Wiki source code of OTE Pattern Recognition Notes
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3.1 | 1 | {{box cssClass="box floatinginfobox" title="**Quick Links**"}} |
2 | {{toc start="2"/}} | ||
3 | {{/box}} | ||
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12.1 | 5 | == {{id name="Primer"/}}Optimal Trade Entry Primer == |
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1.2 | 6 | |
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3.2 | 7 | * one of many trading patterns, one of the easiest |
8 | * trading plan needs to be simple: | ||
9 | ** what's your risk model | ||
10 | ** how to frame that? | ||
11 | ** what makes your entry | ||
12 | ** what gives you indicators of bullish/bearish market? | ||
13 | ** how do you execute the trade? | ||
14 | ** how do you manage the trade? | ||
15 | ** where do you take profits? | ||
16 | * what make the market predisposed to go higher or lower? | ||
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7.2 | 17 | ** look at HTF (M, W, D, 4h) and look for key levels where price has moved away from in the past |
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13.1 | 18 | ** HTF shows where the big players are most likely going to push things around. |
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3.2 | 19 | ** LTF is too noisy to show this detail. |
20 | * Assuming bullish market, we are looking for where the market wants to trade higher. OTE is based on buying during the retracements that occur before the further push upwards. | ||
21 | * The impulse move has to incorporate a break in Market Structure. | ||
22 | * Using Fib Retracement as a visual guide, set the following levels | ||
23 | ** -1 - Symmetrical Price Swing | ||
24 | ** -0.62 - TP2 | ||
25 | ** -0.27 - TP1 | ||
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4.1 | 26 | ** 0 - First Profit - Scaling |
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3.2 | 27 | ** 0.5 - Equilibrium |
28 | ** 0.618 - 62% retracement | ||
29 | ** 0.705 - OTE 70.5% | ||
30 | ** 0.79 - 79% | ||
31 | ** 1 - 100%, or likely SL | ||
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4.1 | 32 | * OTE (70.5%) is an ideal target. getting deeper is better, but you run the risk of not filling your order. 62% retracement is also acceptable, but it results in smaller profits because our SL range will be larger, necessitating smaller order sizes to maintain our risk profile. |
33 | * First Scaling, or slightly before, represents the place to take initial profits. It should be a decent return, preferable better than 1:2 risk/reward, but slightly less than 2 (1.5? 1x75?) is also acceptable. | ||
34 | * Setups on 1h charts better than 5m charts because the pip movements will be larger. | ||
35 | * Key levels xxx.00, xxx.20, xxx.50, xxx.80, yyy.00 | ||
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7.2 | 36 | * Place the fibs on the body of the candles |
37 | * Market structure - example given: | ||
38 | - monthly view | ||
39 | [[image:Screenshot 2020-06-29 at 03.11.56.png]] | ||
40 | \\- daily view | ||
41 | [[image:Screenshot 2020-06-29 at 03.14.02.png]] | ||
42 | \\- 15m view[[image:Screenshot 2020-06-29 at 03.06.46.png]] | ||
43 | * Note the following: | ||
44 | ** institutional levels | ||
45 | ** old monthly high at 1.1720 (1.17137 rounded) | ||
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8.1 | 46 | ** price runs down until it hits the 20 level (1.1720), rallies and creates a new short term high (old - middle red line, new STH, top red line. It's also called a "market structure break" |
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7.2 | 47 | ** the new STH makes for a more likely trade opportunity. (market maker model) and opens up the chance for an OTE. |
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8.1 | 48 | ** also, a high, with two lower highs on either side makes that high more significant. when this high is broken, it's a more convincing move than breaking the other shorter term highs, thus giving us the opportunity to find a likely OTE. |
49 | ** at the fib, we see price rockets away from a STL | ||
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7.2 | 50 | * when old highs/lows are broken, trades will tend to reach back to those old positions (retail calls it "support") |
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3.2 | 51 | |
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12.1 | 52 | == {{id name="Intro"/}}Introduction == |
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1.2 | 53 | |
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11.1 | 54 | * how to annotate the charts to look for specific price patterns |
55 | * study for the patterns for a month, and it'll start to become more easily recognizable as you train your brain to recognize it, then see if you can see it live | ||
56 | * | ||
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12.1 | 58 | == {{id name="Ex01"/}}Example 1 == |
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