1 | 00:00:16,770 --> 00:00:29,220 | ICT: Alright, folks, welcome back. This is part three of how I would restart at 20. If I had the opportunity to do so. And the pantomime here I'm using is, I've |
2 | 00:00:29,220 --> 00:00:39,960 | done six months of back testing, I've grown accustomed to trusting that the optimal trade entry pattern forms rather consistently during the 830 in the |
3 | 00:00:39,960 --> 00:00:51,630 | morning to 11 o'clock in the morning, New York session time. At any time, if you only watch this video, it's advised for you to go and look at my optimal trade |
4 | 00:00:51,630 --> 00:01:02,190 | entry pattern recognition series, and the optimal trade entry, or ot e primer. Those videos are found on my YouTube channel. So in this lesson, again, I'm |
5 | 00:01:02,190 --> 00:01:12,180 | focusing on the understanding that we collectively agree that some time has passed. And I recommend six months, as I've mentioned, in part two of this |
6 | 00:01:12,240 --> 00:01:26,010 | series, about back testing, and keeping a log of what the pattern looks like. So assuming that's done, how would I engage euro dollar in the New York session on |
7 | 00:01:26,010 --> 00:01:40,650 | a daily basis? I'm going to cover that with an actual example, not just hypothetical. And how might I visualize optimal trade entry patterns? And how |
8 | 00:01:40,650 --> 00:01:51,120 | would I frame the targets and filter setups? Alright, so here is the hourly chart on the euro dollar. And before I get into this, just note that I did |
9 | 00:01:51,180 --> 00:02:04,290 | record a execution, and the link to that video on the execution and management where it hits the target. As you can see here, the entry and exit arrow, all of |
10 | 00:02:04,290 --> 00:02:15,330 | this has been recorded. So you can see there was an actual example I'm not talking from pure hindsight, I'm using the actual things that I used in the |
11 | 00:02:15,330 --> 00:02:24,330 | trade example. And I'm going to teach you more depth behind it. And this is exactly how I would go into if I was starting all over again, as a 20 year old, |
12 | 00:02:24,510 --> 00:02:33,600 | using just the information on this YouTube channel. Just my ICT concepts. Everything is inner circle trader me, Michael, the things I would focus on |
13 | 00:02:33,600 --> 00:02:42,180 | primarily in the beginning is exactly what I'm showing you in this video here. Now, the framework, obviously, if you go through all of the videos on the inner |
14 | 00:02:42,180 --> 00:02:53,220 | circle trader YouTube channel, I teach this idea here, okay, and it's routed equal highs. And retail sees that as a very strong resistance level wycoff does |
15 | 00:02:53,220 --> 00:03:05,790 | not talk anything about that specific area in price action doesn't talk about it doesn't mention it. And I draw strong conclusions that most retail traders think |
16 | 00:03:05,790 --> 00:03:14,400 | with this logic. And I adopted that mindset initially as a trader, by reading john Murphy's book, technical analysis in the financial markets, which is the |
17 | 00:03:14,400 --> 00:03:24,690 | retail traders Bible. If you learn everything in that book and turn it upside down, you can be profitable, because that's essentially what I did. So if I look |
18 | 00:03:24,690 --> 00:03:41,550 | at this relative equal Hi, and we're looking at an hourly chart here on euro, the idea is during the 17th of may 2021. This pattern right here, this rally up, |
19 | 00:03:41,850 --> 00:03:53,970 | that clears the short term high, and trades right back down into this initial low trades back down in as an optimal trade entry. I like this pattern. This is |
20 | 00:03:54,000 --> 00:04:02,070 | actually one of my favorite patterns to trade, if I'm only going to elect to use the optimal trade entry. Now, obviously, I'm much more versed than just UI |
21 | 00:04:02,070 --> 00:04:15,540 | patterns. But for this YouTube channel, I teach that as the flagship pattern, I am absolutely convinced 100% sold on the idea that anybody that learns this |
22 | 00:04:15,540 --> 00:04:26,970 | pattern, can find consistency, can find profitability, can quit their job can grow wealth, all you need is this one pattern. The problem is you want it to |
23 | 00:04:26,970 --> 00:04:38,940 | form every 10 minutes, and it's not likely to satisfy that itch. So what I want you to notice is the underlying framework is we're in a bullish market, and we |
24 | 00:04:38,940 --> 00:04:39,660 | have these |
25 | 00:04:41,220 --> 00:04:50,010 | tapped relative equal highs. Okay, so there's a lot of biceps resting above that because traders that have wrote this down, they're going to have a bicep |
26 | 00:04:50,040 --> 00:05:00,750 | wrestling upgrade to protect their short position and or anyone that's bullish will have a buy stop above that. And it also builds more liquidity for Buying. |
27 | 00:05:00,990 --> 00:05:11,820 | Now why is that interesting to me, if we're trading down here, because I see a rally from here, up and then back down in that did not take this run above these |
28 | 00:05:11,820 --> 00:05:22,500 | highs. So in my mind, I see this as a bullish optimal trade entry because we have had a shift in market structure above the short term high. So now momentum |
29 | 00:05:22,500 --> 00:05:36,000 | is in force on the upside, the retracement back down in 79% 62% in that area, that's optimal trade entry. Now, it's not just simply the fib level that makes |
30 | 00:05:36,000 --> 00:05:47,790 | it optimal. It is the fact that we have this underlying framework where we rally higher broke a high, we have unfinished business up here. Okay, that's by side |
