Changes for page ICT YT - 2018-01-13 - ICT January 13 2018.srt

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... ... @@ -1,480 +1,99 @@ 1 -1 2 -00:00:30,780 ~-~-> 00:00:44,760 3 -ICT: Good evening, folks, it's a Saturday 1pm New York time in January 13 2018, 4 -did a couple tweets yesterday on the 12th of January. And this is the one I did 1 +(% class="hover min" %) 2 +|1 |00:00:30,780 ~-~-> 00:00:44,760 |ICT: Good evening, folks, it's a Saturday 1pm New York time in January 13 2018, did a couple tweets yesterday on the 12th of January. And this is the one I did 3 +|2 |00:00:44,760 ~-~-> 00:00:57,360 |for the cable, and asked what everyone would see in this image. And I did one for the Euro, as well. Okay. And I put a couple things in here to try to draw 4 +|3 |00:00:57,360 ~-~-> 00:01:06,600 |your attention to it. But I wanted to see what else everyone else would have, from their independent perspective without me drawing any special attention to 5 +|4 |00:01:06,600 ~-~-> 00:01:18,240 |anything. And that's kind of like what I want to go over now. So I'm going to go over to daily FX Archer, welcome to cable, Bridgetown, USD, this is a weekly 6 +|5 |00:01:18,240 ~-~-> 00:01:43,530 |chart. And I want to again, draw attention to the order block in here. Right in here is the order block. And we're going to change this to I will use this area 7 +|6 |00:01:43,530 ~-~-> 00:01:56,940 |here to be shaded in blue. So I'm going to drop into an hourly chart. Okay, so we have our hourly chart, 60 minute timeframe. And we can see how price dipped 8 +|7 |00:01:56,940 ~-~-> 00:02:05,760 |into that weekly order block. Okay, now, it's not necessarily that all this area be concerned with, I'm just drawing a contrast to what other things going to be 9 +|8 |00:02:05,760 ~-~-> 00:02:20,550 |highlighting on the chart. One of the lineage specific range of date. Okay, I'm starting here, that's the beginning of January trading is the beginning of the 10 +|9 |00:02:20,550 ~-~-> 00:02:38,850 |year. And I'm going to delineate another date reference point. That's here. Okay. We don't see anything over here until there, there's our destination and 11 +|10 |00:02:38,850 ~-~-> 00:02:44,430 |time. So we have a range in time. Now we're going to have 12 +|11 |00:02:53,190 ~-~-> 00:03:18,630 |a reference point in terms of price, or a range, if you will. Okay, and make this solid. And we'll thicken up a little bit. clone that and then we're going 13 +|12 |00:03:18,630 ~-~-> 00:03:32,700 |to drop it right on the low here. Like that. Okay, so now we have a range. Okay, I want you to think about this range, just like I teach as it relates to the 14 +|13 |00:03:32,700 ~-~-> 00:03:46,920 |Asian range. Okay, what we're doing is we're actually bracketing and defining the initial week of the year and the first week of trading in January, okay, so 15 +|14 |00:03:46,920 ~-~-> 00:04:01,830 |this is the ICT power three applied to a monthly chart and weekly chart and a new year. So, the importance is that we see how the market is going to seek 16 +|15 |00:04:01,830 ~-~-> 00:04:14,490 |liquidity, but we have to frame the market in such a way where we can anticipate specific levels or areas or liquidity pools to be rated or probed. So now we 17 +|16 |00:04:14,490 ~-~-> 00:04:26,310 |have buy side liquidity before buy stops resting above these highs here. So it buy stops above this high here and sell stops resting below this low here. We 18 +|17 |00:04:26,310 ~-~-> 00:04:37,140 |have the same concept. It's applied to a daily range in response to the accumulation, manipulation and distribution cycle that I teach or the ITT power 19 +|18 |00:04:37,140 ~-~-> 00:04:51,300 |three concept. When we understand this, and we look for elements of runs on liquidity, we know that resting below this below is going to be cell stops. And 20 +|19 |00:04:51,300 ~-~-> 00:05:02,190 |we also know that the dollar index was bearish at the same time. And we know that in the shaded area here. There's a weekly bullish order block So there's a 21 +|20 |00:05:02,190 ~-~-> 00:05:13,590 |reason I want to go below this low. It's directly linked to a weekly timeframe that would be deemed bullish. And I want you to think about it in terms of how 22 +|21 |00:05:13,590 ~-~-> 00:05:21,690 |price when it drops below this low here, 23 +|22 |00:05:26,939 ~-~-> 00:05:41,519 |not picking it up a little bit. Okay, so we have a range price drops down below this initial week. Okay, so this is not some new weekly strategy, okay. It's, 24 +|23 |00:05:41,519 ~-~-> 00:05:49,919 |it's something I've taught before many times, on YouTube. Now I have taken the videos down, but there is a army of people that have downloaded everything I've 25 +|24 |00:05:49,919 ~-~-> 00:06:00,059 |ever produced. And they have a better cataloguing organization than I do with my content. But this is simply something that I taught with higher timeframe 