1 | 00:00:17,190 --> 00:00:24,570 | ICT: Welcome back, folks, this is lesson 6.1 of the January 2017, ICT mentorship, defining high timeframe PD arrays. |
2 | 00:00:30,239 --> 00:00:38,729 | Okay, when we look at a chart, regardless of what time frame we're looking at it, there's two elements that come to mind as a trader, obviously, we think in |
3 | 00:00:38,729 --> 00:00:48,179 | terms of support or resistance, or we think in terms of volume oversold, we think in terms of price patterns, secondary, but generally, we think of the |
4 | 00:00:48,179 --> 00:01:00,809 | price being valued, too low or too cheap, or expensive or too high. And the algorithm has similar thought processes built into it. And we look at it in the |
5 | 00:01:00,809 --> 00:01:11,609 | form of a premium and a discount market. For the sake of discussion, just think of this red line at the top as a resistance, and a blue level in the bottom |
6 | 00:01:11,969 --> 00:01:21,899 | being supported. As price starts to move away from a level that would be viewed as too cheap or support, naturally, our expectations as traders, we expect to |
7 | 00:01:21,899 --> 00:01:32,999 | see price move higher. When it does this, we're confirmed to see a response moving up to a resistance point of some kind. Now the problem is with retail |
8 | 00:01:32,999 --> 00:01:42,389 | trading, and with technical analysis as a whole. By itself, it doesn't help you. Because every one of us could come to the conclusion that a specific level above |
9 | 00:01:42,389 --> 00:01:52,289 | current price action would be a resistance level, someone will see it as a an old loader will be trading to someone was we'd see in Ohio, some of us would see |
10 | 00:01:52,529 --> 00:02:04,619 | something else that would equate to a resistance level. Now, to remove all the ambiguity, you have to have a mindset going into it. And this teaching is to |
11 | 00:02:04,619 --> 00:02:13,589 | teach you the heirarchy on the tools that I use for framing the trades. Now these same arrays are the same things that we've talked about since the |
12 | 00:02:13,589 --> 00:02:22,109 | beginning the mentor ship, but we're going to prevent you from having them in a dis organized fashion. In other words, there's an heirarchy and how they are |
13 | 00:02:22,139 --> 00:02:33,749 | used and how you look for them in price. is priced makes a retracement lower from a support level. How far does it usually retrace back? All of us again |
14 | 00:02:33,779 --> 00:02:41,159 | based on different walks of life, technical analysis and different disciplines will all have a different conclusion. Some of us will use a Fibonacci some of us |
15 | 00:02:41,159 --> 00:02:52,199 | would use some fashion of support and resistance. Some of us would use Elliott Wave and ratios and harmonic patterns all kinds of things would come by way of |
16 | 00:02:52,229 --> 00:03:00,119 | discussion. If we were in a roundtable meeting, we're all sitting in the same room together. We all have different opinions about how far it would retrace, |
17 | 00:03:00,329 --> 00:03:09,539 | some of us wouldn't have even expected a retracement. Okay. Some of us would not see this as a retracement but a beginning of an all out reversal to trade below |
18 | 00:03:09,539 --> 00:03:20,219 | the old low. That's the problem every trader is plagued with when they come into this business. Who's right? Who has the means of knowing with great deal of |
19 | 00:03:20,219 --> 00:03:29,339 | prognostication, what is a support level and what is the resistance level. And therefore, what will propel price away from current market action higher or |
20 | 00:03:29,339 --> 00:03:37,439 | lower? Because the common adage is, if I knew where price was going next, I wouldn't need to know anything else, I'd make money. That's not true. Because |
21 | 00:03:37,439 --> 00:03:45,569 | you would find some other way to lose money over leveraging or, or doing something different you shouldn't be doing and you'll break a rule. And you'll |
22 | 00:03:45,569 --> 00:03:57,209 | get emotional or psychological impact because of that, and you'll end up blowing the account. So when we look at charts, we want to be viewing price in terms of |
23 | 00:03:57,209 --> 00:04:05,699 | are we in a premium? Or are we in a discount market. Earlier in the mentorship? I taught how you could do that. But we're gonna talk a little bit more in terms |
24 | 00:04:05,699 --> 00:04:18,149 | of how to frame that on higher timeframe charts in the form of an heirarchy with the Erase. As price starts to retrace, and then moves higher, it hits a level of |
25 | 00:04:18,149 --> 00:04:29,279 | resistance. Now for the sake of discussion, we're going to say we collectively understand what would deem a resistance level to remove all the secondary |