31 | 00:05:47,790 --> 00:05:57,510 | liquidity, that's by stocks that have not been adequately traded into. So this retracement back down in I view that as optimal trade entry. Now, again, I'm |
32 | 00:05:57,510 --> 00:06:07,020 | showing you an example that I recorded through trading view, I'm not using the bullish position where it just shows you rectangles and shaded areas. That's |
33 | 00:06:07,020 --> 00:06:14,820 | hypothetical, that's not an execution. That's not an entry. That's not a management of any position whatsoever. Yes, everything I'm showing you in this |
34 | 00:06:14,850 --> 00:06:25,110 | recording, and also pointing to, for the actual recording on May 17 2021, was a paper trade for compliance reasons and legal reasons. I'm not licensed to give |
35 | 00:06:25,110 --> 00:06:34,290 | you trade advice, or financial advice. This is just my opinion. And it's meant for you to be stimulated by the idea and go into it and study on your own and |
36 | 00:06:34,290 --> 00:06:42,000 | you draw your own conclusions. If you make money, wonderful, you did it on your own accord. If you lose money, you own that too. Neither of those things, |
37 | 00:06:42,030 --> 00:06:49,830 | whether it be good or bad, are my responsibility. I'm here talking because I like to talk. If you don't want to listen, fine. If you listen, and you do |
38 | 00:06:49,830 --> 00:06:57,000 | something with it, and you hurt you, that's your responsibility to own up to that. If you do something and you make money, take all the credit for it because |
39 | 00:06:57,000 --> 00:07:00,240 | you took the initial risk. Hopefully we made ourselves very clear here. |
40 | 00:07:01,890 --> 00:07:13,770 | But paper trading proves theory, it proves conceptual ideas are valid. And the rules that I teach in this channel are in this specific day and in this specific |
41 | 00:07:13,770 --> 00:07:26,010 | pattern. But the underlying framework is this hourly pullback right here. Now, in this little short term turn here. This is also housing a short term optimal |
42 | 00:07:26,010 --> 00:07:34,590 | trade entry. But that's on another timeframe and another discussion for another day. But as we retraced back down in the underlying market structure is still |
43 | 00:07:34,590 --> 00:07:44,070 | bullish. The trend is bullish, the momentum is bullish, even though it's starting to retrace, a lot of traders would see this as Okay, we ran above these |
44 | 00:07:44,070 --> 00:07:55,830 | relative equal highs. And now it's coming back down to go lower. No, the other one narrative is this is what they're going to aim for. Who is that? The |
45 | 00:07:55,830 --> 00:08:07,140 | institutional traders, the Smart Money traders, the non wycoff people. So above here, those buy stops. It's the drawl and liquidity. When this retraces that's |
46 | 00:08:07,140 --> 00:08:16,800 | your setup, that's the framework, it's bullish. Now, we want to see a trade above these relative equal highs. Now initially, if I was 20 years old, and |
47 | 00:08:16,800 --> 00:08:25,440 | starting all over again, I would want to take something ahead of these relative equal highs, because I'm going to grow as a developing trader, and this is all |
48 | 00:08:25,440 --> 00:08:36,360 | pantomiming. You know, hypothetically speaking, I'm obviously a developed trader, and no longer early developing student of the market. But I would go |
49 | 00:08:36,360 --> 00:08:47,580 | into it trying to take an exit just ahead of these highs being taken out. That's what I'm framing here. Okay. Even though the arrow up here shows that it's on |
50 | 00:08:47,580 --> 00:08:59,160 | this candle, don't let that misinterpret where the exit was, the exit was actually below 2180. And it was just a simple 30 PIP run. We'll talk about that |
51 | 00:08:59,160 --> 00:09:08,010 | when we drop down to a lower timeframe. But for now, just know that if I was 20, in developing I would trust getting out just ahead of these relative equal |
52 | 00:09:08,010 --> 00:09:18,150 | highs, because that would be the first stepping stone to learning how to do partials. partials are taking partial profits and allowing a portion out before |
53 | 00:09:18,150 --> 00:09:27,000 | these highs are taken out and then holding for something that may or may not happen. But it does obviously here in hindsight, you can see it, but I like to |
54 | 00:09:27,000 --> 00:09:35,700 | teach conceptually and with examples with logic that is understandable, even though it may be long winded at times. But if you want to learn something, don't |
55 | 00:09:35,700 --> 00:09:44,520 | you really want to know all the intricate components and the subtle nuances that make you excellent at doing it not just here, I'm gonna show you a magic trick. |
56 | 00:09:44,670 --> 00:09:50,460 | And you watch it one time you think you know how to do it and you go over and try to show your friends and you blows up and you get embarrassed. Okay, you |
57 | 00:09:50,460 --> 00:09:57,990 | don't know how to do what you think you thought you could do. trading is just like that. And you don't want to just look at something and think oh, this is |
58 | 00:09:57,990 --> 00:10:06,030 | easy. Let me go ahead and just do the same thing. I just saw this doing a video, you need to put work behind it. And gradually working towards understanding |
59 | 00:10:06,030 --> 00:10:15,810 | taking partials is, again, a graduated process, you don't simply know where you're gonna take a partial. So you want to start initially, and this is how I |
