Wiki source code of Mastering High Probability Scalping - Supplemental Session 01.srt
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1 | 1 | ||
2 | 00:00:10,679 ~-~-> 00:00:15,419 | ||
3 | ICT: Folks, give you a little bit of a amplification of the | ||
4 | |||
5 | 2 | ||
6 | 00:00:15,419 ~-~-> 00:00:19,379 | ||
7 | mastering high probability scalping volumes, one, two and | ||
8 | |||
9 | 3 | ||
10 | 00:00:19,379 ~-~-> 00:00:25,499 | ||
11 | three. Present the cable. And I'm just gonna remind you that | ||
12 | |||
13 | 4 | ||
14 | 00:00:26,879 ~-~-> 00:00:30,989 | ||
15 | the things I'm showing you here are not just hindsight | ||
16 | |||
17 | 5 | ||
18 | 00:00:30,989 ~-~-> 00:00:37,769 | ||
19 | lipstick actually execute on a number of these principles in | ||
20 | |||
21 | 6 | ||
22 | 00:00:37,769 ~-~-> 00:00:47,999 | ||
23 | these very pairs and I'll show you the orders when the time | ||
24 | |||
25 | 7 | ||
26 | 00:00:47,999 ~-~-> 00:00:51,329 | ||
27 | is appropriate for each one. Okay, so we're in on the daily | ||
28 | |||
29 | 8 | ||
30 | 00:00:51,329 ~-~-> 00:00:55,379 | ||
31 | chart for British Pound USD or cable. It's in a large | ||
32 | |||
33 | 9 | ||
34 | 00:00:55,379 ~-~-> 00:01:00,929 | ||
35 | trading range. Now obviously, the daily bias concept that I | ||
36 | |||
37 | 10 | ||
38 | 00:01:00,929 ~-~-> 00:01:04,799 | ||
39 | taught isn't going to be that favorable by just simply | ||
40 | |||
41 | 11 | ||
42 | 00:01:04,799 ~-~-> 00:01:07,859 | ||
43 | looking at swing points. So you got to look for reversal | ||
44 | |||
45 | 12 | ||
46 | 00:01:07,859 ~-~-> 00:01:12,329 | ||
47 | patterns and you find that with the hourly chart, so we | ||
48 | |||
49 | 13 | ||
50 | 00:01:12,329 ~-~-> 00:01:16,019 | ||
51 | dropped down into the hourly. Okay, so we have an hourly | ||
52 | |||
53 | 14 | ||
54 | 00:01:16,019 ~-~-> 00:01:20,399 | ||
55 | chart here. And it's I talk in volume three | ||
56 | |||
57 | 15 | ||
58 | 00:01:21,930 ~-~-> 00:01:22,500 | ||
59 | of my | ||
60 | |||
61 | 16 | ||
62 | 00:01:24,660 ~-~-> 00:01:32,070 | ||
63 | recent video series on scalping an old low here on 60 minute | ||
64 | |||
65 | 17 | ||
66 | 00:01:32,070 ~-~-> 00:01:37,020 | ||
67 | chart, price, should have willingness to really rally from | ||
68 | |||
69 | 18 | ||
70 | 00:01:37,020 ~-~-> 00:01:42,000 | ||
71 | there. When it came back down to it, we don't always know if | ||
72 | |||
73 | 19 | ||
74 | 00:01:42,030 ~-~-> 00:01:45,000 | ||
75 | a level is going to break so it's better to side with it. | ||
76 | |||
77 | 20 | ||
78 | 00:01:45,450 ~-~-> 00:01:47,700 | ||
79 | Not breaking and staying in the range, especially with the | ||
80 | |||
81 | 21 | ||
82 | 00:01:47,700 ~-~-> 00:01:51,150 | ||
83 | daily chart was suggesting in regards to British Pound USD | ||
84 | |||
85 | 22 | ||
86 | 00:01:51,150 ~-~-> 00:01:56,610 | ||
87 | staying in a larger trading range. So, with this level here, | ||
88 | |||
89 | 23 | ||
90 | 00:01:56,640 ~-~-> 00:02:01,470 | ||
91 | we do not look for continuation lower We're going to | ||
92 | |||
93 | 24 | ||
94 | 00:02:01,470 ~-~-> 00:02:05,160 | ||
95 | probably favor the side of the market, staying in the range. | ||
96 | |||
97 | 25 | ||
98 | 00:02:05,400 ~-~-> 00:02:07,410 | ||
99 | Okay, now if it's staying inside the range, this is going to | ||
100 | |||
101 | 26 | ||
102 | 00:02:07,410 ~-~-> 00:02:12,930 | ||
103 | be old support. Okay, revisited. If this is support, where | ||
104 | |||
105 | 27 | ||
106 | 00:02:12,930 ~-~-> 00:02:15,960 | ||
107 | should we take our focus? It's not about getting in, it's | ||
108 | |||
109 | 28 | ||
110 | 00:02:15,960 ~-~-> 00:02:19,380 | ||
111 | about where's the market most likely going to go? our | ||
112 | |||
113 | 29 | ||
114 | 00:02:19,380 ~-~-> 00:02:23,310 | ||
115 | attention should go immediately. Here we are. So if this is | ||
116 | |||
117 | 30 | ||
118 | 00:02:23,310 ~-~-> 00:02:26,760 | ||
119 | going to be support, our focus goes immediately back up to | ||
120 | |||
121 | 31 | ||
122 | 00:02:26,760 ~-~-> 00:02:30,120 | ||
123 | here, because this is what old resistance. Okay, so I'm | ||
124 | |||
125 | 32 | ||
126 | 00:02:30,120 ~-~-> 00:02:33,870 | ||
127 | keeping it very, very simple. But now, let's add one new | ||
128 | |||
129 | 33 | ||
130 | 00:02:33,870 ~-~-> 00:02:37,890 | ||
131 | dimension to it. If we see levels, like this that are very | ||
132 | |||
133 | 34 | ||
134 | 00:02:37,890 ~-~-> 00:02:41,850 | ||
135 | clean, clean, by that definition, is something I refer to as | ||
136 | |||
137 | 35 | ||
138 | 00:02:42,120 ~-~-> 00:02:44,850 | ||
139 | where a level just stays too uniform or too precise, | ||
140 | |||
141 | 36 | ||
142 | 00:02:44,910 ~-~-> 00:02:50,190 | ||
