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Version 1.1 by Drunk Monkey on 2020-11-20 16:03
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3 ICT: folks welcome back in this teaching terming
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7 specifically dealing with the ICT ATM method
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11 okay points of focus in this module we introducing the ICT
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15 ATM method the ATM and bares conditions with targets and
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19 stop placement the ATM in bullish conditions, the targets
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23 and stop placement.
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27 Okay introducing the ICT ATM method.
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31 Alright, it's a standalone price action pattern. The pattern
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35 capitalizes on stop runs to find this pattern on the 60
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39 minute chart It's relatively easy to spot and you can do it
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43 quickly and finding it. Because it's pretty much a well,
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47 it's a rejection level. Okay, and I'll show you what that
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51 looks like. It's pretty easy to trade. And the wonderful
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55 thing is it's a complete trading model for setups. Guess
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59 we're gonna look at the ATM in bearish conditions. Now once
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63 you take a look at this diagram on the right hand side, okay
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67 and let the image burn in for a couple of minutes. And as
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71 I'm talking to you just kind of like study what it's
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75 depicting. And I want you to think about how when we start
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79 as traders generally the idea of support resistance is
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83 rather early in our introduction to technical analysis. And
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87 the problem I found when I first started as a trader is what
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91 support resistance levels do I use this? I mean, there's so
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95 many you could possibly have in your chart, which ones
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99 should I be focusing on? So, my work has been trying to
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103 simplifying that so that way I could teach it to my
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107 children. Because of this, I've been able to make pretty
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111 detailed tutorials for people around the world to learn
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115 from. And I've developed a little bit better ability to
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119 teach over the years doing it. But initially, when I first
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123 started, I gave a lot of information, and it was overkill.
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127 So this teaching is going to be rather brief, but it's
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131 again, very dense in its information. So again, looking at
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135 this diagram here, I want you to think about what would
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139 constitute these turning points. And I'm sure if you were to
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143 go through charts, you could see patterns like this that are
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147 very similar in different timeframes. The timeframe that I
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151 teach, defined this pattern on is the hourly chart. The
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155 reason why I like to look for it on the hourly chart is
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159 because it gives me flexibility to drill down to a lower
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163 timeframe to refine risk to a smaller amount, while still
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167 keeping the maximum reward still in sight. And also, the
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171 hourly to me is clean enough in terms of a timeframe, it
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175 promotes a little bit longer term horizon for the setups.
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179 Now granted, an hourly chart is not long term. But you can
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183 see a lot of the levels you can see otherwise on a four hour
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187 or daily if you know you're looking for. So I kind of like
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191 to ingrain in your mind in this teaching how we can use key
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195 support resistance levels, and what makes these levels key.
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199 So the first thing you want to do is you want to take your
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203 60 minute chart and this can work on any asset class. Okay,
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207 so I'm going to be using forex for this discussion. Okay.
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211 The scope is in demo trading only. But you can also do if
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215 you also do demo accounts with futures contracts, commodity
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219 stocks, bonds and the like. So, you start with a 60 minute
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223 chart. Pretty simple, straightforward, you don't do, you
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227 don't do a whole lot of top down analysis, because the
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231 pattern is self sufficient. So you've been looking for a 60
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235 minute chart for a key high to form. And what makes it a key
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239 high is you want to see it create this initial short term
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243 high, and then it runs through it. It breaks down, okay,
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247 it's gonna break a swing low right here. When price trades
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251 through that, that's when it becomes a valid pattern. It
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255 does not become a valid pattern until we get below this
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259 swing low here. Okay? So imagine price action, kind of
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263 creating a checkmark Okay. Give it little short short term
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267 high here and it makes a check like that. Okay? When that
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271 check mark gets surpassed by price action when it trades
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275 back up to that, that's setup. Okay, that's what we're
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279 looking for. So ideally, what makes this setup stronger is
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283 if this whole price swing is part of a two stage move. In
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287 other words, we have a short term high, that's ran out, and
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291 we have a short term high here and it runs out. Okay, so
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295 this move should be ideally the second move up, taking a
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299 short term high. That means we're pretty much overbought
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303 from a technical standpoint without the necessity of any
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307 indicators.