60 | 00:10:15,810 --> 00:10:23,160 | would do it all over again, is I would train myself to take something ahead of where my actual target was. Now, some of you would say, Well, that doesn't make |
61 | 00:10:23,160 --> 00:10:32,790 | any sense. Because why have a target and not hold for it, because you don't know. And as a developing student, you sure as hell won't know, if these highs |
62 | 00:10:32,790 --> 00:10:40,680 | are going to be taken at any time during your trade, it might come back and hit your stop if you don't have to do trade management and stop placement. So all |
63 | 00:10:40,680 --> 00:10:49,170 | these things have to be balanced. And that's why I talk a lot in the videos because I'm not trying to waste my time, I want you as my students here and |
64 | 00:10:49,170 --> 00:10:58,200 | those that want incline their ear to my teachings. I want you to learn, I don't want you to learn it properly, I don't want you to learn from somebody else that |
65 | 00:10:58,200 --> 00:11:06,930 | thinks they know what I do, because they know some of my lingo, my language, my vernacular, that doesn't equate to understanding how to do it, actually. And |
66 | 00:11:06,960 --> 00:11:11,550 | that's really what I'm trying to press upon you in these videos, not just this one, but all of them. |
67 | 00:11:15,330 --> 00:11:27,750 | Now here is again, a snapshot of may 17 2021. And I have not taking any trades since that day. All of this was pre designed, I was using it for this teaching |
68 | 00:11:27,750 --> 00:11:37,680 | series, I've not blown the account, have not added more wins, I have not taken any losses, I'm just showing you that this is the actual in and out the orders, |
69 | 00:11:37,710 --> 00:11:51,450 | what time they failed, what time they executed everything. Okay? So there was a stop placed. When the stop was canceled. It's not because I closed stop or get |
70 | 00:11:51,450 --> 00:11:59,760 | rid of the order. It's because the sell limit order triggered when that triggers that cancels your stop. So I didn't cancel the stop ahead of the trade and then |
71 | 00:11:59,760 --> 00:12:06,990 | trade without a stop, watch the video that's going to be linked in the description below this video on YouTube. And you'll actually see a stop there, |
72 | 00:12:06,990 --> 00:12:18,870 | it's managed and using the rule based ideas I teach in part two of this series. So with that, let's continue. Alright, so we were back to this chart here. And I |
73 | 00:12:18,870 --> 00:12:30,180 | want you again focus on this area right in here. And you'll see that price swing from this low to this high down to that low. That is the framework for optimal |
74 | 00:12:30,180 --> 00:12:43,710 | trade entry. It's optimal because it's within a larger area of potential running of buyside liquidity. So this high did not break that this retracement only sets |
75 | 00:12:43,710 --> 00:12:51,750 | up an opportunity to get long, and ride that to a run above these relatively equal highs. You do not need it to run above those relative equal highs to be |
76 | 00:12:51,750 --> 00:12:59,640 | profitable. That's the major point as a developing student. If I was 20 years old, and trying to teach myself patience, I get a lot of questions even from my |
77 | 00:12:59,640 --> 00:13:07,530 | mentorship students, how do I develop patience because I put a trade on. And I just want to get out when it's having just a little bit of profitability. And I |
78 | 00:13:07,530 --> 00:13:14,760 | just want to get out like the pressure. That's because you're trading with money that you should not be trading with and you don't know what you're doing yet. |
79 | 00:13:14,910 --> 00:13:23,130 | You haven't conditioned yourself to desensitize yourself to doing the same things over and over and over again and not being dependent on the result being |
80 | 00:13:23,130 --> 00:13:32,490 | positive every single time. That's the purpose of back testing, training, your perception of what these patterns look like over a long period of time, not just |
81 | 00:13:32,490 --> 00:13:41,820 | one sample set of a week or a month, it's six months. And you'll see how many times it fails and how many times it works. And using a rule based idea. You'll |
82 | 00:13:41,820 --> 00:13:51,090 | see that if you're looking for a framework of three to one or higher, but three, one minimum, even if you have losing trades, and I'll talk a little bit about |
83 | 00:13:51,090 --> 00:14:03,060 | that also in this video, they can be overcome and canceled out by a long series of more profitable trades than not profitable. Alright, so we're going to zoom |
84 | 00:14:03,060 --> 00:14:11,700 | in a little bit here and I'm going to draw your attention to this candle right there. Now notice this candle has another lower candle and another lower candle. |
85 | 00:14:11,700 --> 00:14:20,460 | So all of my bearish candles are always a Black Candle. In both candles, I represent that with a green candle. So whenever we have consecutive down close |
86 | 00:14:20,460 --> 00:14:31,830 | candles, after a major run like this, that takes out a short term high. Okay, if that happens that makes this a high probability bullish order block. Now I'm |
87 | 00:14:31,830 --> 00:14:39,720 | gonna repeat that again. We're in a bullish market structure. We have this level up here that it may reach for it we don't know for certain but it's likely to |
88 | 00:14:39,720 --> 00:14:52,170 | occur. This level is that relative equal high on the hourly chart that was shown before I zoomed in. This high being taken out here on this candle. Your eyes |
