Wiki source code of OTE Pattern Recognition Series - Vol 03.srt
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1 | 1 | ||
2 | 00:00:11,160 ~-~-> 00:00:13,830 | ||
3 | ICT: Okay, folks, welcome back. This is part three of the | ||
4 | |||
5 | 2 | ||
6 | 00:00:13,830 ~-~-> 00:00:17,220 | ||
7 | continuing series of the ICT optimal trade entry pattern | ||
8 | |||
9 | 3 | ||
10 | 00:00:17,220 ~-~-> 00:00:18,150 | ||
11 | recognition series. | ||
12 | |||
13 | 4 | ||
14 | 00:00:19,350 ~-~-> 00:00:22,560 | ||
15 | And we're a step outside of forex. As I mentioned, one of | ||
16 | |||
17 | 5 | ||
18 | 00:00:22,560 ~-~-> 00:00:26,490 | ||
19 | the central tenets of this pattern is it's not limited to | ||
20 | |||
21 | 6 | ||
22 | 00:00:26,520 ~-~-> 00:00:30,240 | ||
23 | forex. So I'm going to show you how you can use it in the | ||
24 | |||
25 | 7 | ||
26 | 00:00:30,540 ~-~-> 00:00:31,350 | ||
27 | futures market. | ||
28 | |||
29 | 8 | ||
30 | 00:00:31,350 ~-~-> 00:00:34,770 | ||
31 | This is an index futures. And it's the delivery contract of | ||
32 | |||
33 | 9 | ||
34 | 00:00:34,830 ~-~-> 00:00:40,440 | ||
35 | June 2020 of the s&p emini futures. Alright, so we want to | ||
36 | |||
37 | 10 | ||
38 | 00:00:40,440 ~-~-> 00:00:45,420 | ||
39 | look for a signature in price that would lend well to aiming | ||
40 | |||
41 | 11 | ||
42 | 00:00:45,420 ~-~-> 00:00:49,620 | ||
43 | for a previous day's high or low. And again, it's focusing | ||
44 | |||
45 | 12 | ||
46 | 00:00:49,620 ~-~-> 00:00:53,400 | ||
47 | primarily on a very short term timeframe. But the pattern | ||
48 | |||
49 | 13 | ||
50 | 00:00:53,400 ~-~-> 00:00:56,490 | ||
51 | can be scaled to whatever timeframe you really want. So | ||
52 | |||
53 | 14 | ||
54 | 00:00:57,450 ~-~-> 00:00:59,880 | ||
55 | looking at price action here you can see that we have a | ||
56 | |||
57 | 15 | ||
58 | 00:00:59,910 ~-~-> 00:01:04,590 | ||
59 | Swing low, swing high and a retracement here. And price was | ||
60 | |||
61 | 16 | ||
62 | 00:01:04,590 ~-~-> 00:01:09,780 | ||
63 | underway going higher. And there's no necessity for you to | ||
64 | |||
65 | 17 | ||
66 | 00:01:09,780 ~-~-> 00:01:13,560 | ||
67 | say, I have to be in this here or I have to be in this here, | ||
68 | |||
69 | 18 | ||
70 | 00:01:13,920 ~-~-> 00:01:17,550 | ||
71 | or I can't participate in a market like this and be a buyer, | ||
72 | |||
73 | 19 | ||
74 | 00:01:17,820 ~-~-> 00:01:21,810 | ||
75 | which is not true. So I want you to take a look at the | ||
76 | |||
77 | 20 | ||
78 | 00:01:21,810 ~-~-> 00:01:25,740 | ||
79 | framework here. We're presently in a larger daily optimal | ||
80 | |||
81 | 21 | ||
82 | 00:01:25,740 ~-~-> 00:01:29,880 | ||
83 | trade entry price just fell short of hitting the 78% | ||
84 | |||
85 | 22 | ||
86 | 00:01:29,880 ~-~-> 00:01:34,440 | ||
87 | retracement level. And again, the magic is not the fib. It's | ||
88 | |||
89 | 23 | ||
90 | 00:01:34,470 ~-~-> 00:01:38,010 | ||
91 | the target of liquidity. That's all I'm doing the Fed just | ||
92 | |||
93 | 24 | ||
94 | 00:01:38,010 ~-~-> 00:01:42,900 | ||
95 | helps me frame and underline context. It's not that you need | ||
96 | |||
97 | 25 | ||
98 | 00:01:42,900 ~-~-> 00:01:45,840 | ||
99 | these levels, it just gives you a framework. Okay. So the | ||