143 | horizontal support resistance. doesn't like to stay intact | ||
144 | |||
145 | 37 | ||
146 | 00:02:50,190 ~-~-> 00:02:53,850 | ||
147 | like this. Okay. retail traders, less informed traders will | ||
148 | |||
149 | 38 | ||
150 | 00:02:53,850 ~-~-> 00:02:57,210 | ||
151 | see this, okay. And I'll say, well, price has shown a | ||
152 | |||
153 | 39 | ||
154 | 00:02:57,210 ~-~-> 00:03:00,870 | ||
155 | willingness to sell off there and when price It's in that | ||
156 | |||
157 | 40 | ||
158 | 00:03:00,870 ~-~-> 00:03:03,030 | ||
159 | area again, it starts to sell off. So you're gonna think | ||
160 | |||
161 | 41 | ||
162 | 00:03:04,320 ~-~-> 00:03:06,630 | ||
163 | it's going to go lower. So what's going to be placed right | ||
164 | |||
165 | 42 | ||
166 | 00:03:06,630 ~-~-> 00:03:16,200 | ||
167 | above these highs? You got it by stops. So if we know that | ||
168 | |||
169 | 43 | ||
170 | 00:03:16,200 ~-~-> 00:03:20,250 | ||
171 | this is a likely turning point where price could bounce. Now | ||
172 | |||
173 | 44 | ||
174 | 00:03:20,250 ~-~-> 00:03:24,510 | ||
175 | this becomes a area where this same phenomenon here may take | ||
176 | |||
177 | 45 | ||
178 | 00:03:24,510 ~-~-> 00:03:27,930 | ||
179 | place. But on the other end, in other words support a double | ||
180 | |||
181 | 46 | ||
182 | 00:03:27,930 ~-~-> 00:03:31,590 | ||
183 | bottom. We're going to try to reach back up into the double | ||
184 | |||
185 | 47 | ||
186 | 00:03:31,590 ~-~-> 00:03:37,380 | ||
187 | top. Here's where an institutional mindset kicks in. It's | ||
188 | |||
189 | 48 | ||
190 | 00:03:37,380 ~-~-> 00:03:41,520 | ||
191 | going to most likely not go lower, below this low. It's | ||
192 | |||
193 | 49 | ||
194 | 00:03:41,520 ~-~-> 00:03:43,950 | ||
195 | going to go back up to here, chances are it's probably going | ||
196 | |||
197 | 50 | ||
198 | 00:03:43,950 ~-~-> 00:03:47,010 | ||
199 | to reach for those individuals has already been short on the | ||
200 | |||
201 | 51 | ||
202 | 00:03:47,010 ~-~-> 00:03:51,360 | ||
203 | marketplace, and it's going to attack their buy stops. Smart | ||
204 | |||
205 | 52 | ||
206 | 00:03:51,360 ~-~-> 00:03:55,710 | ||
207 | Money will buy down here. And their objective will be to | ||
208 | |||
209 | 53 | ||
210 | 00:03:55,740 ~-~-> 00:03:59,190 | ||
211 | unseat those individuals to have buy stops or short | ||
212 | |||
213 | 54 | ||
214 | 00:03:59,190 ~-~-> 00:04:02,700 | ||
215 | positions. Arrest In this area here. Now let's take a closer | ||
216 | |||
217 | 55 | ||
218 | 00:04:02,700 ~-~-> 00:04:10,200 | ||
219 | look at that specific price level. Okay, it comes in roughly | ||
220 | |||
221 | 56 | ||
222 | 00:04:10,200 ~-~-> 00:04:17,010 | ||
223 | 131 80 which will calibrate to that. Okay 131 80 if we trade | ||
224 | |||
225 | 57 | ||
226 | 00:04:17,010 ~-~-> 00:04:22,200 | ||
227 | up to the 3180 level, and it's expected to reach above that | ||
228 | |||
229 | 58 | ||
230 | 00:04:22,200 ~-~-> 00:04:28,500 | ||
231 | level, I teach that price generally will reach about 10 to | ||
232 | |||
233 | 59 | ||
234 | 00:04:28,500 ~-~-> 00:04:32,880 | ||
235 | 20 pips above a previous higher low. Now watch the numbers | ||
236 | |||
237 | 60 | ||
238 | 00:04:32,880 ~-~-> 00:04:39,810 | ||
239 | to the right of my mouse. Okay, there's 30 and 20. Okay, so | ||
240 | |||
241 | 61 | ||
242 | 00:04:39,810 ~-~-> 00:04:42,060 | ||
243 | now we have a level of which we can anticipate price | ||
244 | |||
245 | 62 | ||
246 | 00:04:42,060 ~-~-> 00:04:45,540 | ||
247 | reaching up beyond the get these by stops. Okay, so now we | ||
248 | |||
249 | 63 | ||
250 | 00:04:45,540 ~-~-> 00:04:52,710 | ||
251 | can take this level and raise it right up to here. Okay, and | ||
252 | |||
253 | 64 | ||
254 | 00:04:52,710 ~-~-> 00:04:56,580 | ||
255 | we'll extend it out in time. You see, price does in fact, | ||
256 | |||
257 | 65 | ||
258 | 00:04:56,580 ~-~-> 00:05:00,330 | ||
259 | reach up into that level rather handsomely. Now I could have | ||
260 | |||
261 | 66 | ||
262 | 00:05:00,360 ~-~-> 00:05:05,760 | ||
263 | easily just moved up 10 pips above that high. And that would | ||
264 | |||
265 | 67 | ||
266 | 00:05:05,760 ~-~-> 00:05:14,790 | ||
267 | have been enough as well. You can see what that does in | ||
268 | |||
269 | 68 | ||
270 | 00:05:14,790 ~-~-> 00:05:23,550 | ||
271 | terms of targeting. Okay. If you look at the level, this is | ||
272 | |||
273 | 69 | ||
274 | 00:05:23,580 ~-~-> 00:05:28,560 | ||
275 | suggesting it's 131 89 with 10 pips above that, I like to | ||
276 | |||
277 | 70 | ||
278 | 00:05:28,560 ~-~-> 00:05:32,640 | ||
279 | get out a little early, hence 131 at its institutional | ||
280 | |||
281 | 71 | ||
282 | 00:05:32,640 ~-~-> 00:05:35,340 | ||