89 | 00:14:52,170 --> 00:15:03,150 | should drop right back down to these three consecutive candles. It's high and it's open. Those two levels are empty. draw that out in time, you can see the |
90 | 00:15:03,150 --> 00:15:12,540 | market does in fact, trade back down into it. It overshoots it by a little bit, but that's okay. Because if you look at a sample set of different brokers price |
91 | 00:15:12,540 --> 00:15:22,680 | feeds, this candle is going to have a lower low or higher low, it's going to be slightly off. But does it make a difference? Because if you have the high and |
92 | 00:15:22,680 --> 00:15:33,900 | the open, that's your range you're working in. So how do you use that you use the highest level and add a couple pips to it for your spread. And if it trades |
93 | 00:15:33,900 --> 00:15:41,970 | down into that, that would be a bullish opportunity for an entry. I don't require the best entry because sometimes that doesn't offer you an entry on a |
94 | 00:15:41,970 --> 00:15:51,210 | limited basis. It might trade just to that level, and your limit may not trigger because of your broker's spread, or it may not go to it exactly and just miss |
95 | 00:15:51,240 --> 00:16:02,370 | the opportunity. Again, your limit order not tripping, you ended a trade. So you want to use the highest easiest entry and allow for trade management to work a |
96 | 00:16:02,370 --> 00:16:10,950 | stop that respects this level as well. So we have this optimal trade entry with a bullish order block. And we're looking for price to run higher. |
97 | 00:16:13,380 --> 00:16:23,040 | The optimal trade entry is sound from this high, this low. And here's your 62% retracement level and a 75 cent trades level. This is just to highlight a |
98 | 00:16:23,070 --> 00:16:34,290 | oversold condition relative to this range low in this range high. The Fibonacci is not the answer. Okay, it's not the magic. It's not the silver bullet. It's |
99 | 00:16:34,290 --> 00:16:44,850 | just a graphic visual representation of a short term oversold condition relative to a specific dealing range. What is the dealing range to dealing ranges this |
100 | 00:16:44,850 --> 00:16:55,980 | low in this high it's retracing back down in our belief is that there's not going to go below here. Our confidence is that we've done six months of back |
101 | 00:16:55,980 --> 00:17:06,750 | testing we've seen this pattern over and over again. And with this logic with momentum bullish and underlying bias that liquidity pool that's most likely |
102 | 00:17:06,750 --> 00:17:16,080 | going to be drawn to price is probably gonna reach up there. Any retracement lower with this structure. And if it's occurring at a time of day between 830 |
103 | 00:17:16,080 --> 00:17:28,350 | and 11 o'clock in the morning, New York time. This is optimal trade entry. Now, that is my pattern. That's my optimal trade entry. That's ot e Okay, I CTS |
104 | 00:17:28,380 --> 00:17:38,400 | optimal trade entry has all of those signatures, not just find a low find a high and in whatever their 62 or 70 amps Chase Mobile, if it goes there, it's a buy. |
105 | 00:17:39,150 --> 00:17:49,560 | That's what trolls and neophytes think they think that I'm trying to say I invented the three quarter pullback, okay, or that I invented this. No, I |
106 | 00:17:49,560 --> 00:17:59,460 | didn't, I never claimed that. Okay, the structure of how I use it in all these things that come together, where it runs for liquidity, all of that together is |
107 | 00:17:59,460 --> 00:18:06,180 | mine, you don't find that in print. It's not in anything else. No one's talked about until I mentioned it. And that gets on there a lot of people's skin, but I |
108 | 00:18:06,180 --> 00:18:13,830 | don't care. I repeat it because there's too many new people coming into this business falling as a sucker to all these 20 year olds that pretend that they |
109 | 00:18:13,830 --> 00:18:23,220 | learned it from wycoff. Or they invented it themselves, they didn't just take a closer look inside of all this. Alright, so we're zoomed in here on a 15 minute |
110 | 00:18:23,220 --> 00:18:35,520 | timeframe. And the Fibonacci is laid across this low to this high and the 62% retracement level and the seventh level is shown here respectively. And then we |
111 | 00:18:35,520 --> 00:18:43,560 | have that optimal trade entry with the order blocks. So there's a lot of converging things here, that line up for something that would be otherwise |
112 | 00:18:43,620 --> 00:18:57,150 | viewed as bullish. If we look at how price shows this optimal trade entry, and then using the level here, and I've shown this in my optimal trade entry pattern |
113 | 00:18:57,150 --> 00:19:04,020 | recognition series, so if you want to see the levels I have for my fib, you can find it there. And you can also find another alternative way of setting up your |
114 | 00:19:04,020 --> 00:19:13,680 | fib with the OT e primer, I'll leave it up to you which one you like. But the one that I actually use predominantly is the one I show in my optimal trade |
115 | 00:19:13,680 --> 00:19:26,070 | entry pattern recognition series. Okay, so that's where you're going to find these levels. We have the short term high here, when the market trades down in |
116 | 00:19:26,070 --> 00:19:37,140 | on this candle. I'm entering a long I'm entering on it because we've already seen willingness to want to rally here. And it's trading back down into this |
