Changes for page OTE Pattern Recognition Series - Vol 03.srt

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... ... @@ -1,391 +1,38 @@ 1 -1 2 -00:00:11,160 ~-~-> 00:00:13,830 3 -ICT: Okay, folks, welcome back. This is part three of the 1 +(% class="hover min" %) 2 +|1 |00:00:11,160 ~-~-> 00:00:20,370 |ICT: Okay, folks, welcome back. This is part three of the continuing series of the ICT optimal trade entry pattern recognition series. And we're a step outside 3 +|2 |00:00:20,370 ~-~-> 00:00:31,020 |of forex. As I mentioned, one of the central tenets of this pattern is it's not limited to forex. So I'm going to show you how you can use it in the futures 4 +|3 |00:00:31,020 ~-~-> 00:00:43,080 |market. This is an index futures. And it's the delivery contract of June 2020. of the s&p e mini futures. Alright, so we want to look for a signature in price 5 +|4 |00:00:43,080 ~-~-> 00:00:54,330 |that would lend well to aiming for a previous day's higher low. And again, it's focusing primarily on a very short term timeframe. But the pattern can be scaled 6 +|5 |00:00:54,510 ~-~-> 00:01:04,440 |to whatever timeframe you really want. So looking at the price action here, you can see that we have a swing low swing high and a retracement here, and price 7 +|6 |00:01:04,440 ~-~-> 00:01:15,810 |was underway going higher. And there's no necessity for you to say, I have to be in this here, or I have to be in this here. Or I can't participate in a market 8 +|7 |00:01:15,810 ~-~-> 00:01:27,900 |like this and be a buyer, which is not true. So I want you to take a look at the framework here. We're presently in a larger daily optimal trade entry price just 9 +|8 |00:01:27,930 ~-~-> 00:01:38,340 |fell short of hitting the 70% retracement level. And again, the magic is not the fib. It's the target of liquidity. That's all I'm doing. The Fed just helps me 10 +|9 |00:01:38,340 ~-~-> 00:01:48,330 |frame an underlying context. It's not that you need these levels, it just gives you a framework. Okay. So the framework is we have an old low old high 11 +|10 |00:01:48,540 ~-~-> 00:02:00,150 |retracement and then starts to move higher. So on a daily chart, where is the likely momentum, it's going higher, okay, great. It could be reaching to this 12 +|11 |00:02:00,240 ~-~-> 00:02:09,420 |old high here, or it could fail to run that high or kick go through it and keep on going higher in this and since we don't care, we just know that the 13 +|12 |00:02:09,420 ~-~-> 00:02:23,430 |likelihood is it's probably going to run a previous day's high. So today's Monday of may 2020, may 11, specifically. So here's Friday, May 8 2020. And 14 +|13 |00:02:23,430 ~-~-> 00:02:30,810 |we're going to denote that high. So that price level is going to be significantly dropped on the lower timeframe. Okay, so here is the s&p e mini 15 +|14 |00:02:30,810 ~-~-> 00:02:40,980 |futures for June 2025 minute chart. And this is a naked chart so that way, you got a chance to take a look at this before I put the lipstick on this particular 16 +|15 |00:02:41,010 ~-~-> 00:02:54,270 |example. And you can pause the video here. Alright, so if you haven't paused the video and studied and looked for what I'm going to cover before actually show it 17 +|16 |00:02:54,270 ~-~-> 00:03:08,880 |to you, you're going to miss that opportunity. Now. The big figure 2900 price trades down into that during the New York session. Whenever I big figure is 18 +|17 |00:03:08,910 ~-~-> 00:03:21,690 |swept either down into it or up into it, it will generally create some kind of a tradable bounce, okay, or retracement. And while it may be there short term and 19 +|18 |00:03:21,690 ~-~-> 00:03:31,230 |short lived, it still gives the opportunity for you a quick snap in marketplace where you can take something out of it. Since this is a futures contract. And 20 +|19 |00:03:31,230 ~-~-> 00:03:40,650 |it's not a foreign exchange pair. We can't talk in terms of pips. So we're going to be using just the range. Now if you look closely, you can see inside of the 21 +|20 |00:03:41,010 ~-~-> 00:03:50,370 |New York session, the idea is the beginning is here at 830. And the end is again 11 o'clock, it's a static time, it doesn't change. So everything that I've shown 22 +|21 |00:03:50,370 ~-~-> 00:04:02,340 |you thus far, we're just doing the same thing every single day. And you'll see this pattern forums every single day. So let's take a look at the fib over top 23 +|22 |00:04:02,370 ~-~-> 00:04:14,370 |this right here. This is the optimal trade entry. The market rallies back above 29 big figure comes back down into bullish order block overlapping with a 2900 24 +|23 |00:04:14,370 ~-~-> 00:04:23,490 |big figure inside of our specific time of day, the New York session. Okay 830 in the morning till 11 o'clock in the morning, New York local time. 25 +|24 |00:04:24,930 ~-~-> 00:04:35,490 |This pattern is seen with the fib to trade down into the 70.5 level, which is the sweet spot by my definition for optimal trade entry. And you could be a 26 +|25 |00:04:35,490 ~-~-> 00:04:44,010 |buyer there. And the market comes back down and does give multiple entries. You can take it on here, which is still inside of the New York session time window 27 +|26 |00:04:44,010 ~-~-> 00:04:55,710 |that we've created for this pattern. And we have really three candles here, here and here where it meets optimal trade entry 62 or less down to 79. And you could 28 +|27 |00:04:55,710 ~-~-> 00:05:03,930 |be a buyer there. We're going to use the range here. Okay, so point five You can take your first scaling their partials, and look how it spends a little bit of 29 +|28 |00:05:03,930 ~-~-> 00:05:15,210 |time consolidating there and then expands up to one to one full standard deviation here at 2922. So being a buyer at around 2900, big figure, and getting 30 +|29 |00:05:15,210 ~-~-> 00:05:29,160 |out with 15 handles in the s&p as a first scalp, or scaling, then your secondary exit for a partial could be at 2922, which is 22 handles in the s&p, then 31 +|30 |00:05:29,190 ~-~-> 00:05:38,430 |ultimately I mentioned in this pattern, this level here on the fib if it gets to that price level and runs a specific price point for liquidity, which is the 32 +|31 |00:05:38,430 ~-~-> 00:05:46,830 |Friday's of high which is we unintended on the daily chart, the market will likely rather want to gravitate towards that old Friday high because the trend 33 +|32 |00:05:46,830 ~-~-> 00:05:54,750 |is bullish, it's going to want to take liquidity out there because a lot of people are short selling in the s&p, the market has taken up above Friday's 34 +|33 |00:05:54,750 ~-~-> 00:06:06,030 |high. And to the fib level 2936. The high comes in on this candle at 2937 only off by one handle on the s&p. And it went up again to another opportunity to do 35 +|34 |00:06:06,030 ~-~-> 00:06:17,400 |so and again 2937. So it's only off by one handle. But you could take this idea here, instead of reaching for the 2936 round down to the nearest five level. So 36 +|35 |00:06:17,400 ~-~-> 00:06:26,760 |that would be 2935. So that's 35 handles with as much as one two and three partials taken out. But at this point here, I would be out for this particular 37 +|36 |00:06:26,760 ~-~-> 00:06:32,280 |pattern in this market as an example. Hope you found this insightful until next time, I wish good luck and good trading 4 4 5 -2 6 -00:00:13,830 ~-~-> 00:00:17,220 7 -continuing series of the ICT optimal trade entry pattern 8 - 9 -3 10 -00:00:17,220 ~-~-> 00:00:18,150 11 -recognition series. 