Changes for page OTE Pattern Recognition Notes


on 2020-06-29 19:21


on 2020-07-06 20:13
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... ... @@ -1,5 +1,5 @@ 1 1 {{box cssClass="box floatinginfobox" title="**Quick Links**"}} 2 -{{toc start="2"/}} 2 +{{toc start="2" depth="5" numbered="true"/}} 3 3 {{/box}} 4 4 5 5 == {{id name="Primer"/}}Optimal Trade Entry Primer == ... ... @@ -40,6 +40,7 @@ 40 40 \\- daily view 41 41 [[image:Screenshot 2020-06-29 at 03.14.02.png]] 42 42 \\- 15m view[[image:Screenshot 2020-06-29 at 03.06.46.png]] 43 + 43 43 * Note the following: 44 44 ** institutional levels 45 45 ** old monthly high at 1.1720 (1.17137 rounded) ... ... @@ -47,10 +47,13 @@ 47 47 ** the new STH makes for a more likely trade opportunity. (market maker model) and opens up the chance for an OTE. 48 48 ** also, a high, with two lower highs on either side makes that high more significant. when this high is broken, it's a more convincing move than breaking the other shorter term highs, thus giving us the opportunity to find a likely OTE. 49 49 ** at the fib, we see price rockets away from a STL 51 + 50 50 * when old highs/lows are broken, trades will tend to reach back to those old positions (retail calls it "support") 51 51 52 -== {{id name="Intro"/}}Introduction==54 +====== ~[[[top>>doc:]]] ====== 53 53 56 +== {{id name="Intro"/}}Introduction - AUDUSD == 57 + 54 54 * how to annotate the charts to look for specific price patterns 55 55 * study for the patterns for a month, and it'll start to become more easily recognizable as you train your brain to recognize it, then see if you can see it live 56 56 * the pattern should appear every day, but not necessarily on the same pairs ... ... @@ -80,6 +80,7 @@ 80 80 ** Profit taking 81 81 *** take at 1st scaling at -0.5 or 15 pips or more 82 82 *** take next at -1.0 or 15 pips or more (or slightly before - round down to the nearest 10 level) 87 +*** take a scaling at 100 pips regardless of where you are 83 83 *** take next at -1.5 84 84 *** take next at -2.0 85 85 *** once price moves beyond the 1st scaling, move the SL up (just beyond BE) ... ... @@ -90,80 +90,176 @@ 90 90 [[image:Screenshot 2020-06-29 at 05.10.27.png||queryString="width=363&height=533" height="533" width="363"]] 91 91 We could also at -1.5 level 92 92 93 -* 98 +* key things learned 99 +** when to move a stop 100 +** what entry price to look for 101 +** where stop loss should be 102 +** where do you take partials 103 +** what you avoid doing to your revised stops (choking them out) 94 94 95 -== {{idname="Ex02"/}}Example 2==105 +====== ~[[[top>>doc:]]] ====== 96 96 97 - *example107 +== {{id name="Ex02"/}}Example 2 - USDJPY == 98 98 99 -== {{id name="Ex03"/}}Example 3 == 109 +* Daily Chart 110 +[[image:Screenshot 2020-07-07 at 01.38.28.png]] 111 +\\fib drawn from the swing low, to the swing high 112 + 113 +* previous days high (2nd last candle) broke the high from the day before that. This means we could potentially see a turn, or an expansion to the upside 114 +[[image:Screenshot 2020-07-07 at 01.40.40.png]] 115 +\\Our high is 106.65(7) 116 + 117 +* Dropping into the 5m chart: 118 +[[image:Screenshot 2020-07-07 at 01.43.50.png]] 119 +\\Where do you think the OTE is going to be? Look before scrolling further. Remember the magic hours of 08:30 - 11:00 NY time. 120 + 121 +* Fib added from the previous low at point 1, to the last recent high at point 2 122 +[[image:Screenshot 2020-07-07 at 01.47.47.png]] 123 + 124 +* Trading View chart, 15m 125 +[[image:Screenshot 2020-07-07 at 02.10.10.png]] 126 + 127 +* On the above chart is a second OTE occurring just after the OTE period opening 128 +[[image:Screenshot 2020-07-07 at 02.19.10.png]] 129 +\\From the swing low, to the new high breaking the previous high. The OTE opportunity crosses the weekend. 130 + 131 +* 5m chart view 132 +[[image:Screenshot 2020-07-07 at 02.22.17.png||queryString="width=591&height=819" height="819" width="591"]] 133 +\\the recent low marked, right side showing the new high forming the OTE pattern. 