117 | 00:19:37,140 --> 00:19:48,690 | down close candle which is a bullish order block. So I have a lot of things lining up that post the likelihood of a run above this short term high and maybe |
118 | 00:19:48,690 --> 00:19:58,590 | that relativi kowhai on that hourly chart, which is up here. So there's two pools of liquidity by silica here and by liquidity here as a developing student. |
119 | 00:19:59,520 --> 00:20:08,340 | You We're not going to always have the confidence to get out here. That has to be a graduated learned skill set. But we have a short term by liquidity pool |
120 | 00:20:08,340 --> 00:20:19,500 | here that if we can run above that, and get me three to one odds, if it pays out three to one, that's good. And then I'll watch and study does it give me the |
121 | 00:20:19,500 --> 00:20:29,850 | opportunity to see what runs above this massive equity pool here. This is the relative eco high. This is just the short term high. I don't need it to go above |
122 | 00:20:29,850 --> 00:20:43,170 | here to be profitable three to one, my entries here on this candle, and my exits here, three to one, I'm risking 10 to get 30 and risking one to get three and |
123 | 00:20:43,170 --> 00:20:52,260 | risking 50 bucks to make 150 bucks, however way you want to slice it. That's what we're working with as a minimum criteria. So I can't take the optimal trade |
124 | 00:20:52,260 --> 00:21:03,540 | entry trade in New York, unless it gives me the framework that if it runs about three to one, and it fits logically, in this context like this, if it goes above |
125 | 00:21:03,540 --> 00:21:12,900 | an old high, I'm bullish, or goes below love, I'm bearish, and offers three to one. That's the trade I'm going to take. If it can't offer me that. |
126 | 00:21:13,650 --> 00:21:21,330 | And say the optimal trade entry forms a little bit higher up, and it doesn't really offer me three to one, I have to let it pass. It doesn't mean I won't pay |
127 | 00:21:21,330 --> 00:21:30,480 | per trade it or, you know, on paper, I'd say I could take this trade and see how it would pan out. But I wouldn't have that much conviction behind the results |
128 | 00:21:30,540 --> 00:21:40,650 | and attribute that much to it because it would be a trade that I would never really take or enter. So there's a measure of differentiation between looking at |
129 | 00:21:40,710 --> 00:21:50,940 | movements in price where you would engage and actually try to enter, which is three to one or higher. And those that don't quite fit that criteria, but you |
130 | 00:21:50,940 --> 00:22:00,720 | want to still study and observe it because it further solidifies the need for role based ideas. And it will teach you how using three to one as a minimum |
131 | 00:22:00,720 --> 00:22:07,440 | criteria. That is ideal, because over time, your losses will be overcome by the wins. |
132 | 00:22:13,290 --> 00:22:23,400 | Okay, we're zoomed down into a five minute chart, this is the timeframe I used in the recording on May 17 2021. And this is the actual candle right there. So |
133 | 00:22:23,400 --> 00:22:32,430 | as it was trading back down in and touching this down, close candle. So now see all the layering. There's a bullshitter block, there's another lower timeframe, |
134 | 00:22:32,430 --> 00:22:40,410 | bullish order block, and then there's a lower timeframe bullish order block. And now we're doing it again here. So that is the fractal nature of using order |
135 | 00:22:40,410 --> 00:22:49,620 | blocks. It isn't just pick one timeframe that order boggling works in its understanding the logic, this low here already shown a willingness to send price |
136 | 00:22:49,620 --> 00:23:00,420 | higher, we retraced so when we have price running back down into the previous down close candle there, as it was going lower I'm buying, I'm going long as the |
137 | 00:23:00,420 --> 00:23:10,080 | candles going down as a developing student that doesn't feel natural, it feels a little uncomfortable. And you have to overcome that by going through copious |
138 | 00:23:10,080 --> 00:23:21,660 | examples of looking at back tested data, looking at hindsight moves, and seeing how many times it forms. And seeing it so many times you burn it into your |
139 | 00:23:21,660 --> 00:23:32,880 | subconscious, then practicing going forward. After six months, this is the stage I'm in hypothetically, and I'm pantomiming with you here in this video. For part |
140 | 00:23:32,880 --> 00:23:46,530 | three, I'm pretending to be a six month versed, back tested student. And I'm now starting to practice doing entries. That's the timeline. That's the ideal ICT |
141 | 00:23:46,560 --> 00:23:56,370 | approach to learning from this YouTube channel. If you try to do it faster, you will not get the results you want. You will rush you will try to put money into |
142 | 00:23:56,370 --> 00:24:03,660 | an account because you're gonna hear other people say you got to put a little bit of skin in the race. No, because if you don't know what you're doing, you're |
143 | 00:24:03,660 --> 00:24:17,370 | just fortifying bad habits, toxic thinking and you're only guaranteeing you're going to be fearful or greedy. And either one of those two demons will overtake |
144 | 00:24:17,370 --> 00:24:25,110 | you. And you'll never be where you want to be at because you won't have the experience to say I'm going to stay with it even though I'm not doing well. |
145 | 00:24:25,560 --> 00:24:34,290 | Because you have lost money. It's one thing for you to have your pride and ego hurt because you're learning how to do it and you didn't lose any money. But |
