Skip to Content

ICT YT - 2025-09-25 - Focus On Index Futures - Intermediate Term High Continued September 24 2025

Last modified by Drunk Monkey on 2025-09-27 14:17
1 00:00:00 --> 00:00:08 ICT: Folks, welcome back. This is the focus on index futures, and we'll be
2 00:00:08 --> 00:00:17 only looking at the Christmas and QE mini futures. September 24 2025 left
3 00:00:17 --> 00:00:22 hand chart is daily. We'll go over that in a moment and in the one minute chart
4 00:00:22 --> 00:00:30 here on the right, right. So we have this premium wick, consequent
5 00:00:30 --> 00:00:34 encouragement in the upper quadrant, lower quadrants and the high and low of
6 00:00:34 --> 00:00:40 it annotated here, and then this premium wick. So make sure you keep track of
7 00:00:40 --> 00:00:43 what these levels are here on the daily chart and what you're looking at on the
8 00:00:43 --> 00:00:49 smaller time frame. So we have the pre market session, buy, buy side, liquidity
9 00:00:49 --> 00:00:56 pool. So here's the opening at 930 Eastern time. So at that moment, there's
10 00:00:56 --> 00:01:02 a minor buy side, here's a more prominent buy, side liquidity pool. And
11 00:01:02 --> 00:01:06 it's not likely to go up to this one here, because we've, we've already
12 00:01:06 --> 00:01:11 created that high in the pre market session, seven o'clock in the morning.
13 00:01:11 --> 00:01:16 So it's already done enough run up there, and it's been rejected. Keeps
14 00:01:16 --> 00:01:21 going lower. So this was the buy side liquidity pool. It aimed for hit it and
15 00:01:21 --> 00:01:28 then attack the sell side inside this premium wick. See it came right back up,
16 00:01:28 --> 00:01:34 hit the consequent encroachment level at 24,008 74 and a half breaks outside of
17 00:01:34 --> 00:01:42 the low of that premium wick here. So it's trading right here now. Okay, and
18 00:01:42 --> 00:01:50 this first presented fair value gap is a city not using 930 so this is the first
19 00:01:50 --> 00:01:54 one that formed. So this is first presented fair value gap, and the market
20 00:01:54 --> 00:02:05 trades up into it and rejects and trades down to the lower quadrant. I'm sorry,
21 00:02:05 --> 00:02:12 the upper quadrant at 24,007 90 and a half of this premium link here, that's
22 00:02:12 --> 00:02:20 here. So we traded down to here, and we bounced right back up into 24,008 36
23 00:02:20 --> 00:02:25 area and created relative equal highs. I'm going to move forward in the chart.
24 00:02:27 --> 00:02:30 Here's that first participatory backup, and then that bounce off of it in the
25 00:02:30 --> 00:02:37 relative equal highs. And we consolidated around the high of this.
26 00:02:37 --> 00:02:45 Candles wick meandering around, and then we broke lower fair value. Got this
27 00:02:45 --> 00:02:49 bearish here, after leaving this block of price action while bearish, trading
28 00:02:49 --> 00:02:54 right back up into this. This is model 2022 because we had buy side taken here,
29 00:02:55 --> 00:02:59 shift in market structure, trade back up into a fair value gap. It's in a
30 00:03:00 --> 00:03:07 premium, and then breaks lower. Here's a breaker, high, low, higher, high,
31 00:03:07 --> 00:03:11 bearish. Breaker, trading into it there, and we have an order block that's
32 00:03:11 --> 00:03:16 bearish, which is changing the state of delivery. Breaks lower, break away gap
33 00:03:16 --> 00:03:21 as it leads consequent encroachment of this premium will make. So where's it
34 00:03:21 --> 00:03:27 going to reach for? We have this area here, but this fair value gap is it's
35 00:03:27 --> 00:03:31 basically creating a sales on liquidity pool, so it's more likely we're going to
36 00:03:31 --> 00:03:35 trade out into this area here. So having the quadrants on that creating that
37 00:03:35 --> 00:03:41 price swing. So the low of that candlestick is the high of the fair
38 00:03:41 --> 00:03:46 value gap, consequent encouragement, upper quadrant, lower quadrant, and the
39 00:03:46 --> 00:03:50 low of the fair value gap. That's shaded in blue. So it's trading right here at
40 00:03:50 --> 00:04:01 24,000x 55 right here, getting down into that and then the lower quadrant there.