26 +|25 |00:06:00,059 ~-~-> 00:06:10,259 |charts, using a monthly bar, and a weekly bar. And now we have a new year. So the same thing applies here. But I want you to think about how price seeks these 27 +|26 |00:06:10,259 ~-~-> 00:06:23,429 |liquidity reference points, or as I call them, liquidity pools. So price drops down here initially, to go into the weekly order block and take out the sell 28 +|27 |00:06:23,429 ~-~-> 00:06:33,509 |stops below the market low and leaving this area of consolidation. Once the sell stops have been taken, where they're going to aim for, well, if they go to the 29 +|28 |00:06:33,509 ~-~-> 00:06:43,349 |self stops and go down to a weekly bullish order block, they're going down here to do what accumulate. Okay, so they bought here, smart money did, they bought 30 +|29 |00:06:43,349 ~-~-> 00:06:51,779 |more, now they're gonna manipulate. So now they're accumulating, Long's accumulating Long's, and then they manipulate those individuals that are already 31 +|30 |00:06:51,779 ~-~-> 00:07:01,379 |long out of their positions. By running the stops, their cell stops have been taken for anyone that's already long, their manipulation on price takes those 32 +|31 |00:07:01,379 ~-~-> 00:07:09,779 |long holders out. By tripping, their cell stops, their cell stops to become market orders to flood the market, there's buying liquidity counterparties right 33 +|32 |00:07:09,779 ~-~-> 00:07:20,579 |there. So smart money can buy more at a cheaper price than they did here. And here, there isn't going to be a large degree of volume here, because it's only 34 +|33 |00:07:20,579 ~-~-> 00:07:30,509 |gonna be relative to the stops. So smart money sets the range by buying low, buying low, and then they wait while they do it again here. But right below 35 +|34 |00:07:30,509 ~-~-> 00:07:42,029 |here, they just unseat, okay, or manipulate those individuals that are already long out. to knock them off. they accumulate their position by buying, they're 36 +|35 |00:07:42,029 ~-~-> 00:07:55,049 |willing sale of their long positions based on their cell stop. So long holders have their cell stops hit, and the person or counterparties to those cell stops 37 +|36 |00:07:55,049 ~-~-> 00:08:05,369 |being taken, or going to be smart money, they will buy their stops as it drops down here. And that's why we see this large degree of volatility on the upside. 38 +|37 |00:08:06,239 ~-~-> 00:08:17,309 |Because now because they have entered long here, where's a really logical area to get out? Well, you want to find someone that wants to be buying from you at a 39 +|38 |00:08:17,309 ~-~-> 00:08:26,759 |higher price. But see, that's the problem. We're trained in the books to buy low, sell high. So if we're trying to buy low and sell high, how can how can 40 +|39 |00:08:26,759 ~-~-> 00:08:36,599 |someone? How can we find someone that wants to buy it from us, when we bought it low? How can they want to buy it higher, you have to find liquidity pools in the 41 +|40 |00:08:36,599 ~-~-> 00:08:40,409 |form of buy stops. So when the price trades above this level here, 42 +|41 |00:08:50,160 ~-~-> 00:09:03,390 |when this occurs, right there, these buy stocks become market orders to buy at the market. Exactly what the long holders want to have here. They want someone 43 +|42 |00:09:03,390 ~-~-> 00:09:13,260 |that's willing to buy at a higher price, because now they want to take their profits. Not all of them but the Long's that they accumulate here. They're going 44 +|43 |00:09:13,260 ~-~-> 00:09:22,500 |to sell some portion of it to willing buyers at a higher price. And as price starts to expand higher breakout artists, price chasers, they start buying it 45 +|44 |00:09:22,500 ~-~-> 00:09:33,180 |too. And that's when all this range here. We're seeing liquidation of participants that bought down here, bought here, here and here. So we're seeing 46 +|45 |00:09:33,180 ~-~-> 00:09:43,530 |the power three. The opening price is the opening on this candle here which is 134 99. And we see power three formation here where it's small little portion on 47 +|46 |00:09:43,530 ~-~-> 00:09:51,930 |the range drops down below the opening price, creating the low of the month, the low of the week and so far below the year. Now I'm not stating this is going to 48 +|47 |00:09:51,930 ~-~-> 00:10:01,950 |be the oil of the year and like that, but this is how we look for liquidity runs. If this is all we see in terms of a price move up to 137 40 Is this not a 49 +|48 |00:10:01,950 ~-~-> 00:10:11,910 |significant enough range to be profitable for your study in a demo account, obviously, who wouldn't be up to you who would be upset about that. But I want 50 +|49 |00:10:11,910 ~-~-> 00:10:24,360 |you to view how the monthly candle or monthly range, the way you interpret that is you want to use the first five days of trading. Now, they are not going to be 51 +|50 |00:10:24,360 ~-~-> 00:10:34,380 |always like we just had for January, we look at a calendar can see that it starts on a Monday, in the five days of the first week of January happens to be 52 +|51 |00:10:34,380 ~-~-> 00:10:43,440 |Monday through Friday, it won't occur like that. Always, sometimes the month is going to begin on a Wednesday or Tuesday or something like that, you're going to 53 +|52 |00:10:43,440 ~-~-> 00:10:53,040 |use the first five trading days of every month, and you define that like this, okay, and what that's going to do is offer you the same concept that I taught 54 +|53 |00:10:53,040 ~-~-> 00:11:03,510 |you with the Asian range for power three on a daily candle, you're doing that with a monthly, okay. So once we have these ideas applied to our chart, we can 55 +|54 |00:11:03,510 ~-~-> 00:11:12,240 |clearly see what the algorithm is going to be reaching for, why it should be reaching for it, and it provides a great deal of context and detail. And you 56 +|55 |00:11:12,240 ~-~-> 00:11:21,900 |dare I say it, X ray view of what price should do in the future, from a logical standpoint. And from an order flow standpoint, it's not guessing we know what it 57 +|56 |00:11:21,900 ~-~-> 00:11:31,080 |should be doing, and why it should be doing what it's doing. This is the element behind the cable chart that I wanted to see if you guys would see. And I you 58 +|57 |00:11:31,080 ~-~-> 00:11:41,760 |know, so let's go and take a look at the euro dollar now. Okay, so we're looking at the euro dollar, this is a weekly chart. Again, we'll be using the orderbox 59 +|58 |00:11:41,820 ~-~-> 00:11:57,690 |on a weekly basis. Here. Alright, so now we can drop down into our one hour chart. Okay, so we're gonna do the same thing we just did with the cable, where 60 +|59 |00:11:57,690 ~-~-> 00:12:08,190 |I mark off the beginning of the year, we're gonna get our first week of trading. delayed, this is going to act as our 61 +|60 |00:12:13,680 ~-~-> 00:12:34,470 |initial range. And we'll add in, I'm going to use horizontal lines now just cut to the chase. Right here before high and our low. Right there. Okay, so we have 62 +|61 |00:12:34,500 ~-~-> 00:12:47,820 |our initial, low and high first week of trading for January and for the first of the year. And we can apply these ideas with the weekly range, I'd approach your 63 +|62 |00:12:47,820 ~-~-> 00:12:58,680 |idea using power three. Okay, so what we're looking for, again, is elements of accumulation, manipulation and distribution. We know that this area down here in 64 +|63 |00:12:58,680 ~-~-> 00:13:11,220 |the shaded blue area is not a demand zone. It's a ICT bullish order block. So we know what's residing down there. But we have an initial range. We know what's 65 +|64 |00:13:11,220 ~-~-> 00:13:21,330 |resting above the high, it's by stops. And what's resting below the lows, it's cell stops. So what we're looking for his we have a study on higher timeframe 66 +|65 |00:13:21,600 ~-~-> 00:13:31,380 |looking for a bias, if you will, obviously, we know dollar index was bearish bullish on foreign currency. We can really be bullish when we get down to the 67 +|66 |00:13:31,380 ~-~-> 00:13:38,880 |weekly order block, you can see the reactions here they dipped into it dipped into it dipped into it almost got turned to it again, but ultimately took off on 68 +|67 |00:13:38,880 ~-~-> 00:13:48,660 |the heels of ECB. All finding great, wonderful. But I want you to take a look at the elements that are seen here because you can see all of the things that I 69 +|68 |00:13:48,660 ~-~-> 00:14:01,350 |teach what the Asian range being applied to the power three on a monthly chart. Again, the opening on the month is on this candle Here comes in at 119 99 70 +|69 |00:14:01,380 ~-~-> 00:14:12,930 |basically 120 big figure and we have consolidation. And if we're bullish we're gonna be looking for what evidence is that they're buying so they bought here 71 +|70 |00:14:12,960 ~-~-> 00:14:22,890 |rally up, he bought here rallied up. They bought more in here. Price dips down into the weekly order block, they accumulate more, but more specifically they 72 +|71 |00:14:22,890 ~-~-> 00:14:34,110 |take out these lows. Okay, the lows have been taken out. They reach down to an area of long term bullishness with a weekly bullish or ba and we can see them 73 +|72 |00:14:34,350 ~-~-> 00:14:43,170 |working that level. Look at the reaction up to this range is is the same type of thing you would expect to see what the Asian range on a daily chart or a daily 74 +|73 |00:14:43,170 ~-~-> 00:14:55,920 |range rather, price drops back down. And for anyone that has my old tutorials where I teach the London open, set up where this would be the Asian range and it 75 +|74 |00:14:55,920 ~-~-> 00:15:04,560 |price drops down gets Judas swing, an optimal trade entry failure swing The Daily range runs up. All we're looking at here is the same thing applied