283 | level, I know I'll get a really good exit on that. And there | ||
284 | |||
285 | 72 | ||
286 | 00:05:35,340 ~-~-> 00:05:39,600 | ||
287 | was I was not in for the last portion of the move up here, | ||
288 | |||
289 | 73 | ||
290 | 00:05:39,750 ~-~-> 00:05:43,830 | ||
291 | and it's not necessary. Okay. So I want to kind of like go | ||
292 | |||
293 | 74 | ||
294 | 00:05:43,830 ~-~-> 00:05:49,230 | ||
295 | back into a lower timeframe. And we'll go down to a 15 | ||
296 | |||
297 | 75 | ||
298 | 00:05:49,230 ~-~-> 00:05:51,990 | ||
299 | minute time frame next. Okay, so here we have the 15 minute | ||
300 | |||
301 | 76 | ||
302 | 00:05:51,990 ~-~-> 00:05:55,710 | ||
303 | time frame on the British Pound USD or cable. And I'm going | ||
304 | |||
305 | 77 | ||
306 | 00:05:55,710 ~-~-> 00:06:01,470 | ||
307 | to address this area in here. This is the new york ICT kills | ||
308 | |||
309 | 78 | ||
310 | 00:06:01,470 ~-~-> 00:06:06,990 | ||
311 | him. Okay, where we target the swing that usually comes in | ||
312 | |||
313 | 79 | ||
314 | 00:06:06,990 ~-~-> 00:06:09,810 | ||
315 | around between seven o'clock in the morning and nine o'clock | ||
316 | |||
317 | 80 | ||
318 | 00:06:09,810 ~-~-> 00:06:15,210 | ||
319 | in the morning New York time. So we're going to assume | ||
320 | |||
321 | 81 | ||
322 | 00:06:15,510 ~-~-> 00:06:18,120 | ||
323 | that we are referencing the low here now you guys watch me | ||
324 | |||
325 | 82 | ||
326 | 00:06:18,120 ~-~-> 00:06:20,610 | ||
327 | actually trade this just for pips away from the actual low, | ||
328 | |||
329 | 83 | ||
330 | 00:06:20,970 ~-~-> 00:06:24,150 | ||
331 | buying it long and had a target of 131 80 which was given to | ||
332 | |||
333 | 84 | ||
334 | 00:06:24,150 ~-~-> 00:06:27,900 | ||
335 | you the day before this day even started trading. So I | ||
336 | |||
337 | 85 | ||
338 | 00:06:27,900 ~-~-> 00:06:31,740 | ||
339 | wanted to show you this past week, how it's for castable | ||
340 | |||
341 | 86 | ||
342 | 00:06:32,160 ~-~-> 00:06:35,370 | ||
343 | it's predictable, and it repeats itself and today I will | ||
344 | |||
345 | 87 | ||
346 | 00:06:35,370 ~-~-> 00:06:39,540 | ||
347 | show you how much of a precision you can have with it. So | ||
348 | |||
349 | 88 | ||
350 | 00:06:40,080 ~-~-> 00:06:43,860 | ||
351 | we're looking at the cable and I want you to remember these | ||
352 | |||
353 | 89 | ||
354 | 00:06:43,860 ~-~-> 00:06:51,480 | ||
355 | levels okay. 3190 and 3180. Okay, 3192 3180 3190 is 10 pips | ||
356 | |||
357 | 90 | ||
358 | 00:06:51,480 ~-~-> 00:06:54,270 | ||
359 | above the highs in here for the buy stops and 3180 is | ||
360 | |||
361 | 91 | ||
362 | 00:06:54,270 ~-~-> 00:06:57,300 | ||
363 | essentially the institutional level. That will be at this | ||
364 | |||
365 | 92 | ||
366 | 00:06:57,330 ~-~-> 00:07:00,810 | ||
367 | double top. Okay, double tops. I don't believe I'd like to | ||
368 | |||
369 | 93 | ||
370 | 00:07:00,810 ~-~-> 00:07:04,350 | ||
371 | see them targeted and double bottoms I don't believe in now | ||
372 | |||
373 | 94 | ||
374 | 00:07:04,350 ~-~-> 00:07:08,220 | ||
375 | this is also now a target for a future opportunity, but not | ||
376 | |||
377 | 95 | ||
378 | 00:07:08,220 ~-~-> 00:07:13,860 | ||
379 | yet. Okay. So, we're going to go down into a 15 minute time | ||
380 | |||
381 | 96 | ||
382 | 00:07:13,860 ~-~-> 00:07:17,550 | ||
383 | frame with lipstick on the chart where we can address | ||
384 | |||
385 | 97 | ||
386 | 00:07:17,550 ~-~-> 00:07:20,370 | ||
387 | certain things. Okay, here we have a 15 minute time frame, a | ||
388 | |||
389 | 98 | ||
390 | 00:07:20,370 ~-~-> 00:07:24,360 | ||
391 | little bit of ICT lipstick, if you will. This is how you | ||
392 | |||
393 | 99 | ||
394 | 00:07:24,360 ~-~-> 00:07:27,660 | ||
395 | want to attack your analysis. Okay, you want to have these | ||
396 | |||
397 | 100 | ||
398 | 00:07:27,660 ~-~-> 00:07:29,850 | ||
399 | types of things on your charts before you even consider | ||
400 | |||
401 | 101 | ||
402 | 00:07:29,850 ~-~-> 00:07:33,930 | ||
403 | taking trades. Well, organized trade execution starts by | ||
404 | |||
405 | 102 | ||
406 | 00:07:33,930 ~-~-> 00:07:38,130 | ||
407 | having a well documented reason for the trade to be even | ||
408 | |||
409 | 103 | ||
410 | 00:07:38,130 ~-~-> 00:07:41,310 | ||
411 | considered. And you have to have an exit strategy before you | ||
412 | |||
413 | 104 | ||
414 | 00:07:41,310 ~-~-> 00:07:45,660 | ||
415 | deploy. Do not do this, you're going to be subject to the | ||
416 | |||
417 | 105 | ||
418 | 00:07:45,660 ~-~-> 00:07:48,570 | ||
419 | tug of war effect that takes place in your mind when price | ||
420 | |||
421 | 106 | ||
422 | 00:07:48,570 ~-~-> 00:07:51,210 | ||
