ICT Market Maker Primer Course - 17 - The ICT ATM Method.srt

Version 1.1 by Drunk Monkey on 2020-11-20 16:03

1
00:00:11,580 --> 00:00:13,920
ICT: folks welcome back in this teaching terming

2
00:00:13,920 --> 00:00:16,770
specifically dealing with the ICT ATM method

3
00:00:23,820 --> 00:00:28,230
okay points of focus in this module we introducing the ICT

4
00:00:28,230 --> 00:00:34,020
ATM method the ATM and bares conditions with targets and

5
00:00:34,020 --> 00:00:39,180
stop placement the ATM in bullish conditions, the targets

6
00:00:39,180 --> 00:00:40,050
and stop placement.

7
00:00:42,240 --> 00:00:44,310
Okay introducing the ICT ATM method.

8
00:00:47,040 --> 00:00:52,890
Alright, it's a standalone price action pattern. The pattern

9
00:00:52,890 --> 00:00:59,250
capitalizes on stop runs to find this pattern on the 60

10
00:00:59,250 --> 00:01:05,010
minute chart It's relatively easy to spot and you can do it

11
00:01:05,010 --> 00:01:10,500
quickly and finding it. Because it's pretty much a well,

12
00:01:10,530 --> 00:01:12,810
it's a rejection level. Okay, and I'll show you what that

13
00:01:12,810 --> 00:01:17,070
looks like. It's pretty easy to trade. And the wonderful

14
00:01:17,070 --> 00:01:23,370
thing is it's a complete trading model for setups. Guess

15
00:01:23,370 --> 00:01:28,920
we're gonna look at the ATM in bearish conditions. Now once

16
00:01:28,920 --> 00:01:31,560
you take a look at this diagram on the right hand side, okay

17
00:01:31,560 --> 00:01:35,820
and let the image burn in for a couple of minutes. And as

18
00:01:35,820 --> 00:01:38,130
I'm talking to you just kind of like study what it's

19
00:01:38,580 --> 00:01:45,300
depicting. And I want you to think about how when we start

20
00:01:45,300 --> 00:01:48,510
as traders generally the idea of support resistance is

21
00:01:49,860 --> 00:01:55,530
rather early in our introduction to technical analysis. And

22
00:01:55,530 --> 00:01:58,980
the problem I found when I first started as a trader is what

23
00:01:59,160 --> 00:02:02,790
support resistance levels do I use this? I mean, there's so

24
00:02:02,790 --> 00:02:05,550
many you could possibly have in your chart, which ones

25
00:02:05,550 --> 00:02:09,510
should I be focusing on? So, my work has been trying to

26
00:02:09,510 --> 00:02:11,850
simplifying that so that way I could teach it to my

27
00:02:11,880 --> 00:02:17,100
children. Because of this, I've been able to make pretty

28
00:02:17,160 --> 00:02:20,310
detailed tutorials for people around the world to learn

29
00:02:20,310 --> 00:02:24,060
from. And I've developed a little bit better ability to

30
00:02:24,060 --> 00:02:27,030
teach over the years doing it. But initially, when I first

31
00:02:27,030 --> 00:02:30,780
started, I gave a lot of information, and it was overkill.

32
00:02:31,200 --> 00:02:35,070
So this teaching is going to be rather brief, but it's

33
00:02:35,100 --> 00:02:39,870
again, very dense in its information. So again, looking at

34
00:02:39,870 --> 00:02:43,710
this diagram here, I want you to think about what would

35
00:02:43,710 --> 00:02:49,080
constitute these turning points. And I'm sure if you were to

36
00:02:49,080 --> 00:02:52,110
go through charts, you could see patterns like this that are

37
00:02:52,110 --> 00:02:56,370
very similar in different timeframes. The timeframe that I

38
00:02:56,370 --> 00:03:01,080
teach, defined this pattern on is the hourly chart. The

39
00:03:01,080 --> 00:03:03,090
reason why I like to look for it on the hourly chart is

40
00:03:03,090 --> 00:03:06,600
because it gives me flexibility to drill down to a lower

41
00:03:06,600 --> 00:03:12,180
timeframe to refine risk to a smaller amount, while still

42
00:03:12,180 --> 00:03:18,600
keeping the maximum reward still in sight. And also, the

43
00:03:18,600 --> 00:03:23,070
hourly to me is clean enough in terms of a timeframe, it

44
00:03:23,070 --> 00:03:28,470
promotes a little bit longer term horizon for the setups.