to it 76 +|75 |00:15:04,620 ~-~-> 00:15:17,520 |on a monthly perspective, we have the monthly, first five trading days of the month. bracket those out, define your range have a bias bullish or bearish and 77 +|76 |00:15:17,520 ~-~-> 00:15:28,080 |then use the same concepts that are otherwise taught in the intraday models. And you'll see that we're using not a, again, new weekly or refinement of my ICT 78 +|77 |00:15:28,080 ~-~-> 00:15:37,530 |concepts. It's always just this, it's what I've already shared. But you can't put lipstick on this and call it something else, folks, it's something I've 79 +|78 |00:15:37,740 ~-~-> 00:15:48,270 |taught years ago, people have an inherent video library. And they know it when they see it. So this is the approach to using power three with a higher 80 +|79 |00:15:48,270 ~-~-> 00:15:57,780 |timeframe perspective, and it delivers just as much precision that you would expect. And my examples have shown on an intraday capacity. In terms of market 81 +|80 |00:15:57,780 ~-~-> 00:16:09,060 |symmetry, we can see the range that we do like with the Asian range, we do one standard deviation down, boom, hits it as it overlaps and converges with that 82 +|81 |00:16:09,060 ~-~-> 00:16:18,180 |weekly order block that will be deemed bullish. And once they deviate from the upside, we can see that the market has thus far with no problem whatsoever, gone 83 +|82 |00:16:18,180 ~-~-> 00:16:27,390 |one standard deviation on the upside, and we'll see if there's any more continuation next week as we go into new trading. So I wanted to share this with 84 +|83 |00:16:27,390 ~-~-> 00:16:39,000 |you give you one more examples of how we can use not just intraday stuff, but using the same elements of time and price that I teach and using the ICT power 85 +|84 |00:16:39,000 ~-~-> 00:16:50,310 |three concept, applying it to a monthly perspective and a weekly perspective, we can see that same thing happening here. Let's take these off. 86 +|85 |00:16:57,930 ~-~-> 00:17:11,640 |Okay, so we have the Mondays range in here. Right here, Mondays range. And if we apply that same theory, not on the monthly perspective, but on a weekly basis. 87 +|86 |00:17:14,250 ~-~-> 00:17:25,890 |Okay, we have Monday's range here. So here's Monday's trading. And below that we get the run on Tuesday, taking the liquidity out below that low at a weekly 88 +|87 |00:17:25,890 ~-~-> 00:17:37,830 |bullish order block, as one would expect that we're going to take this range here, and we're gonna duplicate that. Okay. And again, this is not something 89 +|88 |00:17:37,830 ~-~-> 00:17:42,750 |new, no one can take credit for this stuff. This is stuff that I taught for free on YouTube. 90 +|89 |00:17:48,150 ~-~-> 00:17:57,720 |Okay, and you can start doing your standard deviations. And you'll see where price will want to reach for. 91 +|90 |00:18:03,000 ~-~-> 00:18:21,960 |So we're looking at 122 30. What is that? Let's put a horizontal line on there. So 120 to 38.7. Okay, now remember, I had shared a chart last week with an 92 +|91 |00:18:21,960 ~-~-> 00:18:31,080 |objective of 122 32. And should we hit that level? I've already put it out there. So it's not like I can say, Well, you know, I thought it was going to go 93 +|92 |00:18:31,080 ~-~-> 00:18:42,060 |here and look like I did in hindsight, it's been out there for several days. So should we see 120 to 32 traded to now 120 38.7, if that's traded to, you know 94 +|93 |00:18:42,060 ~-~-> 00:18:51,150 |why? Because this is the mechanics behind me the algorithm is seeking these areas of liquidity. But specifically the 122 32 level, should we hit that level, 95 +|94 |00:18:51,180 ~-~-> 00:19:03,540 |I will then outline how I knew that was likely to hit not guaranteeing it, but that's what I'm looking for. So between 120 to 30 to 120 to 40 in that area. I 96 +|95 |00:19:03,540 ~-~-> 00:19:11,400 |think it's a reasonable upside objective for next week initially, should we see continuation and erosion on the dollar index, and obviously that's going to 97 +|96 |00:19:11,400 ~-~-> 00:19:23,310 |compound and see larger upside objectives for euro dollar and cable and lower objectives on the dollar index. So hopefully you found this video insightful and 98 +|97 |00:19:23,340 ~-~-> 00:19:25,860 |I'll talk to you next time. I wish you good luck and good trading. 