423 | is going up and down. And you'll abandon trade idea that you | ||
424 | |||
425 | 107 | ||
426 | 00:07:51,210 ~-~-> 00:07:54,510 | ||
427 | just willy nilly get into. If you see these types of things | ||
428 | |||
429 | 108 | ||
430 | 00:07:54,510 ~-~-> 00:07:59,190 | ||
431 | in your chart before you actually engage. It'll be harder | ||
432 | |||
433 | 109 | ||
434 | 00:07:59,220 ~-~-> 00:08:02,370 | ||
435 | for you to And then the idea and far easier for you to stay | ||
436 | |||
437 | 110 | ||
438 | 00:08:02,370 ~-~-> 00:08:10,440 | ||
439 | committed to it. So we're going to assume that we wake up at | ||
440 | |||
441 | 111 | ||
442 | 00:08:10,440 ~-~-> 00:08:13,200 | ||
443 | seven o'clock in the morning, New York time to look for a | ||
444 | |||
445 | 112 | ||
446 | 00:08:13,200 ~-~-> 00:08:17,340 | ||
447 | move, it's going to be scalped for the New York session. And | ||
448 | |||
449 | 113 | ||
450 | 00:08:17,340 ~-~-> 00:08:23,190 | ||
451 | we can see that the London low is intact. At the time of the | ||
452 | |||
453 | 114 | ||
454 | 00:08:23,190 ~-~-> 00:08:28,410 | ||
455 | New York, ICT kill zone, we're going to move our marker over | ||
456 | |||
457 | 115 | ||
458 | 00:08:28,410 ~-~-> 00:08:32,820 | ||
459 | here. So now it starts our hunt for the setup. It takes | ||
460 | |||
461 | 116 | ||
462 | 00:08:32,820 ~-~-> 00:08:35,430 | ||
463 | patience, generally in the seven o'clock to nine o'clock in | ||
464 | |||
465 | 117 | ||
466 | 00:08:35,430 ~-~-> 00:08:39,360 | ||
467 | the morning, New York time again, that window opportunity is | ||
468 | |||
469 | 118 | ||
470 | 00:08:39,360 ~-~-> 00:08:43,020 | ||
471 | where you'll see the New York session swing. Alright, so now | ||
472 | |||
473 | 119 | ||
474 | 00:08:43,020 ~-~-> 00:08:44,910 | ||
475 | we're going to zoom in just a little bit. Okay, so now we | ||
476 | |||
477 | 120 | ||
478 | 00:08:44,910 ~-~-> 00:08:48,150 | ||
479 | have our chart zoomed in. And this is the beginning of the | ||
480 | |||
481 | 121 | ||
482 | 00:08:48,150 ~-~-> 00:08:52,230 | ||
483 | new york session. So we're gonna be anticipating retracement | ||
484 | |||
485 | 122 | ||
486 | 00:08:52,380 ~-~-> 00:08:58,290 | ||
487 | after 7am New York time and we're going to be using a low | ||
488 | |||
489 | 123 | ||
490 | 00:08:58,860 ~-~-> 00:09:01,200 | ||
491 | that's going to be referenced In the previous session, which | ||
492 | |||
493 | 124 | ||
494 | 00:09:01,200 ~-~-> 00:09:04,830 | ||
495 | is one, so if we start here and go back, sorry, looking | ||
496 | |||
497 | 125 | ||
498 | 00:09:04,830 ~-~-> 00:09:08,310 | ||
499 | backwards, we want to see a swing low. Okay? This is not so | ||
500 | |||
501 | 126 | ||
502 | 00:09:08,310 ~-~-> 00:09:11,580 | ||
503 | good. Okay, and keep going to the left, boom, we have a | ||
504 | |||
505 | 127 | ||
506 | 00:09:11,580 ~-~-> 00:09:15,900 | ||
507 | swing low right there. Okay. Now it's also inside the London | ||
508 | |||
509 | 128 | ||
510 | 00:09:15,900 ~-~-> 00:09:18,120 | ||
511 | kill zone, which is this red area down here. | ||
512 | |||
513 | 129 | ||
514 | 00:09:19,230 ~-~-> 00:09:20,670 | ||
515 | If we add our fib | ||
516 | |||
517 | 130 | ||
518 | 00:09:22,679 ~-~-> 00:09:24,899 | ||
519 | start on a 15 minute time frame and then we can calibrate | ||
520 | |||
521 | 131 | ||
522 | 00:09:24,899 ~-~-> 00:09:27,119 | ||
523 | down to a five and what I'll show you today is a one minute | ||
524 | |||
525 | 132 | ||
526 | 00:09:27,119 ~-~-> 00:09:32,939 | ||
527 | chart. Okay, so we're showing the lowest body open or close | ||
528 | |||
529 | 133 | ||
530 | 00:09:33,689 ~-~-> 00:09:36,659 | ||
531 | to the highest body open or close prior to this drop down | ||
532 | |||
533 | 134 | ||
534 | 00:09:36,719 ~-~-> 00:09:40,619 | ||
535 | after 7am. We're measuring that retracement, as you can see, | ||
536 | |||
537 | 135 | ||
538 | 00:09:41,309 ~-~-> 00:09:44,819 | ||
539 | it nails it perfectly to the 79% retracement level as I | ||
540 | |||
541 | 136 | ||
542 | 00:09:44,819 ~-~-> 00:09:51,359 | ||
543 | defined the fib. Now, right away, I want you to think if | ||
544 | |||
545 | 137 | ||
546 | 00:09:51,359 ~-~-> 00:09:54,749 | ||
547 | we're looking to go long, the idea is hinged on the fact | ||
548 | |||
549 | 138 | ||
550 | 00:09:54,749 ~-~-> 00:10:01,529 | ||
551 | that we're targeting buy stocks at 31 at 3182 3190 is the | ||
552 | |||
553 | 139 | ||
554 | 00:10:01,529 ~-~-> 00:10:05,849 | ||
555 | draw, it could go just 10 pips or just to the old high 3180. | ||
556 | |||
557 | 140 | ||
558 | 00:10:06,389 ~-~-> 00:10:08,969 | ||
559 | So between these two blue lines, that's where I want your | ||
560 | |||
561 | 141 | ||
562 | 00:10:08,969 ~-~-> 00:10:11,879 | ||