100 | |||
101 | 26 | ||
102 | 00:01:45,840 ~-~-> 00:01:49,500 | ||
103 | framework is we have old low, old high retracement and it | ||
104 | |||
105 | 27 | ||
106 | 00:01:49,500 ~-~-> 00:01:53,460 | ||
107 | starts to move higher. So on a daily chart, where is the | ||
108 | |||
109 | 28 | ||
110 | 00:01:53,460 ~-~-> 00:01:59,190 | ||
111 | likely momentum it's going higher. Okay, great. It could be | ||
112 | |||
113 | 29 | ||
114 | 00:01:59,190 ~-~-> 00:02:02,790 | ||
115 | reaching to this Old high here, or it could fail to run that | ||
116 | |||
117 | 30 | ||
118 | 00:02:02,790 ~-~-> 00:02:06,600 | ||
119 | high or go through it and keep on going higher. In this | ||
120 | |||
121 | 31 | ||
122 | 00:02:06,600 ~-~-> 00:02:10,260 | ||
123 | instance, we don't care. We just know that the likelihood is | ||
124 | |||
125 | 32 | ||
126 | 00:02:10,680 ~-~-> 00:02:13,740 | ||
127 | it's probably going to run a previous day's high. So today's | ||
128 | |||
129 | 33 | ||
130 | 00:02:13,740 ~-~-> 00:02:20,040 | ||
131 | Monday of may 2020, may 11, specifically. So here's Friday, | ||
132 | |||
133 | 34 | ||
134 | 00:02:20,040 ~-~-> 00:02:25,950 | ||
135 | May 8 2020. And we're going to denote that high. So that | ||
136 | |||
137 | 35 | ||
138 | 00:02:25,950 ~-~-> 00:02:28,050 | ||
139 | price level is going to be significantly dropped on the | ||
140 | |||
141 | 36 | ||
142 | 00:02:28,050 ~-~-> 00:02:31,710 | ||
143 | lower timeframe. Okay, so here is the s&p e mini futures for | ||
144 | |||
145 | 37 | ||
146 | 00:02:31,710 ~-~-> 00:02:36,210 | ||
147 | June 2025 minute chart. And this is a naked chart so that | ||
148 | |||
149 | 38 | ||
150 | 00:02:36,210 ~-~-> 00:02:38,820 | ||
151 | way you got a chance to take a look at this before I put the | ||
152 | |||
153 | 39 | ||
154 | 00:02:38,820 ~-~-> 00:02:44,430 | ||
155 | lipstick on this particular example. And you can pause the | ||
156 | |||
157 | 40 | ||
158 | 00:02:44,430 ~-~-> 00:02:50,850 | ||
159 | video here Alright, so if you haven't paused the video and | ||
160 | |||
161 | 41 | ||
162 | 00:02:50,850 ~-~-> 00:02:53,730 | ||
163 | studied and looked for what I'm going to cover before | ||
164 | |||
165 | 42 | ||
166 | 00:02:53,730 ~-~-> 00:02:56,790 | ||
167 | actually show it to you, you're going to miss that | ||
168 | |||
169 | 43 | ||
170 | 00:02:56,790 ~-~-> 00:03:04,230 | ||
171 | opportunity now. The Figure 2900 price trades down into that | ||
172 | |||
173 | 44 | ||
174 | 00:03:04,590 ~-~-> 00:03:08,880 | ||
175 | doing during the New York session. Whenever a big figure is | ||
176 | |||
177 | 45 | ||
178 | 00:03:08,910 ~-~-> 00:03:14,310 | ||
179 | swept either down into it or up into it, it will generally | ||
180 | |||
181 | 46 | ||
182 | 00:03:14,310 ~-~-> 00:03:18,300 | ||
183 | create some kind of a tradable bounce, okay, or a | ||
184 | |||
185 | 47 | ||
186 | 00:03:18,300 ~-~-> 00:03:21,930 | ||
187 | retracement. And it while it may be very short term short | ||
188 | |||
189 | 48 | ||
190 | 00:03:21,930 ~-~-> 00:03:25,980 | ||
191 | lived, it still gives the opportunity for, you know, a quick | ||
192 | |||
193 | 49 | ||
194 | 00:03:25,980 ~-~-> 00:03:28,770 | ||
195 | snap in marketplace where you can take something out of it. | ||
196 | |||
197 | 50 | ||