5 5 6 -2 7 -00:00:44,760 ~-~-> 00:00:57,360 8 -for the cable, and asked what everyone would see in this image. And I did one 9 -for the Euro, as well. Okay. And I put a couple things in here to try to draw 10 - 11 -3 12 -00:00:57,360 ~-~-> 00:01:06,600 13 -your attention to it. But I wanted to see what else everyone else would have, 14 -from their independent perspective without me drawing any special attention to 15 - 16 -4 17 -00:01:06,600 ~-~-> 00:01:18,240 18 -anything. And that's kind of like what I want to go over now. So I'm going to go 19 -over to daily FX Archer, welcome to cable, Bridgetown, USD, this is a weekly 20 - 21 -5 22 -00:01:18,240 ~-~-> 00:01:43,530 23 -chart. And I want to again, draw attention to the order block in here. Right in 24 -here is the order block. And we're going to change this to I will use this area 25 - 26 -6 27 -00:01:43,530 ~-~-> 00:01:56,940 28 -here to be shaded in blue. So I'm going to drop into an hourly chart. Okay, so 29 -we have our hourly chart, 60 minute timeframe. And we can see how price dipped 30 - 31 -7 32 -00:01:56,940 ~-~-> 00:02:05,760 33 -into that weekly order block. Okay, now, it's not necessarily that all this area 34 -be concerned with, I'm just drawing a contrast to what other things going to be 35 - 36 -8 37 -00:02:05,760 ~-~-> 00:02:20,550 38 -highlighting on the chart. One of the lineage specific range of date. Okay, I'm 39 -starting here, that's the beginning of January trading is the beginning of the 40 - 41 -9 42 -00:02:20,550 ~-~-> 00:02:38,850 43 -year. And I'm going to delineate another date reference point. That's here. 44 -Okay. We don't see anything over here until there, there's our destination and 45 - 46 -10 47 -00:02:38,850 ~-~-> 00:02:44,430 48 -time. So we have a range in time. Now we're going to have 49 - 50 -11 51 -00:02:53,190 ~-~-> 00:03:18,630 52 -a reference point in terms of price, or a range, if you will. Okay, and make 53 -this solid. And we'll thicken up a little bit. clone that and then we're going 54 - 55 -12 56 -00:03:18,630 ~-~-> 00:03:32,700 57 -to drop it right on the low here. Like that. Okay, so now we have a range. Okay, 58 -I want you to think about this range, just like I teach as it relates to the 59 - 60 -13 61 -00:03:32,700 ~-~-> 00:03:46,920 62 -Asian range. Okay, what we're doing is we're actually bracketing and defining 63 -the initial week of the year and the first week of trading in January, okay, so 64 - 65 -14 66 -00:03:46,920 ~-~-> 00:04:01,830 67 -this is the ICT power three applied to a monthly chart and weekly chart and a 68 -new year. So, the importance is that we see how the market is going to seek 69 - 70 -15 71 -00:04:01,830 ~-~-> 00:04:14,490 72 -liquidity, but we have to frame the market in such a way where we can anticipate 73 -specific levels or areas or liquidity pools to be rated or probed. So now we 74 - 75 -16 76 -00:04:14,490 ~-~-> 00:04:26,310 77 -have buy side liquidity before buy stops resting above these highs here. So it 78 -buy stops above this high here and sell stops resting below this low here. We 79 - 80 -17 81 -00:04:26,310 ~-~-> 00:04:37,140 82 -have the same concept. It's applied to a daily range in response to the 83 -accumulation, manipulation and distribution cycle that I teach or the ITT power 84 - 85 -18 86 -00:04:37,140 ~-~-> 00:04:51,300 87 -three concept. When we understand this, and we look for elements of runs on 88 -liquidity, we know that resting below this below is going to be cell stops. And 89 - 90 -19 91 -00:04:51,300 ~-~-> 00:05:02,190 92 -we also know that the dollar index was bearish at the same time. And we know 93 -that in the shaded area here. There's a weekly bullish order block So there's a 94 - 95 -20 96 -00:05:02,190 ~-~-> 00:05:13,590 97 -reason I want to go below this low. It's directly linked to a weekly timeframe 98 -that would be deemed bullish. And I want you to think about it in terms of how 99 - 100 -21 101 -00:05:13,590 ~-~-> 00:05:21,690 102 -price when it drops below this low here, 103 - 104 -22 105 -00:05:26,939 ~-~-> 00:05:41,519 106 -not picking it up a little bit. Okay, so we have a range price drops down below 107 -this initial week. Okay, so this is not some new weekly strategy, okay. It's, 108 - 109 -23 110 -00:05:41,519 ~-~-> 00:05:49,919 111 -it's something I've taught before many times, on YouTube. Now I have taken the 112 -videos down, but there is a army of people that have downloaded everything I've 113 - 114 -24 115 -00:05:49,919 ~-~-> 00:06:00,059 116 -ever produced. And they have a better cataloguing organization than I do with my 117 -content. But this is simply something that I taught with higher timeframe 118 - 119 -25 120 -00:06:00,059 ~-~-> 00:06:10,259 121 -charts, using a monthly bar, and a weekly bar. And now we have a new year. So 122 -the same thing applies here. But I want you to think about how price seeks these 123 - 124 -26 125 -00:06:10,259 ~-~-> 00:06:23,429 126 -liquidity reference points, or as I call them, liquidity pools. So price drops 127 -down here initially, to go into the weekly order block and take out the sell 128 - 129 -27 130 -00:06:23,429 ~-~-> 00:06:33,509 131 -stops below the market low and leaving this area of consolidation. Once the sell 132 -stops have been taken, where they're going to aim for, well, if they go to the 133 - 134 -28 135 -00:06:33,509 ~-~-> 00:06:43,349 136 -self stops and go down to a weekly bullish order block, they're going down here 137 -to do