563 | mind focusing, okay, and we're gonna start looking for | ||
564 | |||
565 | 142 | ||
566 | 00:10:11,879 ~-~-> 00:10:16,469 | ||
567 | conferences to overlap. Now we have the entry pattern here, | ||
568 | |||
569 | 143 | ||
570 | 00:10:16,619 ~-~-> 00:10:19,949 | ||
571 | which is the least of importance. But this is where you | ||
572 | |||
573 | 144 | ||
574 | 00:10:19,949 ~-~-> 00:10:22,799 | ||
575 | would time it, and you would go long here, but we'll, we'll | ||
576 | |||
577 | 145 | ||
578 | 00:10:22,799 ~-~-> 00:10:26,759 | ||
579 | drop down until five minute chart in a minute. But right | ||
580 | |||
581 | 146 | ||
582 | 00:10:26,759 ~-~-> 00:10:31,109 | ||
583 | here, we can now start to engage entry pattern. So there's | ||
584 | |||
585 | 147 | ||
586 | 00:10:31,139 ~-~-> 00:10:36,299 | ||
587 | our 15 minute time frame going in New York kill zone. So as | ||
588 | |||
589 | 148 | ||
590 | 00:10:36,299 ~-~-> 00:10:42,209 | ||
591 | our bi and with our favorite overlap like this, we can see | ||
592 | |||
593 | 149 | ||
594 | 00:10:42,209 ~-~-> 00:10:50,099 | ||
595 | that the fit gives us a level right in here. For a target or | ||
596 | |||
597 | 150 | ||
598 | 00:10:50,099 ~-~-> 00:10:56,399 | ||
599 | extension, we will look for prices to get to 3180 to 3190. | ||
600 | |||
601 | 151 | ||
602 | 00:10:57,449 ~-~-> 00:10:59,639 | ||
603 | Now we're gonna drop down into a five minute time frame and | ||
604 | |||
605 | 152 | ||
606 | 00:10:59,639 ~-~-> 00:11:03,869 | ||
607 | help Give it a bit more precision. Okay, now we can see the | ||
608 | |||
609 | 153 | ||
610 | 00:11:03,869 ~-~-> 00:11:06,599 | ||
611 | fibs is a little bit off based on the size of the candles | ||
612 | |||
613 | 154 | ||
614 | 00:11:06,599 ~-~-> 00:11:09,119 | ||
615 | and that's not going to change anything, okay, but we can | ||
616 | |||
617 | 155 | ||
618 | 00:11:09,119 ~-~-> 00:11:15,899 | ||
619 | further refine it down into this time frame. Or we can drop | ||
620 | |||
621 | 156 | ||
622 | 00:11:15,899 ~-~-> 00:11:21,149 | ||
623 | it down to the lowest body open or close to the highest body | ||
624 | |||
625 | 157 | ||
626 | 00:11:21,149 ~-~-> 00:11:29,579 | ||
627 | or close on the swing, which is here, right there. Okay, you | ||
628 | |||
629 | 158 | ||
630 | 00:11:29,579 ~-~-> 00:11:32,759 | ||
631 | can see nothing's really changed all it did was moved it in | ||
632 | |||
633 | 159 | ||
634 | 00:11:32,759 ~-~-> 00:11:36,689 | ||
635 | migrated closer to the 70.5 level. Nothing wrong with that | ||
636 | |||
637 | 160 | ||
638 | 00:11:36,689 ~-~-> 00:11:39,809 | ||
639 | and just adding more precision. But at this point here, | ||
640 | |||
641 | 161 | ||
642 | 00:11:41,519 ~-~-> 00:11:45,209 | ||
643 | let's assume you missed this opportunity. Okay. But we | ||
644 | |||
645 | 162 | ||
646 | 00:11:45,269 ~-~-> 00:11:49,589 | ||
647 | believe based on what I'm sharing here, that after that | ||
648 | |||
649 | 163 | ||
650 | 00:11:49,799 ~-~-> 00:11:54,539 | ||
651 | point of time, we're expecting price to get up into now i'm | ||
652 | |||
653 | 164 | ||
654 | 00:11:54,539 ~-~-> 00:11:56,669 | ||
655 | doing i'm not trying to highlight this specific price point | ||
656 | |||
657 | 165 | ||
658 | 00:11:56,669 ~-~-> 00:11:59,999 | ||
659 | for cherry picking. I'm looking at the end of this term. | ||
660 | |||
661 | 166 | ||
662 | 00:11:59,999 ~-~-> 00:12:02,699 | ||
663 | point down here and to the right of it. So that's all I'm | ||
664 | |||
665 | 167 | ||
666 | 00:12:02,699 ~-~-> 00:12:07,229 | ||
667 | doing. And I'm highlighting an area of price action all the | ||
668 | |||
669 | 168 | ||
670 | 00:12:07,229 ~-~-> 00:12:11,489 | ||
671 | way through the New York session. And I want to talk a | ||
672 | |||
673 | 169 | ||
674 | 00:12:11,489 ~-~-> 00:12:14,099 | ||
675 | little bit, pass it on purpose. I go through the entire | ||
676 | |||
677 | 170 | ||
678 | 00:12:14,099 ~-~-> 00:12:16,529 | ||
679 | range of this blue line down here. Okay, that's delineating | ||
680 | |||
681 | 171 | ||
682 | 00:12:16,529 ~-~-> 00:12:19,739 | ||
683 | time. So we're going to anticipate an entry down here and a | ||
684 | |||
685 | 172 | ||
686 | 00:12:19,739 ~-~-> 00:12:24,749 | ||
687 | target that should be reached for the scalp, and we'll | ||
688 | |||
689 | 173 | ||
690 | 00:12:24,749 ~-~-> 00:12:33,059 | ||
691 | change this to light blue. Now be good. Okay, so now let's | ||
692 | |||
693 | 174 | ||
694 | 00:12:33,059 ~-~-> 00:12:36,059 | ||
695 | assume we missed this opportunity to go long, based on the | ||
696 | |||
697 | 175 | ||
698 | 00:12:36,089 ~-~-> 00:12:40,379 | ||
699 | London low potentially being in place. This is our setup for | ||
700 | |||
701 | 176 | ||