26 | 00:04:29,579 --> 00:04:37,049 | discussions that we could have if we were a front in front of one another in the same setting in a live setting where we could literally could shake hands and |
27 | 00:04:37,049 --> 00:04:46,679 | talk. All of us would have an opinion about what would constitute a resistance level. But we're going to say that this level it's noted as red that is the |
28 | 00:04:46,679 --> 00:04:56,849 | commonly agreed upon resistance level. The reasonable expectation would be to see price move away. And then price does that. Some of us will expect one more |
29 | 00:04:56,849 --> 00:05:05,399 | try to get to that level. Maybe go through it or to fail. That's how I trade as I expect to see price react. Some of us would not even expect that they would |
30 | 00:05:05,399 --> 00:05:09,449 | expect this one time, punch up air and all the other all new reversal. |
31 | 00:05:10,830 --> 00:05:19,830 | This is the type of setup I like to see here, another pass towards that old high. Either it's going to give me a run through or false break, or it's going |
32 | 00:05:19,830 --> 00:05:29,700 | to give me a failure swing. We talked about classifying institutional price swings. That's what we've done. For that teaching. Here, I want you to start |
33 | 00:05:29,700 --> 00:05:39,030 | thinking in terms of premium and discount on higher timeframe charts, because the heirarchy on how you view this is going to help you whether you're you're a |
34 | 00:05:39,030 --> 00:05:48,810 | day trader or scalper position traders, short term trader, with the expectation of lower prices, how far we expect to see price go down, well, the first impulse |
35 | 00:05:48,810 --> 00:05:59,160 | leg and then retracement, then as the second leg higher hitting that resistance level, that secondary impulse leg, that's probably going to be a good reasonable |
36 | 00:05:59,640 --> 00:06:09,600 | expectation for support level. Now it could be a bullish order block, it could be a, an old short term high in there on a lower timeframe. If this was a a |
37 | 00:06:09,600 --> 00:06:20,100 | monthly chart, at that low, there may be a daily short term high that would create a a support level that can't be seen on a monthly chart. So when we're |
38 | 00:06:20,100 --> 00:06:29,760 | looking at these higher timeframe, charts, just understand that there's going to be levels that exist inside of larger price swings that you may not see unless |
39 | 00:06:29,760 --> 00:06:36,150 | you go down to the lower timeframe. Now when I say lower timeframe, I'm only referring to the daily because of higher timeframe analysis is all we're |
40 | 00:06:36,150 --> 00:06:45,360 | focusing on here. Nothing below a daily chart. So for assuming that this is a monthly chart, and we're looking at price, the expectation is is okay, well, at |
41 | 00:06:45,360 --> 00:06:55,800 | that old low, we would expect to see some lower timeframe support level, Nick, again, it could be the monthly bullish order block, it could be a weekly bullish |
42 | 00:06:55,800 --> 00:07:05,790 | order block, or it could be a daily short term high, you may not be able to see it inside that, that little low there. But nonetheless, when we look at price |
43 | 00:07:05,790 --> 00:07:14,400 | swings back and forth on a chart, whether it be monthly, weekly, or daily and even lower timeframes, you have to understand that there are swings that exist |
44 | 00:07:14,670 --> 00:07:25,020 | and support levels and resistance levels, they exist in the lower timeframes that may not be so apparent using these higher timeframe charts. That is not |
45 | 00:07:25,410 --> 00:07:34,500 | what you base the majority of your trades on, what you're gonna be doing is you're gonna be using the monthly chart and the weekly chart to frame the |
46 | 00:07:34,500 --> 00:07:45,630 | context of what that market should be doing using these PDA arrays. So if we watched price, and it continues to trade higher here, where would you reasonably |
47 | 00:07:45,630 --> 00:07:56,160 | expect to see price trade to that short term little swing low at the failure swing? That's going to be what a potential mitigation block, it means any orders |
48 | 00:07:56,160 --> 00:08:05,970 | that were used to go long, but failed to make another pass at that old high. They're underwater now. So they're gonna look to mitigate those losses, and |
49 | 00:08:07,350 --> 00:08:16,230 | cover their long positions and go short, potentially, or just get out of the trade. But smart mind just doesn't cut losses, they know what they're doing. |
50 | 00:08:16,560 --> 00:08:25,650 | They scale and scale out in the hedge. So this would be another selling opportunity. The market seeks liquidity below the low and below the second |
