Changes for page OTE Pattern Recognition Notes


on 2020-06-28 19:47


on 2020-07-06 18:22
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... ... @@ -1,5 +1,5 @@ 1 1 {{box cssClass="box floatinginfobox" title="**Quick Links**"}} 2 -{{toc start="2"/}} 2 +{{toc start="2" depth="5" numbered="true"/}} 3 3 {{/box}} 4 4 5 5 == {{id name="Primer"/}}Optimal Trade Entry Primer == ... ... @@ -15,7 +15,7 @@ 15 15 ** where do you take profits? 16 16 * what make the market predisposed to go higher or lower? 17 17 ** look at HTF (M, W, D, 4h) and look for key levels where price has moved away from in the past 18 -** HTF shows where the big players are most likely going to push things around. 18 +** HTF shows where the big players are most likely going to push things around. 19 19 ** LTF is too noisy to show this detail. 20 20 * Assuming bullish market, we are looking for where the market wants to trade higher. OTE is based on buying during the retracements that occur before the further push upwards. 21 21 * The impulse move has to incorporate a break in Market Structure. ... ... @@ -40,6 +40,7 @@ 40 40 \\- daily view 41 41 [[image:Screenshot 2020-06-29 at 03.14.02.png]] 42 42 \\- 15m view[[image:Screenshot 2020-06-29 at 03.06.46.png]] 43 + 43 43 * Note the following: 44 44 ** institutional levels 45 45 ** old monthly high at 1.1720 (1.17137 rounded) ... ... @@ -47,90 +47,185 @@ 47 47 ** the new STH makes for a more likely trade opportunity. (market maker model) and opens up the chance for an OTE. 48 48 ** also, a high, with two lower highs on either side makes that high more significant. when this high is broken, it's a more convincing move than breaking the other shorter term highs, thus giving us the opportunity to find a likely OTE. 49 49 ** at the fib, we see price rockets away from a STL 51 + 50 50 * when old highs/lows are broken, trades will tend to reach back to those old positions (retail calls it "support") 51 51 54 +====== ~[[[top>>doc:]]] ====== 55 + 52 52 == {{id name="Intro"/}}Introduction == 53 53 54 54 * how to annotate the charts to look for specific price patterns 55 55 * study for the patterns for a month, and it'll start to become more easily recognizable as you train your brain to recognize it, then see if you can see it live 56 -* 60 +* the pattern should appear every day, but not necessarily on the same pairs 61 +* daily chart - audusd, 20-apr-2020 contains two down candles, showing orderblock 62 +[[image:Screenshot 2020-06-29 at 04.21.46.png]] 63 + 64 +* the two equal lows in May are sensitive to prices in that order block 65 +[[image:Screenshot 2020-06-29 at 04.23.52.png]] 66 + 67 +* we are primarily looking for reactions to the previous days range. (last visible green candle in the picture above) 68 +* can we determine whether the price is going to be able to break the previous days high or low? 69 +[[image:Screenshot 2020-06-29 at 04.50.28.png]] 70 +We can see that the recent lows pushed slightly into the order block, but returned indicating that prices doesn't currently want to run lower. 71 + 72 +* AUDUSD 5M example[[image:Screenshot 2020-06-29 at 04.58.02.png]] 73 +Mark out the previous days high and low. 74 +\\The black line (6450) represents the closest institutional or key level near the previous days high. The blue lines above and below are a 10 pip spread. 75 + 76 +* The OTE pattern occurs during the 8:30 to 11:00am NY session. That's when the major news and reports tends to come out. 77 +[[image:Screenshot 2020-06-29 at 05.02.49.png||queryString="width=385&height=579" height="579" width="385"]] 78 +The green box represents the 62 to 79% Fib retracement levels in the OTE pattern 79 + 80 +* The Fib box is drawn from the low to high when the previous days high has been broken. 81 +* Trade 82 +** lot size that allows taking the partials (0.04, take a bit off each time? 83 +** SL will be set below the 100 level. 