12 - 13 -4 14 -00:00:19,350 ~-~-> 00:00:22,560 15 -And we're a step outside of forex. As I mentioned, one of 16 - 17 -5 18 -00:00:22,560 ~-~-> 00:00:26,490 19 -the central tenets of this pattern is it's not limited to 20 - 21 -6 22 -00:00:26,520 ~-~-> 00:00:30,240 23 -forex. So I'm going to show you how you can use it in the 24 - 25 -7 26 -00:00:30,540 ~-~-> 00:00:31,350 27 -futures market. 28 - 29 -8 30 -00:00:31,350 ~-~-> 00:00:34,770 31 -This is an index futures. And it's the delivery contract of 32 - 33 -9 34 -00:00:34,830 ~-~-> 00:00:40,440 35 -June 2020 of the s&p emini futures. Alright, so we want to 36 - 37 -10 38 -00:00:40,440 ~-~-> 00:00:45,420 39 -look for a signature in price that would lend well to aiming 40 - 41 -11 42 -00:00:45,420 ~-~-> 00:00:49,620 43 -for a previous day's high or low. And again, it's focusing 44 - 45 -12 46 -00:00:49,620 ~-~-> 00:00:53,400 47 -primarily on a very short term timeframe. But the pattern 48 - 49 -13 50 -00:00:53,400 ~-~-> 00:00:56,490 51 -can be scaled to whatever timeframe you really want. So 52 - 53 -14 54 -00:00:57,450 ~-~-> 00:00:59,880 55 -looking at price action here you can see that we have a 56 - 57 -15 58 -00:00:59,910 ~-~-> 00:01:04,590 59 -Swing low, swing high and a retracement here. And price was 60 - 61 -16 62 -00:01:04,590 ~-~-> 00:01:09,780 63 -underway going higher. And there's no necessity for you to 64 - 65 -17 66 -00:01:09,780 ~-~-> 00:01:13,560 67 -say, I have to be in this here or I have to be in this here, 68 - 69 -18 70 -00:01:13,920 ~-~-> 00:01:17,550 71 -or I can't participate in a market like this and be a buyer, 72 - 73 -19 74 -00:01:17,820 ~-~-> 00:01:21,810 75 -which is not true. So I want you to take a look at the 76 - 77 -20 78 -00:01:21,810 ~-~-> 00:01:25,740 79 -framework here. We're presently in a larger daily optimal 80 - 81 -21 82 -00:01:25,740 ~-~-> 00:01:29,880 83 -trade entry price just fell short of hitting the 78% 84 - 85 -22 86 -00:01:29,880 ~-~-> 00:01:34,440 87 -retracement level. And again, the magic is not the fib. It's 88 - 89 -23 90 -00:01:34,470 ~-~-> 00:01:38,010 91 -the target of liquidity. That's all I'm doing the Fed just 92 - 93 -24 94 -00:01:38,010 ~-~-> 00:01:42,900 95 -helps me frame and underline context. It's not that you need 96 - 97 -25 98 -00:01:42,900 ~-~-> 00:01:45,840 99 -these levels, it just gives you a framework. Okay. So the 100 - 101 -26 102 -00:01:45,840 ~-~-> 00:01:49,500 103 -framework is we have old low, old high retracement and it 104 - 105 -27 106 -00:01:49,500 ~-~-> 00:01:53,460 107 -starts to move higher. So on a daily chart, where is the 108 - 109 -28 110 -00:01:53,460 ~-~-> 00:01:59,190 111 -likely momentum it's going higher. Okay, great. It could be 112 - 113 -29 114 -00:01:59,190 ~-~-> 00:02:02,790 115 -reaching to this Old high here, or it could fail to run that 116 - 117 -30 118 -00:02:02,790 ~-~-> 00:02:06,600 119 -high or go through it and keep on going higher. In this 120 - 121 -31 122 -00:02:06,600 ~-~-> 00:02:10,260 123 -instance, we don't care. We just know that the likelihood is 124 - 125 -32 126 -00:02:10,680 ~-~-> 00:02:13,740 127 -it's probably going to run a previous day's high. So today's 128 - 129 -33 130 -00:02:13,740 ~-~-> 00:02:20,040 131 -Monday of may 2020, may 11, specifically. So here's Friday, 132 - 133 -34 134 -00:02:20,040 ~-~-> 00:02:25,950 135 -May 8 2020. And we're going to denote that