51 | 00:08:25,650 --> 00:08:35,490 | impulse swing prior to the run into resistance. So it seeks liquidity below the marketplace. Once it takes that liquidity out, it can drive all the way down to |
52 | 00:08:35,490 --> 00:08:47,760 | that old support level. But generally it doesn't. It will retrace again and pick up more orders back at an old low. Where we'd see another opportunity to sell |
53 | 00:08:47,760 --> 00:08:57,000 | off and take out to liquidity below a short term lead that was just created and back down to a logical area of support. The expectation would be what the C |
54 | 00:08:57,000 --> 00:09:05,610 | price bounce price does this. When price starts to retrace, again. Some of us if we were all in the same room, we'd expect to see that price low to be violated |
55 | 00:09:05,610 --> 00:09:15,540 | and a new low created. Sometimes that will happen. Sometimes it won't. This failure swing in here could be used to set up another long opportunity for price |
56 | 00:09:15,540 --> 00:09:24,570 | rallies in the here's the million dollar question. The understanding is how price moves from one level to the next. But predominantly it's moving from a |
57 | 00:09:24,570 --> 00:09:36,420 | level of discount to a level of premium from a level of premium to a level of discount. Between the red line and the blue line. They are extremes in the |
58 | 00:09:36,420 --> 00:09:49,530 | middle. That's classified as equilibrium or balance. Buying imbalance is seen when price gets above equilibrium, or up into that red level which would be |
59 | 00:09:49,530 --> 00:10:01,020 | resistance. Selling imbalance would be when price gets below equilibrium and down into the blue line or what would be just drived as discount So where would |
60 | 00:10:01,020 --> 00:10:04,890 | you expect to see price go next. That's what you're always faced with. |
61 | 00:10:05,309 --> 00:10:18,569 | When you sit down in front of the charts. This discussion, we're going to use the common ICT tools as far as setup parameters in the form of the way they form |
62 | 00:10:18,629 --> 00:10:25,589 | on charts. In other words, the order in which they form and how they use them based on wherever you're at in terms of the marketplace. |
63 | 00:10:31,769 --> 00:10:41,369 | We're using this teaching as a foundation, that's going to lead us into a better understanding of this example, we showed were discussing money management for |
64 | 00:10:41,369 --> 00:10:54,299 | the January content. So lesson five, that example for the dollar yen pair for a long term position trade. This idea will be used as an example on framing PD |
65 | 00:10:54,299 --> 00:11:04,769 | arrays on higher timeframe charts. But before we get into that teaching, for 6.2, we have to do the foundation understand what we look for and why we expect |
66 | 00:11:04,769 --> 00:11:20,879 | it to unfold like we would. Okay, again, using our thought process of premium, which it'll be the red line, and discount, which will be the blue line. When you |
67 | 00:11:20,879 --> 00:11:29,369 | look at charts, you want to see where price has moved away from an old high, and it's dropping down from an area of premium, where it's, it's too it's too high. |
68 | 00:11:29,489 --> 00:11:38,099 | So the valuation is going to be reduced and dropped lower. So repricing takes place, and the market goes down, and the price goes lower as a result of it |
69 | 00:11:38,549 --> 00:11:46,499 | until it gets to a point where it's too much of a discount, then there has to be a premium built into it. The algorithm will do this moving price back and forth, |
70 | 00:11:46,499 --> 00:11:54,779 | back and forth, back and forth until again, something of significant impact comes to the marketplace and drives the market one sided, and it creates a |
71 | 00:11:54,779 --> 00:12:06,269 | strong imbalance. Otherwise, the market is going to gyrate back and forth looking for liquidity based on premium and discount conditions. We'll assume for |
72 | 00:12:06,269 --> 00:12:15,299 | a moment, right now the market price is here. Okay. And we can clearly see that the market in recent times had a clear discernible level of resistance, and a |
73 | 00:12:15,299 --> 00:12:22,649 | clear discernible level of support. Now that can come in the form of bullish and bearish order blocks. Or it could be just old highs and old lows. And we'll just |
74 | 00:12:22,649 --> 00:12:33,689 | use all highs and lows as an example for this discussion. Your expectation is is right now price is at a level where it should, by all standards move lower |
75 | 00:12:33,689 --> 00:12:44,159 | because it's at a classic viewed resistance level. We don't know how long that time is going to be required. Before the market does, in fact, submit to our |