45
00:03:28,590 --> 00:03:32,580
Now granted, an hourly chart is not long term. But you can

46
00:03:32,580 --> 00:03:35,340
see a lot of the levels you can see otherwise on a four hour

47
00:03:35,340 --> 00:03:39,540
or daily if you know you're looking for. So I kind of like

48
00:03:39,630 --> 00:03:43,020
to ingrain in your mind in this teaching how we can use key

49
00:03:43,020 --> 00:03:46,830
support resistance levels, and what makes these levels key.

50
00:03:49,680 --> 00:03:51,720
So the first thing you want to do is you want to take your

51
00:03:51,720 --> 00:03:55,440
60 minute chart and this can work on any asset class. Okay,

52
00:03:55,440 --> 00:03:59,970
so I'm going to be using forex for this discussion. Okay.

53
00:04:00,000 --> 00:04:04,290
The scope is in demo trading only. But you can also do if

54
00:04:04,290 --> 00:04:08,010
you also do demo accounts with futures contracts, commodity

55
00:04:08,010 --> 00:04:13,530
stocks, bonds and the like. So, you start with a 60 minute

56
00:04:13,530 --> 00:04:16,770
chart. Pretty simple, straightforward, you don't do, you

57
00:04:16,770 --> 00:04:19,200
don't do a whole lot of top down analysis, because the

58
00:04:19,200 --> 00:04:22,920
pattern is self sufficient. So you've been looking for a 60

59
00:04:22,920 --> 00:04:29,400
minute chart for a key high to form. And what makes it a key

60
00:04:29,400 --> 00:04:34,140
high is you want to see it create this initial short term

61
00:04:34,140 --> 00:04:39,120
high, and then it runs through it. It breaks down, okay,

62
00:04:39,120 --> 00:04:44,040
it's gonna break a swing low right here. When price trades

63
00:04:44,040 --> 00:04:46,590
through that, that's when it becomes a valid pattern. It

64
00:04:46,590 --> 00:04:52,800
does not become a valid pattern until we get below this

65
00:04:53,130 --> 00:04:57,810
swing low here. Okay? So imagine price action, kind of

66
00:04:57,810 --> 00:05:01,050
creating a checkmark Okay. Give it little short short term

67
00:05:01,050 --> 00:05:05,550
high here and it makes a check like that. Okay? When that

68
00:05:05,730 --> 00:05:11,130
check mark gets surpassed by price action when it trades

69
00:05:11,130 --> 00:05:14,610
back up to that, that's setup. Okay, that's what we're

70
00:05:14,610 --> 00:05:22,650
looking for. So ideally, what makes this setup stronger is

71
00:05:22,650 --> 00:05:27,240
if this whole price swing is part of a two stage move. In

72
00:05:27,240 --> 00:05:30,630
other words, we have a short term high, that's ran out, and

73
00:05:30,630 --> 00:05:33,720
we have a short term high here and it runs out. Okay, so

74
00:05:33,720 --> 00:05:37,380
this move should be ideally the second move up, taking a

75
00:05:37,380 --> 00:05:40,560
short term high. That means we're pretty much overbought

76
00:05:40,860 --> 00:05:43,290
from a technical standpoint without the necessity of any

77
00:05:43,290 --> 00:05:43,950
indicators.

78
00:05:45,360 --> 00:05:50,730
So we're focusing again on this short term low here and it

79
00:05:50,730 --> 00:05:58,290
has to break below that. Again, part of a two stage move

80
00:05:58,290 --> 00:06:02,880
higher And we're gonna be waiting for price to retrace back

81
00:06:02,880 --> 00:06:06,240
to the swing low that forms prior to the key high forming.