41 00:04:02 --> 00:04:08 At 24,006 29 and a half. I apologize, I have very, very poor eyesight. Now I'm
42 00:04:08 --> 00:04:21 between prescription so but as it breaks lower, we get into the the low at 24,007
43 00:04:22 --> 00:04:28 13. And three quarters of this premium wick right there. And then it creates a
44 00:04:28 --> 00:04:32 measuring gap. Breaks lower, bearish fair value gap comes right back up, hits
45 00:04:32 --> 00:04:37 it again, then slams into the upper quadrant, the fair value gap there. And
46 00:04:37 --> 00:04:44 then we go off that consolidating right you can see consolidation led to
47 00:04:44 --> 00:04:49 another, deeper retracement, up into this bearish for Vega, extend it over,
48 00:04:50 --> 00:04:59 breaks lower, comes back up into the low of this premium wick. Here it starts
49 00:04:59 --> 00:05:03 going. Salivating around it, and then trades right back up to the fair share
50 00:05:03 --> 00:05:09 value gap and goes into the close of the day, just between the fair value gap and
51 00:05:10 --> 00:05:17 the quadrant of that premium wick right there. So hopefully you can see the
52 00:05:17 --> 00:05:22 benefits of having the gradient levels over top of premium and discount wicks.
53 00:05:24 --> 00:05:30 The question about why did I use one wick and not another? And it's because I
54 00:05:30 --> 00:05:37 start with the first one going to the left, and I have those levels there on
55 00:05:37 --> 00:05:41 the chart, and then I have this one would be the next one I would have on
56 00:05:41 --> 00:05:47 there, and I'm looking for the one that the algorithm is respecting. It's it's
57 00:05:47 --> 00:05:51 not likely that both of these when they're basically subsequent
58 00:05:51 --> 00:05:59 candlesticks, like one after another that have wicks. If, for instance, if we
59 00:05:59 --> 00:06:04 plotted both of them, the chances of them agreeing right over top of the same
60 00:06:04 --> 00:06:09 levels is it's not likely. But even more so, the chances of my PD arrays
61 00:06:09 --> 00:06:15 overlapping and converging with both of them being plot on the chart is not
62 00:06:15 --> 00:06:19 likely. So what I was doing was, and this is the part where you're supposed
63 00:06:19 --> 00:06:23 to do this stuff on your chart. Not just look at my my charts by having both of
64 00:06:23 --> 00:06:27 these plotted on yours is not being shown here on the chart here. But if you
65 00:06:27 --> 00:06:30 plot the discount wick on here and discount wick on here, and put the
66 00:06:30 --> 00:06:33 gradient levels on it and watch how price was respecting them or not
67 00:06:33 --> 00:06:39 respecting it, you'll see the reason why I chose the one I did. You have to watch
68 00:06:39 --> 00:06:44 what price is doing, is it respecting one particular inefficiency or one
69 00:06:44 --> 00:06:50 particular wick and not another? So it's not like here's a hard and fast rule
70 00:06:50 --> 00:06:56 that always works. You have to put some elbow grease into it and apply some due
71 00:06:56 --> 00:07:01 diligence by looking for what the price action is actually doing. And it'll,
72 00:07:01 --> 00:07:05 it'll be obvious which one you're supposed to be using. But all the time,
73 00:07:05 --> 00:07:11 all the time, like I mentioned on the very first lesson last Tuesday, you have
74 00:07:11 --> 00:07:18 to consider what wicks are available when you're trading all time highs, and
75 00:07:18 --> 00:07:25 use all of them. Go back and look at the rules. Okay, it's there, but it doesn't
76 00:07:25 --> 00:07:30 remove the workload for you to have them plot on your chart and see if there's
77 00:07:30 --> 00:07:37 any validity to one wick over another one wick will be respected, and it's
78 00:07:37 --> 00:07:41 your job to determine which one that is while price is delivering than before
79 00:07:41 --> 00:07:42 the next move happens,
80 00:07:51 --> 00:07:55 right, folks, short, sweet and right to the point I will touch base with you,
81 00:07:55 --> 00:07:58 Lord willing tomorrow, until then, I wish good luck and good trading.