76 | 00:12:44,159 --> 00:12:55,739 | expectation and see a lower price. So that timeframe, okay, that part is what you're always gonna have to submit to time is a murderer. It's a killer for |
77 | 00:12:55,739 --> 00:13:03,029 | traders, unless you know that some of these ideas are going to pan out for a long, long time, you're going to do a lot of things psychologically and |
78 | 00:13:03,029 --> 00:13:09,719 | emotionally that you wish you wouldn't have done. Because you haven't submitted to that that time aspect of trading. There's two two elements in trading, you |
79 | 00:13:09,719 --> 00:13:18,419 | have to submit to time and price when they both agree with one another. And you have waited for that agreement to come to fruition. That's where profitability |
80 | 00:13:18,419 --> 00:13:28,919 | and opportunities are. So we're looking at price. And we have no idea how long time is going to be required of us to wait before the displacement takes place. |
81 | 00:13:30,119 --> 00:13:39,509 | But eventually, our expectation is we'll see lower prices down to a level of discount. And that's what we're expecting are forecasting as a future price. In |
82 | 00:13:39,509 --> 00:13:49,199 | between these two prep reference points. Again, time and price is what's essential, you have to submit to the level of time, which no one knows how much |
83 | 00:13:49,199 --> 00:13:58,499 | time is going to be required before your setup pans out or goes to profitability. Price is what you're studying. you're submitting to time |
84 | 00:13:58,499 --> 00:14:07,469 | throughout the process. But while you are in the trade or expecting this to unfold, studying it, you're submitting to the price. You know what you're not |
85 | 00:14:07,469 --> 00:14:15,869 | trying to force your will on price, you're analyzing price to see what it is it's telling you in terms of institutional order flow, is it justifying your |
86 | 00:14:15,869 --> 00:14:25,349 | expectation that it wants to go down to that discount level or some bullish order block to buy back off of income or short position or could be a Oh loaded |
87 | 00:14:25,349 --> 00:14:34,019 | once a run below that future price could be a number of things. But for now, we're just going to aim for an old low between the market price today and the |
88 | 00:14:34,019 --> 00:14:42,029 | future price which you anticipate or forecast lower in the future. There's going to be zero opportunity for it to be a straight line. In other words, you're not |
89 | 00:14:42,029 --> 00:14:51,959 | seeing that diagonal line in the way the market trades it just doesn't do that is always some give and take that takes place. So understanding where certain |
90 | 00:14:51,989 --> 00:15:02,279 | arrays occur in that process will help you number one, stay with the trade idea, not be shaken out of it and have the confidence to hold until the objective is |
91 | 00:15:02,279 --> 00:15:11,639 | met or your stock gets taken in this simply move into a next opportunity, the opposite is seen. When you're looking for a bullish scenario, |
92 | 00:15:13,469 --> 00:15:21,929 | everything's just reverse. You expect at market price to be in the future at a premium. And of course, it's gonna be harder than it is today. Again, you have |
93 | 00:15:21,929 --> 00:15:32,249 | no idea how long time is going to be required to get to your future price or forecasted price. And you have to submit that and measure of time it is an |
94 | 00:15:32,309 --> 00:15:40,019 | unknown, you can't know for certainty how many days or how many hours or, or how many months it will be before that price is actually arrived at or if at all. |
95 | 00:15:41,369 --> 00:15:51,239 | But you also have to be studying price. And again, monitoring and studying the PD arrays that occur in price action that leads to supporting your expectation |
96 | 00:15:51,239 --> 00:16:01,679 | on institutional order flow that would drive price up into that premium level. The understanding is that price will move from a discount to a premium. Because |
97 | 00:16:01,709 --> 00:16:10,589 | the discount can't stay discount very long price is going to be established by whoever is selling it who who stands to make a profit off of it, while the |
98 | 00:16:10,589 --> 00:16:20,429 | central bank is going to be in in the business of adjusting price. So if we know that they are in control of price, ultimately, by way of steering sentiment in |
99 | 00:16:20,819 --> 00:16:31,199 | economies through the delivery of an interest rate, long term, to stimulate or to suppress an economy for our country, we have to view the market in terms of |
100 | 00:16:31,199 --> 00:16:41,819 | technicals to align ourselves with these ideas. So if we see a level of support, our expectation is Okay, where is the evidence that this thing will go to a |