84 +** Profit taking 85 +*** take at 1st scaling at -0.5 or 15 pips or more 86 +*** take next at -1.0 or 15 pips or more (or slightly before - round down to the nearest 10 level) 87 +*** take a scaling at 100 pips regardless of where you are 88 +*** take next at -1.5 89 +*** take next at -2.0 90 +*** once price moves beyond the 1st scaling, move the SL up (just beyond BE) 91 +*** 2nd scaling - move SL above SL. 92 +*** other scalings - watch the trades, then set SL beyond BE, not to close so there is room for the trade to run. 93 +*** get out by the last scaling 94 +* Fib settings for Trading View: 95 +[[image:Screenshot 2020-06-29 at 05.10.27.png||queryString="width=363&height=533" height="533" width="363"]] 96 +We could also at -1.5 level 97 + 98 +* key things learned 99 +** when to move a stop 100 +** what entry price to look for 101 +** where stop loss should be 102 +** where do you take partials 103 +** what you avoid doing to your revised stops (choking them out) 57 57 58 -== {{idname="Ex01"/}}Example 1==105 +====== ~[[[top>>doc:]]] ====== 59 59 60 - *example107 +== {{id name="Ex02"/}}Example 2 - USDJPY == 61 61 62 -== {{id name="Ex02"/}}Example 2 == 109 +* Daily Chart 110 +[[image:Screenshot 2020-07-07 at 01.38.28.png]] 111 +\\fib drawn from the swing low, to the swing high 112 + 113 +* previous days high (2nd last candle) broke the high from the day before that. This means we could potentially see a turn, or an expansion to the upside 114 +[[image:Screenshot 2020-07-07 at 01.40.40.png]] 115 +\\Our high is 106.65(7) 116 + 117 +* Dropping into the 5m chart: 118 +[[image:Screenshot 2020-07-07 at 01.43.50.png]] 119 +\\Where do you think the OTE is going to be? Look before scrolling further. Remember the magic hours of 08:30 - 11:00 NY time. 120 + 121 +* Fib added from the previous low at point 1, to the last recent high at point 2 122 +[[image:Screenshot 2020-07-07 at 01.47.47.png]] 63 63 64 - *example124 +====== ~[[[top>>doc:]]] ====== 65 65 66 66 == {{id name="Ex03"/}}Example 3 == 67 67 68 68 * example 69 69 130 +====== ~[[[top>>doc:]]] ====== 131 + 70 70 == {{id name="Ex04"/}}Example 4 == 71 71 72 72 * example 73 73 136 +====== ~[[[top>>doc:]]] ====== 137 + 74 74 == {{id name="Ex05"/}}Example 5 == 75 75 76 76 * example 77 77 142 +====== ~[[[top>>doc:]]] ====== 143 + 78 78 == {{id name="Ex06"/}}Example 6 == 79 79 80 80 * example 81 81 148 +====== ~[[[top>>doc:]]] ====== 149 + 82 82 == {{id name="Ex07"/}}Example 7 == 83 83 84 84 * example 85 85 154 +====== ~[[[top>>doc:]]] ====== 155 + 86 86 == {{id name="Ex08"/}}Example 8 == 87 87 88 88 * example 89 89 160 +====== ~[[[top>>doc:]]] ====== 161 + 90 90 == {{id name="Ex09"/}}Example 9 == 91 91 92 92 * example 93 93 166 +====== ~[[[top>>doc:]]] ====== 167 + 94 94 == {{id name="Ex10"/}}Example 10 == 95 95 96 96 * example 97 97 172 +====== ~[[[top>>doc:]]] ====== 173 + 98 98 == {{id name="Ex11"/}}Example 11 == 99 99 100 100 * example 101 101 178 +====== ~[[[top>>doc:]]] ====== 179 + 102 102 == {{id name="Ex12"/}}Example 12 == 103 103 104 104 * example 105 105 184 +====== ~[[[top>>doc:]]] ====== 185 + 106 106 == {{id name="Ex13"/}}Example 13 == 107 107 108 108 * example 109 109 190 +====== ~[[[top>>doc:]]] ====== 191 + 110 110 == {{id name="Ex14"/}}Example 14 == 111 111 112 112 * example 113 113 196 +====== ~[[[top>>doc:]]] ====== 197 + 114 114 == {{id name="Ex15"/}}Example 15 == 115 115 116 116 * example 117 117 202 +====== ~[[[top>>doc:]]] ====== 203 + 118 118 == {{id name="Ex16"/}}Example 16 == 119 119 120 120 * example 121 121 208 +====== ~[[[top>>doc:]]] ====== 209 + 122 122 == {{id name="Ex17"/}}Example 17 == 123 123 124 124 * example 125 125 214 +====== ~[[[top>>doc:]]] ====== 215 + 126 126 == {{id name="Ex18"/}}Example 18 == 127 127 128 128 * example 129 129 220 +====== ~[[[top>>doc:]]] ====== 221 + 130 130 == {{id name="Ex19"/}}Example 19 == 131 131 132 132 * example 133 133 226 +====== ~[[[top>>doc:]]] ====== 227 + 134 134 == {{id name="Ex20"/}}Example 20 == 135 135 136 136 * example 231 + 232 +====== ~[[[top>>doc:]]] ======
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