Changes for page OTE Pattern Recognition Notes


on 2020-06-28 19:43


on 2020-06-29 20:17
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... ... @@ -2,7 +2,7 @@ 2 2 {{toc start="2"/}} 3 3 {{/box}} 4 4 5 -== Optimal Trade Entry Primer == 5 +== {{id name="Primer"/}}Optimal Trade Entry Primer == 6 6 7 7 * one of many trading patterns, one of the easiest 8 8 * trading plan needs to be simple: ... ... @@ -15,7 +15,7 @@ 15 15 ** where do you take profits? 16 16 * what make the market predisposed to go higher or lower? 17 17 ** look at HTF (M, W, D, 4h) and look for key levels where price has moved away from in the past 18 -** HTF shows where the big players are most likely going to push things around. 18 +** HTF shows where the big players are most likely going to push things around. 19 19 ** LTF is too noisy to show this detail. 20 20 * Assuming bullish market, we are looking for where the market wants to trade higher. OTE is based on buying during the retracements that occur before the further push upwards. 21 21 * The impulse move has to incorporate a break in Market Structure. ... ... @@ -49,88 +49,127 @@ 49 49 ** at the fib, we see price rockets away from a STL 50 50 * when old highs/lows are broken, trades will tend to reach back to those old positions (retail calls it "support") 51 51 52 -== Introduction == 52 +== {{id name="Intro"/}}Introduction == 53 53 54 54 * how to annotate the charts to look for specific price patterns 55 55 * study for the patterns for a month, and it'll start to become more easily recognizable as you train your brain to recognize it, then see if you can see it live 56 -* 56 +* the pattern should appear every day, but not necessarily on the same pairs 57 +* daily chart - audusd, 20-apr-2020 contains two down candles, showing orderblock 58 +[[image:Screenshot 2020-06-29 at 04.21.46.png]] 59 + 60 +* the two equal lows in May are sensitive to prices in that order block 61 +[[image:Screenshot 2020-06-29 at 04.23.52.png]] 62 + 63 +* we are primarily looking for reactions to the previous days range. (last visible green candle in the picture above) 64 +* can we determine whether the price is going to be able to break the previous days high or low? 65 +[[image:Screenshot 2020-06-29 at 04.50.28.png]] 66 +We can see that the recent lows pushed slightly into the order block, but returned indicating that prices doesn't currently want to run lower. 67 + 68 +* AUDUSD 5M example[[image:Screenshot 2020-06-29 at 04.58.02.png]] 69 +Mark out the previous days high and low. 70 +\\The black line (6450) represents the closest institutional or key level near the previous days high. The blue lines above and below are a 10 pip spread. 71 + 72 +* The OTE pattern occurs during the 8:30 to 11:00am NY session. That's when the major news and reports tends to come out. 73 +[[image:Screenshot 2020-06-29 at 05.02.49.png||queryString="width=385&height=579" height="579" width="385"]] 74 +The green box represents the 62 to 79% Fib retracement levels in the OTE pattern 75 + 76 +* The Fib box is drawn from the low to high when the previous days high has been broken. 77 +* Trade 78 +** lot size that allows taking the partials (0.04, take a bit off each time? 79 +** SL will be set below the 100 level. 80 +** Profit taking 81 +*** take at 1st scaling at -0.5 or 15 pips or more 82 +*** take next at -1.0 or 15 pips or more (or slightly before - round down to the nearest 10 level) 83 +*** take a scaling at 100 pips regardless of where you are 84 +*** take next at -1.5 85 +*** take next at -2.0 86 +*** once price moves beyond the 1st scaling, move the SL up (just beyond BE) 87 +*** 2nd scaling - move SL above SL. 88 +*** other scalings - watch the trades, then set SL beyond BE, not to close so there is room for the trade to run. 89 +*** get out by the last scaling 90 +* Fib settings for Trading View: 91 +[[image:Screenshot 2020-06-29 at 05.10.27.png||queryString="width=363&height=533" height="533" width="363"]] 92 +We could also at -1.5 level 93 + 94 +* key things learned 95 +** when to move a stop 96 +** what entry price to look for 97 +** where stop loss should be 98 +** where do you take partials 99 +** what you avoid doing to your revised stops (choking them out) 57 57 58 -== Example 1==101 +== {{id name="Ex02"/}}Example 2 == 59 59 60 60 * example 61 61 62 -== Example 2==105 +== {{id name="Ex03"/}}Example 3 == 63 63 64 64 * example 65 65 66 -== Example 3==109 +== {{id name="Ex04"/}}Example 4 == 67 67 68 68 * example 69 69 70 -== Example 4==113 +== {{id name="Ex05"/}}Example 5 == 71 71 72 72 * example 73 73 74 -== Example 5==117 +== {{id name="Ex06"/}}Example 6 == 75 75 76 76 * example 77 77 78 -== Example 6==121 +== {{id name="Ex07"/}}Example 7 == 79 79 80 80 * example 81 81 82 -== Example 7==125 +== {{id name="Ex08"/}}Example 8 == 83 83 84 84 * example 85 85 86 -== Example 8==129 +== {{id name="Ex09"/}}Example 9 == 87 87 88 88 * example 89 89 90 -== Example 9==133 +== {{id name="Ex10"/}}Example 10 == 91 91 92 92 * example 93 93 94 -== Example 1 0==137 +== {{id name="Ex11"/}}Example 11 == 95 95 96 96 * example 97 97 98 -== Example 1 1==141 +== {{id name="Ex12"/}}Example 12 == 99 99 100 100 * example 101 101 102 -== Example 1 2==145 +== {{id name="Ex13"/}}Example 13 == 103 103 104 104 * example 105 105 106 -== Example 1 3==149 +== {{id name="Ex14"/}}Example 14 == 107 107 108 108 * example 109 109 110 -== Example 1 4==153 +== {{id name="Ex15"/}}Example 15 == 111 111 112 112 * example 113 113 114 -== Example 1 5==157 +== {{id name="Ex16"/}}Example 16 == 115 115 116 116 * example 117 117 118 -== Example 1 6==161 +== {{id name="Ex17"/}}Example 17 == 119 119 120 120 * example 121 121 122 -== Example 1 7==165 +== {{id name="Ex18"/}}Example 18 == 123 123 124 124 * example 125 125 126 -== Example 1 8==169 +== {{id name="Ex19"/}}Example 19 == 127 127 128 128 * example 129 129 130 -== Example 19==173 +== {{id name="Ex20"/}}Example 20 == 131 131 132 132 * example 133 - 134 -== Example 20 == 135 - 136 -* example
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