101 | 00:16:41,819 --> 00:16:49,949 | premium market? Where's the premium market, where's the resistance at where's the higher level that I would want to see it trade to between the market price |
102 | 00:16:49,949 --> 00:16:57,359 | you're at right now and that future price? Again, it never happens in a straight line, there's time that you have no understanding of exactly how long it's going |
103 | 00:16:57,359 --> 00:17:04,769 | to be. But there's also an element of price that you have to study. In other words, just because you think it's going there doesn't mean it's going there, it |
104 | 00:17:04,769 --> 00:17:14,129 | could go halfway there and failing go lower. Nonetheless, what we're going to do is I'm going to outline now the arrays and keep them in a specific order. So |
105 | 00:17:14,129 --> 00:17:22,169 | that way, you know, wherever you're at in terms of market price, what you would expect to see or what you're looking for, okay, now, what should I be looking |
106 | 00:17:22,169 --> 00:17:32,909 | for in order block? Or should I be looking for a gap? What should I look for right now, that's what this teaching is going to do. Okay, for a monthly chart, |
107 | 00:17:33,359 --> 00:17:41,669 | okay, what you're going to do is you're going to look at the current trading range that it's in. Okay, and so we're gonna assume that you outlined the |
108 | 00:17:41,669 --> 00:17:48,569 | marketplace in terms of old highs and old lows on the monthly. And that's the easiest way of doing it. There's other ways you can do it. But for now, we're |
109 | 00:17:48,569 --> 00:17:59,459 | just going to outlines in the context at the most recent trading range that the market has moved from an old high to an old low, that would be our premium and |
110 | 00:17:59,459 --> 00:18:11,069 | discount definition. In between these two reference points, the halfway point, this is always going to be referred to as equilibrium. Now equilibrium between |
111 | 00:18:11,099 --> 00:18:20,699 | where you think price will go because it's been there before. And where it's at right now, relative to an old Hein old low. That's the current trading range. |
112 | 00:18:20,729 --> 00:18:29,639 | And I'll give you an example what that looks like when we go into lesson 6.2. But for now, I want to lay the foundations for what it is you look for. The |
113 | 00:18:29,639 --> 00:18:43,019 | first thing above equilibrium in the form of an array is an old high and old low. You want to be looking for that above equilibrium. The next thing that |
114 | 00:18:43,019 --> 00:18:51,239 | you'd be looking for and this is in the order of importance, okay? Old High old low. The next thing you'd be looking for as a rejection block rejection block |
115 | 00:18:51,239 --> 00:19:02,549 | would be just above the candles body, not the wicks. So the actual high and low is the wick. But then the next area of importance is the rejection block that |
116 | 00:19:02,549 --> 00:19:23,759 | would be just above the candles body. Then the bearish order block, a fair value gap. Liquidity void. Bearish breaker and the mitigation block. Put it another |
117 | 00:19:23,759 --> 00:19:33,149 | way. If we were at equilibrium, and we were moving away from a premium level or at resistance, in other words, the price has already dropped down. And we |
118 | 00:19:33,149 --> 00:19:42,269 | anticipate price going lower down to a level of support or monthly discount. We would be looking for above current market action again, assuming that we're at |
119 | 00:19:42,299 --> 00:19:49,859 | equilibrium right now. We would start looking above current market action in the past on the left side of our chart, where's the nearest mitigation block? There |
120 | 00:19:49,859 --> 00:19:52,439 | may not be one. Okay, check that off. |
121 | 00:19:53,070 --> 00:20:01,080 | Where's the nearest bearish breaker? There may not be one of those either. Okay, check that off. But if there is one, then You would reasonably expect to see |
122 | 00:20:01,080 --> 00:20:09,750 | price trade up to that price point to breaker, then expect some selling to go lower. And once it moves below equilibrium, then you would be all set to go to |
123 | 00:20:09,750 --> 00:20:17,460 | the monthly discount or support. But let's assume for a moment the mitigation block isn't there. And the breaker isn't there. What would you look for next? |
124 | 00:20:17,550 --> 00:20:28,170 | Okay, well, the next order of heirarchy is liquidity void, is there a range that needs to be closed in? Again, that may not be so clear, check that off, no |
125 | 00:20:28,170 --> 00:20:37,500 | problem. The next thing is there a fair value gap. Again, that might not exist either. Go to the next thing, bearish order block, that's probably going to be |