702 | 00:12:40,379 ~-~-> 00:12:42,959 | ||
703 | the scalp, trading in the direction that the London has | ||
704 | |||
705 | 177 | ||
706 | 00:12:42,959 ~-~-> 00:12:47,699 | ||
707 | created. The lows day and power three phenomenon should be | ||
708 | |||
709 | 178 | ||
710 | 00:12:48,149 ~-~-> 00:12:53,609 | ||
711 | the open accumulation, manipulation, making a low today and | ||
712 | |||
713 | 179 | ||
714 | 00:12:53,609 ~-~-> 00:12:57,659 | ||
715 | then rallying up. New York is going to be a continuation of | ||
716 | |||
717 | 180 | ||
718 | 00:12:57,899 ~-~-> 00:13:01,409 | ||
719 | classic bi days as I define it in my tutorial. We can see | ||
720 | |||
721 | 181 | ||
722 | 00:13:01,409 ~-~-> 00:13:03,929 | ||
723 | this area here is the best time to buy, but let's assume we | ||
724 | |||
725 | 182 | ||
726 | 00:13:03,929 ~-~-> 00:13:08,519 | ||
727 | missed it. Let's drop down into a one minute chart and see | ||
728 | |||
729 | 183 | ||
730 | 00:13:08,519 ~-~-> 00:13:11,099 | ||
731 | what we can say. Okay, we have our British Pound set to a | ||
732 | |||
733 | 184 | ||
734 | 00:13:11,099 ~-~-> 00:13:13,649 | ||
735 | one minute chart. And here's our entry pattern we would have | ||
736 | |||
737 | 185 | ||
738 | 00:13:13,649 ~-~-> 00:13:18,629 | ||
739 | missed on the first hit, no problem. We wait. Okay, if you | ||
740 | |||
741 | 186 | ||
742 | 00:13:18,629 ~-~-> 00:13:21,899 | ||
743 | know what you're looking for, the upside Target has not been | ||
744 | |||
745 | 187 | ||
746 | 00:13:21,899 ~-~-> 00:13:25,349 | ||
747 | reached for the day yet. Okay, we can look for a smaller | ||
748 | |||
749 | 188 | ||
750 | 00:13:25,349 ~-~-> 00:13:28,169 | ||
751 | little fractal of the same pattern that we use for optimal | ||
752 | |||
753 | 189 | ||
754 | 00:13:28,169 ~-~-> 00:13:34,409 | ||
755 | trade entry. And the fib use the body's lowest open or close | ||
756 | |||
757 | 190 | ||
758 | 00:13:35,009 ~-~-> 00:13:39,569 | ||
759 | up to the highest body open or close. Beautiful 70.5 level | ||
760 | |||
761 | 191 | ||
762 | 00:13:39,569 ~-~-> 00:13:43,859 | ||
763 | right there, entry and bang it beautifully right there. So | ||
764 | |||
765 | 192 | ||
766 | 00:13:43,859 ~-~-> 00:13:48,269 | ||
767 | you don't need to have the X in the actual first time it | ||
768 | |||
769 | 193 | ||
770 | 00:13:48,269 ~-~-> 00:13:50,489 | ||
771 | hits. Once you know what you're looking for. You get a | ||
772 | |||
773 | 194 | ||
774 | 00:13:50,489 ~-~-> 00:13:54,299 | ||
775 | market structure break here. retracement rallies up so you | ||
776 | |||
777 | 195 | ||
778 | 00:13:54,299 ~-~-> 00:13:58,049 | ||
779 | can use a smaller timeframe to get in and get in sync. Now | ||
780 | |||
781 | 196 | ||
782 | 00:13:58,049 ~-~-> 00:14:06,719 | ||
783 | obviously We can use the same premise here, though is body | ||
784 | |||
785 | 197 | ||
786 | 00:14:06,719 ~-~-> 00:14:11,909 | ||
787 | open or close to the highest body open and close which is | ||
788 | |||
789 | 198 | ||
790 | 00:14:11,909 ~-~-> 00:14:17,129 | ||
791 | here. Right there. Okay. And we can see the symmetrical | ||
792 | |||
793 | 199 | ||
794 | 00:14:17,129 ~-~-> 00:14:19,139 | ||
795 | price swing nails it perfectly right there. | ||
796 | |||
797 | 200 | ||
798 | 00:14:20,549 ~-~-> 00:14:22,619 | ||
799 | Okay, so you can use a woman to try to get really really | ||
800 | |||
801 | 201 | ||
802 | 00:14:23,189 ~-~-> 00:14:28,529 | ||
803 | fine tune entry swing during the time that Killzone hits it | ||
804 | |||
805 | 202 | ||
806 | 00:14:28,529 ~-~-> 00:14:32,009 | ||
807 | beautifully in in bang delivery a perfect symmetrical price | ||
808 | |||
809 | 203 | ||
810 | 00:14:32,009 ~-~-> 00:14:34,979 | ||
811 | swing. So let's go to the euro dollar and take a look at | ||
812 | |||
813 | 204 | ||
814 | 00:14:35,009 ~-~-> 00:14:38,009 | ||
815 | that as well. Right we're looking to euro dollar is a daily | ||
816 | |||
817 | 205 | ||
818 | 00:14:38,009 ~-~-> 00:14:42,719 | ||
819 | chart. Now this is a little similar to cable, but we've had | ||
820 | |||
821 | 206 | ||
822 | 00:14:43,259 ~-~-> 00:14:47,429 | ||
823 | a swing low form after trading below an old low here and we | ||
824 | |||
825 | 207 | ||
826 | 00:14:47,429 ~-~-> 00:14:52,259 | ||
827 | create a nice big up day. We have a swing low prices move | ||
828 | |||
829 | 208 | ||
830 | 00:14:52,349 ~-~-> 00:14:56,549 | ||
831 | above this third candles high so now we're in buy mode for | ||
832 | |||
833 | 209 | ||
834 | 00:14:56,579 ~-~-> 00:14:59,969 | ||
835 | directional bias, and we're gonna look at this trading day | ||
836 | |||
837 | 210 | ||
838 | 00:14:59,999 ~-~-> 00:15:04,289 | ||
839 | Friday to see how we can see how I identified and outlined | ||
840 | |||