146 | 00:24:34,290 --> 00:24:46,050 | when you add money to it, all that does is add a very clear punctuation at the end that not only is this painful, but it's costly. And do I really want to |
147 | 00:24:46,050 --> 00:24:57,900 | spend more time doing this stuff. If it's taking money out of my pocket. It adds to the the hurdle that you got to leap over. It increases the height of a |
148 | 00:24:57,900 --> 00:25:08,010 | mountain that you think it is to climb To get to successful consistent trading, so you have to strip it down to that elementary stage of, it's just writing |
149 | 00:25:08,040 --> 00:25:18,780 | alphabets. over and over and over again, it's a small, little simple task, it doesn't take anything from you. But over time, it builds in a perception of |
150 | 00:25:19,080 --> 00:25:27,090 | character recognition, which is pattern recognition in trading, we have a time window here 830 in the morning, to 11 o'clock in the morning, New York time, |
151 | 00:25:27,210 --> 00:25:39,780 | it's always New York local time. The first run into that order block the opening price on the hourly chart, it bounces off of that, then we have a down close |
152 | 00:25:39,780 --> 00:25:48,180 | candle here, we ran above it, and then the next candle, we trade down into it right there. I'm going long there. I don't need this entry. And I don't need |
153 | 00:25:48,180 --> 00:25:59,190 | this entry. Because the overall context is I still have enough entering here, that if it runs above this level, and gives me an accent here, that's 30 pips, |
154 | 00:25:59,640 --> 00:26:08,910 | that's three to one. And I don't need this level to be traded through. But I'm going to watch and observe it and train myself by experience to see this occur. |
155 | 00:26:09,420 --> 00:26:21,180 | And then by conditioning myself with real examples, walking forward in a paper trading account, not live funds. Lie funds comes in another six months later. |
156 | 00:26:21,660 --> 00:26:30,480 | Okay, now, let me slow you down. Again, because you're all thinking, all I got to do is do six months, I can do that. Now. No, you're going to study back |
157 | 00:26:30,480 --> 00:26:42,840 | tested data for six months, then you're going to walk forward in paper trading, or demo trading for six more months. That means that you can't touch a Live |
158 | 00:26:42,840 --> 00:26:53,460 | account for a full year. Some of you are wanting to turn the video off and go to the next mentor, do it. Because I promise you, you will be back here. You will |
159 | 00:26:53,460 --> 00:27:00,390 | be back here when you taste all the other garbage, that everybody else is trying to sell you the Instagram stuff, all that stuff. Forget about all that stuff. |
160 | 00:27:01,020 --> 00:27:08,340 | Because that's not going to get you where you want to be at right here is home. You don't have to believe me now. Go out there and taste the slop everybody else |
161 | 00:27:08,340 --> 00:27:10,980 | has given you watching when that fails. |
162 | 00:27:11,100 --> 00:27:20,580 | Watch when you fall victim to all that glitz and image in materialism. And I have all that stuff, but you never see it. I have the wizardry here in the |
163 | 00:27:20,580 --> 00:27:33,720 | charts. And this is how you get it. You learn it this way. You don't learn it by looking at rented cars. period three, one entering inside of a specific time |
164 | 00:27:33,720 --> 00:27:43,980 | window the day, how incredibly convenient. Now you can structure a business model around the time of day. When are you looking to do a trade? If you're new? |
165 | 00:27:44,010 --> 00:27:52,140 | You have no idea. You're looking at all these candles? Like how do I know when to do anything? You have a window of three and a half hours. Monday through |
166 | 00:27:52,140 --> 00:28:02,070 | Friday? What are you gonna do? You're gonna try to trade at 1230 and afternoon New York time? No, you're gonna get up early and trade London. No, you don't |
167 | 00:28:02,070 --> 00:28:13,890 | have to. But there's some good news in London. So what? There's good news on Sunday, sometimes too, I'm not worried about that. It's narrowing your focus to |
168 | 00:28:13,890 --> 00:28:23,280 | the best of the best of the best. That's what this process will do for you. But if you don't believe me, then you're never going to do it. And you're never |
169 | 00:28:23,280 --> 00:28:32,460 | going to see it for yourself. But once you submit to this process, you'll see it. And then you'll regret never having done it sooner. or listening to |
170 | 00:28:32,460 --> 00:28:39,990 | everybody else's excuse why? My stuff's over complicated. Because none of this stuff is complicated. I'm stripping this down to a way where you all have no |
171 | 00:28:39,990 --> 00:28:50,580 | excuse that you all can quit your job in 36 months, three years, if you know how to do this, and you have two years behind you and you invest respectable amount |
172 | 00:28:50,580 --> 00:29:01,710 | of money and consistently do it. And you have a real nice return every single month. Yes, you'll have losing trades. You can still carve out a career. Now |
173 | 00:29:01,710 --> 00:29:11,970 | will you be making $200,000 a year. I can't promise that I can't promise any amount. But can you do it 36 months from the beginning stages of use submitting |
174 | 00:29:11,970 --> 00:29:20,670 | to this process and not requiring to live on a paycheck that's given to you by someone that tells you when you're no longer needed. You don't want an employer. |
175 | 00:29:21,330 --> 00:29:32,850 | You don't want a job and you don't want a paycheck. You want your own way, your own path. And that's all I'm offering. If he just listened to me, this is |