100 100 101 - *example135 +====== ~[[[top>>doc:]]] ====== 102 102 103 -== {{id name="Ex0 4"/}}Example4==137 +== {{id name="Ex03"/}}Example 3 - S&P 500 E-Mini Futures (June 2020) == 104 104 139 +* Daily Chart 140 +[[image:Screenshot 2020-07-07 at 02.43.11.jpg]] 141 + 142 +* currently inside of an OTE 143 +[[image:Screenshot 2020-07-07 at 02.46.32.jpg||height="696" width="687"]] 144 +\\The fib provides a framework - old low, old high, retracement back to the 79 level. On the daily chart, the momentum is likely to go higher. It could be reaching for the old high, it could break through, or it could fail. It doesn't matter. 145 +\\What we do care is that it is likely to run the previous day's high. 146 + 147 +* Previous day's high marked 148 +[[image:Screenshot 2020-07-07 at 02.53.30.jpg||height="167" width="848"]] 149 + 150 +* 5m chart 151 +[[image:Screenshot 2020-07-07 at 03.24.45.jpg]] 152 + 153 +* Marked up 154 +[[image:Screenshot 2020-07-07 at 03.28.25.jpg]] 155 +\\The "big figure" is 2900. Price has traded down into that during the NY session. Whenever a big figure is swept, either down into, or up into, it generally creates a tradeable bounce or retracement, even if it is very short lived. 156 + 157 +* Focus on the NY session time to find the OTE 158 +[[image:Screenshot 2020-07-07 at 03.31.40.jpg||height="417" width="313"]] 159 + 160 +* OTE marked 161 +[[image:Screenshot 2020-07-07 at 03.34.05.jpg||height="850" width="775"]] 162 + 163 +* and here is how it played out 164 +[[image:Screenshot 2020-07-07 at 03.36.45.jpg]] 165 +\\In this example, the market tends to want to gravitate towards the old high because the market is bullish, and will catch out the market short sellers. 166 + 167 + 168 +====== ~[[[top>>doc:]]] ====== 169 + 170 +== {{id name="Ex04"/}}Example 4 - GBPUSD == 171 + 105 105 * example 106 106 174 +====== ~[[[top>>doc:]]] ====== 175 + 107 107 == {{id name="Ex05"/}}Example 5 == 108 108 109 109 * example 110 110 180 +====== ~[[[top>>doc:]]] ====== 181 + 111 111 == {{id name="Ex06"/}}Example 6 == 112 112 113 113 * example 114 114 186 +====== ~[[[top>>doc:]]] ====== 187 + 115 115 == {{id name="Ex07"/}}Example 7 == 116 116 117 117 * example 118 118 192 +====== ~[[[top>>doc:]]] ====== 193 + 119 119 == {{id name="Ex08"/}}Example 8 == 120 120 121 121 * example 122 122 198 +====== ~[[[top>>doc:]]] ====== 199 + 123 123 == {{id name="Ex09"/}}Example 9 == 124 124 125 125 * example 126 126 204 +====== ~[[[top>>doc:]]] ====== 205 + 127 127 == {{id name="Ex10"/}}Example 10 == 128 128 129 129 * example 130 130 210 +====== ~[[[top>>doc:]]] ====== 211 + 131 131 == {{id name="Ex11"/}}Example 11 == 132 132 133 133 * example 134 134 216 +====== ~[[[top>>doc:]]] ====== 217 + 135 135 == {{id name="Ex12"/}}Example 12 == 136 136 137 137 * example 138 138 222 +====== ~[[[top>>doc:]]] ====== 223 + 139 139 == {{id name="Ex13"/}}Example 13 == 140 140 141 141 * example 142 142 228 +====== ~[[[top>>doc:]]] ====== 229 + 143 143 == {{id name="Ex14"/}}Example 14 == 144 144 145 145 * example 146 146 234 +====== ~[[[top>>doc:]]] ====== 235 + 147 147 == {{id name="Ex15"/}}Example 15 == 148 148 149 149 * example 150 150 240 +====== ~[[[top>>doc:]]] ====== 241 + 151 151 == {{id name="Ex16"/}}Example 16 == 152 152 153 153 * example 154 154 246 +====== ~[[[top>>doc:]]] ====== 247 + 155 155 == {{id name="Ex17"/}}Example 17 == 156 156 157 157 * example 158 158 252 +====== ~[[[top>>doc:]]] ====== 253 + 159 159 == {{id name="Ex18"/}}Example 18 == 160 160 161 161 * example 162 162 258 +====== ~[[[top>>doc:]]] ====== 259 + 163 163 == {{id name="Ex19"/}}Example 19 == 164 164 165 165 * example 166 166 264 +====== ~[[[top>>doc:]]] ====== 265 + 167 167 == {{id name="Ex20"/}}Example 20 == 168 168 169 169 * example 269 + 270 +====== ~[[[top>>doc:]]] ======
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