what accumulate. Okay, so they bought here, smart money did, they bought 138 - 139 -29 140 -00:06:43,349 ~-~-> 00:06:51,779 141 -more, now they're gonna manipulate. So now they're accumulating, Long's 142 -accumulating Long's, and then they manipulate those individuals that are already 143 - 144 -30 145 -00:06:51,779 ~-~-> 00:07:01,379 146 -long out of their positions. By running the stops, their cell stops have been 147 -taken for anyone that's already long, their manipulation on price takes those 148 - 149 -31 150 -00:07:01,379 ~-~-> 00:07:09,779 151 -long holders out. By tripping, their cell stops, their cell stops to become 152 -market orders to flood the market, there's buying liquidity counterparties right 153 - 154 -32 155 -00:07:09,779 ~-~-> 00:07:20,579 156 -there. So smart money can buy more at a cheaper price than they did here. And 157 -here, there isn't going to be a large degree of volume here, because it's only 158 - 159 -33 160 -00:07:20,579 ~-~-> 00:07:30,509 161 -gonna be relative to the stops. So smart money sets the range by buying low, 162 -buying low, and then they wait while they do it again here. But right below 163 - 164 -34 165 -00:07:30,509 ~-~-> 00:07:42,029 166 -here, they just unseat, okay, or manipulate those individuals that are already 167 -long out. to knock them off. they accumulate their position by buying, they're 168 - 169 -35 170 -00:07:42,029 ~-~-> 00:07:55,049 171 -willing sale of their long positions based on their cell stop. So long holders 172 -have their cell stops hit, and the person or counterparties to those cell stops 173 - 174 -36 175 -00:07:55,049 ~-~-> 00:08:05,369 176 -being taken, or going to be smart money, they will buy their stops as it drops 177 -down here. And that's why we see this large degree of volatility on the upside. 178 - 179 -37 180 -00:08:06,239 ~-~-> 00:08:17,309 181 -Because now because they have entered long here, where's a really logical area 182 -to get out? Well, you want to find someone that wants to be buying from you at a 183 - 184 -38 185 -00:08:17,309 ~-~-> 00:08:26,759 186 -higher price. But see, that's the problem. We're trained in the books to buy 187 -low, sell high. So if we're trying to buy low and sell high, how can how can 188 - 189 -39 190 -00:08:26,759 ~-~-> 00:08:36,599 191 -someone? How can we find someone that wants to buy it from us, when we bought it 192 -low? How can they want to buy it higher, you have to find liquidity pools in the 193 - 194 -40 195 -00:08:36,599 ~-~-> 00:08:40,409 196 -form of buy stops. So when the price trades above this level here, 197 - 198 -41 199 -00:08:50,160 ~-~-> 00:09:03,390 200 -when this occurs, right there, these buy stocks become market orders to buy at 201 -the market. Exactly what the long holders want to have here. They want someone 202 - 203 -42 204 -00:09:03,390 ~-~-> 00:09:13,260 205 -that's willing to buy at a higher price, because now they want to take their 206 -profits. Not all of them but the Long's that they accumulate here. They're going 207 - 208 -43 209 -00:09:13,260 ~-~-> 00:09:22,500 210 -to sell some portion of it to willing buyers at a higher price. And as price 211 -starts to expand higher breakout artists, price chasers, they start buying it 212 - 213 -44 214 -00:09:22,500 ~-~-> 00:09:33,180 215 -too. And that's when all this range here. We're seeing liquidation of 216 -participants that bought down here, bought here, here and here. So we're seeing 217 - 218 -45 219 -00:09:33,180 ~-~-> 00:09:43,530 220 -the power three. The opening price is the opening on this candle here which is 221 -134 99. And we see power three formation here where it's small little portion on 222 - 223 -46 224 -00:09:43,530 ~-~-> 00:09:51,930 225 -the range drops down below the opening price, creating the low of the month, the 226 -low of the week and so far below the year. Now I'm not stating this is going to 227 - 228 -47 229 -00:09:51,930 ~-~-> 00:10:01,950 230 -be the oil of the year and like that, but this is how we look for liquidity 231 -runs. If this is all we see in terms of a price move up to 137 40 Is this not a 232 - 233 -48 234 -00:10:01,950 ~-~-> 00:10:11,910 235 -significant enough range to be profitable for your study in a demo account, 236 -obviously, who wouldn't be up to you who would be upset about that. But I want 237 - 238 -49 239 -00:10:11,910 ~-~-> 00:10:24,360 240 -you to view how the monthly candle or monthly range, the way you interpret that 241 -is you want to use the first five days of trading. Now, they are not going to be 242 - 243 -50 244 -00:10:24,360 ~-~-> 00:10:34,380 245 -always like we just had for January, we look at a calendar can see that it 246 -starts on a Monday, in the five days of the first week of January happens to be 247 - 248 -51 249 -00:10:34,380 ~-~-> 00:10:43,440 250 -Monday through Friday, it won't occur like that. Always, sometimes the month is 251 -going