176 | 00:29:32,850 --> 00:29:42,900 | exactly how I would do it all over again. And in 36 months, I will be retired again. Nobody else is teaching like this, because nobody else is rich. Nobody |
177 | 00:29:42,900 --> 00:29:51,300 | has also made millions. Nobody else knows how to do it. Nobody else does executions. Nobody else proves this theory before it happens and outlines it |
178 | 00:29:51,300 --> 00:29:59,340 | like I do. So you're welcome to disagree with what I'm saying. You're welcome to have the opinion I talk too much. You're welcome to have all of these |
179 | 00:29:59,340 --> 00:30:07,530 | conjectures. Why does he not do it with a Live account? Why does he do this? And why does he show his cars? And why doesn't he do this and that focus on the |
180 | 00:30:07,530 --> 00:30:14,790 | things I'm teaching you because these are the only things that matter what I drive and where I sleep, has no bearing on how much you're going to make, or how |
181 | 00:30:14,790 --> 00:30:27,120 | fast you leave your job. This process works is exactly what I would do if I had to start all over again at 20 as a neophyte. And given just the information that |
182 | 00:30:27,120 --> 00:30:36,720 | this YouTube channel has. This is exactly what I'll be doing, focusing on this tiny little window of opportunity. Specifically, on Monday, Tuesdays and |
183 | 00:30:36,720 --> 00:30:49,800 | Wednesdays, I wouldn't touch on Thursday, I wouldn't touch a Friday. What am I talking about the weekly range bias that I teach on this YouTube channel. So if |
184 | 00:30:49,800 --> 00:30:58,350 | I'm bullish, I'm looking for a Monday, Tuesday or Wednesday trade between 830 and 11 o'clock in the morning, New York time, if I don't get it, I don't trade. |
185 | 00:30:59,160 --> 00:31:08,100 | If I miss the entry, then I wait. If it doesn't give me to me on Tuesday, then I try one more time on Wednesday. And if I don't get it Wednesday, I don't take |
186 | 00:31:08,100 --> 00:31:19,980 | any trades that week, I lost nothing. I invested some time observing and watching. But that's experienced now I have. If I'm bearish, I'm looking for |
187 | 00:31:19,980 --> 00:31:32,490 | shorts. Just everything that's shown here will be reversed. On Monday, I'd look for short between 830 and 11. Or Tuesday, I look for short between 830 and 11. |
188 | 00:31:33,000 --> 00:31:45,000 | Or Wednesday, I'd look for short between 830 and 11. Thursday and Friday, Saturday and Sunday, they're off days. Now think about that. Think about it, |
189 | 00:31:45,300 --> 00:31:55,890 | that's three and a half hours a day. But if you get your one weekly set up, that gives you your weekly payout of three to one or more. Again, it's just the |
190 | 00:31:55,890 --> 00:32:05,400 | minimum criteria three to one, you're gonna see that there's opportunities that offer more than three to one, it could be five to 161, eight to one in the same |
191 | 00:32:05,400 --> 00:32:05,850 | day. |
192 | 00:32:10,890 --> 00:32:20,010 | But you won't observe them until you get used to seeing what they look like. And you find that by looking at it for six months in hindsight, and you study that. |
193 | 00:32:20,430 --> 00:32:29,160 | And once you get a feel for what it looks like in hindsight, then you start testing it, walking forward with it, and you grow in your understanding and your |
194 | 00:32:29,160 --> 00:32:38,760 | patience. And then over time, you're going to learn that you're going to take something off ahead of this just above this high, and then leave a portion once |
195 | 00:32:38,760 --> 00:32:52,050 | it runs above that, then you close the trade. That's doubletap take something off. Oh for hire position exit if you're bullish, or hold for a lower position |
196 | 00:32:52,050 --> 00:33:05,700 | exit. If you're bearish to take profits, once a partial. The other one is your final clothes. You grow into that next level of understanding retargeting. So |
197 | 00:33:05,700 --> 00:33:14,040 | I've already covered how I would filter out my trades. I've already covered, what time of day and what days I would trade. Wrong. I'm looking at Euro dollar. |
198 | 00:33:14,400 --> 00:33:21,870 | I'm not complicating it by adding different payers, I'm not even talking about cable. British Pound hasn't even entered the conversation or chat. haven't |
199 | 00:33:21,870 --> 00:33:40,350 | talked about Dollar Index. How easy is this is extremely easy. In that little area right there. That's my entry. In my mind I'm submitting to, I don't care |
200 | 00:33:40,350 --> 00:33:49,710 | how long it goes sideways. I'm holding for here. And it might go up here, but I don't need it to because 30 pips is just below. And that's three to one that |
201 | 00:33:49,710 --> 00:34:03,420 | gets me out. I'm training myself to be content with profits not being right, right is going above this level here. Notice that the idea was initial draw I |
202 | 00:34:03,420 --> 00:34:16,620 | was on that relative equal high on the hourly chart. That is the right. I don't need right to be profitable. I need to be profitable. profitable is it's moving |
203 | 00:34:16,620 --> 00:34:22,950 | in my favor. It's offering me three to one. I don't know at that time. At that time. I don't know if it's going to trade above there. It could go right to that |
204 | 00:34:22,950 --> 00:34:33,210 | level and come back down, clean this out and scare me on the trade. Remember, I'm going to developing student you have to be realistic. I'm trying to make |