126 | 00:20:37,500 --> 00:20:46,740 | there. Chances are it's very strong that's going to be there. So what I just gave you, I gave you the heirarchy in which you look for a mitigation block is |
127 | 00:20:46,740 --> 00:20:54,450 | going to be first considered before you get to the bearish order block. Because the various water blocks can be really high up in the premium mitigation block |
128 | 00:20:54,450 --> 00:21:05,280 | is going to be the lowest mitigation and breakers are basically mitigation blocks. But generally, mitigation blocks can occur lower than breakers. Small |
129 | 00:21:05,280 --> 00:21:13,680 | little bounces and bear markets wouldn't be a mitigation block. Basically, a bearish breaker will keep your ability to get to a bearish order block which |
130 | 00:21:13,680 --> 00:21:23,460 | will be resting higher up in the premium. When an old high is taken out that down candle right before the second highs made taking an old high or turtle |
131 | 00:21:23,460 --> 00:21:33,570 | soup. In other words, that down candle if it's retreated to that's going to be a bearish breaker, that's going to keep you from seeing most likely high |
132 | 00:21:33,570 --> 00:21:42,540 | probability that it won't allow you to get to a bearish order block. So whenever you see bearish breakers, just don't expect the bearish order block to be hit. |
133 | 00:21:42,870 --> 00:21:54,120 | Okay, because it's going to most likely keep price lower, because it's going to be the most dominant array of all these in here. There is a liquidity void that |
134 | 00:21:54,120 --> 00:22:03,930 | will be viewed with there's no breaker and you can close in that range. And it may take you opt into a fair value gap or a bearish order block. But breakers by |
135 | 00:22:03,930 --> 00:22:10,650 | themselves even though they're low end on this list. That's the first thing you're going to encounter. Because if you're at equilibrium, and price has |
136 | 00:22:10,650 --> 00:22:20,040 | already been moving away from a resistance level, you're looking up now for any potential areas to resell at. First, when you look at the mitigation block, or |
137 | 00:22:20,040 --> 00:22:28,470 | bearish breaker. And if there's neither of those, you look for liquidity, avoid the trade up into the close in that range. For fair value gap, the close in May |
138 | 00:22:28,470 --> 00:22:34,650 | may not be any of that then you would expect to see the bearish order block to be traded to, then that would be your selling opportunity because you're at a |
139 | 00:22:34,650 --> 00:22:43,560 | premium and you go to a logical area where institutional order flow would kick in new orders would capitalize and then the selling would ensue if there isn't |
140 | 00:22:43,560 --> 00:22:52,680 | an obvious bearish order block, okay. And there's very little times that's like that, but we will talk about that when we get into entry techniques and |
141 | 00:22:52,740 --> 00:23:01,410 | concepts. But if there is a lack of bearish order block understanding and what you're looking at currently in market action, because there may be a lot of |
142 | 00:23:01,410 --> 00:23:10,080 | wicks something like that may occur, then you would look for a rejection block, which will be just above the body of the candles, do we expect that to be ran |
143 | 00:23:10,080 --> 00:23:19,920 | out? And then you'd be really high on the premium there? And then ultimately, a whole whole entire run on the old high? That would be an expectation. Now, I |
144 | 00:23:19,920 --> 00:23:29,580 | have here old high No, well, what why would the low be there? Well, if you're on a very low end of a downtrend on a higher timeframe monthly chart, you may be |
145 | 00:23:29,580 --> 00:23:40,560 | rallying up to a old low. And if it gets to that old low, even though it's an old low in terms of price, it's really high up in the premium if it's been |
146 | 00:23:40,560 --> 00:23:50,550 | rallying a considerable amount of time and price to get to that level. So retreating to an old low. That's resistance, classic understanding. But it may |
147 | 00:23:50,550 --> 00:23:57,600 | need to run on an old high as well. So basically, all you're doing is is you're you're just scaling the grade of how much important you're gonna have on each |
148 | 00:23:57,600 --> 00:24:05,490 | one of these. So again, in summary, I want you to understand what I'm talking about here. We're not just listening to things we've talked about in in previous |
149 | 00:24:05,490 --> 00:24:18,360 | teachings, okay, I'm putting them in an order of significance when you're at equilibrium. Or if you're moving up from Discount. Okay, your expectations are |
150 | 00:24:18,390 --> 00:24:25,920 | to look for the very first thing you look for on the list as prices going up. The first thing you're looking to see to encounter, is there any mitigation |