841 | 211 | ||
842 | 00:15:04,499 ~-~-> 00:15:07,199 | ||
843 | the euro dollar trade for New York a we're in a 15 minute | ||
844 | |||
845 | 212 | ||
846 | 00:15:07,199 ~-~-> 00:15:10,349 | ||
847 | time frame for the euro dollar. You can see that Thursday's | ||
848 | |||
849 | 213 | ||
850 | 00:15:10,349 ~-~-> 00:15:13,889 | ||
851 | trading in here we had a high previous high, slightly lower | ||
852 | |||
853 | 214 | ||
854 | 00:15:13,889 ~-~-> 00:15:17,129 | ||
855 | high here but look what happened price moves away and drops | ||
856 | |||
857 | 215 | ||
858 | 00:15:17,129 ~-~-> 00:15:21,539 | ||
859 | down during the London session. With that in mind does not | ||
860 | |||
861 | 216 | ||
862 | 00:15:21,599 ~-~-> 00:15:24,749 | ||
863 | not create that same pattern we just had in British Pound | ||
864 | |||
865 | 217 | ||
866 | 00:15:24,749 ~-~-> 00:15:28,319 | ||
867 | USD. Yes, we're going to be resting above these two equal | ||
868 | |||
869 | 218 | ||
870 | 00:15:28,319 ~-~-> 00:15:32,639 | ||
871 | highs by stops. Okay, so we're going to put our horizontal | ||
872 | |||
873 | 219 | ||
874 | 00:15:32,639 ~-~-> 00:15:37,679 | ||
875 | line there right on it. And we have the old high here buy | ||
876 | |||
877 | 220 | ||
878 | 00:15:37,679 ~-~-> 00:15:41,279 | ||
879 | started we resting just above these highs and if the level | ||
880 | |||
881 | 221 | ||
882 | 00:15:41,279 ~-~-> 00:15:45,869 | ||
883 | is essentially 116 50 if it's essentially 116 50 it's double | ||
884 | |||
885 | 222 | ||
886 | 00:15:45,869 ~-~-> 00:15:49,199 | ||
887 | topping out. They're going to want to take price above that | ||
888 | |||
889 | 223 | ||
890 | 00:15:49,199 ~-~-> 00:15:57,209 | ||
891 | level 10 to 20 pips so we're going to add our range of 10 to | ||
892 | |||
893 | 224 | ||
894 | 00:15:57,209 ~-~-> 00:16:02,909 | ||
895 | 20 pips right on there. Hi level. There's 10 | ||
896 | |||
897 | 225 | ||
898 | 00:16:08,039 ~-~-> 00:16:23,819 | ||
899 | right there. And then 2020 pips right there. Okay. So what | ||
900 | |||
901 | 226 | ||
902 | 00:16:23,819 ~-~-> 00:16:26,729 | ||
903 | that means is we're looking for that same phenomenon down | ||
904 | |||
905 | 227 | ||
906 | 00:16:26,729 ~-~-> 00:16:30,509 | ||
907 | here during the London session. Friday creates the low of | ||
908 | |||
909 | 228 | ||
910 | 00:16:30,509 ~-~-> 00:16:36,239 | ||
911 | the day and price runs through. Now it takes out this level | ||
912 | |||
913 | 229 | ||
914 | 00:16:36,239 ~-~-> 00:16:39,959 | ||
915 | here, initially, but then it retraces, did it go 10 pips | ||
916 | |||
917 | 230 | ||
918 | 00:16:39,959 ~-~-> 00:16:44,249 | ||
919 | above the high, not yet, not here. So looking for this | ||
920 | |||
921 | 231 | ||
922 | 00:16:44,249 ~-~-> 00:16:47,729 | ||
923 | retracement after 7am New York time, we're going to add our | ||
924 | |||
925 | 232 | ||
926 | 00:16:47,729 ~-~-> 00:16:54,599 | ||
927 | Fibonacci lowest open or close to the highest open or close | ||
928 | |||
929 | 233 | ||
930 | 00:16:54,839 ~-~-> 00:16:58,499 | ||
931 | here. So we have our 62% retracement level here calling for | ||
932 | |||
933 | 234 | ||
934 | 00:16:58,499 ~-~-> 00:17:06,539 | ||
935 | a optimal trade entry long And you can see that is here. So | ||
936 | |||
937 | 235 | ||
938 | 00:17:06,539 ~-~-> 00:17:12,989 | ||
939 | here's our entry based on it New York open kill zone, change | ||
940 | |||
941 | 236 | ||
942 | 00:17:12,989 ~-~-> 00:17:20,369 | ||
943 | that color just to make it pop so you guys can see it. Okay, | ||
944 | |||
945 | 237 | ||
946 | 00:17:21,329 ~-~-> 00:17:25,259 | ||
947 | now in here, we're going to drop down into a five minute | ||
948 | |||
949 | 238 | ||
950 | 00:17:25,259 ~-~-> 00:17:29,219 | ||
951 | timeframe, but we're looking for specifically these levels. | ||
952 | |||
953 | 239 | ||
954 | 00:17:29,219 ~-~-> 00:17:33,329 | ||
955 | Now I'm going to draw them on a chart with horizontal lines. | ||
956 | |||
957 | 240 | ||
958 | 00:17:37,979 ~-~-> 00:17:42,599 | ||
959 | And I'm gonna change this to a thinner one, because that's | ||
960 | |||
961 | 241 | ||
962 | 00:17:42,599 ~-~-> 00:17:45,689 | ||
963 | the level where the buy stops would be resting just above | ||
964 | |||
965 | 242 | ||
966 | 00:17:45,809 ~-~-> 00:17:48,809 | ||
967 | Okay, and the two darker blue lines, they will be targets | ||
968 | |||
969 | 243 | ||
970 | 00:17:48,809 ~-~-> 00:17:51,419 | ||
971 | that we've reached for. I want to drop down into a five | ||
972 | |||
973 | 244 | ||
974 | 00:17:51,419 ~-~-> 00:17:54,239 | ||
975 | minute Okay, here we have eurodollar on the five minute time | ||
976 | |||
977 | 245 | ||
978 | 00:17:54,239 ~-~-> 00:17:58,139 | ||
979 | frame. Again, this is the area where the biceps would be | ||
