Changes for page OTE Pattern Recognition Notes


on 2020-07-06 19:40


on 2020-06-28 20:51
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... ... @@ -1,5 +1,5 @@ 1 1 {{box cssClass="box floatinginfobox" title="**Quick Links**"}} 2 -{{toc start="2" depth="5" numbered="true"/}}2 +{{toc start="2"/}} 3 3 {{/box}} 4 4 5 5 == {{id name="Primer"/}}Optimal Trade Entry Primer == ... ... @@ -40,7 +40,6 @@ 40 40 \\- daily view 41 41 [[image:Screenshot 2020-06-29 at 03.14.02.png]] 42 42 \\- 15m view[[image:Screenshot 2020-06-29 at 03.06.46.png]] 43 - 44 44 * Note the following: 45 45 ** institutional levels 46 46 ** old monthly high at 1.1720 (1.17137 rounded) ... ... @@ -48,223 +48,90 @@ 48 48 ** the new STH makes for a more likely trade opportunity. (market maker model) and opens up the chance for an OTE. 49 49 ** also, a high, with two lower highs on either side makes that high more significant. when this high is broken, it's a more convincing move than breaking the other shorter term highs, thus giving us the opportunity to find a likely OTE. 50 50 ** at the fib, we see price rockets away from a STL 51 - 52 52 * when old highs/lows are broken, trades will tend to reach back to those old positions (retail calls it "support") 53 53 54 -== ====~[[[top>>doc:]]]======52 +== {{id name="Intro"/}}Introduction == 55 55 56 -== {{id name="Intro"/}}Introduction - AUDUSD == 57 - 58 58 * how to annotate the charts to look for specific price patterns 59 59 * study for the patterns for a month, and it'll start to become more easily recognizable as you train your brain to recognize it, then see if you can see it live 60 -* the pattern should appear every day, but not necessarily on the same pairs 61 -* daily chart - audusd, 20-apr-2020 contains two down candles, showing orderblock 62 -[[image:Screenshot 2020-06-29 at 04.21.46.png]] 63 - 64 -* the two equal lows in May are sensitive to prices in that order block 65 -[[image:Screenshot 2020-06-29 at 04.23.52.png]] 66 - 67 -* we are primarily looking for reactions to the previous days range. (last visible green candle in the picture above) 68 -* can we determine whether the price is going to be able to break the previous days high or low? 69 -[[image:Screenshot 2020-06-29 at 04.50.28.png]] 70 -We can see that the recent lows pushed slightly into the order block, but returned indicating that prices doesn't currently want to run lower. 71 - 72 -* AUDUSD 5M example[[image:Screenshot 2020-06-29 at 04.58.02.png]] 73 -Mark out the previous days high and low. 74 -\\The black line (6450) represents the closest institutional or key level near the previous days high. The blue lines above and below are a 10 pip spread. 75 - 76 -* The OTE pattern occurs during the 8:30 to 11:00am NY session. That's when the major news and reports tends to come out. 77 -[[image:Screenshot 2020-06-29 at 05.02.49.png||queryString="width=385&height=579" height="579" width="385"]] 78 -The green box represents the 62 to 79% Fib retracement levels in the OTE pattern 79 - 80 -* The Fib box is drawn from the low to high when the previous days high has been broken. 81 -* Trade 82 -** lot size that allows taking the partials (0.04, take a bit off each time? 83 -** SL will be set below the 100 level. 84 -** Profit taking 85 -*** take at 1st scaling at -0.5 or 15 pips or more 86 -*** take next at -1.0 or 15 pips or more (or slightly before - round down to the nearest 10 level) 87 -*** take a scaling at 100 pips regardless of where you are 88 -*** take next at -1.5 89 -*** take next at -2.0 90 -*** once price moves beyond the 1st scaling, move the SL up (just beyond BE) 91 -*** 2nd scaling - move SL above SL. 92 -*** other scalings - watch the trades, then set SL beyond BE, not to close so there is room for the trade to run. 93 -*** get out by the last scaling 94 -* Fib settings for Trading View: 95 -[[image:Screenshot 2020-06-29 at 05.10.27.png||queryString="width=363&height=533" height="533" width="363"]] 96 -We could also at -1.5 level 97 - 98 -* key things learned 99 -** when to move a stop 100 -** what entry price to look for 101 -** where stop loss should be 102 -** where do you take partials 103 -** what you avoid doing to your revised stops (choking them out) 56 +* 104 104 105 -== ====~[[[top>>doc:]]]======58 +== {{id name="Ex01"/}}Example 1 == 106 106 107 - =={{id name="Ex02"/}}Example2 - USDJPY ==60 +* example 108 108 109 -* Daily Chart 110 -[[image:Screenshot 2020-07-07 at 01.38.28.png]] 111 -\\fib drawn from the swing low, to the swing high 112 - 113 -* previous days high (2nd last candle) broke the high from the day before that. This means we could potentially see a turn, or an expansion to the upside 114 -[[image:Screenshot 2020-07-07 at 01.40.40.png]] 115 -\\Our high is 106.65(7) 116 - 117 -* Dropping into the 5m chart: 118 -[[image:Screenshot 2020-07-07 at 01.43.50.png]] 119 -\\Where do you think the OTE is going to be? Look before scrolling further. Remember the magic hours of 08:30 - 11:00 NY time. 120 - 121 -* Fib added from the previous low at point 1, to the last recent high at point 2 122 -[[image:Screenshot 2020-07-07 at 01.47.47.png]] 123 - 124 -* Trading View chart, 15m 125 -[[image:Screenshot 2020-07-07 at 02.10.10.png]] 126 - 127 -* On the above chart is a second OTE occurring just after the OTE period opening 128 -[[image:Screenshot 2020-07-07 at 02.19.10.png]] 129 -\\From the swing low, to the new high breaking the previous high. The OTE opportunity crosses the weekend. 