82
00:06:06,450 --> 00:06:12,630
Now what makes this high key is the fact that we have taken

83
00:06:12,630 --> 00:06:16,230
out a short term high, but the low immediately after that

84
00:06:16,230 --> 00:06:20,400
short term high is violated, it's broken down. So, in

85
00:06:20,400 --> 00:06:23,700
essence, this is a break in market structure here. And all

86
00:06:23,700 --> 00:06:27,150
we're doing is waiting for a retest of that same old support

87
00:06:27,150 --> 00:06:30,660
level now becomes resistance. So now when we see this in

88
00:06:30,720 --> 00:06:37,530
proper context, we can classify and quantify real support

89
00:06:37,530 --> 00:06:41,730
resistance, because we're incorporating the idea of a stock

90
00:06:41,730 --> 00:06:44,730
run above this short term high. And then anyone that's long

91
00:06:44,730 --> 00:06:47,460
here, we're gonna have a stop below this low, so they run

92
00:06:47,460 --> 00:06:50,340
through those stops. Price comes back up to this level here.

93
00:06:50,670 --> 00:06:53,580
We've already rejected price above this short term high

94
00:06:53,580 --> 00:06:58,290
above number two. So this level here should promote selling

95
00:06:58,620 --> 00:07:02,280
and it should stave off Real buying, because we've broken

96
00:07:02,280 --> 00:07:05,910
market structure with this swing low with this drop down. So

97
00:07:05,910 --> 00:07:09,390
this would be a nice area to look for shorts. And then once

98
00:07:09,390 --> 00:07:15,120
we have that, what we look for on this entry pattern, we

99
00:07:15,120 --> 00:07:19,530
have to frame obviously, profit and risk. So we first have

100
00:07:19,530 --> 00:07:22,710
to determine what's our potential profit. What do we hope to

101
00:07:22,710 --> 00:07:27,810
make? So we look for a swing low, where in this case it

102
00:07:27,810 --> 00:07:32,310
would be sell stops resting below that short term low. And

103
00:07:32,310 --> 00:07:36,690
we would target from our entry point at this low down to

104
00:07:36,690 --> 00:07:39,930
that level just below the old low that's what we are aiming

105
00:07:39,930 --> 00:07:43,170
for. That's our target, if you will, the risk is going to be

106
00:07:43,170 --> 00:07:49,170
defined by one or two pips above the key high, okay, or the

107
00:07:49,170 --> 00:07:54,240
rejection high. Sometimes price can go above this short term

108
00:07:54,240 --> 00:07:58,710
low a little bit. It's better if it doesn't, but don't be

109
00:07:59,430 --> 00:08:02,580
afraid. If it goes up by a little bit, your stop loss is up

110
00:08:02,580 --> 00:08:05,520
here to do its work. It's a demo account, don't lose any

111
00:08:05,520 --> 00:08:09,240
sleep over. Okay? So we're looking for the framework of this

112
00:08:09,240 --> 00:08:12,330
entry point to this as our objective and our stop loss

113
00:08:12,510 --> 00:08:16,050
protecting our overall position. Okay, so let's take a look

114
00:08:16,050 --> 00:08:22,500
of it in actual price action. Okay, we can see price

115
00:08:22,500 --> 00:08:27,930
creating a short term high here, price runs through it, no

116
00:08:27,930 --> 00:08:31,200
short term high here, price runs through that and then it

117
00:08:31,200 --> 00:08:35,460
rejects being above this short term high and trades down

118
00:08:36,240 --> 00:08:41,160
below this low in price comes back up and retake retreats to

119
00:08:41,160 --> 00:08:44,790
it. Okay, so this candle here violates it and then we come

120
00:08:44,790 --> 00:08:47,520
right back up to it and trades right into that same level.

121
00:08:47,880 --> 00:08:52,350
As soon as that happens, that is a sell scenario. Okay, or

122
00:08:52,680 --> 00:08:55,290
shorting opportunity. We're gonna be looking for a move

123
00:08:55,290 --> 00:09:00,420
below this low. Our risk is defined by the high six Five

124
00:09:00,420 --> 00:09:04,530
pips risk to make from this entry point down to the stops.

