Changes for page OTE Pattern Recognition Notes


on 2020-07-06 17:55


on 2020-06-28 19:47
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... ... @@ -1,5 +1,5 @@ 1 1 {{box cssClass="box floatinginfobox" title="**Quick Links**"}} 2 -{{toc start="2" depth="5" numbered="true"/}}2 +{{toc start="2"/}} 3 3 {{/box}} 4 4 5 5 == {{id name="Primer"/}}Optimal Trade Entry Primer == ... ... @@ -15,7 +15,7 @@ 15 15 ** where do you take profits? 16 16 * what make the market predisposed to go higher or lower? 17 17 ** look at HTF (M, W, D, 4h) and look for key levels where price has moved away from in the past 18 -** HTF shows where the big players are most likely going to push things around. 18 +** HTF shows where the big players are most likely going to push things around. 19 19 ** LTF is too noisy to show this detail. 20 20 * Assuming bullish market, we are looking for where the market wants to trade higher. OTE is based on buying during the retracements that occur before the further push upwards. 21 21 * The impulse move has to incorporate a break in Market Structure. ... ... @@ -40,7 +40,6 @@ 40 40 \\- daily view 41 41 [[image:Screenshot 2020-06-29 at 03.14.02.png]] 42 42 \\- 15m view[[image:Screenshot 2020-06-29 at 03.06.46.png]] 43 - 44 44 * Note the following: 45 45 ** institutional levels 46 46 ** old monthly high at 1.1720 (1.17137 rounded) ... ... @@ -48,185 +48,90 @@ 48 48 ** the new STH makes for a more likely trade opportunity. (market maker model) and opens up the chance for an OTE. 49 49 ** also, a high, with two lower highs on either side makes that high more significant. when this high is broken, it's a more convincing move than breaking the other shorter term highs, thus giving us the opportunity to find a likely OTE. 50 50 ** at the fib, we see price rockets away from a STL 51 - 52 52 * when old highs/lows are broken, trades will tend to reach back to those old positions (retail calls it "support") 53 53 54 -====== ~[[[top>>doc:]]] ====== 55 - 56 56 == {{id name="Intro"/}}Introduction == 57 57 58 58 * how to annotate the charts to look for specific price patterns 59 59 * study for the patterns for a month, and it'll start to become more easily recognizable as you train your brain to recognize it, then see if you can see it live 60 -* the pattern should appear every day, but not necessarily on the same pairs 61 -* daily chart - audusd, 20-apr-2020 contains two down candles, showing orderblock 62 -[[image:Screenshot 2020-06-29 at 04.21.46.png]] 63 - 64 -* the two equal lows in May are sensitive to prices in that order block 65 -[[image:Screenshot 2020-06-29 at 04.23.52.png]] 66 - 67 -* we are primarily looking for reactions to the previous days range. (last visible green candle in the picture above) 68 -* can we determine whether the price is going to be able to break the previous days high or low? 69 -[[image:Screenshot 2020-06-29 at 04.50.28.png]] 70 -We can see that the recent lows pushed slightly into the order block, but returned indicating that prices doesn't currently want to run lower. 71 - 72 -* AUDUSD 5M example[[image:Screenshot 2020-06-29 at 04.58.02.png]] 73 -Mark out the previous days high and low. 74 -\\The black line (6450) represents the closest institutional or key level near the previous days high. The blue lines above and below are a 10 pip spread. 75 - 76 -* The OTE pattern occurs during the 8:30 to 11:00am NY session. That's when the major news and reports tends to come out. 77 -[[image:Screenshot 2020-06-29 at 05.02.49.png||queryString="width=385&height=579" height="579" width="385"]] 78 -The green box represents the 62 to 79% Fib retracement levels in the OTE pattern 79 - 80 -* The Fib box is drawn from the low to high when the previous days high has been broken. 81 -* Trade 82 -** lot size that allows taking the partials (0.04, take a bit off each time? 83 -** SL will be set below the 100 level. 