205 | 00:34:33,210 --> 00:34:40,530 | this as realistic as I possibly can. I'm giving you all the possible curveballs that could happen. And you have to know these things. These are pitfalls when |
206 | 00:34:40,530 --> 00:34:48,330 | you're developing. If you don't have a mentor that's gone through it themselves and found consistency. You're never going to learn how to do this yourself. It's |
207 | 00:34:48,330 --> 00:35:01,590 | too easy to paint this too. It's so easy. Anybody can do. It's so easy. forex is so easy and they never execute a trade. You never see them managing anything. |
208 | 00:35:02,700 --> 00:35:12,630 | All I'm trying to do is show in strong contrast, what it's like when you know what you're doing, versus what everybody else does here on YouTube, and |
209 | 00:35:12,630 --> 00:35:22,620 | Instagram, and discord, and telegram. And that's why I'm not like, that's why I'm trolled. You keep the focus on your development, you keep the focus on the |
210 | 00:35:22,620 --> 00:35:28,620 | things I'm teaching you to do, because you'll find out really quick, if what I'm teaching is real, or if it's fluff. |
211 | 00:35:35,280 --> 00:35:45,810 | This right here is one optimal trade entry. If you're looking at optimal trade entry alone, this would have been an entry there. I missed this by timing, |
212 | 00:35:45,930 --> 00:35:54,930 | putting the chart on, I didn't see it as it formed. So when it traded back down in this order block with this underlying framework here, that's what I was |
213 | 00:35:54,930 --> 00:36:03,000 | basing it on. Remember, this whole run up here was an hourly auto trade entry, then you have a smaller one here. So this is a fractal of what I showed you on |
214 | 00:36:03,000 --> 00:36:10,800 | the hourly chart, remember, this is five minute now. So this initial run up and then down, that's the optimal trade entry only hourly, then we had this small |
215 | 00:36:10,800 --> 00:36:18,060 | little run here, that's an optimal trade entry as well, within a larger one that's really bullish. But I missed it there, I didn't have the chart open at |
216 | 00:36:18,060 --> 00:36:25,260 | the time. So when it traded back down in, I'm using this order block, because I want to be positioned on the logic that's used from this low to this high to |
217 | 00:36:25,260 --> 00:36:37,530 | that low. I'm trusting that. Why because it's occurring inside of that window of New York session 830 to 11 o'clock in the morning. So this run here, this is the |
218 | 00:36:37,530 --> 00:36:48,000 | ideal entry. Yes, for ot purposes during New York, because this is ahead of New York. 830 starts here, so it's a little ahead of it. So this is the first |
219 | 00:36:48,000 --> 00:36:59,430 | opportunity to go ot bullish high odds in your favor. And I use the context of the bullish order block there. In the recording on May 17 2021. You watch me do |
220 | 00:36:59,430 --> 00:37:08,820 | this one here. And I say this is a live call, that's a buy. As it's trading right down and I label it using trading view, I type it out, that's a buy, |
221 | 00:37:08,850 --> 00:37:18,420 | that's the New York session buy, it's from this low to this high down in. But before that one occurs, you have this one as well, you have this low to this |
222 | 00:37:18,420 --> 00:37:31,770 | high down in, that could be a buy too. There's nothing wrong with that. And then you have this one as well, here to here, and that would be in this entry. But |
223 | 00:37:31,770 --> 00:37:40,200 | now when you have this, you have to use this low in the context for your stop. So it doesn't need to go completely below that low. You can go just below these |
224 | 00:37:40,200 --> 00:37:52,500 | bodies of these candles here and put your stoplight right in there. My stop initially was 121 35 and three pipettes you see it in the trade from entry. |
225 | 00:37:53,160 --> 00:38:03,630 | through the whole process, it's being managed with the rules that I gave you in part two of this series. That's how I use that stop. It teaches you proper trade |
226 | 00:38:03,630 --> 00:38:13,230 | management and stop management. Nobody has a real clear idea on how to manage a stock. That's why everybody that's learning from everyone else is either getting |
227 | 00:38:13,230 --> 00:38:22,290 | stopped out even if their trades are, well, let's not call it profitable. Let's say their trades are right in a direction and say they had a pretty good entry |
228 | 00:38:22,290 --> 00:38:30,090 | point. They don't know where to put their stop loss. And they put it up there too close to their open profit or where the market is trading now because they |
229 | 00:38:30,090 --> 00:38:39,510 | don't want to have a losing trade. And that's what you have to overcome. And the only way you overcome that is seeing how the back tested. data shows that this |
230 | 00:38:39,510 --> 00:38:55,290 | logic is strong. This kung fu that I'm showing you is strong. This is all algorithmic. These things repeat every single day. Not every single day do you |
231 | 00:38:55,290 --> 00:39:05,700 | get three to one eight to 110 to 112, the one but the ones that do offer three to one. That's what you look for. That's what you focus on. And if you do that, |
232 | 00:39:05,700 --> 00:39:19,590 | I promise you, I promise you, you will have all that you need to leave that job. Change the financial destiny of everyone in your family tree after you and |
233 | 00:39:19,590 --> 00:39:27,870 | you'll only have regret because you didn't listen to me sooner. Until next time, I wish you good luck and good trading |