198 | 00:03:29,160 ~-~-> 00:03:33,270 | ||
199 | Since this is a futures contract, and it's not a foreign | ||
200 | |||
201 | 51 | ||
202 | 00:03:33,270 ~-~-> 00:03:36,240 | ||
203 | exchange pair. We can't talk in terms of pips, so we're | ||
204 | |||
205 | 52 | ||
206 | 00:03:36,240 ~-~-> 00:03:39,360 | ||
207 | going to be using just the range. Now, if you look closely, | ||
208 | |||
209 | 53 | ||
210 | 00:03:39,360 ~-~-> 00:03:43,170 | ||
211 | you can see inside of the New York session, the idea is the | ||
212 | |||
213 | 54 | ||
214 | 00:03:43,170 ~-~-> 00:03:47,280 | ||
215 | beginning is here at 830. And the end is, again 11 o'clock. | ||
216 | |||
217 | 55 | ||
218 | 00:03:47,520 ~-~-> 00:03:50,070 | ||
219 | It's a static time, it doesn't change everything that I've | ||
220 | |||
221 | 56 | ||
222 | 00:03:50,070 ~-~-> 00:03:53,100 | ||
223 | shown you thus far. We're just doing the same thing every | ||
224 | |||
225 | 57 | ||
226 | 00:03:53,100 ~-~-> 00:03:56,580 | ||
227 | single day. And you'll see this pattern forms every single | ||
228 | |||
229 | 58 | ||
230 | 00:03:56,580 ~-~-> 00:04:04,770 | ||
231 | day. So let's take a look at the fib over top this right | ||
232 | |||
233 | 59 | ||
234 | 00:04:04,770 ~-~-> 00:04:08,430 | ||
235 | here. This is the optimal trade entry. The market rallies | ||
236 | |||
237 | 60 | ||
238 | 00:04:08,430 ~-~-> 00:04:12,240 | ||
239 | back above 29, big figure comes back down into bullish order | ||
240 | |||
241 | 61 | ||
242 | 00:04:12,240 ~-~-> 00:04:16,110 | ||
243 | block overlapping with the 2900 big figure inside of our | ||
244 | |||
245 | 62 | ||
246 | 00:04:16,110 ~-~-> 00:04:20,730 | ||
247 | specific time of day, the New York session, okay 830 in the | ||
248 | |||
249 | 63 | ||
250 | 00:04:20,730 ~-~-> 00:04:23,490 | ||
251 | morning till 11 o'clock in the morning, New York local time. | ||
252 | |||
253 | 64 | ||
254 | 00:04:24,930 ~-~-> 00:04:29,310 | ||
255 | This pattern is seen with the fib to trade down into the | ||
256 | |||
257 | 65 | ||
258 | 00:04:29,310 ~-~-> 00:04:32,970 | ||
259 | 70.5 level, which is the sweet spot by my definition for | ||
260 | |||
261 | 66 | ||
262 | 00:04:32,970 ~-~-> 00:04:36,780 | ||
263 | optimal trade entry. And you could be a buyer there, and the | ||
264 | |||
265 | 67 | ||
266 | 00:04:36,780 ~-~-> 00:04:40,050 | ||
267 | market comes back down and just give multiple entries, you | ||
268 | |||
269 | 68 | ||
270 | 00:04:40,050 ~-~-> 00:04:42,600 | ||
271 | can take it on here, which is still inside of the New York | ||
272 | |||
273 | 69 | ||
274 | 00:04:42,600 ~-~-> 00:04:46,770 | ||
275 | session time window that we've created for this pattern. And | ||
276 | |||
277 | 70 | ||
278 | 00:04:46,980 ~-~-> 00:04:51,210 | ||
279 | we have really three candles here, here and here, where it | ||
280 | |||
281 | 71 | ||
282 | 00:04:51,210 ~-~-> 00:04:55,710 | ||
283 | meets optimal trade entry 62 or less down to 79. And you can | ||
284 | |||
285 | 72 | ||
286 | 00:04:55,710 ~-~-> 00:04:58,230 | ||
287 | be a buyer there. We're going to use the range here. Okay, | ||
288 | |||
289 | 73 | ||
290 | 00:04:58,230 ~-~-> 00:05:01,950 | ||
291 | so point five You could take your first scaling there | ||
292 | |||
293 | 74 | ||
294 | 00:05:01,980 ~-~-> 00:05:04,140 | ||