84 -** Profit taking 85 -*** take at 1st scaling at -0.5 or 15 pips or more 86 -*** take next at -1.0 or 15 pips or more (or slightly before - round down to the nearest 10 level) 87 -*** take a scaling at 100 pips regardless of where you are 88 -*** take next at -1.5 89 -*** take next at -2.0 90 -*** once price moves beyond the 1st scaling, move the SL up (just beyond BE) 91 -*** 2nd scaling - move SL above SL. 92 -*** other scalings - watch the trades, then set SL beyond BE, not to close so there is room for the trade to run. 93 -*** get out by the last scaling 94 -* Fib settings for Trading View: 95 -[[image:Screenshot 2020-06-29 at 05.10.27.png||queryString="width=363&height=533" height="533" width="363"]] 96 -We could also at -1.5 level 97 - 98 -* key things learned 99 -** when to move a stop 100 -** what entry price to look for 101 -** where stop loss should be 102 -** where do you take partials 103 -** what you avoid doing to your revised stops (choking them out) 56 +* 104 104 105 -== ====~[[[top>>doc:]]]======58 +== {{id name="Ex01"/}}Example 1 == 106 106 107 - =={{id name="Ex02"/}}Example2 - USDJPY ==60 +* example 108 108 109 -* Daily Chart 110 -[[image:Screenshot 2020-07-07 at 01.38.28.png]] 111 -\\fib drawn from the swing low, to the swing high 112 - 113 -* previous days high (2nd last candle) broke the high from the day before that. This means we could potentially see a turn, or an expansion to the upside 114 -[[image:Screenshot 2020-07-07 at 01.40.40.png]] 115 -\\Our high is 106.65(7) 116 - 117 -* Dropping into the 5m chart: 118 -[[image:Screenshot 2020-07-07 at 01.43.50.png]] 119 -\\Where do you think the OTE is going to be? Look before scrolling further. Remember the magic hours of 08:30 - 11:00 NY time. 120 - 121 -* Fib added from the previous low at point 1, to the last recent high at point 2 122 -[[image:Screenshot 2020-07-07 at 01.47.47.png]] 62 +== {{id name="Ex02"/}}Example 2 == 123 123 124 - ======~[[[top>>doc:]]] ======64 +* example 125 125 126 126 == {{id name="Ex03"/}}Example 3 == 127 127 128 128 * example 129 129 130 -====== ~[[[top>>doc:]]] ====== 131 - 132 132 == {{id name="Ex04"/}}Example 4 == 133 133 134 134 * example 135 135 136 -====== ~[[[top>>doc:]]] ====== 137 - 138 138 == {{id name="Ex05"/}}Example 5 == 139 139 140 140 * example 141 141 142 -====== ~[[[top>>doc:]]] ====== 143 - 144 144 == {{id name="Ex06"/}}Example 6 == 145 145 146 146 * example 147 147 148 -====== ~[[[top>>doc:]]] ====== 149 - 150 150 == {{id name="Ex07"/}}Example 7 == 151 151 152 152 * example 153 153 154 -====== ~[[[top>>doc:]]] ====== 155 - 156 156 == {{id name="Ex08"/}}Example 8 == 157 157 158 158 * example 159 159 160 -====== ~[[[top>>doc:]]] ====== 161 - 162 162 == {{id name="Ex09"/}}Example 9 == 163 163 164 164 * example 165 165 166 -====== ~[[[top>>doc:]]] ====== 167 - 168 168 == {{id name="Ex10"/}}Example 10 == 169 169 170 170 * example 171 171 172 -====== ~[[[top>>doc:]]] ====== 173 - 174 174 == {{id name="Ex11"/}}Example 11 == 175 175 176 176 * example 177 177 178 -====== ~[[[top>>doc:]]] ====== 179 - 180 180 == {{id name="Ex12"/}}Example 12 == 181 181 182 182 * example 183 183 184 -====== ~[[[top>>doc:]]] ====== 185 - 186 186 == {{id name="Ex13"/}}Example 13 == 187 187 188 188 * example 189 189 190 -====== ~[[[top>>doc:]]] ====== 191 - 192 192 == {{id name="Ex14"/}}Example 14 == 193 193 194 194 * example 195 195 196 -====== ~[[[top>>doc:]]] ====== 197 - 198 198 == {{id name="Ex15"/}}Example 15 == 199 199 200 200 * example 201 201 202 -====== ~[[[top>>doc:]]] ====== 203 - 204 204 == {{id name="Ex16"/}}Example 16 == 205 205 206 206 * example 207 207 208 -====== ~[[[top>>doc:]]] ====== 209 - 210 210 == {{id name="Ex17"/}}Example 17 == 211 211 212 212 * example 213 213 214 -====== ~[[[top>>doc:]]] ====== 215 - 216 216 == {{id name="Ex18"/}}Example 18 == 217 217 218 218 * example 219 219 220 -====== ~[[[top>>doc:]]] ====== 221 - 222 222 == {{id name="Ex19"/}}Example 19 == 223 223 224 224 * example 225 225 226 -====== ~[[[top>>doc:]]] ====== 227 - 228 228 == {{id name="Ex20"/}}Example 20 == 229 229 230 230 * example 231 - 232 -====== ~[[[top>>doc:]]] ======
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