high. So that 136 - 137 -35 138 -00:02:25,950 ~-~-> 00:02:28,050 139 -price level is going to be significantly dropped on the 140 - 141 -36 142 -00:02:28,050 ~-~-> 00:02:31,710 143 -lower timeframe. Okay, so here is the s&p e mini futures for 144 - 145 -37 146 -00:02:31,710 ~-~-> 00:02:36,210 147 -June 2025 minute chart. And this is a naked chart so that 148 - 149 -38 150 -00:02:36,210 ~-~-> 00:02:38,820 151 -way you got a chance to take a look at this before I put the 152 - 153 -39 154 -00:02:38,820 ~-~-> 00:02:44,430 155 -lipstick on this particular example. And you can pause the 156 - 157 -40 158 -00:02:44,430 ~-~-> 00:02:50,850 159 -video here Alright, so if you haven't paused the video and 160 - 161 -41 162 -00:02:50,850 ~-~-> 00:02:53,730 163 -studied and looked for what I'm going to cover before 164 - 165 -42 166 -00:02:53,730 ~-~-> 00:02:56,790 167 -actually show it to you, you're going to miss that 168 - 169 -43 170 -00:02:56,790 ~-~-> 00:03:04,230 171 -opportunity now. The Figure 2900 price trades down into that 172 - 173 -44 174 -00:03:04,590 ~-~-> 00:03:08,880 175 -doing during the New York session. Whenever a big figure is 176 - 177 -45 178 -00:03:08,910 ~-~-> 00:03:14,310 179 -swept either down into it or up into it, it will generally 180 - 181 -46 182 -00:03:14,310 ~-~-> 00:03:18,300 183 -create some kind of a tradable bounce, okay, or a 184 - 185 -47 186 -00:03:18,300 ~-~-> 00:03:21,930 187 -retracement. And it while it may be very short term short 188 - 189 -48 190 -00:03:21,930 ~-~-> 00:03:25,980 191 -lived, it still gives the opportunity for, you know, a quick 192 - 193 -49 194 -00:03:25,980 ~-~-> 00:03:28,770 195 -snap in marketplace where you can take something out of it. 196 - 197 -50 198 -00:03:29,160 ~-~-> 00:03:33,270 199 -Since this is a futures contract, and it's not a foreign 200 - 201 -51 202 -00:03:33,270 ~-~-> 00:03:36,240 203 -exchange pair. We can't talk in terms of pips, so we're 204 - 205 -52 206 -00:03:36,240 ~-~-> 00:03:39,360 207 -going to be using just the range. Now, if you look closely, 208 - 209 -53 210 -00:03:39,360 ~-~-> 00:03:43,170 211 -you can see inside of the New York session, the idea is the 212 - 213 -54 214 -00:03:43,170 ~-~-> 00:03:47,280 215 -beginning is here at 830. And the end is, again 11 o'clock. 216 - 217 -55 218 -00:03:47,520 ~-~-> 00:03:50,070 219 -It's a static time, it doesn't change everything that I've 220 - 221 -56 222 -00:03:50,070 ~-~-> 00:03:53,100 223 -shown you thus far. We're just doing the same thing every 224 - 225 -57 226 -00:03:53,100 ~-~-> 00:03:56,580 227 -single day. And you'll see this pattern forms every single 228 - 229 -58 230 -00:03:56,580 ~-~-> 00:04:04,770 231 -day. So let's take a look at the fib over top this right 232 - 233 -59 234 -00:04:04,770 ~-~-> 00:04:08,430 235 -here. This is the optimal trade entry. The market rallies 236 - 237 -60 238 -00:04:08,430 ~-~-> 00:04:12,240 239 -back above 29, big figure comes back down into bullish order 240 - 241 -61 242 -00:04:12,240 ~-~-> 00:04:16,110 243 -block overlapping with the 2900 big figure inside of our 244 - 245 -62 246 -00:04:16,110 ~-~-> 00:04:20,730 247 -specific time of day, the New York session, okay 830 in the 248 - 249 -63 250 -00:04:20,730 ~-~-> 00:04:23,490 251 -morning till 11 o'clock in the morning, New York local time. 252 - 253 -64 254 -00:04:24,930 ~-~-> 00:04:29,310 255 -This pattern is seen with the fib to trade down into the 256 - 257 -65 258 -00:04:29,310 ~-~-> 00:04:32,970 259 -70.5 level, which is the sweet spot by my definition for 260 - 261 -66 262 -00:04:32,970 ~-~-> 00:04:36,780 263 -optimal trade entry. And you could be