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311 So we're focusing again on this short term low here and it
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315 has to break below that. Again, part of a two stage move
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319 higher And we're gonna be waiting for price to retrace back
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323 to the swing low that forms prior to the key high forming.
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327 Now what makes this high key is the fact that we have taken
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331 out a short term high, but the low immediately after that
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335 short term high is violated, it's broken down. So, in
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339 essence, this is a break in market structure here. And all
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343 we're doing is waiting for a retest of that same old support
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347 level now becomes resistance. So now when we see this in
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351 proper context, we can classify and quantify real support
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355 resistance, because we're incorporating the idea of a stock
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359 run above this short term high. And then anyone that's long
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363 here, we're gonna have a stop below this low, so they run
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367 through those stops. Price comes back up to this level here.
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371 We've already rejected price above this short term high
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375 above number two. So this level here should promote selling
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379 and it should stave off Real buying, because we've broken
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383 market structure with this swing low with this drop down. So
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387 this would be a nice area to look for shorts. And then once
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391 we have that, what we look for on this entry pattern, we
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395 have to frame obviously, profit and risk. So we first have
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399 to determine what's our potential profit. What do we hope to
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403 make? So we look for a swing low, where in this case it
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407 would be sell stops resting below that short term low. And
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411 we would target from our entry point at this low down to
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415 that level just below the old low that's what we are aiming
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419 for. That's our target, if you will, the risk is going to be
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423 defined by one or two pips above the key high, okay, or the
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427 rejection high. Sometimes price can go above this short term
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431 low a little bit. It's better if it doesn't, but don't be
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435 afraid. If it goes up by a little bit, your stop loss is up
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439 here to do its work. It's a demo account, don't lose any
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443 sleep over. Okay? So we're looking for the framework of this
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447 entry point to this as our objective and our stop loss
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451 protecting our overall position. Okay, so let's take a look
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455 of it in actual price action. Okay, we can see price
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459 creating a short term high here, price runs through it, no
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463 short term high here, price runs through that and then it
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467 rejects being above this short term high and trades down
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471 below this low in price comes back up and retake retreats to
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475 it. Okay, so this candle here violates it and then we come
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479 right back up to it and trades right into that same level.
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483 As soon as that happens, that is a sell scenario. Okay, or
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487 shorting opportunity. We're gonna be looking for a move
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491 below this low. Our risk is defined by the high six Five
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495 pips risk to make from this entry point down to the stops.
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499 That's not bad you can take that trade it's not you barn
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503 burning, okay? If we drop down into a 15 minute timeframe,
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507 we can take that same insight in here in zero in and use our
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511 trusty optimal trade entry pattern to reduce some of the
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515 risk. So now we can reduce that 65 pips stop loss down to 20
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519 pips. Notice also that we have a Fibonacci extension of
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523 300%, which takes us right below that low where our sell
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527 stop target with me. Now we're going to look at an example
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531 of the bullish condition of an ATM. Again, look at the
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535 scenario here in this crude depiction. Game we'll be
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539 scanning the price action on a 60 minute chart key low to
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543 form and a short term swing high broken to the upside.
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547 That's gonna be this here. So we're looking for For a low,
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551 that's violated and then we trade rate back above the short
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555 term high right here. So in other words, what we're looking
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559 for, it's kinda like a crooked little number seven. Okay?
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563 And when that is violated on the upside, when price comes
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567 back down to it, that's what we're hunting. So ideally, this
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571 is going to be part of a continued swing lower, we have a
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575 swing low, that's violated here, and then we have a swing
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579 low, that's violated here. So it's like a two stage move
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583 lower of breaking old support old support. Now we're really
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587 oversold technically without any necessity of needing any
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591 indication to tell us that. So here's our to scale drop
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595 down.
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599 And where are we waiting for price to retrace back to the
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603 swing high broken prior to the key low forming again, that's
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607 this here, and we zero in right there. That's our setup for
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611 a long. So we'll look for our opportunity for creaming our
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615 potential reward. Again, we're gonna be hunting by stops
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619 above this swing high here. And stop losses below here. So
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623 our entry to our stock is our risk and our entry to the buy
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627 stops above here is our potential profit or reward.
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631 All right, we'll take a look at an example in the bullish
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635 condition.