151 | 00:24:25,920 --> 00:24:35,220 | block that I got to consider, because that's the first objective. It could be a selling point, then it's a bearish breaker that could set the tone for another |
152 | 00:24:35,220 --> 00:24:44,610 | leg lower or stop any rallies on a bullish idea. Then the next idea if you're bullish from a discount, or if you're expecting a new selling opportunity, say |
153 | 00:24:44,610 --> 00:24:48,360 | you're at the equilibrium price point anything below the premium. |
154 | 00:24:50,430 --> 00:24:59,970 | The expectations and when you're looking up in price for areas where price may go up to it's in this order from the lowest up numbers from mitigation block all |
155 | 00:25:00,000 --> 00:25:11,400 | Up to old high or low, that's the order you would expect to see them. Now, the order of importance you know, it's the highest of the premium array is the old |
156 | 00:25:11,400 --> 00:25:22,350 | high in old low. That's that's as high as you can get. Then you have rejection block, then you have bearish order block, a fair fair value gap in liquidity |
157 | 00:25:22,350 --> 00:25:28,680 | void, bearish breaker and mitigation block, you're going to be looking up. And the first thing you're going to encounter is the first thing on the bottom of |
158 | 00:25:28,680 --> 00:25:37,530 | this list. And then you start working your way up that list. The farther you go up in this list, the more deeper you go into a premium market, certain arrays in |
159 | 00:25:37,530 --> 00:25:48,990 | here will keep you from seeing the next higher array. In other words, the next institutional order reference point that's listed in here, if you get to a |
160 | 00:25:48,990 --> 00:25:55,230 | breaker, chances are, you're probably not going to go higher than that, you will generally get up into close that void. If there's a breaker below a liquidity |
161 | 00:25:55,230 --> 00:26:04,200 | void, that liquidity void may stay open, basically, that range may stay open. So they kind of like it's in the order of importance as a trader, when you're below |
162 | 00:26:04,770 --> 00:26:13,980 | premium and looking higher up for prices or expecting prices to move higher. That mitigation block, you know, that's the lowest or the most likely what |
163 | 00:26:13,980 --> 00:26:21,450 | you're gonna expect to run into first, it doesn't mean that there's one in price action, but you start from that expectation first and you look for it. It's not |
164 | 00:26:21,450 --> 00:26:28,320 | there. Okay, what's the next thing you're looking for the bearish breaker, if it's not there, okay, then I'm okay that expect that void to close in dip, but |
165 | 00:26:28,320 --> 00:26:37,620 | there may not be a void, it may have been a really systematic and efficient way that it traded lower. And that won't be any void there. So next thing is is |
166 | 00:26:37,620 --> 00:26:45,360 | there a gap that would draw a price up into it, if there's no gap, then you go right to the order block. Okay, but the main thing is, if there's a breaker, |
167 | 00:26:45,540 --> 00:26:52,230 | forget about closing in the void and forget about getting up to that gap because the breaker is going to take precedence over everything on this list. When |
168 | 00:26:52,230 --> 00:27:02,100 | you're below it in terms of market price. If we were anticipating move lower into price into a discount or into a support level, we would expect the very |
169 | 00:27:02,100 --> 00:27:14,580 | next PD array to be a mitigation block. Now again, that may not appear in price. If there is no mitigation block, you would expect to see the next PD array in |
170 | 00:27:14,580 --> 00:27:23,790 | the form of a bullish breaker. Again, this may not occur or be seen in price action, but this is the order in which you would expect to see as price is going |
171 | 00:27:23,790 --> 00:27:32,820 | lower. Looking in the past to the left side of your chart, you'll be focusing on whether or not these arrays appear in price action. Their importance is again is |
172 | 00:27:32,820 --> 00:27:44,100 | listed from equilibrium, the expected order of how they're going to be in the price action in the form of a discount. The first one you would anticipate |
173 | 00:27:44,100 --> 00:27:55,710 | seeing as a mitigation block bullishly than a bullish breaker, then a liquidity void. Now, if there is a bullish breaker, now again, a bullish breaker is a up |
174 | 00:27:55,710 --> 00:28:08,190 | candle between two swing lows, and the most recent swing low would be lower numbers, you're seeing a stop run in the past and the high the swing high that |
175 | 00:28:08,310 --> 00:28:15,960 | it forms between the two lows. That up candle is going to be your bullish breaker. So when price comes down, then at the push up candle, you'll find some |