a buyer there, and the 264 - 265 -67 266 -00:04:36,780 ~-~-> 00:04:40,050 267 -market comes back down and just give multiple entries, you 268 - 269 -68 270 -00:04:40,050 ~-~-> 00:04:42,600 271 -can take it on here, which is still inside of the New York 272 - 273 -69 274 -00:04:42,600 ~-~-> 00:04:46,770 275 -session time window that we've created for this pattern. And 276 - 277 -70 278 -00:04:46,980 ~-~-> 00:04:51,210 279 -we have really three candles here, here and here, where it 280 - 281 -71 282 -00:04:51,210 ~-~-> 00:04:55,710 283 -meets optimal trade entry 62 or less down to 79. And you can 284 - 285 -72 286 -00:04:55,710 ~-~-> 00:04:58,230 287 -be a buyer there. We're going to use the range here. Okay, 288 - 289 -73 290 -00:04:58,230 ~-~-> 00:05:01,950 291 -so point five You could take your first scaling there 292 - 293 -74 294 -00:05:01,980 ~-~-> 00:05:04,140 295 -partials and look how it spends a little bit of time 296 - 297 -75 298 -00:05:04,140 ~-~-> 00:05:07,290 299 -consolidating there and then expands up to one to one full 300 - 301 -76 302 -00:05:07,290 ~-~-> 00:05:12,330 303 -standard deviation here at 2922. So being a buyer at around 304 - 305 -77 306 -00:05:12,420 ~-~-> 00:05:18,750 307 -2900, big figure, and getting out with 15 handles in the SMP 308 - 309 -78 310 -00:05:18,780 ~-~-> 00:05:24,750 311 -as a first scalp or scaling, then your secondary exit for a 312 - 313 -79 314 -00:05:24,750 ~-~-> 00:05:28,350 315 -partial could be at 2922, which is 22 handles in the s&p. 316 - 317 -80 318 -00:05:28,800 ~-~-> 00:05:33,270 319 -then ultimately, as I mentioned in this pattern, this level 320 - 321 -81 322 -00:05:33,270 ~-~-> 00:05:35,700 323 -here on the fib if it gets to that price level and runs a 324 - 325 -82 326 -00:05:35,700 ~-~-> 00:05:38,880 327 -specific price point for liquidity, which is the Friday's 328 - 329 -83 330 -00:05:38,880 ~-~-> 00:05:42,150 331 -high which is we annotate on the daily chart, the market 332 - 333 -84 334 -00:05:42,150 ~-~-> 00:05:45,780 335 -will likely rather want to gravitate towards that old Friday 336 - 337 -85 338 -00:05:45,780 ~-~-> 00:05:48,510 339 -high because the trend is bullish. It's going to want to 340 - 341 -86 342 -00:05:48,510 ~-~-> 00:05:50,940 343 -take liquidity out there because a lot of people are short 344 - 345 -87 346 -00:05:50,970 ~-~-> 00:05:54,750 347 -selling in the SMP the market has taken up above Friday's 348 - 349 -88 350 -00:05:54,750 ~-~-> 00:05:59,850 351 -high and to the fib level 2936 the high comes in on this 352 - 353 -89 354 -00:05:59,850 ~-~-> 00:06:03,810 355 -game Though, at 2937, only off by one handle and the SMP. 356 - 357 -90 358 -00:06:04,110 ~-~-> 00:06:06,450 359 -And it went up again to another opportunity to do so, and 360 - 361 -91 362 -00:06:06,450 ~-~-> 00:06:10,770 363 -again 2937, so it's only off by one handle. But you could 364 - 365 -92 366 -00:06:10,800 ~-~-> 00:06:15,930 367 -take this idea here, instead of reaching for the 2936, round 368 - 369 -93 370 -00:06:15,930 ~-~-> 00:06:18,990 371 -down to the nearest five level, so that would be 2935. So 372 - 373 -94 374 -00:06:18,990 ~-~-> 00:06:22,560 375 -that's 35 handles with as much as one, two and three 376 - 377 -95 378 -00:06:22,560 ~-~-> 00:06:25,710 379 -partials taken out. But at this point here, I would be out 380 - 381 -96 382 -00:06:25,710 ~-~-> 00:06:28,920 383 -for this particular pattern in this market as an example. 384 - 385 -97 386 -00:06:29,250 ~-~-> 00:06:31,230 387 -Hope you found this insightful until next time, I wish you 388 - 389 -98 390 -00:06:31,230 ~-~-> 00:06:32,280 391 -good luck and good trading.