295 | partials and look how it spends a little bit of time | ||
296 | |||
297 | 75 | ||
298 | 00:05:04,140 ~-~-> 00:05:07,290 | ||
299 | consolidating there and then expands up to one to one full | ||
300 | |||
301 | 76 | ||
302 | 00:05:07,290 ~-~-> 00:05:12,330 | ||
303 | standard deviation here at 2922. So being a buyer at around | ||
304 | |||
305 | 77 | ||
306 | 00:05:12,420 ~-~-> 00:05:18,750 | ||
307 | 2900, big figure, and getting out with 15 handles in the SMP | ||
308 | |||
309 | 78 | ||
310 | 00:05:18,780 ~-~-> 00:05:24,750 | ||
311 | as a first scalp or scaling, then your secondary exit for a | ||
312 | |||
313 | 79 | ||
314 | 00:05:24,750 ~-~-> 00:05:28,350 | ||
315 | partial could be at 2922, which is 22 handles in the s&p. | ||
316 | |||
317 | 80 | ||
318 | 00:05:28,800 ~-~-> 00:05:33,270 | ||
319 | then ultimately, as I mentioned in this pattern, this level | ||
320 | |||
321 | 81 | ||
322 | 00:05:33,270 ~-~-> 00:05:35,700 | ||
323 | here on the fib if it gets to that price level and runs a | ||
324 | |||
325 | 82 | ||
326 | 00:05:35,700 ~-~-> 00:05:38,880 | ||
327 | specific price point for liquidity, which is the Friday's | ||
328 | |||
329 | 83 | ||
330 | 00:05:38,880 ~-~-> 00:05:42,150 | ||
331 | high which is we annotate on the daily chart, the market | ||
332 | |||
333 | 84 | ||
334 | 00:05:42,150 ~-~-> 00:05:45,780 | ||
335 | will likely rather want to gravitate towards that old Friday | ||
336 | |||
337 | 85 | ||
338 | 00:05:45,780 ~-~-> 00:05:48,510 | ||
339 | high because the trend is bullish. It's going to want to | ||
340 | |||
341 | 86 | ||
342 | 00:05:48,510 ~-~-> 00:05:50,940 | ||
343 | take liquidity out there because a lot of people are short | ||
344 | |||
345 | 87 | ||
346 | 00:05:50,970 ~-~-> 00:05:54,750 | ||
347 | selling in the SMP the market has taken up above Friday's | ||
348 | |||
349 | 88 | ||
350 | 00:05:54,750 ~-~-> 00:05:59,850 | ||
351 | high and to the fib level 2936 the high comes in on this | ||
352 | |||
353 | 89 | ||
354 | 00:05:59,850 ~-~-> 00:06:03,810 | ||
355 | game Though, at 2937, only off by one handle and the SMP. | ||
356 | |||
357 | 90 | ||
358 | 00:06:04,110 ~-~-> 00:06:06,450 | ||
359 | And it went up again to another opportunity to do so, and | ||
360 | |||
361 | 91 | ||
362 | 00:06:06,450 ~-~-> 00:06:10,770 | ||
363 | again 2937, so it's only off by one handle. But you could | ||
364 | |||
365 | 92 | ||
366 | 00:06:10,800 ~-~-> 00:06:15,930 | ||
367 | take this idea here, instead of reaching for the 2936, round | ||
368 | |||
369 | 93 | ||
370 | 00:06:15,930 ~-~-> 00:06:18,990 | ||
371 | down to the nearest five level, so that would be 2935. So | ||
372 | |||
373 | 94 | ||
374 | 00:06:18,990 ~-~-> 00:06:22,560 | ||
375 | that's 35 handles with as much as one, two and three | ||
376 | |||
377 | 95 | ||
378 | 00:06:22,560 ~-~-> 00:06:25,710 | ||
379 | partials taken out. But at this point here, I would be out | ||
380 | |||
381 | 96 | ||
382 | 00:06:25,710 ~-~-> 00:06:28,920 | ||
383 | for this particular pattern in this market as an example. | ||
384 | |||
385 | 97 | ||
386 | 00:06:29,250 ~-~-> 00:06:31,230 | ||
387 | Hope you found this insightful until next time, I wish you | ||
388 | |||
389 | 98 | ||
390 | 00:06:31,230 ~-~-> 00:06:32,280 | ||
391 | good luck and good trading. |