125
00:09:06,720 --> 00:09:10,950
That's not bad you can take that trade it's not you barn

126
00:09:10,950 --> 00:09:16,530
burning, okay? If we drop down into a 15 minute timeframe,

127
00:09:17,250 --> 00:09:21,990
we can take that same insight in here in zero in and use our

128
00:09:22,020 --> 00:09:25,560
trusty optimal trade entry pattern to reduce some of the

129
00:09:25,560 --> 00:09:29,670
risk. So now we can reduce that 65 pips stop loss down to 20

130
00:09:29,670 --> 00:09:32,700
pips. Notice also that we have a Fibonacci extension of

131
00:09:32,970 --> 00:09:37,020
300%, which takes us right below that low where our sell

132
00:09:37,020 --> 00:09:39,960
stop target with me. Now we're going to look at an example

133
00:09:39,990 --> 00:09:43,590
of the bullish condition of an ATM. Again, look at the

134
00:09:43,590 --> 00:09:50,250
scenario here in this crude depiction. Game we'll be

135
00:09:50,250 --> 00:09:53,700
scanning the price action on a 60 minute chart key low to

136
00:09:53,700 --> 00:09:57,330
form and a short term swing high broken to the upside.

137
00:09:57,540 --> 00:10:00,750
That's gonna be this here. So we're looking for For a low,

138
00:10:01,110 --> 00:10:03,810
that's violated and then we trade rate back above the short

139
00:10:03,810 --> 00:10:06,360
term high right here. So in other words, what we're looking

140
00:10:06,360 --> 00:10:10,020
for, it's kinda like a crooked little number seven. Okay?

141
00:10:10,710 --> 00:10:14,040
And when that is violated on the upside, when price comes

142
00:10:14,040 --> 00:10:17,820
back down to it, that's what we're hunting. So ideally, this

143
00:10:17,820 --> 00:10:22,230
is going to be part of a continued swing lower, we have a

144
00:10:22,230 --> 00:10:24,420
swing low, that's violated here, and then we have a swing

145
00:10:24,420 --> 00:10:27,450
low, that's violated here. So it's like a two stage move

146
00:10:27,450 --> 00:10:31,140
lower of breaking old support old support. Now we're really

147
00:10:31,140 --> 00:10:34,470
oversold technically without any necessity of needing any

148
00:10:34,470 --> 00:10:40,470
indication to tell us that. So here's our to scale drop

149
00:10:40,470 --> 00:10:40,920
down.

150
00:10:42,269 --> 00:10:44,099
And where are we waiting for price to retrace back to the

151
00:10:44,099 --> 00:10:48,119
swing high broken prior to the key low forming again, that's

152
00:10:48,119 --> 00:10:51,659
this here, and we zero in right there. That's our setup for

153
00:10:51,659 --> 00:10:55,679
a long. So we'll look for our opportunity for creaming our

154
00:10:55,679 --> 00:10:58,469
potential reward. Again, we're gonna be hunting by stops

155
00:10:58,469 --> 00:11:03,569
above this swing high here. And stop losses below here. So

156
00:11:03,569 --> 00:11:07,799
our entry to our stock is our risk and our entry to the buy

157
00:11:07,799 --> 00:11:10,259
stops above here is our potential profit or reward.

158
00:11:12,690 --> 00:11:14,400
All right, we'll take a look at an example in the bullish

159
00:11:14,400 --> 00:11:14,880
condition.

160
00:11:17,399 --> 00:11:21,749
Alright, so here is price action on an hourly chart, you can

161
00:11:21,749 --> 00:11:27,329
see we have one support level broken, another area of

162
00:11:27,329 --> 00:11:31,709
support broken, and then we have an old Whoa, violated

163
00:11:31,709 --> 00:11:34,859
aggressively, and then price trades back above it right

164
00:11:34,859 --> 00:11:40,049
here. When we see that this retest of that old high, that's

165
00:11:40,049 --> 00:11:43,769
where we're hunting along. So if that's our entry, and this

166
00:11:43,769 --> 00:11:49,919
is our stop loss, we're risking 140 pips, to make 225 pips