176 | 00:28:15,960 --> 00:28:25,140 | support. If you see that in price action, chances are if there's a liquidity void in price, it won't go down to fill that in, it can if it overtakes the |
177 | 00:28:25,140 --> 00:28:39,210 | breaker but if it has a breaker anticipate price, not going below the breaker and leaving the void intact. Again, assuming there is no breaker and there is no |
178 | 00:28:39,210 --> 00:28:46,950 | void but there is a gap and it may be liquidity void any gap. Sometimes that can occur too. But you would anticipate price reaching down into a fair value gap, |
179 | 00:28:46,980 --> 00:28:57,180 | which is this a common little gap or pricing only been delivered on one side of the marketplace. And then the next array would be the bullish order block. And |
180 | 00:28:57,180 --> 00:29:05,310 | again, without the breaker, you would expect the void to be filled a gap to be filled trade down into the bullish order block then below the order block would |
181 | 00:29:05,310 --> 00:29:14,460 | be a rejection block which is just below the most lowest candle and its body. In other words, if it has wicks long links below it, we're only gonna be looking |
182 | 00:29:14,460 --> 00:29:23,490 | for a move just below the body of the candle and that would be rejection block. And then ultimately, the deepest form of discount would be in the form of an old |
183 | 00:29:23,490 --> 00:29:33,060 | low or trading down to in a historic high. And like we said when we were talking about the premium market and prices trade up to in Ohio it can also trade up to |
184 | 00:29:33,060 --> 00:29:42,960 | a very old long term low and that would both be in the form of a resistance level. So when we look at markets like this, what it does is it gives us a |
185 | 00:29:42,960 --> 00:29:43,650 | framework |
186 | 00:29:49,260 --> 00:29:59,160 | you can see here, the monthly premium arrays these are going to be focused for primarily bearish premium array trading and always you're gonna be using these |
187 | 00:29:59,190 --> 00:30:14,460 | areas What's the frame of trade or look for bullish targets at these levels for monthly discount your bullish discount arrays these are your bullish discount |
188 | 00:30:14,460 --> 00:30:24,120 | arrays and you will be looking for these for bearish targets are looking to get long at any one of these based on the current conditions in the market. Now, the |
189 | 00:30:24,120 --> 00:30:33,300 | same thing is seen also for the weekly chart, the weekly chart, you're gonna be looking at the same thing from equilibrium up. The first thing you would expect |
190 | 00:30:33,300 --> 00:30:39,540 | to see when you're expecting higher prices, are we going to run into a mitigation block? Bearish breaker? If there's bearish breaker, you're probably |
191 | 00:30:39,540 --> 00:30:49,890 | not gonna go higher than that. But if there is no breaker, you look for a void to close in. For fair value gap. If there is no fair, fair value gap or avoid |
192 | 00:30:50,700 --> 00:30:59,310 | price could just simply trade right up into the bearish order block. And if there is an idea that suggests that there's possibly not a strong bearish order |
193 | 00:30:59,310 --> 00:31:07,140 | block there, we would look for a rejection block which is a move above the candles bodies, if there's long wicks that top that market and then ultimately a |
194 | 00:31:07,140 --> 00:31:15,150 | run above the old high or return to a historical low. The same things we just outlined for the monthly is seen for the weekly both premium and discount the |
195 | 00:31:15,150 --> 00:31:23,340 | same heirarchy and how you would expect to see these arrays occur in price action. This is the way they are seen. And obviously the same thing is said for |
196 | 00:31:23,880 --> 00:31:33,630 | a daily chart, nothing's changed the same heirarchy exists. If we're at equilibrium, and that's the current market action price, and we're expecting |
197 | 00:31:33,630 --> 00:31:42,570 | lower prices. The first thing we want to look for on the left side of our chart, is there any mitigation blocks or a bullish breaker. If there is anything less |
198 | 00:31:42,570 --> 00:31:52,170 | than that breaker probably won't be considered or retreated to. The Breaker has precedence over everything both bullish breaker and bearish breakers. So we're |
199 | 00:31:52,170 --> 00:32:00,360 | gonna take a look at an example of all this information with our dollar yen example that we mentioned briefly. And lesson number five money management with |
200 | 00:32:00,360 --> 00:32:08,730 | higher time frame analysis using these ideas in 6.2, that lesson will actually give you a real practical example. |