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639 Alright, so here is price action on an hourly chart, you can
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643 see we have one support level broken, another area of
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647 support broken, and then we have an old Whoa, violated
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651 aggressively, and then price trades back above it right
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655 here. When we see that this retest of that old high, that's
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659 where we're hunting along. So if that's our entry, and this
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663 is our stop loss, we're risking 140 pips, to make 225 pips
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667 by stops are our target here. Now that may not be an ideal
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671 scenario for you, it may not be something that fits your
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675 risk appetite, so we can now drop down into To a 15 minute
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679 timeframe and try to get that same 225 pips with a little
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683 bit lower stop loss. So here we are on a 15 minute time
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687 frame, I've zoomed in here and that same little area of
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691 looking to be a buyer, we're going to be now removing all
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695 that risk down to 80 pips, so we have a stop loss just below
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699 this old low here. Okay, so we have this low to this high
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703 here, coming back down to that level. So we're trying to
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707 give ourselves a little bit more of a better risk reward
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711 model here. Right away, we're almost at three to one that's
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715 improved, but watch what we do when we zoom in a little bit
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719 more. We're gonna actually go down to a five minute chart
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723 now and still see if we can get that 225 pips but with a
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727 smaller stop loss. Okay, so now we have a five minute chart
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731 again, that same little area, that green circle resumed in
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735 here. And now I'm doing this doing an optimal trade entry
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738 00:12:59,789 ~-~-> 00:13:03,659
739 long are in the fifth and the body's lowest open or close to
740
741 186
742 00:13:03,659 ~-~-> 00:13:06,599
743 the highest open or close and this swing high guess is a
744
745 187
746 00:13:06,599 ~-~-> 00:13:09,839
747 beautiful little optimal trade entry long. Right at the same
748
749 188
750 00:13:09,839 ~-~-> 00:13:13,469
751 level, we'd be looking for that scenario to unfold that. And
752
753 189
754 00:13:13,469 ~-~-> 00:13:16,319
755 now we can reduce that stop down to 20 pips, but still
756
757 190
758 00:13:16,319 ~-~-> 00:13:19,889
759 looking and hunting to earn 25 pips or in this case becomes
760
761 191
762 00:13:20,159 ~-~-> 00:13:24,629
763 11 to one reward the risk model. So what we've done is we've
764
765 192
766 00:13:24,929 ~-~-> 00:13:30,359
767 looked for a key turning point. We've identified the key
768
769 193
770 00:13:30,359 ~-~-> 00:13:35,039
771 levels relative to runs on liquidity stops, and we use the
772
773 194
774 00:13:35,039 ~-~-> 00:13:39,689
775 targets in the form of a stock run as well. We can use the
776
777 195
778 00:13:39,689 ~-~-> 00:13:43,379
779 optimal trade entry to zero in and reduce the risk but still
780
781 196
782 00:13:43,379 ~-~-> 00:13:47,369
783 keep the possible potential reward, still the same as we
784
785 197
786 00:13:47,369 ~-~-> 00:13:53,009
787 would have used from an hourly setup. So the 225 pips is
788
789 198
790 00:13:53,009 ~-~-> 00:13:57,239
791 still available to us with a 20 PIP stop loss. Now granted,
792
793 199
794 00:13:57,239 ~-~-> 00:14:00,479
795 you have to hold for a while but this is what It looks like
796
797 200
798 00:14:00,479 ~-~-> 00:14:03,479
799 on a five minute zoomed out and not getting the entire move,
800
801 201
802 00:14:03,509 ~-~-> 00:14:07,139
803 but it takes a little bit of time to get there. But
804
805 202
806 00:14:07,139 ~-~-> 00:14:11,459
807 nonetheless, this is how we can use the ATM method to get
808
809 203
810 00:14:11,459 ~-~-> 00:14:14,219
811 high probability setups, trading key support resistance
812
813 204
814 00:14:14,219 ~-~-> 00:14:19,169
815 levels. Again 225 pips is available. That's 20 pips stop
816
817 205
818 00:14:19,169 ~-~-> 00:14:25,979
819 loss. Hope you enjoyed this presentation. If you'd like
820
821 206
822 00:14:25,979 ~-~-> 00:14:28,619
823 these types of teachings, you can find more at V inner
824
825 207
826 00:14:28,619 ~-~-> 00:14:29,759
827 circle trader.com