167
00:11:50,759 --> 00:11:54,629
by stops are our target here. Now that may not be an ideal

168
00:11:54,629 --> 00:11:57,359
scenario for you, it may not be something that fits your

169
00:11:57,389 --> 00:12:00,749
risk appetite, so we can now drop down into To a 15 minute

170
00:12:00,749 --> 00:12:04,649
timeframe and try to get that same 225 pips with a little

171
00:12:04,649 --> 00:12:09,029
bit lower stop loss. So here we are on a 15 minute time

172
00:12:09,029 --> 00:12:11,309
frame, I've zoomed in here and that same little area of

173
00:12:11,309 --> 00:12:14,969
looking to be a buyer, we're going to be now removing all

174
00:12:14,969 --> 00:12:19,529
that risk down to 80 pips, so we have a stop loss just below

175
00:12:19,529 --> 00:12:24,329
this old low here. Okay, so we have this low to this high

176
00:12:24,509 --> 00:12:27,359
here, coming back down to that level. So we're trying to

177
00:12:27,389 --> 00:12:31,229
give ourselves a little bit more of a better risk reward

178
00:12:31,229 --> 00:12:37,229
model here. Right away, we're almost at three to one that's

179
00:12:37,229 --> 00:12:40,349
improved, but watch what we do when we zoom in a little bit

180
00:12:40,349 --> 00:12:42,629
more. We're gonna actually go down to a five minute chart

181
00:12:42,629 --> 00:12:47,609
now and still see if we can get that 225 pips but with a

182
00:12:47,609 --> 00:12:52,649
smaller stop loss. Okay, so now we have a five minute chart

183
00:12:52,709 --> 00:12:56,669
again, that same little area, that green circle resumed in

184
00:12:56,669 --> 00:12:59,789
here. And now I'm doing this doing an optimal trade entry

185
00:12:59,789 --> 00:13:03,659
long are in the fifth and the body's lowest open or close to

186
00:13:03,659 --> 00:13:06,599
the highest open or close and this swing high guess is a

187
00:13:06,599 --> 00:13:09,839
beautiful little optimal trade entry long. Right at the same

188
00:13:09,839 --> 00:13:13,469
level, we'd be looking for that scenario to unfold that. And

189
00:13:13,469 --> 00:13:16,319
now we can reduce that stop down to 20 pips, but still

190
00:13:16,319 --> 00:13:19,889
looking and hunting to earn 25 pips or in this case becomes

191
00:13:20,159 --> 00:13:24,629
11 to one reward the risk model. So what we've done is we've

192
00:13:24,929 --> 00:13:30,359
looked for a key turning point. We've identified the key

193
00:13:30,359 --> 00:13:35,039
levels relative to runs on liquidity stops, and we use the

194
00:13:35,039 --> 00:13:39,689
targets in the form of a stock run as well. We can use the

195
00:13:39,689 --> 00:13:43,379
optimal trade entry to zero in and reduce the risk but still

196
00:13:43,379 --> 00:13:47,369
keep the possible potential reward, still the same as we

197
00:13:47,369 --> 00:13:53,009
would have used from an hourly setup. So the 225 pips is

198
00:13:53,009 --> 00:13:57,239
still available to us with a 20 PIP stop loss. Now granted,

199
00:13:57,239 --> 00:14:00,479
you have to hold for a while but this is what It looks like

200
00:14:00,479 --> 00:14:03,479
on a five minute zoomed out and not getting the entire move,

201
00:14:03,509 --> 00:14:07,139
but it takes a little bit of time to get there. But

202
00:14:07,139 --> 00:14:11,459
nonetheless, this is how we can use the ATM method to get

203
00:14:11,459 --> 00:14:14,219
high probability setups, trading key support resistance

204
00:14:14,219 --> 00:14:19,169
levels. Again 225 pips is available. That's 20 pips stop

205
00:14:19,169 --> 00:14:25,979
loss. Hope you enjoyed this presentation. If you'd like

206
00:14:25,979 --> 00:14:28,619
these types of teachings, you can find more at V inner

207
00:14:28,619 --> 00:14:29,759
circle trader.com