to begin on a Wednesday or Tuesday or something like that, you're going to 252 - 253 -52 254 -00:10:43,440 ~-~-> 00:10:53,040 255 -use the first five trading days of every month, and you define that like this, 256 -okay, and what that's going to do is offer you the same concept that I taught 257 - 258 -53 259 -00:10:53,040 ~-~-> 00:11:03,510 260 -you with the Asian range for power three on a daily candle, you're doing that 261 -with a monthly, okay. So once we have these ideas applied to our chart, we can 262 - 263 -54 264 -00:11:03,510 ~-~-> 00:11:12,240 265 -clearly see what the algorithm is going to be reaching for, why it should be 266 -reaching for it, and it provides a great deal of context and detail. And you 267 - 268 -55 269 -00:11:12,240 ~-~-> 00:11:21,900 270 -dare I say it, X ray view of what price should do in the future, from a logical 271 -standpoint. And from an order flow standpoint, it's not guessing we know what it 272 - 273 -56 274 -00:11:21,900 ~-~-> 00:11:31,080 275 -should be doing, and why it should be doing what it's doing. This is the element 276 -behind the cable chart that I wanted to see if you guys would see. And I you 277 - 278 -57 279 -00:11:31,080 ~-~-> 00:11:41,760 280 -know, so let's go and take a look at the euro dollar now. Okay, so we're looking 281 -at the euro dollar, this is a weekly chart. Again, we'll be using the orderbox 282 - 283 -58 284 -00:11:41,820 ~-~-> 00:11:57,690 285 -on a weekly basis. Here. Alright, so now we can drop down into our one hour 286 -chart. Okay, so we're gonna do the same thing we just did with the cable, where 287 - 288 -59 289 -00:11:57,690 ~-~-> 00:12:08,190 290 -I mark off the beginning of the year, we're gonna get our first week of trading. 291 -delayed, this is going to act as our 292 - 293 -60 294 -00:12:13,680 ~-~-> 00:12:34,470 295 -initial range. And we'll add in, I'm going to use horizontal lines now just cut 296 -to the chase. Right here before high and our low. Right there. Okay, so we have 297 - 298 -61 299 -00:12:34,500 ~-~-> 00:12:47,820 300 -our initial, low and high first week of trading for January and for the first of 301 -the year. And we can apply these ideas with the weekly range, I'd approach your 302 - 303 -62 304 -00:12:47,820 ~-~-> 00:12:58,680 305 -idea using power three. Okay, so what we're looking for, again, is elements of 306 -accumulation, manipulation and distribution. We know that this area down here in 307 - 308 -63 309 -00:12:58,680 ~-~-> 00:13:11,220 310 -the shaded blue area is not a demand zone. It's a ICT bullish order block. So we 311 -know what's residing down there. But we have an initial range. We know what's 312 - 313 -64 314 -00:13:11,220 ~-~-> 00:13:21,330 315 -resting above the high, it's by stops. And what's resting below the lows, it's 316 -cell stops. So what we're looking for his we have a study on higher timeframe 317 - 318 -65 319 -00:13:21,600 ~-~-> 00:13:31,380 320 -looking for a bias, if you will, obviously, we know dollar index was bearish 321 -bullish on foreign currency. We can really be bullish when we get down to the 322 - 323 -66 324 -00:13:31,380 ~-~-> 00:13:38,880 325 -weekly order block, you can see the reactions here they dipped into it dipped 326 -into it dipped into it almost got turned to it again, but ultimately took off on 327 - 328 -67 329 -00:13:38,880 ~-~-> 00:13:48,660 330 -the heels of ECB. All finding great, wonderful. But I want you to take a look at 331 -the elements that are seen here because you can see all of the things that I 332 - 333 -68 334 -00:13:48,660 ~-~-> 00:14:01,350 335 -teach what the Asian range being applied to the power three on a monthly chart. 336 -Again, the opening on the month is on this candle Here comes in at 119 99 337 - 338 -69 339 -00:14:01,380 ~-~-> 00:14:12,930 340 -basically 120 big figure and we have consolidation. And if we're bullish we're 341 -gonna be looking for what evidence is that they're buying so they bought here 342 - 343 -70 344 -00:14:12,960 ~-~-> 00:14:22,890 345 -rally up, he bought here rallied up. They bought more in here. Price dips down 346 -into the weekly order block, they accumulate more, but more specifically they 347 - 348 -71 349 -00:14:22,890 ~-~-> 00:14:34,110 350 -take out these lows. Okay, the lows have been taken out. They reach down to an 351 -area of long term bullishness with a weekly bullish or ba and we can see them 352 - 353 -72 354 -00:14:34,350 ~-~-> 00:14:43,170 355 -working that level. Look at the reaction up to this range is is the same type of 356 -thing you would expect to see what the Asian range on a daily chart or a daily 357 - 358 -73 359 -00:14:43,170 ~-~-> 00:14:55,920 360 -range rather, price drops back down. And for anyone that has my old tutorials 361 -where I teach the London open, set up where this would be the Asian range and it 362 - 363 -74 364 -00:14:55,920 ~-~-> 00:15:04,560 365 -price drops down