted to get it right from the open on this candle. Here it 184 - 185 -38 186 -00:07:33,719 ~-~-> 00:07:48,479 187 -opened that 30 to 60. And small little spike up one PIP and caught it and it 188 -just slid on down. So that was the the move for cable. I actually shared on 189 - 190 -39 191 -00:07:48,479 ~-~-> 00:08:05,699 192 -Twitter, a level down here of 130 37 and we only got down a low of 3045. So I 193 -was off there but direction was right and I was able to peel something off, you 194 - 195 -40 196 -00:08:05,699 ~-~-> 00:08:13,559 197 -know in a positive mood. Didn't get the high didn't get the low but I got a I 198 -got a little piece of the pie. I didn't get all this movement here. But that's 199 - 200 -41 201 -00:08:13,559 ~-~-> 00:08:20,729 202 -expected for a bank rate. Try not to be in front of that too much. That's going 203 -to be it folks. Hopefully you found this one insightful. Until next time wish 204 - 205 -42 206 -00:08:20,729 ~-~-> 00:08:21,629 207 -good luck and good trade.