130 - 131 -* 5m chart view 132 -[[image:Screenshot 2020-07-07 at 02.22.17.png||queryString="width=591&height=819" height="819" width="591"]] 133 -\\the recent low marked, right side showing the new high forming the OTE pattern. 62 +== {{id name="Ex02"/}}Example 2 == 134 134 135 - ======~[[[top>>doc:]]] ======64 +* example 136 136 137 -== {{id name="Ex03"/}}Example 3 - S&P 500 E-Mini Futures (June 2020)==66 +== {{id name="Ex03"/}}Example 3 == 138 138 139 -* Daily Chart 140 -[[image:Screenshot 2020-07-07 at 02.43.11.jpg]] 141 - 142 -* currently inside of an OTE 143 -[[image:Screenshot 2020-07-07 at 02.46.32.jpg||height="696" width="687"]] 144 -\\The fib provides a framework - old low, old high, retracement back to the 79 level. On the daily chart, the momentum is likely to go higher. It could be reaching for the old high, it could break through, or it could fail. It doesn't matter. 145 -\\What we do care is that it is likely to run the previous day's high. 146 - 147 -* Previous day's high marked 148 -[[image:Screenshot 2020-07-07 at 02.53.30.jpg||height="167" width="848"]] 149 - 150 -* 5m chart 151 -[[image:Screenshot 2020-07-07 at 03.24.45.jpg]] 152 - 153 -* Marked up 154 -[[image:Screenshot 2020-07-07 at 03.28.25.jpg]] 155 -\\The "big figure" is 2900. Price has traded down into that during the NY session. Whenever a big figure is swept, either down into, or up into, it generally creates a tradeable bounce or retracement, even if it is very short lived. 156 - 157 -* Focus on the NY session time to find the OTE 158 -[[image:Screenshot 2020-07-07 at 03.31.40.jpg||height="417" width="313"]] 159 - 160 -* OTE marked 161 -[[image:Screenshot 2020-07-07 at 03.34.05.jpg||height="850" width="775"]] 162 - 163 -* and here is how it played out 164 -[[image:Screenshot 2020-07-07 at 03.36.45.jpg]] 165 -\\In this example, the market tends to want to gravitate towards the old high because the market is bullish, and will catch out the market short sellers. 166 - 68 +* example 167 167 168 -====== ~[[[top>>doc:]]] ====== 169 - 170 170 == {{id name="Ex04"/}}Example 4 == 171 171 172 172 * example 173 173 174 -====== ~[[[top>>doc:]]] ====== 175 - 176 176 == {{id name="Ex05"/}}Example 5 == 177 177 178 178 * example 179 179 180 -====== ~[[[top>>doc:]]] ====== 181 - 182 182 == {{id name="Ex06"/}}Example 6 == 183 183 184 184 * example 185 185 186 -====== ~[[[top>>doc:]]] ====== 187 - 188 188 == {{id name="Ex07"/}}Example 7 == 189 189 190 190 * example 191 191 192 -====== ~[[[top>>doc:]]] ====== 193 - 194 194 == {{id name="Ex08"/}}Example 8 == 195 195 196 196 * example 197 197 198 -====== ~[[[top>>doc:]]] ====== 199 - 200 200 == {{id name="Ex09"/}}Example 9 == 201 201 202 202 * example 203 203 204 -====== ~[[[top>>doc:]]] ====== 205 - 206 206 == {{id name="Ex10"/}}Example 10 == 207 207 208 208 * example 209 209 210 -====== ~[[[top>>doc:]]] ====== 211 - 212 212 == {{id name="Ex11"/}}Example 11 == 213 213 214 214 * example 215 215 216 -====== ~[[[top>>doc:]]] ====== 217 - 218 218 == {{id name="Ex12"/}}Example 12 == 219 219 220 220 * example 221 221 222 -====== ~[[[top>>doc:]]] ====== 223 - 224 224 == {{id name="Ex13"/}}Example 13 == 225 225 226 226 * example 227 227 228 -====== ~[[[top>>doc:]]] ====== 229 - 230 230 == {{id name="Ex14"/}}Example 14 == 231 231 232 232 * example 233 233 234 -====== ~[[[top>>doc:]]] ====== 235 - 236 236 == {{id name="Ex15"/}}Example 15 == 237 237 238 238 * example 239 239 240 -====== ~[[[top>>doc:]]] ====== 241 - 242 242 == {{id name="Ex16"/}}Example 16 == 243 243 244 244 * example 245 245 246 -====== ~[[[top>>doc:]]] ====== 247 - 248 248 == {{id name="Ex17"/}}Example 17 == 249 249 250 250 * example 251 251 252 -====== ~[[[top>>doc:]]] ====== 253 - 254 254 == {{id name="Ex18"/}}Example 18 == 255 255 256 256 * example 257 257 258 -====== ~[[[top>>doc:]]] ====== 259 - 260 260 == {{id name="Ex19"/}}Example 19 == 261 261 262 262 * example 263 263 264 -====== ~[[[top>>doc:]]] ====== 265 - 266 266 == {{id name="Ex20"/}}Example 20 == 267 267 268 268 * example 269 - 270 -====== ~[[[top>>doc:]]] ======
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