gets Judas swing, an optimal trade entry failure swing The 366 -Daily range runs up. All we're looking at here is the same thing applied to it 367 - 368 -75 369 -00:15:04,620 ~-~-> 00:15:17,520 370 -on a monthly perspective, we have the monthly, first five trading days of the 371 -month. bracket those out, define your range have a bias bullish or bearish and 372 - 373 -76 374 -00:15:17,520 ~-~-> 00:15:28,080 375 -then use the same concepts that are otherwise taught in the intraday models. And 376 -you'll see that we're using not a, again, new weekly or refinement of my ICT 377 - 378 -77 379 -00:15:28,080 ~-~-> 00:15:37,530 380 -concepts. It's always just this, it's what I've already shared. But you can't 381 -put lipstick on this and call it something else, folks, it's something I've 382 - 383 -78 384 -00:15:37,740 ~-~-> 00:15:48,270 385 -taught years ago, people have an inherent video library. And they know it when 386 -they see it. So this is the approach to using power three with a higher 387 - 388 -79 389 -00:15:48,270 ~-~-> 00:15:57,780 390 -timeframe perspective, and it delivers just as much precision that you would 391 -expect. And my examples have shown on an intraday capacity. In terms of market 392 - 393 -80 394 -00:15:57,780 ~-~-> 00:16:09,060 395 -symmetry, we can see the range that we do like with the Asian range, we do one 396 -standard deviation down, boom, hits it as it overlaps and converges with that 397 - 398 -81 399 -00:16:09,060 ~-~-> 00:16:18,180 400 -weekly order block that will be deemed bullish. And once they deviate from the 401 -upside, we can see that the market has thus far with no problem whatsoever, gone 402 - 403 -82 404 -00:16:18,180 ~-~-> 00:16:27,390 405 -one standard deviation on the upside, and we'll see if there's any more 406 -continuation next week as we go into new trading. So I wanted to share this with 407 - 408 -83 409 -00:16:27,390 ~-~-> 00:16:39,000 410 -you give you one more examples of how we can use not just intraday stuff, but 411 -using the same elements of time and price that I teach and using the ICT power 412 - 413 -84 414 -00:16:39,000 ~-~-> 00:16:50,310 415 -three concept, applying it to a monthly perspective and a weekly perspective, we 416 -can see that same thing happening here. Let's take these off. 417 - 418 -85 419 -00:16:57,930 ~-~-> 00:17:11,640 420 -Okay, so we have the Mondays range in here. Right here, Mondays range. And if we 421 -apply that same theory, not on the monthly perspective, but on a weekly basis. 422 - 423 -86 424 -00:17:14,250 ~-~-> 00:17:25,890 425 -Okay, we have Monday's range here. So here's Monday's trading. And below that we 426 -get the run on Tuesday, taking the liquidity out below that low at a weekly 427 - 428 -87 429 -00:17:25,890 ~-~-> 00:17:37,830 430 -bullish order block, as one would expect that we're going to take this range 431 -here, and we're gonna duplicate that. Okay. And again, this is not something 432 - 433 -88 434 -00:17:37,830 ~-~-> 00:17:42,750 435 -new, no one can take credit for this stuff. This is stuff that I taught for free 436 -on YouTube. 437 - 438 -89 439 -00:17:48,150 ~-~-> 00:17:57,720 440 -Okay, and you can start doing your standard deviations. And you'll see where 441 -price will want to reach for. 442 - 443 -90 444 -00:18:03,000 ~-~-> 00:18:21,960 445 -So we're looking at 122 30. What is that? Let's put a horizontal line on there. 446 -So 120 to 38.7. Okay, now remember, I had shared a chart last week with an 447 - 448 -91 449 -00:18:21,960 ~-~-> 00:18:31,080 450 -objective of 122 32. And should we hit that level? I've already put it out 451 -there. So it's not like I can say, Well, you know, I thought it was going to go 452 - 453 -92 454 -00:18:31,080 ~-~-> 00:18:42,060 455 -here and look like I did in hindsight, it's been out there for several days. So 456 -should we see 120 to 32 traded to now 120 38.7, if that's traded to, you know 457 - 458 -93 459 -00:18:42,060 ~-~-> 00:18:51,150 460 -why? Because this is the mechanics behind me the algorithm is seeking these 461 -areas of liquidity. But specifically the 122 32 level, should we hit that level, 462 - 463 -94 464 -00:18:51,180 ~-~-> 00:19:03,540 465 -I will then outline how I knew that was likely to hit not guaranteeing it, but 466 -that's what I'm looking for. So between 120 to 30 to 120 to 40 in that area. I 467 - 468 -95 469 -00:19:03,540 ~-~-> 00:19:11,400 470 -think it's a reasonable upside objective for next week initially, should we see 471 -continuation and erosion on the dollar index, and obviously that's going to 472 - 473 -96 474 -00:19:11,400 ~-~-> 00:19:23,310 475 -compound and see larger upside objectives for euro dollar and cable and lower 476 -objectives on the dollar index. So hopefully you found this video insightful and 477 - 478 -97 479 -00:19:23,340 ~-~-> 00:19:25,860 480 -I'll talk to you next time. I wish you good luck and good trading.