980 | |||
981 | 246 | ||
982 | 00:17:58,139 ~-~-> 00:18:04,019 | ||
983 | just above Don't take that level off. And here's where I | ||
984 | |||
985 | 247 | ||
986 | 00:18:04,019 ~-~-> 00:18:10,259 | ||
987 | believe 10 pips above level and 20 pips above the level | ||
988 | |||
989 | 248 | ||
990 | 00:18:10,469 ~-~-> 00:18:15,059 | ||
991 | would be around those by stops now I gave 1680 as an | ||
992 | |||
993 | 249 | ||
994 | 00:18:15,059 ~-~-> 00:18:19,079 | ||
995 | objective. In the event it went as high as that because | ||
996 | |||
997 | 250 | ||
998 | 00:18:19,079 ~-~-> 00:18:22,739 | ||
999 | there's institutional level, but because what I just showed | ||
1000 | |||
1001 | 251 | ||
1002 | 00:18:22,739 ~-~-> 00:18:25,199 | ||
1003 | you in this presentation, this is the reason why I took the | ||
1004 | |||
1005 | 252 | ||
1006 | 00:18:25,199 ~-~-> 00:18:28,049 | ||
1007 | trade off. So I'm going to kind of like segue into the | ||
1008 | |||
1009 | 253 | ||
1010 | 00:18:28,229 ~-~-> 00:18:31,889 | ||
1011 | opportunity of looking for moves that's already underway. We | ||
1012 | |||
1013 | 254 | ||
1014 | 00:18:31,889 ~-~-> 00:18:37,049 | ||
1015 | can see that happening here. I'll calibrate the fit based on | ||
1016 | |||
1017 | 255 | ||
1018 | 00:18:37,049 ~-~-> 00:18:39,779 | ||
1019 | the lowest open or close to the highest open and close here. | ||
1020 | |||
1021 | 256 | ||
1022 | 00:18:40,739 ~-~-> 00:18:44,669 | ||
1023 | You can see it comes right down into 62% tracing level right | ||
1024 | |||
1025 | 257 | ||
1026 | 00:18:44,669 ~-~-> 00:18:53,069 | ||
1027 | there. Okay, so we have a new york session. Buying here. | ||
1028 | |||
1029 | 258 | ||
1030 | 00:18:54,449 ~-~-> 00:18:59,159 | ||
1031 | buying it this level. Stop I have to be below here. Never | ||
1032 | |||
1033 | 259 | ||
1034 | 00:18:59,159 ~-~-> 00:19:03,179 | ||
1035 | got in jeopardy. All. But as price started to rally away, | ||
1036 | |||
1037 | 260 | ||
1038 | 00:19:03,899 ~-~-> 00:19:08,099 | ||
1039 | and we were below this point here, since we're below this | ||
1040 | |||
1041 | 261 | ||
1042 | 00:19:08,099 ~-~-> 00:19:11,519 | ||
1043 | point here, you can be a buyer as I was on a down close | ||
1044 | |||
1045 | 262 | ||
1046 | 00:19:11,519 ~-~-> 00:19:15,059 | ||
1047 | candle. So taking price up into the area, I was hopefully | ||
1048 | |||
1049 | 263 | ||
1050 | 00:19:15,059 ~-~-> 00:19:17,519 | ||
1051 | trying to get into the 1680 level, but it didn't really give | ||
1052 | |||
1053 | 264 | ||
1054 | 00:19:17,519 ~-~-> 00:19:21,569 | ||
1055 | me opportunity to do so. And I missed a very high candle. | ||
1056 | |||
1057 | 265 | ||
1058 | 00:19:21,569 ~-~-> 00:19:24,899 | ||
1059 | But as you can see, not bad have an excellent. Okay, so | ||
1060 | |||
1061 | 266 | ||
1062 | 00:19:24,899 ~-~-> 00:19:27,419 | ||
1063 | hopefully this has been insightful. And you've been able to | ||
1064 | |||
1065 | 267 | ||
1066 | 00:19:27,959 ~-~-> 00:19:30,509 | ||
1067 | at least add a little bit more to your understanding about | ||
1068 | |||
1069 | 268 | ||
1070 | 00:19:30,509 ~-~-> 00:19:34,499 | ||
1071 | how the market moves from one point to the other. The main | ||
1072 | |||
1073 | 269 | ||
1074 | 00:19:34,499 ~-~-> 00:19:37,259 | ||
1075 | takeaway is, you want to know where the markets going to be | ||
1076 | |||
1077 | 270 | ||
1078 | 00:19:37,259 ~-~-> 00:19:41,489 | ||
1079 | drawn to. Okay. And the liquidity above old highs and our | ||
1080 | |||
1081 | 271 | ||
1082 | 00:19:41,489 ~-~-> 00:19:44,099 | ||
1083 | lows when they're double tops and double bottoms are the | ||
1084 | |||
1085 | 272 | ||
1086 | 00:19:44,129 ~-~-> 00:19:46,979 | ||
1087 | easiest things to trade. That's the reason why I teach it | ||
1088 | |||
1089 | 273 | ||
1090 | 00:19:47,159 ~-~-> 00:19:49,739 | ||
1091 | not tutorials because it's the most generic thing it takes | ||
1092 | |||
1093 | 274 | ||
1094 | 00:19:49,739 ~-~-> 00:19:52,529 | ||
1095 | place in the marketplace. It's never going to stop working. | ||
1096 | |||
1097 | 275 | ||
1098 | 00:19:52,649 ~-~-> 00:19:54,689 | ||
1099 | It's always going to be there in the charts every single | ||
1100 | |||
1101 | 276 | ||
1102 | 00:19:54,689 ~-~-> 00:19:56,939 | ||
1103 | trading week. If you train your eyes to look for those | ||
1104 | |||
1105 | 277 | ||
1106 | 00:19:56,939 ~-~-> 00:19:59,669 | ||
1107 | opportunities. You'll find all the journey in terms of | ||
1108 | |||
1109 | 278 | ||
1110 | 00:19:59,669 ~-~-> 00:20:02,549 | ||
1111 | trading The forex or any other asset class out there. Until | ||
1112 | |||
1113 | 279 | ||
1114 | 00:20:02,549 ~-~-> 00:20:04,739 | ||
1115 | next time, I wish you good luck and good trading |